2021 New York City mayoral election: Difference between revisions
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* Adam Oremland, Attorney and social media personality<ref>{{Cite web|last=Pangea|title=Adam Oremland for NYC Mayor 2021|url=https://www.adam4mayor.com/|access-date=2021-03-01|website=Adam Oremland for NYC Mayor 2021|language=en-US}}</ref> |
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*Abbey Laurel-Smith, businesswoman<ref name="CFB" /> |
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* Bill Pepitone, retired [[New York City Police Department|NYPD]] officer<ref>{{Cite web|title=Bill Pepitone for NYC Mayor|url=https://www.facebook.com/pages/Bill-Pepitone-for-NYC-Mayor/110127470736990|access-date=July 11, 2020|website=www.facebook.com}}</ref> |
* Bill Pepitone, retired [[New York City Police Department|NYPD]] officer<ref>{{Cite web|title=Bill Pepitone for NYC Mayor|url=https://www.facebook.com/pages/Bill-Pepitone-for-NYC-Mayor/110127470736990|access-date=July 11, 2020|website=www.facebook.com}}</ref> |
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* Sara Tirschwell, CFO of Foundation House<ref name="opening">{{cite web|url=https://www.saraformayor.com/about/|title= Rivals Mock Andrew Yang: 5 Takeaways From the Mayor's Race |website=New York Times |date=January 18, 2021|last1=Fitzsimmons|first1=Emma |last2=Mays|first2=Jeffrey |access-date=January 18, 2021}}</ref> |
* Sara Tirschwell, CFO of Foundation House<ref name="opening">{{cite web|url=https://www.saraformayor.com/about/|title= Rivals Mock Andrew Yang: 5 Takeaways From the Mayor's Race |website=New York Times |date=January 18, 2021|last1=Fitzsimmons|first1=Emma |last2=Mays|first2=Jeffrey |access-date=January 18, 2021}}</ref> |
Revision as of 20:50, 1 March 2021
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Elections in New York State |
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The 2021 New York City mayoral election will consist of Democratic and Republican primaries on June 22, 2021, followed by a general election on November 2, 2021. The primaries will be the first New York City mayoral election primaries to use ranked-choice, instant-runoff voting, as opposed to the plurality voting of previous primaries.[1]
Incumbent New York City Mayor Bill de Blasio is barred from running for a third term by term limits.[2]
Notable candidates include Brooklyn Borough President Eric Adams, former Director of the U.S. OMB Shaun Donovan, former Commissioner of the NYC Dept. of Sanitation Kathryn Garcia, former Citigroup executive Raymond McGuire, NYC Council Member Carlos Menchaca, former social services non-profit CEO Dianne Morales, Guardian Angels founder Curtis Sliwa, NYC Comptroller Scott Stringer, former Commissioner of the NYC Dept. of Veterans' Services Loree Sutton, former counsel to Bill de Blasio Maya Wiley, and entrepreneur Andrew Yang. A number of other members of the New York City business and political communities are also running.
Democratic primary
Background
In 2019, journalists and political commentators predicted several potential candidates, including Brooklyn Borough President Eric Adams, Bronx Borough President Rubén Díaz Jr., NYC Council Speaker Corey Johnson, NYC Comptroller Scott Stringer, and NYC Public Advocate Jumaane Williams.[3][4] By 2021, a number of candidates had declared themselves; most were first-time candidates who had never held political office, rather than sitting elected officials.
Early polling of the race show entrepreneur Andrew Yang as the frontrunner, with Adams in second and Stringer in third place.[5][6] As of January 20, 2021, of the major declared candidates, NYC councillor Carlos Menchaca and former Commissioner of the NYC Dept. of Veterans' Services Loree Sutton were considered the weakest candidates and most likely to drop out, as both of them posted very poor fundraising numbers.[7]
The first debate in the Democratic primary was sponsored by the Brooklyn Democratic Party and held on January 31, 2021. Nine candidates met the qualifications to participate in the debate, though former non-profit CEO Dianne Morales boycotted the debate following comments perceived as sinophobic by a former Brooklyn Democratic Party official.[8] Those who participated were Yang, Stringer, Adams, businessman Raymond McGuire, former Director of the U.S. OMB Shaun Donovan, former counsel to Bill de Blasio Maya Wiley, Sutton and former Commissioner of the NYC Dept. of Sanitation Kathryn Garcia.[9]
Candidates
Major declared candidates
The following candidates (listed alphabetically) have held office, have been included in polls, or have been the subject of significant media coverage.
Other declared candidates
- Art Chang, former JPMorgan Chase managing director, founder of NYC Votes[34]
- Eddie Cullen, technology entrepreneur and professor at Purdue University[35]
- Ävatar Daví, tech entrepreneur and artist[36][37]
- Thomas Downs, advocate[38]
- Guiddalia Emilien, real estate agent and small business owner[39]
- Cleopatra Fitzgerald, political science major and activist[39]
- Aaron Foldenauer, attorney, candidate for NYC Council's Manhattan District 1 in 2017[40]
- Quanda Francis, President of Sykes Capital Management[18]
- Garry Guerrier, paramedic and nurse[18]
- Max Kaplan, director of social media at Talent Resources[37]
- Barbara Kavovit, CEO of Evergreen Construction and former Real Housewives of New York City cast member[41]
- Paperboy Love Prince, Brooklyn rapper and candidate for New York's 7th congressional district in 2020[42]
- Stephen Bishop Seely, actor[18]
- Ira Seidman, data scientist[43]
- Ahsan Syed, candidate for NYC Mayor in 2017[18]
- Joycelyn Taylor, CEO of TaylorMade Contracting[44]
- Isaac Wright Jr., lawyer[45]
Potential
- Al Franken, comedian and former U.S. Senator from Minnesota (2009–2018)[46]
- Alicia Glen, former deputy mayor[47]
- Eva Moskowitz, CEO of Success Academy Charter Schools and former NYC Council member[47]
- Jeff Zucker, Chairman of Warner Media News & Sports[48][49]
Withdrawn
- Michael DeName, formerly independent perennial candidate[37][50]
- Rubén Díaz Jr., Bronx Borough President[51]
- Zach Iscol, entrepreneur and US Marines veteran (running for NYC Comptroller)[52][53]
- Corey Johnson, Speaker of the NYC Council[47][24][54]
- Julia Qing Reaves, LGBT activist[37][55]
Formed exploratory committee but did not run
- Max Rose, former U.S. Representative for New York's 11th congressional district (2019–2021)[56][57][58][59]
Declined
- Andy Byford, former President of the NYC Transit Authority[60]
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, U.S. Representative for New York's 14th congressional district[61]
- Christine Quinn, former NYC Council Speaker[62]
- Ritchie Torres, U.S. Representative for New York's 15th congressional district (endorsed Andrew Yang)[63][64]
- Jumaane Williams, NYC Public Advocate (running for re-election)[65]
Endorsements
- U.S. Representatives
- Edolphus Towns, former U.S. Representative from New York's 10th congressional district (1983–2013)[66]
- State legislators
- Karim Camara, former NY State Assemblymember for the 43rd district (2005–2015)[66]
- Erik Dilan, NY State Assemblymember for the 54th district (2015–present)[66]
- Andrew Gounardes, NY State Senator for the 22nd district (2019–present)[66]
- Aurelia Greene, former NY State Assemblymember for the 77th district (1982–2009)[66]
- Roxanne Persaud, NY State Senator for the 19th district (2015–present)[66]
- Jaime Williams, NY State Assemblymember for the 59th district (2016–present)[66]
- Local officials
- Alicka Ampry-Samuel, NYC Council Member (2018–present)[66]
- Laurie Cumbo, NYC Council Member (2014–present)[66]
- Darma Diaz, NYC Council Member (2021–present)[66]
- Peter Koo, NYC Council Member (2010–present)[67]
- Farah Louis, NYC Council Member (2019–present)[66]
- Alan Maisel, NYC Council Member (2014–present)[66]
- Daneek Miller, NYC Council Member (2014–present)[66]
- Ydanis Rodríguez, NYC Council Member (2010–present)[68]
- Labor Unions
- Newspapers and media
- Executive Branch officials
- Jay Carney, White House Press Secretary (2011–2014)[70]
- Anthony Foxx, US Secretary of Transportation (2013–2017); Mayor of Charlotte (2009–2013)[71]
- U.S. Senators
- John Hickenlooper, US Senator from Colorado (2021–present), Governor of Colorado (2011–2019), Mayor of Denver (2003–2011)[72]
- Local officials
- Manny Diaz, Mayor of Miami (2001–2009)[39]
- Mitch Landrieu, Mayor of New Orleans (2010–2018)[39]
- Michael Nutter, Mayor of Philadelphia (2008–2016)[39]
- Ashley Swearengin, Mayor of Fresno (2009–2017)[39]
- Individuals
- Edward Norton, actor[66]
- Executive Branch officials
- Valerie Jarrett, Director of the Office of Public Engagement and Intergovernmental Affairs (2009-2017); Senior Advisor to the President (2009-2017)[73][74]
- U.S. Representatives
- Steve Israel, former U.S. Representative from New York's 3rd congressional district (2001–2017)[66]
- Individuals
- Gwen Carr, activist, author, and mother of Eric Garner[75]
- Patrick Ewing, former basketball player[66]
- Spike Lee, filmmaker and actor[76]
- Charles Oakley, former basketball player[66]
- Charles Phillips, businessman[74]
- State legislators
- Gustavo Rivera, NY State Senator for the 33rd district (2011-present) (Second choice)[77]
- U.S. Representatives
- Jamaal Bowman, U.S. Representative from New York's 16th congressional district (2021–present)[66]
- Adriano Espaillat, U.S. Representative from New York's 13th congressional district (2017–present)[78]
- Jerry Nadler, U.S. Representative from New York's 10th congressional district (1992–present)[79]
- State legislators
- Alessandra Biaggi, NY State Senator for the 34th district (2019–present)[66]
- Robert Carroll, NY State Assemblymember for the 44th district[80]
- Catalina Cruz, NY State Assemblymember for the 39th district[66]
- Maritza Davila, NY State Assemblymember for the 53rd district[66]
- Carmen De La Rosa, NY State Assemblymember for the 72nd district and candidate for district 10 of the NYC Council in the 2021 NYC Council election[81]
- Richard N. Gottfried, NY State Assemblymember for the 75th district (1971–present)[79]
- Robert Jackson, NY State Senator for the 31st district (2019–present)[66]
- Brian P. Kavanagh, NY State Senator for the 26th district (2017–present)[66]
- Yuh-Line Niou, NY State Assemblymember for the 65th district[82]
- N. Nick Perry, NY State Assemblymember for the 58th district (1993–present)[66]
- Jessica Ramos, NY State Senator for the 13th district (2019–present)[82]
- Diana Richardson, NY State Assemblymember for the 43rd district (2015–present)[83]
- Gustavo Rivera, NY State Senator for the 33rd district (2011-present) (First choice)[77]
- Linda Rosenthal, NY State Assemblymember for the 67th district (2006–present)[66]
- Julia Salazar, NY State Senator for the 18th district (2019–present)[80]
- Rebecca Seawright, NY State Assemblymember for the 76th district (2015–present)[66]
- Amanda Septimo, NY State Assemblymember for the 84th district (2021–present)[66]
- Al Taylor, NY State Assemblymember for the 71st district (2017–present)[66]
- Local officials
- Costa Constantinides, NYC Council Member (2014–present)[84]
- Jimmy Van Bramer, NYC Council Member (2010–present)[66]
- Individuals
- Bill McKibben, environmental activist[66]
- Scarlett Johansson, actress[67]
- Labor unions
- Communications Workers of America District 1[66]
- Laborers' International Union of North America[85]
- Retail, Wholesale and Department Store Union[66]
- United Food and Commercial Workers Local 1500[86]
- Organizations
- Individuals
- Kenneth Fisher, businessman[87]
- State legislators
- Michael Blake, NY State Assemblymember for the 39th district (2015–2021)[66]
- Michael Gianaris, NY State Senator for the 12th district (2011–present)[88]
- Local officials
- Stephen Levin, NYC Council Member for the 33rd district (2010–present)[89]
- Individuals
- Tichina Arnold, actress[66]
- Yvette Nicole Brown, actress[66]
- Chris Evans, actor[67]
- Jonathan Frakes, actor[66]
- Kathy Griffin, comedian and actress[66]
- Melissa Harris-Perry, writer, television host, and political commentator[75]
- Rosie O'Donnell, comedian and actress[67]
- Patton Oswalt, actor[66]
- Alyssa Milano, actress[66]
- Gabrielle Union, actress[66]
- Organizations
- Labor unions
- Executive Branch officials
- Anthony Scaramucci, White House Communications Director (2017) (Republican)[92]
- U.S. Representatives
- Ritchie Torres, U.S. Representative from New York's 15th congressional district (2021–present), NYC Council Member (2014-2020)[93][94]
- State legislators
- Local officials
- Margaret Chin, NYC Council Member for the 1st district (2010−present)[66]
- Individuals
- Krystal Ball, political commentator and journalist[96]
- Barbara Corcoran, businesswoman and investor[97]
- Susan Danziger, CEO and co-founder of Ziggeo[98]
- Baron Davis, former professional basketballer[99]
- Saagar Enjeti, journalist and host of Rising[100]
- ASAP Ferg, rapper, singer and songwriter[99]
- Charlamagne tha God, radio presenter and television personality[101]
- Whoopi Goldberg, actress, comedian, author, and television personality on The View[102]
- Cameron Kasky, activist, advocate against gun violence, co-founder of Never Again MSD[103]
- Dara Kass, emergency medicine physician and Associate Professor of Emergency Medicine at Columbia University Medical Center[104]
- Daniel Dae Kim, actor, voice actor, and producer[105][66]
- Martin Luther King III, civil rights leader, President of the Southern Christian Leadership Conference (1997–2004)[106]
- John Leguizamo, actor and comedian[66][107]
- Cyrus Massoumi, entrepreneur and founder of Zocdoc[108]
- Elon Musk, business magnate, industrial designer, and engineer[109]
- Craig Newmark, internet entrepreneur, founder of Craigslist and philanthropist[98]
- Chamath Palihapitiya, venture capitalist[108]
- Daniel J. Porter, entrepreneur[108]
- Steven Rosenbaum, entrepreneur and filmmaker[98]
- Rukhl Schaechter, editor of the Yiddish Forverts[110]
- Andrew Schulz, stand-up comedian, actor, producer and podcaster[101]
- Amy Schumer, stand-up comedian and actress[111][66]
- Lara Stein, Executive Director of Women’s March Global and founder and former director of TEDx[98]
- Bradley Tusk, businessman, venture capitalist, philanthropist, political strategist, and writer[112]
- Jan Vilček, biomedical scientist, educator, inventor and philanthropist[98]
- Albert Wenger, businessman and venture capitalist[98]
- Daniel Wu, actor, director and producer[113]
Polling
Graphical summary (first-past-the-post polls)
Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. There is more info on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org. |
- Among those supporting a candidate (first-past-the-post polls)
Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. There is more info on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org. |
Ranked-choice polls
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[A] |
Margin of error |
RCV count |
Eric Adams
|
Shaun Donovan
|
Kathryn Garcia
|
Raymond McGuire
|
Dianne Morales
|
Scott Stringer
|
Maya Wiley
|
Andrew Yang
|
Others | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Data for Progress (D) | Jun 18–20, 2021 | 1,354 (LV) | ± 3.0% | BA[B] | 26% | 3% | 18% | 3% | 2% | 5% | 21% | 12% | 2% | 6% |
1 | 28% | 3% | 19% | 4% | 2% | 5% | 22% | 13% | 3% | – | ||||
2 | 28% | 3% | 20% | 4% | 3% | 5% | 23% | 13% | – | |||||
3 | 28% | 3% | 20% | 4% | – | 6% | 24% | 14% | – | |||||
4 | 29% | – | 21% | 4% | – | 6% | 25% | 14% | – | |||||
5 | 30% | – | 24% | – | – | 6% | 25% | 14% | – | |||||
6 | 32% | – | 26% | – | – | – | 27% | 15% | – | |||||
7 | 38% | – | 31% | – | – | – | 31% | – | – | |||||
8 | 54% | – | – | – | – | – | 46% | – | – | |||||
8[C] | 48% | – | 52% | – | – | – | – | – | – | |||||
Citizen Data[D] | Jun 14–17, 2021 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 1 | 32% | 5% | 18% | 3% | 6% | 6% | 18% | 11% | 2% | – |
2 | 32% | 5% | 18% | 3% | 6% | 6% | 18% | 12% | – | |||||
3 | 33% | 5% | 18% | – | 6% | 7% | 19% | 12% | – | |||||
4 | 34% | – | 19% | – | 6% | 7% | 20% | 13% | – | |||||
5 | 36% | – | 20% | – | – | 8% | 21% | 15% | – | |||||
6 | 37% | – | 22% | – | – | – | 26% | 15% | – | |||||
7 | 44% | – | 28% | – | – | – | 28% | – | – | |||||
8 | 56% | – | – | – | – | – | 44% | – | – | |||||
8[E] | 54% | – | 46% | – | – | – | – | – | – | |||||
8[E] | 67% | – | – | – | – | – | – | 33% | – | |||||
8[E] | – | – | 51% | – | – | – | 49% | – | – | |||||
8[E] | – | – | 60% | – | – | – | – | 40% | – | |||||
8[E] | – | – | – | – | – | – | 59% | 41% | – | |||||
Ipsos | Jun 10–17, 2021 | 702 (LV) | ± 5.7% | BA[B] | 28% | 5% | 15% | 5% | 1% | 8% | 13% | 20% | – | 6% |
1 | 29% | 5% | 16% | 5% | 1% | 8% | 13% | 21% | – | |||||
2 | 29% | 5% | 16% | 5% | – | 8% | 14% | 22% | ||||||
3 | 31% | 7% | 16% | – | – | 9% | 14% | 22% | ||||||
4 | 34% | – | 17% | – | – | 12% | 15% | 23% | ||||||
5 | 36% | – | 20% | – | – | – | 16% | 27% | ||||||
6 | 43% | – | 25% | – | – | – | – | 31% | ||||||
7 | 56% | – | – | – | – | – | – | 44% | ||||||
Emerson College[F] | Jun 15–16, 2021 | 664 (LV) | ± 3.7% | BA[B] | 23% | 2% | 17% | 3% | 2% | 9% | 18% | 14% | 1%
Chang: 1% Foldenauer: 0% Prince: 0% Taylor: 0% Wright: 0% |
10% |
2 | 26% | 3% | 19% | 4% | 2% | 10% | 20% | 15% | 1%
Chang: 1% Prince: 0% |
– | ||||
3 | 26% | 3% | 19% | 4% | 2% | 10% | 20% | 15% | 1%
Chang: 1% | |||||
4 | 26% | 3% | 20% | 4% | 2% | 10% | 21% | 15% | – | |||||
5 | 26% | 3% | 20% | 4% | – | 10% | 22% | 15% | – | |||||
6 | 27% | – | 21% | 5% | – | 10% | 22% | 15% | – | |||||
7 | 29% | – | 21% | – | – | 11% | 22% | 17% | – | |||||
8 | 32% | – | 25% | – | – | – | 26% | 18% | – | |||||
9 | 41% | – | 30% | – | – | – | 29% | – | – | |||||
10 | 52% | – | 48% | – | – | – | – | – | – | |||||
Change Research (D)[G] | Jun 11–14, 2021 | 822 (LV) | ± 3.4% | BA[B] | 23% | 4% | 19% | 3% | 1% | 8% | 19% | 12% | 0%
Chang: 0% Foldenauer: 0% Prince: 0% Taylor: 0% Wright: 0% |
10% |
2 | 26% | 4% | 22% | 3% | 2% | 9% | 21% | 13% | 1%
Wright: 1% Chang: 0% Prince: 0% |
– | ||||
3 | 26% | 4% | 22% | 3% | 2% | 9% | 21% | 13% | 1%
Wright: 1% Chang: 0% | |||||
4 | 26% | 4% | 22% | 3% | 2% | 9% | 21% | 13% | 1%
Wright: 1% | |||||
5 | 26% | 5% | 22% | 3% | 2% | 9% | 21% | 13% | – | |||||
6 | 26% | 5% | 22% | 3% | – | 9% | 22% | 13% | – | |||||
7 | 27% | 5% | 22% | – | – | 10% | 23% | 14% | – | |||||
8 | 28% | – | 23% | – | – | 10% | 23% | 16% | – | |||||
9 | 30% | – | 27% | – | – | – | 26% | 17% | – | |||||
10 | 37% | – | 33% | – | – | – | 30% | – | – | |||||
11 | 49% | – | 51% | – | – | – | – | – | – | |||||
Schoen Cooperman Research (D)[H] | Jun 10–13, 2021 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.1% | BA[B] | 22% | 6% | 14% | 4% | 4% | 9% | 16% | 18% | 0% | 7% |
1 | 24% | 7% | 15% | 5% | 4% | 9% | 17% | 19% | – | |||||
2 | 24% | 7% | 16% | 5% | – | 10% | 18% | 20% | ||||||
3 | 24% | 8% | 17% | – | – | 10% | 19% | 22% | ||||||
4 | 26% | – | 18% | – | – | 11% | 21% | 24% | ||||||
5 | 31% | – | 20% | – | – | – | 23% | 26% | ||||||
6 | 40% | – | – | – | – | – | 28% | 32% | ||||||
7 | 55% | – | – | – | – | – | – | 45% | ||||||
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[I] | Jun 9–13, 2021 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | BA[B] | 21% | 4% | 20% | 2% | 2% | 8% | 18% | 13% | 2%
Chang: 1% Taylor: 1% Prince: <1% Foldenauer: 0% Wright: 0% |
9% |
1 | 24% | 4% | 22% | 2% | 2% | 9% | 20% | 14% | 3%
Chang: 1% Prince: 1% Taylor: 1% Foldenauer: 0% Wright: 0% |
– | ||||
2 | 24% | 4% | 22% | 2% | 2% | 9% | 20% | 14% | 3%
Chang: 1% Prince: 1% Taylor: 1% Foldenauer: 0% | |||||
3 | 24% | 4% | 22% | 2% | 2% | 9% | 20% | 14% | 2%
Chang: 1% Taylor: 1% | |||||
4 | 24% | 4% | 22% | 2% | 3% | 9% | 20% | 14% | 1%
Chang: 1% | |||||
5 | 25% | 4% | 22% | 2% | 3% | 9% | 21% | 14% | – | |||||
6 | 25% | 4% | 22% | – | 3% | 9% | 21% | 15% | – | |||||
7 | 26% | 4% | 23% | – | – | 9% | 22% | 15% | – | |||||
8 | 27% | – | 25% | – | – | 10% | 23% | 15% | – | |||||
9 | 29% | – | 28% | – | – | – | 25% | 17% | – | |||||
10 | 38% | – | 33% | – | – | – | 29% | – | – | |||||
11 | 48% | – | 52% | – | – | – | – | – | – | |||||
Honan Strategy Group (D)[J] | May 26 – Jun 10, 2021 | 950 (LV) | ± 3.2% | BA[B] | 28% | 9% | 13% | 1% | 1% | 6% | 7% | 19% | – | 16% |
1 | 33% | 11% | 15% | 1% | 1% | 7% | 9% | 23% | – | |||||
2 | 33% | 11% | 16% | 1% | – | 7% | 9% | 23% | ||||||
3 | 34% | 11% | 16% | – | – | 7% | 9% | 23% | ||||||
4 | 35% | 12% | 17% | – | – | – | 11% | 25% | ||||||
5 | 39% | 13% | 19% | – | – | – | – | 29% | ||||||
6 | 44% | – | 24% | – | – | – | – | 33% | ||||||
7 | 56% | – | – | – | – | – | – | 44% | ||||||
Marist College[K] | Jun 3–9, 2021 | 876 (LV) | ± 3.8% | BA[B] | 24% | 3% | 17% | 3% | 3% | 7% | 15% | 13% | 2%
Chang: 1% Prince: 1% Foldenauer: <1% Taylor: <1% Wright: <1% |
13% |
1 | 28% | 3% | 19% | 4% | 4% | 8% | 17% | 15% | 2%
Chang: 1% Prince: 1% Foldenauer: <1% Taylor: <1% Wright: <1% |
– | ||||
2 | 28% | 3% | 19% | 4% | 4% | 8% | 17% | 15% | 2%
Chang: 1% Prince: 1% Taylor: <1% Wright: <1% | |||||
3 | 28% | 3% | 19% | 4% | 4% | 8% | 17% | 15% | 2%
Chang: 1% Prince: 1% Taylor: <1% | |||||
4 | 28% | 3% | 19% | 4% | 4% | 8% | 17% | 15% | 2%
Chang: 1% Prince: 1% | |||||
5 | 28% | 3% | 20% | 4% | 4% | 8% | 17% | 15% | 1%
Prince: 1% | |||||
6 | 28% | 4% | 20% | 4% | 4% | 8% | 17% | 15% | – | |||||
7 | 29% | – | 20% | 4% | 5% | 9% | 17% | 16% | – | |||||
8 | 30% | – | 21% | – | 5% | 9% | 18% | 17% | – | |||||
9 | 31% | – | 22% | – | – | 9% | 20% | 17% | – | |||||
10 | 34% | – | 24% | – | – | – | 22% | 19% | – | |||||
11 | 43% | – | 30% | – | – | – | 27% | – | – | |||||
12 | 56% | – | 44% | – | – | – | – | – | – | |||||
Emerson College[F] | Jun 7–8, 2021 | 725 (LV) | ± 3.6% | BA[B] | 23% | 4% | 12% | 3% | 2% | 9% | 17% | 15% | 4%
Taylor: 2% Chang: 1% Prince: 1% Foldenauer: 0% Wright: 0% |
12% |
2 | 26% | 4% | 14% | 3% | 2% | 11% | 19% | 17% | 5%
Taylor: 2% Chang: 2% Prince: 1% |
– | ||||
3 | 26% | 5% | 14% | 4% | 2% | 11% | 19% | 17% | 4%
Taylor: 2% Chang: 2% | |||||
4 | 26% | 5% | 14% | 4% | 3% | 11% | 19% | 18% | 2%
Taylor: 2% | |||||
5 | 26% | 5% | 14% | 4% | 3% | 11% | 19% | 19% | – | |||||
6 | 26% | 5% | 14% | 4% | – | 11% | 21% | 19% | – | |||||
7 | 28% | 5% | 15% | – | – | 11% | 21% | 20% | – | |||||
8 | 29% | – | 15% | – | – | 12% | 22% | 22% | – | |||||
9 | 33% | – | 19% | – | – | – | 26% | 23% | – | |||||
10 | 40% | – | – | – | – | – | 33% | 27% | – | |||||
11 | 59% | – | – | – | – | – | 41% | – | – | |||||
Ipsos[L] | May 17–31, 2021 | 906 (LV) | ± 4.5% | BA[B] | 24% | 4% | 13% | 5% | 5% | 10% | 10% | 17% | – | 11% |
1 | 27% | 5% | 15% | 5% | 6% | 11% | 12% | 19% | – | |||||
2 | 28% | – | 16% | 5% | 6% | 12% | 12% | 20% | ||||||
3 | 30% | – | 17% | – | 7% | 13% | 13% | 20% | ||||||
4 | 32% | – | 18% | – | – | 14% | 16% | 21% | ||||||
5 | 37% | – | 22% | – | – | – | 19% | 23% | ||||||
6 | 42% | – | 29% | – | – | – | – | 28% | ||||||
7 | 60% | – | 40% | – | – | – | – | – | ||||||
7[M] | 58% | – | – | – | – | – | – | 42% | ||||||
Emerson College[F] | May 23–24, 2021 | 570 (LV) | ± 4.1% | BA[B] | 20% | 5% | 21% | 2% | 7% | 10% | 9% | 16% | 2%
Foldenauer: 1% Prince: 1% Chang: 0% Taylor: 0% Wright: 0% |
9% |
2 | 22% | 6% | 23% | 2% | 8% | 10% | 9% | 17% | 2%
Foldenauer: 1% Prince: 1% Chang: 0% |
– | ||||
3 | 22% | 6% | 23% | 2% | 8% | 10% | 9% | 17% | 2%
Foldenauer: 1% Prince: 1% | |||||
4 | 22% | 6% | 23% | 2% | 8% | 11% | 10% | 17% | 1%
Foldenauer: 1% | |||||
5 | 22% | 6% | 23% | 2% | 8% | 12% | 10% | 17% | – | |||||
6 | 24% | 6% | 24% | – | 8% | 12% | 10% | 17% | – | |||||
7 | 25% | – | 26% | – | 8% | 12% | 10% | 19% | – | |||||
8 | 25% | – | 27% | – | – | 13% | 15% | 19% | – | |||||
9 | 28% | – | 31% | – | – | – | 20% | 22% | – | |||||
10 | 34% | – | 40% | – | – | – | – | 26% | – | |||||
11 | 45% | – | 55% | – | – | – | – | – | – | |||||
Slingshot Strategies (D)[N] | May 17–20, 2021 | 749 (LV) | ± 3.6% | BA[B] | 16% | 4% | 10% | 5% | 7% | 13% | 8% | 19% | 7%
Foldenauer: 4% Chang: 2% Prince: 1% Taylor: 0% Wright: 0% "Other": 0% |
13% |
1 | 18% | 5% | 11% | 5% | 8% | 15% | 9% | 21% | 8%
Foldenauer: 5% Chang: 2% Prince: 1% Taylor: 0% Wright: 0% "Other": 0% |
– | ||||
2 | 18% | 5% | 11% | 5% | 8% | 15% | 9% | 21% | 8%
Foldenauer: 5% Chang: 2% Prince: 1% Taylor: 0% | |||||
3 | 18% | 5% | 11% | 5% | 8% | 15% | 9% | 21% | 8%
Foldenauer: 5% Chang: 2% Prince: 1% | |||||
4 | 18% | 5% | 11% | 5% | 8% | 15% | 9% | 21% | 7%
Foldenauer: 5% Chang: 2% | |||||
5 | 19% | 5% | 12% | 6% | 8% | 15% | 10% | 22% | 5%
Foldenauer: 5% | |||||
6 | 19% | 5% | 12% | 7% | 9% | 16% | 11% | 22% | – | |||||
7 | 20% | – | 13% | 8% | 9% | 16% | 11% | 23% | – | |||||
8 | 21% | – | 14% | – | 9% | 19% | 13% | 24% | – | |||||
9 | 22% | – | 14% | – | – | 22% | 17% | 25% | – | |||||
10 | 25% | – | – | – | – | 25% | 21% | 29% | – | |||||
11 | 33% | – | – | – | – | 31% | – | 36% | – | |||||
12 | 49% | – | – | – | – | – | – | 51% | – | |||||
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[I] | May 14–17, 2021 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | BA[B] | 18% | 4% | 11% | 6% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 19% | 2%
Prince: 1% Wright: 1% Chang: 0% Foldenauer: 0% Taylor: 0% |
14% |
1 | 21% | 5% | 13% | 7% | 7% | 10% | 11% | 22% | 2%
Prince: 1% Wright: 1% Chang: 0% Taylor: 0% |
– | ||||
2 | 21% | 5% | 13% | 7% | 7% | 10% | 11% | 22% | 2%
Prince: 1% Wright: 1% Taylor: 0% | |||||
3 | 21% | 5% | 13% | 7% | 7% | 10% | 11% | 23% | 2%
Prince: 1% Wright: 1% | |||||
4 | 21% | 5% | 13% | 8% | 7% | 10% | 11% | 23% | 1%
Prince: 1% | |||||
5 | 21% | 5% | 13% | 8% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 23% | – | |||||
6 | 23% | – | 13% | 9% | 8% | 11% | 13% | 24% | – | |||||
7 | 24% | – | 15% | 10% | – | 11% | 16% | 24% | – | |||||
8 | 27% | – | 16% | – | – | 12% | 18% | 26% | – | |||||
9 | 30% | – | 20% | – | – | – | 21% | 29% | – | |||||
10 | 36% | – | – | – | – | – | 30% | 34% | – | |||||
11 | 52% | – | – | – | – | – | – | 48% | – | |||||
Emerson College[F] | May 13–15, 2021 | 631 (LV) | ± 3.8% | BA[B] | 18% | 5% | 8% | 4% | 6% | 15% | 4% | 15% | 3%
Chang: 2% Taylor: 1% Foldenauer: 0% Prince: 0% Wright: 0% |
23% |
2 | 23% | 7% | 10% | 5% | 7% | 20% | 5% | 20% | 3%
Chang: 2% Taylor: 1% |
– | ||||
3 | 23% | 7% | 11% | 5% | 7% | 20% | 5% | 20% | 3%
Chang: 3% | |||||
4 | 23% | 7% | 11% | 5% | 7% | 20% | 5% | 22% | – | |||||
5 | 24% | 7% | 13% | 6% | 8% | 20% | – | 23% | – | |||||
6 | 26% | 9% | 13% | – | 9% | 20% | – | 23% | – | |||||
7 | 27% | 9% | 18% | – | – | 22% | – | 24% | – | |||||
8 | 29% | – | 21% | – | – | 24% | – | 26% | – | |||||
9 | 36% | – | – | – | – | 31% | – | 33% | – | |||||
10 | 53% | – | – | – | – | – | – | 47% | – | |||||
Change Research (D) | May 11–12, 2021 | 418 (LV) | ± 4.8% | BA[B] | 21% | 6% | 11% | 6% | 5% | 8% | 6% | 18% | 2%
"Would not vote": 1% Wright: 1% Chang: 0% Prince: 0% Taylor: 0% |
18% |
2 | 26% | 7% | 14% | 7% | 6% | 10% | 7% | 22% | 1%
Wright: 1% Chang: 0% |
– | ||||
3 | 26% | 7% | 14% | 8% | 6% | 10% | 7% | 22% | 1%
Wright: 1% | |||||
4 | 26% | 7% | 14% | 8% | 6% | 10% | 8% | 22% | – | |||||
5 | 26% | 7% | 16% | 8% | – | 11% | 10% | 23% | – | |||||
6 | 27% | – | 17% | 9% | – | 12% | 11% | 25% | – | |||||
7 | 28% | – | 18% | – | – | 14% | 11% | 28% | – | |||||
8 | 31% | – | 21% | – | – | 17% | – | 31% | – | |||||
9 | 37% | – | 26% | – | – | – | – | 37% | – | |||||
10 | 50% | – | – | – | – | – | – | 50% | – | |||||
Change Research (D) | May 6–12, 2021 | 1,422 (LV) | ± 2.6% | BA[B] | 19% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 5% | 9% | 7% | 16% | 2%
"Would not vote": 1% Wright: 1% Chang: 0% Prince: 0% Taylor: 0% |
20% |
2 | 24% | 9% | 8% | 9% | 6% | 11% | 9% | 21% | 1%
Wright: 1% Prince: 0% |
– | ||||
3 | 24% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 7% | 11% | 9% | 21% | 1%
Wright: 1% | |||||
4 | 25% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 7% | 11% | 10% | 21% | – | |||||
5 | 26% | 9% | 9% | 9% | – | 12% | 13% | 22% | – | |||||
6 | 27% | – | 11% | 11% | – | 14% | 13% | 24% | – | |||||
7 | 30% | – | 12% | – | – | 15% | 15% | 28% | – | |||||
8 | 34% | – | – | – | – | 18% | 18% | 31% | – | |||||
9 | 41% | – | – | – | – | 23% | – | 37% | – | |||||
10 | 53% | – | – | – | – | – | – | 47% | – | |||||
Schoen Cooperman Research (D)[O] | May 4–9, 2021 | 1,003 (LV) | ± 3.1% | BA[B] | 17% | 6% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 10% | 10% | 21% | 1% | 17% |
1 | 21% | 7% | 9% | 8% | 5% | 12% | 12% | 26% | – | |||||
2 | 22% | 7% | 10% | 9% | – | 13% | 13% | 26% | ||||||
3 | 23% | – | 10% | 10% | – | 15% | 14% | 28% | ||||||
4 | 25% | – | 12% | – | – | 17% | 16% | 30% | ||||||
5 | 28% | – | – | – | – | 19% | 20% | 33% | ||||||
6 | 36% | – | – | – | – | – | 24% | 40% | ||||||
7 | 47% | – | – | – | – | – | – | 53% | ||||||
Mercury Public Affairs (D)[P] | Apr 26 – May 1, 2021 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | BA[B] | 14% | 6% | 4% | 6% | 3% | 14% | 6% | 21% | – | 26% |
1 | 15% | 8% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 18% | 8% | 35% | – | |||||
2 | 15% | 8% | 5% | 6% | – | 19% | 11% | 36% | ||||||
3 | 15% | 8% | – | 7% | – | 20% | 12% | 36% | ||||||
4 | 17% | 9% | – | – | – | 21% | 13% | 40% | ||||||
5 | 19% | – | – | – | – | 24% | 14% | 43% | ||||||
6 | 23% | – | – | – | – | 28% | – | 48% | ||||||
7 | – | – | – | – | – | 39% | – | 61% | ||||||
Benenson Strategy Group (D)[Q] | Apr 16–21, 2021 | 1,558 (LV) | ± 2.5% | BA[B] | 17% | 7% | 5% | 8% | 7% | 11% | 8% | 22% | 1% | 14% |
1 | 20% | 8% | 6% | 9% | 8% | 12% | 10% | 26% | – | |||||
2 | 21% | 8% | – | 10% | 9% | 14% | 11% | 27% | ||||||
3 | 22% | – | – | 11% | 10% | 16% | 12% | 30% | ||||||
4 | 23% | – | – | 12% | – | 18% | 15% | 32% | ||||||
5 | 27% | – | – | – | – | 20% | 18% | 36% | ||||||
6 | 31% | – | – | – | – | 26% | – | 43% | ||||||
7 | 44% | – | – | – | – | – | – | 56% | ||||||
Ipsos[L] | Apr 1–15, 2021 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 4.7% | BA[B] | 13% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 14% | 8% | 23% | – | 21% |
1 | 17% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 17% | 10% | 29% | – | |||||
2 | 18% | 7% | – | 7% | 8% | 19% | 11% | 30% | ||||||
3 | 18% | – | – | 9% | 8% | 21% | 12% | 32% | ||||||
4 | 20% | – | – | 10% | – | 22% | 15% | 34% | ||||||
5 | 23% | – | – | – | – | 25% | 16% | 36% | ||||||
6 | 27% | – | – | – | – | 30% | – | 43% | ||||||
7 | – | – | – | – | – | 43% | – | 57% | ||||||
Data for Progress (D) | Mar 21 – Apr 5, 2021 | 1,007 (LV) | ± 3.0% | BA[B] | 13% | 7% | 4% | 6% | 3% | 11% | 10% | 26% | 5%
"A different candidate": 4% Menchaca: 1% |
14% |
8 | 41% | – | – | – | – | – | – | 59% | – | |||||
8[R] | – | 27% | – | – | – | – | – | 73% | ||||||
8[S] | – | – | – | – | – | 39% | – | 61% | ||||||
8[T] | – | – | – | – | – | – | 32% | 68% | ||||||
Slingshot Strategies (D)[N] | Mar 12–18, 2021 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.1% | BA[B] | 15% | 4% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 12% | 7% | 25% | 3%
Menchaca: 2% "Other": 1% |
20% |
1 | 18% | 5% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 15% | 9% | 31% | 4%
Menchaca: 3% "Other": 1% |
– | ||||
2 | 18% | 5% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 15% | 9% | 31% | 3%
Menchaca: 3% | |||||
3 | 18% | 6% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 16% | 10% | 32% | – | |||||
4 | 19% | 6% | 10% | 6% | – | 16% | 11% | 32% | – | |||||
5 | 20% | – | 10% | 7% | – | 18% | 11% | 33% | – | |||||
6 | 22% | – | 11% | – | – | 19% | 12% | 35% | – | |||||
7 | 24% | – | – | – | – | 22% | 15% | 39% | – | |||||
8 | 28% | – | – | – | – | 26% | – | 46% | – | |||||
9 | 41% | – | – | – | – | – | – | 59% | – | |||||
Slingshot Strategies (D)[N] | Jan 15–19, 2021 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.1% | BA[B] | 17% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 12% | 8% | 25% | 1%
"Other": 1% Iscol: <1% Menchaca: <1% Sutton: <1% |
32% |
1 | 26% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 18% | 11% | 37% | 2%
Sutton: 1% "Other": 1% Iscol: <1% Menchaca: <1% |
– | ||||
2 | 26% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 19% | 11% | 37% | 1%
Sutton: 1% Iscol: <1% Menchaca: <1% | |||||
3 | 26% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 19% | 11% | 37% | 1%
Sutton: 1% Menchaca: <1% | |||||
4 | 26% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 19% | 11% | 37% | 1%
Sutton: 1% | |||||
5 | 26% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 19% | 12% | 37% | – | |||||
6 | 26% | – | 2% | 2% | 2% | 19% | 12% | 37% | – | |||||
7 | 26% | – | 2% | – | 2% | 20% | 12% | 38% | – | |||||
8 | 27% | – | 3% | – | – | 20% | 12% | 39% | – | |||||
9 | 27% | – | – | – | – | 20% | 13% | 39% | – | |||||
10 | 30% | – | – | – | – | 24% | – | 46% | – | |||||
11 | 39% | – | – | – | – | – | – | 61% | – | |||||
Slingshot Strategies (D) | Nov 30 – Dec 6, 2020 |
1,000 (LV) | ± 3.1% | BA[B] | 11% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 11% | 7% | 17% | 20%
Quinn: 7% Rose: 5% Menchaca: 3% Iscol: 2% Sutton: 2% "Other": 1% |
25% |
1 | 15% | 3% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 15% | 9% | 23% | 25%
Quinn: 10% Rose: 6% Menchaca: 3% Iscol: 2% Sutton: 2% "Other": 2% |
– | ||||
2 | 15% | 3% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 15% | 9% | 23% | 26%
Quinn: 10% Rose: 7% Menchaca: 4% Iscol: 3% Sutton: 2% | |||||
3 | 16% | 3% | 5% | 3% | 3% | 15% | 9% | 23% | 24%
Quinn: 10% Rose: 7% Menchaca: 4% Iscol: 3% | |||||
4 | 16% | 3% | 5% | 3% | – | 15% | 9% | 24% | 24%
Quinn: 10% Rose: 7% Menchaca: 4% Iscol: 3% | |||||
5 | 16% | 3% | 6% | 3% | – | 15% | 9% | 24% | 22%
Quinn: 11% Rose: 7% Menchaca: 4% | |||||
6 | 16% | – | 6% | 4% | – | 16% | 10% | 24% | 24%
Quinn: 11% Rose: 8% Menchaca: 5% | |||||
7 | 17% | – | 6% | – | – | 17% | 10% | 25% | 25%
Quinn: 11% Rose: 9% Menchaca: 5% | |||||
8 | 18% | – | 7% | – | – | 18% | 11% | 26% | 21%
Quinn: 12% Rose: 9% | |||||
9 | 19% | – | – | – | – | 18% | 12% | 27% | 23%
Quinn: 13% Rose: 10% | |||||
10 | 21% | – | – | – | – | 21% | 14% | 29% | 14%
Quinn: 14% | |||||
11 | 26% | – | – | – | – | 24% | – | 33% | 17%
Quinn: 17% | |||||
12 | 30% | – | – | – | – | 29% | – | 41% | – | |||||
13 | 42% | – | – | – | – | – | – | 58% | – |
First-past-the-post polls
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[A] |
Margin of error |
Eric Adams
|
Shaun Donovan
|
Kathryn Garcia
|
Raymond McGuire
|
Dianne Morales
|
Scott Stringer
|
Maya Wiley
|
Andrew Yang
|
Others | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Data for Progress (D) | Jun 18–20, 2021 | 1,354 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 26% | 3% | 18% | 3% | 2% | 5% | 21% | 12% | 2% | 6% |
Citizen Data[D][a] | Jun 14–17, 2021 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 32% | 5% | 18% | 3% | 6% | 6% | 18% | 11% | 2% | – |
Ipsos | Jun 10–17, 2021 | 702 (LV) | ± 5.7% | 27% | 4% | 12% | 5% | 2% | 9% | 12% | 20% | <1% | 7% |
Emerson College[F][a] | Jun 15–16, 2021 | 664 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 23% | 2% | 17% | 3% | 2% | 9% | 18% | 14% | 1%
Chang: 1% Foldenauer: 0% Prince: 0% Taylor: 0% Wright: 0% |
10% |
McLaughlin & Associates (R)[U] | Jun 10–15, 2021 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 21% | 3% | 16% | 2% | 3% | 7% | 17% | 10% | 1% | 21% |
Change Research (D)[G][a] | Jun 11–14, 2021 | 822 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 23% | 4% | 19% | 3% | 1% | 8% | 19% | 12% | 0%
Chang: 0% Foldenauer: 0% Prince: 0% Taylor: 0% Wright: 0% |
10% |
Schoen Cooperman Research (D)[H][a] | Jun 10–13, 2021 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 22% | 6% | 14% | 4% | 4% | 9% | 16% | 18% | 0% | 7% |
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[I][a] | Jun 9–13, 2021 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 21% | 4% | 20% | 2% | 2% | 8% | 18% | 13% | 2%
Chang: 1% Taylor: 1% Prince: <1% Foldenauer: 0% Wright: 0% |
9% |
Data for Progress (D) | Jun 7–13, 2021 | 998 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 26% | 2% | 14% | 4% | 3% | 8% | 20% | 16% | 3% | 4% |
Honan Strategy Group (D)[J] | May 26 – Jun 10, 2021 | 950 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 31% | 9% | 15% | 1% | 1% | 6% | 7% | 21% | – | 9% |
Marist College[K][a] | Jun 3–9, 2021 | 876 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 24% | 3% | 17% | 3% | 3% | 7% | 15% | 13% | 2%
Chang: 1% Prince: 1% Foldenauer: <1% Taylor: <1% Wright: <1% |
13% |
Emerson College[F][a] | Jun 7–8, 2021 | 725 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 23% | 4% | 12% | 3% | 2% | 9% | 17% | 15% | 4%
Taylor: 2% Chang: 1% Prince: 1% Foldenauer: 0% Wright: 0% |
12% |
Slingshot Strategies (D)[N][a] | Jun 1–6, 2021 | 1,191 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 17% | 3% | 14% | 4% | 7% | 12% | 8% | 16% | 7%
Foldenauer: 4% Chang: 1% Prince: 1% Wright: 1% Taylor: 0% "Other": 0% |
12% |
Media Predict[V] | May 27 – Jun 6, 2021 | 501 (RV) | ± 6.0% | 20% | 4% | 15% | 1% | 5% | 8% | 7% | 19% | – | 20% |
Ipsos[L] | May 17–31, 2021 | 906 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 22% | 3% | 15% | 4% | 5% | 10% | 9% | 16% | <1% | 16% |
Emerson College[F][a] | May 23–24, 2021 | 570 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 20% | 5% | 21% | 2% | 7% | 10% | 9% | 16% | 2%
Foldenauer: 1% Prince: 1% Chang: 0% Taylor: 0% Wright: 0% |
9% |
Slingshot Strategies (D)[N][a] | May 17–20, 2021 | 749 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 16% | 4% | 10% | 5% | 7% | 13% | 8% | 19% | 7%
Foldenauer: 4% Chang: 2% Prince: 1% Taylor: 0% Wright: 0% "Other": 0% |
13% |
Core Decision Analytics[W] | May 15–19, 2021 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 18% | 4% | 11% | 4% | 9% | 7% | 9% | 13% | 1% | 26% |
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[I][a] | May 14–17, 2021 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 18% | 4% | 11% | 6% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 19% | 2%
Prince: 1% Wright: 1% Chang: 0% Foldenauer: 0% Taylor: 0% |
14% |
Emerson College[F][a] | May 13–15, 2021 | 631 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 18% | 5% | 8% | 4% | 6% | 15% | 4% | 15% | 3%
Chang: 2% Taylor: 1% Foldenauer: 0% Prince: 0% Wright: 0% |
23% |
Change Research (D)[a] | May 11–12, 2021 | 418 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 21% | 6% | 11% | 6% | 5% | 8% | 6% | 18% | 2%
"Would not vote": 1% Wright: 1% Chang: 0% Prince: 0% Taylor: 0% |
18% |
Change Research (D)[a] | May 6–12, 2021 | 1,422 (LV) | ± 2.6% | 19% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 5% | 9% | 7% | 16% | 2%
"Would not vote": 1% Wright: 1% Chang: 0% Prince: 0% Taylor: 0% |
20% |
Schoen Cooperman Research (D)[O][a] | May 4–9, 2021 | 1,003 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 17% | 6% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 10% | 10% | 21% | 1% | 17% |
Slingshot Strategies (D)[N][a] | Apr 20–27 and May 3–6, 2021 |
1,393 (LV) | ± 2.6% | 11% | 6% | 5% | 10% | 6% | 15% | 7% | 21% | 6%
Foldenauer: 3% Chang: 1% Wright: 1% "Other": 1% Prince: 0% |
13% |
275 (LV) | ± 5.9% | 12% | 10% | 5% | 9% | 4% | –[X] | 8% | 27% | 9%
"Other": 4% Foldenauer: 3% Chang: 1% Prince: 1% Wright: 0% |
15% | ||
Honan Strategy Group (D)[Y] | Apr 24 – May 2, 2021 | 1,100 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 22% | 0% | 1% | 2% | 12% | 13% | 3% | 20% | 1% | 25% |
Mercury Public Affairs (D)[P][a] | Apr 26 – May 1, 2021 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 14% | 6% | 4% | 6% | 3% | 14% | 6% | 21% | – | 26% |
GQR Research (D)[Z] | Apr 27–29, 2021 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 21% | 8% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 15% | 7% | 18% | 1% | 11% |
Slingshot Strategies (D)[N][a] | Apr 20–27, 2021 | 824 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 11% | 6% | 3% | 9% | 5% | 16% | 6% | 24% | 5%
Foldenauer: 3% Chang: 1% "Other": 1% Prince: 0% Wright: 0% |
14% |
Benenson Strategy Group (D)[Q][a] | Apr 16–21, 2021 | 1,558 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 17% | 7% | 5% | 8% | 7% | 11% | 8% | 22% | 1% | 14% |
Ipsos[L] | Apr 1–15, 2021 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 4.7% | 13% | 6% | 4% | 6% | 5% | 11% | 7% | 22% | <1% | 26% |
Data for Progress (D) | Mar 21 – Apr 5, 2021 | 1,007 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 13% | 7% | 4% | 6% | 3% | 11% | 10% | 26% | 5%
"A different candidate": 4% Menchaca: 1% |
14% |
Core Decision Analytics[W] | Mar 15–18, 2021 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 10% | 2% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 5% | 6% | 16% | 1% | 50% |
Slingshot Strategies (D)[N][a] | Mar 12–18, 2021 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 15% | 4% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 12% | 7% | 25% | 3%
Menchaca: 2% "Other": 1% |
20% |
Emerson College[F] | Mar 4–6, 2021 | 644 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 19% | 4% | 5% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 32% | 2%
Chang: 1% Menchaca: 1% Foldenauer: 0% Kavovit: 0% Sutton: 0% Taylor: 0% |
17% |
Media Predict[V] | Feb 12–25, 2021 | 894 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 11% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 3% | 9% | 6% | 27% | 2%
Menchaca: 2% |
34% |
Core Decision Analytics[W] | Jan 20–25, 2021 | 842 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 17% | 8% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 13% | 8% | 28% | 1%
Iscol: 1% |
19% |
Slingshot Strategies (D)[N][a] | Jan 15–19, 2021 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 17% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 12% | 8% | 25% | 1%
"Other": 1% Iscol: <1% Menchaca: <1% Sutton: <1% |
32% |
Public Policy Polling (D)[AA] | Dec 16–17, 2020 | 755 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 16% | – | – | 4% | 5% | 5% | 7% | 17% | 6%
Quinn: 6% |
40% |
Slingshot Strategies (D) | Nov 30 – Dec 6, 2020 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 14% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 11% | 7% | 20% | 17%
Quinn: 7% Rose: 6% Menchaca: 2% Iscol: 1% Sutton: 1% "Other": 0% |
20% |
Data for Progress (D) | Jan 13–19, 2020 | 366 (LV) | ± 5.1% | 9% | – | – | – | 2% | 5% | – | – | 38%
Johnson: 10% Díaz Jr.: 8% Liu: 7% Quinn: 6% Brewer: 2% Mark-Viverto: 2% Taylor: 2% Foldenauer: 1% Sutton: 0% |
46% |
- Notes
Head-to-head polls
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[A] |
Margin of error |
Eric Adams
|
Kathryn Garcia
|
Raymond McGuire
|
Dianne Morales
|
Scott Stringer
|
Maya Wiley
|
Andrew Yang
|
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Slingshot Strategies (D)[N] | Jun 1–6, 2021 | 1,191 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 44% | – | – | – | – | – | 42% | 15% |
– | 41% | – | – | – | – | 45% | 14% | ||||
– | – | – | – | 36% | – | 46% | 18% | ||||
– | – | – | – | – | 32% | 51% | 17% | ||||
Slingshot Strategies (D)[N] | May 17–20, 2021 | 749 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 37% | – | – | – | – | – | 44% | 18% |
– | – | – | – | 36% | – | 44% | 21% | ||||
– | – | – | – | – | 34% | 45% | 21% | ||||
Honan Strategy Group (D)[Y] | Apr 24 – May 2, 2021 | 1,100 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 51% | – | 12% | – | – | – | – | 37% |
44% | – | – | – | 33% | – | – | 24% | ||||
50% | – | – | – | – | 19% | – | 31% | ||||
39% | – | – | – | – | – | 38% | 23% | ||||
30% | – | – | 19% | – | 5% | 22% | 23% | ||||
31% | – | – | – | 20% | 8% | 26% | 16% | ||||
Slingshot Strategies (D)[N] | Apr 20–27, 2021 | 824 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 31% | – | – | – | – | – | 44% | 25% |
– | – | – | – | 33% | – | 47% | 21% | ||||
– | – | – | – | – | 25% | 51% | 24% | ||||
Slingshot Strategies (D)[N] | Mar 12–18, 2021 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 33% | – | – | – | – | – | 47% | 20% |
– | – | – | – | 27% | – | 52% | 21% | ||||
– | – | – | – | – | 20% | 54% | 26% | ||||
Slingshot Strategies (D)[N] | Jan 15–19, 2021 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 27% | – | – | – | – | – | 48% | 25% |
– | – | – | – | 27% | – | 49% | 24% | ||||
– | – | – | – | – | 20% | 50% | 30% |
- Polling key and sponsors
- ^ a b c Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear - ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x Before allocation (including undecided respondents)
- ^ Hypothetical scenario with Wiley eliminated instead of Garcia after round 7
- ^ a b This poll was sponsored by FairVote
- ^ a b c d e Hypothetical scenario based on FairVote's RCV simulations with various permutations of candidates
- ^ a b c d e f g h i This poll was sponsored by WPIX and NewsNation
- ^ a b This poll was sponsored by New Generation of Leadership PAC, which supports Garcia for mayor
- ^ a b This poll was sponsored by Strong Leadership NYC, Inc., which supports Adams for mayor
- ^ a b c d This poll was sponsored by the Manhattan Institute for Policy Research
- ^ a b This poll was sponsored by the NYC-based lobbying group Capalino & Company, which is not working on behalf of any candidates
- ^ a b This poll was sponsored by WNBC, WNJU, and Politico
- ^ a b c d This poll was sponsored by Spectrum News NY1
- ^ Hypothetical scenario with Garcia eliminated instead of Yang after round 6
- ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n This poll was sponsored by Yang's campaign committee
- ^ a b This poll was sponsored by New Yorkers for a Better Future, Inc.
- ^ a b This poll was sponsored by Future Forward NYC, Inc., which supports Yang for mayor
- ^ a b This poll was sponsored by StudentsFirstNY, a pro-charter schools group, which released this poll just before its executive director formed a pro-Adams PAC
- ^ Hypothetical scenario with all candidates eliminated but Donovan and Yang
- ^ Hypothetical scenario with all candidates eliminated but Stringer and Yang
- ^ Hypothetical scenario with all candidates eliminated but Wiley and Yang
- ^ This poll was sponsored by the New York Post, whose editorial board endorsed Adams
- ^ a b This poll was sponsored by Univision 41 Nueva York (WXTV)
- ^ a b c This poll was conducted by Core Decision Analytics, which is working with Garcia's campaign, and was sponsored by the NYC-based lobbying group Fontas Advisors, which is not working on behalf of any candidates
- ^ Hypothetical scenario excluding Stringer
- ^ a b This poll was sponsored by Hotel Workers for Stronger Communities, which supports Adams for mayor
- ^ This poll was sponsored by Corey Johnson's comptroller campaign committee
- ^ This poll was sponsored by Democrats for Education Reform, a pro-charter schools group
Debates
2021 New York City mayoral election Democratic primary debates | |||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
No. | Date & Time | Host | Moderator | Link | Participants | ||||||||||
Key: P Participant A Absent N Non-invitee I Invitee |
|||||||||||||||
Eric Adams | Shaun Donovan | Kathryn Garcia | Raymond McGuire | Carlos Menchaca | Dianne Morales | Scott Stringer | Loree Sutton | Maya Wiley | Andrew Yang | ||||||
1[8] | Democratic Committee |
P | P | P | P | N | A[a] | P | P | P | P |
Republican primary
Candidates
Major declared candidates
The following candidates have held office, have been included in polls, or have been the subject of significant media coverage.
Candidate | Experience | Announced | Ref |
---|---|---|---|
File:Fernando Mateo Headshot.jpg Fernando Mateo |
Advocate and activist Founder of the New York State Federation of Taxi Drivers |
February 4, 2021 | [114][115] |
Curtis Sliwa |
Founder of Guardian Angels Radio talk show host |
March 8, 2020 | [116] |
Other declared candidates
- Adam Oremland, Attorney and social media personality[117]
- Abbey Laurel-Smith, businesswoman[37]
- Bill Pepitone, retired NYPD officer[118]
- Sara Tirschwell, CFO of Foundation House[119]
Publicly expressed interest
- John Catsimatidis, billionaire businessman, Republican political donor, and radio talk show host[120]
Withdrawn
- Cleopatra Fitzgerald (running in Democratic primary)
Potential
- Nicole Gelinas, fellow at the Manhattan Institute[119]
- Andrew Giuliani, son of former Mayor Rudy Giuliani, and former Special Assistant to the President and Associate Director of the Office of Public Liaison for former U.S. President Donald Trump[121]
- Randy Levine, president of the New York Yankees[122]
- Kelly Kennedy Mack, president of Corcoran Sunshine Marketing Group[119]
- Scherie Murray, businessperson, candidate for NY State Assembly in 2015, candidate for NY District 14[123]
- David B. Samadi, urologist[124]
Declined
- Eric Ulrich, NYC Council member[125]
Endorsements
- Organizations
- Political Parties
Libertarian primary
Candidates
- Stacey Prussman, activist and comedian[130]
See also
- 2021 New York City Comptroller election
- 2021 New York City Council election
- 2021 New York City borough president elections
- List of mayors of New York City
Notes
References
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- ^ "Curtis Sliwa accused of boosting mayoral campaign on his radio program". New York Post. February 25, 2021.
- ^ "Manhattan GOP endorses Fernando Mateo for NYC mayor". New York Post. February 26, 2021.
- ^ "Conservative Party endorses Bill Pepitone for NYC Mayor". Shorefront News. February 24, 2021.
- ^ @StaceyPrussman (December 18, 2020). "I'm running for mayor of NYC , my home , the city I ❤️ love 🍎! The site is up and the campaign is active! Donate! Volunteer! We will wake up and open up and thrive !!!" (Tweet). Retrieved February 19, 2021 – via Twitter.