1972 United States presidential election: Difference between revisions
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{{Short description|none}}{{for|related races|1972 United States elections}} |
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{{Use mdy dates|date=November 2013}}{{Infobox election |
{{Use mdy dates|date=November 2013}}{{Infobox election |
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| election_name = 1972 United States presidential election |
| election_name = 1972 United States presidential election |
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| country = United States |
| country = United States |
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| flag_year = |
| flag_year = 1961 |
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| type = presidential |
| type = presidential |
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| opinion_polls = Nationwide opinion polling for the 1972 United States presidential election |
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| previous_election = 1968 United States presidential election |
| previous_election = 1968 United States presidential election |
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| previous_year = 1968 |
| previous_year = 1968 |
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| home_state1 = [[California]] |
| home_state1 = [[California]] |
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| running_mate1 = '''[[Spiro Agnew]]''' |
| running_mate1 = '''[[Spiro Agnew]]''' |
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| electoral_vote1 = '''520'''{{efn|A faithless Republican elector voted for the Libertarian ticket |
| electoral_vote1 = '''520'''{{efn|A faithless Republican elector voted for the Libertarian ticket (Hospers–Nathan).}} |
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| states_carried1 = '''49''' |
| states_carried1 = '''49''' |
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| popular_vote1 = '''47,168,710''' |
| popular_vote1 = '''47,168,710''' |
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| percentage1 = '''{{percent|47,168,710|77,744,027|1|pad=yes}}''' |
| percentage1 = '''{{percent|47,168,710|77,744,027|1|pad=yes}}''' |
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| image2 = George McGovern (D-SD) (3x4-1).jpg |
| image2 = George McGovern (D-SD) (3x4-1).jpg |
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| nominee2 = [[George McGovern]] |
| nominee2 = [[George McGovern]] |
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| popular_vote2 = 29,173,222 |
| popular_vote2 = 29,173,222 |
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| percentage2 = {{percent|29,173,222|77,744,027|1|pad=yes}} |
| percentage2 = {{percent|29,173,222|77,744,027|1|pad=yes}} |
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| image3 = |
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| nominee3 = |
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| party3 = |
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| home_state3 = |
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| running_mate3 = |
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| electoral_vote3 = |
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| states_carried3 = |
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| popular_vote3 = |
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| percentage3 = |
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| map_size = 350px |
| map_size = 350px |
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| map = {{1972 United States presidential election imagemap}} |
| map = {{1972 United States presidential election imagemap}} |
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| map_caption = Presidential election results map. <span style="color:red;">Red</span> denotes states won by Nixon/Agnew and <span style="color:blue;"> |
| map_caption = Presidential election results map. <span style="color:red;">Red</span> denotes states won by Nixon/Agnew and <span style="color:blue;">blue</span> denotes those won by McGovern/Shriver. <span style="color:#b78f21;">Gold</span> is the electoral vote for [[John Hospers|Hospers]]/[[Tonie Nathan|Nathan]] by a [[Virginia]] [[faithless elector]]. Numbers indicate [[electoral votes]] cast by each state and the District of Columbia. |
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| title = President |
| title = President |
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| before_election = [[Richard Nixon]] |
| before_election = [[Richard Nixon]] |
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}} |
}} |
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{{Watergate|Events}} |
{{Watergate|Events}} |
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[[United States presidential election|Presidential elections]] were held in the [[United States]] on November 7, 1972. Incumbent [[Republican Party (United States)|Republican]] [[President of the United States|President]] [[Richard Nixon]] defeated [[Democratic Party (United States)|Democratic]] Senator [[George McGovern]] in a [[landslide victory]]. With 60.7% of the popular vote, Richard Nixon won the [[List of United States presidential elections by popular vote margin|largest share]] of the popular vote for the Republican Party in any presidential election. |
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Nixon swept aside challenges from two Republican representatives in [[1972 Republican Party presidential primaries|the Republican primaries]] to win renomination. McGovern, who had played a significant role in [[McGovern–Fraser Commission|changing the Democratic nomination system]] after [[1968 United States presidential election|the 1968 presidential election]], mobilized the [[anti-Vietnam War movement]] and other liberal supporters to win [[1972 Democratic Party presidential primaries|his party's nomination]]. Among the candidates he defeated were early front-runner [[Edmund Muskie]], 1968 nominee [[Hubert Humphrey]], governor [[George Wallace]], and representative [[Shirley Chisholm]]. |
Nixon swept aside challenges from two Republican representatives in [[1972 Republican Party presidential primaries|the Republican primaries]] to win renomination. McGovern, who had played a significant role in [[McGovern–Fraser Commission|changing the Democratic nomination system]] after [[1968 United States presidential election|the 1968 presidential election]], mobilized the [[anti-Vietnam War movement]] and other liberal supporters to win [[1972 Democratic Party presidential primaries|his party's nomination]]. Among the candidates he defeated were early front-runner [[Edmund Muskie]], 1968 nominee [[Hubert Humphrey]], governor [[George Wallace]], and representative [[Shirley Chisholm]]. |
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Nixon emphasized the strong economy and his success in foreign affairs, while McGovern ran on a platform calling for an immediate end to the Vietnam War and the institution of a [[guaranteed minimum income]]. Nixon maintained a large lead in polling. Separately, Nixon's [[Committee for the Re-Election of the President|reelection committee]] broke into the [[Watergate complex]] to wiretap the [[Democratic National Committee]]'s headquarters as part of the [[Watergate scandal]]. McGovern's general election campaign was damaged early on by revelations |
Nixon emphasized the strong economy and his success in foreign affairs, while McGovern ran on a platform calling for an immediate end to the Vietnam War and the institution of a [[guaranteed minimum income]]. Nixon maintained a large lead in polling. Separately, Nixon's [[Committee for the Re-Election of the President|reelection committee]] broke into the [[Watergate complex]] to wiretap the [[Democratic National Committee]]'s headquarters as part of the [[Watergate scandal]]. McGovern's general election campaign was damaged early on by revelations about his running mate [[Thomas Eagleton]], as well as the perception that McGovern's platform was radical. Eagleton had undergone [[electroconvulsive therapy]] as a treatment for depression, and he was replaced by [[Sargent Shriver]] after only nineteen days on the ticket. |
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Nixon won the election in a [[landslide victory]], taking 60.7% of the popular vote |
Nixon won the election in a [[landslide victory]], taking 60.7% of the popular vote, carrying 49 states and becoming the first Republican to sweep [[Southern United States|the South]], whereas McGovern took just 37.5% of the popular vote. This marked the most recent time that the Republican nominee carried [[Minnesota]] in a presidential election; it also made Nixon the only two-term vice president to be elected president twice. The 1972 election was the first since the ratification of the [[Twenty-sixth Amendment to the United States Constitution|26th Amendment]], which lowered the voting age from 21 to 18, further expanding the electorate. |
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Nixon and his vice president [[Spiro Agnew]] both resigned from office within two years of the election. Agnew resigned due to a bribery scandal in October 1973, and Nixon resigned in the face of likely impeachment and conviction as a result of the Watergate scandal in August 1974. Republican House Minority Leader [[Gerald Ford]] replaced Agnew as vice president in December 1973, and thus replaced Nixon as president in August 1974. Ford remains the only person in American history to become president without winning an election for president or vice president. |
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Despite this election delivering Nixon's greatest electoral triumph, Nixon later wrote in his memoirs that "it was one of the most frustrating and in many ways the least satisfying of all".<ref>{{Cite web|url=https://www.nixonfoundation.org/2009/11/my-morris-moment/|title=My Morris Moment »|first=David|last=Emig|date=November 7, 2009|access-date=March 29, 2021|archive-date=April 18, 2023|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20230418145324/https://www.nixonfoundation.org/2009/11/my-morris-moment/|url-status=live}}</ref> |
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If president [[Joe Biden]] is re-elected in [[2024 United States presidential election|2024]], it would be the second time where the winner is elected twice to both offices as president and vice president, after Nixon himself since this election. |
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==Republican nomination== |
==Republican nomination== |
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| style="width:3em; width:200px;"|'''''for Vice President''''' |
| style="width:3em; width:200px;"|'''''for Vice President''''' |
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|- |
|- |
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| [[File:Richard Nixon presidential portrait.jpg|center|200x200px]] |
| [[File:Richard Nixon presidential portrait (1).jpg|center|200x200px]] |
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| [[File:Spiro Agnew.jpg|center|200x200px]] |
| [[File:Spiro Agnew.jpg|center|200x200px]] |
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|- |
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|[[List of vice presidents of the United States|39th]]<br />[[Vice President of the United States]]<br /><small>(1969–1973)</small> |
|[[List of vice presidents of the United States|39th]]<br />[[Vice President of the United States]]<br /><small>(1969–1973)</small> |
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|- |
|- |
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| colspan=2 |[[ |
| colspan=2 |[[Richard Nixon 1972 presidential campaign|'''Campaign''']] |
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|- |
|- |
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| colspan=2 |[[File:Nixon Agnew 1972 campaign logo.svg|200x200px]] |
| colspan=2 |[[File:Nixon Agnew 1972 campaign logo.svg|200x200px]] |
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==Democratic nomination== |
==Democratic nomination== |
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{{Main|1972 Democratic Party presidential primaries}} |
{{Main|1972 Democratic Party presidential primaries}} |
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Overall, fifteen people declared their candidacy for the Democratic Party nomination. They were:<ref>{{cite web |url=http://library.cqpress.com/cqalmanac/document.php?id=cqal72-1249975 |title=CQ Almanac Online Edition |publisher=Library.cqpress.com |access-date=2016-08-17 |archive-date=June 8, 2020 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20200608024554/http://library.cqpress.com/cqalmanac/searchform.php?alert=The+document+you+requested+could+not+be+located.+Use+this+search+screen+to+locate+the+document+based+on+its+title+or+other+pertinent+details.%2F |url-status=live }}</ref><ref>{{cite news |url=http://the.honoluluadvertiser.com/article/2002/Sep/29/ln/ln04a.html |title=Hawai'i, nation lose "a powerful voice" | The Honolulu Advertiser | Hawaii's Newspaper |newspaper=The Honolulu Advertiser |access-date=2016-08-17 |archive-date=December 19, 2019 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20191219165527/http://the.honoluluadvertiser.com/article/2002/Sep/29/ln/ln04a.html |url-status=live }}</ref> |
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*[[George McGovern]], [[United States Senate|senator]] from [[South Dakota]] |
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*[[Hubert Humphrey]], senator from [[Minnesota]], former [[Vice President of the United States|vice president]], and presidential nominee in 1968 |
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*[[George Wallace]], Governor of Alabama |
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*[[Edmund Muskie]], senator from Maine, vice presidential nominee in 1968 |
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*[[Eugene J. McCarthy]], former senator from Minnesota |
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*[[Henry M. Jackson]], senator from [[Washington (state)|Washington]] |
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*[[Shirley Chisholm]], Representative of [[New York's 12th congressional district]] |
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*[[Terry Sanford]], former governor of North Carolina |
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*[[John Lindsay]], Mayor of New York City |
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*[[Wilbur Mills]], representative of [[Arkansas's 2nd congressional district]] |
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*[[Vance Hartke]], senator from Indiana |
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*[[Fred R. Harris|Fred Harris]], senator from Oklahoma |
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*[[Sam Yorty]], Mayor of Los Angeles |
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*[[Patsy Mink]], representative of [[Hawaii's 2nd congressional district]] |
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*[[Walter Fauntroy]], Delegate from Washington, D. C. |
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{| class="wikitable" style="font-size:90%; text-align:center;" |
{| class="wikitable" style="font-size:90%; text-align:center;" |
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|- |
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| [[File:George McGovern (D-SD) (3x4-1).jpg|center|201x201px]] |
| [[File:George McGovern (D-SD) (3x4-1).jpg|center|201x201px]] |
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| [[File:Sargent Shriver 1961.jpg|center|200x200px]] |
| [[File:Sargent Shriver 1961 (cropped 3x4).jpg|center|200x200px]] |
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|- |
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| [[United States Senate|U.S. Senator]]<br />from [[South Dakota]]<br /><small>(1963–1981)</small> |
| [[United States Senate|U.S. Senator]]<br />from [[South Dakota]]<br /><small>(1963–1981)</small> |
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| colspan=2 |[[File:McGovern Shriver 1972 campaign logo.svg|200x200px]] |
| colspan=2 |[[File:McGovern Shriver 1972 campaign logo.svg|200x200px]] |
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|- |
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|} |
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{| class="wikitable mw-collapsible" style="font-size:90%;" |
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|- <sup>†</sup> |
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| colspan="9" style="text-align:center; width:700px; font-size:120%; color:white; background:{{party color|Democratic Party (United States)}};"|''Candidates in this section are sorted by performance in the delegate contests'' |
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|- style="text-align:center" |
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! scope="col" style="width:10em; font-size:120%;"|[[Hubert Humphrey]] |
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! scope="col" style="width:10em; font-size:120%;"|[[George Wallace]] |
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! scope="col" style="width:10em; font-size:120%;"|[[Edmund Muskie]] |
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! scope="col" style="width:10em; font-size:120%;"|[[Henry M. Jackson]] |
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! scope="col" style="width:10em; font-size:120%;"|[[Wilbur Mills]] |
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! scope="col" style="width:10em; font-size:120%;"|[[Shirley Chisholm]] |
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! scope="col" style="width:10em; font-size:120%;"|[[Terry Sanford]] |
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|- style="text-align:center" |
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|[[File:Hubert Humphrey senate portrait.jpg|center|120x120px]] |
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|[[File:George Wallace official portrait (3x4).jpg|center|120x120px]] |
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|[[File:Edmund Muskie.jpg|center|120x120px]] |
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|[[File:HenryJackson.jpg|center|120x120px]] |
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|[[File:WilburMills.jpg|center|120x120px]] |
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|[[File:Shirley Chisholm.jpg|center|120x120px]] |
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|[[File:Terry Sanford, 1961-1965 (8408755490).jpg|center|120x120px]] |
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|- style="text-align:center" |
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|[[Vice President of the United States|U.S. Vice President]]<br>from [[Minnesota]]<br><small>(1965–1969)</small> |
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|[[Governor of Alabama]]<br><small>(1961–1967; 1971–''1979'')</small> |
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|[[United States Senate|U.S. Senator]]<br>from [[Maine]]<br><small>(1959–''1980'')</small> |
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|[[United States Senate|U.S. Senator]]<br>from [[Washington (state)|Washington]]<br><small>(1953–''1983'')</small> |
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|[[United States House of Representatives|U.S. Representative]]<br>from [[Arkansas]]<br><small>(1939–''1977'')</small> |
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|[[United States House of Representatives|U.S. Representative]]<br>from [[New York (state)|New York]]<br><small>(1969–''1983'')</small> |
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|[[Governor of North Carolina]]<br><small>(1961–1965)</small> |
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|- style="text-align:center" |
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|[[File:Humphrey1972.gif|center|120x120px]] |
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|[[File:Wallace 1972 campaign logo.svg|center|120x120px]] |
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|[[File:Edmuskie1972.gif|center|120x120px]] |
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|[[File:Scoop Jackson 1972 bumper sticker 02.jpg|center|120x120px]] |
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|[[File:Wilburmills1972.gif|center|120x120px]] |
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|[[File:Chisholm 20170804 065501.png|center|120x120px]] |
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|[[File:Terry Sanford presidential campaign, 1972 2014BSRockefellerClick-1x5.jpg|center|120x120px]] |
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|- style="text-align:center" |
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|[[Hubert Humphrey#1972 presidential election|Campaign]] |
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|[[George Wallace#1972 Democratic presidential primaries and assassination attempt|Campaign]] |
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|[[Edmund Muskie#1972 presidential election|Campaign]] |
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|[[Henry M. Jackson#1972 presidential campaign|Campaign]] |
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|[[Wilbur Mills#Presidential candidate|Campaign]] |
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|[[Shirley Chisholm#1972 presidential campaign|Campaign]] |
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|[[Terry Sanford#Concurrent political activities|Campaign]] |
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|- style="text-align:center" |
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|''{{abbr|AC|Announced Campaign}}: January 10, 1972''<br /><small>'''4,119,230 votes'''<br>'''386.30 {{abbr|PD|Pledged Delegates}}'''</small> |
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|''{{abbr|AC|Announced Campaign}}: January 13, 1972''<br /><small>'''3,755,424 votes'''<br>'''377.00 {{abbr|PD|Pledged Delegates}}'''</small> |
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|''{{abbr|AC|Announced Campaign}}: January 4, 1972''<br />''{{abbr|SC|Suspended Campaign}}: April 27, 1972''<br /><small>'''1,838,314 votes'''<br>'''209.10 {{abbr|PD|Pledged Delegates}}'''</small> |
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|''{{abbr|AC|Announced Campaign}}: November 19, 1971''<br />''{{abbr|SC|Suspended Campaign}}: May 2, 1972''<br /><small>'''504,596 votes'''<br>'''53.75 {{abbr|PD|Pledged Delegates}}'''</small> |
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|''{{abbr|AC|Announced Campaign}}: February 11, 1972''<br /><small>'''37,401 votes'''<br>'''30.55 {{abbr|PD|Pledged Delegates}}'''</small> |
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|''{{abbr|AC|Announced Campaign}}: January 25, 1972''<br /><small>'''430,733 votes'''<br>'''28.65 {{abbr|PD|Pledged Delegates}}'''</small> |
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|''{{abbr|AC|Announced Campaign}}: March 8, 1972''<br><small>'''331,415 votes'''<br>'''27 {{abbr|PD|Pledged Delegates}}'''</small> |
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|- |
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|<ref name="ReferenceO"/><ref>https://timesmachine.nytimes.com/timesmachine/1972/01/11/79415305.pdf?pdf_redirect=true&ip=0</ref> |
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|<ref name="ReferenceO"/><ref>https://timesmachine.nytimes.com/timesmachine/1972/01/14/79415650.pdf?pdf_redirect=true&ip=0</ref> |
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|<ref name="ReferenceO"/><ref>https://timesmachine.nytimes.com/timesmachine/1972/01/05/79413139.pdf?pdf_redirect=true&ip=0</ref><ref>https://timesmachine.nytimes.com/timesmachine/1972/04/28/82220855.pdf?pdf_redirect=true&ip=0</ref> |
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|<ref name="ReferenceO"/><ref>https://timesmachine.nytimes.com/timesmachine/1972/05/03/82222766.pdf?pdf_redirect=true&ip=0</ref><ref>https://timesmachine.nytimes.com/timesmachine/1971/11/20/79166460.pdf?pdf_redirect=true&ip=0</ref> |
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|<ref name="ReferenceO"/><ref>https://timesmachine.nytimes.com/timesmachine/1972/02/12/79419468.pdf?pdf_redirect=true&ip=0</ref> |
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|<ref name="ReferenceO"/><ref name="ReferenceP">https://timesmachine.nytimes.com/timesmachine/1972/01/26/81892474.pdf?pdf_redirect=true&ip=0</ref> |
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|<ref name="ReferenceO"/><ref>https://timesmachine.nytimes.com/timesmachine/1972/03/09/79427679.pdf?pdf_redirect=true&ip=0</ref> |
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|- style="text-align:center" |
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! scope="col" style="width:10em; font-size:120%;"|[[John Lindsay]] |
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! scope="col" style="width:10em; font-size:120%;"|[[Eugene McCarthy]] |
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! scope="col" style="width:10em; font-size:120%;"|[[Sam Yorty]] |
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! scope="col" style="width:10em; font-size:120%;"|[[Vance Hartke]] |
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! scope="col" style="width:10em; font-size:120%;"|[[Patsy Mink]] |
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! scope="col" style="width:10em; font-size:120%;"|[[Fred R. Harris]] |
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|- style="text-align:center" |
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|[[File:John Lindsay NYWTS 1 (cropped).jpg|center|120x120px]] |
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|[[File:EugeneMcCarthy.jpg|center|120x120px]] |
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|[[File:Sam Yorty, 1973.jpg|center|120x120px]] |
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|[[File:Vance Hartke.jpg|center|120x120px]] |
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|[[File:Patsy Mink 1970s.jpg|center|120x120px]] |
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|[[File:FredRoyHarris.jpg|center|120x120px]] |
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|- style="text-align:center" |
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|[[Mayor of New York City|Mayor]] of [[New York City|New York]]<br>from [[New York (state)|New York]]<br><small>(1966–''1973'')</small> |
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|[[United States Senate|U.S. Senator]]<br>from [[Minnesota]]<br><small>(1959–1971)</small> |
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|[[Mayor of Los Angeles, California|Mayor of Los Angeles]]<br>from [[California]]<br><small>(1961–''1973'')</small> |
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|[[United States Senate|U.S. Senator]]<br>from [[Indiana]]<br><small>(1959–''1977'')</small> |
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|[[United States House of Representatives|U.S. Representative]]<br>from [[Hawaii]]<br><small>(1965–''1977'')</small> |
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|[[United States Senate|U.S. Senator]]<br>from [[Oklahoma]]<br><small>(1964–''1973'')</small> |
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|- style="text-align:center" |
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|[[File:Lindsay 72.png|center|120x120px]] |
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|[[File:Eugene McCarthy bumper sticker 1.jpg|center|120x120px]] |
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|[[File:Samyorty1972.gif|center|120x120px]] |
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|[[File:Hartke logo.png|center|120x120px]] |
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| |
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|[[File:Fredharris1972.gif|center|120x120px]] |
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|- style="text-align:center" |
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|[[John Lindsay#Party switch and presidential campaign|Campaign]] |
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|[[Eugene McCarthy#1972 presidential campaign|Campaign]] |
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|[[Sam Yorty#Mayoralty|Campaign]] |
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|[[Vance Hartke#Senate service and later life|Campaign]] |
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|[[Patsy Mink#U.S. Representative (1965–1977)|Campaign]] |
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|[[Fred R. Harris#Later life|Campaign]] |
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|- style="text-align:center" |
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|''{{abbr|AC|Announced Campaign}}: December 28, 1971''<br>''{{abbr|W|Withdrew}}: April 4, 1972''<br /><small>'''196,406 votes'''<br>'''6 {{abbr|PD|Pledged Delegates}}'''</small> |
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|''{{abbr|AC|Announced Campaign}}: December 17, 1971''<br><small>'''553,352 votes'''</small> |
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|''{{abbr|AC|Announced Campaign}}: November 16, 1971''<br>''{{abbr|W|Withdrew}}: June 5, 1972''<br />''{{abbr|E-HH|Endorsed Hubert Humphrey}}: June 5, 1972''<br /><small>'''79,446 votes'''</small> |
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|''{{abbr|AC|Announced Campaign}}: January 3, 1972''<br>''{{abbr|W|Withdrew}}: March 26, 1972''<br />''{{abbr|E-HH|Endorsed Hubert Humphrey}}: March 26, 1972''<br /><small>'''11,798 votes'''</small> |
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|''{{abbr|W|Withdrew}}: May 24, 1972''<br /><small>'''8,286 votes'''</small> |
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|''{{abbr|AC|Announced Campaign}}: September 24, 1971''<br>''{{abbr|W|Withdrew}}: November 10, 1971'' |
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|- |
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|<ref name="ReferenceO"/><ref>https://timesmachine.nytimes.com/timesmachine/1971/12/29/79412200.pdf?pdf_redirect=true&ip=0</ref><ref>https://timesmachine.nytimes.com/timesmachine/1972/04/05/90712873.pdf?pdf_redirect=true&ip=0</ref><ref>https://timesmachine.nytimes.com/timesmachine/1972/05/23/80789623.pdf?pdf_redirect=true&ip=0</ref> |
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|<ref name="ReferenceO"/><ref>https://timesmachine.nytimes.com/timesmachine/1971/12/18/79169083.pdf?pdf_redirect=true&ip=0</ref> |
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|<ref name="ReferenceO"/><ref>https://timesmachine.nytimes.com/timesmachine/1971/11/17/79165471.pdf?pdf_redirect=true&ip=0</ref><ref>https://timesmachine.nytimes.com/timesmachine/1972/06/06/81896963.pdf?pdf_redirect=true&ip=0</ref> |
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|<ref name="ReferenceO"/><ref>https://timesmachine.nytimes.com/timesmachine/1972/01/04/79171800.pdf?pdf_redirect=true&ip=0</ref> |
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|<ref name="ReferenceO"/><ref>https://timesmachine.nytimes.com/timesmachine/1972/05/25/80790103.pdf?pdf_redirect=true&ip=0</ref> |
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|<ref name="ReferenceO"/><ref>https://timesmachine.nytimes.com/timesmachine/1971/09/25/81954867.pdf?pdf_redirect=true&ip=0</ref><ref>https://timesmachine.nytimes.com/timesmachine/1971/11/11/79405342.pdf?pdf_redirect=true&ip=0</ref> |
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===Primaries=== |
===Primaries=== |
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[[Party leaders of the United States Senate|Senate Majority Whip]] [[Ted Kennedy]], the youngest brother of late [[President of the United States|President]] [[John F. Kennedy]] and late [[United States Senator]] [[Robert F. Kennedy]], was the favorite to win the 1972 nomination, but he announced he would not be a candidate.<ref name="Kennedy">{{cite news|url=https://news.google.com/newspapers?id=ON9LAAAAIBAJ&pg=5489,4273487&dq=ted+kennedy+presidential+campaign&hl=en|title=Don't count out Ted Kennedy|newspaper=[[The Free Lance–Star]]|date=June 4, 1971|author=Jack Anderson|access-date=March 16, 2012|archive-date=February 5, 2021|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20210205083438/https://news.google.com/newspapers?id=ON9LAAAAIBAJ&pg=5489%2C4273487&dq=ted+kennedy+presidential+campaign&hl=en|url-status=live}}</ref> The favorite for the Democratic nomination then became Maine Senator [[Ed Muskie]],<ref name="'70s 298">{{cite book |title=How We Got Here: The '70s |last=Frum |first=David |author-link=David Frum |year=2000 |publisher=Basic Books |location=New York, New York |isbn= 0-465-04195-7 |page=[https://archive.org/details/howwegothere70sd00frum/page/298 298] |url=https://archive.org/details/howwegothere70sd00frum/page/298}}</ref> the [[1968 United States presidential election|1968]] vice-presidential nominee.<ref>{{cite web |url=http://bioguide.congress.gov/scripts/biodisplay.pl?index=M001121 |title=Muskie, Edmund Sixtus, (1914–1996) |publisher=[[United States Congress]] |access-date=March 16, 2012 |archive-date=December 5, 2010 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20101205113140/http://bioguide.congress.gov/scripts/biodisplay.pl?index=M001121 |url-status=live }}</ref> Muskie's momentum collapsed just prior to the New Hampshire primary, when the so-called "[[Canuck letter]]" was published in the ''[[Manchester Union-Leader]]''. The letter, actually a forgery from Nixon's "dirty tricks" unit, claimed that Muskie had made disparaging remarks about [[French Canadian|French-Canadians]] – a remark likely to injure Muskie's support among the French-American population in northern [[New England]].<ref name="WP 2020">{{cite news |last1=Mitchell |first1=Robert |title=The Democrat who cried (maybe) in New Hampshire and lost the presidential nomination |url=https://www.washingtonpost.com/history/2020/02/09/new-hampshire-ed-muskie-tears-primary/ |access-date=March 3, 2020 |newspaper=[[The Washington Post]] |date=February 9, 2020 |archive-date=March 29, 2020 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20200329235846/https://www.washingtonpost.com/history/2020/02/09/new-hampshire-ed-muskie-tears-primary/ |url-status=live }}</ref> Subsequently, the paper published an attack on the character of Muskie's wife [[Jane Muskie|Jane]], reporting that she drank and used [[Off-color humor|off-color]] language during the campaign. Muskie made an emotional defense of his wife in a speech outside the newspaper's offices during a snowstorm. Though Muskie later stated that what had appeared to the press as tears were actually melted snowflakes, the press reported that Muskie broke down and cried, shattering the candidate's image as calm and reasoned.<ref name="WP 2020"/><ref>{{Cite web |date=1996-03-26 |title=REMEMBERING ED MUSKIE |url=http://www.pbs.org/newshour/bb/remember/muskie_3-26.html |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/19990427124548/http://www.pbs.org/newshour/bb/remember/muskie_3-26.html |archive-date=1999-04-27}}</ref> |
[[Party leaders of the United States Senate|Senate Majority Whip]] [[Ted Kennedy]], the youngest brother of late [[President of the United States|President]] [[John F. Kennedy]] and late [[United States Senator]] [[Robert F. Kennedy]], was the favorite to win the 1972 nomination, but he announced he would not be a candidate.<ref name="Kennedy">{{cite news|url=https://news.google.com/newspapers?id=ON9LAAAAIBAJ&pg=5489,4273487&dq=ted+kennedy+presidential+campaign&hl=en|title=Don't count out Ted Kennedy|newspaper=[[The Free Lance–Star]]|date=June 4, 1971|author=Jack Anderson|access-date=March 16, 2012|archive-date=February 5, 2021|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20210205083438/https://news.google.com/newspapers?id=ON9LAAAAIBAJ&pg=5489%2C4273487&dq=ted+kennedy+presidential+campaign&hl=en|url-status=live}}</ref> The favorite for the Democratic nomination then became Maine Senator [[Ed Muskie]],<ref name="'70s 298">{{cite book |title=How We Got Here: The '70s |last=Frum |first=David |author-link=David Frum |year=2000 |publisher=Basic Books |location=New York, New York |isbn= 0-465-04195-7 |page=[https://archive.org/details/howwegothere70sd00frum/page/298 298] |url=https://archive.org/details/howwegothere70sd00frum/page/298}}</ref> the [[1968 United States presidential election|1968]] vice-presidential nominee.<ref>{{cite web |url=http://bioguide.congress.gov/scripts/biodisplay.pl?index=M001121 |title=Muskie, Edmund Sixtus, (1914–1996) |publisher=[[United States Congress]] |access-date=March 16, 2012 |archive-date=December 5, 2010 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20101205113140/http://bioguide.congress.gov/scripts/biodisplay.pl?index=M001121 |url-status=live }}</ref> Muskie's momentum collapsed just prior to the New Hampshire primary, when the so-called "[[Canuck letter]]" was published in the ''[[Manchester Union-Leader]]''. The letter, actually a forgery from Nixon's "dirty tricks" unit, claimed that Muskie had made disparaging remarks about [[French Canadian|French-Canadians]] – a remark likely to injure Muskie's support among the French-American population in northern [[New England]].<ref name="WP 2020">{{cite news |last1=Mitchell |first1=Robert |title=The Democrat who cried (maybe) in New Hampshire and lost the presidential nomination |url=https://www.washingtonpost.com/history/2020/02/09/new-hampshire-ed-muskie-tears-primary/ |access-date=March 3, 2020 |newspaper=[[The Washington Post]] |date=February 9, 2020 |archive-date=March 29, 2020 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20200329235846/https://www.washingtonpost.com/history/2020/02/09/new-hampshire-ed-muskie-tears-primary/ |url-status=live }}</ref> Subsequently, the paper published an attack on the character of Muskie's wife [[Jane Muskie|Jane]], reporting that she drank and used [[Off-color humor|off-color]] language during the campaign. Muskie made an emotional defense of his wife in a speech outside the newspaper's offices during a snowstorm. Though Muskie later stated that what had appeared to the press as tears were actually melted snowflakes, the press reported that Muskie broke down and cried, shattering the candidate's image as calm and reasoned.<ref name="WP 2020"/><ref>{{Cite web |date=1996-03-26 |title=REMEMBERING ED MUSKIE |website=[[PBS]] |url=http://www.pbs.org/newshour/bb/remember/muskie_3-26.html |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/19990427124548/http://www.pbs.org/newshour/bb/remember/muskie_3-26.html |archive-date=1999-04-27}}</ref> |
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Nearly two years before the election, South Dakota Senator [[George McGovern]] entered the race as an anti-war, progressive candidate.<ref name="nyt011971">{{cite news |url=https://select.nytimes.com/mem/archive/pdf?res=F30C11F7345C107B93CBA8178AD85F458785F9 |title=McGovern Enters '72 Race, Pledging Troop Withdrawal |author=[[R. W. Apple, Jr.]] |newspaper=[[The New York Times]] |date=January 18, 1971 |page=1 |format=fee required |access-date=March 16, 2012 |archive-date=June 8, 2020 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20200608024557/https://query.nytimes.com/mem/page.html?res=F30C11F7345C107B93CBA8178AD85F458785F9&legacy=true&status=nf%2F |url-status=live }}</ref> McGovern was able to pull together support from the anti-war movement and other grassroots support to win the nomination in a primary system he had played a significant part in designing. |
Nearly two years before the election, South Dakota Senator [[George McGovern]] entered the race as an anti-war, progressive candidate.<ref name="nyt011971">{{cite news |url=https://select.nytimes.com/mem/archive/pdf?res=F30C11F7345C107B93CBA8178AD85F458785F9 |title=McGovern Enters '72 Race, Pledging Troop Withdrawal |author=[[R. W. Apple, Jr.]] |newspaper=[[The New York Times]] |date=January 18, 1971 |page=1 |format=fee required |access-date=March 16, 2012 |archive-date=June 8, 2020 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20200608024557/https://query.nytimes.com/mem/page.html?res=F30C11F7345C107B93CBA8178AD85F458785F9&legacy=true&status=nf%2F |url-status=live }}</ref> McGovern was able to pull together support from the anti-war movement and other grassroots support to win the nomination in a primary system he had played a significant part in designing. |
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The vice-presidential balloting went on so long that McGovern and Eagleton were forced to begin making their acceptance speeches at around 2 am, local time. |
The vice-presidential balloting went on so long that McGovern and Eagleton were forced to begin making their acceptance speeches at around 2 am, local time. |
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After the convention ended, it was discovered that Eagleton had undergone psychiatric [[electroshock therapy]] for [[clinical depression|depression]] and had concealed this information from McGovern. A ''[[Time (magazine)|Time]]'' magazine poll taken at the time found that 77 percent of the respondents said, "Eagleton's medical record would not affect their vote." Nonetheless, the press made frequent references to his "shock therapy", and McGovern feared that this would detract from his campaign platform.<ref>{{cite news |url=http://www.sfgate.com/cgi-bin/article.cgi?f=/c/a/2008/03/26/MN9NVQGO2.DTL |title=Obama bounces back – speech seemed to help |publisher=SFGATE |date=March 26, 2008 |access-date=May 28, 2010 |first=Joe |last=Garofoli |archive-date=May 25, 2011 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20110525170532/http://www.sfgate.com/cgi-bin/article.cgi?f=/c/a/2008/03/26/MN9NVQGO2.DTL |url-status=live }}</ref> McGovern subsequently consulted confidentially with pre-eminent psychiatrists, including Eagleton's own doctors, who advised him that a recurrence of Eagleton's depression was possible and could endanger the country, should Eagleton become president.<ref>McGovern, George S., ''Grassroots: The Autobiography of George McGovern'', New York: Random House, 1977, pp. 214–215</ref><ref>McGovern, George S., ''Terry: My Daughter's Life-and-Death Struggle with Alcoholism'', New York: Random House, 1996, pp. 97</ref><ref>Marano, Richard Michael, ''Vote Your Conscience: The Last Campaign of George McGovern'', Praeger Publishers, 2003, pp. 7</ref><ref>''The Washington Post'', "George McGovern & the Coldest Plunge", [[Paul Hendrickson]], September 28, 1983</ref><ref>''The New York Times'', "'Trashing' Candidates" (op-ed), George McGovern, May 11, 1983</ref> McGovern had initially claimed that he would back Eagleton "1000 percent",<ref>{{Cite web|url=https://observer.com/2016/07/im-behind-him-1000/|title='I'm Behind Him 1000%'|website=Observer.com|date=July 21, 2016}}</ref> only to ask Eagleton to withdraw three days later. This perceived lack of conviction in sticking with his running mate was disastrous for the McGovern campaign. |
After the convention ended, it was discovered that Eagleton had undergone psychiatric [[electroshock therapy]] for [[clinical depression|depression]] and had concealed this information from McGovern. A ''[[Time (magazine)|Time]]'' magazine poll taken at the time found that 77 percent of the respondents said, "Eagleton's medical record would not affect their vote." Nonetheless, the press made frequent references to his "shock therapy", and McGovern feared that this would detract from his campaign platform.<ref>{{cite news |url=http://www.sfgate.com/cgi-bin/article.cgi?f=/c/a/2008/03/26/MN9NVQGO2.DTL |title=Obama bounces back – speech seemed to help |publisher=SFGATE |date=March 26, 2008 |access-date=May 28, 2010 |first=Joe |last=Garofoli |archive-date=May 25, 2011 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20110525170532/http://www.sfgate.com/cgi-bin/article.cgi?f=/c/a/2008/03/26/MN9NVQGO2.DTL |url-status=live }}</ref> McGovern subsequently consulted confidentially with pre-eminent psychiatrists, including Eagleton's own doctors, who advised him that a recurrence of Eagleton's depression was possible and could endanger the country, should Eagleton become president.<ref>McGovern, George S., ''Grassroots: The Autobiography of George McGovern'', New York: Random House, 1977, pp. 214–215</ref><ref>McGovern, George S., ''Terry: My Daughter's Life-and-Death Struggle with Alcoholism'', New York: Random House, 1996, pp. 97</ref><ref>Marano, Richard Michael, ''Vote Your Conscience: The Last Campaign of George McGovern'', Praeger Publishers, 2003, pp. 7</ref><ref>''The Washington Post'', "George McGovern & the Coldest Plunge", [[Paul Hendrickson]], September 28, 1983</ref><ref>''The New York Times'', "'Trashing' Candidates" (op-ed), George McGovern, May 11, 1983</ref> McGovern had initially claimed that he would back Eagleton "1000 percent",<ref>{{Cite web|url=https://observer.com/2016/07/im-behind-him-1000/|title='I'm Behind Him 1000%'|website=Observer.com|date=July 21, 2016|access-date=June 25, 2023|archive-date=June 25, 2023|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20230625031945/https://observer.com/2016/07/im-behind-him-1000/|url-status=live}}</ref> only to ask Eagleton to withdraw three days later. This perceived lack of conviction in sticking with his running mate was disastrous for the McGovern campaign. |
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McGovern later approached six prominent Democrats to run for vice president: Ted Kennedy, [[Edmund Muskie]], Hubert Humphrey, [[Abraham Ribicoff]], [[Larry O'Brien]], and [[Reubin Askew]]. All six declined. [[Sargent Shriver]], brother-in-law to John, Robert, and Ted Kennedy, former [[United States Ambassador to France|Ambassador to France]], and former [[Peace Corps#Directors|Director]] of the [[Peace Corps]], later accepted.<ref>{{cite book|last1=Liebovich|first1=Louis|title=Richard Nixon, Watergate, and the Press: A Historical Retrospective|date=2003|publisher=Greenwood Publishing Group|isbn=9780275979157|page=[https://archive.org/details/richardnixonwate00lieb/page/53 53]|url=https://archive.org/details/richardnixonwate00lieb/page/53}}</ref> He was officially nominated by a special session of the [[Democratic National Committee]]. By this time, McGovern's poll ratings had plunged from 41 to 24 percent. |
McGovern later approached six prominent Democrats to run for vice president: Ted Kennedy, [[Edmund Muskie]], Hubert Humphrey, [[Abraham Ribicoff]], [[Larry O'Brien]], and [[Reubin Askew]]. All six declined. [[Sargent Shriver]], brother-in-law to John, Robert, and Ted Kennedy, former [[United States Ambassador to France|Ambassador to France]], and former [[Peace Corps#Directors|Director]] of the [[Peace Corps]], later accepted.<ref>{{cite book|last1=Liebovich|first1=Louis|title=Richard Nixon, Watergate, and the Press: A Historical Retrospective|date=2003|publisher=Greenwood Publishing Group|isbn=9780275979157|page=[https://archive.org/details/richardnixonwate00lieb/page/53 53]|url=https://archive.org/details/richardnixonwate00lieb/page/53}}</ref> He was officially nominated by a special session of the [[Democratic National Committee]]. By this time, McGovern's poll ratings had plunged from 41 to 24 percent. |
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| [[Lester Maddox|Campaign]] |
| [[Lester Maddox|Campaign]] |
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| [[Thomas J. Anderson (author)|Campaign]] |
| [[Thomas J. Anderson (author)|Campaign]] |
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| [[George Wallace#1972 Democratic presidential primaries and |
| [[George Wallace#1972 Democratic presidential primaries and attempted assassination|Campaign]] |
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|- style="text-align:center" |
|- style="text-align:center" |
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|'''56''' votes |
|'''56''' votes |
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==General election== |
==General election== |
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=== Polling aggregation === |
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The following graph depicts the standing of each candidate in the poll aggregators from February 1972 to Election Day. |
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[[File:OpinionPolling1972UnitedStatesPresidentialElection.svg|thumb|800px|center| {{columns-list|colwidth=18em| |
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{{Legend-line|#e81b23 solid 5px|[[Richard Nixon]]}} |
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{{Legend-line|#3333ff solid 5px|[[George McGovern]]}} |
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{{Legend-line|#FF7F00 solid 5px|[[George Wallace]]{{efn|Despite running for the Democratic Presidential nomination, there was an expectation that Wallace would again bolt the Democratic Party and run as an independent in the general election; as a result, some polls made an assumption that this was going to be the case. To reflect this, the aggregate includes those polls up to the point where Wallace definitively declined to make an independent run for the Presidency.}}}} |
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}}]] |
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=== Polling === |
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{{See also|Nationwide opinion polling for the 1972 United States presidential election}} |
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{| class="wikitable sortable mw-collapsible mw-collapsed" style="text-align:center;font-size:90%;line-height:17px" |
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|- valign= bottom |
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! Poll source |
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! Date(s)<br />administered |
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! class="unsortable" style="width:100px;"| Richard<br>Nixon (R) |
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! class="unsortable" style="width:100px;"| George<br>McGovern (D) |
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! class="unsortable" style="width:100px;"| George<br>Wallace (AI){{efn|name="George Wallace, Independent"|It remained an open question far into the election season whether Wallace would again bolt the Democratic Party and run as an Independent candidate in the General should he fail to win the Democratic nomination, with some polls being commissioned as though it were a fait accompli.}} |
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! class="unsortable" | Other |
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! class="unsortable" | Undecided |
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! class="unsortable" | Margin |
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|- |
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! | '''Election Results''' |
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|November 7, 1972 |
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|align="center" {{party shading/Republican}}|'''60.67%''' |
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|align="center" | 37.52% |
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|align="center" | - |
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|align="center" | 1.81% |
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|align="center" | - |
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| {{party shading/Republican}} align="center" | '''23.15''' |
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|- |
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| rowspan=1 | Harris<ref name="McGovern Is Gaining - A Little">{{cite news | url=https://www.newspapers.com/image/376929465/ | title=McGovern Is Gaining - A Little | work=Chicago Tribune | access-date=May 21, 2024 | archive-date=May 19, 2024 | archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240519030138/https://www.newspapers.com/image/376929465/ | url-status=live }}</ref> |
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| rowspan=1 |November 2–4, 1972 |
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| {{party shading/Republican}} align="center" | '''59%''' |
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| 35% |
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| - |
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| - |
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| 6% |
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| {{party shading/Republican}} align="center" | '''24''' |
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|- |
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| rowspan=1 | Gallup<ref>{{cite book |last=Gallup |first=George |author-link=George Gallup |date=1978 |title=The 1972-1977 Gallup Poll Public Opinion, Volume I |page=70}}</ref> |
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| rowspan=1 |November 2-4, 1972 |
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| {{party shading/Republican}} align="center" | '''61%''' |
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| 35% |
|||
| - |
|||
| 1% |
|||
| 3% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}} align="center" | '''26''' |
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|- |
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| rowspan=1 | Harris<ref name="Nixon Gets Bigger Lead" /> |
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| rowspan=1 |October 24–26, 1972 |
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| {{party shading/Republican}} align="center" | '''60%''' |
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| 32% |
|||
| - |
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| - |
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| 8% |
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| {{party shading/Republican}} align="center" | '''28''' |
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|- |
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| rowspan=1 | Harris<ref name="Nixon Gets Bigger Lead">{{cite news | url=https://www.newspapers.com/image/85212206 | title=Nixon Gets Bigger Lead | work=The Decatur Daily Review | access-date=May 21, 2024 | archive-date=May 19, 2024 | archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240519030147/https://www.newspapers.com/image/85212206 | url-status=live }}</ref> |
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| rowspan=1 |October 17–19, 1972 |
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| {{party shading/Republican}} align="center" | '''59%''' |
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| 34% |
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| - |
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| - |
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| 7% |
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| {{party shading/Republican}} align="center" | '''25''' |
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|- |
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| rowspan=1 | Gallup<ref>{{cite book |last=Gallup |first=George |author-link=George Gallup |date=1978 |title=The 1972-1977 Gallup Poll Public Opinion, Volume I |page=68}}</ref> |
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| rowspan=1 |October 13-16, 1972 |
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| {{party shading/Republican}} align="center" | '''59%''' |
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| 36% |
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| - |
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| - |
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| 5% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}} align="center" | '''23''' |
|||
|- |
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| rowspan=1 | Gallup<ref>{{cite book |last=Gallup |first=George |author-link=George Gallup |date=1978 |title=The 1972-1977 Gallup Poll Public Opinion, Volume I |page=66}}</ref> |
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| rowspan=1 |Sep. 29-Oct. 9, 1972 |
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| {{party shading/Republican}} align="center" | '''60%''' |
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| 34% |
|||
| - |
|||
| 1% |
|||
| 5% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}} align="center" | '''26''' |
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|- |
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| rowspan=1 | Harris<ref name="McGovern Failing To Tighten Margin">{{cite news | url=https://www.newspapers.com/image/377100355 | title=McGovern Failing To Tighten Margin | work=Chicago Tribune | access-date=May 21, 2024 | archive-date=May 19, 2024 | archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240519030145/https://www.newspapers.com/image/377100355 | url-status=live }}</ref> |
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| rowspan=1 |October 3–5, 1972 |
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| {{party shading/Republican}} align="center" | '''60%''' |
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| 33% |
|||
| - |
|||
| - |
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| 7% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}} align="center" | '''27''' |
|||
|- |
|||
| rowspan=1 | Gallup<ref>{{cite book |last=Gallup |first=George |author-link=George Gallup |date=1978 |title=The 1972-1977 Gallup Poll Public Opinion, Volume I |page=64}}</ref> |
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| rowspan=1 |September 22-25, 1972 |
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| {{party shading/Republican}} align="center" | '''61%''' |
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| 33% |
|||
| - |
|||
| 1% |
|||
| 5% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}} align="center" | '''28''' |
|||
|- |
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| rowspan=1 | Harris<ref name="McGovern Gaining, Poll Shows">{{cite news | url=https://www.newspapers.com/image/377302943 | title=McGovern Gaining, Poll Shows | work=Chicago Tribune | access-date=May 21, 2024 | archive-date=May 19, 2024 | archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240519030139/https://www.newspapers.com/image/377302943 | url-status=live }}</ref> |
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| rowspan=1 |September 19–21, 1972 |
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| {{party shading/Republican}} align="center" | '''59%''' |
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| 31% |
|||
| - |
|||
| - |
|||
| 10% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}} align="center" | '''28''' |
|||
|- |
|||
| rowspan=1 | Harris<ref name="President Widens His Lead">{{cite news | url=https://www.newspapers.com/image/377220043 | title=President Widens His Lead | work=Chicago Tribune | access-date=May 21, 2024 | archive-date=May 19, 2024 | archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240519030146/https://www.newspapers.com/image/377220043 | url-status=live }}</ref> |
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| rowspan=1 |Aug. 30–Sep. 1, 1972 |
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| {{party shading/Republican}} align="center" | '''63%''' |
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| 29% |
|||
| - |
|||
| - |
|||
| 8% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}} align="center" | '''34''' |
|||
|- |
|||
| rowspan=1 | Gallup<ref>{{cite book |last=Gallup |first=George |author-link=George Gallup |date=1978 |title=The 1972-1977 Gallup Poll Public Opinion, Volume I |page=59}}</ref> |
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| rowspan=1 |August 25-28, 1972 |
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| {{party shading/Republican}} align="center" | '''61%''' |
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| 36% |
|||
| - |
|||
| - |
|||
| 3% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}} align="center" | '''25''' |
|||
|- |
|||
| rowspan=1 | Gallup<ref>{{cite book |last=Gallup |first=George |author-link=George Gallup |date=1978 |title=The 1972-1977 Gallup Poll Public Opinion, Volume I |page=55}}</ref> |
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| rowspan=1 |August 26-27, 1972 |
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| {{party shading/Republican}} align="center" | '''64%''' |
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| 30% |
|||
| - |
|||
| - |
|||
| 6% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}} align="center" | '''34''' |
|||
|- |
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| colspan="10" align="center" | '''August 21–23: Republican National Convention''' |
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|- |
|||
| rowspan=1 | Gallup<ref>{{cite book |last=Gallup |first=George |author-link=George Gallup |date=1978 |title=The 1972-1977 Gallup Poll Public Opinion, Volume I |page=50}}</ref> |
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| rowspan=1 |August 4-7, 1972 |
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| {{party shading/Republican}} align="center" | '''57%''' |
|||
| 31% |
|||
| - |
|||
| - |
|||
| 12% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}} align="center" | '''26''' |
|||
|- |
|||
| rowspan=1 | Harris<ref name="McGovern Falls Even Further"/> |
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| rowspan=1 |August 2–3, 1972 |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}} align="center" | '''57%''' |
|||
| 34% |
|||
| - |
|||
| - |
|||
| 9% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}} align="center" | '''23''' |
|||
|- |
|||
| rowspan=1 | Gallup<ref>{{cite book |last=Gallup |first=George |author-link=George Gallup |date=1978 |title=The 1972-1977 Gallup Poll Public Opinion, Volume I |page=45}}</ref> |
|||
| rowspan=1 |July 14-17, 1972 |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}} align="center" | '''56%''' |
|||
| 37% |
|||
| - |
|||
| - |
|||
| 7% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}} align="center" | '''19''' |
|||
|- |
|||
| colspan="10" align="center" | '''July 10–13: Democratic National Convention''' |
|||
|- |
|||
| rowspan=1 | Harris<ref name="McGovern Falls Even Further">{{cite news | url=https://www.newspapers.com/image/377303185 | title=McGovern Falls Even Further | work=Chicago Tribune | access-date=May 21, 2024 | archive-date=May 19, 2024 | archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240519030140/https://www.newspapers.com/image/377303185 | url-status=live }}</ref> |
|||
| rowspan=1 |July 1–6, 1972 |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}} align="center" | '''55%''' |
|||
| 35% |
|||
| - |
|||
| - |
|||
| 10% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}} align="center" | '''20''' |
|||
|- |
|||
| rowspan=2 | Gallup<ref>{{cite book |last=Gallup |first=George |author-link=George Gallup |date=1978 |title=The 1972-1977 Gallup Poll Public Opinion, Volume I |page=42}}</ref> |
|||
| rowspan=2 |June 16-19, 1972 |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}} align="center" | '''45%''' |
|||
| 32% |
|||
| 18% |
|||
| - |
|||
| 5% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}} align="center" | '''13''' |
|||
|- |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}} align="center" | '''53%''' |
|||
| 37% |
|||
| - |
|||
| - |
|||
| 10% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}} align="center" | '''16''' |
|||
|- |
|||
| rowspan=2 | Harris<ref name="Survey Shows Kennedy Rates Best Chance Against Nixon">{{cite news | url=https://www.newspapers.com/image/620029166 | title=Survey Shows Kennedy Rates Best Chance Against Nixon | work=The Sacramento Bee | access-date=May 21, 2024 | archive-date=May 19, 2024 | archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240519030146/https://www.newspapers.com/image/620029166 | url-status=live }}</ref> |
|||
| rowspan=2 |June 7–10, 1972 |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}} align="center" | '''45%''' |
|||
| 33% |
|||
| 17% |
|||
| - |
|||
| 5% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}} align="center" | '''12''' |
|||
|- |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}} align="center" | '''54%''' |
|||
| 38% |
|||
| - |
|||
| - |
|||
| 8% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}} align="center" | '''16''' |
|||
|- |
|||
| rowspan=2 | Gallup<ref>{{cite book |last=Gallup |first=George |author-link=George Gallup |date=1978 |title=The 1972-1977 Gallup Poll Public Opinion, Volume I |page=37}}</ref> |
|||
| rowspan=2 |May 26-29, 1972 |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}} align="center" | '''43%''' |
|||
| 30% |
|||
| 19% |
|||
| - |
|||
| 8% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}} align="center" | '''13''' |
|||
|- |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}} align="center" | '''53%''' |
|||
| 34% |
|||
| - |
|||
| - |
|||
| 13% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}} align="center" | '''19''' |
|||
|- |
|||
| rowspan=2 | Harris<ref name="McGovern Appears To Have Chance Against President">{{cite news | url=https://www.newspapers.com/image/295319327 | title=McGovern Appears To Have Chance Against President | work=News-Journal | access-date=May 21, 2024 | archive-date=May 19, 2024 | archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240519020043/https://www.newspapers.com/image/295319327 | url-status=live }}</ref> |
|||
| rowspan=2 |May 9–10, 1972 |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}} align="center" | '''40%''' |
|||
| 35% |
|||
| 17% |
|||
| - |
|||
| 8% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}} align="center" | '''5''' |
|||
|- |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}} align="center" | '''48%''' |
|||
| 41% |
|||
| - |
|||
| - |
|||
| 11% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}} align="center" | '''7''' |
|||
|- |
|||
| rowspan=2 | Gallup<ref>{{cite book |last=Gallup |first=George |author-link=George Gallup |date=1978 |title=The 1972-1977 Gallup Poll Public Opinion, Volume I |page=33}}</ref> |
|||
| rowspan=2 |Apr. 28-May 1, 1972 |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}} align="center" | '''43%''' |
|||
| 35% |
|||
| 15% |
|||
| - |
|||
| 7% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}} align="center" | '''8''' |
|||
|- |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}} align="center" | '''49%''' |
|||
| 39% |
|||
| - |
|||
| - |
|||
| 12% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}} align="center" | '''10''' |
|||
|- |
|||
| rowspan=1 | Gallup<ref name="McGovern Strong As HHH Against Nixon">{{cite news | url=https://www.newspapers.com/image/255580741 | title=McGovern Strong As HHH Against Nixon | work=Press and Sun-Bulletin | access-date=May 21, 2024 | archive-date=May 19, 2024 | archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240519020044/https://www.newspapers.com/image/255580741 | url-status=live }}</ref> |
|||
| rowspan=1 |April 21-24, 1972 |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}} align="center" | '''45%''' |
|||
| 32% |
|||
| 16% |
|||
| - |
|||
| 7% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}} align="center" | '''13''' |
|||
|- |
|||
| rowspan=1 | Gallup<ref>{{cite book |last=Gallup |first=George |author-link=George Gallup |date=1978 |title=The 1972-1977 Gallup Poll Public Opinion, Volume I |page=30}}</ref> |
|||
| rowspan=1 |April 14-17, 1972 |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}} align="center" | '''46%''' |
|||
| 31% |
|||
| 15% |
|||
| - |
|||
| 8% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}} align="center" | '''15''' |
|||
|- |
|||
| rowspan=2 | Harris<ref name="Poll Gives Nixon Handy Margin In April" /><ref name="McGovern Appears To Have Chance Against President" /> |
|||
| rowspan=2 |April 1–7, 1972 |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}} align="center" | '''47%''' |
|||
| 29% |
|||
| 16% |
|||
| - |
|||
| 8% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}} align="center" | '''18''' |
|||
|- |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}} align="center" | '''54%''' |
|||
| 34% |
|||
| - |
|||
| - |
|||
| 12% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}} align="center" | '''20''' |
|||
|- |
|||
| rowspan=2 | Harris<ref name="Poll Gives Nixon Handy Margin In April">{{cite news | url=https://www.newspapers.com/image/230407386 | title=Poll Gives Nixon Handy Margin In April | work=Fort Lauderdale News | access-date=May 21, 2024 | archive-date=May 19, 2024 | archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240519005426/https://www.newspapers.com/image/230407386 | url-status=live }}</ref><ref name="McGovern Appears To Have Chance Against President" /> |
|||
| rowspan=2 |Feb. 28 – Mar. 7, 1972 |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}} align="center" | '''53%''' |
|||
| 28% |
|||
| 13% |
|||
| - |
|||
| 6% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}} align="center" | '''25''' |
|||
|- |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}} align="center" | '''59%''' |
|||
| 32% |
|||
| - |
|||
| - |
|||
| 9% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}} align="center" | '''27''' |
|||
|- |
|||
| rowspan=1 | Gallup<ref>{{cite book |last=Gallup |first=George |author-link=George Gallup |date=1978 |title=The 1972-1977 Gallup Poll Public Opinion, Volume I |page=19}}</ref> |
|||
| rowspan=1 |February 4-7, 1972 |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}} align="center" | '''49%''' |
|||
| 34% |
|||
| 11% |
|||
| - |
|||
| 6% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}} align="center" | '''15''' |
|||
|- |
|||
| rowspan=1 | Harris<ref name="Sen. McGovern Steadily Losing Ground" /> |
|||
| rowspan=1 |November, 1971 |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}} align="center" | '''49%''' |
|||
| 31% |
|||
| 12% |
|||
| - |
|||
| 8% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}} align="center" | '''18''' |
|||
|- |
|||
| rowspan=1 | Harris<ref name="Nixon Regains 'Lead' Over Muskie">{{cite news | url=https://www.newspapers.com/image/86776637 | title=Nixon Regains 'Lead' Over Muskie | work=Southern Illinoisan}}</ref> |
|||
| rowspan=1 |August 24-27, 1971 |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}} align="center" | '''48%''' |
|||
| 33% |
|||
| 13% |
|||
| - |
|||
| 6% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}} align="center" | '''15''' |
|||
|- |
|||
| rowspan=1 | Harris<ref name="Sen. McGovern Steadily Losing Ground">{{cite news | url=https://www.newspapers.com/image/26064591 | title=Sen. McGovern Steadily Losing Ground | work=Alton Evening Telegraph | access-date=May 21, 2024 | archive-date=May 19, 2024 | archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240519005426/https://www.newspapers.com/image/26064591 | url-status=live }}</ref> |
|||
| rowspan=1 |May, 1971 |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}} align="center" | '''47%''' |
|||
| 33% |
|||
| 11% |
|||
| - |
|||
| 9% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}} align="center" | '''14''' |
|||
|- |
|||
| rowspan=1 | Harris<ref name="Muskie Widens Margin" /> |
|||
| rowspan=1 |April, 1971 |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}} align="center" | '''46%''' |
|||
| 36% |
|||
| 13% |
|||
| - |
|||
| 5% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}} align="center" | '''10''' |
|||
|- |
|||
| rowspan=1 | Harris<ref name="Muskie Widens Margin">{{cite news | url=https://www.newspapers.com/image/197549347 | title=Muskie Widens Margin | work=Chicago Tribune | access-date=May 21, 2024 | archive-date=May 19, 2024 | archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240519005427/https://www.newspapers.com/image/197549347 | url-status=live }}</ref> |
|||
| rowspan=1 |February, 1971 |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}} align="center" | '''45%''' |
|||
| 34% |
|||
| 12% |
|||
| - |
|||
| 9% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}} align="center" | '''11''' |
|||
|- |
|||
|} |
|||
===Campaign=== |
===Campaign=== |
||
Line 333: | Line 782: | ||
[[File:George McGovern UH.jpeg|left|thumb|upright|George McGovern speaking at an October 1972 campaign rally]] |
[[File:George McGovern UH.jpeg|left|thumb|upright|George McGovern speaking at an October 1972 campaign rally]] |
||
McGovern ran on a platform of immediately ending the Vietnam War and instituting a radical [[guaranteed minimum income]] |
McGovern ran on a platform of immediately ending the Vietnam War and instituting a radical [[guaranteed minimum income]] for the nation's poor. His campaign was harmed by his views during the primaries (which alienated many powerful Democrats), the perception that his foreign policy was too extreme, and the Eagleton debacle. With McGovern's campaign weakened by these factors, with the Republicans portraying McGovern as a radical left-wing extremist, Nixon [[Historical polling for U.S. Presidential elections#1972 United States presidential election|led in the polls]] by large margins throughout the entire campaign. With an enormous fundraising advantage and a comfortable lead in the polls, Nixon concentrated on large rallies and focused speeches to closed, select audiences, leaving much of the retail campaigning to surrogates like Vice President Agnew. Nixon did not, by design, try to extend his coattails to Republican congressional or gubernatorial candidates, preferring to pad his own margin of victory. |
||
===Results=== |
===Results=== |
||
Line 339: | Line 788: | ||
{{legend|#1560BD|[[George McGovern]]|border=1px #AAAAAA solid}}]] |
{{legend|#1560BD|[[George McGovern]]|border=1px #AAAAAA solid}}]] |
||
[[File:1972 Presidential Election, Results by Congressional District.png|thumb|right|400px|Results by congressional district.]] |
[[File:1972 Presidential Election, Results by Congressional District.png|thumb|right|400px|Results by congressional district.]] |
||
Nixon's percentage of the popular vote was only marginally less than Lyndon Johnson's record in the [[1964 United States presidential election|1964 election]], and his margin of victory was slightly larger. Nixon won a majority vote in 49 states, including McGovern's home state of [[South Dakota]]. Only [[Massachusetts]] and the [[District of Columbia]] voted for the challenger, resulting in an even more lopsided [[Electoral College (United States)|Electoral College]] tally. McGovern garnered only 37.5 percent of the national popular vote, the lowest share received by a Democratic Party nominee since [[John W. Davis]] won only 28.8 percent of the vote in the [[1924 United States presidential election|1924 election]]. The only major party candidate since 1972 to receive less than 40 percent of the vote was Republican incumbent President [[George H. W. Bush]] who won 37.4 percent of the vote in the [[1992 United States presidential election|1992 election]], a race that (as in 1924) was |
Nixon's percentage of the popular vote was only marginally less than Lyndon Johnson's record in the [[1964 United States presidential election|1964 election]], and his margin of victory was slightly larger. Nixon won a majority vote in 49 states, including McGovern's home state of [[South Dakota]]. Only [[Massachusetts]] and the [[District of Columbia]] voted for the challenger, resulting in an even more lopsided [[Electoral College (United States)|Electoral College]] tally. McGovern garnered only 37.5 percent of the national popular vote, the lowest share received by a Democratic Party nominee since [[John W. Davis]] won only 28.8 percent of the vote in the [[1924 United States presidential election|1924 election]]. The only major party candidate since 1972 to receive less than 40 percent of the vote was Republican incumbent President [[George H. W. Bush]] who won 37.4 percent of the vote in the [[1992 United States presidential election|1992 election]], a race that (as in 1924) was impacted by a strong third-party vote.<ref>{{cite web| last=Feinman| first=Ronald| title=Donald Trump Could Be On Way To Worst Major Party Candidate Popular Vote Percentage Since William Howard Taft In 1912 And John W. Davis In 1924!| date=September 2, 2016| url=http://www.theprogressiveprofessor.com/?p=28297| work=The Progressive Professor| access-date=November 7, 2019| archive-date=December 20, 2019| archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20191220001137/http://www.theprogressiveprofessor.com/?p=28297| url-status=live}}</ref> Nixon received the highest share of the popular vote for a Republican in history. |
||
Although the McGovern campaign believed that its candidate had a better chance of defeating Nixon because of the new [[Twenty-sixth Amendment to the United States Constitution]] that lowered the national voting age to 18 from 21, most of the youth vote went to Nixon.<ref name="walker200807">{{cite news |url=http://reason.com/archives/2008/06/10/the-age-of-nixon |title=The Age of Nixon: Rick Perlstein on the left, the right, the '60s, and the illusion of consensus |work=Reason |date=July 2008 |access-date=July 27, 2013 |author=[[Jesse Walker]] |archive-date=July 18, 2013 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20130718110125/http://reason.com/archives/2008/06/10/the-age-of-nixon |url-status=live }}</ref> This was the first election in American history in which a [[Republican Party (U.S.)|Republican]] candidate carried every single [[American South|Southern state]], continuing the region's transformation from [[Solid South|a Democratic bastion]] into a Republican stronghold as [[United States presidential elections in Arkansas|Arkansas]] was carried by a Republican presidential candidate for the first time in a century. By this time, all the Southern states, except Arkansas and Texas, had been carried by a Republican in either the previous election or |
Although the McGovern campaign believed that its candidate had a better chance of defeating Nixon because of the new [[Twenty-sixth Amendment to the United States Constitution]] that lowered the national voting age to 18 from 21, most of the youth vote went to Nixon.<ref name="walker200807">{{cite news |url=http://reason.com/archives/2008/06/10/the-age-of-nixon |title=The Age of Nixon: Rick Perlstein on the left, the right, the '60s, and the illusion of consensus |work=Reason |date=July 2008 |access-date=July 27, 2013 |author=[[Jesse Walker]] |archive-date=July 18, 2013 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20130718110125/http://reason.com/archives/2008/06/10/the-age-of-nixon |url-status=live }}</ref> This was the first election in American history in which a [[Republican Party (U.S.)|Republican]] candidate carried every single [[American South|Southern state]], continuing the region's transformation from [[Solid South|a Democratic bastion]] into a Republican stronghold as [[United States presidential elections in Arkansas|Arkansas]] was carried by a Republican presidential candidate for the first time in a century. By this time, all the Southern states, except Arkansas and Texas, had been carried by a Republican in either the previous election or that of 1964 (though Republican candidates carried Texas in 1928, 1952 and 1956). As a result of this election, Massachusetts became the only state that Nixon did not carry in any of the three presidential elections in which he was a candidate. Notably, Nixon became the first Republican to ever win two terms in the White House without carrying Massachusetts at least once, and the same feat would later be duplicated by [[George W. Bush]] who won both the 2000 and 2004 elections without winning Massachusetts either time. This presidential election was the first since [[1808 United States presidential election|1808]] in which [[New York (state)|New York]] did not have the largest number of electors in the Electoral College, having fallen to 41 electors vs. [[California]]'s 45. Additionally, this remains the last one in which Minnesota was carried by the Republican candidate.<ref name="how">Sullivan, Robert David; [http://www.americamagazine.org/content/unconventional-wisdom/how-red-and-blue-map-evolved-over-past-century 'How the Red and Blue Map Evolved Over the Past Century'] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20161116163625/http://www.americamagazine.org/content/unconventional-wisdom/how-red-and-blue-map-evolved-over-past-century |date=November 16, 2016 }}; ''America Magazine'' in ''The National Catholic Review''; June 29, 2016</ref> |
||
McGovern won a mere 130 counties, plus the District of Columbia and four county-equivalents in Alaska,{{efn|These were [[North Slope Borough, Alaska|North Slope Borough]], plus [[Bethel Census Area, Alaska|Bethel]], [[Kusilvak Census Area, Alaska|Kusilvak]] and [[Hoonah-Angoon Census Area, Alaska|Hoonah-Angoon Census Areas]]}} easily the fewest counties won by any major-party presidential nominee since the advent of popular presidential elections.<ref>Menendez, Albert J.; ''The Geography of Presidential Elections in the United States, 1868–2004'', p. 98 {{ISBN|0786422173}}</ref> In nineteen states, McGovern failed to carry a single county;{{efn|McGovern failed to carry a single county in Arkansas, [[United States presidential election in Connecticut, 1972|Connecticut]], Delaware, [[United States presidential election in Florida, 1972|Florida]], Georgia, [[United States presidential election in Hawaii, 1972|Hawaii]], Idaho, Indiana, [[United States presidential election in Kansas, 1972|Kansas]], Nebraska, Nevada, [[United States presidential election in New Jersey, 1972|New Jersey]], [[United States presidential election in New Hampshire, 1972|New Hampshire]], Oklahoma, [[United States presidential election in Rhode Island, 1972|Rhode Island]], [[United States presidential election in South Carolina, 1972|South Carolina]], [[United States presidential election in Utah, 1972|Utah]], [[United States presidential election in Vermont, 1972|Vermont]] or Wyoming}} he carried a mere one county-equivalent in a further nine states,{{efn|McGovern carried only one county-equivalent in Arizona ([[Greenlee County, Arizona|Greenlee]]), [[United States presidential election in Illinois, 1972|Illinois]] ([[Jackson County, Illinois|Jackson]]), Louisiana ([[West Feliciana Parish, Louisiana|West Feliciana Parish]]), [[United States presidential election in Maine, 1972|Maine]] ([[Androscoggin County, Maine|Androscoggin]]), [[United States presidential election in Maryland, 1972|Maryland]] ([[Baltimore]]), North Dakota ([[Rolette County, North Dakota|Rolette]]), [[United States presidential election in Pennsylvania, 1972|Pennsylvania]] ([[Philadelphia County, Pennsylvania|Philadelphia]]), [[United States presidential election in Virginia, 1972|Virginia]] ([[Charles City County, Virginia|Charles City]]), and West Virginia ([[Logan County, West Virginia|Logan]])}} and just two counties in a further seven.{{efn|McGovern carried just two counties in [[United States presidential election in Colorado, 1972|Colorado]], Missouri, [[United States presidential election in Montana, 1972|Montana]], [[United States presidential election in New Mexico, 1972|New Mexico]], [[United States presidential election in North Carolina, 1972|North Carolina]], [[United States presidential election in Ohio, 1972|Ohio]] and [[United States presidential election in Washington (state), 1972|Washington State]]}} In contrast to [[Walter Mondale]]'s narrow 1984 win in Minnesota, McGovern comfortably did win Massachusetts, but lost every other state by no less than five percentage points, as well as 45 states by more than ten percentage points – the exceptions being Massachusetts, Minnesota, Rhode Island, Wisconsin, and his home state of South Dakota. This election also made Nixon the second former vice president in American history to serve two terms back-to-back, after [[Thomas Jefferson]] in [[1800 United States presidential election|1800]] and [[1804 United States presidential election|1804]] |
McGovern won a mere 130 counties, plus the District of Columbia and four county-equivalents in Alaska,{{efn|These were [[North Slope Borough, Alaska|North Slope Borough]], plus [[Bethel Census Area, Alaska|Bethel]], [[Kusilvak Census Area, Alaska|Kusilvak]] and [[Hoonah-Angoon Census Area, Alaska|Hoonah-Angoon Census Areas]]}} easily the fewest counties won by any major-party presidential nominee since the advent of popular presidential elections.<ref>Menendez, Albert J.; ''The Geography of Presidential Elections in the United States, 1868–2004'', p. 98 {{ISBN|0786422173}}</ref> In nineteen states, McGovern failed to carry a single county;{{efn|McGovern failed to carry a single county in Arkansas, [[United States presidential election in Connecticut, 1972|Connecticut]], Delaware, [[United States presidential election in Florida, 1972|Florida]], Georgia, [[United States presidential election in Hawaii, 1972|Hawaii]], Idaho, Indiana, [[United States presidential election in Kansas, 1972|Kansas]], Nebraska, Nevada, [[United States presidential election in New Jersey, 1972|New Jersey]], [[United States presidential election in New Hampshire, 1972|New Hampshire]], Oklahoma, [[United States presidential election in Rhode Island, 1972|Rhode Island]], [[United States presidential election in South Carolina, 1972|South Carolina]], [[United States presidential election in Utah, 1972|Utah]], [[United States presidential election in Vermont, 1972|Vermont]] or Wyoming}} he carried a mere one county-equivalent in a further nine states,{{efn|McGovern carried only one county-equivalent in Arizona ([[Greenlee County, Arizona|Greenlee]]), [[United States presidential election in Illinois, 1972|Illinois]] ([[Jackson County, Illinois|Jackson]]), Louisiana ([[West Feliciana Parish, Louisiana|West Feliciana Parish]]), [[United States presidential election in Maine, 1972|Maine]] ([[Androscoggin County, Maine|Androscoggin]]), [[United States presidential election in Maryland, 1972|Maryland]] ([[Baltimore]]), North Dakota ([[Rolette County, North Dakota|Rolette]]), [[United States presidential election in Pennsylvania, 1972|Pennsylvania]] ([[Philadelphia County, Pennsylvania|Philadelphia]]), [[United States presidential election in Virginia, 1972|Virginia]] ([[Charles City County, Virginia|Charles City]]), and West Virginia ([[Logan County, West Virginia|Logan]])}} and just two counties in a further seven.{{efn|McGovern carried just two counties in [[United States presidential election in Colorado, 1972|Colorado]], Missouri, [[United States presidential election in Montana, 1972|Montana]], [[United States presidential election in New Mexico, 1972|New Mexico]], [[United States presidential election in North Carolina, 1972|North Carolina]], [[United States presidential election in Ohio, 1972|Ohio]] and [[United States presidential election in Washington (state), 1972|Washington State]]}} In contrast to [[Walter Mondale]]'s narrow 1984 win in Minnesota, McGovern comfortably did win Massachusetts, but lost every other state by no less than five percentage points, as well as 45 states by more than ten percentage points – the exceptions being Massachusetts, Minnesota, Rhode Island, Wisconsin, and his home state of South Dakota. This election also made Nixon the second former vice president in American history to serve two terms back-to-back, after [[Thomas Jefferson]] in [[1800 United States presidential election|1800]] and [[1804 United States presidential election|1804]], as well as the only two-term Vice President to be elected President twice. |
||
Since McGovern carried only one state, bumper stickers reading "Nixon 49 America 1",<ref>{{Cite magazine |date=1973-08-27 |title=New York Intelligencer |url=https://books.google.com/books?id=qOYCAAAAMBAJ&pg=PA57 |magazine=New York |language=en |publisher=New York Media, LLC |volume=6 |issue=35 |page=57 |access-date=2019-03-16 |archive-date=April 18, 2023 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20230418145342/https://books.google.com/books?id=qOYCAAAAMBAJ&pg=PA57 |url-status=live }}</ref> "Don't Blame Me, I'm From Massachusetts", and "Massachusetts: The One And Only" were popular for a short time in Massachusetts.<ref>{{Cite news |url=https://www.nytimes.com/1973/01/14/archives/as-massachusetts-went-im-frommassachusetts-dont-blame-me.html |title=As Massachusetts went— |last=Lukas |first=J. Anthony |date=1973-01-14 |work=The New York Times |access-date=2019-03-16 |language=en-US |issn=0362-4331 |archive-date=May 17, 2019 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20190517204221/https://www.nytimes.com/1973/01/14/archives/as-massachusetts-went-im-frommassachusetts-dont-blame-me.html |url-status=live }}</ref> |
Since McGovern carried only one state, bumper stickers reading "Nixon 49 America 1",<ref>{{Cite magazine |date=1973-08-27 |title=New York Intelligencer |url=https://books.google.com/books?id=qOYCAAAAMBAJ&pg=PA57 |magazine=New York |language=en |publisher=New York Media, LLC |volume=6 |issue=35 |page=57 |access-date=2019-03-16 |archive-date=April 18, 2023 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20230418145342/https://books.google.com/books?id=qOYCAAAAMBAJ&pg=PA57 |url-status=live }}</ref> "Don't Blame Me, I'm From Massachusetts", and "Massachusetts: The One And Only" were popular for a short time in Massachusetts.<ref>{{Cite news |url=https://www.nytimes.com/1973/01/14/archives/as-massachusetts-went-im-frommassachusetts-dont-blame-me.html |title=As Massachusetts went— |last=Lukas |first=J. Anthony |date=1973-01-14 |work=The New York Times |access-date=2019-03-16 |language=en-US |issn=0362-4331 |archive-date=May 17, 2019 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20190517204221/https://www.nytimes.com/1973/01/14/archives/as-massachusetts-went-im-frommassachusetts-dont-blame-me.html |url-status=live }}</ref> |
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Nixon managed to win 18% of the African American vote (Gerald Ford would get 16% in 1976).<ref>{{Cite news |title=Exit Polls – Election Results 2008 |work=The New York Times |url=https://www.nytimes.com/elections/2008/results/president/national-exit-polls.html |access-date=2020-05-11 |archive-date=May 23, 2020 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20200523220252/https://www.nytimes.com/elections/2008/results/president/national-exit-polls.html |url-status=live }}</ref> |
Nixon managed to win 18% of the African American vote (Gerald Ford would get 16% in 1976).<ref>{{Cite news |title=Exit Polls – Election Results 2008 |work=The New York Times |url=https://www.nytimes.com/elections/2008/results/president/national-exit-polls.html |access-date=2020-05-11 |archive-date=May 23, 2020 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20200523220252/https://www.nytimes.com/elections/2008/results/president/national-exit-polls.html |url-status=live }}</ref> Until 2024, he was the only Republican in modern times to threaten the oldest extant Democratic stronghold of [[South Texas]]: this is the most recent election in which the Republicans have won [[Dimmit County, Texas]], the only time Republicans carried [[La Salle County, Texas|La Salle County]] between [[William McKinley]] in 1900 and [[Donald Trump]] in 2020, and one of only two occasions since Theodore Roosevelt in 1904{{efn|[[Dwight D. Eisenhower]] in 1952 also obtained a plurality in Presidio County}} that Republicans have gained a majority in [[Presidio County, Texas|Presidio County]].<ref name="how"/> The 1972 election was also the most recent time several highly populous urban counties – including [[Cook County, Illinois|Cook]] in Illinois, [[Orleans Parish, Louisiana|Orleans]] in Louisiana, [[Hennepin County, Minnesota|Hennepin]] in Minnesota, [[Cuyahoga County, Ohio|Cuyahoga]] in Ohio, [[Durham County, North Carolina|Durham]] in North Carolina, [[Queens County, New York|Queens]] in New York, and [[Prince George's County, Maryland|Prince George's]] in Maryland – have voted Republican.<ref name="how"/> |
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The [[George Wallace 1968 presidential campaign|Wallace vote]] had also been crucial to Nixon being able to sweep the states that had narrowly held out against him in 1968 (Texas, Maryland, and West Virginia), as well as the states Wallace won himself (Arkansas, Louisiana, Alabama, Mississippi, and Georgia). The pro-Wallace group of voters had only given AIP nominee John Schmitz a depressing 2.4% of its support, while 19.1% backed McGovern, and the majority 78.5% broke for Nixon. |
The [[George Wallace 1968 presidential campaign|Wallace vote]] had also been crucial to Nixon being able to sweep the states that had narrowly held out against him in 1968 (Texas, Maryland, and West Virginia), as well as the states Wallace won himself (Arkansas, Louisiana, Alabama, Mississippi, and Georgia). The pro-Wallace group of voters had only given AIP nominee John Schmitz a depressing 2.4% of its support, while 19.1% backed McGovern, and the majority 78.5% broke for Nixon. |
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Nixon, who became [[term limits in the United States|term-limited]] under the provisions of the [[Twenty-second Amendment to the United States Constitution|Twenty-second Amendment]] as a result of his victory, became the first |
Nixon, who became [[term limits in the United States|term-limited]] under the provisions of the [[Twenty-second Amendment to the United States Constitution|Twenty-second Amendment]] as a result of his victory, became the first presidential candidate to win a significant number of electoral votes in three presidential elections since the ratification of that Amendment, only Donald Trump has done the same. As of 2024, Nixon was the seventh of eight presidential nominees to win a significant number of electoral votes in at least three elections, the others being Thomas Jefferson, Henry Clay, Andrew Jackson, Grover Cleveland, William Jennings Bryan, Franklin D. Roosevelt, and Donald Trump. |
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The 520 electoral votes received by Nixon, added to the 301 electoral votes he received in [[1968 United States presidential election|1968]], and the 219 electoral votes he received in [[1960 United States presidential election|1960]], gave him |
The 520 electoral votes received by Nixon, added to the 301 electoral votes he received in [[1968 United States presidential election|1968]], and the 219 electoral votes he received in [[1960 United States presidential election|1960]], gave him the second largest number of electoral votes received by any presidential candidate (after [[Franklin D. Roosevelt]]'s 1,876 total electoral votes). |
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{{start U.S. presidential ticket box| pv_footnote=<!--source for popular votes--><ref>{{Leip PV source 2| year=1972| as of=August 7, 2005}}</ref>| ev_footnote=<!--source for electoral votes--><ref>{{National Archives EV source| year=1972| as of=August 7, 2005}}</ref>}} |
{{start U.S. presidential ticket box| pv_footnote=<!--source for popular votes--><ref>{{Leip PV source 2| year=1972| as of=August 7, 2005}}</ref>| ev_footnote=<!--source for electoral votes--><ref>{{National Archives EV source| year=1972| as of=August 7, 2005}}</ref>}} |
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Line 359: | Line 808: | ||
{{U.S. presidential ticket box row| name=[[George McGovern]]| party=[[Democratic Party (United States)|Democratic]]| state=[[South Dakota]]| pv=29,173,222| pv_pct=37.52%| ev=17| vp_name=[[Sargent Shriver]]| vp_state=[[Maryland]]}} |
{{U.S. presidential ticket box row| name=[[George McGovern]]| party=[[Democratic Party (United States)|Democratic]]| state=[[South Dakota]]| pv=29,173,222| pv_pct=37.52%| ev=17| vp_name=[[Sargent Shriver]]| vp_state=[[Maryland]]}} |
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{{U.S. presidential ticket box row| name=[[John G. Schmitz]]| party=[[American Independent Party|American Independent]]| state=[[California]]| pv=1,100,896| pv_pct=1.42%| ev=0| vp_name=[[Thomas J. Anderson (author)|Thomas J. Anderson]]| vp_state=[[Tennessee]]}} |
{{U.S. presidential ticket box row| name=[[John G. Schmitz]]| party=[[American Independent Party|American Independent]]| state=[[California]]| pv=1,100,896| pv_pct=1.42%| ev=0| vp_name=[[Thomas J. Anderson (author)|Thomas J. Anderson]]| vp_state=[[Tennessee]]}} |
||
{{U.S. presidential ticket box row| name=[[Linda Jenness]]| party=[[Socialist Workers Party (United States)|Socialist Workers]]| state=[[Georgia (U.S. state)|Georgia]]| pv=83,380{{efn|In [[Arizona]], Pima and Yavapai counties had an unusually formatted ballot that led voters to believe they could vote for a major party presidential candidate and simultaneously vote the six individual Socialist Workers Party presidential electors. Technically, these were overvotes, and should not have counted for either the major party candidates or the Socialist Workers Party electors. Within two days of the election, the Attorney General and Pima County Attorney had agreed that all votes should count. The Socialist Workers Party had not qualified as a party, and thus did not have a presidential candidate. In the official state canvass, votes for Nixon, McGovern, or Schmitz, are shown as being for the presidential candidate, the party, and the elector slate of the party; while those for the Socialist Worker Party elector candidates were for those candidates only. In the view of the Secretary of State, the votes were not for Linda Jenness. Some tabulations count the votes for Jenness. Historically, presidential candidate names did not appear on ballots, and voters voted directly for the electors. Nonetheless, votes for the electors are attributed to the presidential candidate. Counting the votes in Arizona for Jenness is consistent with this practice. Because of the confusing ballots, Socialist Workers Party electors received votes on about 21 percent and 8 percent of ballots in Pima and Yavapai, respectively. 30,579 of the party's 30,945 Arizona votes are from those two counties.<ref>{{Cite web|last=Seeley |
{{U.S. presidential ticket box row| name=[[Linda Jenness]]| party=[[Socialist Workers Party (United States)|Socialist Workers]]| state=[[Georgia (U.S. state)|Georgia]]| pv=83,380{{efn|In [[Arizona]], Pima and Yavapai counties had an unusually formatted ballot that led voters to believe they could vote for a major party presidential candidate and simultaneously vote the six individual Socialist Workers Party presidential electors. Technically, these were overvotes, and should not have counted for either the major party candidates or the Socialist Workers Party electors. Within two days of the election, the Attorney General and Pima County Attorney had agreed that all votes should count. The Socialist Workers Party had not qualified as a party, and thus did not have a presidential candidate. In the official state canvass, votes for Nixon, McGovern, or Schmitz, are shown as being for the presidential candidate, the party, and the elector slate of the party; while those for the Socialist Worker Party elector candidates were for those candidates only. In the view of the Secretary of State, the votes were not for Linda Jenness. Some tabulations count the votes for Jenness. Historically, presidential candidate names did not appear on ballots, and voters voted directly for the electors. Nonetheless, votes for the electors are attributed to the presidential candidate. Counting the votes in Arizona for Jenness is consistent with this practice. Because of the confusing ballots, Socialist Workers Party electors received votes on about 21 percent and 8 percent of ballots in Pima and Yavapai, respectively. 30,579 of the party's 30,945 Arizona votes are from those two counties.<ref>{{Cite web|last=Seeley|first=John|date=2000-11-22|title=Early and Often|url=https://www.laweekly.com/early-and-often-3/|access-date=2021-04-10|website=LA Weekly|language=en-US|archive-date=June 1, 2023|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20230601152311/https://www.laweekly.com/early-and-often-3/|url-status=live}}</ref> |
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}}| pv_pct=0.11%| ev=0| vp_name=[[Andrew Pulley]]| vp_state=[[Illinois]]}} |
}}| pv_pct=0.11%| ev=0| vp_name=[[Andrew Pulley]]| vp_state=[[Illinois]]}} |
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{{U.S. presidential ticket box row| name=[[Benjamin Spock]]| party=[[People's Party (United States, 1970s)|People's]]| state=[[California]]| pv=78,759| pv_pct=0.10%| ev=0| vp_name=[[Julius Hobson]]| vp_state=[[District of Columbia]] }} |
{{U.S. presidential ticket box row| name=[[Benjamin Spock]]| party=[[People's Party (United States, 1970s)|People's]]| state=[[California]]| pv=78,759| pv_pct=0.10%| ev=0| vp_name=[[Julius Hobson]]| vp_state=[[District of Columbia]] }} |
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</gallery> |
</gallery> |
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===Results by state=== |
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;Legend |
;Legend |
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Line 405: | Line 854: | ||
| † || At-large results (Maine used the Congressional District Method) |
| † || At-large results (Maine used the Congressional District Method) |
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|} |
|} |
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<div style="margin-bottom:30px;overflow:auto;width:100%;height:1200px;border-radius:0.5rem;background-color: transparent;"> |
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{| class="wikitable sortable" style="text-align:right" |
{| class="wikitable sortable" style="text-align:right" |
||
|+Outcomes of the 1972 United States presidential election by state<ref name="auto">{{cite web|url=http://uselectionatlas.org/RESULTS/data.php?year=1972&datatype=national&def=1&f=0&off=0&elect=0|title=1972 Presidential General Election Data — National|access-date=March 18, 2013|archive-date=February 1, 2020|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20200201035330/https://uselectionatlas.org/RESULTS/data.php?year=1972&datatype=national&def=1&f=0&off=0&elect=0|url-status=live}}</ref> |
|+Outcomes of the 1972 United States presidential election by state<ref name="auto">{{cite web|url=http://uselectionatlas.org/RESULTS/data.php?year=1972&datatype=national&def=1&f=0&off=0&elect=0|title=1972 Presidential General Election Data — National|access-date=March 18, 2013|archive-date=February 1, 2020|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20200201035330/https://uselectionatlas.org/RESULTS/data.php?year=1972&datatype=national&def=1&f=0&off=0&elect=0|url-status=live}}</ref> |
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| style="text-align:center;" | US |
| style="text-align:center;" | US |
||
|} |
|} |
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For the first time since 1828, Maine allowed its electoral votes to be split between candidates. Two electoral votes were awarded to the winner of the statewide race and one electoral vote to the winner of each congressional district. This was the first time the Congressional District Method had been used since Michigan used it in 1892. Nixon won all four votes.<ref name="MaineDistrict">{{cite book |last1=Barone |first1=Michael |last2=Matthews |first2=Douglas|last3=Ujifusa |first3=Grant|title=The Almanac of American Politics, 1974 |date=1973 |publisher=[[Gambit Publications]]}}</ref> |
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</div> |
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For the first time since 1828 Maine allowed its electoral votes to be split between candidates. Two electoral votes were awarded to the winner of the statewide race and one electoral vote to the winner of each congressional district. This was the first time the Congressional District Method had been used since Michigan used it in 1892. Nixon won all four votes.<ref name="MaineDistrict">{{cite book |last1=Barone |first1=Michael |last2=Matthews |first2=Douglas|last3=Ujifusa |first3=Grant|title=The Almanac of American Politics, 1974 |date=1973 |publisher=[[Gambit Publications]]}}</ref> |
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====States that flipped from Democratic to Republican==== |
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*[[Connecticut]] |
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*[[Hawaii]] |
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*[[Maine]] |
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*[[Maryland]] |
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*[[Michigan]] |
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*[[Minnesota]] |
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*[[New York (state)|New York]] |
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*[[Pennsylvania]] |
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*[[Rhode Island]] |
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*[[Texas]] |
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*[[Washington (state)|Washington]] |
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*[[West Virginia]] |
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====States that flipped from American Independent to Republican==== |
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*[[Georgia (US state)|Georgia]] |
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*[[Louisiana]] |
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*[[Alabama]] |
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*[[Mississippi]] |
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*[[Arkansas]] |
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===Close states=== |
===Close states=== |
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== Voter demographics == |
== Voter demographics == |
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<ref>{{Cite web |date=2010-07-21 |title=Election Polls -- Vote by Groups, 1968-1972 |url=http://www.gallup.com/poll/9457/election-polls-vote-groups-19681972.aspx |access-date=2024-10-26 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20100721032858/http://www.gallup.com/poll/9457/election-polls-vote-groups-19681972.aspx |archive-date=July 21, 2010 }}</ref> |
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Nixon won 36 percent of the Democratic vote, according to an [[exit poll]] conducted for [[CBS News]] by George Fine Research, Inc.<ref name="desertion"/> This represents more than twice the percentage of voters who typically defect from their party in presidential elections. Nixon also became the first Republican presidential candidate in American history to win the [[Roman Catholic]] vote (53–46), and the first in recent history to win the [[blue-collar]] vote, which he won by a 5-to-4 margin. McGovern narrowly won the union vote (50–48), though this difference was within the survey's margin of error of 2 percentage points. McGovern also narrowly won the youth vote (i. e., those aged 18 to 24) 52–46, a narrower margin than many of his strategists had predicted. Early on, the McGovern campaign also significantly over-estimated the number of young people who would vote in the election: They predicted that 18 million would have voted in total, but exit polls indicate that the actual number was about 12 million. McGovern did win comfortably among both [[African-American]] and [[American Jews|Jewish voters]], but by somewhat smaller margins than usual for a Democratic candidate.<ref name="desertion">{{Cite news |url=https://www.nytimes.com/1972/11/09/archives/new-jersey-pages-desertion-rate-doubles-defectors-gave-nixon.html |title=Desertion Rate Doubles |last=Rosenthal |first=Jack |author-link=Jack Rosenthal (journalist) |date=1972-11-09 |work=[[The New York Times]] |access-date=2019-12-01 |language=en-US |issn=0362-4331 |archive-date=December 29, 2019 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20191229112859/https://www.nytimes.com/1972/11/09/archives/new-jersey-pages-desertion-rate-doubles-defectors-gave-nixon.html |url-status=live }}</ref> McGovern won the African American vote by 87% to Nixon's 13%.<ref>{{cite news|title=Survey Reports McGovern Got 87% of the Black Vote|work=The New York Times |date=November 12, 1972 |url=https://www.nytimes.com/1972/11/12/archives/survey-reports-mcgovern-got-87-of-the-black-vote.html|access-date=February 8, 2023|archive-date=February 8, 2023|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20230208095134/https://www.nytimes.com/1972/11/12/archives/survey-reports-mcgovern-got-87-of-the-black-vote.html|url-status=live}}</ref> |
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{| class="wikitable sortable" |
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! colspan="3" |'''The 1972 presidential vote by demographic subgroup''' |
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|- |
|||
! |
|||
!McGovern |
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!Nixon |
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|- |
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! colspan="3" |Gender |
|||
|- |
|||
|Men |
|||
|37 |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}} |'''63''' |
|||
|- |
|||
|Women |
|||
|38 |
|||
|{{party shading/Republican}} |'''62''' |
|||
|- |
|||
! colspan="3" |'''Age''' |
|||
|- |
|||
|Under 30 |
|||
|48 |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}} |'''52''' |
|||
|- |
|||
|30-49 |
|||
|33 |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}} |'''67''' |
|||
|- |
|||
|50 or Older |
|||
|36 |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}} |'''64''' |
|||
|- |
|||
! colspan="3" |Race |
|||
|- |
|||
|White |
|||
|32 |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}} |'''68''' |
|||
|- |
|||
|Non-White |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |'''87''' |
|||
|13 |
|||
|- |
|||
! colspan="3" |Religion |
|||
|- |
|||
|Protestant |
|||
|30 |
|||
|{{party shading/Republican}} |'''70''' |
|||
|- |
|||
|Catholic |
|||
|48 |
|||
|{{party shading/Republican}} |'''52''' |
|||
|- |
|||
! colspan="3" |Education |
|||
|- |
|||
|College |
|||
|37 |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}} |'''63''' |
|||
|- |
|||
|High School |
|||
|34 |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}} |'''66''' |
|||
|- |
|||
|Grade School |
|||
|49 |
|||
|{{party shading/Republican}} |'''51''' |
|||
|- |
|||
! colspan="3" |Occupation |
|||
|- |
|||
|Business |
|||
|31 |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}} |'''69''' |
|||
|- |
|||
|White Collar |
|||
|36 |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}} |'''64''' |
|||
|- |
|||
|Manual |
|||
|43 |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}} |'''57''' |
|||
|- |
|||
! colspan="3" |Party ID |
|||
|- |
|||
|Republican |
|||
|5 |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}} |'''95''' |
|||
|- |
|||
|Democrat |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |'''67''' |
|||
|33 |
|||
|- |
|||
|Independent |
|||
|31 |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}} |'''69''' |
|||
|- |
|||
! colspan="3" |Region |
|||
|- |
|||
|East |
|||
|42 |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}} |'''58''' |
|||
|- |
|||
|Midwest |
|||
|40 |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}} |'''60''' |
|||
|- |
|||
|South |
|||
|29 |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}} |'''71''' |
|||
|- |
|||
|West |
|||
|41 |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}} |'''59''' |
|||
|- |
|||
! colspan="3" |Union Status |
|||
|- |
|||
|Union Family |
|||
| 46 |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}} |'''54''' |
|||
|} |
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Nixon won 36 percent of the Democratic vote, according to an [[exit poll]] conducted for [[CBS News]] by George Fine Research, Inc.<ref name="desertion" /> This represents more than twice the percentage of voters who typically defect from their party in presidential elections. Nixon also became the first Republican presidential candidate in American history to win the [[Roman Catholic]] vote (53–46), and the first in recent history to win the [[blue-collar]] vote, which he won by a 5-to-4 margin. McGovern narrowly won the union vote (50–48), though this difference was within the survey's margin of error of 2 percentage points. McGovern also narrowly won the youth vote (i. e., those aged 18 to 24) 52–46, a narrower margin than many of his strategists had predicted. Early on, the McGovern campaign also significantly over-estimated the number of young people who would vote in the election: They predicted that 18 million would have voted in total, but exit polls indicate that the actual number was about 12 million. McGovern did win comfortably among both [[African-American]] and [[American Jews|Jewish voters]], but by somewhat smaller margins than usual for a Democratic candidate.<ref name="desertion">{{Cite news |url=https://www.nytimes.com/1972/11/09/archives/new-jersey-pages-desertion-rate-doubles-defectors-gave-nixon.html |title=Desertion Rate Doubles |last=Rosenthal |first=Jack |author-link=Jack Rosenthal (journalist) |date=1972-11-09 |work=[[The New York Times]] |access-date=2019-12-01 |language=en-US |issn=0362-4331 |archive-date=December 29, 2019 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20191229112859/https://www.nytimes.com/1972/11/09/archives/new-jersey-pages-desertion-rate-doubles-defectors-gave-nixon.html |url-status=live }}</ref> McGovern won the African American vote by 87% to Nixon's 13%.<ref>{{cite news|title=Survey Reports McGovern Got 87% of the Black Vote|work=The New York Times |date=November 12, 1972 |url=https://www.nytimes.com/1972/11/12/archives/survey-reports-mcgovern-got-87-of-the-black-vote.html|access-date=February 8, 2023|archive-date=February 8, 2023|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20230208095134/https://www.nytimes.com/1972/11/12/archives/survey-reports-mcgovern-got-87-of-the-black-vote.html|url-status=live}}</ref> |
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==Aftermath== |
==Aftermath== |
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As part of the continuing Watergate investigation in 1974–1975, federal prosecutors offered companies that had given illegal campaign contributions to President Nixon's re-election campaign lenient sentences if they came forward.<ref name="'70s">{{cite book|title= How We Got Here: The '70s|last= Frum|first= David|author-link= David Frum|year= 2000|publisher= Basic Books|location= New York, New York|isbn= 0-465-04195-7|page= [https://archive.org/details/howwegothere70sd00frum/page/31 31]|url= https://archive.org/details/howwegothere70sd00frum/page/31}}</ref> Many companies complied, including [[Northrop Grumman]], [[3M]], [[American Airlines]], and [[Braniff Airlines]].<ref name="'70s"/> By 1976, prosecutors had convicted 18 American corporations of contributing illegally to Nixon's campaign.<ref name="'70s"/> |
As part of the continuing Watergate investigation in 1974–1975, federal prosecutors offered companies that had given illegal campaign contributions to President Nixon's re-election campaign lenient sentences if they came forward.<ref name="'70s">{{cite book|title= How We Got Here: The '70s|last= Frum|first= David|author-link= David Frum|year= 2000|publisher= Basic Books|location= New York, New York|isbn= 0-465-04195-7|page= [https://archive.org/details/howwegothere70sd00frum/page/31 31]|url= https://archive.org/details/howwegothere70sd00frum/page/31}}</ref> Many companies complied, including [[Northrop Grumman]], [[3M]], [[American Airlines]], and [[Braniff Airlines]].<ref name="'70s"/> By 1976, prosecutors had convicted 18 American corporations of contributing illegally to Nixon's campaign.<ref name="'70s"/> |
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Despite this election delivering Nixon's greatest electoral triumph, Nixon later wrote in his memoirs that "it was one of the most frustrating and in many ways the least satisfying of all".<ref>{{Cite web|url=https://www.nixonfoundation.org/2009/11/my-morris-moment/ |
Despite this election delivering Nixon's greatest electoral triumph, Nixon later wrote in his memoirs that "it was one of the most frustrating and in many ways the least satisfying of all".<ref name="Emig">{{Cite web |last=Emig |first=David |date=November 7, 2009 |title=My Morris Moment » |url=https://www.nixonfoundation.org/2009/11/my-morris-moment/ |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20230418145324/https://www.nixonfoundation.org/2009/11/my-morris-moment/ |archive-date=April 18, 2023 |access-date=March 29, 2021}}</ref> |
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==See also== |
==See also== |
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* Alexander, Herbert E. '' Financing the 1972 Election'' (1976) [https://archive.org/details/financing1972ele0000alex online] |
* Alexander, Herbert E. '' Financing the 1972 Election'' (1976) [https://archive.org/details/financing1972ele0000alex online] |
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* {{cite journal |last=Giglio |first=James N. |title=The Eagleton Affair: Thomas Eagleton, George McGovern, and the 1972 Vice Presidential Nomination |journal=[[Presidential Studies Quarterly]] |year=2009 |volume=39 |issue=4 |pages=647–676 |doi=10.1111/j.1741-5705.2009.03731.x |doi-access=free }} |
* {{cite journal |last=Giglio |first=James N. |title=The Eagleton Affair: Thomas Eagleton, George McGovern, and the 1972 Vice Presidential Nomination |journal=[[Presidential Studies Quarterly]] |year=2009 |volume=39 |issue=4 |pages=647–676 |doi=10.1111/j.1741-5705.2009.03731.x |doi-access=free }} |
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* {{cite journal |last=Graebner |first=Norman A. |title=Presidential Politics in a Divided America: 1972 |journal=[[Australian Journal of Politics and History]] |year=1973 |volume=19 |issue=1 |pages=28–47 |doi=10.1111/j.1467-8497.1973.tb00722.x }} |
* {{cite journal |last=Graebner |first=Norman A. |title=Presidential Politics in a Divided America: 1972 |journal=[[Australian Journal of Politics and History]] |year=1973 |volume=19 |issue=1 |pages=28–47 |doi=10.1111/j.1467-8497.1973.tb00722.x }} |
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** Hofstetter, C. Richard. ''Bias in the news: Network television coverage of the 1972 election campaign'' (Ohio State University Press, 1976) [https://core.ac.uk/download/pdf/159552578.pdf online] |
** Hofstetter, C. Richard. ''Bias in the news: Network television coverage of the 1972 election campaign'' (Ohio State University Press, 1976) [https://core.ac.uk/download/pdf/159552578.pdf online] |
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* Johnstone, Andrew, and Andrew Priest, eds. ''US Presidential Elections and Foreign Policy: Candidates, Campaigns, and Global Politics from FDR to Bill Clinton'' (2017) pp 203–228. [https://muse.jhu.edu/book/50578/ online] |
* Johnstone, Andrew, and Andrew Priest, eds. ''US Presidential Elections and Foreign Policy: Candidates, Campaigns, and Global Politics from FDR to Bill Clinton'' (2017) pp 203–228. [https://muse.jhu.edu/book/50578/ online] |
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* Miller, Arthur H., et al. "A majority party in disarray: Policy polarization in the 1972 election." ''American Political Science Review'' 70.3 (1976): |
* Miller, Arthur H., et al. "A majority party in disarray: Policy polarization in the 1972 election." ''American Political Science Review'' 70.3 (1976): 753–778; widely cited; [https://doi.org/10.2307/1959866 online] |
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* {{cite journal |last=Nicholas |first=H. G. |title=The 1972 Elections |journal=[[Journal of American Studies]] |year=1973 |volume=7 |issue=1 |pages=1–15 |doi=10.1017/S0021875800012585 |s2cid=145606732 }} |
* {{cite journal |last=Nicholas |first=H. G. |author-link = H. G. Nicholas |title=The 1972 Elections |journal=[[Journal of American Studies]] |year=1973 |volume=7 |issue=1 |pages=1–15 |doi=10.1017/S0021875800012585 |s2cid=145606732 }} |
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* Perry, James M. ''Us & them: how the press covered the 1972 election'' (1973) [https://archive.org/details/usthemhowpress00perr online] |
* [[James M. Perry|Perry, James M.]] ''Us & them: how the press covered the 1972 election'' (1973) [https://archive.org/details/usthemhowpress00perr online] |
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* Simons, Herbert W., [[James W. Chesebro]], and C. Jack Orr. "A movement perspective on the 1972 presidential election." ''Quarterly Journal of Speech'' 59.2 (1973): 168–179. [https://nca.tandfonline.com/doi/pdf/10.1080/00335637309383165 online] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20220923034438/https://nca.tandfonline.com/doi/pdf/10.1080/00335637309383165 |date=September 23, 2022 }} |
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* Trent, Judith S., and Jimmie D. Trent. "The rhetoric of the challenger: George Stanley McGovern." ''Communication Studies'' 25.1 (1974): 11–18. |
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* Simons, Herbert W., James W. Chesebro, and C. Jack Orr. "A movement perspective on the 1972 presidential election." ''Quarterly Journal of Speech'' 59.2 (1973): 168-179. [https://nca.tandfonline.com/doi/pdf/10.1080/00335637309383165 online] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20220923034438/https://nca.tandfonline.com/doi/pdf/10.1080/00335637309383165 |date=September 23, 2022 }} |
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* Trent, Judith S., and Jimmie D. Trent. "The rhetoric of the challenger: George Stanley McGovern." ''Communication Studies'' 25.1 (1974): 11-18. |
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* {{cite book |last=White |first=Theodore H. |author-link=Theodore H. White |title=The Making of the President, 1972 |location=New York |publisher=Atheneum |year=1973 |isbn=0-689-10553-3 |url=https://archive.org/details/makingofpresident00whit |url-access=registration }} |
* {{cite book |last=White |first=Theodore H. |author-link=Theodore H. White |title=The Making of the President, 1972 |location=New York |publisher=Atheneum |year=1973 |isbn=0-689-10553-3 |url=https://archive.org/details/makingofpresident00whit |url-access=registration }} |
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[[Category:Spiro Agnew]] |
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[[Category:Articles containing video clips]] |
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[[Category:George McGovern]] |
[[Category:George McGovern]] |
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Presidential election results map. Red denotes states won by Nixon/Agnew and blue denotes those won by McGovern/Shriver. Gold is the electoral vote for Hospers/Nathan by a Virginia faithless elector. Numbers indicate electoral votes cast by each state and the District of Columbia. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Watergate scandal |
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Events |
People |
Presidential elections were held in the United States on November 7, 1972. Incumbent Republican President Richard Nixon defeated Democratic Senator George McGovern in a landslide victory. With 60.7% of the popular vote, Richard Nixon won the largest share of the popular vote for the Republican Party in any presidential election.
Nixon swept aside challenges from two Republican representatives in the Republican primaries to win renomination. McGovern, who had played a significant role in changing the Democratic nomination system after the 1968 presidential election, mobilized the anti-Vietnam War movement and other liberal supporters to win his party's nomination. Among the candidates he defeated were early front-runner Edmund Muskie, 1968 nominee Hubert Humphrey, governor George Wallace, and representative Shirley Chisholm.
Nixon emphasized the strong economy and his success in foreign affairs, while McGovern ran on a platform calling for an immediate end to the Vietnam War and the institution of a guaranteed minimum income. Nixon maintained a large lead in polling. Separately, Nixon's reelection committee broke into the Watergate complex to wiretap the Democratic National Committee's headquarters as part of the Watergate scandal. McGovern's general election campaign was damaged early on by revelations about his running mate Thomas Eagleton, as well as the perception that McGovern's platform was radical. Eagleton had undergone electroconvulsive therapy as a treatment for depression, and he was replaced by Sargent Shriver after only nineteen days on the ticket.
Nixon won the election in a landslide victory, taking 60.7% of the popular vote, carrying 49 states and becoming the first Republican to sweep the South, whereas McGovern took just 37.5% of the popular vote. This marked the most recent time that the Republican nominee carried Minnesota in a presidential election; it also made Nixon the only two-term vice president to be elected president twice. The 1972 election was the first since the ratification of the 26th Amendment, which lowered the voting age from 21 to 18, further expanding the electorate.
Nixon and his vice president Spiro Agnew both resigned from office within two years of the election. Agnew resigned due to a bribery scandal in October 1973, and Nixon resigned in the face of likely impeachment and conviction as a result of the Watergate scandal in August 1974. Republican House Minority Leader Gerald Ford replaced Agnew as vice president in December 1973, and thus replaced Nixon as president in August 1974. Ford remains the only person in American history to become president without winning an election for president or vice president.
Republican nomination
[edit]Republican candidates:
- Richard Nixon, President of the United States from California
- Pete McCloskey, Representative from California
- John M. Ashbrook, Representative from Ohio
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Pre-vice presidency 36th Vice President of the United States Post-vice presidency 37th President of the United States
Judicial appointments Policies First term Second term Post-presidency Presidential campaigns Vice presidential campaigns
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1972 Republican Party ticket | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Richard Nixon | Spiro Agnew | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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for President | for Vice President | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
37th President of the United States (1969–1974) |
39th Vice President of the United States (1969–1973) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Campaign | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Primaries
[edit]Nixon was a popular incumbent president in 1972, as he was credited with opening the People's Republic of China as a result of his visit that year, and achieving détente with the Soviet Union. Polls showed that Nixon held a strong lead in the Republican primaries. He was challenged by two candidates: liberal Pete McCloskey from California, and conservative John Ashbrook from Ohio. McCloskey ran as an anti-war candidate, while Ashbrook opposed Nixon's détente policies towards China and the Soviet Union. In the New Hampshire primary, McCloskey garnered 19.8% of the vote to Nixon's 67.6%, with Ashbrook receiving 9.7%.[2] Nixon won 1323 of the 1324 delegates to the Republican convention, with McCloskey receiving the vote of one delegate from New Mexico. Vice President Spiro Agnew was re-nominated by acclamation; while both the party's moderate wing and Nixon himself had wanted to replace him with a new running-mate (the moderates favoring Nelson Rockefeller, and Nixon favoring John Connally), it was ultimately concluded that such action would incur too great a risk of losing Agnew's base of conservative supporters.
Primary results
[edit]Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|
Richard M. Nixon (incumbent) | 5,378,704 | 86.9 | |
Unpledged delegates | 317,048 | 5.1 | |
John M. Ashbrook | 311,543 | 5.0 | |
Paul N. McCloskey | 132,731 | 2.1 | |
George C. Wallace | 20,472 | 0.3 | |
"None of the names shown" | 5,350 | 0.1 | |
Others | 22,433 | 0.4 | |
Total votes | 6,188,281 | 100 |
Convention
[edit]Seven members of Vietnam Veterans Against the War were brought on federal charges for conspiring to disrupt the Republican convention.[4] They were acquitted by a federal jury in Gainesville, Florida.[4]
Democratic nomination
[edit]1972 Democratic Party ticket | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
George McGovern | Sargent Shriver | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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for President | for Vice President | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
U.S. Senator from South Dakota (1963–1981) |
21st U.S. Ambassador to France (1968–1970) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Campaign | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Candidates in this section are sorted by performance in the delegate contests | ||||||||
Hubert Humphrey | George Wallace | Edmund Muskie | Henry M. Jackson | Wilbur Mills | Shirley Chisholm | Terry Sanford | ||
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U.S. Vice President from Minnesota (1965–1969) |
Governor of Alabama (1961–1967; 1971–1979) |
U.S. Senator from Maine (1959–1980) |
U.S. Senator from Washington (1953–1983) |
U.S. Representative from Arkansas (1939–1977) |
U.S. Representative from New York (1969–1983) |
Governor of North Carolina (1961–1965) | ||
Campaign | Campaign | Campaign | Campaign | Campaign | Campaign | Campaign | ||
AC: January 10, 1972 4,119,230 votes 386.30 PD |
AC: January 13, 1972 3,755,424 votes 377.00 PD |
AC: January 4, 1972 SC: April 27, 1972 1,838,314 votes 209.10 PD |
AC: November 19, 1971 SC: May 2, 1972 504,596 votes 53.75 PD |
AC: February 11, 1972 37,401 votes 30.55 PD |
AC: January 25, 1972 430,733 votes 28.65 PD |
AC: March 8, 1972 331,415 votes 27 PD | ||
[5][6] | [5][7] | [5][8][9] | [5][10][11] | [5][12] | [5][13] | [5][14] | ||
John Lindsay | Eugene McCarthy | Sam Yorty | Vance Hartke | Patsy Mink | Fred R. Harris | |||
Mayor of New York from New York (1966–1973) |
U.S. Senator from Minnesota (1959–1971) |
Mayor of Los Angeles from California (1961–1973) |
U.S. Senator from Indiana (1959–1977) |
U.S. Representative from Hawaii (1965–1977) |
U.S. Senator from Oklahoma (1964–1973) | |||
Campaign | Campaign | Campaign | Campaign | Campaign | Campaign | |||
AC: December 28, 1971 W: April 4, 1972 196,406 votes 6 PD |
AC: December 17, 1971 553,352 votes |
AC: November 16, 1971 W: June 5, 1972 E-HH: June 5, 1972 79,446 votes |
AC: January 3, 1972 W: March 26, 1972 E-HH: March 26, 1972 11,798 votes |
W: May 24, 1972 8,286 votes |
AC: September 24, 1971 W: November 10, 1971 | |||
[5][15][16][17] | [5][18] | [5][19][20] | [5][21] | [5][22] | [5][23][24] |
Primaries
[edit]Senate Majority Whip Ted Kennedy, the youngest brother of late President John F. Kennedy and late United States Senator Robert F. Kennedy, was the favorite to win the 1972 nomination, but he announced he would not be a candidate.[25] The favorite for the Democratic nomination then became Maine Senator Ed Muskie,[26] the 1968 vice-presidential nominee.[27] Muskie's momentum collapsed just prior to the New Hampshire primary, when the so-called "Canuck letter" was published in the Manchester Union-Leader. The letter, actually a forgery from Nixon's "dirty tricks" unit, claimed that Muskie had made disparaging remarks about French-Canadians – a remark likely to injure Muskie's support among the French-American population in northern New England.[28] Subsequently, the paper published an attack on the character of Muskie's wife Jane, reporting that she drank and used off-color language during the campaign. Muskie made an emotional defense of his wife in a speech outside the newspaper's offices during a snowstorm. Though Muskie later stated that what had appeared to the press as tears were actually melted snowflakes, the press reported that Muskie broke down and cried, shattering the candidate's image as calm and reasoned.[28][29]
Nearly two years before the election, South Dakota Senator George McGovern entered the race as an anti-war, progressive candidate.[30] McGovern was able to pull together support from the anti-war movement and other grassroots support to win the nomination in a primary system he had played a significant part in designing.
On January 25, 1972, New York Representative Shirley Chisholm announced she would run, and became the first African-American woman to run for a major-party presidential nomination. Hawaii Representative Patsy Mink also announced she would run, and became the first Asian American person to run for the Democratic presidential nomination.[31]
On April 25, George McGovern won the Massachusetts primary. Two days later, journalist Robert Novak quoted a "Democratic senator", later revealed to be Thomas Eagleton, as saying: "The people don't know McGovern is for amnesty, abortion, and legalization of pot. Once middle America – Catholic middle America, in particular – finds this out, he's dead." The label stuck, and McGovern became known as the candidate of "amnesty, abortion, and acid". It became Humphrey's battle cry to stop McGovern—especially in the Nebraska primary.[32][33]
Alabama Governor George Wallace, an infamous segregationist who ran on a third-party ticket in 1968, did well in the South (winning nearly every county in the Florida primary) and among alienated and dissatisfied voters in the North.[34] What might have become a forceful campaign was cut short when Wallace was shot in an assassination attempt by Arthur Bremer on May 15. Wallace was struck by five bullets and left paralyzed from the waist down. The day after the assassination attempt, Wallace won the Michigan and Maryland primaries, but the shooting effectively ended his campaign, and he pulled out in July.
In the end, McGovern won the nomination by winning primaries through grassroots support, in spite of establishment opposition. McGovern had led a commission to re-design the Democratic nomination system after the divisive nomination struggle and convention of 1968. However, the new rules angered many prominent Democrats whose influence was marginalized, and those politicians refused to support McGovern's campaign (some even supporting Nixon instead), leaving the McGovern campaign at a significant disadvantage in funding, compared to Nixon. Some of the principles of the McGovern Commission have lasted throughout every subsequent nomination contest, but the Hunt Commission instituted the selection of superdelegates a decade later, in order to reduce the nomination chances of outsiders such as McGovern and Jimmy Carter.
Primary results
[edit]Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Hubert H. Humphrey | 4,121,372 | 25.8 | |
George S. McGovern | 4,053,451 | 25.3 | |
George C. Wallace | 3,755,424 | 23.5 | |
Edmund S. Muskie | 1,840,217 | 11.5 | |
Eugene J. McCarthy | 553,955 | 3.5 | |
Henry M. Jackson | 505,198 | 3.2 | |
Shirley A. Chisholm | 430,703 | 2.7 | |
James T. Sanford | 331,415 | 2.1 | |
John V. Lindsay | 196,406 | 1.2 | |
Sam W. Yorty | 79,446 | 0.5 | |
Wilbur D. Mills | 37,401 | 0.2 | |
Walter E. Fauntroy | 21,217 | 0.1 | |
Unpledged delegates | 19,533 | 0.1 | |
Edward M. Kennedy | 16,693 | 0.1 | |
Rupert V. Hartke | 11,798 | 0.1 | |
Patsy M. Mink | 8,286 | 0.1 | |
"None of the names shown" | 6,269 | 0 | |
Others | 5,181 | 0 | |
Total votes | 15,993,965 | 100 |
Notable endorsements
[edit]- Former Governor of and Secretary of Commerce W. Averell Harriman from New York[35]
- Senator Harold Hughes from Iowa[36]
- Senator Birch Bayh from Indiana[37]
- Senator Adlai Stevenson III from Illinois[38]
- Senator Mike Gravel of Alaska[39]
- Former Senator Stephen M. Young from Ohio[40]
- Governor Milton Shapp of Pennsylvania[41]
- Former Governor Michael DiSalle of Ohio[40]
- Ohio State Treasurer Gertrude W. Donahey[42]
- Astronaut John Glenn from Ohio[40]
George McGovern
- Senator Frank Church from Idaho[43]
George Wallace
- Former Governor Lester Maddox of Georgia[44]
Shirley Chisholm
- Representative Ron Dellums from California[45]
- Feminist leader and author Betty Friedan[46]
- Feminist leader, journalist, and DNC official Gloria Steinem[47]
Terry Sanford
- Former President Lyndon B. Johnson from Texas[48]
Henry M. Jackson
- Governor Jimmy Carter of Georgia[49]
1972 Democratic National Convention
[edit]Results:
- George McGovern – 1864.95
- Henry M. Jackson – 525
- George Wallace – 381.7
- Shirley Chisholm – 151.95
- Terry Sanford – 77.5
- Hubert Humphrey – 66.7
- Wilbur Mills – 33.8
- Edmund Muskie – 24.3
- Ted Kennedy – 12.7
- Sam Yorty – 10
- Wayne Hays – 5
- John Lindsay – 5
- Fred Harris – 2
- Eugene McCarthy – 2
- Walter Mondale – 2
- Ramsey Clark – 1
- Walter Fauntroy – 1
- Vance Hartke – 1
- Harold Hughes – 1
- Patsy Mink – 1
Vice presidential vote
[edit]Most polls showed McGovern running well behind incumbent President Richard Nixon, except when McGovern was paired with Massachusetts Senator Ted Kennedy. McGovern and his campaign brain trust lobbied Kennedy heavily to accept the bid to be McGovern's running mate, but he continually refused their advances, and instead suggested U.S. Representative (and House Ways and Means Committee chairman) Wilbur Mills from Arkansas and Boston Mayor Kevin White.[50] Offers were then made to Hubert Humphrey, Connecticut Senator Abraham Ribicoff, and Minnesota Senator Walter Mondale, all of whom turned it down. Finally, the vice presidential slot was offered to Senator Thomas Eagleton from Missouri, who accepted the offer.[50]
With hundreds of delegates displeased with McGovern, the vote to ratify Eagleton's candidacy was chaotic, with at least three other candidates having their names put into nomination and votes scattered over 70 candidates.[51] A grassroots attempt to displace Eagleton in favor of Texas state representative Frances Farenthold gained significant traction, though was ultimately unable to change the outcome of the vote.[52]
The vice-presidential balloting went on so long that McGovern and Eagleton were forced to begin making their acceptance speeches at around 2 am, local time.
After the convention ended, it was discovered that Eagleton had undergone psychiatric electroshock therapy for depression and had concealed this information from McGovern. A Time magazine poll taken at the time found that 77 percent of the respondents said, "Eagleton's medical record would not affect their vote." Nonetheless, the press made frequent references to his "shock therapy", and McGovern feared that this would detract from his campaign platform.[53] McGovern subsequently consulted confidentially with pre-eminent psychiatrists, including Eagleton's own doctors, who advised him that a recurrence of Eagleton's depression was possible and could endanger the country, should Eagleton become president.[54][55][56][57][58] McGovern had initially claimed that he would back Eagleton "1000 percent",[59] only to ask Eagleton to withdraw three days later. This perceived lack of conviction in sticking with his running mate was disastrous for the McGovern campaign.
McGovern later approached six prominent Democrats to run for vice president: Ted Kennedy, Edmund Muskie, Hubert Humphrey, Abraham Ribicoff, Larry O'Brien, and Reubin Askew. All six declined. Sargent Shriver, brother-in-law to John, Robert, and Ted Kennedy, former Ambassador to France, and former Director of the Peace Corps, later accepted.[60] He was officially nominated by a special session of the Democratic National Committee. By this time, McGovern's poll ratings had plunged from 41 to 24 percent.
Third parties
[edit]1972 American Independent Party ticket | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
John G. Schmitz | Thomas J. Anderson | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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for President | for Vice President | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
U.S. Representative from California's 35th district (1970–1973) |
Magazine publisher; conservative speaker | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Campaign | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Other Candidates | ||||||||
Lester Maddox | Thomas J. Anderson | George Wallace | ||||||
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Lieutenant Governor of Georgia (1971–1975) Governor of Georgia (1967–1971) |
Magazine publisher; conservative speaker | Governor of Alabama (1963–1967, 1971–1979) 1968 AIP Presidential Nominee | ||||||
Campaign | Campaign | Campaign | ||||||
56 votes | 24 votes | 8 votes |
The only major third party candidate in the 1972 election was conservative Republican Representative John G. Schmitz, who ran on the American Independent Party ticket (the party on whose ballot George Wallace ran in 1968). He was on the ballot in 32 states and received 1,099,482 votes. Unlike Wallace, however, he did not win a majority of votes cast in any state, and received no electoral votes, although he did finish ahead of McGovern in four of the most conservative Idaho counties.[61] Schmitz's performance in archconservative Jefferson County was the best by a third-party Presidential candidate in any free or postbellum state county since 1936 when William Lemke reached over twenty-eight percent of the vote in the North Dakota counties of Burke, Sheridan and Hettinger.[62] Schmitz was endorsed by fellow John Birch Society member Walter Brennan, who also served as finance chairman for his campaign.[63]
John Hospers and Theodora "Tonie" Nathan of the newly formed Libertarian Party were on the ballot only in Colorado and Washington, but were official write-in candidates in four others, and received 3,674 votes, winning no states. However, they did receive one Electoral College vote from Virginia from a Republican faithless elector (see below). The Libertarian vice-presidential nominee Tonie Nathan became the first Jew and the first woman in U.S. history to receive an Electoral College vote.[64]
Linda Jenness was nominated by the Socialist Workers Party, with Andrew Pulley as her running-mate. Benjamin Spock and Julius Hobson were nominated for president and vice-president, respectively, by the People's Party.
General election
[edit]Polling aggregation
[edit]The following graph depicts the standing of each candidate in the poll aggregators from February 1972 to Election Day.
Polling
[edit]Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Richard Nixon (R) |
George McGovern (D) |
George Wallace (AI)[c] |
Other | Undecided | Margin | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Election Results | November 7, 1972 | 60.67% | 37.52% | - | 1.81% | - | 23.15 | ||
Harris[65] | November 2–4, 1972 | 59% | 35% | - | - | 6% | 24 | ||
Gallup[66] | November 2-4, 1972 | 61% | 35% | - | 1% | 3% | 26 | ||
Harris[67] | October 24–26, 1972 | 60% | 32% | - | - | 8% | 28 | ||
Harris[67] | October 17–19, 1972 | 59% | 34% | - | - | 7% | 25 | ||
Gallup[68] | October 13-16, 1972 | 59% | 36% | - | - | 5% | 23 | ||
Gallup[69] | Sep. 29-Oct. 9, 1972 | 60% | 34% | - | 1% | 5% | 26 | ||
Harris[70] | October 3–5, 1972 | 60% | 33% | - | - | 7% | 27 | ||
Gallup[71] | September 22-25, 1972 | 61% | 33% | - | 1% | 5% | 28 | ||
Harris[72] | September 19–21, 1972 | 59% | 31% | - | - | 10% | 28 | ||
Harris[73] | Aug. 30–Sep. 1, 1972 | 63% | 29% | - | - | 8% | 34 | ||
Gallup[74] | August 25-28, 1972 | 61% | 36% | - | - | 3% | 25 | ||
Gallup[75] | August 26-27, 1972 | 64% | 30% | - | - | 6% | 34 | ||
August 21–23: Republican National Convention | |||||||||
Gallup[76] | August 4-7, 1972 | 57% | 31% | - | - | 12% | 26 | ||
Harris[77] | August 2–3, 1972 | 57% | 34% | - | - | 9% | 23 | ||
Gallup[78] | July 14-17, 1972 | 56% | 37% | - | - | 7% | 19 | ||
July 10–13: Democratic National Convention | |||||||||
Harris[77] | July 1–6, 1972 | 55% | 35% | - | - | 10% | 20 | ||
Gallup[79] | June 16-19, 1972 | 45% | 32% | 18% | - | 5% | 13 | ||
53% | 37% | - | - | 10% | 16 | ||||
Harris[80] | June 7–10, 1972 | 45% | 33% | 17% | - | 5% | 12 | ||
54% | 38% | - | - | 8% | 16 | ||||
Gallup[81] | May 26-29, 1972 | 43% | 30% | 19% | - | 8% | 13 | ||
53% | 34% | - | - | 13% | 19 | ||||
Harris[82] | May 9–10, 1972 | 40% | 35% | 17% | - | 8% | 5 | ||
48% | 41% | - | - | 11% | 7 | ||||
Gallup[83] | Apr. 28-May 1, 1972 | 43% | 35% | 15% | - | 7% | 8 | ||
49% | 39% | - | - | 12% | 10 | ||||
Gallup[84] | April 21-24, 1972 | 45% | 32% | 16% | - | 7% | 13 | ||
Gallup[85] | April 14-17, 1972 | 46% | 31% | 15% | - | 8% | 15 | ||
Harris[86][82] | April 1–7, 1972 | 47% | 29% | 16% | - | 8% | 18 | ||
54% | 34% | - | - | 12% | 20 | ||||
Harris[86][82] | Feb. 28 – Mar. 7, 1972 | 53% | 28% | 13% | - | 6% | 25 | ||
59% | 32% | - | - | 9% | 27 | ||||
Gallup[87] | February 4-7, 1972 | 49% | 34% | 11% | - | 6% | 15 | ||
Harris[88] | November, 1971 | 49% | 31% | 12% | - | 8% | 18 | ||
Harris[89] | August 24-27, 1971 | 48% | 33% | 13% | - | 6% | 15 | ||
Harris[88] | May, 1971 | 47% | 33% | 11% | - | 9% | 14 | ||
Harris[90] | April, 1971 | 46% | 36% | 13% | - | 5% | 10 | ||
Harris[90] | February, 1971 | 45% | 34% | 12% | - | 9% | 11 |
Campaign
[edit]McGovern ran on a platform of immediately ending the Vietnam War and instituting a radical guaranteed minimum income for the nation's poor. His campaign was harmed by his views during the primaries (which alienated many powerful Democrats), the perception that his foreign policy was too extreme, and the Eagleton debacle. With McGovern's campaign weakened by these factors, with the Republicans portraying McGovern as a radical left-wing extremist, Nixon led in the polls by large margins throughout the entire campaign. With an enormous fundraising advantage and a comfortable lead in the polls, Nixon concentrated on large rallies and focused speeches to closed, select audiences, leaving much of the retail campaigning to surrogates like Vice President Agnew. Nixon did not, by design, try to extend his coattails to Republican congressional or gubernatorial candidates, preferring to pad his own margin of victory.
Results
[edit]Nixon's percentage of the popular vote was only marginally less than Lyndon Johnson's record in the 1964 election, and his margin of victory was slightly larger. Nixon won a majority vote in 49 states, including McGovern's home state of South Dakota. Only Massachusetts and the District of Columbia voted for the challenger, resulting in an even more lopsided Electoral College tally. McGovern garnered only 37.5 percent of the national popular vote, the lowest share received by a Democratic Party nominee since John W. Davis won only 28.8 percent of the vote in the 1924 election. The only major party candidate since 1972 to receive less than 40 percent of the vote was Republican incumbent President George H. W. Bush who won 37.4 percent of the vote in the 1992 election, a race that (as in 1924) was impacted by a strong third-party vote.[91] Nixon received the highest share of the popular vote for a Republican in history.
Although the McGovern campaign believed that its candidate had a better chance of defeating Nixon because of the new Twenty-sixth Amendment to the United States Constitution that lowered the national voting age to 18 from 21, most of the youth vote went to Nixon.[92] This was the first election in American history in which a Republican candidate carried every single Southern state, continuing the region's transformation from a Democratic bastion into a Republican stronghold as Arkansas was carried by a Republican presidential candidate for the first time in a century. By this time, all the Southern states, except Arkansas and Texas, had been carried by a Republican in either the previous election or that of 1964 (though Republican candidates carried Texas in 1928, 1952 and 1956). As a result of this election, Massachusetts became the only state that Nixon did not carry in any of the three presidential elections in which he was a candidate. Notably, Nixon became the first Republican to ever win two terms in the White House without carrying Massachusetts at least once, and the same feat would later be duplicated by George W. Bush who won both the 2000 and 2004 elections without winning Massachusetts either time. This presidential election was the first since 1808 in which New York did not have the largest number of electors in the Electoral College, having fallen to 41 electors vs. California's 45. Additionally, this remains the last one in which Minnesota was carried by the Republican candidate.[93]
McGovern won a mere 130 counties, plus the District of Columbia and four county-equivalents in Alaska,[d] easily the fewest counties won by any major-party presidential nominee since the advent of popular presidential elections.[94] In nineteen states, McGovern failed to carry a single county;[e] he carried a mere one county-equivalent in a further nine states,[f] and just two counties in a further seven.[g] In contrast to Walter Mondale's narrow 1984 win in Minnesota, McGovern comfortably did win Massachusetts, but lost every other state by no less than five percentage points, as well as 45 states by more than ten percentage points – the exceptions being Massachusetts, Minnesota, Rhode Island, Wisconsin, and his home state of South Dakota. This election also made Nixon the second former vice president in American history to serve two terms back-to-back, after Thomas Jefferson in 1800 and 1804, as well as the only two-term Vice President to be elected President twice.
Since McGovern carried only one state, bumper stickers reading "Nixon 49 America 1",[95] "Don't Blame Me, I'm From Massachusetts", and "Massachusetts: The One And Only" were popular for a short time in Massachusetts.[96]
Nixon managed to win 18% of the African American vote (Gerald Ford would get 16% in 1976).[97] Until 2024, he was the only Republican in modern times to threaten the oldest extant Democratic stronghold of South Texas: this is the most recent election in which the Republicans have won Dimmit County, Texas, the only time Republicans carried La Salle County between William McKinley in 1900 and Donald Trump in 2020, and one of only two occasions since Theodore Roosevelt in 1904[h] that Republicans have gained a majority in Presidio County.[93] The 1972 election was also the most recent time several highly populous urban counties – including Cook in Illinois, Orleans in Louisiana, Hennepin in Minnesota, Cuyahoga in Ohio, Durham in North Carolina, Queens in New York, and Prince George's in Maryland – have voted Republican.[93]
The Wallace vote had also been crucial to Nixon being able to sweep the states that had narrowly held out against him in 1968 (Texas, Maryland, and West Virginia), as well as the states Wallace won himself (Arkansas, Louisiana, Alabama, Mississippi, and Georgia). The pro-Wallace group of voters had only given AIP nominee John Schmitz a depressing 2.4% of its support, while 19.1% backed McGovern, and the majority 78.5% broke for Nixon.
Nixon, who became term-limited under the provisions of the Twenty-second Amendment as a result of his victory, became the first presidential candidate to win a significant number of electoral votes in three presidential elections since the ratification of that Amendment, only Donald Trump has done the same. As of 2024, Nixon was the seventh of eight presidential nominees to win a significant number of electoral votes in at least three elections, the others being Thomas Jefferson, Henry Clay, Andrew Jackson, Grover Cleveland, William Jennings Bryan, Franklin D. Roosevelt, and Donald Trump.
The 520 electoral votes received by Nixon, added to the 301 electoral votes he received in 1968, and the 219 electoral votes he received in 1960, gave him the second largest number of electoral votes received by any presidential candidate (after Franklin D. Roosevelt's 1,876 total electoral votes).
Presidential candidate | Party | Home state | Popular vote[98] | Electoral vote[99] |
Running mate | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Count | Percentage | Vice-presidential candidate | Home state | Electoral vote[99] | ||||
Richard Nixon (incumbent) | Republican | California | 47,168,710 | 60.67% | 520 | Spiro T. Agnew (incumbent) | Maryland | 520 |
George McGovern | Democratic | South Dakota | 29,173,222 | 37.52% | 17 | Sargent Shriver | Maryland | 17 |
John G. Schmitz | American Independent | California | 1,100,896 | 1.42% | 0 | Thomas J. Anderson | Tennessee | 0 |
Linda Jenness | Socialist Workers | Georgia | 83,380[i] | 0.11% | 0 | Andrew Pulley | Illinois | 0 |
Benjamin Spock | People's | California | 78,759 | 0.10% | 0 | Julius Hobson | District of Columbia | 0 |
Louis Fisher | Socialist Labor | Illinois | 53,814 | 0.07% | 0 | Genevieve Gunderson | Minnesota | 0 |
John G. Hospers | Libertarian | California | 3,674 | 0.00% | 1[j][64] | Theodora Nathan | Oregon | 1[j][64] |
Other | 81,575 | 0.10% | — | Other | — | |||
Total | 77,744,030 | 100% | 538 | 538 | ||||
Needed to win | 270 | 270 |
-
Results by county, shaded according to winning candidate's percentage of the vote
Results by state
[edit]- Legend
States/districts won by Nixon/Agnew | |
States/districts won by McGovern/Shriver | |
† | At-large results (Maine used the Congressional District Method) |
Richard Nixon Republican |
George McGovern Democratic |
John Schmitz American Independent |
John Hospers Libertarian |
Margin | State Total | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
State | electoral votes |
# | % | electoral votes |
# | % | electoral votes |
# | % | electoral votes |
# | % | electoral votes |
# | % | # | |
Alabama | 9 | 728,701 | 72.43 | 9 | 256,923 | 25.54 | 11,918 | 1.18 | 471,778 | 46.89 | 1,006,093 | AL | |||||
Alaska | 3 | 55,349 | 58.13 | 3 | 32,967 | 34.62 | 6,903 | 7.25 | 22,382 | 23.51 | 95,219 | AK | |||||
Arizona | 6 | 402,812 | 61.64 | 6 | 198,540 | 30.38 | 21,208 | 3.25 | 204,272 | 31.26 | 653,505 | AZ | |||||
Arkansas | 6 | 445,751 | 68.82 | 6 | 198,899 | 30.71 | 3,016 | 0.47 | 246,852 | 38.11 | 647,666 | AR | |||||
California | 45 | 4,602,096 | 55.00 | 45 | 3,475,847 | 41.54 | 232,554 | 2.78 | 980 | 0.01 | 1,126,249 | 13.46 | 8,367,862 | CA | |||
Colorado | 7 | 597,189 | 62.61 | 7 | 329,980 | 34.59 | 17,269 | 1.81 | 1,111 | 0.12 | 267,209 | 28.01 | 953,884 | CO | |||
Connecticut | 8 | 810,763 | 58.57 | 8 | 555,498 | 40.13 | 17,239 | 1.25 | 255,265 | 18.44 | 1,384,277 | CT | |||||
Delaware | 3 | 140,357 | 59.60 | 3 | 92,283 | 39.18 | 2,638 | 1.12 | 48,074 | 20.41 | 235,516 | DE | |||||
D.C. | 3 | 35,226 | 21.56 | 127,627 | 78.10 | 3 | −92,401 | −56.54 | 163,421 | DC | |||||||
Florida | 17 | 1,857,759 | 71.91 | 17 | 718,117 | 27.80 | 1,139,642 | 44.12 | 2,583,283 | FL | |||||||
Georgia | 12 | 881,496 | 75.04 | 12 | 289,529 | 24.65 | 812 | 0.07 | 591,967 | 50.39 | 1,174,772 | GA | |||||
Hawaii | 4 | 168,865 | 62.48 | 4 | 101,409 | 37.52 | 67,456 | 24.96 | 270,274 | HI | |||||||
Idaho | 4 | 199,384 | 64.24 | 4 | 80,826 | 26.04 | 28,869 | 9.30 | 118,558 | 38.20 | 310,379 | ID | |||||
Illinois | 26 | 2,788,179 | 59.03 | 26 | 1,913,472 | 40.51 | 2,471 | 0.05 | 874,707 | 18.52 | 4,723,236 | IL | |||||
Indiana | 13 | 1,405,154 | 66.11 | 13 | 708,568 | 33.34 | 696,586 | 32.77 | 2,125,529 | IN | |||||||
Iowa | 8 | 706,207 | 57.61 | 8 | 496,206 | 40.48 | 22,056 | 1.80 | 210,001 | 17.13 | 1,225,944 | IA | |||||
Kansas | 7 | 619,812 | 67.66 | 7 | 270,287 | 29.50 | 21,808 | 2.38 | 349,525 | 38.15 | 916,095 | KS | |||||
Kentucky | 9 | 676,446 | 63.37 | 9 | 371,159 | 34.77 | 17,627 | 1.65 | 305,287 | 28.60 | 1,067,499 | KY | |||||
Louisiana | 10 | 686,852 | 65.32 | 10 | 298,142 | 28.35 | 52,099 | 4.95 | 388,710 | 36.97 | 1,051,491 | LA | |||||
Maine † | 2 | 256,458 | 61.46 | 2 | 160,584 | 38.48 | 117 | 0.03 | 1 | 0.00 | 95,874 | 22.98 | 417,271 | ME | |||
Maine-1 | 1 | 135,388 | 61.42 | 1 | 85,028 | 38.58 | Unknown | Unknown | Unknown | Unknown | 50,360 | 22.85 | 220,416 | ME1 | |||
Maine-2 | 1 | 121,120 | 61.58 | 1 | 75,556 | 38.42 | Unknown | Unknown | Unknown | Unknown | 45,564 | 23.17 | 196,676 | ME2 | |||
Maryland | 10 | 829,305 | 61.26 | 10 | 505,781 | 37.36 | 18,726 | 1.38 | 323,524 | 23.90 | 1,353,812 | MD | |||||
Massachusetts | 14 | 1,112,078 | 45.23 | 1,332,540 | 54.20 | 14 | 2,877 | 0.12 | 43 | 0.00 | −220,462 | −8.97 | 2,458,756 | MA | |||
Michigan | 21 | 1,961,721 | 56.20 | 21 | 1,459,435 | 41.81 | 63,321 | 1.81 | 502,286 | 14.39 | 3,490,325 | MI | |||||
Minnesota | 10 | 898,269 | 51.58 | 10 | 802,346 | 46.07 | 31,407 | 1.80 | 95,923 | 5.51 | 1,741,652 | MN | |||||
Mississippi | 7 | 505,125 | 78.20 | 7 | 126,782 | 19.63 | 11,598 | 1.80 | 378,343 | 58.57 | 645,963 | MS | |||||
Missouri | 12 | 1,154,058 | 62.29 | 12 | 698,531 | 37.71 | 455,527 | 24.59 | 1,852,589 | MO | |||||||
Montana | 4 | 183,976 | 57.93 | 4 | 120,197 | 37.85 | 13,430 | 4.23 | 63,779 | 20.08 | 317,603 | MT | |||||
Nebraska | 5 | 406,298 | 70.50 | 5 | 169,991 | 29.50 | 236,307 | 41.00 | 576,289 | NE | |||||||
Nevada | 3 | 115,750 | 63.68 | 3 | 66,016 | 36.32 | 49,734 | 27.36 | 181,766 | NV | |||||||
New Hampshire | 4 | 213,724 | 63.98 | 4 | 116,435 | 34.86 | 3,386 | 1.01 | 97,289 | 29.12 | 334,055 | NH | |||||
New Jersey | 17 | 1,845,502 | 61.57 | 17 | 1,102,211 | 36.77 | 34,378 | 1.15 | 743,291 | 24.80 | 2,997,229 | NJ | |||||
New Mexico | 4 | 235,606 | 61.05 | 4 | 141,084 | 36.56 | 8,767 | 2.27 | 94,522 | 24.49 | 385,931 | NM | |||||
New York | 41 | 4,192,778 | 58.54 | 41 | 2,951,084 | 41.21 | 1,241,694 | 17.34 | 7,161,830 | NY | |||||||
North Carolina | 13 | 1,054,889 | 69.46 | 13 | 438,705 | 28.89 | 25,018 | 1.65 | 616,184 | 40.58 | 1,518,612 | NC | |||||
North Dakota | 3 | 174,109 | 62.07 | 3 | 100,384 | 35.79 | 5,646 | 2.01 | 73,725 | 26.28 | 280,514 | ND | |||||
Ohio | 25 | 2,441,827 | 59.63 | 25 | 1,558,889 | 38.07 | 80,067 | 1.96 | 882,938 | 21.56 | 4,094,787 | OH | |||||
Oklahoma | 8 | 759,025 | 73.70 | 8 | 247,147 | 24.00 | 23,728 | 2.30 | 511,878 | 49.70 | 1,029,900 | OK | |||||
Oregon | 6 | 486,686 | 52.45 | 6 | 392,760 | 42.33 | 46,211 | 4.98 | 93,926 | 10.12 | 927,946 | OR | |||||
Pennsylvania | 27 | 2,714,521 | 59.11 | 27 | 1,796,951 | 39.13 | 70,593 | 1.54 | 917,570 | 19.98 | 4,592,105 | PA | |||||
Rhode Island | 4 | 220,383 | 53.00 | 4 | 194,645 | 46.81 | 25 | 0.01 | 2 | 0.00 | 25,738 | 6.19 | 415,808 | RI | |||
South Carolina | 8 | 478,427 | 70.58 | 8 | 189,270 | 27.92 | 10,166 | 1.50 | 289,157 | 42.66 | 677,880 | SC | |||||
South Dakota | 4 | 166,476 | 54.15 | 4 | 139,945 | 45.52 | 26,531 | 8.63 | 307,415 | SD | |||||||
Tennessee | 10 | 813,147 | 67.70 | 10 | 357,293 | 29.75 | 30,373 | 2.53 | 455,854 | 37.95 | 1,201,182 | TN | |||||
Texas | 26 | 2,298,896 | 66.20 | 26 | 1,154,291 | 33.24 | 7,098 | 0.20 | 1,144,605 | 32.96 | 3,472,714 | TX | |||||
Utah | 4 | 323,643 | 67.64 | 4 | 126,284 | 26.39 | 28,549 | 5.97 | 197,359 | 41.25 | 478,476 | UT | |||||
Vermont | 3 | 117,149 | 62.66 | 3 | 68,174 | 36.47 | 48,975 | 26.20 | 186,947 | VT | |||||||
Virginia | 12 | 988,493 | 67.84 | 11 | 438,887 | 30.12 | 19,721 | 1.35 | 1 | 549,606 | 37.72 | 1,457,019 | VA | ||||
Washington | 9 | 837,135 | 56.92 | 9 | 568,334 | 38.64 | 58,906 | 4.00 | 1,537 | 0.10 | 268,801 | 18.28 | 1,470,847 | WA | |||
West Virginia | 6 | 484,964 | 63.61 | 6 | 277,435 | 36.39 | 207,529 | 27.22 | 762,399 | WV | |||||||
Wisconsin | 11 | 989,430 | 53.40 | 11 | 810,174 | 43.72 | 47,525 | 2.56 | 179,256 | 9.67 | 1,852,890 | WI | |||||
Wyoming | 3 | 100,464 | 69.01 | 3 | 44,358 | 30.47 | 748 | 0.51 | 56,106 | 38.54 | 145,570 | WY | |||||
TOTALS: | 538 | 47,168,710 | 60.67 | 520 | 29,173,222 | 37.52 | 17 | 1,100,868 | 1.42 | 0 | 3,674 | 0.00 | 1 | 17,995,488 | 23.15 | 77,744,027 | US |
For the first time since 1828, Maine allowed its electoral votes to be split between candidates. Two electoral votes were awarded to the winner of the statewide race and one electoral vote to the winner of each congressional district. This was the first time the Congressional District Method had been used since Michigan used it in 1892. Nixon won all four votes.[102]
States that flipped from Democratic to Republican
[edit]- Connecticut
- Hawaii
- Maine
- Maryland
- Michigan
- Minnesota
- New York
- Pennsylvania
- Rhode Island
- Texas
- Washington
- West Virginia
States that flipped from American Independent to Republican
[edit]Close states
[edit]States where margin of victory was more than 5 percentage points, but less than 10 percentage points (43 electoral votes):
|
Tipping point states:
- Ohio, 21.56% (882,938 votes) (tipping point for a Nixon victory)
- Maine-1, 22.85% (50,360 votes) (tipping point for a McGovern victory)[103]
Statistics
[edit]Counties with highest percentage of the vote (Republican)
- Dade County, Georgia 93.45%
- Glascock County, Georgia 93.38%
- George County, Mississippi 92.90%
- Holmes County, Florida 92.51%
- Smith County, Mississippi 92.35%
Counties with highest percentage of the vote (Democratic)
- Duval County, Texas 85.68%
- Washington, D. C. 78.10%
- Shannon County, South Dakota 77.34%
- Greene County, Alabama 68.32%
- Charles City County, Virginia 67.84%
Counties with highest percentage of the vote (Other)
- Jefferson County, Idaho 27.51%
- Lemhi County, Idaho 19.77%
- Fremont County, Idaho 19.32%
- Bonneville County, Idaho 18.97%
- Madison County, Idaho 17.04%
Voter demographics
[edit]The 1972 presidential vote by demographic subgroup | ||
---|---|---|
McGovern | Nixon | |
Gender | ||
Men | 37 | 63 |
Women | 38 | 62 |
Age | ||
Under 30 | 48 | 52 |
30-49 | 33 | 67 |
50 or Older | 36 | 64 |
Race | ||
White | 32 | 68 |
Non-White | 87 | 13 |
Religion | ||
Protestant | 30 | 70 |
Catholic | 48 | 52 |
Education | ||
College | 37 | 63 |
High School | 34 | 66 |
Grade School | 49 | 51 |
Occupation | ||
Business | 31 | 69 |
White Collar | 36 | 64 |
Manual | 43 | 57 |
Party ID | ||
Republican | 5 | 95 |
Democrat | 67 | 33 |
Independent | 31 | 69 |
Region | ||
East | 42 | 58 |
Midwest | 40 | 60 |
South | 29 | 71 |
West | 41 | 59 |
Union Status | ||
Union Family | 46 | 54 |
Nixon won 36 percent of the Democratic vote, according to an exit poll conducted for CBS News by George Fine Research, Inc.[105] This represents more than twice the percentage of voters who typically defect from their party in presidential elections. Nixon also became the first Republican presidential candidate in American history to win the Roman Catholic vote (53–46), and the first in recent history to win the blue-collar vote, which he won by a 5-to-4 margin. McGovern narrowly won the union vote (50–48), though this difference was within the survey's margin of error of 2 percentage points. McGovern also narrowly won the youth vote (i. e., those aged 18 to 24) 52–46, a narrower margin than many of his strategists had predicted. Early on, the McGovern campaign also significantly over-estimated the number of young people who would vote in the election: They predicted that 18 million would have voted in total, but exit polls indicate that the actual number was about 12 million. McGovern did win comfortably among both African-American and Jewish voters, but by somewhat smaller margins than usual for a Democratic candidate.[105] McGovern won the African American vote by 87% to Nixon's 13%.[106]
Aftermath
[edit]On June 17, 1972, five months before election day, five men broke into the Democratic National Committee headquarters at the Watergate hotel in Washington, D. C.; the resulting investigation led to the revelation of attempted cover-ups of the break-in within the Nixon administration. What became known as the Watergate scandal eroded President Nixon's public and political support in his second term, and he resigned on August 9, 1974, in the face of probable impeachment by the House of Representatives and removal from office by the Senate.
As part of the continuing Watergate investigation in 1974–1975, federal prosecutors offered companies that had given illegal campaign contributions to President Nixon's re-election campaign lenient sentences if they came forward.[107] Many companies complied, including Northrop Grumman, 3M, American Airlines, and Braniff Airlines.[107] By 1976, prosecutors had convicted 18 American corporations of contributing illegally to Nixon's campaign.[107]
Despite this election delivering Nixon's greatest electoral triumph, Nixon later wrote in his memoirs that "it was one of the most frustrating and in many ways the least satisfying of all".[108]
See also
[edit]- 1972 United States House of Representatives elections
- 1972 United States Senate elections
- 1972 United States gubernatorial elections
- George McGovern 1972 presidential campaign
- Second inauguration of Richard Nixon
- Fear and Loathing on the Campaign Trail '72, a collection of articles by Hunter S. Thompson on the subject of the election, focusing on the McGovern campaign.
Explanatory notes
[edit]- ^ A faithless Republican elector voted for the Libertarian ticket (Hospers–Nathan).
- ^ Despite running for the Democratic Presidential nomination, there was an expectation that Wallace would again bolt the Democratic Party and run as an independent in the general election; as a result, some polls made an assumption that this was going to be the case. To reflect this, the aggregate includes those polls up to the point where Wallace definitively declined to make an independent run for the Presidency.
- ^ It remained an open question far into the election season whether Wallace would again bolt the Democratic Party and run as an Independent candidate in the General should he fail to win the Democratic nomination, with some polls being commissioned as though it were a fait accompli.
- ^ These were North Slope Borough, plus Bethel, Kusilvak and Hoonah-Angoon Census Areas
- ^ McGovern failed to carry a single county in Arkansas, Connecticut, Delaware, Florida, Georgia, Hawaii, Idaho, Indiana, Kansas, Nebraska, Nevada, New Jersey, New Hampshire, Oklahoma, Rhode Island, South Carolina, Utah, Vermont or Wyoming
- ^ McGovern carried only one county-equivalent in Arizona (Greenlee), Illinois (Jackson), Louisiana (West Feliciana Parish), Maine (Androscoggin), Maryland (Baltimore), North Dakota (Rolette), Pennsylvania (Philadelphia), Virginia (Charles City), and West Virginia (Logan)
- ^ McGovern carried just two counties in Colorado, Missouri, Montana, New Mexico, North Carolina, Ohio and Washington State
- ^ Dwight D. Eisenhower in 1952 also obtained a plurality in Presidio County
- ^ In Arizona, Pima and Yavapai counties had an unusually formatted ballot that led voters to believe they could vote for a major party presidential candidate and simultaneously vote the six individual Socialist Workers Party presidential electors. Technically, these were overvotes, and should not have counted for either the major party candidates or the Socialist Workers Party electors. Within two days of the election, the Attorney General and Pima County Attorney had agreed that all votes should count. The Socialist Workers Party had not qualified as a party, and thus did not have a presidential candidate. In the official state canvass, votes for Nixon, McGovern, or Schmitz, are shown as being for the presidential candidate, the party, and the elector slate of the party; while those for the Socialist Worker Party elector candidates were for those candidates only. In the view of the Secretary of State, the votes were not for Linda Jenness. Some tabulations count the votes for Jenness. Historically, presidential candidate names did not appear on ballots, and voters voted directly for the electors. Nonetheless, votes for the electors are attributed to the presidential candidate. Counting the votes in Arizona for Jenness is consistent with this practice. Because of the confusing ballots, Socialist Workers Party electors received votes on about 21 percent and 8 percent of ballots in Pima and Yavapai, respectively. 30,579 of the party's 30,945 Arizona votes are from those two counties.[100]
- ^ A Virginia faithless elector, Roger MacBride, though pledged to vote for Richard Nixon and Spiro Agnew, instead voted for Libertarian candidates John Hospers and Theodora "Tonie" Nathan.
Citations
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ReferenceO
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Bibliography and further reading
[edit]- Alexander, Herbert E. Financing the 1972 Election (1976) online
- Giglio, James N. (2009). "The Eagleton Affair: Thomas Eagleton, George McGovern, and the 1972 Vice Presidential Nomination". Presidential Studies Quarterly. 39 (4): 647–676. doi:10.1111/j.1741-5705.2009.03731.x.
- Graebner, Norman A. (1973). "Presidential Politics in a Divided America: 1972". Australian Journal of Politics and History. 19 (1): 28–47. doi:10.1111/j.1467-8497.1973.tb00722.x.
- Hofstetter, C. Richard; Zukin, Cliff (1979). "TV Network News and Advertising in the Nixon and McGovern Campaigns". Journalism & Mass Communication Quarterly. 56 (1): 106–152. doi:10.1177/107769907905600117. S2CID 144048423.
- Hofstetter, C. Richard. Bias in the news: Network television coverage of the 1972 election campaign (Ohio State University Press, 1976) online
- Johnstone, Andrew, and Andrew Priest, eds. US Presidential Elections and Foreign Policy: Candidates, Campaigns, and Global Politics from FDR to Bill Clinton (2017) pp 203–228. online
- Miller, Arthur H., et al. "A majority party in disarray: Policy polarization in the 1972 election." American Political Science Review 70.3 (1976): 753–778; widely cited; online
- Nicholas, H. G. (1973). "The 1972 Elections". Journal of American Studies. 7 (1): 1–15. doi:10.1017/S0021875800012585. S2CID 145606732.
- Perry, James M. Us & them: how the press covered the 1972 election (1973) online
- Simons, Herbert W., James W. Chesebro, and C. Jack Orr. "A movement perspective on the 1972 presidential election." Quarterly Journal of Speech 59.2 (1973): 168–179. online Archived September 23, 2022, at the Wayback Machine
- Trent, Judith S., and Jimmie D. Trent. "The rhetoric of the challenger: George Stanley McGovern." Communication Studies 25.1 (1974): 11–18.
- White, Theodore H. (1973). The Making of the President, 1972. New York: Atheneum. ISBN 0-689-10553-3.
Primary sources
[edit]- Chester, Edward W. (1977). A guide to political platforms.
- Porter, Kirk H. and Donald Bruce Johnson, eds. National party platforms, 1840–1972 (1973)
External links
[edit]- The Election Wall's 1972 Election Video Page
- 1972 popular vote by counties
- 1972 popular vote by states
- 1972 popular vote by states (with bar graphs)
- Campaign commercials from the 1972 election
- C-SPAN segment on 1972 campaign commercials
- C-SPAN segment on the "Eagleton Affair"
- Election of 1972 in Counting the Votes