2008 Pennsylvania Democratic presidential primary: Difference between revisions
RedShiftPA (talk | contribs) No edit summary |
No edit summary Tags: Mobile edit Mobile web edit Advanced mobile edit |
||
(342 intermediate revisions by more than 100 users not shown) | |||
Line 1: | Line 1: | ||
{{Short description|none}} |
|||
The '''2008 Pennsylvania Democratic primary''' will take place on [[April 22]], [[2008]]. It will be open to registered [[Democratic Party (United States)|Democrats]] only. Senator [[Barack Obama]] and Senator [[Hillary Clinton]] are the only 2 democratic candidates on the ballot.<ref>http://www.dos.state.pa.us/bcel/lib/bcel/elections/petition_filers.pdf</ref> There are 158 [[delegates]] which will be awarded on a proportional basis and 30 "[[superdelegates]]", fourteen of which have announced support for [[Hillary Rodham Clinton|Sen. Hillary Clinton]] and four have committed to [[Barack Obama| Sen. Barack Obama]]. <ref>{{cite web |url= http://innovation.cq.com/primaries?tab=2|title= CQ Politics Primary Guide|accessdate=2008-02-20 |work= CQ Politics}}</ref> |
|||
{{Use mdy dates|date=September 2023}} |
|||
{{Infobox election |
|||
| election_name = 2008 [[Pennsylvania]] Democratic presidential primary |
|||
| country = Pennsylvania |
|||
| type = presidential |
|||
| ongoing = no |
|||
| previous_election = 2004 Pennsylvania Democratic presidential primary |
|||
| previous_year = 2004 |
|||
| next_election = 2016 Pennsylvania Democratic presidential primary |
|||
| next_year = 2016 |
|||
| election_date = {{Start date|2008|04|22}} |
|||
| image1 = Hillary_Rodham_Clinton-cropped.jpg |
|||
| candidate1 = '''[[Hillary Clinton]]''' |
|||
| colour1 = D4AA00 |
|||
| home_state1 = [[New York (state)|New York]] |
|||
| delegate_count1 = '''85''' |
|||
| popular_vote1 = '''1,273,764''' |
|||
| percentage1 = '''54.59%''' |
|||
| image2 = Barack Obama Senate portrait crop.jpg |
|||
| candidate2 = [[Barack Obama]] |
|||
| colour2 = 800080 |
|||
| home_state2 = [[Illinois]] |
|||
| delegate_count2 = 73 |
|||
| popular_vote2 = 1,059,698 |
|||
| percentage2 = 45.41% |
|||
| map_image = [[File:Pennsylvania Democratic presidential primary election results by county margins, 2008.svg|250px]] |
|||
| map_size = 300px |
|||
| map_caption = Primary results by county <br/>'''Clinton:''' {{legend0|#f1c98b|50–60%}} {{legend0|#e6b263|60–70%}} {{legend0|#d99a39|70–80%}}<br/>'''Obama:''' {{legend0|#cf94cf|50–60%}} {{legend0|#bd6fbd|60–70%}} |
|||
| outgoing_members = [[2008 Mississippi Democratic presidential primary|MS]] |
|||
| elected_members = [[2008 Guam Democratic presidential caucuses|GU]] |
|||
}} |
|||
{{Elections in Pennsylvania sidebar}} |
|||
The '''2008 Pennsylvania Democratic presidential primary''' was held on April 22 by the [[Pennsylvania]] Department of State in which voters chose their preference for the [[Democratic Party (United States)|Democratic Party's]] candidate for the [[2008 United States presidential election]]. Voters also chose the [[Pennsylvania Democratic Party|Pennsylvania Democratic Party's]] candidates for various state and local offices. The selected candidates were placed on the ballot of the 2008 general election on November 4. The Democratic primary was part of a general primary that also included the [[2008 Pennsylvania Republican presidential primary]]. |
|||
The Democratic primary was open to registered Democrats only. Polls opened at 7am and closed at 8pm. Senators [[Barack Obama]] and [[Hillary Clinton]] were the only candidates on the ballot for [[President of the United States]].<ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.dos.state.pa.us/bcel/lib/bcel/elections/petition_filers.pdf|title=Unofficial List of Candidates|format=PDF|access-date=2008-03-22|archive-date=2008-03-17|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20080317024520/http://www.dos.state.pa.us/bcel/lib/bcel/elections/Petition_Filers.pdf|url-status=dead}}</ref> The primary was considered to be a "must win" for Clinton, who defeated Obama, but by a smaller margin than hoped for. |
|||
==Delegate breakdown== |
|||
The Pennsylvania Democratic Party sent a total of 187 delegates to the [[2008 Democratic National Convention]]. Of those delegates, 158 were pledged, and 29 were unpledged. All of the 158 pledged delegates were allocated (pledged) to vote for a particular candidate at the National Convention according to the results of the Pennsylvania presidential primary. The 29 unpledged delegates were popularly called "[[superdelegate]]s" because their vote represented their personal decisions, whereas the regular delegates' votes represented the collective decision of many voters. The superdelegates were free to vote for any candidate at the National Convention and were selected by the Pennsylvania Democratic Party's officials.<ref name="paplan">{{cite web |title=Pennsylvania Delegate Selection Plan For The 2008 Democratic National Convention |publisher=[[Pennsylvania Democratic Party]] |date=2007-08-25 |url=http://padems.com/files/Delegate08Final806.pdf |format=PDF |access-date=2008-04-21 |archive-url = https://web.archive.org/web/20080625114520/http://padems.com/files/Delegate08Final806.pdf <!-- Bot retrieved archive --> |archive-date = 2008-06-25}}</ref><ref name="pagp">{{cite web |last=Berg-Andersson |first=Richard |title=Pennsylvania Democrat Presidential Nominating Process |publisher=The Green Papers |date=2008-05-01 |url=http://www.thegreenpapers.com/P08/PA-D.phtml |access-date=2008-05-01}}</ref> |
|||
The 158 pledged delegates were further divided into 103 district delegates and 55 statewide delegates. The 103 district delegates were divided among Pennsylvania's 19 congressional districts and were allocated to the presidential candidates based on the primary results in each district. The 55 statewide delegates were divided into 35 at-large delegates and 20 party leaders and elected officials (abbreviated PLEOs). They were allocated to the presidential candidates based on the preference of the delegates at the State Committee meeting on June 7.<ref name="paplan"/><ref name="pagp"/> |
|||
Of the 29 unpledged delegates, 26 were selected in advance and 3 were selected at the State Committee meeting. The delegates selected in advance were 13 Democratic National Committee members, the 11 Democratic U.S. representatives from Pennsylvania, Democratic U.S. Senator [[Bob Casey Jr.]], and Democratic Governor [[Ed Rendell]].<ref name="paplan"/><ref name="pagp"/> |
|||
==Importance of Pennsylvania== |
|||
The primary was the first time since 1976 that Pennsylvania played a major role in a presidential nomination.<ref>{{cite news|last=Infield |first=Tom |title=The last time a Pa. primary mattered |date=2008-03-24 |work=[[The Philadelphia Inquirer]] |url=http://www.philly.com/inquirer/home_top_stories/The_last_time_a_Pa_primary_mattered.html |access-date=2008-04-16 |url-status=dead |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20080830002523/http://www.philly.com/inquirer/home_top_stories/The_last_time_a_Pa_primary_mattered.html |archive-date=August 30, 2008 }}</ref> |
|||
===Importance of Pennsylvania for Clinton=== |
|||
[[Image:BillClintonatW&J2008.jpg|250px|right|thumb|Former president [[Bill Clinton]] at a "Solutions for America" rally at the [[Henry Memorial Center]] at [[Washington & Jefferson College]] on March 11, 2008<ref>{{cite web| title =Former President Bill Clinton to Speak at W&J on Tuesday| work =Current Press Releases | publisher =[[Washington & Jefferson College]]| date =March 10, 2008 | url =http://www.washjeff.edu/content.aspx?section=2210&menu_id=517&crumb=518&page_title=Current%20Press%20Releases&id=11289| archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20110708020159/http://www.washjeff.edu/content.aspx?section=2210&menu_id=517&crumb=518&page_title=Current%20Press%20Releases&id=11289| archive-date=2011-07-08 | access-date = 2012-02-12}}</ref>]] |
|||
As the race continued to Pennsylvania, [[Indiana]], and [[North Carolina]], many observers had concluded that Clinton had little chance to overcome Obama's lead in pledged delegates.<ref>{{cite news |last=Alter |first=Jonathan |author-link=Jonathan Alter |title=Hillary's New Math Problem: Tuesday's big wins? The delegate calculus just got worse.| work=[[Newsweek]] |date=2008-03-05 |url=http://www.newsweek.com/id/119010}}</ref> |
|||
Former President [[Bill Clinton]] highlighted the importance of the state for the Clinton campaign saying on March 11 at an event in Western Pennsylvania that "If she wins a big, big victory in Pennsylvania, I think it'll give her a real big boost going into the next primaries... I think she's got to win a big victory in Pennsylvania. I think if she does, she can be nominated, but it's up to you."<ref>{{cite news | url=http://firstread.msnbc.msn.com/archive/2008/03/11/757889.aspx | title=Bill: Hill needs 'big, big victory' in PA | publisher=[[MSNBC.com]] | date=2008-03-11 | access-date=2008-03-12 | url-status=dead | archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20080314103338/http://firstread.msnbc.msn.com/archive/2008/03/11/757889.aspx | archive-date=2008-03-14 }}</ref> This was a repetition of his tactic before March 4, warning supporters that his wife might not be able to continue if she did not win [[Ohio]] and [[Texas]].<ref>{{cite news |last=Wheaton |first=Sarah |url=http://thecaucus.blogs.nytimes.com/2008/02/21/bill-clinton-texas-and-ohio-or-bust/ |title=Bill Clinton: Texas and Ohio or Bust |work=[[The New York Times]] |date=2008-02-21 |access-date=2008-03-12}}</ref> Hillary Clinton emphasized that Pennsylvania was something of a home state for her, as her father came from [[Scranton, Pennsylvania]], she and her brothers were christened there and had vacationed near there each summer, and her brothers still maintained the family cottage near there.<ref>{{cite news |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2008/03/10/us/politics/10scranton.html |title=Pennsylvania Ties Could Help Clinton |last=Seelye |first=Katharine Q |work=[[The New York Times]] |date=2008-03-10 |access-date=2008-03-14}}</ref> |
|||
===Importance of Pennsylvania to Obama=== |
|||
On March 18, 2008 [[Barack Obama]] chose [[Philadelphia]] as the site to deliver his much-anticipated "[[A More Perfect Union (speech)|A More Perfect Union]]" speech dealing with the race and the [[Barack Obama 2008 presidential campaign#Controversy surrounding Rev. Jeremiah Wright|controversy]] surrounding his pastor, [[Rev. Jeremiah Wright]]. |
|||
==Campaign== |
==Campaign== |
||
[[Image:BillClintonatW&J2008.jpg|250px|right|thumb|[[Bill Clinton]] at a "Solutions for America" rally at [[Washington & Jefferson College]] on [[March 11]], [[2008]]<ref>http://www.washjeff.edu/content.aspx?section=2210&menu_id=517&crumb=518&page_title=Current%20Press%20Releases&id=11289</ref>]] |
|||
===Obama's "Road to Change" bus tour=== |
|||
Most political observers believe Pennsylvania is a "must-win" for Senator Clinton to continue her campaign. |
|||
[[Image:Obama Rally in Pittsburgh 2008.3.28.jpg|thumb|right|200px|Obama speaking at a Rally in [[Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania|Pittsburgh]] to kick off his statewide bus tour.]] |
|||
Obama started a 6-day "Road to Change" bus tour across [[Pennsylvania]], with stops in Pittsburgh, Johnstown, Altoona, State College, Harrisburg |
|||
On March 28, Obama started the bus tour with a rally in [[Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania|Pittsburgh's]] [[Soldiers and Sailors Memorial Hall]].<ref>{{Cite web |url=http://www.thepittsburghchannel.com/politics/15701045/detail.html |title=Obama's Bus Tour Rolls Through Pittsburgh, Johnstown, State College - Politics News Story - WTAE Pittsburgh<!-- Bot generated title --> |access-date=2008-05-08 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20100608072238/http://www.thepittsburghchannel.com/politics/15701045/detail.html |archive-date=2010-06-08 |url-status=dead }}</ref> Obama was introduced and endorsed by [[United States Senate|Senator]] [[Bob Casey Jr.]], who had indicated earlier that he would remain neutral in the democratic primary.<ref>{{cite news| url=https://www.nytimes.com/2008/03/28/us/politics/28text-casey.html | work=The New York Times | title=Bob Casey Endorses Barack Obama | date=2008-03-28 | access-date=2010-05-22}}</ref> |
|||
==Eligibility== |
|||
In order to vote in the primary, one must be:<ref>[http://www.dos.state.pa.us/voting/cwp/view.asp?a=1192&q=443159&votingNav=| Pennsylvania Department of State]</ref> |
|||
# "A citizen of the United States for at least one month before the next primary, special, municipal, or general election." |
|||
# "A resident of Pennsylvania and the election district in which the individual desires to register and vote for at least 30 days before the next primary, special, municipal, or general election." |
|||
# "At least 18 years of age on or before the day of the next primary, special, municipal, or general election." |
|||
Casey traveled to [[Florida]] over the Easter holiday, where he said rain forced him to stay inside and think about the election. Obama's ability to "transcend" the racial divide and his ability to engage younger voters proved decisive to his decision. According to sources, Casey's four daughters lobbied their dad to endorse Obama.<ref>[http://www.iht.com/articles/2008/03/28/america/28campaign.php Obama wins endorsement from Senator Bob Casey of Pennsylvania - International Herald Tribune<!-- Bot generated title -->]</ref> |
|||
Convicted felons may not vote from prison. |
|||
On March 29, the Obama bus tour stopped at the Pleasant Valley Recreation Center in [[Altoona, Pennsylvania|Altoona]], where he famously bowled a 37.<ref>{{cite news| url=http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2008/03/30/obama-bowls-for-pennsylva_n_94097.html | work=The Huffington Post | title=Obama Bowls for Pennsylvania Voters | date=2008-03-30}}</ref> Both Obama and Senator Casey (who rolled a score of 71) lost to local homemaker Roxanne Hart, who rolled a score of 82.<ref>http://www.mercurynews.com/elections/ci_8750444 {{Dead link|date=February 2022}}</ref> On [[April Fool's Day]], Senator Clinton jokingly challenged Obama to a "bowl-off," with the winner taking all the delegates.<ref>[https://www.nbcnews.com/id/wbna23903195 Clinton challenges Obama to bowl-off - Hillary Clinton News - nbcnews.com<!-- Bot generated title -->]</ref> |
|||
==Registration== |
|||
Individuals may register to vote at County Voter Registration offices, through the mail, at a Department of Transportation office, or at various other government agency offices.<ref>[http://www.dos.state.pa.us/voting/cwp/view.asp?a=1192&q=443061 Pennsylvania Department of State]</ref> |
|||
==Controversy== |
|||
Voters must register 30 days prior to the election in order to be eligible to vote; for the 2008 Democratic primary, this means that March 24 is the last day to register.<ref>[http://www.dos.state.pa.us/voting/cwp/view.asp?a=1192&q=443061 Pennsylvania Department of State]</ref> |
|||
On April 11, 2008, ''[[The Huffington Post]]'' [[blog]]ger [[Mayhill Fowler]], a self-admitted Barack Obama supporter, reported that during an April 6 "closed press" fundraising event in [[San Francisco, California]], Obama recounted the obstacles facing his campaign in the Pennsylvania primary as it pertained to rural, white voters.<ref>{{cite news|url=http://www.huffingtonpost.com/mayhill-fowler/obama-no-surprise-that-ha_b_96188.html|title=Obama: No Surprise That Hard-Pressed Pennsylvanians Turn Bitter | work=The Huffington Post | first=Mayhill|last=Fowler|date=2008-11-17}}</ref> Fowler wrote that during the speech, Obama said the following: |
|||
<blockquote>You go into these small towns in Pennsylvania and, like a lot of small towns in the [[Midwestern United States|Midwest]], the jobs have been gone now for 25 years and nothing's replaced them... And they fell through the [[Presidency of Bill Clinton|Clinton Administration]], and the [[Presidency of George W. Bush|Bush Administration]], and each successive administration has said that somehow these communities are gonna regenerate and they have not. And it's not surprising then they get bitter, they cling to guns or religion or antipathy to people who aren't like them or [[Nativism (politics)|anti-immigrant]] sentiment or anti-trade sentiment as a way to explain their frustrations.</blockquote> |
|||
==Polls== |
|||
{{main|Statewide opinion polling for the Democratic Party presidential primaries, 2008#Pennsylvania}} |
|||
Public opinion polling from early January [[2007]] through mid-February 2008 consistently gave Hillary Clinton a double digit lead over Barack Obama.<ref>{{cite web |title=2008 Pennsylvania Democratic Presidential Primary |url=http://www.pollster.com/08-PA-Dem-Pres-Primary.php |publisher=Pollster.com |accessdate=2008-03-06}}</ref> As of [[March 11]], [[2008]], the most recent poll showed Clinton leading Obama 55% to 36%.<ref>[http://kdka.com/politics/obama.clinton.pennsylvania.2.674690.html Clinton Leads Obama By Large Margin in Pennsylvania]</ref> Another poll, released on [[March 17]] showed Clinton leading Obama 56%-30%.<ref>[http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Penn_Release_031708.pdf Clinton Has Large Lead in Pennsylvania]</ref> |
|||
Fowler later posted a three-minute, 30-second audio snippet confirming the accuracy of the remark. Senators Clinton and [[John McCain]] both issued statements condemning the remarks.<ref>{{cite news |url=http://www.cbsnews.com/blogs/2008/04/12/politics/fromtheroad/entry4011172.shtml |title=Clinton Says Obama is "Out of Touch" with Middle Class Americans, Calls Comments "Elitist" |work=CBS News |first=Fernando |last=Suarez |date=2008-04-12 }} See also: {{cite news |url=http://embeds.blogs.foxnews.com/2008/04/11/mccain-camp-barack-obama-is-an-elitist/ |title=McCain Camp: Barack Obama is an "Elitist" |url-status=dead |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20080422032051/http://embeds.blogs.foxnews.com/2008/04/11/mccain-camp-barack-obama-is-an-elitist/ |archive-date=April 22, 2008 }}</ref> Obama later defended his comments, but conceded: "I didn't say it as well as I should have."<ref>{{cite news|url=https://www.reuters.com/article/vcCandidateFeed1/idUSN1220078920080412|title=Obama says he erred in comments on "bitter" voters | work=Reuters | first=Caren | last=Bohan | date=2008-04-12}}</ref> However, he also added: "I said something that everybody knows is true."<ref>Finnegan, Michael. [http://www.latimes.com/news/politics/la-na-obama13apr13,1,6505389.story “Obama expresses regret for remarks on small towns”], ''Los Angeles Times'' (2008-04-13).</ref> Obama had addressed similar themes of guns, religion, and economics in 2004 during an interview with [[Charlie Rose]].<ref>[http://www.charlierose.com/view/interview/1169 Interview by Charlie Rose] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20120722202240/http://www.charlierose.com/view/interview/1169 |date=2012-07-22 }} See also: {{cite web|url=http://www.charlierose.com/shows/2004/11/23/1/an-hour-with-illinois-senator-barack-obama|title=Full interview with Charlie Rose|url-status=dead|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20140126175012/http://www.charlierose.com/shows/2004/11/23/1/an-hour-with-illinois-senator-barack-obama|archive-date=2014-01-26}}</ref> |
|||
On [[March 13]], [[2008]] polls showed [[Hillary Clinton]] leading [[Barack Obama]] 51%-38%.<ref>http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/pennsylvania/pennsylvania_democratic_presidential_primary</ref> |
|||
== |
==Final week== |
||
On the last Friday before the primary, Senator Obama spoke on [[Independence National Historical Park|Independence Mall]] in [[Philadelphia, Pennsylvania]], to a crowd of more than 35,000, the largest audience yet drawn by either candidate during the campaign. The crowd was nearly twice what had been projected<ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.phillyimc.org/en/node/66547|title=Presidential Candidate Barack Obama Rally|date=2008-04-18|publisher=Philadelphia Independent Media Center|access-date=2008-04-20|url-status=dead|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20081202062358/http://www.phillyimc.org/en/node/66547|archive-date=2008-12-02}}</ref> and spilled over into nearby streets.<ref>{{cite web|url=http://firstread.msnbc.msn.com/archive/2008/04/19/921128.aspx|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20080423221342/http://firstread.msnbc.msn.com/archive/2008/04/19/921128.aspx|url-status=dead|archive-date=2008-04-23|title=OBAMA'S CLOSING ARGUMENT? |last=Anburajan|first=Aswini |date=2008-04-18|publisher=msnbc.com|access-date=2008-04-20}}</ref> The next day, Obama conducted a [[whistle stop train tour]] from Philadelphia to [[Harrisburg, Pennsylvania|Harrisburg]], drawing a crowd of 6,000 at a stop in [[Wynnewood, Pennsylvania|Wynnewood]] and 3,000 at a stop in [[Paoli, Pennsylvania|Paoli]]. On Monday, Sen. Obama held the final events of his Pennsylvania campaign in [[Scranton, PA|Scranton]], [[McKeesport, PA|McKeesport]] and at the [[University of Pittsburgh|University of Pittsburgh's]] Petersen Events Center.<ref>{{cite news|url=http://ap.google.com/article/ALeqM5jZv3Vf5-g07pAPJJrvLTZc3XDuyQD90577Q00|title=Obama takes whistle-stop tour through Pennsylvania|last=Sidoti|first=Liz|date=2008-04-19|publisher=Associated Press|access-date=2008-04-20}}{{dead link|date=March 2018 |bot=InternetArchiveBot |fix-attempted=yes }}</ref> |
|||
The Saturday before the primary, Senator Clinton spoke in five Pennsylvania cities, including [[West Chester, Pennsylvania|West Chester]] and [[York, Pennsylvania]]. More than 300 people showed up at the West Chester firehouse to hear the New York Senator speak.<ref>{{cite news|url=http://www.latimes.com/news/nationworld/politics/la-na-clinton20apr20,1,3663470.story|title=Clinton scrambles to hold onto waning lead in Pennsylvania|last=Roug|first=Louise|date=2008-04-20|website=Los Angeles Times|access-date=2008-04-20 |archive-url = https://web.archive.org/web/20080421124545/http://www.latimes.com/news/nationworld/politics/la-na-clinton20apr20,1,3663470.story <!-- Bot retrieved archive --> |archive-date = 2008-04-21}}</ref> At the Wilson high gymnasium in West Lawn, Pennsylvania, Clinton told several hundred more supporters: "The job of a leader is to bring people together to solve problems . . . to understand that sometimes we have to fight to get the political will and the votes to make that happen". On Monday, April 21, Senator Clinton along with husband Bill Clinton spoke to a crowd of 6,000 in Downtown Pittsburgh. Other events were held Monday in Scranton, Harrisburg, and Philadelphia.<ref>{{cite news|url=http://www.philly.com/philly/news/20080419_WEST_LAWN__Pa__-_Sen__Hillary_Rodham_Clinton_returned_to_NO_HEAD_SPECIFIED.html|title=Clinton: I have the political will|last=Fitgerald|first=Thomas|date=2008-04-19|website=The Philadelphia Inquirer |access-date=2008-04-20 |archive-url = https://web.archive.org/web/20080423173457/http://www.philly.com/philly/news/20080419_WEST_LAWN__Pa__-_Sen__Hillary_Rodham_Clinton_returned_to_NO_HEAD_SPECIFIED.html <!-- Bot retrieved archive --> |archive-date = 2008-04-23}}</ref> Both candidates refused to participate in the political custom of [[street money]].<ref name="philly">{{cite news|first=Dave|last=Davies|title=Word on the street: No election $|url=http://www.philly.com/dailynews/top_story/20080415_Word_on_the_street__No_election__.html|website=[[Philadelphia Daily News]]|date=2008-04-15|access-date=2008-04-22 |archive-url = https://web.archive.org/web/20080502103154/http://www.philly.com/dailynews/top_story/20080415_Word_on_the_street__No_election__.html <!-- Bot retrieved archive --> |archive-date = 2008-05-02}}</ref> |
|||
==Polls== |
|||
{{main|Statewide opinion polling for the April, May, and June 2008 Democratic Party presidential primaries#Pennsylvania}} |
|||
Public opinion polling from early January 2007 through mid-February 2008 consistently gave Hillary Clinton a double digit lead over Barack Obama.<ref>{{cite web |title=2008 Pennsylvania Democratic Presidential Primary |url=http://www.pollster.com/08-PA-Dem-Pres-Primary.php |publisher=Pollster.com |access-date=2008-03-28 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20080509092618/http://www.pollster.com/08-PA-Dem-Pres-Primary.php |archive-date=2008-05-09 |url-status=dead }}</ref> By the beginning of April, polls of Pennsylvanians showed Obama trailing Clinton by an average of 5 points.<ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x1327.xml?ReleaseID=1165|title=Quinnipiac University|url-status=dead|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20110605040429/http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x1327.xml?ReleaseID=1165|archive-date=2011-06-05}} See also: {{cite web|url=http://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/docs/4376-Final%20Report-REGISTERED_DEMOCRATIC_PRIMARY_DEFINITEV_.pdf|title=Time Magazine|format=PDF}} {{cite web|url=http://www.southernpoliticalreport.com/downloads/uploaded/33_InsiderAdvantage_Majority_Opinion_PA_Dem_Poll_(4-3-2008).pdf|title=Insider Advantage/Majority Opinion|format=PDF|url-status=dead|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20080625114520/http://www.southernpoliticalreport.com/downloads/uploaded/33_InsiderAdvantage_Majority_Opinion_PA_Dem_Poll_%284-3-2008%29.pdf|archive-date=2008-06-25}} {{cite web|url=http://www.mcall.com/media/acrobat/2008-04/37477374.pdf|title=Muhlenberg College|format=PDF}}{{Dead link|date=July 2018 |bot=InternetArchiveBot |fix-attempted=yes }} {{cite web|url=http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Penn_Release_040208.pdf|title=Public Policy Polling|format=PDF}}</ref> According to 2 polls taken one day before the primary, Hillary Clinton was leading Barack Obama by 49%-42% and 51%-41%. Other polls showed Clinton leading by an average of about 6%.<ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/pa/pennsylvania_democratic_primary-240.html|title=Pennsylvania Democratic Primary information at realclearpolitics.com}}</ref> |
|||
Some superdelegates also announced their preferred candidates before the primary. As of April 30, 16 superdelegates had announced support for Senator Clinton and 5 had announced support for Senator Obama.<ref>{{cite web|url=http://innovation.cq.com/primaries?tab=2 |title=CQ Politics Primary Guide |access-date=2008-02-20 |work=CQ Politics |url-status=dead |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20081029233322/http://innovation.cq.com/primaries?tab=2 |archive-date=October 29, 2008 }}</ref> |
|||
==Results== |
|||
{{see also|Results of the 2008 Democratic Party presidential primaries}} |
{{see also|Results of the 2008 Democratic Party presidential primaries}} |
||
{| border="0" cellspacing="0" cellpadding="2" |
|||
'''Primary date:''' April 22, 2008 |
|||
|'''Key:''' || align="center" bgcolor=#FFE8E8| ''Withdrew''<br/><small>prior to contest</small> |
|||
|} |
|||
'''National pledged delegates determined:''' 158 |
|||
{| border="1" cellpadding="4" cellspacing="0" style="margin: 1em 1em 1em 0; font-size: 95%; text-align:right;" |
|||
{| class="wikitable" style="font-size:95%; text-align:right;" |
|||
|-bgcolor="#EEEEEE" align="center" |
|||
! colspan="4" | Pennsylvania Democratic presidential primary, 2008<br/> |
! colspan="4" | Pennsylvania Democratic presidential primary, 2008<br />Official Results<ref name="pareturns">{{cite web |title=Commonwealth of PA - Elections Information |publisher=Pennsylvania Department of State |date=2008-04-22 |url=http://www.electionreturns.state.pa.us/ElectionsInformation.aspx?FunctionID=13&ElectionID=27&OfficeID=1 |access-date=2008-05-01}}</ref> |
||
|-bgcolor="#EEEEEE" align="center" |
|||
! style="width: 17em"| Candidate |
|||
! style="width: 5em"| Votes |
|||
! style="width: 7em"| Percentage |
|||
! style="width: 5em"| Delegates |
|||
|- |
|- |
||
! style="width: 17em" | Candidate |
|||
| align="left"| - |
|||
! style="width: 5em" | Votes |
|||
| 0 |
|||
! style="width: 7em" | Percentage |
|||
| 0.00% |
|||
! style="width: 5em" | Estimated national delegates<ref name="pagp" /> |
|||
| 0 |
|||
|- |
|- |
||
| align="left"| |
| align="left" | '''[[Hillary Clinton]]''' |
||
| '''1,273,764''' |
|||
| 0 |
|||
| |
| '''54.59%''' |
||
| '''85''' |
|||
| 0 |
|||
|- |
|||
|-bgcolor="#EEEEEE" |
|||
| align="left"| [[Barack Obama]] |
|||
| '''Total''' |
|||
| 1,059,698 |
|||
| '''0''' |
|||
| |
| 45.41% |
||
| 73 |
|||
| '''188''' |
|||
|- |
|||
|-bgcolor="#EEEEEE" style="margin-right:0.5em" |
|||
| '''Totals''' |
|||
| '''2,333,462''' |
|||
| '''100.0%''' |
|||
| '''158''' |
|||
|} |
|} |
||
In the end, Hillary Clinton won the primary by 9.28 percentage points, a wider margin than expected than recent polls suggested, but smaller than most January and February polls. Despite her victory, she gained only nine delegates on Obama. In particular [[superdelegate]]s were not swinging in her direction after her win; the Clintons had been trying to secure the support of Congressman [[Jason Altmire]] but he remained uncommitted after she won his district by 31 percentage points during the primary.[https://www.nytimes.com/2008/06/08/us/politics/08recon.html?_r=1&partner=rssnyt&oref=slogin] |
|||
==See also== |
==See also== |
||
{{Wikinews|Hillary Clinton wins Pennsylvania, cuts Obama's lead}} |
|||
* [[Pennsylvania Democratic primary, 2004]] |
|||
* [[ |
* [[2004 Pennsylvania Democratic presidential primary]] |
||
* [[Pennsylvania Republican |
* [[2008 Pennsylvania Republican presidential primary]] |
||
* [[2008 Democratic Party presidential primaries]] |
|||
==References== |
==References== |
||
{{ |
{{Reflist|30em}} |
||
{{2008Demprimaries}} |
{{2008Demprimaries}} |
||
{{DEFAULTSORT:Pennsylvania Democratic Primary, 2008}} |
|||
[[Category:2008 United States Democratic presidential primaries by state]] |
|||
[[ |
[[Category:2008 Pennsylvania elections]] |
||
[[Category:Pennsylvania Democratic primaries|2008]] |
Latest revision as of 01:39, 3 January 2025
| |||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||
Primary results by county Clinton: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% Obama: 50–60% 60–70% |
Elections in Pennsylvania |
---|
Government |
The 2008 Pennsylvania Democratic presidential primary was held on April 22 by the Pennsylvania Department of State in which voters chose their preference for the Democratic Party's candidate for the 2008 United States presidential election. Voters also chose the Pennsylvania Democratic Party's candidates for various state and local offices. The selected candidates were placed on the ballot of the 2008 general election on November 4. The Democratic primary was part of a general primary that also included the 2008 Pennsylvania Republican presidential primary.
The Democratic primary was open to registered Democrats only. Polls opened at 7am and closed at 8pm. Senators Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton were the only candidates on the ballot for President of the United States.[1] The primary was considered to be a "must win" for Clinton, who defeated Obama, but by a smaller margin than hoped for.
Delegate breakdown
[edit]The Pennsylvania Democratic Party sent a total of 187 delegates to the 2008 Democratic National Convention. Of those delegates, 158 were pledged, and 29 were unpledged. All of the 158 pledged delegates were allocated (pledged) to vote for a particular candidate at the National Convention according to the results of the Pennsylvania presidential primary. The 29 unpledged delegates were popularly called "superdelegates" because their vote represented their personal decisions, whereas the regular delegates' votes represented the collective decision of many voters. The superdelegates were free to vote for any candidate at the National Convention and were selected by the Pennsylvania Democratic Party's officials.[2][3]
The 158 pledged delegates were further divided into 103 district delegates and 55 statewide delegates. The 103 district delegates were divided among Pennsylvania's 19 congressional districts and were allocated to the presidential candidates based on the primary results in each district. The 55 statewide delegates were divided into 35 at-large delegates and 20 party leaders and elected officials (abbreviated PLEOs). They were allocated to the presidential candidates based on the preference of the delegates at the State Committee meeting on June 7.[2][3]
Of the 29 unpledged delegates, 26 were selected in advance and 3 were selected at the State Committee meeting. The delegates selected in advance were 13 Democratic National Committee members, the 11 Democratic U.S. representatives from Pennsylvania, Democratic U.S. Senator Bob Casey Jr., and Democratic Governor Ed Rendell.[2][3]
Importance of Pennsylvania
[edit]The primary was the first time since 1976 that Pennsylvania played a major role in a presidential nomination.[4]
Importance of Pennsylvania for Clinton
[edit]As the race continued to Pennsylvania, Indiana, and North Carolina, many observers had concluded that Clinton had little chance to overcome Obama's lead in pledged delegates.[6]
Former President Bill Clinton highlighted the importance of the state for the Clinton campaign saying on March 11 at an event in Western Pennsylvania that "If she wins a big, big victory in Pennsylvania, I think it'll give her a real big boost going into the next primaries... I think she's got to win a big victory in Pennsylvania. I think if she does, she can be nominated, but it's up to you."[7] This was a repetition of his tactic before March 4, warning supporters that his wife might not be able to continue if she did not win Ohio and Texas.[8] Hillary Clinton emphasized that Pennsylvania was something of a home state for her, as her father came from Scranton, Pennsylvania, she and her brothers were christened there and had vacationed near there each summer, and her brothers still maintained the family cottage near there.[9]
Importance of Pennsylvania to Obama
[edit]On March 18, 2008 Barack Obama chose Philadelphia as the site to deliver his much-anticipated "A More Perfect Union" speech dealing with the race and the controversy surrounding his pastor, Rev. Jeremiah Wright.
Campaign
[edit]Obama's "Road to Change" bus tour
[edit]Obama started a 6-day "Road to Change" bus tour across Pennsylvania, with stops in Pittsburgh, Johnstown, Altoona, State College, Harrisburg
On March 28, Obama started the bus tour with a rally in Pittsburgh's Soldiers and Sailors Memorial Hall.[10] Obama was introduced and endorsed by Senator Bob Casey Jr., who had indicated earlier that he would remain neutral in the democratic primary.[11]
Casey traveled to Florida over the Easter holiday, where he said rain forced him to stay inside and think about the election. Obama's ability to "transcend" the racial divide and his ability to engage younger voters proved decisive to his decision. According to sources, Casey's four daughters lobbied their dad to endorse Obama.[12]
On March 29, the Obama bus tour stopped at the Pleasant Valley Recreation Center in Altoona, where he famously bowled a 37.[13] Both Obama and Senator Casey (who rolled a score of 71) lost to local homemaker Roxanne Hart, who rolled a score of 82.[14] On April Fool's Day, Senator Clinton jokingly challenged Obama to a "bowl-off," with the winner taking all the delegates.[15]
Controversy
[edit]On April 11, 2008, The Huffington Post blogger Mayhill Fowler, a self-admitted Barack Obama supporter, reported that during an April 6 "closed press" fundraising event in San Francisco, California, Obama recounted the obstacles facing his campaign in the Pennsylvania primary as it pertained to rural, white voters.[16] Fowler wrote that during the speech, Obama said the following:
You go into these small towns in Pennsylvania and, like a lot of small towns in the Midwest, the jobs have been gone now for 25 years and nothing's replaced them... And they fell through the Clinton Administration, and the Bush Administration, and each successive administration has said that somehow these communities are gonna regenerate and they have not. And it's not surprising then they get bitter, they cling to guns or religion or antipathy to people who aren't like them or anti-immigrant sentiment or anti-trade sentiment as a way to explain their frustrations.
Fowler later posted a three-minute, 30-second audio snippet confirming the accuracy of the remark. Senators Clinton and John McCain both issued statements condemning the remarks.[17] Obama later defended his comments, but conceded: "I didn't say it as well as I should have."[18] However, he also added: "I said something that everybody knows is true."[19] Obama had addressed similar themes of guns, religion, and economics in 2004 during an interview with Charlie Rose.[20]
Final week
[edit]On the last Friday before the primary, Senator Obama spoke on Independence Mall in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, to a crowd of more than 35,000, the largest audience yet drawn by either candidate during the campaign. The crowd was nearly twice what had been projected[21] and spilled over into nearby streets.[22] The next day, Obama conducted a whistle stop train tour from Philadelphia to Harrisburg, drawing a crowd of 6,000 at a stop in Wynnewood and 3,000 at a stop in Paoli. On Monday, Sen. Obama held the final events of his Pennsylvania campaign in Scranton, McKeesport and at the University of Pittsburgh's Petersen Events Center.[23]
The Saturday before the primary, Senator Clinton spoke in five Pennsylvania cities, including West Chester and York, Pennsylvania. More than 300 people showed up at the West Chester firehouse to hear the New York Senator speak.[24] At the Wilson high gymnasium in West Lawn, Pennsylvania, Clinton told several hundred more supporters: "The job of a leader is to bring people together to solve problems . . . to understand that sometimes we have to fight to get the political will and the votes to make that happen". On Monday, April 21, Senator Clinton along with husband Bill Clinton spoke to a crowd of 6,000 in Downtown Pittsburgh. Other events were held Monday in Scranton, Harrisburg, and Philadelphia.[25] Both candidates refused to participate in the political custom of street money.[26]
Polls
[edit]Public opinion polling from early January 2007 through mid-February 2008 consistently gave Hillary Clinton a double digit lead over Barack Obama.[27] By the beginning of April, polls of Pennsylvanians showed Obama trailing Clinton by an average of 5 points.[28] According to 2 polls taken one day before the primary, Hillary Clinton was leading Barack Obama by 49%-42% and 51%-41%. Other polls showed Clinton leading by an average of about 6%.[29]
Some superdelegates also announced their preferred candidates before the primary. As of April 30, 16 superdelegates had announced support for Senator Clinton and 5 had announced support for Senator Obama.[30]
Results
[edit]Primary date: April 22, 2008
National pledged delegates determined: 158
Pennsylvania Democratic presidential primary, 2008 Official Results[31] | |||
---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Estimated national delegates[3] |
Hillary Clinton | 1,273,764 | 54.59% | 85 |
Barack Obama | 1,059,698 | 45.41% | 73 |
Totals | 2,333,462 | 100.0% | 158 |
In the end, Hillary Clinton won the primary by 9.28 percentage points, a wider margin than expected than recent polls suggested, but smaller than most January and February polls. Despite her victory, she gained only nine delegates on Obama. In particular superdelegates were not swinging in her direction after her win; the Clintons had been trying to secure the support of Congressman Jason Altmire but he remained uncommitted after she won his district by 31 percentage points during the primary.[1]
See also
[edit]- 2004 Pennsylvania Democratic presidential primary
- 2008 Pennsylvania Republican presidential primary
- 2008 Democratic Party presidential primaries
References
[edit]- ^ "Unofficial List of Candidates" (PDF). Archived from the original (PDF) on March 17, 2008. Retrieved March 22, 2008.
- ^ a b c "Pennsylvania Delegate Selection Plan For The 2008 Democratic National Convention" (PDF). Pennsylvania Democratic Party. August 25, 2007. Archived from the original (PDF) on June 25, 2008. Retrieved April 21, 2008.
- ^ a b c d Berg-Andersson, Richard (May 1, 2008). "Pennsylvania Democrat Presidential Nominating Process". The Green Papers. Retrieved May 1, 2008.
- ^ Infield, Tom (March 24, 2008). "The last time a Pa. primary mattered". The Philadelphia Inquirer. Archived from the original on August 30, 2008. Retrieved April 16, 2008.
- ^ "Former President Bill Clinton to Speak at W&J on Tuesday". Current Press Releases. Washington & Jefferson College. March 10, 2008. Archived from the original on July 8, 2011. Retrieved February 12, 2012.
- ^ Alter, Jonathan (March 5, 2008). "Hillary's New Math Problem: Tuesday's big wins? The delegate calculus just got worse". Newsweek.
- ^ "Bill: Hill needs 'big, big victory' in PA". MSNBC.com. March 11, 2008. Archived from the original on March 14, 2008. Retrieved March 12, 2008.
- ^ Wheaton, Sarah (February 21, 2008). "Bill Clinton: Texas and Ohio or Bust". The New York Times. Retrieved March 12, 2008.
- ^ Seelye, Katharine Q (March 10, 2008). "Pennsylvania Ties Could Help Clinton". The New York Times. Retrieved March 14, 2008.
- ^ "Obama's Bus Tour Rolls Through Pittsburgh, Johnstown, State College - Politics News Story - WTAE Pittsburgh". Archived from the original on June 8, 2010. Retrieved May 8, 2008.
- ^ "Bob Casey Endorses Barack Obama". The New York Times. March 28, 2008. Retrieved May 22, 2010.
- ^ Obama wins endorsement from Senator Bob Casey of Pennsylvania - International Herald Tribune
- ^ "Obama Bowls for Pennsylvania Voters". The Huffington Post. March 30, 2008.
- ^ http://www.mercurynews.com/elections/ci_8750444 [dead link ]
- ^ Clinton challenges Obama to bowl-off - Hillary Clinton News - nbcnews.com
- ^ Fowler, Mayhill (November 17, 2008). "Obama: No Surprise That Hard-Pressed Pennsylvanians Turn Bitter". The Huffington Post.
- ^ Suarez, Fernando (April 12, 2008). "Clinton Says Obama is "Out of Touch" with Middle Class Americans, Calls Comments "Elitist"". CBS News. See also: "McCain Camp: Barack Obama is an "Elitist"". Archived from the original on April 22, 2008.
- ^ Bohan, Caren (April 12, 2008). "Obama says he erred in comments on "bitter" voters". Reuters.
- ^ Finnegan, Michael. “Obama expresses regret for remarks on small towns”, Los Angeles Times (2008-04-13).
- ^ Interview by Charlie Rose Archived 2012-07-22 at the Wayback Machine See also: "Full interview with Charlie Rose". Archived from the original on January 26, 2014.
- ^ "Presidential Candidate Barack Obama Rally". Philadelphia Independent Media Center. April 18, 2008. Archived from the original on December 2, 2008. Retrieved April 20, 2008.
- ^ Anburajan, Aswini (April 18, 2008). "OBAMA'S CLOSING ARGUMENT?". msnbc.com. Archived from the original on April 23, 2008. Retrieved April 20, 2008.
- ^ Sidoti, Liz (April 19, 2008). "Obama takes whistle-stop tour through Pennsylvania". Associated Press. Retrieved April 20, 2008.[permanent dead link ]
- ^ Roug, Louise (April 20, 2008). "Clinton scrambles to hold onto waning lead in Pennsylvania". Los Angeles Times. Archived from the original on April 21, 2008. Retrieved April 20, 2008.
- ^ Fitgerald, Thomas (April 19, 2008). "Clinton: I have the political will". The Philadelphia Inquirer. Archived from the original on April 23, 2008. Retrieved April 20, 2008.
- ^ Davies, Dave (April 15, 2008). "Word on the street: No election $". Philadelphia Daily News. Archived from the original on May 2, 2008. Retrieved April 22, 2008.
- ^ "2008 Pennsylvania Democratic Presidential Primary". Pollster.com. Archived from the original on May 9, 2008. Retrieved March 28, 2008.
- ^ "Quinnipiac University". Archived from the original on June 5, 2011. See also: "Time Magazine" (PDF). "Insider Advantage/Majority Opinion" (PDF). Archived from the original (PDF) on June 25, 2008. "Muhlenberg College" (PDF).[permanent dead link ] "Public Policy Polling" (PDF).
- ^ "Pennsylvania Democratic Primary information at realclearpolitics.com".
- ^ "CQ Politics Primary Guide". CQ Politics. Archived from the original on October 29, 2008. Retrieved February 20, 2008.
- ^ "Commonwealth of PA - Elections Information". Pennsylvania Department of State. April 22, 2008. Retrieved May 1, 2008.