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{{Short description|none}} <!-- "none" is preferred when the title is already sufficiently detailed; see [[WP:SDNONE]] -->
{{Short description|Primary election in Montana, US}}
{{Use mdy dates|date=September 2023}}
{{for|primaries in other races|2024 United States House of Representatives elections in Montana}}
{{row hover highlight}}
{{Main article|2024 Republican Party presidential primaries}}
{{Infobox election
{{Infobox election
| election_name = 2024 [[Montana]] Republican presidential primary
| election_name = 2024 Montana Republican presidential primary
| country = Montana
| country = Montana
| type = presidential
| type = primary
| ongoing = Yes
| ongoing = Yes
| previous_election = 2020 Montana Republican presidential primary
| previous_election = 2020 Montana Republican presidential primary
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| next_year = 2028
| next_year = 2028
| election_date = June 4, 2024
| election_date = June 4, 2024
| outgoing_members = [[2024 District of Columbia Republican presidential primary|DC]]
| outgoing_members = [[2024 Oregon Republican presidential primary|OR]]
| elected_members = [[2024 New Jersey Republican presidential caucuses|NJ]]
| elected_members = [[2024 New Jersey Republican presidential primary|NJ]]
| votes_for_election =
| votes_for_election = 31 [[2024 Republican National Convention|Republican National Convention]] delegates
| map_image = File:2024 Montana Republican presidential primary election results by county.svg
| party_name =
| map_size = 300px
| map_image = Blank map subdivisions Montana.svg
| map_caption = {{col-begin}}
| map_size = 250px
{{col-2}}
| map_caption =
'''Trump'''
| image1 = [[File:Donald Trump official portrait (cropped).jpg|x160px]]
{{legend|#3343a2|80 – 90%}}
{{legend|#243179|>90%}}
{{col-end}}
| image1 = Donald_Trump_June_2024_%282%29.jpg
| image_size = x150px
| candidate1 = '''[[Donald Trump]]'''
| candidate1 = '''[[Donald Trump]]'''
| color1 = 283681
| color1 = 283681
| home_state1 = [[Florida]]
| home_state1 = [[Florida]]<ref name=poloct31>{{cite news|url=https://www.politico.com/news/2019/10/31/trump-florida-residence-063564|title=Trump, a symbol of New York, is officially a Floridian now|publisher=[[Politico]]|date=October 31, 2019|accessdate=February 3, 2020|author=Matthew Choi}}</ref>
| popular_vote1 =
| popular_vote1 = '''165,678'''
| percentage1 =
| percentage1 = '''90.9%'''
| delegate_count1 =
| delegate_count1 = '''31'''
| image2 = File:NOTA Option Logo 3x4.svg
| colour2 = 000000
| candidate2 = [[Uncommitted (voting option)|No preference]]
| home_state2 = —
| popular_vote2 = 16,570
| percentage2 = 9.1%
| delegate_count2 = 0
}}
}}
{{Elections in Montana sidebar}}


The '''2024 Montana Republican presidential primary''' will be held on June 4, 2024, where 31 delegates will be allocated on a winner-take-all basis.<ref>{{Cite web |date=March 5, 2023 |title= Montana Republican Presidential Nominating Process|url=https://www.thegreenpapers.com/P24/MT-R#0319|access-date=February 9, 2023 |website=thegreenpapers.com}}</ref> Former president [[Donald Trump]] is the only main contender to officially announce his candidacy so far,<ref>{{Cite web |date=November 15, 2022 |title=Statement of Candidacy |url=https://docquery.fec.gov/pdf/249/202211159546802249/202211159546802249.pdf |access-date=February 9, 2023 |website=docquery.fec.gov}}</ref> although [[Florida]] governor [[Ron DeSantis]] is widely expected to announce his candidacy as soon as May 2023.<ref>{{cite web |author=Contorno |first=Steve |last2=Warren |first2=Michael |date=November 16, 2022 |title=As Trump blusters, DeSantis builds his case but tells people to ‘chill out’ with 2024 talk |url=https://edition.cnn.com/2022/11/16/politics/ron-desantis-donald-trump-2024-president/index.html |access-date=February 9, 2023 |work=CNN}}</ref>
The '''2024 Montana Republican presidential primary''' was held on June 4, 2024, as part of the [[2024 Republican Party presidential primaries|Republican Party primaries]] for the [[2024 United States presidential election|2024 presidential election]]. 31 delegates to the [[2024 Republican National Convention]] were allocated on a winner-take-all basis.<ref>{{Cite web |date=March 5, 2023 |title= Montana Republican Presidential Nominating Process|url=https://www.thegreenpapers.com/P24/MT-R#0319|access-date=February 9, 2023 |website=thegreenpapers.com}}</ref> The contest was among the last in the Republican primary cycle, held alongside primaries in [[2024 New Jersey Republican presidential primary|New Jersey]], [[2024 New Mexico Republican presidential primary|New Mexico]], and [[2024 South Dakota Republican presidential primary|South Dakota]].


== See also ==
==Candidates==
Only one candidate filed for the primary election ballot:<ref>{{cite news |last1=Ambarian |first1=Johnathon |title=Montana presidential primary gives option for "no preference" votes |url=https://www.ktvh.com/news/montana-presidential-primary-gives-option-for-no-preference-votes |access-date=30 May 2024 |work=KTVH Helena |date=23 May 2024}}</ref>
*[[Donald Trump]]
* [[Uncommitted (voting option)|No preference]]
Additionally, voters had an option to vote for "[[Uncommitted (voting option)|No preference]]."

==Endorsements==
{{main|Endorsements in the 2024 Republican Party presidential primaries}}
{{Endorsements box|title=Donald Trump|list=
'''U.S. Senators'''
*[[Steve Daines]], (2015–present)<ref>{{Cite news |last=Swan |first=Jonathan |last2=Goldmacher |first2=Shane |last3=Haberman |first3=Maggie |date=April 24, 2023 |title=Trump Is Endorsed by a Senator With Sway on Republican Donors |work=New York Times |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2023/04/24/us/politics/trump-senate-endorsement-fundraising.html |access-date=April 24, 2023}}</ref>
'''U.S. Representatives'''
* [[Matt Rosendale]], [[Montana's 2nd congressional district|MT-02]] (2023–present) and [[Montana's at-large congressional district|MT-AL]] (2021–2023)<ref name="Five38">{{cite news |title=Which 2024 Republican Presidential Candidate Has The Most Endorsements? |url=https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2024-election-endorsements/ |access-date=25 April 2023 |work=[[FiveThirtyEight]] |date=April 24, 2023}}</ref>
* [[Ryan Zinke]], [[Montana's 1st congressional district|MT-01]] (2023–present) and [[Montana's at-large congressional district|MT-AL]] (2015–2017) and [[United States Secretary of the Interior|U.S. Secretary of the Interior]] (2017–2019)<ref name="Five38" />
'''State Executive officials'''
* [[Elsie Arntzen]], [[Montana Office of Public Instruction|Superintendent of Public Instruction of Montana]] (2017–present)<ref name="Five38" />
'''Notable individuals'''
*[[Tim Sheehy (American politician)|Tim Sheehy]], CEO of Bridger Aerospace and Republican candidate for [[U.S. Senator from Montana|U.S. Senator]] in [[2024 United States Senate election in Montana|2024]]<ref>{{Cite web |date=2023-06-01 |title=Meet The Millionaire 'Cowboy' And Ex-Navy SEAL Being Primed To Take On Sen. Jon Tester |url=https://sports.yahoo.com/meet-millionaire-cowboy-ex-navy-143352101.html |access-date=2023-09-02 |website=Yahoo Sports |language=en-US}}</ref>
}}

==Results==
{{2024MTRep}}

==Polling==
{| class="wikitable mw-datatable" style="font-size:90%;text-align:center;"
|- valign=bottom style="font-size:90%;"
! Poll source
! Date(s)<br />administered
! Sample<br />size{{efn|name=key}}
! Margin<br />{{nowrap|of error}}
! Chris<br />Christie
! Ron<br />DeSantis
! Nikki<br />Haley
! Mike<br />Pence
! Vivek<br />Ramaswamy
! Tim<br />Scott
! Donald<br />Trump
! Other
! Undecided
|-
|[[Fabrizio, Lee & Associates]]<ref>[https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/20231107_MT_FabrizioMoreJobsLessGov.pdf Fabrizio, Lee & Associates]</ref>
| Oct 23–25, 2023
| 600 (LV)
| ± 4.0%
| 2%
| 12%
| 7%
| 3%
| 3%
| 1%
| {{party shading/Republican}}|'''64%'''
| 2%{{Efn|"Doug Burgum & Asa Hutchinson with 1%; Larry Elder with 0%}}
| 6%
|-
|rowspan=2|[[J.L. Partners]]<ref>[https://static1.squarespace.com/enwiki/static/5db0ca668552dd5ab1168a91/t/64f0805b3ec83f5a106591d3/1693483100079/Republican+Primary+Voters+Toplines+V3.pdf J.L. Partners]</ref>
|rowspan=2| Aug 12–17, 2023
|rowspan=2| 418 (LV)
|rowspan=2| &nbsp;?
| 3%
| 15%
| 3%
| 2%
| 6%
| 3%
| {{party shading/Republican}}|'''52%'''
| 3%{{Efn|"Someone else" with 2%; Doug Burgum with 1%; Larry Elder, Asa Hutchinson & Francis Suarez with 0%}}
| 12%
|-
|–
|29%
|–
|–
|–
|–
| {{party shading/Republican}}|'''56%'''
|–
|15%
|-
|rowspan=2|[[Public Policy Polling|Public Policy Polling (D)]]<ref>[https://www.publicpolicypolling.com/polls/rosendale-trump-lead-gop-field-in-montana-2/ Public Policy Polling (D)]</ref>
|rowspan=2| Jun 19–20, 2023
|rowspan=2| 510 (LV)
|rowspan=2| ± 4.3%
| 4%
| 23%
| 5%
| 5%
| 3%
| 2%
| {{party shading/Republican}}|'''46%'''
|–
| 12%
|-
|–
|37%
|–
|–
|–
|–
| {{party shading/Republican}}|'''49%'''
|–
|14%
|-
|[[Echelon Insights]]<ref>[https://netchoice.org/new-national-poll-89-of-americans-say-congress-should-focus-on-addressing-inflation-not-breaking-up-tech/ Echelon Insights]</ref>
| Aug 31 – Sep 7, 2022
| 142 (LV)
| ± 6.6%
|–
| 28%
|–
|–
|–
|–
| {{party shading/Republican}}|'''56%'''
|–
| 16%
|}

==See also==
* [[2024 Montana Democratic presidential primary]]
* [[2024 Republican Party presidential primaries]]
* [[2024 Republican Party presidential primaries]]
* [[2024 United States presidential election]]
* [[2024 United States presidential election]]
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* [[2024 United States elections]]
* [[2024 United States elections]]


== References ==
==Notes==
{{notelist|refs=<ref name="key">Key:<br />A – all adults<br />RV – registered voters<br />LV – likely voters<br />V – unclear</ref>}}

==References==
{{Reflist}}
{{Reflist}}


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[[Category:Montana Republican primaries]]
[[Category:Montana Republican primaries]]
[[Category:2024 Montana elections]]
[[Category:2024 Montana elections|Republican presidential primary]]
[[Category:2024 United States Republican presidential primaries by state]]
[[Category:2024 United States Republican presidential primaries by state|Montana]]

Latest revision as of 01:05, 30 December 2024

2024 Montana Republican presidential primary

← 2020 June 4, 2024 2028 →
← OR
NJ →

31 Republican National Convention delegates
 
Candidate Donald Trump No preference
Home state Florida
Delegate count 31 0
Popular vote 165,678 16,570
Percentage 90.9% 9.1%

The 2024 Montana Republican presidential primary was held on June 4, 2024, as part of the Republican Party primaries for the 2024 presidential election. 31 delegates to the 2024 Republican National Convention were allocated on a winner-take-all basis.[1] The contest was among the last in the Republican primary cycle, held alongside primaries in New Jersey, New Mexico, and South Dakota.

Candidates

[edit]

Only one candidate filed for the primary election ballot:[2]

Additionally, voters had an option to vote for "No preference."

Endorsements

[edit]
Donald Trump

U.S. Senators

U.S. Representatives

State Executive officials

Notable individuals

Results

[edit]
Montana Republican primary, June 4, 2024[6]
Candidate Votes Percentage Actual delegate count
Bound Unbound Total
Donald Trump 165,678 90.9% 31 0 31
No Preference 16,570 9.1% 0 0 0
Total: 182,248 100.00% 31 0 31

Polling

[edit]
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Chris
Christie
Ron
DeSantis
Nikki
Haley
Mike
Pence
Vivek
Ramaswamy
Tim
Scott
Donald
Trump
Other Undecided
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates[7] Oct 23–25, 2023 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 2% 12% 7% 3% 3% 1% 64% 2%[b] 6%
J.L. Partners[8] Aug 12–17, 2023 418 (LV)  ? 3% 15% 3% 2% 6% 3% 52% 3%[c] 12%
29% 56% 15%
Public Policy Polling (D)[9] Jun 19–20, 2023 510 (LV) ± 4.3% 4% 23% 5% 5% 3% 2% 46% 12%
37% 49% 14%
Echelon Insights[10] Aug 31 – Sep 7, 2022 142 (LV) ± 6.6% 28% 56% 16%

See also

[edit]

Notes

[edit]
  1. ^ Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. ^ "Doug Burgum & Asa Hutchinson with 1%; Larry Elder with 0%
  3. ^ "Someone else" with 2%; Doug Burgum with 1%; Larry Elder, Asa Hutchinson & Francis Suarez with 0%

References

[edit]
  1. ^ "Montana Republican Presidential Nominating Process". thegreenpapers.com. March 5, 2023. Retrieved February 9, 2023.
  2. ^ Ambarian, Johnathon (May 23, 2024). "Montana presidential primary gives option for "no preference" votes". KTVH Helena. Retrieved May 30, 2024.
  3. ^ Swan, Jonathan; Goldmacher, Shane; Haberman, Maggie (April 24, 2023). "Trump Is Endorsed by a Senator With Sway on Republican Donors". New York Times. Retrieved April 24, 2023.
  4. ^ a b c "Which 2024 Republican Presidential Candidate Has The Most Endorsements?". FiveThirtyEight. April 24, 2023. Retrieved April 25, 2023.
  5. ^ "Meet The Millionaire 'Cowboy' And Ex-Navy SEAL Being Primed To Take On Sen. Jon Tester". Yahoo Sports. June 1, 2023. Retrieved September 2, 2023.
  6. ^ "Montana Presidential Primary". AP News. July 3, 2024. Retrieved July 30, 2024.
  7. ^ Fabrizio, Lee & Associates
  8. ^ J.L. Partners
  9. ^ Public Policy Polling (D)
  10. ^ Echelon Insights