2021 Peruvian general election: Difference between revisions
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'''General elections''' were held in [[Peru]] on 11 April 2021. The presidential election will determine the [[President of Peru|President]] and the [[Vice President of Peru|Vice Presidents]], and the congressional elections will determine the composition of the [[Congress of the Republic of Peru|Congress of Peru]]. All 130 seats of the unicameral Congress were contested. |
'''General elections''' were held in [[Peru]] on 11 April 2021. The presidential election will determine the [[President of Peru|President]] and the [[Vice President of Peru|Vice Presidents]], and the congressional elections will determine the composition of the [[Congress of the Republic of Peru|Congress of Peru]]. All 130 seats of the unicameral Congress were contested. |
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Eighteen candidates participated in the presidential election, the highest number of candidates since the [[2006 Peruvian general election]].<ref>{{Cite news|last=|first=|date=2020-12-23|title=A record 22 candidates to square off in Peru's April presidential election|language=en|work=[[Reuters]]|url=https://www.reuters.com/article/us-peru-election-idUSKBN28X2OP|url-status=live|access-date=2021-02-10}}</ref> [[Pedro Castillo]], a member of the left-wing [[Free Peru]] party, received the most votes in the first round. He will thus contest a run-off against [[Keiko Fujimori]], the leader of the |
Eighteen candidates participated in the presidential election, the highest number of candidates since the [[2006 Peruvian general election]].<ref>{{Cite news|last=|first=|date=2020-12-23|title=A record 22 candidates to square off in Peru's April presidential election|language=en|work=[[Reuters]]|url=https://www.reuters.com/article/us-peru-election-idUSKBN28X2OP|url-status=live|access-date=2021-02-10}}</ref> [[Pedro Castillo]], a member of the left-wing [[Free Peru]] party, received the most votes in the first round. He will thus contest a run-off against [[Keiko Fujimori]], the leader of the far-right [[Popular Force]], who had previously narrowly lost the run-offs of the [[2011 Peruvian general election|2011]] and the [[2016 Peruvian general election|2016]] elections. |
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If Castillo is elected, he would join a series of leaders who have revitalized the "[[pink tide]]" during the late 2010s and the early 2020s.<ref>https://www.ft.com/content/1f462bf1-a4d1-4a7e-a2f3-a43161b25d0b</ref> If Fujimori were to win, she would be Peru's first female president and the second of [[Asian Peruvians|East Asian descent]], after her father, [[Alberto Fujimori]].<ref>{{cite book|author=Ignacio López-Calvo|title=The Affinity of the Eye: Writing Nikkei in Peru|url=https://books.google.com/books?id=mMY4-ffumwUC&pg=PA213|year=2013|publisher=University of Arizona Press|isbn=978-0-8165-9987-5|page=213}}</ref> |
If Castillo is elected, he would join a series of leaders who have revitalized the "[[pink tide]]" during the late 2010s and the early 2020s.<ref>https://www.ft.com/content/1f462bf1-a4d1-4a7e-a2f3-a43161b25d0b</ref> If Fujimori were to win, she would be Peru's first female president and the second of [[Asian Peruvians|East Asian descent]], after her father, [[Alberto Fujimori]].<ref>{{cite book|author=Ignacio López-Calvo|title=The Affinity of the Eye: Writing Nikkei in Peru|url=https://books.google.com/books?id=mMY4-ffumwUC&pg=PA213|year=2013|publisher=University of Arizona Press|isbn=978-0-8165-9987-5|page=213}}</ref> |
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The first round was held on 11 April. The first exit polls published indicated that underdog nominee [[Pedro Castillo]] of [[Free Peru]] had placed first in the first round of voting with approximately 16.1% of the vote, with [[Hernando de Soto (economist)|Hernando de Soto]] and [[Keiko Fujimori]] tying with 11.9% each. [[Yonhy Lescano]], [[Rafael López Aliaga]], [[Verónika Mendoza]], [[George Forsyth (footballer)|George Forsyth]] followed, with each receiving 11%, 10.5%, 8.8%, and 6.4%, respectively. [[César Acuña]] and [[Daniel Urresti]] received 5.8% and 5%, respectively, while the rest of the nominees attained less than 3% of the popular vote.<ref>{{Cite web|url=https://elcomercio.pe/elecciones-2021/flash-electoral-de-elecciones-2021-sigue-en-vivo-los-resultados-ipsos-a-boca-de-urna-de-las-elecciones-generales-de-peru-del-2021-conteo-rapido-ganadores-en-lima-callao-y-departamentos-regiones-del-peru-nuevo-presidente-y-congresistas-resultados-elecciones-2021-pandemia-de-covid-19-presidente-del-peru-congreso-de-la-republica-noticia/|title=Conteo rápido de Ipsos al 100%: Pedro Castillo y Keiko Fujimori disputarían segunda vuelta de Elecciones 2021|website=elcomercio.pe|language=es|access-date=2021-04-12}}</ref><ref>{{Cite web|url=https://diariocorreo.pe/peru/flash-electoral-ipsos-resultados-boca-de-urna-conteo-rapido-elecciones-generales-de-peru-de-2021-ganadores-segunda-vuelta-candidatos-presidenciales-noticia/|title=Flash electoral a boca de urna región por región, según Ipsos|website=diariocorreo.pe|language=es|access-date=2021-04-12}}</ref> Castillo benefited from a metoric rise in opinion polls less than one month prior to the election at the expense of Lescano, de Soto, Mendoza, and López Aliaga. Forsyth, initially a strong favorite to win, saw his numbers plummet in the months leading up to the election after initially being disqualified by the electoral commission, falling from an expected 25% vote share in the first round in February 2021 opinion polls to less than 6% of the vote in the final result. |
The first round was held on 11 April. The first exit polls published indicated that underdog nominee [[Pedro Castillo]] of [[Free Peru]] had placed first in the first round of voting with approximately 16.1% of the vote, with [[Hernando de Soto (economist)|Hernando de Soto]] and [[Keiko Fujimori]] tying with 11.9% each. [[Yonhy Lescano]], [[Rafael López Aliaga]], [[Verónika Mendoza]], [[George Forsyth (footballer)|George Forsyth]] followed, with each receiving 11%, 10.5%, 8.8%, and 6.4%, respectively. [[César Acuña]] and [[Daniel Urresti]] received 5.8% and 5%, respectively, while the rest of the nominees attained less than 3% of the popular vote.<ref>{{Cite web|url=https://elcomercio.pe/elecciones-2021/flash-electoral-de-elecciones-2021-sigue-en-vivo-los-resultados-ipsos-a-boca-de-urna-de-las-elecciones-generales-de-peru-del-2021-conteo-rapido-ganadores-en-lima-callao-y-departamentos-regiones-del-peru-nuevo-presidente-y-congresistas-resultados-elecciones-2021-pandemia-de-covid-19-presidente-del-peru-congreso-de-la-republica-noticia/|title=Conteo rápido de Ipsos al 100%: Pedro Castillo y Keiko Fujimori disputarían segunda vuelta de Elecciones 2021|website=elcomercio.pe|language=es|access-date=2021-04-12}}</ref><ref>{{Cite web|url=https://diariocorreo.pe/peru/flash-electoral-ipsos-resultados-boca-de-urna-conteo-rapido-elecciones-generales-de-peru-de-2021-ganadores-segunda-vuelta-candidatos-presidenciales-noticia/|title=Flash electoral a boca de urna región por región, según Ipsos|website=diariocorreo.pe|language=es|access-date=2021-04-12}}</ref> Castillo benefited from a metoric rise in opinion polls less than one month prior to the election at the expense of Lescano, de Soto, Mendoza, and López Aliaga. Forsyth, initially a strong favorite to win, saw his numbers plummet in the months leading up to the election after initially being disqualified by the electoral commission, falling from an expected 25% vote share in the first round in February 2021 opinion polls to less than 6% of the vote in the final result. |
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The second round is scheduled for 6 June, and is set to be a battle between the fiscally [[Far-left politics|far-left]] and socially conservative (represented by [[Free Peru]]) and the [[ |
The second round is scheduled for 6 June, and is set to be a battle between the fiscally [[Far-left politics|far-left]] and socially conservative (represented by [[Free Peru]]) and the [[far-right]] (represented by [[Popular Force]]).<ref>https://www.reuters.com/world/americas/surprise-development-angry-peruvians-propel-socialist-presidential-race-2021-04-12/</ref> |
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{{Election results |
{{Election results |
Revision as of 20:25, 17 April 2021
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Turnout | 70.21% (1st round)[1] | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Candidate that received the most votes by First round results by department (left) and province (right) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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All 130 seats in the Congress of Peru 66 seats needed for a majority | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
This lists parties that won seats. See the complete results below. |
Peru portal |
General elections were held in Peru on 11 April 2021. The presidential election will determine the President and the Vice Presidents, and the congressional elections will determine the composition of the Congress of Peru. All 130 seats of the unicameral Congress were contested.
Eighteen candidates participated in the presidential election, the highest number of candidates since the 2006 Peruvian general election.[2] Pedro Castillo, a member of the left-wing Free Peru party, received the most votes in the first round. He will thus contest a run-off against Keiko Fujimori, the leader of the far-right Popular Force, who had previously narrowly lost the run-offs of the 2011 and the 2016 elections.
If Castillo is elected, he would join a series of leaders who have revitalized the "pink tide" during the late 2010s and the early 2020s.[3] If Fujimori were to win, she would be Peru's first female president and the second of East Asian descent, after her father, Alberto Fujimori.[4]
Electoral system
Presidential election
The President is elected using the two-round system. The first round voting was held on April 11 and allows eligible voters to vote for any viable presidential candidate. The top two candidates who receive a plurality of the vote proceed to the run-off election, which will take place two months later, in early June. The winner of the run-off election and the presidential election is the candidate who receives a plurality of the popular vote. However, if in the first round the candidate who is in the first place already gets more than 50% of the popular vote, that candidate will automatically win the election and a run-off election will no longer be needed.
Congressional elections
The 130 members of Congress are elected in 27 multi-member constituencies using open list proportional representation.[5] To enter Congress, parties must either cross the 5% electoral threshold at the national level, or win at least seven seats in one constituency. Seats are allocated using the D'Hondt method.[6][7]
Andean parliament
Peru has 5 places in the Andean parliament. They are elected using a common constituency by open-list.
Date
Early election proposal
President Martín Vizcarra initially presented legislation that would set the conditions for a snap election in 2020. If successful, Vizcarra would not be eligible for re-election.[8][9] The 2020 proposed Peruvian general election would be held on 11 April 2020, to elect a new President of the Republic of Peru, along with 130 congressmen of the Congress of Peru. It was eventually decided to be held on 26 January 2020. Opposition lawmakers condemned Vizcarra's proposal, defending the practice of five year terms.[10] This constitutional reform was rejected.[11]
Official election date
The 2021 Peruvian general election were held on 11 April 2021, to elect the president of the Republic of Peru, two vice presidents of the same party, 130 congressmen of the Congress of Peru and 5 Andean parliamentarians for a five-year term from 2021 to 2026.
The President and Vice Presidents of the Republic are elected by direct suffrage and in a single electoral district. In the event that no presidential candidate reaches more than 50% of validly cast votes, a second electoral round will be held.
On April 11, 130 congressmen were elected in 27 electoral districts, corresponding to the 24 departments, the Province of Lima, the Constitutional Province of Callao and residents living abroad. The procedure of the distribution figure with optional double preferential vote was used.
The elected congressmen will be sworn in and assume office no later than 27 July 2021; the constitutional president of the Republic and his elected vice presidents will do so on 28 July 2021.
Presidential nominations
Main presidential nominees
- George Forsyth is a former football player who played as goalkeeper throughout his sports career. The son of diplomat Harold Forsyth, he entered politics as councilman of La Victoria District in 2010, and as the district's mayor from 2019 until his resignation in October 2020 in order to run for the presidency.[12][13] Previously not-affiliated to party politics, he reached an agreement with National Restoration for his presidential run. Upon his registration, the party filed a name-change in order to be reorganized into National Victory for the general election.[14]
- Keiko Fujimori is the leader of the conservative and far-right[15][16][17] Popular Force. The daughter of former president Alberto Fujimori, she still remains a polarizing figure in Peruvian politics since her last presidential run in 2016, but with lower support due to her parliamentary caucus' obstructionist role during the presidencies of Pedro Pablo Kuczynski and Martín Vizcarra.[18] She continues to be viewed unfavorably by a number of people who oppose Fujimori for human rights abuses and corrupt practices, mostly from the left-wing spectrum, and who fear that her victory would mark a return of Fujimorismo. In addition, she has been involved in the Odebrecht scandal, for which she has served in pretrial detention since 2018 with conditional release in 2020.[19] Among her first campaign appearances, she has vowed to pardon her father if winning the presidency in her third run.[20]
- Yonhy Lescano is Popular Action's (AP) nominee. Serving in the Peruvian Congress from 2001 to 2019 representing the constituency of Puno then, Lima, he attained the nomination under a left-wing platform in a competitive primary against the more conservative Alfredo Barnechea.[21] His support is based in the highlands, more punctually in Puno and surrounding rural areas.[22]
- Verónika Mendoza is Together for Peru's (JPP) nominee and leader of the democratic socialist New Peru movement.[23] Since she could not register her own party on time for the election, she sealed a political accord with JPP for her presidential run. Her left-wing platform has remained controversial since her first presidential stint in 2016, in which she placed third and was key in Pedro Pablo Kuczynski's run-off victory by endorsing him in order to prevent Keiko Fujimori to win.[24] She previously served in the Peruvian Congress from 2011 to 2016, representing the constituency of Cuzco. She continues to hold resistance from some voters due to her left-wing policies.[25]
- Rafael López Aliaga is the leader of Popular Renewal.[26] A businessman with no relevant political experience, he gained political traction due to his ultraconservative rhetoric, adding to his self-proclamation as "the Peruvian Bolsonaro" due to his religious views and far-right policies similar to the Brazilian president.[27][28][29] His campaign runs under a fully right wing platform opposed to abortion and same-sex marriage.[30][31] His collaboration with Fujimorists and the Popular Force party of Keiko Fujimori has also been documented.[32]
- Hernando de Soto is Go on Country's nominee.[33] A neoliberal economist specialized in informal economy and on the importance of business and property rights, he was a main advisor for President Alberto Fujimori, assisting him with establishing macroeconomic stability for Peru in the aftermath of the Lost Decade.[34] In addition, he has served as an economic advisor to world-leaders since the foundation of the Institute for Liberty and Democracy (ILD), an economic development think-tank based in Lima. In the public sector, he briefly served as a member of the board of directors of the Central Reserve Bank of Peru, in 1979. In previous elections, he supported Keiko Fujimori's candidacies, serving as one of her advisors.[35][36] His party has been described as a mere electoral vehicle by analysts due to his technical profile.[37]
- Julio Guzmán is the founder and leader of the Purple Party. A former public administrator, he first ran for the presidency in 2016 for All for Peru, but was disqualified due to irregularities in the nomination process.[38][39] His party is currently in government with Francisco Sagasti as President of Peru following the removal of Martín Vizcarra and resignation of Manuel Merino, which has affected negatively his campaign due to the government's management of the COVID-19 pandemic in Peru.[40][41] In addition, a scandal involving him escaping from a fire in an apartment during a lunch with a supposed lover revealed in early 2020 further damaged his public persona.[42]
- Daniel Urresti is a former army general who first attained popularity as Interior Minister in the presidency of Ollanta Humala. Elected to the Peruvian Congress with the highest-vote count in 2020 with Podemos Perú, he attained the party's presidential nomination as the only candidate.[43][44] He previously ran for the presidency for Peruvian Nationalist Party in 2016, although the party withdrew his ticket from the race, and placed second for mayor of Lima at the 2018 municipal election with Podemos Perú.[45] He is currently under investigation for the murder of a journalist during his years in the Peruvian Army, which has proved negative to his campaign, in addition to his wry media exposure from years prior to Congress.[46][47]
- Ollanta Humala is the leader of the Peruvian Nationalist Party and the only former President of Peru running for a second non-consecutive term. A former army lieutenant colonel, he remained unpopular throughout his presidency due to the few advances his government made, in addition to serving a short pre-trial detention from 2017 to 2018 for allegedly receiving bribes from Odebrecht, for which he continues to be under investigation alongside his wife, Nadine Heredia.[48][49]
- Daniel Salaverry is We Are Peru's nominee. An architect from La Libertad, he started a career in politics for mayor of Trujillo with the Peruvian Aprista Party in 2010, and Popular Force in 2014. With the latter, he was elected to the Peruvian Congress in 2016.[50] As a member of the majority caucus, he was elected President of Congress in 2018, but quit the caucus as he supposedly received pressure from the Fujimorist leadership to undermine Martín Vizcarra's presidency.[51] As part of his campaign, Vizcarra remains his main political asset for his presidential run due to the former president's congressional candidacy for the constituency of Lima.[52]
- César Acuña is the founder and leader of Alliance for Progress. An entrepreneur in the field of education, he entered politics in 2000 when elected to the Peruvian Congress, in which he served until 2006. Subsequently, he served as mayor of Trujillo from 2007 to 2014, and as governor of La Libertad in 2015. He initially ran for the presidency in the 2016, but was disqualified for alleged vote buying in a campaign trail.[53] In addition, his popularity has diminished due to his party's recent voting records in Congress, thus contradicting his campaign rhetoric, although at first leading the congressional polling after impressively attaining the second largest number of seats at the 2020 parliamentary election.[54]
- Pedro Castillo is Free Peru's nominee and schoolteacher from Cajamarca.[55] He gained attention in 2017 as he led multiple teacher strikes in five regions against Pedro Pablo Kuczynski's administration.[56] He attained controversy for engaging in virtual campaign meetings with former Shining Path members.[57]
Minor presidential nominees
- Alberto Beingolea is the leader of the centre-right Christian People's Party.[58] He previously served in the Peruvian Congress from 2011 to 2016.[59] Prior to entering politics, he had a successful career as a sports journalist. Most recently, he ran for mayor of Lima in the 2018 municipal election, in which he placed fourth.[60]
- Marco Arana is the leader of the Broad Front, a left-wing informal coalition of parties and unions.[61] A former bishop from Cajamarca, he ran unsuccessfully for the vice presidency in 2016 with Verónika Mendoza as the party's presidential nominee.[62] He served in the Peruvian Congress from 2016 to 2019.
- Rafael Santos is Peru Secure Homeland's nominee.[63] A businessman in the agrarian exportation area, he entered politics when he successfully ran for mayor of Pueblo Libre in 2006. He was reelected in 2010, but failed to attain a third term in 2014. He was previously a member of the Christian People's Party.[64]
- José Vega is the leader of Union for Peru.[65] A congressman for the constituency of Lima, he further radicalized his party following his accord with the imprisoned military revolt leader, Antauro Humala, the brother of former president Ollanta Humala.[66] He previously served a full term in the Peruvian Congress from 2006 to 2011.
- Ciro Gálvez is the leader of the National United Renaissance.[67] A lawyer and notary based in Junín, his platform remains conservative, declaring to be in opposition to LGBT rights. For the election, his ticket includes former pastor and businessman Claudio Zolla as his first running-mate, due to a political accord with the New Peru Liberal Party, a libertarian movement led by Zolla.[68]
- Andrés Alcántara is the leader of Direct Democracy.[69] A left-wing populist, he presides the FONAVI housing pensioners association, for which he campaigned strongly since early 2000s until 2010 for the government's full pension devolution, which was achieved following via referendum. His campaign platform is poised in reforming and eventually replacing the Constitution of Peru.[70] He ran for the vice presidency in the last three general elections.[71]
Withdrawn nominees
Party | Ticket | Withdrawal | |||
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Name | for President | for First Vice President | for Second Vice President | Date | Motive |
Peruvian Aprista Party Partido Aprista Peruano |
Nidia Vílchez Yucra | Iván Hidalgo Romero | Olga Cribilleros Shigihara | 16 January 2021 | Prompted upon the National Jury of Elections' rejection of inscription of parliamentary lists past the deadline.[72] |
Rejected nominees
Party | Ticket | Rejection | |||
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Name | for President | for First Vice President | for Second Vice President | Date | Motive |
Contigo Political Party Partido Político Contigo |
Pedro Angulo Arana | Casimira Mujica | Alexander von Ehren | 22 December 2020 | Did not meet the deadline to register for the election on time.[73] |
Peru Nation Perú Nación |
Francisco Diez Canseco | Nancy Cáceres | Manuel Salazar | 22 December 2020 | Did not meet the deadline to register for the election on time.[74] |
Front of Hope 2021 Frente de la Esperanza 2021 |
Fernando Olivera | Elizabeth León | Carlos Cuaresma | 24 December 2020 | Party did not fulfill requirements for registration in order to participate.[75] |
All for Peru Todos por el Perú |
Fernando Cillóniz | Blanca Wong | Jaime Freundt | 26 December 2020 | Party lacked the legitimacy to participate in the election due to unsolved internal legal disputes.[76] |
Disqualified nominees
Party | Ticket | Rejection | |||
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Name | for President | for First Vice President | for Second Vice President | Date | Motive |
Union for Peru Unión por el Perú |
José Vega | Haydee Andrade | Daniel Barragán | 29 December 2020 | Incomplete information regarding income on the nominees registration form.[77] The decision was ultimately revoked by the National Jury of Elections, thus admitting and registering the ticket on 6 February 2021.[78] |
Alliance for Progress Alianza para el Progreso |
César Acuña | Carmen Omonte | Luis Iberico Núñez | 8 January 2021 | Incomplete information regarding the presidential nominee's income in registration form.[79] Disqualification revoked by the National Jury of Elections on 22 January 2021, following an appeal.[80][81] |
We Can Peru Podemos Peru |
Daniel Urresti | Maria Teresa Cabrera | Wilbert Portugal | 4 February 2021 | Unanswered questions about the internal democracy of the party.[82] Disqualifiation revoked by the National Jury of Elections on 18 February 2021, following an appeal.[83] |
National Victory Victoria Nacional |
George Forsyth | Patricia Arévalo | Jorge Chávez Álvarez | 10 February 2021 | Incomplete information regarding income on the nominees registration form.[84] Disqualification revoked by the National Jury of Elections on 5 March 2021, following an appeal.[85] |
Popular Renewal Renovación Popular |
Rafael López Aliaga | Neldy Mendoza | Jorge Montoya | 25 February 2021 | Nominee's public statement on donating his salary to charity if elected president is presumed as alleged vote buying.[86] Disqualification revoked by the National Jury of Elections on 5 March 2021, following an appeal.[87] |
National United Renaissance Renacimiento Unido Nacional |
Ciro Gálvez | Sonia García | Claudio Zolla | 25 February 2021 | Incomplete information regarding the presidential nominee's income in registration form.[88] Disqualification revoked by the National Jury of Elections on 5 March 2021, following an appeal.[89] |
Campaign
Campaign issues
Corruption
Corruption in Peru has been pervasive and was recently brought to attention during the Odebrecht scandal, which involved Odebrecht paying politicians to receive contracts for public works projects.[90] BBC News wrote in 2019 that "Peru is perhaps where [Odebrecht] has caused the most severe crisis" and that "[t]he scandal has discredited virtually the entire political elite of the country, as all major parties and players have been implicated".[90] The Odebrecht scandal led to several incidents in Peruvian politics; the suicide of former president Alan García,[90] the order for the arrest of former president Alejandro Toledo[91] as well as the first impeachment process against Pedro Pablo Kuczynski and later his resignation from the presidency.[92] Two candidates in the 2021 elections, Keiko Fujimori and Julio Guzmán, were also under investigation regarding alleged bribes from Odebrecht during their earlier electoral campaigns.[93][94]
Kuczynski's successor Martín Vizcarra reacted to the Odebrecht scandal with multiple anti-corruption initiatives,[95] though Vizcarra was controversially removed from office for his own alleged involvement in corruption and was replaced with President of Congress Manuel Merino.[96] Vizcarra's removal was very unfavorable with Peruvians and resulted with the 2020 Peruvian protests.[97] Merino would be president for only five days and would later be replaced by Francisco Sagasti following a vote from congress.[98]
George Forsyth, the initial frontrunner in the campaign, benefitted from his celebrity fame and not being involved with the traditional political parties being investigated for corruption.[93] Forsyth promoted anti-corruption while campaigning and suggested amending the constitution to declare corruption a crime against humanity; however, many of his proposed policies were vague and not detailed.[93] Veronika Mendoza has also embraced policies against corruption, primarily calling a entirely new constitution instead of amendments, stating "Our current national institutional framework, enshrined in the Constitution, establishes that education, health care, and housing are for-profit enterprises, and that life itself is a commodity to be bought and sold. What this means is that political power is concentrated in the hands of those with money, and not with the Peruvian people."[99] Fujimori has stated that she would keep the 1993 constitution of her father Alberto Fujimori in place and use a "heavy hand" if elected president, stating "Democracy cannot be weak. It must be supported by a solid principle of authority."[94][100]
COVID-19 pandemic
Peru was one of the worst-affected nations in the Americas from the COVID-19 pandemic.[101] The crisis became so intense by January 2021 due to a second wave of infections that ICU bed occupancy in Peru rose to 90%, with medical workers beginning to participate in strikes due to their harsh work conditions.[102]
Forsyth criticized the COVID-19 lockdowns of the Peruvian government, saying that they caused economic distress and that the National Emergency Operations Center (COEN) should be activated for a civil-military partnership to combat further infection.[103] Mendoza was also critical of how lockdowns were initiated, saying that the government should provide support for families affected by lockdowns, promoted a partnership with Argentina to acquire the Oxford–AstraZeneca COVID-19 vaccine and denounced the potential commercialization of the COVID-19 vaccine in Peru.[104][105]
On 24 February 2021, following an approach to advise Francisco Sagasti on the COVID-19 pandemic management in Peru, Hernando de Soto announced the first shadow cabinet in Peruvian history. Mainly composed of his campaign technical team, the main purpose of the opposition cabinet is to offer an alternative in order for the government to concur and apply De Soto's proposals during the crisis.[106][107]
Economy
As a result of the COVID-19 pandemic, Peru's gross domestic product fell 30.2 percent in the second quarter of 2020, the largest decline of all major economies, with many small service businesses that represent the majority of businesses of Peru's economy going bankrupt during the crisis.[108] Medical experts commented that the severity of the COVID-19 outbreak in Peru can be explained at least in part due to existing socioeconomic circumstances; nearly one-third of Peruvians lived in overcrowded homes, 72% had informal jobs requiring daily work and many needed to travel daily to markets to purchase food since only 49% of households own refrigerators or freezers; even in urban areas it is only 61%.[109]
Political scientist Dr. Paula Muñoz of the Universidad del Pacífico described Forsyth as "a pro-business guy", while Americas Quarterly wrote "his views on big economic issues are less clear".[110] Forsyth and Fujimori both shared his support for the privatization of public utilities and the deregulation of the economy, with the two saying that government intervention hinders growth.[111][112] Fujimori also stated that she wanted to make "the State the main partner of entrepreneurs".[100] Mendoza in contrast criticized the neoliberal policies instituted in Peru since the 1990s, demanded "the decommodification of goods like health, education, and housing", promoted the government funding of sustainable agricultural and energy projects all while protecting the environment.[99]
Immigration
As a result of the Venezuelan refugee crisis, Peru was home to over one million Venezuelans in February 2021.[113][114] At that time, the Peruvian Armed Forces were deployed in a joint operation with Ecuadorian counterparts to the Ecuador-Peru border to prevent the entry of illegal migrants, with the armed forces stating that it was to prevent further introduction of COVID-19 in Peru.[114] Human rights organizations criticized the militarization of the border, saying that they are not properly trained for border enforcement and that it violates the human rights of migrants.[114] Xenophobia towards Venezuelans in Peru has also increased as some politicians have blamed increased crime on the migrants, though the Brookings Institution and Migration Policy Institute found that Venezuelan participate in less crime in Peru than native Peruvians.[115]
On the immigration topic, Forsyth's responses varied; he stated that "Peru is a generous country that opens its doors to foreigners"[111] while he also supported deploying more authorities to control the border, stating that migrants "have humiliated our National Police" and "We need the principle of authority in the country. ... We need an empowered police to defend all of us Peruvians".[116] Regarding her position on immigration, Mendoza stated "Migration must be considered on humanitarian criteria. Peruvians have also migrated" and that although some controls should be instituted to prevent criminals from entering, overall she promoted migrants as "people who can contribute to the country".[117] Fujimori supported increased border security, promoting the utilization of police and the Peruvian Armed Forces for guarding the border.[100]
Analysis
Due to the internal conflict in Peru involving far-left guerrilla groups attacking Peru's institutions which mainly occurred in the 1980s and 1990s, sentiments towards left-wing political parties have a negative stigma skewed against them.[118] While campaigning occurred during the elections, right-wing politicians would often baselessly characterize left-wing politicians as terrorists, or terrucos in Peruvian Spanish, with the attacks being so common that they were given the term terruqueo.[118] The Americas Quarterly argues that such behavior may result in less support for the leftist candidate Verónika Mendoza and promote political polarization within Peru.[118]
Regarding the first round of presidential elections, Javier Puente, assistant professor of Latin American Studies at Smith College in the North American Congress on Latin America wrote:[119]
With a baffling number of candidates—18 in total—the 2021 presidential ballot included convicted felons, presumed money launderers, xenophobes, a fascist billionaire, an overrated and outdated economist, a retired mediocre footballer, a person accused of murdering a journalist, and other colorful figures. The vast majority of candidates represented the continuation of the neoliberal economic model that has been responsible for decades of meager financial performance and unequal growth
Puente continues saying that only three leftist candidates proposed alternatives to the neoliberal politicians; Veronika Mendoza, Marco Arana and Pedro Castillo, describing Castillo as "far from being a 'comrade' who will champion leftist demands, Castillo is the new face of an anti-system impulse. ... Only in a neoliberal system that outcasts any form of market dissent as radical would a figure like Castillo acquire a role as a leftist".[119]
Opinion polls
Preliminary results
President
The first round was held on 11 April. The first exit polls published indicated that underdog nominee Pedro Castillo of Free Peru had placed first in the first round of voting with approximately 16.1% of the vote, with Hernando de Soto and Keiko Fujimori tying with 11.9% each. Yonhy Lescano, Rafael López Aliaga, Verónika Mendoza, George Forsyth followed, with each receiving 11%, 10.5%, 8.8%, and 6.4%, respectively. César Acuña and Daniel Urresti received 5.8% and 5%, respectively, while the rest of the nominees attained less than 3% of the popular vote.[120][121] Castillo benefited from a metoric rise in opinion polls less than one month prior to the election at the expense of Lescano, de Soto, Mendoza, and López Aliaga. Forsyth, initially a strong favorite to win, saw his numbers plummet in the months leading up to the election after initially being disqualified by the electoral commission, falling from an expected 25% vote share in the first round in February 2021 opinion polls to less than 6% of the vote in the final result.
The second round is scheduled for 6 June, and is set to be a battle between the fiscally far-left and socially conservative (represented by Free Peru) and the far-right (represented by Popular Force).[122]
Candidate | Party | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Pedro Castillo | Free Peru | 2,676,980 | 19.10 | |
Keiko Fujimori | Popular Force | 1,873,756 | 13.37 | |
Rafael López Aliaga | Popular Renewal | 1,640,261 | 11.70 | |
Hernando de Soto | Go on Country - Social Integration Party | 1,625,432 | 11.59 | |
Yonhy Lescano | Popular Action | 1,275,841 | 9.10 | |
Verónika Mendoza | Together for Peru | 1,102,014 | 7.86 | |
César Acuña | Alliance for Progress | 845,810 | 6.03 | |
George Forsyth | National Victory | 789,082 | 5.63 | |
Daniel Urresti | Podemos Perú | 786,847 | 5.61 | |
Julio Guzmán | Purple Party | 315,439 | 2.25 | |
Alberto Beingolea | Christian People's Party | 276,543 | 1.97 | |
Daniel Salaverry | We Are Peru | 233,049 | 1.66 | |
Ollanta Humala | Peruvian Nationalist Party | 224,429 | 1.60 | |
José Vega | Union for Peru | 98,879 | 0.71 | |
Ciro Gálvez | National United Renaissance | 87,391 | 0.62 | |
Marco Arana | Broad Front | 63,603 | 0.45 | |
Rafael Santos | Peru Secure Homeland | 53,882 | 0.38 | |
Andrés Alcántara | Direct Democracy | 49,481 | 0.35 | |
Total | 14,018,719 | 100.00 | ||
Valid votes | 14,018,719 | 82.10 | ||
Invalid/blank votes | 3,056,150 | 17.90 | ||
Total votes | 17,074,869 | 100.00 | ||
Registered voters/turnout | 24,142,474 | 70.73 | ||
Source: ONPE |
Department | Pedro Castillo/Free Peru - Vote Totals | Pedro Castillo/Free Peru - Vote % | Keiko Fujimori/Popular Force - Vote Totals | Keiko Fujimori/Popular Force - Vote % | Rafael López Aliaga/Popular Renewal - Vote Totals | Rafael López Aliaga/Popular Renewal - Vote % | Hernando de Soto / Go on Country - Vote Totals | Hernando de Soto / Go on Country - Vote % | Yonhy Lescano / Popular Action - Vote Totals | Yonhy Lescano / Popular Action - Vote % | Verónika Mendoza / Together for Peru - Vote Totals | Verónika Mendoza / Together for Peru - Vote % | Other Candidates - Vote Totals | Other Candidates - Vote % | Total Valid Votes | Voter Turnout Rate |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Amazonas | 33,411 | 26.0% | 17,342 | 13.5% | 8,003 | 6.2% | 4,321 | 3.4% | 12,333 | 9.6% | 8,669 | 6.8% | 44,187 | 34.4% | 128,266 | 60.0% |
Ancash | 109,263 | 23.5% | 66,486 | 14.3% | 41,596 | 8.9% | 34,069 | 7.3% | 38,401 | 8.3% | 39,346 | 8.5% | 136,093 | 29.3% | 465,254 | 69.2% |
Apurímac | 88,417 | 53.4% | 10,853 | 6.6% | 7,755 | 4.7% | 6,510 | 3.9% | 15,587 | 9.4% | 15,316 | 9.3% | 21,112 | 12.8% | 165,550 | 69.4% |
Arequipa | 254,528 | 32.2% | 39,903 | 5.0% | 70,654 | 8.9% | 148,060 | 18.7% | 88,066 | 11.1% | 54,923 | 6.9% | 134,632 | 17.0% | 790,766 | 78.8% |
Ayacucho | 129,066 | 51.9% | 17,633 | 7.1% | 11,418 | 4.6% | 8,919 | 3.6% | 20,140 | 8.1% | 24,303 | 9.8% | 36,968 | 14.9% | 248,447 | 68.6% |
Cajamarca | 226,645 | 44.7% | 53,924 | 10.6% | 30,660 | 6.0% | 24,767 | 4.9% | 38,085 | 7.5% | 29,329 | 5.8% | 103,541 | 20.4% | 506,951 | 62.7% |
Callao | 31,954 | 6.4% | 75,349 | 15.1% | 73,957 | 14.9% | 75,118 | 15.1% | 33,065 | 6.6% | 36,167 | 7.3% | 171,836 | 34.5% | 497,446 | 75.3% |
Cusco | 228,767 | 38.2% | 26,593 | 4.4% | 29,140 | 4.9% | 39,603 | 6.6% | 59,739 | 10.0% | 121,442 | 20.3% | 92,990 | 15.5% | 598,274 | 73.5% |
Huancavelica | 78,634 | 54.2% | 8,333 | 5.7% | 5,006 | 3.4% | 4,527 | 3.1% | 16,475 | 11.3% | 9,956 | 6.9% | 22,232 | 15.3% | 145,163 | 67.6% |
Huánuco | 109,815 | 37.6% | 32,445 | 11.1% | 33,494 | 11.5% | 15,711 | 5.4% | 22,259 | 7.6% | 15,329 | 5.3% | 62,909 | 21.5% | 291,962 | 68.3% |
Ica | 54,339 | 14.0% | 59,292 | 15.3% | 43,909 | 11.3% | 38,355 | 9.9% | 37,582 | 9.7% | 29,234 | 7.5% | 125,128 | 32.3% | 387,839 | 76.0% |
Junín | 129,603 | 22.9% | 78,900 | 13.9% | 51,940 | 9.2% | 53,498 | 9.4% | 65,316 | 11.5% | 51,506 | 9.1% | 135,562 | 23.9% | 566,325 | 71.9% |
La Libertad | 88,077 | 11.5% | 128,000 | 16.7% | 93,670 | 12.3% | 82,830 | 10.8% | 46,208 | 6.0% | 36,565 | 4.8% | 289,124 | 37.8% | 764,474 | 68.8% |
Lambayeque | 72,009 | 13.0% | 118,726 | 21.4% | 84,417 | 15.2% | 49,017 | 8.8% | 50,409 | 9.1% | 28,262 | 5.1% | 152,296 | 27.4% | 555,136 | 71.4% |
Lima | 401,824 | 7.9% | 725,256 | 14.2% | 834,798 | 16.4% | 834,613 | 16.4% | 348,564 | 6.8% | 414,419 | 8.1% | 1,540,923 | 30.2% | 5,100,397 | 74.6% |
Loreto | 14,980 | 5.0% | 49,871 | 16.6% | 15,740 | 5.2% | 18,072 | 6.0% | 33,347 | 11.1% | 18,775 | 6.3% | 149,063 | 49.7% | 299,848 | 61.0% |
Madre de Dios | 23,493 | 37.1% | 7,135 | 11.3% | 3,969 | 6.3% | 3,926 | 6.2% | 6,474 | 10.2% | 4,290 | 6.8% | 14,092 | 22.2% | 63,379 | 71.1% |
Moquegua | 33,096 | 34.6% | 4,523 | 4.7% | 6,640 | 6.9% | 9,896 | 10.3% | 15,042 | 15.7% | 7,053 | 7.4% | 19,496 | 20.4% | 95,746 | 77.2% |
Pasco | 33,889 | 34.4% | 12,243 | 12.4% | 7,822 | 7.9% | 5,024 | 5.1% | 11,770 | 11.9% | 6,844 | 6.9% | 20,982 | 21.3% | 98,574 | 63.7% |
Piura | 67,599 | 10.1% | 166,978 | 24.9% | 65,534 | 9.8% | 61,314 | 9.1% | 49,123 | 7.3% | 42,732 | 6.4% | 218,418 | 32.5% | 671,698 | 66.7% |
Puno | 289,425 | 47.5% | 17,354 | 2.8% | 15,750 | 2.6% | 21,430 | 3.5% | 173,984 | 28.5% | 35,180 | 5.8% | 56,414 | 9.3% | 609,537 | 81.9% |
San Martin | 64,844 | 21.4% | 45,249 | 14.9% | 25,798 | 8.5% | 21,160 | 7.0% | 30,498 | 10.1% | 16,506 | 5.4% | 99,376 | 32.8% | 303,431 | 69.2% |
Tacna | 64,521 | 33.2% | 9,363 | 4.8% | 17,842 | 9.2% | 21,000 | 10.8% | 28,696 | 14.8% | 14,068 | 7.2% | 38,779 | 20.0% | 194,269 | 77.8% |
Tumbes | 7,521 | 7.7% | 36,199 | 37.1% | 8,741 | 9.0% | 7,047 | 7.2% | 6,971 | 7.2% | 5,199 | 5.3% | 25,783 | 26.5% | 97,461 | 74.5% |
Ucayali | 25,271 | 13.9% | 38,907 | 21.5% | 14,474 | 8.0% | 10,812 | 6.0% | 13,830 | 7.6% | 14,520 | 8.0% | 63,491 | 35.0% | 181,305 | 66.1% |
Total (Domestic) | 2,660,991 | 19.2% | 1,846,857 | 13.4% | 1,602,727 | 11.6% | 1,599,599 | 11.6% | 1,261,964 | 9.1% | 1,079,933 | 7.8% | 3,775,427 | 27.3% | 13,827,498 | 72.0% |
Congress
Party | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|
Free Peru | 1,511,360 | 14.05 | |
Popular Force | 1,196,523 | 11.12 | |
Popular Action | 991,927 | 9.22 | |
Popular Renewal | 977,288 | 9.08 | |
Alliance for Progress | 818,452 | 7.61 | |
Go on Country - Social Integration Party | 797,624 | 7.41 | |
Together for Peru | 713,319 | 6.63 | |
We Are Peru | 650,174 | 6.04 | |
Podemos Perú | 619,271 | 5.76 | |
Purple Party | 569,992 | 5.30 | |
National Victory | 528,210 | 4.91 | |
Agricultural People's Front of Peru | 498,428 | 4.63 | |
Union for Peru | 226,644 | 2.11 | |
Christian People's Party | 169,867 | 1.58 | |
Peruvian Nationalist Party | 162,489 | 1.51 | |
Broad Front | 115,280 | 1.07 | |
Direct Democracy | 84,114 | 0.78 | |
National United Renaissance | 81,432 | 0.76 | |
Peru Secure Homeland | 43,384 | 0.40 | |
Contigo | 3,665 | 0.03 | |
Total | 10,759,443 | 100.00 | |
Valid votes | 10,759,443 | 75.70 | |
Invalid/blank votes | 3,453,672 | 24.30 | |
Total votes | 14,213,115 | 100.00 | |
Registered voters/turnout | 24,142,474 | 58.87 | |
Source: ONPE (80.21% counted) |
Andean Parliament
Party | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|
Free Peru | 1,553,082 | 16.72 | |
Popular Force | 1,085,891 | 11.69 | |
Popular Renewal | 946,326 | 10.18 | |
Popular Action | 857,712 | 9.23 | |
Go on Country - Social Integration Party | 802,588 | 8.64 | |
Podemos Perú | 655,353 | 7.05 | |
Together for Peru | 649,644 | 6.99 | |
Alliance for Progress | 626,569 | 6.74 | |
Agricultural People's Front of Peru | 595,740 | 6.41 | |
Purple Party | 505,842 | 5.44 | |
We Are Peru | 390,283 | 4.20 | |
Christian People's Party | 179,624 | 1.93 | |
Peruvian Nationalist Party | 155,758 | 1.68 | |
Broad Front | 113,211 | 1.22 | |
National United Renaissance | 90,190 | 0.97 | |
Direct Democracy | 83,689 | 0.90 | |
Total | 9,291,502 | 100.00 | |
Valid votes | 9,291,502 | 62.06 | |
Invalid/blank votes | 5,679,308 | 37.94 | |
Total votes | 14,970,810 | 100.00 | |
Registered voters/turnout | 24,142,474 | 62.01 | |
Source: ONPE (84.36% counted) |
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