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==Curse of the rainbow jersey==
==Curse of the rainbow jersey==
Similar to the ''[[Sports Illustrated]]'' [[Sports Illustrated cover jinx|cover jinx]], the '''curse of the rainbow jersey''' is a popular term to refer to the phenomenon where cyclists who have become [[World Cycling Championship|World Champion]] often suffer from poor luck the next year – though, in some cases, the 'bad luck' was brought on by their own actions.
The '''curse of the rainbow jersey''' is a popular term to refer to the phenomenon where cyclists who have become [[World Cycling Championship|World Champion]] often suffer from poor luck the next year – though, in some cases, the 'bad luck' was brought on by their own actions.

[[Tom Simpson]] of the United Kingdom won the world title in 1965. During the following winter (Jan/Feb 1966) he broke his leg skiing thus missing out on his most lucrative benefits from wearing the rainbow jersey.

Other notable 'victims' of the curse include the 1970 world champion [[Jean-Pierre Monseré]] who died wearing the rainbow jersey in March 1971.

The 1981 winner, [[Freddy Maertens]] of Belgium, also won the Green Jersey in the 1981 Tour De France, but in 1982 won no races, and only won a further two races in his professional cycling career.

The 1987 winner, Irishman [[Stephen Roche]], who had won the [[Tour de France]] and [[Giro d'Italia]] in the same season, had a disastrous following year, missing nearly the entire season with a knee injury.

The 1990 winner, [[Rudy Dhaenens]] of Belgium, had no results in 1991, and was forced to retire shortly after with heart problems. He was killed in a car accident six years later at the age of 36.

The 1994 winner, [[Luc Leblanc]] of France had an injury plagued following season with very poor results, winning only one small race, before bouncing back in 1996.

The 1997 winner, [[Laurent Brochard]], became entangled in the infamous Festina [[doping (sport)|doping]] scandal a year later.

The 2003 winner, Spaniard [[Igor Astarloa]], switched to the French team [[Cofidis (cycling team)|Cofidis]] for the 2004 season which almost immediately suspended itself from racing due to doping allegations against several members of the team. In response to this, Astarloa switched first to the Lampre team, and then the Barloworld team. He has had a very quiet career since his 2003 victory.

The 2004 World Road Champion [[Óscar Freire]] was in good form throughout the spring, but developed a [[Saddle sores|saddle sore]] mid-season that ended his hopes for a second consecutive title on home turf in Spain. However, this curse is considered to be minimal since Freire had been world champion twice before this and was not stricken by the curse before the 2004 season when he was world champion for the third time.

In August 2004 British professional cyclist [[David Millar]] was suspended for two years by [[British Cycling]], stripped of his 2003 World Time Trial Championship jersey, and given a fine, after confessing to the use of [[erythropoietin|EPO]] in 2001 and 2003.

On 24 September 2006, Italian [[Paolo Bettini]] won the rainbow jersey in the World Road Race Championship in Salzburg, Austria.<ref>{{cite web|url=http://autobus.cyclingnews.com/road/2006/worlds06/?id=results/worlds066|title=www.cyclingnews.com presents the 2006 UCI Road World Championships, Salzburg, Austria}}</ref> Eight days later on 2 October his older brother Sauro died when his car struck an obstacle and overturned into a ditch.<ref>{{cite web|url=http://autobus.cyclingnews.com/news.php?id=news/2006/oct06/oct03news2|title=www.cyclingnews.com - the world centre of cycling}}</ref> He also had a few accidents in the beginning of 2007 season ([[2007 Tirreno–Adriatico|Tirreno–Adriatico]]) and technical problems (in [[E3 Prijs Vlaanderen – Harelbeke|E3 Prijs Vlaanderen]] his chain snapped<ref>{{cite web|url=http://autobus.cyclingnews.com/road/2007/mar07/E3prijs07/?id=results|title=www.cyclingnews.com presents the 50th E3 Prijs Vlaanderen}}</ref>). Bettini would manage to defend his world championship title in 2007, though.

On 26 November 2006, while wearing the rainbow jersey of World [[Madison (cycling)|Madison]] Champion, [[Isaac Gálvez]] died during the [[Six Days of Ghent]], following a horrific crash into the upper barrier surrounding the indoor track.<ref>{{cite web|url=http://autobus.cyclingnews.com/news.php?id=news/2006/nov06/nov27news2|title=www.cyclingnews.com - the world centre of cycling}}</ref>

The 2008 World Road Champion [[Alessandro Ballan]] was diagnosed with [[Cytomegalovirus]] near the beginning of the 2009 season, and as a consequence missed the spring's classics and the [[Giro d'Italia]], his home tour. As a result, he was in poor form for that year's Tour de France, and only made a proper appearance once, on stage 19 when he unsuccessfully broke away near the end of the stage.

2012 World Road Champion [[Philippe Gilbert]] had a poor season wearing the jersey. He won only [[2013 Vuelta a España, Stage 12 to Stage 21#Stage 12|one stage]] in the stripes.

2013 World Road Champion [[Rui Costa (cyclist)|Rui Costa]] was diagnosed with [[Bronchitis]] during [[2014 Tour de France]] and had to rest for most of the August.


In 2015 an article by [[epidemiologist]] Thomas Perneger examining the curse was published in ''[[The BMJ]]''. The study was based on statistical analysis of the results of World Road Champions and winners of the [[Giro di Lombardia]] (which was used as a comparison) in the riders' winning seasons and for the two years afterwards (to enable comparison of results before, during and after the supposed curse was in effect). The patterns of data were compared to four statistical models - the "spotlight effect", based on the theory that the apparent curse is due to increased public attention on the World Champion rather than a decline in success, the "marked man" hypothesis which stipulates that the current wearer of the jersey is more closely marked by rivals during their year as champion, the "[[regression to the mean]]" model which supposes that random variation in success rates will mean that a highly successful season for a rider is likely to be followed by less successful years, and a model combining the last two theories. The study found that the regression to the mean model was the one that fit the data best, for winners of both the World Championship and Il Lombardia, concluding that the curse probably does not exist. The author related the idea of the curse to medical professionals [[Correlation does not imply causation|conflating correlation with causation]] when considering the effect of treatment on a patient.<ref>{{cite journal |last=Perneger |first=Thomas |date=14 December 2015 |title=Debunking the curse of the rainbow jersey: historical cohort study |url= |journal=[[The BMJ]] |volume=351 |issue=h6304 |pages=h6304 |doi=10.1136/bmj.h6304 |pmid=26668173 |pmc=4986283 }}</ref>
In 2015 an article by [[epidemiologist]] Thomas Perneger examining the curse was published in ''[[The BMJ]]''. The study was based on statistical analysis of the results of World Road Champions and winners of the [[Giro di Lombardia]] (which was used as a comparison) in the riders' winning seasons and for the two years afterwards (to enable comparison of results before, during and after the supposed curse was in effect). The patterns of data were compared to four statistical models - the "spotlight effect", based on the theory that the apparent curse is due to increased public attention on the World Champion rather than a decline in success, the "marked man" hypothesis which stipulates that the current wearer of the jersey is more closely marked by rivals during their year as champion, the "[[regression to the mean]]" model which supposes that random variation in success rates will mean that a highly successful season for a rider is likely to be followed by less successful years, and a model combining the last two theories. The study found that the regression to the mean model was the one that fit the data best, for winners of both the World Championship and Il Lombardia, concluding that the curse probably does not exist. The author related the idea of the curse to medical professionals [[Correlation does not imply causation|conflating correlation with causation]] when considering the effect of treatment on a patient.<ref>{{cite journal |last=Perneger |first=Thomas |date=14 December 2015 |title=Debunking the curse of the rainbow jersey: historical cohort study |url= |journal=[[The BMJ]] |volume=351 |issue=h6304 |pages=h6304 |doi=10.1136/bmj.h6304 |pmid=26668173 |pmc=4986283 }}</ref>

In 2017 the curse continued with Peter Sagan - he was disqualified from the Tour after a collision with British sprinter Mark Cavendish, thereby losing out on a chance to tie [[Erik Zabel|Erik Zabel's]] record of six consecutive green jersey victories in what was an otherwise successful season (detailed below).

===Exceptions to the curse===
[[Eddy Merckx]], [[Bernard Hinault]] and [[Greg LeMond]] each won the Tour de France wearing the rainbow jersey.

2010 world champion [[Thor Hushovd]] won two stages of the 2011 Tour de France. His first stage win in the race, stage 13, is considered to be his best win of his career as it was a tough mountain stage and Hushovd originally is a sprinter. He also wore the yellow leaders jersey for 7 straight days.

2011 world champion [[Mark Cavendish]] won 13 stages, the [[2012 Kuurne–Brussels–Kuurne|Kuurne–Brussels–Kuurne]] and the GC at the [[2012 Ster ZLM Toer|Ster ZLM Toer]].

Belgian [[Tom Boonen]] won the world road race in 2005 then rode the jersey to victory in 12 individual stages, the [[Tour of Flanders]] and the overall at the [[Tour of Qatar]].

2015 world champion [[Peter Sagan]] won 9 stages, the [[2016 European Road Championships|European Championship road race]], three [[2016 UCI World Tour|WorldTour]] classics (including the [[2016 Tour of Flanders|Tour of Flanders]]) and his fifth [[Points classification in the Tour de France|Tour points classification]] in succession, then went on to [[2016 UCI Road World Championships – Men's road race|successfully defend his world title]]. The following season, he won 9 stages, [[2017 Kuurne–Brussels–Kuurne|Kuurne–Brussels–Kuurne]], [[2017 Grand Prix Cycliste de Québec|Grand Prix Cycliste de Québec]] and an unprecedented [[2017 UCI Road World Championships – Men's road race|third consecutive world title]].


==Designs==
==Designs==

Revision as of 11:55, 27 September 2021

The 2012 world road race champion Philippe Gilbert wearing the rainbow jersey.
The 2013 world time trial champion Ellen van Dijk wearing the time trial rainbow jersey
Katrin Schultheis wearing the rainbow jersey for artistic cycling
Stefan Nimke, 2012 men's 1 km time trial world champion wearing the track rainbow jersey

The rainbow jersey is the distinctive jersey worn by the reigning world champion in a cycling discipline, since 1927. The jersey is predominantly white with five horizontal bands in the UCI colours around the chest. From the bottom up the colours are: green, yellow, black, red and blue; the same colours that appear in the rings on the Olympic flag. The tradition is applied to all disciplines, including road racing, track racing, cyclo-cross, BMX, Trials and the disciplines within mountain biking. The jersey is produced by Santini SMS since 1994.[1]

A world champion must wear the jersey when competing in the same discipline, category and speciality for which the title was won. For example, the world road race champion would wear the garment while competing in stage races (except for time trial stages) and one-day races, but would not be entitled to wear it during time trials. Similarly, on the track, the world individual pursuit champion would only wear the jersey when competing in other individual pursuit events.[2] In team events, such as the team pursuit, each member of the team must wear the rainbow jersey, but – again – would not wear it while racing in, say, points races or other track disciplines.

The rainbow jersey helps make a world champion easier to spot for spectators, but it also has the effect of making the title-holder more visible to other competitors, particularly in road racing situations. This can be a disadvantage as it makes it more difficult for the world champion to launch an attack, while other riders will quickly seek to take advantage if they notice the rainbow jersey crashes or suffers a mechanical or other problem. There is also reduced space for sponsors' logos on the world champion's jerseys; however, the increased media coverage of a reigning world champion is thought to offset the effects of the smaller logo space.

Failure to wear the rainbow jersey where required carries a penalty of 2500 to 5000 Swiss francs.[3]

After the end of a rider's championship year, they are eligible to wear piping in the same rainbow pattern on the collar and cuffs of their jersey. They retain this right for the remainder of their career.

If the holder of a rainbow jersey becomes leader of a multi-stage race (such as the Tour de France) then the leader's jersey (Yellow jersey) for that race takes precedence. Similarly, the leader's jerseys for UCI World Cup series also take precedence over the rainbow jersey, although, in 2006, Road Race World Champion Tom Boonen at one point was the leader of the Road Racing World Cup, and he, as well as his sponsor and the organizers of the race he was competing in at that time (Gent–Wevelgem) wanted him to continue wearing the rainbow jersey. A compromise was reached and Boonen wore a jersey which was a combination of the Rainbow jersey and the UCI World Cup jersey.[4]

Reigning world champions

The reigning world champions (elite only) are as follows:

Discipline Event World Champion Men World Champion Women Next Championships
Road Road race  Julian Alaphilippe (FRA)  Elisa Balsamo (ITA) September 2022
Time trial  Filippo Ganna (ITA)  Ellen van Dijk (NED)
Mixed relay  Germany
Lisa Brennauer
Lisa Klein
Mieke Kröger
Nikias Arndt
Tony Martin
Max Walscheid
Track Sprint  Harrie Lavreysen (NED)  Emma Hinze (GER) October 2021
Team sprint  Netherlands
Roy van den Berg
Harrie Lavreysen
Jeffrey Hoogland
Matthijs Büchli
 Germany
Pauline Grabosch
Emma Hinze
Lea Friedrich
Time trial  Sam Ligtlee (NED)  Lea Friedrich (GER)
Keirin  Harrie Lavreysen (NED)  Emma Hinze (GER)
Individual pursuit  Filippo Ganna (ITA)  Chloé Dygert (USA)
Team pursuit  Denmark
Lasse Norman Hansen
Julius Johansen
Frederik Rodenberg
Rasmus Pedersen
 United States
Jennifer Valente
Chloé Dygert
Emma White
Lily Williams
Scratch race  Yauheni Karaliok (BLR)  Kirsten Wild (NED)
Points race  Corbin Strong (NZL)  Elinor Barker (GBR)
Madison  Denmark
Lasse Norman Hansen
Michael Mørkøv
 Netherlands
Kirsten Wild
Amy Pieters
Omnium  Benjamin Thomas (FRA)  Yumi Kajihara (JPN)
Cyclo-cross Elite  Mathieu van der Poel (NED)  Lucinda Brand (NED) January 2022
Mountain bike Cross-country Olympic  Nino Schurter (SUI)  Evie Richards (GBR) August 2022
Cross-country short track  Christopher Blevins (USA)  Sina Frei (SUI)
E-MTB Cross-country  Jérôme Gilloux (FRA)  Nicole Göldi (SUI)
Cross-country relay  France
Mathis Azzaro
Adrien Boichis
Lena Gerault
Tatiana Tournut
Line Burquier
Jordan Sarrou
Downhill  Greg Minnaar (RSA)  Myriam Nicole (FRA)
Four-cross  Tomáš Slavík (CZE)  Michaela Hájková (CZE) TBD
Marathon  Héctor Leonardo Páez (COL)  Ramona Forchini (SUI) October 2021
BMX racing Elite  Niek Kimmann (NED)  Bethany Shriever (GBR) July 2022
Urban BMX freestyle park  Logan Martin (AUS)  Hannah Roberts (USA) TBD
BMX freestyle flatland  Matthias Dandois (FRA)  Irina Sadovnik (AUT)
Cross-country eliminator  Simon Gegenheimer (GER)  Gaia Tormena (ITA) 2022
20 inch trials  Borja Conejos (ESP) Not applicable TBD
26 inch trials  Jack Carthy (GBR)
Open trials Not applicable  Vera Barón (ESP)
Artistic Single  Lukas Kohl (GER)  Milena Slupina (GER) October 2021
Open four   Switzerland
Elena Fischer
Saskia Grob
Stefanie Moos
Vanessa Hotz
Pairs Not applicable  Germany
Lena Bringsken
Lisa Bringsken
Mixed pairs  Germany
Serafin Schefold
Max Hanselmann
Cycle ball  Germany
Markus Bröll
Patrick Schnetzer
Not applicable
Rainbow Jersey of Jean-Pierre Monseré won in 1970, Leicester (collection KOERS. Museum of Cycle Racing)

Curse of the rainbow jersey

The curse of the rainbow jersey is a popular term to refer to the phenomenon where cyclists who have become World Champion often suffer from poor luck the next year – though, in some cases, the 'bad luck' was brought on by their own actions.

In 2015 an article by epidemiologist Thomas Perneger examining the curse was published in The BMJ. The study was based on statistical analysis of the results of World Road Champions and winners of the Giro di Lombardia (which was used as a comparison) in the riders' winning seasons and for the two years afterwards (to enable comparison of results before, during and after the supposed curse was in effect). The patterns of data were compared to four statistical models - the "spotlight effect", based on the theory that the apparent curse is due to increased public attention on the World Champion rather than a decline in success, the "marked man" hypothesis which stipulates that the current wearer of the jersey is more closely marked by rivals during their year as champion, the "regression to the mean" model which supposes that random variation in success rates will mean that a highly successful season for a rider is likely to be followed by less successful years, and a model combining the last two theories. The study found that the regression to the mean model was the one that fit the data best, for winners of both the World Championship and Il Lombardia, concluding that the curse probably does not exist. The author related the idea of the curse to medical professionals conflating correlation with causation when considering the effect of treatment on a patient.[5]

Designs

In the past, each discipline had its own variation of the jersey.[6] Since the 2016 Cyclo-cross Worlds, the 'classic' jersey without symbols (previously reserved for the road race and paracycling road race) was assigned to all disciplines.[7]

Other sports

Rainbow jersey colors have been used unofficially by triathlon, speed skating and Crashed Ice world champions.

See also

Notes and references

  1. ^ "UCI renews partnership contract with Santini" Press release UCI, 13 September 2013
  2. ^ UCI regulation 1.3.063
  3. ^ UCI regulation 1.3.072
  4. ^ "Union Cycliste Internationale".
  5. ^ Perneger, Thomas (14 December 2015). "Debunking the curse of the rainbow jersey: historical cohort study". The BMJ. 351 (h6304): h6304. doi:10.1136/bmj.h6304. PMC 4986283. PMID 26668173.
  6. ^ UCI regulation 1.3.062
  7. ^ "UCI on Twitter".