Generation Alpha: Difference between revisions
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{{Short description|Cohort born from the early 2010s to mid-2020s}} |
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{{Use American English |date= September 2019}} |
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{{Short description|Cohort born between the early 2010s and mid-2020s}} |
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{{Generations sidebar}} |
{{Generations sidebar}} |
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'''Generation Alpha''' ( |
'''Generation Alpha''' (often shortened to '''Gen Alpha''') is the [[Demography|demographic]] [[Cohort (statistics)|cohort]] succeeding [[Generation Z]]. While researchers and popular media generally identify early 2010s as the starting birth years and the mid-2020s as the ending birth years, these ranges are not precisely defined and may vary depending on the source {{see below|{{section link||Date and age range definitions}}}}. Named after [[alpha]], the first letter in the [[Greek alphabet]], Generation Alpha is the first to be born entirely in the 21st century and the third millennium. The majority of Generation Alpha are the children of [[Millennials]].<ref name=":28">{{cite news |last=Shaw Brown |first=Genevieve |date=February 17, 2020 |title=After Gen Z, meet Gen Alpha. What to know about the generation born 2010 to today |work=ABC News |department=Family |url=https://abcnews.go.com/GMA/Family/gen-meet-gen-alpha-generation-born-2010-today/story?id=68971965 |url-status=live |access-date=February 17, 2020 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20200217151434/https://abcnews.go.com/GMA/Family/gen-meet-gen-alpha-generation-born-2010-today/story?id=68971965 |archive-date=February 17, 2020}}</ref><ref name=":0">{{cite news |last=Perano |first=Ursula |date=August 8, 2019 |title=Meet Generation Alpha, the 9-year-olds shaping our future |work=Axios |url=https://www.axios.com/generation-alpha-millennial-children-63438b10-6817-483e-8472-38810df77880.html |url-status=live |access-date=September 6, 2019 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20190808235523/https://www.axios.com/generation-alpha-millennial-children-63438b10-6817-483e-8472-38810df77880.html |archive-date=August 8, 2019}}</ref><ref name=":36">{{cite web|last=Carter|first=Christine Michel|title=The Complete Guide To Generation Alpha, The Children Of Millennials|url=https://www.forbes.com/sites/christinecarter/2016/12/21/the-complete-guide-to-generation-alpha-the-children-of-millennials/|access-date=2021-12-26|website=Forbes|language=en|archive-date=April 9, 2022|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20220409152332/https://www.forbes.com/sites/christinecarter/2016/12/21/the-complete-guide-to-generation-alpha-the-children-of-millennials/|url-status=live}}</ref><ref name=":2">{{Cite news|url=https://www.theguardian.com/society/shortcuts/2019/jan/04/move-over-millennials-and-gen-z-here-comes-generation-alpha|title=Move over, millennials and Gen Z – here comes Generation Alpha|last=Lavelle|first=Daniel|date=January 4, 2019|work=The Guardian|access-date=July 8, 2019|archive-date=July 8, 2019|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20190708045343/https://www.theguardian.com/society/shortcuts/2019/jan/04/move-over-millennials-and-gen-z-here-comes-generation-alpha|url-status=live}}</ref><ref>{{cite web |last1=Kircher |first1=Madison Malone |title=Gen Alpha Is Here. Can You Understand Their Slang? |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2023/11/08/style/gen-alpha-slang.html |website=The New York Times |date=8 November 2023}}</ref> |
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Generation Alpha has been born at a time of [[World population milestones|falling fertility rates across much of the world]],<ref name=PopDeclineBBC>{{cite web |last1=Gallagher |first1=James |title=Fertility rate: 'Jaw-dropping' global crash in children being born |website=[[BBC]]|access-date=12 October 2023 |date=February 15, 2020 |url=https://www.bbc.com/news/health-53409521}}</ref><ref name=PopDeclineWEF>{{cite web |last1=Bricker |first1=Darrell |title=Bye, bye, baby? Birthrates are declining globally – here's why it matters |website=[[World Economic Forum]]|access-date=12 October 2023 |date=June 15, 2021 |url=https://www.weforum.org/agenda/2021/06/birthrates-declining-globally-why-matters/}}</ref> and experienced the effects of the [[COVID-19 pandemic]] as young children. For those with access, children's entertainment has been increasingly dominated by electronic technology, [[social networks]], and [[streaming services]], with interest in traditional television concurrently falling. Changes in the use of technology in classrooms and other aspects of life have had a significant effect on how this generation has experienced early learning compared to previous generations. Studies have suggested that health problems related to [[screen time]], [[allergies]], and [[obesity]] became increasingly prevalent in the late 2010s. |
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==Terminology== |
==Terminology== |
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The name ''Generation Alpha'' originated from a 2008 survey conducted by the Australian consulting agency McCrindle Research, according to founder Mark McCrindle who is generally credited with the term.<ref name=Pinsker>{{cite web |last1=Pinsker |first1=Joe |title=Oh No, They've Come Up With Another Generation Label |url=https://www.theatlantic.com/family/archive/2020/02/generation-after-gen-z-named-alpha/606862/ |website=The Atlantic |access-date=9 March 2020 |date=February 21, 2020}}</ref><ref name=ABC/> McCrindle describes how his team arrived at the name in a 2015 interview: |
The name ''Generation Alpha'' originated from a 2008 survey conducted by the Australian consulting agency McCrindle Research, according to founder Mark McCrindle, who is generally credited with the term.<ref name="Pinsker">{{cite web |last1=Pinsker |first1=Joe |title=Oh No, They've Come Up With Another Generation Label |url=https://www.theatlantic.com/family/archive/2020/02/generation-after-gen-z-named-alpha/606862/ |website=The Atlantic |access-date=9 March 2020 |date=February 21, 2020 |archive-date=February 22, 2020 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20200222201236/https://www.theatlantic.com/family/archive/2020/02/generation-after-gen-z-named-alpha/606862/ |url-status=live }}</ref><ref name="ABC" /> McCrindle describes how his team arrived at the name in a 2015 interview: |
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[[File:Greek alphabet in LaTeX.png|alt=|right|300x300px|Greek alphabet]] |
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<blockquote style="min-width: 10em">When I was researching my book The ABC of XYZ: Understanding the Global Generations (published in 2009) it became apparent that a new generation was about to commence and there was no name for them. So I conducted a survey (we're researchers after all) to find out what people think the generation after Z should be called and while many names emerged, and Generation A was the most mentioned, Generation Alpha got some mentions too and so I settled on that for the title of the chapter Beyond Z: Meet Generation Alpha. It just made sense as it is in keeping with scientific nomenclature of using the [[Greek alphabet]] in lieu of the [[Latin alphabet|Latin]] and it didn't make sense to go back to A, after all they are the first generation wholly born in the 21st Century and so they are the start of something new not a return to the old.<ref>{{cite web |title=Generation Alpha: Mark McCrindle Q & A with the New York Times |url=https://mccrindle.com.au/insights/blog/generation-alpha-mark-mccrindle-q-new-york-times/ |website=mccrindle.com.au |date=September 22, 2015 |access-date=21 February 2020 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20190314230413/https://mccrindle.com.au/insights/blog/generation-alpha-mark-mccrindle-q-new-york-times/ |archive-date=14 March 2019 |url-status=live}} Quote is an outtake from the ''New York Times'' [https://web.archive.org/web/20200228172712/https://www.nytimes.com/2015/09/19/fashion/meet-alpha-the-next-next-generation.html story]. </ref></blockquote> |
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<blockquote style="min-width: 10em">When I was researching my book The ABC of XYZ: Understanding the Global Generations (published in 2009) it became apparent that a new generation was about to commence and there was no name for them. So I conducted a survey (we're researchers after all) to find out what people think the generation after Z should be called and while many names emerged, and Generation A was the most mentioned, Generation Alpha got some mentions too and so I settled on that for the title of the chapter Beyond Z: Meet Generation Alpha. It just made sense as it is in keeping with scientific nomenclature of using the [[Greek alphabet]] in lieu of the [[Latin alphabet|Latin]] and it didn't make sense to go back to A, after all they are the first generation wholly born in the 21st Century and so they are the start of something new not a return to the old.<ref>{{cite web |title=Generation Alpha: Mark McCrindle Q & A with the New York Times |url=https://mccrindle.com.au/insights/blog/generation-alpha-mark-mccrindle-q-new-york-times/ |website=mccrindle.com.au |date=September 22, 2015 |access-date=21 February 2020 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20190314230413/https://mccrindle.com.au/insights/blog/generation-alpha-mark-mccrindle-q-new-york-times/ |archive-date=14 March 2019 |url-status=live}} Quote is an outtake from the ''New York Times'' [https://web.archive.org/web/20200228172712/https://www.nytimes.com/2015/09/19/fashion/meet-alpha-the-next-next-generation.html story].</ref></blockquote> |
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McCrindle Research also took inspiration from the naming of hurricanes, specifically the [[2005 Atlantic hurricane season]] in which the names beginning with the letters of the [[Roman alphabet]] were exhausted, and the last six storms were named with the Greek letters alpha through zeta.<ref name="ABC">{{cite book |last1=McCrindle |first1=Mark |last2=Wolfinger |first2=Emily |title=The ABC of XYZ: Understanding the Global Generations |date=2009 |location=Australia |isbn=9781742230351 |page=199–212 |edition=1st}} See excerpt [https://web.archive.org/web/20200226050048/https://mccrindle.com.au/insights/blogarchive/why-we-named-them-gen-alpha/ "Why we named them Gen Alpha"].</ref> |
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McCrindle Research also took inspiration from the naming of hurricanes, specifically the [[2005 Atlantic hurricane season]] in which the names beginning with the letters of the [[Latin alphabet]] were exhausted, and the last six storms were named with the Greek letters alpha to zeta.<ref name="ABC">{{cite book |last1=McCrindle |first1=Mark |last2=Wolfinger |first2=Emily |title=The ABC of XYZ: Understanding the Global Generations |date=2009 |location=Australia |isbn=978-1-74223-035-1 |pages=199–212 |edition=1st}} See excerpt [https://web.archive.org/web/20200226050048/https://mccrindle.com.au/insights/blogarchive/why-we-named-them-gen-alpha/ "Why we named them Gen Alpha"].</ref> |
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Some anticipate the global impact of the [[COVID-19 pandemic]] will become this generation's defining event, and have suggested the name Generation C for those either born during, or growing up during, the pandemic.<ref>{{Cite web|last=Yancey-Bragg|first=N'dea|date=May 3, 2020|title=Coronavirus will define the next generation: What experts are predicting about 'Generation C'|url=https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/nation/2020/05/01/gen-c-coronavirus-covid-19-may-define-next-generation/3046809001/|url-status=live|access-date=2021-02-08|website=USA TODAY|language=en-US}}</ref><ref>{{cite web |last1=Yong |first1=Ed |title=How the Pandemic Will End |url=https://www.theatlantic.com/health/archive/2020/03/how-will-coronavirus-end/608719/ |website=The Atlantic |access-date=15 February 2021 |date=March 25, 2020}}</ref><ref>{{Cite web|last=Shoichet|first=Catherine E.|date=March 11, 2021|title=Meet Gen C, the Covid generation|url=https://www.cnn.com/2021/03/11/us/covid-generation-gen-c/index.html|url-status=live|access-date=March 11, 2021|website=CNN}}</ref> |
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In 2020 and 2021, some anticipated that the global impact of the [[COVID-19 pandemic]] would become this generation's defining event, suggesting the name Generation C or "Coronials" for those either born during, or growing up during, the pandemic.<ref>{{Cite web|last=Yancey-Bragg|first=N'dea|date=May 3, 2020|title=Coronavirus will define the next generation: What experts are predicting about 'Generation C'|url=https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/nation/2020/05/01/gen-c-coronavirus-covid-19-may-define-next-generation/3046809001/|access-date=2021-02-08|website=USA TODAY|language=en-US|archive-date=June 2, 2022|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20220602143256/https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/nation/2020/05/01/gen-c-coronavirus-covid-19-may-define-next-generation/3046809001/|url-status=live}}</ref><ref>{{cite web |last1=Yong |first1=Ed |title=How the Pandemic Will End |url=https://www.theatlantic.com/health/archive/2020/03/how-will-coronavirus-end/608719/ |website=The Atlantic |access-date=15 February 2021 |date=March 25, 2020 |archive-date=May 19, 2022 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20220519050405/https://www.theatlantic.com/health/archive/2020/03/how-will-coronavirus-end/608719/ |url-status=live }}</ref><ref>{{Cite web|last=Shoichet|first=Catherine E.|date=March 11, 2021|title=Meet Gen C, the Covid generation|url=https://www.cnn.com/2021/03/11/us/covid-generation-gen-c/index.html|access-date=March 11, 2021|website=CNN|archive-date=May 19, 2022|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20220519162517/https://www.cnn.com/2021/03/11/us/covid-generation-gen-c/index.html|url-status=live}}</ref><ref>{{Cite web |title=Words We're Watching: 'Coronial' |url=https://www.merriam-webster.com/words-at-play/meaning-of-coronial-covid-kids |access-date=2022-07-10 |website=www.merriam-webster.com |language=en |archive-date=July 10, 2022 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20220710162537/https://www.merriam-webster.com/words-at-play/meaning-of-coronial-covid-kids |url-status=live }}</ref> In light of the increasing role of [[artificial intelligence]], it has also been proposed that this generation should be called "Generation AI".<ref>{{Cite web |last=Owyoung |first=Palmer |date=May 23, 2023 |title=Generation AI Part 1- Why We Should be More Afraid of Techno-Oligarchs than a Rogue AI (for now) |url=https://medium.com/predict/generation-ai-part-1-why-we-should-be-more-afraid-of-techno-oligarchs-than-a-rogue-ai-for-now-dce2de41ea4e}}</ref><ref>{{Cite web |title=Generation AI | UNICEF Office of Innovation |url=https://www.unicef.org/innovation/GenerationAI |website=www.unicef.org}}</ref> |
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==Date and age range definitions== |
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There is not yet a general consensus on the birth years of Generation Alpha. Media sources focused specifically on Generation Alpha use starting birth years such as 2010<ref name=":28" /><ref name=":0" /><ref name=":35">{{Cite web|last=Carter|first=Christine Michel|title=The Complete Guide To Generation Alpha, The Children Of Millennials|url=https://www.forbes.com/sites/christinecarter/2016/12/21/the-complete-guide-to-generation-alpha-the-children-of-millennials/|access-date=2021-12-13|website=Forbes|language=en}}</ref> and 2011.<ref name=":2" /> However, many [[Generation Z#Date and age range|definitions of Generation Z]] ending in 2012<ref>{{cite web|last=Dimmock|first=Michael|date=January 17, 2019|title=Defining generations: Where Millennials end and post-Millennials begin|url=http://www.pewresearch.org/fact-tank/2018/03/01/defining-generations-where-millennials-end-and-post-millennials-begin/|access-date=December 21, 2019|publisher=Pew Research Center}}</ref> or 2015<ref>{{Cite web |title=Generations Birth Years - Gen Z, Millennials, Gen X, and Baby Boomers |url=https://jasondorsey.com/about-generations/generations-birth-years/ |access-date=2022-03-25 |website=Jason Dorsey |language=en-GB}}</ref> would indicate that the oldest members of Generation Alpha were born in 2013 or 2016. |
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Psychologist Jean Twenge refers to this cohort as "Polars" in light of the growing political polarization of the United States during the 2010s and 2020s, as well as the melting of [[Polar ice cap|polar ice caps]], a sign of (anthropogenic) [[climate change]].<ref name="Twenge-2023b" /> |
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Generation Alpha are the youngest people alive today. Sources suggest that the final members of the cohort will be born in the mid 2020s,<ref>{{Cite web|date=2015-02-02|title=Gen Z and Gen Alpha Infographic Update|url=https://mccrindle.com.au/insights/blogarchive/gen-z-and-gen-alpha-infographic-update/|access-date=2021-12-14|website=McCrindle|language=en-AU}}</ref> often specifically 2025.<ref name=":2" /><ref name=":35">{{Cite web|last=Carter|first=Christine Michel|title=The Complete Guide To Generation Alpha, The Children Of Millennials|url=https://www.forbes.com/sites/christinecarter/2016/12/21/the-complete-guide-to-generation-alpha-the-children-of-millennials/|access-date=2021-12-13|website=Forbes|language=en}}</ref><ref>{{Cite web|last=Dedczak|first=Michele|date=2021-11-17|title=Everything You Need to Know About Generation Alpha—The Children of Millennials|url=https://www.mentalfloss.com/article/652245/generation-alpha-facts|url-status=live|access-date=2021-12-14|website=www.mentalfloss.com|language=en}}</ref><ref>{{Cite web|last=Parsons|first=Jeff|date=2019-06-20|title=Forget millennials and Gen Z, the rise of 'Generation Alpha' is on the horizon|url=https://metro.co.uk/2019/06/20/forget-millennials-gen-z-rise-generation-alpha-horizon-10016963/|access-date=2021-12-14|website=Metro|language=en}}</ref> |
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==Date and age range definitions== |
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== Demographics == |
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There is no consensus yet on the birth years of Generation Alpha. McCrindle, who coined the term, uses 2010–2024<ref>{{Cite web |date=2022-07-06 |title=Understanding Generation Alpha |url=https://mccrindle.com.au/article/topic/generation-alpha/generation-alpha-defined/ |access-date=2024-08-05 |website=mccrindle.com.au |language=en-US}}</ref> and some other sources have followed suit,<ref>{{Cite web |title=Marketing to Generation Alpha, the Newest and Youngest Cohort |url=https://www.ana.net/miccontent/show/id/ii-2021-pulse-gen-alpha-trends |access-date=2023-04-28 |website=www.ana.net |language=en}}</ref><ref>{{Cite web |last=Dedczak |first=Michele |date=2021-11-17 |title=Everything You Need to Know About Generation Alpha—The Children of Millennials |url=https://www.mentalfloss.com/article/652245/generation-alpha-facts |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20220523062418/https://www.mentalfloss.com/article/652245/generation-alpha-facts |archive-date=May 23, 2022 |access-date=2021-12-14 |website=www.mentalfloss.com |language=en}}</ref> sometimes with minor variations like 2010–2025<ref name=":35">{{Cite web |last=Carter |first=Christine Michel |title=The Complete Guide To Generation Alpha, The Children Of Millennials |url=https://www.forbes.com/sites/christinecarter/2016/12/21/the-complete-guide-to-generation-alpha-the-children-of-millennials/ |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20220409152332/https://www.forbes.com/sites/christinecarter/2016/12/21/the-complete-guide-to-generation-alpha-the-children-of-millennials/ |archive-date=April 9, 2022 |access-date=2021-12-13 |website=Forbes |language=en}}</ref> or 2011–2025.<ref name=":2" /> Some others have used shorter ranges, such as 2011–2021<ref name=":72">{{cite web |date=28 June 2022 |title=2021 Census shows Millennials overtaking Boomers {{!}} Australian Bureau of Statistics |url=https://www.abs.gov.au/media-centre/media-releases/2021-census-shows-millennials-overtaking-boomers |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20221201051428/https://www.abs.gov.au/media-centre/media-releases/2021-census-shows-millennials-overtaking-boomers |archive-date=December 1, 2022 |access-date=December 11, 2022 |website=www.abs.gov.au |language=en}}</ref> or 2013–2021.<ref>{{cite web |last1=Government of Canada |first1=Statistics Canada |date=27 April 2022 |title=A generational portrait of Canada's aging population from the 2021 Census |url=https://www12.statcan.gc.ca/census-recensement/2021/as-sa/98-200-X/2021003/98-200-X2021003-eng.cfm |access-date=26 March 2023 |website=www12.statcan.gc.ca}}</ref> |
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{{Too long|section|date=August 2021}}{{Off topic|date=August 2021}} |
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Other sources, while they have not specified a range for Generation Alpha, have specified end years for Generation Z of 2010,<ref name=":35" /> 2012,<ref>{{cite web |last=Dimmock |first=Michael |date=January 17, 2019 |title=Defining generations: Where Millennials end and post-Millennials begin |url=http://www.pewresearch.org/fact-tank/2018/03/01/defining-generations-where-millennials-end-and-post-millennials-begin/ |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20190117042517/http://www.pewresearch.org/fact-tank/2018/03/01/defining-generations-where-millennials-end-and-post-millennials-begin/ |archive-date=January 17, 2019 |access-date=December 21, 2019 |publisher=Pew Research Center}}</ref><ref>{{cite web |last1=Hecht |first1=Evan |title=What years are Gen X? Here's the full list of when each generation was born. |url=https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/2022/09/02/what-years-gen-x-millennials-baby-boomers-gen-z/10303085002/ |access-date=26 March 2023 |website=USA TODAY}}</ref><ref>{{cite web |last1=Frey |first1=William H. |date=30 July 2020 |title=Now, more than half of Americans are millennials or younger |url=https://www.brookings.edu/blog/the-avenue/2020/07/30/now-more-than-half-of-americans-are-millennials-or-younger/ |access-date=26 March 2023 |website=Brookings}}</ref> or 2013,<ref>{{Cite web |last1=Bennett |first1=Neil |last2=Hays |first2=Donald |last3=Sullivan |first3=Briana |date=August 1, 2022 |title=2019 Data Show Baby Boomers Nearly 9 Times Wealthier Than Millennials |url=https://www.census.gov/library/stories/2022/08/wealth-inequality-by-household-type.html |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20220801180726/https://www.census.gov/library/stories/2022/08/wealth-inequality-by-household-type.html |archive-date=August 1, 2022 |access-date=March 8, 2021 |website=United States Census Bureau |language=EN-US}}</ref> implying a later start year than 2010 for Generation Alpha. |
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=== Global trends === |
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[[File:Total Fertility Rate Map by Country.svg|center|thumb|810x810px|World map of total fertility rates by country or territory in 2020]] |
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==Demographics== |
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As of 2015, there were some two and a half million people born every week around the globe; Generation Alpha is expected to reach two billion by 2025.<ref name=":1">{{Cite news|last=Williams|first=Alex|url=https://www.nytimes.com/2015/09/19/fashion/meet-alpha-the-next-next-generation.html|title=Meet Alpha: The Next 'Next Generation'|date=September 19, 2015|work=The New York Times|access-date=September 7, 2019|department=Fashion}}</ref> For comparison, the United Nations estimated that the human population was about 7.8 billion in 2020, up from 2.5 billion in 1950. Roughly three-quarters of all people reside in Africa and Asia in 2020.<ref name=":19" /> In fact, most human population growth comes from these two continents, as nations in Europe and the Americas tend to have too few children to replace themselves.<ref name=":23">{{Cite news|url=https://www.straitstimes.com/world/europe/developing-nations-rising-birth-rates-fuel-global-baby-boom|title=Developing nations' rising birth rates fuel global baby boom|last=AFP|date=November 10, 2018|work=The Straits Times|access-date=February 2, 2020}}</ref> |
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{{Main|Demographics of Generation Alpha}} |
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[[File:World population pyramid (2018).jpg|alt=|thumb|350x350px|Population pyramid of the world in 2018]] |
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[[File:Total Fertility Rate Map by Country.svg|center|thumb|810x810px|World map of total fertility rates by country or territory]] |
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2018 was the first time when the number of people above 65 years of age (705 million) exceeded those between the ages of zero and four (680 million). If current trends continue, the ratio between these two age groups will top two by 2050.<ref name=":15">{{Cite news|url=https://www.bbc.com/worklife/article/20190405-why-the-world-now-has-more-grandparents-than-grandchildren|title=Why the world now has more grandparents than grandchildren|last=Duarte|first=Fernando|date=April 8, 2018|work=BBC News|access-date=January 1, 2020|department=Generation Project}}</ref> Fertility rates have been falling around the world due to rising standards of living, higher access to contraceptives, and more educational and economic opportunities. In fact, about half of all countries had [[sub-replacement fertility]] in the mid-2010s. The global average fertility rate in 1950 was 4.7 but dropped to 2.4 in 2017. However, this average masks the huge variation between countries. Niger has the world's highest fertility rate at 7.1 while Cyprus has one of the lowest at 1.0. In general, the more developed of countries, including much of Europe, the United States, South Korea, and Australia, tend to have lower fertility rates.<ref name=":16" /> People in such places tend to have children later and fewer of them.<ref name=":15" /> However, surveys conducted in developed economies suggest that women's desired family sizes tend to be higher than their completed fertility. Stagnant wages and eroding welfare programs are the contributing factors. While some countries, such as Sweden and Singapore, have tried various incentives to raise their fertility rates, such policies have not been particularly successful. Moreover, birth rates following the COVID-19 global pandemic might drop significantly due to economic recession.<ref>{{Cite news|last=Safi|first=Michael|date=July 25, 2020|title=All the people: what happens if humanity's ranks start to shrink?|work=The Guardian|department=World|url=https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/jul/25/all-the-people-what-happens-if-humanitys-ranks-start-to-shrink|access-date=August 19, 2020}}</ref> As a matter of fact, data from late 2020 and early 2021 suggests that despite hopes of a [[baby boom]] due to the lockdowns, precisely the opposite happened, at least in developed nations like France or the United States, but not necessarily developing ones, such as Brazil or Uganda.<ref>{{Cite news|date=October 28, 2020|title=The pandemic may be leading to fewer babies in rich countries|newspaper=The Economist|url=https://www.economist.com/international/2020/10/28/the-pandemic-may-be-leading-to-fewer-babies-in-rich-countries|url-status=live|access-date=March 6, 2021}}</ref><ref>{{Cite news|last=Grantham-Philips|first=Wyatte|date=December 17, 2020|title=COVID baby boom? No, 2020 triggered a baby bust - and that will have lasting impacts|work=USA Today|url=https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/nation/2020/12/16/covid-19-baby-bust-coronavirus-pandemic-lead-birth-decline/6507974002/|url-status=live|access-date=March 6, 2021}}</ref><ref>{{Cite news|last=Nordstrom|first=Louise|date=January 22, 2021|title=The baby boom that never was: France sees sharp decline in 'lockdown babies'|work=France24|url=https://www.france24.com/en/france/20210122-the-baby-boom-that-never-was-france-sees-sharp-decline-in-lockdown-babies|url-status=live|access-date=March 6, 2021}}</ref> |
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As of 2015, there were some two and a half million people born every week around the globe; Generation Alpha is expected to reach close to two billion by 2025.<ref name=":1">{{Cite news|last=Williams|first=Alex|url=https://www.nytimes.com/2015/09/19/fashion/meet-alpha-the-next-next-generation.html|title=Meet Alpha: The Next 'Next Generation'|date=September 19, 2015|work=The New York Times|access-date=September 7, 2019|department=Fashion|archive-date=February 28, 2020|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20200228172712/https://www.nytimes.com/2015/09/19/fashion/meet-alpha-the-next-next-generation.html|url-status=live}}</ref> For comparison, the United Nations estimated that the human population was about 7.8 billion in 2020, up from 2.5 billion in 1950. As of 2020, roughly three-quarters of all people reside in Africa and Asia,<ref name=":19">{{Cite news |last=Barry |first=Sinead |date=June 19, 2019 |title=Fertility rate drop will see EU population shrink 13% by year 2100; active graphic |work=Euronews |department=World |url=https://www.euronews.com/2019/06/18/watch-changes-in-eu-populations-over-the-past-70-years |access-date=January 20, 2020 |archive-date=February 27, 2021 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20210227225039/https://www.euronews.com/2019/06/18/watch-changes-in-eu-populations-over-the-past-70-years |url-status=live }}</ref> where most human population growth is coming from, as nations in Europe and the Americas tend to have too few children to replace themselves.<ref name=":23">{{Cite news|url=https://www.straitstimes.com/world/europe/developing-nations-rising-birth-rates-fuel-global-baby-boom|title=Developing nations' rising birth rates fuel global baby boom|last=AFP|date=November 10, 2018|work=The Straits Times|access-date=February 2, 2020|archive-date=May 16, 2021|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20210516072520/https://www.straitstimes.com/world/europe/developing-nations-rising-birth-rates-fuel-global-baby-boom|url-status=live}}</ref> |
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[[File:World population pyramid 2022.svg|alt=|thumb|350x350px|Population pyramid of the world in 2022]] |
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The number of people above 65 years of age (705 million) exceeded those between the ages of zero and four (680 million) for the first time in 2018. If current trends continue, the ratio between these two age groups will top two by 2050.<ref name=":15">{{Cite news|url=https://www.bbc.com/worklife/article/20190405-why-the-world-now-has-more-grandparents-than-grandchildren|title=Why the world now has more grandparents than grandchildren|last=Duarte|first=Fernando|date=April 8, 2018|work=BBC News|access-date=January 1, 2020|department=Generation Project|archive-date=December 1, 2021|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20211201045812/https://www.bbc.com/worklife/article/20190405-why-the-world-now-has-more-grandparents-than-grandchildren|url-status=live}}</ref> |
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Birth rates have been falling around the world due to rising standards of living, higher access to contraceptives, and more educational and economic opportunities. In fact, about half of all countries had [[sub-replacement fertility]] in the mid-2010s. The global average reproduction rate in 1950 was 4.7 but dropped to 2.4 in 2017. However, this average masks the huge variation between countries. [[Niger]] has the world's highest fertility rate at 7.1, while [[South Korea]] has one of the lowest at 0.78 (2022). In general, the more developed countries, including much of [[Europe]], the [[United States]], [[South Korea]], and [[Australia]], tend to have lower reproduction rates,<ref name=":16">{{Cite news|url=https://www.bbc.com/news/health-46118103|title='Remarkable' decline in fertility rates|last=Gallagher|first=James|date=November 9, 2018|work=BBC News|access-date=January 1, 2020|department=Health|archive-date=February 2, 2022|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20220202184430/https://www.bbc.com/news/health-46118103|url-status=live}}</ref> with people statistically having fewer children, and at later ages.<ref name=":15" /> |
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Surveys conducted in developed economies suggest that women's desired family sizes tend to be higher than the one they end up building. Stagnant wages and eroding welfare programs are the contributing factors.{{Citation needed|date=February 2024}} While some countries like [[Sweden]] and [[Singapore]] have tried various incentives to raise their birth rates, such policies have not been particularly successful. Moreover, birth rates following the COVID-19 global pandemic might drop significantly due to economic recession.<ref>{{Cite news|last=Safi|first=Michael|date=July 25, 2020|title=All the people: what happens if humanity's ranks start to shrink?|work=The Guardian|department=World|url=https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/jul/25/all-the-people-what-happens-if-humanitys-ranks-start-to-shrink|access-date=August 19, 2020|archive-date=August 19, 2020|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20200819050751/https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/jul/25/all-the-people-what-happens-if-humanitys-ranks-start-to-shrink|url-status=live}}</ref> Data from late 2020 and early 2021 suggests that in spite of expectations of a [[baby boom]] occurring due to [[COVID-19 lockdowns]], the opposite ended up happening in developed nations, though developing countries were not heavily affected.{{Citation needed|date=February 2024}} |
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Half of the human population lived in urban areas in 2007, and this figure became 55% in 2019. If the current trend continues, it will reach two thirds by the middle of the century. A direct consequence of urbanization is falling fertility. In rural areas, children can be considered an asset, that is, additional labor. But in the cities, children are a burden. Moreover, urban women demand greater autonomy and exercise more control over their fertility.<ref>{{Cite news|url=https://www.theguardian.com/world/2019/jan/27/what-goes-up-population-crisis-wrong-fertility-rates-decline|title=What goes up: are predictions of a population crisis wrong?|last1=Bricker|first1=Darrell|date=January 27, 2019|work=The Guardian|access-date=January 20, 2020|last2=Ibbitson|first2=John|department=The Observer}}</ref> The United Nations estimated in mid-2019 that the human population will reach about 9.7 billion by 2050, a downward revision from an older projection to account for the fact that fertility has been falling faster than previously thought in the developing world. The global annual rate of growth has been declining steadily since the late twentieth century, dropping to about one percent in 2019.<ref name=":18">{{Cite news|url=https://www.economist.com/graphic-detail/2019/06/22/the-un-revises-down-its-population-forecasts|title=The UN revises down its population forecasts|date=June 22, 2019|newspaper=The Economist|access-date=January 20, 2020|department=Demography}}</ref> In fact, by the late 2010s, 83 of the world's countries had sub-replacement fertility.<ref name=":38">{{Cite news|last=Lopez|first=Rachel|url=https://www.hindustantimes.com/more-lifestyle/baby-monitor-see-how-family-size-is-shrinking/story-U0CyWR2C4BPrmXGoSXi7II.html|title=Baby monitor: See how family size is shrinking|date=February 29, 2020|work=Hindustan Times|access-date=April 25, 2020}}</ref> |
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Education is commonly cited as one of the most important determinants. The more educated a person is, the fewer children they have, and the later the age is in which they have children.<ref name=":23" /> At the same time, global average life expectancy has risen from 52 in 1960 to 72 in 2017.<ref name=":15" /> Higher interest in education brings about an environment in which mortality rates fall, which in turn increases population density.<ref name=":332">{{Cite journal|last1=Wodarz|first1=Dominik|last2=Stipp|first2=Shaun|last3=Hirshleifer|first3=David|last4=Komarova|first4=Natalia L.|date=April 15, 2020|title=Evolutionary dynamics of culturally transmitted, fertility-reducing traits|journal=Proceedings of the Royal Society B|volume=287|issue=1925|doi=10.1098/rspb.2019.2468|pmid=32290801|pmc=7211447}}</ref> |
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During the early to mid-2010s, more babies were born to Christian mothers than to those of any other religion in the world, reflecting the fact that Christianity remained the most popular religion in existence. However, it was the Muslims who had a faster rate of growth. About 33% of the world's babies were born to Christians who made up 31% of the global population between 2010 and 2015, compared to 31% to Muslims, whose share of the human population was 24%. During the same period, the religiously unaffiliated (including atheists and agnostics) made up 16% of the population but gave birth to only 10% of the world's children.<ref name=":37">{{Cite news|url=https://www.pewforum.org/2017/04/05/the-changing-global-religious-landscape/|title=The Changing Global Religious Landscape|date=April 5, 2017|work=Pew Research Center|access-date=April 15, 2020|department=Religion}}</ref> |
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Half of the human population lived in urban areas in 2007, and this figure became 55% in 2019. If the current trend continues, it will reach two thirds by the middle of the century. A direct consequence of [[urbanization]] is a falling [[birth rate]]. People in urban environments demand greater autonomy and exercise more control over their bodies.<ref>{{Cite news|url=https://www.theguardian.com/world/2019/jan/27/what-goes-up-population-crisis-wrong-fertility-rates-decline|title=What goes up: are predictions of a population crisis wrong?|last1=Bricker|first1=Darrell|date=January 27, 2019|work=The Guardian|access-date=January 20, 2020|last2=Ibbitson|first2=John|department=The Observer|archive-date=October 23, 2021|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20211023214231/https://www.theguardian.com/world/2019/jan/27/what-goes-up-population-crisis-wrong-fertility-rates-decline|url-status=live}}</ref> In mid-2019, the United Nations estimated that the human population will reach about 9.7 billion by 2050, a downward revision from an older projection to account for faster falling fertility rates in the [[developing world]]. The global annual rate of growth has been declining steadily since the late twentieth century, dropping to about one percent in 2019.<ref name=":18">{{Cite news|url=https://www.economist.com/graphic-detail/2019/06/22/the-un-revises-down-its-population-forecasts|title=The UN revises down its population forecasts|date=June 22, 2019|newspaper=The Economist|access-date=January 20, 2020|department=Demography|archive-date=August 15, 2021|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20210815081556/https://www.economist.com/graphic-detail/2019/06/22/the-un-revises-down-its-population-forecasts|url-status=live}}</ref> By the late 2010s, 83 of the world's countries had sub-replacement fertility.<ref name=":38">{{Cite news|last=Lopez|first=Rachel|url=https://www.hindustantimes.com/more-lifestyle/baby-monitor-see-how-family-size-is-shrinking/story-U0CyWR2C4BPrmXGoSXi7II.html|title=Baby monitor: See how family size is shrinking|date=February 29, 2020|work=Hindustan Times|access-date=April 25, 2020|archive-date=May 13, 2021|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20210513064446/https://www.hindustantimes.com/more-lifestyle/baby-monitor-see-how-family-size-is-shrinking/story-U0CyWR2C4BPrmXGoSXi7II.html|url-status=live}}</ref> |
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=== Africa === |
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{{See also|Demographic trap}} |
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[[File:Egypt population pyramid (2018).jpg|alt=|thumb|350x350px|[[Population pyramid]] of Egypt in 2018]] |
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Egypt's population reached the 100-million milestone in February 2020. According to government figures, during the 1990s and 2000s, Egypt's fertility rate fell from 5.2 down to 3.0, but then rose up to 3.5 in 2018, according to the United Nations. If the current rate of growth continues, Egypt will be home to more than 128 million people by 2030. Such rapid population growth is a cause for concern in a country marked by poverty, unemployment, shortages of clean water, lack of affordable housing, and traffic congestion. Harsh geography exacerbates the problem: 95% of the population lives on just 4% of the land, a region in the neighborhood of the Nile River roughly half the size of Ireland. Egyptian President [[Abdel Fattah el-Sisi]] claimed that overpopulation posed as much a threat to national security as terrorism. He launched a campaign called “Two Is Enough” in order to curb the problem, but to no avail. Egypt's fertility rate surged at around the [[Arab Spring]], likely as a result of political chaos, economic uncertainty, and funds for birth control from Western governments drying up. Fertility rates remained the highest in rural areas, where children are considered a blessing, but the impact is most visible in [[Greater Cairo]], a megalopolis home to over 20 million people. In general, Egypt's densely populated cities and towns have one million additional residents each year between 2008 and 2018.<ref name=":26">{{Cite news|last=Walsh|first=Declan|url=https://www.nytimes.com/2020/02/11/world/middleeast/egypt-population-100-million.html|title=As Egypt's Population Hits 100 Million, Celebration Is Muted|date=February 11, 2020|work=The New York Times|access-date=February 15, 2020|department=World}}</ref> |
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During the early to mid-2010s, more babies were born to [[Christians|Christian]] families than to those of any other [[religion]] in the world, while [[Muslims]] had a faster rate of growth. About 33% of the world's babies were born to Christians who made up 31% of the global population between 2010 and 2015, compared to 31% to Muslims, whose share of the human population was 24%. During the same period, the religiously unaffiliated (including [[Atheism|atheists]] and [[Agnosticism|agnostics]]) made up 16% of the population and gave birth to 10% of the world's children.<ref name=":37">{{Cite news|url=https://www.pewforum.org/2017/04/05/the-changing-global-religious-landscape/|title=The Changing Global Religious Landscape|date=April 5, 2017|work=Pew Research Center|access-date=April 15, 2020|department=Religion|archive-date=May 23, 2019|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20190523160410/https://www.pewforum.org/2017/04/05/the-changing-global-religious-landscape/|url-status=live}}</ref> |
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Nigeria was experiencing a population boom in the 2010s and is on track to become the world's third most populous nation by century's end, according to United Nations figures. However, this demographic trend comes with its own risks, namely environmental, health, and food security problems. Moreover, the nation is already battling deadly infectious diseases, which spread more easily with higher population densities, such as HIV/AIDS, malaria, and [[Lassa fever]].<ref name=":39">{{Cite news|last=Kight|first=Stef W.|date=July 21, 2018|title=The dangers of Nigeria's population explosion|work=Axios|url=https://www.axios.com/the-dangerous-child-full-future-for-nigeria--e8c31d82-bed4-47b0-98b0-baecf272d4ab.html|access-date=July 20, 2020}}</ref> |
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==Economic trends and prospects== |
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Statistical projections from the United Nations in 2019 suggest that, by 2020, the people of Niger would have a median age of 15.2, Mali 16.3, Chad 16.6, Somalia, Uganda, and Angola all 16.7, the Democratic Republic of the Congo 17.0, Burundi 17.3, Mozambique and Zambia both 17.6. (This means that more than half of their populations were born in the first two decades of the twenty-first century.)<ref name=":40" /> Benin, Burundi, Ethiopia, Madagascar, Malawi, Nigeria, Tanzania, Zambia, Yemen, and Timor-Leste had a median age of 17 in 2017, according to the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluations, University of Washington.<ref name=":42">{{Cite web|last=Desjardins|first=Jeff|date=April 18, 2019|title=Median Age of the Population in Every Country|url=https://www.visualcapitalist.com/median-age-of-the-population-in-every-country/|website=Visual Capitalist}}</ref> These are the world's youngest countries by median age. While a booming population can induce substantial economic growth, if healthcare, education, and economic needs were not met, there would be chronic youth unemployment, low productivity, and social unrest. Investing in [[human capital]] is crucial.<ref name=":40">{{Cite news|url=https://www.weforum.org/agenda/2019/08/youngest-populations-africa/|title=19 of the world's 20 youngest countries are in Africa|last=Myers|first=Joe|date=August 30, 2019|work=World Economic Forum|access-date=December 6, 2019}}</ref> Curbing population growth could help Africa take advantage of the [[demographic dividend]] that enabled the [[Four Asian Tigers|Asian Tigers]] to develop so rapidly during the late twentieth century. Africa's population boom could have a significant international impact, as many of its natives seek to migrate to other countries both within and outside Africa seeking a better life.<ref name=":39" /> |
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Effects of intensifying [[Distribution_of_wealth#Wealth_inequality |wealth inequality]] in the early twenty-first century is expected to be seen in the next generation, as parental income and [[Educational stage|educational level]] are positively correlated with children's success.<ref name=":60">{{Cite news|last1=Miller|first1=Claire Cain|last2=Bui|first2=Quoctrung|date=February 27, 2016|title=Equality in Marriages Grows, and So Does Class Divide|work=The New York Times|url=https://www.nytimes.com/2016/02/23/upshot/rise-in-marriages-of-equals-and-in-division-by-class.html|url-status=live|access-date=January 1, 2021|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20201224010231/https://www.nytimes.com/2016/02/23/upshot/rise-in-marriages-of-equals-and-in-division-by-class.html|archive-date=December 24, 2020}}</ref> In the United States, children from families in the highest income [[Quantile|quintile]] are the most likely to live with married parents (94% in 2018), followed by children of the [[middle class]] (74%) and the bottom quintile (35%).<ref>{{Cite web|last1=Reeves|first1=Richard V.|last2=Pulliam|first2=Christopher|date=March 11, 2020|title=Middle class marriage is declining, and likely deepening inequality|url=https://www.brookings.edu/research/middle-class-marriage-is-declining-and-likely-deepening-inequality/|access-date=January 1, 2021|website=Brookings Institution|archive-date=November 1, 2020|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20201101073245/https://www.brookings.edu/research/middle-class-marriage-is-declining-and-likely-deepening-inequality/|url-status=live}}</ref> |
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==Education== |
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While Africa is the world's most fertile region, it also has the world's highest child mortality rates.<ref name=":15" /> Nevertheless, Africa is largely responsible for human population growth in the twenty-first century, overtaking Asia.<ref name=":18" /> Moreover, sub-Saharan Africa is the only major region that is an exception to the general trend of falling family size seen around the world.<ref name=":38" /> |
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In many developing countries around the world, large numbers of children could not read a simple passage in their own national languages by the age of ten, according to the [[World Bank]]. In the [[Democratic Republic of the Congo|Congo]], the [[Philippines]], and [[Ethiopia]], over 80% of children were in this category. In [[India]] and [[Indonesia]], the rates were at about 50%. In [[China]] and [[Vietnam]], the corresponding numbers were under 20%.<ref>{{Cite news |date=January 26, 2023 |title=Most children in poor countries are being failed by their schools |newspaper=The Economist |url=https://www.economist.com/international/2023/01/26/most-children-in-poor-countries-are-being-failed-by-their-schools |access-date=February 1, 2023 |archive-url=https://archive.today/20230126171043/https://www.economist.com/international/2023/01/26/most-children-in-poor-countries-are-being-failed-by-their-schools |archive-date=January 26, 2023}}</ref> |
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===Asia=== |
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Addressing Japan's [[Aging of Japan|demographic crisis]] and low birthrate, in 2019, the government of Japanese Prime Minister [[Shinzō Abe]] introduced a number of education reforms. Starting in October 2019, [[preschool]] education would be free for all children between the ages of three and five, and [[child care]] would be free for children under the age of two from low-income households. These programs would be funded by a [[consumption tax]] hike, from eight to ten percent. Starting April 2020, entrance and [[Tuition payments|tuition fees]] for public as well as private [[University|universities]] would be waived or reduced. Students from low-income and tax-exempt families would be eligible for financial assistance to help them cover textbook, transportation, and living expenses. The whole program was projected to cost 776 billion [[Japanese yen|yen]] (7.1 billion [[United States dollar|USD]]) per annum.<ref name=":14">{{Cite news |date=May 10, 2019 |title=Japan enacts legislation making preschool education free in effort to boost low fertility rate |work=Japan Times |department=National |url=https://www.japantimes.co.jp/news/2019/05/10/national/japan-enacts-legislation-making-preschool-education-free-effort-boost-low-fertility-rate/#.XNVEKR7lI0M |access-date=January 1, 2010 |archive-date=May 10, 2019 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20190510102655/https://www.japantimes.co.jp/news/2019/05/10/national/japan-enacts-legislation-making-preschool-education-free-effort-boost-low-fertility-rate/#.XNVEKR7lI0M |url-status=live }}</ref> |
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{{See also|Aging of Japan|Aging of South Korea|l2=South Korea|Aging of China|l3=China}} |
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[[File:China population pyramid (2018).jpg|alt=|thumb|350x350px|Population pyramid of China in 2018]] |
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In 2016, the Chinese Communist Party replaced [[one-child policy]] with the two-child policy; the nation's birth rate briefly surged before continuing on a downward path. In 2019, 14.65 million babies were born in China, the lowest since 1961. Although demographers and economists have urged the Chinese Central Government to eliminate all birth restrictions, they have been reluctant to do so. Economist Ren Zeping of Evergrande calculated that between 2013 and 2028, the number of Chinese women between the ages of 20 and 35 would drop by 30%. Official data is often unreliable and even self-contradictory. "China's birth numbers are very sloppy and highly influenced by politics," demographer Yi Fuxian of the [[University of Wisconsin–Madison|University of Wisconsin – Madison]] told the ''South China Morning Post''. Overall, China's population grew to 1.4 billion in 2019 from 1.39 billion the year before.<ref>{{Cite news|url=https://www.scmp.com/economy/china-economy/article/3046481/chinas-birth-rate-falls-near-60-year-low-2019-producing|title=China's birth rate falls to near 60-year low, with 2019 producing fewest babies since 1961|last=Leng|first=Sidney|date=January 17, 2020|work=South China Morning Post|access-date=January 17, 2020|department=Economy}}</ref> In a 2019 paper, Yi Fuxian estimated that China's average annual fertility rate was 1.18 between 2010 and 2018.<ref name=":45">{{Cite news|last=LeVine|first=Steve|date=July 3, 2019|title=Demographics may decide the U.S-China rivalry|work=Axios|department=World|url=https://www.axios.com/demographics-decide-us-china-rivalry-64ef68fb-b34e-4216-870b-0a6cf0d8b946.html|access-date=July 20, 2020}}</ref> Less than 6% of China's population was under five years old in 2018, compared to 3.85% in Japan.<ref name=":15" /> A Chinese person born in the late 2010s has a life expectancy of 76 years, up from 44 in 1960. According to a projection by the United Nations, China's median age would reach that of the United States in 2020 and would subsequently converge with Europe's but would remain below that of Japan. If the current trend continues, by 2050, the median age of China will be 50, compared to 42 for the United States and 38 for India.<ref>{{Cite news|url=https://www.economist.com/finance-and-economics/2019/11/02/chinas-median-age-will-soon-overtake-americas|title=China's median age will soon overtake America's|date=October 31, 2019|newspaper=The Economist|access-date=February 22, 2020|department=Finance and Economics}}</ref> |
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In 2020, the [[government of Vietnam|government]] of Vietnamese Prime Minister [[Nguyễn Xuân Phúc]] recommended a series of education reforms in order to raise the fertility rates of localities that found themselves below the replacement level, including the construction of daycare facilities and [[kindergarten]]s in urban and industrial zones, housing subsidies for couples with two children in sub-replacement areas, and priority admission for children of said couples in public schools.<ref name=":48">{{cite news |last=Viet Tuan |date=May 5, 2020 |title=Marry early, have kids soon, Vietnam urges citizens |work=VN Express International |url=https://e.vnexpress.net/news/news/marry-early-have-kids-soon-vietnam-urges-citizens-4094288.html |access-date=August 10, 2020 |archive-date=July 29, 2020 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20200729004655/https://e.vnexpress.net/news/news/marry-early-have-kids-soon-vietnam-urges-citizens-4094288.html |url-status=live }}</ref> |
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Such a trend has fueled predictions of dreadful socioeconomic problems.<ref name=":8">{{Cite news|url=https://www.straitstimes.com/asia/east-asia/shrinking-society-5-countries-that-face-falling-birth-rates|title=Number of newborns in Japan fall below 900,000 for first time: 5 countries that face falling birth rates|date=December 26, 2019|work=Straits Times|access-date=December 27, 2019|department=East Asia}}</ref> A study by the [[Chinese Academy of Social Sciences]] (CASS) published in January 2020 predicts that China's population would peak in 2029 at 1.44 billion, after which decline would be "unstoppable." CASS calculated that China's population will fall to 1.36 billion by mid-century, losing almost 200 million workers. CASS recommended that the government implement policies that would address the problems of a shrinking labor force and an increasing elderly population, which means a growing dependency rate.<ref>{{Cite news|url=https://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-china-46772503|title=China's population 'to peak' in 2029 at 1.44 billion|date=January 5, 2019|work=BBC News|access-date=February 15, 2020|department=Asia-Pacific}}</ref> A large and young labor force and domestic consumption have driven China's rapid economic growth. Yet due to a shrinking pool of young people, China has suffered from labor shortages and reduced growth in the 2010s. Young Chinese women living in the twenty-first century tend to be reluctant to have children for a number of reasons. In large cities, such as Shanghai, people typically spend at least a third of their income on raising a child. Chinese women have become a lot more career-oriented. On top of that, Chinese workplaces generally do not offer accommodations for women with young children, who often face demotion or even unemployment after returning from maternity leave.<ref>{{Cite news|url=https://www.ft.com/content/a245eef4-3a5e-11ea-a01a-bae547046735|title=China's falling birth rate threatens economic growth|last=Yu|first=Sun|date=January 19, 2020|work=The Financial Times|access-date=January 20, 2020}}</ref> Not only do shortages of young workers have implications for China's economic prospects, they also pose a serious burden on young people being born today. They will have to take care of four grandparents and two parents on their own, as their siblings will not have been born.<ref>{{Cite news|last=Zhang|first=Phoebe|date=November 24, 2019|title=China's ageing population prompts plan to deal with looming silver shock|work=South China Morning Post|department=Society|url=https://www.scmp.com/news/china/society/article/3039064/chinas-ageing-population-prompts-plan-deal-looming-silver-shock|access-date=August 19, 2020}}</ref> |
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In early 2021, the government of China announced a plan to invest more in physical education (PE) in order to make young boys "more [[Masculinity|masculine]]". Due to a combination of the (now rescinded) [[one-child policy]] and the traditional preference for sons, young boys are perceived by many to be overly coddled by their parents, and looked at as effeminate, delicate, and timid. In order to calm public concerns, state-controlled media published pieces downplaying gender roles and gender differences.<ref>{{Cite news|first=|date=February 3, 2021|title=Chinese plan to boost 'masculinity' with PE classes sparks debate|work=Reuters|url=https://www.reuters.com/article/us-china-society-masculinity-idUSKBN2A30LV|access-date=February 7, 2021|archive-date=February 7, 2021|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20210207022616/https://www.reuters.com/article/us-china-society-masculinity-idUSKBN2A30LV|url-status=live}}</ref> |
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As a result of cultural ideals, government policy, and modern medicine, there have been severe gender imbalances in China and India. According to the United Nations, in 2018, China and India had a combined 50 million of excess males under the age of 20. Such a discrepancy fuels loneliness epidemics, human trafficking (from elsewhere in Asia, such as Cambodia and Vietnam), and prostitution, among other societal problems.<ref>{{Cite news|url=https://www.scmp.com/magazines/post-magazine/long-reads/article/2142658/too-many-men-china-and-india-battle-consequences|title=Too many men: China and India battle with the consequences of gender imbalance|last1=Deyner|first1=Simon|date=April 24, 2018|work=South China Morning Post|access-date=December 6, 2019|last2=Gowen|first2=Annie}}</ref> |
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[[File:Singapore population pyramid (2018).jpg|alt=|thumb|350x350px|Population pyramid of Singapore in 2018]] |
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Singapore's total fertility rate continues to decline in the 2010s, as more and more young people are choosing to delay or eschew marriage and parenthood. It reached 1.14 in 2018, making it the lowest since 2010 and one of the lowest in the world.<ref name=":17" /> Reasons for this include long work hours, digital disruption, uncertainties surrounding global trade, climate change, high cost of living, and long wait times for public housing.<ref name=":3" /><ref name=":29">{{Cite news|last=Au-Yong|first=Rachel|url=https://www.straitstimes.com/singapore/spores-fertility-rate-down-as-number-of-singles-goes-up|title=Singapore's fertility rate down as number of singles goes up|date=September 18, 2018|work=The Straits Times|access-date=February 8, 2020|department=Singapore}}</ref> The median age for first-time mothers rose from 29.7 in 2009 to 30.6 in 2018, which poses a problem because fertility declines with age. Meanwhile, the death rate has been increasing since 1998; Singapore now faces an aging population.<ref name=":3">{{Cite news|url=https://www.straitstimes.com/singapore/number-of-babies-born-here-drops-to-8-year-low|title=Number of babies born in Singapore drops to 8-year low|last=Sin|first=Yuen|date=July 22, 2019|work=Straits Times|access-date=December 27, 2019|department=Singapore}}</ref> In fact, Singapore's birth rate has been below the replacement level of 2.1 since the 1980s, and appears to have stabilized during the first two decades of the twenty-first century. Government incentives such as the baby bonus have proven insufficient to raise the birth rate.<ref name=":17">{{Cite news|url=https://www.straitstimes.com/singapore/govt-aid-alone-not-enough-to-raise-birth-rate-minister|title=Govt aid alone not enough to raise birth rate: Minister|last=Sin|first=Yuen|date=March 2, 2018|work=Straits Times|access-date=December 27, 2019|department=Singapore}}</ref> The number of women in their prime childbearing years (25–29) who remained single increased from 60.9% in 2007 to 68.1% in 2017. For men, the corresponding numbers were 77.5% and 80.7%, respectively. In Singapore, the singleness rate is a major determinant of fertility because only 10% of married couples have no children at all. While it is not unusual for men to marry late because they are expected to have established themselves before getting married and to be the primary breadwinner, one major reason why women are marrying later is because higher education eliminates the need to get married for economic survival.<ref name=":29" /><ref group="note">Also see how [[Human mating strategies#Income|income affects human mating]].</ref> |
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In [[demographics of India|India]], the population of Generation Alpha (those aged 0–14 years) was recorded as 346.9 million in the year 2011. By 2021, this figure slightly decreased to 336.9 million. As per the latest projections, it is estimated that the population of Generation Alpha will further decline to approximately 327 million by the year 2026.{{Citation needed|date=February 2024}} |
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At the 2019 Forbes Global CEO Conference, Prime Minister [[Lee Hsien Loong]] said that one of the top issues facing his country is finding the right demographic balance. "To secure our future, we must make our own babies, enough of them. Because if all of the next generation are not our own, then where do they come from and what is the point of this?" he said. Lee added that the long-term goal of his government is to maintain a workforce that is two-thirds Singaporean, with the rest being brought in from overseas. He argued that such a ratio is manageable while relaxing immigration restriction would be "unwise" because "there is no shortage of people who want to come."<ref>{{Cite news|url=http://theindependent.sg/pm-lee-singapore-needs-to-make-enough-of-our-own-babies-to-secure-the-future/|title=PM Lee—Singapore needs to make enough of our own babies to secure the future|last=Maria|first=Anna|date=October 19, 2019|work=The Independent (Singapore)|access-date=January 16, 2020}}</ref> |
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[[File:Map of East Asia by TFR in 2020.png|thumb|440x440px|alt=|center|Map of East Asia by total fertility rates in 2020]] |
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[[File:South Korea population pyramid (2018).jpg|alt=|thumb|350x350px|Population pyramid of South Korea in 2018]] |
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Singapore's experience mirrors those of Japan and South Korea.<ref name=":17" /> Japan at present has one of the oldest populations in the world and persistently sub-replacement fertility, currently 1.4 children per woman. Japan's population peaked in 2017.<ref name=":50" /> In South Korea, a baby boom occurred in the aftermath of the Korean War, and the government subsequently encouraged people to have no more than two children per couple. As a result, South Korea's fertility has been falling ever since.<ref name=":30">{{Cite news|last=Haas|first=Benjamin|url=https://www.theguardian.com/world/2018/sep/03/south-koreas-fertility-rate-set-to-hit-record-low|title=South Korea's fertility rate set to hit record low of 0.96|date=September 3, 2018|work=The Guardian|access-date=February 8, 2020|department=South Korea}}</ref> South Korea's fertility rate dropped below 1.0 in 2018 for the first time since the country began keeping statistics in 1970. The figure for 2017 was also a record low, at 1.05. Since 2005, the government has spent a fortune on child subsidies and campaigns promoting reproduction, but has had little success. Possible reasons for Korea's low fertility rate include the high cost of raising a child, high youth unemployment, the burden of childcare on career-minded women, a stressful education system, and high levels of competition in Korean society. In South Korea, because marriage is usually associated with child-rearing, it is extremely rare for children to be born out of wedlock. That figure stood at 1.9% as of 2017. By contrast, in some other developed countries, such as France and Norway, it is not uncommon for children to be born to unmarried couples, at 55% or higher.<ref>{{Cite news|url=https://www.france24.com/en/20190227-south-koreas-fertility-rate-drops-below-one-first-time|title=South Korea's fertility rate drops below one for first time|date=February 27, 2019|work=AFP (via France24)|access-date=January 1, 2010}}</ref> Government figures show that the average age at first marriage for women climbed from 24.8 in 1990 to 30.2 in 2018 while the age of first birth was 31.6. According to Statistics Korea, women who give birth to their first child in their early 30s are unlikely to have more than one. In Korea's traditionalist society, new mothers face discrimination in the work force, and as such delaying childbirth becomes commonplace. Such a low fertility rate endangers the nation's welfare programs (including healthcare and pensions), and causes more and more schools to close. It also has implications for national security, as the South Korean military relies on conscription to confront North Korean threats.<ref name=":30" /> |
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[[File:Taiwan population pyramid (2018).jpg|alt=|thumb|350x350px|Population pyramid of Taiwan in 2018]] |
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According to the [[National Development Council (Taiwan)|National Development Council of Taiwan]] (NDC), the nation's population could start shrinking by 2022 and the number of people of working age could fall by 10% by 2027. About half of Taiwanese would be aged 50 or over by 2034.<ref name=":11">{{Cite news|url=http://www.taipeitimes.com/News/front/archives/2018/08/31/2003699509|title=Population decline might start sooner than forecast|last=Hsu|first=Crystal|date=August 31, 2018|work=Taipei Times|access-date=January 1, 2020}}</ref> According to the NDC, Taiwan reached the stage of being an aging society—one in which the number of people aged 65 and above is about 7%—in 1993. Like South Korea, Taiwan has since moved from being an aging society to an aged one, where the number of elderly people exceeds 14% of the total population. It therefore took the country 25 years to make this demographic transition, compared to 17 years in South Korea. During the 2010s, Taiwan's fertility rate hovered just above 1.0, making it one of the lowest in the world.<ref name=":12">{{Cite news|url=https://www.taiwannews.com.tw/en/news/3402395|title=MOI: Taiwan officially becomes an aged society with people over 65 years old breaking the 14% mark|last=Liao|first=George|date=April 10, 2018|work=Taiwan News|access-date=January 1, 2020|department=Society}}</ref><ref name=":10">{{Cite news|url=https://qz.com/1375403/taiwans-population-could-start-shrinking-by-2022/|title=Taiwan's population could start shrinking in four years|last=Steger|first=Isabella|date=August 31, 2018|work=Quartz|access-date=January 1, 2020}}</ref> In fact, data from the Ministry of the Interior shows the fertility rate has consistently been below 1.5 since 2001.<ref name=":10" /> (In 2010, Taiwan's fertility rate actually fell below 1.0 because it was thought to be a bad year to have children in, the previous year having been considered inauspicious for marriage.<ref name=":13" />) Many couples still live with their parents, and the older generation expects women to stay at home, take care of children, and do house chores.<ref name=":13" /> Stipends and subsidies from the government have been unsuccessful in encouraging more people to reproduce,<ref name=":13">{{Cite news|url=https://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-pacific-14525525|title=Taiwanese birth rate plummets despite measures|last=Sui|first=Cindy|date=August 15, 2011|work=BBC News|access-date=January 1, 2020|department=Asia-Pacific}}</ref> but the government has added more money for childcare, education, and birth subsidies.<ref name=":11" /> The government is also considering immigration policies that attract highly skilled workers from other countries,<ref name=":10" /> and making English an official language.<ref name=":11" /> |
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===Europe=== |
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At the current rate, Taiwan is set to transition from an aged to a super-aged society, where 21% of the population is over 65 years of age, in eight years, compared to seven years for Singapore, eight years for South Korea, 11 years for Japan, 14 for the United States, 29 for France, and 51 for the United Kingdom.<ref name=":12" /> As of 2018, Japan was already a super-aged society,<ref name=":10" /> with 27% of its people being older than 65 years.<ref name=":15" /> According to government data, Japan's total fertility rate was 1.43 in 2017.<ref name=":14">{{Cite news|url=https://www.japantimes.co.jp/news/2019/05/10/national/japan-enacts-legislation-making-preschool-education-free-effort-boost-low-fertility-rate/#.XNVEKR7lI0M|title=Japan enacts legislation making preschool education free in effort to boost low fertility rate|date=May 10, 2019|work=Japan Times|access-date=January 1, 2010|department=National}}</ref> According to the [[Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation]], Japan has one of the oldest populations in the world, with a median age of 47 years in 2017.<ref name=":42" /> |
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In [[France]], while year-long mandatory military service for men was abolished in 1996,<ref name=":4">{{Cite news|url=https://www.euronews.com/2018/06/27/on-macron-s-orders-france-will-bring-back-compulsory-national-service|title=On Macron's orders: France will bring back compulsory national service|last=Davies|first=Pascale|date=June 27, 2018|work=EuroNews|access-date=November 5, 2019|department=France|archive-date=November 5, 2019|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20191105192829/https://www.euronews.com/2018/06/27/on-macron-s-orders-france-will-bring-back-compulsory-national-service|url-status=live}}</ref> all citizens between 17 and 25 years of age must still participate in the [[Defence and Citizenship Day (France)|Defense and Citizenship Day]], when they are introduced to the [[French Armed Forces]], and take language tests.<ref name=":4" /> In 2019, [[President of France|President]] [[Emmanuel Macron]] introduced a similar mandatory service program for teenagers, as promised during his presidential campaign. Known as the ''[[Service national universel|Service National Universel]]'' or SNU, it is a compulsory civic service. Though it does not explicitly involve military training, it requires recruits to spend four weeks at a camp where they participate in a variety of activities designed to teach practical skills, personal discipline and a greater understanding of the French political system and society. The aim of this program is to promote national cohesion and [[patriotism]], and to encourage interaction among young people of different backgrounds.<ref name=":6">{{Cite news|url=https://www.france24.com/en/20190711-france-civic-service-military-volunteer-french-values-macron-first-aid-national-cohesion|title=National civic service: A crash course in self-defence, emergency responses and French values|last=Villeminot|first=Florence|date=July 11, 2019|work=France 24|access-date=November 5, 2019|department=French Connection|archive-date=November 5, 2019|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20191105102719/https://www.france24.com/en/20190711-france-civic-service-military-volunteer-french-values-macron-first-aid-national-cohesion|url-status=live}}</ref> The SNU is due to become mandatory for all French 16 to 21 year olds by 2026.<ref name=":6" /> |
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[[File:Vietnam population pyramid (2018).jpg|alt=|thumb|350x350px|Population pyramid of Vietnam in 2018]] |
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Vietnam's population grew from 60 million in 1986 to 97 million in 2018, with the rate of growth falling to about one percent in the late 2010s. Like Bangladesh and unlike Egypt, Vietnam is a developing country that has successfully curbed its population growth.<ref name=":26" /> Vietnam's median age in 2018 was 26 years and is rising. Between the 1970s and the late 2010s, life expectancy climbed from 60 to 76 years.<ref name=":31">{{cite news|url=https://www.economist.com/asia/2018/11/08/vietnam-is-getting-old-before-it-gets-rich|title=Vietnam is getting old before it gets rich|date=November 8, 2018|newspaper=The Economist|access-date=February 8, 2020}}</ref> It is now the second highest in Southeast Asia. Vietnam's fertility rate dropped from 5 children per woman in 1980 to 3.55 in 1990 and then to 1.95 in 2017. In that same year, 23% of the Vietnamese population was 15 years of age or younger, down from almost 40% in 1989. According to the World Health Organization (WHO), Vietnam's population is one of the fastest aging in the world. The WHO projected that the proportion of people above the age of 65 would rise from 4% in 2017 to almost 7% by 2030. According to the International Monetary Fund (IMF), "Vietnam is at risk of [[Middle income trap|growing old before it grows rich]]."<ref>{{cite news|last=Hutt|first=David|url=https://thediplomat.com/2017/10/will-vietnam-grow-old-before-it-gets-rich/|title=Will Vietnam Grow Old Before it Gets Rich?|date=October 2, 2017|work=The Diplomat|access-date=February 8, 2020|department=ASEAN Beat}}</ref> The share of working-age Vietnamese peaked in 2011, when the country's annual GDP per capita at [[purchasing power parity]] was $5,024, compared to $32,585 for South Korea, $31,718 for Japan, and $9,526 for China.<ref name=":31" /> |
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In 2023, the French government announced a two-billion-euro plan to promote [[Cycling|biking]] in the country. This includes an initiative to train all primary school children on how to ride a bicycle.<ref>{{Cite news |last=De Clercq |first=Geert |date=May 5, 2023 |title=France to spend 2 billion euros to boost bicycle usage |work=Reuters |url=https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/france-spend-2-billion-euros-boost-bicycle-usage-2023-05-05/ |access-date=May 7, 2023 |archive-url=https://archive.today/20230507052903/https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/france-spend-2-billion-euros-boost-bicycle-usage-2023-05-05/ |archive-date=May 7, 2023}}</ref> |
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In April 2020, Prime Minister of Vietnam [[Nguyễn Xuân Phúc]] issued a decision on attaining a demographic balance in the country by raising the fertility rate of localities that are below 2.2, which his government considers the replacement rate, and reducing the number of births in places that are above that mark. To this end, local governments are to invest in family-friendly services such as babysitting and family medicine. A 2016 report from the Ministry of Labor, Invalids, and Social Affairs stated that Vietnam became one of the fasting aging societies on Earth in 2015. Government data showed that in 2019, Vietnam's population was 96.2 million people, the third largest in Southeast Asia, and the fifteenth-largest in the world. Yet many localities had fertility rates well below replacement level, such as Dong Thap (1.34), Ba Ria-Vung Tau (1.37), Ho Chi Minh City (1.36), and Hau Giang (1.57). Phúc's decision discourages women from having children after the age of 35 and instead urges people to marry before the age of 30 and have children early.<ref name=":48">{{cite news|last=Viet Tuan|date=May 5, 2020|title=Marry early, have kids soon, Vietnam urges citizens|work=VN Express International|url=https://e.vnexpress.net/news/news/marry-early-have-kids-soon-vietnam-urges-citizens-4094288.html|access-date=August 10, 2020}}</ref> But some newspaper readers pointed out that such a policy ignores cultural, economic, and social realities. Reasons for Vietnam's falling fertility rate include high costs of child-rearing, youth unemployment leading many to continue to live with their parents until the age of 30, career aspirations, high costs of living in the cities, concerns over national problems (such as child abuse, school violence, food safety, pollution, traffic congestion, and overcrowded hospitals), and international issues (namely overpopulation and climate change).<ref>{{Cite news|last=Linh Do|date=May 13, 2020|title=Vietnam's about turn on ideal replacement fertility rate meets dissent|work=VN Express International|url=https://e.vnexpress.net/news/life/trend/vietnam-s-about-turn-on-ideal-replacement-fertility-rate-meets-dissent-4098811.html|access-date=August 10, 2020}}</ref> Other rapidly growing Southeast Asian economies, such as the Philippines, saw similar demographic trends.<ref>{{Cite news|last=Business Wire|url=https://apnews.com/e003c55a028f4cfcae7c1e17c60d21f7|title=Focus on the bleak ramifications of falling fertility rates in South East Asian countries|date=May 6, 2019|work=Associated Press|access-date=February 8, 2020}}</ref> |
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===North America=== |
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In India, the fertility rate has fallen from 5.9 in 1960 to 2.0 in 2020. In addition, the number of women who would like to have more than one child has declined significantly. The National Family Health Survey of 2018 found that only 24% of Indian women were interested in having a second child, down from 68% a decade prior. As of 2021, India's total fertility rate stood at 2.0, falling below the replacement level of 2.1. Only five states - [[Bihar]], [[Meghalaya]], [[Uttar Pradesh]], [[Jharkhand]] and [[Manipur]] have fertility rates above the replacement level.<ref>{{Cite web|title=National Family Health Survey (NFHS-5)|url=http://rchiips.org/NFHS/factsheet_NFHS-5.shtml|access-date=2022-01-28|website=rchiips.org}}</ref> In general, India's falling fertility is correlated with increasing women's literacy rates and level of education, rising economic prosperity, improved mobility, and later marriage.<ref name=":38" /> Prime Minister [[Narendra Modi]] has been urging couples to have fewer children to make sure they are better taken care of.<ref name=":50">{{Cite news|date=July 16, 2020|title=Seven countries with big (and small) population problems|work=BBC News|department=World|url=https://www.bbc.com/news/world-53424726|access-date=August 24, 2020}}</ref> |
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[[File:Loreto Playground td (2019-05-28) 023.jpg|thumb|A playground in The Bronx, New York (2019). The American Academy of Pediatrics recommended that parents allow their children more time to play.|left|330x330px]] |
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In 2018, the [[American Academy of Pediatrics]] released a policy statement summarizing progress on developmental and neurological research on unstructured time spent by children, colloquially 'play', and noting the importance of playtime for social, cognitive, and language skills development. This is because to many educators and parents, play has come to be seen as outdated and irrelevant.<ref name=":41">{{Cite news|url=https://www.nytimes.com/2018/08/20/well/family/let-kids-play.html|title=Let Kids Play – Doctors should prescribe playtime for young children, the American Academy of Pediatrics says|last=Klass|first=Perri|date=August 20, 2018|work=The New York Times|access-date=August 4, 2019|department=The Checkup|archive-date=August 4, 2019|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20190804162350/https://www.nytimes.com/2018/08/20/well/family/let-kids-play.html|url-status=live}}</ref> In fact, between 1981 and 1997, time spent by children on unstructured activities dropped by 25% due to increased amounts of time spent on structured activities. Unstructured time tended to be spent on screens at the expense of active play.<ref>{{Cite journal|last1=Burdette|first1=Hillary|last2=Whitaker|first2=Robert|date=January 2005|title=Resurrecting Free Play in Young Children Looking Beyond Fitness and Fatness to Attention, Affiliation, and Affect|journal=JAMA Pediatrics|volume=159|issue=1|pages=46–50|doi=10.1001/archpedi.159.1.46|pmid=15630057|doi-access=free}}</ref> The statement encourages parents and children to spend more time on "playful learning", which reinforces the [[intrinsic motivation]] to learn and discover and strengthens the bond between children and their parents and other caregivers. It also helps children handle stress and prevents "[[Stress in early childhood|toxic stress]]", something that hampers development. Dr. Michael Yogman, the lead author of the statement, noted that play does not necessarily have to involve fancy toys; common household items would do as well. Moreover, parents reading to children also counts as play, because it encourages children to use their imaginations.<ref name=":41" /> |
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In 2019, psychiatrists from Quebec launched a campaign advocating the creation of courses on mental health for primary schoolchildren in order to teach them how to handle a personal or social crisis, and to deal with the psychological impact of the digital world. According to the Association des médecins psychiatres du Québec (AMPQ), this campaign focuses on children born after 2010, that is, Generation Alpha. In addition to the AMPQ, this movement is backed by the Fédération des médecins spécialistes du Québec (FMSQ), the Quebec Pediatric Association (APQ), the Association des spécialistes en médecine préventive du Québec (ASMPQ) and the Fondation Jeunes en Tête.<ref>{{Cite news|url=https://montreal.ctvnews.ca/urgent-need-to-educate-elementary-aged-children-about-mental-health-quebec-psychiatrists-1.4655055|title=Urgent need to educate elementary-aged children about mental health: Quebec psychiatrists|last=Canadian Press|date=October 25, 2019|work=CTV News|access-date=November 28, 2019|department=Montreal|archive-date=October 29, 2019|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20191029001133/https://montreal.ctvnews.ca/urgent-need-to-educate-elementary-aged-children-about-mental-health-quebec-psychiatrists-1.4655055|url-status=live}}</ref><ref>{{Cite news|url=https://montrealgazette.com/news/local-news/quebec-psychiatrists-call-for-mental-health-courses-in-grade-school|title=Mental health courses should be taught in grade school: Quebec psychiatrists|last=Canadian Press|date=October 25, 2019|work=Montreal Gazette|access-date=November 28, 2019|department=Local News|archive-date=November 1, 2019|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20191101114738/https://montrealgazette.com/news/local-news/quebec-psychiatrists-call-for-mental-health-courses-in-grade-school|url-status=live}}</ref> |
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Afghanistan's median age in 2017 was 16 years, making it the only country outside of Africa with a median age below 17.<ref name=":42" /> |
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Although the [[Common Core State Standards Initiative|Common Core]] standards, an education initiative in the United States, eliminated the requirement that public elementary schools [[Cursive handwriting instruction in the United States|teach cursive writing]] in 2010, lawmakers from many states, including Illinois, Ohio, and Texas, have introduced legislation to teach it in theirs in 2019.<ref name=":43">{{Cite news|url=https://www.nytimes.com/2019/04/13/education/cursive-writing.html?fal|title=Cursive Seemed to Go the Way of Quills and Parchment. Now It's Coming Back|last=Rueb|first=Emily|date=April 13, 2019|work=The New York Times|access-date=May 15, 2019|archive-date=January 25, 2021|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20210125205330/https://www.nytimes.com/2019/04/13/education/cursive-writing.html?fal|url-status=live}}</ref> Some studies point to the benefits of handwriting – print or cursive – for the development of cognitive and motor skills as well as memory and comprehension. For example, one 2012 neuroscience study suggests that handwriting "may facilitate reading acquisition in young children."<ref name=":44">{{Cite news|url=https://www.washingtonpost.com/lifestyle/style/from-punishing-to-pleasurable-how-cursive-writing-is-looping-back-into-our-hearts/2018/08/31/aa180b9c-aa06-11e8-a8d7-0f63ab8b1370_story.html|title=From punishing to pleasurable, how cursive writing is looping back into our hearts|last=Keller|first=Helen|date=September 2, 2018|newspaper=The Washington Post|access-date=August 10, 2019|department=Style|archive-date=August 10, 2019|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20190810191016/https://www.washingtonpost.com/lifestyle/style/from-punishing-to-pleasurable-how-cursive-writing-is-looping-back-into-our-hearts/2018/08/31/aa180b9c-aa06-11e8-a8d7-0f63ab8b1370_story.html|url-status=live}}</ref> Cursive writing has been used to help students with learning disabilities, such as dyslexia, a disorder that makes it difficult to interpret words, letters, and other symbols.<ref>{{Cite news|url=https://www.voanews.com/a/cursive-handwriting-dyslexia/4875945.html|title=Handwriting Helps Kids with Learning Disabilities Read Better|last=Elmasry|first=Faiza|date=April 15, 2019|work=VOA News|access-date=May 15, 2019|archive-date=April 16, 2019|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20190416145449/https://www.voanews.com/a/cursive-handwriting-dyslexia/4875945.html|url-status=live}}</ref> Unfortunately, lawmakers often cite these studies out of context, conflating handwriting in general with cursive handwriting.<ref name=":43" /> In any case, some 80% of historical records and documents of the United States, such as the correspondence of [[Abraham Lincoln]], were written by hand in cursive, and students today tend to be unable to read them.<ref>{{Cite news|url=https://www.washingtonpost.com/lifestyle/magazine/the-national-archives-has-billions-of-handwritten-documents-with-cursive-skills-declining-how-will-we-read-them/2019/06/14/cbc44028-5c92-11e9-9625-01d48d50ef75_story.html|title=The National Archives has billions of handwritten documents. With cursive skills declining, how will we read them?|last=Bruno|first=Debra|date=June 17, 2019|newspaper=The Washington Post|access-date=August 10, 2019|department=Magazine|archive-date=August 1, 2019|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20190801214134/https://www.washingtonpost.com/lifestyle/magazine/the-national-archives-has-billions-of-handwritten-documents-with-cursive-skills-declining-how-will-we-read-them/2019/06/14/cbc44028-5c92-11e9-9625-01d48d50ef75_story.html|url-status=live}}</ref> Historically, cursive writing was regarded as a mandatory, almost military, exercise. But today, it is thought of as an art form by those who pursue it, both adults and children.<ref name=":44" /> |
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A 2019 study by the Taub Center for Social Policy Studies showed that Israel's fertility rate was 3.1 children per woman, well above all other members of the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD). For comparison, Mexico was in second place at 2.2. Israel therefore had nothing short of a baby boom, comparable to what the United States experienced after World War II. Although ultra-Orthodox women in Israel had a phenomenal birth rate of about seven, Israel's comparatively high rate is not due to highly religious women alone, but rather the national culture and attitude towards having a family. Secular Israeli women had a fertility rate of about 2.2, also high by the standards of the OECD. However, among Arabs living in Israel, family size has declined significantly since the 1960s, to a level less than that of their Jewish counterparts and comparable with the developed world, where women have become more active in the work place. Among Israeli women in general, women's participation in the labor force has increased, as is the case with other developed countries, yet their fertility has not declined, unlike said countries.<ref name=":47">{{Cite news|last=Keyser|first=Zachary|date=February 18, 2019|title=Israel's fertility rate comparable to U.S. 'baby boom,' study finds|work=Jerusalem Post|department=Israel News|url=https://www.jpost.com/Israel-News/Israels-fertility-rate-comparable-to-US-baby-boom-study-finds-581032|access-date=August 10, 2020}}</ref> |
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In 2013, less than a third of American public schools had access to broadband Internet service, according to the non-profit [[EducationSuperHighway]]. By 2019, however, that number reached 99%. This has increased the frequency of digital learning.<ref>{{Cite news|url=https://hechingerreport.org/nearly-all-american-classrooms-can-now-connect-to-high-speed-internet-effectively-closing-the-connectivity-divide/|title=Nearly all American classrooms can now connect to high-speed internet, effectively closing the "connectivity divide"|last=Mathewson|first=Tara Garcia|date=October 23, 2019|work=Hechinger Report|access-date=November 10, 2019|department=Future of Learning|archive-date=November 10, 2019|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20191110185527/https://hechingerreport.org/nearly-all-american-classrooms-can-now-connect-to-high-speed-internet-effectively-closing-the-connectivity-divide/|url-status=live}}</ref> |
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=== Europe === |
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{{See also|Aging of Europe}} |
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In 2015, a woman living in the European Union had on average 1.5 children, down from 2.6 in 1960.<ref name=":19">{{Cite news|url=https://www.euronews.com/2019/06/18/watch-changes-in-eu-populations-over-the-past-70-years|title=Fertility rate drop will see EU population shrink 13% by year 2100; active graphic|last=Barry|first=Sinead|date=June 19, 2019|work=Euronews|access-date=January 20, 2020|department=World}}</ref> |
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[[File:Italy population pyramid (2018).jpg|alt=|thumb|350x350px|Population pyramid of Italy in 2018]] |
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Italy's fertility rate dropped from about four in the 1960s down to 1.2 in the 2010s. This is not because young Italians do not want to procreate. Quite the contrary, having a lot of children is an Italian ideal. But its economy has been floundering since the Great Recession of 2008, with the youth unemployment rate at 35% in 2019. Many Italians have moved abroad – 150,000 did in 2018 – and many are young people pursuing educational and economic opportunities.<ref name=":7">{{Cite news|last=Livesay|first=Christopher|date=November 25, 2019|title=In Italy, rising anxiety over falling birth rates|work=PBS Newshour|url=https://www.pbs.org/newshour/show/in-italy-rising-anxiety-over-falling-birth-rates|access-date=December 21, 2019}}</ref> The [[Italian National Institute of Statistics]] (ISTAT) reported that the number of babies born in 2018 in Italy was the lowest since the unification of Italy in 1861.<ref name=":8" /> Moreover, the Baby Boomers are retiring in large numbers, and their numbers eclipse those of the young people taking care of them. Only Japan has an age structure more tilted towards the elderly.<ref name=":7" /> One possible solution to this problem is incentivizing reproduction, as France has done, by investing in longer parental leaves, daycare, and tax exemptions for parents. As of 2019, France has approximately the same population as Italy but 65% more births.<ref name=":7" /> In 2015, Italy introduced a cash handout of €800 per couple per child. This does not seem to have had an impact in the long run. People may choose to have a child earlier, but ultimately, this does not increase the nation's fertility rate. This pattern has also been observed in other countries, family study expert Anne Gauthier of the [[University of Groningen]] told the BBC. In Italy's case, the subsidy does not address economic concerns or social attitudes.<ref name=":20">{{Cite news|url=https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-51118616|title=How do countries fight falling birth rates?|date=January 15, 2020|work=BBC News|access-date=January 21, 2020|department=Europe}}</ref> |
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[[File:Greece population pyramid (2018).jpg|alt=|thumb|350x350px|Population pyramid of Greece in 2018]] |
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Greece's heavy demographic aging comes as a result of economic hardship which has prompted many young people to leave the country in search of better opportunities elsewhere. Between 2009 and 2018, about half a million people left the country, many of them of child-bearing age.<ref name=":21">{{Cite news|url=https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/europe/where-are-all-the-children-how-greeces-financial-crisis-led-to-a-baby-bust/2018/11/30/b2cf7ee6-deae-11e8-8bac-bfe01fcdc3a6_story.html|title=Where are all the children? How Greece's financial crisis led to a baby bust.|last=Harlan|first=Chico|date=December 1, 2018|newspaper=The Washington Post|access-date=January 21, 2020|department=Europe}}</ref> In 2010, 115,000 children were born; that number dropped to 92,000 in 2015,<ref name=":22">{{Cite news|url=https://www.pbs.org/newshour/show/brain-drain-and-declining-birth-rate-threaten-the-future-of-greece|title=Brain drain and declining birth rate threaten the future of Greece|last=Brabant|first=Malcolm|date=November 13, 2017|work=PBS Newshour|access-date=December 21, 2019}}</ref> and then to below 89,000 in 2017, the lowest on record.<ref name=":21" /> In 2019, the fertility rate fell to just 1.3 per woman, well below the replacement level and one of the lowest in Europe. Some of the more remote regions of Greece suffer from shortages of obstetricians and gynecologists, many of whom have gone abroad, which deters would-be parents. In general, the Greeks are having children later and having fewer children in the 2010s compared to the 1980s.<ref name=":21" /> |
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Since the early 2010s, a number of U.S. states have taken steps to strengthen teacher education. Ohio, Tennessee, and Texas had the top programs in 2014. Meanwhile, Rhode Island, which previously had the nation's lowest bar on who can train to become a school teacher, has been admitting education students with higher and higher average [[SAT]], [[ACT (test)|ACT]], and [[Graduate Record Examinations|GRE]] scores. As of 2014, the state aimed by 2020 to accept only those with standardized test scores in the top third of the national distribution, similar to [[Education in Finland|Finland]] and [[Education in Singapore|Singapore]].<ref>{{Cite news|url=https://slate.com/human-interest/2014/06/american-schools-need-better-teachers-so-lets-make-it-harder-to-become-one.html|title=To improve our schools, we need to make it harder to become a teacher|last=Ripley|first=Amanda|date=June 17, 2014|work=Slate|access-date=June 17, 2019|archive-date=June 17, 2019|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20190617171615/https://slate.com/human-interest/2014/06/american-schools-need-better-teachers-so-lets-make-it-harder-to-become-one.html|url-status=live}}</ref> |
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The [[Instituto Nacional de Estadística (Spain)|Spanish National Institute of Statistics]] reported that the number of babies born in Spain in 2018 was the lowest since 1998 and a 40.7% drop compared to 2008. This is due to the fact that there were fewer women of childbearing age in Spain than in the past, and that modern Spaniards are having fewer children.<ref name=":8" /> In Portugal, the fertility rate dropped to 1.3 in the late 2010s. Across Southern Europe, about 20% of women born in the 1970s are childless, a number not seen since the First World War. More and more schools have been forced to close and many towns are becoming empty. Southern Europe could become countries of old people by the late 2030s (when people born in the early 2010s and mid-2020s come of age) if the current trend continues.<ref>{{Cite news|url=https://www.straitstimes.com/world/europe/s-europes-birth-rate-falls-to-crisis-levels|title=S. Europe's birth rate falls to crisis levels|last=The New York Times|date=April 18, 2017|work=The Straits Times|access-date=February 2, 2020|department=World}}</ref> |
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According to the National Assessment of Educational Progress ([[National Assessment of Educational Progress|NAEP]]), 63% of American fourth graders could read at the basic level in 2022, which is lower than previous years of assessment, dating back to 2005.<ref name="auto7">{{Cite web |title=NAEP Reading: National Achievement-Level Results |url=https://www.nationsreportcard.gov/reading/nation/achievement/?grade=4 |access-date=February 1, 2023 |website=Nation's Report Card |publisher=NAEP |archive-date=January 19, 2023 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20230119151650/https://www.nationsreportcard.gov/reading/nation/achievement/?grade=4 |url-status=live }}</ref> Nevertheless, scores have been in decline even before the COVID-19 pandemic.<ref name=":3" /> Taking advantage of the latest advances in the [[Language processing in the brain|neuroscience of reading]], some instructors have returned to the teaching of [[phonics]] to help rectify this problem,<ref name=":3">{{Cite news |last1=Barshay |first1=Jill |last2=Flynn |first2=Hillary |last3=Sheasley |first3=Chelsea |last4=Richman |first4=Talia |last5=Bazzaz |first5=Dahlia |last6=Griesbach |first6=Rebecca |date=November 10, 2021 |title=America's reading problem: Scores were dropping even before the pandemic |work=Hechinger Report |department=Elementary to High School |url=https://hechingerreport.org/americas-reading-problem-scores-were-dropping-even-before-the-pandemic/ |access-date=February 1, 2023 |archive-date=February 1, 2023 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20230201165337/https://hechingerreport.org/americas-reading-problem-scores-were-dropping-even-before-the-pandemic/ |url-status=live }}</ref> with support from the parents and their state governments.<ref>{{Cite news |last=Schwartz |first=Sarah |date=February 28, 2023 |title=The 'Science of Reading' Will Be a Big Topic at SXSW EDU. Get Prepped With 3 Things to Know |work=Education Week |url=https://www.edweek.org/teaching-learning/the-science-of-reading-will-be-a-big-topic-at-sxsw-edu-get-prepped-with-3-things-to-know/2023/02 |archive-url=https://archive.today/20230324063712/https://www.edweek.org/teaching-learning/the-science-of-reading-will-be-a-big-topic-at-sxsw-edu-get-prepped-with-3-things-to-know/2023/02 |archive-date=March 24, 2023}}</ref><ref>{{Cite news |last=Hollingsworth |first=Heather |date=April 20, 2023 |title=An end to the reading wars? More US schools embrace phonics |work=Associated Press |url=https://apnews.com/article/phonics-science-reading-c715dea43f338f163715b01b83bb1066 |access-date=April 20, 2023}}</ref> |
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Hungary's birth rate was about 1.48 in 2018. For the government of Prime Minister [[Viktor Orbán|Viktor Orban]], which favors "procreation over immigration," raising the national fertility rate is a matter of "strategic importance." In December 2018, the Hungarian government nationalized six fertility clinics and said it would offer free [[In vitro fertilisation|in vitro fertilization]] (IVF) treatment starting February 2020, though the details of who would be eligible for this program remain unclear. Like other Eastern European countries, Hungary faces a declining population not just due to its low birth rate, now half of what it was in 1950, but also to emigration to Western Europe. About one in every seven Hungarian children was born outside Hungary in the 2010s.<ref>{{Cite news|url=https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-51061499|title=Hungary to provide free fertility treatment to boost population|date=January 10, 2020|work=BBC News|access-date=January 20, 2020|department=Europe}}</ref><ref>{{Cite news|url=https://www.npr.org/2020/01/10/795211211/hungary-says-it-will-offer-free-fertility-treatments-to-counter-population-decli|title=Hungary Says It Will Offer Free Fertility Treatments To Counter Population Decline|last=Kennedy|first=Merrit|date=January 10, 2020|work=NPR|access-date=January 20, 2020|department=Europe}}</ref> |
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[[File:Russia population pyramid (2018).jpg|alt=|thumb|350x350px|Population pyramid of Russia in 2018]] |
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The United Nations Population Division projected that Russia, which had a birth rate of 1.75 in 2018, would find its population drop from 143 million down to 132 million by 2050.<ref name=":15" /> Russia's population has been on the decline since the 1990s, following the collapse of the Soviet Union.<ref name=":24" /> Another reason for Russia's demographic decline is the nation's low life expectancy for men, at only 64 years in 2015, or 15 years less than that in Italy, Germany, or Sweden. This is due to a combination of unusually high rates of alcoholism, smoking, untreated cancer, tuberculosis, suicides, violence, and HIV/AIDS.<ref>{{Cite news|last=Meakins|first=Josh|url=https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/monkey-cage/wp/2017/03/08/why-russia-is-far-less-threatening-than-it-seems/|title=Why Russia is far less threatening than it seems|date=March 8, 2017|newspaper=The Washington Post|access-date=February 8, 2020|department=Monkey Cage}}</ref> Although previous attempts to raise the birth rate have failed, in 2018, President [[Vladimir Putin]] proposed giving money to low-income families, first-time mothers, families with many children, and the creation of more nurseries. This is part of a massive spending package aimed at revitalizing the struggling Russian economy.<ref name=":24">{{Cite news|url=https://www.reuters.com/article/us-russia-putin-taxation-idUSKBN1ZE21Y|title='Our historic duty': Putin plans steps to boost Russia's birth rate|last1=Soldatkin|first1=Vladimir|date=January 15, 2020|work=Reuters|access-date=January 20, 2020|last2=Golubkova|first2=Katya|department=World News}}</ref> |
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According to Jill Barshay of Heschinger Report, because U.S. fertility rates never recovered after the 2007–2008 [[Great Recession]], those born in the late 2000s and onward will likely face less competition getting accepted to colleges and universities.<ref name=":62">{{Cite news |last=Barshay |first=Jill |date=September 10, 2018 |title=College students predicted to fall by more than 15% after the year 2025 |work=Hechinger Report |url=https://hechingerreport.org/college-students-predicted-to-fall-by-more-than-15-after-the-year-2025/ |access-date=January 16, 2023 |archive-date=January 16, 2023 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20230116170244/https://hechingerreport.org/college-students-predicted-to-fall-by-more-than-15-after-the-year-2025/ |url-status=live }}</ref> |
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Throughout the 2000s, France maintained a fertility rate of about 2.0, but from the early 2010s onward, the country has seen its fertility rate falling gradually.<ref name=":46">{{Cite news|date=July 23, 2020|title=Britain's baby bust|newspaper=The Economist|department=Demography|url=https://www.economist.com/britain/2020/07/23/britains-baby-bust|access-date=August 7, 2020}}</ref> Despite recent declines, France retains one of the highest birth rates in Europe at 1.92 in 2017, according to the World Bank. While many countries have introduced policies intended to incentivize people to have more children, these might be counter-balanced by other policies, such as taxes. In France, the Ministry of Families is solely responsible for family and child benefits packages, which are more generous for larger families.<ref name=":20" /> |
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==Health and welfare== |
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Germany's fertility rate rose from 1.33 in 2006 to 1.57 in 2017, moving the country away from Spain and Italy and closer to the E.U. average. This is due to a few reasons. Older women were having children, which caused the rate to increase slightly. New immigrants, who arrived in Germany in great numbers in that decade, tend to have more children than natives, though their children will likely assimilate into German society and will have smaller families of their own than their parents and grandparents. In West Germany, working mothers were once stigmatized, but this is no longer the case in unified Germany. In the late 2000s and early 2010s, the German federal government introduced more generous parental leave, encouraged fathers to take (more) time off, and increased the number of nurseries, to which the government declared children over one year old were entitled to. Although the supply of nurseries remained insufficient, the number of children enrolled in them rose from 286,000 in 2006 to 762,000 in 2017.<ref>{{Cite news|url=https://www.economist.com/europe/2019/06/29/why-germanys-birth-rate-is-rising-and-italys-isnt|title=Why Germany's birth rate is rising and Italy's isn't|date=June 29, 2019|newspaper=The Economist|access-date=February 8, 2020|department=Europe}}</ref> |
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[[File:Infant Mortality Rates - 1950-2021.png|center|800x800px]] |
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[[File:Sweden population pyramid (2018).jpg|alt=|thumb|350x350px|Population pyramid of Sweden in 2018]] |
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In Sweden, generous pro-natalist policies contribute to the nation having a birth rate of 1.9 in 2017, which was high compared to the rest of Europe. Swedish parents are entitled to 480 days of parental leave to share between both parents, with fathers claiming on average 30% of the amount. According to the European Commission, Sweden has one of the lowest child poverty rates in the E.U. Nevertheless, Sweden's birth rate has begun to fall in the late 2010s.<ref name=":202">{{Cite news|url=https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-51118616|title=How do countries fight falling birth rates?|date=January 15, 2020|work=BBC News|access-date=January 21, 2020|department=Europe}}</ref> One of the reasons why Sweden has maintained a relatively high birth rate is because the country has for decades been accepting immigrants, who tend to have more children than the average Swede.<ref name=":262">{{Cite news|last=AFP|url=https://www.straitstimes.com/world/europe/babies-wanted-nordic-countries-struggle-with-falling-birth-rates|title=Babies wanted: Nordic countries struggle with falling birth rates|date=January 1, 2019|work=The Straits Times|access-date=February 2, 2020|department=World}}</ref> |
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Other Nordic countries face the same situation. Denmark, Norway, Finland, and Iceland all saw their fertility rates decline in the late 2010s to between 1.49 and 1.71 from previously near replacement level, although their economies had already recovered from the Great Recession by that time. "The number of childless individuals is growing rapidly, and the number of women having three or more children is going down. This kind of fall is unheard of in modern times in Finland," family sociologist Anna Rotkirch told AFP.<ref name=":262" /> According to [[Statistics Finland]], the total fertility rate of that country in 2019 was 1.35, the lowest on record.<ref>{{Cite news|last=Teivainen|first=Aleksi|url=https://www.helsinkitimes.fi/finland/finland-news/domestic/17252-finland-s-total-fertility-rate-drops-to-levels-of-late-1830s-shows-preliminary-data.html|title=Finland's total fertility rate drops to levels of late 1830s, shows preliminary data|date=January 24, 2020|work=Helsinki Times|access-date=February 8, 2020|department=Finland}}</ref> Causes for this decline include financial uncertainty, urbanization, rising unemployment, declining median income, and high cost of living. Falling fertility rates jeopardize the much prized Nordic welfare systems.<ref name=":262" /><ref name=":282">{{Cite news|last=Teivainen|first=Aleksi|url=https://www.helsinkitimes.fi/finland/finland-news/domestic/17295-finland-hit-harder-by-demographic-changes-than-other-nordics-shows-report.html|title=Finland hit harder by demographic changes than other Nordics, shows report|date=February 6, 2020|work=Helsinki Times|access-date=February 8, 2020|department=Finland}}</ref> Generous parental benefits, including subsidized childcare, have proven ineffective in halting the demographic decline.<ref name=":38" /> According to a 2020 report from Nordic Council of Ministers, the Finns were aging at a faster rate than any of their counterparts in the Nordic region.<ref name=":282" /> Statistics Finland predicted in 2019 that given current trends in fertility and migration, Finland's population would begin to decline by 2031.<ref>{{Cite news|last=Teivainen|first=Aleksi|url=https://www.helsinkitimes.fi/finland/finland-news/domestic/16793-statistics-finland-unveils-bleak-population-forecast-population-to-start-decline-in-2031.html|title=Statistics Finland unveils bleak population forecast – population to start decline in 2031|date=October 1, 2019|work=Helsinki Times|access-date=February 8, 2020|department=Finland}}</ref> |
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[[File:Faroe Islands population pyramid (2018).jpg|alt=|thumb|350x350px|Population pyramid of the Faroe Islands in 2018]] |
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According to the World Bank, the [[Faroe Islands]] had a birth rate of about 2.5 in 2018, one of the highest in Europe, a position they have maintained for decades. Like the rest of the Nordic region, the territory has implemented a variety of family-friendly policies, such as 46 weeks of parental leave, numerous and cheap kindergartens, and tax cuts, including one for seven-seat vehicles. But unlike the rest of the Nordic region, traditional family values and family ties remain strong. Sociologist Hans Pauli Strøm of [[Statistics Faroe Islands]] told the AFP, "In our culture, we perceive a person more as a member of a family than as an independent individual. This close and intimate contact between generations makes it easier to have children." In addition, women's workforce participation is comparatively high, at 82%, compared to an average of 59% for the European Union, of which the Islands are not a member. More than half of Faroese women work part-time as a matter of personal choice rather than labor-market conditions. The autonomous Danish territory in the North Atlantic, in fact, had a prosperous economy, as of the 2010s.<ref>{{Cite news|last=AFP|url=https://www.thelocal.dk/20180620/family-ties-make-faroese-women-europes-top-baby-makers|title=Family ties make Faroese women Europe's top baby makers|date=June 20, 2018|work=The Local|access-date=February 9, 2020|department=Denmark}}</ref> |
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In 2018–19, the Republic of Ireland had the highest birth rate and the lowest death rate in the European Union, according to [[Eurostat]].<ref>{{Cite news|last=Pope|first=Connor|url=https://www.irishtimes.com/news/ireland/irish-news/ireland-has-highest-birth-rate-and-lowest-death-rate-in-eu-1.3952983|title=Ireland has highest birth rate and lowest death rate in EU|date=July 10, 2019|work=Irish Times|access-date=February 15, 2020|department=Ireland}}</ref> Although Ireland had a thriving economy in the mid- to late-2010s, only 61,016 babies were born here in 2018 down from 75,554 in 2009. Ireland's birth rate fell from 16.8 in 2008 to 12.6 in 2018, a drop of about a quarter. The average age of first-time mothers in Ireland was 32.9 in 2018, up by over two years compared to the mid-2000s. Between 2006 and 2016, the number of babies born to women in their 40s doubled while that to teenagers fell by 52.8%. Economist Edgar Morgenroth of [[Dublin City University]] told the ''Irish Times'' that one of the reasons behind Ireland's falling fertility rate was the fact that Ireland had a baby burst in the 1980s after a baby boom in the 1970s, and the people born in the 1980s were starting families in the 2010s. He further explained that high housing and childcare costs could be behind Irish couples' reluctance. The marriage rate was 4.3 per 1,000 in 2018, the lowest since 1997 even though same-sex marriages were included. In addition, people were getting married later. In 2018, the average age at first marriage for a man was 36.4, up from 33.6 in 2008; for a woman, those figures were 34.4 and 31.7, respectively. Usually, rising birth and marriage rates correspond to a healthy economy, but the present statistics seem to have buckled that trend.<ref>{{Cite news|last=McGreevy|first=Ronan|url=https://www.irishtimes.com/news/ireland/irish-news/ireland-s-birth-rate-down-25-compared-to-celtic-tiger-period-1.4055232|title=Ireland's birth rate down 25% compared to Celtic Tiger period|date=October 18, 2019|work=Irish Times|access-date=February 15, 2020|department=Ireland}}</ref> As of 2016, Ireland was, demographically, a young country by European standards. However, the country is aging quite quickly. According to the [[Central Statistics Office (Ireland)|Central Statistics Office]], although Ireland had more people below the age of 14 than above the age of 65 in 2016, the situation could flip by 2031 in all projected scenarios, which will pose a problem for public policy. For instance, Ireland's healthcare system, already operating on a tight budget, will be under even more pressure.<ref>{{Cite news|last1=Wall|first1=Martin|url=https://www.irishtimes.com/life-and-style/health-family/the-old-country-get-ready-for-an-ageing-ireland-1.3993009|title=The old country: Get ready for an ageing Ireland|date=August 24, 2019|work=Irish Times|access-date=February 15, 2020|last2=Horgan-Jones|first2=Jack}}</ref> |
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[[File:UK population pyramid (2018).jpg|alt=|thumb|350x350px|Population pyramid of the United Kingdom in 2018]] |
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England and Wales were experiencing a baby boom in the early 2010s which peaked in 2012.<ref>{{Cite web|title=Births in England and Wales - Office for National Statistics|url=https://cy.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/birthsdeathsandmarriages/livebirths/bulletins/birthsummarytablesenglandandwales/2016|access-date=2021-10-23|website=cy.ons.gov.uk}}</ref> With more children being born in the UK between the middle of 2011 and the middle of 2012 than any year since 1972.<ref>{{Cite news|date=2013-08-08|title=More UK births than any year since 1972, says ONS|language=en-GB|work=BBC News|url=https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-23618487|access-date=2021-10-23}}</ref> However, fertility rates declined as the decade progressed. According to the United Kingdom [[Office for National Statistics]], the fertility rates of England and Wales fell to a record low in 2018. Moreover, they fell for women of all age groups except those in their 40s. A total of 657,076 children were born in England and Wales in 2018, down 10% from 2012. 1977 and 1992-2002 were the only years where these jurisdictions had lower fertility rates on record. As has been the case since the start of the new millennium, the birth rate of women below the age of 20 continues to fall, down to 11.9 in 2018. Before 2004, women in their mid- to late-20s had the highest fertility rate, but between the mid-2000s and the late-2010s, those in their early- to mid-30s held that position. Social statistician and demographer Ann Berrington of the [[University of Southampton]] told ''The Guardian'' that access to education, "changing aspirations" in life, the availability of emergency and long-acting contraception, and the lack of affordable housing were among the reasons behind the decline in fertility among people in their 20s and 30s.<ref>{{Cite news|last=Walker|first=Amy|date=August 1, 2019|title=Birthrate in England and Wales at all-time low|work=The Guardian|department=Lifestyle|url=https://www.theguardian.com/lifeandstyle/2019/aug/01/birth-rate-in-england-and-wales-at-all-time-low|access-date=February 16, 2020}}</ref> If women were merely delaying childbirth, the fertility of women in their 20s would decline while that of women in their 30s would rise. But this was not the case in the late 2010s. Women in their 40s saw a slight increase, but they accounted for only 5% of all births in the same period. Immigrants have contributed to this decline. Whereas previously they tended to have more children on average than native Britons and were indeed above replacement level, their fertility rate in England and Wales dropped from 2.46 in 2004 to 1.97 in 2020. In other words, the proportions of births to immigrant women have fallen and are now below replacement. The fertility gap is closing.<ref name=":46" /> There were 11.1 births per thousand people in 2018, compared to a peak of 20.5 in 1947, and the total fertility rate was 1.70, down from 1.76 in 2017. At the same time, the number of stillbirths – when a baby is born after at least 24 weeks of pregnancy but with no signs of life – fell to a record low for the second consecutive year, standing at 4.1 per a thousand births in 2018.<ref>{{Cite news|url=https://www.bbc.com/news/health-49192445|title=Birth rate in England and Wales hits record low|date=August 1, 2019|work=BBC News|access-date=February 16, 2020|department=Health}}</ref> Meanwhile, in Scotland, the fertility rate continues its downward trend since 2008. Figures from the [[National Records of Scotland]] (NRS) reveal that 12,580 births were registered in the final quarter of 2018. Except for 2002, this is the lowest since record-keeping began in 1855. NRS explained that economic insecurity and the postponement of motherhood, which often means having fewer children, are among the reasons why.<ref>{{Cite news|url=https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-scotland-47555226|title=Scotland's birth rate continues to fall|date=March 13, 2019|work=BBC News|access-date=February 16, 2020|department=UK}}</ref>{{clear}} |
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=== North America === |
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{{See also|Aging in the American workforce}} |
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[[File:Canada population pyramid (2018).jpg|alt=|thumb|350x350px|Population pyramid of Canada in 2018]] |
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In Canada, about one in five Millennials were delaying having children because of financial worries. Canada's average non-mortgage debt was CAN$20,000 in 2018. One in three Millennials felt "overwhelmed" by their liabilities, compared to 26% of Generation X and 13% of Baby Boomers, according to consultant firm BDO Canada. More than one in three Canadians with children felt stressed out by debt, compared with one-fifth of those without children. Many Canadian couples in their 20s and 30s are also struggling with their student loan debts.<ref>{{Cite news|url=https://globalnews.ca/news/4528546/millennials-debt-kids-bdo-survey/|title=One in 5 Canadian millennials are delaying having kids due to money worries: BDO|last=Alini|first=Erica|date=October 10, 2018|work=Global News|access-date=January 21, 2020|department=Money}}</ref> Research by the [[Royal Bank of Canada]] suggests that Canadian Millennials have been flocking to the large cities in spite of their expensive costs of living between the mid- and late 2010s in search of economic opportunities and cultural amenities.<ref>{{Cite news|url=https://www.cbc.ca/news/business/think-millennials-are-leaving-canada-s-big-cities-think-again-rbc-report-says-1.5111071|title=Think millennials are leaving Canada's big cities? Think again, RBC report says|last=Hansen|first=Jacqueline|date=April 25, 2019|work=CBC News|access-date=October 4, 2019|department=Business}}</ref> Data from [[Statistics Canada]] reveals that between 2000 and 2017, the birth rate among women under 30 years old fell in all provinces and territories except New Brunswick women between the ages of 25 and 29 whereas that of women of age 30 and over rose everywhere except in Nunavut among women aged 35 to 39. Meanwhile, the adolescent fertility rate (15 to 19) halved in most of Canada, thus leading to fewer [[teenage pregnancy|teenage pregnancies]], a result likely due to improved sex education. The comparatively low birth rate of women in their 20s living in British Columbia and Ontario was correlated with the high housing costs in these provinces. On the other hand, the Northwest Territories and Nunavut had relatively high fertility rates because they have large Indigenous populations, and Indigenous women tend to have more children. (Data for Yukon was not available.)<ref>{{Cite news|url=https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/calgary/canada-women-fertility-rates-kneebone-university-study-1.5110369|title=Who's having babies — and when — has changed dramatically in Canada|last=Gibson|first=John|date=April 25, 2019|work=CBC News|access-date=January 21, 2020|department=Canada}}</ref> |
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Statistics Canada reported in 2015 that for the first time in Canadian history, there were more people aged 65 and over than people below the age of 15. One in six Canadians were above the age of 65 in July 2015. If this trend continues, there would be three seniors for every two children below the age of 15 in 20 years.<ref>{{Cite news|date=September 29, 2015|title=More Canadians are 65 and over than under age 15, StatsCan says|work=CBC News|department=Business|url=https://www.cbc.ca/news/business/statistics-canada-seniors-1.3248295|access-date=August 24, 2020}}</ref> |
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During the early 2010s, among the various religious groups in Canada, Muslims had the highest fertility rate of all. At 2.4 per woman, they outpaced Hindus (2.0) Sikhs (1.9), Jews (1.8), Christians (1.6), and secular people (1.4).<ref>{{Cite news|last=Todd|first=Douglas|url=https://vancouversun.com/news/staff-blogs/think-religion-is-declining-look-at-who-is-going-forth-and-multiplying/|title=Think religion is in decline? Look at who is 'going forth and multiplying'|date=October 12, 2014|work=Vancouver Sun|access-date=April 16, 2020}}</ref> Nationwide, 38.6% of Canadian couples had only one child during the late 2010s.<ref name=":38" /> |
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[[File:US population pyramid (2018).jpg|alt=|thumb|350x350px|Population pyramid of the United States in 2018]] |
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As their economic prospects improve, most American Millennials say they desire marriage, children, and home ownership.<ref name="auto">{{Cite web|url=https://www.brookings.edu/research/millennials/|title=The millennial generation: A demographic bridge to America's diverse future|last=Frey|first=William H.|date=January 2018|website=The Brookings Institution|access-date=September 9, 2019}}</ref> While Millennials were initially responsible for the so-called "back-to-the-city" trend,<ref name=":5">{{Cite news|url=https://www.foxbusiness.com/features/millennials-leaving-cities-rising-costs|title=Millennials are leaving major cities in droves over rising costs|last=Schmidt|first=Ann|date=July 3, 2019|work=Fox Business|access-date=October 6, 2019}}</ref> by the late 2010s, Millennial homeowners were more likely to be in the suburbs than the cities.<ref>{{Cite news|url=https://www.cnbc.com/2019/09/29/millennials-are-fleeing-big-cities-for-the-suburbs.html|title=Millennials are fleeing big cities for the suburbs|last=Adamczyk|first=Alicia|date=September 29, 2019|work=CNBC|access-date=October 4, 2019|department=Money}}</ref> Besides the cost of living, including housing costs, people are leaving the big cities in search of warmer climates, lower taxes, better economic opportunities, and better school districts for their children.<ref>{{Cite news|url=https://www.usatoday.com/story/money/economy/2018/07/05/cities-americans-growing-population-migration/35801343/|title=Population migration patterns: US cities we are flocking to|last=Sauter|first=Michael B.|date=October 4, 2018|work=USA Today|access-date=October 4, 2019|department=Money}}</ref><ref>{{Cite news|url=https://www.cnbc.com/2018/03/19/californians-fed-up-with-housing-costs-and-taxes-are-fleeing-state.html|title=Californians fed up with housing costs and taxes are fleeing state in big numbers|last=Daniels|first=Jeff|date=March 20, 2018|work=CNBC|access-date=October 4, 2019|department=Politics}}</ref><ref>{{Cite news|url=https://www.chicagotribune.com/news/ct-census-illinois-population-trend-leavers-met-20190925-55e2uha64rardg7pa5734u6twu-story.html|title=There's a lot of talk about an 'Illinois exodus.' We took a closer look at the reality behind the chatter.|last1=Reyes|first1=Cecilia|date=September 25, 2019|work=Chicago Tribune|access-date=October 4, 2019|last2=O'Connell|first2=Patrick}}</ref> Exurbs have become quite popular among Millennials as well. The return of suburbanization in the United States is due to not just Millennials reaching a stage in their lives where they start to have children but also to the new economics of space made possible by fast telecommunications technology and e-commerce, effectively cutting perceived distances.<ref>{{Cite news|last=Adamczyk|first=Alicia|date=September 29, 2019|title=Millennials are fleeing big cities for the suburbs|work=CNBC|department=Money|url=https://www.cnbc.com/2019/09/29/millennials-are-fleeing-big-cities-for-the-suburbs.html|access-date=October 4, 2019}}</ref> According to the Pew Research Center, by 2016, the cumulative number of American women of the millennial generation who had given birth at least once reached 17.3 million. About 1.2 million Millennial women had their first child that year. By the mid-2010s, Millennials, who made up 29% of the adult population and 35% of the workforce of the U.S., were responsible for a majority of births in the nation. In 2016, 48% of Millennial women were mothers, compared to 57% of Generation-X women in 2000 when they were the same age. The increasing age of women when they become mothers for the first time is a trend that can be traced back to the 1970s, if not earlier.<ref group="note">More broadly, contemporary human females are evolving to reach menarche earlier and menopause later compared to their ancestral counterparts. See [[Recent human evolution#Early Modern Period to present|human evolution from the Early Modern Period to present]].</ref> Factors behind this trend include a declining interest in marriage, the growth in educational attainment, and the rise of women's participation in the workforce.<ref>{{Cite news|last=Livingston|first=Gretchen|url=https://www.pewresearch.org/fact-tank/2018/05/04/more-than-a-million-millennials-are-becoming-moms-each-year/|title=More than a million Millennials are becoming moms each year|date=May 4, 2018|work=Pew Research Center|access-date=April 25, 2020|department=Fact Tank}}</ref> Single-child families were the fastest-growing type of family units in the U.S. during the late 2010s.<ref name=":38" /> |
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A report from the [[Brookings Institution]] stated that in the United States, the Millennials are a bridge between the largely Caucasian pre-Millennials (Generation X and their predecessors) and the more diverse post-Millennials (Generation Z and their successors).<ref name="auto"/> Overall, the number of births to Caucasian women in the United States dropped 7% between 2000 and 2018. Among foreign-born Caucasian women, however, the number of births increased by 1% in the same period. Although the number of births to foreign-born Hispanic women fell from 58% in 2000 to 50% in 2018, the share of births due to U.S.-born Hispanic women increased from 20% in 2000 to 24% in 2018. The number of births to foreign-born Asian women rose from 19% in 2000 to 24% in 2018 while that due to U.S.-born Asian women went from 1% in 2000 to 2% in 2018. In all, between 2000 and 2017, more births were to foreign-born than U.S.-born women.<ref>{{Cite news|url=https://www.pewresearch.org/fact-tank/2019/08/08/hispanic-women-no-longer-account-for-the-majority-of-immigrant-births-in-the-u-s/|title=Hispanic women no longer account for the majority of immigrant births in the U.S.|last=Livingston|first=Gretchen|date=August 8, 2019|work=Pew Research Center|access-date=November 3, 2019}}</ref> |
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By analyzing data from the Census Bureau, the Pew Research Center discovered that in 2017, at least 20% of kindergartners in public schools were Hispanics in a grand total of 18 U.S. states plus the District of Columbia, compared to only eight states in 2000 and 17 in 2010. Between 2010 and 2017, Massachusetts and Nebraska joined the list while Idaho left. Hispanics, who comprised 18% of the U.S. population (or about 60 million people) have been spreading across the United States since the 1980s and are now the largest minority ethnic group in the nation. They also made up 28% of the students in K-12 public schools in 2019, up from 14% in 1995. For comparison, the number of Asian public-school students increased slightly, from 4% to 6% during the same period. Blacks fell slightly from 17% to 15%, and whites dropped from 65% to 47%. Overall, the number of children born to ethnic minorities has exceeded 50% of the total since 2015.<ref>{{Cite news|last=Krogstad|first=Jens Manuel|url=https://www.pewresearch.org/fact-tank/2019/07/31/kindergarten-demographics-in-us/|title=A view of the nation's future through kindergarten demographics|date=July 31, 2019|work=Pew Research Center|access-date=April 25, 2020|department=Fact Tank}}</ref> |
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[[File:Ethnic Composition of Americans Under 15.png|left]] |
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Provisional data from the [[Centers for Disease Control and Prevention]] reveal that U.S. fertility rates have fallen below the replacement level of 2.1 since 1971. In 2017, it dropped to 1.765, the lowest in three decades.<ref name=":32" /> 15.4% of the U.S. population was over 65 years of age in 2018.<ref name=":15" /> After the Second World War, the U.S. fertility rate peaked in 1958 at 3.77 births per woman, fell to 1.84 in 1980, and climbed to 2.08 in 1990 before declining again in 2007.<ref name=":33">{{Cite news|last=Searing|first=Linda|url=https://www.washingtonpost.com/health/the-big-number-us-birthrate-drops-to-all-time-low-of-173/2020/01/17/94f56c0c-3892-11ea-bf30-ad313e4ec754_story.html|title=The Big Number: U.S. birthrate drops to all-time low of 1.73|date=January 20, 2020|newspaper=The Washington Post|access-date=February 23, 2020|department=Health}}</ref> However, there is great variation in terms of geography, age groups, and ethnicity. South Dakota had the highest birth rate at 2,228 per a thousand women and the District of Columbia the lowest at 1,421. Besides South Dakota, only Utah (2,121) had a birth rate above replacement level.<ref name=":32">{{Cite news|url=https://www.cnn.com/2019/01/10/health/us-fertility-rate-replacement-cdc-study/index.html|title=US fertility rate is below level needed to replace population, study says|last=Howard|first=Jacqueline|date=January 10, 2019|work=CNN|access-date=January 1, 2020}}</ref> From 2006 to 2016, women whose ages range from the mid-20s to the mid-30s maintained the highest birth rates of all while those in their late 30s and early 40s saw significant increases in birth rates.<ref>{{Cite news|url=https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/to-your-health/wp/2017/06/30/the-u-s-fertility-rate-just-hit-a-historic-low-why-some-demographers-are-freaking-out/|title=The U.S. fertility rate just hit a historic low. Why some demographers are freaking out.|last=Cha|first=Ariana Eunjung|date=June 30, 2017|newspaper=The Washington Post|access-date=January 1, 2020|department=Health}}</ref> American women are having children later in life, with the average age at first birth rising to 26.4 in the late 2010s,<ref name=":33" /> up from 23 in the mid-1990s.<ref name=":34">{{Cite news|last=Livingston|first=Gretchen|url=https://www.pewsocialtrends.org/2018/01/18/theyre-waiting-longer-but-u-s-women-today-more-likely-to-have-children-than-a-decade-ago/|title=They're Waiting Longer, but U.S. Women Today More Likely to Have Children Than a Decade Ago|date=January 18, 2018|work=Pew Research Center|access-date=February 23, 2020|department=Social Trends}}</ref> Falling teenage birth rates play a role in this development.<ref name=":34" /> In fact, the number of births given by teenagers, which reached ominous levels in the 1990s, have plummeted by about 60% between 2006 and 2016. This is thanks in no small part to the collapse of birth rates among black and Hispanic teens, down 50% from 2006.<ref>{{Cite news|last=Cha|first=Ariana Eunjung|url=https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/to-your-health/wp/2016/04/28/teen-birth-rate-hits-all-time-low-led-by-50-percent-decline-among-hispanics-and-blacks/|title=Teen birthrate hits all-time low, led by 50 percent decline among Hispanics and blacks|date=April 28, 2016|newspaper=The Washington Post|access-date=January 1, 2019|department=Health}}</ref> Overall, births fell for Asians, blacks, Hispanics, and whites but remained stable for native Hawaiians and Pacific Islanders.<ref name=":9">{{Cite news|url=https://apnews.com/0463abca6436472cb44176602078b24f|title=US births lowest in 3 decades despite improving economy|last=Johnson|first=Carla K.|date=May 15, 2019|work=Associated Press|access-date=January 1, 2020}}</ref> While Hispanic American women still maintained the highest fertility rate of any racial or ethnic groups in the United States, their birth rate dropped 31% between 2007 and 2017. Like their American peers and unlike their immigrant parents and grandparents, young Hispanic American women in the 2010s were more focused on their education and careers and less interested in having children.<ref>{{Cite news|last=Tavernise|first=Sabrina|url=https://www.nytimes.com/2019/03/07/us/us-birthrate-hispanics-latinos.html|title=Why Birthrates Among Hispanic Americans Have Plummeted|date=March 7, 2019|work=The New York Times|access-date=February 22, 2020}}</ref> |
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That U.S. fertility rates continue to drop is anomalous to demographers because fertility rates typically track the nation's economic health. It was no surprise that U.S. fertility rates dropped during the Great Recession of 2008. But the U.S. economy has shown strong signs of recovery for some time, and birthrates continue to fall. In general, however, American women still tend to have children earlier than their counterparts from other developed countries and the U.S. total fertility rate remains comparatively high for a rich country.<ref name=":9" /> In fact, compared with their counterparts from other countries in the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development ([[OECD]]), first-time American mothers were among the youngest on average, on par with Latvian women (26.5 years) during the 2010s. At the other extreme end were women from Italy (30.8), and South Korea (31.4). During the same period, American women ended their childbearing years with more children on average (2.2) than most other developed countries, with the notable exception of Icelandic women (2.3). At the other end were women from Germany, Italy, Spain, and Japan (all 1.5).<ref>{{Cite news|last=Livingston|first=Gretchen|url=https://www.pewresearch.org/fact-tank/2018/06/28/u-s-women-are-postponing-motherhood-but-not-as-much-as-those-in-most-other-developed-nations/|title=U.S. women are postponing motherhood, but not as much as those in most other developed nations|date=June 28, 2018|work=Pew Research Center|access-date=February 23, 2020|department=Fact Tank}}</ref> |
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Below-replacement-level fertility rates could lead to labor shortages in the future. Speaking to the Associated Press, family specialist Karen Benjamin Guzzo from [[Bowling Green State University]] in Ohio recommended childcare subsidies, preschool expansion, (paid) parental leave, housing assistance, and student debt reduction or forgiveness.<ref name=":9" /> In any case, while the United States is indeed an aging society, its demographic decline is not as serious as that faced by many other major economies. The number of Americans of working age is predicted to increase by 10% between 2019 and 2040.<ref name=":45" /> |
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In 2019, the fertility rate of Mexico was about 2.2, higher than that of any other member of the OECD except Israel at 3.1.<ref name=":47" /> |
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=== Oceania === |
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{{See also|Aging of Australia}} |
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[[File:Australia population pyramid (2018).jpg|alt=|thumb|350x350px|Population pyramid of Australia in 2018]] |
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Australia's total fertility rate has fallen from above three in the post-war era, to about replacement level (2.1) in the 1970s to below that in the late 2010s. It stood at 1.74 in 2017. However, immigration has been offsetting the effects of a declining birthrate. In the 2010s, among the residents of Australia, 5% were born in the United Kingdom, 2.5% from China, 2.2% from India, and 1.1% from the Philippines. 84% of new arrivals in the fiscal year of 2016 were below 40 years of age, compared to 54% of those already in the country. Like other immigrant-friendly countries, such as Canada, the United Kingdom, and the United States, Australia's working-age population is expected to grow till about 2025. However, the ratio of people of working age to dependents and retirees (the [[dependency ratio]]) has gone from eight in the 1970s to about four in the 2010s. It could drop to two by the 2060s, depending on immigration levels.<ref name=":25">{{Cite news|url=https://news.yahoo.com/australia-demographic-time-bomb-arrived-193400024.html|title=Australia's Demographic 'Time Bomb' Has Arrived|last=Fensom|first=Anthony|date=December 1, 2019|work=The National Interest|access-date=December 24, 2019|publisher=Yahoo! News}}</ref> "The older the population is, the more people are on welfare benefits, we need more health care, and there's a smaller base to pay the taxes," Ian Harper of the Melbourne Business School told ABC News (Australia).<ref name=":27">{{Cite news|url=https://www.abc.net.au/news/2019-11-20/economy-demographics-baby-boomers-retiring-immigration/11700508|title=So many baby boomers are retiring this doctor quit his job to go build them luxury homes|last1=Kohler|first1=Alan|work=ABC News (Australia)|access-date=December 24, 2019|last2=Hobday|first2=Liz|department=7.30}}</ref> While the government has scaled back plans to increase the retirement age, to cut pensions, and to raise taxes due to public opposition, demographic pressures continue to mount as the buffering effects of immigration are fading away.<ref name=":25" /> Australians coming of age in the early twenty-first century are more reluctant to have children compared to their predecessors due to economic reasons: higher student debt, expensive housing, and negative income growth.<ref name=":27" /> |
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[[Statistics New Zealand]] reported that the nation's fertility rate in 2017 was 1.81, the lowest on record. Although the total number of births went up, the birth rate went down because of country's larger population thanks to high levels of immigration. New Zealand's fertility rate remained more or less stable between the late 1970s and the late 2010s. Younger women were driving the birth rate down, with those between the ages of 15 and 29 having the lowest birth rates on record. In 2017, New Zealand teenagers had one half the number of babies of 2008, and under a quarter of 1972.<ref>{{Cite news|last=Sargent|first=Ewan|url=https://www.stuff.co.nz/life-style/parenting/pregnancy/birth/101562144/new-zealands-birthrate-hits-a-new-low|title=New Zealand's birthrate hits a new low|date=February 19, 2018|work=Stuff|access-date=February 16, 2020|department=Lifestyle}}</ref> Meanwhile, women above the age of 30 were having more children. Between the late 2000s and late 2010s, an average of 60,308 babies were born in New Zealand.<ref>{{Cite book|url=https://www.stats.govt.nz/reports/parenting-and-fertility-trends-in-new-zealand-2018|title=Parenting and fertility trends in New Zealand: 2018|date=October 23, 2019|website=Statistics New Zealand|isbn=978-1-98-858364-8|access-date=February 16, 2020}}</ref> |
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=== South America === |
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Brazil's fertility rate has fallen from 6.3 in 1960 to 1.7 in 2020. For this reason, the nation's population is projected to decline by the end of the twenty-first century. According to a 2012 study, soap operas featuring small families have contributed to the growing acceptance of having just a few children in a predominantly Catholic country. However, Brazil continues to have relatively high rates of adolescent pregnancies, and the government is working to address this problem.<ref name=":50" /> |
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== Economic trends and prospects == |
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Effects of intensifying [[Human mating strategies#Assortative mating|assortative mating]]—the tendency to seek out mates with similar characteristics to one's own, such as income level and educational attainment—in the early twenty-first century will likely be seen in the next generation, as parental income and educational level are positively correlated with children's success.<ref name=":60">{{Cite news|last1=Miller|first1=Claire Cain|last2=Bui|first2=Quoctrung|date=February 27, 2016|title=Equality in Marriages Grows, and So Does Class Divide|work=The New York Times|url=https://www.nytimes.com/2016/02/23/upshot/rise-in-marriages-of-equals-and-in-division-by-class.html|url-status=live|access-date=January 1, 2021|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20201224010231/https://www.nytimes.com/2016/02/23/upshot/rise-in-marriages-of-equals-and-in-division-by-class.html|archive-date=December 24, 2020}}</ref> In the United States, children from families in the highest income quintile are the most likely to live with married parents (94% in 2018), followed by children of the middle class (74%) and the bottom quintile (35%).<ref>{{Cite web|last1=Reeves|first1=Richard V.|last2=Pulliam|first2=Christopher|date=March 11, 2020|title=Middle class marriage is declining, and likely deepening inequality|url=https://www.brookings.edu/research/middle-class-marriage-is-declining-and-likely-deepening-inequality/|url-status=live|access-date=January 1, 2021|website=Brookings Institution}}</ref> |
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A 2019 survey by LEGO and The Harris Poll of 3,000 children aged eight to twelve from China, the United Kingdom, and the United States asked what they would like to become when they grow up, with being an astronaut, a musician, a professional athlete, a teacher, and a video blogger (or a YouTuber) given as the options. Each child could pick three. Overall, children were more likely to pick a video blogger rather than an astronaut, but with important national differences. Chinese kids (59%) were much more likely to want to be an astronaut compared to Britons or Americans (11%) when they grow up. Being a video blogger was the most popular choice for British (30%) and American (29%) children, followed by being a schoolteacher, a professional athlete, and a musician. On the other hand, being a video blogger was the least popular choice for Chinese children (11%). After being an astronaut, being a schoolteacher, and a professional athlete were the most popular choices for Chinese children.<ref>{{Cite news|date=July 27, 2019|title=YouTuber or astronaut: Which job would you rather have?|work=BBC Newsround|url=https://www.bbc.co.uk/newsround/49126668|url-status=live|access-date=April 3, 2021}}</ref> |
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== Education== |
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=== Asia === |
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In order to boost the nation's birthrate, in 2019, the government of Japanese Prime Minister [[Shinzō Abe|Shinzo Abe]] introduced a number of education reforms. Starting in October 2019, preschool education will be free for all children between the ages of three and five. Childcare will be free for children under the age of two from low-income households. These programs will be funded by a consumption tax hike, from eight to ten percent. Starting April 2020, entrance and tuition fees for public as well as private universities will be waived or reduced. Students from low-income and tax-exempt families will be eligible for financial assistance to help them cover textbook, transportation, and living expenses. The whole program is projected to cost ¥776 billion (US$7.1 billion) per annum.<ref name=":14" /> |
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In 2020, the government of Vietnamese Prime Minister Nguyễn Xuân Phúc recommended a series of education reforms in order to raise the fertility rates of localities that found themselves below the replacement level. In particular, the construction of daycare facilities and kindergartens in urban and industrial zones, housing subsidies for couples with two children in sub-replacement areas, and priority admission for children of said couples in public schools.<ref name=":48" /> |
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In early 2021, the government of China announced a plan to invest more in physical education (PE) in order to make boys "more masculine". Thanks to a combination of the (now rescinded) one-child policy and the traditional preference for sons, boys are perceived to be overly coddled by their parents, and looked at as too effeminate, delicate, and timid. In order to calm public concerns, state-controlled media published pieces downplaying gender roles and gender differences.<ref>{{Cite news|last=Reuters Staff|first=|date=February 3, 2021|title=Chinese plan to boost 'masculinity' with PE classes sparks debate|work=Reuters|url=https://www.reuters.com/article/us-china-society-masculinity-idUSKBN2A30LV|url-status=live|access-date=February 7, 2021}}</ref> |
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===Europe=== |
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In France, while year-long mandatory military service for men was abolished in 1996,<ref name=":4">{{Cite news|url=https://www.euronews.com/2018/06/27/on-macron-s-orders-france-will-bring-back-compulsory-national-service|title=On Macron's orders: France will bring back compulsory national service|last=Davies|first=Pascale|date=June 27, 2018|work=EuroNews|access-date=November 5, 2019|department=France}}</ref> all citizens between 17 and 25 years of age must still participate in the [[Defence and Citizenship Day (France)|Defense and Citizenship Day]], when they are introduced to the French Armed Forces, and take language tests.<ref name=":4" /> In 2019, President [[Emmanuel Macron]] introduced something similar to mandatory military service, but for teenagers, as promised during his presidential campaign. Known as the ''[[Service national universel|Service National Universel]]'' or SNU, it is a compulsory civic service. Though it does not involve explicitly military training, it does require recruits to spend four weeks at a camp where they participate in a variety of activities designed to teach practical skills, personal discipline and a greater understanding of the French political system and society. The aim of this program is to promote national cohesion and patriotism, and to encourage interaction among young people of different backgrounds something mandatory military service used to do.<ref name=":6">{{Cite news|url=https://www.france24.com/en/20190711-france-civic-service-military-volunteer-french-values-macron-first-aid-national-cohesion|title=National civic service: A crash course in self-defence, emergency responses and French values|last=Villeminot|first=Florence|date=July 11, 2019|work=France 24|access-date=November 5, 2019|department=French Connection}}</ref> The SNU is due to become mandatory for all 16 to 21 year olds by 2026.<ref name=":6" /> |
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===North America=== |
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[[File:Loreto Playground td (2019-05-28) 023.jpg|thumb|A playground in The Bronx, New York (2019). The American Academy of Pediatricians recommended that parents allow their children more time to play.|left|330x330px]] |
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In 2018, the [[American Academy of Pediatrics]] released a policy statement summarizing progress on developmental and neurological research on unstructured time spent by children, colloquially 'play', and noting the importance of playtime for social, cognitive, and language skills development. This is because to many educators and parents, play has come to be seen as outdated and irrelevant.<ref name=":41">{{Cite news|url=https://www.nytimes.com/2018/08/20/well/family/let-kids-play.html|title=Let Kids Play – Doctors should prescribe playtime for young children, the American Academy of Pediatrics says|last=Klass|first=Perri|date=August 20, 2018|work=The New York Times|access-date=August 4, 2019|department=The Checkup}}</ref> In fact, between 1981 and 1997, time spent by children on unstructured activities dropped by 25% due to increased amounts of time spent on structured activities. Unstructured time tended to be spent on screens at the expense of active play.<ref>{{Cite journal|last1=Burdette|first1=Hillary|last2=Whitaker|first2=Robert|date=January 2005|title=Resurrecting Free Play in Young Children Looking Beyond Fitness and Fatness to Attention, Affiliation, and Affect|journal=JAMA Pediatrics|volume=159|issue=1|pages=46–50|doi=10.1001/archpedi.159.1.46|pmid=15630057|doi-access=free}}</ref> The statement encourages parents and children to spend more time on "playful learning," which reinforces the intrinsic motivation to learn and discover and strengthens the bond between children and their parents and other caregivers. It also helps children handle stress and prevents "[[Stress in early childhood|toxic stress]]," something that hampers development. Dr. Michael Yogman, the lead author of the statement, noted that play does not necessarily have to involve fancy toys; common household items would do as well. Moreover, parents reading to children also counts as play, because it encourages children to use their imaginations.<ref name=":41" /> |
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In 2019, psychiatrists from Quebec launched a campaign urging for the creation of courses on mental health for primary schoolchildren in order to teach them how to handle a personal or social crisis, and to deal with the psychological impact of the digital world. According to the Association des médecins psychiatres du Québec (AMPQ), this campaign focuses on children born after 2010, that is, Generation Alpha. In addition to the AMPQ, this movement is backed by the Fédération des médecins spécialistes du Québec (FMSQ), the Quebec Pediatric Association (APQ), the Association des spécialistes en médecine préventive du Québec (ASMPQ) and the Fondation Jeunes en Tête.<ref>{{Cite news|url=https://montreal.ctvnews.ca/urgent-need-to-educate-elementary-aged-children-about-mental-health-quebec-psychiatrists-1.4655055|title=Urgent need to educate elementary-aged children about mental health: Quebec psychiatrists|last=Canadian Press|date=October 25, 2019|work=CTV News|access-date=November 28, 2019|department=Montreal}}</ref><ref>{{Cite news|url=https://montrealgazette.com/news/local-news/quebec-psychiatrists-call-for-mental-health-courses-in-grade-school|title=Mental health courses should be taught in grade school: Quebec psychiatrists|last=Canadian Press|date=October 25, 2019|work=Montreal Gazette|access-date=November 28, 2019|department=Local News}}</ref> |
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Although the [[Common Core State Standards Initiative|Common Core]] standards, an education initiative in the United States, eliminated the requirement that public elementary schools teach [[Cursive|cursive writing]] in 2010, lawmakers from many states, including Illinois, Ohio, and Texas, have introduced legislation to teach it in theirs in 2019.<ref name=":43">{{Cite news|url=https://www.nytimes.com/2019/04/13/education/cursive-writing.html?fal|title=Cursive Seemed to Go the Way of Quills and Parchment. Now It's Coming Back|last=Rueb|first=Emily|date=April 13, 2019|work=The New York Times|access-date=May 15, 2019}}</ref> Some studies point to the benefits of handwriting – print or cursive – for the development of cognitive and motor skills as well as memory and comprehension. For example, one 2012 neuroscience study suggests that handwriting "may facilitate reading acquisition in young children."<ref name=":44">{{Cite news|url=https://www.washingtonpost.com/lifestyle/style/from-punishing-to-pleasurable-how-cursive-writing-is-looping-back-into-our-hearts/2018/08/31/aa180b9c-aa06-11e8-a8d7-0f63ab8b1370_story.html|title=From punishing to pleasurable, how cursive writing is looping back into our hearts|last=Keller|first=Helen|date=September 2, 2018|newspaper=The Washington Post|access-date=August 10, 2019|department=Style}}</ref> Cursive writing has been used to help students with learning disabilities, such as dyslexia, a disorder that makes it difficult to interpret words, letters, and other symbols.<ref>{{Cite news|url=https://www.voanews.com/a/cursive-handwriting-dyslexia/4875945.html|title=Handwriting Helps Kids with Learning Disabilities Read Better|last=Elmasry|first=Faiza|date=April 15, 2019|work=VOA News|access-date=May 15, 2019}}</ref> Unfortunately, lawmakers often cite them out of context, conflating handwriting in general with cursive handwriting.<ref name=":43" /> In any case, some 80% of historical records and documents of the United States, such as the correspondence of [[Abraham Lincoln]], was written by hand in cursive, and students today tend to be unable to read them.<ref>{{Cite news|url=https://www.washingtonpost.com/lifestyle/magazine/the-national-archives-has-billions-of-handwritten-documents-with-cursive-skills-declining-how-will-we-read-them/2019/06/14/cbc44028-5c92-11e9-9625-01d48d50ef75_story.html|title=The National Archives has billions of handwritten documents. With cursive skills declining, how will we read them?|last=Bruno|first=Debra|date=June 17, 2019|newspaper=The Washington Post|access-date=August 10, 2019|department=Magazine}}</ref> Historically, cursive writing was regarded as a mandatory, almost military, exercise. But today, it is thought of as an art form by those who pursue it, both adults and children.<ref name=":44" /> |
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In 2013, less than a third of American public schools had access to broadband Internet service, according to the non-profit [[EducationSuperHighway]]. By 2019, however, that number reached 99%. This has increased the frequency of digital learning.<ref>{{Cite news|url=https://hechingerreport.org/nearly-all-american-classrooms-can-now-connect-to-high-speed-internet-effectively-closing-the-connectivity-divide/|title=Nearly all American classrooms can now connect to high-speed internet, effectively closing the "connectivity divide"|last=Mathewson|first=Tara Garcia|date=October 23, 2019|work=Hechinger Report|access-date=November 10, 2019|department=Future of Learning}}</ref> |
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Since the early 2010s, a number of U.S. states have taken steps to strengthen teacher education. Ohio, Tennessee, and Texas had the top programs in 2014. Meanwhile, Rhode Island, which previously had the nation's lowest bar on who can train to become a school teacher, has been admitting education students with higher and higher average [[SAT]], [[ACT (test)|ACT]], and [[Graduate Record Examinations|GRE]] scores. The state aims to accept only those with standardized test scores in the top third of the national distribution by 2020, which would put it in the ranks of education superpowers such as Finland and [[Education in Singapore|Singapore]]. In [[Education in Finland|Finland]], studying to become a teacher is as tough and prestigious as studying to become a medical doctor or a lawyer.<ref>{{Cite news|url=https://slate.com/human-interest/2014/06/american-schools-need-better-teachers-so-lets-make-it-harder-to-become-one.html|title=To improve our schools, we need to make it harder to become a teacher|last=Ripley|first=Amanda|date=June 17, 2014|work=Slate|access-date=June 17, 2019}}</ref> |
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== Health and welfare == |
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===Allergies=== |
===Allergies=== |
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While [[Food allergy|food allergies]] have been observed by doctors since ancient times and virtually all foods can be allergens, research by the [[Mayo Clinic]] in Minnesota found they |
While [[Food allergy|food allergies]] have been observed by doctors since ancient times and virtually all foods can be allergens, research by the [[Mayo Clinic]] in Minnesota found that they have become increasingly common since the early 2000s. By the late 2010s, one in twelve American children had a food allergy, with peanut allergy being the most prevalent type. Reasons for this remain poorly understood.<ref name="auto1">{{Cite news|url=https://www.economist.com/graphic-detail/2019/10/03/the-prevalence-of-peanut-allergy-has-trebled-in-15-years?cid1=cust%2Fdailypicks1%2Fn%2Fbl%2Fn%2F2019103n%2Fowned%2Fn%2Fn%2Fdailypicks1%2Fn%2Fn%2FNA%2F319028%2Fn|title=The prevalence of peanut allergy has trebled in 15 years|last=Graphic Detail|date=October 3, 2019|newspaper=The Economist|access-date=October 3, 2019|department=Daily Chart|archive-date=October 4, 2019|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20191004004124/https://www.economist.com/graphic-detail/2019/10/03/the-prevalence-of-peanut-allergy-has-trebled-in-15-years%3Fcid1%3Dcust/dailypicks1/n/bl/n/2019103n/owned/n/n/dailypicks1/n/n/NA/319028/n|url-status=live}}</ref> Nut allergies in general quadrupled and shellfish allergies increased 40% between 2004 and 2019. In all, about 36% of American children have some kind of allergy. By comparison, this number among the Amish in Indiana is 7%. Allergies have also risen ominously in other Western countries. In the United Kingdom, for example, the number of children hospitalized for allergic reactions increased by a factor of five between 1990 and the late 2010s, as did the number of British children allergic to peanuts. In general, the better developed the country, the higher the rates of allergies.<ref name=":02">{{Cite news|url=https://nationalpost.com/health/why-everybody-is-suddenly-allergic-to-everything|title=Why everybody is suddenly allergic to everything|date=July 30, 2019|work=National Post|access-date=November 24, 2019|department=Health|archive-date=September 26, 2020|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20200926151054/https://nationalpost.com/health/why-everybody-is-suddenly-allergic-to-everything|url-status=live}}</ref> Reasons for this also remain poorly understood.<ref name="auto1"/> One possible explanation, supported by the U.S. [[National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases]], is that parents keep their children "too clean for their own good." They recommend exposing newborn babies to a variety of potentially allergenic foods, such as peanut butter, before they reach the age of six months. According to this "[[hygiene hypothesis]]", such exposures give the infant's immune system some exercise, making it less likely to overreact. Evidence for this includes the fact that children living on a farm are consistently less likely to be allergic than their counterparts who are raised in the city, and that children born in a developed country to parents who immigrated from developing nations are more likely to be allergic than their parents are.<ref name=":02" /> |
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===Vaccinations=== |
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In the United States, public health officials were raising the alarm in the 2010s when vaccination rates dropped. Many parents thought |
In the United States, public health officials were raising the alarm in the 2010s when vaccination rates dropped. Many parents thought that they did not need to vaccinate their children against diseases such as [[polio]] and [[measles]] because they had become either extremely rare or eliminated. Officials warn that infectious diseases could return if not enough people get inoculated.<ref>{{Cite news|last=Szabo|first=Liz|date=February 24, 2020|title=Old diseases, other public health threats reemerge in the U.S.|newspaper=The Washington Post|department=Health|url=https://www.washingtonpost.com/health/old-diseases-other-public-health-threats-reemerge-in-the-us/2020/02/21/efa65daa-4f6c-11ea-9b5c-eac5b16dafaa_story.html|access-date=August 20, 2020|archive-date=June 8, 2020|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20200608223247/https://www.washingtonpost.com/health/old-diseases-other-public-health-threats-reemerge-in-the-us/2020/02/21/efa65daa-4f6c-11ea-9b5c-eac5b16dafaa_story.html|url-status=live}}</ref> |
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In the wake of the [[COVID-19 pandemic]], the [[World Health Organization]] (WHO) recommended that mass vaccination campaigns be suspended in order to ensure social distancing. Dozens of countries followed this advice |
In the wake of the [[COVID-19 pandemic]], the [[World Health Organization]] (WHO) recommended that mass vaccination campaigns be suspended in order to ensure social distancing. Dozens of countries followed this advice. However, some public health experts warned that the suspension of these programs can come with serious consequences, especially in poor countries with weak healthcare systems. For children from these places, such campaigns are the only way for them to get vaccinated against various communicable diseases such as polio, measles, [[cholera]], [[Human papillomavirus infection|human papillomavirus]] (HPV), and [[meningitis]]. Case numbers could surge afterwards. Moreover, because of the lockdown measures, namely, the restriction of international travels and transport, some countries might find themselves running short on not just medical equipment but also vaccines. [[Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2|SARS-CoV-2]] can inflict more damage than the people it infects and kills.<ref>{{Cite news|last=Roberts|first=Leslie|date=April 9, 2020|title=Polio, measles, other diseases set to surge as COVID-19 forces suspension of vaccination campaigns|work=Science Magazine|url=https://www.science.org/content/article/polio-measles-other-diseases-set-surge-covid-19-forces-suspension-vaccination-campaigns|access-date=August 30, 2020|archive-date=February 3, 2023|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20230203080357/https://www.science.org/content/article/polio-measles-other-diseases-set-surge-covid-19-forces-suspension-vaccination-campaigns|url-status=live}}</ref> In fact, SARS-CoV-2 is less dangerous for infants compared to [[influenza]] or the [[respiratory syncytial virus]] (RSV).<ref name=":9">{{Cite journal |last=Makin |first=Simon |date=February 2024 |title=Infant Power: What's behind babies' COVID-fighting prowess? |url=https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/heres-why-infants-are-strangely-resistant-to-covid/ |journal=Scientific American |pages=14}}</ref> |
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===Obesity and malnutrition=== |
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A report by the United Nations Children's |
A report by the United Nations Children's Fund ([[UNICEF]]) released October 2019 stated that some 700 million children under the age of five worldwide are either obese or undernourished. Although there was a 40% drop in malnourishment in developing countries between 1990 and 2015, some 149 million toddlers are too short for their age, which hampers body and brain development. UNICEF's nutrition program chief Victor Aguayo said, "A mother who is overweight or obese can have children who are stunted or wasted." About one in two youngsters suffer from deficiencies of vitamins and minerals. Although pediatricians and nutritionists recommend exclusive breastfeeding for infants below five months of age, only about 40% were. Meanwhile, the sale of formula milk jumped 40% globally. In advanced developing countries such as Brazil, China, and Turkey, that number is 75%. Even though obesity was virtually non-existent in poor countries three decades ago, today, at least ten percent of children in them suffer from this condition. The report recommends taxes on sugary drinks and beverages and enhanced regulatory oversight of breast milk substitutes and fast foods.<ref>{{Cite news|date=October 15, 2019|title=1-in-3 young children undernourished or overweight: UNICEF|work=AFP|url=https://www.afp.com/en/news/3954/1-3-young-children-undernourished-or-overweight-unicef-doc-1lf38z1|access-date=October 16, 2019|archive-date=October 16, 2019|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20191016141352/https://www.afp.com/en/news/3954/1-3-young-children-undernourished-or-overweight-unicef-doc-1lf38z1|url-status=live}}</ref> |
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===Problems arising from screen time=== |
===Problems arising from screen time=== |
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[[File:EyeTestPoster.jpg|alt=|thumb|Growing numbers of children now suffer from eye problems.|left]] |
[[File:EyeTestPoster.jpg|alt=|thumb|Growing numbers of children now suffer from eye problems.|left]] |
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A 2015 study found that the frequency of [[Near-sightedness|nearsightedness]] |
A 2015 study found that the frequency of [[Near-sightedness|nearsightedness]] had doubled in the United Kingdom within the last 50 years. Ophthalmologist Steve Schallhorn, chairman of the Optical Express International Medical Advisory Board, noted that researchers had pointed to a link between the regular use of handheld electronic devices and eyestrain. The [[American Optometric Association]] sounded the alarm in a similar vein.<ref>{{Cite news|url=https://www.chicagotribune.com/dining/ct-child-vision-problem-computer-balancing-20150716-column.html#nt=standard-embed|title=Too much screen time could be damaging kids' eyesight|last=Stevens|first=Heidi|date=July 16, 2015|work=Chicago Tribune|access-date=September 8, 2019|archive-date=December 19, 2019|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20191219163818/https://www.chicagotribune.com/dining/ct-child-vision-problem-computer-balancing-20150716-column.html#nt=standard-embed|url-status=live}}</ref> According to a spokeswoman, digital eyestrain, or [[computer vision syndrome]], is "rampant, especially as we move toward smaller devices and the prominence of devices increase in our everyday lives." Symptoms include dry and irritated eyes, fatigue, eye strain, blurry vision, difficulty focusing, and headaches. However, the syndrome does not cause vision loss or any other permanent damage. In order to alleviate or prevent eyestrain, the [[The Vision Council|Vision Council]] recommends that people limit screen time, take frequent breaks, adjust the screen brightness, change the background from bright colors to gray, increase text sizes, and blink more often. The Council advises parents to limit their children's screen time as well as lead by example by reducing their own screen time in front of children.<ref>{{Cite news|url=https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/nation/2014/01/25/digital-eye-strain/4491611/|title=Digital device use leads to eye strain, even in kids|last=Hellmich|first=Nanci|date=January 25, 2014|work=USA Today|access-date=September 8, 2019|archive-date=August 29, 2019|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20190829014925/https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/nation/2014/01/25/digital-eye-strain/4491611/|url-status=live}}</ref> |
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In 2019, the WHO issued recommendations on the amount young children should spend in front of a screen every day. WHO said toddlers under the age of five should spend no more than an hour watching a screen and infants under the age of one should not be watching at all. Its guidelines are similar to those introduced by the American Academy of Pediatrics, which recommended that children under 19 months old should not spend time watching anything other than video chats. Moreover, it said children under two years old should only watch "high-quality programming" under parental supervision. However, Andrew Przybylski, who directs research at the Oxford Internet Institute at the University of Oxford, told the Associated Press that "Not all screen time is created equal" and that screen time advice needs to take into account "the content and context of use." In addition, the United Kingdom's [[Royal College of Paediatrics and Child Health]] said its available data was not strong enough to indicate the necessity of screen time limits. WHO said its recommendations were intended to address the problem of sedentary behavior leading to health issues such as obesity.<ref>{{Cite news|url=https://apnews.com/407f5d418ab749fd9faa405251071715|title=UN: No screen time for babies; only 1 hour for kids under 5|date=April 24, 2019|work=Associated Press|access-date=April 16, 2020}}</ref> |
In 2019, the WHO issued recommendations on the amount young children should spend in front of a screen every day. WHO said toddlers under the age of five should spend no more than an hour watching a screen and infants under the age of one should not be watching at all. Its guidelines are similar to those introduced by the American Academy of Pediatrics, which recommended that children under 19 months old should not spend time watching anything other than video chats. Moreover, it said children under two years old should only watch "high-quality programming" under parental supervision. However, Andrew Przybylski, who directs research at the Oxford Internet Institute at the University of Oxford, told the Associated Press that "Not all screen time is created equal" and that screen time advice needs to take into account "the content and context of use." In addition, the United Kingdom's [[Royal College of Paediatrics and Child Health]] said its available data was not strong enough to indicate the necessity of screen time limits. WHO said its recommendations were intended to address the problem of sedentary behavior leading to health issues such as obesity.<ref>{{Cite news|url=https://apnews.com/407f5d418ab749fd9faa405251071715|title=UN: No screen time for babies; only 1 hour for kids under 5|date=April 24, 2019|work=Associated Press|access-date=April 16, 2020|archive-date=October 18, 2019|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20191018191455/https://apnews.com/407f5d418ab749fd9faa405251071715|url-status=live}}</ref> |
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A 2019 study published in |
A 2019 study published in ''JAMA Pediatrics'' investigated how screen time affected the brain structure of children aged three to five (preschoolers) using [[Magnetic resonance imaging|MRI]] scans. The test subjects—27 girls and 20 boys—took cognitive tests before their brain scans while their parents answered a questionnaire on screen time developed by the American Academy of Pediatrics. The researchers found that the toddlers who spent more than an hour per day in front of a screen without parental involvement showed less development in the brain's [[white matter]], the region responsible for cognitive and linguistic skills. Lead author Dr. John Hutton, a pediatrician and clinical researcher at Cincinnati Children's Hospital, told CNN that this finding was significant because the brain develops most rapidly during the first five years of a person's life. Previous studies revealed that excessive screen time is linked to sleep deprivation, impaired language development, behavioral problems, difficulty paying attention and thinking clearly, poor eating habits, and damaged executive functions.<ref name=":49">{{Cite news|last=LaMotte|first=Sandee|date=November 4, 2019|title=MRIs show screen time linked to lower brain development in preschoolers|work=CNN|url=https://www.cnn.com/2019/11/04/health/screen-time-lower-brain-development-preschoolers-wellness/index.html|access-date=August 24, 2020|archive-date=June 26, 2020|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20200626101531/https://www.cnn.com/2019/11/04/health/screen-time-lower-brain-development-preschoolers-wellness/index.html|url-status=live}}</ref><ref>{{Cite journal|last1=Hutton|first1=John S.|last2=Dudley|first2=Jonathan|last3=Horowitz-Kraus|first3=Tzipi|date=November 4, 2019|title=Associations Between Screen-Based Media Use and Brain White Matter Integrity in Preschool-Aged Children|url=https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jamapediatrics/fullarticle/2754101|journal=JAMA Pediatrics|volume=174|issue=1|access-date=August 24, 2020|archive-date=August 31, 2020|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20200831085541/https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jamapediatrics/fullarticle/2754101|url-status=live}}</ref> |
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===Diet=== |
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== Use of media technologies == |
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In 2021, Illinois-based ingredient company FONA issued a survey about Generation Alpha that found "72% of Millennials with kids say their families are consuming plant-based meats more often." The survey also found that Generation Alpha likes international food from countries which include India, Peru, Vietnam and Morocco.<ref>{{Cite web |title=All About the Kids: Part I; Generational Comparisons & Their Flavor Favorites |url=http://www.fona.com/articles/2020/09/all-about-the-kids-part-i-generational-comparisons--their-flavor-favorites |access-date=2022-12-07 |website=FONA |language=en |archive-date=December 7, 2022 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20221207011745/https://www.fona.com/articles/2020/09/all-about-the-kids-part-i-generational-comparisons--their-flavor-favorites |url-status=live }}</ref> A 2019 research study from [[Linda McCartney Foods]] found close to 50% of Generation Alpha reducing meat consumption, with 70% reporting their schools did not offer many vegetarian or [[vegan school meal]]s.<ref>{{Cite web |last=GenerationAhead |title=What are Alphas Eating? |url=https://thegenerationahead.com/f/what-are-alphas-eating |access-date=2022-12-07 |website=GENERATION ALPHA |language=en-US |archive-date=December 7, 2022 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20221207012146/https://thegenerationahead.com/f/what-are-alphas-eating |url-status=live }}</ref> In 2022, newspaper columnist [[Avery Yale Kamila]] wrote that "knowing quite a few members of Gen Alpha, I predict these young people will look at Gen Z's love of vegan meals and say, 'Hold my soy milk', before showing us how veg-forward a generation can get."<ref>{{Cite web |last=Kamila |first=Avery Yale |date=2022-08-07 |title=More plant-based foods partner with pop culture icons |url=https://www.pressherald.com/2022/08/07/vegan-kitchen-more-plant-based-foods-partner-with-pop-culture-icons/ |access-date=2022-12-07 |website=Portland Press Herald |archive-date=October 4, 2022 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20221004001831/https://www.pressherald.com/2022/08/07/vegan-kitchen-more-plant-based-foods-partner-with-pop-culture-icons/ |url-status=live }}</ref> In 2021, brand firm JDO issued a research report that found less structured mealtimes mean more snacking among Generation Alpha and that Generation Alpha prefers nutrient-dense snacks that engage the senses and are sustainable or more mindful.<ref>{{Cite web |date=2021-12-13 |title=Know your audience: what Gen Alpha's food habits tell us about this unique generation |url=https://www.creativeboom.com/features/know-your-audience-what-gen-alphas-food-habits-tell-us-about-this-unique-generation/ |access-date=2022-12-07 |website=Creative Boom |language=en |archive-date=February 3, 2023 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20230203080357/https://www.creativeboom.com/features/know-your-audience-what-gen-alphas-food-habits-tell-us-about-this-unique-generation/ |url-status=live }}</ref> |
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===Climate change=== |
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=== Information communications technologies (ICT) === |
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{{Further|Climate justice|Intergenerational equity}} |
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Generation Alpha will be significantly more affected by [[climate change]] than older generations. It is estimated that children born in 2020 will experience up to seven times as many [[extreme weather]] events over their lifetimes, particularly [[heat wave]]s, compared to people born in 1960, under current climate policy pledges.<ref>{{cite news |last1=Gramling |first1=Carolyn |title=2020 babies may suffer up to seven times as many extreme heat waves as 1960s kids |url=https://www.sciencenews.org/article/children-climate-change-generation-burden-extreme-heat |access-date=18 October 2021 |work=Science News |date=1 October 2021}}</ref><ref>{{cite journal |last1=Thiery |first1=Wim |last2=Lange |first2=Stefan |author3-link=Joeri Rogelj|last3=Rogelj |first3=Joeri |last4=Schleussner |first4=Carl-Friedrich |last5=Gudmundsson |first5=Lukas |last6=Seneviratne |first6=Sonia I. |last7=Andrijevic |first7=Marina |last8=Frieler |first8=Katja |last9=Emanuel |first9=Kerry |last10=Geiger |first10=Tobias |last11=Bresch |first11=David N. |last12=Zhao |first12=Fang |last13=Willner |first13=Sven N. |last14=Büchner |first14=Matthias |last15=Volkholz |first15=Jan |last16=Bauer |first16=Nico |last17=Chang |first17=Jinfeng |last18=Ciais |first18=Philippe |last19=Dury |first19=Marie |last20=François |first20=Louis |last21=Grillakis |first21=Manolis |last22=Gosling |first22=Simon N. |last23=Hanasaki |first23=Naota |last24=Hickler |first24=Thomas |last25=Huber |first25=Veronika |last26=Ito |first26=Akihiko |last27=Jägermeyr |first27=Jonas |last28=Khabarov |first28=Nikolay |last29=Koutroulis |first29=Aristeidis |last30=Liu |first30=Wenfeng |last31=Lutz |first31=Wolfgang |last32=Mengel |first32=Matthias |last33=Müller |first33=Christoph |last34=Ostberg |first34=Sebastian |last35=Reyer |first35=Christopher P. O. |last36=Stacke |first36=Tobias |last37=Wada |first37=Yoshihide |title=Intergenerational inequities in exposure to climate extremes |journal=Science |date=8 October 2021 |volume=374 |issue=6564 |pages=158–160 |doi=10.1126/science.abi7339|pmid=34565177 |bibcode=2021Sci...374..158T |s2cid=237942847 |url=https://nottingham-repository.worktribe.com/output/6345242 }}</ref> |
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==Use of media technologies== |
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===Information and communications technologies (ICT)=== |
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Many members of Generation Alpha have grown up using [[smartphones]] and [[tablet computer|tablets]] as part of their childhood entertainment with many being exposed to devices as a soothing distraction or educational aids.<ref name=":51">{{cite web|url=https://www.businessinsider.com/generation-alpha-2014-7-2|title=Here's who comes after Generation Z — and they'll be the most transformative age group ever|last1=Sterbenz|first1=Christina|publisher=Business Insider|access-date=25 April 2019}}</ref><ref name=":1" /> Screen time among infants, toddlers, and preschoolers |
Many members of Generation Alpha have grown up using [[smartphones]] and [[tablet computer|tablets]] as part of their childhood entertainment, with many being exposed to devices as a soothing distraction or educational aids.<ref name=":51">{{cite web|url=https://www.businessinsider.com/generation-alpha-2014-7-2|title=Here's who comes after Generation Z — and they'll be the most transformative age group ever|last1=Sterbenz|first1=Christina|publisher=Business Insider|access-date=25 April 2019|archive-date=April 3, 2019|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20190403110644/https://www.businessinsider.com/generation-alpha-2014-7-2|url-status=live}}</ref><ref name=":1" /> Screen time among infants, toddlers, and preschoolers has increased significantly during the 2010s. Some 90% of young children used a handheld electronic device by the age of one; in some cases, children started using them when they were only a few months old.<ref name=":49" /> Using smartphones and tablets to access video streaming services such as [[YouTube Kids]] and free or reasonably low-budget mobile games became a popular form of entertainment for young children.<ref>{{Cite web|last=|first=|date=29 November 2017|title=Children and parents: Media Use and Attitudes Report|url=https://www.ofcom.org.uk/__data/assets/pdf_file/0020/108182/children-parents-media-use-attitudes-2017.pdf|url-status=live|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20200615094309/https://www.ofcom.org.uk/__data/assets/pdf_file/0020/108182/children-parents-media-use-attitudes-2017.pdf|archive-date=15 June 2020|access-date=|website=Ofcom}}</ref> A report by Common Sense media suggested that the amount of time children under nine in the United States spent using mobile devices increased from 15 minutes a day in 2013 to 48 minutes in 2017.<ref>{{Cite web|last=Howard|first=Jacqueline|date=19 October 2017|title=Report: Young kids spend over 2 hours a day on screens|url=https://www.cnn.com/2017/10/19/health/children-smartphone-tablet-use-report/index.html|url-status=live|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20200703190403/https://www.cnn.com/2017/10/19/health/children-smartphone-tablet-use-report/index.html|archive-date=2020-07-03|access-date=2020-07-03|website=CNN}}</ref> Research by the children's charity Childwise suggested that a majority of British three- and four-year-olds owned an Internet-connected device by 2018.<ref>{{Cite news|last=Turner|first=Camilla|date=2018-10-04|title=Majority of three and four-year-olds now own an iPad, survey finds|language=en-GB|work=The Telegraph|url=https://www.telegraph.co.uk/education/2018/10/04/majority-three-four-year-olds-now-ipad-survey-finds/|url-status=live|access-date=2020-06-29|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20200629194531/https://www.telegraph.co.uk/education/2018/10/04/majority-three-four-year-olds-now-ipad-survey-finds/|archive-date=2020-06-29|issn=0307-1235}}</ref> |
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Being born into an environment where the use of electronic devices is ubiquitous comes with its own challenges: cyber-bullying, screen addiction, and inappropriate |
Being born into an environment where the use of electronic devices is ubiquitous comes with its own challenges: [[Cyberbullying|cyber-bullying]], screen addiction, and inappropriate content.<ref name=":28" /> On the other hand, much of the research on the effects of screen time on children has been inconclusive or even suggested positive effects.<ref name=":52" /> The writer and educator Jordan Shapiro has suggested that the increasingly technological nature of childhood should be embraced as a way to prepare children for life in an increasingly digital world as well as teaching them skills for offline life.<ref name=":52">{{Cite web|last=Cunliffe|first=Rachel|date=March 2, 2021|title=Is growing up immersed in screens damaging our children?|url=https://www.newstatesman.com/science-tech/internet/2021/03/growing-immersed-screens-damaging-our-children-0|access-date=March 17, 2021|website=New Statesman|language=en|archive-date=March 10, 2021|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20210310213608/https://www.newstatesman.com/science-tech/internet/2021/03/growing-immersed-screens-damaging-our-children-0|url-status=live}}</ref> |
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=== |
===Parental internet use=== |
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Generation Alpha have also been surrounded by adult Internet use from the beginning of their lives. Their parents, primarily Millennials, are heavy social media users. A 2014 report from cybersecurity firm AVG stated that 6% of parents created a social media account and 8% an email account for their baby or toddler. According to [[BabyCenter]], an online company specializing in pregnancy, childbirth, and child-rearing, 79% of Millennial mothers used social media on a daily basis and 63% used their smartphones more frequently since becoming pregnant or giving birth. More specifically, 24% logged on to [[Facebook]] more frequently and 33% did the same to [[Instagram]] after becoming a mother. Non-profit advocacy group [[Common Sense Media]] warned that parents should take better care of their online privacy, lest their and their children's personal information and photographs fall into the wrong hands. This warning was issued after a Utah mother reportedly found a photograph of her children on a social media post with pornographic hashtags in May 2015.<ref>{{Cite news|url=https://www.chicagotribune.com/lifestyles/sc-babies-digital-real-estate-family-1027-20151020-story.html|title=Do newborns need their own websites, email, social media accounts?|last=Bowen|first= |
Generation Alpha have also been surrounded by adult Internet use from the beginning of their lives. Their parents, primarily Millennials, are heavy social media users. A 2014 report from cybersecurity firm AVG stated that 6% of parents created a social media account and 8% an email account for their baby or toddler. According to [[BabyCenter]], an online company specializing in pregnancy, childbirth, and child-rearing, 79% of Millennial mothers used social media on a daily basis and 63% used their smartphones more frequently since becoming pregnant or giving birth. More specifically, 24% logged on to [[Facebook]] more frequently and 33% did the same to [[Instagram]] after becoming a mother. Non-profit advocacy group [[Common Sense Media]] warned that parents should take better care of their online privacy, lest their and their children's personal information and photographs fall into the wrong hands. This warning was issued after a Utah mother reportedly found a photograph of her children on a social media post with pornographic hashtags in May 2015.<ref>{{Cite news|url=https://www.chicagotribune.com/lifestyles/sc-babies-digital-real-estate-family-1027-20151020-story.html|title=Do newborns need their own websites, email, social media accounts?|last=Bowen|first=Alison|date=October 20, 2015|work=Chicago Tribune|access-date=September 7, 2019|archive-date=December 29, 2017|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20171229090424/http://www.chicagotribune.com/lifestyles/sc-babies-digital-real-estate-family-1027-20151020-story.html|url-status=live}}</ref> Nevertheless, the Millennial generation's familiarity with the online world allows them to use their personal experience to help their children navigate it.<ref name=":28" /> |
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Members of [[Generation Z]] often use the term "[[iPad kid]]" when referring to Generation Alpha.<ref>{{Cite web |title=The Infamous iPad Kid {{!}} IST 110: Introduction to Information Sciences and Technology |url=https://sites.psu.edu/ist110pursel/2022/01/23/the-infamous-ipad-kid/ |access-date=2024-03-19 |website=sites.psu.edu}}</ref> This term was coined due to the majority of Generation Alpha's early childhood being spent watching and interacting with [[Tablet computer|tablets]] and other [[Mobile device|smart mobile devices]] with the assumption of them being [[Problematic smartphone use|addicted]].<ref name="auto">{{Cite web |last=Hendy |first=Eloise |date=2023-11-21 |title=iPad Kids Are Getting Out of Hand |url=https://www.vice.com/en/article/93k8kv/ipad-kids-gen-alpha-childhood-development |access-date=2024-03-19 |website=Vice |language=en}}</ref> In 2017, a study suggested that at least 80 percent of young children had access to a smart mobile device and schoolchildren had an average screentime of around seven hours a day.<ref name="auto"/><ref>{{Cite web |last=Travers |first=Mark |title=A Psychologist Teaches Parents How To Fix An 'iPad Kid' |url=https://www.forbes.com/sites/traversmark/2024/01/18/a-psychologist-teaches-parents-how-to-fix-an-ipad-kid/ |access-date=2024-03-19 |website=Forbes |language=en}}</ref> [[IPad|Apple iPads]] are one of the most popular smart mobile devices hence the name. |
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=== Television and streaming services === |
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In part due to the surge in use of handheld devices,<ref name=":1" /> broadcast television viewing among children has declined during the early lives of Generation Alpha. Statistics from the United States suggested that viewing of children's cable networks among American 2- to 11-year-olds were falling sharply in early 2020 and continued to do so (albeit by smaller amounts) even after COVID-19 restrictions took children out of school and kept them at home.<ref>{{Cite web|last=Low|first=Elaine|date=9 April 2020|title=Nickelodeon, Cartoon Network and other kids cable channels see viewership declines as streaming grows|url=https://www.chicagotribune.com/coronavirus/ct-ent-cartoon-network-nickelodeon-see-viewership-declines-20200409-sa5z5zzrlzchzpxx34ejv77fe4-story.html|url-status=live|archive-url=|archive-date=|access-date=2021-02-11|website=Chicago Tribune}}</ref> Research from the United Kingdom suggested that viewing of traditional broadcasting among British 4- to 15-year-olds fell from an average of 151 minutes in 2010 to 77 minutes in 2018.<ref>{{Cite web|last=|first=|date=|title=Ofcom's Annual Report on the BBC: 2017/18|url=https://www.ofcom.org.uk/__data/assets/pdf_file/0019/160714/media-nations-2019-uk-report.pdf|url-status=live|archive-url=|archive-date=|access-date=|website=Ofcom}}</ref> However, accessing televised programming via streaming and catch up services has become increasingly popular among children during the same time period. In 2019, almost 60% of Netflix's 152 million global subscribers accessing content for children and families at least once a month.<ref>{{Cite news|last=Barnes|first=Brooks|date=2019-10-11|title=Netflix Goes All Out to Wow Children as Streaming Wars Intensify|language=en-US|work=The New York Times|url=https://www.nytimes.com/2019/10/11/business/media/netflix-children-movies-streaming.html|url-status=live|access-date=2021-02-12|issn=0362-4331}}</ref> In the United Kingdom, requests for children's programming on the BBC's catch up service [[BBC iPlayer|iPlayer]] increased substantially during the time of the COVID-19 pandemic.<ref>{{Cite web|last=|first=|date=22 July 2020|title=Record number of kids come to the BBC during lockdown|url=https://www.bbc.co.uk/mediacentre/latestnews/2020/iplayer-kids-stats|url-status=live|archive-url=|archive-date=|access-date=2021-02-12|website=BBC}}</ref><ref>{{Cite web|last=|first=|date=20 January 2021|title=Record number of kids turn to the BBC for education and entertainment|url=https://www.bbc.co.uk/mediacentre/2021/record-numbers-of-kids-turn-to-the-bbc-for-education-and-entertainment|url-status=live|archive-url=|archive-date=|access-date=2021-02-12|website=BBC}}</ref> In 2019, the catch-up service for Australian broadcaster ABC received more than half its views via children's content.<ref>{{Cite web|last=Williams|first=Cameron|date=2019-02-19|title=Dog days for Australian kids' television|url=https://www.crikey.com.au/2019/02/19/bluey-abc-iview-kids-tv/|url-status=live|archive-url=|archive-date=|access-date=2021-02-12|website=Crikey|language=en-US}}</ref> |
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===Television and streaming services=== |
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In part due to the surge in use of handheld devices,<ref name=":1" /> broadcast television viewing among children has declined during the early lives of Generation Alpha. Statistics from the United States suggested that viewing of children's cable networks among American 2- to 11-year-olds were falling sharply in early 2020 and continued to do so (albeit by smaller amounts) even after [[COVID-19]] restrictions took children out of school and kept them at home.<ref>{{Cite web|last=Low|first=Elaine|date=9 April 2020|title=Nickelodeon, Cartoon Network and other kids cable channels see viewership declines as streaming grows|url=https://www.chicagotribune.com/coronavirus/ct-ent-cartoon-network-nickelodeon-see-viewership-declines-20200409-sa5z5zzrlzchzpxx34ejv77fe4-story.html|access-date=2021-02-11|website=Chicago Tribune|archive-date=January 7, 2021|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20210107170801/https://www.chicagotribune.com/coronavirus/ct-ent-cartoon-network-nickelodeon-see-viewership-declines-20200409-sa5z5zzrlzchzpxx34ejv77fe4-story.html|url-status=live}}</ref> Research from the United Kingdom suggested that viewing of traditional broadcasting among British 4- to 15-year-olds fell from an average of 151 minutes in 2010 to 77 minutes in 2018.<ref>{{Cite web|last=|first=|date=|title=Ofcom's Annual Report on the BBC: 2017/18|url=https://www.ofcom.org.uk/__data/assets/pdf_file/0019/160714/media-nations-2019-uk-report.pdf|access-date=|website=Ofcom|archive-date=January 3, 2021|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20210103122357/https://www.ofcom.org.uk/__data/assets/pdf_file/0019/160714/media-nations-2019-uk-report.pdf|url-status=live}}</ref> However, accessing televised programming via [[streaming media|streaming]] and catch up services has become increasingly popular among children during the same time period. In 2019, almost 60% of [[Netflix]]'s 152 million global subscribers accessed content for children and families at least once a month.<ref>{{Cite news|last=Barnes|first=Brooks|date=2019-10-11|title=Netflix Goes All Out to Wow Children as Streaming Wars Intensify|language=en-US|work=The New York Times|url=https://www.nytimes.com/2019/10/11/business/media/netflix-children-movies-streaming.html|access-date=2021-02-12|issn=0362-4331|archive-date=February 10, 2021|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20210210025519/https://www.nytimes.com/2019/10/11/business/media/netflix-children-movies-streaming.html|url-status=live}}</ref> In the United Kingdom, requests for children's programming on the BBC's catch up service [[BBC iPlayer|iPlayer]] increased substantially during the time of the COVID-19 pandemic.<ref>{{Cite web|last=|first=|date=22 July 2020|title=Record number of kids come to the BBC during lockdown|url=https://www.bbc.co.uk/mediacentre/latestnews/2020/iplayer-kids-stats|access-date=2021-02-12|website=BBC|archive-date=April 16, 2021|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20210416133949/https://www.bbc.co.uk/mediacentre/latestnews/2020/iplayer-kids-stats|url-status=live}}</ref><ref>{{Cite web|last=|first=|date=20 January 2021|title=Record number of kids turn to the BBC for education and entertainment|url=https://www.bbc.co.uk/mediacentre/2021/record-numbers-of-kids-turn-to-the-bbc-for-education-and-entertainment|access-date=2021-02-12|website=BBC|archive-date=January 23, 2021|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20210123020454/https://www.bbc.co.uk/mediacentre/2021/record-numbers-of-kids-turn-to-the-bbc-for-education-and-entertainment|url-status=live}}</ref> In 2019, the catch-up service for Australian broadcaster ABC received more than half its views via children's content.<ref>{{Cite web|last=Williams|first=Cameron|date=2019-02-19|title=Dog days for Australian kids' television|url=https://www.crikey.com.au/2019/02/19/bluey-abc-iview-kids-tv/|access-date=2021-02-12|website=Crikey|language=en-US|archive-date=March 16, 2021|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20210316082605/https://www.crikey.com.au/2019/02/19/bluey-abc-iview-kids-tv/|url-status=live}}</ref> |
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==Family and social life== |
==Family and social life== |
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===Upbringing=== |
===Upbringing=== |
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Research from 2021 suggested that British children were allowed out to play without adult supervision almost two years later than their parents had been. The study of five- to eleven-year-olds suggested that the average age for a child to be first given that freedom was 10.7 years old whilst their parents recalled being let out noticeably earlier at an average of 8.9 years of age. Helen Dodd, a professor of child psychology at the University of Reading, who led the study commented |
Research from 2021 suggested that British children were allowed out to play without adult supervision almost two years later than their parents had been. The study of five- to eleven-year-olds suggested that the average age for a child to be first given that freedom was 10.7 years old whilst their parents recalled being let out noticeably earlier at an average of 8.9 years of age. Helen Dodd, a professor of child psychology at the University of Reading, who led the study commented "In the largest study of play in Britain, we can clearly see that there is a trend to be protective and to provide less freedom for our children now than in previous generations... The concerns we have from this report are twofold. First, we are seeing children getting towards the end of their primary school years without having had enough opportunities to develop their ability to assess and manage risk independently. Second, if children are getting less time to play outdoors in an adventurous way, this may have an impact on their mental health and overall wellbeing." The research also suggested that children were more likely to be allowed to play outside unsupervised at an earlier age if they were white, the second or later born, living in Scotland or had better educated parents.<ref>{{Cite web|last=Weale|first=Sally|date=2021-04-20|title=UK children not allowed to play outside until two years older than parents' generation|url=http://www.theguardian.com/society/2021/apr/20/gradual-lockdown-of-uk-children-as-age-for-solo-outdoor-play-rises|access-date=2021-04-21|website=the Guardian|language=en|archive-date=April 21, 2021|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20210421080944/https://www.theguardian.com/society/2021/apr/20/gradual-lockdown-of-uk-children-as-age-for-solo-outdoor-play-rises|url-status=live}}</ref> |
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In the United States, the share of children living with [[Single parent|single parents]] (and no other adults) continued to grow during the 2010s, reaching 23% in 2019, higher than any other country studied by the Pew Research Center, including neighbouring Canada, at 15%.<ref name=":10">{{Cite news |last=Kramer |first=Stephanie |date=September 12, 2019 |title=U.S. has world's highest rate of children living in single-parent households |url=https://www.pewresearch.org/short-reads/2019/12/12/u-s-children-more-likely-than-children-in-other-countries-to-live-with-just-one-parent/ |access-date=June 17, 2024 |work=Pew Research Center}}</ref> This has raised concern over their welfare.<ref>{{Cite news |last=Irwin |first=Neil |date=September 18, 2023 |title=New book shows economic downside of single parenting |url=https://www.axios.com/2023/09/18/two-parent-privilege-book-melissa-kearney |access-date=June 17, 2024 |work=Axios}}</ref><ref>{{Cite news |last=Gogoi |first=Pallavi |date=October 22, 2023 |title=Why children of married parents do better, but America is moving the other way |url=https://www.npr.org/2023/10/22/1207322878/single-parent-married-good-for-children-inequality |access-date=June 17, 2024 |work=National Public Radio}}</ref> On the other hand, in Asia (including the Middle East), single-parent households are extremely rare.<ref name=":10" /> But American children of the 2010s and 2020s are much safer than ever before, thanks to [[Child safety seat|children's car seats]], seat-belt laws, and swimming-pool safety reforms, among other things. At the same time, their parents tend to have fewer of them and to have them later in life, after achieving financial security, and as such are in a position to devote more resources to rearing them.<ref name="Twenge-2023b">{{Cite book |last=Twenge |first=Jean |author-link=Jean Twenge |title=Generations: The Real Differences Between Gen Z, Millennials, Gen X and Silents—and What They Mean for America's Future |publisher=Atria Books |year=2023 |isbn=978-1-9821-8161-1 |location=New York |chapter=Chapter 8: Polars}}</ref> |
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== Major events == |
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==Major events== |
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=== COVID-19 pandemic === |
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===COVID-19 pandemic=== |
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[[File:Coronavirus children mask.jpg|thumb|A girl in a medical mask during the COVID-19 pandemic. During the crisis people around the world were expected to wear face masks in many settings (often including children from an early age). |330x330px]]Much of Generation Alpha is living through the global COVID-19 pandemic as young children. Although they are at far less risk of becoming seriously ill with the disease than their elders this cohort is dramatically affected by the crisis in other ways.<ref>{{Cite news|last=Lloyd|first=Robin|date=2020-07-20|title=What Is It That Keeps Most Little Kids From Getting Covid-19?|language=en-US|work=The New York Times|url=https://www.nytimes.com/2020/07/20/parenting/coronavirus-children-spread-covid-19.html|access-date=2020-09-10|issn=0362-4331}}</ref> Many are faced with extended periods out of school or daycare and much more time at home,<ref>{{Cite news|last=Strauss|first=Valerie|date=March 27, 2020|title=1.5 billion children around globe affected by school closure. What countries are doing to keep kids learning during pandemic.|url=https://www.washingtonpost.com/education/2020/03/26/nearly-14-billion-children-around-globe-are-out-school-heres-what-countries-are-doing-keep-kids-learning-during-pandemic/|newspaper=The Washington Post}}</ref> which raised concerns about potential harm to the development of small children and the academic attainment of those at school age<ref>{{Cite web|title=Coronavirus #4: From the perspective of a baby or young child|url=https://www.annafreud.org/insights/blogs/2020/04/coronavirus-4-from-the-perspective-of-a-baby-or-young-child/|access-date=September 12, 2020|website=Anna Freud National Centre for Children and Families|language=en}}</ref><ref>{{Cite web|title=COVID-19 is hurting children's mental health. Here's how to help|url=https://www.weforum.org/agenda/2020/05/covid-19-is-hurting-childrens-mental-health/|access-date=2020-09-10|website=World Economic Forum|language=en}}</ref><ref>{{Cite web|last=Robson|first=David|date=June 3, 2020|title=How Covid-19 is changing the world's children|url=https://www.bbc.com/future/article/20200603-how-covid-19-is-changing-the-worlds-children|access-date=September 10, 2020|website=BBC Future|language=en}}</ref> while putting some, especially the particularly vulnerable, at greater risk of abuse.<ref>{{Cite web|date=8 April 2020|title=Joint Leaders' statement - Violence against children: A hidden crisis of the COVID-19 pandemic|url=https://www.who.int/news-room/detail/08-04-2020-joint-leader-s-statement---violence-against-children-a-hidden-crisis-of-the-covid-19-pandemic|access-date=2020-09-12|website=www.who.int|language=en}}</ref> The crises also led to increased child malnourishment and increased mortality, especially in poorer countries.<ref>{{Cite web|title=COVID-19 and children|url=https://data.unicef.org/topic/covid-19-and-children/|access-date=2020-09-10|website=UNICEF DATA|language=en-US}}</ref> |
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[[File:Coronavirus children mask.jpg|thumb|A girl in a medical mask during the [[COVID-19 pandemic]]. During the beginning of the crisis, people around the world were expected to wear face masks in many settings, often including children at an early age. |330x330px]]Much of Generation Alpha lived through the global COVID-19 pandemic as young children, the oldest of them being 8 years old at the time the pandemic began in early 2020. Although they are at far less risk of becoming seriously ill with the disease than their elders,<ref name=":9" /> this cohort is dramatically affected by the crisis in other ways.<ref>{{Cite news|last=Lloyd|first=Robin|date=2020-07-20|title=What Is It That Keeps Most Little Kids From Getting Covid-19?|language=en-US|work=The New York Times|url=https://www.nytimes.com/2020/07/20/parenting/coronavirus-children-spread-covid-19.html|access-date=2020-09-10|issn=0362-4331|archive-date=September 8, 2020|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20200908141204/https://www.nytimes.com/2020/07/20/parenting/coronavirus-children-spread-covid-19.html|url-status=live}}</ref> Many are faced with extended periods out of school or daycare and much more time at home,<ref>{{Cite news|last=Strauss|first=Valerie|date=March 27, 2020|title=1.5 billion children around globe affected by school closure. What countries are doing to keep kids learning during pandemic.|url=https://www.washingtonpost.com/education/2020/03/26/nearly-14-billion-children-around-globe-are-out-school-heres-what-countries-are-doing-keep-kids-learning-during-pandemic/|newspaper=The Washington Post|access-date=September 10, 2020|archive-date=September 10, 2020|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20200910234359/https://www.washingtonpost.com/education/2020/03/26/nearly-14-billion-children-around-globe-are-out-school-heres-what-countries-are-doing-keep-kids-learning-during-pandemic/|url-status=live}}</ref> which raised concerns about potential harm to the development of small children and the academic attainment of those of school age<ref>{{Cite web|title=Coronavirus #4: From the perspective of a baby or young child|url=https://www.annafreud.org/insights/blogs/2020/04/coronavirus-4-from-the-perspective-of-a-baby-or-young-child/|access-date=September 12, 2020|website=Anna Freud National Centre for Children and Families|language=en|archive-date=May 29, 2020|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20200529180012/https://www.annafreud.org/insights/blogs/2020/04/coronavirus-4-from-the-perspective-of-a-baby-or-young-child/|url-status=live}}</ref><ref>{{Cite web|title=COVID-19 is hurting children's mental health. Here's how to help|url=https://www.weforum.org/agenda/2020/05/covid-19-is-hurting-childrens-mental-health/|access-date=2020-09-10|website=World Economic Forum|language=en|archive-date=September 5, 2020|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20200905030909/https://www.weforum.org/agenda/2020/05/covid-19-is-hurting-childrens-mental-health/|url-status=live}}</ref><ref>{{Cite web|last=Robson|first=David|date=June 3, 2020|title=How Covid-19 is changing the world's children|url=https://www.bbc.com/future/article/20200603-how-covid-19-is-changing-the-worlds-children|access-date=September 10, 2020|website=BBC Future|language=en|archive-date=September 10, 2020|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20200910112242/https://www.bbc.com/future/article/20200603-how-covid-19-is-changing-the-worlds-children|url-status=live}}</ref> while putting some, especially the particularly vulnerable, at greater risk of abuse.<ref>{{Cite web|date=8 April 2020|title=Joint Leaders' statement - Violence against children: A hidden crisis of the COVID-19 pandemic|url=https://www.who.int/news-room/detail/08-04-2020-joint-leader-s-statement---violence-against-children-a-hidden-crisis-of-the-covid-19-pandemic|access-date=2020-09-12|website=www.who.int|language=en|archive-date=August 23, 2020|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20200823110535/https://www.who.int/news-room/detail/08-04-2020-joint-leader-s-statement---violence-against-children-a-hidden-crisis-of-the-covid-19-pandemic|url-status=live}}</ref> The crises also led to increased child malnutrition and increased mortality, especially in developing countries.<ref>{{Cite web|title=COVID-19 and children|url=https://data.unicef.org/topic/covid-19-and-children/|access-date=2020-09-10|website=UNICEF DATA|language=en-US|archive-date=September 14, 2020|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20200914104159/https://data.unicef.org/topic/covid-19-and-children/|url-status=live}}</ref> |
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A study of seven to twelve |
A study of the understanding of seven- to twelve-year-olds of the pandemic in the UK, Spain, Canada, Sweden, Brazil and Australia found that more than half of children knew a significant amount about COVID-19. They associated the topic with various negative emotions saying it made them feel "worried", "scared", "angry" and "confused". They tended to be aware of the types of people which were most vulnerable to the virus and the restrictions which were enforced in their communities. Many had learned new terms and phrases in relation to the pandemic such as [[social distancing]]. They were most commonly informed about COVID-19 by teachers and parents, but also learned about the subject from friends, television and the Internet.<ref>{{Cite web|date=March 1, 2021|title=We asked children around the world what they knew about COVID. This is what they said|url=https://theconversation.com/we-asked-children-around-the-world-what-they-knew-about-covid-this-is-what-they-said-155567|access-date=December 13, 2021|archive-date=July 9, 2021|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20210709195045/https://theconversation.com/we-asked-children-around-the-world-what-they-knew-about-covid-this-is-what-they-said-155567|url-status=live}}</ref> |
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A report by [[UNICEF]] in late 2021 described the COVID-19 pandemic as "the biggest threat to children in our 75-year history." It noted that amongst other effects levels of child poverty and malnutrition had sharply increased. Education and the services designed to protect vulnerable children had been disrupted across the world. |
A report by [[UNICEF]] in late 2021 described the COVID-19 pandemic as "the biggest threat to children in our 75-year history." It noted that amongst other effects, levels of child poverty and malnutrition had sharply increased. Education and the services designed to protect vulnerable children had been disrupted across the world. Child labour rates had increased, reversing a 20-year fall.<ref>{{Cite web|title=PREVENTING A LOST DECADE: Urgent action to reverse the devastating impact of COVID-19 on children and young people.|url=https://www.unicef.org/media/112841/file/UNICEF%2075%20report.pdf|access-date=11 December 2021|website=[[Unicef]]|archive-date=February 3, 2023|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20230203075812/https://www.unicef.org/media/112841/file/UNICEF%2075%20report.pdf|url-status=live}}</ref> |
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While children were at less direct risk in general from COVID-19, the disease was nevertheless a top-ten cause of death for children during the most acute phases of the pandemic. In the United States, it was the sixth leading cause of death for children in 2021<ref>{{Cite web |last=Piore |first=Adam |date=2021-10-27 |title=COVID Now a 'Major Cause of Death' in Kids But Parents Hesitant on Vaccine |url=https://www.newsweek.com/2021/11/05/covid-now-major-cause-death-kids-many-parents-remain-hesitant-vaccine-1642720.html |access-date=2023-05-16 |website=Newsweek |language=en}}</ref> and the eighth in 2023.<ref>{{Cite journal |last1=Flaxman |first1=Seth |last2=Whittaker |first2=Charles |last3=Semenova |first3=Elizaveta |last4=Rashid |first4=Theo |last5=Parks |first5=Robbie M. |last6=Blenkinsop |first6=Alexandra |last7=Unwin |first7=H. Juliette T. |last8=Mishra |first8=Swapnil |last9=Bhatt |first9=Samir |last10=Gurdasani |first10=Deepti |last11=Ratmann |first11=Oliver |date=2023-01-30 |title=Assessment of COVID-19 as the Underlying Cause of Death Among Children and Young People Aged 0 to 19 Years in the US |url=https://doi.org/10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2022.53590 |journal=JAMA Network Open |volume=6 |issue=1 |pages=e2253590 |doi=10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2022.53590 |pmid=36716029 |pmc=9887489 |issn=2574-3805|hdl=10044/1/102011 |hdl-access=free }}</ref> The CDC reported that, globally, 10.5 million children had been orphaned by COVID-19.<ref>{{Cite web |date=2023-02-06 |title=Global Orphanhood Associated with COVID-19 {{!}} CDC |url=https://www.cdc.gov/globalhealth/covid-19/orphanhood/index.html |access-date=2023-05-16 |website=www.cdc.gov |language=en-us}}</ref> |
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== Projections == |
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The first wave of Generation Alpha will reach adulthood by the 2030s. By that time, the human population is expected to be just under nine billion, and the world will have the highest ever proportion of people aged over 60,<ref>{{Cite news|url=https://www.stuff.co.nz/life-style/life/113667884/move-over-millennials-its-generation-alphas-turn|title=Move over Millennials, it's Generation Alpha's turn|last=Catchpole|first=Suzi|date=June 21, 2019|work=Stuff|access-date=September 6, 2019}}</ref> meaning this demographic cohort will bear the burden of an aging population.<ref name=":0" /> According to Mark McCrindle, a social researcher from Australia, Generation Alpha will most likely delay standard life markers such as marriage, childbirth, and retirements, as did the previous generations. McCrindle estimated that Generation Alpha will make up 11% of the global workforce by 2030.<ref name=":0" /> He also predicted that they will live longer and have smaller families, and will be "the most formally educated generation ever, the most technology-supplied generation ever, and globally the wealthiest generation ever."<ref name=":1" /> |
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==Projections of demographic changes== |
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The United Nations forecasted that while the global average life expectancy would rise from 70 in 2015 to 83 in 2100, the ratio of people of working age to senior citizens would shrink due to falling fertility rates worldwide. By 2050, many nations in Asia, Europe, and Latin America would have fewer than two workers per retiree. U.N. figures show that, leaving out migration, all of Europe, Japan, and the United States were shrinking in the 2010s, but by 2050, 48 countries and territories would experience a population decline.<ref>{{Cite news|last1=Levine|first1=Steve|last2=Stevens|first2=Harry|date=July 21, 2018|title=Deep Dive: The aging, childless future|work=Axios|department=Politics and Policy|url=https://www.axios.com/the-aging-childless-future-21f9ae39-bf77-4777-8df2-64dc96e8277b.html|access-date=July 20, 2020}}</ref> |
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{{see also|Projections of population growth|Growth of religion#Future change}} |
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The first wave of Generation Alpha will reach adulthood by the 2030s. It was predicted in 2018 that, by that time, the [[world population]] is expected to be just under nine billion, and the world will have the highest ever proportion of people aged over 60,<ref>{{Cite news|url=https://www.stuff.co.nz/life-style/life/113667884/move-over-millennials-its-generation-alphas-turn|title=Move over Millennials, it's Generation Alpha's turn|last=Catchpole|first=Suzi|date=June 21, 2019|work=Stuff|access-date=September 6, 2019|archive-date=September 6, 2019|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20190906180255/https://www.stuff.co.nz/life-style/life/113667884/move-over-millennials-its-generation-alphas-turn|url-status=live}}</ref> meaning this demographic cohort will bear the burden of an [[aging population]].<ref name=":0" /> According to Mark McCrindle, a social researcher from Australia, Generation Alpha will most likely delay standard life markers such as [[marriage]], childbirth, and retirement, as did the previous generations. McCrindle estimated that Generation Alpha will make up 11% of the global workforce by 2030.<ref name=":0" /> He also predicted that they will live longer and have smaller families, and will be "the most formally educated generation ever, the most technology-supplied generation ever, and globally the wealthiest generation ever."<ref name=":1" /> |
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As of 2020, the latest demographic projections from the United Nations predict that there would be 8.5 billion people by 2030, 9.7 billion by 2050, and 10.9 billion by 2100. U.N. calculations assume countries with especially low fertility rates will see them rise to an average of 1.8 per woman. However, a 2020 study by researchers from [[Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation]] (IHME), University of Washington, published in the Lancet projected there would only be about 8.8 billion people by 2100, two billion fewer than what the U.N. predicted. This was because their analysis suggested that as educational opportunities and family planning services become more and more accessible for women, they would choose to have no more than 1.5 children on average. A majority of the world's countries would continue to see their fertility rates decline, the researchers claimed. In particular, over 20 countries—including China, Japan, South Korea, Thailand, Spain, Italy, Portugal, and Poland—would find their populations reduced by around half or more. Meanwhile, sub-Saharan Africa would continue to experience a population boom, with Nigeria reaching 800 million people by century's end. Lower-than-expected human population growth means less stress on the environment and on food supplies, but it also points to a bleak economic picture for the greying countries. For the sub-Saharan African countries, though, there would be considerable opportunity for growth. The researchers predicted that as the century unfolds, major but aging economies such as Brazil, Russia, Italy, and Spain would shrink while Japan, Germany, France, and the United Kingdom would remain within the top ten. India would eventually claim the third spot. China would displace the United States as the largest economy in the world by mid-century, but would return to second place later on.<ref>{{Cite news|last=AFP|date=July 15, 2020|title=World population in 2100 could be 2 billion below UN projections|work=France 24|url=https://www.france24.com/en/20200714-world-population-in-2100-could-be-2-billion-below-un-projections|access-date=July 16, 2020}}</ref> |
In 2018, the United Nations forecasted that while the global average life expectancy would rise from 70 in 2015 to 83 in 2100, the ratio of people of working age to senior citizens would shrink due to falling fertility rates worldwide. By 2050, many nations in Asia, Europe, and Latin America would have fewer than two workers per retiree. U.N. figures show that, leaving out migration, all of Europe, Japan, and the United States were shrinking in the 2010s, but by 2050, 48 countries and territories would experience a population decline.<ref>{{Cite news|last1=Levine|first1=Steve|last2=Stevens|first2=Harry|date=July 21, 2018|title=Deep Dive: The aging, childless future|work=Axios|department=Politics and Policy|url=https://www.axios.com/the-aging-childless-future-21f9ae39-bf77-4777-8df2-64dc96e8277b.html|access-date=July 20, 2020|archive-date=July 20, 2020|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20200720160656/https://www.axios.com/the-aging-childless-future-21f9ae39-bf77-4777-8df2-64dc96e8277b.html|url-status=live}}</ref> |
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As of 2020, the latest demographic projections from the United Nations predict that there would be 8.5 billion people by 2030, 9.7 billion by 2050, and 10.9 billion by 2100. U.N. calculations assume countries with especially low [[total fertility rate|fertility rates]] will see them rise to an average of 1.8 per woman. However, a 2020 study by researchers from [[Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation]] (IHME), University of Washington, published in the Lancet projected there would only be about 8.8 billion people by 2100, two billion fewer than what the U.N. predicted. This was because their analysis suggested that as educational opportunities and family planning services become more and more accessible for women, they would choose to have no more than 1.5 children on average. A majority of the world's countries would continue to see their fertility rates decline, the researchers claimed. In particular, over 20 countries—including China, Japan, South Korea, Thailand, Spain, Italy, Portugal, and Poland—would find their populations reduced by around half or more. Meanwhile, sub-Saharan Africa would continue to experience a population boom, with Nigeria reaching 800 million people by century's end. Lower-than-expected human population growth means less stress on the environment and on food supplies, but it also points to a bleak economic picture for the greying countries. For the sub-Saharan African countries, though, there would be considerable opportunity for growth. The researchers predicted that as the century unfolds, major but aging economies such as Brazil, Russia, Italy, and Spain would shrink while Japan, Germany, France, and the United Kingdom would remain within the top ten. India would eventually claim the third spot. China would displace the United States as the largest economy in the world by mid-century, but would return to second place later on.<ref>{{Cite news|last=AFP|date=July 15, 2020|title=World population in 2100 could be 2 billion below UN projections|work=France 24|url=https://www.france24.com/en/20200714-world-population-in-2100-could-be-2-billion-below-un-projections|access-date=July 16, 2020|archive-date=July 16, 2020|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20200716051752/https://www.france24.com/en/20200714-world-population-in-2100-could-be-2-billion-below-un-projections|url-status=live}}</ref> |
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A 2017 projection by the Pew Research Center suggests that between 2015 and 2060, the human population would grow by about 32%. Among the major religious groups, only Muslims (70%) and Christians (34%) are above this threshold and as such would have a higher share of the global population than they do now, especially Muslims. Hindus (27%), Jews (15%), followers of traditional folk religions (5%), and the religiously unaffiliated (3%) would grow in absolute numbers, but would be in relative decline because their rates of growth are below the global average. On the other hand, Buddhists would find their numbers shrink by 7% during the same period. This is due to sub-replacement fertility and population aging in Buddhist-majority countries such as China, Japan, and Thailand. This projection has taken into account religious switching. Moreover, previous research suggests that switching plays only a minor role in the growth or decline of religion compared to fertility and mortality.<ref name=":37" /> |
A 2017 projection by the Pew Research Center suggests that between 2015 and 2060, the human population would grow by about 32%. Among the major religious groups, only Muslims (70%) and Christians (34%) are above this threshold and as such would have a higher share of the global population than they do now, especially Muslims. Hindus (27%), Jews (15%), followers of traditional folk religions (5%), and the religiously unaffiliated (3%) would grow in absolute numbers, but would be in relative decline because their rates of growth are below the global average. On the other hand, Buddhists would find their numbers shrink by 7% during the same period. This is due to sub-replacement fertility and population aging in Buddhist-majority countries such as China, Japan, and Thailand. This projection has taken into account religious switching. Moreover, previous research suggests that switching plays only a minor role in the growth or decline of religion compared to fertility and mortality.<ref name=":37" /> |
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==See also== |
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A study estimates that Generation Alpha, particularly children born in 2020, will experience 2–7 times as many [[extreme weather]] events, particularly [[heat wave]]s, compared to people born in 1960 under current climate policy pledges over their lifetimes.<ref>{{cite news |last1=Gramling |first1=Carolyn |title=2020 babies may suffer up to seven times as many extreme heat waves as 1960s kids |url=https://www.sciencenews.org/article/children-climate-change-generation-burden-extreme-heat |access-date=18 October 2021 |work=Science News |date=1 October 2021}}</ref><ref>{{cite journal |last1=Thiery |first1=Wim |last2=Lange |first2=Stefan |last3=Rogelj |first3=Joeri |last4=Schleussner |first4=Carl-Friedrich |last5=Gudmundsson |first5=Lukas |last6=Seneviratne |first6=Sonia I. |last7=Andrijevic |first7=Marina |last8=Frieler |first8=Katja |last9=Emanuel |first9=Kerry |last10=Geiger |first10=Tobias |last11=Bresch |first11=David N. |last12=Zhao |first12=Fang |last13=Willner |first13=Sven N. |last14=Büchner |first14=Matthias |last15=Volkholz |first15=Jan |last16=Bauer |first16=Nico |last17=Chang |first17=Jinfeng |last18=Ciais |first18=Philippe |last19=Dury |first19=Marie |last20=François |first20=Louis |last21=Grillakis |first21=Manolis |last22=Gosling |first22=Simon N. |last23=Hanasaki |first23=Naota |last24=Hickler |first24=Thomas |last25=Huber |first25=Veronika |last26=Ito |first26=Akihiko |last27=Jägermeyr |first27=Jonas |last28=Khabarov |first28=Nikolay |last29=Koutroulis |first29=Aristeidis |last30=Liu |first30=Wenfeng |last31=Lutz |first31=Wolfgang |last32=Mengel |first32=Matthias |last33=Müller |first33=Christoph |last34=Ostberg |first34=Sebastian |last35=Reyer |first35=Christopher P. O. |last36=Stacke |first36=Tobias |last37=Wada |first37=Yoshihide |title=Intergenerational inequities in exposure to climate extremes |journal=Science |date=8 October 2021 |volume=374 |issue=6564 |pages=158–160 |doi=10.1126/science.abi7339|pmid=34565177 |bibcode=2021Sci...374..158T |s2cid=237942847 |url=https://nottingham-repository.worktribe.com/output/6345242 }}</ref> |
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{{Portal|2010s|2020s|Society}} |
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* [[List of generations]] |
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== See also == |
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{{clear}} |
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{{Portal|2010s|Society}} |
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* The [[One-child policy#"Four-two-one" problem|four-two-one problem]] |
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* [[Demographic transition]] and [[Population ageing|demographic shift]] |
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* [[Population pyramid|Youth bulge]] |
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* [[Cusper]] |
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* [[Generation gap]] |
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==Notes== |
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<references group="note"/> |
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==References== |
==References== |
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{{Reflist}} |
{{Reflist}} |
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== |
==External links== |
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* [https://www.nytimes.com/2007/08/05/world/americas/05iht-diversity.1.6986248.html The Downside of Diversity]. Michael Jonas. ''The New York Times''. August 5, 2007. |
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* [https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=95ovIJ3dsNk How childhood trauma affects health across a lifetime]. TED-Ed Talk by pediatrician [[Nadine Burke Harris]]. February 17, 2015. |
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*[https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uugCRJXQXW0 Is a University Degree a Waste of Money?] CBC News: The National. March 1, 2017. (Video, 14:39) |
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* [https://www.pbs.org/newshour/show/smartphone-irresistible-worth-trying-resist Why your smartphone is irresistible (and why it's worth trying to resist)]. Psychologist [[Adam Alter]] on the PBS Newshour. April 21, 2017. |
* [https://www.pbs.org/newshour/show/smartphone-irresistible-worth-trying-resist Why your smartphone is irresistible (and why it's worth trying to resist)]. Psychologist [[Adam Alter]] on the PBS Newshour. April 21, 2017. |
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* [https://pediatrics.aappublications.org/content/142/3/e20182058 The Power of Play: A Pediatric Role in Enhancing Development in Young Children]. Michael Yogman, Andrew Garner, Jeffrey Hutchinson, Kathy Hirsh-Pasek, Roberta Michnick Golinkoff. Committee on Psychosocial Aspects of Children and Family Health, Council on Communications and Media, [[American Academy of Pediatrics]]. September 2018. |
* [https://pediatrics.aappublications.org/content/142/3/e20182058 The Power of Play: A Pediatric Role in Enhancing Development in Young Children]. Michael Yogman, Andrew Garner, Jeffrey Hutchinson, Kathy Hirsh-Pasek, Roberta Michnick Golinkoff. Committee on Psychosocial Aspects of Children and Family Health, Council on Communications and Media, [[American Academy of Pediatrics]]. September 2018. |
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*[https://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2019/04/190404074947.htm A 'million word gap' for children who aren't read to at home]. Jessica A. R. Logan, Laura M. Justice, Melike Yumuş, Leydi Johana Chaparro-Moreno. ''Journal of Developmental & Behavioral Pediatrics''. April 4, 2019. |
*[https://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2019/04/190404074947.htm A 'million word gap' for children who aren't read to at home]. Jessica A. R. Logan, Laura M. Justice, Melike Yumuş, Leydi Johana Chaparro-Moreno. ''Journal of Developmental & Behavioral Pediatrics''. April 4, 2019. |
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*[https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/to-learn-how-to-practice-humane-technology-look-to-the-amish/2020/02/17/c79fa0ba-36fc-11ea-bf30-ad313e4ec754_story.html The Amish use tech differently than you think. We should emulate them]. Jeff Smith. ''The Washington Post''. February 17, 2020. |
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* Population pyramids of [https://zeihan.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/03/28-eu-population-2020-01-scaled.jpg the EU-27 without France] and of [https://zeihan.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/03/27-france-population-2020-01-scaled.jpg France in 2020]. Population pyramids of [https://zeihan.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/01/developed_without_us_2030.jpg the developed world without the U.S.] and of [https://zeihan.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/01/5.3-us-demography-2030.jpg the U.S. in 2030]. [[Peter Zeihan|Zeihan]] on Geopolitics. |
* Population pyramids of [https://zeihan.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/03/28-eu-population-2020-01-scaled.jpg the EU-27 without France] and of [https://zeihan.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/03/27-france-population-2020-01-scaled.jpg France in 2020]. Population pyramids of [https://zeihan.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/01/developed_without_us_2030.jpg the developed world without the U.S.] and of [https://zeihan.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/01/5.3-us-demography-2030.jpg the U.S. in 2030]. [[Peter Zeihan|Zeihan]] on Geopolitics. |
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{{s-start}} |
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{{succession box |
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| before = [[Generation Z]]<br />1997 – 2012 |
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| title = Generation Alpha |
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| years = 2013 – present |
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| after = N/A |
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}} |
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{{s-end}} |
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{{Generation|state=expanded}} |
{{Generation|state=expanded}} |
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{{Young adult development}} |
{{Young adult development}} |
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{{Authority control}} |
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[[Category:Generation Alpha| ]] |
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[[Category:21st century]] |
[[Category:21st century]] |
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[[Category: |
[[Category:2008 neologisms]] |
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[[Category:2000s neologisms]] |
[[Category:2000s neologisms]] |
Latest revision as of 07:38, 31 December 2024
Part of a series on |
Social generations of the Western world |
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Generation Alpha (often shortened to Gen Alpha) is the demographic cohort succeeding Generation Z. While researchers and popular media generally identify early 2010s as the starting birth years and the mid-2020s as the ending birth years, these ranges are not precisely defined and may vary depending on the source ( ). Named after alpha, the first letter in the Greek alphabet, Generation Alpha is the first to be born entirely in the 21st century and the third millennium. The majority of Generation Alpha are the children of Millennials.[1][2][3][4][5]
Generation Alpha has been born at a time of falling fertility rates across much of the world,[6][7] and experienced the effects of the COVID-19 pandemic as young children. For those with access, children's entertainment has been increasingly dominated by electronic technology, social networks, and streaming services, with interest in traditional television concurrently falling. Changes in the use of technology in classrooms and other aspects of life have had a significant effect on how this generation has experienced early learning compared to previous generations. Studies have suggested that health problems related to screen time, allergies, and obesity became increasingly prevalent in the late 2010s.
Terminology
The name Generation Alpha originated from a 2008 survey conducted by the Australian consulting agency McCrindle Research, according to founder Mark McCrindle, who is generally credited with the term.[8][9] McCrindle describes how his team arrived at the name in a 2015 interview:
When I was researching my book The ABC of XYZ: Understanding the Global Generations (published in 2009) it became apparent that a new generation was about to commence and there was no name for them. So I conducted a survey (we're researchers after all) to find out what people think the generation after Z should be called and while many names emerged, and Generation A was the most mentioned, Generation Alpha got some mentions too and so I settled on that for the title of the chapter Beyond Z: Meet Generation Alpha. It just made sense as it is in keeping with scientific nomenclature of using the Greek alphabet in lieu of the Latin and it didn't make sense to go back to A, after all they are the first generation wholly born in the 21st Century and so they are the start of something new not a return to the old.[10]
McCrindle Research also took inspiration from the naming of hurricanes, specifically the 2005 Atlantic hurricane season in which the names beginning with the letters of the Latin alphabet were exhausted, and the last six storms were named with the Greek letters alpha to zeta.[9]
In 2020 and 2021, some anticipated that the global impact of the COVID-19 pandemic would become this generation's defining event, suggesting the name Generation C or "Coronials" for those either born during, or growing up during, the pandemic.[11][12][13][14] In light of the increasing role of artificial intelligence, it has also been proposed that this generation should be called "Generation AI".[15][16]
Psychologist Jean Twenge refers to this cohort as "Polars" in light of the growing political polarization of the United States during the 2010s and 2020s, as well as the melting of polar ice caps, a sign of (anthropogenic) climate change.[17]
Date and age range definitions
There is no consensus yet on the birth years of Generation Alpha. McCrindle, who coined the term, uses 2010–2024[18] and some other sources have followed suit,[19][20] sometimes with minor variations like 2010–2025[21] or 2011–2025.[4] Some others have used shorter ranges, such as 2011–2021[22] or 2013–2021.[23]
Other sources, while they have not specified a range for Generation Alpha, have specified end years for Generation Z of 2010,[21] 2012,[24][25][26] or 2013,[27] implying a later start year than 2010 for Generation Alpha.
Demographics
As of 2015, there were some two and a half million people born every week around the globe; Generation Alpha is expected to reach close to two billion by 2025.[28] For comparison, the United Nations estimated that the human population was about 7.8 billion in 2020, up from 2.5 billion in 1950. As of 2020, roughly three-quarters of all people reside in Africa and Asia,[29] where most human population growth is coming from, as nations in Europe and the Americas tend to have too few children to replace themselves.[30]
The number of people above 65 years of age (705 million) exceeded those between the ages of zero and four (680 million) for the first time in 2018. If current trends continue, the ratio between these two age groups will top two by 2050.[31]
Birth rates have been falling around the world due to rising standards of living, higher access to contraceptives, and more educational and economic opportunities. In fact, about half of all countries had sub-replacement fertility in the mid-2010s. The global average reproduction rate in 1950 was 4.7 but dropped to 2.4 in 2017. However, this average masks the huge variation between countries. Niger has the world's highest fertility rate at 7.1, while South Korea has one of the lowest at 0.78 (2022). In general, the more developed countries, including much of Europe, the United States, South Korea, and Australia, tend to have lower reproduction rates,[32] with people statistically having fewer children, and at later ages.[31]
Surveys conducted in developed economies suggest that women's desired family sizes tend to be higher than the one they end up building. Stagnant wages and eroding welfare programs are the contributing factors.[citation needed] While some countries like Sweden and Singapore have tried various incentives to raise their birth rates, such policies have not been particularly successful. Moreover, birth rates following the COVID-19 global pandemic might drop significantly due to economic recession.[33] Data from late 2020 and early 2021 suggests that in spite of expectations of a baby boom occurring due to COVID-19 lockdowns, the opposite ended up happening in developed nations, though developing countries were not heavily affected.[citation needed]
Education is commonly cited as one of the most important determinants. The more educated a person is, the fewer children they have, and the later the age is in which they have children.[30] At the same time, global average life expectancy has risen from 52 in 1960 to 72 in 2017.[31] Higher interest in education brings about an environment in which mortality rates fall, which in turn increases population density.[34]
Half of the human population lived in urban areas in 2007, and this figure became 55% in 2019. If the current trend continues, it will reach two thirds by the middle of the century. A direct consequence of urbanization is a falling birth rate. People in urban environments demand greater autonomy and exercise more control over their bodies.[35] In mid-2019, the United Nations estimated that the human population will reach about 9.7 billion by 2050, a downward revision from an older projection to account for faster falling fertility rates in the developing world. The global annual rate of growth has been declining steadily since the late twentieth century, dropping to about one percent in 2019.[36] By the late 2010s, 83 of the world's countries had sub-replacement fertility.[37]
During the early to mid-2010s, more babies were born to Christian families than to those of any other religion in the world, while Muslims had a faster rate of growth. About 33% of the world's babies were born to Christians who made up 31% of the global population between 2010 and 2015, compared to 31% to Muslims, whose share of the human population was 24%. During the same period, the religiously unaffiliated (including atheists and agnostics) made up 16% of the population and gave birth to 10% of the world's children.[38]
Economic trends and prospects
Effects of intensifying wealth inequality in the early twenty-first century is expected to be seen in the next generation, as parental income and educational level are positively correlated with children's success.[39] In the United States, children from families in the highest income quintile are the most likely to live with married parents (94% in 2018), followed by children of the middle class (74%) and the bottom quintile (35%).[40]
Education
In many developing countries around the world, large numbers of children could not read a simple passage in their own national languages by the age of ten, according to the World Bank. In the Congo, the Philippines, and Ethiopia, over 80% of children were in this category. In India and Indonesia, the rates were at about 50%. In China and Vietnam, the corresponding numbers were under 20%.[41]
Asia
Addressing Japan's demographic crisis and low birthrate, in 2019, the government of Japanese Prime Minister Shinzō Abe introduced a number of education reforms. Starting in October 2019, preschool education would be free for all children between the ages of three and five, and child care would be free for children under the age of two from low-income households. These programs would be funded by a consumption tax hike, from eight to ten percent. Starting April 2020, entrance and tuition fees for public as well as private universities would be waived or reduced. Students from low-income and tax-exempt families would be eligible for financial assistance to help them cover textbook, transportation, and living expenses. The whole program was projected to cost 776 billion yen (7.1 billion USD) per annum.[42]
In 2020, the government of Vietnamese Prime Minister Nguyễn Xuân Phúc recommended a series of education reforms in order to raise the fertility rates of localities that found themselves below the replacement level, including the construction of daycare facilities and kindergartens in urban and industrial zones, housing subsidies for couples with two children in sub-replacement areas, and priority admission for children of said couples in public schools.[43]
In early 2021, the government of China announced a plan to invest more in physical education (PE) in order to make young boys "more masculine". Due to a combination of the (now rescinded) one-child policy and the traditional preference for sons, young boys are perceived by many to be overly coddled by their parents, and looked at as effeminate, delicate, and timid. In order to calm public concerns, state-controlled media published pieces downplaying gender roles and gender differences.[44]
In India, the population of Generation Alpha (those aged 0–14 years) was recorded as 346.9 million in the year 2011. By 2021, this figure slightly decreased to 336.9 million. As per the latest projections, it is estimated that the population of Generation Alpha will further decline to approximately 327 million by the year 2026.[citation needed]
Europe
In France, while year-long mandatory military service for men was abolished in 1996,[45] all citizens between 17 and 25 years of age must still participate in the Defense and Citizenship Day, when they are introduced to the French Armed Forces, and take language tests.[45] In 2019, President Emmanuel Macron introduced a similar mandatory service program for teenagers, as promised during his presidential campaign. Known as the Service National Universel or SNU, it is a compulsory civic service. Though it does not explicitly involve military training, it requires recruits to spend four weeks at a camp where they participate in a variety of activities designed to teach practical skills, personal discipline and a greater understanding of the French political system and society. The aim of this program is to promote national cohesion and patriotism, and to encourage interaction among young people of different backgrounds.[46] The SNU is due to become mandatory for all French 16 to 21 year olds by 2026.[46]
In 2023, the French government announced a two-billion-euro plan to promote biking in the country. This includes an initiative to train all primary school children on how to ride a bicycle.[47]
North America
In 2018, the American Academy of Pediatrics released a policy statement summarizing progress on developmental and neurological research on unstructured time spent by children, colloquially 'play', and noting the importance of playtime for social, cognitive, and language skills development. This is because to many educators and parents, play has come to be seen as outdated and irrelevant.[48] In fact, between 1981 and 1997, time spent by children on unstructured activities dropped by 25% due to increased amounts of time spent on structured activities. Unstructured time tended to be spent on screens at the expense of active play.[49] The statement encourages parents and children to spend more time on "playful learning", which reinforces the intrinsic motivation to learn and discover and strengthens the bond between children and their parents and other caregivers. It also helps children handle stress and prevents "toxic stress", something that hampers development. Dr. Michael Yogman, the lead author of the statement, noted that play does not necessarily have to involve fancy toys; common household items would do as well. Moreover, parents reading to children also counts as play, because it encourages children to use their imaginations.[48]
In 2019, psychiatrists from Quebec launched a campaign advocating the creation of courses on mental health for primary schoolchildren in order to teach them how to handle a personal or social crisis, and to deal with the psychological impact of the digital world. According to the Association des médecins psychiatres du Québec (AMPQ), this campaign focuses on children born after 2010, that is, Generation Alpha. In addition to the AMPQ, this movement is backed by the Fédération des médecins spécialistes du Québec (FMSQ), the Quebec Pediatric Association (APQ), the Association des spécialistes en médecine préventive du Québec (ASMPQ) and the Fondation Jeunes en Tête.[50][51]
Although the Common Core standards, an education initiative in the United States, eliminated the requirement that public elementary schools teach cursive writing in 2010, lawmakers from many states, including Illinois, Ohio, and Texas, have introduced legislation to teach it in theirs in 2019.[52] Some studies point to the benefits of handwriting – print or cursive – for the development of cognitive and motor skills as well as memory and comprehension. For example, one 2012 neuroscience study suggests that handwriting "may facilitate reading acquisition in young children."[53] Cursive writing has been used to help students with learning disabilities, such as dyslexia, a disorder that makes it difficult to interpret words, letters, and other symbols.[54] Unfortunately, lawmakers often cite these studies out of context, conflating handwriting in general with cursive handwriting.[52] In any case, some 80% of historical records and documents of the United States, such as the correspondence of Abraham Lincoln, were written by hand in cursive, and students today tend to be unable to read them.[55] Historically, cursive writing was regarded as a mandatory, almost military, exercise. But today, it is thought of as an art form by those who pursue it, both adults and children.[53]
In 2013, less than a third of American public schools had access to broadband Internet service, according to the non-profit EducationSuperHighway. By 2019, however, that number reached 99%. This has increased the frequency of digital learning.[56]
Since the early 2010s, a number of U.S. states have taken steps to strengthen teacher education. Ohio, Tennessee, and Texas had the top programs in 2014. Meanwhile, Rhode Island, which previously had the nation's lowest bar on who can train to become a school teacher, has been admitting education students with higher and higher average SAT, ACT, and GRE scores. As of 2014, the state aimed by 2020 to accept only those with standardized test scores in the top third of the national distribution, similar to Finland and Singapore.[57]
According to the National Assessment of Educational Progress (NAEP), 63% of American fourth graders could read at the basic level in 2022, which is lower than previous years of assessment, dating back to 2005.[58] Nevertheless, scores have been in decline even before the COVID-19 pandemic.[59] Taking advantage of the latest advances in the neuroscience of reading, some instructors have returned to the teaching of phonics to help rectify this problem,[59] with support from the parents and their state governments.[60][61]
According to Jill Barshay of Heschinger Report, because U.S. fertility rates never recovered after the 2007–2008 Great Recession, those born in the late 2000s and onward will likely face less competition getting accepted to colleges and universities.[62]
Health and welfare
Allergies
While food allergies have been observed by doctors since ancient times and virtually all foods can be allergens, research by the Mayo Clinic in Minnesota found that they have become increasingly common since the early 2000s. By the late 2010s, one in twelve American children had a food allergy, with peanut allergy being the most prevalent type. Reasons for this remain poorly understood.[63] Nut allergies in general quadrupled and shellfish allergies increased 40% between 2004 and 2019. In all, about 36% of American children have some kind of allergy. By comparison, this number among the Amish in Indiana is 7%. Allergies have also risen ominously in other Western countries. In the United Kingdom, for example, the number of children hospitalized for allergic reactions increased by a factor of five between 1990 and the late 2010s, as did the number of British children allergic to peanuts. In general, the better developed the country, the higher the rates of allergies.[64] Reasons for this also remain poorly understood.[63] One possible explanation, supported by the U.S. National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, is that parents keep their children "too clean for their own good." They recommend exposing newborn babies to a variety of potentially allergenic foods, such as peanut butter, before they reach the age of six months. According to this "hygiene hypothesis", such exposures give the infant's immune system some exercise, making it less likely to overreact. Evidence for this includes the fact that children living on a farm are consistently less likely to be allergic than their counterparts who are raised in the city, and that children born in a developed country to parents who immigrated from developing nations are more likely to be allergic than their parents are.[64]
Vaccinations
In the United States, public health officials were raising the alarm in the 2010s when vaccination rates dropped. Many parents thought that they did not need to vaccinate their children against diseases such as polio and measles because they had become either extremely rare or eliminated. Officials warn that infectious diseases could return if not enough people get inoculated.[65]
In the wake of the COVID-19 pandemic, the World Health Organization (WHO) recommended that mass vaccination campaigns be suspended in order to ensure social distancing. Dozens of countries followed this advice. However, some public health experts warned that the suspension of these programs can come with serious consequences, especially in poor countries with weak healthcare systems. For children from these places, such campaigns are the only way for them to get vaccinated against various communicable diseases such as polio, measles, cholera, human papillomavirus (HPV), and meningitis. Case numbers could surge afterwards. Moreover, because of the lockdown measures, namely, the restriction of international travels and transport, some countries might find themselves running short on not just medical equipment but also vaccines. SARS-CoV-2 can inflict more damage than the people it infects and kills.[66] In fact, SARS-CoV-2 is less dangerous for infants compared to influenza or the respiratory syncytial virus (RSV).[67]
Obesity and malnutrition
A report by the United Nations Children's Fund (UNICEF) released October 2019 stated that some 700 million children under the age of five worldwide are either obese or undernourished. Although there was a 40% drop in malnourishment in developing countries between 1990 and 2015, some 149 million toddlers are too short for their age, which hampers body and brain development. UNICEF's nutrition program chief Victor Aguayo said, "A mother who is overweight or obese can have children who are stunted or wasted." About one in two youngsters suffer from deficiencies of vitamins and minerals. Although pediatricians and nutritionists recommend exclusive breastfeeding for infants below five months of age, only about 40% were. Meanwhile, the sale of formula milk jumped 40% globally. In advanced developing countries such as Brazil, China, and Turkey, that number is 75%. Even though obesity was virtually non-existent in poor countries three decades ago, today, at least ten percent of children in them suffer from this condition. The report recommends taxes on sugary drinks and beverages and enhanced regulatory oversight of breast milk substitutes and fast foods.[68]
Problems arising from screen time
A 2015 study found that the frequency of nearsightedness had doubled in the United Kingdom within the last 50 years. Ophthalmologist Steve Schallhorn, chairman of the Optical Express International Medical Advisory Board, noted that researchers had pointed to a link between the regular use of handheld electronic devices and eyestrain. The American Optometric Association sounded the alarm in a similar vein.[69] According to a spokeswoman, digital eyestrain, or computer vision syndrome, is "rampant, especially as we move toward smaller devices and the prominence of devices increase in our everyday lives." Symptoms include dry and irritated eyes, fatigue, eye strain, blurry vision, difficulty focusing, and headaches. However, the syndrome does not cause vision loss or any other permanent damage. In order to alleviate or prevent eyestrain, the Vision Council recommends that people limit screen time, take frequent breaks, adjust the screen brightness, change the background from bright colors to gray, increase text sizes, and blink more often. The Council advises parents to limit their children's screen time as well as lead by example by reducing their own screen time in front of children.[70]
In 2019, the WHO issued recommendations on the amount young children should spend in front of a screen every day. WHO said toddlers under the age of five should spend no more than an hour watching a screen and infants under the age of one should not be watching at all. Its guidelines are similar to those introduced by the American Academy of Pediatrics, which recommended that children under 19 months old should not spend time watching anything other than video chats. Moreover, it said children under two years old should only watch "high-quality programming" under parental supervision. However, Andrew Przybylski, who directs research at the Oxford Internet Institute at the University of Oxford, told the Associated Press that "Not all screen time is created equal" and that screen time advice needs to take into account "the content and context of use." In addition, the United Kingdom's Royal College of Paediatrics and Child Health said its available data was not strong enough to indicate the necessity of screen time limits. WHO said its recommendations were intended to address the problem of sedentary behavior leading to health issues such as obesity.[71]
A 2019 study published in JAMA Pediatrics investigated how screen time affected the brain structure of children aged three to five (preschoolers) using MRI scans. The test subjects—27 girls and 20 boys—took cognitive tests before their brain scans while their parents answered a questionnaire on screen time developed by the American Academy of Pediatrics. The researchers found that the toddlers who spent more than an hour per day in front of a screen without parental involvement showed less development in the brain's white matter, the region responsible for cognitive and linguistic skills. Lead author Dr. John Hutton, a pediatrician and clinical researcher at Cincinnati Children's Hospital, told CNN that this finding was significant because the brain develops most rapidly during the first five years of a person's life. Previous studies revealed that excessive screen time is linked to sleep deprivation, impaired language development, behavioral problems, difficulty paying attention and thinking clearly, poor eating habits, and damaged executive functions.[72][73]
Diet
In 2021, Illinois-based ingredient company FONA issued a survey about Generation Alpha that found "72% of Millennials with kids say their families are consuming plant-based meats more often." The survey also found that Generation Alpha likes international food from countries which include India, Peru, Vietnam and Morocco.[74] A 2019 research study from Linda McCartney Foods found close to 50% of Generation Alpha reducing meat consumption, with 70% reporting their schools did not offer many vegetarian or vegan school meals.[75] In 2022, newspaper columnist Avery Yale Kamila wrote that "knowing quite a few members of Gen Alpha, I predict these young people will look at Gen Z's love of vegan meals and say, 'Hold my soy milk', before showing us how veg-forward a generation can get."[76] In 2021, brand firm JDO issued a research report that found less structured mealtimes mean more snacking among Generation Alpha and that Generation Alpha prefers nutrient-dense snacks that engage the senses and are sustainable or more mindful.[77]
Climate change
Generation Alpha will be significantly more affected by climate change than older generations. It is estimated that children born in 2020 will experience up to seven times as many extreme weather events over their lifetimes, particularly heat waves, compared to people born in 1960, under current climate policy pledges.[78][79]
Use of media technologies
Information and communications technologies (ICT)
Many members of Generation Alpha have grown up using smartphones and tablets as part of their childhood entertainment, with many being exposed to devices as a soothing distraction or educational aids.[80][28] Screen time among infants, toddlers, and preschoolers has increased significantly during the 2010s. Some 90% of young children used a handheld electronic device by the age of one; in some cases, children started using them when they were only a few months old.[72] Using smartphones and tablets to access video streaming services such as YouTube Kids and free or reasonably low-budget mobile games became a popular form of entertainment for young children.[81] A report by Common Sense media suggested that the amount of time children under nine in the United States spent using mobile devices increased from 15 minutes a day in 2013 to 48 minutes in 2017.[82] Research by the children's charity Childwise suggested that a majority of British three- and four-year-olds owned an Internet-connected device by 2018.[83]
Being born into an environment where the use of electronic devices is ubiquitous comes with its own challenges: cyber-bullying, screen addiction, and inappropriate content.[1] On the other hand, much of the research on the effects of screen time on children has been inconclusive or even suggested positive effects.[84] The writer and educator Jordan Shapiro has suggested that the increasingly technological nature of childhood should be embraced as a way to prepare children for life in an increasingly digital world as well as teaching them skills for offline life.[84]
Parental internet use
Generation Alpha have also been surrounded by adult Internet use from the beginning of their lives. Their parents, primarily Millennials, are heavy social media users. A 2014 report from cybersecurity firm AVG stated that 6% of parents created a social media account and 8% an email account for their baby or toddler. According to BabyCenter, an online company specializing in pregnancy, childbirth, and child-rearing, 79% of Millennial mothers used social media on a daily basis and 63% used their smartphones more frequently since becoming pregnant or giving birth. More specifically, 24% logged on to Facebook more frequently and 33% did the same to Instagram after becoming a mother. Non-profit advocacy group Common Sense Media warned that parents should take better care of their online privacy, lest their and their children's personal information and photographs fall into the wrong hands. This warning was issued after a Utah mother reportedly found a photograph of her children on a social media post with pornographic hashtags in May 2015.[85] Nevertheless, the Millennial generation's familiarity with the online world allows them to use their personal experience to help their children navigate it.[1]
Members of Generation Z often use the term "iPad kid" when referring to Generation Alpha.[86] This term was coined due to the majority of Generation Alpha's early childhood being spent watching and interacting with tablets and other smart mobile devices with the assumption of them being addicted.[87] In 2017, a study suggested that at least 80 percent of young children had access to a smart mobile device and schoolchildren had an average screentime of around seven hours a day.[87][88] Apple iPads are one of the most popular smart mobile devices hence the name.
Television and streaming services
In part due to the surge in use of handheld devices,[28] broadcast television viewing among children has declined during the early lives of Generation Alpha. Statistics from the United States suggested that viewing of children's cable networks among American 2- to 11-year-olds were falling sharply in early 2020 and continued to do so (albeit by smaller amounts) even after COVID-19 restrictions took children out of school and kept them at home.[89] Research from the United Kingdom suggested that viewing of traditional broadcasting among British 4- to 15-year-olds fell from an average of 151 minutes in 2010 to 77 minutes in 2018.[90] However, accessing televised programming via streaming and catch up services has become increasingly popular among children during the same time period. In 2019, almost 60% of Netflix's 152 million global subscribers accessed content for children and families at least once a month.[91] In the United Kingdom, requests for children's programming on the BBC's catch up service iPlayer increased substantially during the time of the COVID-19 pandemic.[92][93] In 2019, the catch-up service for Australian broadcaster ABC received more than half its views via children's content.[94]
Family and social life
Upbringing
Research from 2021 suggested that British children were allowed out to play without adult supervision almost two years later than their parents had been. The study of five- to eleven-year-olds suggested that the average age for a child to be first given that freedom was 10.7 years old whilst their parents recalled being let out noticeably earlier at an average of 8.9 years of age. Helen Dodd, a professor of child psychology at the University of Reading, who led the study commented "In the largest study of play in Britain, we can clearly see that there is a trend to be protective and to provide less freedom for our children now than in previous generations... The concerns we have from this report are twofold. First, we are seeing children getting towards the end of their primary school years without having had enough opportunities to develop their ability to assess and manage risk independently. Second, if children are getting less time to play outdoors in an adventurous way, this may have an impact on their mental health and overall wellbeing." The research also suggested that children were more likely to be allowed to play outside unsupervised at an earlier age if they were white, the second or later born, living in Scotland or had better educated parents.[95]
In the United States, the share of children living with single parents (and no other adults) continued to grow during the 2010s, reaching 23% in 2019, higher than any other country studied by the Pew Research Center, including neighbouring Canada, at 15%.[96] This has raised concern over their welfare.[97][98] On the other hand, in Asia (including the Middle East), single-parent households are extremely rare.[96] But American children of the 2010s and 2020s are much safer than ever before, thanks to children's car seats, seat-belt laws, and swimming-pool safety reforms, among other things. At the same time, their parents tend to have fewer of them and to have them later in life, after achieving financial security, and as such are in a position to devote more resources to rearing them.[17]
Major events
COVID-19 pandemic
Much of Generation Alpha lived through the global COVID-19 pandemic as young children, the oldest of them being 8 years old at the time the pandemic began in early 2020. Although they are at far less risk of becoming seriously ill with the disease than their elders,[67] this cohort is dramatically affected by the crisis in other ways.[99] Many are faced with extended periods out of school or daycare and much more time at home,[100] which raised concerns about potential harm to the development of small children and the academic attainment of those of school age[101][102][103] while putting some, especially the particularly vulnerable, at greater risk of abuse.[104] The crises also led to increased child malnutrition and increased mortality, especially in developing countries.[105]
A study of the understanding of seven- to twelve-year-olds of the pandemic in the UK, Spain, Canada, Sweden, Brazil and Australia found that more than half of children knew a significant amount about COVID-19. They associated the topic with various negative emotions saying it made them feel "worried", "scared", "angry" and "confused". They tended to be aware of the types of people which were most vulnerable to the virus and the restrictions which were enforced in their communities. Many had learned new terms and phrases in relation to the pandemic such as social distancing. They were most commonly informed about COVID-19 by teachers and parents, but also learned about the subject from friends, television and the Internet.[106]
A report by UNICEF in late 2021 described the COVID-19 pandemic as "the biggest threat to children in our 75-year history." It noted that amongst other effects, levels of child poverty and malnutrition had sharply increased. Education and the services designed to protect vulnerable children had been disrupted across the world. Child labour rates had increased, reversing a 20-year fall.[107]
While children were at less direct risk in general from COVID-19, the disease was nevertheless a top-ten cause of death for children during the most acute phases of the pandemic. In the United States, it was the sixth leading cause of death for children in 2021[108] and the eighth in 2023.[109] The CDC reported that, globally, 10.5 million children had been orphaned by COVID-19.[110]
Projections of demographic changes
The first wave of Generation Alpha will reach adulthood by the 2030s. It was predicted in 2018 that, by that time, the world population is expected to be just under nine billion, and the world will have the highest ever proportion of people aged over 60,[111] meaning this demographic cohort will bear the burden of an aging population.[2] According to Mark McCrindle, a social researcher from Australia, Generation Alpha will most likely delay standard life markers such as marriage, childbirth, and retirement, as did the previous generations. McCrindle estimated that Generation Alpha will make up 11% of the global workforce by 2030.[2] He also predicted that they will live longer and have smaller families, and will be "the most formally educated generation ever, the most technology-supplied generation ever, and globally the wealthiest generation ever."[28]
In 2018, the United Nations forecasted that while the global average life expectancy would rise from 70 in 2015 to 83 in 2100, the ratio of people of working age to senior citizens would shrink due to falling fertility rates worldwide. By 2050, many nations in Asia, Europe, and Latin America would have fewer than two workers per retiree. U.N. figures show that, leaving out migration, all of Europe, Japan, and the United States were shrinking in the 2010s, but by 2050, 48 countries and territories would experience a population decline.[112]
As of 2020, the latest demographic projections from the United Nations predict that there would be 8.5 billion people by 2030, 9.7 billion by 2050, and 10.9 billion by 2100. U.N. calculations assume countries with especially low fertility rates will see them rise to an average of 1.8 per woman. However, a 2020 study by researchers from Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME), University of Washington, published in the Lancet projected there would only be about 8.8 billion people by 2100, two billion fewer than what the U.N. predicted. This was because their analysis suggested that as educational opportunities and family planning services become more and more accessible for women, they would choose to have no more than 1.5 children on average. A majority of the world's countries would continue to see their fertility rates decline, the researchers claimed. In particular, over 20 countries—including China, Japan, South Korea, Thailand, Spain, Italy, Portugal, and Poland—would find their populations reduced by around half or more. Meanwhile, sub-Saharan Africa would continue to experience a population boom, with Nigeria reaching 800 million people by century's end. Lower-than-expected human population growth means less stress on the environment and on food supplies, but it also points to a bleak economic picture for the greying countries. For the sub-Saharan African countries, though, there would be considerable opportunity for growth. The researchers predicted that as the century unfolds, major but aging economies such as Brazil, Russia, Italy, and Spain would shrink while Japan, Germany, France, and the United Kingdom would remain within the top ten. India would eventually claim the third spot. China would displace the United States as the largest economy in the world by mid-century, but would return to second place later on.[113]
A 2017 projection by the Pew Research Center suggests that between 2015 and 2060, the human population would grow by about 32%. Among the major religious groups, only Muslims (70%) and Christians (34%) are above this threshold and as such would have a higher share of the global population than they do now, especially Muslims. Hindus (27%), Jews (15%), followers of traditional folk religions (5%), and the religiously unaffiliated (3%) would grow in absolute numbers, but would be in relative decline because their rates of growth are below the global average. On the other hand, Buddhists would find their numbers shrink by 7% during the same period. This is due to sub-replacement fertility and population aging in Buddhist-majority countries such as China, Japan, and Thailand. This projection has taken into account religious switching. Moreover, previous research suggests that switching plays only a minor role in the growth or decline of religion compared to fertility and mortality.[38]
See also
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External links
- Why your smartphone is irresistible (and why it's worth trying to resist). Psychologist Adam Alter on the PBS Newshour. April 21, 2017.
- The Power of Play: A Pediatric Role in Enhancing Development in Young Children. Michael Yogman, Andrew Garner, Jeffrey Hutchinson, Kathy Hirsh-Pasek, Roberta Michnick Golinkoff. Committee on Psychosocial Aspects of Children and Family Health, Council on Communications and Media, American Academy of Pediatrics. September 2018.
- A 'million word gap' for children who aren't read to at home. Jessica A. R. Logan, Laura M. Justice, Melike Yumuş, Leydi Johana Chaparro-Moreno. Journal of Developmental & Behavioral Pediatrics. April 4, 2019.
- Population pyramids of the EU-27 without France and of France in 2020. Population pyramids of the developed world without the U.S. and of the U.S. in 2030. Zeihan on Geopolitics.