2019 Mississippi gubernatorial election: Difference between revisions
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{{Short description| |
{{Short description|none}} <!-- "none" is preferred when the title is already sufficiently detailed; see [[WP:SDNONE]] --> |
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{{ |
{{for|related races|2019 United States gubernatorial elections}} |
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{{Use mdy dates|date=September 2023}} |
{{Use mdy dates|date=September 2023}} |
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{{Infobox election |
{{Infobox election |
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| election_name = 2019 Mississippi gubernatorial election |
| election_name = 2019 Mississippi gubernatorial election |
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| next_year = 2023 |
| next_year = 2023 |
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| election_date = November 5, 2019 |
| election_date = November 5, 2019 |
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| image1 = |
| image1 = File:Tate Reeves 2019 (cropped).jpg |
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| nominee1 = '''[[Tate Reeves]]''' |
| nominee1 = '''[[Tate Reeves]]''' |
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| party1 = Republican Party (United States) |
| party1 = Republican Party (United States) |
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| percentage1 = '''51.91%''' |
| percentage1 = '''51.91%''' |
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| electoral_vote1 = '''73''' |
| electoral_vote1 = '''73''' |
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| image2 = |
| image2 = File:Jim Hood 2014 (cropped).jpg |
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| image_size = x150px |
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| nominee2 = [[Jim Hood]] |
| nominee2 = [[Jim Hood]] |
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| party2 = Democratic Party (United States) |
| party2 = Democratic Party (United States) |
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| percentage2 = 46.83% |
| percentage2 = 46.83% |
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| electoral_vote2 = 49 |
| electoral_vote2 = 49 |
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| map_caption = '''Reeves:''' {{legend0|#ffb2b2|40–50%}} {{legend0|#e27f7f|50–60%}} {{legend0|#d75d5d|60–70%}} {{legend0|#d72f30|70–80%}} {{legend0|#c21b18|80–90%}} {{legend0|#A80000|>90%}}<br/>'''Hood:''' {{legend0|#a5b0ff|40–50%}} {{legend0|#7996e2|50–60%}} {{legend0|#6674de|60–70%}} |
| map_caption = '''Reeves:''' {{legend0|#ffb2b2|40–50%}} {{legend0|#e27f7f|50–60%}} {{legend0|#d75d5d|60–70%}} {{legend0|#d72f30|70–80%}} {{legend0|#c21b18|80–90%}} {{legend0|#A80000|>90%}}<br />'''Hood:''' {{legend0|#a5b0ff|40–50%}} {{legend0|#7996e2|50–60%}} {{legend0|#6674de|60–70%}} |
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{{legend0|#584cde|70–80%}} {{legend0|#3933e5|80–90%}} {{legend0|#0d056c|>90%}} |
{{legend0|#584cde|70–80%}} {{legend0|#3933e5|80–90%}} {{legend0|#0d056c|>90%}} |
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| title = [[Governor of Mississippi|Governor]] |
| title = [[Governor of Mississippi|Governor]] |
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|County results |
|County results |
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|[[File:2019 Mississippi gubernatorial election results map by congressional district.svg|250px]] |
|[[File:2019 Mississippi gubernatorial election results map by congressional district.svg|250px]] |
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|Congressional district results |
|Congressional district results |[[file:2019 Mississippi Gubernatorial election by precinct.svg|250px]] |
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<!-- REMOVE CLIPPING SHORELINE FIRST PLEASE |[[file:2019GubernatorialPrecincts2.0.svg|260px]] |
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}} |
}} |
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| flag_year = 2001 |
| flag_year = 2001 |
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{{ElectionsMS}} |
{{ElectionsMS}} |
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The '''2019 Mississippi gubernatorial election''' took place on November 5, 2019, to choose the next [[List of governors of Mississippi| |
The '''2019 Mississippi gubernatorial election''' took place on November 5, 2019, to choose the next [[List of governors of Mississippi|governor of Mississippi]].<ref>{{cite web|url=https://www.sos.ms.gov/Elections-Voting/Documents/VoterInformationGuide.pdf|title=Mississippi Voter Information Guide|website=State of Mississippi – Secretary of State|access-date=2018-09-06|archive-date=2018-09-06|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180906233716/https://www.sos.ms.gov/Elections-Voting/Documents/VoterInformationGuide.pdf|url-status=dead}}</ref> Incumbent Governor [[Phil Bryant]] was ineligible to run for a third term due to [[term limit]]s. The [[Democratic Party (United States)|Democratic Party]] nominated incumbent Attorney General [[Jim Hood]], the only Democrat holding statewide office in Mississippi; the [[Republican Party (United States)|Republican Party]] nominated incumbent Lieutenant Governor [[Tate Reeves]]. In the general election, Reeves defeated Hood by a margin of 5.08%, with Reeves significantly underperforming [[Donald Trump]], who won the state by 17 points in [[2016 United States presidential election in Mississippi|2016]]. |
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==Background== |
==Background== |
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In the lead-up to the election, controversy emerged over these constitutional provisions establishing a state system of electoral votes, with a federal lawsuit claiming the provisions are racially biased.<ref name=":1">{{Cite news|url=https://www.npr.org/2019/09/24/763510668/black-voters-sue-over-mississippis-jim-crow-era-election-law|title=Black Voters Sue Over Mississippi's Jim Crow-Era Election Law|date=24 September 2019|work=NPR|access-date=2 October 2019}}</ref> These provisions were put in place with the 1890 Mississippi Constitution, itself established by the segregationist [[Redeemers]] and overturning the [[Reconstruction era|Reconstruction-era]] 1868 Constitution, as part of [[Jim Crow laws|Jim Crow Era]] policy to minimize the power of African Americans in politics.<ref name=":1" /> Because of this, as well as present [[gerrymandering]] that packs African Americans into a small number of districts, the plaintiffs claim the provisions should be struck down on the basis of racial bias.<ref name=":0" /> |
In the lead-up to the election, controversy emerged over these constitutional provisions establishing a state system of electoral votes, with a federal lawsuit claiming the provisions are racially biased.<ref name=":1">{{Cite news|url=https://www.npr.org/2019/09/24/763510668/black-voters-sue-over-mississippis-jim-crow-era-election-law|title=Black Voters Sue Over Mississippi's Jim Crow-Era Election Law|date=24 September 2019|work=NPR|access-date=2 October 2019}}</ref> These provisions were put in place with the 1890 Mississippi Constitution, itself established by the segregationist [[Redeemers]] and overturning the [[Reconstruction era|Reconstruction-era]] 1868 Constitution, as part of [[Jim Crow laws|Jim Crow Era]] policy to minimize the power of African Americans in politics.<ref name=":1" /> Because of this, as well as present [[gerrymandering]] that packs African Americans into a small number of districts, the plaintiffs claim the provisions should be struck down on the basis of racial bias.<ref name=":0" /> |
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On 3 November 2020 [[2020 Mississippi elections#Elimination of state electoral college|an amendment was passed]] removing the electoral college with 79% of the vote. |
On 3 November 2020, [[2020 Mississippi elections#Elimination of state electoral college|an amendment was passed]] removing the electoral college, with 79% of the vote. |
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==Republican primary== |
==Republican primary== |
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| title = Tate Reeves |
| title = Tate Reeves |
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| list = |
| list = |
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'''U.S. Presidents''' |
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* [[Donald Trump]], 45th president of the United States<ref>{{cite tweet|number=1188188567773822977|user=realDonaldTrump|first=Donald J.|last=Trump|title=MISSISSIPPI! There is a VERY important election for Governor on November 5th. I need you to get out and VOTE for our Great Republican nominee, @TateReeves. Tate is Strong on Crime, tough on Illegal Immigration, and will protect your Second Amendment....|date=2019-10-26}}</ref> |
* [[Donald Trump]], 45th president of the United States<ref>{{cite tweet|number=1188188567773822977|user=realDonaldTrump|first=Donald J.|last=Trump|title=MISSISSIPPI! There is a VERY important election for Governor on November 5th. I need you to get out and VOTE for our Great Republican nominee, @TateReeves. Tate is Strong on Crime, tough on Illegal Immigration, and will protect your Second Amendment....|date=2019-10-26}}</ref> |
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'''U.S. Representatives''' |
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*[[Steven Palazzo]] |
*[[Steven Palazzo]] (MS-04) |
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* [[Haley Barbour]], former governor of Mississippi<ref name="auto8">{{Cite web|url=https://www.wlbt.com/2019/08/20/former-governor-haley-barbour-among-those-supporting-tate-reeves-gop-gubernatorial-runoff/|title=Former Governor Haley Barbour among those supporting Tate Reeves in GOP Gubernatorial runoff|first=Courtney Ann|last=Jackson|website=WLBT News|date=21 August 2019 |access-date=November 14, 2019}}</ref> |
* [[Haley Barbour]], former governor of Mississippi<ref name="auto8">{{Cite web|url=https://www.wlbt.com/2019/08/20/former-governor-haley-barbour-among-those-supporting-tate-reeves-gop-gubernatorial-runoff/|title=Former Governor Haley Barbour among those supporting Tate Reeves in GOP Gubernatorial runoff|first=Courtney Ann|last=Jackson|website=WLBT News|date=21 August 2019 |access-date=November 14, 2019}}</ref> |
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*[[Sam Britton]], public service commissioner (Southern District) |
* [[Sam Britton]], public service commissioner (Southern District) |
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* [[Phil Bryant]], governor of Mississippi<ref name="auto4">{{cite news |url=https://www.wjtv.com/news/local-news/bryant-endorses-tate-reeves-for-governor/1796413140|title=Bryant endorses Tate Reeves for Governor|publisher=WJTV|access-date=February 20, 2019}}</ref> |
* [[Phil Bryant]], governor of Mississippi<ref name="auto4">{{cite news |url=https://www.wjtv.com/news/local-news/bryant-endorses-tate-reeves-for-governor/1796413140|title=Bryant endorses Tate Reeves for Governor|publisher=WJTV|access-date=February 20, 2019}}</ref> |
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* [[Pete Ricketts]], [[governor of Nebraska]]<ref name="auto1">{{Cite web|url=https://www.politico.com/amp/story/2019/08/27/tate-reeves-mississippi-governor-1476639|title=Reeves wins GOP nod for Mississippi governor|website=www.politico.com|date=27 August 2019 |access-date=November 14, 2019}}</ref> |
* [[Pete Ricketts]], [[governor of Nebraska]]<ref name="auto1">{{Cite web|url=https://www.politico.com/amp/story/2019/08/27/tate-reeves-mississippi-governor-1476639|title=Reeves wins GOP nod for Mississippi governor|website=www.politico.com|date=27 August 2019 |access-date=November 14, 2019}}</ref> |
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;State legislator |
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*[[Chris McDaniel]], Mississippi State Senator<ref name="auto2">{{cite web|url=https://www.clarionledger.com/story/news/politics/2019/08/15/chris-mcdaniel-endorses-tate-reeves-mississippi-governor/2022144001/|title=Once enemies, now allies: Chris McDaniel endorses Tate Reeves for Mississippi governor|work=[[The Clarion-Ledger]]|last=Bologna|first=Giacomo|date=August 15, 2019|access-date=August 27, 2019}}</ref> |
*[[Chris McDaniel]], Mississippi State Senator<ref name="auto2">{{cite web|url=https://www.clarionledger.com/story/news/politics/2019/08/15/chris-mcdaniel-endorses-tate-reeves-mississippi-governor/2022144001/|title=Once enemies, now allies: Chris McDaniel endorses Tate Reeves for Mississippi governor|work=[[The Clarion-Ledger]]|last=Bologna|first=Giacomo|date=August 15, 2019|access-date=August 27, 2019}}</ref> |
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'''Mayors''' |
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* Fofo Gilich, [[Biloxi, Mississippi]]<ref name="auto"/> |
* Fofo Gilich, [[Biloxi, Mississippi]]<ref name="auto"/> |
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* Hal Marx, [[Petal, Mississippi]] |
* Hal Marx, [[Petal, Mississippi]] |
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* Rusty Quave, [[D'Iberville, Mississippi]]<ref name="auto"/> |
* Rusty Quave, [[D'Iberville, Mississippi]]<ref name="auto"/> |
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* Mike Smith, [[Waveland, Mississippi]]<ref name="auto">{{cite news |url=https://www.wxxv25.com/2019/02/25/local-mayors-endorse-lt-gov-tate-reeves-governor/|title=Local Mayors Endorse Lt. Gov. Tate Reeves for Governor|publisher=WXXV25|access-date=February 25, 2019}}</ref> |
* Mike Smith, [[Waveland, Mississippi]]<ref name="auto">{{cite news |url=https://www.wxxv25.com/2019/02/25/local-mayors-endorse-lt-gov-tate-reeves-governor/|title=Local Mayors Endorse Lt. Gov. Tate Reeves for Governor|publisher=WXXV25|access-date=February 25, 2019}}</ref> |
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'''Organizations''' |
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* [[Americans for Prosperity]] Action<ref name="auto3">{{cite web|url=https://www.yallpolitics.com/2019/06/13/americans-for-prosperity-action-endorses-tate-reeves-for-governor/|title=Americans for Prosperity Action Endorses Tate Reeves for Governor|work=Yall Politics|last=Ulmer|first=Sarah|date=June 13, 2019|access-date=August 6, 2019|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20190617200132/https://www.yallpolitics.com/2019/06/13/americans-for-prosperity-action-endorses-tate-reeves-for-governor/|archive-date=June 17, 2019|url-status=live}}</ref> |
* [[Americans for Prosperity]] Action<ref name="auto3">{{cite web|url=https://www.yallpolitics.com/2019/06/13/americans-for-prosperity-action-endorses-tate-reeves-for-governor/|title=Americans for Prosperity Action Endorses Tate Reeves for Governor|work=Yall Politics|last=Ulmer|first=Sarah|date=June 13, 2019|access-date=August 6, 2019|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20190617200132/https://www.yallpolitics.com/2019/06/13/americans-for-prosperity-action-endorses-tate-reeves-for-governor/|archive-date=June 17, 2019|url-status=live}}</ref> |
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* Mississippi Manufacturers Association<ref name="auto6">{{cite web|url=https://www.yallpolitics.com/2019/06/03/tate-reeves-endorsed-by-mississippi-manufacturers-association/|title=Tate Reeves endorsed by Mississippi Manufacturers Association|work=Yall Politics|last=Ulmer|first=Sarah|date=June 3, 2019|access-date=August 6, 2019|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20190807003726/https://www.yallpolitics.com/2019/06/03/tate-reeves-endorsed-by-mississippi-manufacturers-association/|archive-date=Aug 7, 2019|url-status=live}}</ref> |
* Mississippi Manufacturers Association<ref name="auto6">{{cite web|url=https://www.yallpolitics.com/2019/06/03/tate-reeves-endorsed-by-mississippi-manufacturers-association/|title=Tate Reeves endorsed by Mississippi Manufacturers Association|work=Yall Politics|last=Ulmer|first=Sarah|date=June 3, 2019|access-date=August 6, 2019|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20190807003726/https://www.yallpolitics.com/2019/06/03/tate-reeves-endorsed-by-mississippi-manufacturers-association/|archive-date=Aug 7, 2019|url-status=live}}</ref> |
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* Mississippi [[National Right to Life Committee|Right to Life]] PAC<ref name="auto7">{{cite web|url=https://www.yallpolitics.com/2019/07/22/tate-reeves-endorsed-by-mississippi-right-to-life-pac/|title=Tate Reeves endorsed by Mississippi Right to Life PAC|work=Yall Politics|last=Ulmer|first=Sarah|date=July 22, 2019|access-date=August 6, 2019|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20190806162217/https://www.yallpolitics.com/2019/07/22/tate-reeves-endorsed-by-mississippi-right-to-life-pac/|archive-date=Aug 6, 2019|url-status=live}}</ref> |
* Mississippi [[National Right to Life Committee|Right to Life]] PAC<ref name="auto7">{{cite web|url=https://www.yallpolitics.com/2019/07/22/tate-reeves-endorsed-by-mississippi-right-to-life-pac/|title=Tate Reeves endorsed by Mississippi Right to Life PAC|work=Yall Politics|last=Ulmer|first=Sarah|date=July 22, 2019|access-date=August 6, 2019|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20190806162217/https://www.yallpolitics.com/2019/07/22/tate-reeves-endorsed-by-mississippi-right-to-life-pac/|archive-date=Aug 6, 2019|url-status=live}}</ref> |
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* [[Political Victory Fund|NRA Political Victory Fund]]<ref name="NRA-ILA">{{cite web|url=https://www.nraila.org/articles/20190709/nra-endorses-tate-reeves-for-governor-of-mississippi|title=NRA Endorses Tate Reeves for Governor of Mississippi|publisher=NRA ILA|date=July 9, 2019|access-date=July 13, 2019|archive-date=July 13, 2019|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20190713093000/https://www.nraila.org/articles/20190709/nra-endorses-tate-reeves-for-governor-of-mississippi|url-status=dead|quote=The National Rifle Association Political Victory Fund (NRA-PVF) today announced its endorsement of Tate Reeves for governor in the 2019 Mississippi primary election.}}</ref> |
* [[Political Victory Fund|NRA Political Victory Fund]]<ref name="NRA-ILA">{{cite web|url=https://www.nraila.org/articles/20190709/nra-endorses-tate-reeves-for-governor-of-mississippi|title=NRA Endorses Tate Reeves for Governor of Mississippi|publisher=NRA ILA|date=July 9, 2019|access-date=July 13, 2019|archive-date=July 13, 2019|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20190713093000/https://www.nraila.org/articles/20190709/nra-endorses-tate-reeves-for-governor-of-mississippi|url-status=dead|quote=The National Rifle Association Political Victory Fund (NRA-PVF) today announced its endorsement of Tate Reeves for governor in the 2019 Mississippi primary election.}}</ref> |
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'''Individuals''' |
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* [[Brett Favre]], Super Bowl champion<ref name="auto10">{{cite web|url=https://www.wlbt.com/2019/08/06/mississippi-native-brett-favre-endorses-tate-reeves-governor/|title=Mississippi native Brett Favre endorses Tate Reeves for governor|work=[[WLBT]]|last=Carter|first=Josh|date=August 5, 2019|access-date=August 6, 2019|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20190806161804/https://www.wlbt.com/2019/08/06/mississippi-native-brett-favre-endorses-tate-reeves-governor|archive-date=Aug 6, 2019|url-status=live}}</ref> |
* [[Brett Favre]], Super Bowl champion<ref name="auto10">{{cite web|url=https://www.wlbt.com/2019/08/06/mississippi-native-brett-favre-endorses-tate-reeves-governor/|title=Mississippi native Brett Favre endorses Tate Reeves for governor|work=[[WLBT]]|last=Carter|first=Josh|date=August 5, 2019|access-date=August 6, 2019|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20190806161804/https://www.wlbt.com/2019/08/06/mississippi-native-brett-favre-endorses-tate-reeves-governor|archive-date=Aug 6, 2019|url-status=live}}</ref> |
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* [[Jake Mangum]], professional baseball outfielder<ref name="auto9">{{cite web|url=https://twitter.com/jakemangum15/status/1166177328025784320|title=@tatereeves for Mississippi Governor!|work=Twitter|author=Jake Mangum}}</ref> |
* [[Jake Mangum]], professional baseball outfielder<ref name="auto9">{{cite web|url=https://twitter.com/jakemangum15/status/1166177328025784320|title=@tatereeves for Mississippi Governor!|work=Twitter|author=Jake Mangum}}</ref> |
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| title = Bill Waller Jr. |
| title = Bill Waller Jr. |
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| list = |
| list = |
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'''State legislators''' |
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* [[Robert Foster (politician)|Robert Foster]], former candidate for governor (endorsed in run-off election)<ref>{{cite news |url=https://www.clarionledger.com/story/news/politics/2019/08/13/robert-foster-endorses-bill-waller-ahead-republican-governor-runoff/1996147001/|title=Robert Foster endorses Bill Waller ahead of Mississippi governor primary runoff|publisher=Clairon-Ledger|access-date=August 13, 2019}}</ref> |
* [[Robert Foster (politician)|Robert Foster]], former candidate for governor (endorsed in run-off election)<ref>{{cite news |url=https://www.clarionledger.com/story/news/politics/2019/08/13/robert-foster-endorses-bill-waller-ahead-republican-governor-runoff/1996147001/|title=Robert Foster endorses Bill Waller ahead of Mississippi governor primary runoff|publisher=Clairon-Ledger|access-date=August 13, 2019}}</ref> |
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'''Individuals''' |
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* Dan Fordice, son of former Governor [[Kirk Fordice]]<ref>{{cite news |url=https://www.yallpolitics.com/2019/05/14/gubernatorial-hopefuls-reeves-and-waller-reveal-newest-endorsements//|title=Gubernatorial hopefuls Reeves and Waller reveal newest endorsements|publisher=WXXV25|access-date=May 14, 2019}}</ref> |
* Dan Fordice, son of former Governor [[Kirk Fordice]]<ref>{{cite news |url=https://www.yallpolitics.com/2019/05/14/gubernatorial-hopefuls-reeves-and-waller-reveal-newest-endorsements//|title=Gubernatorial hopefuls Reeves and Waller reveal newest endorsements|publisher=WXXV25|access-date=May 14, 2019}}</ref> |
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* Billy Mounger, former [[Mississippi Republican Party]] chairman<ref name="chairs"/> |
* Billy Mounger, former [[Mississippi Republican Party]] chairman<ref name="chairs"/> |
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|- valign=bottom |
|- valign=bottom |
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! Poll source |
! Poll source |
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! Date(s)<br>administered |
! Date(s)<br />administered |
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! Sample<br>size{{efn|name=key}} |
! Sample<br />size{{efn|name=key}} |
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! Margin<br>of error |
! Margin<br />of error |
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! style="width:60px;"| Robert<br>Foster |
! style="width:60px;"| Robert<br />Foster |
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! style="width:60px;"| Tate<br>Reeves |
! style="width:60px;"| Tate<br />Reeves |
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! style="width:60px;"| Bill<br>Waller Jr. |
! style="width:60px;"| Bill<br />Waller Jr. |
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! Undecided |
! Undecided |
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|- |
|- |
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| style="text-align:left;"| [https://mississippitoday.org/2019/07/30/poll-signals-runoff-in-gop-governors-primary-setting-the-stage-for-high-stakes-moments-at-neshoba/ Mason-Dixon] |
| style="text-align:left;"|[[Mason-Dixon Polling & Research Inc.|Mason-Dixon]]<ref>[https://mississippitoday.org/2019/07/30/poll-signals-runoff-in-gop-governors-primary-setting-the-stage-for-high-stakes-moments-at-neshoba/ Mason-Dixon]</ref> |
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| July 24–27, 2019 |
| July 24–27, 2019 |
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| 500 |
| 500 |
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| 15% |
| 15% |
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|- |
|- |
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| style="text-align:left;"| [https://www.yallpolitics.com/2019/06/25/new-yall-politics-poll-shows-tate-reeves-leading-primary-and-general-election-ballots/ Impact Management Group] |
| style="text-align:left;"|[[Impact Management Group]]<ref name="Impact Management Group">[https://www.yallpolitics.com/2019/06/25/new-yall-politics-poll-shows-tate-reeves-leading-primary-and-general-election-ballots/ Impact Management Group]</ref> |
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| June 10–14, 2019 |
| June 10–14, 2019 |
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| 354 |
| 354 |
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| 28% |
| 28% |
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|- |
|- |
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| style="text-align:left;"| [https://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/Mason_Dixon_MS_Gov_2_5_2019.pdf Mason-Dixon] |
| style="text-align:left;"|[[Mason-Dixon Polling & Research Inc.|Mason-Dixon]]<ref name="Mason-Dixon">[https://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/Mason_Dixon_MS_Gov_2_5_2019.pdf Mason-Dixon]</ref> |
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| January 30 – February 1, 2019 |
| January 30 – February 1, 2019 |
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| 400 |
| 400 |
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|- valign=bottom |
|- valign=bottom |
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! Poll source |
! Poll source |
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! Date(s)<br>administered |
! Date(s)<br />administered |
||
! Sample<br>size |
! Sample<br />size |
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! Margin<br>of error |
! Margin<br />of error |
||
! style="width:60px;"| Lynn<br>Fitch |
! style="width:60px;"| Lynn<br />Fitch |
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! style="width:60px;"| Tate<br>Reeves |
! style="width:60px;"| Tate<br />Reeves |
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! Undecided |
! Undecided |
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|- |
|- |
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| style="text-align:left;"| [http://winwithjmc.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/02/Mississippi-Executive-Summary-1.pdf JMC Analytics] |
| style="text-align:left;"|[[JMC Analytics]]<ref>[http://winwithjmc.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/02/Mississippi-Executive-Summary-1.pdf JMC Analytics]</ref> |
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| February 15–17, 2018 |
| February 15–17, 2018 |
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| 500 |
| 500 |
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| {{party shading/Undecided}}| '''67%''' |
| {{party shading/Undecided}}| '''67%''' |
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|- |
|- |
||
| style="text-align:left;"| [https://www.scribd.com/document/367675621/Mason-Dixon-MS-Poll-Part-2 Mason-Dixon] |
| style="text-align:left;"|[[Mason-Dixon Polling & Research Inc.|Mason-Dixon]]<ref name="scribd.com">[https://www.scribd.com/document/367675621/Mason-Dixon-MS-Poll-Part-2 Mason-Dixon]</ref> |
||
| December 13–15, 2017 |
| December 13–15, 2017 |
||
| 400 |
| 400 |
||
Line 297: | Line 306: | ||
| title = Jim Hood |
| title = Jim Hood |
||
| list = |
| list = |
||
'''U.S. Executive Branch officials''' |
|||
* [[Ray Mabus]], 75th [[United States secretary of the Navy]] and former governor of Mississippi{{citation needed|date=January 2023}} |
* [[Ray Mabus]], 75th [[United States secretary of the Navy]] and former governor of Mississippi{{citation needed|date=January 2023}} |
||
'''Statewide officials'''<br /> |
|||
<!--* [[Mike Moore (American politician)|Mike Moore]], former [[attorney general of Mississippi]]{{citation needed|date=January 2023}}--> |
<!--* [[Mike Moore (American politician)|Mike Moore]], former [[attorney general of Mississippi]]{{citation needed|date=January 2023}}--> |
||
'''State legislators''' |
|||
* [[Earle S. Banks]], Mississippi state representative{{citation needed|date=January 2023}} |
* [[Earle S. Banks]], Mississippi state representative{{citation needed|date=January 2023}} |
||
* Chris Bell, Mississippi state representative{{citation needed|date=January 2023}} |
* Chris Bell, Mississippi state representative{{citation needed|date=January 2023}} |
||
Line 313: | Line 322: | ||
|- valign=bottom |
|- valign=bottom |
||
! Poll source |
! Poll source |
||
! Date(s)<br>administered |
! Date(s)<br />administered |
||
! Sample<br>size{{efn|name=key}} |
! Sample<br />size{{efn|name=key}} |
||
! Margin<br>of error |
! Margin<br />of error |
||
! style="width:60px;"| Jim<br>Hood |
! style="width:60px;"| Jim<br />Hood |
||
! style="width:60px;"| Robert<br>{{nowrap|Shuler Smith}} |
! style="width:60px;"| Robert<br />{{nowrap|Shuler Smith}} |
||
! Undecided |
! Undecided |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| style="text-align:left;"| [https://yallpolitics.com/2018/02/09/new-yall-politics-poll-of-ms-dems-shows-jim-hood-is-potentially-vulnerable-in-a-primary/ Triumph Campaigns] |
| style="text-align:left;"|[[Triumph Campaigns]]<ref name="Triumph Campaigns">[https://yallpolitics.com/2018/02/09/new-yall-politics-poll-of-ms-dems-shows-jim-hood-is-potentially-vulnerable-in-a-primary/ Triumph Campaigns]</ref> |
||
| January 29, 2018 |
| January 29, 2018 |
||
| 2,145 |
| 2,145 |
||
Line 332: | Line 341: | ||
|- valign=bottom |
|- valign=bottom |
||
! Poll source |
! Poll source |
||
! Date(s)<br>administered |
! Date(s)<br />administered |
||
! Sample<br>size{{efn|name=key}} |
! Sample<br />size{{efn|name=key}} |
||
! Margin<br>of error |
! Margin<br />of error |
||
! style="width:60px;"| Jim<br>Hood |
! style="width:60px;"| Jim<br />Hood |
||
! style="width:60px;"| {{nowrap|Chokwe Antar}}<br>Lumumba |
! style="width:60px;"| {{nowrap|Chokwe Antar}}<br />Lumumba |
||
! Undecided |
! Undecided |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| style="text-align:left;"| |
| style="text-align:left;"|[[Triumph Campaigns]]<ref name="Triumph Campaigns"/> |
||
| January 29, 2018 |
| January 29, 2018 |
||
| 2,145 |
| 2,145 |
||
Line 456: | Line 465: | ||
|- |
|- |
||
|October 10, 2019 |
|October 10, 2019 |
||
|[[University of Southern Mississippi]]<br><small>'''[[Hattiesburg, Mississippi|Hattiesburg]]'''</small> |
|[[University of Southern Mississippi]]<br /><small>'''[[Hattiesburg, Mississippi|Hattiesburg]]'''</small> |
||
|Participant |
|Participant |
||
|Participant |
|Participant |
||
| align=left | |
| align=left |<ref>[https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=30RJ89G1l6Q]</ref> |
||
|- |
|- |
||
|October 14, 2019 |
|October 14, 2019 |
||
|[[WCBI-TV|WCBI |
|[[WCBI-TV|WCBI |
||
Studios]]<br><small>'''[[Columbus, Mississippi|Columbus]]'''</small> |
Studios]]<br /><small>'''[[Columbus, Mississippi|Columbus]]'''</small> |
||
|Participant |
|Participant |
||
|Participant |
|Participant |
||
| align=left | |
| align=left |<ref>[https://www.wcbi.com/lt-gov-tate-reeves-g-jim-hood-face-off-gubernatorial-debate-hosted-wcbi/]</ref> |
||
|} |
|} |
||
Line 473: | Line 482: | ||
| title = Tate Reeves (R) |
| title = Tate Reeves (R) |
||
| list = |
| list = |
||
'''U.S. Executive Branch officials''' |
|||
* [[Mike Pence]], 48th [[vice president of the United States]]<ref>{{cite web|url=https://twitter.com/mike_pence/status/1191463467150036992|title=Mike Pence on Twitter|work=Twitter|author=Mike Pence}}</ref> |
* [[Mike Pence]], 48th [[vice president of the United States]]<ref>{{cite web|url=https://twitter.com/mike_pence/status/1191463467150036992|title=Mike Pence on Twitter|work=Twitter|author=Mike Pence}}</ref> |
||
* [[Donald Trump]], 45th [[president of the United States]]<ref>{{cite web|url=https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/1179538517992595458|title=Donald J. Trump on Twitter|work=Twitter|author=Donald J. Trump}}</ref><ref>{{cite web|url=https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/1179538518873448451|title=Donald J. Trump on Twitter|work=Twitter|author=Donald J. Trump}}</ref> |
* [[Donald Trump]], 45th [[president of the United States]]<ref>{{cite web|url=https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/1179538517992595458|title=Donald J. Trump on Twitter|work=Twitter|author=Donald J. Trump}}</ref><ref>{{cite web|url=https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/1179538518873448451|title=Donald J. Trump on Twitter|work=Twitter|author=Donald J. Trump}}</ref> |
||
'''Members of Congress''' |
|||
* [[Cindy Hyde-Smith]], U.S. senator (R-MS)<ref>{{cite web|url=https://twitter.com/cindyhydesmith/status/1191456331603103744|title=Cindy Hyde-Smith on Twitter|work=Twitter|author=Cindy Hyde-Smith}}</ref> |
* [[Cindy Hyde-Smith]], U.S. senator (R-MS)<ref>{{cite web|url=https://twitter.com/cindyhydesmith/status/1191456331603103744|title=Cindy Hyde-Smith on Twitter|work=Twitter|author=Cindy Hyde-Smith}}</ref> |
||
* [[Trent Kelly]], U.S. representative (R-MS)<ref>{{Cite web|url=https://twitter.com/tatereeves/status/1164634977264427011|title=This race is about conservative values—keeping more of your hard-earned money to provide for your family. I am the only true conservative running for Gov, and the people of DeSoto Co know it. I am honored to have the support of Bruce Prewett, @RepTrentKelly, and so many in NW MS!|first=Tate|last=Reeves|date=August 22, 2019|access-date=November 14, 2019}}</ref> |
* [[Trent Kelly]], U.S. representative (R-MS)<ref>{{Cite web|url=https://twitter.com/tatereeves/status/1164634977264427011|title=This race is about conservative values—keeping more of your hard-earned money to provide for your family. I am the only true conservative running for Gov, and the people of DeSoto Co know it. I am honored to have the support of Bruce Prewett, @RepTrentKelly, and so many in NW MS!|first=Tate|last=Reeves|date=August 22, 2019|access-date=November 14, 2019}}</ref> |
||
* [[Roger Wicker]], U.S. senator (R-MS)<ref>{{cite web|url=https://twitter.com/RogerWicker/status/1191750323867656192|title=Roger Wicker on Twitter|work=Twitter|author=Roger Wicker}}</ref> |
* [[Roger Wicker]], U.S. senator (R-MS)<ref>{{cite web|url=https://twitter.com/RogerWicker/status/1191750323867656192|title=Roger Wicker on Twitter|work=Twitter|author=Roger Wicker}}</ref> |
||
'''Statewide officials''' |
|||
* [[Haley Barbour]], former [[governor of Mississippi]]<ref name="auto8"/> |
* [[Haley Barbour]], former [[governor of Mississippi]]<ref name="auto8"/> |
||
* [[Phil Bryant]], governor of Mississippi<ref name="auto4"/> |
* [[Phil Bryant]], governor of Mississippi<ref name="auto4"/> |
||
* [[Jeb Bush]], former [[List of governors of Florida|governor of Florida]]<ref>{{Cite web|url=https://www.clarionledger.com/story/news/politics/2019/09/17/jeb-bush-headed-mississippi-pricey-tate-reeves-fundraiser/2351735001/|title=Jeb Bush headed to North Mississippi for Tate Reeves fundraiser|first=Luke|last=Ramseth|website=The Clarion Ledger|access-date=November 14, 2019}}</ref> |
* [[Jeb Bush]], former [[List of governors of Florida|governor of Florida]]<ref>{{Cite web|url=https://www.clarionledger.com/story/news/politics/2019/09/17/jeb-bush-headed-mississippi-pricey-tate-reeves-fundraiser/2351735001/|title=Jeb Bush headed to North Mississippi for Tate Reeves fundraiser|first=Luke|last=Ramseth|website=The Clarion Ledger|access-date=November 14, 2019}}</ref> |
||
* [[Pete Ricketts]], [[governor of Nebraska]]<ref name="auto1"/> |
* [[Pete Ricketts]], [[governor of Nebraska]]<ref name="auto1"/> |
||
⚫ | |||
⚫ | |||
* [[Robert Foster (politician)|Robert Foster]], Mississippi state representative |
* [[Robert Foster (politician)|Robert Foster]], Mississippi state representative |
||
* [[Chris Johnson (Mississippi politician)|Chris Johnson]], Mississippi state representative |
* [[Chris Johnson (Mississippi politician)|Chris Johnson]], Mississippi state representative |
||
* [[Chris McDaniel]], Mississippi state senator<ref name="auto2"/> |
* [[Chris McDaniel]], Mississippi state senator<ref name="auto2"/> |
||
* [[John A. Polk]], Mississippi state senator |
* [[John A. Polk]], Mississippi state senator |
||
'''Mayors''' |
|||
* Fofo Gilich, [[Biloxi, Mississippi]]<ref name="auto"/> |
* Fofo Gilich, [[Biloxi, Mississippi]]<ref name="auto"/> |
||
* Hal Marx, [[Petal, Mississippi]] |
* Hal Marx, [[Petal, Mississippi]] |
||
Line 497: | Line 510: | ||
* Rusty Quave, [[D'Iberville, Mississippi]]<ref name="auto"/> |
* Rusty Quave, [[D'Iberville, Mississippi]]<ref name="auto"/> |
||
* Mike Smith, [[Waveland, Mississippi]]<ref name="auto"/> |
* Mike Smith, [[Waveland, Mississippi]]<ref name="auto"/> |
||
'''Organizations''' |
|||
* [[Americans for Prosperity]] Action<ref name="auto3"/> |
* [[Americans for Prosperity]] Action<ref name="auto3"/> |
||
* Mississippi Manufacturers Association<ref name="auto6"/> |
* Mississippi Manufacturers Association<ref name="auto6"/> |
||
* Mississippi [[National Right to Life Committee|Right to Life]] PAC<ref name="auto7"/> |
* Mississippi [[National Right to Life Committee|Right to Life]] PAC<ref name="auto7"/> |
||
* [[Political Victory Fund|NRA Political Victory Fund]]<ref name="NRA-ILA"/> |
* [[Political Victory Fund|NRA Political Victory Fund]]<ref name="NRA-ILA"/> |
||
'''Individuals''' |
|||
* [[Brett Favre]], Super Bowl champion<ref name="auto10"/> |
* [[Brett Favre]], Super Bowl champion<ref name="auto10"/> |
||
* [[Jake Mangum]], professional baseball outfielder<ref name="auto9"/> |
* [[Jake Mangum]], professional baseball outfielder<ref name="auto9"/> |
||
Line 510: | Line 525: | ||
| title = Jim Hood (D) |
| title = Jim Hood (D) |
||
| list = |
| list = |
||
'''U.S. Executive Branch officials''' |
|||
* [[Ray Mabus]], 75th [[United States secretary of the Navy]] and former governor of Mississippi |
* [[Ray Mabus]], 75th [[United States secretary of the Navy]] and former governor of Mississippi |
||
* [[Barack Obama]], 44th [[president of the United States]]<ref>{{cite web |last1=Bedillion |first1=Caleb |title=Barack Obama throws support to Jim Hood on election eve |url=https://www.djournal.com/news/state-news/barack-obama-throws-support-to-jim-hood-on-election-eve/article_5e4e12b2-dded-51c9-b422-a44f57daa20b.html |website=Daily Journal |date=5 November 2019 |language=en}}</ref> |
* [[Barack Obama]], 44th [[president of the United States]]<ref>{{cite web |last1=Bedillion |first1=Caleb |title=Barack Obama throws support to Jim Hood on election eve |url=https://www.djournal.com/news/state-news/barack-obama-throws-support-to-jim-hood-on-election-eve/article_5e4e12b2-dded-51c9-b422-a44f57daa20b.html |website=Daily Journal |date=5 November 2019 |language=en}}</ref> |
||
'''Statewide officials''' |
|||
* [[John Bel Edwards]], [[List of governors of Louisiana|governor of Louisiana]]<ref>{{Cite web|url=https://www.theadvocate.com/baton_rouge/news/politics/elections/article_cedde14c-8929-11e9-960d-df53ad20043e.html|title=Gov. Edwards to attend fundraiser for another Deep South anti-abortion Democrat, Jim Hood|first=Sam|last=Karlin|website=The Advocate|date=7 June 2019 |access-date=November 14, 2019}}</ref> |
* [[John Bel Edwards]], [[List of governors of Louisiana|governor of Louisiana]]<ref>{{Cite web|url=https://www.theadvocate.com/baton_rouge/news/politics/elections/article_cedde14c-8929-11e9-960d-df53ad20043e.html|title=Gov. Edwards to attend fundraiser for another Deep South anti-abortion Democrat, Jim Hood|first=Sam|last=Karlin|website=The Advocate|date=7 June 2019 |access-date=November 14, 2019}}</ref> |
||
<!-- NO PROOF OF ENDORSEMNENT, NEEDS CITATION |
<!-- NO PROOF OF ENDORSEMNENT, NEEDS CITATION |
||
* [[Mike Moore (American politician)|Mike Moore]], former [[Mississippi Attorney General|attorney general of Mississippi]] |
* [[Mike Moore (American politician)|Mike Moore]], former [[Mississippi Attorney General|attorney general of Mississippi]] |
||
--> |
--> |
||
⚫ | |||
'''State legislators''' |
|||
* [[Stacey Abrams]], [[2018 Georgia gubernatorial election|2018]] Democratic nominee for governor of Georgia, former minority leader of the [[Georgia House of Representatives]]<ref>{{Cite web|url=https://m.washingtontimes.com/news/2019/sep/2/stacey-abrams-passes-on-2020-run-turns-focus-to-vo/|title=Stacey Abrams passes on 2020 run, turns focus to voter access with Fair Fight|website=The Washington Times|access-date=November 14, 2019}}</ref> |
* [[Stacey Abrams]], [[2018 Georgia gubernatorial election|2018]] Democratic nominee for governor of Georgia, former minority leader of the [[Georgia House of Representatives]]<ref>{{Cite web|url=https://m.washingtontimes.com/news/2019/sep/2/stacey-abrams-passes-on-2020-run-turns-focus-to-vo/|title=Stacey Abrams passes on 2020 run, turns focus to voter access with Fair Fight|website=The Washington Times|access-date=November 14, 2019}}</ref> |
||
* [[Earle S. Banks]], Mississippi state representative |
* [[Earle S. Banks]], Mississippi state representative |
||
Line 525: | Line 542: | ||
* [[Jarvis Dortch]], Mississippi state representative |
* [[Jarvis Dortch]], Mississippi state representative |
||
* [[Sollie Norwood]], Mississippi state senator |
* [[Sollie Norwood]], Mississippi state senator |
||
'''Mayors''' |
|||
* Jason Shelton, mayor of [[Tupelo, Mississippi|Tupelo]]<ref>{{Cite web|url=https://www.djournal.com/opinion/jason-shelton-mayor-endorses-jim-hood-for-governor/article_7fa5a099-1117-530e-8a60-00d28cba324c.html|title=Jason Shelton: Mayor endorses Jim Hood for governor|website=Daily Journal|date=21 October 2019 |access-date=November 14, 2019}}</ref> |
* Jason Shelton, mayor of [[Tupelo, Mississippi|Tupelo]]<ref>{{Cite web|url=https://www.djournal.com/opinion/jason-shelton-mayor-endorses-jim-hood-for-governor/article_7fa5a099-1117-530e-8a60-00d28cba324c.html|title=Jason Shelton: Mayor endorses Jim Hood for governor|website=Daily Journal|date=21 October 2019 |access-date=November 14, 2019}}</ref> |
||
'''Organizations''' |
|||
* [[Democratic Governors Association]]<ref>{{Cite web|url=https://democraticgovernors.org/mississippi/dga-statement-on-jim-hoods-primary-victory-in-mississippi/|title=DGA Statement On Jim Hood's Primary Victory In Mississippi|date=August 7, 2019|website=Democratic Governors Association|access-date=November 14, 2019}}</ref> |
* [[Democratic Governors Association]]<ref>{{Cite web|url=https://democraticgovernors.org/mississippi/dga-statement-on-jim-hoods-primary-victory-in-mississippi/|title=DGA Statement On Jim Hood's Primary Victory In Mississippi|date=August 7, 2019|website=Democratic Governors Association|access-date=November 14, 2019}}</ref> |
||
* Mississippi Association of Educators <ref>{{Cite web | url=https://yallpolitics.com/2019/09/24/mississippi-association-of-educators-endorses-jim-hood-for-governor/ |title = Mississippi Association of Educators endorses Jim Hood for governor|date = 24 September 2019}}</ref> |
* Mississippi Association of Educators <ref>{{Cite web | url=https://yallpolitics.com/2019/09/24/mississippi-association-of-educators-endorses-jim-hood-for-governor/ |title = Mississippi Association of Educators endorses Jim Hood for governor|date = 24 September 2019}}</ref> |
||
'''Individuals''' |
|||
* [[Grey DeLisle]], voice actress and activist<ref>{{cite web |last1=DeLisle |first1=Grey |title=#Beshear in #Kentucky and #Hood in #Mississippi #VoteBlueToSaveAmerica|url=https://twitter.com/GreyDeLisle/status/1191832563075051520|website=Twitter |date=November 5, 2019}}</ref> |
* [[Grey DeLisle]], voice actress and activist<ref>{{cite web |last1=DeLisle |first1=Grey |title=#Beshear in #Kentucky and #Hood in #Mississippi #VoteBlueToSaveAmerica|url=https://twitter.com/GreyDeLisle/status/1191832563075051520|website=Twitter |date=November 5, 2019}}</ref> |
||
}} |
}} |
||
Line 566: | Line 584: | ||
|- valign=bottom |
|- valign=bottom |
||
! Poll source |
! Poll source |
||
! Date(s)<br>administered |
! Date(s)<br />administered |
||
! Sample<br>size{{efn|name=key|Key:<br>A – all adults<br>RV – registered voters<br>LV – likely voters<br>V – unclear}} |
! Sample<br />size{{efn|name=key|Key:<br />A – all adults<br />RV – registered voters<br />LV – likely voters<br />V – unclear}} |
||
! Margin<br>of error |
! Margin<br />of error |
||
! style="width:100px;"| Tate<br>Reeves (R) |
! style="width:100px;"| Tate<br />Reeves (R) |
||
! style="width:100px;"| Jim<br>Hood (D) |
! style="width:100px;"| Jim<br />Hood (D) |
||
! style="width:100px;"| David<br>Singletary (I) |
! style="width:100px;"| David<br />Singletary (I) |
||
! style="width:100px;"| Bob<br>{{nowrap|Hickingbottom (C)}} |
! style="width:100px;"| Bob<br />{{nowrap|Hickingbottom (C)}} |
||
! Undecided |
! Undecided |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| style="text-align:left;"| [https://www.scribd.com/document/432021889/NBC-News-SurveyMonkey-Mississippi-Poll-10-25 NBC/Survey Monkey] |
| style="text-align:left;"|[[NBC]]/[[Survey Monkey]]<ref>[https://www.scribd.com/document/432021889/NBC-News-SurveyMonkey-Mississippi-Poll-10-25 NBC/Survey Monkey]</ref> |
||
| October 8–22, 2019 |
| October 8–22, 2019 |
||
| 1,002 (RV) |
| 1,002 (RV) |
||
Line 586: | Line 604: | ||
|- |
|- |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| style="text-align:left;"| [https://www.targoz.com/market-matters-blog/2019/10/24/pollsmart-mr-polls-for-kentucky-and-mississippi Targoz Market Research] |
| style="text-align:left;"|[[Targoz Market Research]]<ref>[https://www.targoz.com/market-matters-blog/2019/10/24/pollsmart-mr-polls-for-kentucky-and-mississippi Targoz Market Research]</ref> |
||
| October 13–20, 2019 |
| October 13–20, 2019 |
||
| 384 (LV) |
| 384 (LV) |
||
Line 596: | Line 614: | ||
| 7% |
| 7% |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| style="text-align:left;"| [https://www.politico.com/f/?id=0000016d-f54a-d909-abff-f56b65530001 Mason-Dixon] |
| style="text-align:left;"|[[Mason-Dixon Polling & Research Inc.|Mason-Dixon]]<ref>[https://www.politico.com/f/?id=0000016d-f54a-d909-abff-f56b65530001 Mason-Dixon]</ref> |
||
| October 17–19, 2019 |
| October 17–19, 2019 |
||
| 625 (LV) |
| 625 (LV) |
||
Line 606: | Line 624: | ||
| 9% |
| 9% |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| style="text-align:left;"|[https://web.archive.org/web/20191023143420/https://mightymail.gorillawebstudio.com/t/ViewEmail/r/C0AEB0EB935FFAE52540EF23F30FEDED/5695D885DB70E6EFCE63909E3969C05F Hickman Analytics] |
| style="text-align:left;"|[[Hickman Analytics]]<ref>[https://web.archive.org/web/20191023143420/https://mightymail.gorillawebstudio.com/t/ViewEmail/r/C0AEB0EB935FFAE52540EF23F30FEDED/5695D885DB70E6EFCE63909E3969C05F Hickman Analytics]</ref> |
||
| October 13–16, 2019 |
| October 13–16, 2019 |
||
| 508 (LV) |
| 508 (LV) |
||
Line 616: | Line 634: | ||
| – |
| – |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| style="text-align:left;"| [https://twitter.com/ActorAaronBooth/status/1179374524166541313 Hickman Analytics (D)]{{efn-ua|Poll sponsored by the [[Jim Hood]] campaign|name="Hood"}} |
| style="text-align:left;"|[[Hickman Analytics]] (D)<ref>[https://twitter.com/ActorAaronBooth/status/1179374524166541313 Hickman Analytics (D)]</ref>{{efn-ua|Poll sponsored by the [[Jim Hood]] campaign|name="Hood"}} |
||
| September 22–26, 2019 |
| September 22–26, 2019 |
||
| 500 (LV) |
| 500 (LV) |
||
Line 626: | Line 644: | ||
| – |
| – |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| style="text-align:left;"| [https://web.archive.org/web/20190828195651/https://mightymail.gorillawebstudio.com/t/ViewEmail/r/C7D1D8894EEB96212540EF23F30FEDED/BB9BAC498BC508E9D3AB5F5EEC5F0895 Hickman Analytics (D)]{{efn-ua|Poll sponsored by the [[Jim Hood]] campaign|name="Hood"}} |
| style="text-align:left;"|[[Hickman Analytics]] (D)<ref>[https://web.archive.org/web/20190828195651/https://mightymail.gorillawebstudio.com/t/ViewEmail/r/C7D1D8894EEB96212540EF23F30FEDED/BB9BAC498BC508E9D3AB5F5EEC5F0895 Hickman Analytics (D)]</ref>{{efn-ua|Poll sponsored by the [[Jim Hood]] campaign|name="Hood"}} |
||
| August 11–15, 2019 |
| August 11–15, 2019 |
||
| 600 (LV) |
| 600 (LV) |
||
Line 636: | Line 654: | ||
| – |
| – |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| style="text-align:left;"| [https://www.documentcloud.org/documents/6206542-NBC-News-SurveyMonkey-Mississippi-Poll-7-19.html NBC News/SurveyMonkey] |
| style="text-align:left;"|[[NBC News]]/[[SurveyMonkey]]<ref name="NBC News/SurveyMonkey">[https://www.documentcloud.org/documents/6206542-NBC-News-SurveyMonkey-Mississippi-Poll-7-19.html NBC News/SurveyMonkey]</ref> |
||
|July 2–16, 2019 |
|July 2–16, 2019 |
||
|1,171 (RV) |
|1,171 (RV) |
||
Line 646: | Line 664: | ||
|6% |
|6% |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| style="text-align:left;"| |
| style="text-align:left;"|[[Impact Management Group]]<ref name="Impact Management Group"/> |
||
| June 10–14, 2019 |
| June 10–14, 2019 |
||
| 610 (LV) |
| 610 (LV) |
||
Line 656: | Line 674: | ||
| 12% |
| 12% |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| style="text-align:left;"| [https://drive.google.com/file/d/1o1HtkebpcXD_iN38f-34zCc8FgFNRCPb/view Hickman Analytics (D)]{{efn-ua|Poll sponsored by the [[Jim Hood]] campaign|name="Hood"}} |
| style="text-align:left;"|[[Hickman Analytics]] (D)<ref>[https://drive.google.com/file/d/1o1HtkebpcXD_iN38f-34zCc8FgFNRCPb/view Hickman Analytics (D)]</ref>{{efn-ua|Poll sponsored by the [[Jim Hood]] campaign|name="Hood"}} |
||
| May 5–9, 2019 |
| May 5–9, 2019 |
||
| 604 (LV) |
| 604 (LV) |
||
Line 666: | Line 684: | ||
| – |
| – |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| style="text-align:left;"| |
| style="text-align:left;"|[[Mason-Dixon Polling & Research Inc.|Mason-Dixon]]<ref name="Mason-Dixon"/> |
||
| January 30 – February 1, 2019 |
| January 30 – February 1, 2019 |
||
| 625 (RV) |
| 625 (RV) |
||
Line 676: | Line 694: | ||
| 14% |
| 14% |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| style="text-align:left;"| [https://www.scribd.com/document/399710335/OnMessage-Polling-Memo-020619 OnMessage Inc. (R)]{{efn-ua|Poll sponsored by the [[Tate Reeves]] campaign|name="Reeves"}} |
| style="text-align:left;"|[[OnMessage Inc.]] (R)<ref>[https://www.scribd.com/document/399710335/OnMessage-Polling-Memo-020619 OnMessage Inc. (R)]</ref>{{efn-ua|Poll sponsored by the [[Tate Reeves]] campaign|name="Reeves"}} |
||
| January 28–30, 2019 |
| January 28–30, 2019 |
||
| 600 (RV) |
| 600 (RV) |
||
Line 686: | Line 704: | ||
| 13% |
| 13% |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| style="text-align:left;"| [https://www.politico.com/f/?id=00000162-f424-d5ce-a3e7-ffac083e0000 Mason-Dixon] |
| style="text-align:left;"|[[Mason-Dixon Polling & Research Inc.|Mason-Dixon]]<ref>[https://www.politico.com/f/?id=00000162-f424-d5ce-a3e7-ffac083e0000 Mason-Dixon]</ref> |
||
| April 12–14, 2018 |
| April 12–14, 2018 |
||
| 625 (RV) |
| 625 (RV) |
||
Line 696: | Line 714: | ||
| 17% |
| 17% |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| style="text-align:left;"| [https://www.clarionledger.com/story/news/politics/2018/01/09/tate-reeves-jim-hood-close-race-according-millsaps-college-poll/1018330001/ Chism Strategies/Millsaps College] |
| style="text-align:left;"|[[Chism Strategies]]/[[Millsaps College]]<ref>[https://www.clarionledger.com/story/news/politics/2018/01/09/tate-reeves-jim-hood-close-race-according-millsaps-college-poll/1018330001/ Chism Strategies/Millsaps College]</ref> |
||
| December 15–19, 2017 |
| December 15–19, 2017 |
||
| 578 (RV) |
| 578 (RV) |
||
Line 706: | Line 724: | ||
| 18% |
| 18% |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| style="text-align:left;"| |
| style="text-align:left;"|[[Mason-Dixon Polling & Research Inc.|Mason-Dixon]]<ref name="scribd.com"/> |
||
| December 13–15, 2017 |
| December 13–15, 2017 |
||
| 625 (RV) |
| 625 (RV) |
||
Line 720: | Line 738: | ||
{{hidden begin|titlestyle=background:#cff|title=Hypothetical polling|contentstyle=border:solid 1px silver; padding:8px; background:white;}} |
{{hidden begin|titlestyle=background:#cff|title=Hypothetical polling|contentstyle=border:solid 1px silver; padding:8px; background:white;}} |
||
<!-- = = = don't edit the line above = = = --> |
<!-- = = = don't edit the line above = = = --> |
||
'''with Tate Reeves, Jim Hood, and Bill Waller Jr.'''<br /> |
|||
{| class="wikitable" style="font-size:90%;text-align:center;" |
{| class="wikitable" style="font-size:90%;text-align:center;" |
||
|- valign=bottom |
|- valign=bottom |
||
! Poll source |
! Poll source |
||
! Date(s)<br>administered |
! Date(s)<br />administered |
||
! Sample<br>size{{efn|name=key}} |
! Sample<br />size{{efn|name=key}} |
||
! Margin<br>of error |
! Margin<br />of error |
||
! style="width:100px;"| Tate<br>Reeves (R) |
! style="width:100px;"| Tate<br />Reeves (R) |
||
! style="width:100px;"| Jim<br>Hood (D) |
! style="width:100px;"| Jim<br />Hood (D) |
||
! style="width:100px;"| Bill<br>Waller Jr. (I) |
! style="width:100px;"| Bill<br />Waller Jr. (I) |
||
! Undecided |
! Undecided |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| style="text-align:left;"| |
| style="text-align:left;"|[[Mason-Dixon Polling & Research Inc.|Mason-Dixon]]<ref name="Mason-Dixon"/> |
||
| January 30 – February 1, 2019 |
| January 30 – February 1, 2019 |
||
| 625 (RV) |
| 625 (RV) |
||
Line 741: | Line 759: | ||
| 13% |
| 13% |
||
|} |
|} |
||
'''with Bill Waller Jr. and Jim Hood'''<br /> |
|||
{| class="wikitable" style="font-size:90%;text-align:center;" |
{| class="wikitable" style="font-size:90%;text-align:center;" |
||
|- valign=bottom |
|- valign=bottom |
||
! Poll source |
! Poll source |
||
! Date(s)<br>administered |
! Date(s)<br />administered |
||
! Sample<br>size{{efn|name=key}} |
! Sample<br />size{{efn|name=key}} |
||
! Margin<br>of error |
! Margin<br />of error |
||
! style="width:100px;"| Bill<br>Waller Jr. (R) |
! style="width:100px;"| Bill<br />Waller Jr. (R) |
||
! style="width:100px;"| Jim<br>Hood (D) |
! style="width:100px;"| Jim<br />Hood (D) |
||
! style="width:100px;"| David<br>Singletary (I) |
! style="width:100px;"| David<br />Singletary (I) |
||
! Undecided |
! Undecided |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| style="text-align:left;"| |
| style="text-align:left;"|[[NBC News]]/[[SurveyMonkey]]<ref name="NBC News/SurveyMonkey"/> |
||
|July 2–16, 2019 |
|July 2–16, 2019 |
||
|1,171 (RV) |
|1,171 (RV) |
||
Line 762: | Line 780: | ||
|6% |
|6% |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| style="text-align:left;"| |
| style="text-align:left;"|[[Impact Management Group]]<ref name="Impact Management Group"/> |
||
| June 10–14, 2019 |
| June 10–14, 2019 |
||
| 610 (LV) |
| 610 (LV) |
||
Line 788: | Line 806: | ||
==== Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic ==== |
==== Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic ==== |
||
* [[Adams County, Mississippi|Adams]] ( |
* [[Adams County, Mississippi|Adams]] (largest city: [[Natchez, Mississippi|Natchez]]) |
||
* [[Chickasaw County, Mississippi|Chickasaw]] ( |
* [[Chickasaw County, Mississippi|Chickasaw]] (largest city: [[Houston, Mississippi|Houston]]) |
||
* [[Clay County, Mississippi|Clay]] ( |
* [[Clay County, Mississippi|Clay]] (largest city: [[West Point, Mississippi|West Point]]) |
||
* [[Copiah County, Mississippi|Copiah]] ( |
* [[Copiah County, Mississippi|Copiah]] (largest city: [[Hazlehurst, Mississippi|Hazlehurst]]) |
||
* [[Issaquena County, Mississippi|Issaquena]] ( |
* [[Issaquena County, Mississippi|Issaquena]] (largest city: [[Mayersville, Mississippi|Mayersville]]) |
||
* [[Jasper County, Mississippi|Jasper]] ( |
* [[Jasper County, Mississippi|Jasper]] (largest city: [[Bay Springs, Mississippi|Bay Springs]]) |
||
* [[Kemper County, Mississippi|Kemper]] ( |
* [[Kemper County, Mississippi|Kemper]] (largest city: [[De Kalb, Mississippi|De Kalb]]) |
||
* [[Lafayette County, Mississippi|Lafayette]] ( |
* [[Lafayette County, Mississippi|Lafayette]] (largest city: [[Oxford, Mississippi|Oxford]]) |
||
* [[Madison County, Mississippi|Madison]] ( |
* [[Madison County, Mississippi|Madison]] (largest city: [[Madison, Mississippi|Madison]]) |
||
* [[Marshall County, Mississippi|Marshall]] ( |
* [[Marshall County, Mississippi|Marshall]] (largest city: [[Holly Springs, Mississippi|Holly Springs]]) |
||
* [[Oktibbeha County, Mississippi|Oktibbeha]] ( |
* [[Oktibbeha County, Mississippi|Oktibbeha]] (largest city: [[Starkville, Mississippi|Starkville]]) |
||
* [[Panola County, Mississippi|Panola]] ( |
* [[Panola County, Mississippi|Panola]] (largest city: [[Batesville, Mississippi|Batesville]]) |
||
* [[Pike County, Mississippi|Pike]] ( |
* [[Pike County, Mississippi|Pike]] (largest city: [[McComb, Mississippi|McComb]]) |
||
* [[Quitman County, Mississippi|Quitman]] ( |
* [[Quitman County, Mississippi|Quitman]] (largest city: [[Lambert, Mississippi|Lambert]]) |
||
* [[Sharkey County, Mississippi|Sharkey]] ( |
* [[Sharkey County, Mississippi|Sharkey]] (largest city: [[Rolling Fork, Mississippi|Rolling Fork]]) |
||
* [[Tallahatchie County, Mississippi|Tallahatchie]] ( |
* [[Tallahatchie County, Mississippi|Tallahatchie]] (largest city: [[Charleston, Mississippi|Charleston]]) |
||
* [[Warren County, Mississippi|Warren]] ( |
* [[Warren County, Mississippi|Warren]] (largest city: [[Vicksburg, Mississippi|Vicksburg]]) |
||
* [[Yazoo County, Mississippi|Yazoo]] ( |
* [[Yazoo County, Mississippi|Yazoo]] (largest city: [[Yazoo City, Mississippi|Yazoo City]]) |
||
====By congressional district==== |
|||
Reeves won three of four congressional districts.<ref>{{Cite web|url=https://davesredistricting.org/maps#viewmap::a1d6a28b-18ed-4481-8ae0-c3deaf673308|title=DRA 2020|website=Daves Redistricting|accessdate=August 21, 2024}}</ref> |
|||
{|class=wikitable |
|||
! District |
|||
! Reeves |
|||
! Hood |
|||
! Representative |
|||
|- align=center |
|||
! {{party shading/Republican}}|{{ushr|Mississippi|1|1st}} |
|||
| '''59%''' |
|||
| 40% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}|[[Trent Kelly]] |
|||
|- align=center |
|||
! {{party shading/Democratic}}|{{ushr|Mississippi|2|2nd}} |
|||
| 32% |
|||
| '''67%''' |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}|[[Bennie Thompson]] |
|||
|- align=center |
|||
! {{party shading/Republican}}|{{ushr|Mississippi|3|3rd}} |
|||
| '''54%''' |
|||
| 45% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}|[[Michael Guest (politician)|Michael Guest]] |
|||
|- align=center |
|||
! {{party shading/Republican}}|{{ushr|Mississippi|4|4th}} |
|||
| '''63%''' |
|||
| 35% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}|[[Steven Palazzo]] |
|||
|} |
|||
==See also== |
==See also== |
||
*[[2019 United States gubernatorial elections]] |
|||
*[[2019 United States elections]] |
*[[2019 United States elections]] |
||
*[[2019 Mississippi elections]] |
*[[2019 Mississippi elections]] |
||
Line 814: | Line 860: | ||
==Notes== |
==Notes== |
||
{{notelist}} |
{{notelist}} |
||
'''Partisan clients'''<br /> |
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{{notelist-ua}} |
{{notelist-ua}} |
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[[Category:November 2019 events in the United States|Mississippi gubernatorial election]] |
[[Category:November 2019 events in the United States|Mississippi gubernatorial election]] |
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[[Category:2019 in Mississippi|gubernatorial election]] |
[[Category:2019 in Mississippi|gubernatorial election]] |
||
[[Category:November 2019 events in North America|Mississippi gubernatorial election]] |
Latest revision as of 16:43, 11 December 2024
| ||||||||||||||||||||
| ||||||||||||||||||||
Reeves: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Hood: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% | ||||||||||||||||||||
|
Elections in Mississippi |
---|
The 2019 Mississippi gubernatorial election took place on November 5, 2019, to choose the next governor of Mississippi.[1] Incumbent Governor Phil Bryant was ineligible to run for a third term due to term limits. The Democratic Party nominated incumbent Attorney General Jim Hood, the only Democrat holding statewide office in Mississippi; the Republican Party nominated incumbent Lieutenant Governor Tate Reeves. In the general election, Reeves defeated Hood by a margin of 5.08%, with Reeves significantly underperforming Donald Trump, who won the state by 17 points in 2016.
Background
[edit]Situated in the Deep South as a socially conservative Bible Belt state, Mississippi is one of the most Republican states in the country. No Democrat has been elected to the governorship since Ronnie Musgrove in 1999. However, the state's Democratic Attorney General, Jim Hood, who had held his office since 2004 and had yet to lose a statewide election, put the Republicans' winning streak of four elections in a row to the test, as the race became unusually competitive. Reeves defeated Hood in the general election by a margin of 5.1%, making this the closest a Democrat had come to winning a Mississippi gubernatorial election since 1999. Hood pulled off the best performance by a Democrat since the 2003 Mississippi gubernatorial election, when fellow Democrat Ronnie Musgrove took 45.81% of the vote.[2] Hood flipped the counties of Chickasaw, Lafayette, Madison, Panola, and Warren, which had all voted for Republican Donald Trump in the 2016 United States presidential election.
Uniquely among the states, the Constitution of Mississippi establishes a sort of electoral college at the state level. For the election of governor. Article 5, Section 140 of the state constitution states that each state House district is assigned an electoral vote, and that a candidate running for governor must receive a majority of electoral votes (essentially, they must win a majority of state House districts) in addition to winning a majority of the popular vote in order to be elected governor.[3] Article 5, Section 141 of the state constitution states that if no candidate wins both a popular and electoral vote majority, the state House of Representatives is assigned to decide the winner, choosing from the two highest popular vote winners.[4] This provision came into play only one time in the state's history; Democratic candidate Ronnie Musgrove in the 1999 gubernatorial election garnered a plurality, but not a majority; the House selected Musgrove.[5]
In the lead-up to the election, controversy emerged over these constitutional provisions establishing a state system of electoral votes, with a federal lawsuit claiming the provisions are racially biased.[6] These provisions were put in place with the 1890 Mississippi Constitution, itself established by the segregationist Redeemers and overturning the Reconstruction-era 1868 Constitution, as part of Jim Crow Era policy to minimize the power of African Americans in politics.[6] Because of this, as well as present gerrymandering that packs African Americans into a small number of districts, the plaintiffs claim the provisions should be struck down on the basis of racial bias.[5]
On 3 November 2020, an amendment was passed removing the electoral college, with 79% of the vote.
Republican primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]Eliminated in runoff
[edit]- Bill Waller Jr., former chief justice of the Mississippi State Supreme Court[11] and son of former Democratic Governor William "Bill" Waller. Sr (1972–1976)
Eliminated in primary
[edit]- Robert Foster, Mississippi state representative[12][13]
Withdrawn
[edit]Declined
[edit]- Thomas Duff, businessman[16]
- Lynn Fitch, Mississippi state treasurer (running for Mississippi attorney general)[17]
- Gerard Gibert, businessman and lottery board member[10]
- Philip Gunn, speaker of the Mississippi House of Representatives[18]
- Trent Lott, former U.S. senator[19][20]
- Chris McDaniel, Mississippi states senator and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2014 and 2018 (endorsed Tate Reeves)[21]
- Mike Randolph, presiding justice of the Mississippi State Supreme Court[22]
- Andy Taggart, former chief of staff to Governor Kirk Fordice (running for Mississippi attorney general)[23]
Endorsements
[edit]U.S. Presidents
- Donald Trump, 45th president of the United States[24]
U.S. Representatives
- Steven Palazzo (MS-04)
State-wide officials
- Haley Barbour, former governor of Mississippi[25]
- Sam Britton, public service commissioner (Southern District)
- Phil Bryant, governor of Mississippi[26]
- Pete Ricketts, governor of Nebraska[27]
State legislators
- Chris McDaniel, Mississippi State Senator[28]
Mayors
- Fofo Gilich, Biloxi, Mississippi[29]
- Hal Marx, Petal, Mississippi
- Dane Maxwell, Pascagoula, Mississippi[29]
- Chipper McDermott, Pass Christian, Mississippi[29]
- Rusty Quave, D'Iberville, Mississippi[29]
- Mike Smith, Waveland, Mississippi[29]
Organizations
- Americans for Prosperity Action[30]
- Mississippi Manufacturers Association[31]
- Mississippi Right to Life PAC[32]
- NRA Political Victory Fund[33]
Individuals
- Brett Favre, Super Bowl champion[34]
- Jake Mangum, professional baseball outfielder[35]
State legislators
- Robert Foster, former candidate for governor (endorsed in run-off election)[36]
Individuals
- Dan Fordice, son of former Governor Kirk Fordice[37]
- Billy Mounger, former Mississippi Republican Party chairman[38]
- Billy Powell, former Mississippi Republican Party chairman[38]
- Clarke Reed, former Mississippi Republican Party chairman[38]
- Michael Retzer, former Mississippi Republican Party chairman[38]
Polling
[edit]Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Robert Foster |
Tate Reeves |
Bill Waller Jr. |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mason-Dixon[39] | July 24–27, 2019 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 13% | 41% | 31% | 15% |
Impact Management Group[40] | June 10–14, 2019 | 354 | ± 5.3% | 9% | 50% | 19% | 28% |
Mason-Dixon[41] | January 30 – February 1, 2019 | 400 | ± 5.0% | 9% | 62% | – | 29% |
Hypothetical polling
| |||||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Tate Reeves | 187,312 | 48.9 | |
Republican | Bill Waller Jr. | 128,010 | 33.4 | |
Republican | Robert Foster | 67,758 | 17.7 | |
Total votes | 383,080 | 100.0 |
Runoff
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Tate Reeves | 179,623 | 54.1 | |
Republican | Bill Waller Jr. | 152,201 | 45.9 | |
Total votes | 331,824 | 100.0 |
Democratic primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]Eliminated in primary
[edit]- Michael Brown[48]
- William Bond Compton Jr., candidate for governor of Mississippi in 2007 and 2011, candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2014, nominee for the Mississippi House of Representatives in the 83rd district in 2015[48]
- Robert J. Ray[48]
- Robert Shuler Smith, Hinds County district attorney[49]
- Gregory Wash[48]
- Velesha Williams, former director for the Metro Jackson Community Prevention Coalition and former U.S. Army officer[50][10]
- Albert Wilson, businessman and community organizer[51]
Withdrawn
[edit]Declined
[edit]Endorsements
[edit]U.S. Executive Branch officials
- Ray Mabus, 75th United States secretary of the Navy and former governor of Mississippi[citation needed]
Statewide officials
State legislators
- Earle S. Banks, Mississippi state representative[citation needed]
- Chris Bell, Mississippi state representative[citation needed]
- David Blount, Mississippi state senator[citation needed]
- Jarvis Dortch, Mississippi state representative[citation needed]
- Sollie Norwood, Mississippi state senator[citation needed]
Polling
[edit]Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Jim Hood |
Robert Shuler Smith |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Triumph Campaigns[54] | January 29, 2018 | 2,145 | ± 1.8% | 36% | 34% | 30% |
Hypothetical polling
| ||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Jim Hood | 208,634 | 69.0 | |
Democratic | Michael Brown | 33,247 | 11.0 | |
Democratic | Velesha Williams | 20,844 | 6.9 | |
Democratic | Robert Shuler Smith | 20,395 | 6.7 | |
Democratic | Robert Ray | 5,609 | 1.8 | |
Democratic | William Bond Compton Jr. | 5,321 | 1.8 | |
Democratic | Albert Wilson | 5,122 | 1.7 | |
Democratic | Gregory Wash | 3,218 | 1.1 | |
Total votes | 302,390 | 100.0 |
Other candidates
[edit]Constitution Party
[edit]Declared
- Bob Hickingbottom[56]
Independents
[edit]Declared
- David Singletary, U.S. Air Force veteran and former hotel owner[57]
General election
[edit]Predictions
[edit]Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[58] | Lean R | October 15, 2019 |
Inside Elections[59] | Lean R | November 8, 2019 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[60] | Lean R | November 8, 2019 |
Debates
[edit]Dates | Location | Hood | Reeves | Link |
---|---|---|---|---|
October 10, 2019 | University of Southern Mississippi Hattiesburg |
Participant | Participant | [61] |
October 14, 2019 | WCBI
Studios Columbus |
Participant | Participant | [62] |
Endorsements
[edit]U.S. Executive Branch officials
- Mike Pence, 48th vice president of the United States[63]
- Donald Trump, 45th president of the United States[64][65]
Members of Congress
- Cindy Hyde-Smith, U.S. senator (R-MS)[66]
- Trent Kelly, U.S. representative (R-MS)[67]
- Roger Wicker, U.S. senator (R-MS)[68]
Statewide officials
- Haley Barbour, former governor of Mississippi[25]
- Phil Bryant, governor of Mississippi[26]
- Jeb Bush, former governor of Florida[69]
- Pete Ricketts, governor of Nebraska[27]
State legislators
- Robert Foster, Mississippi state representative
- Chris Johnson, Mississippi state representative
- Chris McDaniel, Mississippi state senator[28]
- John A. Polk, Mississippi state senator
Mayors
- Fofo Gilich, Biloxi, Mississippi[29]
- Hal Marx, Petal, Mississippi
- Dane Maxwell, Pascagoula, Mississippi[29]
- Chipper McDermott, Pass Christian, Mississippi[29]
- Rusty Quave, D'Iberville, Mississippi[29]
- Mike Smith, Waveland, Mississippi[29]
Organizations
- Americans for Prosperity Action[30]
- Mississippi Manufacturers Association[31]
- Mississippi Right to Life PAC[32]
- NRA Political Victory Fund[33]
Individuals
- Brett Favre, Super Bowl champion[34]
- Jake Mangum, professional baseball outfielder[35]
U.S. Executive Branch officials
- Ray Mabus, 75th United States secretary of the Navy and former governor of Mississippi
- Barack Obama, 44th president of the United States[70]
Statewide officials
State legislators
- Stacey Abrams, 2018 Democratic nominee for governor of Georgia, former minority leader of the Georgia House of Representatives[72]
- Earle S. Banks, Mississippi state representative
- Chris Bell, Mississippi state representative
- David Blount, Mississippi state senator
- Jarvis Dortch, Mississippi state representative
- Sollie Norwood, Mississippi state senator
Mayors
Organizations
- Democratic Governors Association[74]
- Mississippi Association of Educators [75]
Individuals
- Grey DeLisle, voice actress and activist[76]
Polling
[edit]Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. Updates on reimplementing the Graph extension, which will be known as the Chart extension, can be found on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org. |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Tate Reeves (R) |
Jim Hood (D) |
David Singletary (I) |
Bob Hickingbottom (C) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
NBC/Survey Monkey[77] | October 8–22, 2019 | 1,002 (RV) | ± 4.7% | 47% | 40% | 7% | 2% | 3% |
Targoz Market Research[78] | October 13–20, 2019 | 384 (LV) | – | 47% | 46% | – | – | 7% |
Mason-Dixon[79] | October 17–19, 2019 | 625 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 46% | 43% | – | – | 9% |
Hickman Analytics[80] | October 13–16, 2019 | 508 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 42% | 46% | – | – | – |
Hickman Analytics (D)[81][A] | September 22–26, 2019 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 42% | 45% | – | – | – |
Hickman Analytics (D)[82][A] | August 11–15, 2019 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 42% | 43% | – | – | – |
NBC News/SurveyMonkey[83] | July 2–16, 2019 | 1,171 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 51% | 42% | – | – | 6% |
Impact Management Group[40] | June 10–14, 2019 | 610 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 48% | 36% | 4% | – | 12% |
Hickman Analytics (D)[84][A] | May 5–9, 2019 | 604 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 40% | 45% | – | – | – |
Mason-Dixon[41] | January 30 – February 1, 2019 | 625 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 42% | 44% | – | – | 14% |
OnMessage Inc. (R)[85][B] | January 28–30, 2019 | 600 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 51% | 36% | – | – | 13% |
Mason-Dixon[86] | April 12–14, 2018 | 625 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 39% | 44% | – | – | 17% |
Chism Strategies/Millsaps College[87] | December 15–19, 2017 | 578 (RV) | ± 4.1% | 45% | 38% | – | – | 18% |
Mason-Dixon[43] | December 13–15, 2017 | 625 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 37% | 43% | – | – | 20% |
with Tate Reeves, Jim Hood, and Bill Waller Jr.
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Tate Reeves (R) |
Jim Hood (D) |
Bill Waller Jr. (I) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mason-Dixon[41] | January 30 – February 1, 2019 | 625 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 38% | 40% | 9% | 13% |
with Bill Waller Jr. and Jim Hood
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Bill Waller Jr. (R) |
Jim Hood (D) |
David Singletary (I) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
NBC News/SurveyMonkey[83] | July 2–16, 2019 | 1,171 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 53% | 41% | – | 6% |
Impact Management Group[40] | June 10–14, 2019 | 610 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 43% | 36% | 4% | 17% |
Results
[edit]Candidate | Party | Popular vote | Electoral vote | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Votes | % | Votes | % | |||
Tate Reeves | Republican Party | 459,396 | 51.91 | 73 | 59.84 | |
Jim Hood | Democratic Party | 414,368 | 46.83 | 49 | 40.16 | |
David Singletary | Independent | 8,522 | 0.96 | |||
Bob Hickingbottom | Constitution Party | 2,625 | 0.30 | |||
Total | 884,911 | 100.00 | 122 | 100.00 | ||
Source: Mississippi Secretary of State |
Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic
[edit]- Adams (largest city: Natchez)
- Chickasaw (largest city: Houston)
- Clay (largest city: West Point)
- Copiah (largest city: Hazlehurst)
- Issaquena (largest city: Mayersville)
- Jasper (largest city: Bay Springs)
- Kemper (largest city: De Kalb)
- Lafayette (largest city: Oxford)
- Madison (largest city: Madison)
- Marshall (largest city: Holly Springs)
- Oktibbeha (largest city: Starkville)
- Panola (largest city: Batesville)
- Pike (largest city: McComb)
- Quitman (largest city: Lambert)
- Sharkey (largest city: Rolling Fork)
- Tallahatchie (largest city: Charleston)
- Warren (largest city: Vicksburg)
- Yazoo (largest city: Yazoo City)
By congressional district
[edit]Reeves won three of four congressional districts.[88]
District | Reeves | Hood | Representative |
---|---|---|---|
1st | 59% | 40% | Trent Kelly |
2nd | 32% | 67% | Bennie Thompson |
3rd | 54% | 45% | Michael Guest |
4th | 63% | 35% | Steven Palazzo |
See also
[edit]Notes
[edit]Partisan clients
References
[edit]- ^ "Mississippi Voter Information Guide" (PDF). State of Mississippi – Secretary of State. Archived from the original (PDF) on September 6, 2018. Retrieved September 6, 2018.
- ^ Collins, Sean (November 5, 2019). "Republican Tate Reeves wins a surprisingly close race, becoming Mississippi's next governor". Vox. Retrieved November 6, 2019.
- ^ MS Const. art. V, § 140
- ^ MS Const. art. V, § 141.
- ^ a b Wilson, Reid (June 9, 2019). "Legal fight over Jim Crow-era law upends Mississippi governor race". The Hill. Retrieved October 2, 2019.
- ^ a b "Black Voters Sue Over Mississippi's Jim Crow-Era Election Law". NPR. September 24, 2019. Retrieved October 2, 2019.
- ^ "Lt. Gov. Tate Reeves announces he is running for governor". WTVA News. Archived from the original on January 3, 2019. Retrieved January 3, 2019.
- ^ "GOP's Reeves officially running for Mississippi governor". WAPT. Associated Press. January 4, 2019.
- ^ "Hood, Reeves could headline 2019 governor's race". Mississippi Business Journal. Associated Press. June 26, 2016. Archived from the original on June 25, 2018. Retrieved December 5, 2016.
- ^ a b c d e f Pender, Geoff; Ramseth, Luke (December 6, 2018). "List: Who's running for governor, AG and other open seats in Mississippi". The Clarion-Ledger. Retrieved December 8, 2018.
- ^ "Former chief justice Waller to run for Mississippi governor". WREG. Associated Press. February 14, 2019. Retrieved February 14, 2019.
- ^ Pittman, Ashton. "Hard-right Conservative 'Farmer Bob' to Announce Run for Governor". www.jacksonfreepress.com. Retrieved December 11, 2018.
- ^ "GOP rep set to enter 2019 race for Mississippi governor". thestate. Archived from the original on December 11, 2018. Retrieved December 11, 2018.
- ^ "Marx withdraws from 2019 governor's race". www.hubcityspokes.com.
- ^ Beveridge, Lici (May 3, 2018). "Republican Petal Mayor Hal Marx will run for governor in 2019". The Clarion-Ledger. Retrieved May 4, 2018.
- ^ Pender, Geoff; Ramseth, Luke; Bologna, Giacomo (January 28, 2019). "Updated: Who's running for governor, AG and other open seats in Mississippi". Clarion Ledger. Retrieved February 12, 2019.
- ^ "Lynn Fitch to run for attorney general". The Clarion Ledger.
- ^ Pender, Geoff. "2019 Right Around Corner on Political Calendars". Retrieved April 13, 2017.
- ^ "Trent Lott for governor, 2019?". Clarionledger.com. Retrieved February 23, 2017.
- ^ "Trent Lott not ruling out gubernatorial bid". TheHill.com. May 10, 2015. Retrieved February 23, 2017.
- ^ Ramseth, Luke (February 28, 2019). "Chris McDaniel announces decision on run for governor". The Clarion-Ledger. Retrieved February 28, 2019.
- ^ Crawford, Bill (September 3, 2017). "Waller, Randolph rumored as potential Reeves challengers". Retrieved September 15, 2017.
- ^ Pender, Geoff (March 1, 2019). "Attorney General race gets surprise, high-profile GOP candidate on qualifying deadline". The Clarion-Ledger. Retrieved August 6, 2019.
- ^ Trump, Donald J. [@realDonaldTrump] (October 26, 2019). "MISSISSIPPI! There is a VERY important election for Governor on November 5th. I need you to get out and VOTE for our Great Republican nominee, @TateReeves. Tate is Strong on Crime, tough on Illegal Immigration, and will protect your Second Amendment..." (Tweet) – via Twitter.
- ^ a b Jackson, Courtney Ann (August 21, 2019). "Former Governor Haley Barbour among those supporting Tate Reeves in GOP Gubernatorial runoff". WLBT News. Retrieved November 14, 2019.
- ^ a b "Bryant endorses Tate Reeves for Governor". WJTV. Retrieved February 20, 2019.
- ^ a b "Reeves wins GOP nod for Mississippi governor". www.politico.com. August 27, 2019. Retrieved November 14, 2019.
- ^ a b Bologna, Giacomo (August 15, 2019). "Once enemies, now allies: Chris McDaniel endorses Tate Reeves for Mississippi governor". The Clarion-Ledger. Retrieved August 27, 2019.
- ^ a b c d e f g h i j "Local Mayors Endorse Lt. Gov. Tate Reeves for Governor". WXXV25. Retrieved February 25, 2019.
- ^ a b Ulmer, Sarah (June 13, 2019). "Americans for Prosperity Action Endorses Tate Reeves for Governor". Yall Politics. Archived from the original on June 17, 2019. Retrieved August 6, 2019.
- ^ a b Ulmer, Sarah (June 3, 2019). "Tate Reeves endorsed by Mississippi Manufacturers Association". Yall Politics. Archived from the original on August 7, 2019. Retrieved August 6, 2019.
- ^ a b Ulmer, Sarah (July 22, 2019). "Tate Reeves endorsed by Mississippi Right to Life PAC". Yall Politics. Archived from the original on August 6, 2019. Retrieved August 6, 2019.
- ^ a b "NRA Endorses Tate Reeves for Governor of Mississippi". NRA ILA. July 9, 2019. Archived from the original on July 13, 2019. Retrieved July 13, 2019.
The National Rifle Association Political Victory Fund (NRA-PVF) today announced its endorsement of Tate Reeves for governor in the 2019 Mississippi primary election.
- ^ a b Carter, Josh (August 5, 2019). "Mississippi native Brett Favre endorses Tate Reeves for governor". WLBT. Archived from the original on August 6, 2019. Retrieved August 6, 2019.
- ^ a b Jake Mangum. "@tatereeves for Mississippi Governor!". Twitter.
- ^ "Robert Foster endorses Bill Waller ahead of Mississippi governor primary runoff". Clairon-Ledger. Retrieved August 13, 2019.
- ^ "Gubernatorial hopefuls Reeves and Waller reveal newest endorsements". WXXV25. Retrieved May 14, 2019.
- ^ a b c d "'I think he's more electable than Tate': Four past GOP chairmen throw support to Waller over Reeves". Mississippi Today. Retrieved July 22, 2019.
- ^ Mason-Dixon
- ^ a b c Impact Management Group
- ^ a b c Mason-Dixon
- ^ JMC Analytics
- ^ a b Mason-Dixon
- ^ "2019 Republican". Mississippi Secretary of State. Archived from the original on August 18, 2019. Retrieved August 18, 2019.
- ^ "2019 Republican Primary Runoff". Mississippi Secretary of State. Archived from the original on September 30, 2019. Retrieved September 30, 2019.
- ^ "Amid Positive Polls, Jim Hood to Announce Run for Mississippi Governor". Retrieved October 3, 2018.
- ^ Lee, Jasmine C. (August 6, 2019). "Mississippi Primary Election Results". The New York Times. Retrieved November 14, 2019.
- ^ a b c d "Mississippi election 2019: Who's running for governor, other state offices". The Clarion Ledger.
- ^ "Embattled DA Robert Shuler Smith running for governor". Hattiesburg American. February 23, 2019. Retrieved February 23, 2019.
- ^ Pittman, Ashton (December 3, 2018). "Jackson Woman Joins Dem Race for Governor; State Rep Exploring GOP Race". Jackson Free Press. Retrieved December 4, 2018.
- ^ Huffman, Sam (January 11, 2019). "Albert Wilson announces campaign for governor". WJTV.
- ^ "Democrat leaves Mississippi governor's race". WTOK. Associated Press. May 31, 2019. Retrieved June 6, 2019.
- ^ Ulmer, Sarah (December 3, 2018). "Is the Democratic mayor of Magnolia considering a challenge of Jim Hood in Governor's race?". Y'all Politics. Retrieved December 4, 2018.
- ^ a b Triumph Campaigns
- ^ "2019 Democratic Primary". Mississippi Secretary of State. Archived from the original on August 18, 2019. Retrieved August 18, 2019.
- ^ "Bill Crawford — Can lesser knowns keep favored candidates from saving us?". April 7, 2019. Archived from the original on April 15, 2019. Retrieved April 15, 2019.
- ^ Ramseth, Luke (May 2, 2019). "He sings karaoke and wears a marijuana suit. He wants to be the next Mississippi governor". The Clarion-Ledger. Retrieved May 16, 2019.
- ^ "2020 Governor Race ratings". The Cook Political Report.
- ^ "Gubernatorial Ratings | Inside Elections". www.insideelections.com.
- ^ "Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2020 Governor". crystalball.centerforpolitics.org.
- ^ [1]
- ^ [2]
- ^ Mike Pence. "Mike Pence on Twitter". Twitter.
- ^ Donald J. Trump. "Donald J. Trump on Twitter". Twitter.
- ^ Donald J. Trump. "Donald J. Trump on Twitter". Twitter.
- ^ Cindy Hyde-Smith. "Cindy Hyde-Smith on Twitter". Twitter.
- ^ Reeves, Tate (August 22, 2019). "This race is about conservative values—keeping more of your hard-earned money to provide for your family. I am the only true conservative running for Gov, and the people of DeSoto Co know it. I am honored to have the support of Bruce Prewett, @RepTrentKelly, and so many in NW MS!". Retrieved November 14, 2019.
- ^ Roger Wicker. "Roger Wicker on Twitter". Twitter.
- ^ Ramseth, Luke. "Jeb Bush headed to North Mississippi for Tate Reeves fundraiser". The Clarion Ledger. Retrieved November 14, 2019.
- ^ Bedillion, Caleb (November 5, 2019). "Barack Obama throws support to Jim Hood on election eve". Daily Journal.
- ^ Karlin, Sam (June 7, 2019). "Gov. Edwards to attend fundraiser for another Deep South anti-abortion Democrat, Jim Hood". The Advocate. Retrieved November 14, 2019.
- ^ "Stacey Abrams passes on 2020 run, turns focus to voter access with Fair Fight". The Washington Times. Retrieved November 14, 2019.
- ^ "Jason Shelton: Mayor endorses Jim Hood for governor". Daily Journal. October 21, 2019. Retrieved November 14, 2019.
- ^ "DGA Statement On Jim Hood's Primary Victory In Mississippi". Democratic Governors Association. August 7, 2019. Retrieved November 14, 2019.
- ^ "Mississippi Association of Educators endorses Jim Hood for governor". September 24, 2019.
- ^ DeLisle, Grey (November 5, 2019). "#Beshear in #Kentucky and #Hood in #Mississippi #VoteBlueToSaveAmerica". Twitter.
- ^ NBC/Survey Monkey
- ^ Targoz Market Research
- ^ Mason-Dixon
- ^ Hickman Analytics
- ^ Hickman Analytics (D)
- ^ Hickman Analytics (D)
- ^ a b NBC News/SurveyMonkey
- ^ Hickman Analytics (D)
- ^ OnMessage Inc. (R)
- ^ Mason-Dixon
- ^ Chism Strategies/Millsaps College
- ^ "DRA 2020". Daves Redistricting. Retrieved August 21, 2024.
External links
[edit]- Mississippi State Constitution Archived 2019-04-28 at the Wayback Machine
Official campaign websites
- Tate Reeves (R) for Governor
- Jim Hood (D) for Governor Archived 2019-11-28 at the Wayback Machine
- Bob Hickingbottom (C) for Governor Archived 2019-11-05 at the Wayback Machine
- David Singletary (I) for Governor