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{{Short description|none}} <!-- "none" is preferred when the title is sufficiently descriptive; see [[WP:SDNONE]] -->
{{Use dmy dates|date=February 2020}}
{{Use dmy dates|date=February 2020}}
[[File:Antarctic surface temperature.png|thumb|Surface temperature of Antarctica in winter and summer from the [[European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts]]]]
[[File:Antarctic surface temperature.png|thumb|Surface temperature of Antarctica in winter and summer from the [[European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts]]]]


The '''climate of Antarctica''' is the [[Extremes on Earth#Extreme elevations and air temperatures per continent|coldest on Earth]]. The continent is also extremely dry (it is technically a [[desert]]), averaging {{convert|166|mm|abbr=on}} of [[precipitation]] per year. Snow rarely melts on most parts of the continent, and, after being compressed, becomes the [[glacier]] ice that makes up the [[ice sheet]]. [[Weather front]]s rarely penetrate far into the continent, because of the [[katabatic wind]]s. Most of Antarctica has an [[ice cap climate|ice-cap climate]] ([[Köppen climate classification|Köppen classification]] ''EF'') with very cold, generally extremely dry weather.
The '''climate of [[Antarctica]]''' is the [[Extremes on Earth#Extreme elevations and air temperatures per continent|coldest on Earth]]. The continent is also extremely dry (it is a [[desert]]<ref name="nasafaq">{{cite web |title=Frequently Asked Questions about Antarctica |url=https://www.nasa.gov/frequently-asked-questions-about-antarctica/ |website=nasa.gov |publisher=NASA |access-date=5 May 2024}}</ref>), averaging {{convert|166|mm|abbr=on}} of [[precipitation]] per year. Snow rarely melts on most parts of the continent, and, after being compressed, becomes the [[glacier]] ice that makes up the [[ice sheet]]. [[Weather front]]s rarely penetrate far into the continent, because of the [[katabatic wind]]s. Most of Antarctica has an [[ice cap climate|ice-cap climate]] ([[Köppen climate classification|Köppen classification]] ''EF'') with extremely cold and dry weather.


==Temperature==
==Temperature==
The highest temperature ever recorded on Antarctica was {{convert|20.75|C|F|1}}<ref>{{Cite web|url=https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/feb/13/antarctic-temperature-rises-above-20c-first-time-record|title=Antarctic temperature rises above 20C for first time on record|date=13 February 2020|website=The Guardian|language=en|access-date=17 February 2020}}</ref> at [[Comandante Ferraz Antarctic Station]] on 9 February 2020, beating the previous record of {{convert|18.3|C|F|1}} at [[Esperanza Base]], on the northern tip of the [[Antarctic Peninsula]], on 6 February 2020.<ref>{{Cite web|url=https://public.wmo.int/en/media/news/new-record-antarctic-continent-reported|title=New record for Antarctic continent reported|date=7 February 2020|website=World Meteorological Organization|language=en|access-date=8 February 2020}}</ref><ref>{{cite web|url=https://www.bbc.com/news/world-51420681|title=Antarctica logs hottest temperature on record of 18.3C|date=7 February 2020|website=BBC News|access-date=8 February 2020}}</ref>
The highest temperature ever recorded on Antarctica was {{convert|19.8|C|F|1}} recorded at [[Signy Research Station]], [[Signy Island]] on 30 January 1982.<ref name=":0">{{cite web |url=https://public-old.wmo.int/en/media/press-release/wmo-verifies-highest-temperatures-antarctic-region |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20231218174524/https://public-old.wmo.int/en/media/press-release/wmo-verifies-highest-temperatures-antarctic-region |url-status=dead |archive-date=18 December 2023 |title=WMO verifies highest temperatures for Antarctic Region |date=1 March 2017 |access-date=12 July 2018 }}</ref><ref name=WMOantarctica>{{cite web |url=https://wmo.int/news/media-centre/wmo-verifies-one-temperature-record-antarctic-continent-and-rejects-another |title=WMO verifies one temperature record for Antarctic continent and rejects another |publisher=World Meteorological Organization |date=1 July 2021 |access-date=3 July 2021}}</ref>


The highest temperature on the Antarctic mainland was {{convert|18.3|C|F|1}} at the [[Esperanza Base]] (Argentina) on 6 February 2020.<ref>{{Cite web|publisher=The World Meteorological Organization (WMO)|url=https://wmo.int/news/media-centre/wmo-verifies-one-temperature-record-antarctic-continent-and-rejects-another|title=WMO verifies one temperature record for Antarctic continent and rejects another|date=2021-07-01|accessdate=2022-05-17}}</ref>
A higher temperature of {{convert|19.8|C|F|1}} recorded at [[Signy Research Station]] on 30 January 1982 was the record for the Antarctic region encompassing all land and ice south of 60° S.<ref name=":0">{{cite web |url=https://public.wmo.int/en/media/press-release/wmo-verifies-highest-temperatures-antarctic-region | title=WMO verifies highest temperatures for Antarctic Region|date=1 March 2017 | access-date=12 July 2018}}</ref> [[File:Five Myr Climate Change.svg|thumb|The Antarctic temperature changes during the last several [[Glacial period|glacial]] and [[interglacial]] cycles of the present [[ice age]]]] The lowest air temperature record, the [[Extremes on Earth|lowest reliably measured temperature]] on [[Antarctica]] was set on 21 July 1983, when {{convert|−89.2|C}} was observed at [[Vostok, Antarctica|Vostok Station]].<ref name=":0" /><ref>{{cite web|url=http://wmo.asu.edu/world-lowest-temperature|title=World: Lowest Temperature - ASU World Meteorological Organization|work=asu.edu|url-status=dead|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20100616025722/http://wmo.asu.edu/world-lowest-temperature|archive-date=16 June 2010}}</ref> For comparison, this is {{convert|10.7|C-change|F-change}} colder than [[sublimation (chemistry)|subliming]] [[dry ice]] (at sea level pressure). This does not occur though because the percent of carbon dioxide (0.039%) compared with the rest of the atmosphere prevents this from happening. A temperature of -140 ºC (-220 ºF) is necessary in order for this to happen given Earth's atmospheric mix and pressure.<ref>2021 from the main Wikipedia article on Antarctica</ref> The altitude of the location is {{convert|3488|m|ft|abbr=off|sp=us}}.
[[File:Five Myr Climate Change.svg|thumb|The Antarctic temperature changes during the last several [[Glacial period|glacial]] and [[interglacial]] cycles of the present [[ice age]]]] The lowest air temperature record, the [[Extremes on Earth|lowest reliably measured temperature]] on [[Antarctica]] was set on 21 July 1983, when a temperature of {{convert|−89.2|C}} was observed at [[Vostok, Antarctica|Vostok Station]].<ref name=":0" /><ref>{{cite web|url=http://wmo.asu.edu/world-lowest-temperature|title=World: Lowest Temperature - ASU World Meteorological Organization|work=asu.edu|url-status=dead|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20100616025722/http://wmo.asu.edu/world-lowest-temperature|archive-date=16 June 2010}}</ref> For comparison, this is {{convert|10.7|C-change|F-change}} colder than [[sublimation (chemistry)|subliming]] [[dry ice]] (at sea level pressure). The elevation of the location is {{convert|3488|m|ft|abbr=off|sp=us}}.


Satellite measurements have identified even lower ground temperatures, with {{convert|−93.2|C}} having been observed at the cloud-free [[Antarctic Plateau|East Antarctic Plateau]] on 10 August 2010.<ref>[https://www.bbc.com/news/science-environment-25287806 Coldest spot on Earth identified by satellite] {{webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20160414013306/http://www.bbc.com/news/science-environment-25287806 |date=14 April 2016 }}, Jonathan Amos, BBC News, 9 December 2013.</ref>
Satellite measurements have identified even lower ground temperatures, with {{convert|−93.2|C}} having been observed at the cloud-free [[Antarctic Plateau|East Antarctic Plateau]] on 10 August 2010.<ref>[https://www.bbc.com/news/science-environment-25287806 Coldest spot on Earth identified by satellite] {{webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20160414013306/http://www.bbc.com/news/science-environment-25287806 |date=14 April 2016 }}, Jonathan Amos, BBC News, 9 December 2013.</ref>


The lowest recorded temperature of any location on [[Earth's surface]] at {{Coord|81.8|S|63.5|E|dim:10000km}} was revised with new data in 2018 in nearly 100 locations, ranging from {{convert|−93.2|C|F|1}}<ref>{{cite web|url=http://nsidc.org/news/press/2013_ColdestPlace_PR.html|title=Landsat 8 helps unveil the coldest place on Earth|publisher=National Snow and Ice Data Center|date=9 December 2013|author=Natasha Vizcarra|access-date=27 December 2013|url-status=live|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20131220034754/http://nsidc.org/news/press/2013_ColdestPlace_PR.html|archive-date=20 December 2013}}</ref> to {{convert|−98|C|F|1}}.<ref>{{cite web|url=https://nsidc.org/news/newsroom/new-study-explains-antarctica-coldest-temperatures.html|title=New study explains Antarctica's coldest temperatures|publisher=The National Snow and Ice Data Center (NSIDC)|date=25 May 2018|author=Natasha Vizcarra }}</ref> This unnamed part of the Antarctic [[plateau]], between [[Dome A]] and [[Dome F]], was measured on 10 August 2010, and the temperature was deduced from radiance measured by the [[Landsat 8]] and other satellites. It was discovered during a [[National Snow and Ice Data Center]] review of stored data in December 2013<ref>{{cite web|url=https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-25287806|title=Coldest spot on Earth identified by satellite|publisher=BBC News Science & Environment|date=9 December 2013|author=Jonathan Amos|access-date=27 December 2013|url-status=live|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20131226192112/http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-25287806|archive-date=26 December 2013}}</ref> but revised by researchers on 25 June 2018.<ref>{{cite web|url=https://nsidc.org/sites/nsidc.org/files/files/Scambos_et_al-2018-Geophysical_Research_Letters.pdf|publisher=The National Snow and Ice Data Center (NSIDC)|date=25 May 2018|author=Ted Scambos|title=Scambros et al 2018}}</ref><ref>{{cite web|url=https://www.bbc.co.uk/helpandfeedback/corrections_clarifications.html|title=BBC Corrections and Clarifications page|author=NOT CORRECTED}}</ref> This temperature is not directly comparable to the –89.2&nbsp;°C reading quoted above, since it is a skin temperature deduced from satellite-measured upwelling radiance, rather than a thermometer-measured temperature of the air {{convert|1.5|m|ft|1|abbr=on}} above the ground surface.
The lowest recorded temperature of any location on [[Earth's surface]] at {{Coord|81.8|S|63.5|E|dim:10000km}} was revised with new data in 2018 in nearly 100 locations, ranging from {{convert|−93.2|C|F|1}}<ref>{{cite web|url=http://nsidc.org/news/press/2013_ColdestPlace_PR.html|title=Landsat 8 helps unveil the coldest place on Earth|publisher=National Snow and Ice Data Center|date=9 December 2013|author=Natasha Vizcarra|access-date=27 December 2013|url-status=live|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20131220034754/http://nsidc.org/news/press/2013_ColdestPlace_PR.html|archive-date=20 December 2013}}</ref> to {{convert|−98|C|F|1}}.<ref>{{cite web|url=https://nsidc.org/news/newsroom/new-study-explains-antarctica-coldest-temperatures.html|title=New study explains Antarctica's coldest temperatures|publisher=The National Snow and Ice Data Center (NSIDC)|date=25 May 2018|author=Natasha Vizcarra|access-date=7 August 2018|archive-date=5 March 2021|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20210305072049/https://nsidc.org/news/newsroom/new-study-explains-antarctica-coldest-temperatures.html|url-status=dead}}</ref> This unnamed part of the Antarctic [[plateau]], between [[Dome A]] and [[Dome F]], was measured on 10 August 2010, and the temperature was deduced from radiance measured by the [[Landsat 8]] and other satellites. It was discovered during a [[National Snow and Ice Data Center]] review of stored data in December 2013<ref>{{cite web|url=https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-25287806|title=Coldest spot on Earth identified by satellite|publisher=BBC News Science & Environment|date=9 December 2013|author=Jonathan Amos|access-date=27 December 2013|url-status=live|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20131226192112/http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-25287806|archive-date=26 December 2013}}</ref> but revised by researchers on 25 June 2018.<ref>{{cite web|url=https://nsidc.org/sites/nsidc.org/files/files/Scambos_et_al-2018-Geophysical_Research_Letters.pdf|publisher=The National Snow and Ice Data Center (NSIDC)|date=25 May 2018|author=Ted Scambos|title=Scambros et al 2018}}</ref><ref>{{cite web|url=https://www.bbc.co.uk/helpandfeedback/corrections_clarifications.html|title=BBC Corrections and Clarifications page|author=NOT CORRECTED|access-date=7 August 2018|archive-date=13 October 2018|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20181013082606/https://www.bbc.co.uk/helpandfeedback/corrections_clarifications.html|url-status=dead}}</ref> This temperature is not directly comparable to the –89.2&nbsp;°C reading quoted above, since it is a skin temperature deduced from satellite-measured upwelling radiance, rather than a thermometer-measured temperature of the air {{convert|1.5|m|ft|0|abbr=on}} above the ground surface.


The mean annual temperature of the interior is {{convert|-57|C|F|1}}. The coast is warmer; on the coast Antarctic average temperatures are around {{convert|-10|C|F|1}} (in the warmest parts of Antarctica) and in the elevated inland they average about {{convert|-55|C|F|1}} in Vostok.<ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.antarctica.gov.au/about-antarctica/environment/weather|title=Antarctic weather|
The mean annual temperature of the interior is {{convert|-43.5|C|F|1}}.<ref>{{cite web|url=https://climatereanalyzer.org/reanalysis/monthly_tseries/|publisher=Climate Change Institute, University of Maine|access-date=18 May 2023|title=Annual mean 2m Temperature for 0-150ºE, 75-90ºS, Climate Reanalyzer}}</ref> The coast is warmer; on the coast Antarctic average temperatures are around {{convert|-10|C|F|1}} (in the warmest parts of Antarctica) and in the elevated inland they average about {{convert|-55|C|F|1}} in Vostok.<ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.antarctica.gov.au/about-antarctica/environment/weather|title=Antarctic weather|
website=www.antarctica.gov.au|url-status=live|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20161105034626/http://www.antarctica.gov.au/about-antarctica/environment/weather|archive-date=5 November 2016}}</ref><ref>{{cite web |url=http://www.aari.aq/data/data.asp?lang=0&station=6 |title=Archived copy |
website=www.antarctica.gov.au|url-status=live|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20161105034626/http://www.antarctica.gov.au/about-antarctica/environment/weather|archive-date=5 November 2016}}</ref><ref>{{cite web |url=http://www.aari.aq/data/data.asp?lang=0&station=6 |title=Antarctic climatic data |
access-date=7 May 2008 |url-status=dead |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20080507070713/http://www.aari.aq/data/data.asp?lang=0&station=6 |archive-date=7 May 2008 }}</ref>
access-date=7 May 2008 |url-status=dead |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20080507070713/http://www.aari.aq/data/data.asp?lang=0&station=6 |archive-date=7 May 2008 }}</ref>
Monthly means at [[McMurdo Station]] range from {{convert|-26|C|F|1}} in August to {{convert|-3|C|F|1}} in January.<ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.coolantarctica.com/Antarctica%20fact%20file/antarctica%20environment/climate_graph/vostok_south_pole_mcmurdo.htm|title=Antarctica Climate data and graphs, South Pole, McMurdo and Vostok|work=coolantarctica.com|url-status=dead|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20101009114203/http://coolantarctica.com/Antarctica%20fact%20file/antarctica%20environment/climate_graph/vostok_south_pole_mcmurdo.htm|archive-date=9 October 2010|access-date=14 May 2014}}</ref>
Monthly means at [[McMurdo Station]] range from {{convert|-26|C|F|1}} in August to {{convert|-3|C|F|1}} in January.<ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.coolantarctica.com/Antarctica%20fact%20file/antarctica%20environment/climate_graph/vostok_south_pole_mcmurdo.htm|title=Antarctica Climate data and graphs, South Pole, McMurdo and Vostok|work=coolantarctica.com|url-status=dead|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20101009114203/http://coolantarctica.com/Antarctica%20fact%20file/antarctica%20environment/climate_graph/vostok_south_pole_mcmurdo.htm|archive-date=9 October 2010|access-date=14 May 2014}}</ref>
At the [[South Pole]], the highest temperature ever recorded was {{convert|-12.3|C|F|1}} on 25 December 2011.<ref name=AMRC>{{cite web|url=http://amrc.ssec.wisc.edu/blog/2011/12/28/preliminary-report-record-temperatures-at-south-pole-and-nearby-aws-sites/|title=Preliminary Report: Record Temperatures at South Pole (and nearby AWS sites…)|date=28 December 2011|author=Matthew A. Lazzara|access-date=28 December 2011|url-status=live|archive-url=http://archive.wikiwix.com/cache/20111230104839/http://amrc.ssec.wisc.edu/blog/2011/12/28/preliminary-report-record-temperatures-at-south-pole-and-nearby-aws-sites/|archive-date=30 December 2011}}</ref> Along the [[Antarctic Peninsula]], temperatures as high as {{convert|15|C|F}} have been recorded,{{clarify | reason = Relationship between this statement and the earlier statement about the highest temperature ever recorded in Antarctica is unclear.|date=December 2013}} though the summer temperature is below {{convert|0|C|F}} most of the time. Severe low temperatures vary with latitude, elevation, and distance from the ocean. [[East Antarctica]] is colder than [[West Antarctica]] because of its higher elevation.{{citation needed|date=January 2014}} The [[Antarctic Peninsula]] has the most moderate climate. Higher temperatures occur in January along the coast and average slightly below freezing.
At the [[South Pole]], the highest temperature ever recorded was {{convert|-12.3|C|F|1}} on 25 December 2011.<ref name=AMRC>{{cite web|url=http://amrc.ssec.wisc.edu/blog/2011/12/28/preliminary-report-record-temperatures-at-south-pole-and-nearby-aws-sites/|title=Preliminary Report: Record Temperatures at South Pole (and nearby AWS sites…)|date=28 December 2011|author=Matthew A. Lazzara|access-date=28 December 2011|url-status=live|archive-url=http://archive.wikiwix.com/cache/20111230104839/http://amrc.ssec.wisc.edu/blog/2011/12/28/preliminary-report-record-temperatures-at-south-pole-and-nearby-aws-sites/|archive-date=30 December 2011}}</ref> Along the [[Antarctic Peninsula]], temperatures as high as {{convert|18.3|C|F|1}} have been recorded,{{clarify | reason = Relationship between this statement and the earlier statement about the highest temperature ever recorded in Antarctica is unclear.|date=December 2013}} though the summer temperature is below {{convert|0|C|F}} most of the time. Severe low temperatures vary with latitude, elevation, and distance from the ocean. [[East Antarctica]] is colder than [[West Antarctica]] because of its higher elevation.{{citation needed|date=January 2014}} The [[Antarctic Peninsula]] has the most moderate climate. Higher temperatures occur in January along the coast and average slightly below freezing.


==Precipitation==
==Precipitation==
[[File:File-Dgv-surfbal-1.gif|thumb|Map of average annual [[precipitation (meteorology)|precipitation]] on Antarctica (mm liquid equivalent)]]
[[File:File-Dgv-surfbal-1.gif|thumb|Map of average annual [[precipitation (meteorology)|precipitation]] on Antarctica (mm liquid equivalent)]]


The total [[precipitation (meteorology)|precipitation]] on Antarctica, averaged over the entire continent, is about {{convert|166|mm|abbr=off}} per year (Vaughan et al., [[Journal of Climate|J Climate]], 1999). The actual rates vary widely, from high values over the [[Antarctic Peninsula|Peninsula]] (15 to 25 inches a year) to very low values (as little as {{convert|50|mm|abbr=off}} in the high interior (Bromwich, Reviews of Geophysics, 1988). Areas that receive less than {{convert|250|mm|abbr=off}} of precipitation per year are classified as [[desert]]s. Almost all Antarctic precipitation falls as [[snow]].<ref name=dnaclimate>{{cite web|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20161113152357/http://www.dna.gov.ar/la-ant%C3%A1rtida |archive-date=13 November 2016 |url=http://www.dna.gov.ar/la-ant%C3%A1rtida |title=La Antártida |publisher=Dirección Nacional del Antártico |language=es |access-date=13 November 2016 |url-status=dead }}</ref> Rainfall is rare and mainly occurs during the summer in coastal areas and surrounding islands.<ref name=dnaclimate/> Note that the quoted precipitation is a measure of its equivalence to water, rather than being the actual depth of snow. The air in Antarctica is also very dry. The low temperatures result in a very low absolute [[humidity]], which means that dry skin and cracked lips are a continual problem for scientists and expeditioners working on the continent.
The total [[precipitation (meteorology)|precipitation]] on Antarctica, averaged over the entire continent, is about {{convert|166|mm|abbr=off}} per year (Vaughan et al., [[Journal of Climate|''J. Clim.'']], 1999). The actual rates vary widely, from high values over the Peninsula ({{convert|380 to 640|mm|abbr=off}} a year) to very low values (as little as {{convert|50|mm|abbr=off}} in the high interior (Bromwich, ''[[Reviews of Geophysics]]'', 1988). Areas that receive less than {{convert|250|mm|abbr=off}} of precipitation per year are classified as [[desert]]s. Almost all Antarctic precipitation falls as [[snow]].<ref name=dnaclimate>{{cite web|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20161113152357/http://www.dna.gov.ar/la-ant%C3%A1rtida |archive-date=13 November 2016 |url=http://www.dna.gov.ar/la-ant%C3%A1rtida |title=La Antártida |publisher=Dirección Nacional del Antártico |language=es |access-date=13 November 2016 |url-status=dead }}</ref> Rainfall is rare and mainly occurs during the summer in coastal areas and surrounding islands.<ref name=dnaclimate/> Note that the quoted precipitation is a measure of its equivalence to water, rather than being the actual depth of snow. The air in Antarctica is also very dry. The low temperatures result in a very low absolute [[humidity]], which means that dry skin and cracked lips are a continual problem for scientists and expeditioners working on the continent.<ref>{{cite news|newspaper=Fair Observer|title=Is Mainstream Tourism a Good Way to Save Helpless Antarctica? |url=https://www.fairobserver.com/world-news/is-mainstream-tourism-a-good-way-to-save-helpless-antarctica/ |access-date=9 July 2024}}</ref>


==Weather condition classification==
==Weather condition classification==
Line 29: Line 31:


==Ice cover==
==Ice cover==
Nearly all of Antarctica is covered by a sheet of ice that is, on average, a mile thick or more (1.6&nbsp;km). Antarctica contains 90% of the world's [[ice]] and more than 70% of its [[fresh water]]. If all the land-ice covering Antarctica were to melt — around {{convert|30|e6km3|e6cumi|abbr=off}} of ice — the seas would rise by over {{convert|60|m|abbr=off}}.<ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.grida.no/climate/ipcc_tar/wg1/412.htm#tab113|title=Climate Change 2001: The Scientific Basis|publisher=Grida.no|access-date=27 March 2011|url-status=dead|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20071216235037/http://www.grida.no/climate/ipcc_tar/wg1/412.htm#tab113|archive-date=16 December 2007}}</ref> This is, however, very unlikely within the next few centuries. The Antarctic is so cold that even with increases of a few degrees, temperatures would generally remain below the melting point of ice. Higher temperatures are expected to lead to more precipitation, which takes the form of snow. This would increase the amount of ice in Antarctica, offsetting approximately one third of the expected sea level rise from thermal expansion of the oceans.<ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.grida.no/climate/ipcc_tar/wg1/428.htm|title=Climate Change 2001: The Scientific Basis|publisher=Grida.no|access-date=27 March 2011|url-status=dead|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20110514002354/http://www.grida.no/climate/ipcc_tar/wg1/428.htm|archive-date=14 May 2011}}</ref>
Nearly all of Antarctica is covered by a sheet of ice that is, on average, at least {{convert|1500|m|ft|sigfig=1|abbr=on}} thick. Antarctica contains 90% of the world's [[ice]] and more than 70% of its [[fresh water]]. If all the land-ice covering Antarctica were to melt — around {{convert|30|e6km3|e6cumi|abbr=on}} of ice — the seas would rise by over {{convert|60|m|ft|abbr=on}}.<ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.grida.no/climate/ipcc_tar/wg1/412.htm#tab113|title=Climate Change 2001: The Scientific Basis|publisher=Grida.no|access-date=27 March 2011|url-status=dead|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20071216235037/http://www.grida.no/climate/ipcc_tar/wg1/412.htm#tab113|archive-date=16 December 2007}}</ref> The Antarctic is so cold that even with increases of a few degrees, temperatures would generally remain below the melting point of ice. Higher temperatures are expected to lead to more precipitation, which takes the form of snow. This would increase the amount of ice in Antarctica, offsetting approximately one third of the expected sea level rise from thermal expansion of the oceans.<ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.grida.no/climate/ipcc_tar/wg1/428.htm|title=Climate Change 2001: The Scientific Basis|publisher=Grida.no|access-date=27 March 2011|url-status=dead|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20110514002354/http://www.grida.no/climate/ipcc_tar/wg1/428.htm|archive-date=14 May 2011}}</ref>
During a recent{{when|date=February 2020}} decade, East Antarctica thickened at an average rate of about {{convert|1.8|cm}} per year while West Antarctica showed an overall thinning of {{convert|0.9|cm}} per year.<ref>{{cite journal|vauthors=Davis CH, Li Y, McConnell JR, Frey MM, Hanna E |s2cid=31797055 |year=2005 |title=Snowfall-Driven Growth in East Antarctic Ice Sheet Mitigates Recent Sea-Level Rise |journal=Science |volume=308 |issue=5730 |pages=1898–1901 |doi=10.1126/science.1110662 |bibcode=2005Sci...308.1898D |pmid=15905362}}</ref> For the contribution of Antarctica to present and [[future sea level]] change, see [[sea level rise]]. Because ice flows, albeit slowly, the ice within the ice sheet is younger than the age of the sheet itself.
During a recent{{when|date=February 2020}} decade, East Antarctica thickened at an average rate of about {{convert|1.8|cm|in|frac=16|abbr=on}} per year while West Antarctica showed an overall thinning of {{convert|0.9|cm|in|frac=16|abbr=on}} per year.<ref>{{cite journal|vauthors=Davis CH, Li Y, McConnell JR, Frey MM, Hanna E |s2cid=31797055 |year=2005 |title=Snowfall-Driven Growth in East Antarctic Ice Sheet Mitigates Recent Sea-Level Rise |journal=Science |volume=308 |issue=5730 |pages=1898–1901 |doi=10.1126/science.1110662 |bibcode=2005Sci...308.1898D |pmid=15905362|doi-access=free }}</ref> For the contribution of Antarctica to present and [[future sea level]] change, see [[sea level rise]]. Because ice flows, albeit slowly, the ice within the ice sheet is younger than the age of the sheet itself.


{| class="wikitable"
{| class="wikitable"
|+ Morphometric data for Antarctica (from Drewry, 1983)
|+ Morphometric data for Antarctica (from Drewry, 1983)
! rowspan=2|Surface
! colspan=2|Area
!rowspan=2|Mean ice<br>thickness <br/> (m)
! colspan=2|Volume
|-
|-
!(km<sup>2</sup>)
! Surface
!Percent
! Area <br/> (km²)
!(km<sup>3</sup>)
! Percent
!Percent
! Mean ice thickness <br/> (m)
! Volume <br/> (km³)
! Percent
|-
|-
| Inland ice sheet
| Inland ice sheet
Line 58: Line 62:
| [[Ice rise]]s
| [[Ice rise]]s
| style="text-align: right;" | 78,970
| style="text-align: right;" | 78,970
| style="text-align: right;" | .57
| style="text-align: right;" | 0.57
| style="text-align: right;" | 670
| style="text-align: right;" | 670
| style="text-align: right;" | 53,100
| style="text-align: right;" | 53,100
| style="text-align: right;" | .18
| style="text-align: right;" | 0.18
|-
|-
! Glacier ice (total)
! Glacier ice (total)
Line 67: Line 71:
| &nbsp;
| &nbsp;
| style="text-align: right;" | 2,160
| style="text-align: right;" | 2,160
| style="text-align: right;" | 30,109,800¹
| style="text-align: right;" | 30,109,800 <sup>1</sup>
|
|
|-
|-
Line 81: Line 85:
| style="text-align: right;" | 100.00
| style="text-align: right;" | 100.00
| style="text-align: right;" | 2,160
| style="text-align: right;" | 2,160
| style="text-align: right;" | 30,109,800¹
| style="text-align: right;" | 30,109,800 <sup>1</sup>
| style="text-align: right;" | 100.00
| style="text-align: right;" | 100.00
|-
| colspan="6" | ¹The total ice volume is different from the sum of the component parts because individual figures have been rounded.
|}
|}
<sup>1</sup> The total ice volume is different from the sum of the component parts because individual figures have been rounded.<br>{{Fix|text=OK, but the percentages don't add to 100%.}}

{| class="wikitable"
{| class="wikitable"
|+ Regional ice data (from Drewry and others, 1982; Drewry, 1983)
|+ Regional ice data (from Drewry and others, 1982; Drewry, 1983)
|-
! Region
! Region
! Area <br/> (km²)
! Area <br/> (km<sup>2</sup>)
! Mean ice<br/>thickness <br/> (m)
! Mean ice<br/>thickness <br/> (m)
! Volume <br/> (km³)
! Volume <br/> (km<sup>3</sup>)
|-
|-
! East Antarctica
! colspan=4 style="background:#FFFFCC;"|East Antarctica
|
|
|
|-
|-
| Inland ice
| Inland ice
Line 115: Line 113:
| style="text-align: right;" | 1,600
| style="text-align: right;" | 1,600
|-
|-
! West Antarctica (excluding Antarctic Peninsula)
! colspan=4 style="background:#FFFFCC;"|West Antarctica (excluding Antarctic Peninsula)
|
|
|
|-
|-
| [[West Antarctic Ice Sheet|Inland ice sheet]]
| [[West Antarctic Ice Sheet|Inland ice sheet]]
Line 135: Line 130:
| style="text-align: right;" | 1,300
| style="text-align: right;" | 1,300
|-
|-
! [[Antarctic Peninsula]]
! colspan=4 style="background:#FFFFCC;"|[[Antarctic Peninsula]]
|
|
|
|-
|-
| Inland ice sheet
| Inland ice sheet
Line 155: Line 147:
| style="text-align: right;" | 500
| style="text-align: right;" | 500
|-
|-
! [[Ross Ice Shelf]]
! colspan=4 style="background:#FFFFCC;"|[[Ross Ice Shelf]]
|
|
|
|-
|-
| Ice shelf
| Ice shelf
Line 170: Line 159:
| style="text-align: right;" | 5,100
| style="text-align: right;" | 5,100
|-
|-
! [[Filchner-Ronne Ice Shelf]]
!colspan=4 style="background:#FFFFCC;"| [[Filchner-Ronne Ice Shelf]]
|
|
|
|-
|-
| Ice shelf
| Ice shelf
Line 187: Line 173:


===Ice shelves===
===Ice shelves===
[[File:Antarctica ice shelves.png|thumb|Antarctic ice shelves, 1998]]
[[File:Antarctica ice shelves-en.svg|thumb|Antarctic ice shelves, 1998]]
About 75% of the coastline of Antarctica is [[ice shelf]]. The majority of ice shelf consists of floating ice, and a lesser amount consists of glaciers that move slowly from the land mass into the sea. Ice shelves lose mass through breakup of glacial ice ([[Ice calving|calving]]), or [[Ice-sheet dynamics#Basal melt|basal melting]] due to warm ocean water under the ice.<ref>{{cite journal|journal=Science |url=http://www.sciencemag.org/content/341/6143/266.abstract |title=Ice-Shelf Melting Around Antarctica |author1=E. Rignot |author2=S. Jacobs |author3=J. Mouginot |author4=B. Scheuchl |doi=10.1126/science.1235798 |bibcode=2013Sci...341..266R |volume=341 |issue=6143 |pages=266–270 |pmid=23765278 |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20150713040840/http://www.sciencemag.org/content/341/6143/266.abstract |archive-date=13 July 2015 |year=2013|s2cid=206548095 }}</ref>
About 75% of the coastline of Antarctica is [[ice shelf]]. The majority of ice shelf consists of floating ice, and a lesser amount consists of glaciers that move slowly from the land mass into the sea. Ice shelves lose mass through breakup of glacial ice ([[Ice calving|calving]]), or [[Ice-sheet dynamics#Basal melt|basal melting]] due to warm ocean water under the ice.<ref>{{cite journal|journal=Science |title=Ice-Shelf Melting Around Antarctica |author1=E. Rignot |author2=S. Jacobs |author3=J. Mouginot |author4=B. Scheuchl |doi=10.1126/science.1235798 |bibcode=2013Sci...341..266R |volume=341 |issue=6143 |pages=266–270 |pmid=23765278 |year=2013|s2cid=206548095 |doi-access=free }}</ref>


Melting or breakup of floating shelf ice does not directly affect global sea levels; however, ice shelves have a buttressing effect on the ice flow behind them. If ice shelves break up, the ice flow behind them may accelerate, resulting in increasing melt of the Antarctic ice sheet and an increasing contribution to sea level.
Melting or breakup of floating shelf ice does not directly affect global sea levels; however, ice shelves have a buttressing effect on the ice flow behind them. If ice shelves break up, the ice flow behind them may accelerate, resulting in increasing melt of the Antarctic ice sheet and an increasing contribution to sea level rise.


Known changes in coastline ice around the Antarctic Peninsula:
Known changes in coastline ice around the Antarctic Peninsula:
Line 197: Line 183:
* Parts of the [[Larsen Ice Shelf]] broke up in recent decades.
* Parts of the [[Larsen Ice Shelf]] broke up in recent decades.
** 1995: The Larsen A ice shelf disintegrated in January 1995.
** 1995: The Larsen A ice shelf disintegrated in January 1995.
** 2001: {{convert|3,250|km2|abbr=off}} of the Larsen B ice shelf disintegrated in February 2001. It had been gradually retreating before the breakup event.
** 2001: {{convert|3,250|km2|sqmi|abbr=on}} of the Larsen B ice shelf disintegrated in February 2001. It had been gradually retreating before the breakup event.
** 2015: A study concluded that the remaining ''Larsen B'' ice-shelf will disintegrate by the end of the decade, based on observations of faster flow and rapid thinning of glaciers in the area.<ref>{{cite web|title=NASA Study Shows Antarctica's Larsen B Ice Shelf Nearing Its Final Act|url=http://www.nasa.gov/press-release/nasa-study-shows-antarctica-s-larsen-b-ice-shelf-nearing-its-final-act|author=NASA|date=14 May 2015|url-status=live|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20150609032810/http://www.nasa.gov/press-release/nasa-study-shows-antarctica-s-larsen-b-ice-shelf-nearing-its-final-act/|archive-date=9 June 2015}}</ref>
** 2015: A study concluded that the remaining ''Larsen B'' ice-shelf will disintegrate by the end of the decade, based on observations of faster flow and rapid thinning of glaciers in the area.<ref>{{cite web|title=NASA Study Shows Antarctica's Larsen B Ice Shelf Nearing Its Final Act|url=http://www.nasa.gov/press-release/nasa-study-shows-antarctica-s-larsen-b-ice-shelf-nearing-its-final-act|author=NASA|date=14 May 2015|url-status=live|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20150609032810/http://www.nasa.gov/press-release/nasa-study-shows-antarctica-s-larsen-b-ice-shelf-nearing-its-final-act/|archive-date=9 June 2015}}</ref>


The [[George VI Ice Shelf]], which may be on the brink of instability,<ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.antarctica.ac.uk/BAS_Science/Highlights/2001/george_vi.html |title=Millennial-scale variability of George VI Ice Shelf, Antarctic Peninsula |publisher=Natural Environment Research Council |access-date=8 June 2015 |first1=Mike |last1=Bentley |first2=Dominic |last2=Hodgson |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20020912045816/http://www.antarctica.ac.uk/BAS_Science/Highlights/2001/george_vi.html |archive-date=12 September 2002}}</ref> has probably existed for approximately 8,000 years, after melting 1,500 years earlier.<ref>{{cite web|url=http://igloo.gsfc.nasa.gov/wais/pastmeetings/abstracts00/Bentley2.htm |title=Holocene Instability of the George VI Ice Shelf, Antarctic Peninsula |access-date=8 June 2015 |author=Bentley, M.J. (1), Hjort, C. (2) Ingolfsson, O. (3) and Sugden, D.E. (4) |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20041020150823/http://igloo.gsfc.nasa.gov/wais/pastmeetings/abstracts00/Bentley2.htm | archive-date=20 October 2004}}</ref> Warm ocean currents may have been the cause of the melting.<ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.antarctica.ac.uk/News_and_Information/Press_Releases/story.php?id=160 |title=Press Release – New Year's Honours for British Antarctic Survey Personnel |publisher=[[British Antarctic Survey]] |date=5 January 2006 |url-status=dead |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20061215053832/http://www.antarctica.ac.uk/News_and_Information/Press_Releases/story.php?id=160 |archive-date=15 December 2006}}</ref> Not only are the ice sheets losing mass, they are losing mass at an accelerating rate.<ref>{{cite web|url=https://www.nasa.gov/topics/earth/features/20100108_Is_Antarctica_Melting.html |title=NASA - Is Antarctica Melting? |website=www.nasa.gov |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20161212153658/https://www.nasa.gov/topics/earth/features/20100108_Is_Antarctica_Melting.html |archive-date=12 December 2016}}</ref>
The [[George VI Ice Shelf]], which may be on the brink of instability,<ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.antarctica.ac.uk/BAS_Science/Highlights/2001/george_vi.html |title=Millennial-scale variability of George VI Ice Shelf, Antarctic Peninsula |publisher=Natural Environment Research Council |access-date=8 June 2015 |first1=Mike |last1=Bentley |first2=Dominic |last2=Hodgson |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20020912045816/http://www.antarctica.ac.uk/BAS_Science/Highlights/2001/george_vi.html |archive-date=12 September 2002}}</ref> has probably existed for approximately 8,000 years, after melting 1,500 years earlier.<ref>{{cite web|url=http://igloo.gsfc.nasa.gov/wais/pastmeetings/abstracts00/Bentley2.htm |title=Holocene Instability of the George VI Ice Shelf, Antarctic Peninsula |access-date=8 June 2015 |last1=Bentley|first1= M.J.|last2= Hjort|first2= C. |last3=Ingolfsson|first3= O. |last4=Sugden|first4= D.E.|url-status=dead |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20041020150823/http://igloo.gsfc.nasa.gov/wais/pastmeetings/abstracts00/Bentley2.htm | archive-date=20 October 2004}}</ref> Warm ocean currents may have been the cause of the melting.<ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.antarctica.ac.uk/News_and_Information/Press_Releases/story.php?id=160 |title=Press Release – New Year's Honours for British Antarctic Survey Personnel |publisher=[[British Antarctic Survey]] |date=5 January 2006 |url-status=dead |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20061215053832/http://www.antarctica.ac.uk/News_and_Information/Press_Releases/story.php?id=160 |archive-date=15 December 2006}}</ref> Not only are the ice sheets losing mass, they are losing mass at an accelerating rate.<ref>{{cite web|url=https://www.nasa.gov/topics/earth/features/20100108_Is_Antarctica_Melting.html |title=NASA - Is Antarctica Melting? |website=www.nasa.gov |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20161212153658/https://www.nasa.gov/topics/earth/features/20100108_Is_Antarctica_Melting.html |archive-date=12 December 2016}}</ref>

==Global warming==
{{outdated section|date=December 2019}}
{{Main|Global warming in Antarctica}}
[[File:Antarctic Temperature Trend 1981-2007.jpg|thumb|Antarctic Skin Temperature Trends between 1981 and 2007, based on thermal [[infrared]] observations made by a series of NOAA satellite sensors. Skin temperature trends do not necessarily reflect air temperature trends.]]

The continent-wide average surface temperature trend of Antarctica is positive – that is, the temperature is increasing – and significant at more than {{convert|0.05|C-change|sigfig=1}} per decade since 1957.<ref name="blogspot1">{{cite web|url=http://climatechangepsychology.blogspot.com/2009/01/eric-j-steig-temperature-in-west.html|title=Climate Change: The Next Generation|author=Tenney Naumer|work=climatechangepsychology.blogspot.com|url-status=live|archive-url=http://archive.wikiwix.com/cache/20090122041344/http://climatechangepsychology.blogspot.com/2009/01/eric-j-steig-temperature-in-west.html|archive-date=22 January 2009}}</ref><ref name="washington1">[http://www.ess.washington.edu/web/ess/people/faculty_bio/steig-bio.html Retrieved=2009-01-22] {{webarchive |url=https://web.archive.org/web/20081229065611/http://www.ess.washington.edu/web/ess/people/faculty_bio/steig-bio.html |date=29 December 2008 }}</ref><ref name="nature1">{{cite journal |url=http://www.nature.com/nature/journal/v457/n7228/full/nature07669.html |title=Archived copy |access-date=24 January 2009 |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20090124112214/http://www.nature.com/nature/journal/v457/n7228/full/nature07669.html |archive-date=24 January 2009 |volume=457 |issue=7228}} Retrieved=2009-01-22</ref><ref>{{cite web|url=http://news.smh.com.au/breaking-news-world/global-warming-hitting-all-of-antarctica-scientists-20090122-7mul.html|title=Global warming hitting all of Antarctica: scientists|work=The Sydney Morning Herald|url-status=live|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20090317064021/http://news.smh.com.au/breaking-news-world/global-warming-hitting-all-of-antarctica-scientists-20090122-7mul.html|archive-date=17 March 2009}}</ref>
The West Antarctic ice sheet has warmed by more than {{convert|0.1|C-change|sigfig=2}} per decade in the last 50 years,<ref>{{cite journal|last1=Steig|first1=Eric J.|last2=Schneider|first2=David P.|last3=Rutherford|first3=Scott D.|last4=Mann|first4=Michael E.|last5=Comiso|first5=Josefino C.|last6=Shindell|first6=Drew T.|date=22 January 2009|title=Warming of the Antarctic ice-sheet surface since the 1957 International Geophysical Year|url=https://pubs.giss.nasa.gov/abs/st00910q.html|journal=Nature|volume=457|issue=7228|pages=459–462|doi=10.1038/nature07669|pmid=19158794|access-date=2 May 2019|via=Goddard Institute for Space Studies, NASA|bibcode=2009Natur.457..459S|s2cid=4410477}}<!--Please leave the NASA URL for free full-text access. Nature charges.--></ref> and is strongest in winter and spring. Although this is partly offset by fall cooling in East Antarctica, this effect is restricted to the 1980s and 1990s.<ref name="blogspot1"/><ref name="washington1"/><ref name="nature1"/>

Research published in 2009 found that overall the continent had become warmer since the 1950s, a finding consistent with the influence of [[man-made climate change]]. "We can't pin it down, but it certainly is consistent with the influence of greenhouse gases from fossil fuels", said NASA scientist Drew Shindell, one of the study's authors. Some of the effects could be due to natural variability, he added.<ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.nbcnews.com/id/28693329/ns/us_news-environment/t/antarctica-study-challenges-warming-skeptics/ |title=Antarctica study challenges warming skeptics |website=[[NBC News]] |date=21 January 2009 |access-date=2 May 2019}}</ref>

The [[British Antarctic Survey]], which has undertaken the majority of Britain's scientific research in the area, stated in 2009:<ref>{{cite web |url=http://www.antarctica.ac.uk/press/press_releases/press_release.php?id=1065 |title=Archived copy |access-date=6 July 2015 |url-status=dead |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20150706220213/http://www.antarctica.ac.uk/press/press_releases/press_release.php?id=1065 |archive-date=6 July 2015}}</ref>
*West Antarctic ice loss could contribute to {{convert|1.4|m|abbr=off}} sea level rise
*Antarctica predicted to warm by around {{convert|3|C-change}} over this century
*10% increase in sea ice around the Antarctic
*Rapid ice loss in parts of the Antarctic
*Warming of the Southern Ocean will cause changes in Antarctic ecosystem
*Hole in [[ozone layer]], which has delayed the impact of greenhouse gas increases on Antarctica's climate

[[File:Antarctic Ice Melt-First Year.jpg|thumb|20 September 2007 [[NASA]] map showing previously un-melted snowmelt]]
The area of strongest cooling appears at the South Pole, and the region of strongest warming lies along the Antarctic Peninsula. A possible explanation is that loss of [[ultraviolet|UV]]-absorbing [[ozone]] may have cooled the [[stratosphere]] and strengthened the [[polar vortex]], a pattern of spinning winds around the South Pole. The vortex acts like an atmospheric barrier, preventing warmer, coastal air from moving into the continent's interior. A stronger polar vortex might explain the cooling trend in the interior of Antarctica.<ref>{{cite web |url=http://earthobservatory.nasa.gov/Newsroom/NewImages/images.php3?img_id=17257 |title=Archived copy |access-date=14 August 2008 |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20080924163242/http://earthobservatory.nasa.gov/Newsroom/NewImages/images.php3?img_id=17257 |archive-date=24 September 2008}}</ref>

In their latest study (20 September 2007) NASA researchers have confirmed that Antarctic snow is melting farther inland from the coast over time, melting at higher altitudes than ever and increasingly melting on Antarctica's largest ice shelf.<ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.nasa.gov/centers/goddard/news/topstory/2007/antarctic_snowmelt.html|title=NASA - NASA Researchers Find Snowmelt in Antarctica Creeping Inland|work=nasa.gov|url-status=live|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20150801154423/http://www.nasa.gov/centers/goddard/news/topstory/2007/antarctic_snowmelt.html|archive-date=1 August 2015}}</ref>


==Climate change==
There is also evidence for widespread [[Retreat of glaciers since 1850#Antarctica|glacier retreat]] around the Antarctic Peninsula.<ref>IPCC 2007, Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, [http://www.ipcc.ch/pdf/assessment-report/ar4/wg1/ar4-wg1-chapter4.pdf Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change] {{webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20150924064126/http://www.ipcc.ch/pdf/assessment-report/ar4/wg1/ar4-wg1-chapter4.pdf |date=24 September 2015}}, Cambridge University Press, 2007, page 376.</ref>


{{Excerpt|Climate change in Antarctica|file=no|paragraphs=1,2}}
Researchers reported on 21 December 2012 in ''[[Nature Geoscience]]'' that from 1958 to 2010, the average temperature at the mile-high [[Byrd Station]] rose by {{convert|2.4|C-change}}, with warming fastest in its winter and spring. The spot, which is located in the heart of the [[West Antarctic Ice Sheet]], is one of the fastest-warming places on Earth. In 2015, the temperature showed changes but in a stable manner and the only months that have drastic change in that year are August and September. It also did show that the temperature was very stable throughout the year.<ref>{{cite web|url=http://polarmet.osu.edu/datasets/Byrd_recon/|title=Reconstructed Byrd temperature record|first=Julien|last=Nicolas|website=polarmet.osu.edu|url-status=live|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20161215220009/http://polarmet.osu.edu/datasets/Byrd_recon/|archive-date=15 December 2016}}</ref><ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.sciencenews.org/view/generic/id/347241/description/West_Antarctica_warming_fast|title=West Antarctica warming fast|first=Alexandra|last=Witze|date=14 April 2014|url-status=live|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20130911024349/http://www.sciencenews.org/view/generic/id/347241/description/West_Antarctica_warming_fast|archive-date=11 September 2013}}</ref><ref>{{cite journal|title=Map of Antarctica and annual spatial footprint of the Byrd temperature record: Central West Antarctica among the most rapidly warming regions on Earth|volume=6|issue=2|doi=10.1038/ngeo1671|bibcode=2013NatGe...6..139B|pages=139–145|journal=Nature Geoscience|year=2013|last1=Bromwich|first1=David H.|last2=Nicolas|first2=Julien P.|last3=Monaghan|first3=Andrew J.|last4=Lazzara|first4=Matthew A.|last5=Keller|first5=Linda M.|last6=Weidner|first6=George A.|last7=Wilson|first7=Aaron B.|citeseerx=10.1.1.394.1974}}</ref><ref>{{Cite journal|last1=Bromwich |first1=D. H. |last2=Nicolas |first2=J. P. |last3=Monaghan |first3=A. J. |last4=Lazzara |first4=M. A. |last5=Keller |first5=L. M. |last6=Weidner |first6=G. A. |last7=Wilson |first7=A. B. |doi=10.1038/ngeo1671 |title=Central West Antarctica among the most rapidly warming regions on Earth |journal=[[Nature Geoscience]] |volume=6 |issue=2 |pages=139–145 |year=2012 |bibcode=2013NatGe...6..139B |citeseerx=10.1.1.394.1974}}</ref>


==See also==
==See also==
Line 247: Line 210:


==Further reading==
==Further reading==
{{main|Bibliography of Antarctica}}
*[http://news.nationalgeographic.com/news/2012/06/120620-green-antarctica-trees-global-warming-science-ancient/ Warm Snap Turned Antarctica Green Around the Edges; Thawed-out continent was lined with trees 15 million years ago, study says.] 20 June 2012 [[National Geographic (magazine)|National Geographic]]
*[https://web.archive.org/web/20120621194806/http://news.nationalgeographic.com/news/2012/06/120620-green-antarctica-trees-global-warming-science-ancient/ Warm Snap Turned Antarctica Green Around the Edges; Thawed-out continent was lined with trees 15 million years ago, study says.] 20 June 2012 [[National Geographic (magazine)|National Geographic]]
*[http://www.sciencenews.org/view/feature/id/351507/description/Taking_Antarcticas_temperature ''Taking Antarctica's temperature; Frozen continent may not be immune to global warming''] 27 July 2013; Vol.184 #2 [[Science News]]
*[http://www.sciencenews.org/view/feature/id/351507/description/Taking_Antarcticas_temperature ''Taking Antarctica's temperature; Frozen continent may not be immune to global warming''] 27 July 2013; Vol.184 #2 [[Science News]]


Line 266: Line 230:
* {{cite web | title=Sea Ice Index – Trends in extent – Southern Hemisphere (Antarctic)| work=[[National Snow and Ice Data Center]] | url=http://www.nsidc.org/data/seaice_index/| access-date=9 January 2009}}
* {{cite web | title=Sea Ice Index – Trends in extent – Southern Hemisphere (Antarctic)| work=[[National Snow and Ice Data Center]] | url=http://www.nsidc.org/data/seaice_index/| access-date=9 January 2009}}
* {{cite web | title=Coastal-Change and Glaciological Maps of Antarctica| work=USGS Fact Sheet 2005–3055| url=http://pubs.usgs.gov/fs/2005/3055/| access-date=31 May 2005}}
* {{cite web | title=Coastal-Change and Glaciological Maps of Antarctica| work=USGS Fact Sheet 2005–3055| url=http://pubs.usgs.gov/fs/2005/3055/| access-date=31 May 2005}}
* {{cite web | title=Coastal-Change and Glaciological Maps of Antarctica| work=USGS Fact Sheet 050–98| url=http://pubs.usgs.gov/fs/fs50-98/| access-date=28 February 2005}}
* {{cite web| title=Coastal-Change and Glaciological Maps of Antarctica| work=USGS Fact Sheet 050–98| url=http://pubs.usgs.gov/fs/fs50-98/| access-date=28 February 2005| archive-date=6 February 2005| archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20050206133021/http://pubs.usgs.gov/fs/fs50-98/| url-status=dead}}
** {{cite web | title=Coastal-change and glaciological map of the Eights Coast area, Antarctica; 1972–2001| work=[[U.S. Geological Survey]] Scientific Investigations Series Map, I-2600-E| url=http://pubs.usgs.gov/imap/2600/E| access-date=28 February 2005}}
** {{cite web | title=Coastal-change and glaciological map of the Eights Coast area, Antarctica; 1972–2001| work=[[U.S. Geological Survey]] Scientific Investigations Series Map, I-2600-E| url=http://pubs.usgs.gov/imap/2600/E| access-date=28 February 2005}}
** {{cite web | title=Coastal-change and glaciological map of the Bakutis Coast area, Antarctica; 1972–2002| work=U.S. Geological Survey Scientific Investigations Series Map, I-2600-F| url=http://pubs.usgs.gov/imap/2600/F| access-date=28 February 2005}}
** {{cite web | title=Coastal-change and glaciological map of the Bakutis Coast area, Antarctica; 1972–2002| work=U.S. Geological Survey Scientific Investigations Series Map, I-2600-F| url=http://pubs.usgs.gov/imap/2600/F| access-date=28 February 2005}}
** {{cite web | title=Coastal-change and glaciological map of the Saunders Coast area, Antarctica; 1972–1997| work=U.S. Geological Survey Scientific Investigations Series Map, I-2600-G| url=http://pubs.usgs.gov/imap/2600/G| access-date=28 February 2005}}
** {{cite web | title=Coastal-change and glaciological map of the Saunders Coast area, Antarctica; 1972–1997| work=U.S. Geological Survey Scientific Investigations Series Map, I-2600-G| url=http://pubs.usgs.gov/imap/2600/G| access-date=28 February 2005}}
* {{cite web | title=Satellite Image Atlas of Glaciers of the World – Antarctica| work=U.S. Geological Survey Professional Paper 1386-B| url=http://pubs.usgs.gov/prof/p1386b/| access-date=28 February 2005}}
* {{cite web| title=Satellite Image Atlas of Glaciers of the World – Antarctica| work=U.S. Geological Survey Professional Paper 1386-B| url=http://pubs.usgs.gov/prof/p1386b/| access-date=28 February 2005| archive-date=15 February 2005| archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20050215221436/http://pubs.usgs.gov/prof/p1386b/| url-status=dead}}


{{Antarctica}}
{{Antarctica}}

Latest revision as of 17:59, 21 November 2024

Surface temperature of Antarctica in winter and summer from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts

The climate of Antarctica is the coldest on Earth. The continent is also extremely dry (it is a desert[1]), averaging 166 mm (6.5 in) of precipitation per year. Snow rarely melts on most parts of the continent, and, after being compressed, becomes the glacier ice that makes up the ice sheet. Weather fronts rarely penetrate far into the continent, because of the katabatic winds. Most of Antarctica has an ice-cap climate (Köppen classification EF) with extremely cold and dry weather.

Temperature

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The highest temperature ever recorded on Antarctica was 19.8 °C (67.6 °F) recorded at Signy Research Station, Signy Island on 30 January 1982.[2][3]

The highest temperature on the Antarctic mainland was 18.3 °C (64.9 °F) at the Esperanza Base (Argentina) on 6 February 2020.[4]

The Antarctic temperature changes during the last several glacial and interglacial cycles of the present ice age

The lowest air temperature record, the lowest reliably measured temperature on Antarctica was set on 21 July 1983, when a temperature of −89.2 °C (−128.6 °F) was observed at Vostok Station.[2][5] For comparison, this is 10.7 °C (19.3 °F) colder than subliming dry ice (at sea level pressure). The elevation of the location is 3,488 meters (11,444 feet).

Satellite measurements have identified even lower ground temperatures, with −93.2 °C (−135.8 °F) having been observed at the cloud-free East Antarctic Plateau on 10 August 2010.[6]

The lowest recorded temperature of any location on Earth's surface at 81°48′S 63°30′E / 81.8°S 63.5°E / -81.8; 63.5 was revised with new data in 2018 in nearly 100 locations, ranging from −93.2 °C (−135.8 °F)[7] to −98 °C (−144.4 °F).[8] This unnamed part of the Antarctic plateau, between Dome A and Dome F, was measured on 10 August 2010, and the temperature was deduced from radiance measured by the Landsat 8 and other satellites. It was discovered during a National Snow and Ice Data Center review of stored data in December 2013[9] but revised by researchers on 25 June 2018.[10][11] This temperature is not directly comparable to the –89.2 °C reading quoted above, since it is a skin temperature deduced from satellite-measured upwelling radiance, rather than a thermometer-measured temperature of the air 1.5 m (5 ft) above the ground surface.

The mean annual temperature of the interior is −43.5 °C (−46.3 °F).[12] The coast is warmer; on the coast Antarctic average temperatures are around −10 °C (14.0 °F) (in the warmest parts of Antarctica) and in the elevated inland they average about −55 °C (−67.0 °F) in Vostok.[13][14] Monthly means at McMurdo Station range from −26 °C (−14.8 °F) in August to −3 °C (26.6 °F) in January.[15] At the South Pole, the highest temperature ever recorded was −12.3 °C (9.9 °F) on 25 December 2011.[16] Along the Antarctic Peninsula, temperatures as high as 18.3 °C (64.9 °F) have been recorded,[clarification needed] though the summer temperature is below 0 °C (32 °F) most of the time. Severe low temperatures vary with latitude, elevation, and distance from the ocean. East Antarctica is colder than West Antarctica because of its higher elevation.[citation needed] The Antarctic Peninsula has the most moderate climate. Higher temperatures occur in January along the coast and average slightly below freezing.

Precipitation

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Map of average annual precipitation on Antarctica (mm liquid equivalent)

The total precipitation on Antarctica, averaged over the entire continent, is about 166 millimetres (6.5 inches) per year (Vaughan et al., J. Clim., 1999). The actual rates vary widely, from high values over the Peninsula (380 to 640 millimetres (15 to 25 inches) a year) to very low values (as little as 50 millimetres (2.0 inches) in the high interior (Bromwich, Reviews of Geophysics, 1988). Areas that receive less than 250 millimetres (9.8 inches) of precipitation per year are classified as deserts. Almost all Antarctic precipitation falls as snow.[17] Rainfall is rare and mainly occurs during the summer in coastal areas and surrounding islands.[17] Note that the quoted precipitation is a measure of its equivalence to water, rather than being the actual depth of snow. The air in Antarctica is also very dry. The low temperatures result in a very low absolute humidity, which means that dry skin and cracked lips are a continual problem for scientists and expeditioners working on the continent.[18]

Weather condition classification

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The weather in Antarctica can be highly variable, and the weather conditions can often change dramatically in short periods of time. There are various classifications for describing weather conditions in Antarctica; restrictions given to workers during the different conditions vary by station and nation.[19][20][21]

Ice cover

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Nearly all of Antarctica is covered by a sheet of ice that is, on average, at least 1,500 m (5,000 ft) thick. Antarctica contains 90% of the world's ice and more than 70% of its fresh water. If all the land-ice covering Antarctica were to melt — around 30×10^6 km3 (7.2×10^6 cu mi) of ice — the seas would rise by over 60 m (200 ft).[22] The Antarctic is so cold that even with increases of a few degrees, temperatures would generally remain below the melting point of ice. Higher temperatures are expected to lead to more precipitation, which takes the form of snow. This would increase the amount of ice in Antarctica, offsetting approximately one third of the expected sea level rise from thermal expansion of the oceans.[23] During a recent[when?] decade, East Antarctica thickened at an average rate of about 1.8 cm (1116 in) per year while West Antarctica showed an overall thinning of 0.9 cm (38 in) per year.[24] For the contribution of Antarctica to present and future sea level change, see sea level rise. Because ice flows, albeit slowly, the ice within the ice sheet is younger than the age of the sheet itself.

Morphometric data for Antarctica (from Drewry, 1983)
Surface Area Mean ice
thickness
(m)
Volume
(km2) Percent (km3) Percent
Inland ice sheet 11,965,700 85.97 2,450 29,324,700 97.00
Ice shelves 1,541,710 11.08 475 731,900 2.43
Ice rises 78,970 0.57 670 53,100 0.18
Glacier ice (total) 13,586,380   2,160 30,109,800 1
Rock outcrop 331,690 2.38
Antarctica (total) 13,918,070 100.00 2,160 30,109,800 1 100.00

1 The total ice volume is different from the sum of the component parts because individual figures have been rounded.
[OK, but the percentages don't add to 100%.]

Regional ice data (from Drewry and others, 1982; Drewry, 1983)
Region Area
(km2)
Mean ice
thickness
(m)
Volume
(km3)
East Antarctica
Inland ice 9,855,570 2,630 25,920,100
Ice shelves 293,510 400 117,400
Ice rises 4,090 400 1,600
West Antarctica (excluding Antarctic Peninsula)
Inland ice sheet 1,809,760 1,780 3,221,400
Ice shelves 104,860 375 39,300
Ice rises 3,550 375 1,300
Antarctic Peninsula
Inland ice sheet 300,380 610 183,200
Ice shelves 144,750 300 43,400
Ice rises 1,570 300 500
Ross Ice Shelf
Ice shelf 525,840 427 224,500
Ice rises 10,320 500 5,100
Filchner-Ronne Ice Shelf
Ice shelf 472,760 650 307,300
Ice rises 59,440 750 44,600

Ice shelves

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Antarctic ice shelves, 1998

About 75% of the coastline of Antarctica is ice shelf. The majority of ice shelf consists of floating ice, and a lesser amount consists of glaciers that move slowly from the land mass into the sea. Ice shelves lose mass through breakup of glacial ice (calving), or basal melting due to warm ocean water under the ice.[25]

Melting or breakup of floating shelf ice does not directly affect global sea levels; however, ice shelves have a buttressing effect on the ice flow behind them. If ice shelves break up, the ice flow behind them may accelerate, resulting in increasing melt of the Antarctic ice sheet and an increasing contribution to sea level rise.

Known changes in coastline ice around the Antarctic Peninsula:

  • 1936–1989: Wordie Ice Shelf significantly reduced in size.
  • 1995: Ice in the Prince Gustav Channel disintegrated.
  • Parts of the Larsen Ice Shelf broke up in recent decades.
    • 1995: The Larsen A ice shelf disintegrated in January 1995.
    • 2001: 3,250 km2 (1,250 sq mi) of the Larsen B ice shelf disintegrated in February 2001. It had been gradually retreating before the breakup event.
    • 2015: A study concluded that the remaining Larsen B ice-shelf will disintegrate by the end of the decade, based on observations of faster flow and rapid thinning of glaciers in the area.[26]

The George VI Ice Shelf, which may be on the brink of instability,[27] has probably existed for approximately 8,000 years, after melting 1,500 years earlier.[28] Warm ocean currents may have been the cause of the melting.[29] Not only are the ice sheets losing mass, they are losing mass at an accelerating rate.[30]

Climate change

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Climate change caused by greenhouse gas emissions from human activities occurs everywhere on Earth, and while Antarctica is less vulnerable to it than any other continent,[31] climate change in Antarctica has been observed. Since 1959, there has been an average temperature increase of >0.05 °C/decade since 1957 across the continent, although it had been uneven.[32] West Antarctica warmed by over 0.1 °C/decade from the 1950s to the 2000s, and the exposed Antarctic Peninsula has warmed by 3 °C (5.4 °F) since the mid-20th century.[33] The colder, stabler East Antarctica had been experiencing cooling until the 2000s.[34][35] Around Antarctica, the Southern Ocean has absorbed more oceanic heat than any other ocean,[36] and has seen strong warming at depths below 2,000 m (6,600 ft).[37]: 1230  Around the West Antarctic, the ocean has warmed by 1 °C (1.8 °F) since 1955.[33]

The warming of the Southern Ocean around Antarctica has caused the weakening or collapse of ice shelves, which float just offshore of glaciers and stabilize them. Many coastal glaciers have been losing mass and retreating, causing net-annual ice loss across Antarctica,[37]: 1264  although the East Antarctic ice sheet continues to gain ice inland. By 2100, net ice loss from Antarctica is expected to add about 11 cm (5 in) to global sea level rise. Marine ice sheet instability may cause West Antarctica to contribute tens of centimeters more if it is triggered before 2100.[37]: 1270  With higher warming, instability would be much more likely, and could double global, 21st-century sea-level rise.[38][39][40]

See also

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References

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Notes

  1. ^ "Frequently Asked Questions about Antarctica". nasa.gov. NASA. Retrieved 5 May 2024.
  2. ^ a b "WMO verifies highest temperatures for Antarctic Region". 1 March 2017. Archived from the original on 18 December 2023. Retrieved 12 July 2018.
  3. ^ "WMO verifies one temperature record for Antarctic continent and rejects another". World Meteorological Organization. 1 July 2021. Retrieved 3 July 2021.
  4. ^ "WMO verifies one temperature record for Antarctic continent and rejects another". The World Meteorological Organization (WMO). 1 July 2021. Retrieved 17 May 2022.
  5. ^ "World: Lowest Temperature - ASU World Meteorological Organization". asu.edu. Archived from the original on 16 June 2010.
  6. ^ Coldest spot on Earth identified by satellite Archived 14 April 2016 at the Wayback Machine, Jonathan Amos, BBC News, 9 December 2013.
  7. ^ Natasha Vizcarra (9 December 2013). "Landsat 8 helps unveil the coldest place on Earth". National Snow and Ice Data Center. Archived from the original on 20 December 2013. Retrieved 27 December 2013.
  8. ^ Natasha Vizcarra (25 May 2018). "New study explains Antarctica's coldest temperatures". The National Snow and Ice Data Center (NSIDC). Archived from the original on 5 March 2021. Retrieved 7 August 2018.
  9. ^ Jonathan Amos (9 December 2013). "Coldest spot on Earth identified by satellite". BBC News Science & Environment. Archived from the original on 26 December 2013. Retrieved 27 December 2013.
  10. ^ Ted Scambos (25 May 2018). "Scambros et al 2018" (PDF). The National Snow and Ice Data Center (NSIDC).
  11. ^ NOT CORRECTED. "BBC Corrections and Clarifications page". Archived from the original on 13 October 2018. Retrieved 7 August 2018.
  12. ^ "Annual mean 2m Temperature for 0-150ºE, 75-90ºS, Climate Reanalyzer". Climate Change Institute, University of Maine. Retrieved 18 May 2023.
  13. ^ "Antarctic weather". www.antarctica.gov.au. Archived from the original on 5 November 2016.
  14. ^ "Antarctic climatic data". Archived from the original on 7 May 2008. Retrieved 7 May 2008.
  15. ^ "Antarctica Climate data and graphs, South Pole, McMurdo and Vostok". coolantarctica.com. Archived from the original on 9 October 2010. Retrieved 14 May 2014.
  16. ^ Matthew A. Lazzara (28 December 2011). "Preliminary Report: Record Temperatures at South Pole (and nearby AWS sites…)". Archived from the original on 30 December 2011. Retrieved 28 December 2011.
  17. ^ a b "La Antártida" (in Spanish). Dirección Nacional del Antártico. Archived from the original on 13 November 2016. Retrieved 13 November 2016.
  18. ^ "Is Mainstream Tourism a Good Way to Save Helpless Antarctica?". Fair Observer. Retrieved 9 July 2024.
  19. ^ "Weathering The Conditions" (PDF). The Antarctic Sun. 18 October 1997. p. 8. Archived (PDF) from the original on 9 June 2015. Retrieved 8 June 2015.
  20. ^ Jim Scott. "Weather and Travel" (PDF). Welcome to McMurdo Station. McMurdo Station. p. 6. Archived from the original (PDF) on 10 September 2014. Retrieved 8 June 2015.
  21. ^ "Field Manual" (PDF). Antarctica New Zealand. New Zealand Government. p. 37. Archived from the original (PDF) on 15 January 2015. Retrieved 8 June 2015.
  22. ^ "Climate Change 2001: The Scientific Basis". Grida.no. Archived from the original on 16 December 2007. Retrieved 27 March 2011.
  23. ^ "Climate Change 2001: The Scientific Basis". Grida.no. Archived from the original on 14 May 2011. Retrieved 27 March 2011.
  24. ^ Davis CH, Li Y, McConnell JR, Frey MM, Hanna E (2005). "Snowfall-Driven Growth in East Antarctic Ice Sheet Mitigates Recent Sea-Level Rise". Science. 308 (5730): 1898–1901. Bibcode:2005Sci...308.1898D. doi:10.1126/science.1110662. PMID 15905362. S2CID 31797055.
  25. ^ E. Rignot; S. Jacobs; J. Mouginot; B. Scheuchl (2013). "Ice-Shelf Melting Around Antarctica". Science. 341 (6143): 266–270. Bibcode:2013Sci...341..266R. doi:10.1126/science.1235798. PMID 23765278. S2CID 206548095.
  26. ^ NASA (14 May 2015). "NASA Study Shows Antarctica's Larsen B Ice Shelf Nearing Its Final Act". Archived from the original on 9 June 2015.
  27. ^ Bentley, Mike; Hodgson, Dominic. "Millennial-scale variability of George VI Ice Shelf, Antarctic Peninsula". Natural Environment Research Council. Archived from the original on 12 September 2002. Retrieved 8 June 2015.
  28. ^ Bentley, M.J.; Hjort, C.; Ingolfsson, O.; Sugden, D.E. "Holocene Instability of the George VI Ice Shelf, Antarctic Peninsula". Archived from the original on 20 October 2004. Retrieved 8 June 2015.
  29. ^ "Press Release – New Year's Honours for British Antarctic Survey Personnel". British Antarctic Survey. 5 January 2006. Archived from the original on 15 December 2006.
  30. ^ "NASA - Is Antarctica Melting?". www.nasa.gov. Archived from the original on 12 December 2016.
  31. ^ Singh, Hansi A.; Polvani, Lorenzo M. (10 January 2020). "Low Antarctic continental climate sensitivity due to high ice sheet orography". npj Climate and Atmospheric Science. 3 (1): 39. Bibcode:2020npCAS...3...39S. doi:10.1038/s41612-020-00143-w. S2CID 222179485.
  32. ^ Steig, Eric; Schneider, David; Rutherford, Scott; Mann, Michael E.; Comiso, Josefino; Shindell, Drew (1 January 2009). "Warming of the Antarctic ice-sheet surface since the 1957 International Geophysical Year". Arts & Sciences Faculty Publications.
  33. ^ a b "Impacts of climate change". Discovering Antarctica. Retrieved 15 May 2022.
  34. ^ Clem, Kyle R.; Fogt, Ryan L.; Turner, John; Lintner, Benjamin R.; Marshall, Gareth J.; Miller, James R.; Renwick, James A. (August 2020). "Record warming at the South Pole during the past three decades". Nature Climate Change. 10 (8): 762–770. Bibcode:2020NatCC..10..762C. doi:10.1038/s41558-020-0815-z. ISSN 1758-6798. S2CID 220261150.
  35. ^ Xin, Meijiao; Clem, Kyle R; Turner, John; Stammerjohn, Sharon E; Zhu, Jiang; Cai, Wenju; Li, Xichen (2 June 2023). "West-warming East-cooling trend over Antarctica reversed since early 21st century driven by large-scale circulation variation". Environmental Research Letters. 18 (6): 064034. doi:10.1088/1748-9326/acd8d4.
  36. ^ Bourgeois, Timothée; Goris, Nadine; Schwinger, Jörg; Tjiputra, Jerry F. (17 January 2022). "Stratification constrains future heat and carbon uptake in the Southern Ocean between 30°S and 55°S". Nature Communications. 13 (1): 340. Bibcode:2022NatCo..13..340B. doi:10.1038/s41467-022-27979-5. PMC 8764023. PMID 35039511.
  37. ^ a b c Fox-Kemper, B.; Hewitt, H.T.; Xiao, C.; Aðalgeirsdóttir, G.; Drijfhout, S.S.; Edwards, T.L.; Golledge, N.R.; Hemer, M.; Kopp, R.E.; Krinner, G.; Mix, A. (2021). Masson-Delmotte, V.; Zhai, P.; Pirani, A.; Connors, S.L.; Péan, C.; Berger, S.; Caud, N.; Chen, Y.; Goldfarb, L. (eds.). "Chapter 9: Ocean, Cryosphere and Sea Level Change" (PDF). Climate Change 2021: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK and New York, NY, USA: 1270–1272.
  38. ^ Nauels, Alexander; Rogelj, Joeri; Schleussner, Carl-Friedrich; Meinshausen, Malte; Mengel, Matthias (1 November 2017). "Linking sea level rise and socioeconomic indicators under the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways". Environmental Research Letters. 12 (11): 114002. Bibcode:2017ERL....12k4002N. doi:10.1088/1748-9326/aa92b6. hdl:20.500.11850/230713.
  39. ^ L. Bamber, Jonathan; Oppenheimer, Michael; E. Kopp, Robert; P. Aspinall, Willy; M. Cooke, Roger (May 2019). "Ice sheet contributions to future sea-level rise from structured expert judgment". Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. 116 (23): 11195–11200. Bibcode:2019PNAS..11611195B. doi:10.1073/pnas.1817205116. PMC 6561295. PMID 31110015.
  40. ^ Horton, Benjamin P.; Khan, Nicole S.; Cahill, Niamh; Lee, Janice S. H.; Shaw, Timothy A.; Garner, Andra J.; Kemp, Andrew C.; Engelhart, Simon E.; Rahmstorf, Stefan (8 May 2020). "Estimating global mean sea-level rise and its uncertainties by 2100 and 2300 from an expert survey". npj Climate and Atmospheric Science. 3 (1): 18. Bibcode:2020npCAS...3...18H. doi:10.1038/s41612-020-0121-5. hdl:10356/143900. S2CID 218541055.

Sources

Further reading

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[edit]

Climate

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Climate change in Antarctica

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Antarctic ice

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