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{{ElectionsNH}}
{{ElectionsNH}}
The '''2010 New Hampshire gubernatorial election''' was held on November 2, 2010. Incumbent [[Democratic Party (United States)|Democratic]] [[Governor of New Hampshire|Governor]] [[John Lynch (New Hampshire governor)|John Lynch]] was re-elected to his fourth term and final term.<ref>{{cite web |url=http://www.fox44now.com/Global/story.asp?S=12327303&nav=menu660_2 |title=NH Gov. John Lynch Running for 4th Term - FOX44NOW.COM - Burlington/Plattsburgh News, Weather and Sports |publisher=FOX44NOW.COM |accessdate=August 21, 2010 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20120301045713/http://www.fox44now.com/Global/story.asp?S=12327303&nav=menu660_2 |archive-date=March 1, 2012 |url-status=dead |df=mdy-all }}</ref>
The '''2010 New Hampshire gubernatorial election''' was held on November 2, 2010. Incumbent [[Democratic Party (United States)|Democratic]] [[Governor of New Hampshire|Governor]] [[John Lynch (New Hampshire governor)|John Lynch]] was re-elected to his fourth term and final term.<ref>{{cite web |url=http://www.fox44now.com/Global/story.asp?S=12327303&nav=menu660_2 |title=NH Gov. John Lynch Running for 4th Term - FOX44NOW.COM - Burlington/Plattsburgh News, Weather and Sports |publisher=FOX44NOW.COM |access-date=August 21, 2010 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20120301045713/http://www.fox44now.com/Global/story.asp?S=12327303&nav=menu660_2 |archive-date=March 1, 2012 |url-status=dead |df=mdy-all }}</ref>


==Background==
==Background==
Line 44: Line 44:


====Declared====
====Declared====
* [[John Lynch (New Hampshire governor)|John Lynch]], incumbent Governor<ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.eagletribune.com/punewsnh/local_story_107195534.html?keyword=secondarystory |title=Gov. Lynch could face difficult re-election bid » New Hampshire » EagleTribune.com, North Andover, MA |publisher=Eagletribune.com |date=April 18, 2010 |accessdate=August 21, 2010}}</ref>
* [[John Lynch (New Hampshire governor)|John Lynch]], incumbent Governor<ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.eagletribune.com/punewsnh/local_story_107195534.html?keyword=secondarystory |title=Gov. Lynch could face difficult re-election bid » New Hampshire » EagleTribune.com, North Andover, MA |publisher=Eagletribune.com |date=April 18, 2010 |access-date=August 21, 2010}}</ref>
* Timothy Robertson, state representative
* Timothy Robertson, state representative
* Frank Sullivan
* Frank Sullivan
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===Results===
===Results===
{{Election box begin no change
{{Election box begin no change
| title = Democratic primary results<ref name="Politico">{{cite web|url=http://www.politico.com/2010/maps/#/Governor/2010/NH|title=New Hampshire Gubernatorial Primary Results |work=Politico|date=September 14, 2010 |accessdate=September 14, 2010}}</ref>
| title = Democratic primary results<ref name="Politico">{{cite web|url=http://www.politico.com/2010/maps/#/Governor/2010/NH|title=New Hampshire Gubernatorial Primary Results |work=Politico|date=September 14, 2010 |access-date=September 14, 2010}}</ref>
}}
}}
{{Election box winning candidate with party link no change
{{Election box winning candidate with party link no change
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====Declared====
====Declared====
* Frank Robert Emiro Sr., state representative
* Frank Robert Emiro Sr., state representative
* Jack Kimball, businessman<ref name=testerman>{{cite web | url = http://www.theunionleader.com/article.aspx?headline=Testerman+steps+into+the+ring+in+governor%27s+race&articleId=713cdc3a-58b4-4590-8739-b16947c67672 | title = Testerman steps into the ring in governor's race | publisher = The Union Leader | date = December 9, 2009 | accessdate = January 1, 2010 | author = John Distaso | archive-url = https://web.archive.org/web/20100220053458/http://www.theunionleader.com/article.aspx?headline=Testerman+steps+into+the+ring+in+governor%27s+race&articleId=713cdc3a-58b4-4590-8739-b16947c67672 | archive-date = February 20, 2010 | url-status = dead }}</ref>
* Jack Kimball, businessman<ref name=testerman>{{cite web | url = http://www.theunionleader.com/article.aspx?headline=Testerman+steps+into+the+ring+in+governor%27s+race&articleId=713cdc3a-58b4-4590-8739-b16947c67672 | title = Testerman steps into the ring in governor's race | publisher = The Union Leader | date = December 9, 2009 | access-date = January 1, 2010 | author = John Distaso | archive-url = https://web.archive.org/web/20100220053458/http://www.theunionleader.com/article.aspx?headline=Testerman+steps+into+the+ring+in+governor%27s+race&articleId=713cdc3a-58b4-4590-8739-b16947c67672 | archive-date = February 20, 2010 | url-status = dead }}</ref>
* John Stephen, former Health and Human Services Commissioner<ref>{{cite web |url=http://www.johnstephen.com |title=John Stephen for Governor &#124; New Leadership for New Hampshire |publisher=Johnstephen.com |accessdate=August 21, 2010 |url-status=dead |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20080915212618/http://www.johnstephen.com/ |archive-date=September 15, 2008 |df=mdy-all }}</ref>
* John Stephen, former Health and Human Services Commissioner<ref>{{cite web |url=http://www.johnstephen.com |title=John Stephen for Governor &#124; New Leadership for New Hampshire |publisher=Johnstephen.com |access-date=August 21, 2010 |url-status=dead |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20080915212618/http://www.johnstephen.com/ |archive-date=September 15, 2008 |df=mdy-all }}</ref>
* Karen Testerman, conservative activist<ref name=testerman/>
* Karen Testerman, conservative activist<ref name=testerman/>


====Declined====
====Declined====
* [[Kelly Ayotte]], [[New Hampshire Attorney General]]<ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.politico.com/blogs/scorecard/0709/Republicans_land_top_recruit_in_New_Hampshire.html?showall |title=Republicans land top recruit in New Hampshire - The Scorecard |publisher=Politico.Com |accessdate=2010-08-21}}</ref>
* [[Kelly Ayotte]], [[New Hampshire Attorney General]]<ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.politico.com/blogs/scorecard/0709/Republicans_land_top_recruit_in_New_Hampshire.html?showall |title=Republicans land top recruit in New Hampshire - The Scorecard |publisher=Politico.Com |access-date=2010-08-21}}</ref>
* [[Frank Guinta]], Mayor of Manchester<ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.teamguinta.com/ |title=Frank Guinta for Congress |publisher=Teamguinta.com |date=2010-07-29 |accessdate=2010-08-21}}</ref>
* [[Frank Guinta]], Mayor of Manchester<ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.teamguinta.com/ |title=Frank Guinta for Congress |publisher=Teamguinta.com |date=2010-07-29 |access-date=2010-08-21}}</ref>
* [[Chuck Morse]], former [[New Hampshire State Senate|State Senator]]<ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.eagletribune.com/latestnews/x1174311548/Downing-runs-for-sheriff-Morse-for-NH-Senate |title=Downing runs for sheriff, Morse for NH Senate » Latest News » EagleTribune.com, North Andover, MA |publisher=Eagletribune.com |accessdate=2010-08-21}}</ref>
* [[Chuck Morse]], former [[New Hampshire State Senate|State Senator]]<ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.eagletribune.com/latestnews/x1174311548/Downing-runs-for-sheriff-Morse-for-NH-Senate |title=Downing runs for sheriff, Morse for NH Senate » Latest News » EagleTribune.com, North Andover, MA |publisher=Eagletribune.com |access-date=2010-08-21}}</ref>
* [[John E. Sununu]], former [[United States Senate|U.S. Senator]]
* [[John E. Sununu]], former [[United States Senate|U.S. Senator]]


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|-
|-
| [[Cook Political Report]]
| [[Cook Political Report]]
|style="background:#66f"|Solid D<ref>{{Cite web|url=http://cookpolitical.com/senate |title=Senate |publisher=[[Cook Political Report]] |accessdate=October 12, 2010}}</ref>
|style="background:#66f"|Solid D<ref>{{Cite web|url=http://cookpolitical.com/senate |title=Senate |publisher=[[Cook Political Report]] |access-date=October 12, 2010}}</ref>
| October 12, 2010
| October 12, 2010
|-
|-
| [[Sabato's Crystal Ball]]
| [[Sabato's Crystal Ball]]
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| Leans D<ref>{{Cite web|url=http://www.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/articles/category/2010-senate/ |title=2010 Senate Ratings |publisher=[[Sabato's Crystal Ball]] |accessdate=November 1, 2010}}</ref>
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| Leans D<ref>{{Cite web|url=http://www.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/articles/category/2010-senate/ |title=2010 Senate Ratings |publisher=[[Sabato's Crystal Ball]] |access-date=November 1, 2010}}</ref>
| October 28, 2010
| October 28, 2010
|-
|-
| [[RealClearPolitics]]
| [[RealClearPolitics]]
|style="background:#66f"|Safe D<ref>{{Cite web|url=http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2010/senate/2010_elections_senate_map.html |title=Battle for the Senate |publisher=[[RealClearPolitics]] |accessdate=October 12, 2010}}</ref>
|style="background:#66f"|Safe D<ref>{{Cite web|url=http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2010/senate/2010_elections_senate_map.html |title=Battle for the Senate |publisher=[[RealClearPolitics]] |access-date=October 12, 2010}}</ref>
|
|
|-
|-
| [[Sabato's Crystal Ball]]
| [[Sabato's Crystal Ball]]
|style="background:#66f"|Safe D<ref>{{Cite web|url=http://www.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/articles/category/2010-senate/ |title=2010 Senate Ratings |publisher=[[Sabato's Crystal Ball]] |accessdate=October 12, 2010}}</ref>
|style="background:#66f"|Safe D<ref>{{Cite web|url=http://www.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/articles/category/2010-senate/ |title=2010 Senate Ratings |publisher=[[Sabato's Crystal Ball]] |access-date=October 12, 2010}}</ref>
| September 30, 2010
| September 30, 2010
|-
|-
| [[Congressional Quarterly|CQ Politics]]
| [[Congressional Quarterly|CQ Politics]]
|style="background:#66f"|Safe D<ref>{{Cite web |url=http://www.cqpolitics.com/wmspage.cfm?docID=ratings-senate |title=Race Ratings Chart: Senate |publisher=[[CQ Politics]] |accessdate=October 12, 2010 |url-status=dead |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20101028234525/http://www.cqpolitics.com/wmspage.cfm?docID=ratings-senate |archive-date=October 28, 2010 |df=mdy-all }}</ref>
|style="background:#66f"|Safe D<ref>{{Cite web |url=http://www.cqpolitics.com/wmspage.cfm?docID=ratings-senate |title=Race Ratings Chart: Senate |publisher=[[CQ Politics]] |access-date=October 12, 2010 |url-status=dead |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20101028234525/http://www.cqpolitics.com/wmspage.cfm?docID=ratings-senate |archive-date=October 28, 2010 |df=mdy-all }}</ref>
| October 12, 2010
| October 12, 2010
|}
|}

Revision as of 14:12, 16 January 2021

2010 New Hampshire gubernatorial election
← 2008 November 2, 2010 2012 →
 
Nominee John Lynch John Stephen
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 239,390 205,433
Percentage 52.6% 45.1%
County Results

Lynch:      40–50%      50–60%

Stephen:      40–50%
Governor before election

John Lynch
Democratic

Elected Governor

John Lynch
Democratic

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The 2010 New Hampshire gubernatorial election was held on November 2, 2010. Incumbent Democratic Governor John Lynch was re-elected to his fourth term and final term.[1]

Background

New Hampshire is one of only two states where the Governor serves for a two-year term, the other being neighboring Vermont. Lynch was re-elected by landslide margins in 2006 and 2008, and has enjoyed historically high approval ratings. In early 2010, his approval rating showed a downward trend, with an April poll indicating that his approval had fallen below 50% (44% approve, 42% disapprove).[2] After the primary elections in mid-September, Lynch's approval rating rebounded (51% approve, 38% disapprove).[3]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

  • John Lynch, incumbent Governor[4]
  • Timothy Robertson, state representative
  • Frank Sullivan

Results

Democratic primary results[5]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic John Lynch (incumbent) 49,832 87.5
Democratic Timothy Robertson 3,771 6.6
Democratic Frank Sullivan 3,377 5.9
Total votes 56,980 97.3

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

  • Frank Robert Emiro Sr., state representative
  • Jack Kimball, businessman[6]
  • John Stephen, former Health and Human Services Commissioner[7]
  • Karen Testerman, conservative activist[6]

Declined

Polling

Poll source Dates administered Jack
Kimball 		John
Stephen 		Karen
Testerman
Public Policy Polling September 11–12, 2010 24% 45% 8%
Public Policy Polling July 23–25, 2010 15% 26% 5%
Public Policy Polling April 17–18, 2010 10% 29% 15%

Results

Republican primary results[5]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican John Stephen 77,962 61.6
Republican Jack Kimball 31,581 24.9
Republican Karen Testerman 12,708 10.0
Republican Frank Emiro 4,394 3.5
Total votes 126,645 96.7

General election

Candidates

  • John Babiarz, Libertarian
  • John Lynch, Democratic
  • John Stephen, Republican

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
Cook Political Report Solid D[11] October 12, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball Leans D[12] October 28, 2010
RealClearPolitics Safe D[13]
Sabato's Crystal Ball Safe D[14] September 30, 2010
CQ Politics Safe D[15] October 12, 2010

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		John
Lynch (D) 		John
Stephen (R)
Rasmussen Reports October 27, 2010 51% 45%
WMUR/UNH October 7–12, 2010 51% 38%
American Research Group October 3–5, 2010 51% 41%
Granite State Poll October 1, 2010 51% 34%
American Research Group September 22–26, 2010 42% 40%
Rasmussen Reports September 15, 2010 48% 46%
Public Policy Polling September 11–12, 2010 51% 39%
Rasmussen Reports August 5, 2010 50% 39%
Public Policy Polling July 23–25, 2010 51% 34%
Rasmussen Reports May 26, 2010 47% 35%
Public Policy Polling April 17–18, 2010 47% 36%
Rasmussen Reports April 7, 2010 47% 37%
Rasmussen Reports March 8, 2010 50% 35%
Granite State Poll January 27-February 3, 2010 50% 30%

Results

2010 New Hampshire gubernatorial election
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Democratic John Lynch (incumbent) 240,346 52.63% −17.57%
Republican John Stephen 205,616 45.03% +17.43%
Libertarian John Babiarz 10,089 2.21% +0.02%
Write-in 537 <0.01% N/A
Total votes 456,588 100.00% N/A
Democratic hold

References

  1. ^ "NH Gov. John Lynch Running for 4th Term - FOX44NOW.COM - Burlington/Plattsburgh News, Weather and Sports". FOX44NOW.COM. Archived from the original on March 1, 2012. Retrieved August 21, 2010.
  2. ^ http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2010/PPP_Release_NH_423.pdf
  3. ^ http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_NH_916.pdf
  4. ^ "Gov. Lynch could face difficult re-election bid » New Hampshire » EagleTribune.com, North Andover, MA". Eagletribune.com. April 18, 2010. Retrieved August 21, 2010.
  5. ^ a b "New Hampshire Gubernatorial Primary Results". Politico. September 14, 2010. Retrieved September 14, 2010.
  6. ^ a b John Distaso (December 9, 2009). "Testerman steps into the ring in governor's race". The Union Leader. Archived from the original on February 20, 2010. Retrieved January 1, 2010.
  7. ^ "John Stephen for Governor | New Leadership for New Hampshire". Johnstephen.com. Archived from the original on September 15, 2008. Retrieved August 21, 2010.
  8. ^ "Republicans land top recruit in New Hampshire - The Scorecard". Politico.Com. Retrieved August 21, 2010.
  9. ^ "Frank Guinta for Congress". Teamguinta.com. July 29, 2010. Retrieved August 21, 2010.
  10. ^ "Downing runs for sheriff, Morse for NH Senate » Latest News » EagleTribune.com, North Andover, MA". Eagletribune.com. Retrieved August 21, 2010.
  11. ^ "Senate". Cook Political Report. Retrieved October 12, 2010.
  12. ^ "2010 Senate Ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved November 1, 2010.
  13. ^ "Battle for the Senate". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved October 12, 2010.
  14. ^ "2010 Senate Ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved October 12, 2010.
  15. ^ "Race Ratings Chart: Senate". CQ Politics. Archived from the original on October 28, 2010. Retrieved October 12, 2010.
Official campaign sites (Archived)
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