2008 Montana gubernatorial election: Difference between revisions
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{{Short description|none}} <!-- "none" is preferred when the title is already sufficiently detailed; see [[WP:SDNONE]] --> |
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{{Short description|Election for Governor of Montana}} |
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{{for|related races|2008 United States gubernatorial elections}} |
{{for|related races|2008 United States gubernatorial elections}} |
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{{Use mdy dates|date=September 2023}} |
{{Use mdy dates|date=September 2023}} |
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| next_year = 2012 |
| next_year = 2012 |
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| election_date = November 4, 2008 |
| election_date = November 4, 2008 |
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| image1 = |
| image1 = File:Brian Schweitzer official photo.jpg |
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| image_size = 150x150px |
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| nominee1 = '''[[Brian Schweitzer]]''' |
| nominee1 = '''[[Brian Schweitzer]]''' |
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| party1 = Democratic Party (United States) |
| party1 = Democratic Party (United States) |
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| popular_vote1 = '''318,670''' |
| popular_vote1 = '''318,670''' |
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| percentage1 = '''65.5%''' |
| percentage1 = '''65.5%''' |
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| image2 = |
| image2 = 3x4.svg |
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| nominee2 = [[Roy Brown (Montana politician)|Roy Brown]] |
| nominee2 = [[Roy Brown (Montana politician)|Roy Brown]] |
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| party2 = Republican Party (United States) |
| party2 = Republican Party (United States) |
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| map_image = 2008 Montana gubernatorial election results map by county.svg |
| map_image = 2008 Montana gubernatorial election results map by county.svg |
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| map_size = 300px |
| map_size = 300px |
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| map_caption = County results<br>'''Schweitzer''': {{legend0|#a5b0ff|40–50%}} {{legend0|#7996e2|50–60%}} {{legend0|#6674de|60–70%}} {{legend0|#584cde|70–80%}} {{legend0|#3933e5|80–90%}}<br>'''Brown''': {{legend0|#ffb2b2|40–50%}} {{legend0|#e27f7f|50–60%}} {{legend0|#d75d5d|60–70%}} |
| map_caption = County results<br />'''Schweitzer''': {{legend0|#a5b0ff|40–50%}} {{legend0|#7996e2|50–60%}} {{legend0|#6674de|60–70%}} {{legend0|#584cde|70–80%}} {{legend0|#3933e5|80–90%}}<br />'''Brown''': {{legend0|#ffb2b2|40–50%}} {{legend0|#e27f7f|50–60%}} {{legend0|#d75d5d|60–70%}} |
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| title = Governor |
| title = Governor |
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| before_election = [[Brian Schweitzer]] |
| before_election = [[Brian Schweitzer]] |
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{{ElectionsMT}} |
{{ElectionsMT}} |
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The '''2008 Montana gubernatorial election''' was held on November 4, 2008 to elect the [[List of governors of Montana|governor]] and [[List of lieutenant governors of Montana|lieutenant governor]] of the [[U.S. state]] of [[Montana]]. Incumbent governor [[Brian Schweitzer]], a [[Democratic Party (United States)|Democrat]] who was elected to his first four-year term in [[2004 Montana gubernatorial election|2004]], was elected to a second term with 65.5% of the vote. Incumbent lieutenant governor [[John Bohlinger]], a [[Republican Party (United States)|Republican]] who was once again Schweitzer's [[running mate]], was reelected to a second term. The Republican nominee was [[Roy Brown (Montana politician)|Roy Brown]], a member of the [[Montana Senate]]. Brown's running mate was [[Businessperson|businessman]] [[Steve Daines]], a future U.S. Representative and a future U.S. Senator. |
The '''2008 Montana gubernatorial election''' was held on November 4, 2008, to elect the [[List of governors of Montana|governor]] and [[List of lieutenant governors of Montana|lieutenant governor]] of the [[U.S. state]] of [[Montana]]. Incumbent governor [[Brian Schweitzer]], a [[Democratic Party (United States)|Democrat]] who was elected to his first four-year term in [[2004 Montana gubernatorial election|2004]], was elected to a second term with 65.5% of the vote. Incumbent lieutenant governor [[John Bohlinger]], a [[Republican Party (United States)|Republican]] who was once again Schweitzer's [[running mate]], was reelected to a second term. The Republican nominee was [[Roy Brown (Montana politician)|Roy Brown]], a member of the [[Montana Senate]]. Brown's running mate was [[Businessperson|businessman]] [[Steve Daines]], a future U.S. Representative and a future U.S. Senator. |
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==Democratic primary== |
==Democratic primary== |
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! Poll source |
! Poll source |
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! Dates administered |
! Dates administered |
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! style="width:100px;"| Brian<br>Schweitzer (D) |
! style="width:100px;"| Brian<br />Schweitzer (D) |
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! style="width:100px;"| Roy<br>Brown (R) |
! style="width:100px;"| Roy<br />Brown (R) |
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! style="width:100px;"| Stan<br>Jones (L) |
! style="width:100px;"| Stan<br />Jones (L) |
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|[http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/surveys/2008_Archives/PPP_Release_Montana_1103623.pdf Public Policy Polling] |
|[[Public Policy Polling]]<ref>[http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/surveys/2008_Archives/PPP_Release_Montana_1103623.pdf Public Policy Polling]</ref> |
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| align=center| November 2, 2008 |
| align=center| November 2, 2008 |
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| {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| '''62%''' |
| {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| '''62%''' |
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| align=center| – |
| align=center| – |
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|[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2008/2008_governor_elections/montana/election_2008_montana_governor Rasmussen Reports] |
|[[Rasmussen Reports]]<ref>[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2008/2008_governor_elections/montana/election_2008_montana_governor Rasmussen Reports]</ref> |
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| align=center| October 1, 2008 |
| align=center| October 1, 2008 |
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| {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| '''56%''' |
| {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| '''56%''' |
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| align=center| – |
| align=center| – |
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|[https://www.insideelections.com/news/article/wild-polling-in-the-wild-wild-west The Mellman Group (D)] |
|[[The Mellman Group]] (D)<ref>[https://www.insideelections.com/news/article/wild-polling-in-the-wild-wild-west The Mellman Group (D)]</ref> |
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| align=center| September 16–18, 2008 |
| align=center| September 16–18, 2008 |
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| {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| '''63%''' |
| {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| '''63%''' |
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| align=center| – |
| align=center| – |
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|[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2008/2008_governor_elections/montana/montana_governor_governor_schweitzer_cruising_to_re_election Rasmussen Reports] |
|[[Rasmussen Reports]]<ref>[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2008/2008_governor_elections/montana/montana_governor_governor_schweitzer_cruising_to_re_election Rasmussen Reports]</ref> |
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| align=center| July 29, 2008 |
| align=center| July 29, 2008 |
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| {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| '''56%''' |
| {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| '''56%''' |
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| align=center| 3% |
| align=center| 3% |
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|[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2008/2008_governor_elections/montana/montana_governor_schweitzer_safe_in_bid_for_re_election Rasmussen Reports] |
|[[Rasmussen Reports]]<ref>[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2008/2008_governor_elections/montana/montana_governor_schweitzer_safe_in_bid_for_re_election Rasmussen Reports]</ref> |
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| align=center| June 30, 2008 |
| align=center| June 30, 2008 |
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| {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| '''61%''' |
| {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| '''61%''' |
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| align=center| 3% |
| align=center| 3% |
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|[https://web.archive.org/web/20080918051808/http://www.billingsgazette.net/articles/2008/05/26/news/state/22-statepoll_s.txt Mason Dixon/Lee Newspapers] |
|[[Mason-Dixon Polling & Research Inc.|Mason Dixon]]/[[Lee Newspapers]]<ref>[https://web.archive.org/web/20080918051808/http://www.billingsgazette.net/articles/2008/05/26/news/state/22-statepoll_s.txt Mason Dixon/Lee Newspapers]</ref> |
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| align=center| May 19–21, 2008 |
| align=center| May 19–21, 2008 |
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| {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| '''55%''' |
| {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| '''55%''' |
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| align=center| – |
| align=center| – |
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|[https://web.archive.org/web/20080516005858/http://www.usaelectionpolls.com/2008/governor/montana.html Mason Dixon/Lee Newspapers] |
|[[Mason-Dixon Polling & Research Inc.|Mason Dixon]]/[[Lee Newspapers]]<ref>[https://web.archive.org/web/20080516005858/http://www.usaelectionpolls.com/2008/governor/montana.html Mason Dixon/Lee Newspapers]</ref> |
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| align=center| December 17–19, 2007 |
| align=center| December 17–19, 2007 |
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| {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| '''55%''' |
| {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| '''55%''' |
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[[Category:2008 United States gubernatorial elections|Montana]] |
[[Category:2008 United States gubernatorial elections|Montana]] |
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[[Category:2008 Montana elections|Gubernatorial]] |
[[Category:2008 Montana elections|Gubernatorial]] |
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[[Category:November 2008 events in the United States]] |
Latest revision as of 19:35, 5 December 2024
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Turnout | 74.5%3.1[1] | |||||||||||||||||||
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County results Schweitzer: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Brown: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Elections in Montana |
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The 2008 Montana gubernatorial election was held on November 4, 2008, to elect the governor and lieutenant governor of the U.S. state of Montana. Incumbent governor Brian Schweitzer, a Democrat who was elected to his first four-year term in 2004, was elected to a second term with 65.5% of the vote. Incumbent lieutenant governor John Bohlinger, a Republican who was once again Schweitzer's running mate, was reelected to a second term. The Republican nominee was Roy Brown, a member of the Montana Senate. Brown's running mate was businessman Steve Daines, a future U.S. Representative and a future U.S. Senator.
Democratic primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]- Brian Schweitzer, incumbent governor of Montana, 2000 U.S. Senate nominee and rancher
- John Bohlinger, incumbent lieutenant governor of Montana and former Republican member of the Montana House of Representatives and Montana Senate
- William Fischer, small businessman involved in the logging industry in Lakeside, Montana
- Steve White, small business owner in the telecommunications industry in Kalispell, Montana
- Don Pogreba, Shelby native, English and debate teacher at Helena High School
- Jason Neiffer, Great Falls native, history teacher at Capital High School
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Brian Schweitzer (incumbent) | 159,820 | 91.30 | |
Democratic | William Fischer | 9,865 | 5.64 | |
Democratic | Donald Pogreba | 5,358 | 3.06 | |
Total votes | 175,043 | 100.00 |
Republican primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]- Roy Brown, businessman, member of the Montana Senate and former Majority Leader of the Montana House of Representatives
- Steve Daines, businessman
- Larry H. Steele, 2007 candidate for Mayor of Great Falls and 2006 candidate for the Montana House of Representatives
- Harold Luce
Primary results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Roy Brown | 65,883 | 80.81 | |
Republican | Larry Steele | 15,643 | 19.19 | |
Total votes | 81,526 | 100.00 |
Libertarian primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]- Stan Jones, business consultant and United States Air Force veteran
- Michael Baker
General election
[edit]Predictions
[edit]Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[3] | Safe D | October 16, 2008 |
Rothenberg Political Report[4] | Safe D | November 2, 2008 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[5] | Safe D | November 3, 2008 |
Real Clear Politics[6] | Safe D | November 4, 2008 |
Polling
[edit]Poll source | Dates administered | Brian Schweitzer (D) |
Roy Brown (R) |
Stan Jones (L) |
---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling[7] | November 2, 2008 | 62% | 36% | – |
Rasmussen Reports[8] | October 1, 2008 | 56% | 41% | – |
The Mellman Group (D)[9] | September 16–18, 2008 | 63% | 24% | – |
Rasmussen Reports[10] | July 29, 2008 | 56% | 32% | 3% |
Rasmussen Reports[11] | June 30, 2008 | 61% | 32% | 3% |
Mason Dixon/Lee Newspapers[12] | May 19–21, 2008 | 55% | 30% | – |
Mason Dixon/Lee Newspapers[13] | December 17–19, 2007 | 55% | 30% | – |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Brian Schweitzer (incumbent) | 318,670 | 65.47% | +15.04% | |
Republican | Roy Brown | 158,268 | 32.52% | −13.50% | |
Libertarian | Stan Jones | 9,796 | 2.01% | +0.35% | |
Total votes | 486,734 | 100.00% | N/A | ||
Democratic hold |
Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic
[edit]- Beaverhead (largest city: Dillon)
- Broadwater (largest city: Townsend)
- Custer (largest city: Miles City)
- Daniels (largest city: Scobey)
- Fallon (largest city: Baker)
- Fergus (largest city: Lewistown)
- Flathead (largest city: Kalispell)
- Golden Valley (largest city: Ryegate)
- Granite (largest city: Philipsburg)
- Jefferson (largest city: Clancy)
- Judith Basin (largest city: Stanford)
- Liberty (largest city: Chester)
- Lincoln (largest city: Libby)
- Madison (largest city: Ennis)
- McCone (largest city: Circle)
- Phillips (largest city: Malta)
- Pondera (largest city: Conrad)
- Powell (largest city: Deer Lodge)
- Prairie (largest city: Terry)
- Ravalli (largest city: Hamilton)
- Richland (largest city: Sidney)
- Rosebud (largest city: Colstrip)
- Dawson (Largest city: Glendive)
- Mineral (Largest city: Superior)
- Gallatin (largest city: Bozeman)
- Chouteau (largest municipality: Fort Benton)
- Sanders (largest city: Thompson Falls)
- Stillwater (largest city: Columbus)
- Teton (largest city: Choteau)
- Toole (largest city: Shelby)
- Wheatland (largest city: Harlowton)
- Wibaux (largest city: Wibaux)
References
[edit]- ^ "Montana Voter Turnout". Montana Secretary of State. Retrieved May 26, 2022.
- ^ a b "2008 Statewide Primary Canvass - June 3rd, 2008" (PDF). Montana Secretary of State. Archived from the original (PDF) on May 8, 2013. Retrieved July 2, 2014.
- ^ "2008 Governor Race ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved March 4, 2021.
- ^ "2008 Gubernatorial Ratings". Gubernatorial Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved May 25, 2021.
- ^ "THE LAST LAST WORD The Crystal Ball's Final Projections for the 2008 Election". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved December 25, 2021.
- ^ "2008 Montana Governor Race". RealClearPolitics. November 4, 2008. Retrieved March 5, 2021.
- ^ Public Policy Polling
- ^ Rasmussen Reports
- ^ The Mellman Group (D)
- ^ Rasmussen Reports
- ^ Rasmussen Reports
- ^ Mason Dixon/Lee Newspapers
- ^ Mason Dixon/Lee Newspapers
- ^ "2008 Statewide General Canvass - November 4th, 2008" (PDF). Montana Secretary of State. Archived from the original (PDF) on March 4, 2016. Retrieved July 2, 2014.
External links
[edit]- Campaign contributions from Follow the Money
- Brown (R) vs Schweitzer (D-i) graph of collected poll results from Pollster.com
- Roy Brown for Governor
- Brian Schweitzer for Governor