Space colonization: Difference between revisions
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{{Short description|Concept of permanent human habitation outside of Earth}} |
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{{Expand French|Colonisation de l'espace|date=January 2023|topic=sci}} |
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{{inadequate lead|date=May 2013}} |
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{{Original research|date=January 2017}} |
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{{Use American English|date=November 2023}} |
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[[File:Artemis Accords and ILRS members.png|thumb|upright=1.5|330x330px|The [[Artemis Accords]] (blue) and [[International Lunar Research Station]]'s treaties (red) are about establishing lunar bases and using lunar resources. The member arrangement of these treaties is described to mirror geopolitical rivalry between the [[European Union]] and the [[United States]], and [[China]] and [[Russia]].<ref>{{Cite web |last=Bilal |first=Mustafa |date=2024-01-08 |title=The advent of astropolitical alliances |url=https://spacenews.com/advent-astropolitical-alliances/ |access-date=2024-10-02 |website=SpaceNews |language=en-US}}</ref><ref>{{Cite journal |last=Maiwald |first=Volker |date=March 2023 |title=Frameworks of sustainability and sustainable development in a spaceflight context: A systematic review and critical analysis |url=https://linkinghub.elsevier.com/retrieve/pii/S0094576523000255 |journal=Acta Astronautica |language=en |volume=204 |pages=455–465 |doi=10.1016/j.actaastro.2023.01.023}}</ref>]] |
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'''Space colonization''' (also called '''space settlement''', or '''extraterrestrial colonization''') is permanent human [[Space habitat|habitation]] outside of [[Earth]]. |
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'''Space colonization''' is the process of establishing [[space settlement|human settlements beyond Earth]] for prestige, commercial or strategic benefit,<ref name=":02" /> in contrast to [[space exploration]] for scientific benefit. [[Colonialism]] in this sense is multi-dimensional, including the exploitation of labor, resources and rights. |
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There are several arguments for space colonization that can be made: survival of human civilization and the biosphere from possible disasters (natural or man-made), and the huge resources in space for expansion of human society, being the two most common ones. |
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While there have been initiatives to start space colonization programs in the past, none have been feasible due to the extreme cost of space launch. As [[Reusable launch vehicle|reusable launch systems]] are becoming the norm in the 2020s, launch cost will decrease and colonization projects will become feasible. Space colonization is likely to begin with the [[Colonization of the Moon|establishment of a lunar base]] with either [[United States]]'s [[Artemis Base Camp]] or [[China]]'s [[International Lunar Research Station]].<ref name=":02">{{Cite web |title=The New Space Race {{!}} Power & Politics in 21st Century |url=https://www.rmg.co.uk/stories/topics/new-space-race-astropolitics-power-21st-century |access-date=2024-10-02 |website=Royal Museums Greenwich |language=en}}</ref> While [[SpaceX]], the main launch provider for [[NASA]], [[SpaceX Mars colonization program|has expressed interest in establishing a]] [[Mars habitat|Mars base]], SpaceX is currently [[Starship HLS|contracted to perform lunar landings]] for the Artemis program and has no detailed plans for a Mars base.<ref>{{Cite web |last=Lagatta |first=Eric |title=Elon Musk says human could reach Mars in 4 years after uncrewed SpaceX Starship trips |url=https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/nation/2024/09/09/spacex-launch-mars-elon-musk-starship/75145498007/ |access-date=2024-10-02 |website=USA TODAY |language=en-US}}</ref> The first entity to have a Moon base will have an immense [[first-mover advantage]] to the point of shaping human history and [[geopolitics]] in the [[21st century]]. However, collaboration can also be extremely beneficial to all entities.<ref name=":02" /> |
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However, as of right now the building of a space colony would be a hugely difficult and massively expensive project. Space settlements would have to provide for all the material needs of hundreds or thousands of humans, in an environment out in space that is very hostile to human life. They would involve technologies, such as [[Controlled Ecological Life Support System|closed-loop life support systems]], that have yet to be developed in any meaningful way. They would also have to deal with the as yet unknown issue of how humans would behave and thrive in such places long-term. |
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In the near term, the Moon is believed to contain various types of [[metal]] and [[rare earth metals]], which can be mass-extracted in space without causing environmental damage on Earth. [[Space manufacturing]] would allow [[3D bioprinting|human organs to be 3D printed]] and [[Space pharmacology|exotic pharmaceuticals]] to be produced which have the potential to improve [[Health care|healthcare]]. However, the great potential of space colonization would be the many unknown technological, economic and societal advancements that can be made with space bases.<ref name=":02" /> Once lunar or Mars-based infrastructure is sufficiently well-developed, other bodies in the [[Solar System]] could be subject to human colonization and exploitation, making humans a [[Planetary civilization|multiplanetary species]].<ref>{{Cite journal |last=Chon-Torres |first=Octavio Alfonso |last2=Murga-Moreno |first2=César Andreé |date=October 2021 |title=Conceptual discussion around the notion of the human being as an inter and multiplanetary species |url=https://www.cambridge.org/core/product/identifier/S1473550421000197/type/journal_article |journal=International Journal of Astrobiology |language=en |volume=20 |issue=5 |pages=327–331 |doi=10.1017/S1473550421000197 |issn=1473-5504}}</ref> |
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There have been no space colonies built so far, nor are there any governments or large-scale private organizations with a timetable for building any. However there have been many proposals, speculations and designs for space settlements that have been made, and there are a considerable number of [[space advocacy|space colonization advocates]] and groups. And several famous scientists, such as [[Freeman Dyson]],<ref name=dyson>{{Cite news| url=http://www.space.com/missionlaunches/colonize_why_011008-1.html| title=The Top 3 Reasons to Colonize Space| first=Robert Roy| last=Britt| date=8 October 2001| publisher=Space.com}}</ref> have come out in favor of space settlement. |
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Space colonization is an important topic in academic debates across many disciplines. Space colonization will [[Space and survival|ensure human survival in case of a planetary disaster]] and [[Commercial use of space|accessing space resources to expand society]], but it could also benefit the ruling class like traditional colonialism and worsen existing problems like [[war]], [[economic inequality]], and [[Environmental degradation|environmental damage]].<ref>{{Cite book |last=Deudney |first=Daniel |author-link=Daniel Deudney |title=Dark Skies: Space Expansionism, Planetary Geopolitics, and the Ends of Humanity |date=2020 |publisher=Oxford University Press |isbn=978-0-19-009024-1 |language=en |oclc=1145940182}}</ref><ref>{{Cite journal |last=Torres |first=Phil |date=June 2018 |title=Space colonization and suffering risks: Reassessing the "maxipok rule" |journal=Futures |language=en |volume=100 |pages=74–85 |doi=10.1016/j.futures.2018.04.008 |s2cid=149794325}}</ref><ref name="Dickens-MR-2010-112">{{cite book |last1=Dickens |first1=Peter |url=http://monthlyreview.org/2010/11/01/the-humanization-of-the-cosmos-to-what-end/ |title=The Humanization of the Cosmos – to What End? |last2=Ormrod |first2=James |date=November 2010 |publisher=[[Monthly Review]] |access-date=2016-10-03 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20161003183108/http://monthlyreview.org/2010/11/01/the-humanization-of-the-cosmos-to-what-end/ |archive-date=2016-10-03 |url-status=live}}</ref> There has been calls to halt space colonization process before major [[social issue]]s are solved,<ref>{{Cite web |last=Tenner |first=Edward |date=October 24, 2014 |title=No Exit: Why Space Colonies Can’t Solve Humanity’s Challenges |url=https://www.aei.org/articles/exit-space-colonies-cant-solve-humanitys-challenges/}}</ref> but the momentum of United States and Chinese space program have made this less viable. |
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==Reasons== |
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==Definition== |
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===Survival of human civilization=== |
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{{Main|Space and survival}} |
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The primary argument that calls for space colonization as a first-order priority is as insurance of the survival of human civilization, by developing alternative locations off Earth where humankind could continue in the event of natural and man-made disasters. |
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The term has been used broadly, being applied to any permanent human presence, even robotic,<ref>{{cite web|url=https://www.fastcompany.com/1653562/japan-robots-moon-base-robonaut-nasa-jaxa-lunar-rockets-constellation|title=Japan vs. NASA in the Next Space Race: Lunar Robonauts|work=Fast Company|date=28 May 2010|access-date=12 June 2015}}</ref><ref>{{cite web|url=http://sservi.nasa.gov/articles/japan-plans-2-billion-robot-moon-base-by-2020/|title=SOLAR SYSTEM EXPLORATION RESEARCH|access-date=11 August 2017}}</ref> particularly along with the term "settlement", being imprecisely applied to any human [[space habitat (facility)|space habitat]], from [[research station]]s to [[space habitat|self-sustaining communities in space]]. |
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Theoretical physicist and cosmologist [[Stephen Hawking]] has argued for space colonization as a means of saving humanity, in 2001 and 2006. In 2001 he predicted that the human race would become extinct within the next thousand years, unless colonies could be established in space.<ref>{{cite news |last=Highfield |first=Roger |url=http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/uknews/1359562/Colonies-in-space-may-be-only-hope-says-Hawking.html |title=Colonies in space may be only hope, says Hawking |work=The Telegraph |date=16 October 2001 |accessdate=5 August 2012}}</ref> The more recent one in 2006 stated that mankind faces two options: Either we colonize space within the next two hundred years and build residential units on other planets or we will face the prospect of long-term extinction.<ref>"Mankind must colonize other planets to survive, says Hawking". Daily Mail(London). 2006-12-01. Retrieved March 11, 2013</ref> |
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The words [[colony]] and [[colonization]] are terms rooted in [[colonial history]] on Earth, making them [[human geography|human geographic]] as well as particularly political terms. This broad use for any permanent human activity and development in space has been criticized, particularly as [[colonialism|colonialist]] and undifferentiated<ref>{{cite web|url=https://www.space.com/bill-nye-space-settlement-not-colonization.html|author=Mike Wall|date=25 October 2019|title=Bill Nye: It's Space Settlement, Not Colonization|website=[[Space.com]]|access-date=26 November 2020}}</ref> (see below [[#Objections|Objections]]). |
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[[Louis J. Halle]], formerly of the [[United States Department of State]], wrote in ''[[Foreign Affairs]]'' (Summer 1980) that the colonization of space will protect humanity in the event of global [[nuclear warfare]].<ref>{{Cite journal| url=http://www.foreignaffairs.org/19800601faessay8146/louis-j-halle/a-hopeful-future-for-mankind.html| title=A Hopeful Future for Mankind| first=Louis J.| last= Halle| journal=Foreign Affairs| month=Summer| year=1980}}</ref> The physicist [[Paul Davies]] also supports the view that if a planetary catastrophe threatens the survival of the human species on Earth, a self-sufficient colony could "reverse-colonize" Earth and restore [[Civilization|human civilization]]. The author and journalist [[William E. Burrows]] and the biochemist [[Robert Shapiro (biochemist)|Robert Shapiro]] proposed a private project, the [[Alliance to Rescue Civilization]], with the goal of establishing an off-Earth [[backup]] of human civilization.<ref> |
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{{cite news | url = http://www.nytimes.com/2006/08/01/science/01arc.html | title = Life After Earth: Imagining Survival Beyond This Terra Firma | publisher = New York Times | first=Richard | last=Morgan | date=2006-08-01 | accessdate=2010-05-23}}</ref> |
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In this sense, a colony is a settlement that claims territory and [[Exploitation of natural resources|exploits]] it for the [[settler]]s or their [[metropole]]. Therefore a [[human outpost]], while possibly a space habitat or even a [[space settlement]], does not automatically constitute a space colony.<ref name="Bartels 2018">{{cite web | last=Bartels | first=Meghan | title=People are calling for a movement to decolonize space-here's why | website=Newsweek | date=May 25, 2018 | url=https://www.newsweek.com/should-we-colonize-space-some-people-argue-we-need-decolonize-it-instead-945130 | access-date=Oct 31, 2021 |quote="[[Robert Zubrin]], said that the one word he shies away from is colony, preferring settlement because the first "confuses the issue with imperialism.""}}</ref> Though [[entrepôt]]s like trade ''[[Factory (trading post)|factories]]'' (trading posts) did often grow into colonies. |
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[[J. Richard Gott]] has estimated, based on his [[Copernican principle]], that the human race could survive for another 7.8 million years, but it isn't likely to ever colonize other planets. However, he expressed a hope to be proven wrong, because "colonizing other worlds is our best chance to hedge our bets and improve the survival prospects of our species".<ref>{{Cite news|last=Tierney |first=John |url=http://www.nytimes.com/2007/07/17/science/17tier.html?ex=1342324800&en=ccf375ae9f268470&ei=5090&partner=rssuserland&emc=rss |title=A Survival Imperative for Space Colonization |date=July 17, 2007 |work=The New York Times}}</ref> |
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Therefore any basing can be part of colonization, while colonization can be understood as a process that is open to more claims, beyond basing. The [[International Space Station]], the longest-occupied extraterrestrial habitat thus far, does not claim territory and thus is not usually considered a colony. That said simple satellites occupying orbits has been identified by [[Moriba Jah]] as colonial when treated as controlling the orbit through them instead of through a broader stewardship.<ref name="x785">{{cite web | last=Jah | first=About Moriba | title=Occupation, even in orbit, is colonialism | website=Aerospace America | date=2023-11-01 | url=https://aerospaceamerica.aiaa.org/departments/occupation-even-in-orbit-is-colonialism/ | access-date=2024-09-13}}</ref> |
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===Survival of the biosphere=== |
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Some of the more severe [[existential risks]] to humankind could also destroy parts or all of Earth's biosphere as well. An example would be a very large asteroid impact. And although many have speculated about life and intelligence existing in other parts of space, Earth is the only place in the universe currently known to harbor either of these (see: [[Fermi Paradox]], and [[Rare Earth Hypothesis]]). |
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==Locations== |
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But even if these threats are averted, eventually Earth is to become uninhabitable. This is due to the Sun getting hotter and brighter over its lifetime (the Sun was only 70 percent as bright as it is now when it first formed 4.5 billion years ago). It has been suggested that approximately 800 million years from now, that Earth will cease to be able to sustain multi-cellular life.<ref>{{citation | last1=Franck | first1=S. | last2=Bounama | first2=C. | last3=von Bloh | first3=W. | title=Causes and timing of future biosphere extinction | journal=Biogeosciences Discussions | volume=2 | issue=6 | pages=1665–1679 | month=November | year=2005 | bibcode=2005BGD.....2.1665F | url=http://biogeosciences-discuss.net/2/1665/2005/bgd-2-1665-2005.pdf | accessdate=5 August 2012 }}</ref> Later on in several billion years, the brightening Sun will cause a runaway greenhouse effect, extinguishing all life on Earth. |
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As [[Christopher Wanjek]] pointed out, space colonization is a project that require political goodwill and great sums of money. There are three main reasons why a nation or [[Benefactor (law)|benefactor]] might sponsor such a project: [[Reputation|prestige]], [[militaristic]], or [[economic]]. These reasons, combined with lower costs, hedged risks, and increased returns could enable settlement and trade, could potentially lead to a successful large-scale colonization effort beyond a few small habitats like in [[Antarctica]].<ref name=":3">{{Cite book |last=Wanjek |first=Christopher |title=Spacefarers: how humans will settle the Moon, Mars, and beyond |date=2020 |publisher=Harvard University Press |isbn=978-0-674-98448-6 |location=Cambridge, Massachusetts}}</ref>{{Rp|pages=10–15}} |
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{{Further|Future of the Earth}} |
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=== Outer space === |
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{{Further|Space habitat}} |
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Resources in space are enormous, both in materials and energy. The Solar System alone has, according to different estimates, enough material and energy to support a human population anywhere from several thousand to over a billion times that of the current human population.<ref>Estimated 3000 times the land area of Earth. [[The High Frontier]] (1976, 2000) [[Gerard O'Neill]], Apogee Books ISBN 1-896522-67-X</ref><ref>Estimated 10 quadrillion (10<sup>16</sup>) people. [[John S. Lewis]], ''[[Mining the Sky|Mining the Sky: Untold Riches from the Asteroids, Comets, and Planets]].'' (1997) Helix Books/Addison-Wesley. ISBN 0-20-1328194 version 3</ref><ref>Estimated 5 quintillion (5 x 10<sup>18</sup>) people. Marshall Savage, ''[[The Millennial Project: Colonizing the Galaxy in Eight Easy Steps]].'' (1992, 1994) Little, Brown. ISBN 0-316-77163-5</ref> Outside the Solar System in the [[Milky Way]] are anywhere up to several hundred billion other stellar systems. |
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[[File:Axiom modules connected to ISS.jpg|thumb|Through the [[Commercial LEO Destinations program]], the [[Axiom Station]] can gradually establish commercial uses and become economically sustainable.]] |
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Until the 2010s, space travel was extremely expensive because [[Expendable launch system|expendable launch vehicles]], making the cost of each launch equal to the manufacturing cost of a launch vehicle. With the development of [[reusable launch vehicle]], the manufacturing cost is [[Amortization (accounting)|amortised]] and with multiple flights the only significant costs are [[propellant]] and operational cost. When space launch cost decreases, the cost of space hardware will significantly decrease, which would allow more payload and [[astronaut]]s to be sent to space.<ref>{{Cite book |last=Zubrin |first=Robert |title=The case for space: how the revolution in spaceflight opens up a future of limitless possibility |date=2019 |publisher=Prometheus Books |isbn=978-1-63388-535-6 |location=Amherst, New York |pages=}}</ref>{{Rp|pages=21–25}} In addition, most of the [[Delta-v budget|delta-''v'' budget]], and thus propellant, is in bringing a spacecraft to [[low Earth orbit]].<ref name=":3" />{{Rp|page=100}} This is the main reason why [[Jerry Pournelle]] said "If you can get your ship into orbit, you're halfway to anywhere".<ref>{{Cite magazine |last=Pournelle |first=Jerry P. |date=April 1974 |title=A Step Farther Out, Halfway to Anywhere |url=https://archive.org/details/Galaxy_v34n07_1974-04/page/n95/mode/2up |magazine=[[Galaxy Magazine]] |pages=94}}</ref> |
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The major advantages to construct a space habitat are accessibility to the Earth and already-existing economic motives such as [[space hotels]] and [[space manufacturing]], however, a big disadvantage is that orbit does not host any materials that is available for exploitation. Thus, outer space will not be a destination by itself, but as a place to host space infrastructures and an exploitation point for the [[service industry]]. Space colonization eventually will demand lifting vast amounts of payload into orbit, making thousands of daily launches potentially unsustainable. Various theoretical concepts, such as [[orbital ring]]s and [[Skyhook (structure)|skyhooks]], have been proposed to reduce the cost of accessing space.<ref name=":3" />{{Rp|page=|pages=142–147}} |
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===Expansion with fewer negative consequences=== |
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Aside from Earth's, there are no currently known biospheres, nor indigenous people to be displaced by the encroachment of progress. |
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=== Moon === |
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{{Main|Colonization of the Moon}} |
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Another argument for space colonization is to mitigate the negative effects of [[overpopulation]]. If the resources of space were opened to use and viable life-supporting habitats were built, Earth would no longer define the limitations of growth. |
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[[File:HLS Starship rendering.jpg|thumb|With the height of 50 meters and diameter of 9 meters, it has been proposed that [[Starship HLS]] can be turned into a [[Moonbase]] with little modifications.<ref>{{Cite conference |date=October 2021 |title=Solutions for Construction of a Lunar Base: A Proposal to Use the SpaceX Starship as a Permanent Habitat |url=https://www.researchgate.net/publication/356285358_Solutions_for_Construction_of_a_Lunar_Base_A_Proposal_to_Use_the_SpaceX_Starship_as_a_Permanent_Habitat |conference=72nd [[International Astronautical Congress]]}}</ref>]] |
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As of 2024, both [[China]] and the [[United States]] plan to establish scientific [[Moonbase]]s at the poles near [[permanently shadowed crater]]s in the 2030s. The [[Chinese Lunar Exploration Program]] aims to bolster its political influence and enhance its bid for [[superpower]] status, and the United States’ [[Artemis program]] seeks to maintain its position as the leading space power. A prestige imperative means that converting a scientific Moonbase into a Moon colony is likely to receive political and financial support.<ref name=":3" />{{Rp|page=|pages=154–158}} |
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The Moon is reachable from Earth in three days, has a near-instant communication to Earth, with minable minerals, no atmosphere, and low gravity, making it extremely easy to ship materials and products to orbit.<ref name=":3" />{{Rp|page=|pages=175}} There are only a few materials on the Moon which make economic sense to ship directly back to the Earth, which are [[helium-3]] (for [[fusion power]]) and rare-earth minerals (for [[electronics]]). Instead, it makes more sense for these materials to be used in-space or being turned into valuable products for export. Since the Moon has extreme temperature swings and toxic [[lunar regolith]], it is likely that the Moon will not become a place of habitation, but instead attract polluting [[Primary sector of the economy|extraction]] and [[Secondary sector of the economy|manufacturing industries]]. Moving these industries to the Moon will help protect the Earth's environment and allow poorer countries to be released from the shackles of [[neocolonialism]] by wealther countries. In the space colonization framework, the Moon will be transformed into an industrial hub of the Solar System.<ref name=":3" />{{Rp|page=|pages=161–172}} |
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Although Earth's resources do not grow, one more and more learns to exploit them effectively, and sometimes even almost completely, on the basis of [[nuclear engineering]].<ref>Doug Messier: [http://www.parabolicarc.com/2010/09/28/perminov-nuclear-engine-key-interplanetary-missions/ Perminov: Nuclear Engine Key to Interplanetary Missions]. ''Parabolicarc.com'', September 28, 2010, retrieved July 16, 2011</ref> In particular, progresses with the [[annihilation]] of matter could render spaceflight and colonization more efficient and affordable, to a revolutionary degree.<ref>{{cite book |title=[[:de:Raumfahrt (Sänger)|Raumfahrt]] |last=Sänger |first=Eugen |authorlink=Eugen Sänger |year=1963 |publisher=Econ Verlag |location=München |pages=376–377, 378}}</ref> Moreover, as extraterrestrial resources become available, demand on terrestrial ones would decline.<ref>O'Neill, ''Colonies in Space''; Pournelle, ''A Step Farther Out''.</ref> |
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=== Mars === |
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{{Main|Colonization of Mars}} |
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Additional goals cite the innate human drive to explore and discover, a quality recognized at the core of progress and thriving civilizations.<ref>[http://www.spacedaily.com/news/oped-03y.html The Space Settlement Summit], by John Carter McKnight; Space Daily, March 20, 2003</ref> |
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[[File:Artist’s rendering of the approach to Mars.jpg|thumb|SpaceX has long consider [[SpaceX Mars colonization program|settling and colonizing Mars]] as its prime objective.]] |
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While there have been many plans for a [[Human mission to Mars|human Mars mission]], including affordable ones such as [[Mars Direct]], none has been realized as of 2024. Both the United States and China has plans to send humans to Mars sometime in the 2040s, but these plans are backed with hardware and funding.<ref name=":3" />{{Rp|page=|pages=219–223}} However, [[SpaceX]] is currently developing [[SpaceX Starship|Starship]], a [[Super heavy-lift launch vehicle|super-heavy-lift reusable launch vehicle]], with a vision of sending humans to Mars. As of November 2024, the company plans to send five uncrewed Starships to Mars in either 2026 or 2028–2029 [[launch window]]s<ref>{{Cite web |title=SpaceX Plans To Send Five Uncrewed Starships to Mars by 2026 |url=https://www.cnet.com/science/space/spacex-plans-5-missions-to-mars-by-2026-elon-musk-says/ |access-date=2024-11-27 |website=CNET |language=en}}</ref> and SpaceX's CEO [[Elon Musk]] has repeatingly stated to back the Mars efforts financially and politically.<ref>{{Cite web |last=Koren |first=Marina |date=2024-11-05 |title=MAGA Goes to Mars |url=https://www.theatlantic.com/science/archive/2024/11/musk-trump-mars-spacex/680529/ |access-date=2024-11-27 |website=The Atlantic |language=en}}</ref> |
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Mars is more suitable for habitation than the Moon, with a stronger gravity, rich amount of materials needed for life, day/night cycle nearly identical to Earth, and a thin atmosphere to protect from [[Micrometeoroid|micrometeroids]]. The main disadvantage of Mars compared to the Moon is the six-to-nine-month transit time and the lengthy launch window, which occurs approximately every two years.<ref name=":3" />{{Rp|page=|pages=175}} Without [[In situ resource utilization|in situ resource utlization]], Mars colonization would be nearly impossible as it would require bringing thousands of tons of payload to sustain a handful of astronauts. If Martian materials can be used to make propellant (such as [[methane]] with the [[Sabatier reaction|Sabatier process]]) and supplies (such as [[oxygen]] for crews), the amount of supplies needed to bring to Mars can be greatly reduced.<ref name=":3" />{{Rp|page=|pages=228–230}} Even then, Mars colonies will not be economically viable in the near term, thus reasons for colonizing Mars will be mostly ideological and prestige-based, such as a desire for [[freedom]].<ref name=":3" />{{Rp|page=|pages=267–270, 280}} |
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In 2001, the space news website [[Space.com]] asked [[Freeman Dyson]], [[J. Richard Gott]] and [[Sid Goldstein]] for reasons why some humans should live in space. Their answers were:<ref name=dyson /> |
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=== Other bodies === |
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* Spread life and beauty throughout the [[universe]] |
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[[File:Solar system delta v map.svg|thumb|400x400px|[[Delta-v|Delta-''v'']] map of the Solar System. The map demostrates the amount of energy needed to reach from one destination in the Solar System to another.]] |
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* Ensure the [[Space and survival|survival of our species]] |
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* Make [[money]] through new forms of [[Commercialization of space|space commercialization]] such as [[space-based solar power|solar-power satellite]]s, [[asteroid mining]], and [[space manufacturing]] |
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* Save the [[environment (biophysical)|environment]] of Earth by moving people and industry into space |
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* Provide [[entertainment]] value in order to distract from immediate surroundings, [[space tourism]] |
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* Ensure sufficient supply of rare materials, including from the outer Solar System—[[natural gas]] (in connection with expected worldwide [[peak oil|hydrocarbons peak]]) and [[drinking water]] (in connection with expected worldwide [[water crisis|water shortage]]) |
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Once Earth orbit becomes a gateway point for spaceships, the Moon becomes an industrial hub and Mars becoming a place for space settlement, settling on other bodies in the Solar System become more attractive. These bodies are ordered based on economic feasibility. |
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[[Freeman Dyson]] has suggested that within a few centuries, the human race will have relocated to the [[Kuiper belt]],<ref>[[Freeman Dyson]], ''The Sun, The Genome, and The Internet'' (1999) Oxford University Press. ISBN 0-19-513922-4</ref> |
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* [[Colonization of the asteroid belt|Asteroids]]: Asteroids can provide enough material in the form of water, air, fuel, metal, soil, and nutrients to support ten to a hundred trillion humans in space. Many asteroids contain minerals that are inheriently valuable, such as rare earths and precious metals. However, low gravity, distance from Earth and disperse nature of their orbits make it difficult to settle on small asteroids.<ref name=":3" />{{Rp|page=|pages=203,204,218}} |
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[[Nick Bostrom]] has argued that from a [[utilitarianism|utilitarian]] perspective, space colonization should be a chief goal as it would enable a very large population to live for a very long period of time (possibly billions of years) which would produce an enormous amount of utility (or happiness). He claims that it is more important to reduce existential risks to increase the probability of eventual colonization than to accelerate technological development so that space colonization could happen sooner.<ref>Nick Bostrom - [http://www.nickbostrom.com/astronomical/waste.html Astronomical Waste: The Opportunity Cost of Delayed Technological Development]</ref> In his paper, he assumes that the created lives will have positive ethical value despite the problem of [[suffering]], or that [[Abolitionism (bioethics)|future technology could solve it]]. |
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* [[Colonization of Venus|Venus]]: Though the surface of Venus is extremely hostile, habitats high above the atmosphere of Venus are fairly habitable, with a temperature of around 50 °C and a pressure similar to the Earth's sea level. However, beside tourism opportunities, the economic benefit of a Venusian colonies is minimal.<ref name=":3" />{{Rp|page=|pages=308–310}} |
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* [[Colonization of Titan|Titan]]: Among all moons around [[Saturn]], Titan is the most attractive to colonization because of its dense atmosphere and vast lakes of [[hydrocarbon]]s. The biggest challenges for colonists are the distance from Earth, extreme cold, low gravity and the lack of solar energy on the surface.<ref name=":3" />{{Rp|pages=320–326}} |
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* Galilean moons around [[Jupiter]]: Radiation levels on [[Io (moon)|Io]] and [[Europa (moon)|Europa]] are extreme, enough to kill unshielded humans within an Earth day.<ref name="zoob2ttn">Robert Zubrin, ''Entering Space: Creating a Spacefaring Civilization'', section: Titan, pp. 163–170, Tarcher/Putnam, 1999, {{ISBN|978-1-58542-036-0}}</ref> Therefore, only [[Callisto (moon)|Callisto]] and perhaps [[Ganymede (moon)|Ganymede]] could reasonably support a human colony. Callisto orbits outside Jupiter's radiation belt.<ref name="Kerwick">{{cite journal |last1=Kerwick |first1=Thomas B. |date=2012 |title=Colonizing Jupiter's Moons: An Assessment of Our Options and Alternatives |url=https://www.jstor.org/stable/24536505 |journal=Journal of the Washington Academy of Sciences |volume=98 |issue=4 |pages=15–26 |jstor=24536505 |access-date=1 August 2021}}</ref> However, due to the extreme radiation and these moons do not contain precious minerals, it might be more practical to setup an orbiting space hub around Jupiter and visit these moons only briefly.<ref name=":3" />{{Rp|page=|pages=318–319}} |
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* Mercury: Mercury is rich of metals and volatiles, as well as solar energy. However, Mercury is the [[Delta-v budget|most energy-consuming body on the Solar System]] to land for spacecraft launching from Earth, and astronauts there must contend with the extreme temperature differential and radiation.<ref name=":3" />{{Rp|page=|pages=311–314}} |
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* Moons of [[Uranus]] and [[Neptune]], and [[Colonization of trans-Neptunian objects|trans-Neptunian objects]]: Due to the lack of scienfific knowledge, it is unknown whether settling on these worlds are feasible and economically viable.<ref name=":3" />{{Rp|page=333}} |
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== |
==History== |
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When the first space flight programs commenced, they partly used – and have continued to use – colonial spaces on Earth, such as places of [[indigenous peoples]] at the [[RAAF Woomera Range Complex]], [[Guiana Space Centre]] or contemporarily for astronomy at the [[Thirty Meter Telescope protests|Mauna Kea telescope]].<ref name="Smiles 2022">{{cite web | last=Smiles | first=Deondre | title=The Settler Logics of (Outer) Space | website=Society & Space | date=2022-05-30 | url=https://www.societyandspace.org/articles/the-settler-logics-of-outer-space | access-date=2022-10-15}}</ref><ref name="Gorman 2005 pp. 85–107">{{cite journal | last=Gorman | first=Alice | title=The cultural landscape of interplanetary space | journal=Journal of Social Archaeology | publisher=SAGE Publications | volume=5 | issue=1 | year=2005 | issn=1469-6053 | doi=10.1177/1469605305050148 | pages=85–107| s2cid=144152006 }}</ref><ref name="nationColonial">{{cite web |author=Durrani |first=Haris |date=19 July 2019 |title=Is Spaceflight Colonialism |url=https://www.thenation.com/article/world/apollo-space-lunar-rockets-colonialism/ |access-date=15 October 2022 |publisher=The Nation}}</ref> When orbital spaceflight was achieved in the 1950s [[colonialism]] was still a strong international project, e.g. easing the United States to advance [[United States space program|its space program]] and space in general as part of a "[[New Frontier]]".<ref>{{cite journal |author=Marshall |first=Alan |date=February 1995 |title=Development and imperialism in space |url=https://www.researchgate.net/publication/222641231 |journal=Space Policy |volume=11 |issue=1 |pages=41–52 |bibcode=1995SpPol..11...41M |doi=10.1016/0265-9646(95)93233-B |access-date=2020-06-28}}</ref> |
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There will be a very high initial investment costs of space colonies and permanent space infrastructure. However, proponents argue that the long-term vision of developing space infrastructure is that it will provide long-term benefits far in excess of the initial start-up costs. Therefore, such a development program should be viewed more as a long-term investment and not like current social spending programs that incur spending commitments but provide little or no return on that investment. |
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At the same time of the beginning of the [[Space Age]], [[decolonization]] gained again in force, producing many newly [[independence|independent]] countries. These newly independent countries confronted spacefaring countries, demanding an anti-colonial stance and regulation of space activity when [[space law]] was raised and negotiated internationally. Fears of confrontations because of [[land grab]]s and an [[arms race]] [[Militarization of space|in space]] between the few countries with spaceflight capabilities grew and were ultimately shared by the spacefaring countries themselves.<ref name="Wilson Center 2021">{{cite web | title=The Global Legal Landscape of Space: Who Writes the Rules on the Final Frontier? | website=Wilson Center | date=2021-10-01 | url=https://www.wilsoncenter.org/article/global-legal-landscape-space-who-writes-rules-final-frontier | access-date=2022-10-14}}</ref> This produced the wording of the agreed on international space law, starting with the [[Outer Space Treaty]] of 1967, calling space a "[[common heritage of humanity|province of all mankind]]" and securing provisions for international regulation and sharing of outer space. |
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Because current space launch costs are so high (on the order of $4,000 to $40,000 per kilogram launched into orbit) any serious plan to develop space infrastructure at a reasonable cost must include developing the ability of that infrastructure to manufacture most or all of its requirements, plus those for permanent human habitation in space, through [[in-situ resource utilization]]. Therefore, the initial investments must be made in the development of the initial capacity to provide these necessities: materials, energy, transportation, communication, life support, radiation protection, self-replication, and population. |
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The advent of [[geostationary satellite]]s raised the case of limited space in outer space. A group of [[equator]]ial countries, all of which were countries that were once colonies of colonial empires, but without spaceflight capabilities, signed in 1976 the [[Bogota Declaration]]. These countries declared that [[geostationary orbit]] is a limited natural resource and belongs to the equatorial countries directly below, seeing it not as part of outer space, humanity's [[Commons|common]]. Through this, the declaration challenged the dominance of geostationary orbit by spacefaring countries through identifying their dominance as imperialistic. Furthermore this dominance in space has foreshadowed threats to the Outer Space Treaty guaranteed accessibility to space, as in the case of [[space debris]] which is ever increasing because of a lack of access regulation.<ref name="Columbia Journal of Transnational Law 2017">{{cite web | title=The Bogotá Declaration: A Case Study on Sovereignty, Empire, and the Commons in Outer Space | website=Columbia Journal of Transnational Law | date=2017-12-05 | url=http://jtl.columbia.edu/the-bogota-declaration-a-case-study-on-sovereignty-empire-and-the-commons-in-outer-space/ | archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20200121062356/http://jtl.columbia.edu/the-bogota-declaration-a-case-study-on-sovereignty-empire-and-the-commons-in-outer-space/ | archive-date=2020-01-21 | url-status=dead | access-date=2022-10-15}}</ref><ref name="Biondi 2018">{{cite web |last=Biondi |first=Charleyne |date=2018-01-21 |title=Haris A. Durrani – The Bogotá Declaration: A Global Uprising? – Uprising 13/13 |url=https://blogs.law.columbia.edu/uprising1313/haris-a-durrani-the-bogota-declaration-a-global-uprising/ |access-date=2022-10-15 |website=Log In ‹ Blogs @ Columbia Law School}}</ref><ref name="Collis 2009 pp. 47–65">{{cite journal | last=Collis | first=Christy | title=The Geostationary Orbit: A Critical Legal Geography of Space's Most Valuable Real Estate | journal=The Sociological Review | publisher=SAGE Publications | volume=57 | issue=1_suppl | year=2009 | issn=0038-0261 | doi=10.1111/j.1467-954x.2009.01816.x | pages=47–65| s2cid=127857448 }}</ref> |
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Although some items of the infrastructure requirements above can already be easily produced on the Earth and would therefore not be very valuable as trade items (oxygen, water, base metal ores, silicates, etc.), other high value items are more abundant, more easily produced, of higher quality, or can only be produced in space. These would provide (over the long-term) a very high return on the initial investment in space infrastructure.<ref>[http://www.spacefuture.com/archive/the_technical_and_economic_feasibility_of_mining_the_near_earth_asteriods.shtml The Technical and Economic Feasibility of Mining the Near-Earth Asteroids] Presented at 49th IAF Congress, Sept 28 - Oct 2, 1998, Melbourne, Australia by Mark J Sonter — Space Future</ref> |
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In 1977, the first sustained space habitat, the [[Salyut 6]] station, was put into Earth's orbit. Eventually the first space stations were succeeded by the [[ISS]], today's largest [[human outpost]] in space and closest to a space settlement. Built and operated under a multilateral regime, it has become a blueprint for future stations, such as [[Lunar Gateway|around]] and possibly [[Moonbase|on the Moon]].<ref name="Foust 2018">{{cite web | last=Foust | first=Jeff | title=Is the Gateway the right way to the moon? | website=SpaceNews | date=2018-12-25 | url=https://spacenews.com/is-the-gateway-the-right-way-to-the-moon/ | access-date=2022-10-15}}</ref><ref name="ESA Blog Navigator – Navigator page for active ESA blogs 2016">{{cite web | title=Moon Village: A vision for global cooperation and Space 4.0 – Jan Wörner's blog | website=ESA Blog Navigator – Navigator page for active ESA blogs | date=2016-11-23 | url=https://blogs.esa.int/janwoerner/2016/11/23/moon-village/ | access-date=2022-10-15}}</ref> An international regime for lunar activity was demanded by the international [[Moon Treaty]], but is currently developed multilaterally as with the [[Artemis Accords]].<ref name="The Space Review 2020">{{cite web |date=June 29, 2020 |title=The Space Review: The Artemis Accords: repeating the mistakes of the Age of Exploration |url=https://www.thespacereview.com/article/3975/1 |access-date=October 14, 2022 |website=The Space Review}}</ref><ref name="The Space Treaty Institute – Dedicated to Peace and Sustainability in Outer Space. Our Mission">{{cite web | title=The Space Treaty Institute – Dedicated to Peace and Sustainability in Outer Space. Our Mission: To give people Hope and Inspiration by helping the nations of Earth to build a Common Future | website=The Space Treaty Institute – Dedicated to Peace and Sustainability in Outer Space. Our Mission | url=http://www.spacetreaty.org/ | access-date=Oct 14, 2022}}</ref> The only habitation on a different celestial body so far have been the temporary habitats of the crewed [[lunar lander]]s. Similar to the Artemis program, China is leading an effort to develop a lunar base called the [[International Lunar Research Station]] beginning in the 2030s. |
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Some of these high trade value goods include precious metals,<ref name="members.nova.org">[http://members.nova.org/~sol/station/ast-mine.htm Asteroid Mining] - Sol Station</ref><ref>{{Cite news|last=Whitehouse|first=David|title=Gold rush in space?|publisher=BBC|date=22 July 1999|url=http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/sci/tech/401227.stm|accessdate=2009-05-25}}</ref> gem stones,<ref name="tricitiesnet.com">[http://www.tricitiesnet.com/donsastronomy/mining.html Asteroid Mining for Profit] Don's Astronomy Pages</ref> power,<ref>[http://www.spacefuture.com/archive/conceptual_study_of_a_solar_power_satellite_sps_2000.shtml Conceptual Study of A Solar Power Satellite, SPS 2000] By Makoto Nagatomo, Susumu Sasaki and Yoshihiro Naruo — Proceedings of the 19th International Symposium on Space Technology and Science, Yokohama, JAPAN, May 1994, pp. 469-476 Paper No. ISTS-94-e-04 - Space Future</ref> solar cells,<ref name="panix.com">[http://www.panix.com/~kingdon/space/manuf.html Space Manufacturing] - Jim Kingdon's space markets page.</ref> ball bearings,<ref name="panix.com"/> semi-conductors,<ref name="panix.com"/> and pharmaceuticals.<ref name="panix.com"/> |
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===Conceptual=== |
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{{Cquote|... the smallest Earth-crossing asteroid [[3554 Amun]] ... is a mile-wide (2 km) lump of iron, nickel, cobalt, platinum, and other metals; it contains 30 times as much metal as Humans have mined throughout history, although it is only the smallest of dozens of known metallic asteroids and worth perhaps US$ 20 trillion if mined slowly to meet demand at 2001 market prices.<ref name="members.nova.org"/>}} |
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{{Further|Extraterrestriality|Space colonization#In media and fiction}} |
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Space colonization is seen as a long-term goal of some national [[space program]]s. Since the advent of the 21st century commercialization of space, which opened cooperation between [[NASA]] and the private sector, several private companies have announced plans toward the colonization of [[Mars]]. Among entrepreneurs leading the call for space colonization are [[Elon Musk]], [[Dennis Tito]] and [[w:Mars One|Bas Lansdorp]].<ref>[http://www.thesun.co.uk/sol/homepage/news/4729211/Billionaire-PayPal-founder-announces-Mars-city-bid.html Billionaire PayPal founder announces dramatic Mars city bid], by Jack Losh; The Sun, January 6, 2013</ref><ref>[http://www.nytimes.com/2013/03/09/business/global/reality-tv-for-the-red-planet.html Reality TV for the Red Planet], by Nicola Clark; The New York Times, March 8, 2013</ref><ref>[http://news.nationalgeographic.com/news/2013/02/130222-manned-mission-mars-tito-space-science/ Businessman Dennis Tito Financing Manned Mission to Mars], by Jane J. Lee; National Geographic News, February 22, 2013</ref> |
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In the first half of the 17th century [[John Wilkins]] suggested in ''A Discourse Concerning a New Planet'' that future adventurers like [[Francis Drake]] and [[Christopher Columbus]] might reach the Moon and allow people to live there.<ref>{{cite web |author=Haskins |first=Caroline |date=14 August 2018 |title=THE RACIST LANGUAGE OF SPACE EXPLORATION |url=https://theoutline.com/post/5809/the-racist-language-of-space-exploration?zd=3&zi=v4x73sgl |access-date=1 November 2020}}</ref> The first known work on space colonization was the 1869 novella ''[[The Brick Moon]]'' by [[Edward Everett Hale]], about an inhabited artificial satellite.<ref>E. E. Hale. "[[The Brick Moon]]". ''Atlantic Monthly'', Vol. 24, 1869.</ref> In 1897, [[Kurd Lasswitz]] also wrote about space colonies. The Russian rocket science pioneer [[Konstantin Tsiolkovsky]] foresaw elements of the space community in his book ''Beyond Planet Earth'' written about 1900. Tsiolkovsky imagined his space travelers building greenhouses and raising crops in space.<ref>K. E. Tsiolkovsky. ''Beyond Planet Earth''. Trans. by Kenneth Syers. Oxford, 1960.</ref> Tsiolkovsky believed that going into space would help perfect human beings, leading to immortality and peace.<ref name="bio">[http://www.informatics.org/museum/tsiol.html The life of Konstantin Eduardovitch Tsiolkovsky 1857–1935], {{webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20120615044125/http://www.informatics.org/museum/tsiol.html|date=June 15, 2012}}.</ref> One of the first to speak about space colonization was [[Cecil Rhodes]] who in 1902 spoke about "these stars that you see overhead at night, these vast worlds which we can never reach", adding "I would annex the planets if I could; I often think of that. It makes me sad to see them so clear and yet so far".<ref>{{cite book |last1=Pop |first1=Virgiliu |title=Who Owns the Moon? Extraterrestrial Aspects of Land and Mineral Resources Ownership |date=2008 |publisher=Springer |page=13}}</ref> In the 1920s [[John Desmond Bernal]], [[Hermann Oberth]], [[Guido von Pirquet]] and [[Herman Noordung]] further developed the idea. [[Wernher von Braun]] contributed his ideas in a 1952 ''Colliers'' magazine article. In the 1950s and 1960s, [[Dandridge M. Cole]]<ref>Dandridge M. Cole and Donald W. Cox ''Islands in Space.'' Chilton, 1964.</ref> published his ideas. Another seminal book on the subject was the book ''The High Frontier: Human Colonies in Space'' by [[Gerard K. O'Neill]]<ref name=":1">G. K. O'Neill. ''The High Frontier: Human Colonies in Space''. Morrow, 1977.</ref> in 1977 which was followed the same year by ''Colonies in Space'' by [[T. A. Heppenheimer]].<ref>T. A. Heppenheimer. ''Colonies in Space''. Stackpole Books, 1977.</ref> [[Marianne J. Dyson]] wrote ''Home on the Moon; Living on a Space Frontier'' in 2003;<ref>Marianne J. Dyson: Living on a Space Frontier. National Geographic, 2003.</ref> [[Peter Eckart]] wrote ''Lunar Base Handbook'' in 2006<ref>Peter Eckart. ''Lunar Base Handbook''. McGraw-Hill, 2006.</ref> and then [[Harrison Schmitt]]'s ''Return to the Moon'' written in 2007.<ref>Harrison H. Schmitt. ''Return to the Moon''. Springer, 2007.</ref> |
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==Law, governance, and sovereignty== |
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Potential sites for space colonies include the [[Moon]], [[Mars]], [[asteroid]]s and free-floating [[space habitat]]s. Ample quantities of [[ISRU|all the necessary materials]], such as [[solar power|solar energy]] and water, are available from or on the Moon, Mars, [[near-Earth asteroid]]s or other planetary bodies. |
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{{Main|Space law|Space policy|Common heritage of humanity|Extraterrestrial real estate}} |
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Space activity is legally based on the [[Outer Space Treaty]], the main international treaty. But [[space law]] has become a larger legal field, which includes other international agreements such as the significantly less ratified [[Moon Treaty]] and diverse national laws. |
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In 2005, then [[NASA]] Administrator [[Michael D. Griffin|Michael Griffin]] identified space colonization as the ultimate goal of current spaceflight programs, saying: |
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{{cquote|... the goal isn't just scientific exploration ... it's also about extending the range of human habitat out from Earth into the solar system as we go forward in time ... In the long run a single-planet species will not survive ... If we humans want to survive for hundreds of thousands or millions of years, we must ultimately populate other planets. Now, today the technology is such that this is barely conceivable. We're in the infancy of it. ... I'm talking about that one day, I don't know when that day is, but there will be more human beings who live off the Earth than on it. We may well have people living on the Moon. We may have people living on the moons of Jupiter and other planets. We may have people making habitats on asteroids ... I know that humans will colonize the solar system and one day go beyond.|[[Michael D. Griffin]]<ref>{{Cite news| url=http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2005/09/23/AR2005092301691.html| title=NASA's Griffin: 'Humans Will Colonize the Solar System'|date=September 25, 2005| publisher=Washington Post| pages=B07}}</ref>}} |
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The Outer Space Treaty established the basic ramifications for space activity in article one: "The exploration and use of outer space, including the Moon and other celestial bodies, shall be carried out for the benefit and in the interests of all countries, irrespective of their degree of economic or scientific development, and shall be the province of all mankind." |
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{{Cquote|In the 2,900 km³ of Eros, there is more aluminium, gold, silver, zinc and other base and precious metals than have ever been excavated in history or indeed, could ever be excavated from the upper layers of the Earth's crust.<ref name="tricitiesnet.com"/>}} |
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And continued in article two by stating: "Outer space, including the Moon and other celestial bodies, is not subject to national appropriation by claim of sovereignty, by means of use or occupation, or by any other means."<ref name=unoda>{{cite web | url=http://disarmament.un.org/treaties/t/outer_space | title = Treaty on Principles Governing the Activities of States in the Exploration and Use of Outer Space, including the Moon and Other Celestial Bodies | access-date = 7 November 2020 | publisher= [[United Nations Office for Disarmament Affairs]]}}</ref> |
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The main impediments to commercial exploitation of these resources are the very high cost of initial investment,<ref>{{Cite journal|last=Lee|first=Ricky J.|title=Costing and financing a commercial asteroid mining venture|publisher=54th International Astronautical Congress|location=Bremen, Germany|year=2003|id=IAC-03-IAA.3.1.06|url=http://www.aiaa.org/content.cfm?pageid=406&gTable=Paper&gID=16257|accessdate=2009-05-25}}</ref> the very long period required for the expected return on those investments (''The Eros Project'' plans a 50 year development.<ref>[http://www.orbdev.com/erosproj.html The Eros Project] - Orbital Development</ref>), and the fact that the thing has never been done before — the high-risk nature of the investment. |
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The development of international space law has revolved much around outer space being defined as [[common heritage of mankind]]. The ''Magna Carta of Space'' presented by William A. Hyman in 1966 framed outer space explicitly not as ''[[terra nullius]]'' but as ''[[res communis]]'', which subsequently influenced the work of the [[United Nations Committee on the Peaceful Uses of Outer Space]].<ref name="Durrani 2019"/><ref>{{cite web |author=Lock |first=Alexander |date=6 June 2015 |title=Space: The Final Frontier |url=https://blogs.bl.uk/digitisedmanuscripts/2015/06/space-the-final-frontier.html |access-date=2 November 2020 |website=The British Library – Medieval manuscripts blog}}</ref> |
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==Space colony types== |
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There are two main types of space colonies: |
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*Surface-based ones that would exist of the surfaces of planets, moons, etc. |
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*Space habitats — free-floating stations that would be in orbit around a planet, moon, etc. or in an independent orbit around the sun. |
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There is considerable debate among space settlement advocates as to which type (and associated locations for it) represents the better option for expanding humanity into space. |
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==Reasons== |
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===Space habitats=== |
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{{Main|Space habitat}} |
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[[File:Spacecolony3edit.jpeg|thumb|right|Interior view of an [[O'Neill cylinder]]]] |
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Locations in space would necessitate a [[space habitat]], also called space colony and orbital colony, or a [[space station]] which would be intended as a permanent settlement rather than as a simple waystation or other specialized facility. They would be literal "cities" in space, where people would live and work and raise families. Many designs have been proposed with varying degrees of realism by both [[science fiction]] authors and [[scientist]]s. Such a space habitat could be isolated from the rest of humanity but near enough to [[Earth]] for help. This would test if thousands of humans can survive on their own before sending them beyond the reach of help. |
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===Survival of human civilization=== |
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[[Image:Spacecolony1.jpg|thumb|left|O'Neill cylinders space colony ([[Island Three]] design from the 1970s)]] |
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{{Main|Space and survival}} |
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A primary argument calling for space colonization is the long-term survival of human civilization and terrestrial life.<ref>{{Cite web|last=Piper|first=Kelsey|date=2018-10-22|title=Jeff Bezos and Elon Musk want to colonize space to save humanity|url=https://www.vox.com/future-perfect/2018/10/22/17991736/jeff-bezos-elon-musk-colonizing-mars-moon-space-blue-origin-spacex|access-date=2021-04-02|website=Vox|language=en}}</ref> By developing alternative locations off Earth, the planet's species, including humans, could live on in the event of [[Global catastrophic risk|natural or human-made disasters on Earth]].<ref>{{cite book |last=Kaku |first=Michio |author-link=Michio Kaku |title=The Future of Humanity: Terraforming Mars, Interstellar Travel, Immortality, and Our Destiny Beyond Earth |publisher=Doubleday |year=2018 |isbn=978-0385542760 |pages=3–6 |quote=It is as inescapable as the laws of physics that humanity will one day confront some type of [[extinction]]-level [[Extinction event|event]]. ... [W]e face threats [that include] [[global warming]] ... [[Biological warfare|weaponized microbes]] ... [[Quaternary glaciation|the onset of another ice age]] ... the possibility that [[Yellowstone Caldera|the supervolcano under Yellowstone National Park]] may awaken from its long slumber ... [and] another [[Impact event|meteor or cometary impact]] . ... [from one of the] several thousand [[Near-Earth object|NEOs (near-Earth objects)]] that cross the orbit of the Earth. ... Life is too precious to be placed on a single planet . ... Perhaps our fate is to become a multiplanet species that lives [[Interstellar travel|among the stars]].}}</ref> |
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==Method== |
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Building colonies in space would require access to water, food, space, people, construction materials, energy, transportation, [[communication]]s, [[life support system|life support]], [[simulated gravity]], [[radiation]] protection and capital investment. It is likely the colonies would be located by proximity to the necessary physical resources. The practice of [[space architecture]] seeks to transform spaceflight from a heroic test of human endurance to a normality within the bounds of comfortable experience. As is true of other frontier opening endeavors, the capital investment necessary for space colonization would probably come from the state,<ref>[http://www.jetpress.org/volume4/space.htm John Hickman "The Political Economy of Very Large Space Projects" John Hickman. ''Journal of Evolution and Technology'']</ref> an argument made by John Hickman<ref>John Hickman. 2010. '''Reopening the Space Frontier'''. Common Ground. ISBN 978-1-86335-800-2.</ref> and [[Neil deGrasse Tyson]].<ref>Neil deGrasse Tyson. 2012. '''Space Chronicles: Facing the Ultimate Frontier'''. W. W. Norton & Company. ISBN 978-0-393-08210-4.</ref> |
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On two occasions, theoretical physicist and cosmologist [[Stephen Hawking]] argued for space colonization as a means of saving humanity. In 2001, Hawking predicted that the human race would become extinct within the next thousand years unless colonies could be established in space.<ref>{{cite news |last=Highfield |first=Roger |url=https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/uknews/1359562/Colonies-in-space-may-be-only-hope-says-Hawking.html |title=Colonies in space may be only hope, says Hawking |work=The Telegraph |date=16 October 2001 |access-date=5 August 2012 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20090426232042/http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/uknews/1359562/Colonies-in-space-may-be-only-hope-says-Hawking.html |archive-date=26 April 2009 |url-status=live}}</ref> In 2010, he stated that humanity faces two options: either we colonize space within the next two hundred years, or we will face the long-term prospect of [[Human extinction|extinction]].<ref>{{cite news|agency=Press Association|date=2010-08-09|title=Stephen Hawking: mankind must colonise space or die out|language=en-GB|work=The Guardian|url=https://www.theguardian.com/science/2010/aug/09/stephen-hawking-human-race-colonise-space|access-date=2020-06-20|issn=0261-3077}}</ref> |
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===Materials=== |
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In 2005, then [[NASA]] Administrator [[Michael D. Griffin|Michael Griffin]] identified space colonization as the ultimate goal of current spaceflight programs, saying: |
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Colonies on the Moon, Mars, or asteroids could [[In-situ resource utilization|extract local materials]]. The Moon is deficient in [[volatiles]] such as [[argon]], [[helium]] and compounds of [[carbon]], [[hydrogen]] and [[nitrogen]]. The LCROSS impacter was targeted at the Cabeus crater which was chosen as having a high concentration of water for the Moon. A plume of material erupted in which some water was detected. Anthony Colaprete estimated that the Cabeus crater contains material with 1% water or possibly more.<ref>{{Cite news| url=http://articles.sfgate.com/2009-11-14/news/17180950_1_crater_lcross-spacecraft | work=The San Francisco Chronicle | first=David | last=Perlman | title=NASA's moon blast called a smashing success | date=2009-11-14}}</ref> Water [[ice]] should also be in other permanently shadowed craters near the lunar poles. Although helium is present only in low concentrations on the Moon, where it is deposited into [[regolith]] by the solar wind, an estimated million tons of He-3 exists over all.<ref>http://www.satnews.com/stories2007/4588/</ref> It also has industrially significant [[oxygen]], [[silicon]], and metals such as [[iron]], [[aluminum]], and [[titanium]]. |
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{{blockquote|... the goal isn't just scientific exploration ... it's also about extending the range of human habitat out from Earth into the solar system as we go forward in time ... In the long run, a single-planet species will not survive ... If we humans want to survive for hundreds of thousands of millions of years, we must ultimately populate other planets. Now, today the technology is such that this is barely conceivable. We're in the infancy of it. ... I'm talking about that one day, I don't know when that day is, but there will be more human beings who live off the Earth than on it. We may well have people living on the Moon. We may have people living on the moons of Jupiter and other planets. We may have people making habitats on asteroids ... I know that humans will colonize the solar system and one day go beyond.<ref>{{cite news| url=https://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2005/09/23/AR2005092301691.html| title=NASA's Griffin: 'Humans Will Colonize the Solar System'| date=September 25, 2005| newspaper=Washington Post| page=B07| access-date=September 14, 2017| archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20110604141654/http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2005/09/23/AR2005092301691.html| archive-date=June 4, 2011| url-status=live}}</ref>|sign=|source=}} |
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[[Louis J. Halle Jr.]], formerly of the [[United States Department of State]], wrote in ''[[Foreign Affairs]]'' (Summer 1980) that the colonization of space will protect humanity in the event of global [[nuclear warfare]].<ref>{{cite journal |url=http://www.foreignaffairs.org/19800601faessay8146/louis-j-halle/a-hopeful-future-for-mankind.html |title=A Hopeful Future for Mankind |first=Louis J. |last=Halle |journal=Foreign Affairs |date=Summer 1980 |doi=10.2307/20040585 |volume=58 |issue=5 |pages=1129–36 |url-status=dead |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20041013051342/http://www.foreignaffairs.org/19800601faessay8146/louis-j-halle/a-hopeful-future-for-mankind.html |archive-date=2004-10-13 |jstor=20040585}}</ref> The physicist [[Paul Davies]] also supports the view that if a planetary catastrophe threatens the survival of the human species on Earth, a self-sufficient colony could "reverse-colonize" Earth and restore [[Civilization|human civilization]]. The author and journalist [[William E. Burrows]] and the biochemist [[Robert Shapiro (chemist)|Robert Shapiro]] proposed a private project, the [[Alliance to Rescue Civilization]], with the goal of establishing an off-Earth "[[backup]]" of human civilization.<ref>{{cite news |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2006/08/01/science/01arc.html |title=Life After Earth: Imagining Survival Beyond This Terra Firma |newspaper=The New York Times |first=Richard |last=Morgan |date=2006-08-01 |access-date=2010-05-23 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20090417023904/http://www.nytimes.com/2006/08/01/science/01arc.html |archive-date=2009-04-17 |url-status=live}}</ref> |
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Launching materials from Earth is expensive, so bulk materials for colonies could come from the Moon, a [[near-Earth object]], [[Phobos (moon)|Phobos]], or [[Deimos (moon)|Deimos]]. The benefits of using such sources include: a lower gravitational force, there is no [[Drag (physics)|atmospheric drag]] on cargo vessels, and there is no biosphere to damage. Many NEOs contain substantial amounts of metals. Underneath a drier outer crust (much like [[oil shale]]), some other NEOs are inactive comets which include billions of tons of water ice and [[kerogen]] hydrocarbons, as well as some nitrogen compounds.<ref>{{cite conference |url=http://dx.doi.org/10.1061/40177(207)107 |title=Discovery of Abundant, Accessible Hydrocarbons nearly Everywhere in the Solar System |last1= Zuppero|first1= Anthony |year= 1996 |publisher= [[American Society of Civil Engineers|ASCE]] |booktitle= Proceedings of the Fifth International Conference on Space '96 |doi= 10.1061/40177(207)107|isbn= 0-7844-0177-2}}</ref> |
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Based on his [[Copernican principle]], [[J. Richard Gott]] has estimated that the human race could survive for another 7.8 million years, but it is not likely to ever colonize other planets. However, he expressed a hope to be proven wrong, because "colonizing other worlds is our best chance to hedge our bets and improve the survival prospects of our species".<ref>{{cite news |last=Tierney |first=John |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2007/07/17/science/17tier.html?ex=1342324800&en=ccf375ae9f268470&ei=5090&partner=rssuserland&emc=rss |title=A Survival Imperative for Space Colonization |date=July 17, 2007 |work=The New York Times |access-date=February 23, 2017 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20170629081936/http://www.nytimes.com/2007/07/17/science/17tier.html?ex=1342324800&en=ccf375ae9f268470&ei=5090&partner=rssuserland&emc=rss |archive-date=June 29, 2017 |url-status=live}}</ref> |
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Farther out, [[Colonization of the outer Solar System#Trojan asteroids|Jupiter's Trojan asteroids]] are thought to be high in water ice and other volatiles.<ref>{{Cite news|last=Sanders|first=Robert|title=Binary asteroid in Jupiter's orbit may be icy comet from solar system's infancy|date=1 February 2006|publisher=UC Berkeley|url=http://www.berkeley.edu/news/media/releases/2006/02/01_patroclus.shtml|accessdate=2009-05-25}}</ref> |
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In a theoretical study from 2019, a group of researchers have pondered the long-term trajectory of human civilization.<ref name=sb01>{{cite journal |last=Baum |first=Seth D. |author-link=Seth Baum |display-authors=etal |date=2019 |title=Long-Term Trajectories of Human Civilization |url=http://gcrinstitute.org/papers/trajectories.pdf |journal=Foresight |volume=21 |issue=1 |location=Bingley |publisher=Emerald Group Publishing |doi=10.1108/FS-04-2018-0037 |pages=53–83 |s2cid=52042667 |access-date=2019-09-23 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20200102042937/http://gcrinstitute.org/papers/trajectories.pdf |archive-date=2020-01-02 |url-status=live}}</ref> It is argued that due to Earth's finitude as well as the [[Formation and evolution of the Solar System#The Sun and planetary environments|limited duration of the Solar System]], mankind's survival into the far future will very likely require extensive space colonization.<ref name=sb01/>{{rp|8, 22f}} This 'astronomical trajectory' of mankind, as it is termed, could come about in four steps: First step, space colonies could be established at various habitable locations — be it in outer space or on [[Astronomical object|celestial bodies]] away from Earth – and allowed to remain temporarily dependent on support from Earth. In the second step, these colonies could gradually become self-sufficient, enabling them to survive if or when the mother civilization on Earth fails or dies. Third step, the colonies could develop and expand their habitation by themselves on their [[space station]]s or celestial bodies, for example via [[terraforming]]. In the fourth step, the colonies could self-replicate and establish new colonies further into space, a process that could then repeat itself and continue at an [[Exponential growth|exponential rate]] throughout the cosmos. However, this astronomical trajectory may not be a lasting one, as it will most likely be interrupted and eventually decline due to resource depletion or straining competition between various human factions, bringing about some 'star wars' scenario.<ref name=sb01/>{{rp|23–25}} |
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[[Recycling]] of some raw materials would almost certainly be necessary. |
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===Vast resources in space=== |
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{{Further|Asteroid mining}} |
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{{See also | Steady-state economy #Pushing some of the terrestrial limits into outer space }} |
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Resources in space, both in materials and energy, are enormous. The [[Solar System]] has enough material and energy to support anywhere from several thousand to over a billion times that of the current Earth-based human population, mostly from the Sun itself.<ref>Estimated 3000 times the land area of Earth. O'Neill, Gerard K. (1976, 2000). ''[[The High Frontier]]''. Apogee Books. {{ISBN|1-896522-67-X}}.</ref><ref>Estimated 10 quadrillion (10<sup>16</sup>) people. Lewis, John S. (1997). ''[[Mining the Sky|Mining the Sky: Untold Riches from the Asteroids, Comets, and Planets]].'' Helix Books/Addison-Wesley. {{ISBN|0-201-32819-4}} version 3.</ref><ref>Estimated 5 quintillion (5 x 10<sup>18</sup>) people. Savage, Marshall (1992, 1994). ''[[The Millennial Project: Colonizing the Galaxy in Eight Easy Steps]].'' Little, Brown. {{ISBN|0-316-77163-5}}.</ref> |
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Asteroid mining will likely be a key player in space colonization. Water and materials to make structures and shielding can be easily found in asteroids. Instead of resupplying on Earth, mining and fuel stations need to be established on asteroids to facilitate better space travel.<ref>[https://www.nasa.gov/directorates/spacetech/niac/2017_Phase_I_Phase_II/Sustainable_Human_Exploration Optical Mining of Asteroids, Moons, and Planets to Enable Sustainable Human Exploration and Space Industrialization], {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20200304024010/https://www.nasa.gov/directorates/spacetech/niac/2017_Phase_I_Phase_II/Sustainable_Human_Exploration/|date=2020-03-04}}; April 6, 2017; NASA.</ref> Optical mining is the term NASA uses to describe extracting materials from asteroids. NASA believes by using propellant derived from asteroids for exploration to the moon, Mars, and beyond will save $100 billion. If funding and technology come sooner than estimated, asteroid mining might be possible within a decade.<ref>[https://www.forbes.com/sites/brucedorminey/2016/05/24/how-to-optically-mine-water-from-an-asteroid/#37f0e05c389f Turning Near-Earth Asteroids Into Strategically-Placed Fuel Dumps], {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20170918065620/https://www.forbes.com/sites/brucedorminey/2016/05/24/how-to-optically-mine-water-from-an-asteroid/#37f0e05c389f|date=2017-09-18}}; May 24, 2016; Forbes.</ref> |
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===Energy=== |
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[[Solar energy]] in orbit is abundant, reliable, and is commonly used to power satellites today. There is no night in free space, and no clouds or atmosphere to block sunlight. The solar energy available at any distance, ''d'', from the Sun can be calculated by the formula ''E'' = 1367/''d''² watts per square meter, where ''d'' is measured in [[astronomical unit]]s.<ref>McGRAW-HILL ENCYCLOPEDIA OF Science & Technology, 8th Edition (c)1997; vol. 16 page 654</ref> |
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Although some items of the infrastructure requirements above can already be easily produced on Earth and would therefore not be very valuable as trade items (oxygen, water, base metal ores, silicates, etc.), other high-value items are more abundant, more easily produced, of higher quality, or can only be produced in space. These could provide (over the long-term) a high return on the initial investment in space infrastructure.<ref>Mark J. Sonter. [http://www.spacefuture.com/archive/the_technical_and_economic_feasibility_of_mining_the_near_earth_asteriods.shtml The Technical and Economic Feasibility of Mining the Near-Earth Asteroids], {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20080815034645/http://www.spacefuture.com/archive/the_technical_and_economic_feasibility_of_mining_the_near_earth_asteriods.shtml|date=2008-08-15}}. Presented at 49th IAF Congress, September 28 – October 2, 1998, Melbourne, Australia. Space Future.</ref> |
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Particularly in the weightless conditions of space, sunlight can be used directly, using large [[solar ovens]] made of lightweight metallic foil so as to generate thousands of degrees of heat; or reflected onto crops to enable [[photosynthesis]] to proceed. |
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Some of these high-value trade goods include precious metals,<ref name="members.nova.org">[http://members.nova.org/~sol/station/ast-mine.htm Asteroid Mining], {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20080512000822/http://members.nova.org/~sol/station/ast-mine.htm|date=2008-05-12}}. Sol Station.</ref><ref>{{Cite news|last=Whitehouse|first=David|title=Gold rush in space?|publisher=BBC|date=22 July 1999|url=http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/sci/tech/401227.stm|access-date=2009-05-25|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20080307111033/http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/sci/tech/401227.stm|archive-date=7 March 2008|url-status=live}}</ref> gemstones,<ref name="tricitiesnet.com">{{cite web |url=http://www.tricitiesnet.com/donsastronomy/mining.html |title=Asteroid Mining for Profit |website=Don's Astronomy Pages |access-date=7 August 2008 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20080706123345/http://www.tricitiesnet.com/donsastronomy/mining.html |archive-date=6 July 2008}}{{self-published source|date=August 2015}}</ref> power,<ref>Makoto Nagatomo, Susumu Sasaki and Yoshihiro Naruo. [http://www.spacefuture.com/archive/conceptual_study_of_a_solar_power_satellite_sps_2000.shtml Conceptual Study of A Solar Power Satellite, SPS 2000], {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20080725171510/http://spacefuture.com/archive/conceptual_study_of_a_solar_power_satellite_sps_2000.shtml|date=2008-07-25}}, Proceedings of the 19th International Symposium on Space Technology and Science, Yokohama, Japan, May 1994, pp. 469–476 Paper No. ISTS-94-e-04 – Space Future.</ref> solar cells,<ref name="panix.com">[http://www.panix.com/~kingdon/space/manuf.html Space Manufacturing], {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20080904234210/http://www.panix.com/~kingdon/space/manuf.html|date=2008-09-04}} – Jim Kingdon's space markets page.</ref> ball bearings,<ref name="panix.com"/> semi-conductors,<ref name="panix.com"/> and pharmaceuticals.<ref name="panix.com"/> |
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Large structures would be needed to convert sunlight into significant amounts of electrical power for settlers' use. In highly electrified nations on Earth, electrical consumption can average 1 kilowatt/person (or roughly 10 [[watt-hour|megawatt-hours]] per person per year.)<ref>[http://www.unescap.org/esd/energy/information/ElectricPower/1999-2000/access.htm UNESCAP Electric Power in Asia and the Pacific]</ref> |
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The mining and extraction of metals from a small asteroid the size of [[3554 Amun]] or [[(6178) 1986 DA]], both small near-Earth asteroids, may yield 30 times as much metal as humans have mined throughout history. A metal asteroid this size would be worth approximately US$20 trillion at 2001 market prices<ref>{{Cite web|url=https://space.nss.org/asteroids/|title=Asteroids{{!}}National Space Society|date=2 February 2017|language=en-US|access-date=2019-02-26|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20190226111255/https://space.nss.org/asteroids/|archive-date=2019-02-26|url-status=live}}</ref> |
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Energy may be an eventual export item for space settlements, perhaps using [[wireless power transmission]] e.g. via [[microwave]] beams to [[solar power satellite|send power to Earth]] or the Moon. This method has zero emissions, so would have significant benefits such as elimination of [[greenhouse gases]] and [[nuclear waste]]. Ground area required per watt would be less than conventional solar panels. |
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The main impediments to commercial exploitation of these resources are the very high cost of initial investment,<ref>{{Cite journal|last=Lee|first=Ricky J.|title=Costing and financing a commercial asteroid mining venture|journal=54th International Astronautical Congress|location=Bremen, Germany|year=2003|id=IAC-03-IAA.3.1.06|url=http://www.aiaa.org/content.cfm?pageid=406&gTable=Paper&gID=16257|access-date=2009-05-25|url-status=dead|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20090809183150/http://www.aiaa.org/content.cfm?pageid=406&gTable=Paper&gID=16257|archive-date=2009-08-09}}</ref> the very long period required for the expected return on those investments (''The Eros Project'' plans a 50-year development),<ref>[http://www.orbdev.com/erosproj.html The Eros Project], {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20080705103530/http://www.orbdev.com/erosproj.html|date=2008-07-05}} – Orbital Development.</ref> and the fact that the venture has never been carried out before—the high-risk nature of the investment. |
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The Moon has nights of two Earth weeks in duration and Mars has night, dust, and is farther from the Sun, reducing solar energy available by a factor of about ½-⅔, and possibly making [[nuclear power]] more attractive on these bodies. Alternatively, energy could be transmitted to the lunar and martian surfaces from solar power satellites. |
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===Expansion with fewer negative consequences=== |
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For both solar thermal and nuclear<ref>[http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2009/10/091004020806.htm 'Trash Can' Nuclear Reactors Could Power Human Outpost On Moon Or Mars]; Oct. 4, 2009; ScienceDaily</ref> power generation in airless environments, such as the Moon and space, and to a lesser extent the very thin Martian atmosphere, one of the main difficulties is dispersing the [[Carnot cycle|inevitable heat generated]]. This requires fairly large radiator areas. |
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{{Further|Holocene extinction}} |
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Expansion of humans and technological progress has usually resulted in some form of environmental devastation, and destruction of [[ecosystem]]s and their accompanying [[wildlife]]. In the past, expansion has often come at the expense of displacing many [[indigenous peoples]], the resulting treatment of these peoples ranging anywhere from encroachment to genocide. Because space has no known life, this need not be a consequence, as some space settlement advocates have pointed out.<ref>{{Cite news| url=http://www.space-settlement-institute.org/meaning.html| title=The Meaning of Space Settlement| publisher=Space Settlement Institute| access-date=5 September 2014| archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20141003151529/http://www.space-settlement-institute.org/meaning.html| archive-date=3 October 2014| url-status=live}}</ref><ref>Savage, Marshall (1992, 1994). ''[[The Millennial Project: Colonizing the Galaxy in Eight Easy Steps]]''. Little, Brown. {{ISBN|0-316-77163-5}}</ref> However, on some bodies of the Solar System, there is the potential for extant native lifeforms and so the negative consequences of space colonization cannot be dismissed.<ref>See for example, the work of Dr. Alan Marshall in Alan Marshall (1993) '[https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1111/j.1468-5930.1993.tb00078.x Ethics and the Extraterrestrial Environment]', ''Journal of Applied Philosophy'', Vol. 10, No 2, pp227-237; Alan Marshall (1994) 'Martians Beware', ''New Zealand Science Monthly'', December 1994 issue; Alan Marshall (1997) 'Extraterrestrial Environmentalism', ''Australian Science'', Vol. 18, No. 2, Winter issue, pp. 25–27. July 1997; and "Cosmic Preservationist", The Word: ''[https://www.newscientist.com/article/mg17723765-100-the-word-cosmic-preservationist/ New Scientist],'' January 4th, 2003 issue.</ref> |
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===Transportation=== |
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[[Image:Delta-Vs for inner Solar System.svg||thumbnail|right|[[delta-v budget|Delta-v's]] in km/s for various orbital maneuvers<ref name=marsdeltavs>[http://www.pma.caltech.edu/~chirata/deltav.html Rockets and Space Transportation]{{Dead link|date=February 2010}}. See: [http://www.projectrho.com/rocket/rocket3b.html Atomic Rocket: Missions]</ref><ref>[http://www.strout.net/info/science/delta-v/intro.html cislunar delta-vs]</ref> using conventional rockets. Red arrows show where optional aerobraking can be performed in that particular direction, black numbers give delta-v in km/s that apply in either direction.]] |
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:For velocity change requirements to get to different places in the solar system, see [[delta-v budget]] |
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:For cargo see [[Interplanetary Transport Network]] optimized for minimum energy |
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:For people see [[Interplanetary spaceflight]] optimized for minimum time |
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Counterarguments state that changing only the location but not the logic of exploitation will not create a more sustainable future.<ref name="Yun">{{cite web |author=Joon Yun |website=Worth.com |title=The Problem With Today's Ideas About Space Exploration. |date=January 2, 2020 |
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====Space access==== |
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|url=https://www.worth.com/is-space-the-next-frontier-for-the-same-old-story-of-imperialism/ |access-date=2020-06-28}}</ref> |
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{{Further|Non-rocket spacelaunch}} |
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Transportation to orbit is often the limiting factor in space endeavours. To settle space, much cheaper launch vehicles are required, as well as a way to avoid serious damage to the atmosphere from the thousands, perhaps millions, of launches required.{{Citation needed|date=July 2012}} One possibility is the air-breathing [[hypersonic]] [[spaceplane]] under development by NASA and other organizations, both public and private. Other proposed projects include [[space elevator]]s, [[mass driver]]s, [[launch loop]]s, and [[StarTram]]s. |
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=== |
===Alleviating overpopulation and resource demand=== |
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An argument for space colonization is to mitigate proposed impacts of [[Human overpopulation|overpopulation of Earth]], such as [[resource depletion]].<ref>{{Cite journal|date=1976-01-01|title=The impact of space colonization on world dynamics|journal=Technological Forecasting and Social Change|language=en|volume=9|issue=4|pages=361–99|doi=10.1016/0040-1625(76)90019-6|issn=0040-1625|last1=Vajk|first1=J.Peter}}</ref> If the resources of space were opened to use and viable life-supporting habitats were built, Earth would no longer define the limitations of growth. Although many of Earth's resources are non-renewable, off-planet colonies could satisfy the majority of the planet's resource requirements. With the availability of extraterrestrial resources, demand on terrestrial ones would decline.<ref>O'Neill, ''Colonies in Space''; Pournelle, ''A Step Farther Out''.</ref> Proponents of this idea include [[Stephen Hawking]]<ref>{{Cite web|date=2014-08-17|title=Stephen Hawking: mankind must move to outer space within a century - Telegraph|url=http://www.telegraph.co.uk/science/space/7935505/Stephen-Hawking-mankind-must-move-to-outer-space-within-a-century.html|access-date=2021-08-09|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20140817025438/http://www.telegraph.co.uk/science/space/7935505/Stephen-Hawking-mankind-must-move-to-outer-space-within-a-century.html|archive-date=2014-08-17}}</ref> and [[Gerard K. O'Neill]].<ref name=":1"/> |
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Others including cosmologist [[Carl Sagan]] and science fiction writers [[Arthur C. Clarke]],<ref name="clarkebipeds">''Greetings, Carbon-Based Bipeds!'' (1999), [[Arthur C. Clarke]], Voyager, {{ISBN|0-00-224698-8}}.</ref> and [[Isaac Asimov]],<ref>''The Good Earth Is Dying'' (1971), [[Isaac Asimov]], (published in ''[[Der Spiegel]]'').</ref> have argued that shipping any excess population into space is not a viable solution to human overpopulation. According to Clarke, "the population battle must be fought or won here on Earth".<ref name = clarkebipeds/> The problem for these authors is not the lack of resources in space (as shown in books such as ''Mining the Sky''<ref>[[Mining the Sky: Untold Riches from the Asteroids, Comets, and Planets|Mining the Sky]] (1996), [[John S. Lewis]]. Addison Wesley. {{ISBN|0-201-47959-1}}.</ref>), but the physical impracticality of shipping vast numbers of people into space to "solve" overpopulation on Earth. |
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Transportation of large quantities of materials from the Moon, Phobos, Deimos, and near-Earth asteroids to orbital settlement construction sites is likely to be necessary. |
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===Other arguments=== |
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Transportation using off-Earth resources for propellant in conventional rockets would be expected to massively reduce in-space transportation costs compared to the present day. Propellant launched from the Earth is likely to be prohibitively expensive for space colonization, even with improved space access costs. |
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Advocates for space colonization cite a presumed innate human drive to explore and discover, and call it a quality at the core of progress and thriving civilizations.<ref>{{cite book |author= Clarke, Arthur C. |title= Profiles of the Future: An Inquiry Into the Limits of the Possible |chapter-url= https://archive.org/details/profilesoffuture00clar |chapter-url-access= registration |year= 1962 |chapter= Rocket to the Renaissance}}</ref><ref>{{cite web | url= http://www.spacedaily.com/news/oped-03y.html | title= The Space Settlement Summit | author= McKnight, John Carter | publisher= Space Daily | date= 20 March 2003 | access-date= 12 March 2013 | archive-url= https://web.archive.org/web/20130514103953/http://www.spacedaily.com/news/oped-03y.html | archive-date= 14 May 2013 | url-status= live }}</ref> |
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[[Nick Bostrom]] has argued that from a [[utilitarianism|utilitarian]] perspective, space colonization should be a chief goal as it would enable a very large population to live for a very long time (possibly billions of years), which would produce an enormous amount of utility (or happiness).<ref>{{cite journal |url= http://www.nickbostrom.com/astronomical/waste.html |title= Astronomical Waste: The Opportunity Cost of Delayed Technological Development |journal= Utilitas |volume= 15 |number= 3 |date= November 2003 |pages= 308–14 |doi= 10.1017/S0953820800004076 |last1= Bostrom |first1= Nick |citeseerx= 10.1.1.429.2849 |s2cid= 15860897 |access-date= 2009-10-20 |archive-url= https://web.archive.org/web/20140409031022/http://www.nickbostrom.com/astronomical/waste.html |archive-date= 2014-04-09 |url-status= live }}</ref> He claims that it is more important to reduce existential risks to increase the probability of eventual colonization than to accelerate technological development so that space colonization could happen sooner. In his paper, he assumes that the created lives will have positive ethical value despite the problem of [[suffering]]. |
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Other technologies such as [[tether propulsion]], [[Variable specific impulse magnetoplasma rocket|VASIMR]], [[ion drive]]s, [[solar thermal rocket]]s, [[solar sail]]s, [[magnetic sail]]s, and [[nuclear thermal propulsion]] can all potentially help solve the problems of high transport cost once in space. |
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In a 2001 interview with Freeman Dyson, J. Richard Gott and Sid Goldstein, they were asked for reasons why some humans should live in space.<ref name="dyson">{{cite web |author=Britt, Robert Roy |date=8 October 2001 |title=Stephen Hawking: Humanity Must Colonize Space to Survive |url=http://www.space.com/missionlaunches/colonize_why_011008-1.html |url-status=dead |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20101125083046/http://www.space.com/missionlaunches/colonize_why_011008-1.html |archive-date=25 November 2010 |access-date=2006-07-28 |website=space.com}}.</ref> Their answers were: |
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For lunar materials, one well-studied possibility is to build [[mass driver]]s to launch bulk materials to waiting settlements. Alternatively, [[lunar space elevator]]s might be employed. |
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* Spread life and beauty throughout the universe |
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* Ensure the survival of our species |
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* Make money through new forms of [[Commercialization of space|space commercialization]] such as [[space-based solar power|solar-power satellites]], [[asteroid mining]], and [[space manufacturing]] |
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* Save the [[environment (biophysical)|environment]] of Earth by moving people and industry into space |
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[[Biotic ethics]] is a branch of ethics that values life itself. For biotic ethics, and their extension to space as panbiotic ethics, it is a human purpose to secure and propagate life and to use space to maximize life. |
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==Difficulties== |
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===Local transport=== |
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{{Unreferenced section|date=June 2017}} |
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There would be many problems in colonizing the outer Solar System. These include: |
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* Distance from [[Earth]] – The outer planets are much farther from Earth than the inner planets, and would therefore be harder and more time-consuming to reach. In addition, return voyages may well be prohibitive considering the time and distance. |
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* Extreme cold – temperatures are near [[absolute zero]] in many parts of the outer Solar System. |
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* Power – [[Solar power]] is many times less concentrated in the outer Solar System than in the inner Solar System. It is unclear as to whether it would be usable there, using some form of concentration mirrors, or whether [[nuclear power]] would be necessary. There have also been proposals to use the [[gravitational energy|gravitational potential energy]] of planets or dwarf planets with moons. |
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* [[Effect of spaceflight on the human body#Weightlessness|Effects of low gravity on the human body]] – All moons of the gas giants and all outer dwarf planets have a very low gravity, the highest being [[Io (moon)|Io's]] gravity (0.183 g) which is less than 1/5 of the Earth's gravity. Since the [[Apollo program]] all crewed spaceflight has been constrained to [[Low Earth orbit]] and there has been no opportunity to test the effects of such low gravitational accelerations on the human body. It is speculated (but not confirmed) that the low gravity environments might have very similar effects to long-term exposure in [[weightlessness]]. Such effects can be avoided by [[Artificial gravity#Centripetal force|rotating spacecraft creating artificial gravity]]. |
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* Dust – breathing risks associated with fine dust from rocky surface objects, for similar reasons as [[Lunar soil#Harmful effects of lunar dust|harmful effects of lunar dust]]. |
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== Criticisms == |
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[[Lunar rover]]s and [[Mars rovers]] are common features of proposed colonies for those bodies. [[Space suit]]s would likely be needed for excursions, maintenance, and safety. |
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Space colonization has been seen as a relief to the problem of [[human overpopulation]] as early as 1758,<ref name = tsr2009>[http://www.thespacereview.com/article/1296/1 Planetary demographics and space colonization] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20160513062857/http://www.thespacereview.com/article/1296/1 |date=2016-05-13 }}; Nader Elhefnawy, The Space Review, February 2, 2009.</ref><!--would be best if the original article that Otto Diederich Lutken published were put here--> and listed as one of Stephen Hawking's reasons for pursuing space exploration.<ref>{{cite news|url=https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/science/space/7935505/Stephen-Hawking-mankind-must-move-to-outer-space-within-a-century.html|title=Stephen Hawking: mankind must move to outer space within a century|date=2010-08-09|last1=Alleyne|first1=Richard|access-date=2018-04-05|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180423144633/https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/science/space/7935505/Stephen-Hawking-mankind-must-move-to-outer-space-within-a-century.html|archive-date=2018-04-23|url-status=live}}</ref> Critics note, however, that a slowdown in population growth rates since the 1980s has alleviated the risk of overpopulation.<ref name = tsr2009/> |
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Critics also argue that the costs of commercial activity in space are too high to be profitable against Earth-based industries, and hence that it is unlikely to see significant exploitation of space resources in the foreseeable future.<ref name="Marshall"> |
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===Communication=== |
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{{cite journal |last=Marshall |first=P. |year=1981 |title=Nicole Oresme on the Nature, Reflection, and Speed of Light |journal=[[Isis (journal)|Isis]] |volume=72 |issue=3 |pages=357–374 [367–374] |doi=10.1086/352787 |s2cid=144035661}}</ref> |
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Compared to the other requirements, communication is easy for orbit and the Moon. A great proportion of current terrestrial communications already passes through [[satellite]]s. Yet, as colonies further from the Earth are considered, communication becomes more of a burden. Transmissions to and from Mars suffer from significant delays due to the [[speed of light]] and the greatly varying distance between conjunction and opposition—the lag will range between 7 and 44 minutes—making real-time communication impractical. Other means of communication that do not require live interaction such as e-mail and voice mail systems should pose no problem. |
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Other objections include concerns that the forthcoming colonization and [[commodification]] of the cosmos is likely to enhance the interests of the already powerful, including major economic and military institutions e.g. the large financial institutions, the major aerospace companies and the [[military–industrial complex]], to lead to new [[war]]s, and to exacerbate pre-existing exploitation of [[Exploitation of labour|workers]] and [[Exploitation of natural resources|resources]], [[economic inequality]], [[poverty]], [[social division]] and [[Social exclusion|marginalization]], environmental degradation, and other detrimental processes or institutions.<ref name="Dickens-MR-2010-112"/><ref name="Dickens-MR-2008-02">Dickens, Peter (February 2008). [http://monthlyreview.org/2008/02/01/who-really-won-the-space-race/ Who Really Won the Space Race?], {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20161003104456/http://monthlyreview.org/2008/02/01/who-really-won-the-space-race/|date=2016-10-03}}, ''[[Monthly Review]].''</ref><ref name="Dickens-MR-2017-03">Dickens, Peter (March 2017). [https://monthlyreview.org/2017/03/01/astronauts-at-work/ Astronauts at Work: The Social Relations of Space Travel] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20170328200150/https://monthlyreview.org/2017/03/01/astronauts-at-work/|date=2017-03-28}}, ''[[Monthly Review]]''</ref> |
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===Life support=== |
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In space settlements, a [[life support system]] must recycle or import all the nutrients without "crashing." The closest terrestrial analogue to space life support is possibly that of a [[nuclear submarine]]. Nuclear submarines use mechanical life support systems to support humans for months without surfacing, and this same basic technology could presumably be employed for space use. However, nuclear submarines run "open loop"—extracting oxygen from seawater, and typically dumping [[carbon dioxide]] overboard, although they recycle existing oxygen. Recycling of the carbon dioxide has been approached in the literature using the [[Sabatier process]] or the [[Bosch reaction]]. |
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Additional concerns include creating a culture in which humans are no longer seen as human, but rather as material assets. The issues of [[human dignity]], [[morality]], [[philosophy]], [[culture]], [[bioethics]], and the threat of megalomaniac leaders in these new "societies" would all have to be addressed in order for space colonization to meet the [[psychological]] and [[Group (sociology)|social]] needs of people living in isolated colonies.<ref>[http://er.jsc.nasa.gov/seh/sociology.html Sociology and Space Development], {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20080628172018/http://er.jsc.nasa.gov/seh/sociology.html|date=2008-06-28}}. B. J. Bluth, Sociology Department, California State University, Northridge, SPACE SOCIAL SCIENCE.</ref> |
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Although a fully mechanistic life support system is conceivable, a [[closed ecological system]] is generally proposed for life support. The [[Biosphere 2]] project in Arizona has shown that a complex, small, enclosed, man-made biosphere can support eight people for at least a year, although there were many problems. A year or so into the two-year mission oxygen had to be replenished, which strongly suggests that they achieved atmospheric closure. |
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As an alternative or addendum for the future of the human race, many science fiction writers have focused on the realm of the 'inner-space', that is the computer-aided exploration of the [[human mind]] and human [[consciousness]]—possibly en route developmentally to a [[Matrioshka Brain]].<ref>{{Cite web|url=https://curiosity.com/topics/a-matrioshka-brain-is-a-computer-the-size-of-a-solar-system-curiosity/|title=A Matrioshka Brain Is A Computer The Size of a Solar System|website=curiosity.com|access-date=2018-08-14|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180814040151/https://curiosity.com/topics/a-matrioshka-brain-is-a-computer-the-size-of-a-solar-system-curiosity/|archive-date=2018-08-14|url-status=live}}</ref> |
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The relationship between organisms, their habitat and the non-Earth environment can be: |
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[[Robotic spacecraft]] are proposed as an alternative to gain many of the same scientific advantages without the limited mission duration and high cost of life support and return transportation involved in human missions.<ref>{{Cite news|url=https://www.scientificamerican.com/report/robotic-planetary-exploration/|title=Robotic Exploration of the Solar System|work=Scientific American|access-date=2018-08-14|language=en|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180814040634/https://www.scientificamerican.com/report/robotic-planetary-exploration/|archive-date=2018-08-14|url-status=live}}</ref> |
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* Organisms and their habitat fully isolated from the environment (examples include artificial [[biosphere]], Biosphere 2, [[life support system]]) |
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* Changing the environment to become a life-friendly habitat, a process called [[terraforming]]. |
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* Changing organisms to become more compatible with the environment, (See [[genetic engineering]], [[transhumanism]], [[cyborg]]) |
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A corollary to the [[Fermi paradox]]—"nobody else is doing it"<ref>{{Cite news|url=https://www.forbes.com/sites/startswithabang/2018/06/26/no-we-cannot-know-whether-humans-are-alone-in-the-universe/|title=No, We Haven't Solved The Drake Equation, The Fermi Paradox, Or Whether Humans Are Alone|last=Siegel|first=Ethan|work=Forbes|access-date=2018-08-14|language=en|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180814041251/https://www.forbes.com/sites/startswithabang/2018/06/26/no-we-cannot-know-whether-humans-are-alone-in-the-universe/|archive-date=2018-08-14|url-status=live}}</ref>—is the argument that, because no evidence of [[Fermi paradox#Alien constructs|alien colonization technology]] exists, it is statistically unlikely to even be possible to use that same level of technology ourselves.<ref>{{Cite news|url=https://www.businessinsider.com/why-aliens-have-not-contacted-humans-2015-9|title=The likeliest reasons why we haven't contacted aliens are deeply unsettling|work=Business Insider|access-date=2018-08-14|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180814040227/https://www.businessinsider.com/why-aliens-have-not-contacted-humans-2015-9|archive-date=2018-08-14|url-status=live}}</ref> |
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A combination of the above technologies is also possible. |
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===Colonialism=== |
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{{Further|Effect of spaceflight on the human body|Space medicine|Space food}} |
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{{See also|Manifest destiny|Space advocacy#Decolonizing space|Space ethics|Ethics of terraforming|Planetary chauvinism}} |
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[[File:Gemini5insignia.png|thumb|upright=0.6|[[Gemini 5]] mission badge (1965) connecting spaceflight to colonial endeavours<ref name="Roger Launiuss Blog 2011">{{cite web | author=[[Roger Launius]]| title=Reconsidering the Foundations of Human Spaceflight in the 1950s | website=Roger Launius's Blog | date=Jun 8, 2011 | url=https://launiusr.wordpress.com/2011/06/08/reconsidering-the-foundations-of-human-spaceflight-in-the-1950s/ | access-date=Sep 6, 2021}}</ref>]] |
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[[Image:NASA Artemis Gateway logo.png|thumb|upright=0.6|The logo and name of the [[Lunar Gateway]] references the [[St. Louis]] [[Gateway Arch]],<ref>{{cite web|url=https://www.space.com/nasa-lunar-gateway-moon-station-logo.html|title=NASA Reveals New Gateway Logo for Artemis Lunar Orbit Way Station|website=Space.com|date=September 18, 2019|access-date=2020-06-28|author=Robert Z. Pearlman}}</ref> which some see as associating Mars with the [[American frontier]] and the ''[[manifest destiny]]'' mentality of [[Settler colonialism#Settler colonialism in the United States|American settler colonialism]].<ref name="NPR.org 2015">{{cite web | title=As Gateway Arch Turns 50, Its Message Gets Reframed | website=NPR.org | date=2015-10-28 | url=https://www.npr.org/2015/10/28/452299164/as-gateway-arch-turns-50-its-message-gets-reframed | access-date=2022-06-27}}</ref>]] |
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===Radiation protection=== |
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Space colonization has been discussed as [[postcolonialism|postcolonial]]<ref name="Durrani 2019">{{cite magazine | last=Durrani | first=Haris | title=Is Spaceflight Colonialism? | website=The Nation | date=19 July 2019 | url=https://www.thenation.com/article/world/apollo-space-lunar-rockets-colonialism/ | access-date=2 October 2020}}</ref> continuation of [[imperialism]] and [[colonialism]],<ref>{{cite news |author=Cornish |first=Gabrielle |date=22 July 2019 |title=How imperialism shaped the race to the moon |url=https://www.washingtonpost.com/outlook/2019/07/22/how-imperialism-shaped-race-moon/ |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20190723032005/https://www.washingtonpost.com/outlook/2019/07/22/how-imperialism-shaped-race-moon/ |archive-date=23 July 2019 |access-date=19 September 2019 |newspaper=[[The Washington Post]] |language=en}}</ref><ref name="Haskins"/><ref name="Drake"/><ref name="marshall"/> calling for [[decolonization]] instead of colonization.<ref name="Bartels 2018h"/><ref name="NatGeo 2018">{{cite web | title=We need to change the way we talk about space exploration | website=Science | date=2018-11-09 | url=https://www.nationalgeographic.com/science/article/we-need-to-change-way-we-talk-about-space-exploration-mars | access-date=2021-11-09}}</ref> Critics argue that the present politico-legal regimes and their philosophic grounding, advantage imperialist development of space,<ref name="marshall">{{cite journal |doi=10.1016/0265-9646(95)93233-B |title=Development and imperialism in space |author=Alan Marshall |date=February 1995 |journal=Space Policy |pages=41–52 |access-date=2020-06-28 |url=https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/026596469593233B |volume=11|issue=1 |bibcode=1995SpPol..11...41M}}</ref> that key decisionmakers in space colonization are often wealthy elites affiliated with private corporations, and that space colonization would primarily appeal to their peers rather than ordinary citizens.<ref name="DNLee"/><ref>{{cite web|title=Against Mars-a-Lago: Why SpaceX's Mars colonization plan should terrify you|url=https://www.salon.com/2017/10/08/against-mars-a-lago-why-spacexs-mars-colonization-plan-should-terrify-you/|website=Salon.com|access-date=20 September 2019|date=8 October 2017|author=Keith A. Spencer|language=en|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20190919201220/https://www.salon.com/2017/10/08/against-mars-a-lago-why-spacexs-mars-colonization-plan-should-terrify-you/|archive-date=19 September 2019|url-status=live}}</ref> Furthermore, it is argued that there is a need for inclusive<ref>{{cite web |author=Zevallos |first=Zuleyka |date=26 March 2015 |title=Rethinking the Narrative of Mars Colonisation |url=https://othersociologist.com/2015/03/26/rethinking-the-narrative-of-mars-colonisation/ |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20191211122431/https://othersociologist.com/2015/03/26/rethinking-the-narrative-of-mars-colonisation/ |archive-date=11 December 2019 |access-date=20 September 2019 |website=Other Sociologist |language=en}}</ref> and democratic participation and implementation of any space exploration, infrastructure or habitation.<ref name="Tavares Buckner Burton McKaig 2020">{{cite arXiv | last1=Tavares | first1=Frank | last2=Buckner | first2=Denise | last3=Burton | first3=Dana | last4=McKaig | first4=Jordan | last5=Prem | first5=Parvathy | last6=Ravanis | first6=Eleni | last7=Trevino | first7=Natalie | last8=Venkatesan | first8=Aparna | last9=Vance | first9=Steven D. | last10=Vidaurri | first10=Monica | last11=Walkowicz | first11=Lucianne | last12=Wilhelm | first12=Mary Beth | title=Ethical Exploration and the Role of Planetary Protection in Disrupting Colonial Practices | date=Oct 15, 2020 | class=astro-ph.IM | eprint =2010.08344v2}}</ref><ref>{{cite web |author=Spencer |first=Keith A. |date=2 May 2017 |title=Keep the Red Planet Red |url=https://www.jacobinmag.com/2017/02/mars-elon-musk-space-exploration-nasa-colonization |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20191103165331/https://jacobinmag.com/2017/02/mars-elon-musk-space-exploration-nasa-colonization |archive-date=3 November 2019 |access-date=20 September 2019 |website=[[Jacobin (magazine)|Jacobin]] |language=en}}</ref> According to space law expert Michael Dodge, existing [[space law]], such as the [[Outer Space Treaty]], guarantees access to space, but does not enforce social inclusiveness or regulate non-state actors.<ref name="Bartels 2018h">{{cite web | last=Bartels | first=Meghan | title=People are calling for a movement to decolonize space—here's why | website=Newsweek | date=May 25, 2018 | url=https://www.newsweek.com/should-we-colonize-space-some-people-argue-we-need-decolonize-it-instead-945130 | access-date=Nov 9, 2021}}</ref> |
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[[Cosmic rays]] and [[solar flare]]s create a lethal [[radiation]] environment in space. In Earth orbit, the [[Van Allen belts]] make living above the Earth's atmosphere difficult. To protect life, settlements must be surrounded by sufficient mass to absorb most incoming radiation, unless magnetic or plasma radiation shields were developed.<ref name = spacecraftshielding>[http://engineering.dartmouth.edu/~simon_g_shepherd/research/Shielding/ Spacecraft Shielding] engineering.dartmouth.edu. Retrieved 3 May 2011.</ref> |
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Particularly the narrative of the "[[New Frontier]]" has been criticized as unreflected continuation of [[settler colonialism]] and [[manifest destiny]], continuing the narrative of exploration as fundamental to the assumed [[human nature]].<ref name="Schaberg 2021">{{cite web | last=Schaberg | first=Christopher | title=We're Already Colonizing Mars | website=Slate Magazine | date=Mar 30, 2021 | url=https://slate.com/technology/2021/03/mars-colonization-is-already-happening.html | access-date=Sep 8, 2021}}</ref><ref name="Renstrom 2021">{{cite web | last=Renstrom | first=Joelle | title=The Troubling Rhetoric of Space Exploration | website=Undark Magazine | date=2021-03-18 | url=https://undark.org/2021/03/18/rhetoric-of-space-exploration/ | access-date=2021-08-15}}</ref><ref name="Haskins">{{cite web|title=The racist language of space exploration|url=https://theoutline.com/post/5809/the-racist-language-of-space-exploration|website=The Outline|access-date=20 September 2019|date=14 August 2018|author=Caroline Haskins|language=en|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20191016235916/https://theoutline.com/post/5809/the-racist-language-of-space-exploration|archive-date=16 October 2019|url-status=live}}</ref><ref name="DNLee">{{cite web |author=Lee |first=D. N. |date=26 March 2015 |title=When discussing Humanity's next move to space, the language we use matters |url=https://blogs.scientificamerican.com/urban-scientist/when-discussing-humanity-8217-s-next-move-to-space-the-language-we-use-matters/ |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20190914011756/https://blogs.scientificamerican.com/urban-scientist/when-discussing-humanity-8217-s-next-move-to-space-the-language-we-use-matters/ |archive-date=14 September 2019 |access-date=20 September 2019 |website=[[Scientific American]] |language=en}}</ref><ref name="Drake">{{cite web|date=2018-11-09|title=We need to change the way we talk about space exploration|first=Nadia|last=Drake|author-link=Nadia Drake|publisher=[[National Geographic]]|access-date=2019-10-19|url=https://www.nationalgeographic.com/science/article/we-need-to-change-way-we-talk-about-space-exploration-mars|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20191016235826/https://www.nationalgeographic.com/science/2018/11/we-need-to-change-way-we-talk-about-space-exploration-mars/|archive-date=2019-10-16|url-status=live}}</ref> Joon Yun considers [[Space and survival|space colonization as a solution to human survival]] and global problems like pollution to be imperialist;<ref>{{cite web |author=Yun |first=Joon |date=January 2, 2020 |title=The Problem With Today's Ideas About Space Exploration. |url=https://www.worth.com/is-space-the-next-frontier-for-the-same-old-story-of-imperialism/ |access-date=2020-06-28 |website=Worth.com}}</ref> others have identified space as a new [[sacrifice zone]] of colonialism.<ref name="Calma 2021">{{cite web | last=Calma | first=Justine | title=Jeff Bezos eyes space as a new 'sacrifice zone' | website=The Verge | date=Jul 21, 2021 | url=https://www.theverge.com/2021/7/21/22587249/jeff-bezos-space-pollution-industry-sacrifice-zone-amazon-environmental-justice | access-date=Nov 9, 2021}}</ref> |
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Passive mass shielding of four metric tons per square meter of surface area will reduce radiation dosage to several [[Sievert#Yearly dose examples|mSv]] or less annually, well below the rate of some populated [[Background_radiation#Natural_background_radiation|high natural background areas]] on Earth.<ref>NASA SP-413 [http://settlement.arc.nasa.gov/75SummerStudy/5appendE.html Space Settlements: A Design Study. Appendix E Mass Shielding] Retrieved 3 May 2011.</ref> This can be leftover material (slag) from processing lunar soil and asteroids into oxygen, metals, and other useful materials. However, it represents a significant obstacle to maneuvering vessels with such massive bulk (mobile spacecraft being particularly likely to use less massive active shielding).<ref name = spacecraftshielding/> Inertia would necessitate powerful thrusters to start or stop rotation, or electric motors to spin two massive portions of a vessel in opposite senses. Shielding material can be stationary around a rotating interior. |
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[[Natalie B. Trevino]] argues that not colonialism but [[decoloniality|coloniality]] will be carried into space if not reflected on.<ref name="Filling Space 2021">{{cite web | title=What is the legacy of colonialism on space exploration? | website=Filling Space | date=Feb 18, 2021 | url=https://filling-space.com/2021/02/19/what-is-the-legacy-of-colonialism-on-space-exploration/ | access-date=Sep 9, 2021 | archive-date=September 9, 2021 | archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20210909113549/https://filling-space.com/2021/02/19/what-is-the-legacy-of-colonialism-on-space-exploration/ | url-status=dead }}</ref><ref name="Trevino 2021">{{cite thesis | last=Trevino | first=Natalie B | title=The Cosmos is Not Finished |type=PhD dissertation |publisher=University of Western Ontario | date=Oct 30, 2020 | url=https://ir.lib.uwo.ca/etd/7567 | access-date=Sep 9, 2021}}</ref> |
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''See also:'' [[Health threat from cosmic rays]] |
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More specifically the advocacy for territorial colonization [[Mars colonization|of Mars]] opposed to [[Venus colonization|habitation in the atmospheric space of Venus]] has been called ''surfacism'',<ref name="Tickle 2015">{{cite web | last=Tickle | first=Glen | title=A Look into Whether Humans Should Try to Colonize Venus Instead of Mars | website=Laughing Squid | date=2015-03-05 | url=https://laughingsquid.com/a-look-into-whether-humans-should-try-to-colonize-venus-instead-of-mars/ | access-date=2021-09-01}}</ref><ref>{{cite web |author=Warmflash |first=David |date=14 March 2017 |title=Colonization of the Venusian Clouds: Is 'Surfacism' Clouding Our Judgement? |url=https://www.visionlearning.com/blog/2017/03/14/colonization-venusian-clouds-surfacism-clouding-judgement/ |url-status=dead |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20191211122431/https://www.visionlearning.com/blog/2017/03/14/colonization-venusian-clouds-surfacism-clouding-judgement/ |archive-date=11 December 2019 |access-date=20 September 2019 |website=Vision Learning |language=en}}</ref> a concept similar to [[Thomas Gold]]s ''[[surface chauvinism]]''. |
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===Self-replication=== |
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[[Space manufacturing]] could enable self-replication. Some think it the ultimate goal because it allows a much more rapid increase in colonies, while eliminating costs to and dependence on Earth. It could be argued that the establishment of such a colony would be Earth's first act of [[self-replication]] (see [[Gaia spore]]). Intermediate goals include colonies that expect only information from Earth (science, engineering, entertainment) and colonies that just require periodic supply of light weight objects, such as [[integrated circuit]]s, medicines, [[DNA|genetic material]] and tools. |
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More generally space infrastructure such as the [[Mauna Kea Observatories]] have also been [[Opposition to the Mauna Kea Observatories|criticized and protested against]] as being colonialist.<ref name="Matson Nunn 2021">{{cite web | last1=Matson | first1=Zannah Mae | last2=Nunn | first2=Neil | title=Space Infrastructure, Empire, And The Final Frontier: What The Mauna Kea Land Defenders Teach Us About Colonial Totality | website=Society & Space | date=Sep 6, 2021 | url=https://www.societyandspace.org/articles/space-infrastructure-empire-and-the-final-frontier-what-the-mauna-kea-land-defenders-teach-us-about-colonial-totality | access-date=Sep 7, 2021}}</ref> [[Guiana Space Centre]] has also been the site of anti-colonial protests, connecting colonization as an issue on Earth and in space.<ref name="Durrani 2019"/> |
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''See also:'' [[von Neumann probe]], [[clanking replicator]], [[molecular nanotechnology]] |
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In regard to the scenario of [[first contact (science fiction)|extraterrestrial]] [[first contact (anthropology)|first contact]], it has been argued that the employment of colonial language would endanger such first impressions and encounters.<ref name="Bartels 2018h"/> |
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===Psychological adjustment=== |
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The monotony and loneliness that comes from a prolonged space mission can leave astronauts susceptible to cabin fever or having a psychotic break. If this wasn't enough, lack of sleep, fatigue, and work overload can affect an astronaut's ability to perform well in an environment such as space where every action is critical.<ref>Clynes, Manfred E. and Nathan S. Kline, (1960) "Cyborgs and Space," Astronautics, September, pp. 26-27 and 74-76;</ref> |
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Furthermore spaceflight as a whole and space law more particularly has been criticized as a postcolonial project by being built on a colonial legacy and by not facilitating the sharing of access to space and its benefits, too often allowing spaceflight to be used to sustain colonialism and imperialism, most of all on Earth instead.<ref name="Durrani 2019"/> |
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===Population size=== |
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In 2002, the [[Anthropology|anthropologist]] [[John H. Moore]] estimated that a population of 150–180 would allow normal reproduction for 60 to 80 generations — equivalent to 2000 years. |
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===Planetary protection=== |
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A much smaller initial population of as little as two women should be viable as long as human [[embryo]]s are available from Earth. Use of a [[sperm bank]] from Earth also allows a smaller starting base with negligible [[inbreeding]]. |
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{{see also|Planetary protection}} |
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Researchers in conservation biology have tended to adopt the "50/500" rule of thumb initially advanced by Franklin and Soule. This rule says a short-term effective population size (''N''<sub>e</sub>) of 50 is needed to prevent an unacceptable rate of inbreeding, while a long‐term ''N''<sub>e</sub> of 500 is required to maintain overall genetic variability. The ''N''<sub>e</sub> = 50 prescription corresponds to an inbreeding rate of 1% per generation, approximately half the maximum rate tolerated by domestic animal breeders. The ''N''<sub>e</sub> = 500 value attempts to balance the rate of gain in genetic variation due to mutation with the rate of loss due to [[genetic drift]]. |
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Agencies conducting interplanetary missions are guided by [[Committee on Space Research|COSPAR]]'s planetary protection policies, to have at most 300,000 spores on the exterior of the craft—and more thoroughly sterilized if they contact "special regions" containing water, or it could contaminate life-detection experiments or the planet itself.<ref name=groundwatercontamination>[https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-northern-ireland-27526981 Queens University Belfast scientist helps NASA Mars project] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20181119091228/https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-northern-ireland-27526981 |date=2018-11-19}} "No-one has yet proved that there is deep groundwater on Mars, but it is plausible as there is certainly surface ice and atmospheric water vapour, so we wouldn't want to contaminate it and make it unusable by the introduction of micro-organisms."</ref><ref name="COSPAR PLANETARY PROTECTION POLICY">[https://science.nasa.gov/media/medialibrary/2012/05/04/COSPAR_Planetary_Protection_Policy_v3-24-11.pdf COSPAR PLANETARY PROTECTION POLICY], {{webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20130306111646/https://science.nasa.gov/media/medialibrary/2012/05/04/COSPAR_Planetary_Protection_Policy_v3-24-11.pdf|date=2013-03-06}} (20 October 2002; As Amended to 24 March 2011).</ref> |
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It is impossible to sterilize human missions to this level, as humans are host to typically a hundred trillion [[microorganism]]s of thousands of species of the [[human microbiome]], and these cannot be removed while preserving the life of the human. Containment seems the only option, but it is a major challenge in the event of a hard landing (i.e. crash).<ref name=biospherescollide>[http://www.nasa.gov/connect/ebooks/when_biospheres_collide_detail.html#.U_uVh_mwJcQ When Biospheres Collide – a history of NASA's Planetary Protection Programs] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20190714112103/https://www.nasa.gov/connect/ebooks/when_biospheres_collide_detail.html#.U_uVh_mwJcQ |date=2019-07-14 }}, Michael Meltzer, May 31, 2012, see Chapter 7, Return to Mars – final section: "Should we do away with human missions to sensitive targets"</ref> There have been several planetary workshops on this issue, but with no final guidelines yet for a way forward.<ref>Johnson, James E. [http://www.hou.usra.edu/meetings/ppw2015/pdf/1010.pdf "Planetary Protection Knowledge Gaps for Human Extraterrestrial Missions: Goals and Scope." (2015)] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20191026125720/https://www.hou.usra.edu/meetings/ppw2015/pdf/1010.pdf |date=2019-10-26 }}</ref> Human explorers could also inadvertently contaminate Earth if they return to the planet while carrying extraterrestrial microorganisms.<ref>[http://www.nap.edu/openbook.php?record_id=10360&page=37 Safe on Mars page 37] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20150906050040/http://www.nap.edu/openbook.php?record_id=10360&page=37 |date=2015-09-06 }} "Martian biological contamination may occur if astronauts breathe contaminated dust or if they contact material that is introduced into their habitat. If an astronaut becomes contaminated or infected, it is conceivable that he or she could transmit Martian biological entities or even disease to fellow astronauts, or introduce such entities into the biosphere upon returning to Earth. A contaminated vehicle or item of equipment returned to Earth could also be a source of contamination."</ref> |
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==Location== |
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[[Image:Mars mission.jpg|thumb|Artist Les Bossinas' 1989 concept of [[Manned mission to Mars|Mars mission]]]] |
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Location is a frequent point of contention between space colonization advocates. The location of colonization can be on a physical body or free-flying: |
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===Physical and mental health risks to colonists=== |
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* On a [[planet]], [[natural satellite]], or [[asteroid]] |
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{{main|Effect of spaceflight on the human body}} |
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* In orbit around the Earth, Sun, [[Lagrangian point]] or other object |
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The health of the humans who may participate in a colonization venture would be subject to increased physical, mental and emotional risks. [[NASA]] learned that – without gravity – bones lose [[mineral (nutrient)|mineral]]s, causing [[osteoporosis]].<ref>{{Cite news|url=https://www.bbc.com/news/world-42627341|title=Here's what happens to your body in space|newspaper=BBC News|date=10 January 2018|access-date=2019-04-09|language=en-GB|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20190411152723/https://www.bbc.com/news/world-42627341|archive-date=11 April 2019|url-status=live}}</ref> [[Bone density]] may decrease by 1% per month,<ref name="nasa-body">{{Cite web|url=http://www.nasa.gov/hrp/bodyinspace|title=The Human Body in Space|vauthors=Abadie LJ, Lloyd CW, Shelhamer MJ|date=11 June 2018|publisher=NASA|access-date=2019-03-04|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20190726081140/https://www.nasa.gov/hrp/bodyinspace/|archive-date=26 July 2019|url-status=live}}</ref> which may lead to a greater risk of osteoporosis-related fractures later in life. Fluid shifts towards to the head may cause vision problems.<ref>{{Cite news |author=Silverman |first=Lauren |date=4 March 2017 |title=Doctor Launches Vision Quest To Help Astronauts' Eyeballs |url=https://www.npr.org/sections/health-shots/2017/03/04/518214299/doctor-launches-vision-quest-to-help-astronauts-eyeballs |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20190305165258/https://www.npr.org/sections/health-shots/2017/03/04/518214299/doctor-launches-vision-quest-to-help-astronauts-eyeballs |archive-date=5 March 2019 |access-date=2019-03-07 |website=NPR.org}}</ref> NASA found that isolation in closed environments aboard the [[International Space Station]] led to [[Depression (mood)|depression]], [[sleep disorder]]s, and diminished personal interactions, likely due to confined spaces and the monotony and boredom of long space flight.<ref name=nasa-body/><ref>{{Cite web |author=Stuster |first=Jack W. |title=NASA - Behavioral Issues Associated with isolation and Confinement: Review and Analysis of Astronaut Journals |url=https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/station/research/experiments/991.html |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20190411152721/https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/station/research/experiments/991.html |archive-date=2019-04-11 |access-date=2019-04-09 |publisher=NASA}}</ref> [[Circadian rhythm]] may also be susceptible to the effects of space life due to the effects on sleep of disrupted timing of sunset and sunrise.<ref name="weir">{{Cite web |author=Weir |first=Kirsten |date=1 June 2018 |title=Mission to Mars |url=https://www.apa.org/monitor/2018/06/mission-mars |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20191212130533/https://www.apa.org/monitor/2018/06/mission-mars |archive-date=12 December 2019 |access-date=2019-03-04 |publisher=American Psychological Association |quote=We are a circadian species, and if you don't have the proper lighting to maintain that [[chronobiology]], it can create significant problems for crew members}}</ref> This can lead to exhaustion, as well as other sleep problems such as [[insomnia]], which can reduce their productivity and lead to mental health disorders.<ref name=weir/> High-energy radiation is a health risk that colonists would face, as radiation in deep space is deadlier than what astronauts face now in low Earth orbit. Metal shielding on space vehicles protects against only 25–30% of space radiation, possibly leaving colonists exposed to the other 70% of radiation and its short and long-term health complications.<ref name=":0"/> |
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==Implementation== |
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===Near-Earth space=== |
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Building colonies in space would require access to water, food, space, people, construction materials, energy, transportation, [[communication]]s, [[life support system|life support]], [[simulated gravity]], [[radiation]] protection, migration, governance and capital investment. It is likely the colonies would be located near the necessary physical resources. The practice of [[space architecture]] seeks to transform spaceflight from a heroic test of human endurance to a normality within the bounds of comfortable experience. As is true of other frontier-opening endeavors, the capital investment necessary for space colonization would probably come from governments,<ref>{{cite journal |author=Hickman |first=John |date=November 1999 |title=The Political Economy of Very Large Space Projects |url=http://www.jetpress.org/volume4/space.htm |url-status=live |journal=Journal of Evolution and Technology |volume=4 |issn=1541-0099 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20131204190958/http://www.jetpress.org/volume4/space.htm |archive-date=2013-12-04 |access-date=2013-12-14}}</ref> an argument made by John Hickman<ref>John Hickman (2010). Reopening the Space Frontier. Common Ground. {{ISBN|978-1-86335-800-2}}.</ref> and [[Neil deGrasse Tyson]].<ref>Neil deGrasse Tyson (2012). Space Chronicles: Facing the Ultimate Frontier. W.W. Norton & Company. {{ISBN|978-0-393-08210-4}}.</ref> |
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===Migration=== |
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[[Human spaceflight]] has enabled only temporarily relocating a few privileged people and no permanent space migrants. |
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Compared to other locations, Earth orbit has substantial advantages and one major, but solvable, problem. Orbits close to Earth can be reached in hours, whereas the Moon is days away and trips to Mars take months. There is ample continuous solar power in high Earth orbits, whereas all planets lose sunlight at least half the time. Weightlessness makes construction of large colonies considerably easier than in a gravity environment. [[Astronaut]]s have demonstrated moving multi-ton satellites by hand. 0[[g-force|g]] recreation is available on orbital colonies, but not on the Moon or Mars. Finally, the level of (pseudo-) gravity is controlled at any desired level by rotating an orbital colony. Thus, the main living areas can be kept at 1 g, whereas the Moon has 1/6 g and Mars 1/3 g. It's not known what the minimum g-force is for ongoing health but 1 g is known to ensure that children grow up with strong bones and muscles. |
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The societal motivation for space migration has been questioned as rooted in colonialism, questioning the fundamentals and inclusivity of space colonization. Highlighting the need to reflect on such socio-economic issues beside the technical challenges for implementation.<ref name="m794">{{cite journal | last=Shaw | first=Debra Benita | title=The Way Home: Space Migration and Disorientation | journal=New Formations: A Journal of Culture/Theory/Politics | publisher=Lawrence & Wishart | volume=107 | issue=107 | date=2023-02-15 | issn=1741-0789 | pages=118–138 | doi=10.3898/NewF:107-8.07.2022 | url=https://muse.jhu.edu/article/881496 | access-date=2024-05-14}}</ref><ref name="l879">{{cite journal | last=Klass | first=Morton | title=Recruiting new "huddled masses" and "wretched refuse": a prolegomenon to the human colonization of space | journal=Futures | publisher=Elsevier BV | volume=32 | issue=8 | year=2000 | issn=0016-3287 | doi=10.1016/s0016-3287(00)00024-0 | pages=739–748}}</ref> |
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The main disadvantage of orbital colonies is lack of materials. These may be expensively imported from the Earth, or more cheaply from extraterrestrial sources, such as the Moon (which has ample metals, silicon, and oxygen), [[near-Earth asteroids]], [[comets]], or elsewhere. Other disadvantages of orbital colonies are [[orbital decay]], and atmospheric pollution in the case of Earth. |
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===Governance=== |
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A range of different models of transplanetary or extraterrestrial governance have been sketched or proposed. Often envisioning the need for a fresh or independent extraterrestrial governance, particularly in the void left by the contemporarily criticized lack of space governance and inclusivity. |
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{{Main|Colonization of the Moon}} |
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[[Image:Mooncolony.jpg|thumb|Moon colony (1995)]] |
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Due to its proximity and familiarity, Earth's Moon is discussed as a target for colonization. It has the benefits of proximity to Earth and lower [[escape velocity]], allowing for easier exchange of goods and services. A drawback of the Moon is its low abundance of [[volatiles]] necessary for life such as [[hydrogen]], [[nitrogen]], and [[carbon]]. Water-ice deposits that exist in some polar [[Impact crater|crater]]s could serve as a source for these elements. An alternative solution is to bring hydrogen from near-Earth asteroids and combine it with oxygen extracted from lunar rock. |
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{{anchor|Exonationalism}}It has been argued that space colonialism would, similarly to terrestrial [[settler colonialism]], produce colonial national identities.<ref name="Eller 2022 pp. 148–160">{{cite journal |last=Eller |first=Jack David |date=2022-09-15 |title=Space Colonization and Exonationalism: On the Future of Humanity and Anthropology |journal=Humans |volume=2 |issue=3 |pages=148–160 |doi=10.3390/humans2030010 |issn=2673-9461 |doi-access=free}}</ref> |
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The Moon's low surface gravity is also a concern, as it is unknown whether 1/6[[g-force|g]] is enough to maintain human health for long periods. <!--add, or link to, something about zero-gee bone decay and the like--> |
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As of 2013, the [[International Space Station]] provides a temporary, yet still non-autonomous, human presence in [[low Earth orbit]]. |
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[[Federalism]] has been studied as a remedy of such distant and autonomous communities.<ref name="u501">{{cite book | last=Crawford | first=Ian A. | title=The Meaning of Liberty Beyond Earth | chapter=Interplanetary Federalism: Maximising the Chances of Extraterrestrial Peace, Diversity and Liberty | publisher=Springer International Publishing | publication-place=Cham | date=2015 | isbn=978-3-319-09566-0 | doi=10.1007/978-3-319-09567-7_13 | pages=199–218}}</ref> |
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====Lagrange points==== |
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{{Main|Lagrange Point Colonization}} |
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[[Image:Lagrange points.jpg|thumb|A contour plot of the [[gravitational potential]] of the [[Sun]] and [[Earth]], showing the five Lagrange points]] |
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===Life support=== |
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Another near-Earth possibility are the five Earth-Moon [[Lagrangian point|Lagrange points]]. Although they would generally also take a few days to reach with current technology, many of these points would have near-continuous solar power capability since their distance from Earth would result in only brief and infrequent eclipses of light from the Sun. However, the fact that Earth-Moon Lagrange points {{L4}} and {{L5}} tend to collect dust and debris, while {{L1}}-{{L3}} require active [[orbital stationkeeping|station-keeping]] measures to maintain a stable position, make them somewhat less suitable places for habitation than was originally believed. Additionally, the orbit of {{L2}} - {{L5}} takes them out of the protection of the Earth's [[magnetosphere]] for approximately two-thirds of the time, exposing them to the [[health threat from cosmic rays]]. |
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{{Further|Effect of spaceflight on the human body|Space medicine|Space food}} |
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[[File:Mars Food Production - Bisected.jpg|alt=|thumb|upright=1.2|Depiction of [[NASA]]'s plans to grow food on [[Mars]]]] |
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The five Earth-Sun Lagrange points would totally eliminate eclipses, but only {{L1}} and {{L2}} would be reachable in a few days' time. The other three Earth-Sun points would require months to reach. |
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In space settlements, a life support system must recycle or import all the nutrients without "crashing." The closest terrestrial analogue to space life support is possibly that of a [[nuclear submarine]]. Nuclear submarines use mechanical life support systems to support humans for months without surfacing, and this same basic technology could presumably be employed for space use. However, nuclear submarines run "open loop"—extracting oxygen from seawater, and typically dumping [[carbon dioxide]] overboard, although they recycle existing oxygen.<ref>{{Cite web|url=https://www.airitilibrary.com/Publication/alDetailedMesh?DocID=P20100106003-200911-201004190023-201004190023-1642-1650|title=A Novel Application of the SAWD-Sabatier-SPE Integrated System for CO2 Removal and O2 Regeneration in Submarine Cabins during Prolonged Voyages|last=Huang|first=Zhi|website=Airiti Library|access-date=10 September 2018}}</ref> Another commonly proposed life-support system is a [[closed ecological system]] such as [[Biosphere 2]].<ref>{{cite book | title=Manmade Closed Ecological Systems | author= [[Josef Gitelson|I. I. Gitelson]] | author2= G. M. Lisovsky | author3= R. D. MacElroy | name-list-style= amp | publisher= [[Taylor & Francis]] |date=2003 | isbn = 0-415-29998-5}}</ref> |
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====Near-Earth Asteroids==== |
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Many small asteroids in orbit around the Sun have the advantage that they pass closer than Earth's moon several times per decade. In between these close approaches to home, the asteroid may travel out to a furthest distance of some 350,000,000 kilometers from the Sun (its [[aphelion]]) and 500,000,000 kilometers from Earth. |
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==== Solutions to health risks ==== |
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{{See also|Bioastronautics}} |
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Although there are many physical, mental, and emotional health risks for future colonists and pioneers, solutions have been proposed to correct these problems. [[Mars500]], [[HI-SEAS]], and SMART-OP represent efforts to help reduce the effects of loneliness and confinement for long periods of time. Keeping contact with family members, celebrating holidays, and maintaining cultural identities all had an impact on minimizing the deterioration of mental health.<ref>{{Cite web|url=https://anxiety.psych.ucla.edu/nasa-study-stress-management-and-resilience-training-for-optimal-performance-smart-op|title=NASA Study: Stress Management and Resilience Training for Optimal Performance (SMART-OP) – Anxiety and Depression Research Center at UCLA|language=en-US|access-date=2019-03-04|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20190404154812/https://anxiety.psych.ucla.edu/nasa-study-stress-management-and-resilience-training-for-optimal-performance-smart-op|archive-date=2019-04-04|url-status=live}}</ref> There are also health tools in development to help astronauts reduce anxiety, as well as helpful tips to reduce the spread of germs and bacteria in a closed environment.<ref>{{Cite web|url=https://phys.org/news/2017-09-e-mental-health-tool-key-astronauts.html|title=E-mental health tool may be key for astronauts to cope with anxiety, depression in space|website=Phys.org|language=en-us|access-date=2019-03-04|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20190404154812/https://phys.org/news/2017-09-e-mental-health-tool-key-astronauts.html|archive-date=2019-04-04|url-status=live}}</ref> Radiation risk may be reduced for astronauts by frequent monitoring and focusing work to minimize time away from shielding.<ref name=":0">{{Cite web |title=Keeping Astronauts Healthy in Space |url=https://www.nasa.gov/vision/space/travelinginspace/30sept_spacemedicine.html |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20190202103324/https://www.nasa.gov/vision/space/travelinginspace/30sept_spacemedicine.html |archive-date=2019-02-02 |access-date=2019-03-05 |website=NASA.gov |publisher=NASA |language=en}}</ref> Future space agencies can also ensure that every colonist would have a mandatory amount of daily exercise to prevent degradation of muscle.<ref name=":0" /> |
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====Radiation protection==== |
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{{see also|Health threat from cosmic rays}} |
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{{Main|Colonization of Mars}} |
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[[Cosmic rays]] and [[solar flare]]s create a lethal radiation environment in space. In orbit around certain planets with magnetospheres (including Earth), the [[Van Allen belts]] make living above the atmosphere difficult. To protect life, settlements must be surrounded by sufficient mass to absorb most incoming radiation, unless magnetic or plasma radiation shields are developed.<ref name = spacecraftshielding>[http://engineering.dartmouth.edu/~simon_g_shepherd/research/Shielding/ Spacecraft Shielding] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20110928223044/http://engineering.dartmouth.edu/~simon_g_shepherd/research/Shielding/ |date=2011-09-28 }} engineering.dartmouth.edu. Retrieved 3 May 2011.</ref> In the case of Van Allen belts, these could be drained using orbiting tethers<ref name="mirnov1996">{{cite journal |last1=Mirnov |first1=Vladimir |last2=Üçer |first2=Defne |last3=Danilov |first3=Valentin |author-link3=Valentin Danilov |date=November 10–15, 1996 |title=High-Voltage Tethers For Enhanced Particle Scattering In Van Allen Belts |journal=APS Division of Plasma Physics Meeting Abstracts |volume=38 |pages=7 |bibcode=1996APS..DPP..7E06M |oclc=205379064 |id=Abstract #7E.06}}</ref> or radio waves.<ref>{{Cite web |title=NASA Finds Lightning Clears Safe Zone in Earth's Radiation Belt - NASA |url=https://www.nasa.gov/news-release/nasa-finds-lightning-clears-safe-zone-in-earths-radiation-belt/ |access-date=2023-12-11 |language=en-US}}</ref> |
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The surface of Mars is about the same size as the dry land surface of Earth. The ice in Mars' south polar cap, if spread over the planet, would be a layer 12 meters (39 feet) thick<ref>{{Cite news |url=http://jpl.nasa.gov/news/news.cfm?release=2007-030 |date=March 15, 2007 |archiveurl=http://web.archive.org/web/20070328101027/http://www.jpl.nasa.gov/news/news.cfm?release=2007-030 |archivedate=2007-03-28 |title=Mars' South Pole Ice Deep and Wide |work=[[JPL]] News Releases}}</ref> and there is [[carbon]] (locked as [[carbon dioxide]] in the [[celestial body atmosphere|atmosphere]]). |
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Passive mass shielding of four metric tons per square meter of surface area will reduce radiation dosage to several [[Sievert#Yearly dose examples|mSv]] or less annually, well below the rate of some populated [[Background radiation#Natural background radiation|high natural background areas]] on Earth.<ref>NASA SP-413 [http://settlement.arc.nasa.gov/75SummerStudy/5appendE.html Space Settlements: A Design Study. Appendix E Mass Shielding] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20130227031349/http://settlement.arc.nasa.gov//75SummerStudy/5appendE.html |date=2013-02-27 }} Retrieved 3 May 2011.</ref> This can be leftover material (slag) from processing lunar soil and asteroids into oxygen, metals, and other useful materials. However, it represents a significant obstacle to manoeuvering vessels with such massive bulk (mobile spacecraft being particularly likely to use less massive active shielding).<ref name = spacecraftshielding/> Inertia would necessitate powerful thrusters to start or stop rotation, or electric motors to spin two massive portions of a vessel in opposite senses. Shielding material can be stationary around a rotating interior. |
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Mars may have gone through similar [[geology|geological]] and [[hydrological]] processes as Earth and therefore might contain valuable mineral ores. Equipment is available to extract ''[[in situ]]'' resources (e.g., water, air) from the Martian ground and atmosphere. There is interest in colonizing Mars in part because life could have existed on Mars at some point in its history, and may even still exist in some parts of the planet. |
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====Psychological adjustment==== |
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However, its [[celestial body atmosphere|atmosphere]] is very thin (averaging 800 [[Pascal (unit)|Pa]] or about 0.8% of Earth sea-level [[atmospheric pressure]]); so the pressure vessels necessary to support life are very similar to deep-space structures. The [[climate]] of Mars is colder than Earth's. The dust storms block out most of the sun's light for a month or more at a time. Its [[gravity]] is only around a third that of Earth's; it is unknown whether this is sufficient to support human beings for extended periods (all long-term human experience to date has been at around Earth gravity, or one [[Standard gravity|g]]). |
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The monotony and loneliness that comes from a prolonged space mission can leave astronauts susceptible to cabin fever or having a psychotic break. Moreover, lack of sleep, fatigue, and work overload can affect an astronaut's ability to perform well in an environment such as space where every action is critical.<ref>Clynes, Manfred E. and Nathan S. Kline, (1960) "Cyborgs and Space," Astronautics, September, pp. 26–27 and 74–76.</ref> |
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===Economics=== |
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The atmosphere is thin enough, when coupled with Mars' lack of magnetic field, that radiation is more intense on the surface, and protection from solar storms would require radiation shielding. |
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{{Main|Space-based economy}} |
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Space colonization can roughly be said to be possible when the necessary methods of space colonization become [[Economic behavior|cheap enough]] (such as space access by cheaper launch systems) to meet the cumulative funds that have been gathered for the purpose, in addition to estimated profits from [[commercial use of space]].{{citation needed|date=September 2021}} |
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Although there are no immediate prospects for the large amounts of money required for space colonization to be available given traditional launch costs,<ref>[http://settlement.arc.nasa.gov/Basics/wwwwh.html Space Settlement Basics] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20120706031203/http://settlement.arc.nasa.gov/basics/wwwwh.html |date=2012-07-06 }} by Al Globus, NASA Ames Research Center. Last Updated: February 02, 2012</ref> there is some prospect of a radical reduction to launch costs in the 2010s, which would consequently lessen the cost of any efforts in that direction. With a published price of {{USD|56.5 million}} per launch of up to {{convert|13150|kg|abbr=on}} payload<ref name=sxCapabilitiesSvcs20131211>{{cite web |title=SpaceX Capabilities and Services |url=http://www.spacex.com/about/capabilities |year=2013<!-- copyright date; no other date provided --> |publisher=SpaceX |access-date=2013-12-11 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20131007205105/http://www.spacex.com/about/capabilities |archive-date=2013-10-07 |url-status=dead }} <!-- SpaceX refers to these prices as the "PAID IN FULL STANDARD LAUNCH PRICES (2013)" --></ref> to [[low Earth orbit]], [[SpaceX]] [[Falcon 9]] rockets are already the "cheapest in the industry".<ref name=fp20131209/> Advancements currently being developed as part of the [[SpaceX reusable launch system development program]] to enable reusable Falcon 9s "could drop the price by an order of magnitude, sparking more space-based enterprise, which in turn would drop the cost of access to space still further through economies of scale."<ref name=fp20131209>{{cite news |last=Belfiore |first=Michael |title=The Rocketeer |url=https://foreignpolicy.com/articles/2013/12/02/the_rocketeer_elon_musk |access-date=2013-12-11 |newspaper=Foreign Policy |date=2013-12-09 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20131210233009/http://www.foreignpolicy.com/articles/2013/12/02/the_rocketeer_elon_musk |archive-date=2013-12-10 |url-status=live }}</ref> If SpaceX is successful in developing the reusable technology, it would be expected to "have a major impact on the cost of access to space", and change the increasingly [[competition (economics)|competitive market]] in space launch services.<ref name="bbc20130930">{{cite news |url=https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-24331860 |title=Recycled rockets: SpaceX calls time on expendable launch vehicles |work=BBC News |last=Amos |first=Jonathan |date=September 30, 2013 |access-date=October 2, 2013 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20131003085420/http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-24331860 |archive-date=October 3, 2013 |url-status=live }}</ref> |
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[[Image:TerraformedMars.jpg|thumb|right|An artist's conception of a [[terraforming|terraformed]] Mars (2009)]] |
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[[Terraforming]] Mars would make life outside of pressure vessels on the surface possible. There is some discussion of it actually being done. |
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The [[President's Commission on Implementation of United States Space Exploration Policy]] suggested that an [[Inducement prize contest|inducement prize]] should be established, perhaps by government, for the achievement of space colonization, for example by offering the prize to the first organization to place humans on the Moon and sustain them for a fixed period before they return to Earth.<ref>[http://www.nasa.gov/pdf/60736main_M2M_report_small.pdf A Journey to Inspire, Innovate, and Discover], {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20121010151959/http://www.nasa.gov/pdf/60736main_M2M_report_small.pdf|date=2012-10-10}}, Report of the [[President's Commission on Implementation of United States Space Exploration Policy]], June 2004.</ref> |
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''See also: [[Exploration of Mars]], [[Martian terraforming]]'' |
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==== Money and currency ==== |
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Experts have debated on the possible use of money and currencies in societies that will be established in space. The Quasi Universal Intergalactic Denomination, or QUID, is a physical currency made from a space-qualified polymer [[Polytetrafluoroethylene|PTFE]] for inter-planetary travelers. QUID was designed for the foreign exchange company Travelex by scientists from Britain's National Space Centre and the University of Leicester.<ref>{{Cite web|url=https://www.space.com/4454-scientists-design-space-currency.html|title=Scientists Design New Space Currency|last=Christensen|first=Bill|date=October 10, 2007|website=Space.com|access-date=2019-01-21|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20190121232640/https://www.space.com/4454-scientists-design-space-currency.html|archive-date=January 21, 2019|url-status=live}}</ref> |
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The moons of Mars may be a target for space colonization. Low [[delta-v]] is needed to reach the Earth from [[Phobos (moon)|Phobos]] and [[Deimos (moon)|Deimos]], allowing delivery of material to [[cislunar space]], as well as transport around the Martian system. The moons themselves may be suitable for habitation, with methods similar to those for asteroids. |
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Other possibilities include the incorporation of [[cryptocurrency]] as the primary form of currency, as suggested by [[Elon Musk]].<ref>{{Cite web|last=Delbert|first=Caroline|date=2020-12-29|title=Elon Musk Says Mars Settlers Will Use Cryptocurrency, Like 'Marscoin'|url=https://www.popularmechanics.com/space/moon-mars/a35085273/elon-musk-says-mars-settlers-will-use-cryptocurrency-like-marscoin/|access-date=2021-02-24|website=Popular Mechanics|language=en-US}}</ref> |
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====Venus==== |
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{{Main|Colonization of Venus}} |
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[[File:TerraformedVenus.jpg|thumb|right|Artist's impression of a terraformed Venus]] |
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===Resources=== |
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While the surface of [[Venus]] is far too hot and features [[atmospheric pressure]] at least 90 times that at sea level on Earth, its massive atmosphere offers a possible alternate location for colonization. At an altitude of approximately 50 km, the pressure is reduced to a few [[atmosphere (unit)|atmospheres]], and the temperature would be between 40–100 °C, depending on the altitude. This part of the atmosphere is probably within dense clouds which contain some [[sulfuric acid]]. Even these may have a certain benefit to colonization, as they present a possible source for the extraction of water. |
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{{Further|Asteroid mining}} |
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Colonies on the Moon, Mars, asteroids, or the metal-rich planet [[Mercury (planet)|Mercury]], could extract local materials. The Moon is deficient in [[Volatile (astrogeology)|volatiles]] such as [[argon]], [[helium]] and compounds of [[carbon]], [[hydrogen]] and [[nitrogen]]. The LCROSS impacter was targeted at the [[Cabeus (crater)|Cabeus crater]] which was chosen as having a high concentration of water for the Moon. A plume of material erupted in which some water was detected. Mission chief scientist Anthony Colaprete estimated that the Cabeus crater contains material with 1% water or possibly more.<ref>{{Cite news | url=http://www.sfgate.com/science/article/NASA-s-moon-blast-called-a-smashing-success-3213973.php | work=The San Francisco Chronicle | first=David | last=Perlman | title=NASA's moon blast called a smashing success | date=2009-10-10 | access-date=2015-07-19 | archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20150721235224/http://www.sfgate.com/science/article/NASA-s-moon-blast-called-a-smashing-success-3213973.php | archive-date=2015-07-21 | url-status=live }}</ref> Water [[ice]] should also be in other permanently shadowed craters near the lunar poles. Although helium is present only in low concentrations on the Moon, where it is deposited into [[regolith]] by the solar wind, an estimated million tons of He-3 exists over all.<ref>[http://www.satnews.com/stories2007/4588/] {{webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20120308151604/http://www.satnews.com/stories2007/4588/|date=March 8, 2012}}.</ref> It also has industrially significant [[oxygen]], [[silicon]], and metals such as [[iron]], [[aluminium]], and [[titanium]]. |
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{{See also|Terraforming of Venus}} |
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Launching materials from Earth is expensive, so bulk materials for colonies could come from the Moon, a [[near-Earth object]] (NEO), [[Phobos (moon)|Phobos]], or [[Deimos (moon)|Deimos]]. The benefits of using such sources include: a lower gravitational force, no [[Drag (physics)|atmospheric drag]] on cargo vessels, and no biosphere to damage. Many NEOs contain substantial amounts of metals. Underneath a drier outer crust (much like [[oil shale]]), some other NEOs are inactive comets which include billions of tons of water ice and [[kerogen]] hydrocarbons, as well as some nitrogen compounds.<ref>{{cite conference |title=Discovery of Abundant, Accessible Hydrocarbons nearly Everywhere in the Solar System |last1= Zuppero|first1= Anthony |year= 1996 |publisher= [[American Society of Civil Engineers|ASCE]] |book-title= Proceedings of the Fifth International Conference on Space '96 |doi= 10.1061/40177(207)107|isbn= 0-7844-0177-2}}</ref> |
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====Mercury==== |
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{{Main|Colonization of Mercury}} |
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Farther out, [[Colonization of the outer Solar System#Jupiter trojans|Jupiter's Trojan asteroids]] are thought to be rich in water ice and other volatiles.<ref>{{Cite news|last=Sanders|first=Robert|title=Binary asteroid in Jupiter's orbit may be icy comet from solar system's infancy|date=1 February 2006|publisher=UC Berkeley|url=http://www.berkeley.edu/news/media/releases/2006/02/01_patroclus.shtml|access-date=2009-05-25|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20181211102116/https://www.berkeley.edu/news/media/releases/2006/02/01_patroclus.shtml|archive-date=11 December 2018|url-status=live}}</ref> |
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There is a suggestion that Mercury could be colonized using the same technology, approach and equipment that is used in colonizing the Moon. Such colonies would almost certainly be restricted to the polar regions due to the extreme daytime temperatures elsewhere on the planet. |
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[[Recycling]] of some raw materials would almost certainly be necessary. |
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Observations of Mercury's polar regions by radar from Earth and the on-going observations of the Messenger Probe have been consistent with water ice and/or other frozen volatiles being present in permanently shadowed areas of craters in Mercury's polar regions.<ref>[http://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/messenger/media/NewsConference20110616.html NASA's Media Resources for MESSENGER]</ref> Measurements of Mercury's exosphere, which is practically a vacuum, revealed more ions derived from water than scientists had expected.<ref>from the [http://web.archive.org WayBackMachine] archive of <nowiki>http://www.planetary.org/news</nowiki> for 13 October 2008; the MESSENGER selection under PLANETARY NEWS</ref> All of these observations are consistent with water ice and/or other volatiles being available to hypothetical future colonists of Mercury. |
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=== |
====Energy==== |
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[[Solar energy]] in orbit is abundant, reliable, and is commonly used to power satellites today. There is no night in free space, and no clouds or atmosphere to block sunlight. Light intensity obeys an [[inverse-square law]]. So the solar energy available at distance ''d'' from the Sun is ''E'' = 1367/''d''<sup>2</sup> W/m<sup>2</sup>, where ''d'' is measured in [[astronomical unit]]s (AU) and 1367 watts/m<sup>2</sup> is the energy available at the distance of Earth's orbit from the Sun, 1 AU.<ref>McGraw-Hill Encyclopedia of Science & Technology, 8th Edition 1997; vol. 16, p. 654.</ref> |
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{{Main|Colonization of the asteroids}} |
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{{See also|Asteroids#Exploration}} |
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In the weightlessness and vacuum of space, high temperatures for industrial processes can easily be achieved in [[solar ovens]] with huge parabolic reflectors made of metallic foil with very lightweight support structures. Flat mirrors to reflect sunlight around radiation shields into living areas (to avoid line-of-sight access for cosmic rays, or to make the Sun's image appear to move across their "sky") or onto crops are even lighter and easier to build. |
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Colonization of asteroids would require space habitats. The [[asteroid belt]] has significant overall material available, the largest object being [[Ceres (dwarf planet)|Ceres]], although it is thinly distributed as it covers a vast region of space. Unmanned supply craft should be practical with little technological advance, even crossing 1/2 billion kilometers of cold vacuum. The colonists would have a strong interest in assuring that their asteroid did not hit Earth or any other body of significant mass, but would have extreme difficulty in moving an asteroid of any size. The orbits of the Earth and most asteroids are very distant from each other in terms of [[delta-v]] and the asteroidal bodies have enormous [[momentum]]. Rockets or [[mass driver]]s can perhaps be installed on asteroids to direct their path into a safe course. |
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Large solar power photovoltaic cell arrays or thermal power plants would be needed to meet the electrical power needs of the settlers' use. In developed parts of Earth, electrical consumption can average 1 kilowatt/person (or roughly 10 [[watt-hour|megawatt-hours]] per person per year.)<ref>[http://www.unescap.org/esd/energy/information/ElectricPower/1999-2000/access.htm UNESCAP Electric Power in Asia and the Pacific], {{webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20110213083253/http://www.unescap.org/esd/energy/information/ElectricPower/1999-2000/access.htm|date=February 13, 2011}}.</ref> These power plants could be at a short distance from the main structures if wires are used to transmit the power, or much farther away with [[wireless power transmission]]. |
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====Ceres==== |
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{{Main|Colonization of Ceres}} |
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A major export of the initial space settlement designs was anticipated to be large [[solar power satellite]]s (SPS) that would use wireless power transmission (phase-locked [[microwave]] beams or lasers emitting wavelengths that special solar cells convert with high efficiency) to send power to locations on Earth, or to colonies on the Moon or other locations in space. For locations on Earth, this method of getting power is extremely benign, with zero emissions and far less ground area required per watt than for conventional solar panels. Once these satellites are primarily built from lunar or asteroid-derived materials, the price of SPS electricity could be lower than energy from fossil fuel or nuclear energy; replacing these would have significant benefits such as the elimination of [[greenhouse gases]] and [[nuclear waste]] from electricity generation.<ref>{{Cite web|url=http://large.stanford.edu/courses/2015/ph240/gaertner1/|title=Solar vs. Traditional Energy in Homes|website=large.stanford.edu|access-date=2019-02-26|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20181024050207/http://large.stanford.edu/courses/2015/ph240/gaertner1/|archive-date=2018-10-24|url-status=live}}</ref> |
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[[Ceres (dwarf planet)|Ceres]] is a [[dwarf planet]] in the [[asteroid belt]], comprising about one third the mass of the whole belt and being the sixth largest body in the inner Solar System by mass and volume. Ceres has a surface area somewhat larger than [[Argentina]]. Being the largest body in the asteroid belt, Ceres could become the main base and transport hub for future asteroid mining infrastructure, allowing mineral resources to be transported further to Mars, the Moon and Earth. See further: [[Space colonization#Main-Belt Asteroids|Main-Belt Asteroids]]. It may be possible to [[paraterraform]] Ceres, making life easier for the colonists. Given its low gravity and fast rotation, a [[space elevator]] would also be practical. |
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Transmitting solar energy wirelessly from the Earth to the Moon and back is also an idea proposed for the benefit of space colonization and energy resources. Physicist Dr. David Criswell, who worked for NASA during the Apollo missions, proposed the idea of using power beams to transfer energy from space. These beams, microwaves with a wavelength of about 12 cm, would be almost untouched as they travel through the atmosphere. They could also be aimed at more industrial areas to keep away from humans or animal activities.<ref name="i2massociates.com">{{Cite web |url=http://www.i2massociates.com/downloads/AAPG_Memoir_101-July18-2012.pdf |title=Nuclear Power and Associated Environmental Issues in the Transition of Exploration and Mining on Earth to the Development of Off-World Natural Resources in the 21st Century |access-date=2017-09-18 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20150214125331/http://i2massociates.com/downloads/AAPG_Memoir_101-July18-2012.pdf |archive-date=2015-02-14 |url-status=live }}</ref> This would allow for safer and more reliable methods of transferring solar energy. |
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===Moons of outer planets=== |
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In 2008, scientists were able to send a 20 watt microwave signal from a mountain on the island of Maui to the island of Hawaii.<ref>{{Cite journal|last=Dance|first=Amber|date=2008-09-16|title=Beaming energy from space|journal=Nature|doi=10.1038/news.2008.1109|issn=0028-0836}}</ref> Since then [[JAXA]] and Mitsubishi have been working together on a $21 billion project to place satellites in orbit which could generate up to 1 gigawatt of energy.<ref>{{cite web|url=https://www.popsci.com/technology/article/2011-06/satellites-could-gather-energy-sun-and-beam-it-down-earth/ |title=Space Based Solar Power |first=Corey|last=Binns|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20170927054041/http://www.popsci.com/technology/article/2011-06/satellites-could-gather-energy-sun-and-beam-it-down-earth |archive-date=2017-09-27|publisher=Popular Science| date=June 2, 2011}}</ref> These are the next advancements being done today to transmit energy wirelessly for space-based solar energy. |
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====Jovian moons — Europa, Callisto and Ganymede==== |
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{{Main|Colonization of Europa|Colonization of the outer Solar System}} |
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However, the value of SPS power delivered wirelessly to other locations in space will typically be far higher than to Earth. Otherwise, the means of generating the power would need to be included with these projects and pay the heavy penalty of Earth launch costs. Therefore, other than proposed demonstration projects for power delivered to Earth,<ref name="NatSecSpaceOffice2007">{{cite web |date=10 October 2007 |title=Space-Based Solar Power As an Opportunity for Strategic Security: Phase 0 Architecture Feasibility Study |url=https://apps.dtic.mil/sti/pdfs/ADA473860.pdf |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20220926134325/https://apps.dtic.mil/sti/pdfs/ADA473860.pdf |archive-date=26 September 2022 |access-date=26 September 2022 |website= |publisher=U.S. National Security Space Office}}</ref> the first priority for SPS electricity is likely to be locations in space, such as communications satellites, fuel depots or "orbital tugboat" boosters transferring cargo and passengers between [[low Earth orbit]] (LEO) and other orbits such as [[geosynchronous orbit]] (GEO), [[lunar orbit]] or [[Highly elliptical orbit|highly-eccentric Earth orbit]] (HEEO).<ref name="Lewis1997">[[Mining the Sky]]</ref>{{rp|132}} The system will also rely on satellites and receiving stations on Earth to convert the energy into electricity. Because this energy can be transmitted easily from dayside to nightside, power would be reliable 24/7.<ref>[https://www.wired.co.uk/article/moon-solar-energy-power Beaming solar energy from the Moon could solve Earth's energy crisis] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20171011044359/http://www.wired.co.uk/article/moon-solar-energy-power |date=2017-10-11 }}; March 29, 2017; Wired]</ref> |
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The [[Artemis Project]] designed a plan to colonize [[Europa (moon)|Europa]], one of [[Jupiter]]'s moons. Scientists were to inhabit [[igloo]]s and drill down into the Europan ice crust, exploring any sub-surface ocean. This plan discusses possible use of "air pockets" for human inhabitation. Europa is considered one of the more habitable bodies in the Solar System and so merits investigation as a possible abode for life. |
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[[Nuclear power]] is sometimes proposed for colonies located on the Moon or on Mars, as the supply of solar energy is too discontinuous in these locations; the Moon has nights of two Earth weeks in duration. Mars has nights, relatively high gravity, and an atmosphere featuring [[Climate of Mars#Effect of dust storms|large dust storms]] to cover and degrade solar panels. Also, Mars' greater distance from the Sun (1.52 astronomical units, AU) means that only ''1/1.52<sup>2</sup>'' or about 43% of the solar energy is available at Mars compared with Earth orbit.<ref>[https://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2009/10/091004020806.htm 'Trash Can' Nuclear Reactors Could Power Human Outpost On Moon Or Mars], {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20170918154323/https://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2009/10/091004020806.htm|date=2017-09-18}}; October 4, 2009; ScienceDaily.</ref> Another method would be transmitting energy wirelessly to the lunar or Martian colonies from solar power satellites (SPSs) as described above; the difficulties of generating power in these locations make the relative advantages of SPSs much greater there than for power beamed to locations on Earth. In order to also be able to fulfill the requirements of a Moon base and energy to supply life support, maintenance, communications, and research, a combination of both nuclear and solar energy may be used in the first colonies.<ref name="i2massociates.com"/> |
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[[Ganymede (moon)|Ganymede]] is the largest moon in the Solar System. It may be attractive as Ganymede is the only moon with a [[magnetosphere]] and so is less irradiated at the surface. The presence of magnetosphere, likely indicates a convecting molten core within Ganymede, which may in turn indicate a rich geologic history for the moon. |
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For both solar thermal and nuclear power generation in airless environments, such as the Moon and space, and to a lesser extent the very thin Martian atmosphere, one of the main difficulties is dispersing the [[Carnot cycle|inevitable heat generated]]. This requires fairly large radiator areas. |
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[[NASA]] performed a study called ''HOPE'' (Revolutionary Concepts for '''H'''uman '''O'''uter '''P'''lanet '''E'''xploration) regarding the future exploration of the Solar System.<ref>Patrick A. Troutman (NASA Langley Research Center) et al., [http://rasc.larc.nasa.gov/rasc_new/hope/Documents/HOPE_Paper.doc Revolutionary Concepts for Human Outer Planet Exploration (HOPE)], accessed May 10, 2006 (.doc format)</ref> The target chosen was [[Callisto (moon)|Callisto]]. It could be possible to build a surface base that would produce fuel for further exploration of the Solar System. |
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===Self-replication=== |
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The three out of four largest moons of Jupiter (Europa, Ganymede and Callisto) have an abundance of volatiles making future colonization possible. |
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{{see also|von Neumann probe|Self-replicating machine|molecular nanotechnology}} |
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[[Space manufacturing]] could enable self-replication. Some consider it the ultimate goal because it would allow an [[exponential growth|exponential]] increase in colonies, while eliminating costs to, and dependence on, Earth.<ref>{{Cite magazine |first=Ian |last=Crawford |title=Where are they? |magazine=Scientific American |volume=283 |number=1 |date=July 2000 |pages=38–43 |jstor=26058784 |url=https://www.jstor.org/stable/26058784}}</ref> It could be argued that the establishment of such a colony would be Earth's first act of [[self-replication]].<ref>{{cite journal | last1 = Margulis | first1 = Lynn | author-link = Lynn Margulis | last2 = Guerrero | first2 = Ricardo | year = 1995 | title = Life as a planetary phenomenon: the colonization of Mars | journal = Microbiología | volume = 11 | pages = 173–84 | pmid = 11539563 }}</ref> Intermediate goals include colonies that expect only information from Earth (science, engineering, entertainment) and colonies that just require periodic supply of light weight objects, such as [[integrated circuit]]s, medicines, [[DNA|genetic material]] and tools. |
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====Moons of Saturn — Titan, Enceladus, and other==== |
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{{Main|Colonization of Titan}} |
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===Population size=== |
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[[Titan (moon)|Titan]] is suggested as a target for colonization,<ref name="zoob2ttn">Robert Zubrin, ''Entering Space: Creating a Spacefaring Civilization'', section: Titan, pp. 163–166, Tarcher/Putnam, 1999, ISBN 978-1-58542-036-0</ref> because it is the only moon in the Solar System to have a dense [[celestial body atmosphere|atmosphere]] and is rich in carbon-bearing compounds.<ref name=NasaNews>[http://saturn.jpl.nasa.gov/news/features/saturn-story/moons.cfm NASA page: News-Features-the Story of Saturn] saturn.jpl.nasa.gov. Retrieved 8 January 2007.</ref> [[Robert Zubrin]] identified Titan as possessing an abundance of all the elements necessary to support life, making Titan perhaps the most advantageous locale in the outer Solar System for colonization, and saying "In certain ways, Titan is the most hospitable extraterrestrial world within our solar system for human colonization". |
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In 2002, the [[Anthropology|anthropologist]] [[John H. Moore]] estimated<ref>{{Cite web |url=https://www.newscientist.com/article/dn1936-magic-number-for-space-pioneers-calculated |title="Magic number" for space pioneers calculated |date=15 February 2002 |work=New Scientist |first=Damian |last=Carrington}}</ref> that a population of 150–180 would permit a stable society to exist for 60 to 80 generations—equivalent to 2,000 years. |
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Assuming a journey of 6,300 years, the astrophysicist Frédéric Marin and the particle physicist Camille Beluffi calculated that the minimum viable population for a [[generation ship]] to reach [[Proxima Centauri]] would be 98 settlers at the beginning of the mission (then the crew will breed until reaching a stable population of several hundred settlers within the ship).<ref>{{cite journal |arxiv=1806.03856|last1=Marin|first1=F|title=Computing the minimal crew for a multi-generational space travel towards Proxima Centauri b|journal=Journal of the British Interplanetary Society|volume=71|pages=45|last2=Beluffi|first2=C|year=2018|bibcode=2018JBIS...71...45M}}</ref><ref>{{cite magazine |url=https://www.technologyreview.com/s/611485/this-is-how-many-people-wed-have-to-send-to-proxima-centauri-to-make-sure-someone-actually/amp/ |magazine=[[MIT Technology Review]] |title=This is how many people we'd have to send to Proxima Centauri to make sure someone actually arrives |date=June 22, 2018 |quote="We can then conclude that, under the parameters used for those simulations, a minimum crew of 98 settlers is needed for a 6,300-year multi-generational space journey towards Proxima Centauri b," say Marin and Beluffi.}}</ref> |
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[[Enceladus (moon)|Enceladus]] is a small, icy moon orbiting close to Saturn, notable for its extremely bright surface and the geyser-like plumes of ice and water vapor that erupt from its southern polar region. If Enceladus has liquid water, it joins Mars and Jupiter's moon Europa as one of the prime places in the Solar System to look for extraterrestrial life and possible future settlements. |
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In 2020, Jean-Marc Salotti proposed a method to determine the minimum number of settlers to survive on an extraterrestrial world. It is based on the comparison between the required time to perform all activities and the working time of all human resources. For Mars, 110 individuals would be required.<ref>{{cite journal |last1=Salotti |first1=Jean-Marc |title=Minimum Number of Settlers for Survival on Another Planet |journal=Scientific Reports |date=16 June 2020 |volume=10 |issue=1 |page=9700 |doi=10.1038/s41598-020-66740-0 |pmid=32546782 |pmc=7297723 |bibcode=2020NatSR..10.9700S |doi-access=free }}</ref> |
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Other large satellites: [[Rhea (moon)|Rhea]], [[Iapetus (moon)|Iapetus]], [[Dione (moon)|Dione]], [[Tethys (moon)|Tethys]], and [[Mimas (moon)|Mimas]], all have large quantities of volatiles, which can be used to support settlement. |
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==Advocacy== |
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====Moons of Uranus and Neptune==== |
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{{See also|Space advocacy}} |
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The five large moons of [[Uranus]] ([[Miranda (moon)|Miranda]], [[Ariel (moon)|Ariel]], [[Umbriel (moon)|Umbriel]], [[Titania (moon)|Titania]] and [[Oberon (moon)|Oberon]]) and [[Triton (moon)|Triton]]—[[Neptune]]'s largest moon—, although very cold, have large amounts of frozen water and other volatiles and could potentially be settled, only they would require a lot of nuclear power to sustain the habitats. Triton's thin atmosphere also contains some nitrogen and even some frozen nitrogen on the surface (the surface temperature is 38 K or about -391° Fahrenheit). [[Pluto]] is estimated to have a very similar structure to Triton. |
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Several private companies have announced plans toward the [[colonization of Mars]]. Among entrepreneurs leading the call for space colonization are Elon Musk, [[Dennis Tito]] and [[Bas Lansdorp]].<ref>Nicola Clark. [https://www.nytimes.com/2013/03/09/business/global/reality-tv-for-the-red-planet.html Reality TV for the Red Planet], {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20170629013428/http://www.nytimes.com/2013/03/09/business/global/reality-tv-for-the-red-planet.html|date=2017-06-29}}, The New York Times, March 8, 2013.</ref><ref>[http://news.nationalgeographic.com/news/2013/02/130222-manned-mission-mars-tito-space-science/ Businessman Dennis Tito Financing Manned Mission to Mars] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20130301012114/http://news.nationalgeographic.com/news/2013/02/130222-manned-mission-mars-tito-space-science/ |date=2013-03-01 }}, by Jane J. Lee; National Geographic News, February 22, 2013</ref> |
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===Involved organizations=== |
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===The Kuiper Belt and Oort Cloud=== |
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Organizations that contribute to space colonization include: |
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[[Pluto]] is estimated to have a very similar structure to Triton. |
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* The [[National Space Society]] (NSS) is an organization with the vision of people living and working in thriving communities beyond the Earth. The NSS also maintains an extensive library of full-text articles and books on space settlement.<ref>{{cite web |url=http://www.nss.org/settlement/library.html |title=NSS Space Settlement Library |publisher=Nss.org |date=2011-12-16 |access-date=2013-12-14 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20110612005613/http://www.nss.org/settlement/library.html |archive-date=2011-06-12 |url-status=dead }}</ref> |
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The [[Kuiper Belt]] is estimated to have 70,000 bodies of 100 km or larger. |
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* The [[Space Frontier Foundation]] performs [[space advocacy]] including strong [[free market]], [[capitalism|capitalist]] views about space development. |
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* The [[Mars Society]] promotes Robert Zubrin's [[Mars Direct]] plan and the settlement of Mars. |
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* The [[Space Settlement Institute]] is searching for ways to make space colonization happen within a lifetime.<ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.space-settlement-institute.org|title=The Space Settlement Institute|work=space-settlement-institute.org|access-date=13 June 2015|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20150428202903/http://www.space-settlement-institute.org/|archive-date=28 April 2015|url-status=live}}</ref> |
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* [[SpaceX]] is developing extensive [[SpaceX Mars transportation infrastructure|spaceflight transportation infrastructure]] with the express purpose of enabling long-term human settlement of Mars.<ref name=trati20181224>{{cite news |last=Ralph |first=Eric |url=https://www.teslarati.com/spacex-elon-musk-starship-prototype-three-raptors-mirror-finish/ |title=SpaceX CEO Elon Musk: Starship prototype to have 3 Raptors and "mirror finish" |work=Teslarati |date=24 December 2018 |access-date=30 December 2018 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20181224133103/https://www.teslarati.com/spacex-elon-musk-starship-prototype-three-raptors-mirror-finish/ |archive-date=24 December 2018 |url-status=live }}</ref><ref name=sn20181224> |
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{{cite news |last=Foust|first=Jeff |url=https://spacenews.com/musk-teases-new-details-about-redesigned-next-generation-launch-system/ |title=Musk teases new details about redesigned next-generation launch system |work=[[SpaceNews]] |date=24 December 2018 |access-date=27 December 2018 }}</ref> |
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* The [[Space Studies Institute]] funds the study of outer space settlements, especially [[O'Neill cylinder]]s. |
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* The [[Alliance to Rescue Civilization]] plans to establish [[backup]]s of human civilization on the Moon and other locations away from Earth. |
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* The [[Artemis Project]] plans to set up a private lunar surface station.[https://ntrs.nasa.gov/archive/nasa/casi.ntrs.nasa.gov/19930008978.pdf] |
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* The [[British Interplanetary Society]] (BIS) promotes ideas for the exploration and use of space, including a [[Project Boreas|Mars colony]], future propulsion systems (see [[Project Daedalus]]), terraforming, and locating other habitable worlds.<ref>{{Cite web |title=Journal of the British Interplanetary Society |url=https://www.bis-space.com/publications/jbis/ |access-date=2022-09-26 |website=The British Interplanetary Society |language=en-GB}}</ref> |
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** In June 2013 the BIS began the SPACE project to re-examine Gerard O'Neill's 1970s space colony studies in light of the advances made since then. The progress of this effort were detailed in a special edition of the BIS journal in September 2019.<ref name=":2">{{Cite journal |date=September 2019 |title=BIS SPACE Project special issue |url=https://www.bis-space.com/membership/jbis/2019/JBIS-v72-no09-September-October-2019_dk64ll.pdf |journal=[[Journal of the British Interplanetary Society]] |volume=72 |issue=9/10}}</ref> |
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* [[Asgardia (nation)]] – an organization searching to circumvent limitations placed by [[Outer Space Treaty]]. |
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*The [[Cyprus Space Exploration Organisation]] promotes space exploration and colonization, and fosters collaboration in space. |
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==Terrestrial analogues to space settlement== |
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The [[Oort Cloud]] is estimated to have up to a trillion comets. |
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{{See also|Mars analog habitat|List of Mars analogs}} |
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[[File:Wiki bio2 sunset 001.jpg|thumb|upright=1.2|Biosphere 2 is a test habitat on Earth for space flight.]] |
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Many [[space agency|space agencies]] build "testbeds", which are facilities on Earth for testing advanced life support systems, but these are designed for long duration [[human spaceflight]], not permanent colonization. |
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*The most famous attempt to build an analogue to a self-sufficient settlement is [[Biosphere 2]], which attempted to duplicate Earth's biosphere. |
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===Other Solar System locations=== |
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*[[BIOS-3]] is another [[closed ecosystem]], completed in 1972 in [[Krasnoyarsk]], [[Siberia]].<ref>{{Cite news|url=https://www.ecowatch.com/the-worlds-largest-earth-science-experiment-biosphere-2-1882107636.html|title=The World's Largest Earth Science Experiment: Biosphere 2|date=2015-10-16|work=EcoWatch|access-date=2018-08-14|language=en|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180814040305/https://www.ecowatch.com/the-worlds-largest-earth-science-experiment-biosphere-2-1882107636.html|archive-date=2018-08-14|url-status=live}}</ref> |
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*The [[Mars Desert Research Station]] has a habitat for similar reasons, but the surrounding climate is not strictly inhospitable.<ref>{{Cite news|url=https://news.nationalgeographic.com/2016/12/exploring-mars-utah-mock-mission-simulation-space-science/|title=8 Amazing Places You Can Visit 'Mars' on Earth|date=2016-12-12|access-date=2018-08-13|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180814040445/https://news.nationalgeographic.com/2016/12/exploring-mars-utah-mock-mission-simulation-space-science/|archive-date=2018-08-14|url-status=dead}}</ref> |
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*[[Devon Island]] [[Flashline Mars Arctic Research Station|Mars Arctic Research Station]], can also provide some practice for off-world outpost construction and operation.<ref>{{Cite news|url=https://www.mnn.com/earth-matters/wilderness-resources/stories/devon-island-close-mars-you-may-get|title=Devon Island is as close to Mars as you may get|work=MNN - Mother Nature Network|access-date=2018-08-13|language=en|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180814040256/https://www.mnn.com/earth-matters/wilderness-resources/stories/devon-island-close-mars-you-may-get|archive-date=2018-08-14|url-status=live}}</ref> |
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==In media and fiction== |
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====Statites==== |
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Although [[Space stations and habitats in popular culture|established space habitats]] are a stock element in science fiction stories, fictional works that explore the themes, social or practical, of the settlement and occupation of a habitable world are more rare.{{Citation needed|date=December 2022}} |
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{{Main|Statite}} |
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Statites or "static satellites" employ [[solar sail]]s to position themselves in orbits that gravity alone could not accomplish. Such a solar sail colony would be free to ride solar radiation pressure and travel off the [[ecliptic]] plane. Navigational computers with an advanced understanding of [[flocking behavior]] could organize several statite colonies into the beginnings of the true "swarm" concept of a [[Dyson sphere]]. |
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* ''[[Solaris (novel)|Solaris]]'' is noted for its critique of space colonization of inhabited planets. At one point, one of the characters says:<ref>{{cite journal |author=Weinstone |first=Ann |date=July 1994 |title=Resisting Monsters: Notes on "Solaris" |url=https://www.jstor.org/stable/4240332 |journal=Science Fiction Studies |publisher=SF-TH Inc |volume=21 |pages=173–190 |jstor=4240332 |access-date=4 February 2021 |number=2}}"Lem's critique of colonialism, as he broadly defines it, is articulated by Snow, one of the other scientists on the space station, who says in the book's most frequently quoted passage.</ref> |
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====Surfaces of gas giants==== |
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{{blockquote|We are humanitarian and chivalrous; we don't want to enslave other races, we simply want to bequeath them our values and take over their heritage in exchange. We think of ourselves as the Knights of the Holy Contact. This is another lie. We are only seeking Man. We have no need of other worlds. We need mirrors. (§6:72)}} |
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It may be possible to colonize the three farthest [[gas giant]]s with [[Floating city (science fiction)|floating cities]] in their atmospheres. By heating hydrogen balloons, large masses can be suspended underneath at roughly Earth gravity. A human [[Exploration of Jupiter#Potential for colonization|colony on Jupiter]] would be less practical due to the planet's high gravity, escape velocity and radiation. Such colonies could export [[Helium-3]] for use in [[fusion reactor]]s if they ever become practical. |
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Escape from the gas giants (especially Jupiter) seems well beyond current or near-term foreseeable chemical-rocket technology however, due to the combination of large velocity and high acceleration needed even to achieve low orbit. |
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In 2022 [[Rudolph Herzog]] and [[Werner Herzog]] presented an in-depth documentary with [[Lucianne Walkowicz]] called ''Last exit: Space''.<ref name="Machkovech 2022">{{cite web | last=Machkovech | first=Sam | title=Why Werner Herzog thinks human space colonization "will inevitably fail" – Ars Technica | website=Ars Technica | date=2022-03-12 | url=https://arstechnica.com/gaming/2022/03/ars-talks-to-werner-herzog-about-space-colonization-its-poetry/?amp=1 | access-date=2022-10-15}}</ref> |
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===Outside the Solar System=== |
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{{Main|Interstellar travel}} |
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[[File:LH 95.jpg|thumb|right|A [[star]] forming region in the [[Large Magellanic Cloud]]]] |
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Looking beyond the Solar System, there are up to several hundred billion potential stars with possible colonization targets. The main difficulty is the vast distances to other stars: roughly a hundred thousand times further away than the planets in the Solar System. This means that some combination of very high speed (some percentage of the speed of light), or travel times lasting centuries or millennia, would be required. These speeds are far beyond what current [[spacecraft propulsion]] systems can provide. |
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Many scientific papers have been published about interstellar travel. Given sufficient travel time and engineering work, both unmanned and generational voyages seem possible, though representing a very considerable technological and economic challenge unlikely to be met for some time, particularly for manned probes. |
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Space colonization technology could in principle allow human expansion at high, but sub-relativistic speeds, substantially less than the [[speed of light]], ''c''. An interstellar colony ship would be similar to a space habitat, with the addition of major [[spacecraft propulsion|propulsion]] capabilities and independent energy generation. |
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Hypothetical [[starship]] concepts proposed both by scientists and in [[hard science fiction]] include: |
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* A [[generation ship]] would travel much slower than light, with consequent interstellar trip times of many decades or centuries. The crew would go through generations before the journey is complete, so that none of the initial crew would be expected to survive to arrive at the destination, assuming current human lifespans. |
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* A [[sleeper ship]], in which most or all of the crew spend the journey in some form of [[hibernation]] or [[suspended animation]], allowing some or all who undertake the journey to survive to the end. |
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* An [[embryo space colonization|Embryo-carrying Interstellar Starship]] (EIS), much smaller than a generation ship or sleeper ship, transporting human [[embryo]]s or DNA in a frozen or dormant state to the destination. (Obvious biological and psychological problems in birthing, raising, and educating such voyagers, neglected here, may not be fundamental.) |
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* A [[nuclear fusion]] or [[nuclear fission|fission]] powered ship (e.g., [[ion drive]]) of some kind, achieving velocities of up to perhaps 10% ''c'' permitting one-way trips to nearby stars with durations comparable to a human lifetime. |
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* A [[Project Orion (nuclear propulsion)|Project Orion]]-ship, a nuclear-powered concept proposed by [[Freeman Dyson]] which would use [[nuclear bomb|nuclear explosion]]s to propel a starship. A special case of the preceding nuclear rocket concepts, with similar potential velocity capability, but possibly easier technology. |
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* [[Solar sail|Laser propulsion]] concepts, using some form of beaming of power from the Solar System might allow a [[solar sail|light-sail]] or other ship to reach high speeds, comparable to those theoretically attainable by the fusion-powered electric rocket, above. These methods would need some means, such as supplementary nuclear propulsion, to stop at the destination, but a hybrid (light-sail for acceleration, fusion-electric for deceleration) system might be possible. |
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The above concepts all appear limited to high, but still sub-relativistic speeds, due to fundamental energy and reaction mass considerations, and all would entail trip times which might be enabled by space colonization technology, permitting self-contained habitats with lifetimes of decades to centuries. Yet human interstellar expansion at average speeds of even 0.1% of ''c'' would permit settlement of the entire Galaxy in less than one half of a galactic rotation period of ~250,000,000 years, which is comparable to the timescale of other galactic processes. Thus, even if interstellar travel at near relativistic speeds is never feasible (which cannot be clearly determined at this time), the development of space colonization could allow human expansion beyond the Solar System without requiring technological advances that cannot yet be reasonably foreseen. This could greatly improve the chances for the survival of intelligent life over cosmic timescales, given the many natural and human-related hazards that have been widely noted. |
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The star [[Tau Ceti]], about twelve light years away, has an abundance of cometary and asteroidal material in orbit around it. These materials could be used for the construction of space habitats for human settlement. |
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If humanity does gain access to a large amount of energy, on the order of the mass-energy of entire planets, it may eventually become feasible to construct [[Alcubierre drive]]s. These are one of the few methods of superluminal travel which may be possible under current physics. |
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====Intergalactic travel==== |
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{{Main|Intergalactic travel}} |
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Looking beyond the Milky Way, there are about 100 billion other galaxies in the observable universe. The distances between galaxies are on the order of a million times further than those between the stars. Because of the speed of light limit on how fast any material objects can travel in space, intergalactic travel would either have to involve voyages lasting millions of years, or a possible faster than light propulsion method based on speculative physics, such as the [[Alcubierre drive]]. There are, however, no scientific reasons for stating that intergalactic travel is impossible in principle. |
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==Funding== |
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Space colonization can roughly be said to be possible when the necessary methods of space colonization become cheap enough (such as space access by cheaper launch systems) to meet the cumulative funds that have been gathered for the purpose. However, there are no immediate prospects for the large amounts of money required for space colonization to be available.<ref>[http://settlement.arc.nasa.gov/Basics/wwwwh.html Space Settlement Basics] by Al Globus, NASA Ames Research Center. Last Updated: February 02, 2012</ref> |
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The [[President's Commission on Implementation of United States Space Exploration Policy]] suggested that an [[Inducement prize contest|inducement prize]] should be established, perhaps by government, for the achievement of space colonization, for example by offering the prize to the first organization to place humans on the Moon and sustain them for a fixed period before they return to Earth.<ref>[http://www.nasa.gov/pdf/60736main_M2M_report_small.pdf A Journey to Inspire, Innovate, and Discover] - Report of the [[President's Commission on Implementation of United States Space Exploration Policy]], June 2004</ref> |
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In addition, funding of research that aims to develop cheaper methods of space colonization also contributes to making it possible. |
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==Terrestrial analogues to space colonies== |
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The most famous attempt to build an analogue to a self-sufficient colony is [[Biosphere 2]], which attempted to duplicate [[Earth]]'s [[biosphere]]. [[BIOS-3]] is another [[closed ecosystem]], completed in 1972 in [[Krasnoyarsk]], [[Siberia]]. |
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Many [[space agency|space agencies]] build testbeds for advanced [[life support system]]s, but these are designed for long duration [[human spaceflight]], not permanent colonization. |
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Remote research stations in inhospitable climates, such as the [[Amundsen-Scott South Pole Station]] or [[Devon Island]] [[Flashline Mars Arctic Research Station|Mars Arctic Research Station]], can also provide some practice for off-world outpost construction and operation. The [[Mars Desert Research Station]] has a habitat for similar reasons, but the surrounding [[climate]] is not strictly inhospitable. |
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[[Nuclear submarine]]s provide an example of conditions encountered in artificial space environment. Crews of these vessels often spend long periods (6 months or more) submerged during their deployments. However, the submarine environment provides a somewhat open life support system since the vessel can replenish supplies of fresh water and oxygen from seawater. |
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Other examples of small groups in isolated living conditions are [[flight endurance record|record long-distance flights]], long-distance [[single-handed sailing|(single-handed) sails]], [[oil platform]]s, [[prisons]], [[bunker]]s, small [[island]]s and [[underground base]]s. |
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The study of terrestrial analogues is also a central focus in [[space architecture]]. |
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==History== |
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The first known work on space colonization was ''[[The Brick Moon]]'', a work of fiction published in 1869 by [[Edward Everett Hale]], about an inhabited artificial satellite.<ref>E. E. Hale. ''[[The Brick Moon]]''. Atlantic Monthly, Vol. 24, 1869.</ref> |
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The Russian schoolmaster and physicist [[Konstantin Tsiolkovsky]] foresaw elements of the space community in his book ''Beyond Planet Earth'' written about 1900. Tsiolkovsky had his space travelers building greenhouses and raising crops in space.<ref>K. E. Tsiolkovsky. ''Beyond Planet Earth''. Trans. by Kenneth Syers. Oxford, 1960</ref> Tsiolkovsky believed that going into space would help perfect human beings, leading to immortality and peace.<ref name="bio">[http://www.informatics.org/museum/tsiol.html The life of Konstantin Eduardovitch Tsiolkovsky 1857-1935]</ref> |
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Others have also written about space colonies as Lasswitz in 1897 and Bernal, Oberth, Von Pirquet and Noordung in the 1920s. [[Wernher von Braun]] contributed his ideas in a 1952 ''Colliers'' article. In the 1950s and 1960s, [[Dandridge M. Cole]]<ref>Dandridge M. Cole and Donald W. Cox ''Islands in Space.'' Chilton, 1964</ref> published his ideas. |
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Another seminal book on the subject was the book ''The High Frontier: Human Colonies in Space'' by [[Gerard K. O'Neill]]<ref>G. K. O'Neill. ''The High Frontier: Human Colonies in Space''. Morrow, 1977.</ref> in 1977 which was followed the same year by ''Colonies in Space '' by [[T. A. Heppenheimer]].<ref>T. A. Heppenheimer. ''Colonies in Space''. Stackpole Books, 1977</ref> |
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M. Dyson wrote ''Home on the Moon; Living on a Space Frontier'' in 2003;<ref>Marianne J. Dyson: Living on a Space Frontier. National Geographic, 2003</ref> Peter Eckart wrote ''Lunar Base Handbook'' in 2006<ref>Peter Eckart. ''Lunar Base Handbook''. McGraw-Hill, 2006</ref> and then Harrison Schmitt's ''Return to the Moon'' written in 2007.<ref>Harrison H. Schmitt. '' Return to the Moon''. Springer, 2007.</ref> |
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{{asof|2013}}, [[Bigelow Aerospace]] is the only [[private spaceflight|private commercial spaceflight]] company that has launched two experimental space station modules, [[Genesis I]] (2006) and [[Genesis II]] (2007),<ref name=sn20070628> {{cite news |url=http://www.space.com/4007-bigelow-orbital-module-launches-space.html |title=Bigelow's Second Orbital Module Launches Into Space |work=Space.com |first1=Tariq|last1=Malik |first2=Leonard|last2=David |date=June 28, 2007 |accessdate=August 3, 2013}}</ref> into [[low-Earth orbit|Earth-orbit]], and is planning to launch their [[BA 330]] commercial production module into space by 2014 or 2015.{{cn|date=August 2013}}<!-- not sure that 2014/2015 is still the correct date for this. I think the delays in the commercial launch providers building human-carrying transport systems forced Bigelow to delay the launch plans for the BA 330 destination modules --> |
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==Objections== |
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Colonizing space would require massive amounts of financial, physical and human capital devoted to research, development, production, and deployment. The planet's [[natural resource]]s do not increase to a noteworthy extent (which is in keeping with the "only one Earth" position of environmentalists). Thus, considerable efforts in colonizing places outside Earth would appear as a hazardous waste of the Earth's limited resources for an aim without a clear end. |
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The fundamental problem of public things, needed for survival, such as space programs, is the [[free rider problem]]. Convincing the public to fund such programs would require additional self-interest arguments: If the objective of space colonization is to provide a "backup" in case everyone on Earth is killed, then why should someone on Earth pay for something that is only useful after they are dead? This assumes that space colonization is not widely acknowledged as a sufficiently valuable social goal. |
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Although seen as a relief to the problem of overpopulation, others have argued that space colonization is an impractical solution; in 1999, science fiction author [[Arthur C. Clarke]] said that "the population battle must be fought or won here on Earth".<ref>{{Cite book|last=Clarke|first=Arthur C.|title=Greetings, Carbon-Based Bipeds!|year=1999|publisher=Harper Collins Publishers|location=London|isbn=0-00-224698-8}}</ref> |
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Other objections include concern about creating a culture in which humans are no longer seen as human, but rather as material assets. The issues of [[human dignity]], [[morality]], [[philosophy]], [[culture]], [[bioethics]], and the threat of [[megalomaniac]] leaders in these new "societies" would all have to be addressed in order for space colonization to meet the [[psychology|psychological]] and [[Group (sociology)|social]] needs of people living in isolated colonies.<ref>[http://er.jsc.nasa.gov/seh/sociology.html SOCIOLOGY AND SPACE DEVELOPMENT] B.J. Bluth, Sociology Department, California State University, Northridge, SPACE SOCIAL SCIENCE</ref> |
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As an alternative or addendum for the future of the human race, many science fiction writers have focused on the realm of the 'inner-space', that is the computer aided exploration of the [[human mind]] and human [[consciousness]]. |
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[[Unmanned space mission|Robotic exploration]] is proposed as an alternative to gain many of the same scientific advantages without the limited mission duration and high cost of life support and return transportation involved in manned missions. |
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It could seem that [[nationalism]] might unfold ever bigger dangers, once one carries it up and out into space. The exploration of space stronger and stronger blocks up the practical possibility of a war, as it decisively strengthens the factor of [[Deterrence (legal)|deterrence]].<ref>{{cite book |title=[[:de:Raumfahrt (Sänger)|Raumfahrt]] |last=Sänger |first=Eugen |authorlink=Eugen Sänger |year=1963 |publisher=Econ Verlag |location=München |pages=30–37}}</ref> |
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Another objection is the potential to cause a [[interplanetary contamination]] on planets that may harbor hypothetical [[extraterrestrial life]]. |
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==Involved organizations== |
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Organizations that contribute to space colonization include: |
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* The [[Space Studies Institute]] funds the study of space habitats. |
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* The [[Space Frontier Foundation]] performs [[space advocacy]] including strong [[free market]], [[capitalism|capitalist]] views about space development. |
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* The [[Living Universe Foundation]] has a detailed plan in which the entire [[Milky Way|galaxy]] is colonized. |
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* The [[Colonize the Cosmos]] site advocates orbital colonies.<ref>[http://space.alglobus.net/ Orbital Space Settlement] Al Globus</ref> |
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* The [[Mars Society]] promotes [[Robert Zubrin]]'s [[Mars Direct]] plan and the settlement of Mars. |
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* The [[National Space Society]] is an organization with the vision of "people living and working in thriving communities beyond the Earth." |
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* The [[Planetary Society]] is the largest space interest group, but has an emphasis on [[robotic spacecraft|robotic exploration]] and the [[SETI|search for extraterrestrial life]]. |
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* The [[Space Settlement Institute]] is searching for ways to make space colonization happen in our lifetimes.<ref>[http://www.space-settlement-institute.org space-settlement-institute.org]</ref> |
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* [[Students for the Exploration and Development of Space]] (SEDS) is a student organization founded in 1980 at [[Massachusetts Institute of Technology|MIT]] and [[Princeton University|Princeton]].<ref>[http://www.seds.org/ Students for the Exploration and Development of Space (SEDS)]</ref> |
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* [[Foresight Nanotechnology Institute]] – Guiding nanotechnology research to improve fuels, smart materials, uniforms and environments for the pursuit of space exploration and colonization.<ref>[http://www.foresight.org/challenges/index.html Foresight Nanotechnology Challenges] from the Foresight Institute website. Retrieved October 2012.</ref> |
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* The [[Alliance to Rescue Civilization]] plans to establish [[backup]]s of human civilization on the Moon and other locations away from Earth. |
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* The [[Artemis Project]] plans to set up a private lunar surface station.{{Citation needed|date=October 2012}} |
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* The [[British Interplanetary Society]] promotes ideas for the exploration and utilization of space, including a [[Project Boreas|Mars colony]], future propulsion systems (see [[Project Daedalus]]), terraforming, and locating other habitable worlds.<ref>[http://www.bis-space.com/what-we-do/the-british-interplanetary-society/visionary-thinking British Interplanetary Society homepage]</ref><ref>[http://www.researchgate.net/journal/0007-084X_Journal_of_the_British_Interplanetary_Society Journal of the British Interplanetary Society]</ref> |
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==In fiction== |
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{{Main|Space stations and habitats in popular culture}} |
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Although established space colonies are a stock element in science fiction stories, fictional works that explore the themes, social or practical, of the settlement and occupation of a habitable world are much rarer. |
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==See also== |
==See also== |
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{{Portal|Spaceflight}} |
{{Portal|Spaceflight}} |
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{{Div col|colwidth=20em}} |
{{Div col|colwidth=20em}} |
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* [[ |
* [[Asteroid mining]] |
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* [[Bernal sphere]] |
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* [[Billionaire space race]] |
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* [[Colonisation (biology)]] |
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* [[Colonization of Antarctica]] |
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* [[Directed panspermia]] |
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* [[Domed city]] |
* [[Domed city]] |
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* [[Extraterrestrial liquid water]] |
* [[Extraterrestrial liquid water]] |
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* [[Extraterrestrial real estate]] |
* [[Extraterrestrial real estate]] |
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* [[Human outpost]] |
* [[Human outpost]] |
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* [[Human presence in space]] |
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* [[Lagrange point colonization]] |
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* [[Mars analog habitat]] |
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* [[Mars One]] |
* [[Mars One]] |
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* [[Mars to Stay]] |
* [[Mars to Stay]] |
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* [[Megastructure]] |
* [[Megastructure]] |
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* [[NewSpace]] |
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* [[MELiSSA]] |
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* [[Ocean colonization]] |
* [[Ocean colonization]] |
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* [[O'Neill Cylinder]] |
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* [[Planetary habitability]] |
* [[Planetary habitability]] |
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* [[Solar analog]] |
* [[Solar analog]] |
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* [[Space archaeology]] |
* [[Space archaeology]] |
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* [[Space habitat]] |
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* [[#top|Space colonization of specific targets]] - see link panel at top-right of article |
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* {{annotated link|Space observatory}} |
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* [[Politics of outer space]] |
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* {{annotated link|Research station}} |
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* [[Space law]] |
* [[Space law]] |
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* [[Space stations and habitats in popular culture]] |
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* [[Spome]] |
* [[Spome]] |
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* [[Stanford torus]] |
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* [[Terraforming]] |
* [[Terraforming]] |
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* [[Timeline of Solar System exploration]] |
* [[Timeline of Solar System exploration]] |
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* [[Underground city]] |
* [[Underground city]] |
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* [[Criticism of the Space Shuttle program]] |
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{{Div col end}} |
{{Div col end}} |
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==References== |
==References== |
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{{reflist}} |
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{{Reflist|colwidth=30em}} |
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==Further reading== |
==Further reading== |
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{{Library resources box}} |
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* Google Book Preview Of [http://books.google.ca/books?id=ZJm_i3GS4r4C&printsec=frontcover&source=gbs_navlinks_s#v=onepage&q=&f=false Lunar Outpost: The Challenges of Establishing a Human Settlement on the Moon]; By Erik Seedhouse; Praxis Publishing Ltd., Chichester, UK, 2009. ISBN 978-0-387-09746-6.Library of Congress Control Number: 2008934751. Also see [http://www.springer.com/astronomy/space+exploration/book/978-0-387-09746-6] |
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;Papers |
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* [http://www.praxis-publishing.co.uk/9780387981901.htm MARTIAN OUTPOST: The Challenges of Establishing a Human Settlement on Mars]; by Erik Seedhouse; Praxis Publishing; 2009; ISBN 978-0-387-98190-1. Also see [http://www.springer.com/astronomy/space+exploration/book/978-0-387-98190-1], [http://www.amazon.com/dp/038798190X] |
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* Yap, Xiao-Shan & Rakhyun E. Kim (2023). "[[doi:10.1016/j.esg.2023.100173|Towards Earth-Space Governance in a Multi-Planetary Era]]". ''Earth System Governance'', 16: 100173. |
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* {{cite book| last = Ferrando | first = Francesca | chapter = Why Space Migration Must be Posthuman | publisher = Springer | pages = 137–152| date = July 2016| location=New York, US| isbn = 978-3-319-39825-9 | doi = 10.1007/978-3-319-39827-3_10 | title = The Ethics of Space Exploration | series = Space and Society }} |
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* {{cite journal | last = Tiziani | first = Moreno | title = The Colonization of Space - An Anthropological Outlook | journal = Antrocom Online Journal of Anthropology | publisher = Antrocom | volume = 9 | pages = 225–236 | date = Jun 2013 | location = Rome, Italy | issn = 1973-2880 | url = http://www.antrocom.net/upload/sub/antrocom/090113/21-Antrocom.pdf | issue = 1 | access-date = 2013-12-01 | archive-date = 2013-12-02 | archive-url = https://web.archive.org/web/20131202223755/http://www.antrocom.net/upload/sub/antrocom/090113/21-Antrocom.pdf | url-status = dead }} |
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* {{cite book |last=Foss |first= Nicole |date= December 2016 |title=Mass Extinction and Mass Insanity |url= https://www.theautomaticearth.com/2016/12/mass-extinction-and-mass-insanity/}} |
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* {{cite book| last = Harrison | first = Albert A. |title=Spacefaring: The Human Dimension|year=2002 |publisher=University of California Press |location=Berkeley, CA, US |isbn=978-0-520-23677-6}} |
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* {{cite book|last=Seedhouse|first=Erik|title=Lunar Outpost: The Challenges of Establishing a Human Settlement on the Moon|year=2009 |publisher=Praxis Publishing Ltd. |location=Chichester, UK |isbn=978-0-387-09746-6}} Also see [https://www.springer.com/astronomy/space+exploration/book/978-0-387-09746-6]. |
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* {{cite book|last=Seedhouse|first=Erik|title=Martian Outpost: The Challenges of Establishing a Human Settlement on Mars|journal=Popular Astronomy |year=2009 |publisher=Praxis Publishing Ltd. |location=Chichester, UK |isbn=978-0-387-98190-1|bibcode=2009maou.book.....S}}. |
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* {{cite book|last=Seedhouse|first=Erik|title=Interplanetary Outpost: The Human and Technological Challenges of Exploring the Outer Planets|year=2012 |publisher=Springer |location=Berlin |isbn=978-1-4419-9747-0}} |
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* {{cite book| last = Cameron M. Smith | first = Evan T. Davies |title=Emigrating Beyond Earth: Human Adaptation and Space Colonization|year=2012 |publisher=Springer-Verlag |location=Berlin |isbn=978-1-4614-1164-2}} |
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*{{cite book| last=Rees|first=Martin|author-link=Martin J. Rees|url=https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ngrJLQjZqY4 |archive-url=https://ghostarchive.org/varchive/youtube/20211211/ngrJLQjZqY4| archive-date=2021-12-11 |url-status=live|title=Brief talk on some key issues in space exploration and colonization|date=March 2017}}{{cbignore}} <small>Posted on the official YouTube channel of ''[[Casina Pio IV]].''</small> |
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*{{cite book| last=Sarmont|first=Eagle|url=https://vimeo.com/306453241|title=Opening the High Frontier|date=December 2018}} <small>Affordable to everyone spaceflight is the key to building a spacefaring civilization. Posted on Vimeo.</small> |
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Latest revision as of 18:55, 27 December 2024
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Space colonization is the process of establishing human settlements beyond Earth for prestige, commercial or strategic benefit,[3] in contrast to space exploration for scientific benefit. Colonialism in this sense is multi-dimensional, including the exploitation of labor, resources and rights.
While there have been initiatives to start space colonization programs in the past, none have been feasible due to the extreme cost of space launch. As reusable launch systems are becoming the norm in the 2020s, launch cost will decrease and colonization projects will become feasible. Space colonization is likely to begin with the establishment of a lunar base with either United States's Artemis Base Camp or China's International Lunar Research Station.[3] While SpaceX, the main launch provider for NASA, has expressed interest in establishing a Mars base, SpaceX is currently contracted to perform lunar landings for the Artemis program and has no detailed plans for a Mars base.[4] The first entity to have a Moon base will have an immense first-mover advantage to the point of shaping human history and geopolitics in the 21st century. However, collaboration can also be extremely beneficial to all entities.[3]
In the near term, the Moon is believed to contain various types of metal and rare earth metals, which can be mass-extracted in space without causing environmental damage on Earth. Space manufacturing would allow human organs to be 3D printed and exotic pharmaceuticals to be produced which have the potential to improve healthcare. However, the great potential of space colonization would be the many unknown technological, economic and societal advancements that can be made with space bases.[3] Once lunar or Mars-based infrastructure is sufficiently well-developed, other bodies in the Solar System could be subject to human colonization and exploitation, making humans a multiplanetary species.[5]
Space colonization is an important topic in academic debates across many disciplines. Space colonization will ensure human survival in case of a planetary disaster and accessing space resources to expand society, but it could also benefit the ruling class like traditional colonialism and worsen existing problems like war, economic inequality, and environmental damage.[6][7][8] There has been calls to halt space colonization process before major social issues are solved,[9] but the momentum of United States and Chinese space program have made this less viable.
Definition
[edit]The term has been used broadly, being applied to any permanent human presence, even robotic,[10][11] particularly along with the term "settlement", being imprecisely applied to any human space habitat, from research stations to self-sustaining communities in space.
The words colony and colonization are terms rooted in colonial history on Earth, making them human geographic as well as particularly political terms. This broad use for any permanent human activity and development in space has been criticized, particularly as colonialist and undifferentiated[12] (see below Objections).
In this sense, a colony is a settlement that claims territory and exploits it for the settlers or their metropole. Therefore a human outpost, while possibly a space habitat or even a space settlement, does not automatically constitute a space colony.[13] Though entrepôts like trade factories (trading posts) did often grow into colonies.
Therefore any basing can be part of colonization, while colonization can be understood as a process that is open to more claims, beyond basing. The International Space Station, the longest-occupied extraterrestrial habitat thus far, does not claim territory and thus is not usually considered a colony. That said simple satellites occupying orbits has been identified by Moriba Jah as colonial when treated as controlling the orbit through them instead of through a broader stewardship.[14]
Locations
[edit]As Christopher Wanjek pointed out, space colonization is a project that require political goodwill and great sums of money. There are three main reasons why a nation or benefactor might sponsor such a project: prestige, militaristic, or economic. These reasons, combined with lower costs, hedged risks, and increased returns could enable settlement and trade, could potentially lead to a successful large-scale colonization effort beyond a few small habitats like in Antarctica.[15]: 10–15
Outer space
[edit]Until the 2010s, space travel was extremely expensive because expendable launch vehicles, making the cost of each launch equal to the manufacturing cost of a launch vehicle. With the development of reusable launch vehicle, the manufacturing cost is amortised and with multiple flights the only significant costs are propellant and operational cost. When space launch cost decreases, the cost of space hardware will significantly decrease, which would allow more payload and astronauts to be sent to space.[16]: 21–25 In addition, most of the delta-v budget, and thus propellant, is in bringing a spacecraft to low Earth orbit.[15]: 100 This is the main reason why Jerry Pournelle said "If you can get your ship into orbit, you're halfway to anywhere".[17]
The major advantages to construct a space habitat are accessibility to the Earth and already-existing economic motives such as space hotels and space manufacturing, however, a big disadvantage is that orbit does not host any materials that is available for exploitation. Thus, outer space will not be a destination by itself, but as a place to host space infrastructures and an exploitation point for the service industry. Space colonization eventually will demand lifting vast amounts of payload into orbit, making thousands of daily launches potentially unsustainable. Various theoretical concepts, such as orbital rings and skyhooks, have been proposed to reduce the cost of accessing space.[15]: 142–147
Moon
[edit]As of 2024, both China and the United States plan to establish scientific Moonbases at the poles near permanently shadowed craters in the 2030s. The Chinese Lunar Exploration Program aims to bolster its political influence and enhance its bid for superpower status, and the United States’ Artemis program seeks to maintain its position as the leading space power. A prestige imperative means that converting a scientific Moonbase into a Moon colony is likely to receive political and financial support.[15]: 154–158
The Moon is reachable from Earth in three days, has a near-instant communication to Earth, with minable minerals, no atmosphere, and low gravity, making it extremely easy to ship materials and products to orbit.[15]: 175 There are only a few materials on the Moon which make economic sense to ship directly back to the Earth, which are helium-3 (for fusion power) and rare-earth minerals (for electronics). Instead, it makes more sense for these materials to be used in-space or being turned into valuable products for export. Since the Moon has extreme temperature swings and toxic lunar regolith, it is likely that the Moon will not become a place of habitation, but instead attract polluting extraction and manufacturing industries. Moving these industries to the Moon will help protect the Earth's environment and allow poorer countries to be released from the shackles of neocolonialism by wealther countries. In the space colonization framework, the Moon will be transformed into an industrial hub of the Solar System.[15]: 161–172
Mars
[edit]While there have been many plans for a human Mars mission, including affordable ones such as Mars Direct, none has been realized as of 2024. Both the United States and China has plans to send humans to Mars sometime in the 2040s, but these plans are backed with hardware and funding.[15]: 219–223 However, SpaceX is currently developing Starship, a super-heavy-lift reusable launch vehicle, with a vision of sending humans to Mars. As of November 2024, the company plans to send five uncrewed Starships to Mars in either 2026 or 2028–2029 launch windows[19] and SpaceX's CEO Elon Musk has repeatingly stated to back the Mars efforts financially and politically.[20]
Mars is more suitable for habitation than the Moon, with a stronger gravity, rich amount of materials needed for life, day/night cycle nearly identical to Earth, and a thin atmosphere to protect from micrometeroids. The main disadvantage of Mars compared to the Moon is the six-to-nine-month transit time and the lengthy launch window, which occurs approximately every two years.[15]: 175 Without in situ resource utlization, Mars colonization would be nearly impossible as it would require bringing thousands of tons of payload to sustain a handful of astronauts. If Martian materials can be used to make propellant (such as methane with the Sabatier process) and supplies (such as oxygen for crews), the amount of supplies needed to bring to Mars can be greatly reduced.[15]: 228–230 Even then, Mars colonies will not be economically viable in the near term, thus reasons for colonizing Mars will be mostly ideological and prestige-based, such as a desire for freedom.[15]: 267–270, 280
Other bodies
[edit]Once Earth orbit becomes a gateway point for spaceships, the Moon becomes an industrial hub and Mars becoming a place for space settlement, settling on other bodies in the Solar System become more attractive. These bodies are ordered based on economic feasibility.
- Asteroids: Asteroids can provide enough material in the form of water, air, fuel, metal, soil, and nutrients to support ten to a hundred trillion humans in space. Many asteroids contain minerals that are inheriently valuable, such as rare earths and precious metals. However, low gravity, distance from Earth and disperse nature of their orbits make it difficult to settle on small asteroids.[15]: 203, 204, 218
- Venus: Though the surface of Venus is extremely hostile, habitats high above the atmosphere of Venus are fairly habitable, with a temperature of around 50 °C and a pressure similar to the Earth's sea level. However, beside tourism opportunities, the economic benefit of a Venusian colonies is minimal.[15]: 308–310
- Titan: Among all moons around Saturn, Titan is the most attractive to colonization because of its dense atmosphere and vast lakes of hydrocarbons. The biggest challenges for colonists are the distance from Earth, extreme cold, low gravity and the lack of solar energy on the surface.[15]: 320–326
- Galilean moons around Jupiter: Radiation levels on Io and Europa are extreme, enough to kill unshielded humans within an Earth day.[21] Therefore, only Callisto and perhaps Ganymede could reasonably support a human colony. Callisto orbits outside Jupiter's radiation belt.[22] However, due to the extreme radiation and these moons do not contain precious minerals, it might be more practical to setup an orbiting space hub around Jupiter and visit these moons only briefly.[15]: 318–319
- Mercury: Mercury is rich of metals and volatiles, as well as solar energy. However, Mercury is the most energy-consuming body on the Solar System to land for spacecraft launching from Earth, and astronauts there must contend with the extreme temperature differential and radiation.[15]: 311–314
- Moons of Uranus and Neptune, and trans-Neptunian objects: Due to the lack of scienfific knowledge, it is unknown whether settling on these worlds are feasible and economically viable.[15]: 333
History
[edit]When the first space flight programs commenced, they partly used – and have continued to use – colonial spaces on Earth, such as places of indigenous peoples at the RAAF Woomera Range Complex, Guiana Space Centre or contemporarily for astronomy at the Mauna Kea telescope.[23][24][25] When orbital spaceflight was achieved in the 1950s colonialism was still a strong international project, e.g. easing the United States to advance its space program and space in general as part of a "New Frontier".[26]
At the same time of the beginning of the Space Age, decolonization gained again in force, producing many newly independent countries. These newly independent countries confronted spacefaring countries, demanding an anti-colonial stance and regulation of space activity when space law was raised and negotiated internationally. Fears of confrontations because of land grabs and an arms race in space between the few countries with spaceflight capabilities grew and were ultimately shared by the spacefaring countries themselves.[27] This produced the wording of the agreed on international space law, starting with the Outer Space Treaty of 1967, calling space a "province of all mankind" and securing provisions for international regulation and sharing of outer space.
The advent of geostationary satellites raised the case of limited space in outer space. A group of equatorial countries, all of which were countries that were once colonies of colonial empires, but without spaceflight capabilities, signed in 1976 the Bogota Declaration. These countries declared that geostationary orbit is a limited natural resource and belongs to the equatorial countries directly below, seeing it not as part of outer space, humanity's common. Through this, the declaration challenged the dominance of geostationary orbit by spacefaring countries through identifying their dominance as imperialistic. Furthermore this dominance in space has foreshadowed threats to the Outer Space Treaty guaranteed accessibility to space, as in the case of space debris which is ever increasing because of a lack of access regulation.[28][29][30]
In 1977, the first sustained space habitat, the Salyut 6 station, was put into Earth's orbit. Eventually the first space stations were succeeded by the ISS, today's largest human outpost in space and closest to a space settlement. Built and operated under a multilateral regime, it has become a blueprint for future stations, such as around and possibly on the Moon.[31][32] An international regime for lunar activity was demanded by the international Moon Treaty, but is currently developed multilaterally as with the Artemis Accords.[33][34] The only habitation on a different celestial body so far have been the temporary habitats of the crewed lunar landers. Similar to the Artemis program, China is leading an effort to develop a lunar base called the International Lunar Research Station beginning in the 2030s.
Conceptual
[edit]In the first half of the 17th century John Wilkins suggested in A Discourse Concerning a New Planet that future adventurers like Francis Drake and Christopher Columbus might reach the Moon and allow people to live there.[35] The first known work on space colonization was the 1869 novella The Brick Moon by Edward Everett Hale, about an inhabited artificial satellite.[36] In 1897, Kurd Lasswitz also wrote about space colonies. The Russian rocket science pioneer Konstantin Tsiolkovsky foresaw elements of the space community in his book Beyond Planet Earth written about 1900. Tsiolkovsky imagined his space travelers building greenhouses and raising crops in space.[37] Tsiolkovsky believed that going into space would help perfect human beings, leading to immortality and peace.[38] One of the first to speak about space colonization was Cecil Rhodes who in 1902 spoke about "these stars that you see overhead at night, these vast worlds which we can never reach", adding "I would annex the planets if I could; I often think of that. It makes me sad to see them so clear and yet so far".[39] In the 1920s John Desmond Bernal, Hermann Oberth, Guido von Pirquet and Herman Noordung further developed the idea. Wernher von Braun contributed his ideas in a 1952 Colliers magazine article. In the 1950s and 1960s, Dandridge M. Cole[40] published his ideas. Another seminal book on the subject was the book The High Frontier: Human Colonies in Space by Gerard K. O'Neill[41] in 1977 which was followed the same year by Colonies in Space by T. A. Heppenheimer.[42] Marianne J. Dyson wrote Home on the Moon; Living on a Space Frontier in 2003;[43] Peter Eckart wrote Lunar Base Handbook in 2006[44] and then Harrison Schmitt's Return to the Moon written in 2007.[45]
Law, governance, and sovereignty
[edit]Space activity is legally based on the Outer Space Treaty, the main international treaty. But space law has become a larger legal field, which includes other international agreements such as the significantly less ratified Moon Treaty and diverse national laws.
The Outer Space Treaty established the basic ramifications for space activity in article one: "The exploration and use of outer space, including the Moon and other celestial bodies, shall be carried out for the benefit and in the interests of all countries, irrespective of their degree of economic or scientific development, and shall be the province of all mankind."
And continued in article two by stating: "Outer space, including the Moon and other celestial bodies, is not subject to national appropriation by claim of sovereignty, by means of use or occupation, or by any other means."[46]
The development of international space law has revolved much around outer space being defined as common heritage of mankind. The Magna Carta of Space presented by William A. Hyman in 1966 framed outer space explicitly not as terra nullius but as res communis, which subsequently influenced the work of the United Nations Committee on the Peaceful Uses of Outer Space.[47][48]
Reasons
[edit]Survival of human civilization
[edit]A primary argument calling for space colonization is the long-term survival of human civilization and terrestrial life.[49] By developing alternative locations off Earth, the planet's species, including humans, could live on in the event of natural or human-made disasters on Earth.[50]
On two occasions, theoretical physicist and cosmologist Stephen Hawking argued for space colonization as a means of saving humanity. In 2001, Hawking predicted that the human race would become extinct within the next thousand years unless colonies could be established in space.[51] In 2010, he stated that humanity faces two options: either we colonize space within the next two hundred years, or we will face the long-term prospect of extinction.[52]
In 2005, then NASA Administrator Michael Griffin identified space colonization as the ultimate goal of current spaceflight programs, saying:
... the goal isn't just scientific exploration ... it's also about extending the range of human habitat out from Earth into the solar system as we go forward in time ... In the long run, a single-planet species will not survive ... If we humans want to survive for hundreds of thousands of millions of years, we must ultimately populate other planets. Now, today the technology is such that this is barely conceivable. We're in the infancy of it. ... I'm talking about that one day, I don't know when that day is, but there will be more human beings who live off the Earth than on it. We may well have people living on the Moon. We may have people living on the moons of Jupiter and other planets. We may have people making habitats on asteroids ... I know that humans will colonize the solar system and one day go beyond.[53]
Louis J. Halle Jr., formerly of the United States Department of State, wrote in Foreign Affairs (Summer 1980) that the colonization of space will protect humanity in the event of global nuclear warfare.[54] The physicist Paul Davies also supports the view that if a planetary catastrophe threatens the survival of the human species on Earth, a self-sufficient colony could "reverse-colonize" Earth and restore human civilization. The author and journalist William E. Burrows and the biochemist Robert Shapiro proposed a private project, the Alliance to Rescue Civilization, with the goal of establishing an off-Earth "backup" of human civilization.[55]
Based on his Copernican principle, J. Richard Gott has estimated that the human race could survive for another 7.8 million years, but it is not likely to ever colonize other planets. However, he expressed a hope to be proven wrong, because "colonizing other worlds is our best chance to hedge our bets and improve the survival prospects of our species".[56]
In a theoretical study from 2019, a group of researchers have pondered the long-term trajectory of human civilization.[57] It is argued that due to Earth's finitude as well as the limited duration of the Solar System, mankind's survival into the far future will very likely require extensive space colonization.[57]: 8, 22f This 'astronomical trajectory' of mankind, as it is termed, could come about in four steps: First step, space colonies could be established at various habitable locations — be it in outer space or on celestial bodies away from Earth – and allowed to remain temporarily dependent on support from Earth. In the second step, these colonies could gradually become self-sufficient, enabling them to survive if or when the mother civilization on Earth fails or dies. Third step, the colonies could develop and expand their habitation by themselves on their space stations or celestial bodies, for example via terraforming. In the fourth step, the colonies could self-replicate and establish new colonies further into space, a process that could then repeat itself and continue at an exponential rate throughout the cosmos. However, this astronomical trajectory may not be a lasting one, as it will most likely be interrupted and eventually decline due to resource depletion or straining competition between various human factions, bringing about some 'star wars' scenario.[57]: 23–25
Vast resources in space
[edit]Resources in space, both in materials and energy, are enormous. The Solar System has enough material and energy to support anywhere from several thousand to over a billion times that of the current Earth-based human population, mostly from the Sun itself.[58][59][60]
Asteroid mining will likely be a key player in space colonization. Water and materials to make structures and shielding can be easily found in asteroids. Instead of resupplying on Earth, mining and fuel stations need to be established on asteroids to facilitate better space travel.[61] Optical mining is the term NASA uses to describe extracting materials from asteroids. NASA believes by using propellant derived from asteroids for exploration to the moon, Mars, and beyond will save $100 billion. If funding and technology come sooner than estimated, asteroid mining might be possible within a decade.[62]
Although some items of the infrastructure requirements above can already be easily produced on Earth and would therefore not be very valuable as trade items (oxygen, water, base metal ores, silicates, etc.), other high-value items are more abundant, more easily produced, of higher quality, or can only be produced in space. These could provide (over the long-term) a high return on the initial investment in space infrastructure.[63]
Some of these high-value trade goods include precious metals,[64][65] gemstones,[66] power,[67] solar cells,[68] ball bearings,[68] semi-conductors,[68] and pharmaceuticals.[68]
The mining and extraction of metals from a small asteroid the size of 3554 Amun or (6178) 1986 DA, both small near-Earth asteroids, may yield 30 times as much metal as humans have mined throughout history. A metal asteroid this size would be worth approximately US$20 trillion at 2001 market prices[69]
The main impediments to commercial exploitation of these resources are the very high cost of initial investment,[70] the very long period required for the expected return on those investments (The Eros Project plans a 50-year development),[71] and the fact that the venture has never been carried out before—the high-risk nature of the investment.
Expansion with fewer negative consequences
[edit]Expansion of humans and technological progress has usually resulted in some form of environmental devastation, and destruction of ecosystems and their accompanying wildlife. In the past, expansion has often come at the expense of displacing many indigenous peoples, the resulting treatment of these peoples ranging anywhere from encroachment to genocide. Because space has no known life, this need not be a consequence, as some space settlement advocates have pointed out.[72][73] However, on some bodies of the Solar System, there is the potential for extant native lifeforms and so the negative consequences of space colonization cannot be dismissed.[74]
Counterarguments state that changing only the location but not the logic of exploitation will not create a more sustainable future.[75]
Alleviating overpopulation and resource demand
[edit]An argument for space colonization is to mitigate proposed impacts of overpopulation of Earth, such as resource depletion.[76] If the resources of space were opened to use and viable life-supporting habitats were built, Earth would no longer define the limitations of growth. Although many of Earth's resources are non-renewable, off-planet colonies could satisfy the majority of the planet's resource requirements. With the availability of extraterrestrial resources, demand on terrestrial ones would decline.[77] Proponents of this idea include Stephen Hawking[78] and Gerard K. O'Neill.[41]
Others including cosmologist Carl Sagan and science fiction writers Arthur C. Clarke,[79] and Isaac Asimov,[80] have argued that shipping any excess population into space is not a viable solution to human overpopulation. According to Clarke, "the population battle must be fought or won here on Earth".[79] The problem for these authors is not the lack of resources in space (as shown in books such as Mining the Sky[81]), but the physical impracticality of shipping vast numbers of people into space to "solve" overpopulation on Earth.
Other arguments
[edit]Advocates for space colonization cite a presumed innate human drive to explore and discover, and call it a quality at the core of progress and thriving civilizations.[82][83]
Nick Bostrom has argued that from a utilitarian perspective, space colonization should be a chief goal as it would enable a very large population to live for a very long time (possibly billions of years), which would produce an enormous amount of utility (or happiness).[84] He claims that it is more important to reduce existential risks to increase the probability of eventual colonization than to accelerate technological development so that space colonization could happen sooner. In his paper, he assumes that the created lives will have positive ethical value despite the problem of suffering.
In a 2001 interview with Freeman Dyson, J. Richard Gott and Sid Goldstein, they were asked for reasons why some humans should live in space.[85] Their answers were:
- Spread life and beauty throughout the universe
- Ensure the survival of our species
- Make money through new forms of space commercialization such as solar-power satellites, asteroid mining, and space manufacturing
- Save the environment of Earth by moving people and industry into space
Biotic ethics is a branch of ethics that values life itself. For biotic ethics, and their extension to space as panbiotic ethics, it is a human purpose to secure and propagate life and to use space to maximize life.
Difficulties
[edit]There would be many problems in colonizing the outer Solar System. These include:
- Distance from Earth – The outer planets are much farther from Earth than the inner planets, and would therefore be harder and more time-consuming to reach. In addition, return voyages may well be prohibitive considering the time and distance.
- Extreme cold – temperatures are near absolute zero in many parts of the outer Solar System.
- Power – Solar power is many times less concentrated in the outer Solar System than in the inner Solar System. It is unclear as to whether it would be usable there, using some form of concentration mirrors, or whether nuclear power would be necessary. There have also been proposals to use the gravitational potential energy of planets or dwarf planets with moons.
- Effects of low gravity on the human body – All moons of the gas giants and all outer dwarf planets have a very low gravity, the highest being Io's gravity (0.183 g) which is less than 1/5 of the Earth's gravity. Since the Apollo program all crewed spaceflight has been constrained to Low Earth orbit and there has been no opportunity to test the effects of such low gravitational accelerations on the human body. It is speculated (but not confirmed) that the low gravity environments might have very similar effects to long-term exposure in weightlessness. Such effects can be avoided by rotating spacecraft creating artificial gravity.
- Dust – breathing risks associated with fine dust from rocky surface objects, for similar reasons as harmful effects of lunar dust.
Criticisms
[edit]Space colonization has been seen as a relief to the problem of human overpopulation as early as 1758,[86] and listed as one of Stephen Hawking's reasons for pursuing space exploration.[87] Critics note, however, that a slowdown in population growth rates since the 1980s has alleviated the risk of overpopulation.[86]
Critics also argue that the costs of commercial activity in space are too high to be profitable against Earth-based industries, and hence that it is unlikely to see significant exploitation of space resources in the foreseeable future.[88]
Other objections include concerns that the forthcoming colonization and commodification of the cosmos is likely to enhance the interests of the already powerful, including major economic and military institutions e.g. the large financial institutions, the major aerospace companies and the military–industrial complex, to lead to new wars, and to exacerbate pre-existing exploitation of workers and resources, economic inequality, poverty, social division and marginalization, environmental degradation, and other detrimental processes or institutions.[8][89][90]
Additional concerns include creating a culture in which humans are no longer seen as human, but rather as material assets. The issues of human dignity, morality, philosophy, culture, bioethics, and the threat of megalomaniac leaders in these new "societies" would all have to be addressed in order for space colonization to meet the psychological and social needs of people living in isolated colonies.[91]
As an alternative or addendum for the future of the human race, many science fiction writers have focused on the realm of the 'inner-space', that is the computer-aided exploration of the human mind and human consciousness—possibly en route developmentally to a Matrioshka Brain.[92]
Robotic spacecraft are proposed as an alternative to gain many of the same scientific advantages without the limited mission duration and high cost of life support and return transportation involved in human missions.[93]
A corollary to the Fermi paradox—"nobody else is doing it"[94]—is the argument that, because no evidence of alien colonization technology exists, it is statistically unlikely to even be possible to use that same level of technology ourselves.[95]
Colonialism
[edit]Space colonization has been discussed as postcolonial[47] continuation of imperialism and colonialism,[99][100][101][102] calling for decolonization instead of colonization.[103][104] Critics argue that the present politico-legal regimes and their philosophic grounding, advantage imperialist development of space,[102] that key decisionmakers in space colonization are often wealthy elites affiliated with private corporations, and that space colonization would primarily appeal to their peers rather than ordinary citizens.[105][106] Furthermore, it is argued that there is a need for inclusive[107] and democratic participation and implementation of any space exploration, infrastructure or habitation.[108][109] According to space law expert Michael Dodge, existing space law, such as the Outer Space Treaty, guarantees access to space, but does not enforce social inclusiveness or regulate non-state actors.[103]
Particularly the narrative of the "New Frontier" has been criticized as unreflected continuation of settler colonialism and manifest destiny, continuing the narrative of exploration as fundamental to the assumed human nature.[110][111][100][105][101] Joon Yun considers space colonization as a solution to human survival and global problems like pollution to be imperialist;[112] others have identified space as a new sacrifice zone of colonialism.[113]
Natalie B. Trevino argues that not colonialism but coloniality will be carried into space if not reflected on.[114][115]
More specifically the advocacy for territorial colonization of Mars opposed to habitation in the atmospheric space of Venus has been called surfacism,[116][117] a concept similar to Thomas Golds surface chauvinism.
More generally space infrastructure such as the Mauna Kea Observatories have also been criticized and protested against as being colonialist.[118] Guiana Space Centre has also been the site of anti-colonial protests, connecting colonization as an issue on Earth and in space.[47]
In regard to the scenario of extraterrestrial first contact, it has been argued that the employment of colonial language would endanger such first impressions and encounters.[103]
Furthermore spaceflight as a whole and space law more particularly has been criticized as a postcolonial project by being built on a colonial legacy and by not facilitating the sharing of access to space and its benefits, too often allowing spaceflight to be used to sustain colonialism and imperialism, most of all on Earth instead.[47]
Planetary protection
[edit]Agencies conducting interplanetary missions are guided by COSPAR's planetary protection policies, to have at most 300,000 spores on the exterior of the craft—and more thoroughly sterilized if they contact "special regions" containing water, or it could contaminate life-detection experiments or the planet itself.[119][120]
It is impossible to sterilize human missions to this level, as humans are host to typically a hundred trillion microorganisms of thousands of species of the human microbiome, and these cannot be removed while preserving the life of the human. Containment seems the only option, but it is a major challenge in the event of a hard landing (i.e. crash).[121] There have been several planetary workshops on this issue, but with no final guidelines yet for a way forward.[122] Human explorers could also inadvertently contaminate Earth if they return to the planet while carrying extraterrestrial microorganisms.[123]
Physical and mental health risks to colonists
[edit]The health of the humans who may participate in a colonization venture would be subject to increased physical, mental and emotional risks. NASA learned that – without gravity – bones lose minerals, causing osteoporosis.[124] Bone density may decrease by 1% per month,[125] which may lead to a greater risk of osteoporosis-related fractures later in life. Fluid shifts towards to the head may cause vision problems.[126] NASA found that isolation in closed environments aboard the International Space Station led to depression, sleep disorders, and diminished personal interactions, likely due to confined spaces and the monotony and boredom of long space flight.[125][127] Circadian rhythm may also be susceptible to the effects of space life due to the effects on sleep of disrupted timing of sunset and sunrise.[128] This can lead to exhaustion, as well as other sleep problems such as insomnia, which can reduce their productivity and lead to mental health disorders.[128] High-energy radiation is a health risk that colonists would face, as radiation in deep space is deadlier than what astronauts face now in low Earth orbit. Metal shielding on space vehicles protects against only 25–30% of space radiation, possibly leaving colonists exposed to the other 70% of radiation and its short and long-term health complications.[129]
Implementation
[edit]Building colonies in space would require access to water, food, space, people, construction materials, energy, transportation, communications, life support, simulated gravity, radiation protection, migration, governance and capital investment. It is likely the colonies would be located near the necessary physical resources. The practice of space architecture seeks to transform spaceflight from a heroic test of human endurance to a normality within the bounds of comfortable experience. As is true of other frontier-opening endeavors, the capital investment necessary for space colonization would probably come from governments,[130] an argument made by John Hickman[131] and Neil deGrasse Tyson.[132]
Migration
[edit]Human spaceflight has enabled only temporarily relocating a few privileged people and no permanent space migrants.
The societal motivation for space migration has been questioned as rooted in colonialism, questioning the fundamentals and inclusivity of space colonization. Highlighting the need to reflect on such socio-economic issues beside the technical challenges for implementation.[133][134]
Governance
[edit]A range of different models of transplanetary or extraterrestrial governance have been sketched or proposed. Often envisioning the need for a fresh or independent extraterrestrial governance, particularly in the void left by the contemporarily criticized lack of space governance and inclusivity.
It has been argued that space colonialism would, similarly to terrestrial settler colonialism, produce colonial national identities.[135]
Federalism has been studied as a remedy of such distant and autonomous communities.[136]
Life support
[edit]In space settlements, a life support system must recycle or import all the nutrients without "crashing." The closest terrestrial analogue to space life support is possibly that of a nuclear submarine. Nuclear submarines use mechanical life support systems to support humans for months without surfacing, and this same basic technology could presumably be employed for space use. However, nuclear submarines run "open loop"—extracting oxygen from seawater, and typically dumping carbon dioxide overboard, although they recycle existing oxygen.[137] Another commonly proposed life-support system is a closed ecological system such as Biosphere 2.[138]
Solutions to health risks
[edit]Although there are many physical, mental, and emotional health risks for future colonists and pioneers, solutions have been proposed to correct these problems. Mars500, HI-SEAS, and SMART-OP represent efforts to help reduce the effects of loneliness and confinement for long periods of time. Keeping contact with family members, celebrating holidays, and maintaining cultural identities all had an impact on minimizing the deterioration of mental health.[139] There are also health tools in development to help astronauts reduce anxiety, as well as helpful tips to reduce the spread of germs and bacteria in a closed environment.[140] Radiation risk may be reduced for astronauts by frequent monitoring and focusing work to minimize time away from shielding.[129] Future space agencies can also ensure that every colonist would have a mandatory amount of daily exercise to prevent degradation of muscle.[129]
Radiation protection
[edit]Cosmic rays and solar flares create a lethal radiation environment in space. In orbit around certain planets with magnetospheres (including Earth), the Van Allen belts make living above the atmosphere difficult. To protect life, settlements must be surrounded by sufficient mass to absorb most incoming radiation, unless magnetic or plasma radiation shields are developed.[141] In the case of Van Allen belts, these could be drained using orbiting tethers[142] or radio waves.[143]
Passive mass shielding of four metric tons per square meter of surface area will reduce radiation dosage to several mSv or less annually, well below the rate of some populated high natural background areas on Earth.[144] This can be leftover material (slag) from processing lunar soil and asteroids into oxygen, metals, and other useful materials. However, it represents a significant obstacle to manoeuvering vessels with such massive bulk (mobile spacecraft being particularly likely to use less massive active shielding).[141] Inertia would necessitate powerful thrusters to start or stop rotation, or electric motors to spin two massive portions of a vessel in opposite senses. Shielding material can be stationary around a rotating interior.
Psychological adjustment
[edit]The monotony and loneliness that comes from a prolonged space mission can leave astronauts susceptible to cabin fever or having a psychotic break. Moreover, lack of sleep, fatigue, and work overload can affect an astronaut's ability to perform well in an environment such as space where every action is critical.[145]
Economics
[edit]Space colonization can roughly be said to be possible when the necessary methods of space colonization become cheap enough (such as space access by cheaper launch systems) to meet the cumulative funds that have been gathered for the purpose, in addition to estimated profits from commercial use of space.[citation needed]
Although there are no immediate prospects for the large amounts of money required for space colonization to be available given traditional launch costs,[146] there is some prospect of a radical reduction to launch costs in the 2010s, which would consequently lessen the cost of any efforts in that direction. With a published price of US$56.5 million per launch of up to 13,150 kg (28,990 lb) payload[147] to low Earth orbit, SpaceX Falcon 9 rockets are already the "cheapest in the industry".[148] Advancements currently being developed as part of the SpaceX reusable launch system development program to enable reusable Falcon 9s "could drop the price by an order of magnitude, sparking more space-based enterprise, which in turn would drop the cost of access to space still further through economies of scale."[148] If SpaceX is successful in developing the reusable technology, it would be expected to "have a major impact on the cost of access to space", and change the increasingly competitive market in space launch services.[149]
The President's Commission on Implementation of United States Space Exploration Policy suggested that an inducement prize should be established, perhaps by government, for the achievement of space colonization, for example by offering the prize to the first organization to place humans on the Moon and sustain them for a fixed period before they return to Earth.[150]
Money and currency
[edit]Experts have debated on the possible use of money and currencies in societies that will be established in space. The Quasi Universal Intergalactic Denomination, or QUID, is a physical currency made from a space-qualified polymer PTFE for inter-planetary travelers. QUID was designed for the foreign exchange company Travelex by scientists from Britain's National Space Centre and the University of Leicester.[151]
Other possibilities include the incorporation of cryptocurrency as the primary form of currency, as suggested by Elon Musk.[152]
Resources
[edit]Colonies on the Moon, Mars, asteroids, or the metal-rich planet Mercury, could extract local materials. The Moon is deficient in volatiles such as argon, helium and compounds of carbon, hydrogen and nitrogen. The LCROSS impacter was targeted at the Cabeus crater which was chosen as having a high concentration of water for the Moon. A plume of material erupted in which some water was detected. Mission chief scientist Anthony Colaprete estimated that the Cabeus crater contains material with 1% water or possibly more.[153] Water ice should also be in other permanently shadowed craters near the lunar poles. Although helium is present only in low concentrations on the Moon, where it is deposited into regolith by the solar wind, an estimated million tons of He-3 exists over all.[154] It also has industrially significant oxygen, silicon, and metals such as iron, aluminium, and titanium.
Launching materials from Earth is expensive, so bulk materials for colonies could come from the Moon, a near-Earth object (NEO), Phobos, or Deimos. The benefits of using such sources include: a lower gravitational force, no atmospheric drag on cargo vessels, and no biosphere to damage. Many NEOs contain substantial amounts of metals. Underneath a drier outer crust (much like oil shale), some other NEOs are inactive comets which include billions of tons of water ice and kerogen hydrocarbons, as well as some nitrogen compounds.[155]
Farther out, Jupiter's Trojan asteroids are thought to be rich in water ice and other volatiles.[156]
Recycling of some raw materials would almost certainly be necessary.
Energy
[edit]Solar energy in orbit is abundant, reliable, and is commonly used to power satellites today. There is no night in free space, and no clouds or atmosphere to block sunlight. Light intensity obeys an inverse-square law. So the solar energy available at distance d from the Sun is E = 1367/d2 W/m2, where d is measured in astronomical units (AU) and 1367 watts/m2 is the energy available at the distance of Earth's orbit from the Sun, 1 AU.[157]
In the weightlessness and vacuum of space, high temperatures for industrial processes can easily be achieved in solar ovens with huge parabolic reflectors made of metallic foil with very lightweight support structures. Flat mirrors to reflect sunlight around radiation shields into living areas (to avoid line-of-sight access for cosmic rays, or to make the Sun's image appear to move across their "sky") or onto crops are even lighter and easier to build.
Large solar power photovoltaic cell arrays or thermal power plants would be needed to meet the electrical power needs of the settlers' use. In developed parts of Earth, electrical consumption can average 1 kilowatt/person (or roughly 10 megawatt-hours per person per year.)[158] These power plants could be at a short distance from the main structures if wires are used to transmit the power, or much farther away with wireless power transmission.
A major export of the initial space settlement designs was anticipated to be large solar power satellites (SPS) that would use wireless power transmission (phase-locked microwave beams or lasers emitting wavelengths that special solar cells convert with high efficiency) to send power to locations on Earth, or to colonies on the Moon or other locations in space. For locations on Earth, this method of getting power is extremely benign, with zero emissions and far less ground area required per watt than for conventional solar panels. Once these satellites are primarily built from lunar or asteroid-derived materials, the price of SPS electricity could be lower than energy from fossil fuel or nuclear energy; replacing these would have significant benefits such as the elimination of greenhouse gases and nuclear waste from electricity generation.[159]
Transmitting solar energy wirelessly from the Earth to the Moon and back is also an idea proposed for the benefit of space colonization and energy resources. Physicist Dr. David Criswell, who worked for NASA during the Apollo missions, proposed the idea of using power beams to transfer energy from space. These beams, microwaves with a wavelength of about 12 cm, would be almost untouched as they travel through the atmosphere. They could also be aimed at more industrial areas to keep away from humans or animal activities.[160] This would allow for safer and more reliable methods of transferring solar energy.
In 2008, scientists were able to send a 20 watt microwave signal from a mountain on the island of Maui to the island of Hawaii.[161] Since then JAXA and Mitsubishi have been working together on a $21 billion project to place satellites in orbit which could generate up to 1 gigawatt of energy.[162] These are the next advancements being done today to transmit energy wirelessly for space-based solar energy.
However, the value of SPS power delivered wirelessly to other locations in space will typically be far higher than to Earth. Otherwise, the means of generating the power would need to be included with these projects and pay the heavy penalty of Earth launch costs. Therefore, other than proposed demonstration projects for power delivered to Earth,[163] the first priority for SPS electricity is likely to be locations in space, such as communications satellites, fuel depots or "orbital tugboat" boosters transferring cargo and passengers between low Earth orbit (LEO) and other orbits such as geosynchronous orbit (GEO), lunar orbit or highly-eccentric Earth orbit (HEEO).[164]: 132 The system will also rely on satellites and receiving stations on Earth to convert the energy into electricity. Because this energy can be transmitted easily from dayside to nightside, power would be reliable 24/7.[165]
Nuclear power is sometimes proposed for colonies located on the Moon or on Mars, as the supply of solar energy is too discontinuous in these locations; the Moon has nights of two Earth weeks in duration. Mars has nights, relatively high gravity, and an atmosphere featuring large dust storms to cover and degrade solar panels. Also, Mars' greater distance from the Sun (1.52 astronomical units, AU) means that only 1/1.522 or about 43% of the solar energy is available at Mars compared with Earth orbit.[166] Another method would be transmitting energy wirelessly to the lunar or Martian colonies from solar power satellites (SPSs) as described above; the difficulties of generating power in these locations make the relative advantages of SPSs much greater there than for power beamed to locations on Earth. In order to also be able to fulfill the requirements of a Moon base and energy to supply life support, maintenance, communications, and research, a combination of both nuclear and solar energy may be used in the first colonies.[160]
For both solar thermal and nuclear power generation in airless environments, such as the Moon and space, and to a lesser extent the very thin Martian atmosphere, one of the main difficulties is dispersing the inevitable heat generated. This requires fairly large radiator areas.
Self-replication
[edit]Space manufacturing could enable self-replication. Some consider it the ultimate goal because it would allow an exponential increase in colonies, while eliminating costs to, and dependence on, Earth.[167] It could be argued that the establishment of such a colony would be Earth's first act of self-replication.[168] Intermediate goals include colonies that expect only information from Earth (science, engineering, entertainment) and colonies that just require periodic supply of light weight objects, such as integrated circuits, medicines, genetic material and tools.
Population size
[edit]In 2002, the anthropologist John H. Moore estimated[169] that a population of 150–180 would permit a stable society to exist for 60 to 80 generations—equivalent to 2,000 years.
Assuming a journey of 6,300 years, the astrophysicist Frédéric Marin and the particle physicist Camille Beluffi calculated that the minimum viable population for a generation ship to reach Proxima Centauri would be 98 settlers at the beginning of the mission (then the crew will breed until reaching a stable population of several hundred settlers within the ship).[170][171]
In 2020, Jean-Marc Salotti proposed a method to determine the minimum number of settlers to survive on an extraterrestrial world. It is based on the comparison between the required time to perform all activities and the working time of all human resources. For Mars, 110 individuals would be required.[172]
Advocacy
[edit]Several private companies have announced plans toward the colonization of Mars. Among entrepreneurs leading the call for space colonization are Elon Musk, Dennis Tito and Bas Lansdorp.[173][174]
Involved organizations
[edit]Organizations that contribute to space colonization include:
- The National Space Society (NSS) is an organization with the vision of people living and working in thriving communities beyond the Earth. The NSS also maintains an extensive library of full-text articles and books on space settlement.[175]
- The Space Frontier Foundation performs space advocacy including strong free market, capitalist views about space development.
- The Mars Society promotes Robert Zubrin's Mars Direct plan and the settlement of Mars.
- The Space Settlement Institute is searching for ways to make space colonization happen within a lifetime.[176]
- SpaceX is developing extensive spaceflight transportation infrastructure with the express purpose of enabling long-term human settlement of Mars.[177][178]
- The Space Studies Institute funds the study of outer space settlements, especially O'Neill cylinders.
- The Alliance to Rescue Civilization plans to establish backups of human civilization on the Moon and other locations away from Earth.
- The Artemis Project plans to set up a private lunar surface station.[2]
- The British Interplanetary Society (BIS) promotes ideas for the exploration and use of space, including a Mars colony, future propulsion systems (see Project Daedalus), terraforming, and locating other habitable worlds.[179]
- In June 2013 the BIS began the SPACE project to re-examine Gerard O'Neill's 1970s space colony studies in light of the advances made since then. The progress of this effort were detailed in a special edition of the BIS journal in September 2019.[180]
- Asgardia (nation) – an organization searching to circumvent limitations placed by Outer Space Treaty.
- The Cyprus Space Exploration Organisation promotes space exploration and colonization, and fosters collaboration in space.
Terrestrial analogues to space settlement
[edit]Many space agencies build "testbeds", which are facilities on Earth for testing advanced life support systems, but these are designed for long duration human spaceflight, not permanent colonization.
- The most famous attempt to build an analogue to a self-sufficient settlement is Biosphere 2, which attempted to duplicate Earth's biosphere.
- BIOS-3 is another closed ecosystem, completed in 1972 in Krasnoyarsk, Siberia.[181]
- The Mars Desert Research Station has a habitat for similar reasons, but the surrounding climate is not strictly inhospitable.[182]
- Devon Island Mars Arctic Research Station, can also provide some practice for off-world outpost construction and operation.[183]
In media and fiction
[edit]Although established space habitats are a stock element in science fiction stories, fictional works that explore the themes, social or practical, of the settlement and occupation of a habitable world are more rare.[citation needed]
- Solaris is noted for its critique of space colonization of inhabited planets. At one point, one of the characters says:[184]
We are humanitarian and chivalrous; we don't want to enslave other races, we simply want to bequeath them our values and take over their heritage in exchange. We think of ourselves as the Knights of the Holy Contact. This is another lie. We are only seeking Man. We have no need of other worlds. We need mirrors. (§6:72)
In 2022 Rudolph Herzog and Werner Herzog presented an in-depth documentary with Lucianne Walkowicz called Last exit: Space.[185]
See also
[edit]- Asteroid mining
- Bernal sphere
- Billionaire space race
- Colonisation (biology)
- Colonization of Antarctica
- Directed panspermia
- Domed city
- Extraterrestrial liquid water
- Extraterrestrial real estate
- Human outpost
- Human presence in space
- Lagrange point colonization
- Mars analog habitat
- Mars One
- Mars to Stay
- Megastructure
- NewSpace
- MELiSSA
- Ocean colonization
- O'Neill Cylinder
- Planetary habitability
- Solar analog
- Space archaeology
- Space habitat
- Space observatory – Instrument in space to study astronomical objects
- Politics of outer space
- Research station – Facility for scientific research
- Space law
- Spome
- Stanford torus
- Terraforming
- Timeline of Solar System exploration
- Underground city
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Further reading
[edit]- Papers
- Yap, Xiao-Shan & Rakhyun E. Kim (2023). "Towards Earth-Space Governance in a Multi-Planetary Era". Earth System Governance, 16: 100173.
- Ferrando, Francesca (July 2016). "Why Space Migration Must be Posthuman". The Ethics of Space Exploration. Space and Society. New York, US: Springer. pp. 137–152. doi:10.1007/978-3-319-39827-3_10. ISBN 978-3-319-39825-9.
- Tiziani, Moreno (Jun 2013). "The Colonization of Space - An Anthropological Outlook" (PDF). Antrocom Online Journal of Anthropology. 9 (1). Rome, Italy: Antrocom: 225–236. ISSN 1973-2880. Archived from the original (PDF) on 2013-12-02. Retrieved 2013-12-01.
- Foss, Nicole (December 2016). Mass Extinction and Mass Insanity.
- Harrison, Albert A. (2002). Spacefaring: The Human Dimension. Berkeley, CA, US: University of California Press. ISBN 978-0-520-23677-6.
- Seedhouse, Erik (2009). Lunar Outpost: The Challenges of Establishing a Human Settlement on the Moon. Chichester, UK: Praxis Publishing Ltd. ISBN 978-0-387-09746-6. Also see [3].
- Seedhouse, Erik (2009). Martian Outpost: The Challenges of Establishing a Human Settlement on Mars. Chichester, UK: Praxis Publishing Ltd. Bibcode:2009maou.book.....S. ISBN 978-0-387-98190-1.
{{cite book}}
:|journal=
ignored (help). - Seedhouse, Erik (2012). Interplanetary Outpost: The Human and Technological Challenges of Exploring the Outer Planets. Berlin: Springer. ISBN 978-1-4419-9747-0.
- Cameron M. Smith, Evan T. Davies (2012). Emigrating Beyond Earth: Human Adaptation and Space Colonization. Berlin: Springer-Verlag. ISBN 978-1-4614-1164-2.
- Video
- Rees, Martin (March 2017). Brief talk on some key issues in space exploration and colonization. Archived from the original on 2021-12-11. Posted on the official YouTube channel of Casina Pio IV.
- Sarmont, Eagle (December 2018). Opening the High Frontier. Affordable to everyone spaceflight is the key to building a spacefaring civilization. Posted on Vimeo.