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'''Clément Juglar''', (15 October 1819 in Paris – 28 February 1905 in Paris) was a French doctor and statistician.
'''Clément Juglar''', (15 October 1819 in Paris – 28 February 1905 in Paris) was a French doctor and statistician.
==Juglar Cycles==
==Juglar Cycles==
He was one of the first to develop an economic theory of business cycles.<ref>Des Crises</ref> He identified the 7-11 year industrial credit cycle that is now associated with his name. His publications led to other business cycle theories by later economists such as [[Joseph Schumpeter]]. The recent research employing [[spectral analysis]] has confirmed the presence of Juglar cycles in the world GDP dynamics up to the present time.<ref>See, e.g. [[Korotayev]], Andrey V., & Tsirel, Sergey V.(2010). [http://www.escholarship.org/uc/item/9jv108xp A Spectral Analysis of World GDP Dynamics: Kondratieff Waves, Kuznets Swings, Juglar and Kitchin Cycles in Global Economic Development, and the 2008–2009 Economic Crisis]. ''Structure and Dynamics'', 4(1). </ref>
He was one of the first to develop an economic theory of [[business cycle]]s.<ref>Des Crises</ref> He identified the 7-11 year investment cycle that is now associated with his name. Within the Juglar one can observe oscillations of investments into fixed capital .and not just changes in the level of employment of the fixed capital (and respective changes in inventories), as is observed with respect to [[Kitchin cycle]]s. The recent research employing [[spectral analysis]] has confirmed the presence of Juglar cycles in the world GDP dynamics up to the present time.<ref>See, e.g. [[Korotayev]], Andrey V., & Tsirel, Sergey V.(2010). [http://www.escholarship.org/uc/item/9jv108xp A Spectral Analysis of World GDP Dynamics: Kondratieff Waves, Kuznets Swings, Juglar and Kitchin Cycles in Global Economic Development, and the 2008–2009 Economic Crisis]. ''Structure and Dynamics'', 4(1). </ref>

== Juglar's Impact ==

Juglar's publications led to other business cycle theories by later economists such as [[Joseph Schumpeter]].


== Publications of Clément Juglar ==
== Publications of Clément Juglar ==

Revision as of 22:10, 10 January 2010

Clément Juglar
Born(1819-10-15)15 October 1819
Died28 February 1905(1905-02-28) (aged 85)
Nationality France
Occupation(s)Doctor, statistician
Known forIdea of business cycles

Clément Juglar, (15 October 1819 in Paris – 28 February 1905 in Paris) was a French doctor and statistician.

Juglar Cycles

He was one of the first to develop an economic theory of business cycles.[1] He identified the 7-11 year investment cycle that is now associated with his name. Within the Juglar one can observe oscillations of investments into fixed capital .and not just changes in the level of employment of the fixed capital (and respective changes in inventories), as is observed with respect to Kitchin cycles. The recent research employing spectral analysis has confirmed the presence of Juglar cycles in the world GDP dynamics up to the present time.[2]

Juglar's Impact

Juglar's publications led to other business cycle theories by later economists such as Joseph Schumpeter.

Publications of Clément Juglar

See also

References