2027 Guatemalan general election: Difference between revisions
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{{Infobox election |
{{Infobox election |
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⚫ | |||
| election_name = 2027 Guatemalan general election |
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⚫ | |||
| previous_year = [[2023 Guatemalan general election|2023]] |
| previous_year = [[2023 Guatemalan general election|2023]] |
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| next_year |
| next_year = 2031 |
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| election_date = June and August 2027 (presumptive) |
| election_date = June and August 2027 (presumptive) |
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| opinion_polls = |
| opinion_polls = |
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| ongoing |
| ongoing = yes |
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| map_image = |
| map_image = |
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| map_size = |
| map_size = |
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| majority_seats = 81 |
| majority_seats = 81 |
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| turnout = |
| turnout = |
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| ongoing |
| ongoing = yes |
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| party1 = Vamos (Guatemala) |
| party1 = Vamos (Guatemala) |
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| leader1 = [[Allan Rodríguez]] |
| leader1 = [[Allan Rodríguez]] |
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| party4 = Cabal (political party) |
| party4 = Cabal (political party) |
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| leader4 = |
| leader4 = Luis Aguirre |
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| percentage4 = |
| percentage4 = |
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| current_seats4 = 18 |
| current_seats4 = 18 |
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| party6 = [[Valor (political party)|Valor]] |
| party6 = [[Valor (political party)|Valor]] |
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| leader6 = |
| leader6 = Elmer Palencia |
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| percentage6 = |
| percentage6 = |
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| current_seats6 = 10 |
| current_seats6 = 10 |
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| last_election15 = 2 |
| last_election15 = 2 |
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| party16 = [[Winaq |
| party16 = [[Winaq]] |
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| leader16 = [[Sonia Gutiérrez Raguay|Sonia Gutiérrez]] |
| leader16 = [[Sonia Gutiérrez Raguay|Sonia Gutiérrez]] |
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| percentage16 = |
| percentage16 = |
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| after_party = |
| after_party = |
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}}}}{{Politics of Guatemala}} |
}}}}{{Politics of Guatemala}} |
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General elections will be held in [[Guatemala]] in June 2027 to elect the [[President of Guatemala|president]] and [[Vice President of Guatemala|vice president]], all 160 seats in [[Congress of Guatemala|Congress]], all 20 Guatemalan members of the [[Central American Parliament]], and mayors and councils for all the country's 340 [[Municipalities of Guatemala|municipalities]], with a second round of the presidential elections to be held in August if no candidate wins a majority in the first round. Incumbent President [[Bernardo Arévalo]] is constitutionally prohibited from running for a second four-year term.<ref>{{Cite web |last=Oliva |first=William |date=7 March 2018 |title=Jimmy Morales dice que le gustaría gobernar otro período |trans-title=Jimmy Morales says he would like to govern another term |url=https://www.prensalibre.com/guatemala/politica/jimmy-morales-dice-que-le-gustaria-quedarse-gobernando-por-otro-periodo/ |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20230405163001/https://www.prensalibre.com/guatemala/politica/jimmy-morales-dice-que-le-gustaria-quedarse-gobernando-por-otro-periodo/ |archive-date=5 April 2023 |access-date=23 June 2023 |website=[[Prensa Libre (Guatemala)]] |language=es}}</ref><ref>{{Cite web |last=González |first=Marcos |date=23 June 2023 |title=Por qué en Guatemala ningún partido ha repetido en la presidencia en sus casi 40 años de democracia |trans-title=Why in Guatemala no party has repeated the presidency in its almost 40 years of democracy |url=https://www.bbc.com/mundo/articles/czq889dznj5o |website=[[BBC News]] |language=es}}</ref> |
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It is expected that the [[Movimiento Semilla|ruling party]]'s legislative coalition will seek to reform the Electoral Law.<ref>{{Cite web |last=Cuevas |first=Douglas |date=17 January 2024 |title=Semilla habría pactado 10 reformas legales para llegar a la presidencia del Congreso |trans-title=Semilla would have agreed on 10 legal reforms to become president of Congress |url=https://www.prensalibre.com/guatemala/politica/semilla-habria-pactado-10-reformas-legales-para-llegar-a-la-presidencia-del-congreso/ |website=Prensa Libre |language=es}}</ref> |
It is expected that the [[Movimiento Semilla|ruling party]]'s legislative coalition will seek to reform the Electoral Law.<ref>{{Cite web |last=Cuevas |first=Douglas |date=17 January 2024 |title=Semilla habría pactado 10 reformas legales para llegar a la presidencia del Congreso |trans-title=Semilla would have agreed on 10 legal reforms to become president of Congress |url=https://www.prensalibre.com/guatemala/politica/semilla-habria-pactado-10-reformas-legales-para-llegar-a-la-presidencia-del-congreso/ |website=Prensa Libre |language=es}}</ref> |
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! Seats |
! Seats |
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|align=left|[[Alta Verapaz Department|Alta Verapaz]] |
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|9 |
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|- |
|- |
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|align=left|[[Baja Verapaz Department|Baja Verapaz]] |
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|2 |
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|- |
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|align=left|[[Chimaltenango Department|Chimaltenango]] |
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|5 |
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|- |
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|align=left|[[Chiquimula Department|Chiquimula]] |
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|3 |
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|- |
|- |
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|align=left|[[El Progreso Department|El Progreso]] |
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|2 |
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|- |
|- |
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|align=left|[[Escuintla Department|Escuintla]] |
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|6 |
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|- |
|- |
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|align=left|[[Guatemala Department|Guatemala]] |
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|19 |
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|- |
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|align=left|[[Ciudad de Guatemala|Guatemala City]] |
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|11 |
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|- |
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|align=left|[[Huehuetenango Department|Huehuetenango]] |
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|10 |
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|- |
|- |
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|align=left|[[Izabal Department|Izabal]] |
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|3 |
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|- |
|- |
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|align=left|[[Jalapa Department|Jalapa]] |
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|3 |
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|- |
|- |
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|align=left|[[Jutiapa Department|Jutiapa]] |
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|4 |
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|- |
|- |
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|align=left|[[Guatemala|National List]] |
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|32 |
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|- |
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|align=left|[[Petén Department|Petén]] |
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|4 |
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|- |
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|align=left|[[Quetzaltenango Department|Quetzaltenango]] |
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|7 |
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|- |
|- |
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|align=left|[[Quiché Department|Quiché]] |
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|8 |
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|- |
|- |
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|align=left|[[Retalhuleu Department|Retalhuleu]] |
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|3 |
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|- |
|- |
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|align=left|[[Sacatepéquez Department|Sacatepéquez]] |
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|3 |
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|- |
|- |
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|align=left|[[San Marcos Department|San Marcos]] |
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|9 |
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|- |
|- |
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|align=left|[[Santa Rosa Department, Guatemala|Santa Rosa]] |
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|3 |
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|- |
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|align=left|[[Sololá Department|Sololá]] |
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|3 |
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|- |
|- |
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|align=left|[[Suchitepéquez Department|Suchitepéquez]] |
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|5 |
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⚫ | |||
| 4 |
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⚫ | |||
| 2 |
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|- |
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⚫ | |||
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|- |
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⚫ | |||
⚫ | |||
|- class=sortbottom |
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! Total |
! Total |
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! 160 |
! 160 |
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|} |
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== Potential presidential candidates == |
== Potential presidential candidates == |
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* [[Carlos Pineda (politician)|Carlos Pineda]], businessman and internet personality<ref>{{Cite web |last=Gramajo |first=Jessica |date=14 June 2023 |title=El futuro de Carlos Pineda tras quedar fuera de las Elecciones Generales 2023 |trans-title=The future of Carlos Pineda after being left out of the 2023 General Elections |url=https://www.soy502.com/articulo/carlos-pineda-resurgiria-nuevo-partido-politico-100931 |website=Soy502 |language=es}}</ref> |
* [[Carlos Pineda (politician)|Carlos Pineda]], businessman and internet personality<ref>{{Cite web |last=Gramajo |first=Jessica |date=14 June 2023 |title=El futuro de Carlos Pineda tras quedar fuera de las Elecciones Generales 2023 |trans-title=The future of Carlos Pineda after being left out of the 2023 General Elections |url=https://www.soy502.com/articulo/carlos-pineda-resurgiria-nuevo-partido-politico-100931 |website=Soy502 |language=es}}</ref> |
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==Congress== |
==Congress== |
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{| class="wikitable sortable" |
{| class="wikitable sortable" |
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|- |
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! rowspan=2 colspan=2 width=300px | Party |
! rowspan=2 colspan=2 width=300px | Party |
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! colspan=2 | Current legislative leader |
! colspan=2 | Current legislative leader |
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! style="background:{{party color|Cabal (political party)}}; width:2px;"| |
! style="background:{{party color|Cabal (political party)}}; width:2px;"| |
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| [[Cabal (political party)|Cabal]] |
| [[Cabal (political party)|Cabal]] |
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| [[File:Portrait placeholder.svg|50px]] |
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| [[File:Retrato oficial de Julio Héctor Estrada Dominguez, Deputado del Congreso (cropped 2).jpg|50px]] |
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| {{nowrap| |
| {{nowrap|Luis Aguirre}} |
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| align=center | 8.90% |
| align=center | 8.90% |
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| {{Composition bar|18|160|{{party color|Cabal (political party)}}}} |
| {{Composition bar|18|160|{{party color|Cabal (political party)}}}} |
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! style="background:{{party color|Valor (political party)}}; width:2px;"| |
! style="background:{{party color|Valor (political party)}}; width:2px;"| |
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| [[Valor (political party)|Valor]] |
| [[Valor (political party)|Valor]] |
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| [[File:Portrait placeholder.svg|50px]] |
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| [[File:Retrato oficial de Sandra Erica Jovel Polanco, Deputada del Congreso (cropped).jpg|50px]] |
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| Elmer Palencia |
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| [[Sandra Jovel]] |
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| rowspan=2 align=center | 5.51% |
| rowspan=2 align=center | 5.51% |
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| {{Composition bar|10|160|hex={{party color|Valor (political party)}}}} |
| {{Composition bar|10|160|hex={{party color|Valor (political party)}}}} |
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! style="background:{{party color|Winaq}}; width:2px;"| |
! style="background:{{party color|Winaq}}; width:2px;"| |
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| [[Winaq]] |
| [[Winaq]] |
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| rowspan=2 | |
| rowspan=2 | | [[File:Portrait placeholder.svg|50px]] |
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| rowspan=2 | [[Sonia Gutiérrez Raguay|Sonia Gutiérrez]] |
| rowspan=2 | [[Sonia Gutiérrez Raguay|Sonia Gutiérrez]] |
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| rowspan=2 align=center | 3.21% |
| rowspan=2 align=center | 3.21% |
Latest revision as of 22:39, 14 November 2024
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All 160 seats in Congress 81 seats needed for a majority | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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This article is part of a series on |
Politics of Guatemala |
---|
Guatemala portal |
General elections will be held in Guatemala in June 2027 to elect the president and vice president, all 160 seats in Congress, all 20 Guatemalan members of the Central American Parliament, and mayors and councils for all the country's 340 municipalities, with a second round of the presidential elections to be held in August if no candidate wins a majority in the first round. Incumbent President Bernardo Arévalo is constitutionally prohibited from running for a second four-year term.[1][2]
It is expected that the ruling party's legislative coalition will seek to reform the Electoral Law.[3]
Electoral system
[edit]President
[edit]The President of Guatemala is elected using the two-round system.[4]
Congress
[edit]The 160 members of Congress are elected by two methods; 130 are elected from 22 multi-member constituencies based on the departments, with the remaining 31 elected from a single nationwide constituency. Seats are elected using closed list proportional representation, with seats allocated using the D'Hondt method.[4]
District | Seats |
---|---|
Alta Verapaz | 9 |
Baja Verapaz | 2 |
Chimaltenango | 5 |
Chiquimula | 3 |
El Progreso | 2 |
Escuintla | 6 |
Guatemala | 19 |
Guatemala City | 11 |
Huehuetenango | 10 |
Izabal | 3 |
Jalapa | 3 |
Jutiapa | 4 |
National List | 32 |
Petén | 4 |
Quetzaltenango | 7 |
Quiché | 8 |
Retalhuleu | 3 |
Sacatepéquez | 3 |
San Marcos | 9 |
Santa Rosa | 3 |
Sololá | 3 |
Suchitepéquez | 5 |
Totonicapán | 4 |
Zacapa | 2 |
Total | 160 |
Potential presidential candidates
[edit]- Carlos Pineda, businessman and internet personality[5]
- Nery Ramos, current president of Congress
- Martín Toc, former president of 48 cantones de Totonicapán[6]
- Sandra Torres, former First Lady of Guatemala[7]
Congress
[edit]Party | Current legislative leader | 2023 result | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Image | Name | Votes (%) | Seats | ||
Vamos | Allan Rodríguez | 15.06% | 39 / 160
| ||
National Unity of Hope | Adim Maldonado | 12.90% | 28 / 160
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Movimiento Semilla | Samuel Pérez | 11.72% | 23 / 160
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Cabal | Luis Aguirre | 8.90% | 18 / 160
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Vision with Values | Jorge Romeo Castro | 6.92% | 11 / 160
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Valor | Elmer Palencia | 5.51% | 10 / 160
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Unionist Party | Álvaro Arzú Escobar | 2 / 160
| |||
Todos | Felipe Alejos | 4.05% | 6 / 160
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Will, Opportunity and Solidarity | Orlando Blanco | 4.47% | 4 / 160
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Bienestar Nacional | Fidel Reyes Lee | 2.70% | 4 / 160
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Nosotros | Nadia de León Torres | 3.15% | 3 / 160
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Victory | Juan Carlos Rivera | 3.00% | 3 / 160
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Commitment, Renewal and Order | Cristian Álvarez | 2.03% | 3 / 160
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Blue Party | Jorge Mario Villagrán | 2.36% | 2 / 160
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Elephant Community | Rodrigo Pellecer | 2.29% | 2 / 160
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Winaq | | | Sonia Gutiérrez | 3.21% | 1 / 160
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Guatemalan National Revolutionary Unity | |||||
Change | Esduin Javier | 1.26% | 1 / 160
|
References
[edit]- ^ Oliva, William (7 March 2018). "Jimmy Morales dice que le gustaría gobernar otro período" [Jimmy Morales says he would like to govern another term]. Prensa Libre (Guatemala) (in Spanish). Archived from the original on 5 April 2023. Retrieved 23 June 2023.
- ^ González, Marcos (23 June 2023). "Por qué en Guatemala ningún partido ha repetido en la presidencia en sus casi 40 años de democracia" [Why in Guatemala no party has repeated the presidency in its almost 40 years of democracy]. BBC News (in Spanish).
- ^ Cuevas, Douglas (17 January 2024). "Semilla habría pactado 10 reformas legales para llegar a la presidencia del Congreso" [Semilla would have agreed on 10 legal reforms to become president of Congress]. Prensa Libre (in Spanish).
- ^ a b Congress of the Republic Archived 18 April 2019 at the Wayback Machine IFES
- ^ Gramajo, Jessica (14 June 2023). "El futuro de Carlos Pineda tras quedar fuera de las Elecciones Generales 2023" [The future of Carlos Pineda after being left out of the 2023 General Elections]. Soy502 (in Spanish).
- ^ "Toc: tras dejar Los 48 Cantones, publica que en 2027 buscará la Presidencia" [Toc: after leaving Los 48 Cantones, he publishes that in 2027 he will seek the Presidency]. La Hora (in Spanish). 17 January 2023.
- ^ "🔵 A pesar de la tercera derrota, Sandra Torres no tiraría la toalla política" [🔵 Despite the third defeat, Sandra Torres would not throw in the political towel]. República (in Spanish). 21 August 2023.