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{{Short description|none}}
{{Short description|none}}
{{Infobox election
{{Infobox election
| country = Guatemala
| election_name = 2027 Guatemalan general election
| country = Guatemala
| previous_year = [[2023 Guatemalan general election|2023]]
| previous_year = [[2023 Guatemalan general election|2023]]
| next_year = 2031
| next_year = 2031
| election_date = June and August 2027 (presumptive)
| election_date = June and August 2027 (presumptive)
| opinion_polls =
| opinion_polls =
| ongoing = yes
| ongoing = yes
| map_image =
| map_image =
| map_size =
| map_size =
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| title = [[President of Guatemala|President]]
| title = [[President of Guatemala|President]]
| before_election = [[Bernardo Arévalo]]
| before_election = [[Bernardo Arévalo]]
| before_party = Semilla
| before_party = [[Movimiento Semilla|Semilla]]
| after_election =
| after_election =
| after_party =
| after_party =
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| majority_seats = 81
| majority_seats = 81
| turnout =
| turnout =
| ongoing = yes
| ongoing = yes
| party1 = Vamos (Guatemala)
| party1 = Vamos (Guatemala)
| leader1 = [[Allan Rodríguez]]
| leader1 = [[Allan Rodríguez]]
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| party3 = [[Semilla (Guatemala)|Semilla]]
| party3 = [[Semilla (Guatemala)|Semilla]]
| leader3 = [[Patricia Orantes]]
| leader3 = [[Samuel Pérez Álvarez|Samuel Pérez]]
| percentage3 =
| percentage3 =
| current_seats3 = 23
| current_seats3 = 23
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| party4 = Cabal (political party)
| party4 = Cabal (political party)
| leader4 = [[Julio Héctor Estrada]]
| leader4 = Luis Aguirre
| percentage4 =
| percentage4 =
| current_seats4 = 18
| current_seats4 = 18
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| party6 = [[Valor (political party)|Valor]]
| party6 = [[Valor (political party)|Valor]]
| leader6 = [[Sandra Jovel]]
| leader6 = Elmer Palencia
| percentage6 =
| percentage6 =
| current_seats6 = 10
| current_seats6 = 10
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| last_election15 = 2
| last_election15 = 2


| party16 = [[Winaq]]–[[Guatemalan National Revolutionary Unity|URNG]]
| party16 = [[Winaq]]
| leader16 = [[Sonia Gutiérrez Raguay|Sonia Gutiérrez]]
| leader16 = [[Sonia Gutiérrez Raguay|Sonia Gutiérrez]]
| percentage16 =
| percentage16 =
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| after_party =
| after_party =
}}}}{{Politics of Guatemala}}
}}}}{{Politics of Guatemala}}
'''General elections''' will be held in [[Guatemala]] in June 2027 to elect the [[President of Guatemala|president]] and [[Vice President of Guatemala|vice president]], all 160 seats in [[Congress of Guatemala|Congress]], all 20 members of the [[Central American Parliament]], and mayors and councils for all the country's 340 [[Municipalities of Guatemala|municipalities]], with a second round of the presidential elections to be held in August if no candidate wins a majority in the first round. Incumbent President [[Bernardo Arévalo]] is constitutionally prohibited from running for a second four-year term.<ref>{{Cite web |last=Oliva |first=William |date=7 March 2018 |title=Jimmy Morales dice que le gustaría gobernar otro período |trans-title=Jimmy Morales says he would like to govern another term |url=https://www.prensalibre.com/guatemala/politica/jimmy-morales-dice-que-le-gustaria-quedarse-gobernando-por-otro-periodo/ |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20230405163001/https://www.prensalibre.com/guatemala/politica/jimmy-morales-dice-que-le-gustaria-quedarse-gobernando-por-otro-periodo/ |archive-date=5 April 2023 |access-date=23 June 2023 |website=[[Prensa Libre (Guatemala)]] |language=es}}</ref><ref>{{Cite web |last=González |first=Marcos |date=23 June 2023 |title=Por qué en Guatemala ningún partido ha repetido en la presidencia en sus casi 40 años de democracia |trans-title=Why in Guatemala no party has repeated the presidency in its almost 40 years of democracy |url=https://www.bbc.com/mundo/articles/czq889dznj5o |website=[[BBC News]] |language=es}}</ref>


General elections will be held in [[Guatemala]] in June 2027 to elect the [[President of Guatemala|president]] and [[Vice President of Guatemala|vice president]], all 160 seats in [[Congress of Guatemala|Congress]], all 20 Guatemalan members of the [[Central American Parliament]], and mayors and councils for all the country's 340 [[Municipalities of Guatemala|municipalities]], with a second round of the presidential elections to be held in August if no candidate wins a majority in the first round. Incumbent President [[Bernardo Arévalo]] is constitutionally prohibited from running for a second four-year term.<ref>{{Cite web |last=Oliva |first=William |date=7 March 2018 |title=Jimmy Morales dice que le gustaría gobernar otro período |trans-title=Jimmy Morales says he would like to govern another term |url=https://www.prensalibre.com/guatemala/politica/jimmy-morales-dice-que-le-gustaria-quedarse-gobernando-por-otro-periodo/ |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20230405163001/https://www.prensalibre.com/guatemala/politica/jimmy-morales-dice-que-le-gustaria-quedarse-gobernando-por-otro-periodo/ |archive-date=5 April 2023 |access-date=23 June 2023 |website=[[Prensa Libre (Guatemala)]] |language=es}}</ref><ref>{{Cite web |last=González |first=Marcos |date=23 June 2023 |title=Por qué en Guatemala ningún partido ha repetido en la presidencia en sus casi 40 años de democracia |trans-title=Why in Guatemala no party has repeated the presidency in its almost 40 years of democracy |url=https://www.bbc.com/mundo/articles/czq889dznj5o |website=[[BBC News]] |language=es}}</ref>
It is expected that the [[Semilla|ruling party]]'s legislative coalition will seek to reform the Electoral Law.<ref>{{Cite web |last=Cuevas |first=Douglas |date=17 January 2024 |title=Semilla habría pactado 10 reformas legales para llegar a la presidencia del Congreso |trans-title=Semilla would have agreed on 10 legal reforms to become president of Congress |url=https://www.prensalibre.com/guatemala/politica/semilla-habria-pactado-10-reformas-legales-para-llegar-a-la-presidencia-del-congreso/ |website=Prensa Libre |language=es}}</ref>

It is expected that the [[Movimiento Semilla|ruling party]]'s legislative coalition will seek to reform the Electoral Law.<ref>{{Cite web |last=Cuevas |first=Douglas |date=17 January 2024 |title=Semilla habría pactado 10 reformas legales para llegar a la presidencia del Congreso |trans-title=Semilla would have agreed on 10 legal reforms to become president of Congress |url=https://www.prensalibre.com/guatemala/politica/semilla-habria-pactado-10-reformas-legales-para-llegar-a-la-presidencia-del-congreso/ |website=Prensa Libre |language=es}}</ref>


== Electoral system ==
== Electoral system ==
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! Seats
! Seats
|-
|-
| [[Alta Verapaz Department|Alta Verapaz]]
|align=left|[[Alta Verapaz Department|Alta Verapaz]]
| 9
|9
|-
|-
| [[Baja Verapaz Department|Baja Verapaz]]
|align=left|[[Baja Verapaz Department|Baja Verapaz]]
| 2
|2
|-
|-
| [[Chimaltenango Department|Chimaltenango]]
|align=left|[[Chimaltenango Department|Chimaltenango]]
| 5
|5
|-
|-
| [[Chiquimula Department|Chiquimula]]
|align=left|[[Chiquimula Department|Chiquimula]]
| 3
|3
|-
|-
| [[El Progreso Department|El Progreso]]
|align=left|[[El Progreso Department|El Progreso]]
| 2
|2
|-
|-
| [[Escuintla Department|Escuintla]]
|align=left|[[Escuintla Department|Escuintla]]
| 6
|6
|-
|-
| [[Guatemala Department|Guatemala]]
|align=left|[[Guatemala Department|Guatemala]]
| 19
|19
|-
|-
| [[Ciudad de Guatemala|Guatemala City]]
|align=left|[[Ciudad de Guatemala|Guatemala City]]
| 11
|11
|-
|-
| [[Huehuetenango Department|Huehuetenango]]
|align=left|[[Huehuetenango Department|Huehuetenango]]
| 10
|10
|-
|-
| [[Izabal Department|Izabal]]
|align=left|[[Izabal Department|Izabal]]
| 3
|3
|-
|-
| [[Jalapa Department|Jalapa]]
|align=left|[[Jalapa Department|Jalapa]]
| 3
|3
|-
|-
| [[Jutiapa Department|Jutiapa]]
|align=left|[[Jutiapa Department|Jutiapa]]
| 4
|4
|-
|-
| [[Guatemala|National List]]
|align=left|[[Guatemala|National List]]
| 32
|32
|-
|-
| [[Petén Department|Petén]]
|align=left|[[Petén Department|Petén]]
| 4
|4
|-
|-
| [[Quetzaltenango Department|Quetzaltenango]]
|align=left|[[Quetzaltenango Department|Quetzaltenango]]
| 7
|7
|-
|-
| [[Quiché Department|Quiché]]
|align=left|[[Quiché Department|Quiché]]
| 8
|8
|-
|-
| [[Retalhuleu Department|Retalhuleu]]
|align=left|[[Retalhuleu Department|Retalhuleu]]
| 3
|3
|-
|-
| [[Sacatepéquez Department|Sacatepéquez]]
|align=left|[[Sacatepéquez Department|Sacatepéquez]]
| 3
|3
|-
|-
| [[San Marcos Department|San Marcos]]
|align=left|[[San Marcos Department|San Marcos]]
| 9
|9
|-
|-
| [[Santa Rosa Department, Guatemala|Santa Rosa]]
|align=left|[[Santa Rosa Department, Guatemala|Santa Rosa]]
| 3
|3
|-
|-
| [[Sololá Department|Sololá]]
|align=left|[[Sololá Department|Sololá]]
| 3
|3
|-
|-
| [[Suchitepéquez Department|Suchitepéquez]]
|align=left|[[Suchitepéquez Department|Suchitepéquez]]
| 5
|5
|-
| [[Totonicapán Department|Totonicapán]]
| 4
|-
| [[Zacapa Department|Zacapa]]
| 2
|-
|-
|align=left|[[Totonicapán Department|Totonicapán]]
|4
|-
|-
|align=left|[[Zacapa Department|Zacapa]]
|2
|- class=sortbottom
! Total
! Total
! 160
! 160
|}
|}

== Potential presidential candidates ==
== Potential presidential candidates ==
* [[Carlos Pineda (politician)|Carlos Pineda]], businessman and internet personality<ref>{{Cite web |last=Gramajo |first=Jessica |date=14 June 2023 |title=El futuro de Carlos Pineda tras quedar fuera de las Elecciones Generales 2023 |trans-title=The future of Carlos Pineda after being left out of the 2023 General Elections |url=https://www.soy502.com/articulo/carlos-pineda-resurgiria-nuevo-partido-politico-100931 |website=Soy502 |language=es}}</ref>
* [[Carlos Pineda (politician)|Carlos Pineda]], businessman and internet personality<ref>{{Cite web |last=Gramajo |first=Jessica |date=14 June 2023 |title=El futuro de Carlos Pineda tras quedar fuera de las Elecciones Generales 2023 |trans-title=The future of Carlos Pineda after being left out of the 2023 General Elections |url=https://www.soy502.com/articulo/carlos-pineda-resurgiria-nuevo-partido-politico-100931 |website=Soy502 |language=es}}</ref>
* [[Nery Ramos]], current [[List of presidents of the Congress of the Republic of Guatemala|president of Congress]]
* Martín Toc, president of ''48 cantones de [[Totonicapán]]''<ref>{{Cite web |last= |first= |date=17 January 2023 |title=Toc: tras dejar Los 48 Cantones, publica que en 2027 buscará la Presidencia |trans-title=Toc: after leaving Los 48 Cantones, he publishes that in 2027 he will seek the Presidency |url=https://lahora.gt/nacionales/wpcomvip/2022/01/17/toc-tras-dejar-los-48-cantones-publica-que-en-2027-buscara-la-presidencia/ |website=La Hora |language=es}}</ref>
* Martín Toc, former president of ''48 cantones de [[Totonicapán]]''<ref>{{Cite web |last= |first= |date=17 January 2023 |title=Toc: tras dejar Los 48 Cantones, publica que en 2027 buscará la Presidencia |trans-title=Toc: after leaving Los 48 Cantones, he publishes that in 2027 he will seek the Presidency |url=https://lahora.gt/nacionales/wpcomvip/2022/01/17/toc-tras-dejar-los-48-cantones-publica-que-en-2027-buscara-la-presidencia/ |website=La Hora |language=es}}</ref>
* [[Sandra Torres]], former [[First Lady of Guatemala]]<ref>{{Cite web |last= |first= |date=21 August 2023 |title=🔵 A pesar de la tercera derrota, Sandra Torres no tiraría la toalla política |trans-title= 🔵 Despite the third defeat, Sandra Torres would not throw in the political towel |url=https://republica.gt/politica/a-pesar-de-la-tercera-derrota-sandra-torres-no-tiraria-la-toalla-politica-202382119580 |website=República |language=es}}</ref>


==Congress==
==Congress==
{| class="wikitable sortable"
{| class="wikitable sortable"
|-
! rowspan=2 colspan=2 width=300px | Party
! rowspan=2 colspan=2 width=300px | Party
! rowspan=2 colspan=2 | Current legislative leader
! colspan=2 | Current legislative leader
! colspan=2 | [[2023 Guatemalan general election|2023]] result
! colspan=2 | [[2023 Guatemalan general election|2023]] result
|-
|-
! Image
! Name
! Votes (%)
! Votes (%)
! [[Congress of Guatemala|Seats]]
! [[Congress of Guatemala|Seats]]
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|-
|-
! style="background:{{party color|Semilla (Guatemala)}}; width:2px;"|
! style="background:{{party color|Semilla (Guatemala)}}; width:2px;"|
| [[Semilla (Guatemala)|Movimiento Semilla]]
| [[Movimiento Semilla]]
| [[File:Autoridades de SEGEPLAN llevaron a cabo su primera reunión de transición 20231030 - 53298547130 (cropped).jpg|50px]]
| [[File:Retrato oficial de Samuel Andrés Pérez Alvarez, Deputado del Congreso (cropped 2).jpg|50px]]
| [[Samuel Pérez Álvarez|Samuel Pérez]]
| [[Patricia Orantes]]
| align=center | 11.72%
| align=center | 11.72%
| {{Composition bar|23|160|{{party color|Semilla (Guatemala)}}}}
| {{Composition bar|23|160|{{party color|Semilla (Guatemala)}}}}
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! style="background:{{party color|Cabal (political party)}}; width:2px;"|
! style="background:{{party color|Cabal (political party)}}; width:2px;"|
| [[Cabal (political party)|Cabal]]
| [[Cabal (political party)|Cabal]]
| [[File:Portrait placeholder.svg|50px]]
| [[File:Retrato oficial de Julio Héctor Estrada Dominguez, Deputado del Congreso (cropped 2).jpg|50px]]
| {{nowrap|[[Julio Héctor Estrada]]}}
| {{nowrap|Luis Aguirre}}
| align=center | 8.90%
| align=center | 8.90%
| {{Composition bar|18|160|{{party color|Cabal (political party)}}}}
| {{Composition bar|18|160|{{party color|Cabal (political party)}}}}
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! style="background:{{party color|Valor (political party)}}; width:2px;"|
! style="background:{{party color|Valor (political party)}}; width:2px;"|
| [[Valor (political party)|Valor]]
| [[Valor (political party)|Valor]]
| [[File:Portrait placeholder.svg|50px]]
| [[File:Retrato oficial de Sandra Erica Jovel Polanco, Deputada del Congreso (cropped).jpg|50px]]
| Elmer Palencia
| [[Sandra Jovel]]
| rowspan=2 align=center | 5.51%
| rowspan=2 align=center | 5.51%
| {{Composition bar|10|160|hex={{party color|Valor (political party)}}}}
| {{Composition bar|10|160|hex={{party color|Valor (political party)}}}}
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! style="background:{{party color|Nosotros (political party)}}; width:2px;"|
! style="background:{{party color|Nosotros (political party)}}; width:2px;"|
| [[Nosotros (political party)|Nosotros]]
| [[Nosotros (political party)|Nosotros]]
| [[File:Nadia de León Torres (cropped).jpg|50px]]
| [[File:Retrato oficial de Nadia Lorena De León Torres, Deputada del Congreso (cropped).jpg|66x66px]]
| [[Nadia de León Torres]]
| [[Nadia de León Torres]]
| align=center | 3.15%
| align=center | 3.15%
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! style="background:{{party color|Winaq}}; width:2px;"|
! style="background:{{party color|Winaq}}; width:2px;"|
| [[Winaq]]
| [[Winaq]]
| rowspan=2 | [[File:Retrato oficial de Sonia Marina Gutierrez Raguay, Deputada del Congreso (cropped).jpg|66x66px]]
| rowspan=2 | | [[File:Portrait placeholder.svg|50px]]
| rowspan=2 | [[Sonia Gutiérrez Raguay|Sonia Gutiérrez]]
| rowspan=2 | [[Sonia Gutiérrez Raguay|Sonia Gutiérrez]]
| rowspan=2 align=center | 3.21%
| rowspan=2 align=center | 3.21%

Latest revision as of 22:39, 14 November 2024

2027 Guatemalan general election

← 2023 June and August 2027 (presumptive) 2031 →

Incumbent President

Bernardo Arévalo
Semilla



Legislative election

All 160 seats in Congress
81 seats needed for a majority
Party Leader Current seats
Vamos Allan Rodríguez 39
UNE Adim Maldonado 28
Semilla Samuel Pérez 23
Cabal Luis Aguirre 18
VIVA Jorge Romeo Castro 11
Valor Elmer Palencia 10
Todos Felipe Alejos 6
VOS Orlando Blanco 4
BIEN Fidel Reyes Lee 4
PPN Nadia de León Torres 3
Victoria Juan Carlos Rivera 3
CREO Cristian Álvarez 3
Blue Jorge Villagrán 2
Elephant Rodrigo Pellecer 2
Unionist Álvaro Arzú Escobar 2
Winaq Sonia Gutiérrez 1
Change Esduin Javier Javier 1
Incumbent President of the Congress
Nery Ramos
Blue

General elections will be held in Guatemala in June 2027 to elect the president and vice president, all 160 seats in Congress, all 20 Guatemalan members of the Central American Parliament, and mayors and councils for all the country's 340 municipalities, with a second round of the presidential elections to be held in August if no candidate wins a majority in the first round. Incumbent President Bernardo Arévalo is constitutionally prohibited from running for a second four-year term.[1][2]

It is expected that the ruling party's legislative coalition will seek to reform the Electoral Law.[3]

Electoral system

[edit]

President

[edit]

The President of Guatemala is elected using the two-round system.[4]

Congress

[edit]

The 160 members of Congress are elected by two methods; 130 are elected from 22 multi-member constituencies based on the departments, with the remaining 31 elected from a single nationwide constituency. Seats are elected using closed list proportional representation, with seats allocated using the D'Hondt method.[4]

District Seats
Alta Verapaz 9
Baja Verapaz 2
Chimaltenango 5
Chiquimula 3
El Progreso 2
Escuintla 6
Guatemala 19
Guatemala City 11
Huehuetenango 10
Izabal 3
Jalapa 3
Jutiapa 4
National List 32
Petén 4
Quetzaltenango 7
Quiché 8
Retalhuleu 3
Sacatepéquez 3
San Marcos 9
Santa Rosa 3
Sololá 3
Suchitepéquez 5
Totonicapán 4
Zacapa 2
Total 160

Potential presidential candidates

[edit]

Congress

[edit]
Party Current legislative leader 2023 result
Image Name Votes (%) Seats
Vamos Allan Rodríguez 15.06%
39 / 160
National Unity of Hope Adim Maldonado 12.90%
28 / 160
Movimiento Semilla Samuel Pérez 11.72%
23 / 160
Cabal Luis Aguirre 8.90%
18 / 160
Vision with Values Jorge Romeo Castro 6.92%
11 / 160
Valor Elmer Palencia 5.51%
10 / 160
Unionist Party Álvaro Arzú Escobar
2 / 160
Todos Felipe Alejos 4.05%
6 / 160
Will, Opportunity and Solidarity Orlando Blanco 4.47%
4 / 160
Bienestar Nacional Fidel Reyes Lee 2.70%
4 / 160
Nosotros Nadia de León Torres 3.15%
3 / 160
Victory Juan Carlos Rivera 3.00%
3 / 160
Commitment, Renewal and Order Cristian Álvarez 2.03%
3 / 160
Blue Party Jorge Mario Villagrán 2.36%
2 / 160
Elephant Community Rodrigo Pellecer 2.29%
2 / 160
Winaq | Sonia Gutiérrez 3.21%
1 / 160
Guatemalan National Revolutionary Unity
Change Esduin Javier 1.26%
1 / 160

References

[edit]
  1. ^ Oliva, William (7 March 2018). "Jimmy Morales dice que le gustaría gobernar otro período" [Jimmy Morales says he would like to govern another term]. Prensa Libre (Guatemala) (in Spanish). Archived from the original on 5 April 2023. Retrieved 23 June 2023.
  2. ^ González, Marcos (23 June 2023). "Por qué en Guatemala ningún partido ha repetido en la presidencia en sus casi 40 años de democracia" [Why in Guatemala no party has repeated the presidency in its almost 40 years of democracy]. BBC News (in Spanish).
  3. ^ Cuevas, Douglas (17 January 2024). "Semilla habría pactado 10 reformas legales para llegar a la presidencia del Congreso" [Semilla would have agreed on 10 legal reforms to become president of Congress]. Prensa Libre (in Spanish).
  4. ^ a b Congress of the Republic Archived 18 April 2019 at the Wayback Machine IFES
  5. ^ Gramajo, Jessica (14 June 2023). "El futuro de Carlos Pineda tras quedar fuera de las Elecciones Generales 2023" [The future of Carlos Pineda after being left out of the 2023 General Elections]. Soy502 (in Spanish).
  6. ^ "Toc: tras dejar Los 48 Cantones, publica que en 2027 buscará la Presidencia" [Toc: after leaving Los 48 Cantones, he publishes that in 2027 he will seek the Presidency]. La Hora (in Spanish). 17 January 2023.
  7. ^ "🔵 A pesar de la tercera derrota, Sandra Torres no tiraría la toalla política" [🔵 Despite the third defeat, Sandra Torres would not throw in the political towel]. República (in Spanish). 21 August 2023.
[edit]