2008 Montana gubernatorial election: Difference between revisions

2008 Montana gubernatorial election
Turnout	74.5%3.1
	County results; Schweitzer: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90%; Brown: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70%
Governor before election; Brian Schweitzer; Democratic	Elected Governor ; Brian Schweitzer; Democratic

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The 2008 Montana gubernatorial election was held on November 4, 2008, to elect the governor and lieutenant governor of the U.S. state of Montana. Incumbent governor Brian Schweitzer, a Democrat who was elected to his first four-year term in 2004, was elected to a second term with 65.5% of the vote. Incumbent lieutenant governor John Bohlinger, a Republican who was once again Schweitzer's running mate, was reelected to a second term. The Republican nominee was Roy Brown, a member of the Montana Senate. Brown's running mate was businessman Steve Daines, a future U.S. Representative and a future U.S. Senator.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Brian Schweitzer, incumbent governor of Montana, 2000 U.S. Senate nominee and rancher
- John Bohlinger, incumbent lieutenant governor of Montana and former Republican member of the Montana House of Representatives and Montana Senate
William Fischer, small businessman involved in the logging industry in Lakeside, Montana
- Steve White, small business owner in the telecommunications industry in Kalispell, Montana
Don Pogreba, Shelby native, English and debate teacher at Helena High School
- Jason Neiffer, Great Falls native, history teacher at Capital High School

Results

Democratic primary results^[2]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Brian Schweitzer (incumbent)	159,820	91.30
	Democratic	William Fischer	9,865	5.64
	Democratic	Donald Pogreba	5,358	3.06
Total votes			175,043	100.00

Republican primary

Candidates

Roy Brown, businessman, member of the Montana Senate and former Majority Leader of the Montana House of Representatives
- Steve Daines, businessman
Larry H. Steele, 2007 candidate for Mayor of Great Falls and 2006 candidate for the Montana House of Representatives
- Harold Luce

Primary results

Republican primary results^[2]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Roy Brown	65,883	80.81
	Republican	Larry Steele	15,643	19.19
Total votes			81,526	100.00

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Stan Jones, business consultant and United States Air Force veteran
- Michael Baker

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report^[3]	Safe D	October 16, 2008
Rothenberg Political Report^[4]	Safe D	November 2, 2008
Sabato's Crystal Ball^[5]	Safe D	November 3, 2008
Real Clear Politics^[6]	Safe D	November 4, 2008

Polling

Poll source	Dates administered	Brian Schweitzer (D)	Roy Brown (R)	Stan Jones (L)
Public Policy Polling^[7]	November 2, 2008	62%	36%	–
Rasmussen Reports^[8]	October 1, 2008	56%	41%	–
The Mellman Group (D)^[9]	September 16–18, 2008	63%	24%	–
Rasmussen Reports^[10]	July 29, 2008	56%	32%	3%
Rasmussen Reports^[11]	June 30, 2008	61%	32%	3%
Mason Dixon/Lee Newspapers^[12]	May 19–21, 2008	55%	30%	–
Mason Dixon/Lee Newspapers^[13]	December 17–19, 2007	55%	30%	–

Results

2008 Montana gubernatorial election^[14]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Democratic	Brian Schweitzer (incumbent)	318,670	65.47%	+15.04%
	Republican	Roy Brown	158,268	32.52%	−13.50%
	Libertarian	Stan Jones	9,796	2.01%	+0.35%
Total votes			486,734	100.00%	N/A
	Democratic hold

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

Beaverhead (largest city: Dillon)
Broadwater (largest city: Townsend)
Custer (largest city: Miles City)
Daniels (largest city: Scobey)
Fallon (largest city: Baker)
Fergus (largest city: Lewistown)
Flathead (largest city: Kalispell)
Golden Valley (largest city: Ryegate)
Granite (largest city: Philipsburg)
Jefferson (largest city: Clancy)
Judith Basin (largest city: Stanford)
Liberty (largest city: Chester)
Lincoln (largest city: Libby)
Madison (largest city: Ennis)
McCone (largest city: Circle)
Phillips (largest city: Malta)
Pondera (largest city: Conrad)
Powell (largest city: Deer Lodge)
Prairie (largest city: Terry)
Ravalli (largest city: Hamilton)
Richland (largest city: Sidney)
Rosebud (largest city: Colstrip)
Dawson (Largest city: Glendive)
Mineral (Largest city: Superior)
Gallatin (largest city: Bozeman)
Chouteau (largest municipality: Fort Benton)
Sanders (largest city: Thompson Falls)
Stillwater (largest city: Columbus)
Teton (largest city: Choteau)
Toole (largest city: Shelby)
Wheatland (largest city: Harlowton)
Wibaux (largest city: Wibaux)

References

^ "Montana Voter Turnout". Montana Secretary of State. Retrieved May 26, 2022.
^ ^a ^b "2008 Statewide Primary Canvass - June 3rd, 2008" (PDF). Montana Secretary of State. Archived from the original (PDF) on May 8, 2013. Retrieved July 2, 2014.
^ "2008 Governor Race ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved March 4, 2021.
^ "2008 Gubernatorial Ratings". Gubernatorial Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved May 25, 2021.
^ "THE LAST LAST WORD The Crystal Ball's Final Projections for the 2008 Election". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved December 25, 2021.
^ "2008 Montana Governor Race". RealClearPolitics. November 4, 2008. Retrieved March 5, 2021.
^ Public Policy Polling
^ Rasmussen Reports
^ The Mellman Group (D)
^ Rasmussen Reports
^ Rasmussen Reports
^ Mason Dixon/Lee Newspapers
^ Mason Dixon/Lee Newspapers
^ "2008 Statewide General Canvass - November 4th, 2008" (PDF). Montana Secretary of State. Archived from the original (PDF) on March 4, 2016. Retrieved July 2, 2014.

External links

Campaign contributions from Follow the Money
Brown (R) vs Schweitzer (D-i) graph of collected poll results from Pollster.com
Roy Brown for Governor
Brian Schweitzer for Governor

[1] "Montana Voter Turnout". Montana Secretary of State. Retrieved May 26, 2022.

[Primary_election_results-2] "2008 Statewide Primary Canvass - June 3rd, 2008" (PDF). Montana Secretary of State. Archived from the original (PDF) on May 8, 2013. Retrieved July 2, 2014.

[3] "2008 Governor Race ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved March 4, 2021.

[4] "2008 Gubernatorial Ratings". Gubernatorial Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved May 25, 2021.

[5] "THE LAST LAST WORD The Crystal Ball's Final Projections for the 2008 Election". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved December 25, 2021.

[6] "2008 Montana Governor Race". RealClearPolitics. November 4, 2008. Retrieved March 5, 2021.

[7] Public Policy Polling

[8] Rasmussen Reports

[9] The Mellman Group (D)

[10] Rasmussen Reports

[11] Rasmussen Reports

[12] Mason Dixon/Lee Newspapers

[13] Mason Dixon/Lee Newspapers

[14] "2008 Statewide General Canvass - November 4th, 2008" (PDF). Montana Secretary of State. Archived from the original (PDF) on March 4, 2016. Retrieved July 2, 2014.

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[2]

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@@ Line 1: / Line 1: @@
+{{Short description|none}} <!-- "none" is preferred when the title is already sufficiently detailed; see [[WP:SDNONE]] -->
+{{for|related races|2008 United States gubernatorial elections}}
+{{Use mdy dates|date=September 2023}}
 {{Infobox election
-| election_name      = 2008 Montana gubernatorial election
+| election_name = 2008 Montana gubernatorial election
-| country            = Montana
+| country = Montana
-| type               = presidential
+| type = presidential
-| ongoing            = no
+| ongoing = no
-| previous_election  = 2004 Montana gubernatorial election
+| previous_election = 2004 Montana gubernatorial election
-| previous_year      = 2004
+| previous_year = 2004
-| next_election      = 2012 Montana gubernatorial election
+| next_election = 2012 Montana gubernatorial election
-| next_year          = 2012
+| next_year = 2012
-| election_date      = November 4, 2008
+| election_date = November 4, 2008
-| image1             = [[File:Brian Schweitzer official photo.jpg|x150px]]
+| image1 = File:Brian Schweitzer official photo.jpg
+| image_size = 150x150px
-| nominee1           = '''[[Brian Schweitzer]]'''
+| nominee1 = '''[[Brian Schweitzer]]'''
-| party1             = Democratic Party (United States)
+| party1 = Democratic Party (United States)
-| running_mate1      = '''[[John Bohlinger]]'''
-| popular_vote1      = '''318,670'''
+| running_mate1 = '''[[John Bohlinger]]'''
-| percentage1        = '''65.5%'''
+| popular_vote1 = '''318,670'''
+| percentage1 = '''65.5%'''
-| image2             = [[File:No image.svg|x120px]]
+| image2 = 3x4.svg
-| nominee2           = [[Roy Brown (Montana politician)|Roy Brown]]
+| nominee2 = [[Roy Brown (Montana politician)|Roy Brown]]
-| party2             = Republican Party (United States)
+| party2 = Republican Party (United States)
-| running_mate2      = [[Steve Daines]]
+| running_mate2 = [[Steve Daines]]
-| popular_vote2      = 158,268
+| popular_vote2 = 158,268
-| percentage2        = 32.5%
+| percentage2 = 32.5%
-| map_image          = Montana Governor Election Results by County, 2008.svg
+| map_image = 2008 Montana gubernatorial election results map by county.svg
-| map_size           = 300px
+| map_size = 300px
-| map_caption        = County results<br>'''Schweitzer''': {{legend0|#a5b0ff|40–50%}} {{legend0|#7996e2|50–60%}} {{legend0|#6674de|60–70%}} {{legend0|#584cde|70–80%}} {{legend0|#3933e5|80–90%}}<br>'''Brown''': {{legend0|#ffb2b2|40–50%}} {{legend0|#e27f7f|50–60%}} {{legend0|#d75d5d|60–70%}}
+| map_caption = County results<br />'''Schweitzer''': {{legend0|#a5b0ff|40–50%}} {{legend0|#7996e2|50–60%}} {{legend0|#6674de|60–70%}} {{legend0|#584cde|70–80%}} {{legend0|#3933e5|80–90%}}<br />'''Brown''': {{legend0|#ffb2b2|40–50%}} {{legend0|#e27f7f|50–60%}} {{legend0|#d75d5d|60–70%}}
-| title              = Governor
+| title = Governor
-| before_election    = [[Brian Schweitzer]]
+| before_election = [[Brian Schweitzer]]
-| before_party       = Democratic Party (United States)
+| before_party = Democratic Party (United States)
-| after_election     = [[Brian Schweitzer]]
+| after_election = [[Brian Schweitzer]]
-| after_party        = Democratic Party (United States)
+| after_party = Democratic Party (United States)
+| turnout = 74.5%{{increase}}3.1<ref>{{cite web |url=https://sosmt.gov/elections/voter-turnout/|title=Montana Voter Turnout|website=Montana Secretary of State|access-date=2022-05-26}}</ref>
 }}
 {{ElectionsMT}}
-The '''2008 Montana gubernatorial election''' was held on November 4, 2008 to elect the [[List of governors of Montana|governor]] and [[List of lieutenant governors of Montana|lieutenant governor]] of the [[U.S. state]] of [[Montana]]. Incumbent Governor [[Brian Schweitzer]], a [[Democratic Party (United States)|Democrat]] who was elected to his first four-year term in [[2004 Montana gubernatorial election|2004]], was elected to a second term with 65.5 % of the vote. Incumbent Lieutenant Governor [[John Bohlinger]], a [[Republican Party (United States)|Republican]] who was once again Schweitzer's [[running mate]], was reelected to a second term. The Republican nominee was [[Roy Brown (Montana politician)|Roy Brown]], a member of the [[Montana Senate]]. Brown's running mate was [[Businessperson|businessman]] [[Steve Daines]], a future U.S. Representative and U.S. Senator.
+The '''2008 Montana gubernatorial election''' was held on November 4, 2008, to elect the [[List of governors of Montana|governor]] and [[List of lieutenant governors of Montana|lieutenant governor]] of the [[U.S. state]] of [[Montana]]. Incumbent governor [[Brian Schweitzer]], a [[Democratic Party (United States)|Democrat]] who was elected to his first four-year term in [[2004 Montana gubernatorial election|2004]], was elected to a second term with 65.5% of the vote. Incumbent lieutenant governor [[John Bohlinger]], a [[Republican Party (United States)|Republican]] who was once again Schweitzer's [[running mate]], was reelected to a second term. The Republican nominee was [[Roy Brown (Montana politician)|Roy Brown]], a member of the [[Montana Senate]]. Brown's running mate was [[Businessperson|businessman]] [[Steve Daines]], a future U.S. Representative and a future U.S. Senator.
 ==Democratic primary==
 ===Candidates===
-* [[Brian Schweitzer]], incumbent Governor of Montana, [[2000 United States Senate election in Montana|2000]] U.S. Senate nominee and [[ranch]]er
+* [[Brian Schweitzer]], incumbent governor of Montana, [[2000 United States Senate election in Montana|2000]] U.S. Senate nominee and [[ranch]]er
-** [[John Bohlinger]], incumbent Lieutenant Governor of Montana and former Republican member of the [[Montana House of Representatives]] and [[Montana Senate]]
+** [[John Bohlinger]], incumbent lieutenant governor of Montana and former Republican member of the [[Montana House of Representatives]] and [[Montana Senate]]
 * William Fischer, small businessman involved in the [[logging]] industry in [[Lakeside, Montana]]
 ** Steve White, small business owner in the [[telecommunication]]s industry in [[Kalispell, Montana]]
@@ Line 138: / Line 143: @@
 ! Poll source
 ! Dates administered
-! style="width:100px;"| Brian<br>Schweitzer (D)
+! style="width:100px;"| Brian<br />Schweitzer (D)
-! style="width:100px;"| Roy<br>Brown (R)
+! style="width:100px;"| Roy<br />Brown (R)
-! style="width:100px;"| Stan<br>Jones (L)
+! style="width:100px;"| Stan<br />Jones (L)
 |-
-|[http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/surveys/2008_Archives/PPP_Release_Montana_1103623.pdf Public Policy Polling]
+|[[Public Policy Polling]]<ref>[http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/surveys/2008_Archives/PPP_Release_Montana_1103623.pdf Public Policy Polling]</ref>
 | align=center| November 2, 2008
 | {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| '''62%'''
@@ Line 148: / Line 153: @@
 | align=center| –
 |-
-|[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2008/2008_governor_elections/montana/election_2008_montana_governor Rasmussen Reports]
+|[[Rasmussen Reports]]<ref>[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2008/2008_governor_elections/montana/election_2008_montana_governor Rasmussen Reports]</ref>
 | align=center| October 1, 2008
 | {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| '''56%'''
@@ Line 154: / Line 159: @@
 | align=center| –
 |-
+|[[The Mellman Group]] (D)<ref>[https://www.insideelections.com/news/article/wild-polling-in-the-wild-wild-west The Mellman Group (D)]</ref>
-|[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2008/2008_governor_elections/montana/montana_governor_governor_schweitzer_cruising_to_re_election Rasmussen Reports]
+| align=center| September 16–18, 2008
+| {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| '''63%'''
+| align=center| 24%
+| align=center| –
+|-
+|[[Rasmussen Reports]]<ref>[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2008/2008_governor_elections/montana/montana_governor_governor_schweitzer_cruising_to_re_election Rasmussen Reports]</ref>
 | align=center| July 29, 2008
 | {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| '''56%'''
@@ Line 160: / Line 171: @@
 | align=center| 3%
 |-
-|[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2008/2008_governor_elections/montana/montana_governor_schweitzer_safe_in_bid_for_re_election Rasmussen Reports]
+|[[Rasmussen Reports]]<ref>[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2008/2008_governor_elections/montana/montana_governor_schweitzer_safe_in_bid_for_re_election Rasmussen Reports]</ref>
 | align=center| June 30, 2008
 | {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| '''61%'''
@@ Line 166: / Line 177: @@
 | align=center| 3%
 |-
-|[https://web.archive.org/web/20080918051808/http://www.billingsgazette.net/articles/2008/05/26/news/state/22-statepoll_s.txt Mason Dixon/Lee Newspapers]
+|[[Mason-Dixon Polling & Research Inc.|Mason Dixon]]/[[Lee Newspapers]]<ref>[https://web.archive.org/web/20080918051808/http://www.billingsgazette.net/articles/2008/05/26/news/state/22-statepoll_s.txt Mason Dixon/Lee Newspapers]</ref>
 | align=center| May 19–21, 2008
 | {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| '''55%'''
@@ Line 172: / Line 183: @@
 | align=center| –
 |-
-|[https://web.archive.org/web/20080516005858/http://www.usaelectionpolls.com/2008/governor/montana.html Mason Dixon/Lee Newspapers]
+|[[Mason-Dixon Polling & Research Inc.|Mason Dixon]]/[[Lee Newspapers]]<ref>[https://web.archive.org/web/20080516005858/http://www.usaelectionpolls.com/2008/governor/montana.html Mason Dixon/Lee Newspapers]</ref>
 | align=center| December 17–19, 2007
 | {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| '''55%'''
@@ Line 211: / Line 222: @@
 }}
 {{Election box end}}
+====Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic====
+{{columns-list|colwidth=20em|
+* [[Beaverhead County, Montana|Beaverhead]] (largest city: [[Dillon, Montana|Dillon]])
+* [[Broadwater County, Montana|Broadwater]] (largest city: [[Townsend, Montana|Townsend]])
+* [[Custer County, Montana|Custer]] (largest city: [[Miles City, Montana|Miles City]])
+* [[Daniels County, Montana|Daniels]] (largest city: [[Scobey, Montana|Scobey]])
+* [[Fallon County, Montana|Fallon]] (largest city: [[Baker, Montana|Baker]])
+* [[Fergus County, Montana|Fergus]] (largest city: [[Lewistown, Montana|Lewistown]])
+* [[Flathead County, Montana|Flathead]] (largest city: [[Kalispell, Montana|Kalispell]])
+* [[Golden Valley County, Montana|Golden Valley]] (largest city: [[Ryegate, Montana|Ryegate]])
+* [[Granite County, Montana|Granite]] (largest city: [[Philipsburg, Montana|Philipsburg]])
+* [[Jefferson County, Montana|Jefferson]] (largest city: [[Clancy, Montana|Clancy]])
+* [[Judith Basin County, Montana|Judith Basin]] (largest city: [[Stanford, Montana|Stanford]])
+* [[Liberty County, Montana|Liberty]] (largest city: [[Chester, Montana|Chester]])
+* [[Lincoln County, Montana|Lincoln]] (largest city: [[Libby, Montana|Libby]])
+* [[Madison County, Montana|Madison]] (largest city: [[Ennis, Montana|Ennis]])
+* [[McCone County, Montana|McCone]] (largest city: [[Circle, Montana|Circle]])
+* [[Phillips County, Montana|Phillips]] (largest city: [[Malta, Montana|Malta]])
+* [[Pondera County, Montana|Pondera]] (largest city: [[Conrad, Montana|Conrad]])
+* [[Powell County, Montana|Powell]] (largest city: [[Deer Lodge, Montana|Deer Lodge]])
+* [[Prairie County, Montana|Prairie]] (largest city: [[Terry, Montana|Terry]])
+* [[Ravalli County, Montana|Ravalli]] (largest city: [[Hamilton, Montana|Hamilton]])
+* [[Richland County, Montana|Richland]] (largest city: [[Sidney, Montana|Sidney]])
+* [[Rosebud County, Montana|Rosebud]] (largest city: [[Colstrip, Montana|Colstrip]])
+*[[Dawson County, Montana|Dawson]] (Largest city: [[Glendive, Montana|Glendive]])
+*[[Mineral County, Montana|Mineral]] (Largest city: [[Superior, Montana|Superior]])
+* [[Gallatin County, Montana|Gallatin]] (largest city: [[Bozeman, Montana|Bozeman]])
+* [[Chouteau County, Montana|Chouteau]] (largest municipality: [[Fort Benton, Montana|Fort Benton]])
+* [[Sanders County, Montana|Sanders]] (largest city: [[Thompson Falls, Montana|Thompson Falls]])
+* [[Stillwater County, Montana|Stillwater]] (largest city: [[Columbus, Montana|Columbus]])
+* [[Teton County, Montana|Teton]] (largest city: [[Choteau, Montana|Choteau]])
+* [[Toole County, Montana|Toole]] (largest city: [[Shelby, Montana|Shelby]])
+* [[Wheatland County, Montana|Wheatland]] (largest city: [[Harlowton, Montana|Harlowton]])
+* [[Wibaux County, Montana|Wibaux]] (largest city: [[Wibaux, Montana|Wibaux]])
+}}
 ==References==
@@ Line 216: / Line 263: @@
 ==External links==
-*[http://www.ourcampaigns.com/RaceDetail.html?RaceID=247268 Montana Governor race] from ''OurCampaigns.com''
 *[http://www.followthemoney.org/database/StateGlance/state_candidates.phtml?s=MT&y=2008&f=G Campaign contributions] from ''Follow the Money''
 *[https://web.archive.org/web/20080829135845/http://www.pollster.com/08-MT-Gov-GE-BvS.php Brown (R) vs Schweitzer (D-i)] graph of collected poll results from ''Pollster.com''
@@ Line 227: / Line 273: @@
 [[Category:2008 United States gubernatorial elections|Montana]]
 [[Category:2008 Montana elections|Gubernatorial]]
+[[Category:November 2008 events in the United States]]

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