Money supply: Difference between revisions
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{{Short description|Total value of money available in an economy at a specific point in time}} |
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{{Finance sidebar}} |
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{{Use mdy dates|date=November 2021}} |
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{{Macroeconomics sidebar}} |
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{{Public finance}} |
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[[File:China M2 money supply vs USA money supply.png|thumb|260px|right|China M2 money supply vs USA M2 money supply]] |
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[[File:Money_supply_growth_vs_inflation_rates.png|260px|thumb|Comparative chart on money supply growth against inflation rates]] |
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[[File:M2 as a % of GDP.png|260px|M2 as a percent of GDP|alt=M2 as a % of GDP|thumb]] |
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In [[ |
In [[macroeconomics]], '''money supply''' (or '''money stock''') refers to the total volume of [[money]] held by the public at a particular point in time. There are several ways to define "money", but standard measures usually include [[Circulation (currency)|currency in circulation]] (i.e. physical [[cash]]) and [[demand deposits]] (depositors' easily accessed [[asset]]s on the books of [[financial institution]]s).<ref>[[Alan Deardorff]]. "Money supply," [http://www-personal.umich.edu/~alandear/glossary/m.html Deardorff's Glossary of International Economics]</ref><ref>[[Karl Brunner (economist)|Karl Brunner]], "money supply," ''[[The New Palgrave: A Dictionary of Economics]]'', v. 3, p. 527.</ref> Money supply data is recorded and published, usually by the [[national statistical agencies|national statistical agency]] or the [[central bank]] of the country. Empirical money supply measures are usually named '''M1''', '''M2''', '''M3''', etc., according to how wide a definition of money they embrace. The precise definitions vary from country to country, in part depending on national financial institutional traditions. |
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Even for narrow aggregates like M1, by far the largest part of the money supply consists of deposits in [[commercial bank]]s, whereas [[currency]] ([[banknote]]s and [[coin]]s) issued by central banks only makes up a small part of the total money supply in modern economies. The public's demand for currency and bank deposits and commercial banks' supply of [[loan]]s are consequently important determinants of money supply changes. As these decisions are influenced by central banks' [[monetary policy]], not least their setting of [[interest rate]]s, the money supply is ultimately determined by complex interactions between non-banks, commercial banks and central banks. |
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Money supply data are recorded and published. Public- and private-sector analysts have long monitored changes in money supply because of its possible effects on the [[price level]] and the [[nominal value|nominal or real value]] of output.<ref>[http://www.newyorkfed.org/aboutthefed/fedpoint/fed49.html The Money Supply - Federal Reserve Bank of New York<!-- Bot generated title -->]</ref> That relation is historically associated with the [[quantity theory of money]] and evidence of a direct [[empirical]] relation between long-term price [[inflation]] and money-supply growth. These underlie reliance on [[monetary policy]] as a means of controlling inflation.<ref>[[Milton Friedman]] (1987). “quantity theory of money”, ''[[The New Palgrave: A Dictionary of Economics]]'', v. 4, pp. 15-19.</ref><ref name = "iwdef">{{cite web |url=http://www.investorwords.com/3110/money_supply.html|title= money supply Definition|accessdate=2008-07-20 |work= |publisher= |date= }}</ref> |
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According to the [[quantity theory]] supported by the [[monetarist]] school of thought, there is a tight [[causal]] connection between growth in the money supply and [[inflation]]. In particular during the 1970s and 1980s this idea was influential, and several major central banks during that period attempted to control the money supply closely, following a monetary policy target of increasing the money supply stably. However, the strategy was generally found to be impractical because [[money demand]] turned out to be too unstable for the strategy to work as intended. |
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==Empirical measures== |
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Money is used in final settlement of a [[debt]] and as a ready [[store of value]]. Its different functions are associated with different [[empirical]] measures of the money supply. Since most modern economic systems are regulated by governments through [[monetary policy]], the supply of money is broken down into types of money based on how much of an effect monetary policy can have on each. [[Narrow money supply|Narrow measures]] include those more directly affected by monetary policy, whereas [[broad money|broader measures]] are less closely related to monetary-policy actions.<ref name="iwdef"/> Each measure can be classified by placing it along a spectrum between narrow and broad ''monetary aggregates''. The different types of money are typically classified as '''Ms'''. The number of Ms usually range from M0 (narrowest) to M3 (broadest) but which Ms are actually used depends on the system. The typical layout for each of the Ms is as follows: |
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*'''M0''': [[currency]] (notes and coins) in circulation and in bank vaults, as well as cash (reserves) owned by banks that is held at the central bank. M0 is usually called the monetary base--the base from which other forms of money (like checking deposits, listed below) are created--and is traditionally the most liquid measure of the money supply. <ref>{{cite web |url=http://www.investopedia.com/terms/m/m0.asp|title= M0|accessdate=2008-07-20 |work= |publisher= Investopedia|date= }}</ref> |
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*'''M1''': currency in circulation + checkable deposits (checking deposits, officially called demand deposits, and other deposits that work like checking deposits) + traveler's checks. M1 represents the assets that strictly conform to the definition of money: assets that can be used to pay for a good or service or to repay debt. Although checks linked to checking deposits are gradually becoming less popular, debit cards linked to these deposits are becoming more popular. Like checks, debit cards, as a means to complete a transaction through their links to checkable deposits, can also be considered as a form of money, or at least a link to a monetary deposit.<ref>{{cite web |url=http://www.investopedia.com/terms/m/m1.asp|title= M1|accessdate=2008-07-20 |work= |publisher= Investopedia|date= }}</ref> |
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*'''M2''': M1 + savings deposits, [[time deposits]] less than $100,000 and money market deposit accounts for individuals. M2 represents money and "close substitutes" for money. <ref>{{cite web |url=http://www.investopedia.com/terms/m/m2.asp|title= M2|accessdate=2008-07-20 |work= |publisher= Investopedia|date= }}</ref> M2 is a key economic indicator used to forecast inflation.<ref>{{cite web |url=http://www.investorwords.com/2909/M2.html|title= M2 Definition|accessdate=2008-07-20 |work= |publisher= InvestorWords.com|date= }}</ref> |
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*'''M3''': M2 + large time deposits, institutional money-market funds, short-term repurchase agreements, along with other larger liquid assets. M3 is no longer measured by the US central bank.<ref>{{cite web |url=http://www.investopedia.com/terms/m/m3.asp|title= M3|accessdate=2008-07-20 |work= |publisher= Investopedia|date= }}</ref> |
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Consequently, the money supply has lost its central role in monetary policy, and central banks today generally do not try to control the money supply. Instead they focus on adjusting interest rates, in developed countries normally as part of a direct [[inflation target]] which leaves little room for a special emphasis on the money supply. Money supply measures may still play a role in monetary policy, however, as one of many economic indicators that central bankers monitor to judge likely future movements in central variables like [[employment]] and inflation. |
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===Fractional-reserve banking=== |
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{{main|Fractional-reserve banking}} |
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The different forms of money in government money supply statistics arise from the practice of [[fractional-reserve banking]]. Whenever a bank gives out a loan in a fractional-reserve banking system, a new type of money is created. This new type of money is what makes up the non-'''M0''' components in the '''M1-M3''' statistics. In short, there are two types of money in a fractional-reserve banking system<ref name="bis">Bank for International Settlements - The Role of Central Bank Money in Payment Systems. See page 9, titled, "The coexistence of central and commercial bank monies: multiple issuers, one currency": http://www.bis.org/publ/cpss55.pdf |
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A quick quote in reference to the 2 different types of money is listed on page 3. It is the first sentence of the document: |
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:"Contemporary monetary systems are based on the mutually reinforcing roles of central bank money and commercial bank monies."</ref><ref name="ecb">European Central Bank - Domestic payments in Euroland: commercial and central bank money: |
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http://www.ecb.int/press/key/date/2000/html/sp001109_2.en.html One quote from the article referencing the two types of money: |
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:"At the beginning of the 20th almost the totality of retail payments were made in central bank money. Over time, this monopoly came to be shared with commercial banks, when deposits and their transfer via checks and giros became widely accepted. Banknotes and commercial bank money became fully interchangeable payment media that customers could use according to their needs. While transaction costs in commercial bank money were shrinking, cashless payment instruments became increasingly used, at the expense of banknotes"</ref>: |
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:#'''central bank money''' (physical currency) |
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:#'''commercial bank money''' (money created through loans) - sometimes referred to as '''checkbook money'''<ref>Chicago Fed - Our Central Bank: http://www.chicagofed.org/consumer_information/the_fed_our_central_bank.cfm |
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:the reference is found in the "Money Manager" section: |
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::"the Fed works to control money at its source by affecting the ability of financial institutions to "create" checkbook money through loans or investments. The control lever that the Fed uses in this process is the "reserves" that banks and thrifts must hold."</ref> |
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==Measures of money supply == |
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In the money supply statistics, '''central bank money''' is '''M0''' while the '''commercial bank money''' is divided up into the '''M1-M3''' components. Generally, the types of commercial bank money that tend to be valued at lower amounts are classified in the narrow category of '''M1''' while the types of commercial bank money that tend to exist in larger amounts are categorized in '''M2''' and '''M3''', with '''M3''' having the largest. |
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[[File:Credit_Mechanics_4_mechanical_interrelationships_governing_the_credit_volume_(Table_1_by_F._Decker_&_C._Goodhart_2021).PNG|thumbnail|right|In accordance to "credit mechanics": Bank money expansion and destruction (or unchangement) depend on payment flows (after given loans by commercial banks to nonbank sector[s]).<ref>{{cite journal | url=https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/09672567.2021.1963796?journalCode=rejh20 | doi=10.1080/09672567.2021.1963796 | title=Wilhelm Lautenbach's credit mechanics – a precursor to the current money supply debate | date=2022 | last1=Decker | first1=Frank | last2=Goodhart | first2=Charles A. E. | journal=The European Journal of the History of Economic Thought | volume=29 | issue=2 | pages=246–270 | s2cid=158727007 }}</ref>]] |
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[[File:CPI_vs_M2_money_supply_increases.png|450px|thumb|right|CPI-Urban (blue) vs [[M2 (economics)|M2]] money supply (red); [[recession]]s in gray]] |
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==Money supplies around the world== |
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===United States=== |
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{{Col-begin}} |
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{{Col-2}} |
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[[Image:Components of the United States money supply2.svg|thumb|none|left|350px|Components of US money supply (currency, M1, M2, and M3) since 1959]] |
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{{Col-2}} |
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[[Image:Changes in US money supply 1960-2007.gif|thumb|none|left|360px|Year-on-year change in the components of the US money supply 1960-2007]] |
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{{Col-end}} |
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[[Image:Currency component of the US money supply 1959-2007.gif|thumb|right|360px|Currency component of the U.S. money supply 1959-2007]] |
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The Federal Reserve previously published data on three monetary aggregates, but on 10 November 2005 announced that as of 23 March 2006, it would cease publication of M3.<ref name="fedM3disc">[http://www.federalreserve.gov/Releases/h6/discm3.htm Discontinuance of M3], Federal Reserve, November 10, 2005, revised March 9, 2006.</ref> Since the Spring of 2006, the Federal Reserve only publishes data on two of these aggregates. The first, M1, is made up of types of money commonly used for payment, basically currency (M0) and checking deposits. The second, M2, includes M1 plus balances that generally are similar to transaction accounts and that, for the most part, can be converted fairly readily to M1 with little or no loss of principal. The M2 measure is thought to be held primarily by households. The third aggregate, M3 is no longer published. Prior to this discontinuation, M3 had included M2 plus certain accounts that are held by entities other than individuals and are issued by banks and thrift institutions to augment M2-type balances in meeting credit demands; it had also included balances in money market mutual funds held by institutional investors. The aggregates have had different roles in monetary policy as their reliability as guides has changed. The following details their principal components<ref name="paf">ebook: The Federal Reserve - Purposes and Functions:http://www.federalreserve.gov/pf/pf.htm</ref>: |
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* '''M0''': The total of all physical [[currency]], plus accounts at the central bank that can be exchanged for physical currency. |
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* '''M1''': M0 + those portions of M0 held as reserves or vault cash + the amount in [[demand account]]s ("checking" or "current" accounts). |
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* '''M2''': M1 + most [[savings account]]s, [[money market account]]s, and small denomination time deposits ([[certificates of deposit]] of under $100,000). |
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* '''M3''': M2 + all other [[Certificate of deposit|CDs]] (large time deposits, institutional money market mutual fund balances), deposits of [[eurodollar]]s and [[repurchase agreement]]s. |
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There are several standard measures of the money supply,<ref name="Is MS important">{{cite web |title=What is the money supply? Is it important? |url=https://www.federalreserve.gov/faqs/money_12845.htm |website=Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System |access-date=16 August 2023 |language=en |date=December 16, 2015}}</ref> classified along a spectrum or continuum between narrow and broad ''monetary aggregates''. Narrow measures include only the most liquid assets: those most easily used to spend (currency, checkable deposits). Broader measures add less liquid types of assets (certificates of deposit, etc.). |
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When the Federal Reserve announced in 2005 that they would cease publishing M3 statistics in March 2006, they explained that M3 did not convey any additional information about economic activity compared to M2, and thus, had not been used in determining monetary policy for years. Therefore, the costs to collect M3 data outweighed the benefits the data provided.<ref name="fedM3disc"/> Some politicians have spoken out against the Federal Reserve's decision to cease publishing M3 statistics and have urged the U.S. Congress to take steps requiring the Federal Reserve to do so. Congressman [[Ron Paul]] claimed that "M3 is the best description of how quickly the Fed is creating new money and credit. Common sense tells us that a government central bank creating new money out of thin air depreciates the value of each dollar in circulation."<ref>[http://www.lewrockwell.com/paul/paul319.html What the Price of Gold Is Telling Us]</ref> Some of the data used to calculate M3 are still collected and published on a regular basis.<ref name="fedM3disc"/> Current alternate sources of M3 data are available from the private sector<ref name="SgsM3Data">See, for example, [http://www.shadowstats.com/alternate_data]</ref>. |
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This continuum corresponds to the way that different types of money are more or less controlled by monetary policy. [[Narrow money supply|Narrow measures]] include those more directly affected and controlled by monetary policy, whereas [[broad money|broader measures]] are less closely related to monetary-policy actions.<ref name = "iwdef">{{cite web|url=http://www.investorwords.com/3110/money_supply.html|title=money supply Definition|access-date=July 20, 2008|archive-date=April 12, 2019|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20190412051550/http://www.investorwords.com/3110/money_supply.html|url-status=dead}}</ref> |
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===United Kingdom=== |
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{{Mergefrom|M4 money supply|date=December 2007}} |
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[[Image:M4 money supply.svg|thumb|right|360px|M4 money supply of the United Kingdom]] |
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There are just two official UK measures. M0 is referred to as the "wide [[monetary base]]" or "narrow money" and M4 is referred to as "[[broad money]]" or simply "the money supply". |
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* '''M0''': Cash outside Bank of England + Banks' operational deposits with Bank of England. |
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* '''[[M4 money supply|M4]]''': Cash outside banks (ie. in circulation with the public and non-bank firms) + private-sector retail bank and building society deposits + Private-sector wholesale bank and building society deposits and Certificate of Deposit. <ref>[http://www.bankofengland.co.uk/mfsd/iadb/notesiadb/M4.htm www.bankofengland.co.uk] Explanatory Notes - M4 retrieved [[August 13]] 2007</ref> |
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<br clear="all" /> |
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The different types of money are typically classified as "'''M'''"s. The "M"s usually range from M0 (narrowest) to M3 (and M4 in some countries<ref>{{cite web |title=Further details about M4 data |url=https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/statistics/details/further-details-about-m4-data |website=www.bankofengland.co.uk |access-date=20 August 2023 |language=en |date=31 January 2023}}</ref>) (broadest), but which "M"s, if any, are actually focused on in central bank communications depends on the particular institution. A typical layout for each of the "M"s is as follows for the United States: |
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===European Union=== |
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[[Image:Euro money supply Sept 1998 - Oct 2007.jpg|thumb|right|360px|The Euro money supply from 1998-2007.]] |
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{| class="wikitable" |
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The [[European Central Bank]]'s definition of euro area monetary aggregates<ref>The ECB's definition of euro area monetary aggregates: http://www.ecb.int/stats/money/aggregates/aggr/html/hist.en.html</ref>: |
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! Type of money |
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! M0 |
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! MB |
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! M1 |
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! M2 |
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! M3 |
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! MZM |
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|- |
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| Notes and coins in circulation (outside Federal Reserve Banks and the vaults of depository institutions) ([[currency]]) |
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| ✓<ref name="dollardaze.org">[http://dollardaze.org/blog/?post_id=00565 "Gold, Oil, Stocks, Investments, Currencies, and the Federal Reserve: Growth of Global Money Supply"] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20150915011923/http://dollardaze.org/blog/?post_id=00565 |date=September 15, 2015 }}. DollarDaze Economic Commentary Blog by Mike Hewitt.</ref> |
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| ✓ |
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| ✓ |
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| ✓ |
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| ✓ |
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| ✓ |
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|- |
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| Notes and coins in bank vaults ([[vault cash]]) |
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| ✓ |
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|- |
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| Federal Reserve Bank credit ([[required reserves]] and [[excess reserves]] not physically present in banks) |
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| ✓ |
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|- |
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| [[Traveler's cheque|Traveler's checks]] of non-bank issuers |
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| ✓ |
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| ✓ |
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| ✓ |
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| ✓ |
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|- |
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| [[Demand deposit]]s |
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| |
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| |
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| ✓ |
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| ✓ |
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| ✓ |
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| ✓ |
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|- |
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| Other checkable deposits (OCDs), which consist primarily of [[negotiable order of withdrawal account|negotiable order of withdrawal]] (NOW) accounts at depository institutions and credit union share draft accounts. |
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| ✓<ref>[http://research.stlouisfed.org/fred2/series/M1 M1 Money Stock (M1) – FRED – St. Louis Fed]. Research.stlouisfed.org.</ref> |
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| ✓ |
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| ✓ |
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| ✓ |
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|- |
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| [[Savings deposit]]s |
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|✓<ref name="federalreserve.gov">{{Cite web|date=December 17, 2020|title=Revisions to the H.6 Statistical Release|url=https://www.federalreserve.gov/feeds/h6.html}}</ref> |
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| ✓ |
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| ✓ |
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| ✓ |
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|- |
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| [[Time deposits]] less than $100,000 and [[Money market account|money-market deposit accounts]] for individuals |
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| ✓ |
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| ✓ |
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|- |
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|Large time deposits, institutional [[money market funds]], short-term repurchase and other larger liquid assets<ref>[http://www.investopedia.com/terms/m/m3.asp M3 Definition]. Investopedia (February 15, 2009).</ref> |
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| |
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| ✓ |
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|- |
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|All [[money market funds]] |
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| |
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| ✓ |
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|} |
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* '''{{visible anchor|M0}}''': In some countries, such as the United Kingdom, M0 includes bank reserves, so M0 is referred to as the monetary base, or narrow money.<ref>[http://moneyterms.co.uk/m0/ M0 (monetary base)]. Moneyterms.co.uk.</ref> |
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* '''MB''': is referred to as the [[monetary base]] or total currency.<ref name="dollardaze.org"/> This is the base from which other forms of money (like checking deposits, listed below) are created and is traditionally the most liquid measure of the money supply.<ref>{{cite web|url= http://www.investopedia.com/terms/m/m0.asp|title= M0|access-date= July 20, 2008|publisher= Investopedia|archive-url= https://web.archive.org/web/20180330092457/https://www.investopedia.com/terms/m/m0.asp|archive-date= March 30, 2018|url-status= dead}}</ref> |
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* '''M1''': Bank reserves are not included in M1. |
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* '''M2''': Represents M1 and "close substitutes" for M1.<ref>{{cite web |url=http://www.investopedia.com/terms/m/m2.asp|title= M2|access-date=July 20, 2008 |publisher= Investopedia}}</ref> M2 is a broader classification of money than M1. |
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* '''M3''': M2 plus large and long-term deposits. Since March, 23, 2006, M3 is no longer published by the US central bank, as one of Alan Greenspan's last acts, because of its expense. <ref name="fedM3disc">[http://www.federalreserve.gov/Releases/h6/discm3.htm Discontinuance of M3], Federal Reserve, November 10, 2005, revised March 9, 2006.</ref> However, there are still estimates produced by various private institutions. |
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* '''MZM''': Money with zero maturity. It measures the supply of financial assets redeemable at par on demand.<ref>{{cite web|last=Thayer|first=Gary|title=Investors should assume that inflation will exceed the Fed's target|url=http://www.firstclearing.com/download/investors-should-assume-inflation-will-exceed-feds-target/|work=Macro Strategy|publisher=Wells Fargo Advisors|access-date=April 2, 2013|date=January 16, 2013|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20140714220955/https://www.firstclearing.com/download/investors-should-assume-inflation-will-exceed-feds-target/|archive-date=July 14, 2014|url-status=dead}}</ref><ref>{{cite journal|last=Carlson|first=John B.|author2=Benjamin D. Keen|title=MZM: A monetary aggregate for the 1990s?|journal=Economic Review|year=1996|volume=32|issue=2|pages=15–23|url=http://clevelandfed.org/Research/Review/1996/96-q2-carlson.pdf|access-date=April 2, 2013|publisher=Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20120904081918/http://clevelandfed.org/Research/Review/1996/96-q2-carlson.pdf|archive-date=September 4, 2012|url-status=dead}}</ref> |
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=== Creation of money === |
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*'''M1''': Currency in circulation + overnight deposits |
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*'''M2''': M1 + Deposits with an agreed maturity up to 2 years + Deposits redeemable at a period of notice up to 3 months |
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*'''M3''': M2 + Repurchase agreements + Money market fund (MMF) shares/units + Debt securities up to 2 years |
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<br clear="all" /> |
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===Australia=== |
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[[Image:Money supply of Australia 1984-2007.jpg|thumb|right|360px|The money supply of Australia 1984-2007]] |
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Both central banks and commercial banks play a role in the process of [[money creation]]. In short, in the [[fractional-reserve banking]] system used throughout the world, money can be subdivided into two types:<ref name="bis">{{cite book |title=The Role of Central Bank Money in Payment Systems |page=9 |section=The coexistence of central and commercial bank monies: multiple issuers, one currency |url=http://www.bis.org/publ/cpss55.pdf |publisher=Bank for International Settlements}}</ref><ref>{{cite book |title=The Role of Central Bank Money in Payment Systems |page=3 |url=http://www.bis.org/publ/cpss55.pdf |publisher=Bank for International Settlements |quote=Contemporary monetary systems are based on the mutually reinforcing roles of central bank money and commercial bank monies.}}</ref><ref name="ecb">{{cite book |publisher=European Central Bank |url=http://www.ecb.int/press/key/date/2000/html/sp001109_2.en.html |title=Domestic payments in Euroland: commercial and central bank money |date=November 9, 2000 |quote=At the beginning of the 20th almost the totality of retail payments were made in central bank money. Over time, this monopoly came to be shared with commercial banks, when deposits and their transfer via checks and giros became widely accepted. Banknotes and commercial bank money became fully interchangeable payment media that customers could use according to their needs. While transaction costs in commercial bank money were shrinking, cashless payment instruments became increasingly used, at the expense of banknotes.}}</ref> |
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The [[Reserve Bank of Australia]] defines the monetary aggregates as<ref>[http://www.rba.gov.au/Glossary/text_only.asp RBA: Glossary - Text Only Version<!-- Bot generated title -->]</ref>: |
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*'''M1''': currency + bank current deposits of the private non-bank sector |
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*'''M3''': M1 + all other bank deposits of the private non-bank sector |
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*'''Broad Money''': M3 + borrowings from the private sector by NBFIs, less the latter's holdings of currency and bank deposits |
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*'''Money Base''': holdings of notes and coins by the private sector plus deposits of banks with the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) and other RBA liabilities to the private non-bank sector |
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<br clear="all" /> |
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===New Zealand=== |
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[[Image:New zealand money supply 1988-2008.jpg|thumb|right|360px|New Zealand money supply 1988-2008]] |
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* '''central bank money''' – obligations of a central bank, including [[currency]] and central bank depository accounts |
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The [[Reserve Bank of New Zealand]] defines the monetary aggregates as<ref>[http://www.rbnz.govt.nz/statistics/monfin/c3/description.html Series description – Monetary and financial statistics<!-- Bot generated title -->]</ref>: |
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* '''commercial bank money''' – obligations of commercial banks, including checking accounts and savings accounts. |
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*'''M1''': notes and coin held by the public plus chequeable deposits, minus inter-institutional chequeable deposits, and minus central government deposits |
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*'''M2''': M1 + all non-M1 call funding (call funding includes overnight money and funding on terms that can of right be broken without break penalties) minus inter-institutional non-M1 call funding |
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*'''M3''': the broadest monetary aggregate. It represents all New Zealand dollar funding of M3 institutions and any Reserve Bank repos with non-M3 institutions. M3 consists of notes & coin held by the public plus NZ dollar funding minus inter-M3 institutional claims and minus central government deposits |
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<br clear="all" /> |
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===India=== |
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[[Image:Components of the money supply of india 1970-2007.gif|thumb|right|400px|Components of the money supply of India 1970-2007]] |
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The [[Reserve Bank of India]] defines the monetary aggregates as<ref>Handbook of Statistics on Indian Economy. See the document at the bottom of the page titled, "Notes on Tables". The link to this pdf document is: http://rbidocs.rbi.org.in/rdocs/Publications/PDFs/80441.pdf The definitions are on the fourth page of the document</ref>: |
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*'''Reserve Money (M0)''': Currency in circulation + Bankers’ deposits with the RBI + ‘Other’ deposits with the RBI = Net RBI credit to the Government + RBI credit to the commercial sector + RBI’s claims on banks + RBI’s net foreign assets + Government’s currency liabilities to the public – RBI’s net non-monetary liabilities. |
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*'''M1''': Currency with the public + Deposit money of the public (Demand deposits with the banking system + ‘Other’ deposits with the RBI). |
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*'''M2''': M1 + Savings deposits with Post office savings banks. |
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*'''M3''': M1+ Time deposits with the banking system. = Net bank credit to the Government + Bank credit to the commercial sector + Net foreign exchange assets of the banking sector + Government’s currency liabilities to the public – Net non-monetary liabilities of the banking sector (Other than Time Deposits). |
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*'''M4''': M3 + All deposits with post office savings banks (excluding National Savings Certificates). |
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===Japan=== |
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[[Image:Money supply of japan.gif|thumb|right|400px]] |
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The [[Bank of Japan]] defines the monetary aggregates as<ref>http://www.boj.or.jp/en/type/exp/stat/exms01.htm click on the link to the exms01.pdf file. They are defined in Appendix 1 which on the 11th page of the pdf.</ref>: |
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*'''M1''': cash currency in circulation + deposit money |
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*'''M2 + CDs''': M1 + quasi-money + CDs |
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*'''M3 + CDs''': (M2 + CDs) + deposits of post offices + other savings and deposits with financial institutions + money trusts |
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*'''Broadly-defined liquidity''': (M3 + CDs) + pecuniary trusts other than money trusts + investment trusts + bank debentures + commercial paper issued by financial institutions + repurchase aggreements and securities lending with cash collateral + government bonds + foreign bonds |
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In the money supply statistics, central bank money is '''MB''' while the commercial bank money is divided up into the '''M1–M3''' components, where it makes up the non-'''M0''' component. |
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==Link with inflation== |
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===Monetary exchange equation=== |
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Money supply is important because it is linked to [[inflation]] by the "monetary exchange equation": |
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By far the largest part of the money used by individuals and firms to execute economic actions are commercial bank money, i.e. deposits issued by banks and other financial institutions. In the United Kingdom, deposit money outweighs the central bank issued currency by a factor of more than 30 to 1. In the United States, where the country's currency has a special international role being used in many transactions around the world, legally as well as illegally, the ratio is still more than 8 to 1.<ref name="Palgrave">{{cite book |last1=Friedman |first1=Benjamin M. |title=The New Palgrave Dictionary of Economics |chapter=Money Supply |chapter-url=https://link.springer.com/referenceworkentry/10.1057/978-1-349-95121-5_875-2 |publisher=Palgrave Macmillan UK |access-date=29 August 2023 |pages=1–10 |language=en |doi=10.1057/978-1-349-95121-5_875-2 |date=2017|isbn=978-1-349-95121-5 }}</ref> Commercial banks create money whenever they make a loan and simultaneously create a matching deposit in the borrower's bank account. In return, money is destroyed when the borrower pays back the principal on the loan.<ref name=BoE>{{cite web |last1=McLeay |first1=Michael |title=Money Creation in the Modern Economy |url=https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/-/media/boe/files/quarterly-bulletin/2014/money-creation-in-the-modern-economy.pdf |publisher=Bank of England}}</ref> Movements in the money supply therefore to a large extent depend on the decisions of commercial banks to supply loans and consequently deposits, and the public's behavior in demanding currency as well as bank deposits.<ref name="Palgrave"/> These decisions are influenced by the monetary policy of central banks, so that money supply is ultimately created by complex interactions between banks, non-banks and central banks.<ref>{{cite web |title=The role of banks, non-banks and the central bank in the money creation process |url=https://www.bundesbank.de/resource/blob/654284/df66c4444d065a7f519e2ab0c476df58/mL/2017-04-money-creation-process-data.pdf |publisher=Deutsche Bundesbank |access-date=1 September 2023 |date=April 2017}}</ref> |
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MV = PQ |
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Even though central banks today rarely try to control the amount of money in circulation, their policies still impact the actions of both commercial banks and their customers. When setting the interest rate on central bank reserves, interest rates on bank loans are affected, which in turn affects their demand. Central banks may also affect the money supply more directly by engaging in various open market operations.<ref name=BoE/> They can increase the money supply by purchasing government securities, such as [[government bond]]s or [[treasury bill]]s. This increases the liquidity in the banking system by converting the illiquid securities of commercial banks into liquid deposits at the central bank. This also causes the price of such securities to rise due to the increased demand, and interest rates to fall. In contrast, when the central bank "tightens" the money supply, it sells securities on the open market, drawing liquid funds out of the banking system. The prices of such securities fall as supply is increased, and interest rates rise.<ref name="Blanchard">{{cite book |last1=Blanchard |first1=Olivier |last2=Amighini |first2=Alessia |last3=Giavazzi |first3=Francesco |title=Macroeconomics: a European perspective |date=2021 |publisher=Pearson |location=Harlow |isbn=978-1-292-36089-8 |pages=78–86 |edition=4th}}</ref> |
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• M is the total dollars in the nation’s money supply |
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• V is the number of times per year each dollar is spent |
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• P is the average price of all the goods and services sold during the year |
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• Q is the quantity of goods and services sold during the year |
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In some economics textbooks, the supply-demand equilibrium in the markets for money and reserves is represented by a simple so-called [[money multiplier]] relationship between the monetary base of the central bank and the resulting money supply including commercial bank deposits. This is a short-hand simplification which disregards several other factors determining commercial banks' reserve-to-deposit ratios and the public's money demand.<ref name="Palgrave"/><ref name=BoE/><ref>{{cite book |first1=Martijn |last1=Boermans |first2=Basil |last2=Moore |year=2009 |title=Locked-in and Sticky textbooks |url=https://issuu.com/martijnboermans/docs/boermans_moore__2009__-_locked-in_sticky_textbooks |url-access=subscription |publisher=Issuu.com }}</ref>{{sps|date=August 2024}} |
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[[Image:Us proportionate m3.svg|thumb|400px|right|U.S. M3 money supply as a proportion of gross domestic product.]] |
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where: |
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*[[income velocity of money|velocity]] = the number of times per year that money turns over in transactions for goods and services (if it is a number it is always simply nominal GDP / money supply) |
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*nominal GDP = real [[Gross Domestic Product]] × GDP deflator |
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*[[GDP deflator]] = measure of inflation. |
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==National definitions of "money"== |
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Money supply may be less than or greater than the demand of money in the economy. In other words, if the money supply grows faster than real GDP growth (described as "unproductive debt expansion"), inflation is likely to follow ("[[Milton Friedman#Economics|inflation is always and everywhere a monetary phenomenon]]"). This statement must be qualified slightly, due to changes in velocity. While the [[monetarists]] presume that velocity is relatively stable, in fact velocity exhibits variability at business-cycle frequencies, so that the velocity equation is not particularly useful as a short run tool. Moreover, in the US, velocity has grown at an average of slightly more than 1% a year between 1959 and 2005 (which is to be expected due to the increase in population, unless money supply grows very rapidly). |
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===East Asia=== |
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====Hong Kong==== |
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The [[Hong Kong Basic Law]] and the [[Sino-British Joint Declaration]] provides that Hong Kong retains full autonomy with respect to currency issuance. Currency in Hong Kong is issued by the government and three local banks under the supervision of the territory's ''de facto'' central bank, the Hong Kong Monetary Authority. Bank notes are printed by [[Hong Kong Note Printing]]. |
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Another aspect of money supply growth that has come under discussion since the collapse of the housing bubble in 2007 is the notion of "asset classes." Economists have noted that M3 growth may not affect all assets equally. For example, following the stock market run up and then decline in 2001, home prices began an historically unusual climb that then dropped sharply in 2007. The dilemma for the Federal Reserve in regulating the money supply is that lowering interest rates to slow price declines in one asset class, e.g. real estate, may cause prices in other asset classes to rise, e.g. commodities. |
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A bank can issue a Hong Kong dollar only if it has the equivalent exchange in US dollars on deposit. The currency board system ensures that Hong Kong's entire monetary base is backed with US dollars at the linked exchange rate. The resources for the backing are kept in Hong Kong's exchange fund, which is among the largest official reserves in the world. Hong Kong also has huge deposits of US dollars, with official foreign currency reserves of 331.3 billion USD {{as of|September 2014|lc=y}}.<ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.hkma.gov.hk/eng/key-information/press-releases/2014/20140905-3.shtml|publisher=Hong Kong Monetary Authority |title= Hong Kong's Latest Foreign Currency Reserve Assets Figures Released|access-date=November 20, 2016}}</ref> |
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===Percentage=== |
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=====Currency peg history===== |
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{{Main article|Hong Kong dollar}} |
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[[File:HKD vs USD over the year.svg|thumb|right|250px|HKD vs USD over the year]] |
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Hong Kong's [[exchange rate regime]] has changed over time. |
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* 1967: [[1967 sterling devaluation|Sterling was devalued]], the [[Fixed exchange rate system|peg]] was increased from 1 shilling 3 pence (£1 = HK$16) to 1 shilling 4½ pence (£1 = HK$14.5455). Valued in USD, the currency went from US$1 = HK$5.71 to US$1 = HK$6.06 |
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* 1972: pegged to the US dollar, US$1 = HK$5.65 |
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* 1973: US$1 = HK$5.085 |
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* 1974 to 1983: The Hong Kong dollar was [[Floating exchange rate|floated]] |
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* October 17, 1983: Pegged at US$1 = HK$7.80 through the currency board system |
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* May 18, 2005: A lower and upper guaranteed limit are in place at 7.75 to the US dollar. Lower limit was lowered from 7.80 to 7.85, between May 23 and June 20, 2005. The Monetary Authority indicated this was to narrow the gap between interest rates between Hong Kong and the US, and to avoid the HK dollar being used as a proxy for speculative bets on a [[renminbi]] revaluation. |
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====Japan==== |
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In terms of percentage changes (to a small approximation, [http://www.mhhe.com/economics/mcconnell15e/graphics/mcconnell15eco/common/dothemath/percentagechangeapproximation.html the percentage change in a product], say XY is equal to the sum of the percentage changes %X + %Y). So: |
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[[File:Money supply of japan.gif|thumb|[[Japan]]ese money supply (April 1998 – April 2008)]] |
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The [[Bank of Japan]] defines the monetary aggregates as:<ref>{{cite web |url=http://www.boj.or.jp/en/type/exp/stat/data/exms01.pdf |page=11 |publisher=Bank of Japan }}{{Dead link|date=August 2024 |bot=InternetArchiveBot |fix-attempted=yes }}</ref> |
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* '''M1''': cash currency in circulation, plus deposit money |
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* '''M2 + CDs''': M1 plus [[quasi-money]] and [[certificate of deposit|CDs]] |
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* '''M3 + CDs''': M2 + CDs plus deposits of post offices; other savings and deposits with financial institutions; and money trusts |
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* '''Broadly defined liquidity''': M3 and CDs, plus money market, pecuniary trusts other than money trusts, investment trusts, bank debentures, commercial paper issued by financial institutions, repurchase agreements and [[securities lending]] with cash collateral, government bonds and foreign bonds |
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===Europe=== |
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:%P + %Y = %M + %V |
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====Eurozone==== |
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[[File:Money supply Euro.png|thumb|The [[euro]] money supplies M0, M1, M2 and M3, and euro zone GDP from 1980–2021. Logarithmic scale.]] |
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The [[European Central Bank]]'s definition of euro area monetary aggregates:<ref>{{cite web |url=http://www.ecb.int/stats/money/aggregates/aggr/html/hist.en.html |title=Monetary aggregates |publisher=European Central Bank |access-date=November 20, 2016}}</ref> |
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That equation rearranged gives the "basic inflation identity": |
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* '''M1''': Currency in circulation plus overnight deposits |
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* '''M2''': M1 plus deposits with an agreed maturity up to two years plus deposits redeemable at a period of notice up to three months. |
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* '''M3''': M2 plus repurchase agreements plus money market fund (MMF) shares/units, plus debt securities up to two years |
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====United Kingdom==== |
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[[File:M4 money supply.svg|thumb|M4 money supply of the [[United Kingdom]] 1983–2024. In millions of [[Pound sterling|pounds sterling]].]] |
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There are just two official UK measures. M0 is referred to as the "wide [[monetary base]]" or "narrow money" and M4 is referred to as "[[broad money]]" or simply "the money supply". |
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:%P = %M + %V - %Y |
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* '''M0''': Notes and coin in circulation plus banks' reserve balance with [[Bank of England]]. (When the bank introduced Money Market Reform in May 2006, the bank ceased publication of M0 and instead began publishing series for reserve balances at the Bank of England to accompany notes and coin in circulation.<ref>{{cite web |url=https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/statistics/details/further-details-about-m0-data |publisher=Bank of England |title=Further details about M0 data |date=November 8, 2018}}</ref>) |
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* '''M4''': Cash outside banks (i.e. in circulation with the public and non-bank firms) plus private-sector retail bank and building society deposits plus private-sector wholesale bank and building society deposits and certificates of deposit.<ref>{{cite web |url=http://www.bankofengland.co.uk/mfsd/iadb/notesiadb/M4.htm |publisher=Bank of England |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20070809085936/http://www.bankofengland.co.uk/mfsd/iadb/notesiadb/m4.htm |archive-date=August 9, 2007 |title=Explanatory Notes – M4 |access-date=August 13, 2007}}</ref> In 2010 the total money supply (M4) measure in the UK was £2.2 trillion while the actual notes and coins in circulation totalled only £47 billion, 2.1% of the actual money supply.<ref>{{cite book |last1=Lipsey |first1=Richard G. |last2=Chrystal |first2=K. Alec |date=2011 |title=Economics |edition=12th |publisher=Oxford University Press |page=455 |isbn=978-0199563388}}</ref> |
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There are several different definitions of money supply to reflect the differing stores of money. Owing to the nature of bank deposits, especially time-restricted savings account deposits, M4 represents the most [[Market liquidity|illiquid]] measure of money. M0, by contrast, is the most liquid measure of the money supply. |
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Inflation (%P) is equal to the rate of money growth (%M), plus the change in velocity (%V), minus the rate of output growth (%Y).<ref>"Breaking Monetary Policy into Pieces", May 24 2004, http://www.hussmanfunds.com/wmc/wmc040524.htm</ref> |
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===North America=== |
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==Bank reserves at central bank== |
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====United States {{anchor|M0|M1|M2|M3}}====<!-- Many pages link to [[Money supply#M0]], ... --> |
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{{globalize|section}} |
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[[File:US Monetary Base, M1, M2 January 1959 - October 2010.png|thumb|left|794x794px|MB, M1 and M2 from 1959 to 2021 (all shown in billions) [https://fred.stlouisfed.org/graph/?g=JEwV Link]. Note that before April 24, 2020 savings accounts were not part of M1<ref>{{cite web|url=https://fredblog.stlouisfed.org/2021/05/savings-are-now-more-liquid-and-part-of-m1-money/|title=Savings are now more liquid and part of "M1 money" |publisher=St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank}}</ref>]] |
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When a [[central bank]] is "easing", it triggers an increase in money supply by purchasing [[government bond|government securities]] on the open market thus increasing available funds for private banks to loan through [[fractional-reserve banking]] (the issue of new money through loans) and thus grows the money supply. When the central bank is "tightening", it slows the process of private bank issue by selling securities on the open market and pulling money (that could be loaned) out of the private banking sector. It reduces or increases the supply of short term government debt, and inversely increases or reduces the supply of lending funds and thereby the ability of private banks to issue new money through debt. Note that while the terms "easing" and "tightening" are commonly used to describe the central bank's stated interest rate policy, a central bank has the ability to influence the money supply in a much more direct fashion, as explained earlier in this paragraph. |
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[[File:M0-Money supply of the USA.jpg|thumb|left|794x794px|M0, M1 and M3. US-GDP and M3 of Eurozone for comparison. Logarithmic scale.]] |
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{{clear}} |
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[[File:Money_supply_during_the_great_depression_era.png|400px|thumb|right| Money supply decreased by several percent between [[Black Tuesday]] and the [[Emergency Banking Act|Bank Holiday in March 1933]] when there were massive [[bank runs]] across the United States.]] |
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[[File:Inflation M2 CPI.webp|thumb|400px|right| M2 vs [[Consumer price index|CPI]]]] |
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The United States [[Federal Reserve]] published data on three monetary aggregates until 2006, when it ceased publication of M3 data<ref name="fedM3disc"/> and only published data on M1 and M2. M1 consists of money commonly used for payment, basically [[currency in circulation]] and [[checking account]] balances; and M2 includes M1 plus balances that generally are similar to transaction accounts and that, for the most part, can be converted fairly readily to M1 with little or no loss of principal. The M2 measure is thought to be held primarily by households. Prior to its discontinuation, M3 comprised M2 plus certain accounts that are held by entities other than individuals and are issued by banks and thrift institutions to augment M2-type balances in meeting credit demands, as well as balances in money market mutual funds held by institutional investors. The aggregates have had different roles in monetary policy as their reliability as guides has changed. The principal components are:<ref name="paf">{{cite web|url=http://www.federalreserve.gov/pf/pf.htm |title=''The Federal Reserve – Purposes and Functions'' |publisher=Federalreserve.gov |date=April 24, 2013 |access-date=December 11, 2013}}</ref> |
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* '''M0''': The total of all physical currency including coinage. M0 = [[Federal Reserve Note]]s + [[United States Note|US Notes]] + [[Coins of the United States dollar|Coins]]. It is not relevant whether the currency is held inside or outside of the private banking system as reserves. |
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The operative notion of easy money is that the central bank creates new [[bank reserves]] (in the US known as "[[federal funds]]"), which let the banks lend out more money. These loans get spent, and the proceeds get deposited at other banks. Whatever is not required to be held as reserves is then lent out again, and through the "multiplying" effect of the fractional-reserve system, loans and bank deposits go up by many times the initial injection of reserves. |
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* '''MB''': The total of all physical currency plus [[Federal Reserve Deposits]] (special deposits that only banks can have at the Fed). MB = [[Coins of the United States dollar|Coins]] + [[United States Note|US Notes]] + [[Federal Reserve Note]]s + [[Federal Reserve Deposits]] |
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* '''M1''': The total amount of M0 (cash/coin) outside of the private banking system{{Clarify|reason=Is this M0 different from the M0 number above? Sounds like M0 above includes reserve balances, M0 here does not?|date=December 2020}} plus the amount of [[demand deposit]]s, [[Traveler's cheque|travelers checks]] and [[Negotiable Order of Withdrawal account|other checkable deposits]] + most [[savings account]]s. |
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* '''M2''': M1 + [[money market account]]s, retail [[Money market fund|money market mutual funds]], and small denomination time deposits ([[Certificate of deposit|certificates of deposit]] of under $100,000). |
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* '''MZM''': 'Money Zero Maturity' is one of the most popular aggregates in use by the Fed because its [[Velocity of money|velocity]] has historically been the most accurate predictor of [[inflation]]. It is M2 – time deposits + money market funds |
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* '''M3''': M2 + all other [[Certificate of deposit|CDs]] (large time deposits, institutional money market mutual fund balances), deposits of [[eurodollar]]s and [[repurchase agreement]]s. |
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* '''M4-''': M3 + [[Commercial Paper]] |
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* '''M4''': M4- + [[Treasury bill|T-Bills]] (or M3 + Commercial Paper + [[Treasury bill|T-Bills]]) |
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* '''L''': The broadest measure of liquidity, that the Federal Reserve no longer tracks. L is very close to M4 + [[Bankers' Acceptance]] |
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* '''Money Multiplier''': M1 / MB. As of December 3, 2015, it was 0.756.<ref>{{Cite web|title = M1 Money Multiplier|url = https://research.stlouisfed.org/fred2/series/MULT|website = research.stlouisfed.org|date = February 15, 1984|access-date = December 3, 2015}}</ref> While a multiplier under one is historically an oddity, this is a reflection of the popularity of M2 over M1 and the massive amount of MB the government has created since 2008. |
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Prior to 2020, savings accounts were counted as M2 and not part of M1 as they were not considered "transaction accounts" by the Fed. (There was a limit of six transactions per cycle that could be carried out in a savings account without incurring a penalty.) On March 15, 2020, the Federal Reserve eliminated reserve requirements for all depository institutions and rendered the regulatory distinction between reservable "transaction accounts" and nonreservable "savings deposits" unnecessary. On April 24, 2020, the Board removed this regulatory distinction by deleting the six-per-month transfer limit on savings deposits. From this point on, savings account deposits were included in M1.<ref name="federalreserve.gov"/> |
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However, in the 1970s the reserve requirements on deposits started to fall with the emergence of [[money market funds]], which require no reserves. Then in the early 1990s, reserve requirements were dropped to zero on [[savings deposit]]s, [[Certificate of deposit|CD]]s, and [[Eurodollars|Eurodollar deposit]]. At present, reserve requirements apply only to "[[transactions deposits]]" – essentially [[checking accounts]]. The vast majority of funding sources used by private banks to create loans are not limited by bank reserves. Most [[commercial and industrial loans]] are financed by issuing large denomination [[Certificate of deposit|CD]]s. [[Money market]] deposits are largely used to lend to corporations who issue [[commercial paper]]. Consumer loans are also made using [[savings deposit]]s, which are not subject to reserve requirements. These loans can be bunched into securities and sold to somebody else, taking them off of the bank's books. |
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Although the Treasury can and does hold cash and a special deposit account at the Fed (TGA account), these assets do not count in any of the aggregates. So in essence, money paid in taxes paid to the Federal Government (Treasury) is excluded from the money supply. To counter this, the government created the [[Treasury Tax and Loan]] (TT&L) program in which any receipts above a certain threshold are redeposited in private banks. The idea is that tax receipts won't decrease the amount of reserves in the banking system. The TT&L accounts, while demand deposits, do not count toward M1 or any other aggregate either. |
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{{update-section}} |
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Therefore, neither commercial nor consumer loans are any longer limited by bank reserves. Since 1995 the amount of consumer loans has steadily increased<!--, while bank reserves have generally remained constant [this is patently and utterly untrue. Bank reserves have dropped off a cliff in early 2008. The graph simply does not continue anymore, it just goes almost straight down.] -->: |
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[[Image:Consumer Loans 1990 2008.png|center|Individual Consumer Loans at All Commercial Banks, 1990-2008]] |
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<br /> |
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[[Image:Net Reserves 1990 2008.png|center|Net Free or Borrowed Reserves of Depository Institutions, 1990-2008]]<!-- if this is from the Fed H.3 report - and it looks like it is -, the October 2008 value is apparently closer to -400 than to -300. Please update. --> |
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When the Federal Reserve announced in 2005 that they would cease publishing M3 statistics in March 2006, they explained that M3 did not convey any additional information about economic activity compared to M2, and thus, "has not played a role in the monetary policy process for many years." Therefore, the costs to collect M3 data outweighed the benefits the data provided.<ref name="fedM3disc"/> Some politicians have spoken out against the [[Federal Reserve|Federal Reserve's]] decision to cease publishing M3 statistics and have urged the U.S. Congress to take steps requiring the Federal Reserve to do so. Congressman [[Ron Paul]] (R-TX) claimed that "M3 is the best description of how quickly the Fed is creating new money and credit. Common sense tells us that a government central bank creating new money out of thin air depreciates the value of each dollar in circulation."<ref>[http://archive.lewrockwell.com/paul/paul319.html What the Price of Gold Is Telling Us]. Lewrockwell.com (April 25, 2006).</ref> Some of the data used to calculate M3 are still collected and published on a regular basis.<ref name="fedM3disc"/> Current alternate sources of M3 data are available from the private sector.<ref name="SgsM3Data">{{cite web |url=http://www.shadowstats.com/alternate_data |title=Alternate data |website=Shadowstats.com}}</ref> |
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In recent years, the irrelevance of open market operations has also been argued by academic economists renowned for their work on the implications of [[rational expectations]], including [[Robert Lucas, Jr.]], [[Thomas Sargent]], [[Neil Wallace]], [[Finn E. Kydland]], [[Edward C. Prescott]] and [[Scott Freeman]]. |
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In the United States, a bank's reserves consist of U.S. currency held by the bank (also known as "vault cash"<ref>12 C.F.R. sec. 204.2(k).</ref>) plus the bank's balances in Federal Reserve accounts.<ref>12 C.F.R. sec. 204.5(a).</ref><ref>[http://www.investorwords.com/7260/vault_cash.html What is vault cash? definition and meaning]. Investorwords.com.</ref> For this purpose, cash on hand and balances in [[Federal Reserve]] ("Fed") accounts are interchangeable (both are obligations of the Fed). Reserves may come from any source, including the [[Federal funds|federal funds market]], deposits by the public, and borrowing from the Fed itself.<ref>{{cite web |url=http://research.stlouisfed.org/fred2/series/NFORBRES |title=Net Free or Borrowed Reserves of Depository Institutions (NFORBRES) – FRED |publisher=St. Louis Fed |website=research.stlouisfed.org|date=January 1929 }}.</ref> |
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==Arguments== |
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Assuming that prices do not instantly adjust to equate supply and demand, one of the principal jobs of [[central bank]]s is to ensure that aggregate (or overall) demand matches the potential supply of an economy. Central banks can do this because overall demand can be controlled by the money supply. By putting more money into circulation, the central bank can stimulate demand. By taking money out of circulation, the central bank can reduce demand. |
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As of April 2013, the [[monetary base]] was $3 trillion<ref>{{cite web|title=Aggregate Reserves of Depository Institutions and the Monetary Base – H.3|url=http://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/H3/Current/|publisher=[[Federal Reserve System|Federal Reserve]]|archive-url=https://archive.today/20130616092107/http://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/H3/Current/|archive-date=June 16, 2013|url-status=dead}}</ref> and M2, the broadest measure of money supply, was $10.5 trillion.<ref>{{cite web|title=H.6 Money Stock Measures|url=http://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h6/current/h6.htm|work=Federal Reserve Statistical Release|publisher=[[Federal Reserve System|Federal Reserve]]|archive-url=https://archive.today/20130616092412/http://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h6/current/h6.htm|archive-date=June 16, 2013|url-status=dead}}</ref> |
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For instance, if there is an overall shortfall of demand relative to supply (that is, a given economy can potentially produce more goods than consumers wish to buy) then some resources in the economy will be unemployed (i.e., there will be a recession). In this case the central bank can stimulate demand by increasing the money supply. In theory the extra demand will then lead to job creation for the unemployed resources (people, machines, land), leading back to full employment (more precisely, back to the natural rate of unemployment, which is basically determined by the amount of government regulation and is different in different countries). {{Fact|date=June 2008}} |
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===Oceania=== |
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However, central banks have a difficult balancing act because, if they put too much money into circulation, demand will outstrip an economy's ability to supply so that, even when all resources are employed, demand still cannot be satisfied. In this case, unemployment will fall back to the natural rate and there will then be competition for the last remaining labour, leading to wage rises and inflation. This can then lead to another recession as the central bank takes money out of circulation (raising interest rates in the process) to try to damp down demand. |
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====Australia==== |
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[[File:Australian_Money_Supply.PNG|thumb|Australian money supply 1984–2022]] |
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The [[Reserve Bank of Australia]] defines the monetary aggregates as:<ref>{{cite web |url=http://www.rba.gov.au/glossary/ |title=Glossary |date=November 11, 2015 |publisher=Reserve Bank of Australia}}</ref> |
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* '''M1''': [[currency in circulation]] plus bank current deposits from the private non-bank sector<ref>{{cite web |url=https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/bulletin/2019/mar/updates-to-australias-financial-aggregates.html |title=Updates to Australia's Financial Aggregates |date=March 21, 2019 |publisher=Reserve Bank of Australia |last1=Bank |first1=Joel |last2=Durrani |first2=Kassim |last3=Hatzvi |first3=Eden }}</ref> |
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* '''M3''': M1 plus all other bank deposits from the private non-bank sector, plus bank certificate of deposits, less inter-bank deposits |
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* '''Broad money''': M3 plus borrowings from the private sector by NBFIs, less the latter's holdings of currency and bank deposits |
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* '''Money base''': holdings of notes and coins by the private sector plus deposits of banks with the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) and other RBA liabilities to the private non-bank sector. |
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====New Zealand==== |
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The main debate amongst economists in the second half of the twentieth century concerned the central banks ability to know how much money to inject into or take out of circulation under different circumstances. Some economists like [[Milton Friedman]] believed that the central bank would always get it wrong, leading to wider swings in the economy than if it were just left alone. That is why they advocated a non-interventionist approach. |
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[[File:New zealand money supply 1988-2008.jpg|thumb|[[New Zealand]] money supply 1988–2008]] |
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The [[Reserve Bank of New Zealand]] defines the monetary aggregates as:<ref>[https://www.rbnz.govt.nz/statistics/c50-money-and-credit-aggregates Series description – Monetary and financial statistics]. Rbnz.govt.nz.</ref> |
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Current Chairman of the U.S. Federal Reserve, [[Ben Bernanke]], has suggested that over the last 10 to 15 years, many modern central banks have become relatively adept at manipulation of the money supply, leading to a smoother business cycle, with recessions tending to be smaller and less frequent than in earlier decades, a phenomenon he terms "[[The Great Moderation]]" <ref>[http://www.federalreserve.gov/boarddocs/speeches/2004/20040220/default.htm FRB: Speech, Bernanke-The Great Moderation-February 20, 2004<!-- Bot generated title -->]</ref>. |
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* '''M1''': notes and coins held by the public plus chequeable deposits, minus inter-institutional chequeable deposits, and minus central government deposits |
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However these assumptions were proved ill-conceived by the [[economic crisis of 2008]] and the [[financial crisis of 2007-2008]].<ref>[http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/d6527f50-a442-11dd-8104-000077b07658.html Volatility returns with a vengeance]</ref> |
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* '''M2''': M1 + all non-M1 call funding (call funding includes overnight money and funding on terms that can of right be broken without break penalties) minus inter-institutional non-M1 call funding |
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* '''M3''': the broadest monetary aggregate. It represents all New Zealand dollar funding of M3 institutions and any Reserve Bank repos with non-M3 institutions. M3 consists of notes & coin held by the public plus NZ dollar funding minus inter-M3 institutional claims and minus central government deposits |
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===South Asia=== |
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====India==== |
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[[File:India Money Supply Components--Larger Label Fonts.png|thumb|Components of the money supply of [[India]] in billions of [[Rupee]] for 1950–2011]] |
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The [[Reserve Bank of India]] defines the monetary aggregates as:<ref>{{cite book |url=http://rbidocs.rbi.org.in/rdocs/Publications/PDFs/80441.pdf |title=Handbook of Statistics on Indian Economy |section=Notes on Tables |page=4}}</ref> |
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* '''Reserve money''' ('''M0'''): Currency in circulation, plus bankers' deposits with the RBI and 'other' deposits with the RBI. Calculated from net RBI credit to the government plus RBI credit to the commercial sector, plus RBI's claims on banks and net foreign assets plus the government's currency liabilities to the public, less the RBI's net non-monetary liabilities. M0 outstanding was {{INR}}30.297 trillion as on March 31, 2020. |
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* '''M1''': Currency with the public plus deposit money of the public (demand deposits with the banking system and 'other' deposits with the RBI). M1 was 184 per cent of M0 in August 2017. |
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* '''M2''': M1 plus savings deposits with post office savings banks. M2 was 879 per cent of M0 in August 2017. |
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* '''M3''' (the broad concept of money supply): M1 plus time deposits with the banking system, made up of net bank credit to the government plus bank credit to the commercial sector, plus the net foreign exchange assets of the banking sector and the government's currency liabilities to the public, less the net non-monetary liabilities of the banking sector (other than time deposits). M3 was 555 per cent of M0 as on March 31, 2020(i.e. {{INR}}167.99 trillion.) |
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* '''M4''': M3 plus all deposits with post office savings banks (excluding [[National Savings Certificates (India)|National Savings Certificates]]).<ref>{{Cite web |url=https://www.rbi.org.in/Scripts/BS_PressReleaseDisplay.aspx?prid=50813 |title=Press Releases of Reserve Bank of India on 16 Dec 2020}}</ref> |
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== Importance of money supply == |
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The importance which has historically been attached to the money supply in the monetary policy of central banks is due to the suggestion that movements in money may determine important economic variables like prices (and hence inflation), output and employment. Indeed, two prominent analytical frameworks in the 20th century both built on this premise: the [[Keynesian]] [[IS-LM model]] and the [[monetarist]] [[quantity theory of money]].<ref name="Palgrave"/> |
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=== IS-LM model === |
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The IS-LM model was introduced by [[John Hicks]] in 1937 to describe Keynesian macroeconomic theory. Between the 1940s and mid-1970s, it was the leading framework of macroeconomic analysis<ref>{{cite book |last=Bentolila |first=Samuel |chapter=Hicks–Hansen model |title=An Eponymous Dictionary of Economics: A Guide to Laws and Theorems Named after Economists |publisher=Edward Elgar |year=2005 |isbn=978-1-84376-029-0 }}</ref> and is still today an important conceptual introductory tool in many macroeconomics textbooks.<ref>{{cite journal |first=David |last=Colander |author-link=David Colander |title=The Strange Persistence of the IS-LM Model |journal=History of Political Economy |volume=36 |issue=Annual Supplement |year=2004 |pages=305–322 |url=http://muse.jhu.edu/journals/history_of_political_economy/v036/36.5colander.pdf |doi=10.1215/00182702-36-suppl_1-305|citeseerx=10.1.1.692.6446 |s2cid=6705939 }}</ref> In the traditional version of this model it is assumed that the central bank conducts monetary policy by increasing or decreasing the money supply, which affects interest rates and consequently [[investment]], [[aggregate demand]] and output. |
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In light of the fact that modern central banks have generally ceased to target the money supply as an explicit policy variable,<ref>{{cite web |last1=Goodhart |first1=C.A.E. |title=The determination of the money supply: flexibility versus control |url=https://eprints.lse.ac.uk/84209/1/Goodhart_Determination%20money%20supply_2017.pdf |website=lse.ac.uk |publisher=London School of Economics and Political Science |access-date=3 September 2023 |date=September 2017}}</ref> in some more recent macroeconomic textbooks the IS-LM model has been modified to incorporate the fact that rather than manipulating the money supply, central banks tend to conduct their policies by setting policy interest rates more directly.<ref name="Blanchard"/> |
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=== Quantity theory of money === |
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According to the [[quantity theory of money]], inflation is caused by movements in the supply of money and hence can be controlled by the central bank if the bank controls the money supply. The theory builds upon [[Irving Fisher]]'s [[equation of exchange]] from 1911:<ref>The Purchasing Power of Money, its Determination and Relation to Credit, Interest and Crises, Irving Fisher.</ref> |
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: <math>M\times V = P\times Q</math> |
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where |
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* <math>M</math> is the total dollars in the nation's money supply, |
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* <math>V</math> is the number of times per year each dollar is spent ([[velocity of money]]), |
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* <math>P</math> is the average price of all the goods and services sold during the year, |
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* <math>Q</math> is the quantity of assets, goods and services sold during the year. |
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In practice, macroeconomists almost always use real GDP to define {{var|Q}}, omitting the role of all other transactions.<ref name="Graff"/> Either way, the equation in itself is an [[Identity (mathematics)|identity]] which is true by definition rather than describing economic behavior. That is, [[velocity of money|velocity]] is defined by the values of the other three variables. Unlike the other terms, the velocity of money has no independent measure and can only be estimated by dividing {{var|PQ}} by {{var|M}}. Adherents of the quantity theory of money assume that the velocity of money is stable and predictable, being determined mostly by financial institutions. If that assumption is valid, then changes in {{var|M}} can be used to predict changes in {{var|PQ}}.<ref>{{cite web|last=Aziz|first=John|title=Is Inflation Always And Everywhere a Monetary Phenomenon?|url=http://azizonomics.com/2013/03/10/is-inflation-always-and-everywhere-a-monetary-phenomenon/|work=Azizonomics|access-date=April 2, 2013|date=March 10, 2013|archive-date=March 13, 2013|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20130313090530/http://azizonomics.com/2013/03/10/is-inflation-always-and-everywhere-a-monetary-phenomenon/|url-status=dead}}</ref> If not, then a model of {{var|V}} is required in order for the equation of exchange to be useful as a macroeconomics model or as a predictor of prices. |
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Most macroeconomists replace the equation of exchange with equations for the [[demand for money]] which describe more regular economic behavior. However, predictability (or the lack thereof) of the velocity of money is equivalent to predictability (or the lack thereof) of the demand for money (since in equilibrium real money demand is simply {{sfrac|{{var|Q}}|{{var|V}}}}). |
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There is some [[empirical]] evidence of a direct relationship between the growth of the money supply and long-term price inflation, at least for rapid increases in the amount of money in the economy.<ref>{{Cite journal |last1=Sysoyeva |first1=Larysa |last2=Bielova |first2=Inna |last3=Ryabushka |first3=Luidmila |last4=Demikhov |first4=Oleksii |date=2021-05-29 |title=Determinants of Management of Central Bank to Provide the Economic Growth: an Application of Structural Equation Modeling |url=https://ojs.ual.es/ojs/index.php/eea/article/view/4803 |journal=Studies of Applied Economics |language=en |volume=39 |issue=5 |doi=10.25115/eea.v39i5.4803 |s2cid=236417850 |issn=1697-5731|doi-access=free }}</ref> The quantity theory was a cornerstone for the monetarists and in particular [[Milton Friedman]], who together with [[Anna Schwartz]] in 1963 in a pioneering work documented the relationship between money and inflation in the United States during the period 1867–1960.<ref name="Palgrave"/> During the 1970s and 1980s the monetarist ideas were increasingly influential, and major central banks like the [[Federal Reserve]], the [[Bank of England]] and the German [[Bundesbank]] officially followed a monetary policy objective of increasing the money supply in a stable way.<ref name="Graff">{{cite journal |last1=Graff |first1=Michael |title=The quantity theory of money in historical perspective |url=https://www.research-collection.ethz.ch/handle/20.500.11850/124095 |journal=Kof Working Papers |publisher=KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich |access-date=3 September 2023 |date=April 2008|volume=196 |doi=10.3929/ethz-a-005582276 }}</ref> |
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=== Declining importance === |
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Starting in the mid-1970s and increasingly over the next decades, the empirical correlation between fluctuations in the money supply and changes in income or prices broke down, and there appeared clear evidence that money demand (or, equivalently, velocity) was unstable, at least in the short and medium run, which is the time horizon that is relevant to monetary policy. This made a money target less useful for central banks and led to the decline of money supply as a tool of monetary policy. Instead central banks generally switched to steering interest rates directly, allowing money supply to fluctuate to accommodate fluctuations in money demand.<ref name="Palgrave"/> Concurrently, most central banks in developed countries implemented direct [[inflation targeting]] as the foundation of their monetary policy,<ref name=Holdingline>{{cite web |title=Inflation Targeting: Holding the Line |url=https://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/fandd/basics/72-inflation-targeting.htm |website=www.imf.org |access-date=3 September 2023}}</ref> which leaves little room for a special emphasis on the money supply. In the United States, the strategy of targeting the money supply was tried under Federal Reserve chairman [[Paul Volcker]] from 1979, but was found to be impractical and later given up.<ref name="Historical">{{cite web |title=Federal Reserve Board - Historical Approaches to Monetary Policy |url=https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/historical-approaches-to-monetary-policy.htm |website=Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System |access-date=12 August 2023 |language=en |date=8 March 2018}}</ref> According to [[Benjamin M. Friedman|Benjamin Friedman]], the number of central banks that actively seek to influence money supply as an element of their monetary policy is shrinking to zero.<ref name="Palgrave"/> |
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Even though today central banks generally do not try to determine the money supply, monitoring money supply data may still play a role in the preparation of monetary policy as part of a wide array of financial and economic data that policymakers review.<ref>{{cite web |title=What is the money supply? Is it important? |url=https://www.federalreserve.gov/faqs/money_12845.htm |website=Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System |date=16 December 2015 |access-date=31 July 2023 |language=en}}</ref> Developments in money supply may contain information of the behavior of commercial banks and of the general economic stance which is useful for judging future movements in, say, employment and inflation.<ref>{{cite web |last1=Haltom |first1=Renee |title=Does Money Still Matter for Monetary Policy? |url=https://www.richmondfed.org/-/media/richmondfedorg/publications/research/economic_brief/2013/pdf/eb_13-05.pdf |website=www.richmondfed.org |publisher=Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond |access-date=3 September 2023 |date=May 2013}}</ref> Also in this respect, however, money supply data have a mixed record. In the United States, for instance, the [[Conference Board Leading Economic Index]] originally included a real money supply (M2) component as one of its 10 leading indicators, but removed it from the index in 2012 after having ascertained that it had performed poorly as a leading indicator since 1989.<ref>{{cite web |title=Real M2 and Its Impact on The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® (LEI) for the United States |url=https://www.conference-board.org/pdf_free/economics/BCI_March_Essay.pdf |website=www.conference-board.org |publisher=The Conference Board |access-date=3 September 2023 |date=March 2010}}</ref> |
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==See also== |
==See also== |
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{{ |
{{Portal|Money}} |
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{{col |
{{div col|colwidth=16em}} |
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*[[Money demand]] |
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*[[Money creation]] |
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*[[Seigniorage]] |
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*[[Central bank]] |
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*[[Bank regulation]] |
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*[[FDIC]] |
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*[[Fiat currency]] |
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*[[Fractional-reserve banking]] |
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*[[Full reserve banking]] |
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*[[Money market]] |
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*[[Money with zero maturity]] (MZM) |
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*[[Debt levels and flows]] |
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{{col-break}} |
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*[[Financial capital]] |
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*[[Monetary base]] |
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*[[M4 money supply]] |
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*[[Float (money supply)|Float]] |
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*[[Milton Friedman]] |
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*[[Monetarism]] |
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*[[Inflation]] |
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*[[Core inflation]] |
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*[[Index of Leading Indicators]] - money supply is a component |
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{{col-end}} |
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* [[Bank regulation]] |
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==Notes== |
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* [[Capital requirement]] |
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{{reflist}} |
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* [[Chartalism]] |
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* [[Chicago plan]] |
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* [[Monetary system#Debt based monetary system|Debt based monetary system]]{{Broken anchor|date=2024-06-14|bot=User:Cewbot/log/20201008/configuration|target_link=Monetary system#Debt based monetary system|reason= The anchor (Debt based monetary system) [[Special:Diff/1229021822|has been deleted]].}} |
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* [[Debt-to-GDP ratio]] |
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* [[Economics terminology that differs from common usage]] |
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* [[Financial capital]] |
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* [[FRED (Federal Reserve Economic Data)]] |
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* [[Full reserve banking]] |
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* [[Macroprudential regulation]] |
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* [[Monetary economics]] |
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* [[Monetary reform]] |
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* [[Money circulation]] |
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* [[Money market]] |
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{{div col end}} |
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== |
== References == |
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{{Reflist|33em}} |
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===Data=== |
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*[http://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h3/Current/h3.htm Aggregate Reserves Of Depository Institutions And The Monetary Base (H.3)] |
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*[http://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h6/hist/h6hist1.txt U.S. M1,M2 Money Supply Historical Table] |
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*[http://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h6/current/default.htm Money Stock Measures (H.6)] |
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*[http://www.rba.gov.au/Statistics/AlphaListing/alpha_listing_m.html Data on Monetary Aggregates in Australia] |
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*[http://www.info.gov.hk/hkma/eng/press/category/statistics_index.htm Monetary Statistics on Hong Kong Monetary Authority] |
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*[http://www.pbc.gov.cn/english/ Monetary Survey on [[People's Bank of China]]] |
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*[http://www.shadowstats.com Shadow Government reproduction of current U.S. M3 values] |
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*[http://www.nowandfutures.com/key_stats.html Now and the Future reproduction of current U.S. M3 values] |
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== |
==Further reading== |
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* [http://www.dictionaryofeconomics.com/article?id=pde2008_M000236&goto=moneysupply&result_number=2372 Article in the New Palgrave on Money Supply] by [[Milton Friedman]] |
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*[http://www.frbsf.org/education/activities/drecon/2001/0111.html Do all banks hold reserves, and, if so, where do they hold them? (11/2001)] |
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* [http://research.stlouisfed.org/aggreg/ St. Louis Fed: Monetary Aggregates] |
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*[http://www.frbsf.org/education/activities/drecon/2001/0108.html What effect does a change in the reserve requirement have on the money supply? (08/2001)] |
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* [http://www.investopedia.com/terms/m/moneyzeromaturity.asp Investopedia: Money Zero Maturity (MZM)] |
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*[http://research.stlouisfed.org/aggreg/ St. Louis Fed: Monetary Aggregates] |
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*[http://www.econlib.org/library/Enc/MoneySupply.html Anna J. Schwartz on money supply] |
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*[http://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h6/discm3.htm Discontinuance of M3 Publication] |
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==External links== |
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===Computer simulations=== |
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* [http://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h3/Current/h3.htm Aggregate Reserves Of Depository Institutions And The Monetary Base (H.3)] |
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* [http://demonstrations.wolfram.com/MoneySupplyProcess/ Money Supply Process] by Fiona Maclachlan, [[Wolfram Demonstrations Project]]. |
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* [https://fraser.stlouisfed.org/title/88 Historical H.3 releases] |
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* [http://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h6/current/default.htm Money Stock Measures (H.6)] |
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* [https://web.archive.org/web/20050618181347/http://www.rba.gov.au/Statistics/AlphaListing/alpha_listing_m.html Data on Monetary Aggregates in Australia] |
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* [http://www.info.gov.hk/hkma/eng/press/category/statistics_index.htm Monetary Statistics on Hong Kong Monetary Authority] |
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* [http://www.pbc.gov.cn/english/ Monetary Survey] from [[People's Bank of China]] |
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[[es:Oferta de dinero]] |
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Latest revision as of 16:46, 12 December 2024
Part of a series on |
Macroeconomics |
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In macroeconomics, money supply (or money stock) refers to the total volume of money held by the public at a particular point in time. There are several ways to define "money", but standard measures usually include currency in circulation (i.e. physical cash) and demand deposits (depositors' easily accessed assets on the books of financial institutions).[1][2] Money supply data is recorded and published, usually by the national statistical agency or the central bank of the country. Empirical money supply measures are usually named M1, M2, M3, etc., according to how wide a definition of money they embrace. The precise definitions vary from country to country, in part depending on national financial institutional traditions.
Even for narrow aggregates like M1, by far the largest part of the money supply consists of deposits in commercial banks, whereas currency (banknotes and coins) issued by central banks only makes up a small part of the total money supply in modern economies. The public's demand for currency and bank deposits and commercial banks' supply of loans are consequently important determinants of money supply changes. As these decisions are influenced by central banks' monetary policy, not least their setting of interest rates, the money supply is ultimately determined by complex interactions between non-banks, commercial banks and central banks.
According to the quantity theory supported by the monetarist school of thought, there is a tight causal connection between growth in the money supply and inflation. In particular during the 1970s and 1980s this idea was influential, and several major central banks during that period attempted to control the money supply closely, following a monetary policy target of increasing the money supply stably. However, the strategy was generally found to be impractical because money demand turned out to be too unstable for the strategy to work as intended.
Consequently, the money supply has lost its central role in monetary policy, and central banks today generally do not try to control the money supply. Instead they focus on adjusting interest rates, in developed countries normally as part of a direct inflation target which leaves little room for a special emphasis on the money supply. Money supply measures may still play a role in monetary policy, however, as one of many economic indicators that central bankers monitor to judge likely future movements in central variables like employment and inflation.
Measures of money supply
[edit]There are several standard measures of the money supply,[4] classified along a spectrum or continuum between narrow and broad monetary aggregates. Narrow measures include only the most liquid assets: those most easily used to spend (currency, checkable deposits). Broader measures add less liquid types of assets (certificates of deposit, etc.).
This continuum corresponds to the way that different types of money are more or less controlled by monetary policy. Narrow measures include those more directly affected and controlled by monetary policy, whereas broader measures are less closely related to monetary-policy actions.[5]
The different types of money are typically classified as "M"s. The "M"s usually range from M0 (narrowest) to M3 (and M4 in some countries[6]) (broadest), but which "M"s, if any, are actually focused on in central bank communications depends on the particular institution. A typical layout for each of the "M"s is as follows for the United States:
Type of money | M0 | MB | M1 | M2 | M3 | MZM |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Notes and coins in circulation (outside Federal Reserve Banks and the vaults of depository institutions) (currency) | ✓[7] | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ |
Notes and coins in bank vaults (vault cash) | ✓ | |||||
Federal Reserve Bank credit (required reserves and excess reserves not physically present in banks) | ✓ | |||||
Traveler's checks of non-bank issuers | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | ||
Demand deposits | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | ||
Other checkable deposits (OCDs), which consist primarily of negotiable order of withdrawal (NOW) accounts at depository institutions and credit union share draft accounts. | ✓[8] | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | ||
Savings deposits | ✓[9] | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | ||
Time deposits less than $100,000 and money-market deposit accounts for individuals | ✓ | ✓ | ||||
Large time deposits, institutional money market funds, short-term repurchase and other larger liquid assets[10] | ✓ | |||||
All money market funds | ✓ |
- M0: In some countries, such as the United Kingdom, M0 includes bank reserves, so M0 is referred to as the monetary base, or narrow money.[11]
- MB: is referred to as the monetary base or total currency.[7] This is the base from which other forms of money (like checking deposits, listed below) are created and is traditionally the most liquid measure of the money supply.[12]
- M1: Bank reserves are not included in M1.
- M2: Represents M1 and "close substitutes" for M1.[13] M2 is a broader classification of money than M1.
- M3: M2 plus large and long-term deposits. Since March, 23, 2006, M3 is no longer published by the US central bank, as one of Alan Greenspan's last acts, because of its expense. [14] However, there are still estimates produced by various private institutions.
- MZM: Money with zero maturity. It measures the supply of financial assets redeemable at par on demand.[15][16]
Creation of money
[edit]Both central banks and commercial banks play a role in the process of money creation. In short, in the fractional-reserve banking system used throughout the world, money can be subdivided into two types:[17][18][19]
- central bank money – obligations of a central bank, including currency and central bank depository accounts
- commercial bank money – obligations of commercial banks, including checking accounts and savings accounts.
In the money supply statistics, central bank money is MB while the commercial bank money is divided up into the M1–M3 components, where it makes up the non-M0 component.
By far the largest part of the money used by individuals and firms to execute economic actions are commercial bank money, i.e. deposits issued by banks and other financial institutions. In the United Kingdom, deposit money outweighs the central bank issued currency by a factor of more than 30 to 1. In the United States, where the country's currency has a special international role being used in many transactions around the world, legally as well as illegally, the ratio is still more than 8 to 1.[20] Commercial banks create money whenever they make a loan and simultaneously create a matching deposit in the borrower's bank account. In return, money is destroyed when the borrower pays back the principal on the loan.[21] Movements in the money supply therefore to a large extent depend on the decisions of commercial banks to supply loans and consequently deposits, and the public's behavior in demanding currency as well as bank deposits.[20] These decisions are influenced by the monetary policy of central banks, so that money supply is ultimately created by complex interactions between banks, non-banks and central banks.[22]
Even though central banks today rarely try to control the amount of money in circulation, their policies still impact the actions of both commercial banks and their customers. When setting the interest rate on central bank reserves, interest rates on bank loans are affected, which in turn affects their demand. Central banks may also affect the money supply more directly by engaging in various open market operations.[21] They can increase the money supply by purchasing government securities, such as government bonds or treasury bills. This increases the liquidity in the banking system by converting the illiquid securities of commercial banks into liquid deposits at the central bank. This also causes the price of such securities to rise due to the increased demand, and interest rates to fall. In contrast, when the central bank "tightens" the money supply, it sells securities on the open market, drawing liquid funds out of the banking system. The prices of such securities fall as supply is increased, and interest rates rise.[23]
In some economics textbooks, the supply-demand equilibrium in the markets for money and reserves is represented by a simple so-called money multiplier relationship between the monetary base of the central bank and the resulting money supply including commercial bank deposits. This is a short-hand simplification which disregards several other factors determining commercial banks' reserve-to-deposit ratios and the public's money demand.[20][21][24][self-published source?]
National definitions of "money"
[edit]East Asia
[edit]Hong Kong
[edit]The Hong Kong Basic Law and the Sino-British Joint Declaration provides that Hong Kong retains full autonomy with respect to currency issuance. Currency in Hong Kong is issued by the government and three local banks under the supervision of the territory's de facto central bank, the Hong Kong Monetary Authority. Bank notes are printed by Hong Kong Note Printing.
A bank can issue a Hong Kong dollar only if it has the equivalent exchange in US dollars on deposit. The currency board system ensures that Hong Kong's entire monetary base is backed with US dollars at the linked exchange rate. The resources for the backing are kept in Hong Kong's exchange fund, which is among the largest official reserves in the world. Hong Kong also has huge deposits of US dollars, with official foreign currency reserves of 331.3 billion USD as of September 2014[update].[25]
Currency peg history
[edit]Hong Kong's exchange rate regime has changed over time.
- 1967: Sterling was devalued, the peg was increased from 1 shilling 3 pence (£1 = HK$16) to 1 shilling 4½ pence (£1 = HK$14.5455). Valued in USD, the currency went from US$1 = HK$5.71 to US$1 = HK$6.06
- 1972: pegged to the US dollar, US$1 = HK$5.65
- 1973: US$1 = HK$5.085
- 1974 to 1983: The Hong Kong dollar was floated
- October 17, 1983: Pegged at US$1 = HK$7.80 through the currency board system
- May 18, 2005: A lower and upper guaranteed limit are in place at 7.75 to the US dollar. Lower limit was lowered from 7.80 to 7.85, between May 23 and June 20, 2005. The Monetary Authority indicated this was to narrow the gap between interest rates between Hong Kong and the US, and to avoid the HK dollar being used as a proxy for speculative bets on a renminbi revaluation.
Japan
[edit]The Bank of Japan defines the monetary aggregates as:[26]
- M1: cash currency in circulation, plus deposit money
- M2 + CDs: M1 plus quasi-money and CDs
- M3 + CDs: M2 + CDs plus deposits of post offices; other savings and deposits with financial institutions; and money trusts
- Broadly defined liquidity: M3 and CDs, plus money market, pecuniary trusts other than money trusts, investment trusts, bank debentures, commercial paper issued by financial institutions, repurchase agreements and securities lending with cash collateral, government bonds and foreign bonds
Europe
[edit]Eurozone
[edit]The European Central Bank's definition of euro area monetary aggregates:[27]
- M1: Currency in circulation plus overnight deposits
- M2: M1 plus deposits with an agreed maturity up to two years plus deposits redeemable at a period of notice up to three months.
- M3: M2 plus repurchase agreements plus money market fund (MMF) shares/units, plus debt securities up to two years
United Kingdom
[edit]There are just two official UK measures. M0 is referred to as the "wide monetary base" or "narrow money" and M4 is referred to as "broad money" or simply "the money supply".
- M0: Notes and coin in circulation plus banks' reserve balance with Bank of England. (When the bank introduced Money Market Reform in May 2006, the bank ceased publication of M0 and instead began publishing series for reserve balances at the Bank of England to accompany notes and coin in circulation.[28])
- M4: Cash outside banks (i.e. in circulation with the public and non-bank firms) plus private-sector retail bank and building society deposits plus private-sector wholesale bank and building society deposits and certificates of deposit.[29] In 2010 the total money supply (M4) measure in the UK was £2.2 trillion while the actual notes and coins in circulation totalled only £47 billion, 2.1% of the actual money supply.[30]
There are several different definitions of money supply to reflect the differing stores of money. Owing to the nature of bank deposits, especially time-restricted savings account deposits, M4 represents the most illiquid measure of money. M0, by contrast, is the most liquid measure of the money supply.
North America
[edit]United States
[edit]The United States Federal Reserve published data on three monetary aggregates until 2006, when it ceased publication of M3 data[14] and only published data on M1 and M2. M1 consists of money commonly used for payment, basically currency in circulation and checking account balances; and M2 includes M1 plus balances that generally are similar to transaction accounts and that, for the most part, can be converted fairly readily to M1 with little or no loss of principal. The M2 measure is thought to be held primarily by households. Prior to its discontinuation, M3 comprised M2 plus certain accounts that are held by entities other than individuals and are issued by banks and thrift institutions to augment M2-type balances in meeting credit demands, as well as balances in money market mutual funds held by institutional investors. The aggregates have had different roles in monetary policy as their reliability as guides has changed. The principal components are:[32]
- M0: The total of all physical currency including coinage. M0 = Federal Reserve Notes + US Notes + Coins. It is not relevant whether the currency is held inside or outside of the private banking system as reserves.
- MB: The total of all physical currency plus Federal Reserve Deposits (special deposits that only banks can have at the Fed). MB = Coins + US Notes + Federal Reserve Notes + Federal Reserve Deposits
- M1: The total amount of M0 (cash/coin) outside of the private banking system[clarification needed] plus the amount of demand deposits, travelers checks and other checkable deposits + most savings accounts.
- M2: M1 + money market accounts, retail money market mutual funds, and small denomination time deposits (certificates of deposit of under $100,000).
- MZM: 'Money Zero Maturity' is one of the most popular aggregates in use by the Fed because its velocity has historically been the most accurate predictor of inflation. It is M2 – time deposits + money market funds
- M3: M2 + all other CDs (large time deposits, institutional money market mutual fund balances), deposits of eurodollars and repurchase agreements.
- M4-: M3 + Commercial Paper
- M4: M4- + T-Bills (or M3 + Commercial Paper + T-Bills)
- L: The broadest measure of liquidity, that the Federal Reserve no longer tracks. L is very close to M4 + Bankers' Acceptance
- Money Multiplier: M1 / MB. As of December 3, 2015, it was 0.756.[33] While a multiplier under one is historically an oddity, this is a reflection of the popularity of M2 over M1 and the massive amount of MB the government has created since 2008.
Prior to 2020, savings accounts were counted as M2 and not part of M1 as they were not considered "transaction accounts" by the Fed. (There was a limit of six transactions per cycle that could be carried out in a savings account without incurring a penalty.) On March 15, 2020, the Federal Reserve eliminated reserve requirements for all depository institutions and rendered the regulatory distinction between reservable "transaction accounts" and nonreservable "savings deposits" unnecessary. On April 24, 2020, the Board removed this regulatory distinction by deleting the six-per-month transfer limit on savings deposits. From this point on, savings account deposits were included in M1.[9]
Although the Treasury can and does hold cash and a special deposit account at the Fed (TGA account), these assets do not count in any of the aggregates. So in essence, money paid in taxes paid to the Federal Government (Treasury) is excluded from the money supply. To counter this, the government created the Treasury Tax and Loan (TT&L) program in which any receipts above a certain threshold are redeposited in private banks. The idea is that tax receipts won't decrease the amount of reserves in the banking system. The TT&L accounts, while demand deposits, do not count toward M1 or any other aggregate either.
When the Federal Reserve announced in 2005 that they would cease publishing M3 statistics in March 2006, they explained that M3 did not convey any additional information about economic activity compared to M2, and thus, "has not played a role in the monetary policy process for many years." Therefore, the costs to collect M3 data outweighed the benefits the data provided.[14] Some politicians have spoken out against the Federal Reserve's decision to cease publishing M3 statistics and have urged the U.S. Congress to take steps requiring the Federal Reserve to do so. Congressman Ron Paul (R-TX) claimed that "M3 is the best description of how quickly the Fed is creating new money and credit. Common sense tells us that a government central bank creating new money out of thin air depreciates the value of each dollar in circulation."[34] Some of the data used to calculate M3 are still collected and published on a regular basis.[14] Current alternate sources of M3 data are available from the private sector.[35]
In the United States, a bank's reserves consist of U.S. currency held by the bank (also known as "vault cash"[36]) plus the bank's balances in Federal Reserve accounts.[37][38] For this purpose, cash on hand and balances in Federal Reserve ("Fed") accounts are interchangeable (both are obligations of the Fed). Reserves may come from any source, including the federal funds market, deposits by the public, and borrowing from the Fed itself.[39]
As of April 2013, the monetary base was $3 trillion[40] and M2, the broadest measure of money supply, was $10.5 trillion.[41]
Oceania
[edit]Australia
[edit]The Reserve Bank of Australia defines the monetary aggregates as:[42]
- M1: currency in circulation plus bank current deposits from the private non-bank sector[43]
- M3: M1 plus all other bank deposits from the private non-bank sector, plus bank certificate of deposits, less inter-bank deposits
- Broad money: M3 plus borrowings from the private sector by NBFIs, less the latter's holdings of currency and bank deposits
- Money base: holdings of notes and coins by the private sector plus deposits of banks with the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) and other RBA liabilities to the private non-bank sector.
New Zealand
[edit]The Reserve Bank of New Zealand defines the monetary aggregates as:[44]
- M1: notes and coins held by the public plus chequeable deposits, minus inter-institutional chequeable deposits, and minus central government deposits
- M2: M1 + all non-M1 call funding (call funding includes overnight money and funding on terms that can of right be broken without break penalties) minus inter-institutional non-M1 call funding
- M3: the broadest monetary aggregate. It represents all New Zealand dollar funding of M3 institutions and any Reserve Bank repos with non-M3 institutions. M3 consists of notes & coin held by the public plus NZ dollar funding minus inter-M3 institutional claims and minus central government deposits
South Asia
[edit]India
[edit]The Reserve Bank of India defines the monetary aggregates as:[45]
- Reserve money (M0): Currency in circulation, plus bankers' deposits with the RBI and 'other' deposits with the RBI. Calculated from net RBI credit to the government plus RBI credit to the commercial sector, plus RBI's claims on banks and net foreign assets plus the government's currency liabilities to the public, less the RBI's net non-monetary liabilities. M0 outstanding was ₹30.297 trillion as on March 31, 2020.
- M1: Currency with the public plus deposit money of the public (demand deposits with the banking system and 'other' deposits with the RBI). M1 was 184 per cent of M0 in August 2017.
- M2: M1 plus savings deposits with post office savings banks. M2 was 879 per cent of M0 in August 2017.
- M3 (the broad concept of money supply): M1 plus time deposits with the banking system, made up of net bank credit to the government plus bank credit to the commercial sector, plus the net foreign exchange assets of the banking sector and the government's currency liabilities to the public, less the net non-monetary liabilities of the banking sector (other than time deposits). M3 was 555 per cent of M0 as on March 31, 2020(i.e. ₹167.99 trillion.)
- M4: M3 plus all deposits with post office savings banks (excluding National Savings Certificates).[46]
Importance of money supply
[edit]The importance which has historically been attached to the money supply in the monetary policy of central banks is due to the suggestion that movements in money may determine important economic variables like prices (and hence inflation), output and employment. Indeed, two prominent analytical frameworks in the 20th century both built on this premise: the Keynesian IS-LM model and the monetarist quantity theory of money.[20]
IS-LM model
[edit]The IS-LM model was introduced by John Hicks in 1937 to describe Keynesian macroeconomic theory. Between the 1940s and mid-1970s, it was the leading framework of macroeconomic analysis[47] and is still today an important conceptual introductory tool in many macroeconomics textbooks.[48] In the traditional version of this model it is assumed that the central bank conducts monetary policy by increasing or decreasing the money supply, which affects interest rates and consequently investment, aggregate demand and output.
In light of the fact that modern central banks have generally ceased to target the money supply as an explicit policy variable,[49] in some more recent macroeconomic textbooks the IS-LM model has been modified to incorporate the fact that rather than manipulating the money supply, central banks tend to conduct their policies by setting policy interest rates more directly.[23]
Quantity theory of money
[edit]According to the quantity theory of money, inflation is caused by movements in the supply of money and hence can be controlled by the central bank if the bank controls the money supply. The theory builds upon Irving Fisher's equation of exchange from 1911:[50]
where
- is the total dollars in the nation's money supply,
- is the number of times per year each dollar is spent (velocity of money),
- is the average price of all the goods and services sold during the year,
- is the quantity of assets, goods and services sold during the year.
In practice, macroeconomists almost always use real GDP to define Q, omitting the role of all other transactions.[51] Either way, the equation in itself is an identity which is true by definition rather than describing economic behavior. That is, velocity is defined by the values of the other three variables. Unlike the other terms, the velocity of money has no independent measure and can only be estimated by dividing PQ by M. Adherents of the quantity theory of money assume that the velocity of money is stable and predictable, being determined mostly by financial institutions. If that assumption is valid, then changes in M can be used to predict changes in PQ.[52] If not, then a model of V is required in order for the equation of exchange to be useful as a macroeconomics model or as a predictor of prices.
Most macroeconomists replace the equation of exchange with equations for the demand for money which describe more regular economic behavior. However, predictability (or the lack thereof) of the velocity of money is equivalent to predictability (or the lack thereof) of the demand for money (since in equilibrium real money demand is simply Q/V).
There is some empirical evidence of a direct relationship between the growth of the money supply and long-term price inflation, at least for rapid increases in the amount of money in the economy.[53] The quantity theory was a cornerstone for the monetarists and in particular Milton Friedman, who together with Anna Schwartz in 1963 in a pioneering work documented the relationship between money and inflation in the United States during the period 1867–1960.[20] During the 1970s and 1980s the monetarist ideas were increasingly influential, and major central banks like the Federal Reserve, the Bank of England and the German Bundesbank officially followed a monetary policy objective of increasing the money supply in a stable way.[51]
Declining importance
[edit]Starting in the mid-1970s and increasingly over the next decades, the empirical correlation between fluctuations in the money supply and changes in income or prices broke down, and there appeared clear evidence that money demand (or, equivalently, velocity) was unstable, at least in the short and medium run, which is the time horizon that is relevant to monetary policy. This made a money target less useful for central banks and led to the decline of money supply as a tool of monetary policy. Instead central banks generally switched to steering interest rates directly, allowing money supply to fluctuate to accommodate fluctuations in money demand.[20] Concurrently, most central banks in developed countries implemented direct inflation targeting as the foundation of their monetary policy,[54] which leaves little room for a special emphasis on the money supply. In the United States, the strategy of targeting the money supply was tried under Federal Reserve chairman Paul Volcker from 1979, but was found to be impractical and later given up.[55] According to Benjamin Friedman, the number of central banks that actively seek to influence money supply as an element of their monetary policy is shrinking to zero.[20]
Even though today central banks generally do not try to determine the money supply, monitoring money supply data may still play a role in the preparation of monetary policy as part of a wide array of financial and economic data that policymakers review.[56] Developments in money supply may contain information of the behavior of commercial banks and of the general economic stance which is useful for judging future movements in, say, employment and inflation.[57] Also in this respect, however, money supply data have a mixed record. In the United States, for instance, the Conference Board Leading Economic Index originally included a real money supply (M2) component as one of its 10 leading indicators, but removed it from the index in 2012 after having ascertained that it had performed poorly as a leading indicator since 1989.[58]
See also
[edit]- Bank regulation
- Capital requirement
- Chartalism
- Chicago plan
- Debt based monetary system[broken anchor]
- Debt-to-GDP ratio
- Economics terminology that differs from common usage
- Financial capital
- FRED (Federal Reserve Economic Data)
- Full reserve banking
- Macroprudential regulation
- Monetary economics
- Monetary reform
- Money circulation
- Money market
References
[edit]- ^ Alan Deardorff. "Money supply," Deardorff's Glossary of International Economics
- ^ Karl Brunner, "money supply," The New Palgrave: A Dictionary of Economics, v. 3, p. 527.
- ^ Decker, Frank; Goodhart, Charles A. E. (2022). "Wilhelm Lautenbach's credit mechanics – a precursor to the current money supply debate". The European Journal of the History of Economic Thought. 29 (2): 246–270. doi:10.1080/09672567.2021.1963796. S2CID 158727007.
- ^ "What is the money supply? Is it important?". Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. December 16, 2015. Retrieved August 16, 2023.
- ^ "money supply Definition". Archived from the original on April 12, 2019. Retrieved July 20, 2008.
- ^ "Further details about M4 data". www.bankofengland.co.uk. January 31, 2023. Retrieved August 20, 2023.
- ^ a b "Gold, Oil, Stocks, Investments, Currencies, and the Federal Reserve: Growth of Global Money Supply" Archived September 15, 2015, at the Wayback Machine. DollarDaze Economic Commentary Blog by Mike Hewitt.
- ^ M1 Money Stock (M1) – FRED – St. Louis Fed. Research.stlouisfed.org.
- ^ a b "Revisions to the H.6 Statistical Release". December 17, 2020.
- ^ M3 Definition. Investopedia (February 15, 2009).
- ^ M0 (monetary base). Moneyterms.co.uk.
- ^ "M0". Investopedia. Archived from the original on March 30, 2018. Retrieved July 20, 2008.
- ^ "M2". Investopedia. Retrieved July 20, 2008.
- ^ a b c d Discontinuance of M3, Federal Reserve, November 10, 2005, revised March 9, 2006.
- ^ Thayer, Gary (January 16, 2013). "Investors should assume that inflation will exceed the Fed's target". Macro Strategy. Wells Fargo Advisors. Archived from the original on July 14, 2014. Retrieved April 2, 2013.
- ^ Carlson, John B.; Benjamin D. Keen (1996). "MZM: A monetary aggregate for the 1990s?" (PDF). Economic Review. 32 (2). Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland: 15–23. Archived from the original (PDF) on September 4, 2012. Retrieved April 2, 2013.
- ^ "The coexistence of central and commercial bank monies: multiple issuers, one currency". The Role of Central Bank Money in Payment Systems (PDF). Bank for International Settlements. p. 9.
- ^ The Role of Central Bank Money in Payment Systems (PDF). Bank for International Settlements. p. 3.
Contemporary monetary systems are based on the mutually reinforcing roles of central bank money and commercial bank monies.
- ^ Domestic payments in Euroland: commercial and central bank money. European Central Bank. November 9, 2000.
At the beginning of the 20th almost the totality of retail payments were made in central bank money. Over time, this monopoly came to be shared with commercial banks, when deposits and their transfer via checks and giros became widely accepted. Banknotes and commercial bank money became fully interchangeable payment media that customers could use according to their needs. While transaction costs in commercial bank money were shrinking, cashless payment instruments became increasingly used, at the expense of banknotes.
- ^ a b c d e f g Friedman, Benjamin M. (2017). "Money Supply". The New Palgrave Dictionary of Economics. Palgrave Macmillan UK. pp. 1–10. doi:10.1057/978-1-349-95121-5_875-2. ISBN 978-1-349-95121-5. Retrieved August 29, 2023.
- ^ a b c McLeay, Michael. "Money Creation in the Modern Economy" (PDF). Bank of England.
- ^ "The role of banks, non-banks and the central bank in the money creation process" (PDF). Deutsche Bundesbank. April 2017. Retrieved September 1, 2023.
- ^ a b Blanchard, Olivier; Amighini, Alessia; Giavazzi, Francesco (2021). Macroeconomics: a European perspective (4th ed.). Harlow: Pearson. pp. 78–86. ISBN 978-1-292-36089-8.
- ^ Boermans, Martijn; Moore, Basil (2009). Locked-in and Sticky textbooks. Issuu.com.
- ^ "Hong Kong's Latest Foreign Currency Reserve Assets Figures Released". Hong Kong Monetary Authority. Retrieved November 20, 2016.
- ^ . Bank of Japan. p. 11 http://www.boj.or.jp/en/type/exp/stat/data/exms01.pdf.
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(help)[permanent dead link ] - ^ "Monetary aggregates". European Central Bank. Retrieved November 20, 2016.
- ^ "Further details about M0 data". Bank of England. November 8, 2018.
- ^ "Explanatory Notes – M4". Bank of England. Archived from the original on August 9, 2007. Retrieved August 13, 2007.
- ^ Lipsey, Richard G.; Chrystal, K. Alec (2011). Economics (12th ed.). Oxford University Press. p. 455. ISBN 978-0199563388.
- ^ "Savings are now more liquid and part of "M1 money"". St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank.
- ^ "The Federal Reserve – Purposes and Functions". Federalreserve.gov. April 24, 2013. Retrieved December 11, 2013.
- ^ "M1 Money Multiplier". research.stlouisfed.org. February 15, 1984. Retrieved December 3, 2015.
- ^ What the Price of Gold Is Telling Us. Lewrockwell.com (April 25, 2006).
- ^ "Alternate data". Shadowstats.com.
- ^ 12 C.F.R. sec. 204.2(k).
- ^ 12 C.F.R. sec. 204.5(a).
- ^ What is vault cash? definition and meaning. Investorwords.com.
- ^ "Net Free or Borrowed Reserves of Depository Institutions (NFORBRES) – FRED". research.stlouisfed.org. St. Louis Fed. January 1929..
- ^ "Aggregate Reserves of Depository Institutions and the Monetary Base – H.3". Federal Reserve. Archived from the original on June 16, 2013.
- ^ "H.6 Money Stock Measures". Federal Reserve Statistical Release. Federal Reserve. Archived from the original on June 16, 2013.
- ^ "Glossary". Reserve Bank of Australia. November 11, 2015.
- ^ Bank, Joel; Durrani, Kassim; Hatzvi, Eden (March 21, 2019). "Updates to Australia's Financial Aggregates". Reserve Bank of Australia.
- ^ Series description – Monetary and financial statistics. Rbnz.govt.nz.
- ^ "Notes on Tables". Handbook of Statistics on Indian Economy (PDF). p. 4.
- ^ "Press Releases of Reserve Bank of India on 16 Dec 2020".
- ^ Bentolila, Samuel (2005). "Hicks–Hansen model". An Eponymous Dictionary of Economics: A Guide to Laws and Theorems Named after Economists. Edward Elgar. ISBN 978-1-84376-029-0.
- ^ Colander, David (2004). "The Strange Persistence of the IS-LM Model" (PDF). History of Political Economy. 36 (Annual Supplement): 305–322. CiteSeerX 10.1.1.692.6446. doi:10.1215/00182702-36-suppl_1-305. S2CID 6705939.
- ^ Goodhart, C.A.E. (September 2017). "The determination of the money supply: flexibility versus control" (PDF). lse.ac.uk. London School of Economics and Political Science. Retrieved September 3, 2023.
- ^ The Purchasing Power of Money, its Determination and Relation to Credit, Interest and Crises, Irving Fisher.
- ^ a b Graff, Michael (April 2008). "The quantity theory of money in historical perspective". Kof Working Papers. 196. KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich. doi:10.3929/ethz-a-005582276. Retrieved September 3, 2023.
- ^ Aziz, John (March 10, 2013). "Is Inflation Always And Everywhere a Monetary Phenomenon?". Azizonomics. Archived from the original on March 13, 2013. Retrieved April 2, 2013.
- ^ Sysoyeva, Larysa; Bielova, Inna; Ryabushka, Luidmila; Demikhov, Oleksii (May 29, 2021). "Determinants of Management of Central Bank to Provide the Economic Growth: an Application of Structural Equation Modeling". Studies of Applied Economics. 39 (5). doi:10.25115/eea.v39i5.4803. ISSN 1697-5731. S2CID 236417850.
- ^ "Inflation Targeting: Holding the Line". www.imf.org. Retrieved September 3, 2023.
- ^ "Federal Reserve Board - Historical Approaches to Monetary Policy". Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. March 8, 2018. Retrieved August 12, 2023.
- ^ "What is the money supply? Is it important?". Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. December 16, 2015. Retrieved July 31, 2023.
- ^ Haltom, Renee (May 2013). "Does Money Still Matter for Monetary Policy?" (PDF). www.richmondfed.org. Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond. Retrieved September 3, 2023.
- ^ "Real M2 and Its Impact on The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® (LEI) for the United States" (PDF). www.conference-board.org. The Conference Board. March 2010. Retrieved September 3, 2023.
Further reading
[edit]- Article in the New Palgrave on Money Supply by Milton Friedman
- St. Louis Fed: Monetary Aggregates
- Investopedia: Money Zero Maturity (MZM)