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* [[Carlos Pineda (politician)|Carlos Pineda]], businessman and internet personality<ref>{{Cite web |last=Gramajo |first=Jessica |date=14 June 2023 |title=El futuro de Carlos Pineda tras quedar fuera de las Elecciones Generales 2023 |trans-title=The future of Carlos Pineda after being left out of the 2023 General Elections |url=https://www.soy502.com/articulo/carlos-pineda-resurgiria-nuevo-partido-politico-100931 |website=Soy502 |language=es}}</ref>
* [[Carlos Pineda (politician)|Carlos Pineda]], businessman and internet personality<ref>{{Cite web |last=Gramajo |first=Jessica |date=14 June 2023 |title=El futuro de Carlos Pineda tras quedar fuera de las Elecciones Generales 2023 |trans-title=The future of Carlos Pineda after being left out of the 2023 General Elections |url=https://www.soy502.com/articulo/carlos-pineda-resurgiria-nuevo-partido-politico-100931 |website=Soy502 |language=es}}</ref>
* Martín Toc, president of ''48 cantones de [[Totonicapán]]''<ref>{{Cite web |last= |first= |date=17 January 2023 |title=Toc: tras dejar Los 48 Cantones, publica que en 2027 buscará la Presidencia |trans-title=Toc: after leaving Los 48 Cantones, he publishes that in 2027 he will seek the Presidency |url=https://lahora.gt/nacionales/wpcomvip/2022/01/17/toc-tras-dejar-los-48-cantones-publica-que-en-2027-buscara-la-presidencia/ |website=La Hora |language=es}}</ref>
* Martín Toc, president of ''48 cantones de [[Totonicapán]]''<ref>{{Cite web |last= |first= |date=17 January 2023 |title=Toc: tras dejar Los 48 Cantones, publica que en 2027 buscará la Presidencia |trans-title=Toc: after leaving Los 48 Cantones, he publishes that in 2027 he will seek the Presidency |url=https://lahora.gt/nacionales/wpcomvip/2022/01/17/toc-tras-dejar-los-48-cantones-publica-que-en-2027-buscara-la-presidencia/ |website=La Hora |language=es}}</ref>

==Congress==
{| class="wikitable sortable"
|-
! rowspan=2 colspan=2 width=300px | Party
! rowspan=2 colspan=2 | Current legislative leader
! colspan=2 | [[2023 Guatemalan general election|2023]] result
|-
! Votes (%)
! [[Congress of Guatemala|Seats]]
|-
! style="background:{{party color|Vamos (Guatemala)}}; width:2px;"|
| [[Vamos (Guatemala)|Vamos]]
| [[File:Retrato oficial de Allan Estuardo Rodríguez Reyes, Diputado del Congreso (cropped).jpg|50px]]
| [[Allan Rodríguez]]
| align=center | 15.06%
| {{Composition bar|39|160|{{party color|Vamos (Guatemala)}}}}
|-
! style="background:{{party color|National Unity of Hope}}; width:2px;"|
| [[National Unity of Hope]]
| [[File:Retrato oficial de Ervin Adim Maldonado Molina, Diputado del Congreso (cropped).jpg|50px]]
| [[Adim Maldonado]]
| align=center | 12.90%
| {{Composition bar|28|160|{{party color|National Unity of Hope}}}}
|-
! style="background:{{party color|Semilla (Guatemala)}}; width:2px;"|
| [[Semilla (Guatemala)|Movimiento Semilla]]
| [[File:Autoridades de SEGEPLAN llevaron a cabo su primera reunión de transición 20231030 - 53298547130 (cropped).jpg|50px]]
| [[Patricia Orantes]]
| align=center | 11.72%
| {{Composition bar|23|160|{{party color|Semilla (Guatemala)}}}}
|-
! style="background:{{party color|Cabal (political party)}}; width:2px;"|
| [[Cabal (political party)|Cabal]]
| [[File:Retrato oficial de Julio Héctor Estrada Dominguez, Deputado del Congreso (cropped 2).jpg|50px]]
| {{nowrap|[[Julio Héctor Estrada]]}}
| align=center | 8.90%
| {{Composition bar|18|160|{{party color|Cabal (political party)}}}}
|-
! style="background:{{party color|Vision with Values}}; width:2px;"|
| [[Vision with Values]]
| [[File:Portrait placeholder.svg|50px]]
| [[Jorge Romeo Castro]]
| align=center | 6.92%
| {{Composition bar|11|160|{{party color|Vision with Values}}}}
|-
! style="background:{{party color|Valor (political party)}}; width:2px;"|
| [[Valor (political party)|Valor]]
| [[File:Retrato oficial de Sandra Erica Jovel Polanco, Deputada del Congreso (cropped).jpg|50px]]
| [[Sandra Jovel]]
| rowspan=2 align=center | 5.51%
| {{Composition bar|10|160|hex={{party color|Valor (political party)}}}}
|-
! style="background:#273284; width:2px;"|
| [[Unionist Party (Guatemala)|Unionist Party]]
| [[File:Retrato oficial de Alvaro Enrique Arzú Escobar, Deputado del Congreso (cropped 2).jpg|50px]]
| [[Álvaro Arzú Escobar]]
| {{Composition bar|2|160|#273284}}
|-
! style="background:{{party color|Todos (political party)}}; width:2px;"|
| [[Todos (political party)|Todos]]
| [[File:Retrato oficial de Felipe Alejos Lorenzana, Diputado del Congreso (cropped).jpg|50px]]
| [[Felipe Alejos]]
| align=center | 4.05%
| {{Composition bar|6|160|{{party color|Todos (political party)}}}}
|-
! style="background:{{party color|Will, Opportunity and Solidarity}}; width:2px;"|
| [[Will, Opportunity and Solidarity]]
| [[File:Retrato oficial de Orlando Joaquín Blanco Lapola, Diputado del Congreso (cropped).jpg|50px]]
| [[Orlando Blanco]]
| align=center | 4.47%
| {{Composition bar|4|160|{{party color|Will, Opportunity and Solidarity}}}}
|-
! style="background:{{party color|Bienestar Nacional}}; width:2px;"|
| [[Bienestar Nacional (political party)|Bienestar Nacional]]
| [[File:Retrato oficial de Fidel Reyes Lee, Diputado del Congreso (cropped).jpg|50px]]
| [[Fidel Reyes Lee]]
| align=center | 2.70%
| {{Composition bar|4|160|{{party color|Bienestar Nacional}}}}
|-
! style="background:{{party color|Nosotros (political party)}}; width:2px;"|
| [[Nosotros (political party)|Nosotros]]
| [[File:Nadia de León Torres (cropped).jpg|50px]]
| [[Nadia de León Torres]]
| align=center | 3.15%
| {{Composition bar|3|160|{{party color|Nosotros (political party)}}}}
|-
! style="background:{{party color|Victory (political party)}}; width:2px;"|
| [[Victory (political party)|Victory]]
| [[File:Retrato oficial de Juan Carlos Rivera Estévez, Diputado del Congreso (cropped).jpg|50px]]
| [[Juan Carlos Rivera]]
| align=center | 3.00%
| {{Composition bar|3|160|{{party color|Victory (political party)}}}}
|-
! style="background:{{party color|Commitment, Renewal and Order}}; width:2px;"|
| [[Commitment, Renewal and Order]]
| [[File:Portrait placeholder.svg|50px]]
| [[Cristian Álvarez (politician)|Cristian Álvarez]]
| align=center | 2.03%
| {{Composition bar|3|160|{{party color|Commitment, Renewal and Order}}}}
|-
! style="background:{{party color|Blue Party (Guatemala)}}; width:2px;"|
| Blue Party
| [[File:Portrait placeholder.svg|50px]]
| [[Jorge Mario Villagrán]]
| align=center | 2.36%
| {{Composition bar|2|160|{{party color|Blue Party (Guatemala)}}}}
|-
! style="background:{{party color|Elephant Community}}; width:2px;"|
| Elephant Community
| [[File:Portrait placeholder.svg|50px]]
| [[Rodrigo Pellecer]]
| align=center | 2.29%
| {{Composition bar|2|160|{{party color|Elephant Community}}}}
|-
! style="background:{{party color|Winaq}}; width:2px;"|
| [[Winaq]]
| rowspan=2 | [[File:Retrato oficial de Sonia Marina Gutierrez Raguay, Deputada del Congreso (cropped).jpg|66x66px]]
| rowspan=2 | [[Sonia Gutiérrez Raguay|Sonia Gutiérrez]]
| rowspan=2 align=center | 3.21%
| rowspan=2 | {{Composition bar|1|160|{{party color|Winaq}}}}
|-
! style="background:{{party color|Guatemalan National Revolutionary Unity}}; width:2px;"|
| [[Guatemalan National Revolutionary Unity]]
|-
! style="background:{{party color|Cambio (political party)}}; width:2px;"|
| [[Cambio (political party)|Change]]
| [[File:Portrait placeholder.svg|50px]]
| [[Esduin Javier]]
| align=center | 1.26%
| {{Composition bar|1|160|{{party color|Cambio (political party)}}}}
|-
|}

==References==
==References==
{{reflist}}
{{reflist}}

Revision as of 18:15, 22 January 2024

2027 Guatemalan general election

← 2023 June and August 2027 (presumptive) 2031 →

Incumbent President

Bernardo Arévalo
Semilla



Legislative election

All 160 seats in Congress
81 seats needed for a majority
Party Leader Current seats
Vamos Allan Rodríguez 39
UNE Adim Maldonado 28
Semilla Patricia Orantes 23
Cabal Julio Héctor Estrada 18
VIVA Jorge Romeo Castro 11
Valor Sandra Jovel 10
Todos Felipe Alejos 6
VOS Orlando Blanco 4
BIEN Fidel Reyes Lee 4
PPN Nadia de León Torres 3
Victoria Juan Carlos Rivera 3
CREO Cristian Álvarez 3
Blue Jorge Villagrán 2
Elephant Rodrigo Pellecer 2
Unionist Álvaro Arzú Escobar 2
WinaqURNG Sonia Gutiérrez 1
Change Esduin Javier Javier 1
Incumbent President of the Congress
Nery Ramos
Blue

General elections will be held in Guatemala in June 2027 to elect the president and vice president, all 160 seats in Congress, all 20 members of the Central American Parliament, and mayors and councils for all the country's 340 municipalities, with a second round of the presidential elections to be held in August if no candidate wins a majority in the first round. Incumbent President Bernardo Arévalo is constitutionally prohibited from running for a second four-year term.[1][2]

It is expected that the ruling party's legislative coalition will seek to reform the Electoral Law.[3]

Electoral system

President

The President of Guatemala is elected using the two-round system.[4]

Congress

The 160 members of Congress are elected by two methods; 130 are elected from 22 multi-member constituencies based on the departments, with the remaining 31 elected from a single nationwide constituency. Seats are elected using closed list proportional representation, with seats allocated using the D'Hondt method.[4]

District Seats
Alta Verapaz 9
Baja Verapaz 2
Chimaltenango 5
Chiquimula 3
El Progreso 2
Escuintla 6
Guatemala 19
Guatemala City 11
Huehuetenango 10
Izabal 3
Jalapa 3
Jutiapa 4
National List 32
Petén 4
Quetzaltenango 7
Quiché 8
Retalhuleu 3
Sacatepéquez 3
San Marcos 9
Santa Rosa 3
Sololá 3
Suchitepéquez 5
Totonicapán 4
Zacapa 2
Total 160

Potential presidential candidates

Congress

Party Current legislative leader 2023 result
Votes (%) Seats
Vamos Allan Rodríguez 15.06%
39 / 160
National Unity of Hope Adim Maldonado 12.90%
28 / 160
Movimiento Semilla Patricia Orantes 11.72%
23 / 160
Cabal Julio Héctor Estrada 8.90%
18 / 160
Vision with Values Jorge Romeo Castro 6.92%
11 / 160
Valor Sandra Jovel 5.51%
10 / 160
Unionist Party Álvaro Arzú Escobar
2 / 160
Todos Felipe Alejos 4.05%
6 / 160
Will, Opportunity and Solidarity Orlando Blanco 4.47%
4 / 160
Bienestar Nacional Fidel Reyes Lee 2.70%
4 / 160
Nosotros Nadia de León Torres 3.15%
3 / 160
Victory Juan Carlos Rivera 3.00%
3 / 160
Commitment, Renewal and Order Cristian Álvarez 2.03%
3 / 160
Blue Party Jorge Mario Villagrán 2.36%
2 / 160
Elephant Community Rodrigo Pellecer 2.29%
2 / 160
Winaq Sonia Gutiérrez 3.21%
1 / 160
Guatemalan National Revolutionary Unity
Change Esduin Javier 1.26%
1 / 160

References

  1. ^ Oliva, William (7 March 2018). "Jimmy Morales dice que le gustaría gobernar otro período" [Jimmy Morales says he would like to govern another term]. Prensa Libre (Guatemala) (in Spanish). Archived from the original on 5 April 2023. Retrieved 23 June 2023.
  2. ^ González, Marcos (23 June 2023). "Por qué en Guatemala ningún partido ha repetido en la presidencia en sus casi 40 años de democracia" [Why in Guatemala no party has repeated the presidency in its almost 40 years of democracy]. BBC News (in Spanish).
  3. ^ Cuevas, Douglas (17 January 2024). "Semilla habría pactado 10 reformas legales para llegar a la presidencia del Congreso" [Semilla would have agreed on 10 legal reforms to become president of Congress]. Prensa Libre (in Spanish).
  4. ^ a b Congress of the Republic Archived 18 April 2019 at the Wayback Machine IFES
  5. ^ Gramajo, Jessica (14 June 2023). "El futuro de Carlos Pineda tras quedar fuera de las Elecciones Generales 2023" [The future of Carlos Pineda after being left out of the 2023 General Elections]. Soy502 (in Spanish).
  6. ^ "Toc: tras dejar Los 48 Cantones, publica que en 2027 buscará la Presidencia" [Toc: after leaving Los 48 Cantones, he publishes that in 2027 he will seek the Presidency]. La Hora (in Spanish). 17 January 2023.