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[[Keir Starmer]], the British opposition and [[Labour Party (UK)|Labour Party]] leader, congratulated Costa on Twitter for "a victory for seriousness in government, shared prosperity and social justice."<ref>{{Cite web|title=Keir Starmer|url=https://twitter.com/keir_starmer/status/1488069873641086976|access-date=2022-01-31|website=Twitter|language=en}}</ref>
[[Keir Starmer]], the British opposition and [[Labour Party (UK)|Labour Party]] leader, congratulated Costa on Twitter for "a victory for seriousness in government, shared prosperity and social justice."<ref>{{Cite web|title=Keir Starmer|url=https://twitter.com/keir_starmer/status/1488069873641086976|access-date=2022-01-31|website=Twitter|language=en}}</ref>

[[Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva|Lula da Silva]], 35th president of Brazil and presidential pre-candidate in [[2022 Brazilian general election]], congratulated the Portuguese Socialist Party and Prime-Minister António Costa for "their great electoral victory in Portugal", and wishing "good luck."<ref>{{Cite web|title=https://twitter.com/lulaoficial/status/1488135990388666368|url=https://twitter.com/lulaoficial/status/1488135990388666368|access-date=2022-02-01|website=Twitter|language=en}}</ref>


==See also==
==See also==

Revision as of 01:39, 1 February 2022

2022 Portuguese legislative election
← 2019 30 January 2022 Next →
230 seats in the Assembly of the Republic
116 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
Reporting
99.13%
as of 01:07, 31 January 2022
  First party Second party Third party
 
António Costa em 2017.jpg
EPP Summit, 22 March 2018 (27083908678) (cropped, Rui Rio).jpg
André Ventura (Agencia LUSA, Entrevista Presidenciais 2021), cropped.png
Leader António Costa Rui Rio André Ventura
Party PS PSD CH
Leader since 28 September 2014 18 February 2018 9 April 2019
Leader's seat Lisbon Porto Lisbon
Last election 108 seats, 36.3% 79 seats, 27.8% 1 seat, 1.3%
Seats won 117 76 12
Seat change Increase 9 Decrease 3 Increase 11
Popular vote 2,246,637 1,577,759[a] 385,543
Percentage 41.7% 29.3% 7.2%
Swing Increase 5.4 pp Increase 1.5 pp Increase 5.9 pp
  Fourth party Fifth party Sixth party
 
João Cotrim de Figueiredo (Forum Alpha 2015), cropped.png
Jerónimo de Sousa (1 de Maio de 2015) (cropped).jpg
Catarina Martins, 1.º Tempo de Antena do Bloco de Esquerda 2022 (cropped).png
Leader João Cotrim de Figueiredo Jerónimo de Sousa Catarina Martins
Party IL PCP BE
Alliance CDU
Leader since 8 December 2019 27 November 2004 30 November 2014
Leader's seat Lisbon Lisbon Porto
Last election 1 seat, 1.3% 12 seats, 6.3%[b] 19 seats, 9.5%
Seats won 8 6 5
Seat change Increase 7 Decrease 6 Decrease 14
Popular vote 268,414 236,630 240,257
Percentage 5.0% 4.4% 4.5%
Swing Increase 3.7 pp Decrease 1.9 pp Decrease 5.0 pp
  Seventh party Eighth party Ninth party
 
Inês_Sousa_Real.jpg
Rui Tavares, SomosBibliotecas (cropped).png
Leader Inês Sousa Real Collective leadership[c] Francisco Rodrigues dos Santos
Party PAN LIVRE CDS–PP
Leader since 6 June 2021 11 August 2019 26 January 2020
Leader's seat Lisbon Lisbon Lisbon (lost)
Last election 4 seats, 3.3% 1 seat, 1.1%[d] 5 seats, 4.2%
Seats won 1 1 0
Seat change Decrease 3 Steady Decrease 5
Popular vote 82,250 68,971 86,578
Percentage 1.5% 1.3% 1.6%
Swing Decrease 1.8 pp Increase 0.2 pp Decrease 2.6 pp
Prime Minister before election

António Costa
PS

Elected Prime Minister

António Costa
PS

Early legislative elections were held on 30 January 2022 in Portugal to elect members of the Assembly of the Republic to the 15th Legislature of the Third Republic.[1] All 230 seats to the Assembly of the Republic were at stake.

On 27 October 2021, the budget proposed by the Socialist minority government was rejected by the Assembly of the Republic. The Left Bloc (BE) and the Portuguese Communist Party (PCP), which had previously supported the government, joined the right-wing parties to reject the budget.[2] On 4 November 2021, Marcelo Rebelo de Sousa, the president of Portugal, announced a snap election to be held on 30 January 2022.[3] This election was the third held in Portugal during the COVID-19 pandemic, as the country had a presidential election and local elections in 2021.

The Socialist Party (PS) of incumbent prime minister António Costa won an unexpected absolute majority in the Assembly of the Republic, the second in its history.[4] The PS received 41.7% of the vote and 117 seats, one above the minimum required for a majority.[5] The PS won the most votes in all districts in mainland Portugal, only failing to win Madeira.[6] Commentators considered the PS to have benefited from a transfer of the BE and the Unitary Democratic Coalition (PCP–PEV) voters to them.[7]

The Social Democratic Party (PSD) suffered losses, underperforming opinion polls that had predicted a close race with the PS. The PSD won 29.3% of the vote, a slightly higher share than in 2019, and received 76 seats, 3 fewer than the previous election. The PSD was surpassed by the PS in districts like Leiria and Viseu, and lost Bragança district by only 15 votes to the PS. In the aftermath of the election, party leader Rui Rio announced he would resign from the leadership.[8]

CHEGA finished in third place, winning 7.2% of the vote and 12 seats.[9] The Liberal Initiative (IL) finished in fourth place, winning 8 seats and 5.0% of the vote.[10] Both parties experienced a surge of voters and made gains this election.[11]

The BE and the PCP–PEV suffered losses, being surpassed by both the IL and CHEGA. Their rejection of the 2022 budget was considered to be a factor of losing votes and seats. The BE won 5 seats and 4.5% of the vote.[12] The PCP–PEV won 6 seats and 4.4% of the vote, while losing seats in Évora and Santarém districts.[13] The Ecologist Party "The Greens" (PEV) lost all their seats for the first time.[14]

The CDS – People's Party (CDS–PP) also lost all their seats for the first time, receiving 1.6% of the vote. Party leader Francisco Rodrigues dos Santos announced his resignation.[15] People Animals Nature (PAN) suffered losses, winning 1 seat and 1.5% of the vote, 3 fewer seats than in the previous election.[16] LIVRE won 1 seat and received 1.1% of the vote, holding on to the single seat they won in 2019, with party leader Rui Tavares being elected in Lisbon.[17]

The voter turnout was the highest since the 2011 Portuguese legislative election, with 57.9% of registered voters casting a ballot.[18]

Background

Leadership changes

Liberal Initiative

Early in December 2019, the Liberal Initiative (IL) elected a new leader after their previous leader, Carlos Guimarães Pinto, stepped down. Their sole MP, João Cotrim de Figueiredo, was elected as leader with 96% of the votes in the party's convention.[19] The results were the following:

Ballot: 8 December 2019
Candidate Votes %
João Cotrim de Figueiredo 181 95.8
Blank/Invalid ballots 8 4.2
Turnout 189
Source: Results

Social Democratic Party

Main article: 2020 Portuguese Social Democratic Party leadership election

The Social Democrats (PSD), the largest opposition party, held a two-round leadership election on 11 January and 18 January 2020. Three candidates were in the race: incumbent PSD leader Rui Rio, former PSD parliamentary caucus leader Luís Montenegro and current Deputy Mayor of Cascais Miguel Pinto Luz.[20] Around 40,000 party members, out of almost 110,000, were registered to vote.[21] In the first round, on 11 January, Rui Rio polled ahead with 49% of the votes against the 41.4% of Luís Montenegro and 9.6% of Miguel Pinto Luz, with both Rio and Montenegro qualifying for a second round.[22] A week later, on 18 January, Rui Rio was re-elected as PSD leader with 53.2% of the votes, against the 46.8% of Luís Montenegro.[23] In both rounds, turnout of registered members achieved almost 80%. The results were the following:

Ballot: 11 and 18 January 2020
Candidate 1st round 2nd round
Votes % Votes %
Rui Rio 15,546 49.0 17,157 53.2
Luís Montenegro 13,137 41.4 15,086 46.8
Miguel Pinto Luz 3,030 9.6  
Blank/Invalid ballots 369 – 341 –
Turnout 32,082 79.01 32,582 80.20
Source: Official results
Main article: 2021 Portuguese Social Democratic Party leadership election

A leadership election in the PSD was held on 27 November 2021.[24] The original date was 4 December 2021, but the party voted to advance the date in one week. MEP Paulo Rangel was a candidate for the leadership.[25] He faced incumbent PSD leader Rui Rio, who announced his re-election bid on 19 October 2021.[26] Around 46,000 party members, out of more than 85,000 active members, were registered to vote.[27] On 27 November 2021, Rui Rio defeated Paulo Rangel by a 52.4% to 47.6% margin and was reelected for a 3rd term as party leader.[28] The results were the following:

Ballot: 27 November 2021
Candidate Votes %
Rui Rio 18,852 52.4
Paulo Rangel 17,106 47.6
Blank/Invalid ballots 518 –
Turnout 36,476 78.17
Source: Official results

CDS – People's Party

CDS – People's Party also elected a new leader after former leader Assunção Cristas stepped down after the party's worst result ever in a general election in the 2019 elections. Five candidates were in the race: People's Youth leader Francisco Rodrigues dos Santos, current CDS MP from Aveiro João Almeida, former MP Filipe Lobo d'Ávila, Abel Matos Santos and Carlos Meira. The new leader was elected in a party congress between 25 and 26 January 2020.[29] In that congress, in Aveiro city, Francisco Rodrigues dos Santos was elected leader with 46.4% of the delegates votes, against the 38.9% of João Almeida and 14.5% of Filipe Lobo d'Ávila.[30] Abel Matos Santos and Carlos Meira had stepped down from the race, near the end of the congress but before the vote, in support of Rodrigues dos Santos.[31] The results were the following:

Ballot: 26 January 2020
Candidate Votes %
Francisco Rodrigues dos Santos 671 46.5
João Almeida 562 39.0
Filipe Lobo d'Ávila 209 14.5
Blank/Invalid ballots 7 –
Turnout 1,449
Source: Results

People–Animals–Nature

In March 2021, the People–Animals–Nature (PAN) leader and spokesperson, André Silva, announced he was leaving the leadership of the party to dedicate more time to his family.[32] A party congress to elect a new leader was scheduled for the weekend of 5–6 June 2021. For that leadership congress, only one candidate stepped forward, Inês Sousa Real, the party's parliamentary leader. On 6 June, Inês Sousa Real was elected as leader of PAN with 87.2% of the votes in the party's congress in Tomar.[33] The results were the following:

Ballot: 6 June 2021
Candidate Votes %
Inês Sousa Real 109 87.2
Blank/Invalid ballots 16 12.8
Turnout 125
Source: Results

Date

Ballot paper for the 2022 legislative elections

According to the Constitution of Portugal, an election must be called between 14 September and 14 October of the year that the legislature ends. The election is called by the president of Portugal but is not called at the request of the prime minister of Portugal; however, the President must listen to all of the parties represented in Parliament and the election day must be announced at least 60 days before the election.[34] If an election is called during an ongoing legislature (dissolution of parliament) it must be held within 55 days. Election day is the same in all multi-seat constituencies, and should fall on a Sunday or national holiday. The next legislative election should have taken place no later than 8 October 2023;[35] however, due to the rejection of the 2022 State Budget, during which the left-wing parties joined the right-wing parties and voted against the proposal, a snap election was called for 30 January 2022.[3]

Electoral system

The Assembly of the Republic has 230 members elected to four-year terms. Governments do not require absolute majority support of the Assembly to hold office, as even if the number of opposers of government is larger than that of the supporters, the number of opposers still needs to be equal or greater than 116 (absolute majority) for both the Government's Programme to be rejected or for a motion of no confidence to be approved.[36]

The number of seats assigned to each district depends on the district magnitude.[37] The use of the d'Hondt method makes for a higher effective threshold than certain other allocation methods such as the Hare quota or Sainte-Laguë method, which are more generous to small parties.[38]

The distribution of MPs by electoral district was the following:[39]

District Number of MPs Map
Lisbon 48
Porto 40
Braga 19
Setúbal 18
Aveiro 16
Leiria 10
Coimbra, Faro and Santarém 9
Viseu 8
Madeira and Viana do Castelo 6
Azores and Vila Real 5
Castelo Branco 4
Beja, Bragança, Évora and Guarda 3
Portalegre, Europe and Outside Europe 2

Voting during COVID-19

In January 2022, Portugal was experiencing rising infection rates as the SARS-CoV-2 Omicron variant had a prevalence of 93% among variants in the country.[40] Because of this situation, thousands of voters were likely to be in isolation on election day. To address this situation, the government asked for legal advice regarding the issue from the Portuguese Attorney-General's Office.[41] On 19 January 2022, the government announced that isolated voters would be able to vote on election day and recommended that these voters cast a ballot during the last hour the polls were open, between 6pm and 7pm 30 January.[42]

Early voting

Voters were also able to vote early, which happened one week before election day, on 23 January 2022. Voters had to register between 16 and 20 January 2022 in order to be eligible to cast an early ballot. By the 20 January deadline, 315,785 voters had requested to vote early, a number well below expectations.[43] On 23 January, 285,848 voters (90.5% of voters that requested) cast an early ballot.[44]

Parties

Parliamentary factions

The table below lists the parties represented in the Assembly of the Republic during the 14th legislature (2019-2022) and that also contested the 2022 elections:

Name Ideology Political
position 		Leader 2019 result Current
seats
Votes (%) Seats
PS Socialist Party
Partido Socialista 		Social democracy Centre-left António Costa 36.3%
108 / 230
108 / 230
PPD/PSD Social Democratic Party[e][f]
Partido Social Democrata 		Liberal conservatism Centre-right Rui Rio 27.8%
79 / 230
79 / 230
BE Left Bloc
Bloco de Esquerda 		Democratic socialism
Left-wing populism 		Left-wing
to far-left 		Catarina Martins 9.5%
19 / 230
19 / 230
PCP Portuguese Communist Party
Partido Comunista Português 		Communism
Marxism–Leninism 		Left-wing
to far-left 		Jerónimo de Sousa 6.3%
[b]
10 / 230
10 / 230
PEV Ecologist Party "The Greens"
Partido Ecologista "Os Verdes" 		Eco-socialism
Green politics 		Left-wing Heloísa Apolónia
2 / 230
2 / 230
CDS-PP CDS – People's Party[e][f]
Centro Democrático e Social – Partido Popular 		Conservatism
Christian democracy 		Centre-right Francisco Rodrigues
dos Santos 		4.2%
5 / 230
5 / 230
PAN People Animals Nature
Pessoas-Animais-Natureza 		Animal welfare
Environmentalism 		Centre-left Inês Sousa Real 3.3%
4 / 230
3 / 230
CH Enough!
Chega! 		National conservatism
Right-wing populism 		Right-wing
to far-right 		André Ventura 1.3%
1 / 230
1 / 230
IL Liberal Initiative
Iniciativa Liberal 		Classical liberalism
 Centre-right
to right-wing 		João Cotrim
de Figueiredo 		1.3%
1 / 230
1 / 230
L FREE
LIVRE 		Eco-socialism
Pro-Europeanism 		Centre-left
to left-wing 		Collective leadership 1.1%
1 / 230
0 / 230
Ind. Independent
Independente 		Joacine Katar Moreira (expelled from FREE caucus)[45]
Cristina Rodrigues (left the People Animals Nature caucus)[46]
2 / 230

Non-represented parties

The table below lists smaller parties not represented in the Assembly of the Republic that contested the elections in at least one constituency:[47]

Name Ideology Political
position 		Leader 2019 result
Votes (%)
A Alliance
Aliança 		Conservative liberalism
Social conservatism 		Centre-right Jorge Nuno de Sá 0.8%
PCTP/
MRPP 		Portuguese Workers' Communist Party
Partido Comunista dos Trabalhadores Portugueses 		Marxism-Leninism
Maoism 		Far-left Vacant 0.7%
RIR React, Include, Recycle
Reagir, Incluir, Reciclar, 		Humanism
Pacifism 		Syncretic Vitorino Silva
(Tino de Rans) 		0.7%
E Rise Up[g]
Ergue-te 		National conservatism
Anti-immigration 		Far-right José Pinto Coelho 0.3%
MPT Earth Party
Partido da Terra 		Green conservatism Centre-right Pedro Pimenta 0.3%
NC We, the Citizens!
Nós, Cidadãos! 		Social liberalism
Pro-Europeanism 		Centre-right Mendo Castro Henriques 0.2%
ADN National Democratic Alternative[h]
Alternativa Democrática Nacional 		Traditionalism Centre Bruno Fialho 0.2%
JPP Together for the People
Juntos Pelo Povo 		Regionalism
Social liberalism 		Centre Élvio Sousa 0.2%
PPM People's Monarchist Party[i][f]
Partido Popular Monárquico 		Monarchism
Conservatism 		Right-wing Gonçalo da Câmara
Pereira 		0.2%
PTP Portuguese Labour Party
Partido Trabalhista Português 		Democratic socialism
Social democracy 		Centre-left
to left-wing 		Amândio Madaleno 0.2%
MAS Socialist Alternative Movement
Movimento Alternativa Socialista 		Socialism
Trotskyism 		Left-wing Gil Garcia 0.1%
VP Volt Portugal
Volt Portugal 		Social liberalism
European federalism 		Centre
to centre-left 		Tiago Matos Gomes —

Rejected

A coalition between the People's Monarchist Party (PPM) and the United Party of Retirees and Pensioners (PURP) was rejected by the Constitutional Court because of several irregularities.[48]

Name Ideology Political
position 		Leader 2019 result
Votes (%)
PPM/PURP People's Monarchist Party
Partido Popular Monárquico 		Monarchism
Conservatism 		Right-wing Gonçalo da Câmara
Pereira 		0.2%
United Party of Retirees and Pensioners
Partido Unido dos Reformados e Pensionistas 		Pensioners' rights
Anti-austerity 		Big tent António Mateus Dias
Fernando Loureiro 		0.2%

Campaign period

Party slogans

Party or alliance Original slogan English translation Refs
PS « Juntos Seguimos e Conseguimos » "Together We Continue and Achieve" [49]
PSD « Novos horizontes para Portugal » "New Horizons for Portugal" [50]
BE « Razões fortes, compromissos claros » "Strong Reasons, Clear Commitments" [51]
CDU « CDU, Força decisiva »
« Ao teu lado todos os dias » 		"CDU, the Decisive Force"
"By Your Side Every Day" 		[52]
CDS–PP « Pelas mesmas razões de sempre » "For the Same Reasons As Always" [53]
PAN « Agir, Já! » "Act, Now!" [54]
CH « Vamos fazer o sistema tremer » "Let's Make the System Tremble" [55]
IL « Preparados. Liberalizar Portugal » "Ready. Liberalize Portugal" [56]
L « A alternativa é ser LIVRE » "The Alternative Is to Be FREE"

Candidates' debates

A total of 38 debates were scheduled for these elections.[57] CDU leader, Jerónimo de Sousa, would only attend the debates on the main channels of each of the three main networks, RTP1, SIC and TVI.[58] Therefore, he was absent from the debates in the news channels of the three networks, SIC Notícias, RTP3 and CNN Portugal. Shortly after, the debates between Jerónimo de Sousa and other party leaders on those cable channels, were cancelled, thus reducing the number of debates to 32.[59] On 11 January 2022, the PCP announced that Jerónimo de Sousa would undergo urgent vascular surgery on 12 January and would be out of the campaign trail for 10 days, thus being absent in the debates.[60] João Oliveira substituted him in the debate with PSD leader Rui Rio.[61]

Rádio Observador organised two hour and a half debates with the head candidates for the Porto and Lisbon districts. The Porto debate aired on 11 January and the Lisbon debate aired on 14 January.[62][63]

2022 Portuguese legislative election debates
Date Time Organisers Moderator(s)     P  Present    A  Absent invitee  N  Non-invitee   S  Surrogate  
PS
Costa 		PSD
Rio 		BE
Martins 		CDU
Sousa 		CDS–PP
Rodrigues dos Santos 		PAN
Sousa Real 		CH
Ventura 		IL
Cotrim de Figueiredo 		L
Tavares 		Refs
2 Jan 2022 8:50PM RTP1 João Adelino Faria P N N N N N N N P [64]
10:45PM SIC Notícias Rosa de Oliveira Pinto N N P N N N P N N [64]
3 Jan 2022 9PM SIC Clara de Sousa N P N N N N P N N [64]
10PM CNN Portugal N N I A N N N N N [64] [j]
4 Jan 2022 6:30PM SIC Notícias Rosa de Oliveira Pinto N N P N N N N N P [64]
9PM TVI Pedro Mourinho P N N P N N N N N [64]
10PM RTP3 João Adelino Faria N N N N P P N N N [64]
5 Jan 2022 6:15PM RTP3 João Adelino Faria N N N N P N N P N [64]
9PM SIC Clara de Sousa N P P N N N N N N [64]
10PM CNN Portugal João Póvoa Marinheiro N N N N N N P N P [64]
6 Jan 2022 6:30PM CNN Portugal N N N A N N N N I [64] [j]
9PM RTP1 João Adelino Faria P N N N N N P N N [64]
10PM SIC Notícias Rosa de Oliveira Pinto N N P N N N N P N [64]
7 Jan 2022 6:30PM SIC Notícias Rosa de Oliveira Pinto N N N N N P N P N [64]
9PM TVI Sara Pinto N P N N P N N N N [64]
10PM RTP3 N N N A N N I N N [64] [j]
8 Jan 2022 8:40PM RTP1 João Adelino Faria N P N N N N N N P [64]
9:10PM TVI Sara Pinto P N N N N P N N N [64]
11PM CNN Portugal N N N A I N N N N [64] [j]
9 Jan 2022 8:40PM SIC Clara de Sousa P N N N P N N N N [64]
10PM RTP3 João Adelino Faria N N N N N N P P N [64]
11PM SIC Notícias Rosa de Oliveira Pinto N N N N N P N N P [64]
10 Jan 2022 6:30PM RTP3 João Adelino Faria N N P N N P N N N [64]
9PM SIC Clara de Sousa N P N N N N N P N [64]
10PM CNN Portugal João Póvoa Marinheiro N N N N P N N N P [64]
11 Jan 2022 8:20PM RTP1 João Adelino Faria P N P N N N N N N [64]
10PM CNN Portugal N N N A N I N N N [64] [j]
12 Jan 2022 6:30PM CNN Portugal João Póvoa Marinheiro N N N N P N P N N [64]
9PM SIC Clara de Sousa N P N S[k] N N N N N [64][65]
10PM SIC Notícias Rosa de Oliveira Pinto N N N N N N N P P [64]
13 Jan 2022 8:30PM RTP1
SIC
TVI 		João Adelino Faria
Clara de Sousa
Sara Pinto 		P P N N N N N N N [64]
14 Jan 2022 6:10PM SIC Notícias Rosa de Oliveira Pinto N N N N N P P N N [64]
9PM TVI Sara Pinto P N N N N N N P N [64]
10PM RTP3 João Adelino Faria N N P N P N N N N [64]
15 Jan 2022 8:50PM RTP1 João Adelino Faria N P N N N P N N N [64]
10PM RTP3 N N N A N N N I N [64] [j]
17 Jan 2022 9PM RTP1 Carlos Daniel P P P S[k] P P P P P [66][65]
20 Jan 2022 9AM Antena 1
RR
TSF 		Natália Carvalho
Susana Martins
Judith Menezes e Sousa 		P A P S[k] P P A P P [67][65]
[68][69]
Candidate viewed as "most convincing" in each debate
Date Time Organisers Polling firm/Link
PS PSD BE CDU CDS–PP PAN CH IL L Notes
13 Jan 2022 8:30PM RTP1, SIC, TVI Pitagórica 38.0 42.0 — — — — — — — 20.0% Tie
Aximage 42 39 — — — — — — — 19% None

Opinion polling

Main article: Opinion polling for the 2022 Portuguese legislative election
Local regression of polls conducted

Results

National summary

Summary of the 30 January 2022 Assembly of the Republic elections results
Parties Votes % ±pp swing MPs MPs %/
votes %
2019 2022 ± % ±
Socialist 2,246,637 41.68 Increase5.0 106 117 Increase11 51.77 Increase4.9 1.24
Social Democratic[l] 1,498,605 27.80 Increase1.4 72 71 Decrease1 31.42 Decrease0.4 1.13
CHEGA 385,559 7.15 Increase5.9 1 12 Increase11 5.31 Increase4.9 0.74
Liberal Initiative 268,414 4.98 Increase3.7 1 8 Increase7 3.54 Increase3.1 0.71
Left Bloc 240,265 4.46 Decrease5.2 19 5 Decrease14 2.21 Decrease6.2 0.50
Unitary Democratic Coalition 236,635 4.39 Decrease2.1 12 6 Decrease6 2.65 Decrease2.6 0.60
People's[l] 86,578 1.61 Decrease2.4 5 0 Decrease5 0.00 Decrease2.2 0.0
People–Animals–Nature 82,250 1.53 Decrease1.8 4 1 Decrease3 0.44 Decrease1.3 0.29
LIVRE 68,975 1.28 Increase0.2 1 1 Steady0 0.44 Steady0.0 0.34
Madeira First (PSD / CDS–PP)[e] 50,634 0.94 Decrease0.2 3 3 Steady0 1.33 Steady0.0 1.41
Democratic Alliance (PSD / CDS–PP / PPM)[f] 28,520 0.53 Decrease0.1 2 2 Steady0 0.88 Steady0.0 1.66
React, Include, Recycle 22,553 0.42 Decrease0.3 0 0 Steady0 0.00 Steady0.0 0.0
Together for the People 10,935 0.20 Steady0.0 0 0 Steady0 0.00 Steady0.0 0.0
Portuguese Workers' Communist 10,755 0.20 Decrease0.5 0 0 Steady0 0.00 Steady0.0 0.0
National Democratic Alternative[h] 10,001 0.19 Increase0.0 0 0 Steady0 0.00 Steady0.0 0.0
Earth 6,437 0.12 Decrease0.1 0 0 Steady0 0.00 Steady0.0 0.0
Socialist Alternative Movement 5,986 0.11 Increase0.0 0 0 Steady0 0.00 Steady0.0 0.0
Volt Portugal 5,513 0.10 — — 0 — 0.00 — 0.0
Rise Up[g] 4,756 0.09 Decrease0.2 0 0 Steady0 0.00 Steady0.0 0.0
Labour 3,239 0.06 Decrease0.1 0 0 Steady0 0.00 Steady0.0 0.0
We, the Citizens! 2,997 0.06 Decrease0.1 0 0 Steady0 0.00 Steady0.0 0.0
Alliance 1,902 0.04 Decrease0.8 0 0 Steady0 0.00 Steady0.0 0.0
PPM[i] 260 0.00 Decrease0.2 0 0 Steady0 0.00 Steady0.0 0.0
Total valid 5,278,406 97.93 Increase2.2 226 226 Steady0 100.00 Steady0 —
Blank ballots 61,762 1.15 Decrease1.4
Invalid ballots 49,537 0.92 Decrease0.8
Total 5,389,705 100.00
Registered voters/turnout 9,298,390 57.96 Increase3.5
Source: Ministério da Administração Interna (99.13% counted)
Vote share
PS
 
 41.68%
PSD
 
 27.80%
CH
 
 7.15%
IL
 
 4.98%
BE
 
 4.46%
CDU
 
 4.39%
CDS-PP
 
 1.61%
PAN
 
 1.53%
L
 
 1.28%
MF
 
 0.94%
AD
 
 0.53%
Others
 
 1.58%
Blank/Invalid
 
 2.07%
Parliamentary seats
PS
 
 51.77%
PSD
 
 31.42%
CH
 
 5.31%
IL
 
 3.54%
CDU
 
 2.65%
BE
 
 2.21%
MF
 
 1.33%
AD
 
 0.88%
PAN
 
 0.44%
L
 
 0.44%

Distribution by constituency

Results of the 2022 election of the Portuguese Assembly of the Republic by constituency
Constituency % S % S % S % S % S % S % S % S % S % S Total
S
PS PSD CH IL CDU BE MF[e] AD[f] PAN L
Azores 42.8 3 5.9 - 4.1 - 1.5 - 4.3 - 33.9 2 1.4 - 0.9 - 5
Aveiro 39.5 8 35.7 7 5.6 1 4.5 - 1.8 - 4.6 - 1.3 - 0.8 - 16
Beja 43.7 2 15.9 - 10.3 - 2.1 - 18.4 1 3.7 - 0.9 - 0.7 - 3
Braga 42.0 9 34.8 8 5.8 1 4.3 1 2.6 - 3.7 - 1.2 - 0.8 - 19
Bragança 40.3 2 40.3 1 8.6 - 1.6 - 1.4 - 2.1 - 0.6 - 0.4 - 3
Castelo Branco 47.7 3 27.4 1 8.3 - 2.6 - 2.9 - 4.3 - 1.0 - 0.8 - 4
Coimbra 45.2 6 29.1 3 6.1 - 3.6 - 3.4 - 5.1 - 1.2 - 1.0 - 9
Évora 44.0 2 21.4 1 9.2 - 2.5 - 14.6 - 3.3 - 0.8 - 0.6 - 3
Faro 39.9 5 24.4 3 12.3 1 4.6 - 4.8 - 5.8 - 2.2 - 1.1 - 9
Guarda 45.1 2 33.5 1 8.0 - 1.9 - 1.8 - 3.1 - 0.7 - 0.5 - 3
Leiria 35.7 5 34.7 4 8.0 - 5.3 - 3.1 - 4.5 - 1.3 - 1.1 - 10
Lisbon 40.8 21 24.2 13 7.8 4 7.9 4 5.1 2 4.7 2 2.0 1 2.4 1 48
Madeira 31.5 3 6.1 - 3.3 - 2.0 - 3.2 - 39.3 3 1.6 - 0.7 - 6
Portalegre 47.2 2 23.2 - 11.5 - 2.1 - 7.6 - 2.9 - 0.6 - 0.6 - 2
Porto 42.5 19 32.3 14 4.4 2 5.1 2 3.3 1 4.8 2 1.7 - 1.2 - 40
Santarém 41.2 5 26.9 3 10.9 1 3.8 - 5.4 - 4.6 - 1.2 - 0.9 - 9
Setúbal 45.7 10 16.2 3 9.0 1 5.1 1 10.1 2 5.8 1 2.0 - 1.4 - 18
Viana do Castelo 42.1 3 34.2 3 6.1 - 2.9 - 3.0 - 3.5 - 1.0 - 0.7 - 6
Vila Real 41.3 3 40.0 2 7.2 - 1.8 - 1.7 - 2.3 - 0.8 - 0.6 - 5
Viseu 41.5 4 36.8 4 7.8 - 2.5 - 1.6 - 2.8 - 0.9 - 0.6 - 8
Europe 2
Rest of the World 2
Total 41.7 117 27.8 71 7.2 12 5.0 8 4.4 6 4.5 5 0.9 3 0.5 2 1.5 1 1.3 1 230
Source: Election Results

Maps

Aftermath and reactions

The Socialist Party (PS) of incumbent prime minister António Costa won an unexpected absolute majority in the Assembly of the Republic, the second in its history.[4] The PS received 41.7% of the vote and 117 seats, one above the minimum required for a majority.[5] The PS won the most votes in all districts in mainland Portugal, only failing to win Madeira.[6] Commentators considered the PS to have benefited from a transfer of Left Bloc and the Unitary Democratic Coalition voters to them.[7] Costa said that his "absolute majority doesn't mean absolute power" and that he would still be open to forming a coalition, despite it no longer being a requirement to govern.[70]

The Social Democratic Party (PSD) suffered losses, underperforming opinion polls that had predicted a close race with the PS. The PSD won 29.3% of the vote, a slightly higher share than in 2019, but received 76 seats, 3 fewer than the previous election. The PSD was surpassed by the PS in districts like Leiria and Viseu, and lost Bragança district by only 15 votes to the PS. In the aftermath of the election, party leader Rui Rio announced he would resign from the leadership.[8][71]

CHEGA finished in third place, winning 7.2% of the vote and 12 seats.[9] The Liberal Initiative finished in fourth place, winning 8 seats and 5.0% of the vote.[10] Both parties experienced a surge of voters and made gains this election.[11] CHEGA leader André Ventura celebrated a "great night" and blamed the Socialist majority on PSD leader Rio for not forming an alliance between the two right-wing parties.[72] Liberal Initiative leader João Cotrim de Figueiredo also celebrated sufficient gains to form a parliamentary group, and said that his party would be a "firm opposition to socialism".[73]

The Left Bloc and the Unitary Democratic Coalition suffered losses, being surpassed by both the Liberal Initiative and CHEGA. Their rejection of the 2022 budget was considered to be a factor of losing votes and seats. The Left Bloc won 5 seats and 4.5% of the vote.[12] The Unitary Democratic Coalition won 6 seats and 4.4% of the vote, while losing seats in Évora and Santarém districts.[13] The Ecologist Party "The Greens" lost all their seats for the first time.[14] Catarina Martins of the Left Bloc blamed the Socialist Party for creating a "false crisis" that she believed to result in a polarised election penalising parties to the left of the Socialists. She also spoke out against the gains for Chega.[74] PCP leader Jerónimo de Sousa made a similar statement about the Socialist Party.[75]

CDS – People's Party also lost all their seats for the first time, receiving 1.6% of the vote. Party leader Francisco Rodrigues dos Santos announced his resignation.[15][76] People Animals Nature suffered losses, winning 1 seat and 1.5% of the vote, 3 fewer seats than in the previous election.[16] PAN leader Inês Sousa Real spoke of sadness after this result, and said that an absolute majority would be bad for democracy.[77] LIVRE won 1 seat and received 1.1% of the vote, holding on to the single seat they won in 2019, with party leader Rui Tavares being elected in Lisbon.[17] Tavares pledged to get Costa to work with other left-wing parties.[78]

The voter turnout was the highest since the 2011 legislative election, with 57.9% of registered voters casting a ballot.[18]

International reactions

The Spanish prime minister Pedro Sánchez, leader of the Spanish Socialist Workers' Party, congratulated Costa on Twitter, stating that "Portugal has once again opted for a social democratic project that combines growth and social justice. Together we will continue to promote in our countries and in Europe a socialist response to the challenges we share."[79]

The EU Commission First Vice President Frans Timmermans congratulated Costa's victory on Twitter as "an important victory for Portugal and Europe."[80]

The Indian prime minister Narendra Modi congratulated Costa (who is of Indian descent) on Twitter, "for resounding performance in the parliamentary elections in Portugal and his re-election." He also stated, "Look forward to continue deepening the warm and time-tested relationship with Portugal."[81]

Keir Starmer, the British opposition and Labour Party leader, congratulated Costa on Twitter for "a victory for seriousness in government, shared prosperity and social justice."[82]

Lula da Silva, 35th president of Brazil and presidential pre-candidate in 2022 Brazilian general election, congratulated the Portuguese Socialist Party and Prime-Minister António Costa for "their great electoral victory in Portugal", and wishing "good luck."[83]

See also

Notes

  1. ^ Sum of the votes of the Social Democratic Party (PSD) in mainland Portugal and the PSD/CDS – People's Party (CDS–PP) coalitions in Azores and Madeira. The 5 MPs elected in these coalitions are all from the PSD.
  2. ^ a b The Portuguese Communist Party (PCP) and the Ecologist Party "The Greens" (PEV) have contested every election since 1987 in a coalition called the Unitary Democratic Coalition (CDU) and won a combined 6.3% of the vote and elected 12 MPs to parliament in 2019.
  3. ^ Rui Tavares, running for Lisbon, was the party's main candidate in this campaign.
  4. ^ LIVRE had 1 MP elected to parliament in 2019, Joacine Katar Moreira, but she was expelled from the LIVRE caucus in January 2020.
  5. ^ a b c d In Madeira, the PSD and the CDS–PP contested the elections in a coalition called Madeira First (Madeira Primeiro).
  6. ^ a b c d e In Azores, the PSD, the CDS–PP, and the People's Monarchist Party (PPM) contested the elections in a coalition called Democratic Alliance (Aliança Democrática).
  7. ^ a b In July 2020, the National Renovator Party (PNR) changed its name to Rise Up (E).
  8. ^ a b In September 2021, the Democratic Republican Party (PDR) changed its name to the National Democratic Alternative (ADN).
  9. ^ a b PPM list only in Madeira
  10. ^ a b c d e f Cancelled
  11. ^ a b c Substituted by João Oliveira whilst he is recovering in hospital
  12. ^ a b Only in mainland Portugal

References

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  3. ^ a b Ferreira, Ricardo Simões; Henriques, Susete (4 November 2021). "Marcelo marca eleições para 30 de janeiro". Diário de Notícias (in Portugese). Retrieved 31 January 2022.{{cite news}}: CS1 maint: unrecognized language (link)
  4. ^ a b "Portugal election: Socialists win unexpected majority". BBC News. 31 January 2022. Retrieved 31 January 2022.
  5. ^ a b "Os eleitores deram ao PS a maioria absoluta que Costa pediu". Público (in Portuguese). 31 January 2022. Retrieved 31 January 2022.
  6. ^ a b "Distrito a distrito, quem ganhou e quem perdeu". Público (in Portuguese). 31 January 2022. Retrieved 31 January 2022.
  7. ^ a b "Maioria absoluta de Costa foi à custa de 344.861 votos da esquerda. Veja como quebrou quatro dogmas eleitorais". Expresso (in Portuguese). 31 January 2022. Retrieved 31 January 2022.
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  80. ^ "Frans Timmermans". Twitter. Retrieved 31 January 2022.
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  83. ^ "https://twitter.com/lulaoficial/status/1488135990388666368". Twitter. Retrieved 1 February 2022. {{cite web}}: External link in |title= (help)
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