2018 South Dakota gubernatorial election: Difference between revisions
Tags: Mobile edit Mobile web edit |
ELs->refs and improper MOS:PSEUDOHEADs, replaced: | [http://www.keloland.com/news/politics/2018-sd-primary-poll/ Mason-Dixon] → |Mason-Dixon<ref>[http://www.keloland.com/news/politics/2018-sd-primary-poll/ Mason-Dixon] |
||
(15 intermediate revisions by 12 users not shown) | |||
Line 1: | Line 1: | ||
{{Short description| |
{{Short description|none}} <!-- "none" is preferred when the title is already sufficiently detailed; see [[WP:SDNONE]] --> |
||
{{ |
{{for|related races|2018 United States gubernatorial elections}} |
||
{{Use mdy dates|date=September 2023}} |
{{Use mdy dates|date=September 2023}} |
||
{{Infobox election |
{{Infobox election |
||
| election_name = 2018 South Dakota gubernatorial election |
| election_name = 2018 South Dakota gubernatorial election |
||
Line 18: | Line 20: | ||
| running_mate1 = '''[[Larry Rhoden]]''' |
| running_mate1 = '''[[Larry Rhoden]]''' |
||
| popular_vote1 = '''172,912''' |
| popular_vote1 = '''172,912''' |
||
| percentage1 = ''' |
| percentage1 = '''50.97%''' |
||
| image2 = |
| image2 = File:Billie Sutton Headshot (cropped).jpg |
||
| image_size = 150x150px |
|||
| nominee2 = [[Billie Sutton]] |
| nominee2 = [[Billie Sutton]] |
||
| party2 = Democratic Party (United States) |
| party2 = Democratic Party (United States) |
||
| running_mate2 = Michelle Lavallee |
| running_mate2 = Michelle Lavallee |
||
| popular_vote2 = 161,454 |
| popular_vote2 = 161,454 |
||
| percentage2 = 47. |
| percentage2 = 47.60% |
||
| map_image = {{switcher |[[File:2018 South Dakota gubernatorial election results map by county.svg| |
| map_image = {{switcher |[[File:2018 South Dakota gubernatorial election results map by county.svg|260px]] |County results |[[File:SD Governor 2018.svg|260px]] |Precinct results |default=1}} |
||
| map_size = |
| map_size = 260px |
||
| map_caption = '''Noem:''' {{legend0|#ffb2b2|40–50%}} {{legend0|#e27f7f|50–60%}} {{legend0|#d75d5d|60–70%}} {{legend0|#d72f30|70–80%}} {{legend0|#C21B18|80–90%}} {{legend0|#A80000|>90%}}<br/>'''Sutton:''' {{legend0|#A5B0FF|40–50%}} {{legend0|#7996e2|50–60%}} {{legend0|#6674de|60–70%}} {{legend0|#584cde|70–80%}} {{legend0|#3933e5|80–90%}} {{legend0|#0D0596|>90%}}<br/>'''Tie:''' {{legend0|#d2b1d9|40–50%}} |
| map_caption = '''Noem:''' {{legend0|#ffb2b2|40–50%}} {{legend0|#e27f7f|50–60%}} {{legend0|#d75d5d|60–70%}} {{legend0|#d72f30|70–80%}} {{legend0|#C21B18|80–90%}} {{legend0|#A80000|>90%}}<br />'''Sutton:''' {{legend0|#A5B0FF|40–50%}} {{legend0|#7996e2|50–60%}} {{legend0|#6674de|60–70%}} {{legend0|#584cde|70–80%}} {{legend0|#3933e5|80–90%}} {{legend0|#0D0596|>90%}}<br />'''Tie:''' {{legend0|#d2b1d9|40–50%}} |
||
| title = [[Governor of South Dakota|Governor]] |
| title = [[Governor of South Dakota|Governor]] |
||
| before_election = [[Dennis Daugaard]] |
| before_election = [[Dennis Daugaard]] |
||
Line 37: | Line 40: | ||
The '''2018 South Dakota gubernatorial election''' took place on November 6, 2018, to elect the next [[governor of South Dakota]]. Incumbent [[Republican Party (United States)|Republican]] governor [[Dennis Daugaard]] was term-limited and could not seek a third consecutive term. |
The '''2018 South Dakota gubernatorial election''' took place on November 6, 2018, to elect the next [[governor of South Dakota]]. Incumbent [[Republican Party (United States)|Republican]] governor [[Dennis Daugaard]] was term-limited and could not seek a third consecutive term. |
||
Republican candidate [[Kristi Noem]] won against Democratic candidate [[Billie Sutton]] in the closest gubernatorial election in South Dakota since [[1986 South Dakota gubernatorial election|1986]].<ref>{{cite web|url=https://www.argusleader.com/story/news/2018/11/06/south-dakota-2018-election-governor-race-billie-sutton-kristi-noem-george-mcgovern/1904752002/|title=Yes, South Dakota has had close governor races, but it's been awhile|work=[[Argus Leader]]|last=Ellis|first=Jonathon|date=November 6, 2018|access-date=November 8, 2018}}</ref> Noem also became the first [[List of female governors in the United States|female governor]] of the state.<ref>{{cite web |last1=Nord |first1=James |title=Kristi Noem sworn in as South Dakota's 1st female governor |url=https://apnews.com/article/cde32361793e40cea06dc270794b57e8 |website=AP |date=January 5, 2019}}</ref> Her victory extended the longest active hold on a governorship by one party; the GOP has won every gubernatorial election in South Dakota starting in [[1978 South Dakota gubernatorial election|1978]]. |
Republican candidate [[Kristi Noem]] won against Democratic candidate [[Billie Sutton]] in the closest gubernatorial election in South Dakota since [[1986 South Dakota gubernatorial election|1986]].<ref>{{cite web|url=https://www.argusleader.com/story/news/2018/11/06/south-dakota-2018-election-governor-race-billie-sutton-kristi-noem-george-mcgovern/1904752002/|title=Yes, South Dakota has had close governor races, but it's been awhile|work=[[Argus Leader]]|last=Ellis|first=Jonathon|date=November 6, 2018|access-date=November 8, 2018}}</ref> Noem also became the first [[List of female governors in the United States|female governor]] of the state.<ref>{{cite web |last1=Nord |first1=James |title=Kristi Noem sworn in as South Dakota's 1st female governor |url=https://apnews.com/article/cde32361793e40cea06dc270794b57e8 |website=AP |date=January 5, 2019}}</ref> Her victory extended the longest active hold on a governorship by one party; the GOP has won every gubernatorial election in South Dakota starting in [[1978 South Dakota gubernatorial election|1978]]. Conversely, Noem's vote percentage of 51% was the worst performance for any Republican gubernatorial candidate in the state since 1974, while Sutton's 47.6% was the best for any Democratic candidate since 1986. |
||
==Republican primary== |
==Republican primary== |
||
===Candidates=== |
===Candidates=== |
||
====Declared==== |
====Declared==== |
||
* [[Kristi Noem]], U.S. Representative, former [[South Dakota House of Representatives|State Representative]]<ref>{{cite web|url=http://rapidcityjournal.com/news/local/noem-open-to-running-for-governor/article_b50e7e32-33d0-5ce6-b11c-a0c04d265192.html|title=Noem open to running for governor|work=[[Rapid City Journal]]|last=Tan|first=Tiffany|date=February 5, 2016|access-date=June 14, 2016}}</ref><ref>{{cite web|url= |
* [[Kristi Noem]], U.S. Representative, former [[South Dakota House of Representatives|State Representative]]<ref>{{cite web|url=http://rapidcityjournal.com/news/local/noem-open-to-running-for-governor/article_b50e7e32-33d0-5ce6-b11c-a0c04d265192.html|title=Noem open to running for governor|work=[[Rapid City Journal]]|last=Tan|first=Tiffany|date=February 5, 2016|access-date=June 14, 2016}}</ref><ref>{{cite web|url=https://thehill.com/homenews/house/306001-south-dakota-rep-launches-gubernatorial-bid/|title=South Dakota rep. launches gubernatorial bid|first=Lisa|last=Hagen|work=The Hill|date=November 14, 2016|access-date=November 14, 2016}}</ref> |
||
* [[Marty Jackley]], [[Attorney General of South Dakota]]<ref>{{Cite news|url=http://www.argusleader.com/story/news/politics/2016/11/15/marty-jackley-moves-700k-toward-governor-run/93917232/|title=Marty Jackley moves $700K toward governor run|newspaper=Argus Leader|access-date=2016-12-04}}</ref><ref>{{Cite web|url=http://wnax.com/news/180081-sd-attorney-general-marty-jackley-jumps-into-2018-governors-race/|title=SD Attorney General Marty Jackley Jumps into 2018 Governors Race {{!}} Radio 570 WNAX|website=Radio 570 WNAX|access-date=2016-12-04}}</ref> |
* [[Marty Jackley]], [[Attorney General of South Dakota]]<ref>{{Cite news|url=http://www.argusleader.com/story/news/politics/2016/11/15/marty-jackley-moves-700k-toward-governor-run/93917232/|title=Marty Jackley moves $700K toward governor run|newspaper=Argus Leader|access-date=2016-12-04}}</ref><ref>{{Cite web|url=http://wnax.com/news/180081-sd-attorney-general-marty-jackley-jumps-into-2018-governors-race/|title=SD Attorney General Marty Jackley Jumps into 2018 Governors Race {{!}} Radio 570 WNAX|website=Radio 570 WNAX|access-date=2016-12-04}}</ref> |
||
====Failed to qualify for |
====Failed to qualify for primary ballot==== |
||
* [[Lora Hubbel]], former State Representative, Republican candidate for [[governor of South Dakota|Governor]] in [[South Dakota gubernatorial election, 2014#Republican primary|2014]]<ref name=BallotGovernor>{{cite web | last=Epp | first=Todd | date=March 27, 2018 | title=UPDATE: Who is officially on ballot for Governor, House? Hubbel running as independent | url=http://kelo.com/news/articles/2018/mar/27/who-is-officially-on-ballot-for-governor-house/ | work=KELO Newstalk | access-date=June 5, 2018 | archive-date=August 12, 2018 | archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180812052919/https://kelo.com/news/articles/2018/mar/27/who-is-officially-on-ballot-for-governor-house/ | url-status=dead }}</ref> |
* [[Lora Hubbel]], former State Representative, Republican candidate for [[governor of South Dakota|Governor]] in [[South Dakota gubernatorial election, 2014#Republican primary|2014]]<ref name=BallotGovernor>{{cite web | last=Epp | first=Todd | date=March 27, 2018 | title=UPDATE: Who is officially on ballot for Governor, House? Hubbel running as independent | url=http://kelo.com/news/articles/2018/mar/27/who-is-officially-on-ballot-for-governor-house/ | work=KELO Newstalk | access-date=June 5, 2018 | archive-date=August 12, 2018 | archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180812052919/https://kelo.com/news/articles/2018/mar/27/who-is-officially-on-ballot-for-governor-house/ | url-status=dead }}</ref> |
||
Line 56: | Line 59: | ||
Jackley and Noem participated in three debates. |
Jackley and Noem participated in three debates. |
||
===First |
==== First debate ==== |
||
In the first debate both candidates tried to define the other. Jackley stated: |
In the first debate both candidates tried to define the other. Jackley stated: "It’s Washington experience versus South Dakota experience." "Marty’s background has been being a government lawyer," Noem said.<ref>{{cite web|url=https://www.capjournal.com/news/jackley-and-noem-battle-in-tv-debate/article_3505d2d2-62d3-11e8-bf67-c340e734ec61.html |title= Jackley and Noem battle in TV debate| publisher=capjournal.com|date=May 28, 2018 |access-date=July 6, 2021}}</ref> |
||
===Second |
==== Second debate ==== |
||
In the second debate, Noem discussed |
In the second debate, Noem discussed Jackley's scandals. "In EB5, the state oversight program, nobody went to jail. On Gear-Up, still, nobody's been punished. When we talk about what's been going on in Brookings with the Global Aquaponics scam—a con artist, Tobias Ritesman, held a fundraiser for Marty Jackley. Marty attended his phony groundbreaking for his phony project," Noem says. "People lost hundreds of thousands of dollars. Still, nobody's been investigated and nobody’s been prosecuted. That needs to change in our state." |
||
Jackley was on the defensive during the second debate. |
Jackley was on the defensive during the second debate. "Congresswoman, he didn’t hold a fundraiser for me. I was at an event that he was at, and I did go to a ground breaking because that's what important in South Dakota," Jackley says. "When we have businesses expanding I think it’s important that we attend those. You talk about Gear-Up, there hasn’t been a sentencing because these defendants are presumed innocent. But I as attorney general, unlike Washington, have done something about it. I actually formed a grand jury. Indictments have been issued. They're schedule to begin jury trials in July—or, excuse me—June, June 26th and I plan on trying those personally, because that’s what a leader does." <ref>{{cite web|url=https://listen.sdpb.org/post/gop-governor-candidates-spar-over-transparency-during-sdpb-tv-debate|title= GOP Governor Candidates Spar Over Transparency During SDPB TV Debate| publisher=sdpb.org|date=May 30, 2018 |access-date=July 6, 2021}}</ref> |
||
===Final |
==== Final debate ==== |
||
In the final debate, Jackley and Noem took tough questions about workforce development, anti-discrimination laws, drugs, uniting Democrats and Republicans in the state to make critical decisions and much more. |
In the final debate, Jackley and Noem took tough questions about workforce development, anti-discrimination laws, drugs, uniting Democrats and Republicans in the state to make critical decisions and much more. |
||
While they spent a lot of time talking about their plans for the state, they also spent a lot of time attacking each |
While they spent a lot of time talking about their plans for the state, they also spent a lot of time attacking each other's records. |
||
A major topic of contention was Boards and commissions. The state currently has 134 of them. Noem said she wants to streamline different processes for licensure, eliminating "red tape" but Jackley disagreed. |
A major topic of contention was Boards and commissions. The state currently has 134 of them. Noem said she wants to streamline different processes for licensure, eliminating "red tape" but Jackley disagreed. |
||
"Every time that a proposal comes forward to create a new 'blue ribbon' task force, a board or a commission, what typically comes with that is another layer of bureaucracy," Noem said. |
"Every time that a proposal comes forward to create a new 'blue ribbon' task force, a board or a commission, what typically comes with that is another layer of bureaucracy," Noem said. |
||
Line 88: | Line 91: | ||
! Undecided |
! Undecided |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| [http://www.keloland.com/news/politics/2018-sd-primary-poll/ Mason-Dixon] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180530040906/http://www.keloland.com/news/politics/2018-sd-primary-poll/ |date=2018-05-30 }} |
|[[Mason-Dixon Polling & Research Inc.|Mason-Dixon]]<ref>[http://www.keloland.com/news/politics/2018-sd-primary-poll/ Mason-Dixon] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180530040906/http://www.keloland.com/news/politics/2018-sd-primary-poll/ |date=2018-05-30 }}</ref> |
||
| align=center| May 21–23, 2018 |
| align=center| May 21–23, 2018 |
||
| align=center| 625 |
| align=center| 625 |
||
Line 98: | Line 101: | ||
| align=center| 11% |
| align=center| 11% |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| [http://dakotawarcollege.com/new-independent-poll-claims-gubernatorial-candidates-in-dead-heat/ Leverage Public Strategies] |
|[[Leverage Public Strategies]]<ref>[http://dakotawarcollege.com/new-independent-poll-claims-gubernatorial-candidates-in-dead-heat/ Leverage Public Strategies]</ref> |
||
| align=center| May 4–7, 2018 |
| align=center| May 4–7, 2018 |
||
| align=center| 350 |
| align=center| 350 |
||
Line 108: | Line 111: | ||
| align=center| 24% |
| align=center| 24% |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| [http://cloutpolitical.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/31/2018/04/SD-GOP-Gov-Survey-Polling-Memorandum-4-25-2018.pdf Clout Research (R)] |
|[[Clout Research]] (R)<ref>[http://cloutpolitical.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/31/2018/04/SD-GOP-Gov-Survey-Polling-Memorandum-4-25-2018.pdf Clout Research (R)]</ref> |
||
| align=center| April 21–23, 2018 |
| align=center| April 21–23, 2018 |
||
| align=center| 815 |
| align=center| 815 |
||
Line 118: | Line 121: | ||
| align=center| 14% |
| align=center| 14% |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| [http://www.thepublicopinion.com/news/local_news/poll-says-noem-leading-jackley-by-points-in-gop-governor/article_fc34a34a-39e5-11e8-bb25-dfc562c50c31.html Rockbridge Strategy (R)] |
|[[Rockbridge Strategy]] (R)<ref>[http://www.thepublicopinion.com/news/local_news/poll-says-noem-leading-jackley-by-points-in-gop-governor/article_fc34a34a-39e5-11e8-bb25-dfc562c50c31.html Rockbridge Strategy (R)]</ref> |
||
| align=center| April 4, 2018 |
| align=center| April 4, 2018 |
||
| align=center| 500 |
| align=center| 500 |
||
Line 128: | Line 131: | ||
| align=center| 23% |
| align=center| 23% |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| [https://www.scribd.com/document/371599525/SD-Gov-Moore-Information-R-for-Convention-of-States-Action-Feb-2018 Moore Information] |
|[[Moore Information]]<ref>[https://www.scribd.com/document/371599525/SD-Gov-Moore-Information-R-for-Convention-of-States-Action-Feb-2018 Moore Information]</ref> |
||
| align=center| February 8, 2018 |
| align=center| February 8, 2018 |
||
| align=center| 300 |
| align=center| 300 |
||
Line 138: | Line 141: | ||
| align=center| 18% |
| align=center| 18% |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| [http://kelo.com/news/articles/2017/dec/04/poll-shows-jackley-and-noem-in-tight-gubernatorial-race/ New Age Consultants (R-LaFleur)] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20171222051236/http://kelo.com/news/articles/2017/dec/04/poll-shows-jackley-and-noem-in-tight-gubernatorial-race/ |date=2017-12-22 }} |
|[[New Age Consultants]] (R-LaFleur)<ref>[http://kelo.com/news/articles/2017/dec/04/poll-shows-jackley-and-noem-in-tight-gubernatorial-race/ New Age Consultants (R-LaFleur)] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20171222051236/http://kelo.com/news/articles/2017/dec/04/poll-shows-jackley-and-noem-in-tight-gubernatorial-race/ |date=2017-12-22 }}</ref> |
||
| align=center| November 3, 2017 |
| align=center| November 3, 2017 |
||
| align=center| 509 |
| align=center| 509 |
||
Line 150: | Line 153: | ||
=== Results === |
=== Results === |
||
[[File:2018 SD gubernatorial GOP.svg|thumb|Results by county |
[[File:2018 SD gubernatorial GOP.svg|thumb|260px|Results by county |
||
{{collapsible list |
{{collapsible list |
||
| title = {{legend|#E27F7F|Noem}} |
| title = {{legend|#E27F7F|Noem}} |
||
Line 210: | Line 213: | ||
**Running mate: Michelle Lavallee, Businesswoman<ref>{{cite web | last=Ferguson | first=Dana | date=June 14, 2018 | title=Billie Sutton names running mate right before SD Democractic Party meet in Sioux Falls | url=https://www.argusleader.com/story/news/politics/2018/06/14/billie-sutton-announce-running-mate-thursday-sioux-falls/699600002/ | work=[[Argus Leader]] | access-date=October 6, 2018}}</ref> |
**Running mate: Michelle Lavallee, Businesswoman<ref>{{cite web | last=Ferguson | first=Dana | date=June 14, 2018 | title=Billie Sutton names running mate right before SD Democractic Party meet in Sioux Falls | url=https://www.argusleader.com/story/news/politics/2018/06/14/billie-sutton-announce-running-mate-thursday-sioux-falls/699600002/ | work=[[Argus Leader]] | access-date=October 6, 2018}}</ref> |
||
*Kurt Evans (Libertarian), 2002 nominee for U.S. Senator |
*Kurt Evans (Libertarian), 2002 nominee for U.S. Senator |
||
**Running mate: Richard Shelatz, [[Libertarian Party of South Dakota|Vice- |
**Running mate: Richard Shelatz, [[Libertarian Party of South Dakota|Vice-chairman of the Libertarian Party of South Dakota]]<ref>{{cite web | last=Venhuizen | first=Tony | date=June 10, 2018 | title=Libertarians and the modern history of minor party candidates for SD Governor | url=https://sodakgovs.wordpress.com/2018/06/10/libertarians-and-the-modern-history-of-minor-party-candidates-for-sd-governor/ | work=SoDak Governors | access-date=October 6, 2018}}</ref> |
||
===Predictions=== |
===Predictions=== |
||
Line 265: | Line 268: | ||
| title = Kristi Noem (R) |
| title = Kristi Noem (R) |
||
| list = |
| list = |
||
'''Federal officials''' |
|||
* [[Donald Trump]], [[List of Presidents of the United States|45th]] [[President of The United States]]<ref>{{cite news|title=Trump endorses Noem in South Dakota|url=https://www.washingtonpost.com/video/politics/trump-endorses-noem-in-south-dakota/2018/09/07/1b0b5e5a-b2f2-11e8-8b53-50116768e499_video.html|newspaper=[[The Washington Post]]|date=September 7, 2018|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180908130846/https://www.washingtonpost.com/video/politics/trump-endorses-noem-in-south-dakota/2018/09/07/1b0b5e5a-b2f2-11e8-8b53-50116768e499_video.html|archive-date=Sep 8, 2018|url-status=live}}</ref> |
* [[Donald Trump]], [[List of Presidents of the United States|45th]] [[President of The United States]]<ref>{{cite news|title=Trump endorses Noem in South Dakota|url=https://www.washingtonpost.com/video/politics/trump-endorses-noem-in-south-dakota/2018/09/07/1b0b5e5a-b2f2-11e8-8b53-50116768e499_video.html|newspaper=[[The Washington Post]]|date=September 7, 2018|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180908130846/https://www.washingtonpost.com/video/politics/trump-endorses-noem-in-south-dakota/2018/09/07/1b0b5e5a-b2f2-11e8-8b53-50116768e499_video.html|archive-date=Sep 8, 2018|url-status=live}}</ref> |
||
* [[Mike Pence]], [[List of Vice Presidents of the United States|48th]] [[Vice President of the United States]]<ref>{{cite web|url=https://twitter.com/mike_pence/status/1059605759087046657|title=PROUD to stand with @KristiNoem - the next Governor of the Great State of South Dakota! Go vote @KristiNoem tomorrow!|work=Twitter|author=Mike Pence}}</ref> |
* [[Mike Pence]], [[List of Vice Presidents of the United States|48th]] [[Vice President of the United States]]<ref>{{cite web|url=https://twitter.com/mike_pence/status/1059605759087046657|title=PROUD to stand with @KristiNoem - the next Governor of the Great State of South Dakota! Go vote @KristiNoem tomorrow!|work=Twitter|author=Mike Pence}}</ref> |
||
Line 271: | Line 274: | ||
* [[Mike Rounds]], U.S. Senator<ref name=knsdg/> |
* [[Mike Rounds]], U.S. Senator<ref name=knsdg/> |
||
'''State officials''' |
|||
* [[Dennis Daugaard]], Governor<ref name=knsdg/> |
* [[Dennis Daugaard]], Governor<ref name=knsdg/> |
||
* [[Marty Jackley]], Attorney General<ref name=knsdg/> |
* [[Marty Jackley]], Attorney General<ref name=knsdg/> |
||
'''Individuals''' |
|||
* [[Ivanka Trump]], daughter of U.S. President Donald Trump<ref>{{cite web|url=https://twitter.com/IvankaTrump/status/1059145921194352640|title=I appreciate the great work of @RepKristiNoem to deliver massive tax cuts + much needed relief to hard working American families! She is a tireless champion for the great people of South Dakota! VOTE for Kristi Noem for Governor!|work=Twitter|author=Ivanka Trump}}</ref> |
* [[Ivanka Trump]], daughter of U.S. President Donald Trump<ref>{{cite web|url=https://twitter.com/IvankaTrump/status/1059145921194352640|title=I appreciate the great work of @RepKristiNoem to deliver massive tax cuts + much needed relief to hard working American families! She is a tireless champion for the great people of South Dakota! VOTE for Kristi Noem for Governor!|work=Twitter|author=Ivanka Trump}}</ref> |
||
'''Organizations''' |
|||
* South Dakota Right to Life<ref>{{cite web|url=https://www.kristiforgovernor.com/sd-right-to-life-endorses-noem/|title=SD RIGHT TO LIFE ENDORSES NOEM|work=Kristi for Governor|date=August 29, 2018|access-date=November 6, 2018|archive-date=November 6, 2018|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20181106092812/https://www.kristiforgovernor.com/sd-right-to-life-endorses-noem/|url-status=dead}}</ref> |
* South Dakota Right to Life<ref>{{cite web|url=https://www.kristiforgovernor.com/sd-right-to-life-endorses-noem/|title=SD RIGHT TO LIFE ENDORSES NOEM|work=Kristi for Governor|date=August 29, 2018|access-date=November 6, 2018|archive-date=November 6, 2018|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20181106092812/https://www.kristiforgovernor.com/sd-right-to-life-endorses-noem/|url-status=dead}}</ref> |
||
* [[Political Victory Fund|NRA Political Victory Fund]]<ref>{{cite web |title=Your Freedom is Under Attack! Vote On or Before November 6th! |url=https://www.nrapvf.org/emails/2018/south-dakota/dusty-johnson-sd-al-general-election-email/ |website=nrapvf.org |publisher=NRA-PVF |access-date=24 July 2023 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20210721160516/https://www.nrapvf.org/emails/2018/south-dakota/dusty-johnson-sd-al-general-election-email/ |archive-date=July 21, 2021 |language=en-US |quote=don’t forget to vote Kristi Noem for Governor! |url-status=live}}</ref><ref>{{cite web|url=https://www.ksfy.com/content/news/NRA-endorses-Kristi-Noem-for-governor-494144561.html|title=NRA endorses Kristi Noem for governor|work=[[KSFY]]|date=September 24, 2018|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180924214822/https://www.ksfy.com/content/news/NRA-endorses-Kristi-Noem-for-governor-494144561.html|archive-date=Sep 24, 2018|url-status=live}}</ref> |
* [[Political Victory Fund|NRA Political Victory Fund]]<ref>{{cite web |title=Your Freedom is Under Attack! Vote On or Before November 6th! |url=https://www.nrapvf.org/emails/2018/south-dakota/dusty-johnson-sd-al-general-election-email/ |website=nrapvf.org |publisher=NRA-PVF |access-date=24 July 2023 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20210721160516/https://www.nrapvf.org/emails/2018/south-dakota/dusty-johnson-sd-al-general-election-email/ |archive-date=July 21, 2021 |language=en-US |quote=don’t forget to vote Kristi Noem for Governor! |url-status=live}}</ref><ref>{{cite web|url=https://www.ksfy.com/content/news/NRA-endorses-Kristi-Noem-for-governor-494144561.html|title=NRA endorses Kristi Noem for governor|work=[[KSFY]]|date=September 24, 2018|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180924214822/https://www.ksfy.com/content/news/NRA-endorses-Kristi-Noem-for-governor-494144561.html|archive-date=Sep 24, 2018|url-status=live}}</ref> |
||
Line 285: | Line 288: | ||
| title = Billie Sutton (D) |
| title = Billie Sutton (D) |
||
| list = |
| list = |
||
'''Federal officials''' |
|||
*[[Larry Pressler]], former |
*[[Larry Pressler]], former U.S. Senator ''(Republican)''<ref>{{cite web|last=Mearhoff|first=Sarah|title=SD bombshell: Poll shows governor's race dead heat in deep red state|url=http://www.dglobe.com/news/government-and-politics/4519448-sd-bombshell-poll-shows-governors-race-dead-heat-deep-red-state|website=The Globe|date=October 25, 2018|access-date=November 2, 2018|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20181104211130/http://www.dglobe.com/news/government-and-politics/4519448-sd-bombshell-poll-shows-governors-race-dead-heat-deep-red-state|archive-date=November 4, 2018|url-status=dead}}</ref><ref>{{cite web|title=Sutton Picks Up Republican Endorsements|url=https://www.kdlt.com/2018/10/25/sutton-picks-up-republican-endorsements/|website=KDLT|date=October 25, 2018|access-date=November 2, 2018|archive-date=November 5, 2018|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20181105012147/https://www.kdlt.com/2018/10/25/sutton-picks-up-republican-endorsements/|url-status=dead}}</ref> |
||
'''State officials''' |
|||
*Dave Volk, former |
*Dave Volk, former State Treasurer ''(Republican)''<ref name="auto1">{{cite web |last=Mercer|first=Bob|title=Election Analysis: Democrats Seeking Republican Votes|url=https://www.keloland.com/news/capitol-news-bureau/election-analysis-democrats-seeking-republican-votes/1562334088|website=KELO|publisher=Nexstar Media Group|date=October 30, 2018}}</ref> |
||
*[[Dave Knudson (politician)|Dave Knudson]], former |
*[[Dave Knudson (politician)|Dave Knudson]], former [[Majority Leader]] of the [[South Dakota Senate]] ''(Republican)''<ref name="auto1"/> |
||
*[[Stan Adelstein]], former |
*[[Stan Adelstein]], former [[South Dakota Senate|State Senator]] ''(Republican)''<ref name="auto1"/> |
||
*Kay Jorgensen, former |
*Kay Jorgensen, former [[South Dakota House of Representatives|State Representative]] ''(Republican)''<ref name="auto1"/> |
||
*Joyce Hodges, former |
*Joyce Hodges, former [[South Dakota House of Representatives|State Representative]] ''(Republican)''<ref name="auto1"/> |
||
*Mark DeVries, former |
*Mark DeVries, former [[South Dakota House of Representatives|State Representative]] ''(Republican)''<ref name="auto1"/> |
||
*Dick Werner, former |
*Dick Werner, former [[South Dakota House of Representatives|State Representative]] ''(Republican)''<ref name="auto1"/> |
||
'''County and local officials''' |
|||
*Jim Schmidt, |
*Jim Schmidt, [[Lincoln County, South Dakota|Lincoln County]] Commissioner ''(Republican)''<ref name="auto1"/> |
||
*Carol Twedt, former |
*Carol Twedt, former [[Minnehaha County, South Dakota|Minnehaha County]] Commissioner ''(Republican)''<ref name="auto1"/> |
||
*Rick Knobe, former |
*Rick Knobe, former Mayor of [[Sioux Falls, South Dakota|Sioux Falls]] ''(Republican)''<ref name="auto1"/> |
||
'''Labor unions''' |
|||
* South Dakota Education Association<ref>{{cite web |last1=Royal |first1=Allison |title=South Dakota Education Association Endorses Billie Sutton - KDLT |url=https://www.kdlt.com/2018/09/11/south-dakota-education-association-endorses-billie-sutton/ |website=KDLT |publisher=[[KDLT-TV]] |date=September 11, 2018 |access-date=September 13, 2018 |archive-date=September 13, 2018 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180913112430/https://www.kdlt.com/2018/09/11/south-dakota-education-association-endorses-billie-sutton/ |url-status=dead }}</ref> |
* South Dakota Education Association<ref>{{cite web |last1=Royal |first1=Allison |title=South Dakota Education Association Endorses Billie Sutton - KDLT |url=https://www.kdlt.com/2018/09/11/south-dakota-education-association-endorses-billie-sutton/ |website=KDLT |publisher=[[KDLT-TV]] |date=September 11, 2018 |access-date=September 13, 2018 |archive-date=September 13, 2018 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180913112430/https://www.kdlt.com/2018/09/11/south-dakota-education-association-endorses-billie-sutton/ |url-status=dead }}</ref> |
||
'''Organizations''' |
|||
* Great Plains Tribal Chairman's Association<ref>{{cite web |title=Sutton Gathers Input from Nine Tribes; Receives Endorsement of Tribal Chairmen {{!}} Lakota Country Times |url=https://www.lakotacountrytimes.com/articles/sutton-gathers-input-from-nine-tribes-receives-endorsement-of-tribal-chairmen/ |website=www.lakotacountrytimes.com |publisher=Lakota Country Times |date=September 6, 2018}}</ref> |
* Great Plains Tribal Chairman's Association<ref>{{cite web |title=Sutton Gathers Input from Nine Tribes; Receives Endorsement of Tribal Chairmen {{!}} Lakota Country Times |url=https://www.lakotacountrytimes.com/articles/sutton-gathers-input-from-nine-tribes-receives-endorsement-of-tribal-chairmen/ |website=www.lakotacountrytimes.com |publisher=Lakota Country Times |date=September 6, 2018}}</ref> |
||
'''Newspapers''' |
|||
* [[Argus Leader|Sioux Falls Argus Leader]]<ref>{{cite web |title=Editorial: Billie Sutton makes sense for South Dakota |
* [[Argus Leader|Sioux Falls Argus Leader]]<ref>{{cite web |title=Editorial: Billie Sutton makes sense for South Dakota |
||
|url=https://www.argusleader.com/story/opinion/editorials/2018/10/18/argus-leader-editorial-billie-sutton-kristi-noem-south-dakota-governor/1673818002/|website=[[Argus Leader]]|publisher=[[Argus Leader]]|date=October 18, 2018}}</ref> |
|url=https://www.argusleader.com/story/opinion/editorials/2018/10/18/argus-leader-editorial-billie-sutton-kristi-noem-south-dakota-governor/1673818002/|website=[[Argus Leader]]|publisher=[[Argus Leader]]|date=October 18, 2018}}</ref> |
||
Line 351: | Line 354: | ||
! Undecided |
! Undecided |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| [https://web.archive.org/web/20181105045724/https://twitter.com/ChangePolls/status/1059300087623385088 Change Research] |
|[[Change Research]]<ref>[https://web.archive.org/web/20181105045724/https://twitter.com/ChangePolls/status/1059300087623385088 Change Research]</ref> |
||
| align=center| November 2–4, 2018 |
| align=center| November 2–4, 2018 |
||
| align=center| 851 |
| align=center| 851 |
||
Line 361: | Line 364: | ||
| align=center| – |
| align=center| – |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| [https://www.emerson.edu/news-events/emerson-college-today/final-emerson-battleground-polls-finds-democratic-momentum-florida-nevada-south-dakota-arizona-republicans-poised-take-missouri-0 Emerson College] |
|[[Emerson College]]<ref>[https://www.emerson.edu/news-events/emerson-college-today/final-emerson-battleground-polls-finds-democratic-momentum-florida-nevada-south-dakota-arizona-republicans-poised-take-missouri-0 Emerson College]</ref> |
||
| align=center| November 1–4, 2018 |
| align=center| November 1–4, 2018 |
||
| align=center| 514 |
| align=center| 514 |
||
Line 371: | Line 374: | ||
| align=center| 5% |
| align=center| 5% |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| [https://www.argusleader.com/story/news/politics/2018/11/01/south-dakota-governor-poll-kristi-noem-billie-sutton-election-2018/1844854002/ Mason-Dixon] |
|[[Mason-Dixon Polling & Research Inc.|Mason-Dixon]]<ref>[https://www.argusleader.com/story/news/politics/2018/11/01/south-dakota-governor-poll-kristi-noem-billie-sutton-election-2018/1844854002/ Mason-Dixon]</ref> |
||
| align=center| October 29–31, 2018 |
| align=center| October 29–31, 2018 |
||
| align=center| 500 |
| align=center| 500 |
||
Line 381: | Line 384: | ||
| align=center| 8% |
| align=center| 8% |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| [https://www.argusleader.com/story/news/politics/2018/10/24/south-dakota-2018-election-governor-race-kristi-noem-billie-sutton-poll/1728860002/ Mason-Dixon] |
|[[Mason-Dixon Polling & Research Inc.|Mason-Dixon]]<ref>[https://www.argusleader.com/story/news/politics/2018/10/24/south-dakota-2018-election-governor-race-kristi-noem-billie-sutton-poll/1728860002/ Mason-Dixon]</ref> |
||
| align=center| October 18–22, 2018 |
| align=center| October 18–22, 2018 |
||
| align=center| 500 |
| align=center| 500 |
||
Line 391: | Line 394: | ||
| align=center| 9% |
| align=center| 9% |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| [https://drive.google.com/file/d/1yjeQHDDXE6V8PlOTh_AeE7cpEWH74trc/view ALG Research (D-Sutton)] |
|[[ALG Research]] (D-Sutton)<ref name="ALG Research D-Sutton">[https://drive.google.com/file/d/1yjeQHDDXE6V8PlOTh_AeE7cpEWH74trc/view ALG Research (D-Sutton)]</ref> |
||
| align=center| September 20–24, 2018 |
| align=center| September 20–24, 2018 |
||
| align=center| 500 |
| align=center| 500 |
||
Line 401: | Line 404: | ||
| align=center| 10% |
| align=center| 10% |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| [https://www.scribd.com/document/385113407/SD-Gov-Anzalone-Liszt-Grove-D-for-Billie-Sutton-July-2018 ALG Research (D-Sutton)] |
|[[ALG Research]] (D-Sutton)<ref>[https://www.scribd.com/document/385113407/SD-Gov-Anzalone-Liszt-Grove-D-for-Billie-Sutton-July-2018 ALG Research (D-Sutton)]</ref> |
||
| align=center| July 19–25, 2018 |
| align=center| July 19–25, 2018 |
||
| align=center| 500 |
| align=center| 500 |
||
Line 411: | Line 414: | ||
| align=center| 13% |
| align=center| 13% |
||
|- |
|- |
||
|[[ALG Research]] (D-Sutton)<ref name="ALG Research D-Sutton"/> |
|||
| [https://drive.google.com/file/d/1yjeQHDDXE6V8PlOTh_AeE7cpEWH74trc/view ALG Research (D-Sutton)] |
|||
| align=center| October 4–9, 2017<ref>{{cite web|url=https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/|title=South Dakota Governor Polls|first=Aaron Bycoffe, Ritchie King and Dhrumil|last=Mehta|date=28 June 2018|website=FiveThirtyEight}}</ref> |
| align=center| October 4–9, 2017<ref>{{cite web|url=https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/|title=South Dakota Governor Polls|first=Aaron Bycoffe, Ritchie King and Dhrumil|last=Mehta|date=28 June 2018|website=FiveThirtyEight}}</ref> |
||
| align=center| 500 |
| align=center| 500 |
||
Line 457: | Line 460: | ||
{{Election box end}} |
{{Election box end}} |
||
==== |
==== By county ==== |
||
{| class="wikitable sortable" |
{| class="wikitable sortable" |
||
! colspan="1" rowspan="2" |County |
! colspan="1" rowspan="2" |County |
||
Line 1,086: | Line 1,089: | ||
|} |
|} |
||
'''Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic''' |
|||
* [[Bon Homme County, South Dakota|Bon Homme]] (largest city: [[Springfield, South Dakota|Springfield]]) |
* [[Bon Homme County, South Dakota|Bon Homme]] (largest city: [[Springfield, South Dakota|Springfield]]) |
||
* [[Brookings County, South Dakota|Brookings]] (largest city: [[Brookings, South Dakota|Brookings]]) |
* [[Brookings County, South Dakota|Brookings]] (largest city: [[Brookings, South Dakota|Brookings]]) |
||
Line 1,113: | Line 1,115: | ||
*[https://ballotpedia.org/South_Dakota_gubernatorial_election,_2018 Candidates] at [[Ballotpedia]] |
*[https://ballotpedia.org/South_Dakota_gubernatorial_election,_2018 Candidates] at [[Ballotpedia]] |
||
'''Official campaign websites''' |
|||
*[https://web.archive.org/web/20181016171443/http://www.kristiforgovernor.com/ Kristi Noem (R) for Governor] |
*[https://web.archive.org/web/20181016171443/http://www.kristiforgovernor.com/ Kristi Noem (R) for Governor] |
||
*[https://web.archive.org/web/20181101131033/https://www.suttonforsd.com/ Billie Sutton (D) for Governor] |
*[https://web.archive.org/web/20181101131033/https://www.suttonforsd.com/ Billie Sutton (D) for Governor] |
Latest revision as of 17:43, 20 November 2024
| ||||||||||||||||||||
| ||||||||||||||||||||
Noem: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Sutton: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Tie: 40–50% | ||||||||||||||||||||
|
Elections in South Dakota |
---|
The 2018 South Dakota gubernatorial election took place on November 6, 2018, to elect the next governor of South Dakota. Incumbent Republican governor Dennis Daugaard was term-limited and could not seek a third consecutive term.
Republican candidate Kristi Noem won against Democratic candidate Billie Sutton in the closest gubernatorial election in South Dakota since 1986.[1] Noem also became the first female governor of the state.[2] Her victory extended the longest active hold on a governorship by one party; the GOP has won every gubernatorial election in South Dakota starting in 1978. Conversely, Noem's vote percentage of 51% was the worst performance for any Republican gubernatorial candidate in the state since 1974, while Sutton's 47.6% was the best for any Democratic candidate since 1986.
Republican primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Declared
[edit]- Kristi Noem, U.S. Representative, former State Representative[3][4]
- Marty Jackley, Attorney General of South Dakota[5][6]
Failed to qualify for primary ballot
[edit]- Lora Hubbel, former State Representative, Republican candidate for Governor in 2014[7]
Declined
[edit]- Matt Michels, Lieutenant Governor of South Dakota[8]
- Mark Mickelson, Speaker of the South Dakota House of Representatives[9][10][11]
Debates
[edit]Jackley and Noem participated in three debates.
First debate
[edit]In the first debate both candidates tried to define the other. Jackley stated: "It’s Washington experience versus South Dakota experience." "Marty’s background has been being a government lawyer," Noem said.[12]
Second debate
[edit]In the second debate, Noem discussed Jackley's scandals. "In EB5, the state oversight program, nobody went to jail. On Gear-Up, still, nobody's been punished. When we talk about what's been going on in Brookings with the Global Aquaponics scam—a con artist, Tobias Ritesman, held a fundraiser for Marty Jackley. Marty attended his phony groundbreaking for his phony project," Noem says. "People lost hundreds of thousands of dollars. Still, nobody's been investigated and nobody’s been prosecuted. That needs to change in our state."
Jackley was on the defensive during the second debate. "Congresswoman, he didn’t hold a fundraiser for me. I was at an event that he was at, and I did go to a ground breaking because that's what important in South Dakota," Jackley says. "When we have businesses expanding I think it’s important that we attend those. You talk about Gear-Up, there hasn’t been a sentencing because these defendants are presumed innocent. But I as attorney general, unlike Washington, have done something about it. I actually formed a grand jury. Indictments have been issued. They're schedule to begin jury trials in July—or, excuse me—June, June 26th and I plan on trying those personally, because that’s what a leader does." [13]
Final debate
[edit]In the final debate, Jackley and Noem took tough questions about workforce development, anti-discrimination laws, drugs, uniting Democrats and Republicans in the state to make critical decisions and much more. While they spent a lot of time talking about their plans for the state, they also spent a lot of time attacking each other's records. A major topic of contention was Boards and commissions. The state currently has 134 of them. Noem said she wants to streamline different processes for licensure, eliminating "red tape" but Jackley disagreed. "Every time that a proposal comes forward to create a new 'blue ribbon' task force, a board or a commission, what typically comes with that is another layer of bureaucracy," Noem said. Jackley defended the government bureaucracy. "We need a governor that understands that various different boards, isn't out there criticizing different boards and saying that type of service isn't important," Jackley said. Jackley spoke about putting together a task force to work on government transparency and open records laws. "I'm committed when I become governor to put forth a taskforce ...because we need to take a look at the open records law," he said. And they both ended the debate with another jab at one another. "It really comes to down to Washington experience versus South Dakota experience," Jackley said. "The congresswoman has been spending considerable time and effort talking about Marty Jackley, but I'm talking about you, South Dakota." "Days ago he stood up and talked about protecting victims while behind the scenes he was actively working to silence one to further his political career," Noem said. "You deserve a governor who will be honest with you, who will tell you the truth and who is willing to be accountable." [14]
Polling
[edit]Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Kristi Noem |
Marty Jackley |
Lora Hubbel[15] |
Terry LaFleur[15] |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mason-Dixon[16] | May 21–23, 2018 | 625 | ± 4.5% | 45% | 44% | – | – | 11% |
Leverage Public Strategies[17] | May 4–7, 2018 | 350 | ± 5.2% | 38% | 39% | – | – | 24% |
Clout Research (R)[18] | April 21–23, 2018 | 815 | ± 3.4% | 49% | 37% | – | – | 14% |
Rockbridge Strategy (R)[19] | April 4, 2018 | 500 | ± 2.9% | 44% | 33% | – | – | 23% |
Moore Information[20] | February 8, 2018 | 300 | ± 6.0% | 40% | 35% | 5% | 2% | 18% |
New Age Consultants (R-LaFleur)[21] | November 3, 2017 | 509 | ± 4.4% | 22% | 24% | – | 3% | 51% |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Kristi Noem | 57,437 | 56.0% | |
Republican | Marty Jackley | 45,069 | 44.0% | |
Total votes | 102,506 | 100.0% |
Democratic primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Declared
[edit]- Billie Sutton, Minority Leader of the South Dakota Senate[22]
Declined
[edit]- Stephanie Herseth Sandlin, former U.S. Representative[23][24]
- Mike Huether, Mayor of Sioux Falls[25][26][27]
Libertarian Party
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Declared
[edit]- Kurt Evans, former science teacher, Libertarian nominee for U.S. Senator in 2002[28]
- C.J. Abernathey[28]
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Libertarian | Kurt Evans | 10 | 66.7% | |
Libertarian | C.J. Abernathey | 5 | 33.3% | |
Total votes | 15 | 100.0% |
Constitution Party
[edit]Following an internal controversy within the Constitution Party of South Dakota over who was the legal party chair, Dan Lederman—individually and in his capacity as chair of the South Dakota Republican Party—sued Republican secretary of state Shantel Krebs to prevent her from certifying any Constitution Party nominees for the general-election ballot. For somewhat complex reasons, state circuit judge Patricia DeVaney ruled in favor of the Republican Party on August 17.[30][31]
G. Matt Johnson and Lora Hubbel—Constitution Party nominees for the state's at-large U.S. House seat and governor respectively—then sued Krebs in federal court on August 29 seeking ballot access for themselves and four other Constitution Party nominees. For various procedural reasons, federal district judge Roberto Lange ruled against the Constitution Party on October 1.[32][33][34]
Candidates
[edit]Declared
[edit]- Lora Hubbel, former State Representative, Republican candidate for Governor in 2014[30]
- Terry LaFleur[30]
Withdrawn
[edit]Independents
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Declined
[edit]- Mike Huether, Mayor of Sioux Falls[27][36][37]
- Lora Hubbel, former State Representative, Republican candidate for Governor in 2014[7][30]
General election
[edit]Candidates
[edit]- Kristi Noem (Republican), U.S. Representative
- Running mate: Larry Rhoden, State Representative[38]
- Billie Sutton (Democratic), Minority Leader of the South Dakota Senate
- Running mate: Michelle Lavallee, Businesswoman[39]
- Kurt Evans (Libertarian), 2002 nominee for U.S. Senator
- Running mate: Richard Shelatz, Vice-chairman of the Libertarian Party of South Dakota[40]
Predictions
[edit]Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[41] | Tossup | October 26, 2018 |
The Washington Post[42] | Tossup | November 5, 2018 |
FiveThirtyEight[43] | Lean R | November 5, 2018 |
Rothenberg Political Report[44] | Tilt R | November 1, 2018 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[45] | Lean R | November 5, 2018 |
RealClearPolitics[46] | Tossup | November 4, 2018 |
Daily Kos[47] | Lean R | November 5, 2018 |
Fox News[48][a] | Lean R | November 5, 2018 |
Politico[49] | Tossup | November 5, 2018 |
Governing[50] | Tossup | November 5, 2018 |
- Notes
- ^ The Fox News Midterm Power Rankings uniquely does not contain a category for Safe/Solid races
Endorsements
[edit]Federal officials
- Donald Trump, 45th President of The United States[51]
- Mike Pence, 48th Vice President of the United States[52]
- John Thune, U.S. Senator[53]
- Mike Rounds, U.S. Senator[53]
State officials
- Dennis Daugaard, Governor[53]
- Marty Jackley, Attorney General[53]
Individuals
- Ivanka Trump, daughter of U.S. President Donald Trump[54]
Organizations
- South Dakota Right to Life[55]
- NRA Political Victory Fund[56][57]
Federal officials
- Larry Pressler, former U.S. Senator (Republican)[58][59]
State officials
- Dave Volk, former State Treasurer (Republican)[60]
- Dave Knudson, former Majority Leader of the South Dakota Senate (Republican)[60]
- Stan Adelstein, former State Senator (Republican)[60]
- Kay Jorgensen, former State Representative (Republican)[60]
- Joyce Hodges, former State Representative (Republican)[60]
- Mark DeVries, former State Representative (Republican)[60]
- Dick Werner, former State Representative (Republican)[60]
County and local officials
- Jim Schmidt, Lincoln County Commissioner (Republican)[60]
- Carol Twedt, former Minnehaha County Commissioner (Republican)[60]
- Rick Knobe, former Mayor of Sioux Falls (Republican)[60]
Labor unions
- South Dakota Education Association[61]
Organizations
- Great Plains Tribal Chairman's Association[62]
Newspapers
Polling
[edit]Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. Updates on reimplementing the Graph extension, which will be known as the Chart extension, can be found on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org. |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Kristi Noem (R) |
Billie Sutton (D) |
Kurt Evans (L) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Change Research[65] | November 2–4, 2018 | 851 | – | 45% | 51% | 2% | – | – |
Emerson College[66] | November 1–4, 2018 | 514 | ± 4.5% | 48% | 47% | – | 1% | 5% |
Mason-Dixon[67] | October 29–31, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 47% | 44% | 1% | – | 8% |
Mason-Dixon[68] | October 18–22, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 45% | 45% | 1% | – | 9% |
ALG Research (D-Sutton)[69] | September 20–24, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 42% | 45% | 3% | – | 10% |
ALG Research (D-Sutton)[70] | July 19–25, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 46% | 42% | – | – | 13% |
ALG Research (D-Sutton)[69] | October 4–9, 2017[71] | 500 | ± 4.4% | 53% | 40% | – | – | – |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Kristi Noem | 172,912 | 50.97% | −19.50% | |
Democratic | Billie Sutton | 161,454 | 47.60% | +22.17% | |
Libertarian | Kurt Evans | 4,848 | 1.43% | N/A | |
Total votes | 339,214 | 100.00% | N/A | ||
Republican hold |
By county
[edit]County | Kristi Noem
Larry Rhoden Republican |
Billie Sutton
Michelle Lavallee Democratic |
Kurt Evans
Richard Shelatz Libertarian |
Total
votes | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
% | # | % | # | % | # | ||
Aurora | 50.31% | 644 | 47.42% | 607 | 2.27% | 29 | 1,280 |
Beadle | 52.09% | 3,182 | 46.37% | 2,832 | 1.54% | 94 | 6,108 |
Bennett | 50.18% | 553 | 47.46% | 523 | 2.36% | 26 | 1,102 |
Bon Homme | 47.43% | 1,303 | 51.26% | 1,408 | 1.31% | 36 | 2,747 |
Brookings | 44.35% | 5,225 | 54.09% | 6,372 | 1.55% | 183 | 11,780 |
Brown | 47.48% | 6,821 | 51.08% | 7,338 | 1.44% | 206 | 14,365 |
Brule | 51.78% | 1,103 | 46.53% | 991 | 1.69% | 36 | 2,130 |
Buffalo | 25.18% | 138 | 73.54% | 403 | 1.28% | 7 | 548 |
Butte | 65.78% | 2,505 | 32.41% | 1,234 | 1.81% | 69 | 3,808 |
Campbell | 75.14% | 550 | 23.63% | 173 | 1.23% | 9 | 732 |
Charles Mix | 46.76% | 1,661 | 52.17% | 1,853 | 1.07% | 38 | 3,552 |
Clark | 52.82% | 879 | 46.15% | 768 | 1.02% | 17 | 1,664 |
Clay | 33.42% | 1,552 | 65.44% | 3,039 | 1.14% | 53 | 4,644 |
Codington | 54.85% | 5,865 | 43.93% | 4,697 | 1.22% | 131 | 10,693 |
Corson | 38.38% | 426 | 60.09% | 667 | 1.53% | 17 | 1,110 |
Custer | 63.26% | 2,789 | 35.09% | 1,547 | 1.65% | 73 | 4,409 |
Davison | 51.95% | 3,779 | 46.71% | 3,398 | 1.33% | 97 | 7,274 |
Day | 43.46% | 1,207 | 55.13% | 1,531 | 1.40% | 39 | 2,777 |
Deuel | 52.94% | 1,053 | 44.90% | 893 | 2.16% | 43 | 1,989 |
Dewey | 21.35% | 393 | 77.68% | 1,430 | 0.97% | 18 | 1,841 |
Douglas | 74.87% | 1,120 | 24.26% | 363 | 0.87% | 13 | 1,496 |
Edmunds | 59.60% | 1,018 | 39.29% | 671 | 1.11% | 19 | 1,708 |
Fall River | 64.51% | 2,059 | 33.36% | 1,065 | 2.13% | 68 | 3,192 |
Faulk | 62.70% | 674 | 36.09% | 388 | 1.21% | 13 | 1,075 |
Grant | 55.28% | 1,780 | 43.11% | 1,388 | 1.61% | 52 | 3,220 |
Gregory | 51.42% | 1,107 | 47.79% | 1,029 | 0.79% | 17 | 2,153 |
Haakon | 77.67% | 734 | 20.74% | 196 | 1.59% | 15 | 945 |
Hamlin | 64.95% | 1,764 | 33.98% | 923 | 1.07% | 29 | 2,716 |
Hand | 57.16% | 950 | 41.10% | 683 | 1.74% | 29 | 1,662 |
Hanson | 58.69% | 945 | 40.19% | 647 | 1.12% | 18 | 1,610 |
Harding | 73.62% | 505 | 25.36% | 174 | 1.31% | 9 | 686 |
Hughes | 46.82% | 3,749 | 51.75% | 4,144 | 1.42% | 114 | 8,007 |
Hutchinson | 63.28% | 2,082 | 35.87% | 1,180 | 0.85% | 28 | 3,290 |
Hyde | 61.67% | 407 | 37.57% | 248 | 0.76% | 5 | 660 |
Jackson | 51.97% | 513 | 46.00% | 454 | 2.03% | 20 | 987 |
Jerauld | 51.79% | 478 | 46.91% | 433 | 1.30% | 12 | 923 |
Jones | 66.12% | 361 | 31.68% | 173 | 2.20% | 12 | 546 |
Kingsbury | 53.08% | 1,303 | 45.25% | 1,111 | 1.67% | 41 | 2,455 |
Lake | 47.69% | 2,483 | 51.26% | 2,669 | 1.05% | 55 | 5,207 |
Lawrence | 54.91% | 5,984 | 42.90% | 4,675 | 2.19% | 239 | 10,898 |
Lincoln | 53.27% | 12,894 | 45.89% | 11,109 | 0.84% | 203 | 24,206 |
Lyman | 49.36% | 691 | 48.71% | 682 | 1.93% | 27 | 1,400 |
Marshall | 43.15% | 853 | 55.28% | 1,093 | 1.57% | 31 | 1,977 |
McCook | 55.07% | 1,375 | 43.37% | 1,083 | 1.56% | 39 | 2,497 |
McPherson | 69.16% | 729 | 29.32% | 309 | 1.52% | 16 | 1,054 |
Meade | 62.70% | 6,413 | 34.80% | 3,559 | 2.50% | 256 | 10,228 |
Mellette | 42.05% | 299 | 55.56% | 395 | 2.39% | 17 | 711 |
Miner | 47.33% | 523 | 51.58% | 570 | 1.09% | 12 | 1,105 |
Minnehaha | 45.78% | 32,355 | 52.98% | 37,450 | 1.24% | 876 | 70,681 |
Moody | 46.97% | 1,340 | 51.49% | 1,469 | 1.54% | 44 | 2,853 |
Oglala Lakota | 7.05% | 214 | 91.50% | 2,778 | 1.45% | 44 | 3,036 |
Pennington | 55.06% | 22,944 | 43.17% | 17,988 | 1.77% | 738 | 41,670 |
Perkins | 70.91% | 953 | 27.38% | 368 | 1.71% | 23 | 1,344 |
Potter | 67.91% | 821 | 30.85% | 373 | 1.24% | 15 | 1,209 |
Roberts | 43.87% | 1,643 | 55.06% | 2,062 | 1.07% | 40 | 3,745 |
Sanborn | 57.68% | 593 | 40.76% | 419 | 1.56% | 16 | 1,028 |
Spink | 49.02% | 1,376 | 49.66% | 1,394 | 1.32% | 37 | 2,807 |
Stanley | 51.24% | 762 | 47.35% | 704 | 1.41% | 21 | 1,487 |
Sully | 61.58% | 500 | 36.45% | 296 | 1.97% | 16 | 812 |
Todd | 17.40% | 390 | 81.70% | 1,831 | 0.90% | 20 | 2,241 |
Tripp | 57.45% | 1,430 | 41.10% | 1,023 | 1.45% | 36 | 2,489 |
Turner | 58.75% | 2,272 | 40.24% | 1,556 | 1.01% | 39 | 3,867 |
Union | 60.85% | 4,068 | 38.06% | 2,544 | 1.09% | 73 | 6,685 |
Walworth | 64.98% | 1,468 | 33.29% | 752 | 1.73% | 39 | 2,259 |
Yankton | 45.73% | 4,121 | 52.78% | 4,757 | 1.49% | 134 | 9,012 |
Ziebach | 29.32% | 241 | 69.59% | 572 | 1.09% | 9 | 822 |
Total | 50.97% | 172,912 | 47.60% | 161,454 | 1.43% | 4,848 | 339,214 |
Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic
- Bon Homme (largest city: Springfield)
- Brookings (largest city: Brookings)
- Brown (largest city: Aberdeen)
- Charles Mix (largest city: Lake Andes)
- Corson (largest city: McLaughlin)
- Day (largest city: Webster)
- Dewey (largest city: North Eagle Butte)
- Hughes (largest city: Pierre)
- Lake (largest city: Madison)
- Mellette (largest city: White River)
- Miner (largest city: Howard)
- Minnehaha (largest city: Sioux Falls)
- Moody (largest city: Flandreau)
- Roberts (largest city: Sisseton)
- Spink (largest city: Redfield)
- Yankton (largest city: Yankton)
- Ziebach (largest city: Dupree)
References
[edit]- ^ Ellis, Jonathon (November 6, 2018). "Yes, South Dakota has had close governor races, but it's been awhile". Argus Leader. Retrieved November 8, 2018.
- ^ Nord, James (January 5, 2019). "Kristi Noem sworn in as South Dakota's 1st female governor". AP.
- ^ Tan, Tiffany (February 5, 2016). "Noem open to running for governor". Rapid City Journal. Retrieved June 14, 2016.
- ^ Hagen, Lisa (November 14, 2016). "South Dakota rep. launches gubernatorial bid". The Hill. Retrieved November 14, 2016.
- ^ "Marty Jackley moves $700K toward governor run". Argus Leader. Retrieved December 4, 2016.
- ^ "SD Attorney General Marty Jackley Jumps into 2018 Governors Race | Radio 570 WNAX". Radio 570 WNAX. Retrieved December 4, 2016.
- ^ a b Epp, Todd (March 27, 2018). "UPDATE: Who is officially on ballot for Governor, House? Hubbel running as independent". KELO Newstalk. Archived from the original on August 12, 2018. Retrieved June 5, 2018.
- ^ Dockendorf, Randy (March 31, 2017). "Michels Says He Won't Run For Governor". Yankton Daily Press & Dakotan. Retrieved March 31, 2017.
- ^ Ellis, Jonathan (February 14, 2015). "Noem, Mickelson, Jackley eye governor". Argus Leader. Retrieved June 14, 2016.
- ^ Holland, Jim (April 16, 2016). "Mark Mickelson visit could presage run for the governorship". Rapid City Journal. Retrieved June 14, 2016.
- ^ "Mark Mickelson Says He Won't Run For Governor In 2018". KELOLAND News. Archived from the original on May 23, 2018. Retrieved May 22, 2018.
- ^ "Jackley and Noem battle in TV debate". capjournal.com. May 28, 2018. Retrieved July 6, 2021.
- ^ "GOP Governor Candidates Spar Over Transparency During SDPB TV Debate". sdpb.org. May 30, 2018. Retrieved July 6, 2021.
- ^ "Jackley, Noem face-off in final contentious debate before primary election". dakotanewsnow.com. May 31, 2018. Retrieved July 6, 2021.
- ^ a b hypothetical Republican candidate, seeking Constitution Party nomination
- ^ Mason-Dixon Archived 2018-05-30 at the Wayback Machine
- ^ Leverage Public Strategies
- ^ Clout Research (R)
- ^ Rockbridge Strategy (R)
- ^ Moore Information
- ^ New Age Consultants (R-LaFleur) Archived 2017-12-22 at the Wayback Machine
- ^ Ferguson, Dana (May 31, 2017). "Democrats, Sutton enter South Dakota governor race". Argus Leader. Retrieved May 31, 2017.
- ^ Woster, Kevin (October 3, 2015). "Disaffected Democrats ready to return to Herseth Sandlin — in the governor's race". KELO-TV. Archived from the original on August 19, 2016. Retrieved June 14, 2016.
- ^ Raposa, Megan (February 23, 2017). "Herseth Sandlin: 'I am done seeking political office'". Argus Leader. Retrieved April 1, 2017.
- ^ Ellis, Jonathan (November 5, 2015). "Mayor says he'll need 'suicide watch' when term ends". Argus Leader. Retrieved June 14, 2016.
- ^ Tupper, Seth (November 10, 2015). "Beginning of the Huether for Governor tour?". Rapid City Journal. Retrieved June 14, 2016.
- ^ a b Anderson, Patrick (December 19, 2016). "Huether dumps Dems amid speculation of statewide run". Argus Leader. Retrieved April 1, 2017.
- ^ a b Bardash, Ellen (May 21, 2018). "Evans announces run for Libertarian Party nomination". Mitchell Daily Republic. Retrieved July 18, 2018.
- ^ Heidelberger, Cory (June 10, 2018). "Libertarian Party Resets, Picks Evans over Abernathey for Governor". Dakota Free Press. Retrieved July 18, 2018.
- ^ a b c d e Epp, Todd (August 15, 2018). "Constitution Party has two gubernatorial candidates--for now". KELO Newstalk. Archived from the original on November 11, 2018. Retrieved October 5, 2018.
- ^ Askins, Dave (August 19, 2018). "Libertarians listed first on South Dakota ballots". Pierre Capital Journal. Retrieved October 5, 2018.
- ^ Peters, Anna (August 30, 2018). "South Dakota Candidates File Lawsuit To Get On November Ballot". KELO-TV. Retrieved October 5, 2018.
- ^ Mallory, Brady (September 27, 2018). "Federal Judge Hears Constitution Party Members' Lawsuit". KELO-TV. Archived from the original on September 28, 2018. Retrieved October 5, 2018.
- ^ Winger, Richard (October 3, 2018). "South Dakota Constitution Party Asks Federal Court to Put Its Nominees on Ballot and to Resolve Intra-Party Dispute, but Court Declines". Ballot Access News. Retrieved October 5, 2018.
- ^ Heidelberger, Cory (June 17, 2018). "Gortmaker Challenges LaFleur for Constitution Party Nomination for Governor". Dakota Free Press. Retrieved September 28, 2018.
- ^ Sneve, Joe (March 7, 2017). "Huether moves hint at 2018 run". Argus Leader. Retrieved April 1, 2017.
- ^ Collen, Courtney (March 23, 2017). "Sitting down with Mayor Mike and Cindy Huether Sitting down with Mike and Cindy Huether". KSFY. Retrieved April 1, 2017.
- ^ Ferguson, Dana (June 20, 2018). "Kristi Noem names long-time state lawmaker Larry Rhoden as running mate". Argus Leader. Retrieved October 6, 2018.
- ^ Ferguson, Dana (June 14, 2018). "Billie Sutton names running mate right before SD Democractic Party meet in Sioux Falls". Argus Leader. Retrieved October 6, 2018.
- ^ Venhuizen, Tony (June 10, 2018). "Libertarians and the modern history of minor party candidates for SD Governor". SoDak Governors. Retrieved October 6, 2018.
- ^ "2018 Governor Race Ratings for October 26, 2018". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved April 10, 2021.
- ^ "The Washington Post's gubernatorial race ratings". The Washington Post. October 16, 2018.
- ^ "2018 Governor Forecast | FiveThirtyEight". FiveThirtyEight. October 17, 2018. Retrieved October 17, 2018.
- ^ "2018 Gubernatorial Ratings | Inside Elections". insideelections.com. Retrieved November 15, 2017.
- ^ "Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2018 Governor". www.centerforpolitics.org. Retrieved November 15, 2017.
- ^ "2018 Governor Races". RealClearPolitics. October 9, 2018.
- ^ "2018 Governor Race Ratings". Daily Kos. June 5, 2018.[permanent dead link ]
- ^ "2018 Midterm Power Ranking". Fox News. May 16, 2023.
- ^ "Politico Race Ratings". Politico.
- ^ "2018 Governor Elections: As November Nears, More Governors' Races Become Tossups". www.governing.com. Archived from the original on October 21, 2018. Retrieved July 18, 2018.
- ^ "Trump endorses Noem in South Dakota". The Washington Post. September 7, 2018. Archived from the original on September 8, 2018.
- ^ Mike Pence. "PROUD to stand with @KristiNoem - the next Governor of the Great State of South Dakota! Go vote @KristiNoem tomorrow!". Twitter.
- ^ a b c d Tupper, Seth (October 23, 2018). "Four days after saying he was undecided, Jackley endorses Noem". Rapid City Journal. Archived from the original on October 23, 2018.(subscription required)
- ^ Ivanka Trump. "I appreciate the great work of @RepKristiNoem to deliver massive tax cuts + much needed relief to hard working American families! She is a tireless champion for the great people of South Dakota! VOTE for Kristi Noem for Governor!". Twitter.
- ^ "SD RIGHT TO LIFE ENDORSES NOEM". Kristi for Governor. August 29, 2018. Archived from the original on November 6, 2018. Retrieved November 6, 2018.
- ^ "Your Freedom is Under Attack! Vote On or Before November 6th!". nrapvf.org. NRA-PVF. Archived from the original on July 21, 2021. Retrieved July 24, 2023.
don't forget to vote Kristi Noem for Governor!
- ^ "NRA endorses Kristi Noem for governor". KSFY. September 24, 2018. Archived from the original on September 24, 2018.
- ^ Mearhoff, Sarah (October 25, 2018). "SD bombshell: Poll shows governor's race dead heat in deep red state". The Globe. Archived from the original on November 4, 2018. Retrieved November 2, 2018.
- ^ "Sutton Picks Up Republican Endorsements". KDLT. October 25, 2018. Archived from the original on November 5, 2018. Retrieved November 2, 2018.
- ^ a b c d e f g h i j Mercer, Bob (October 30, 2018). "Election Analysis: Democrats Seeking Republican Votes". KELO. Nexstar Media Group.
- ^ Royal, Allison (September 11, 2018). "South Dakota Education Association Endorses Billie Sutton - KDLT". KDLT. KDLT-TV. Archived from the original on September 13, 2018. Retrieved September 13, 2018.
- ^ "Sutton Gathers Input from Nine Tribes; Receives Endorsement of Tribal Chairmen | Lakota Country Times". www.lakotacountrytimes.com. Lakota Country Times. September 6, 2018.
- ^ "Editorial: Billie Sutton makes sense for South Dakota". Argus Leader. Argus Leader. October 18, 2018.
- ^ "OURS: Journal endorses Sutton for governor". Rapid City Journal. Rapid City Journal. October 19, 2018.
- ^ Change Research
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ Mason-Dixon
- ^ Mason-Dixon
- ^ a b ALG Research (D-Sutton)
- ^ ALG Research (D-Sutton)
- ^ Mehta, Aaron Bycoffe, Ritchie King and Dhrumil (June 28, 2018). "South Dakota Governor Polls". FiveThirtyEight.
{{cite web}}
: CS1 maint: multiple names: authors list (link) - ^ "South Dakota Secretary of State" (PDF). sdsos.gov.
External links
[edit]Official campaign websites