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| colour3 = {{Canadian party colour|ON|Liberal|nohash}}
| colour3 = {{Canadian party colour|ON|Liberal|nohash}}
| leader3 = [[Steven Del Duca|Creepy Uncle]]
| leader3 = [[Steven Del Duca]]
| party3 = {{Canadian party colour|ON|Liberal|name}}
| party3 = {{Canadian party colour|ON|Liberal|name}}
| leader_since3 = [[2020 Ontario Liberal Party leadership election|March 7, 2020]]
| leader_since3 = [[2020 Ontario Liberal Party leadership election|March 7, 2020]]

Revision as of 00:23, 17 May 2022

2022 Ontario general election
← 2018 June 2, 2022 (2022-06-02)
124 seats of the Legislative Assembly of Ontario
63 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
 
Douglas_Robert_Ford_2018.jpg
Horwath_infobox.PNG
ALL_DelDucaHeadshot.jpg
Leader Doug Ford Andrea Horwath Steven Del Duca
Party Progressive Conservative New Democratic Liberal
Leader since March 10, 2018 March 7, 2009 March 7, 2020
Leader's seat Etobicoke North Hamilton Centre Running in
Vaughan—Woodbridge[1]
Last election 76 seats, 40.50% 40 seats, 33.56% 7 seats, 19.59%
Current seats 67 38 7
Seats needed Steady Increase25 Increase56
 
Mike Schreiner 4431 (37439753570) (cropped2).jpg
Jim_Karahalios_Family_Headshot_(cropped).png
Derek Sloan Image (cropped).jpg
Leader Mike Schreiner Jim Karahalios Derek Sloan[2]
Party Green New Blue Ontario Party
Leader since May 16, 2009 November 8, 2020 December 16, 2021
Leader's seat Guelph Running in Kitchener—Conestoga[3] Running in Hastings—Lennox and Addington
Last election 1 seat, 4.60% pre-creation 0 seats, 0.04%
Current seats 1 1 1
Seats needed Increase62 Increase62 Increase62
Incumbent Premier

Doug Ford
Progressive Conservative



The 2022 Ontario general election will be held on June 2, 2022, to elect Members of the Provincial Parliament to serve in the 43rd Parliament of Ontario. As of December 2016, Ontario elections are held on the first Thursday in June in the fourth calendar year following the previous general election.[4]

The Legislative Assembly of Ontario can be dissolved earlier by the Lieutenant Governor of Ontario on a motion of no confidence or if the Premier triggers a snap election. Since the current government has a majority, it is a near-certainty that any non-confidence vote would not pass. In terms of an unexpected snap election, on October 5, 2020, Ontario MPPs voted unanimously in favour of a motion stating that the government will not call an election prior to the fixed election date in 2022.[5][6]

On May 3, 2022, Premier Doug Ford met with the Lieutenant Governor of Ontario to request dissolution of the legislature and for writs of election be drawn up.[7]

Standings

Summary of the standings of the Legislative Assembly of Ontario
Party Party leader Seats
2018 Dissol.
Progressive Conservative (PC) Doug Ford 76 67
New Democratic (NDP) Andrea Horwath 40 38
Liberal (LIB) Steven Del Duca 7 7
Green (GRN) Mike Schreiner 1 1
New Blue (NB) Jim Karahalios – 1
Ontario Party (ONP) Derek Sloan 0 1
  Independent 0 6
Vacant 3
Total 124 124

Note that for purposes of the administration of the Assembly, parties with fewer than 12 seats are not recognized, and their members are treated as independent MPPs.[8]

Timeline

42nd Legislative Assembly of Ontario - Movement in seats held (2018-2022)
Party 2018 Gain/(loss) due to 2022
Resignation
from caucus 		Resignation
as MPP 		Expulsion Switching
allegiance 		Byelection hold
Progressive Conservative 76 (2) (2) (2) (3) 67
New Democratic 40 (1) (1) 38
Liberal 7 (3) 1 2 7
Green 1 1
New Blue – 1 1
Ontario Party – 1 1
Independent – 3 3 6
Vacant – 3 3
Total 124 – (2) – – 2 124
Changes in seats held (2018–2022)
Seat Before Change
Date Member Party Reason Date Member Party
Simcoe—Grey November 2, 2018 Jim Wilson[9] █ PC Resignation[a 1] █ Independent
Glengarry—Prescott—Russell November 29, 2018 Amanda Simard[10] █ PC Resignation[a 2] █ Independent
January 16, 2020 █ Independent Joined caucus[11] █ Liberal
Lanark—Frontenac—Kingston February 20, 2019 Randy Hillier[12][13] █ PC Suspended[a 3] █ Independent
Ottawa—Vanier July 31, 2019 Nathalie Des Rosiers[14] █ Liberal Resignation[a 4] February 27, 2020[15] Lucille Collard █ Liberal
Orléans September 20, 2019 Marie-France Lalonde[16] █ Liberal Resignation[a 5] February 27, 2020[15] Stephen Blais █ Liberal
Cambridge July 21, 2020 Belinda Karahalios[17] █ PC Expelled[a 6] █ Independent
January 18, 2021 █ Independent Joined caucus[a 7] █ New Blue
York Centre January 15, 2021 Roman Baber[18] █ PC Expelled[a 8] █ Independent
Don Valley East August 17, 2021 Michael Coteau █ Liberal Resignation[a 9] █ Vacant
Chatham-Kent-Leamington August 19, 2021 Rick Nicholls[19] █ PC Expelled[a 10] █ Independent
December 22, 2021 █ Independent Joined caucus █ Ontario Party
Durham October 22, 2021 Lindsey Park[20] █ PC Resignation[a 11] █ Independent
Ajax February 2, 2022 Rod Phillips[21] █ PC Resignation █ Vacant
Elgin—Middlesex—London February 28, 2022 Jeff Yurek[22] █ PC Resignation █ Vacant
Hamilton East—Stoney Creek March 17, 2022 Paul Miller[23] █ New Democratic Expelled[a 12] █ Independent
Brampton North April 22, 2022 Kevin Yarde[24] █ New Democratic Resignation[a 13] █ Independent
  1. ^ from cabinet and caucus due to allegations of sexual misconduct
  2. ^ from caucus after opposing the government's cuts to francophone services
  3. ^ later removed after alleged autism comment, and alleged lack of commitment to the caucus
  4. ^ accepted position at Massey College of the University of Toronto
  5. ^ to run in the 2019 Canadian federal election for its equivalent seat
  6. ^ from caucus after voting against Bill 195
  7. ^ co-created (alongside her husband) the New Blue Party, and officially joined soon after
  8. ^ from caucus for opposing COVID lockdown
  9. ^ to run in the 2021 Canadian federal election for its equivalent seat
  10. ^ from caucus due to refusal to get vaccinated against COVID-19
  11. ^ from caucus following party accusations that she had misrepresented her COVID-19 vaccine status.
  12. ^ from caucus during vetting process for re-election for having joined an Islamophobic Facebook group
  13. ^ from caucus after losing nomination contest to be re-elected

2018

2020

2021

2022

  • May 3: Writs of the election were drawn up, dissolving the Legislature and officially starting the campaign.[36]
  • June 2: Election day.

Campaign period

Party slogans

Party English French Translation of French (unofficial)
█ PC "Get It Done."[37][38]
█ New Democratic (NDP) ”Strong. Ready. Working for you.”[39]
█ Liberal "The Choice is Yours"[40]
█ Green "The Ontario You Want. The Leadership We Need."[41]
█ New Blue "Strength. Stability. Liberty. Good government."[42]
█ Ontario Party ”Freedom, Family and Faith”[43]

Debates

2022 Ontario General Election Leaders Debates
No. Date Place Host Language Participants —  P  Participant (or planning to participate)
 N  Not invited  A  Absent invitee  O  Out of race (exploring or withdrawn) 		References
Doug Ford Andrea Horwath Steven Del Duca Mike Schreiner Jim Karahalios Derek Sloan
1 May 10, 2022 North Bay, Ontario Federation of Northern Ontario Municipalities English P P P P N N [44][45]
2 May 16, 2022 Toronto, Ontario Broadcast Consortium English P P P P N N [46][47]

Issues

2022 Ontario election – issues and respective party platforms
Issue PC[48][49] NDP[50] Liberal[51][52][53] Green[54][55][56][57] New Blue[58] Ontario Party[59]
Budget
  • Eliminate the deficit in the 2027–2028 fiscal year[60]
  • Lower the deficit to $5 billion by 2025-2026[61]
Business supports
  • Create a filming tax-credit
  • Provide all mining tax revenue to northern Indigenous communities
  • Raise business taxes by an unspecified amount
  • Subsidize black entrepreneurs[62]
  • Subsidize 2SLGBTQIA+ entrepreneurs
  • Create a small business recovery grant
  • Lift the cap on the Risk Management Program
  • Provide a loan guarantee to young farmers
  • Provide another round of Tourism Recovery Program payments
  • Fund art projects dedicated to diversity, equity and inclusion
  • Restore the Indigenous Culture Fund
  • Guarantee loans to small businesses
  • Elimination incorporation fees
COVID-19
  • Add COVID-19 vaccination to the immunization schedule for schools[63]
  • Add COVID-19 vaccination to the immunization schedule for schools[63]
  • Eliminate all COVID-19 restrictions and mandates
  • Prohibit the use of COVID-19 vaccine passports by businesses
  • Eliminate all COVID-19 restrictions and mandates
  • Prohibit the use of COVID-19 vaccine passports by businesses
Education
  • Hire 20,000 more teachers
  • Reduce Grade 4 to Grade 8 class sizes to 24
  • Reduce kindergarten class sizes to 26
  • Create an indigenous curriculum
  • Prioritize Ontario based authors and publishers in schools
  • Fully de-stream education
  • Eliminate EQAO testing
  • Convert all OSAP loans to grants
  • Hire 5,000 more special education workers
  • Reduce class sizes to 20
  • Restore Grade 13 as an option for secondary school students for a minimum of 4 years[64]
  • Create a school voucher program
  • Remove Critical Race Theory from the curriculum
  • Remove Gender Identity Theory from the curriculum
  • Allow the creation of charter schools
  • Make it illegal for teachers to promote partisan political positions in the classroom
  • Allow parents to opt their children out of certain school lessons
  • Require universities to maintain free speech on campus
  • Require universities to hire ideologically diverse educators
  • Lower tuition fees for degrees with high labour market demand
Elections
  • Reduce annual political donation limits to $1600
  • Ban protests that incite racist, homophobic, transphobic or xenophobic hate
  • Replace the electoral system with Mixed Member Proportional
  • Create citizens assembly on electoral reform with mandate to provide binding recommendation to ensure that every vote counts
  • Allow municipalities the usage of ranked ballot voting systems for elections.
  • Limit total contribution for municipal elections to $1000 for all candidates, combined.
  • Reduce donation limits for provincial political parties, candidates, and constituency associations to $1000 per year.
  • Restore Auditor General oversight of government advertising.
  • Require a five year gap before MPPs and government advisors can register as lobbyists.
  • Eliminate subsidies to political parties
Energy and Environment
  • Create a new provincial park
  • Create a cap-and-trade system
  • Support hydro, wind and solar electricity generation
  • Ban the sale of gasoline-powered vehicles by 2035
  • Create a $10,000 tax credit for the purchase of electric vehicles
  • Ban the conversion of any agricultural land into development
  • Expand the Greenbelt
  • Plant one billion trees by 2030
  • Ban non-medical single-use plastics by 2024
  • Create five new provincial parks
  • Create a $8,000 tax credit for the purchase or lease of electric vehicles and $1,500 for respective charging equipment
  • Reduce electricity subsidies by $20 billion over 10 years
  • Eliminate gas-powered power plants
  • End the use of wind-powered electricity
Healthcare
  • Build 3,000 new hospital beds in 2022-2023
  • Build 30,000 long-term care beds over four years
  • Provide publically funded prescriptions to low-income seniors
  • Provide publically funded dental care to low-income seniors
  • Repeal Bill 124
  • Ban and close privately owned long-term care homes
  • Build 30,000 mental health supportive housing spaces over ten years
  • Build 50,000 long-term care beds over eight years
  • Provide publically funded prescriptions to all residents
  • Provide publically funded dental care to all residents
  • Eliminate all user fees in healthcare
  • Collect race-based data on health care
  • Hire 22,000 more nurses
  • Hire 10,000 more PSWs
  • Hire 300 more physicians in Northern Ontario
  • Give the Chief Medical Officer of Health the authority to override government decisions
  • Stop mergers of public health units
  • Provide $400 per month to informal caregivers
  • Publically fund contraception
  • Repeal Bill 124
  • Ban and close privately owned long-term care homes
  • Build 3,000 new hospital beds
  • Build 30,000 long-term care beds over six years
  • Hire 100,000 new health care workers
  • Build 15,000 mental health supportive housing spaces
  • Fully fund clinical costs for hospices
  • Build 60,000 mental health supportive housing spaces
  • Create a dedicated crisis response line for mental health
  • Create a Ministry of Mental Health and Addictions
  • Cover mental health therapy through public funding
  • Do not fire healthcare workers who refuse to participate in abortion or assisted-suicide
  • End the prohibition on private health facilities and insurance
  • Prohibit sex-change surgeries for minors
  • Require parental consent for medical treatment for children
Housing
  • Use MZOs to approve the construction of more housing supply
  • Build 1.5 million homes in 10 years[65]
  • Implement rent control
  • Build 1.5 million homes in 10 years[65]
  • Subsidize rent for low-income households
  • End exclusionary zoning
  • Implement rent control
  • Fund the construction of 138,000 public housing units, of which 22,000 will be dedicated to off-reserve indigenous residents
  • Ban the use of MZOs
  • Implement rent control including vacancy control
  • Fund the construction of 100,000 public housing units
  • Restore 260,000 community housing units
  • Provide portable housing benefits to 311,000 people
Indigenous
  • Reform child welfare and protection services by ensuring Indigenous communities are served by Indigenous-led providers.
  • Wortk with NCTR to identify, collect, and provide copies of all records relevant to the history and legacy of the residential school system in Ontario.
  • Make the National Day for Truth and Reconciliation a statutory holiday.
  • Restore funding for the Indigenous curriculum program
  • Develop a mandatory curriculum on colonialism and residential schools, treaties, and Indigenous histories and experiences.
Law Enforcement
Regulation
  • Raise the minimum wage to $20/h over 5 years[69][70]
  • Ban individuals with firearm licenses from owning handguns
  • Provide ten publically funded sick days for all workers
  • Implement price controls on gasoline
  • Require automobile insurance businesses to charge the same premiums in all regions of Ontario
  • Ban the issuing of payday loans
  • Require the hiring of more women and racial minorities
  • Implement UNDRIP
  • Require mandatory anti-oppression and anti-bias training for all public employees and politicians
  • Subject all government programs and regulations to a gender-based analysis
  • Raise the minimum wage to $16/h and implement regional living wages[71][72]
  • Provide ten paid sick days for all workers[71][73]
  • Study implementation of a four day work week[74]
  • Limit credit card and delivery fees paid by small businesses
  • Prohibit lobbyists from being involved in political parties
  • Prohibit fraud in internal political party votes
  • Reduce immigration levels to match housing supply levels
  • Prohibit foreigners from buying houses
  • Repeal Bill 163
Social assistance
  • Increase ODSP payments by 5%
  • Increase OW payments by 20%
  • Increase ODSP payments by 20%
  • Conduct a basic income pilot project
  • Increase Old Age Security by $1,000 per year
  • Increase ODSP payments by 20%
  • Double ODSP rates
Taxation
  • Remove license plate sticker requirements and their respective fees
  • Reduce gasoline taxes by 5.7 cents per litre for six months starting on July 1, 2022[68]
  • Reduce fuel taxes by 5.3 cents per litre starting on July 1, 2022
  • Extend qualification for the LIFT tax credit to $50,000
  • Create a Ontario Seniors Care at Home Tax Credit
  • Create a tax on housing speculation
  • Raise taxes on upper income workers by an unspecified amount
  • Create a filming tax-credit
  • Remove the provincial sales tax from prepared meals under $20
  • Increase the corporate tax rate by 1% on corporations with a profit above $1 billion
  • Increase the income tax rate by 2% on income over $500,000
  • Create a $75 tax credit for each winter tire installed
  • Introduce a 20% multiple homes speculation tax on third and additional properties
Transportation
  • Restore passenger rail service to Northern Ontario
  • Build Ontario Highway 413
  • Build the Bradford Bypass highway
  • Build highway 7 between Guelph and Kitchener
  • Widen highway 401 to between Hespeler Road and Townline Road, Oshawa and Port Hope, Pickering to Eastern Ontario
  • Widen Highway 17 from Arnprior to Renfrew
  • Extend GO Transit trains to Bowmanville
  • Extend GO Transit trains to London
  • Build the Ontario Line Subway, Scarborough Subway Extension, Yonge North Subway Extension and Eglinton Crosstown West Extention
  • Raise the speed limit to 110 km/h on all 400-series highways
  • Remove tolls on highway 412 and highway 418
  • Restore passenger rail service to Northern Ontario
  • Cancel the construction of highway 413
  • Fund two-way all-day GO Transit to Kitchener-Waterloo
  • Extend the Hurontario LRT to downtown Brampton
  • Fund 50% of municipal transit costs
  • Cancel the construction of highway 413
  • Fund two-way all-day GO Transit to Milton
  • Reduce all transit fares in Ontario to $1 per ride[75]
  • Make public transit publically funded for veterans
Unions
  • Allow any workplace to unionize when 55% of workers endorse unionization
  • Allow contractors to unionize
  • Ban strikebreakers
  • Allow students to unionize
  • Allow contractors to unionize

Endorsements

Endorsements received by each party
Type PC NDP Liberal Green New Blue Ontario Party No endorsement
Media
Politicians and public figures
Unions and business associations International Brotherhood of Boilermakers (IBB)[76]International Brotherhood of Electrical Workers (IBEW)[77]
Laborers' International Union of North America (LiUNA)[78] 		Canadian Union of Public Employees (CUPE)[79]
Ontario Federation of Labour (OFL)[80]

United Food and Commercial Workers (UFCW)[81]
United Steelworkers (USW)[82]

Candidates

Main article: Candidates of the 2022 Ontario general election

Incumbents not running for reelection

Electoral district Incumbent at dissolution Subsequent nominee New MPP
Don Valley West   Kathleen Wynne[83] Stephanie Bowman[84]
Simcoe—Grey   Jim Wilson[85] –
Thornhill   Gila Martow[86] Laura Smith[87]
Windsor—Tecumseh   Percy Hatfield[88] Gemma Grey-Hall[89]
Kitchener South—Hespeler   Amy Fee[90] Jess Dixon[91]
Durham   Lindsey Park[92] –
Perth—Wellington   Randy Pettapiece[93] Matthew Rae[94]
Stormont—Dundas—South Glengarry   Jim McDonell[95] Nolan Quinn[96]
Parry Sound—Muskoka   Norm Miller[97] Graydon Smith[98]
Essex   Taras Natyshak[99] Ron LeClair[100]
Kingston and the Islands   Ian Arthur[101] Mary Rita Holland[102]
Scarborough Centre   Christina Mitas[103] Dave Smith
Bruce—Grey—Owen Sound   Bill Walker[104] Rick Byers[105]
Burlington   Jane McKenna[106] Natalie Pierre[107]
Hastings—Lennox and Addington   Daryl Kramp[108] Ric Bresee[109]
Newmarket—Aurora   Christine Elliott[110] Dawn Gallagher Murphy[111]
Lanark—Frontenac—Kingston   Randy Hillier[33] –
Beaches—East York   Rima Berns-McGown[112] Kate Dupuis[113]
York Centre   Roman Baber[114] –
Toronto Centre   Suze Morrison[115] Kristyn Wong-Tam[116]
Haldimand—Norfolk   Toby Barrett[117] Ken Hewitt[118]
Thunder Bay—Superior North   Michael Gravelle[119] Shelby Ch’ng[120]
Brampton North   Kevin Yarde –

Opinion polls

Campaign polls

Template:Import-blanktable

Polling firm Last date
of polling 		Source PC NDP Liberal Green New Blue Ontario Other Margin of error Sample size Polling type Lead
Abacus Data May 15, 2022 [p 1] 35 24 28 5 — — 7 +3.1% 1,000 Online 7
Mainstreet Research May 15, 2022 [p 2] 35.5 24.8 26.8 4.4 — — 8.5 +2.3% 1,792 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 8.7
Mainstreet Research May 14, 2022 [p 2] 36 25.4 27.6 4.1 — — 7 +2.3% 1,764 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 8.4
Mainstreet Research May 13, 2022 [p 2] 36 24.4 26.8 5.2 — — 7.5 +2.3% 1,773 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 9.2
Mainstreet Research May 12, 2022 [p 2] 36.6 22.6 28.6 5.2 — — 7 +2.4% 1,639 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 8
Mainstreet Research May 11, 2022 [p 2] 38.8 21.1 28.1 5.4 — — 6.6 +2.4% 1,673 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 10.7
Mainstreet Research May 10, 2022 [p 2] 39.0 22.3 27.1 4.6 — — 7 +2.4% 1,639 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 11.9
Mainstreet Research May 9, 2022 [p 2] 36.5 23.5 29 4.9 — — 6.1 +2.5% 1,639 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 7.5
Abacus Data May 9, 2022 [p 3] 38 22 29 5 — — 7 +2.1% 1,500 Online 9
Innovative Research Group May 9, 2022 [p 4] 40 24 28 6 — — 3 N/A 600 Online 12
EKOS May 9, 2022 [p 5] 33.9 25.4 29.3 5.1 — — 6.3 +3.1% 1,000 IVR 4.6
Nanos Research May 8, 2022 [p 6] 35.4 23.7 30.4 4.2 3.6 1.4 1.2 ±4.4% 500 Telephone/Online 5.0
Earnscliffe/Leger May 8, 2022 [p 7] 39 24 27 6 — — 3 N/A 1,000 Online 12
Leger May 8, 2022 [p 8] 39 25 26 4 3 1 2 +3.1% 819 Online 13
Mainstreet Research May 8, 2022 [p 2] 37 23 30 5 — — 5 +2.5% 1,515 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 7
Mainstreet Research May 7, 2022 [p 2] 36.3 24.2 30.2 4.6 — — 4.6 +2.5% 1,496 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 6.1
Mainstreet Research May 6, 2022 [p 2] 38.3 24.5 29.1 4 — — 4 +2.5% 1,532 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 9.2
Mainstreet Research May 5, 2022 [p 2] 37.4 25.7 28.1 4.6 — — 4.2 ±2.7% 1,335 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 9.3
Forum Research May 4, 2022 [p 9] 37 26 29 4 — — 4 ±3% 2,117 IVR 8
Mainstreet Research May 4, 2022 [p 2] 36.7 25.1 27.1 5.7 — — 5.3 ±2.7% 1,335 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 9.6

Pre-campaign polls

Template:Import-blanktable

Polling firm Last date
of polling 		Source PC NDP Liberal Green New Blue Ontario Other Margin of error Sample size Polling type Lead
Nanos Research May 2, 2022 [p 10] 36.9 23.7 30.4 4.3 0.9 2.8 0.8 ±4.4% 500 Telephone/Online 6.5
Innovative Research Group May 2, 2022 [p 11] 37 24 29 7 — — 2 N/A 1,409 Online 8
Earnscliffe/Leger May 1, 2022 [p 12] 35 24 28 7 — — 6 N/A 1,001 Online 7
Ipsos May 1, 2022 [p 13] 39 25 26 6 — — 5 ±2.9% 1,501 Telephone/Online 13
Mainstreet Research April 27, 2022 [p 2] 38.1 18.1 30.4 5.1 — — 8.3 ±2.6% 1,422 IVR 7.7
Earnscliffe/Leger April 24, 2022 [p 14] 38 25 28 5 — — 5 N/A 1,000 Online 10
Abacus Data April 19, 2022 [p 15] 36 23 32 6 — — 4 ±2.1% 1,500 Online 4
Mainstreet Research April 19, 2022 [p 2] 39.6 21.2 25.4 5.6 — — 7.6 ±2.8% 1,211 IVR 14.2
Ipsos April 14, 2022 [p 16] 35 23 32 5 — — 5 ±3.5% 1,001 Online 3
Mainstreet Research April 12, 2022 [p 2] 36 24 28 5 — — 6 ±2.8% 1239 IVR 8
Mainstreet Research April 6, 2022 [p 2] 39.2 24.1 25.8 3.4 — — 7.5 ±2.7% 1,289 IVR 13.4
Mainstreet Research March 31, 2022 [p 17] 36 22 31 4 — — 7 ±2.8% 1,252 IVR 5
Leger March 28, 2022 [p 18] 39 24 25 5 5 — 3 ±3.1% 1,001 Online 14
Angus Reid March 15, 2022 [p 19] 37 29 25 4 — — 5 ±3% 1,063 Online 8
Ipsos March 15, 2022 [p 20] 38 24 28 4 — — 5 ±3.8% 850 Online 10
Mainstreet Research March 13, 2022 [p 21] 33.9 25.7 27.8 5 — — 7.6 ±3% 1,026 IVR 6.1
Leger February 27, 2022 [p 22] 39 27 27 3 2 — 2[a] ±3.1% 1,001 Online 12
Mainstreet Research January 25, 2022 [p 23] 34.6 22.4 27.3 3.5 — — 12.3 ±3% 882 IVR 7.3
Leger January 24, 2022 [p 24] 37 25 26 7 3 — 5[b] ±3.1% 1,000 Online 11
Counsel January 23, 2022 [p 25] 34.9 30.5 24.2 4.4 — — 6 ±2.1% 2,273 Online 4.4
EKOS January 17, 2022 [p 26] 34.8 26.6 26.3 4.9 — — 7.5 ±3.5% 844 IVR 8.2
Abacus Data January 12, 2022 [p 27] 37 25 28 5 — — 2.5 ±3.1% 1,210 Online 9
Angus Reid January 12, 2022 [p 28] 33 36 19 4 — — 8 N/A 909 Online 3
Innovative Research Group January 11, 2022 [p 29] 35 22 36 5 — — 2 N/A 428 Online 1
Mainstreet Research January 7, 2022 [p 30] 30.6 27.0 27.9 5.5 — — 9.0 ±2.7% 1,246 IVR 2.7
December 14, 2021 Derek Sloan announced as the Leader of the Ontario Party
Leger December 13, 2021 [p 31] 38 28 25 5 2 — 3 ±3.1% 1,000 Online 10
EKOS November 25, 2021 [p 32] 32.8 23.1 28.3 5.2 — — 10.5 ±4.1% 569 IVR 4.5
Innovative Research Group November 17, 2021 [p 33] 34.8 27 32.6 3.4 — — 2.2 N/A 1,000 Online 2.2
Leger November 14, 2021 [p 34] 34 26 31 6 2 — 1 ±3.1% 1,001 Online 3
Leger October 10, 2021 [p 35] 35 25 30 5 — — 5 ±3.1% 1,003 Online 5
Angus Reid October 3, 2021 [p 36] 34 32 25 4 — — 5 N/A 910 Online 2
Angus Reid June 7, 2021 [p 37] 37 33 22 6 — — 3 ±2% 791 Online 4
Leger May 23, 2021 [p 38] 34 25 26 9 — — — ±3.1% 1,001 Online 8
Mainstreet Research May 16, 2021 [p 39] 32.7 28.2 26.9 6.3 — — 5.9 ±3% 958 IVR 4.5
Campaign Research May 8, 2021 [p 40] 36 25 28 7 — — 4 ±2% 2,009 Online 8
Innovative Research Group May 4, 2021 [p 41] 32 22 36 8 — — 2 N/A 481 Online 4
Abacus Data April 21, 2021 [p 42] 34 23 35 5 — — 2 ±3.1% 1,007 Online 1
Innovative Research Group April 20, 2021 [p 43] 30 26 35 8 — — 1 N/A 800 Online 5
Abacus Data April 14, 2021 [p 44] 34 23 34 5 — — 4 ±3.5% 817 Online 0
Innovative Research Group April 13, 2021 [p 45] 32 24 33 8 — — 2 N/A 704 Online 1
EKOS April 12, 2021 [p 46] 34.6 23.5 29.9 8.9 — — 3 ±2.8% 1,204 IVR 4.7
Campaign Research April 6, 2021 [p 47] 41 22 24 10 — — 2 ±2.3% 1,886 Online 17
Leger March 22, 2021 [p 48] 38 28 23 8 — — 3 ±3.1% 1,002 Online 10
Campaign Research March 11, 2021 [p 49] 43 25 20 9 — — 3 ±2.7% 1,344 Online 18
Mainstreet Research February 16, 2021 [p 50] 43 22 25 6 — — 4 ±3.08% 1,011 IVR 18
Campaign Research January 31, 2021 [p 51] 44 25 21 8 — — 3 ±2.6% 1,427 Online 19
Abacus Data January 12, 2021 [p 52] 34 25 29 8 — — 3 ±3.48% 793 Online 5
Mainstreet Research December 5, 2020 [p 53] 46.2 23.4 19.9 6.2 — — 4.3 ±2.94% 1,014 IVR 22.8
Campaign Research December 3, 2020 [p 54] 45 20 24 8 — — 5 ±3% 1,001 Online 21
Angus Reid November 30, 2020 [p 55] 42 28 22 5 — — 3 N/A 1,049 Online 14
Campaign Research November 2, 2020 [p 56] 48 21 23 7 — — 1 ±3% 1,118 Online 25
Abacus Data October 30, 2020 [p 57] 36 25 29 7 — — 3 ±3.1% 1,000 Online 7
October 12, 2020 Jim Karahalios forms the New Blue Party
Abacus Data October 12, 2020 [p 58] 36 29 26 6 — — 2 ±3.1% 1,000 Online 7
Campaign Research October 2, 2020 [p 59] 46 24 20 9 — — 2 ±3% 1,017 Online 22
Campaign Research September 3, 2020 [p 60] 48 22 24 6 — — 2 ±3% 1,129 Online 24
Angus Reid September 1, 2020 [p 61] 45 28 22 4 — — 1 ±3% 1,026 Online 17
Campaign Research August 13, 2020 [p 62] 41 23 26 8 — — 3 ±2% 2,013 Online 15
Innovative Research Group July 20, 2020 [p 63] 36 18 37 8 — — 1 N/A 974 Online 1
Campaign Research July 10, 2020 [p 64] 45 20 27 7 — — 1 ±3% 1,395 Online 18
Innovative Research Group June 23, 2020 [p 65] 31 21 39 9 — — 1 N/A 838 Online 8
Mainstreet Research June 7, 2020 [p 66] 41.8 23.0 27.7 5.5 — — 2.0 ±3% 1,068 IVR 14.1
Campaign Research June 2, 2020 [p 67] 44 22 27 6 — — 2 ±2.5% 1,512 Online 17
Innovative Research Group June 1, 2020 [p 68] 33 20 38 9 — — 0 N/A 698 Online 5
Angus Reid May 24, 2020 [p 69] 43 26 25 6 — — 1 N/A 1,061 Online 17
Abacus Data May 22, 2020 [p 70] 36 19 38 5 — — 2 ±4.1% 597 Online 2
Innovative Research Group May 5, 2020 [p 71] 34 18 39 7 — — 1 N/A 791 Online 5
EKOS March 26, 2020 [p 72] 31.5 17.9 40.4 7.1 — — 3.1 ±3.5% 774 IVR 8.9
Mainstreet Research March 20, 2020 [p 73] 33.1 23.2 33.0 6.9 — — 3.8 ±2.73% 1,017 IVR 0.1
7 March 2020 Steven Del Duca is elected as leader of the Ontario Liberal Party
Campaign Research March 5, 2020 [p 74] 32 28 28 10 — — 2 ±2.9% 1,144 Online 4
Angus Reid February 28, 2020 [p 75] 36 31 24 8 — — 1 ±3.0% 1,051 Online 5
Campaign Research February 26, 2020 [p 76] 32 28 29 9 — — 3 ±3.1% 1,003 Online 3
Campaign Research February 9, 2020 [p 77] 30 26 30 11 — — 3 ±2.5% 1,536 Online 0
EKOS January 19, 2020 [p 78] 31.1 21.2 36.2 9.1 — — 2.3 ±3.9% 634 IVR 5.1
Pollara January 11, 2020 [p 79] 29 27 33 9 — — 2 ±2.1% 2,198 Online 4
EKOS December 10, 2019 [p 80] 29.9 24.4 32.4 9.4 — — 3.9 ±3.4% 811 IVR 2.5
Campaign Research September 9, 2019 [p 81] 32 27 28 11 — — 2 ±3.17% 957 Online 4
Corbett Communications August 16, 2019 [p 82] 30 28 30 11 — — 2 ±3.0% 1,099 Online 0
Corbett Communications July 10, 2019 [p 83] 28 26 28 15 — — 3 ±3.0% 936 Online 0
Corbett Communications June 6, 2019 [p 84] 32 27 26 13 — — 1 ±3.0% 1,555 Online 5
Mainstreet Research May 22, 2019 [p 85] 22.4 24.2 39.9 11.7 — — 1.8 ±3.1% 996 IVR 15.7
Ipsos May 21, 2019 [p 86] 30 29 32 — — — 10 ±3.5% 1,000 Online 2
Corbett Communications May 3, 2019 [p 87] 35 25 27 12 — — 1 ±2.4% 1,836 Online 8
Pollara May 1, 2019 [p 88] 30 31 26 11 — — 1 ±2.5% 1,527 Online 1
Mainstreet Research March 22, 2019 [p 89] 34.4 26.6 26.0 9.4 — — 3.6 ±2.73% 1,290 IVR 7.8
Innovative Research Group January 24, 2019 [p 90] 33 23 36 7 — — 1 751 Online 3
Mainstreet Research January 17, 2019 [p 91] 41.4 27.0 22.6 7.0 — — 2.2 ±2.92% 1,127 IVR 14.4
EKOS December 3, 2018 [p 92] 34.3 26.1 28.0 9.4 — — 2.3 ±3.1% 1,025 IVR 6.3
Campaign Research November 9, 2018 [p 93] 34 25 32 7 — — 2 ±2.3% 1,830 Online 2
Mainstreet Research November 7, 2018 [p 94] 42.2 26.5 21.3 6.4 — — 3.5 ±2.79% 1,229 IVR 15.7
Innovative Research Group October 28, 2018 [p 95] 35 25 32 7 — — 1 1,628 Online 3
Abacus Data October 1, 2018 [p 96] 36 29 24 8 — — 3 1,500 Online 7
Mainstreet Research July 17, 2018 [p 97] 41.7 27.8 21.3 6.7 — — 2.5 ±2.27% 1,861 IVR 13.9
29 June 2018 Doug Ford is sworn in as Premier of Ontario
Innovative Research Group June 21, 2018 [p 90] 37 36 19 7 — — 2 ±4.0% 607 Telephone 1
14 June 2018 John Fraser becomes interim leader of the Ontario Liberal Party
7 June 2018 Kathleen Wynne resigns as leader of the Ontario Liberal Party
2018 election June 7, 2018 — 40.50 33.56 19.59 4.60 — 0.04 1.74 — 5,744,860 — 6.94
Polling firm Last date
of polling 		Source Margin of error Sample size Polling type Lead
PC NDP Liberal Green New Blue Ontario Other

Notes

  1. ^ 1% for Ontario First.
  2. ^ 2% for Ontario First.

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