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{{short description|Discredited hypothesis about Solar System planets' orbits}}
The '''Titius-Bode law''' (sometimes termed just '''Bode's law''') is a hypothesis that the [[semi-major axis|semi-major axes]] of [[planet]]s in the [[solar system]] follow a simple rule. It was discredited with the discovery of [[Neptune]] in 1846.
The '''Titius–Bode law''' (sometimes termed simply '''Bode's law''') is a formulaic prediction of spacing between planets in any given [[planetary system]]. The formula suggests that, extending outward, each planet should be approximately twice as far from the Sun as the one before. The hypothesis correctly anticipated the orbits of [[Ceres (dwarf planet)|Ceres]] (in the [[asteroid belt]]) and [[Uranus]], but failed as a predictor of [[Neptune]]'s orbit. It is named after [[Johann Daniel Titius]] and [[Johann Elert Bode]].


Later work by [[Mary Adela Blagg]] and D.E. Richardson significantly revised the original formula, and made predictions that were subsequently validated by new discoveries and observations. It is these re-formulations that offer "the best phenomenological representations of distances with which to investigate the theoretical significance of Titius–Bode type Laws".<ref name="Nieto1970">{{cite journal |last1=Nieto |first1=Michael Martin |title=Conclusions about the Titius–Bode Law of Planetary Distances |journal=Astron. Astrophys. |year=1970 |volume=8 |pages=105–111 |bibcode=1970A&A.....8..105N }}</ref>
==Formulation==
The law relates the semi-major axis, a, of each planet outward from the sun in units such that the Earth's semi-major axis = 10, with


==Original formulation==
:<math>a = n+4 </math>
The law relates the [[semi-major and semi-minor axes|semi-major axis]] <math>~a_n~</math> of each planet outward from the Sun in units such that the Earth's [[semi-major and semi-minor axes|semi-major axis]] is equal to 10:
:<math>~a = 4 + x~</math>
where <math>~x = 0, 3, 6, 12, 24, 48, 96, 192, 384, 768 \ldots~</math> such that, with the exception of the first step, each value is twice the previous value.
There is another representation of the formula:
:<math>~a = 4 + 3 \times 2^n ~</math>
where <math>~n = -\infty, 0, 1, 2, \ldots~.</math>
The resulting values can be divided by 10 to convert them into [[astronomical unit]]s ({{sc|au}}), resulting in the expression:
:<math>a = 0.4 + 0.3 \times 2^n ~.</math>


For the far outer planets, beyond [[Saturn]], each planet is predicted to be roughly twice as far from the Sun as the previous object. Whereas the Titius–Bode law predicts [[Saturn]], [[Uranus]], [[Neptune]], and [[Pluto]] at about 10, 20, 39, and 77&nbsp;[[astronomical unit|{{sc|au}}]], the actual values are closer to 10, 19, 30, 40&nbsp;[[astronomical unit|{{sc|au}}]].{{efn|The spacing seems to transition from the complicated Titius–series to simple equal-spacing starting at Saturn, with [[Neptune]] being the first major planet that does not fit the Titius–Bode rule.}}
where ''n'' = 0, 3, 6, 12, 24, 48 ..., with each value of <math>n > 3</math> twice the previous value. The resulting values can be divided by 10 to convert them into [[astronomical unit]]s (AU), which would result in the expression


==Origin and history==
:<math>a </math> = 0.4 + 0.3 · 2 <sup>m</sup>
[[File:Johann Daniel Titius.jpg|thumb|[[Johann Daniel Titius]] (1729–1796) ]]
[[File:Johann Elert Bode.jpg|thumb|[[Johann Elert Bode]] (1747–1826)]]


The first mention of a series approximating Bode's law is found in a textbook by [[David Gregory (mathematician)|D. Gregory]] (1715):<ref name=Gregory-1715>{{cite book |author-link=David Gregory (mathematician) |first=D. |last=Gregory |year=1715 |title=The Elements of Astronomy}}</ref>
for ''m'' = <math>-</math><math>\infty</math>, 0, 1, 2,...<ref>{{cite web|title=Debris & Formation|url=http://mcsp.wartburg.edu/figura/170/debris_formation.pdf|work=Wartburg College|accessdate=2007-11-08}}</ref>
:"... supposing the distance of the Earth from the Sun to be divided into ten equal Parts, of these the distance of Mercury will be about four, of Venus seven, of Mars fifteen, of Jupiter fifty two, and that of Saturn ninety five."<ref name=Dawn>{{cite web |title=Where should the planets be? The law of proportionalities |series=Dawn |url=http://dawn.jpl.nasa.gov/mission/background_02.asp |access-date=March 16, 2018 |url-status=dead |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20160307004322/http://dawn.jpl.nasa.gov/mission/background_02.asp |archive-date=March 7, 2016 |df=dmy-all}}</ref>


A similar sentence, likely paraphrased from Gregory (1715),<ref name=Gregory-1715/><ref name=Dawn/> appears in a work published by [[Christian Wolff (philosopher)|C. Wolff]] in 1724.
For the outer planets, each planet is 'predicted' to be roughly twice as far away from the Sun as the next inner object.


In 1764, [[Charles Bonnet|C. Bonnet]] wrote:<ref name=Bonnet-1764>{{cite book |first=C. |last=Bonnet |author-link=Charles Bonnet |year=1764 |title=Contemplation de la Nature |language=fr}}</ref>
==History==
:"We know seventeen planets [that is, major planets and their satellites] that enter into the composition of our solar system; but we are not sure that there are no more."<ref name=Bonnet-1764/><ref name=Dawn/>
[[image:Johann_Daniel_Titius.jpg|thumb|200px|Johann Daniel Titius]]
[[image:Johann_Elert_Bode.jpg|thumb|200px|Johann Elert Bode]]
The first mention of a series approximating Bode's Law is found in [[David Gregory]]'s ''The Elements of Astronomy'', published in 1715. In it, he says, "...supposing the distance of the Earth from the Sun to be divided into ten equal Parts, of these the distance of Mercury will be about four, of Venus seven, of Mars fifteen, of Jupiter fifty two, and that of Saturn ninety five."<ref name=Dawn>{{cite web|title=Dawn: A Journey to the Beginning of the Solar System|work=Space Physics Center: UCLA|url=http://www-ssc.igpp.ucla.edu/dawn/background.html|year=2005|accessdate=2007-11-03}}</ref> A similar sentence, likely paraphrased from Gregory,<ref name=Dawn /> appears in in a work published by [[Christian Wolff]] in 1724.


In his 1766 translation of Bonnet's work, [[Johann Daniel Titius|J.D. Titius]] added two of his own paragraphs to the statement above. The insertions were placed at the bottom of page&nbsp;7 and at the top of page&nbsp;8. The new paragraph is not in Bonnet's original French text, nor in translations of the work into Italian and English.
In 1764, [[Charles Bonnet]] said in his ''Contemplation de la Nature'' that, "We know seventeen planets that enter into the composition of our solar system [that is, major planets and their satellites]; but we are not sure that there are no more".<ref name=Dawn /> To this, in his 1766 translation of Bonnet's work, [[Johann Daniel Titius]] added the following unattributed addition, removed to a footnote in later editions:


There are two parts to Titius's inserted text. The first part explains the succession of planetary distances from the Sun:
<blockquote>Take notice of the distances of the planets from one another, and recognize that almost all are separated from one another in a proportion which matches their bodily magnitudes. Divide the distance from the Sun to Saturn into 100 parts; then Mercury is separated by four such parts from the Sun, Venus by 4+3=7 such parts, the Earth by 4+6=10, Mars by 4+12=16. But notice that from Mars to Jupiter there comes a deviation from this so exact progression. From Mars there follows a space of 4+24=28 such parts, but so far no planet was sighted there. But should the Lord Architect have left that space empty? Not at all. Let us therefore assume that this space without doubt belongs to the still undiscovered satellites of Mars, let us also add that perhaps Jupiter still has around itself some smaller ones which have not been sighted yet by any telescope. Next to this for us still unexplored space there rises Jupiter's sphere of influence at 4+48=52 parts; and that of Saturn at 4+96=100 parts. What a wonderful relation!</blockquote>
:Take notice of the distances of the planets from one another, and recognize that almost all are separated from one another in a proportion which matches their bodily magnitudes. Divide the distance from the Sun to Saturn into 100 parts; then Mercury is separated by four such parts from the Sun, Venus by 4+3=7 such parts, the Earth by 4+6=10, Mars by 4+12=16. But notice that from Mars to Jupiter there comes a deviation from this so exact progression. From Mars there follows a space of 4+24=28 such parts, but so far no planet was sighted there. But should the Lord Architect have left that space empty? Not at all. Let us therefore assume that this space without doubt belongs to the still undiscovered satellites of Mars, let us also add that perhaps Jupiter still has around itself some smaller ones which have not been sighted yet by any telescope. Next to this for us still unexplored space there rises Jupiter's sphere of influence at 4+48=52 parts; and that of Saturn at 4+96=100 parts.{{citation needed|date=April 2021}}


In 1768, [[Johann Elert Bode]], aged only nineteen, completed the second edition of his astronomical compendium ''Anleitung zur Kenntniss des gestirnten Himmels'', into which he added the following footnote, initially unsourced, but credited to Titius in later versions:<ref name=Dawn />
In 1772, [[Johann Elert Bode|J.E. Bode]], then aged twenty-five, published an astronomical compendium,<ref>{{cite book |first=Johann Elert |last=Bode |author-link=Johann Elert Bode |year=1772 |title=Anleitung zur Kenntniss des gestirnten Himmels |trans-title=Manual for Knowing the Starry Sky |edition=2nd |language=de}}</ref> in which he included the following footnote, citing Titius (in later editions):{{efn|Bode's footnote was initially unsourced, but in later versions credited to Titius, and in Bode’s memoir he refers to Titius, clearly recognizing Titius' priority.}}<ref name="hoskin">{{cite web |last=Hoskin |first=Michael |date=1992-06-26 |title=Bodes' law and the discovery of Ceres |publisher=Observatorio Astronomico di Palermo "Giuseppe S. Vaiana" |url=http://www.astropa.unipa.it/HISTORY/hoskin.html |access-date=2007-07-05}}</ref>
:This latter point seems in particular to follow from the astonishing relation which the known six planets observe in their distances from the Sun. Let the distance from the Sun to Saturn be taken as 100, then Mercury is separated by 4 such parts from the Sun. Venus is 4+3=7. The Earth 4+6=10. Mars 4+12=16. Now comes a gap in this so orderly progression. After Mars there follows a space of 4+24=28 parts, in which no planet has yet been seen. Can one believe that the Founder of the universe had left this space empty? Certainly not. From here we come to the distance of Jupiter by 4+48=52 parts, and finally to that of Saturn by 4+96=100 parts.<ref name="hoskin"/>


These two statements, for all their peculiar expression, and from the radii used for the orbits, seem to stem from an antique algorithm by a ''cossist''.{{efn|The ''cossists'' were experts in calculations of all kinds and were employed by merchants and businessmen to solve complex accounting problems. Their name derives from the Italian word ''cosa'', meaning "thing", because they used symbols to represent an unknown quantity, similar to the way modern mathematicians use <math>\,x\;.</math> Professional problem-solvers of this era invented their own clever methods for performing calculations and would do their utmost to keep these methods secret in order to maintain a reputation as the only person capable of solving a particular problem.{{citation needed|date=June 2019}} }}
<blockquote>This latter point seems in particular to follow from the astonishing relation which the known six planets observe in their distances from the Sun. Let the distance from the Sun to Saturn be taken as 100, then Mercury is separated by 4 such parts from the Sun. Venus is 4+3=7. The Earth 4+6=10. Mars 4+12=16. Now comes a gap in this so orderly progression. After Mars there follows a space of 4+24=28 parts, in which no planet has yet been seen. Can one believe that the Founder of the universe had left this space empty? Certainly not. From here we come to the distance of Jupiter by 4+48=52 parts, and finally to that of Saturn by 4+96=100 parts.</blockquote>


Many precedents were found that predate the seventeenth century.{{citation needed|date=June 2019}} Titius was a disciple of the German philosopher [[Christian Freiherr von Wolff|C.F. von&nbsp;Wolf]] (1679–1754), and the second part of the text that Titius inserted into Bonnet's work is in a book by von&nbsp;Wolf (1723),<ref>{{cite book |first=C.F. |last=von&nbsp;Wolf |author-link=Christian Freiherr von Wolff |year=1723 |title=Vernünftige Gedanken von den Wirkungen der Natur |language=de}}</ref> suggesting that Titius learned the relation from him. Twentieth-century literature about Titius–Bode law attributes authorship to von&nbsp;Wolf.{{citation needed|date=April 2021}} A prior version was written by [[David Gregory (mathematician)|D.&nbsp;Gregory]] (1702),<ref>{{cite book |first=David |last=Gregory |author-link=David Gregory (mathematician) |year=1702 |title=Astronomiae physicae et geometricae elementa |language=la}}</ref> in which the succession of planetary distances 4, 7, 10, 16, 52, and 100 became a [[geometric progression]] with ratio 2. This is the nearest Newtonian formula, which was also cited by [[Benjamin Martin (lexicographer)|Benjamin Martin]] (1747)<ref>{{cite book |first=Benjamin |last=Martin |author-link=Benjamin Martin (lexicographer) |title=Philosophia Britannica |year=1747}}</ref> and Tomàs Cerdà (c. 1760)<ref>{{cite book |first=Tomàs |last=Cerdà |title=Tratado de Astronomía |year=c. 1760 |language=es}}</ref> years before Titius's expanded translation of Bonnet's book into German (1766). Over the next two centuries, subsequent authors continued to present their own modified versions, apparently unaware of prior work.<ref name="Nieto1970"/>
When originally published, the law was approximately satisfied by all the known planets — [[Mercury (planet)|Mercury]] through [[Saturn (planet)|Saturn]] — with a gap between the fourth and fifth planets. It was regarded as interesting, but of no great importance until the discovery of [[Uranus (planet)|Uranus]] in 1781 which happens to fit neatly into the series. Based on this discovery, Bode urged a search for a fifth planet. {{dp|Ceres}}, the largest object in the [[asteroid belt]], was found at Bode's predicted position in 1801. Bode's law was then widely accepted until [[Neptune (planet)|Neptune]] was discovered in 1846 and found not to satisfy it. Simultaneously, the large number of known asteroids in the belt resulted in Ceres no longer being considered a planet. It is now understood that no planet could have formed in the belt, due to the gravitational influence of [[Jupiter]].


Titius and Bode hoped that the law would lead to the discovery of new planets, and indeed the discovery of [[Uranus]] and [[Ceres (dwarf planet)|Ceres]] – both of whose distances fit well with the law – contributed to the law's fame. Neptune's distance was very discrepant, however, and indeed Pluto – no longer considered a planet – is at a mean distance that roughly corresponds to that the Titius–Bode law predicted for the next planet out from Uranus.
The discovery of [[Pluto]] in 1930 confounded the issue still further. While nowhere near its position as predicted by Bode's law, it was roughly at the position the law had predicted for Neptune. However, the subsequent discovery of the [[Kuiper belt]], and in particular of the object {{dp|Eris}}, which is larger than Pluto yet does not fit Bode's law, have further discredited the formula and made it moot in the eyes of astronomers.

When originally published, the law was approximately satisfied by all the planets then known – i.e., [[Mercury (planet)|Mercury]] through [[Saturn]] – with a gap between the fourth and fifth planets. Vikarius (Johann Friedrich) Wurm (1787) proposed a modified version of the Titius–Bode Law that accounted for the then-known satellites of Jupiter and Saturn, and better predicted the distance for Mercury.<ref>{{cite journal |last=Wurm |first=Vikarius (Johann Friedrich) |year=1787 |title=Verschiedene astronomische Bemerkungen und eine Abhandlung über mögliche Planeten und Kometen unsers Sonnensystems |journal=Astronomisches Jahrbuch |volume=15 |pages=162–73 |editor=Bode, J.E. |editor-link=Johann Elert Bode |publisher=George Jacob Decker, Königl |place=Hofbuchdrucker, Berlin}}</ref>

The Titius–Bode law was regarded as interesting, but of no great importance until the discovery of Uranus in 1781, which happens to fit into the series nearly exactly. Based on this discovery, Bode urged his contemporaries to search for a fifth planet. {{dp|Ceres}}, the largest object in the [[asteroid belt]], was found at Bode's predicted position in 1801.

Bode's law was widely accepted at that point, until [[Discovery of Neptune|in 1846 Neptune was discovered]] in a location that does not conform to the law. Simultaneously, due to the large number of asteroids discovered in [[asteroid belt|the belt]], Ceres was no longer a major planet. In 1898 the astronomer and logician [[Charles Sanders Peirce|C.S.&nbsp;Peirce]] used Bode's law as an example of fallacious reasoning.<ref name="PeirceKetner1992">{{cite book |first1=C.S. |last1=Peirce |author-link1=Charles Sanders Peirce |first2=Kenneth Laine |last2=Ketner |year=1992 |title=Reasoning and the logic of things |series=The Cambridge conferences lectures of 1898 |publisher=[[Harvard University Press]] |isbn=978-0-674-74966-5 |pages=194–196 |url={{google books|plainurl=y|id=zdUkAQAAIAA|page=194J}} }} [http://www.hup.harvard.edu/catalog/PEIREX.html HUP catalog page] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20100102182618/http://www.hup.harvard.edu/catalog/PEIREX.html |date=2 January 2010 }}.</ref>

The discovery of [[Pluto]] in 1930 confounded the issue still further: Although nowhere near its predicted position according to Bode's law, it was very nearly at the position the law had designated for Neptune. The subsequent discovery of the [[Kuiper belt]] – and in particular the object {{dp|Eris}}, which is more massive than Pluto, yet does not fit Bode's law – further discredited the formula.<ref name="Boss">{{cite magazine |last=Boss |first=Alan |date=October 2006 |title=Ask Astro |magazine=Astronomy |volume=30 |issue=10 |page=70}}</ref>


==Data==
==Data==
The Titius–Bode law predicts planets will be present at specific distances in [[astronomical units]], which can be compared to the observed data for the planets and two [[dwarf planet]]s in the Solar System:
Here are the distances of planets calculated from the rule
and compared with the real ones:


[[Image:Bode's law comparison.png|thumb|right|350px|Graphical plot using data from table to the left]]
[[Image:Titus-Bode law.svg|thumb|right|350px|Graphical plot of the eight planets, Pluto, and Ceres versus the first ten predicted distances.]]
{| class="wikitable"
{| class="wikitable"
|- align=center
|-
!m
!Planet
!k
!k
!T-B rule distance
!T–B rule distance (AU)
!Planet
!Real distance
!Semimajor axis (AU)
|-
!Deviation from prediction<sup>1</sup>
|- align=center
| <math>-\infty</math>
| 0
| 0.4
|[[Mercury (planet)|Mercury]]
|[[Mercury (planet)|Mercury]]
|0
| 0.39
| −3.23%
|0.4
|- align=center
|0.39
| 0
| 1
| 0.7
|[[Venus]]
| 0.72
| +3.33%
|- align=center
| 1
| 2
| 1.0
|[[Earth]]
| 1.00
| 0.00%
|- align=center
| 2
| 4
| 1.6
|[[Mars]]
| 1.52
| −4.77%
|- align=center
| 3
| 8
| 2.8
|{{dp|Ceres}}<sup>2</sup>
| 2.77
| −1.16%
|- align=center
| 4
| 16
| 5.2
|[[Jupiter]]
| 5.20
| +0.05%
|- align=center
| 5
| 32
| 10.0
|[[Saturn]]
| 9.58
| −4.42%
|- align=center
| 6
| 64
| 19.6
|[[Uranus]]
| 19.22
| −1.95%
|- align=center
| –
| –
| –
|[[Neptune]]
| 30.07
| –
|- align=center
| 7
| 128
| 38.8
|[[Pluto]]<sup>2</sup>
| 39.48
| +1.02%
|}

{{smalldiv|1=
<sup>1</sup> For large ''k'', each Titius–Bode rule distance is approximately twice the preceding value. Hence, an arbitrary planet may be found within −25% to +50% of one of the predicted positions. For small ''k'', the predicted distances do not fully double, so the range of potential deviation is smaller. Note that the semi-major axis is proportional to the 2/3 power of the [[orbital period]]. For example, planets in a 2:3 [[orbital resonance]] (such as [[plutino]]s relative to [[Neptune]]) will vary in distance by (2/3)<sup>2/3</sup> = −23.69% and +31.04% relative to one another.<br />
<sup>2</sup> Ceres and Pluto are [[dwarf planet]]s rather than [[major planets]].
}}

==Blagg formulation==
In 1913, [[Mary Adela Blagg|M.A. Blagg]], an Oxford astronomer, re-visited the law.<ref name=blagg>
{{cite journal
|last=Blagg |first=M.A. |author-link=Mary Adela Blagg
|year=1913
|title=On a suggested substitute for Bode's law
|journal=[[Monthly Notices of the Royal Astronomical Society]]
|volume=73 |pages=414–22
|doi=10.1093/mnras/73.6.414 |doi-access=free
|bibcode=1913MNRAS..73..414B }}
</ref>
She analyzed the orbits of the planetary system and those of the satellite systems of the outer gas giants, Jupiter, Saturn and Uranus. She examined the log of the distances, trying to find the best 'average' difference.

[[File:Function f of Blagg formulation of Titius Bode Law.png|thumb|350px| {{center|The empirical correction function &thinsp;{{mvar|f}}&thinsp; introduced in Blagg's reformulation of the Titius–Bode law.}}]]

Her analysis resulted in a different formula:

:<math>\ \mathsf{distance} = A \cdot \bigl[\ B + f\left(\alpha + n\ \beta \right)\ \bigr]\ \bigl(\ 1.7275\ \bigr)^n ~.</math>

Note in particular that in Blagg's formula, the law for the Solar System was best represented by a progression in {{math|1.7275}}, rather than the original value {{math|2}} used by Titius, Bode, and others.

Blagg examined the [[Moons of Jupiter|satellite system of Jupiter]], [[Moons of Saturn|Saturn]], and [[Moons of Uranus|Uranus]], and discovered the same progression ratio {{math|1.7275}}, in each.

However, the final form of the correction function &thinsp;{{mvar|f}}&thinsp; was not given in Blagg's 1913 paper, with Blagg noting that the empirical figures given were only for illustration. The empirical form was provided in the form of a graph (the reason that points on the curve are such a close match for empirical data, for objects discovered prior to 1913, is that they ''are'' the empirical data).

Finding a formula that closely fit the empircal curve turned out to be difficult. [[Fourier analysis]] of the shape resulted in the following seven term approximation:<ref name=blagg/>

<math display=block>\begin{align}
\ f \bigl(\ \theta\ \bigr) \;=\; 0.4594 \;+\;\; & 0.396\ \cos\!\bigl(\ \theta - 27.4^{\circ}\ \bigr) \;+\; 0.168\ \cos\!\bigl(\ 2\ (\ \theta - 60.4^{\circ})\ \bigr) \;+\; 0.062\ \cos\!\bigl(\ 3\ (\ \theta - 28.1^{\circ})\ \bigr) \;+\;\\
\;+\;\; & 0.053\ \cos\!\bigl(\ 4\ (\ \theta - 77.2^{\circ})\ \bigr) \;+\; 0.009\ \cos\!\bigl(\ 5\ (\ \theta - 22^{\circ})\ \bigr) \;+\; 0.012\ \cos\!\bigl(\ 7\ (\ \theta - 40.4^{\circ})\ \bigr) ~.
\end{align}</math>

After further analysis, Blagg gave the following simpler formula; however the price for the simpler form is that it produces a less accurate fit to the empirical data. Blagg gave it in an un-normalized form in her paper, which leaves the relative sizes of {{mvar|A}}, {{mvar|B}}, and {{mvar|f}}&thinsp; ambiguous; it is shown here in normalized form (i.e. this version of &thinsp;{{mvar|f}}&thinsp; is scaled to produce values ranging from {{math|0}} to {{math|1}}, inclusive):<ref name=review>
{{cite journal
|last1=Lobban |first1=G.G.
|last2=Roy |first2=A.E. |author2-link=Archie Roy
|last3=Brown |first3=J.C.
|date=October 1982
|title=A review of Blagg's formula in the light of recently discovered planetary moons and rings
|journal=[[Journal of the British Astronomical Association]]
|volume=92 |number=6 |pages=260–263
|bibcode=1982JBAA...92..260L
|url=https://ui.adsabs.harvard.edu/link_gateway/1982JBAA...92..260L/ADS_PDF
}}
</ref>

<math display=block>\ f \bigl(\ \theta\ \bigr) \;=\; 0.249 \;+\; 0.860 \ \left( \frac{\ \cos\ \Psi\ }{\ 3 - \cos\!\left(\ 2\ \Psi\ \right)\ } \;+\; \frac{ 1 }{\ 6 - 4\ \cos\!\left(\ 2\ \Psi - 60^{\circ} \right)\ } \right)\ ,</math>

where <math>\ \Psi \equiv \theta - 27.5^{\circ} ~.</math>

Neither of these formulas for function &thinsp;{{mvar|f}}&thinsp; are used in the calculations below: The calculations here are based on a graph of function &thinsp;{{mvar|f}}&thinsp; which was drawn based on observed data.

:{| class="wikitable" |style="text-align:right;"
|+ Constants for Blagg's refinement of the Titius–Bode law<br/>(as modified by {{harvnb|Nieto|1970}})
|-
|-
! System !! {{mvar|A}} !! {{mvar|B}} !! {{mvar|&alpha;}} !! {{mvar|&beta;}}
|[[Venus (planet)|Venus]]
|1
|0.7
|0.72
|-
|-
|align=left| [[Solar System|Sun-orbiting bodies]] &thinsp; || &emsp; 0.4162 &emsp; || &emsp; 2.025{{0}} &emsp; || &emsp; 112.4° &emsp; || &emsp; {{0}}56.6° &emsp;
|[[Earth]]
|2
|1.0
|1.00
|-
|-
|align=left| [[Moons of Jupiter]] || &emsp; 0.4523 || &emsp; 1.852{{0}} || &emsp; 113.0° || &emsp; {{0}}36.0°
|[[Mars (planet)|Mars]]
|4
|1.6
|1.52
|-
|-
|align=left| [[Moons of Saturn]] || &emsp; 3.074{{0}} || &emsp; 0.0071 || &emsp; 118.0° || &emsp; {{0}}10.0°
|{{dp|Ceres}}<sup>1</sup>
|8
|2.8
|2.77
|-
|-
|align=left| [[Moons of Uranus]] || &emsp; 2.98{{0}}{{0}} || &emsp; 0.0805 || &emsp; 125.7° || &emsp; {{0}}12.5°
|[[Jupiter (planet)|Jupiter]]
|16
|}

|5.2
Her paper was published in 1913, and was forgotten until 1953, when [[Archie Roy|A.E. Roy]] came across it while researching another problem.<ref>
|5.20
{{cite journal
|last=Malcolm |first=Roy
|year=1955
|title=Is Bode's law a coincidence?
|journal=[[Astounding Science Fiction]]
|volume=LV |issue=5
}}
</ref>
Roy noted that Blagg herself had suggested that her formula could give approximate mean distances of other bodies still undiscovered in 1913. Since then, six bodies in three systems examined by Blagg had been discovered: [[Pluto (dwarf planet)|Pluto]], [[Sinope (satellite)|Sinope]] ([[Moons of Jupiter|Jupiter&nbsp;IX]]), [[Lysithea (satellite)|Lysithea]] ([[Moons of Jupiter|J&nbsp;X]]), [[Carme (satellite)|Carme]] ([[Moons of Jupiter|J&nbsp;XI]]), [[Ananke (satellite)|Ananke]] ([[Moons of Jupiter|J&nbsp;XII]]), and [[Miranda (moon)|Miranda]] ([[Moons of Uranus|Uranus&nbsp;V]]).

Roy found that all six fitted very closely. This might have been an exaggeration: out of these six bodies, four were sharing positions with objects that were already known in 1913; concerning the two others, there was a ~6% overestimate for Pluto; and later, a 6% underestimate for Miranda became apparent.<ref name=review/>

===Comparison of the Blagg formulation with observation===

Bodies in parentheses were not known in 1913, when Blagg wrote her paper. Some of the calculated distances in the Saturn and Uranus systems are not very accurate. This is because the low values of constant {{mvar|B}} in the table above make them very sensitive to the exact form of the {{nobr| function &thinsp;{{mvar|f}}&thinsp;. }}

{|
|- style="vertical-align:top;" <!-- table to contain / align tables -->

| <!-- first col. table container table -->

{| class="wikitable" style="text-align:right;vertical-align:center;margin-left:0.6em;"
|+ [[Solar System|Sun-orbiting bodies]]
|-
|-
! [[Solar System|Planet]] / [[minor planet|minor&nbsp;pl.]] !! {{mvar|n}} !! obs. dist. !! Blagg pred.
|[[Saturn (planet)|Saturn]]
|32
|10.0
|9.54
|-
|-
|[[Uranus (planet)|Uranus]]
|align=left| [[Mercury (planet)|Mercury]] || −2 || 0.387 || 0.387
|64
|19.6
|19.2
|-
|-
|[[Neptune (planet)|Neptune]]
|align=left| [[Venus (planet)|Venus]] || −1 || 0.723 || 0.723
|128
|38.8
|30.06
|-
|-
|align=left| [[Earth (planet)|Earth]] || 0 || 1.000 || 1.000
|[[Pluto]]<sup>1</sup>
|256
|-
|align=left| [[Mars (planet)|Mars]] || 1 || 1.524 || 1.524
|77.2
|-
|39.44
|align=left| [[Vesta (minor planet)|Vesta]] ||rowspan="4"| 2 || 2.362 ||rowspan="4"| 2.67{{0}}
|-
|align=left| [[Juno (minor planet)|Juno]] <!-- || 2 --> || 2.670 <!-- || 2.67{{0}} -->
|-
|align=left| [[Pallas (minor planet)|Pallas]] <!-- || 2 --> || 2.774 <!-- || 2.67{{0}} -->
|-
|align=left| [[Ceres (dwarf planet)|Ceres]] <!-- || 2 --> || 2.769 <!-- || 2.67{{0}} -->
|-
|align=left| [[Jupiter (planet)|Jupiter]] || 3 || 5.204 || 5.200
|-
|align=left| [[Saturn (planet)|Saturn]] || 4 || 9.583 || 9.550
|-
|align=left| [[Uranus (planet)|Uranus]] || 5 || 19.22{{0}} || 19.23{{0}}
|-
|align=left| [[Neptune (planet)|Neptune]] || 6 || 30.07{{0}} || 30.13{{0}}
|-
|align=left| [[Pluto (dwarf planet)|(Pluto)]] || 7 || (39.48) || 41.8{{0}}{{0}}
|}
|}


| <!-- next col. table container table -->
<small>

<sup>1</sup> Ceres was considered a planet from [[1801]] until the [[1860]]s. Pluto was considered a planet from [[1930]] to [[2006]]. A 2006 IAU proposal to define the term "planet" would have reclassified Ceres as a planet, but this resolution was modified before its ratification in late [[August 2006]]. The modification instead placed Ceres, Pluto, and Eris in the newly created category of "[[dwarf planet]]".
{| class="wikitable" style="text-align:right;vertical-align:center;margin-left:0.3em;"
</small>
|+ [[Moons of Jupiter]]
|-
! [[Moons of Jupiter|Jupiter satellite]] !! {{mvar|n}} !! obs. dist. !! Blagg pred.
|-
|align=left| [[Amalthea (moon)|Amalthea]]|| −2 || 0.429 || 0.429
|-
| {{center|'''{{color|silver|—}}'''}} || −1 || {{center|'''{{color|silver|—}}'''}} || 0.708
|-
|align=left| [[Io (moon)|Io]]|| 0 || 1.000 || 1.000
|-
|align=left| [[Europa (moon)|Europa]] || 1 || 1.592 || 1.592
|-
|align=left| [[Ganymede (moon)|Ganymede]]|| 2 || 2.539 || 2.541
|-
|align=left| [[Callisto (moon)|Callisto]]|| 3 || 4.467 || 4.467
|-1
| {{center|'''{{color|silver|—}}'''}} || 4 || {{center|'''{{color|silver|—}}'''}} || 9.26{{0}}
|-
| {{center|'''{{color|silver|—}}'''}} || 5 || {{center|'''{{color|silver|—}}'''}} || 15.4{{0}}{{0}}
|-
|align=left| [[Himalia (moon)|Himalia]] ||rowspan="3"| 6 || 27.25{{0}} ||rowspan="3"| 27.54{{0}}
|-
|align=left| [[Elara (moon)|Elara]] <!-- || 6 --> || 27.85{{0}} <!-- || 27.54{{0}} -->
|-
|align=left| ([[Lysithea (moon)|Lysithea]]) <!-- || 6 --> || (27.85) <!-- || 27.54{{0}} -->
|-
|align=left| ([[Ananke (moon)|Ananke]]) ||rowspan="4"| 7 || (49.8){{0}} ||rowspan="4"| 55.46{{0}}
|-
|align=left| ([[Carme (moon)|Carme]]) <!-- || 7 --> || (53.3){{0}} <!-- || 55.46{{0}} -->
|-
|align=left| [[Pasiphae (moon)|Pasiphae]] <!-- || 7 --> || 55.7{{0}}{{0}} <!-- || 55.46{{0}} -->
|-
|align=left| ([[Sinope (moon)|Sinope]]) <!-- || 7 --> || (56.2){{0}} <!-- || 55.46{{0}} -->
|}

| <!-- next col. table container table -->

{| class="wikitable" style="text-align:right;vertical-align:center;margin-left:0.3em;"
|+ [[Moons of Saturn]]
|-
! [[Moons of Saturn|Saturn satellite]] !! {{mvar|n}} !! obs. dist. !! Blagg pred.
|-
|align=left| ([[Janus (moon)|Janus]]) || −3 || (0.538) || 0.54{{0}}
|-
|align=left| [[Mimas (moon)|Mimas]] || −2 || 0.630 || 0.629
|-
|align=left| [[Enceladus]] || −1 || 0.808 || 0.807
|-
|align=left| [[Tethys (moon)|Tethys]] || 0 || 1.000 || 1.000
|-
|align=left| [[Dione (moon)|Dione]] || 1 || 1.281 || 1.279
|-
|align=left| [[Rhea (moon)|Rhea]] || 2 || 1.789 || 1.786
|-
| {{center|'''{{color|silver|—}}'''}} || 3 || {{center|'''{{color|silver|—}}'''}} || 2.97{{0}}
|-
|align=left| [[Titan (moon)|Titan]] || 4 || 4.149 || 4.140
|-
|align=left| [[Hyperion (moon)|Hyperion]] || 5 || 5.034 || 5.023
|-
| {{center|'''{{color|silver|—}}'''}} || 6 || {{center|'''{{color|silver|—}}'''}} || 6.3{{0}}{{0}}
|-
| {{center|'''{{color|silver|—}}'''}} || 7 || {{center|'''{{color|silver|—}}'''}} || 6.65{{0}}
|-
| {{center|'''{{color|silver|—}}'''}} || 8 || {{center|'''{{color|silver|—}}'''}} || 7.00{{0}}
|-
|align=left| [[Iapetus (moon)|Iapetus]] || 9 || 12.09{{0}} || 12.11{{0}}
|-
|align=left| [[Phoebe (moon)|Phoebe]] || 10 || 43.92{{0}} || 43.85{{0}}
|}

| <!-- next col. table container table -->

{| class="wikitable" style="text-align:right;vertical-align:center;margin-left:0.3em;"
|+ [[Moons of Uranus]]
|-
! [[Moons of Uranus|Uranus satellite]] !! {{mvar|n}} !! obs. dist. !! Blagg pred.
|-
|align=left| ([[Miranda (moon)|Miranda]]) || −2 || (0.678) || 0.64{{0}}
|-
| {{center|'''{{color|silver|—}}'''}} || −1 || {{center|'''{{color|silver|—}}'''}} || 0.77{{0}}
|-
|align=left| [[Ariel (moon)|Ariel]] || 0 || 1.000 || 1.000
|-
|align=left| [[Umbriel]] || 1 || 1.394 || 1.393
|-
|align=left| [[Titania (moon)|Titania]] || 2 || 2.293 || 2.286
|-
|align=left| [[Oberon (moon)|Oberon]] || 3 || 3.058 || 3.055
|}

|} <!-- end table container table -->

==Richardson formulation==
In a 1945 ''[[Popular Astronomy (US magazine)|Popular Astronomy]]'' magazine article,<ref>
{{cite magazine
|last=Richardson |first=D.E.
|year=1945
|title=Distances of planets from the Sun and of satellites from their primaries in the satellite systems of Jupiter, Saturn, and Uranus
|magazine=[[Popular Astronomy (US magazine)|Popular Astronomy]]
|volume=53 |pages=14–26
}}
</ref>
the science writer D.E. Richardson apparently independently arrived at the same conclusion as Blagg: That the progression ratio is {{math|1.728}} rather than {{math|2}}. His spacing law is in the form:

<math display=block>\ R_{n} = \bigl(\ 1.728\ \bigr)^n\ \varrho_n ( \theta_n )\ ,</math>

where <math>\varrho_n</math> is an oscillatory function with period <math>2\pi</math>, representing distances <math>\varrho_n</math> from an off-centered origin to points on an ellipse.

==Historical inertia==
Nieto, who conducted the first modern comprehensive review of the Titius–Bode Law,<ref name="Nieto1972">{{cite book |last=Nieto |first=Michael Martin |date=1972 |title=The Titius–Bode Law of Planetary Distances – Its History and Theory |edition=1st |url=https://www.elsevier.com/books/the-titius-bode-law-of-planetary-distances/9780080167848 |publisher=Pergamon Press |isbn=978-0-08-016784-8 |doi=10.1016/C2013-0-02478-4 }}</ref> noted that "The psychological hold of the Law on astronomy has been such that people have always tended to regard its original form as the one on which to base theories." He was emphatic that "future theories must rid themselves of the bias of trying to explain a progression ratio of 2":

{{Blockquote
|text=One thing which needs to be emphasized is that ''the historical bias towards a progression ratio of 2 must be abandoned''. It ought to be clear that the first formulation of Titius (with its asymmetric first term) should be viewed as a ''good first guess''. Certainly, it should ''not'' necessarily be viewed as the ''best guess'' to refer theories to. But in astronomy the weight of history is heavy ... Despite the fact that the number 1.73 is much better, astronomers cling to the original number 2.<ref name="Nieto1970" />
}}


==Theoretical explanations==
==Theoretical explanations==
There is no solid theoretical explanation of the Titius-Bode law, but it is probably a combination of [[orbital resonance]] and shortage of [[degrees of freedom (physics and chemistry)|degrees of freedom]]: any stable planetary system has a high probability of satisfying a Titius-Bode-type relationship. Because of this, it has been called a "rule" rather than a "law". [[Astrophysics|Astrophysicist]] [[Alan Boss]] states that it is just a coincidence. The [[planetary science]] journal [[Icarus (journal)|''Icarus'']] no longer accepts papers attempting to provide 'improved' versions of the law. {{Ref harvard|Boss2006|Boss 2006:70|}}.
No solid theoretical explanation underlies the Titius–Bode law but it is possible that, given a combination of [[orbital resonance]] and shortage of [[degrees of freedom (physics and chemistry)|degrees of freedom]], any stable planetary system has a high probability of satisfying a Titius–Bode-type relationship. Since it may be a mathematical coincidence rather than a "law of nature", it is sometimes referred to as a rule instead of "law".<ref name="CarrollOstlie2007">{{cite book |first1=Bradley W. |last1=Carroll |first2=Dale A. |last2=Ostlie |year=2007 |title=An Introduction to Modern Astrophysics |url={{google books |plainurl=y |id=M8wPAQAAMAAJ|page=716}} |publisher=Pearson Addison-Wesley |isbn=978-0-8053-0402-2 |pages=716–717}}</ref> [[astrophysics|Astrophysicist]] [[Alan Boss]] states that it is just a coincidence, and the [[planetary science]] journal ''[[Icarus (journal)|Icarus]]'' no longer accepts papers attempting to provide improved versions of the "law".<ref name="Boss"/>


Orbital resonance from major orbiting bodies creates regions around the [[Sun]] that are free of long-term stable orbits. Results from simulations of planetary formation support the idea that a randomly chosen stable planetary system will likely statisfy a Titius-Bode law.
Orbital resonance from major orbiting bodies creates regions around the [[Sun]] that are free of long-term stable orbits. Results from simulations of planetary formation support the idea that a randomly chosen, stable planetary system will likely satisfy a Titius–Bode law.<ref>{{cite journal |author=Wayne Hayes |author2=Scott Tremaine |date=October 1998 |title=Fitting selected random planetary systems to Titius–Bode laws |journal=Icarus |volume=135 |issue=2 |pages=549 |bibcode=1998Icar..135..549H |doi=10.1006/icar.1998.5999 |arxiv=astro-ph/9710116 |citeseerx=10.1.1.27.8254 |s2cid=15015134 |url=https://www.cs.toronto.edu/~wayne/research/papers/bode.pdf}}</ref>


Dubrulle and Graner<ref>"Titius-Bode laws in the solar system. Part I: Scale invariance explains everything". F. Graner, B. Dubrulle ''Astronomy and Astrophysics'' 282, 262-268 (1994).</ref><ref>"Titius-Bode laws in the solar system. Part II: Build your own law from disk models",B. Dubrulle, F. Graner ''Astronomy and Astrophysics'' 282, 269-276 (1994).</ref> have shown that power-law distance rules can be a consequence of collapsing-cloud models of planetary systems possessing two symmetries: rotational invariance (the cloud and its contents are axially symmetric) and scale invariance (the cloud and its contents look the same on all length scales), the latter being a feature of many phenomena considered to play a role in planetary formation, such as turbulence.
[[Bérengère Dubrulle|Dubrulle]] and Graner<ref>{{cite journal |author= F. Graner |author-link= Bérengère Dubrulle |author2= B. Dubrulle |date=1994 |title=Titius–Bode laws in the solar system. Part I: Scale invariance explains everything |journal=Astronomy and Astrophysics |volume=282 |issue= 1 |pages=262–268 |bibcode=1994A&A...282..262G}}</ref><ref>{{cite journal |author=B. Dubrulle |author-link= Bérengère Dubrulle |author2=F. Graner |date=1994 |title=Titius–Bode laws in the solar system. Part&nbsp;II: Build your own law from disk models |journal=Astronomy and Astrophysics |volume=282 |issue=1 |pages=269–276 |bibcode=1994A&A...282..269D}}</ref> showed that power-law distance rules can be a consequence of collapsing-cloud models of planetary systems possessing two symmetries: rotational invariance (i.e., the cloud and its contents are axially symmetric) and scale invariance (i.e., the cloud and its contents look the same on all scales). The latter is a feature of many phenomena considered to play a role in planetary formation, such as turbulence.


===Natural satellite systems and exoplanetary systems===
There are a decidedly limited number of systems on which Bode's law can be tested. Two of the solar planets have a number of large moons that appear possibly to have been created by a process similar to that which created the planets themselves. The four large satellites of [[Jupiter (planet)|Jupiter]] plus the largest inner satellite — [[Amalthea (moon)|Amalthea]] — adhere to a regular, but non-Bode, spacing with the four innermost locked into orbital periods that are each twice that of the next inner satellite. The large moons of Uranus have a regular, but non-Bode, spacing. [http://www.floridastars.org/9605cohe.html]
Only a limited number of systems are available upon which Bode's law can presently be tested; two solar planets have enough large moons that probably formed in a process similar to that which formed the planets: The four large satellites of [[Jupiter]] and the biggest inner satellite (i.e., [[Amalthea (moon)|Amalthea]]) cling to a regular, but non-Titius-Bode, spacing, with the four innermost satellites locked into orbital periods that are each twice that of the next inner satellite. Similarly, the large moons of Uranus have a regular but non-Titius-Bode spacing.<ref>
{{cite periodical
|last=Cohen |first=Howard L.
|date=May 1996
|title=The Titius-Bode relation revisited
|periodical=FirstLight |type=monthly newsletter article
|publisher=Alachua Astronomy Club
|place=Gainesville, FL
|url=http://www.floridastars.org/9605cohe.html
|access-date=2008-02-24 |via=Florida Stars (floridastars.org) |url-status=dead
|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20070928205336/http://www.floridastars.org/9605cohe.html
|archive-date=28 September 2007
}}
</ref>
However, according to [[Martin Harwit]]
: "a slight new phrasing of this law permits us to include not only planetary orbits around the Sun, but also the orbits of moons around their parent planets."<ref>
{{cite book
|last=Harwit |first=Martin
|year=1998
|title=Astrophysical Concepts
|publisher=Springer
|pages=27–29
|isbn=9780387949437
|url=https://books.google.com/books?id=trAAgqWZVlkC&dq=%22origin+of+commensurabilities+in+the+solar+system%22&pg=PA614
|via=Google books
}}
</ref>
The new phrasing is known as “[[Dermott's law]]”.


Recent discoveries of extrasolar planetary systems do not yet provide enough data to test whether similar rules apply to other solar systems.
Of the recent discoveries of extrasolar planetary systems, few have enough known planets to test whether similar rules apply. An attempt with [[55 Cancri]] suggested the equation

: <math>~ a_n = 0.0142 \cdot \mathrm{e}^{\left(\,0.9975\, n\,\right)} = 0.0142 \cdot \bigl(\, 2.7115 \,\bigr)^n ~,</math>

and controversially<ref>
{{cite arXiv
|first=Ivan |last=Kotliarov
|date=21 June 2008
|title=The Titius-Bode law revisited but not revived
|class=physics.space-ph |eprint=0806.3532
}}
</ref>
predicts an undiscovered planet or asteroid field for <math>~ n = 5 ~</math> at 2&nbsp;[[astronomical unit|{{sc|au}}]].<ref name=lara>
{{cite journal
|first1=Arcadio |last1=Poveda
|first2=Patricia |last2=Lara |name-list-style=amp
|year=2008
|title=The exo-planetary system of 55&nbsp;Cancri and the Titus–Bode law
|journal=[[Revista Mexicana de Astronomía y Astrofísica]]
|issue=44 |pages=243–246
|url=http://www.astroscu.unam.mx/rmaa/RMxAA..44-1/PDF/RMxAA..44-1_apoveda.pdf
}}
</ref>
Furthermore, the [[orbital period]] and [[semi-major and semi-minor axes|semi-major axis]] of the innermost planet in the [[55 Cancri|55&nbsp;Cancri]] system have been greatly revised (from 2.817&nbsp;days to 0.737&nbsp;days and from 0.038&nbsp;[[astronomical unit|{{sc|au}}]] to 0.016&nbsp;{{sc|au}}, respectively) since the publication of these studies.<ref>
{{cite journal
|first1=Rebekah I. |last1=Dawson
|first2=Daniel C. |last2=Fabrycky
|year=2010
|title=Radial velocity planets de-aliased. A new, short period for super-Earth 55&nbsp;Cnc&nbsp;e
|journal=[[Astrophysical Journal]]
|volume=722 |issue=1 |pages=937–953
|arxiv=1005.4050 |bibcode=2010ApJ...722..937D
|doi=10.1088/0004-637X/722/1/937 |s2cid=118592734
}}
</ref>

Recent astronomical research suggests that planetary systems around some other stars may follow Titius-Bode-like laws.<ref>
{{cite press release
|title=Section&nbsp;8.2: Extrasolar Titius-Bode-like laws?
|series=The HARPS search for southern extra-solar planets
|date=2010-08-23
|website=[[European Southern Observatory]] (ESO.org)
|url=http://www.eso.org/public/archives/releases/sciencepapers/eso1035/eso1035.pdf
|access-date=2010-08-24
}}
</ref><ref>
{{cite conference
|last = Lara |first = Patricia
|year=2012
|title=On the structural law of exoplanetary systems <!-- name of the conference proceedings is not a journal reference ---
|journal=Numerical Analysis and Applied Mathematics
-->
|conference=ICNAAM 2012: International Conference of Numerical Analysis and Applied Mathematics
|series=AIP Conference Proceedings
|volume=1479 |issue=1 |pages=2356–2359
|bibcode=2012AIPC.1479.2356L
|doi=10.1063/1.4756667
}}
</ref>
{{harvp|Bovaird|Lineweaver|2013}}<ref name=Bovaird-Lineweaver-2013/>
applied a generalized Titius-Bode relation to 68&nbsp;exoplanet systems that contain four or more planets. They showed that 96% of these exoplanet systems adhere to a generalized Titius-Bode relation to a similar or greater extent than the Solar System does. The locations of potentially undetected exoplanets are predicted in each system.<ref name=Bovaird-Lineweaver-2013>
{{cite journal
|last1=Bovaird |first1=Timothy
|last2=Lineweaver |first2=Charles H.
|year=2013
|title=Exoplanet predictions based on the generalized Titius-Bode relation
|journal=[[Monthly Notices of the Royal Astronomical Society]]
|volume=435 |issue=2 |pages=1126
|doi=10.1093/mnras/stt1357
|doi-access=free
|bibcode=2013MNRAS.435.1126B
|arxiv=1304.3341
}}
</ref>

Subsequent research detected 5&nbsp;candidate planets from the 97&nbsp;planets predicted for the 68&nbsp;planetary systems. The study showed that the actual number of planets could be larger. The occurrence rates of Mars- and Mercury-sized planets are unknown, so many planets could be missed due to their small size. Other possible reasons that may account for apparent discrepancies include planets that do not transit the star or circumstances in which the predicted space is occupied by [[circumstellar disk]]s. Despite these types of allowances, the number of planets found with Titius–Bode law predictions was lower than expected.<ref>
{{cite journal
|last1=Huang |first1=Chelsea X.
|last2=Bakos |first2=Gáspár Á.
|date=2014-05-09
|title=Testing the Titius-Bode law predictions for Kepler multi-planet systems
|journal=[[Monthly Notices of the Royal Astronomical Society]]
|volume=442 |issue=1 |pages=674–681
|doi=10.1093/mnras/stu906
|doi-access=free
|bibcode=2014MNRAS.442..674H
|arxiv=1405.2259
}}
</ref>

In a 2018 paper, the idea of a hypothetical eighth planet around [[TRAPPIST-1]] named "TRAPPIST‑1i", was proposed by using the Titius–Bode law. TRAPPIST‑1i had a prediction based exclusively on the Titius–Bode law with an orbital period of {{nobr|27.53 ± 0.83 days}}.<ref>
{{cite journal
|last=Kipping |first=David
|year=2018
|title=Predicting the orbit of TRAPPIST-1i
|journal=[[Research Notes of the American Astronomical Society]]
|volume=2 |issue=3 |pages=136
|arxiv=1807.10835 |bibcode=2018RNAAS...2..136K
|doi=10.3847/2515-5172/aad6e8 |doi-access=free
|s2cid=119005201
}}
</ref>

Finally, raw statistics from exoplanetary orbits strongly point to a general fulfillment of Titius-Bode-like laws (with exponential increase of semi-major axes as a function of planetary index) in all the exoplanetary systems; when making a blind histogram of orbital semi-major axes for all the known exoplanets for which this magnitude is known,<ref>
{{cite journal
|first1=F.J. |last1=Ballesteros
|first2=A. |last2=Fernandez-Soto
|first3=V.J. |last3=Martinez
|year=2019
|title=Diving into exoplanets: Are water seas the most common?
|journal=[[Astrobiology (journal)|Astrobiology]]
|volume=19 |issue=5 |pages=642–654
|doi=10.1089/ast.2017.1720
|pmid=30789285 |bibcode=2019AsBio..19..642B
|s2cid=73498809
|hdl=10261/213115 |hdl-access=free
}}
</ref> and comparing it with what should be expected if planets distribute according to Titius-Bode-like laws, a significant degree of agreement (i.e., 78%)<ref>
{{cite journal
|last1=Lara |first1=Patricia
|last2=Cordero-Tercero |first2=Guadalupe
|last3=Allen |first3=Christine |author3-link=Christine Allen (astronomer)
|year=2020
|title=The reliability of the Titius-Bode relation and its implications for the search for exoplanets
|journal=[[Publications of the Astronomical Society of Japan]]
|volume=72 |issue=2
|doi=10.1093/pasj/psz146
|arxiv=2003.05121
}}
</ref>
is obtained.


==See also==
==See also==
*[[Dermott's Law]]
* [[Dermott's law]]
* [[Phaeton (hypothetical planet)]]
* [[Logarithmic spiral]]
* [[Lennard-Jones potential]]
* [[Mysterium Cosmographicum]]


==Notes==
==Footnotes==
{{reflist}}
{{notelist}}


==References==
==References==
{{reflist|25em}}
*''The ghostly hand that spaced the planets'' New Scientist [[9 April]] [[1994]], p13


==Further reading==
* {{note_label|Boss2006||}}{{cite journal
* {{cite magazine |first=Robert |last=Matthews |date=9 April 1994 |title=The ghostly hand that spaced the planets |magazine=[[New Scientist]] |page=13 |url=https://www.newscientist.com/article/mg14219202.300-science-the-ghostly-hand-that-spaced-the-planets-.html}}
| author = Alan Boss
* {{cite web |first=H.J.R. |last=Perdijk |department=Plants and Planets |title=The law of Titius–Bode explained |url=http://home.kpn.nl/oudfit/pp2/home.htm |url-status=usurped |access-date=2024-01-26 |via=kpn.nl |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20140715005541/http://home.kpn.nl/oudfit/pp2/home.htm |archive-date=2014-07-15 |df=dmy-all}} — mystical and speculative; ref. diagrams missing from archive
| year = 2006
* {{cite report |first=Ramon, Dr. |last=Parés i Farràs |year=2016 |title=Distancias planetarias y ley de Titius-Bode |lang=es |trans-title=Planetary distances and the Titius-Bode law |type=popular astronomy essay |url=http://media.wix.com/ugd/61b5e4_d5cf415763b44680806a8431ba375db2.pdf |via=wix.com |access-date=2024-01-26 |df=dmy-all}} — ''combination history of distance measurements and development of Titius' law, notable astronomers involved, and exposition by graphs and simple ratios of modern planetary and satellite distances''
| month = October
| title = Ask Astro
| journal = Astronomy
| volume = 30
| issue = 10
| pages = 70
| doi =
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{{Use dmy dates|date=August 2019}}
[[Category:Planets]]


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[[Category:Planets]]
[[de:Titius-Bode-Reihe]]
[[Category:Ceres (dwarf planet)]]
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[[he:חוק טיטיוס-בודה]]
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[[ml:ടൈറ്റസ്-ബോഡെ നിയമം]]
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[[ja:ティティウス・ボーデの法則]]
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Latest revision as of 23:29, 30 October 2024

The Titius–Bode law (sometimes termed simply Bode's law) is a formulaic prediction of spacing between planets in any given planetary system. The formula suggests that, extending outward, each planet should be approximately twice as far from the Sun as the one before. The hypothesis correctly anticipated the orbits of Ceres (in the asteroid belt) and Uranus, but failed as a predictor of Neptune's orbit. It is named after Johann Daniel Titius and Johann Elert Bode.

Later work by Mary Adela Blagg and D.E. Richardson significantly revised the original formula, and made predictions that were subsequently validated by new discoveries and observations. It is these re-formulations that offer "the best phenomenological representations of distances with which to investigate the theoretical significance of Titius–Bode type Laws".[1]

Original formulation

[edit]

The law relates the semi-major axis of each planet outward from the Sun in units such that the Earth's semi-major axis is equal to 10:

where such that, with the exception of the first step, each value is twice the previous value. There is another representation of the formula:

where The resulting values can be divided by 10 to convert them into astronomical units (AU), resulting in the expression:

For the far outer planets, beyond Saturn, each planet is predicted to be roughly twice as far from the Sun as the previous object. Whereas the Titius–Bode law predicts Saturn, Uranus, Neptune, and Pluto at about 10, 20, 39, and 77 AU, the actual values are closer to 10, 19, 30, 40 AU.[a]

Origin and history

[edit]
Johann Daniel Titius (1729–1796)
Johann Elert Bode (1747–1826)

The first mention of a series approximating Bode's law is found in a textbook by D. Gregory (1715):[2]

"... supposing the distance of the Earth from the Sun to be divided into ten equal Parts, of these the distance of Mercury will be about four, of Venus seven, of Mars fifteen, of Jupiter fifty two, and that of Saturn ninety five."[3]

A similar sentence, likely paraphrased from Gregory (1715),[2][3] appears in a work published by C. Wolff in 1724.

In 1764, C. Bonnet wrote:[4]

"We know seventeen planets [that is, major planets and their satellites] that enter into the composition of our solar system; but we are not sure that there are no more."[4][3]

In his 1766 translation of Bonnet's work, J.D. Titius added two of his own paragraphs to the statement above. The insertions were placed at the bottom of page 7 and at the top of page 8. The new paragraph is not in Bonnet's original French text, nor in translations of the work into Italian and English.

There are two parts to Titius's inserted text. The first part explains the succession of planetary distances from the Sun:

Take notice of the distances of the planets from one another, and recognize that almost all are separated from one another in a proportion which matches their bodily magnitudes. Divide the distance from the Sun to Saturn into 100 parts; then Mercury is separated by four such parts from the Sun, Venus by 4+3=7 such parts, the Earth by 4+6=10, Mars by 4+12=16. But notice that from Mars to Jupiter there comes a deviation from this so exact progression. From Mars there follows a space of 4+24=28 such parts, but so far no planet was sighted there. But should the Lord Architect have left that space empty? Not at all. Let us therefore assume that this space without doubt belongs to the still undiscovered satellites of Mars, let us also add that perhaps Jupiter still has around itself some smaller ones which have not been sighted yet by any telescope. Next to this for us still unexplored space there rises Jupiter's sphere of influence at 4+48=52 parts; and that of Saturn at 4+96=100 parts.[citation needed]

In 1772, J.E. Bode, then aged twenty-five, published an astronomical compendium,[5] in which he included the following footnote, citing Titius (in later editions):[b][6]

This latter point seems in particular to follow from the astonishing relation which the known six planets observe in their distances from the Sun. Let the distance from the Sun to Saturn be taken as 100, then Mercury is separated by 4 such parts from the Sun. Venus is 4+3=7. The Earth 4+6=10. Mars 4+12=16. Now comes a gap in this so orderly progression. After Mars there follows a space of 4+24=28 parts, in which no planet has yet been seen. Can one believe that the Founder of the universe had left this space empty? Certainly not. From here we come to the distance of Jupiter by 4+48=52 parts, and finally to that of Saturn by 4+96=100 parts.[6]

These two statements, for all their peculiar expression, and from the radii used for the orbits, seem to stem from an antique algorithm by a cossist.[c]

Many precedents were found that predate the seventeenth century.[citation needed] Titius was a disciple of the German philosopher C.F. von Wolf (1679–1754), and the second part of the text that Titius inserted into Bonnet's work is in a book by von Wolf (1723),[7] suggesting that Titius learned the relation from him. Twentieth-century literature about Titius–Bode law attributes authorship to von Wolf.[citation needed] A prior version was written by D. Gregory (1702),[8] in which the succession of planetary distances 4, 7, 10, 16, 52, and 100 became a geometric progression with ratio 2. This is the nearest Newtonian formula, which was also cited by Benjamin Martin (1747)[9] and Tomàs Cerdà (c. 1760)[10] years before Titius's expanded translation of Bonnet's book into German (1766). Over the next two centuries, subsequent authors continued to present their own modified versions, apparently unaware of prior work.[1]

Titius and Bode hoped that the law would lead to the discovery of new planets, and indeed the discovery of Uranus and Ceres – both of whose distances fit well with the law – contributed to the law's fame. Neptune's distance was very discrepant, however, and indeed Pluto – no longer considered a planet – is at a mean distance that roughly corresponds to that the Titius–Bode law predicted for the next planet out from Uranus.

When originally published, the law was approximately satisfied by all the planets then known – i.e., Mercury through Saturn – with a gap between the fourth and fifth planets. Vikarius (Johann Friedrich) Wurm (1787) proposed a modified version of the Titius–Bode Law that accounted for the then-known satellites of Jupiter and Saturn, and better predicted the distance for Mercury.[11]

The Titius–Bode law was regarded as interesting, but of no great importance until the discovery of Uranus in 1781, which happens to fit into the series nearly exactly. Based on this discovery, Bode urged his contemporaries to search for a fifth planet. Ceres, the largest object in the asteroid belt, was found at Bode's predicted position in 1801.

Bode's law was widely accepted at that point, until in 1846 Neptune was discovered in a location that does not conform to the law. Simultaneously, due to the large number of asteroids discovered in the belt, Ceres was no longer a major planet. In 1898 the astronomer and logician C.S. Peirce used Bode's law as an example of fallacious reasoning.[12]

The discovery of Pluto in 1930 confounded the issue still further: Although nowhere near its predicted position according to Bode's law, it was very nearly at the position the law had designated for Neptune. The subsequent discovery of the Kuiper belt – and in particular the object Eris, which is more massive than Pluto, yet does not fit Bode's law – further discredited the formula.[13]

Data

[edit]

The Titius–Bode law predicts planets will be present at specific distances in astronomical units, which can be compared to the observed data for the planets and two dwarf planets in the Solar System:

Graphical plot of the eight planets, Pluto, and Ceres versus the first ten predicted distances.
m k T–B rule distance (AU) Planet Semimajor axis (AU) Deviation from prediction1
0 0.4 Mercury 0.39 −3.23%
0 1 0.7 Venus 0.72 +3.33%
1 2 1.0 Earth 1.00 0.00%
2 4 1.6 Mars 1.52 −4.77%
3 8 2.8 Ceres2 2.77 −1.16%
4 16 5.2 Jupiter 5.20 +0.05%
5 32 10.0 Saturn 9.58 −4.42%
6 64 19.6 Uranus 19.22 −1.95%
Neptune 30.07
7 128 38.8 Pluto2 39.48 +1.02%
1 For large k, each Titius–Bode rule distance is approximately twice the preceding value. Hence, an arbitrary planet may be found within −25% to +50% of one of the predicted positions. For small k, the predicted distances do not fully double, so the range of potential deviation is smaller. Note that the semi-major axis is proportional to the 2/3 power of the orbital period. For example, planets in a 2:3 orbital resonance (such as plutinos relative to Neptune) will vary in distance by (2/3)2/3 = −23.69% and +31.04% relative to one another.
2 Ceres and Pluto are dwarf planets rather than major planets.

Blagg formulation

[edit]

In 1913, M.A. Blagg, an Oxford astronomer, re-visited the law.[14] She analyzed the orbits of the planetary system and those of the satellite systems of the outer gas giants, Jupiter, Saturn and Uranus. She examined the log of the distances, trying to find the best 'average' difference.

The empirical correction function  f  introduced in Blagg's reformulation of the Titius–Bode law.

Her analysis resulted in a different formula:

Note in particular that in Blagg's formula, the law for the Solar System was best represented by a progression in 1.7275, rather than the original value 2 used by Titius, Bode, and others.

Blagg examined the satellite system of Jupiter, Saturn, and Uranus, and discovered the same progression ratio 1.7275, in each.

However, the final form of the correction function  f  was not given in Blagg's 1913 paper, with Blagg noting that the empirical figures given were only for illustration. The empirical form was provided in the form of a graph (the reason that points on the curve are such a close match for empirical data, for objects discovered prior to 1913, is that they are the empirical data).

Finding a formula that closely fit the empircal curve turned out to be difficult. Fourier analysis of the shape resulted in the following seven term approximation:[14]

After further analysis, Blagg gave the following simpler formula; however the price for the simpler form is that it produces a less accurate fit to the empirical data. Blagg gave it in an un-normalized form in her paper, which leaves the relative sizes of A, B, and f  ambiguous; it is shown here in normalized form (i.e. this version of  f  is scaled to produce values ranging from 0 to 1, inclusive):[15]

where

Neither of these formulas for function  f  are used in the calculations below: The calculations here are based on a graph of function  f  which was drawn based on observed data.

Constants for Blagg's refinement of the Titius–Bode law
(as modified by Nieto 1970)
System A B α β
Sun-orbiting bodies   0.4162     2.0250   112.4°   056.6°  
Moons of Jupiter   0.4523   1.8520   113.0° 036.0°
Moons of Saturn   3.0740   0.0071   118.0° 010.0°
Moons of Uranus   2.9800   0.0805   125.7° 012.5°

Her paper was published in 1913, and was forgotten until 1953, when A.E. Roy came across it while researching another problem.[16] Roy noted that Blagg herself had suggested that her formula could give approximate mean distances of other bodies still undiscovered in 1913. Since then, six bodies in three systems examined by Blagg had been discovered: Pluto, Sinope (Jupiter IX), Lysithea (J X), Carme (J XI), Ananke (J XII), and Miranda (Uranus V).

Roy found that all six fitted very closely. This might have been an exaggeration: out of these six bodies, four were sharing positions with objects that were already known in 1913; concerning the two others, there was a ~6% overestimate for Pluto; and later, a 6% underestimate for Miranda became apparent.[15]

Comparison of the Blagg formulation with observation

[edit]

Bodies in parentheses were not known in 1913, when Blagg wrote her paper. Some of the calculated distances in the Saturn and Uranus systems are not very accurate. This is because the low values of constant B in the table above make them very sensitive to the exact form of the function  f .

Sun-orbiting bodies
Planet / minor pl. n obs. dist. Blagg pred.
Mercury −2 0.387 0.387
Venus −1 0.723 0.723
Earth 0 1.000 1.000
Mars 1 1.524 1.524
Vesta 2 2.362 2.670
Juno 2.670
Pallas 2.774
Ceres 2.769
Jupiter 3 5.204 5.200
Saturn 4 9.583 9.550
Uranus 5 19.220 19.230
Neptune 6 30.070 30.130
(Pluto) 7 (39.48) 41.800
Moons of Jupiter
Jupiter satellite n obs. dist. Blagg pred.
Amalthea −2 0.429 0.429
−1
0.708
Io 0 1.000 1.000
Europa 1 1.592 1.592
Ganymede 2 2.539 2.541
Callisto 3 4.467 4.467
4
9.260
5
15.400
Himalia 6 27.250 27.540
Elara 27.850
(Lysithea) (27.85)
(Ananke) 7 (49.8)0 55.460
(Carme) (53.3)0
Pasiphae 55.700
(Sinope) (56.2)0
Moons of Saturn
Saturn satellite n obs. dist. Blagg pred.
(Janus) −3 (0.538) 0.540
Mimas −2 0.630 0.629
Enceladus −1 0.808 0.807
Tethys 0 1.000 1.000
Dione 1 1.281 1.279
Rhea 2 1.789 1.786
3
2.970
Titan 4 4.149 4.140
Hyperion 5 5.034 5.023
6
6.300
7
6.650
8
7.000
Iapetus 9 12.090 12.110
Phoebe 10 43.920 43.850
Moons of Uranus
Uranus satellite n obs. dist. Blagg pred.
(Miranda) −2 (0.678) 0.640
−1
0.770
Ariel 0 1.000 1.000
Umbriel 1 1.394 1.393
Titania 2 2.293 2.286
Oberon 3 3.058 3.055

Richardson formulation

[edit]

In a 1945 Popular Astronomy magazine article,[17] the science writer D.E. Richardson apparently independently arrived at the same conclusion as Blagg: That the progression ratio is 1.728 rather than 2. His spacing law is in the form:

where is an oscillatory function with period , representing distances from an off-centered origin to points on an ellipse.

Historical inertia

[edit]

Nieto, who conducted the first modern comprehensive review of the Titius–Bode Law,[18] noted that "The psychological hold of the Law on astronomy has been such that people have always tended to regard its original form as the one on which to base theories." He was emphatic that "future theories must rid themselves of the bias of trying to explain a progression ratio of 2":

One thing which needs to be emphasized is that the historical bias towards a progression ratio of 2 must be abandoned. It ought to be clear that the first formulation of Titius (with its asymmetric first term) should be viewed as a good first guess. Certainly, it should not necessarily be viewed as the best guess to refer theories to. But in astronomy the weight of history is heavy ... Despite the fact that the number 1.73 is much better, astronomers cling to the original number 2.[1]

Theoretical explanations

[edit]

No solid theoretical explanation underlies the Titius–Bode law – but it is possible that, given a combination of orbital resonance and shortage of degrees of freedom, any stable planetary system has a high probability of satisfying a Titius–Bode-type relationship. Since it may be a mathematical coincidence rather than a "law of nature", it is sometimes referred to as a rule instead of "law".[19] Astrophysicist Alan Boss states that it is just a coincidence, and the planetary science journal Icarus no longer accepts papers attempting to provide improved versions of the "law".[13]

Orbital resonance from major orbiting bodies creates regions around the Sun that are free of long-term stable orbits. Results from simulations of planetary formation support the idea that a randomly chosen, stable planetary system will likely satisfy a Titius–Bode law.[20]

Dubrulle and Graner[21][22] showed that power-law distance rules can be a consequence of collapsing-cloud models of planetary systems possessing two symmetries: rotational invariance (i.e., the cloud and its contents are axially symmetric) and scale invariance (i.e., the cloud and its contents look the same on all scales). The latter is a feature of many phenomena considered to play a role in planetary formation, such as turbulence.

Natural satellite systems and exoplanetary systems

[edit]

Only a limited number of systems are available upon which Bode's law can presently be tested; two solar planets have enough large moons that probably formed in a process similar to that which formed the planets: The four large satellites of Jupiter and the biggest inner satellite (i.e., Amalthea) cling to a regular, but non-Titius-Bode, spacing, with the four innermost satellites locked into orbital periods that are each twice that of the next inner satellite. Similarly, the large moons of Uranus have a regular but non-Titius-Bode spacing.[23] However, according to Martin Harwit

"a slight new phrasing of this law permits us to include not only planetary orbits around the Sun, but also the orbits of moons around their parent planets."[24]

The new phrasing is known as “Dermott's law”.

Of the recent discoveries of extrasolar planetary systems, few have enough known planets to test whether similar rules apply. An attempt with 55 Cancri suggested the equation

and controversially[25] predicts an undiscovered planet or asteroid field for at 2 AU.[26] Furthermore, the orbital period and semi-major axis of the innermost planet in the 55 Cancri system have been greatly revised (from 2.817 days to 0.737 days and from 0.038 AU to 0.016 AU, respectively) since the publication of these studies.[27]

Recent astronomical research suggests that planetary systems around some other stars may follow Titius-Bode-like laws.[28][29] Bovaird & Lineweaver (2013)[30] applied a generalized Titius-Bode relation to 68 exoplanet systems that contain four or more planets. They showed that 96% of these exoplanet systems adhere to a generalized Titius-Bode relation to a similar or greater extent than the Solar System does. The locations of potentially undetected exoplanets are predicted in each system.[30]

Subsequent research detected 5 candidate planets from the 97 planets predicted for the 68 planetary systems. The study showed that the actual number of planets could be larger. The occurrence rates of Mars- and Mercury-sized planets are unknown, so many planets could be missed due to their small size. Other possible reasons that may account for apparent discrepancies include planets that do not transit the star or circumstances in which the predicted space is occupied by circumstellar disks. Despite these types of allowances, the number of planets found with Titius–Bode law predictions was lower than expected.[31]

In a 2018 paper, the idea of a hypothetical eighth planet around TRAPPIST-1 named "TRAPPIST‑1i", was proposed by using the Titius–Bode law. TRAPPIST‑1i had a prediction based exclusively on the Titius–Bode law with an orbital period of 27.53 ± 0.83 days.[32]

Finally, raw statistics from exoplanetary orbits strongly point to a general fulfillment of Titius-Bode-like laws (with exponential increase of semi-major axes as a function of planetary index) in all the exoplanetary systems; when making a blind histogram of orbital semi-major axes for all the known exoplanets for which this magnitude is known,[33] and comparing it with what should be expected if planets distribute according to Titius-Bode-like laws, a significant degree of agreement (i.e., 78%)[34] is obtained.

See also

[edit]

Footnotes

[edit]
  1. ^ The spacing seems to transition from the complicated Titius–series to simple equal-spacing starting at Saturn, with Neptune being the first major planet that does not fit the Titius–Bode rule.
  2. ^ Bode's footnote was initially unsourced, but in later versions credited to Titius, and in Bode’s memoir he refers to Titius, clearly recognizing Titius' priority.
  3. ^ The cossists were experts in calculations of all kinds and were employed by merchants and businessmen to solve complex accounting problems. Their name derives from the Italian word cosa, meaning "thing", because they used symbols to represent an unknown quantity, similar to the way modern mathematicians use Professional problem-solvers of this era invented their own clever methods for performing calculations and would do their utmost to keep these methods secret in order to maintain a reputation as the only person capable of solving a particular problem.[citation needed]

References

[edit]
  1. ^ a b c Nieto, Michael Martin (1970). "Conclusions about the Titius–Bode Law of Planetary Distances". Astron. Astrophys. 8: 105–111. Bibcode:1970A&A.....8..105N.
  2. ^ a b Gregory, D. (1715). The Elements of Astronomy.
  3. ^ a b c "Where should the planets be? The law of proportionalities". Dawn. Archived from the original on 7 March 2016. Retrieved 16 March 2018.
  4. ^ a b Bonnet, C. (1764). Contemplation de la Nature (in French).
  5. ^ Bode, Johann Elert (1772). Anleitung zur Kenntniss des gestirnten Himmels [Manual for Knowing the Starry Sky] (in German) (2nd ed.).
  6. ^ a b Hoskin, Michael (26 June 1992). "Bodes' law and the discovery of Ceres". Observatorio Astronomico di Palermo "Giuseppe S. Vaiana". Retrieved 5 July 2007.
  7. ^ von Wolf, C.F. (1723). Vernünftige Gedanken von den Wirkungen der Natur (in German).
  8. ^ Gregory, David (1702). Astronomiae physicae et geometricae elementa (in Latin).
  9. ^ Martin, Benjamin (1747). Philosophia Britannica.
  10. ^ Cerdà, Tomàs (c. 1760). Tratado de Astronomía (in Spanish).
  11. ^ Wurm, Vikarius (Johann Friedrich) (1787). Bode, J.E. (ed.). "Verschiedene astronomische Bemerkungen und eine Abhandlung über mögliche Planeten und Kometen unsers Sonnensystems". Astronomisches Jahrbuch. 15. Hofbuchdrucker, Berlin: George Jacob Decker, Königl: 162–73.
  12. ^ Peirce, C.S.; Ketner, Kenneth Laine (1992). Reasoning and the logic of things. The Cambridge conferences lectures of 1898. Harvard University Press. pp. 194–196. ISBN 978-0-674-74966-5. HUP catalog page Archived 2 January 2010 at the Wayback Machine.
  13. ^ a b Boss, Alan (October 2006). "Ask Astro". Astronomy. Vol. 30, no. 10. p. 70.
  14. ^ a b Blagg, M.A. (1913). "On a suggested substitute for Bode's law". Monthly Notices of the Royal Astronomical Society. 73: 414–22. Bibcode:1913MNRAS..73..414B. doi:10.1093/mnras/73.6.414.
  15. ^ a b Lobban, G.G.; Roy, A.E.; Brown, J.C. (October 1982). "A review of Blagg's formula in the light of recently discovered planetary moons and rings". Journal of the British Astronomical Association. 92 (6): 260–263. Bibcode:1982JBAA...92..260L.
  16. ^ Malcolm, Roy (1955). "Is Bode's law a coincidence?". Astounding Science Fiction. LV (5).
  17. ^ Richardson, D.E. (1945). "Distances of planets from the Sun and of satellites from their primaries in the satellite systems of Jupiter, Saturn, and Uranus". Popular Astronomy. Vol. 53. pp. 14–26.
  18. ^ Nieto, Michael Martin (1972). The Titius–Bode Law of Planetary Distances – Its History and Theory (1st ed.). Pergamon Press. doi:10.1016/C2013-0-02478-4. ISBN 978-0-08-016784-8.
  19. ^ Carroll, Bradley W.; Ostlie, Dale A. (2007). An Introduction to Modern Astrophysics. Pearson Addison-Wesley. pp. 716–717. ISBN 978-0-8053-0402-2.
  20. ^ Wayne Hayes; Scott Tremaine (October 1998). "Fitting selected random planetary systems to Titius–Bode laws" (PDF). Icarus. 135 (2): 549. arXiv:astro-ph/9710116. Bibcode:1998Icar..135..549H. CiteSeerX 10.1.1.27.8254. doi:10.1006/icar.1998.5999. S2CID 15015134.
  21. ^ F. Graner; B. Dubrulle (1994). "Titius–Bode laws in the solar system. Part I: Scale invariance explains everything". Astronomy and Astrophysics. 282 (1): 262–268. Bibcode:1994A&A...282..262G.
  22. ^ B. Dubrulle; F. Graner (1994). "Titius–Bode laws in the solar system. Part II: Build your own law from disk models". Astronomy and Astrophysics. 282 (1): 269–276. Bibcode:1994A&A...282..269D.
  23. ^ Cohen, Howard L. (May 1996). "The Titius-Bode relation revisited". FirstLight (monthly newsletter article). Gainesville, FL: Alachua Astronomy Club. Archived from the original on 28 September 2007. Retrieved 24 February 2008 – via Florida Stars (floridastars.org).
  24. ^ Harwit, Martin (1998). Astrophysical Concepts. Springer. pp. 27–29. ISBN 9780387949437 – via Google books.
  25. ^ Kotliarov, Ivan (21 June 2008). "The Titius-Bode law revisited but not revived". arXiv:0806.3532 [physics.space-ph].
  26. ^ Poveda, Arcadio & Lara, Patricia (2008). "The exo-planetary system of 55 Cancri and the Titus–Bode law" (PDF). Revista Mexicana de Astronomía y Astrofísica (44): 243–246.
  27. ^ Dawson, Rebekah I.; Fabrycky, Daniel C. (2010). "Radial velocity planets de-aliased. A new, short period for super-Earth 55 Cnc e". Astrophysical Journal. 722 (1): 937–953. arXiv:1005.4050. Bibcode:2010ApJ...722..937D. doi:10.1088/0004-637X/722/1/937. S2CID 118592734.
  28. ^ "Section 8.2: Extrasolar Titius-Bode-like laws?" (PDF). European Southern Observatory (ESO.org) (Press release). The HARPS search for southern extra-solar planets. 23 August 2010. Retrieved 24 August 2010.
  29. ^ Lara, Patricia (2012). On the structural law of exoplanetary systems. ICNAAM 2012: International Conference of Numerical Analysis and Applied Mathematics. AIP Conference Proceedings. Vol. 1479. pp. 2356–2359. Bibcode:2012AIPC.1479.2356L. doi:10.1063/1.4756667.
  30. ^ a b Bovaird, Timothy; Lineweaver, Charles H. (2013). "Exoplanet predictions based on the generalized Titius-Bode relation". Monthly Notices of the Royal Astronomical Society. 435 (2): 1126. arXiv:1304.3341. Bibcode:2013MNRAS.435.1126B. doi:10.1093/mnras/stt1357.
  31. ^ Huang, Chelsea X.; Bakos, Gáspár Á. (9 May 2014). "Testing the Titius-Bode law predictions for Kepler multi-planet systems". Monthly Notices of the Royal Astronomical Society. 442 (1): 674–681. arXiv:1405.2259. Bibcode:2014MNRAS.442..674H. doi:10.1093/mnras/stu906.
  32. ^ Kipping, David (2018). "Predicting the orbit of TRAPPIST-1i". Research Notes of the American Astronomical Society. 2 (3): 136. arXiv:1807.10835. Bibcode:2018RNAAS...2..136K. doi:10.3847/2515-5172/aad6e8. S2CID 119005201.
  33. ^ Ballesteros, F.J.; Fernandez-Soto, A.; Martinez, V.J. (2019). "Diving into exoplanets: Are water seas the most common?". Astrobiology. 19 (5): 642–654. Bibcode:2019AsBio..19..642B. doi:10.1089/ast.2017.1720. hdl:10261/213115. PMID 30789285. S2CID 73498809.
  34. ^ Lara, Patricia; Cordero-Tercero, Guadalupe; Allen, Christine (2020). "The reliability of the Titius-Bode relation and its implications for the search for exoplanets". Publications of the Astronomical Society of Japan. 72 (2). arXiv:2003.05121. doi:10.1093/pasj/psz146.

Further reading

[edit]
  • Matthews, Robert (9 April 1994). "The ghostly hand that spaced the planets". New Scientist. p. 13.
  • Perdijk, H.J.R. "The law of Titius–Bode explained". Plants and Planets. Archived from the original on 15 July 2014. Retrieved 26 January 2024 – via kpn.nl.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: unfit URL (link) — mystical and speculative; ref. diagrams missing from archive
  • Parés i Farràs, Ramon, Dr. (2016). Distancias planetarias y ley de Titius-Bode [Planetary distances and the Titius-Bode law] (PDF) (popular astronomy essay) (in Spanish). Retrieved 26 January 2024 – via wix.com.{{cite report}}: CS1 maint: multiple names: authors list (link)combination history of distance measurements and development of Titius' law, notable astronomers involved, and exposition by graphs and simple ratios of modern planetary and satellite distances