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* Israeli Veterans Party, founded by former [[Mossad]] Director and Labor MK [[Danny Yatom]]<ref>{{Cite web|url=https://www.jpost.com/israel-news/politics-and-diplomacy/former-mossad-head-yatom-forms-veterans-party-654479|title=Former Mossad head Yatom forms Veterans Party|author=Gil Hoffman|website=[[The Jerusalem Post]]|access-date=6 January 2021|date=6 January 2021}}</ref>
* Israeli Veterans Party, founded by former [[Mossad]] Director and Labor MK [[Danny Yatom]]<ref>{{Cite web|url=https://www.jpost.com/israel-news/politics-and-diplomacy/former-mossad-head-yatom-forms-veterans-party-654479|title=Former Mossad head Yatom forms Veterans Party|author=Gil Hoffman|website=[[The Jerusalem Post]]|access-date=6 January 2021|date=6 January 2021}}</ref>
* [[New Hope (Israel)|New Hope]], founded by former Likud member and minister [[Gideon Sa'ar]]<ref>{{cite web|url=https://www.timesofisrael.com/likuds-gideon-saar-expected-to-form-his-own-party-in-challenge-to-netanyahu/|title=Gideon Sa'ar quits Likud, "a tool for Netanyahu's interests", to lead new party|work=[[The Times of Israel]]|date=8 December 2020|accessdate=8 December 2020}}</ref>
* [[New Hope (Israel)|New Hope]], founded by former Likud member and minister [[Gideon Sa'ar]]<ref>{{cite web|url=https://www.timesofisrael.com/likuds-gideon-saar-expected-to-form-his-own-party-in-challenge-to-netanyahu/|title=Gideon Sa'ar quits Likud, "a tool for Netanyahu's interests", to lead new party|work=[[The Times of Israel]]|date=8 December 2020|accessdate=8 December 2020}}</ref>
* Or Hashahar, founded by former [[Haifa]] mayor [[Yona Yahav]].<ref>https://www.1075.fm/%D7%99%D7%94%D7%91-%D7%9E%D7%A7%D7%99%D7%9D-%D7%9E%D7%A4%D7%9C%D7%92%D7%94-%D7%97%D7%93%D7%A9%D7%94-50-%D7%90%D7%97%D7%95%D7%96-%D7%9E%D7%94%D7%A8%D7%A9%D7%99%D7%9E%D7%94-%D7%A2%D7%A8%D7%91%D7%99/</ref>
* Or Hashahar, founded by former [[Haifa]] mayor [[Yona Yahav]]<ref>https://www.1075.fm/%D7%99%D7%94%D7%91-%D7%9E%D7%A7%D7%99%D7%9D-%D7%9E%D7%A4%D7%9C%D7%92%D7%94-%D7%97%D7%93%D7%A9%D7%94-50-%D7%90%D7%97%D7%95%D7%96-%D7%9E%D7%94%D7%A8%D7%A9%D7%99%D7%9E%D7%94-%D7%A2%D7%A8%D7%91%D7%99/</ref>
* [[Otzma Yehudit]]<ref>{{Cite news |url=https://www.israelnationalnews.com/News/News.aspx/293691|title=Otzma says it's ready for upcoming Knesset run|work=[[Arutz Sheva]]|author=[[Staff writer]]|access-date=25 December 2020|date=24 December 2020}}</ref>
* [[Otzma Yehudit]]<ref>{{Cite news |url=https://www.israelnationalnews.com/News/News.aspx/293691|title=Otzma says it's ready for upcoming Knesset run|work=[[Arutz Sheva]]|author=[[Staff writer]]|access-date=25 December 2020|date=24 December 2020}}</ref>
* Tnufa, founded by former [[Yesh Atid-Telem]] MK [[Ofer Shelah]]<ref>{{Cite news |url=https://www.timesofisrael.com/mk-ofer-shelah-says-hes-leaving-yesh-atid-to-start-his-own-party/|title=MK Ofer Shelah says he's leaving Yesh Atid to start his own party|work=[[The Times of Israel]]|author=Stuart Winer|access-date=24 December 2020|date=24 December 2020}}</ref><ref>{{Cite news |url=https://www.jpost.com/breaking-news/ofer-shelah-announced-new-party-to-be-called-tnufa-654054|title=Ofer Shelah announces new party to be called 'Tnufa'|work=[[The Jerusalem Post]]|author=[[Staff writer]]|access-date=2 January 2021|date=2 January 2021}}</ref>
* Tnufa, founded by former [[Yesh Atid-Telem]] MK [[Ofer Shelah]]<ref>{{Cite news |url=https://www.timesofisrael.com/mk-ofer-shelah-says-hes-leaving-yesh-atid-to-start-his-own-party/|title=MK Ofer Shelah says he's leaving Yesh Atid to start his own party|work=[[The Times of Israel]]|author=Stuart Winer|access-date=24 December 2020|date=24 December 2020}}</ref><ref>{{Cite news |url=https://www.jpost.com/breaking-news/ofer-shelah-announced-new-party-to-be-called-tnufa-654054|title=Ofer Shelah announces new party to be called 'Tnufa'|work=[[The Jerusalem Post]]|author=[[Staff writer]]|access-date=2 January 2021|date=2 January 2021}}</ref>

Revision as of 10:17, 7 January 2021

2021 Israeli legislative election
Israel
← 2020 23 March 2021
All 120 seats in the Knesset
61 seats needed for a majority
Party Leader Current seats
Likud Benjamin Netanyahu
Yesh Atid-Telem Yair Lapid
Blue and White Benny Gantz
Joint List Ayman Odeh
Shas Aryeh Deri
UTJ Yaakov Litzman
Yisrael Beiteinu Avigdor Lieberman
scope="row" style="border-left: 4px solid Template:Yamina/meta/color;" | Yamina Naftali Bennett
Meretz Nitzan Horowitz
Labor Vacant[1]
New Hope Gideon Sa'ar
Gesher Orly Levy
scope="row" style="border-left: 4px solid Template:The Jewish Home/meta/color;" | Jewish Home Vacant[2]
Incumbent Prime Minister
Benjamin Netanyahu
Likud

Legislative elections will be held in Israel to elect the members of the 24th Knesset on 23 March 2021. According to the coalition agreement signed between Likud and Blue and White in 2020, elections were to be held 36 months after the swearing-in of the 35th government, making 23 May 2023 the last possible election date. However, Israeli law stipulates that if the 2020 state budget was not passed by 23 December 2020, the Knesset would be dissolved, and elections would be held by 23 March 2021.[3]

On 2 December 2020, the Knesset passed the preliminary reading of a bill to dissolve the current government by a vote of 61–54.[4] On 21 December 2020, the Knesset failed to pass a bill to avoid dispersal by a vote of 47-49.[5] Since the Knesset had failed to approve the 2020 state budget by the required deadline, at midnight IST on 23 December 2020, the government coalition collapsed, and the 23rd Knesset was officially dissolved. In accordance with the law that the election must be held within 90 days after the dissolution of the Knesset, the date for elections to the 24th Knesset was automatically set for 23 March 2021.[6]

Electoral system

The 120 seats in the Knesset are elected by closed list proportional representation in a single nationwide constituency. The electoral threshold for the election is 3.25%.[7]

Surplus-vote agreements

Further information: D'Hondt method

Two parties can sign a surplus vote agreement that allows them to compete for leftover seats as if they were running together on the same list. The Bader–Ofer method slightly favours larger lists, meaning that alliances are more likely to receive leftover seats than parties would be individually. If the alliance receives leftover seats, the Bader–Ofer calculation is applied privately, to determine how the seats are divided among the two allied lists.[8]

Primary elections

Jewish Home

The Jewish Home is expected to hold a leadership primary in January 2021.[11]

On 5 January, incumbent party leader Rafi Peretz stated that he would not head the party and would not stand for re-election, but did not rule out a return to politics, in the future.[2] Nir Orbach announced he would run for the leadership slot.[12] The party's Central Committee will vote for the chairman and its Knesset list, rather than all party members.[13]

Labor

The Tel Aviv District Court ruled on 3 January 2021 that its primaries for its Knesset list and leadership must take place, despite the fact that Amir Peretz and his supporters voted in favor of canceling them. MK Merav Michaeli announced she would run for party leadership shortly after.[14]

Likud

The Likud was ordered by its internal court to have its Constitutional Committee meet by 30 December to begin preparations for the selection of candidates for its electoral slate, following a petition filed by members of the party's Central Committee.[15] The party's Constitution Committee voted on 30 December to cancel party primaries,[16] which was made official on 2 January 2021.[17]

Meretz

Meretz would have held a leadership election on 13 January 2021, while a primary for the rest of its electoral list would have been held 21 January.[18] However, the party decided on 3 January 2021 to not hold primaries.[19]

Parties

For a more comprehensive list, see Party lists for the 2021 Israeli legislative election.
See also: List of political parties in Israel

Parliamentary factions

At the end of the 23rd Knesset, there were thirteen factions in parliament.

Name Ideology Symbol Primary demographic Leader 2020 result At the time
of dissolution
Votes (%) Seats
style="background:Template:Likud/meta/color;"| Likud National conservatism
National liberalism 		מחל‎ – Benjamin Netanyahu 29.46%
36 / 120
36 / 120
Yesh Atid-Telem Social liberalism
Secularism 		פה‎ – Yair Lapid, Moshe Ya'alon 26.59%
18 / 120
16 / 120
style="background:Template:Blue and White/meta/color;"| Blue and White Liberalism
Centrism 		– Benny Gantz
15 / 120
15 / 120
Derekh Eretz National liberalism
Liberal conservatism 		– Yoaz Hendel, Zvi Hauser
2 / 120
style="background:Template:Joint List/meta/color;"| Joint List Big tent
Minority interests 		ודעם‎ Israeli Arabs Ayman Odeh 12.67%
15 / 120
15 / 120
style="background:Template:Shas/meta/color;"| Shas Religious conservatism
Populism 		שס‎ Sephardi and
Mizrahi Haredim 		Aryeh Deri 7.69%
9 / 120
9 / 120
style="background:Template:United Torah Judaism/meta/color;"| United Torah Judaism Religious conservatism ג‎ Ashkenazi Haredim Yaakov Litzman 5.98%
7 / 120
7 / 120
style="background:Template:Israeli Labor Party/meta/color;"| Labor Labor Zionism אמת‎ – Amir Peretz 5.83%
3 / 120
3 / 120
style="background:Template:Meretz/meta/color;"| Meretz Social democracy
Secularism 		– Nitzan Horowitz
3 / 120
3 / 120
style="background:Template:Gesher (2019 political party)/meta/color;"| Gesher Social liberalism – Orly Levy
1 / 120
1 / 120
style="background:Template:Yisrael Beiteinu/meta/color;"| Yisrael Beiteinu Nationalism
Secularism 		ל‎ Russian-speakers Avigdor Lieberman 5.74%
7 / 120
7 / 120
style="background:Template:Yamina/meta/color;"| Yamina National conservatism
Economic liberalism 		טב‎ – Naftali Bennett 5.24%
5 / 120
5 / 120
style="background:Template:The Jewish Home/meta/color;"| Jewish Home Religious Zionism
Religious Conservatism 		Israeli settlers,
Modern Orthodox and Chardal Jews 		Rafi Peretz
1 / 120
1 / 120

Public expression of interest

Not running

Opinion polls

Main article: Opinion polling for the 2021 Israeli legislative election


References

  1. ^ Daphna Liel (23 December 2020). "עמיר פרץ הודיע שלא יתמודד לראשות מפלגת העבודה". N12 (in Hebrew). Retrieved 23 December 2020.
  2. ^ a b "Rafi Peretz to quit politics as Jewish Home seeks to merge with Yamina once more". The Times of Israel. 5 January 2021. Retrieved 5 January 2021.
  3. ^ Gil Hoffman (1 December 2020). "The Knesset dispersal bill will inevitably be an anti-climax - analysis". The Jerusalem Post. Retrieved 1 December 2020.
  4. ^ "Israel elections loom as lawmakers back bill to dissolve parliament". BBC News. 2 December 2020. Retrieved 2 December 2020.
  5. ^ Gil Hoffman (22 December 2020). "Election prevention bill fails, Israel headed to elections on March 23". The Jerusalem Post. Retrieved 21 December 2020.
  6. ^ Wootliff, Raoul. "Israel calls 4th election in 2 years as Netanyahu-Gantz coalition collapses". The Times of Israel. Retrieved 23 December 2020.
  7. ^ "With Bader-Ofer method, not every ballot counts". The Jerusalem Post. 16 March 2014.
  8. ^ The Distribution of Knesset Seats Among the Lists—the Bader-Offer Method Knesset
  9. ^ "Yamina and New Hope sign surplus-vote sharing agreement". The Jerusalem Post. 4 January 2021.
  10. ^ Azulay, Moran. "Yesh Atid and Yisrael Beytenu sign surplus-vote sharing agreement". Ynetnews. Retrieved 4 January 2021.
  11. ^ a b c Gil Hoffman (4 January 2021). "Four parties conspire against Netanyahu with vote deals". The Jerusalem Post. Retrieved 4 January 2021.
  12. ^ Staff writer (5 January 2021). "Nir Orbach looks to replace Rabbi Rafi Peretz as Jewish Home leader". Arutz Sheva. Retrieved 5 January 2021.
  13. ^ "Jewish Home Central Committee approves election of chairman and list". Arutz Sheva. 5 January 2021. Retrieved 5 January 2021.
  14. ^ Gil Hoffman (3 January 2021). "Israel Elections: Court forces primaries in Labor Party". The Jerusalem Post. Retrieved 3 January 2021.
  15. ^ Hezki Baruch (27 December 2020). "Will there be primaries in the Likud?". Arutz Sheva. Retrieved 27 December 2020.
  16. ^ Lahav Harkov (30 December 2020). "Likud cancels primary, lets Netanyahu choose 6 candidates". The Jerusalem Post. Retrieved 30 December 2020.
  17. ^ "Likud officially cancels leadership primaries". The Jerusalem Post. 2 January 2021. Retrieved 2 January 2021.
  18. ^ @IsraelexLive (30 December 2020). "Meretz has scheduled its leadership election for January 13, and the primary election to populate the rest of the list on January 21" (Tweet). Retrieved 30 December 2020 – via Twitter.
  19. ^ "Meretz agrees to nix primaries, adds 2nd Arab candidate in party's top 5". The Times of Israel. 3 January 2021. Retrieved 3 January 2021.
  20. ^ "Rabbi Haim Amsalem to run for the Knesset". Arutz Sheva. 5 January 2021. Retrieved 4 January 2021.
  21. ^ Gil Hoffman (6 January 2021). "Former Mossad head Yatom forms Veterans Party". The Jerusalem Post. Retrieved 6 January 2021.
  22. ^ "Gideon Sa'ar quits Likud, "a tool for Netanyahu's interests", to lead new party". The Times of Israel. 8 December 2020. Retrieved 8 December 2020.
  23. ^ https://www.1075.fm/%D7%99%D7%94%D7%91-%D7%9E%D7%A7%D7%99%D7%9D-%D7%9E%D7%A4%D7%9C%D7%92%D7%94-%D7%97%D7%93%D7%A9%D7%94-50-%D7%90%D7%97%D7%95%D7%96-%D7%9E%D7%94%D7%A8%D7%A9%D7%99%D7%9E%D7%94-%D7%A2%D7%A8%D7%91%D7%99/
  24. ^ Staff writer (24 December 2020). "Otzma says it's ready for upcoming Knesset run". Arutz Sheva. Retrieved 25 December 2020.
  25. ^ Stuart Winer (24 December 2020). "MK Ofer Shelah says he's leaving Yesh Atid to start his own party". The Times of Israel. Retrieved 24 December 2020.
  26. ^ Staff writer (2 January 2021). "Ofer Shelah announces new party to be called 'Tnufa'". The Jerusalem Post. Retrieved 2 January 2021.
  27. ^ Staff writer (29 December 2020). "Veteran Tel Aviv mayor Ron Huldai launches new center-left party, 'The Israelis'". The Times of Israel. Retrieved 29 December 2020.
  28. ^ Staff writer (30 December 2020). "Former Finance Ministry official Yaron Zelekha announces new party". The Times of Israel. Retrieved 30 December 2020.
  29. ^ Michael Bachner (24 December 2020). "Feiglin won't run in election; decries fixation on personas rather than ideas". The Times of Israel. Retrieved 24 December 2020.
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