2024 Montana Republican presidential primary: Difference between revisions

2024 Montana Republican presidential primary
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31 Republican National Convention delegates
	Trump 80 – 90% >90%
	Trump 80 – 90% >90%

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Latest revision as of 01:05, 30 December 2024

The 2024 Montana Republican presidential primary was held on June 4, 2024, as part of the Republican Party primaries for the 2024 presidential election. 31 delegates to the 2024 Republican National Convention were allocated on a winner-take-all basis.^[1] The contest was among the last in the Republican primary cycle, held alongside primaries in New Jersey, New Mexico, and South Dakota.

Candidates

Only one candidate filed for the primary election ballot:^[2]

Additionally, voters had an option to vote for "No preference."

Endorsements

Donald Trump

U.S. Senators

Steve Daines, (2015–present)^[3]

U.S. Representatives

Matt Rosendale, MT-02 (2023–present) and MT-AL (2021–2023)^[4]
Ryan Zinke, MT-01 (2023–present) and MT-AL (2015–2017) and U.S. Secretary of the Interior (2017–2019)^[4]

State Executive officials

Elsie Arntzen, Superintendent of Public Instruction of Montana (2017–present)^[4]

Notable individuals

Tim Sheehy, CEO of Bridger Aerospace and Republican candidate for U.S. Senator in 2024^[5]

Results

Montana Republican primary, June 4, 2024^[6]
Candidate	Votes	Percentage	Actual delegate count
Candidate	Votes	Percentage	Bound	Unbound	Total
Donald Trump	165,678	90.9%	31	0	31
No Preference	16,570	9.1%	0	0	0
Total:	182,248	100.00%	31	0	31

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[a]	Margin of error	Chris Christie	Ron DeSantis	Nikki Haley	Mike Pence	Vivek Ramaswamy	Tim Scott	Donald Trump	Other	Undecided
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates^[7]	Oct 23–25, 2023	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	2%	12%	7%	3%	3%	1%	64%	2%^[b]	6%
J.L. Partners^[8]	Aug 12–17, 2023	418 (LV)	?	3%	15%	3%	2%	6%	3%	52%	3%^[c]	12%
J.L. Partners^[8]	Aug 12–17, 2023	418 (LV)	?	–	29%	–	–	–	–	56%	–	15%
Public Policy Polling (D)^[9]	Jun 19–20, 2023	510 (LV)	± 4.3%	4%	23%	5%	5%	3%	2%	46%	–	12%
Public Policy Polling (D)^[9]	Jun 19–20, 2023	510 (LV)	± 4.3%	–	37%	–	–	–	–	49%	–	14%
Echelon Insights^[10]	Aug 31 – Sep 7, 2022	142 (LV)	± 6.6%	–	28%	–	–	–	–	56%	–	16%

Notes

^ Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear
^ "Doug Burgum & Asa Hutchinson with 1%; Larry Elder with 0%
^ "Someone else" with 2%; Doug Burgum with 1%; Larry Elder, Asa Hutchinson & Francis Suarez with 0%

References

^ "Montana Republican Presidential Nominating Process". thegreenpapers.com. March 5, 2023. Retrieved February 9, 2023.
^ Ambarian, Johnathon (May 23, 2024). "Montana presidential primary gives option for "no preference" votes". KTVH Helena. Retrieved May 30, 2024.
^ Swan, Jonathan; Goldmacher, Shane; Haberman, Maggie (April 24, 2023). "Trump Is Endorsed by a Senator With Sway on Republican Donors". New York Times. Retrieved April 24, 2023.
^ ^a ^b ^c "Which 2024 Republican Presidential Candidate Has The Most Endorsements?". FiveThirtyEight. April 24, 2023. Retrieved April 25, 2023.
^ "Meet The Millionaire 'Cowboy' And Ex-Navy SEAL Being Primed To Take On Sen. Jon Tester". Yahoo Sports. June 1, 2023. Retrieved September 2, 2023.
^ "Montana Presidential Primary". AP News. July 3, 2024. Retrieved July 30, 2024.
^ Fabrizio, Lee & Associates
^ J.L. Partners
^ Public Policy Polling (D)
^ Echelon Insights

[key-7] Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear

[9] "Doug Burgum & Asa Hutchinson with 1%; Larry Elder with 0%

[11] "Someone else" with 2%; Doug Burgum with 1%; Larry Elder, Asa Hutchinson & Francis Suarez with 0%

[1] "Montana Republican Presidential Nominating Process". thegreenpapers.com. March 5, 2023. Retrieved February 9, 2023.

[2] Ambarian, Johnathon (May 23, 2024). "Montana presidential primary gives option for "no preference" votes". KTVH Helena. Retrieved May 30, 2024.

[3] Swan, Jonathan; Goldmacher, Shane; Haberman, Maggie (April 24, 2023). "Trump Is Endorsed by a Senator With Sway on Republican Donors". New York Times. Retrieved April 24, 2023.

[Five38-4] "Which 2024 Republican Presidential Candidate Has The Most Endorsements?". FiveThirtyEight. April 24, 2023. Retrieved April 25, 2023.

[5] "Meet The Millionaire 'Cowboy' And Ex-Navy SEAL Being Primed To Take On Sen. Jon Tester". Yahoo Sports. June 1, 2023. Retrieved September 2, 2023.

[6] "Montana Presidential Primary". AP News. July 3, 2024. Retrieved July 30, 2024.

[8] Fabrizio, Lee & Associates

[10] J.L. Partners

[12] Public Policy Polling (D)

[13] Echelon Insights

[1]

[2]

[3]

[4]

[5]

[6]

[a]

[7]

[b]

[8]

[c]

[9]

[10]

@@ Line 15: / Line 15: @@
 | elected_members = [[2024 New Jersey Republican presidential primary|NJ]]
 | votes_for_election = 31 [[2024 Republican National Convention|Republican National Convention]] delegates
+| map_image = File:2024 Montana Republican presidential primary election results by county.svg
-| map_image =
-| map_size = 250px
+| map_size = 300px
-| map_caption =
+| map_caption = {{col-begin}}
+{{col-2}}
-| image1 = Donald Trump 2023 (cropped).jpg
+'''Trump'''
-| candidate1 = [[Donald Trump]]
+{{legend|#3343a2|80 – 90%}}
+{{legend|#243179|>90%}}
+{{col-end}}
+| image1 = Donald_Trump_June_2024_%282%29.jpg
+| image_size = x150px
+| candidate1 = '''[[Donald Trump]]'''
 | color1 = 283681
 | home_state1 = [[Florida]]
-| popular_vote1 =
+| popular_vote1 = '''165,678'''
-| percentage1 =
+| percentage1 = '''90.9%'''
-| delegate_count1 =
+| delegate_count1 = '''31'''
+| image2 = File:NOTA Option Logo 3x4.svg
-| delegate_count3 =
+| colour2 = 000000
+| candidate2 = [[Uncommitted (voting option)|No preference]]
+| home_state2 = —
+| popular_vote2 = 16,570
+| percentage2 = 9.1%
+| delegate_count2 = 0
 }}
 {{Elections in Montana sidebar}}
-The '''2024 Montana Republican presidential primary''' will be held on June 4, 2024, as part of the [[2024 Republican Party presidential primaries|Republican Party primaries]] for the [[2024 United States presidential election|2024 presidential election]]. 31 delegates to the [[2024 Republican National Convention]] will be allocated on a winner-take-all basis.<ref>{{Cite web |date=March 5, 2023 |title= Montana Republican Presidential Nominating Process|url=https://www.thegreenpapers.com/P24/MT-R#0319|access-date=February 9, 2023 |website=thegreenpapers.com}}</ref> The contest will be among the last in the Republican primary cycle, held alongside primaries in [[2024 New Jersey Republican presidential primary|New Jersey]], [[2024 New Mexico Republican presidential primary|New Mexico]], and [[2024 South Dakota Republican presidential primary|South Dakota]].
+The '''2024 Montana Republican presidential primary''' was held on June 4, 2024, as part of the [[2024 Republican Party presidential primaries|Republican Party primaries]] for the [[2024 United States presidential election|2024 presidential election]]. 31 delegates to the [[2024 Republican National Convention]] were allocated on a winner-take-all basis.<ref>{{Cite web |date=March 5, 2023 |title= Montana Republican Presidential Nominating Process|url=https://www.thegreenpapers.com/P24/MT-R#0319|access-date=February 9, 2023 |website=thegreenpapers.com}}</ref> The contest was among the last in the Republican primary cycle, held alongside primaries in [[2024 New Jersey Republican presidential primary|New Jersey]], [[2024 New Mexico Republican presidential primary|New Mexico]], and [[2024 South Dakota Republican presidential primary|South Dakota]].
 ==Candidates==
 Only one candidate filed for the primary election ballot:<ref>{{cite news |last1=Ambarian |first1=Johnathon |title=Montana presidential primary gives option for "no preference" votes |url=https://www.ktvh.com/news/montana-presidential-primary-gives-option-for-no-preference-votes |access-date=30 May 2024 |work=KTVH Helena |date=23 May 2024}}</ref>
 *[[Donald Trump]]
-Additionally, voters have an option to vote for "[[Uncommitted (voting option)|No preference]]."
+* [[Uncommitted (voting option)|No preference]]
+Additionally, voters had an option to vote for "[[Uncommitted (voting option)|No preference]]."
 ==Endorsements==
 {{main|Endorsements in the 2024 Republican Party presidential primaries}}
 {{Endorsements box|title=Donald Trump|list=
-;U.S. Senators
+'''U.S. Senators'''
 *[[Steve Daines]], (2015–present)<ref>{{Cite news |last=Swan |first=Jonathan |last2=Goldmacher |first2=Shane |last3=Haberman |first3=Maggie |date=April 24, 2023 |title=Trump Is Endorsed by a Senator With Sway on Republican Donors |work=New York Times |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2023/04/24/us/politics/trump-senate-endorsement-fundraising.html |access-date=April 24, 2023}}</ref>
-;U.S. Representatives
+'''U.S. Representatives'''
 * [[Matt Rosendale]], [[Montana's 2nd congressional district|MT-02]] (2023–present) and [[Montana's at-large congressional district|MT-AL]] (2021–2023)<ref name="Five38">{{cite news |title=Which 2024 Republican Presidential Candidate Has The Most Endorsements? |url=https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2024-election-endorsements/ |access-date=25 April 2023 |work=[[FiveThirtyEight]] |date=April 24, 2023}}</ref>
 * [[Ryan Zinke]], [[Montana's 1st congressional district|MT-01]] (2023–present) and [[Montana's at-large congressional district|MT-AL]] (2015–2017) and [[United States Secretary of the Interior|U.S. Secretary of the Interior]] (2017–2019)<ref name="Five38" />
-;State Executive officials
+'''State Executive officials'''
 * [[Elsie Arntzen]], [[Montana Office of Public Instruction|Superintendent of Public Instruction of Montana]] (2017–present)<ref name="Five38" />
-;Notable individuals
+'''Notable individuals'''
-*Tim Sheehy, CEO of Bridger Aerospace and Republican candidate for [[U.S. Senator from Montana|U.S. Senator]] in [[2024 United States Senate election in Montana|2024]]<ref>{{Cite web |date=2023-06-01 |title=Meet The Millionaire 'Cowboy' And Ex-Navy SEAL Being Primed To Take On Sen. Jon Tester |url=https://sports.yahoo.com/meet-millionaire-cowboy-ex-navy-143352101.html |access-date=2023-09-02 |website=Yahoo Sports |language=en-US}}</ref>
+*[[Tim Sheehy (American politician)|Tim Sheehy]], CEO of Bridger Aerospace and Republican candidate for [[U.S. Senator from Montana|U.S. Senator]] in [[2024 United States Senate election in Montana|2024]]<ref>{{Cite web |date=2023-06-01 |title=Meet The Millionaire 'Cowboy' And Ex-Navy SEAL Being Primed To Take On Sen. Jon Tester |url=https://sports.yahoo.com/meet-millionaire-cowboy-ex-navy-143352101.html |access-date=2023-09-02 |website=Yahoo Sports |language=en-US}}</ref>
 }}
+==Results==
+{{2024MTRep}}
 ==Polling==
@@ Line 67: / Line 83: @@
 ! Undecided
 |-
-|[https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/20231107_MT_FabrizioMoreJobsLessGov.pdf Fabrizio, Lee & Associates]
+|[[Fabrizio, Lee & Associates]]<ref>[https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/20231107_MT_FabrizioMoreJobsLessGov.pdf Fabrizio, Lee & Associates]</ref>
 | Oct 23–25, 2023
 | 600 (LV)
@@ Line 81: / Line 97: @@
 | 6%
 |-
-|rowspan=2|[https://static1.squarespace.com/enwiki/static/5db0ca668552dd5ab1168a91/t/64f0805b3ec83f5a106591d3/1693483100079/Republican+Primary+Voters+Toplines+V3.pdf J.L. Partners]
+|rowspan=2|[[J.L. Partners]]<ref>[https://static1.squarespace.com/enwiki/static/5db0ca668552dd5ab1168a91/t/64f0805b3ec83f5a106591d3/1693483100079/Republican+Primary+Voters+Toplines+V3.pdf J.L. Partners]</ref>
 |rowspan=2| Aug 12–17, 2023
 |rowspan=2| 418 (LV)
@@ Line 105: / Line 121: @@
 |15%
 |-
-|rowspan=2|[https://www.publicpolicypolling.com/polls/rosendale-trump-lead-gop-field-in-montana-2/ Public Policy Polling (D)]
+|rowspan=2|[[Public Policy Polling|Public Policy Polling (D)]]<ref>[https://www.publicpolicypolling.com/polls/rosendale-trump-lead-gop-field-in-montana-2/ Public Policy Polling (D)]</ref>
 |rowspan=2| Jun 19–20, 2023
 |rowspan=2| 510 (LV)
@@ Line 129: / Line 145: @@
 |14%
 |-
-|[https://netchoice.org/new-national-poll-89-of-americans-say-congress-should-focus-on-addressing-inflation-not-breaking-up-tech/ Echelon Insights]
+|[[Echelon Insights]]<ref>[https://netchoice.org/new-national-poll-89-of-americans-say-congress-should-focus-on-addressing-inflation-not-breaking-up-tech/ Echelon Insights]</ref>
 | Aug 31 – Sep 7, 2022
 | 142 (LV)
@@ Line 152: / Line 168: @@
 ==Notes==
-{{notelist|refs=<ref name="key">Key:<br/>A – all adults<br/>RV – registered voters<br/>LV – likely voters<br/>V – unclear</ref>}}
+{{notelist|refs=<ref name="key">Key:<br />A – all adults<br />RV – registered voters<br />LV – likely voters<br />V – unclear</ref>}}
 ==References==