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| leaders_seat3 = ''Running in [[Brooks-Medicine Hat]]<ref>{{cite web|url=https://medicinehatnews.com/news/local-news/2023/04/08/alberta-party-leader-barry-morishita-will-run-in-brooks-mh/|title=Alberta Party Leader Barry Morishita will run in Brooks-MH|publisher=Medicine Hat News|date=April 8, 2023|access-date=April 9, 2023|last=Gallent|first=Collin}}</ref>''
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<!--bottom-->| title = [[Premier of Alberta|Premier]]
<!--bottom-->| title = [[Premier of Alberta|Premier]]

Revision as of 18:11, 16 May 2023

2023 Alberta general election
← 2019 May 29, 2023 (May 29, 2023)[1]
All 87 seats in the Legislative Assembly of Alberta
44 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
 
Danielle Smith 2014.jpg
Rachel Notley crop.jpg
Leader Danielle Smith Rachel Notley
Party United Conservative New Democratic
Leader since October 6, 2022 October 18, 2014
Leader's seat Brooks-Medicine Hat Edmonton-Strathcona
Last election 63 seats, 54.88% 24 seats, 32.67%
Current seats 60 23
Seats needed Steady Increase21
Incumbent Premier

Danielle Smith
United Conservative



The 2023 Alberta general election will be held on May 29, 2023.[1] Voters will elect the members of the Legislative Assembly of Alberta. Election dates are fixed under Alberta's Election Act, but that does not affect the powers of the lieutenant governor of Alberta to specify a different day in accordance with provisions in the aforementioned act, the Constitution of Canada and the usual conventions of the Westminster parliamentary system.

Background

The 2019 Alberta general election resulted in a majority government for the United Conservative Party led by Jason Kenney. The election of the new United Conservative government was widely predicted by pollsters and academics during the campaign. The United Conservatives capturing 54.88 per cent of the popular vote and won 63 of the 87 seats in the Alberta Legislature.[2] The incumbent New Democratic Party, led by Premier Rachel Notley, experienced a drop in its popular vote share from 40.62 per cent in 2015 to 32.67 per cent, and formed the Official Opposition with 24 seats.[2] The Alberta Party, led by former Edmonton mayor Stephen Mandel, received 9.08 per cent of the popular vote but failed to win any seats in the legislature. Various other parties and independent candidates combined for 3.37 per cent of the popular vote, without gaining any seats in the legislature. Journalist Graham Thomson described the 2019 election campaign as "more vicious, more personal, and more divisive" than any other campaign in Alberta's history.[3]

The United Conservatives were formed through the merger of the two major right-wing parties in Alberta, the Progressive Conservative Association of Alberta and the Wildrose Party, in 2017. Jason Kenney, a former Member of Parliament and Minister in Stephen Harper's Conservative government, was elected as the leader of the Progressive Conservatives in 2017 on a platform of uniting the right-wing parties in Alberta.[4] The merger took place after 95 per cent of Wildrose Party members voted in favor of joining the new United Conservative Party and forming the Official Opposition.[5] In the same year, Jason Kenney was elected as the leader of the United Conservative Party and became the leader of the Opposition.[6]

Initially, the Kenney government enjoyed substantial support among Albertans, with an approval rating of 60 per cent in June of 2019.[7] However, Kenney's approval rating started to decline with the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic,[7] dropping below 50 per cent in February 2020 and falling further to below 33 per cent by June 2021.[8] Growing dissatisfaction within the United Conservative Party led to calls for a leadership review, with discontent primarily centered around the Kenney government's handling of the COVID-19 pandemic. As a result, Central Peace-Notley MLA Todd Loewen resigned, and the United Conservative Caucus voted to expel both Loewen and Cypress-Medicine Hat MLA Drew Barnes on May 13, 2021.[9] Kenney stepped down as the leader of the United Conservative Party on May 18, 2022, after receiving only 51.4 per cent support during the party's leadership review.[10]

An election to choose the new leader of the United Conservative Party was held on October 6, 2022. Former Wildrose Party leader Danielle Smith returned to politics and defeated five other candidates to become the party leader.[11][12] Smith was sworn in as the Premier of Alberta on October 11, 2022,[13] and selected her cabinet on October 21, 2022.[14]

Procedure

In preparation for the next general election, the government adopted the Election Statutes Amendment Act, 2021 (No. 2) (Bill 81 of the second session). The amendments altered the fixed election date to be the last Monday in May unless the lieutenant governor dissolves the Legislature sooner; raised election spending limits for political parties and for nomination contestants; and prohibited third-party advertisers who have a certain type of affiliation to a political party.[15]

Legislature summary

Alberta Legislature
Party[16] Leader Candidates Seats Popular vote
2019 Dissol. 2023 +/- Votes % +/-
United Conservative Danielle Smith 87 63 60
New Democratic Rachel Notley 87 24 23
Green Jordan Wilkie 41 – –
Solidarity Movement Artur Pawlowski 38 New – New
  Independent 22 – 2
Alberta Party Barry Morishita 19 – –
Wildrose Loyalty Coalition Paul Hinman 16 New – New
Alberta Independence Vacant 14 – –
Liberal John Roggeveen 13 – –
Advantage Party Marilyn Burns 4 – –
Communist Naomi Rankin 3 – –
Wildrose Independence Jeevan Mangat (i) 2 New – New
Reform Randy Thorsteinson 1 – –
Buffalo John Molberg 1 New – New
Pro-Life Murray Ruhl 1 – –
  Vacant 2
Blank and invalid votes
Total 349 87 87
Registered voters/turnout

Timeline

2019

2020

2021

  • January 4: Six UCP MLAs are demoted by Jason Kenney for travelling internationally during the COVID-19 pandemic in Alberta.[30]
  • March 6: John Roggeveen is appointed interim leader of the Alberta Liberal Party.[31]
  • April 7: 17 UCP MLAs sign an open letter criticizing the Alberta government for reimposing more stringent public health restrictions aimed at combatting COVID-19.[32][33]
  • July 13: Paul Hinman is elected leader of the WIP.[34]
  • August 31: Barry Morishita is acclaimed as leader of the Alberta Party.[35]
  • November 15: 22 UCP constituency associations announce they have passed special motions calling for a review of Jason Kenney's leadership by March 1, 2022.[36]

2022

  • March 24: UCP MLAs Jason Stephan and Peter Guthrie call on Jason Kenney to resign.[37]
  • May 18: Jason Kenney won 51.4% of votes in favour of him staying as leader in a UCP leadership review vote. However, he announced he would resign shortly after the result was revealed.[38]
  • May 19: The UCP caucus meets and decides to keep Jason Kenney as party leader and premier until a successor is chosen.[39]
  • October 6: The results of the UCP leadership election were announced, with former Wildrose Party leader Danielle Smith elected leader and therefore the next premier. In her victory speech, she invited former UCP MLA and fellow leadership candidate Todd Loewen back into caucus.[40]
  • October 11: Danielle Smith is sworn in as the 19th premier of Alberta.[41]
  • October 21: Wildrose Independence Party leader Paul Hinman is removed as leader by a court decision. Jeevan Mangat is named interim party leader. Hinman is appealing the decision.[42][43]
  • December 8: John Roggeveen is appointed permanent leader of the Alberta Liberal Party.[44][45]

2023

  • May 1: Writs of election issued.[1]
  • May 23–27: Advance voting.[1]
  • May 29: Election day.[1]

Changes in MLAs

Changes in seats held (2019–2023)
Seat Before Change
Date Member Party Reason Date Member Party
Lesser Slave Lake January 14, 2021 Pat Rehn █ United Cons. Removed from caucus due to lack of constituency work[46] █ Independent
July 14, 2021 █ Independent Returned to caucus[47][48] █ United Cons.
Central Peace-Notley May 13, 2021 Todd Loewen █ United Cons. Expelled by caucus over criticism of then premier Jason Kenney's COVID-19 policies [49][50] █ Independent
October 7, 2022 █ Independent Returned to caucus[51] █ United Cons.
Cypress-Medicine Hat May 13, 2021 Drew Barnes █ United Cons. Expelled by caucus over criticism of then premier Jason Kenney's COVID-19 policies[49][50] █ Independent
Fort McMurray-Lac La Biche August 15, 2021 Laila Goodridge █ United Cons. Resigned to stand for election to Fort McMurray-Cold Lake in the 2021 Canadian federal election[52] March 15, 2022 Brian Jean[53] █ United Cons.
Edmonton-South December 21, 2021 Thomas Dang █ New Democratic Resigned from caucus after RCMP investigation was conducted █ Independent
Calgary-Elbow August 31, 2022 Doug Schweitzer █ United Cons. Resigned from Legislature; retired from politics for private sector[54] █ Vacant
Brooks-Medicine Hat October 7, 2022 Michaela Frey █ United Cons. Resigned from Legislature to allow Danielle Smith to stand in a by-election[55] November 8, 2022 Danielle Smith[56] █ United Cons.
Calgary-Lougheed November 30, 2022 Jason Kenney █ United Cons. Resigned from Legislature; left politics[57] █ Vacant

Incumbent MLAs not seeking re-election

The following MLAs have announced that they would not run in the 2023 provincial election:

Retiring incumbent Electoral district Subsequent party nominee Elected MLA
  Thomas Dang[58] Independent[a] Edmonton-South Rhiannon Hoyle
  Deron Bilous[59] New Democratic Edmonton-Beverly-Clareview Peggy Wright
  Jon Carson New Democratic Edmonton-West Henday Brooks Arcand-Paul
  Richard Feehan[60] New Democratic Edmonton-Rutherford Jodi Calahoo Stonehouse
  Drew Barnes[61] Independent[b] Cypress-Medicine Hat Justin Wright
  Leela Aheer[62] United Conservative Chestermere-Strathmore Chantelle de Jonge
  Richard Gotfried[63] United Conservative Calgary-Fish Creek Myles McDougall
  Ron Orr[64] United Conservative Lacombe-Ponoka Jennifer Johnson
  Pat Rehn[65] United Conservative Lesser Slave Lake Scott Sinclair
  Roger Reid[66] United Conservative Livingstone-Macleod Chelsae Petrovic
  Brad Rutherford United Conservative Leduc-Beaumont Brandon Lunty
  Mark Smith United Conservative Drayton Valley-Devon Andrew Boitchenko
  Sonya Savage[67] United Conservative Calgary-North West Rajan Sawhney[68]
Rajan Sawhney[69][c] United Conservative Calgary-North East Inderjit Grewal
  Travis Toews[70] United Conservative Grande Prairie-Wapiti Ron Wiebe
  Tracy Allard[71] United Conservative Grande Prairie Nolan Dyck

The following MLAs lost nomination races:[72]

Outgoing incumbent Electoral district Subsequent party nominee Elected MLA
  Dave Hanson United Conservative Bonnyville-Cold Lake-St. Paul Scott Cyr
  Chris Nielsen New Democratic Edmonton-Decore Sharif Haji
  Tany Yao United Conservative Fort McMurray-Wood Buffalo Tany Yao[73][d]

Candidates

Candidates who are running are as follows:[74][75][76][77]

Party leaders are in bold. Candidate names appear as they appeared on the ballot.

† = Not seeking re-election
‡ = Running for re-election in different riding § = Represents that the incumbent lost that party's nomination

Northern Alberta

Electoral district Candidates Incumbent
UCP NDP Other
Athabasca-Barrhead-Westlock Glenn van Dijken Landen Tischer Glenn van Dijken
Bonnyville-Cold Lake-St. Paul Scott Cyr Caitlyn Blake Dave Hanson§
Central Peace-Notley Todd Loewen Megan Ciurysek Wanda Lynn Lekisch (AP)
Rodney Bowen (IPA)
Nancy O'Neill (SMA) 		Todd Loewen
Fort McMurray-Lac La Biche Brian Jean Calan William Simeon Hobbs Kevin Johnston (Ind.) Brian Jean
Fort McMurray-Wood Buffalo Tany Yao Tanika Chaisson Bradley Friesen (AP)
Funky Banjoko (Ind.)
Zulkifl Mujahid (Ind.) 		Tany Yao
Grande Prairie Nolan Dyck Kevin McLean Preston Mildenberger (AP)
David Braun (IPA)
Shane Diederich (Green) 		Tracy Allard†
Grande Prairie-Wapiti Ron Wiebe Dustin Archibald Brooklyn Biegel (IPA) Travis Toews†
Lesser Slave Lake Scott Sinclair Danielle Larivee Bert "Bertrand" Seatter (SMA) Pat Rehn†
Peace River Dan Williams Liana Paiva Conrad Nunweiler (Ind.)
Sharon Noullett (IPA) 		Dan Williams

Edmonton

Central

Electoral district Candidates Incumbent
UCP NDP Green Other
Edmonton-City Centre Richard Wong David Shepherd David Clark David Shepherd
Edmonton-Glenora Melissa Crane Sarah Hoffman Julian Schulz David John Bohonos (SMA) Sarah Hoffman
Edmonton-Gold Bar Miles Berry Marlin Schmidt Ernestina Malheiro Graham Lettner (Ind.) Marlin Schmidt
Edmonton-Highlands-Norwood Nicholas Kalynchuk Janis Irwin Kristine Kowalchuk Naomi Rankin (Comm.) Janis Irwin
Edmonton-Riverview Terry Vankka Lori Sigurdson Robin George Eric Champagne (Lib.) Lori Sigurdson
Edmonton-Strathcona Emad El-Zein Rachel Notley Robert Gooding-Townsend Andrew Jacobson (Buffalo)
Robert Nielsen (WLC) 		Rachel Notley

North

Electoral district Candidates Incumbent
UCP NDP Green Other
Edmonton-Beverly-Clareview Luke Suvanto Peggy Wright Michael Hunter Andrzej "Andy" Gudanowski (Ind.) Deron Bilous†
Edmonton-Castle Downs Jon Dziadyk Nicole Goehring Patrick Stewart (AP) Nicole Goehring
Edmonton-Decore Sayid Ahmed Sharif Haji Brent Tyson (AP)
Don Slater (Lib.) 		Chris Nielsen§
Edmonton-Manning Albert Mazzocca Heather Sweet Derek Thompson Heather Sweet
Edmonton-McClung Daniel Heikkinen Lorne Dach Terry Syvenky Andrew J. Lineker (Ind.) Lorne Dach
Edmonton-North West Ali Haymour David Eggen Tyler Beaulac David Eggen
Edmonton-West Henday Slava Cravcenco Brooks Arcand-Paul Kristina Howard Dan Bildhauer (Lib.) Jon Carson†

South

Electoral district Candidates Incumbent
UCP NDP Green Other
Edmonton-Ellerslie R. Singh Bath Rod Loyola Angela Stretch (WLC) Rod Loyola
Edmonton-Meadows Amrit Singh Matharu Jasvir Deol Corrine Benson (Comm.) Jasvir Deol
Edmonton-Mill Woods Raman Athwal Christina Gray Christina Gray
Edmonton-Rutherford Laine Larson Jodi Calahoo Stonehouse Jordan Wilkie Richard Feehan†
Edmonton-South Joseph Angeles Rhiannon Hoyle Chryssy Beckmann Thomas Dang†
Edmonton-South West Kaycee Madu Nathan Ip Jeff Cullihall Kaycee Madu
Edmonton-Whitemud Raj Sherman Rakhi Pancholi Cheri Hawley Donna Wilson (Lib.) Rakhi Pancholi

Suburbs

Electoral district Candidates Incumbent
UCP NDP Other
Fort Saskatchewan-Vegreville Jackie Armstrong-Homeniuk Taneen Rudyk Kelly Zeleny (APA)
Margaret MacKay (SMA)
Kathy Flett (Ind.) 		Jackie Armstrong-Homeniuk
Leduc-Beaumont Brandon Lunty Cam Heenan Sharon MacLise (IPA)
Bill Kaufmann (SMA)
Kirk Cayer (Ind.) 		Brad Rutherford†
Morinville-St. Albert Dale Nally Karen Shaw Kurt Klingbeil (Green)
Wayne Rufiange (AP) 		Dale Nally
St. Albert Angela Wood Marie Renaud Cameron Jefferies (Green) Marie Renaud
Sherwood Park Jordan Walker Kyle Kasawski Sue Timanson (AP)
Jacob Stacey (Lib.) 		Jordan Walker
Spruce Grove-Stony Plain Searle Turton Chantal Saramaga-McKenzie Daniel Birrell (Green)
Darlene Clarke (SMA) 		Searle Turton
Strathcona-Sherwood Park Nate Glubish Bill Tonita Jody Balanko (Ind.) Nate Glubish

Central Alberta

West

Electoral district Candidates Incumbent
UCP NDP SMA Other
Drayton Valley-Devon Andrew Boitchenko Harry Singh Gail Tookey Dale Withers (APA)
Jon Hokanson (WLC) 		Mark Smith†
Innisfail-Sylvan Lake Devin Dreeshen Jason Heistad Brandon Pringle David Reid (IPA)
Jeevan Mangat (WIP)
Randy Thorsteinson (Reform) 		Devin Dreeshen
Lac Ste. Anne-Parkland Shane Getson Oneil Carlier Janet Jabush (AP)
Marilyn Burns (APA)
Vanessa Diehl (Green) 		Shane Getson
Red Deer-North Adriana LaGrange Jaelene Tweedle Kallie Dyck Vicky Bayford (IPA)
Heather Morigeau (Green) 		Adriana LaGrange
Red Deer-South Jason Stephan Michelle Baer Pamela Liebenberg Ashley MacDonald (Green)
Jesse Stretch (WLC) 		Jason Stephan
Rimbey-Rocky Mountain House-Sundre Jason Nixon Vance Buchwald Tami Tatlock (WLC)
Carol Nordlund Kinsey (APA)
Fred Schwieger (Ind.)
Tim Hoven (Ind.) 		Jason Nixon
West Yellowhead Martin Long Fred Kreiner Martin Long

East

Electoral district Candidates Incumbent
UCP NDP Green WLC SMA Other
Camrose Jackie Lovely Richard Bruneau Pamela Henson Bob Blayone (Ind.) Jackie Lovely
Drumheller-Stettler Nate Horner Juliet Franklin Hannah Stretch Viens Carla Evers Shannon Packham (IPA) Nate Horner
Lacombe-Ponoka Jennifer Johnson Dave Dale Taylor Lowery Daniel Jeffries Nathan Leslie Myles Chykerda (AP) Ron Orr†
Maskwacis-Wetaskiwin Rick Wilson Katherine Swampy Justin Fuss Suzanne Jubb Marie Rittenhouse (Ind.) Rick Wilson
Vermilion-Lloydminster-Wainwright Garth Rowswell Dawn Flaata Tigra-Lee Campbell Danny Hozack Darrell Dunn (AP)
Matthew Powell (Ind.) 		Garth Rowswell

Calgary

Central

Electoral district Candidates Incumbent
UCP NDP Green SMA Other
Calgary-Buffalo Astrid Kuhn Joe Ceci Jonathan Parks Lola Henry Joe Ceci
Calgary-Currie Nicholas Milliken Janet Eremenko Lane Robson Dawid Pawlowski Leila Keith (Lib.)
Jason Avramenko (AP) 		Nicholas Milliken
Calgary-Elbow Chris Davis Samir Kayande Artur Pawlowski Kerry Cundal (AP) Vacant
Calgary-Klein Jeremy Nixon Lizette Tejada Kenneth Drysdale Rob Oswin Jeremy Nixon
Calgary-Mountain View Pamela Rath Kathleen Ganley Christopher Wedick Lucas Hernandez (Pro-Life)
Frances Woytkiw (Lib.) 		Kathleen Ganley
Calgary-Varsity Jason Copping Luanne Metz Kent Liang Oaklan Davidsen (WLC) Jason Copping

East

Electoral district Candidates Incumbent
UCP NDP Green SMA Other
Calgary-Cross Mickey Amery Gurinder Singh Gill Aman Sandhu Kathryn Lapp Mickey Amery
Calgary-East Peter Singh Rosman Valencia Jayden Baldonado Garry Dirk Jonathan Trautman (Comm.) Peter Singh
Calgary-Falconridge Devinder Toor Parmeet Singh Boparai Ahmed Hassan Evan Wilson Kyle Kennedy (Ind.) Devinder Toor
Calgary-Bhullar-McCall Amanpreet Singh Gill Irfan Sabir Irfan Sabir
Calgary-North East Inder Grewal Gurinder Brar Rajan Sawhney‡
Calgary-Peigan Tanya Fir Denis Ram Shaun Pulsifer Tanya Fir

Northwest

Electoral district Candidates Incumbent
UCP NDP Alberta Party SMA Other
Calgary-Beddington Josephine Pon Amanda Chapman Wayne Jackson Zarnab Shahid Zafar (Lib.) Josephine Pon
Calgary-Bow Demetrios Nicolaides Druh Farrell Paul Godard Manuel Santos Demetrios Nicolaides
Calgary-Edgemont Prasad Panda Julia Hayter Allen Schultz Miles Williams Nan Barron (WLC) Prasad Panda
Calgary-Foothills Jason Luan Court Ellingson Kami Dass Keenan DeMontigny (Ind.) Jason Luan
Calgary-North Muhammad Yaseen Rajesh Angral Muhammad Yaseen
Calgary-North West Rajan Sawhney Michael Lisboa-Smith Jenny Yeremiy Alain Habel Serena Thomsen (Ind.) Sonya Savage†
Calgary-West Mike Ellis Joan Chand'oiseau Jason McKee (Green) Mike Ellis

South

Electoral district Candidates Incumbent
UCP NDP Green SMA Other
Calgary-Acadia Tyler Shandro Diana Batten Paul Bechthold Linda McClelland Larry R. Heather (Ind.)
Donna Kathleen Scott (WLC) 		Tyler Shandro
Calgary-Fish Creek Myles McDougall Rebecca Bounsall Dave Hughes Charlie Heater (Lib.) Richard Gotfried†
Calgary-Glenmore Whitney Issik Nagwan Al-Guneid Steven Maffioli Whitney Issik
Calgary-Hays Richard William "Ric" McIver Andrew Stewart Evelyn Tanaka Garry Leonhardt Ric McIver
Calgary-Lougheed Eric Bouchard Venkat Ravulaparthi Nathaniel Pawlowski John Roggeveen (Lib.) Vacant
Calgary-Shaw Rebecca Schulz David Cloutier Pietro Cervo Rebecca Schulz
Calgary-South East Matt Jones Justin Huseby Catriona Wright Heinrich Friesen Matt Jones

Suburbs

Electoral district Candidates Incumbent
UCP NDP Green SMA Other
Airdrie-Cochrane Peter Guthrie Shaun Fluker Michelle Overwater Giles Michael Andrusco Ron Voss (WLC) Peter Guthrie
Airdrie-East Angela Pitt Dan Nelles Michael Jacobsen Angela Pitt
Banff-Kananaskis Miranda Rosin Sarah Elmeligi Regan Boychuk Kyle Jubb Miranda Rosin
Chestermere-Strathmore Chantelle de Jonge Raj Jessel Jed Laboucane Kerry Lambert (IPA)
Terry Nicholls (Ind.) 		Leela Aheer†
Highwood R.J. Sigurdson Jessica Hallam Mike Lorusso (WIP) R. J. Sigurdson
Olds-Didsbury-Three Hills Nathan Cooper Cheryl Hunter Loewen Judy Bridges Katherine Kowalchuk (IPA)
Cam Tatlock (WLC) 		Nathan Cooper

Southern Alberta

Electoral district Candidates Incumbent
UCP NDP Alberta Independence Other
Brooks-Medicine Hat Danielle Smith Gwendoline Dirk Barry Morishita (AP) Danielle Smith
Cardston-Siksika Joseph Schow Colleen Quintal Terry Wolsey Par Wantenaar (SMA)
Angela Tabak (Ind.) 		Joseph Schow
Cypress-Medicine Hat Justin Wright Cathy Hogg Cody Ray Both Matt Orr (WLC) Drew Barnes†
Lethbridge-East Nathan Neudorf Rob Miyashiro Helen McMenamin (Lib.) Nathan Neudorf
Lethbridge-West Cheryl Seaborn Shannon Phillips Pat Chizek (Lib.)
Braham Luddu (AP) 		Shannon Phillips
Livingstone-Macleod Chelsae Petrovic Kevin Van Tighem Corrie Reed Toone Kevin Todd (AP)
Dylin Hauser (Lib.)
Erik Abildgaard (Ind.) 		Roger Reid†
Taber-Warner Grant Hunter Jazminn Hintz Frank Kast Paul Hinman (WLC)
Joel Hunt (Green)
Brent Ginther (SMA) 		Grant Hunter

Opinion polling

Template:Import-blanktable A local regression graph displaying the polls between the 2019 and 2023 Albertan elections

The following is a list of published opinion polls of voter intentions.

Pollster Client Dates
conducted 		Source UCP NDP Alberta Liberal IPA Green WIP Others Margin of error Sample
size 		Polling
method 		Lead
Mainstreet Research N/A May 11–14, 2023 [p 1] 49% 45% 3% — — 1% 1% 1% 2.9% 1,140 IVR 4%
Mainstreet Research N/A May 10–13, 2023 [p 2] 49% 44% 2% — — 2% 1% 1% 2.9% 1,103 IVR 5%
Sovereign North Strategies Western Standard May 8–13, 2023 [p 3][p 4] 45% 50% 2% — — 2% — 2% 1.8% 2,909 IVR/SMS 5%
Mainstreet Research N/A May 9–12, 2023 [p 5] 50% 44% 2% — — 1% 1% 2% 2.7% 1,280 IVR 6%
Abacus Data N/A May 9–12, 2023 [p 6] 41% 51% 5% — — — — 3% 3.4% 885 Online 10%
Janet Brown Opinion Research N/A May 1–11, 2023 [p 7] 51% 40% — — — — — — 3.3% 900 Telephone 11%
Sovereign North Strategies N/A May 1–7, 2023 [p 8] 48% 47% 3% — — 1% — 2% 1.9% 2,491 IVR/SMS 1%
Mainstreet Research N/A May 1–2, 2023 [p 9] 50% 43% 4% — — 1% — 2% 2.5% 1,524 IVR 7%
Leger Postmedia April 28–May 1, 2023 [p 10] 43% 45% 4% 3% — — 1% 3% 3.1% 1,000 Online 2%
May 1, 2023 The Alberta Legislature is dissolved, election period begins.
Ipsos Global News April 26–30, 2023 [p 11] 48% 44% 4% — — — — 4% 3.2% 1,200 Telephone/ Online 4%
ThinkHQ N/A April 25–29, 2023 [p 12] 46% 46% 5% 1% — — — 2% 2.5% 1,529 Online Tie
Abacus Data N/A April 21–25, 2023 [p 13] 46% 46% 5% — — — — 4% 3.1% 1,000 Online Tie
Oraclepoll Research N/A April 17–20, 2023 [p 14] 44% 46% 3% — — 5% 1% 1% 3.5% 800 Telephone 2%
Innovative Research N/A Apr 13–19, 2023 [p 15] 41% 40% 4% 7% — 4% 3% <1% N/A 1,324 Online 1%
Leger N/A Mar 24–27, 2023 [p 16] 44% 47% 2% 3% — — 1% 2% 3.1% 1,001 Online 3%
Mainstreet Research N/A Mar 21–22, 2023 [p 17] 45% 45.9% 3.2% — — — 2.2% 3.6% 2.9% 1,108 IVR 0.9%
Innovative Research N/A Mar 2–20, 2023 [p 18] 39% 40% 5% 7% — 6% 4% 0% N/A 489 Online 1%
ThinkHQ N/A Mar 14–16, 2023 [p 19] 45% 46% 6% 2% — — — 1% 2.9% 1,122 Online 1%
Angus Reid N/A Mar 6–13, 2023 [p 20] 49% 42% 4% 2% — — 2% 1% 3% 827 Online 7%
Abacus Data N/A Mar 2–4, 2023 [p 21] 45% 45% 6% — — — — 4% 3.8% 700 Online Tie
Leger Postmedia Feb 10–12, 2023 [p 22] 43% 47% 2% 4% — — 2% 2% 3.1% 1,002 Online 4%
Pivotal Research N/A Jan 31–Feb 7, 2023 [p 23][p 24] 42% 46% 6% 6% — — 1% — 4.8% 662 Online 4%
Abacus Data N/A Feb 1–6, 2023 [p 25] 47% 45% 5% — — — — 3% 3.1% 1,000 Online 2%
ThinkHQ N/A Jan 19–20, 2023 [p 26] 48% 45% 4% — — — — 1% 2.9% 1,144 Online 3%
Mainstreet Research N/A Jan 19–20, 2023 [p 27] 45.6% 41.3% 5.9% — — — 3.6% 3.6% 3.9% 646 Smart IVR 4.3%
Abacus Data N/A Dec 6–10, 2022 [p 28] 43% 51% 3% — — — — 3% 3.1% 1,000 Online 8%
Mainstreet Research N/A Dec 2–3, 2022 [p 29] 47% 45% 3.8% — — — 0.8% 3.3% 4% 615 IVR 2%
Angus Reid N/A Nov 28–Dec 3, 2022 [p 30] 48% 44% 5% 1% — — 1% 1% 4% 591 Online 4%
Leger Postmedia Nov 24–28, 2022 [p 31] 44% 47% 2% 4% — — 2% 2% 3.1% 1,001 Online 3%
Janet Brown Opinion Research CBC Oct 12–30, 2022 [p 32] 38% 47% 3% 2% 1% <1% 1% 8% 2.8% 1,200 Telephone 9%
Navigator Ltd. N/A Oct 7–11, 2022 [p 33] 38% 53% 4% — — — — 5% 3.5% 1,002 Online 15%
Leger Postmedia Oct 7–10, 2022 [p 34] 42% 44% 3% 4% — — 4% 4% 3.1% 1,000 Online 2%
October 6, 2022 Danielle Smith elected leader of the UCP and is appointed premier on October 11.
Angus Reid N/A Sep 19–21, 2022 [p 35][p 36] 47% 41% 4% 2% — — 5% 1% 3% 598 Online 6%
Leger Postmedia Sep 1–5, 2022 [p 37] 44% 41% 4% 2% — — 4% 3% 3.1% 1,006 Online 3%
Leger Postmedia July 15–17, 2022 [p 38] 41% 45% 5% 2% — — 4% 3% 3.1% 1,025 Online 4%
Angus Reid N/A June 7–13, 2022 [p 39] 42% 40% 6% 2% — — 9% 2% 4% 592 Online 2%
Counsel N/A June 8–11, 2022 [p 40] 37% 42% 5% — — — 8% 9% 3.5% 788 Online 5%
Leger N/A May 20–23, 2022 [p 41] 42% 40% 3% 3% — — 5% 4% 3.1% 1,000 Online 2%
May 18, 2022 Jason Kenney announced his intention to resign as premier of Alberta and leader of the UCP.
ThinkHQ N/A Mar 29–April 1, 2022 [p 42] 34% 46% 5% 2% — — 13% 2% 2.9% 1,135 Online 12%
Mainstreet Research N/A Mar 23–24, 2022 [p 43] 37% 40% 6% 2% — 1% 9% 4% 3% 1,290 IVR 3%
Leger N/A Mar 18–20, 2022 [p 44] 35% 44% 3% 4% — — 8% 6% 3.1% 1,002 Online 9%
Angus Reid N/A Mar 10–15, 2022 [p 45][p 46] 38% 40% 6% 2% — — 11% 3% 4% 584 Online 2%
Research Co. N/A Mar 11–13, 2022 [p 47] 30% 45% 7% 5% 1% 3% 8% 1% 4% 600 Online 15%
Janet Brown Opinion Research N/A Feb 25–Mar 10, 2022 [p 48] 40% 36% — — — — — — 3.3% 900 Telephone 4%
Yorkville Strategies N/A Mar 3–9, 2022 [p 49] 44% 39% 4% 3% — — 8% 2% 4% 600 Telephone 5%
Angus Reid N/A Jan 7–12, 2022 [p 50] 31% 42% 8% 1% — — 16% 2% 4% 548 Online 11%
Leger Postmedia Dec 2–5, 2021 [p 51] 32% 43% — — — — 10% — 2.8% 1,249 Online 11%
Nanos Yellowstone to Yukon Oct 13–Nov 1, 2021 [p 52] 38.8% 47.2% 6.5% 2.1% — 0.1% 3.3% 1.8% 3.5% 801 Online 8.4%
Mainstreet Research Western Standard Oct 12–13, 2021 [p 53] 29% 45% 6% 2% — 1% 13% — 3.2% 935 IVR 16%
Commonground N/A Sep 21–Oct 6, 2021 [p 54] 26.9% 49.5% 6.7% 5.2% — — 5.3% 6.4% N/A 1,204 Online 22.6%
Innovative Research N/A Sep 24–Oct 5, 2021 [p 55] 29% 45% 5% 9% — 2% 8% 1% N/A 672 Online 16%
Angus Reid N/A Sep 29–Oct 3, 2021 [p 56] 31% 43% 7% 2% — 1% 15% 2% 2.0% 552 Online 12%
Innovative Research N/A Sep 10–12, 2021 [p 57] 31% 44% 5% 8% — 4% 7% 1% N/A 209 Online 13%
Leger Postmedia July 22–26, 2021 [p 58] 34% 45% 6% 4% — — 8% 2% 3% 1,377 Online 11%
Angus Reid N/A June 2–7, 2021 [p 59] 30% 41% 7% 1% — — 20% 2% 4% 502 Online 11%
Mainstreet Research Western Standard May 19–20, 2021 [p 60] 31% 38% 6% 3% — 3% 17% — 3% 1,010 IVR 7%
Janet Brown Opinion Research CBC Mar 15–April 10, 2021 [p 61] 37% 45% 6% — — — 6% 7% 2.1% 1,200 Online 8%
Leger Calgary Herald Mar 5–8, 2021 [p 62] 30% 51% 5% 7% — — — 6% 3.1% 1,001 Online 21%
Commonground N/A Mar 1–8, 2021 [p 63] 32% 42% 5% 6% — — 4% 9% N/A 802 Online 9%
Angus Reid N/A Feb 26–Mar 3, 2021 [p 64][p 65] 38% 41% 10% 2% — 1% — 11% 4% 603 Online 3%
Mainstreet Research Western Standard Jan 6–7, 2021 [p 66] 31% 48% 4% 3% — 2% 10% 2% 3.1% 1,003 Smart IVR 17%
Research Co. N/A Dec 2–4, 2020 [p 67] 40% 43% 9% 2% — 2% 2% — 4% 600 Online 3%
Angus Reid N/A Nov 24–30, 2020 [p 68][p 69] 43% 39% 10% 2% — 1% — 5% — 553 Online 4%
Environics Research CUPE Nov 10–23, 2020 [p 70] 40% 47% 8% — — — — 5% — 1,205 — 7%
Angus Reid N/A Aug 26–Sep 1, 2020 [p 71][p 72] 38% 38% 9% 2% 7% 1% — 5% 4% 512 Online Tie
Commonground N/A Aug 17–30, 2020 [p 73] 37% 30% — 11% — — — 21% N/A 824 Online 7%
Innovative Research Group N/A Jul 14–20, 2020 [p 74] 42% 32% 9% 12% — 3% — 3% — 300 Online 10%
Innovative Research Group N/A Jun 19–23, 2020 [p 75] 44% 38% 5% 6% — 3% — 3% — 267 Online 6%
Innovative Research Group N/A May 29–June 1, 2020 [p 76] 42% 28% 11% 14% — 3% — 2% — 276 Online 14%
Janet Brown Opinion Research CBC May 25–June 1, 2020 [p 77] 46% 36% 10% 6% — — — 3% 3.3% 900 Online 10%
Angus Reid N/A May 19–24, 2020 [p 78][p 79] 42% 36% 5% 2% 8% 2% — 4% 1.4% 580 Online 6%
Northwest Research Group Western Standard May 14–19, 2020 [p 80] 40% 34% 8% 7% — 1% 10% — 3% 1,094 IVR 6%
Innovative Research Group N/A May 1–5, 2020 [p 81] 45% 30% 6% 8% — 7% — 2% — 314 Online 15%
Angus Reid N/A Feb 24–28, 2020 [p 82][p 83] 40% 36% 8% 2% 9% 1% — 4% — 555 Online 4%
Mainstreet Research 338Canada Feb 22, 2020 [p 84] 47% 38% 6% 4% — — — 5% 4% 751 IVR 9%
Stratcom N/A Nov 21, 2019 [p 85] 42% 46% — — — — — 12% 2.2% 1,798 IVR 4%
Lethbridge College N/A Oct 5-10, 2019 [p 86] 58.1% 23.2% 5.8% 7.8% — — — 5.2% 3.17% 953 Telephone 34.9%
2019 general election April 16, 2019 54.9% 32.7% 9.1% 1.0% 0.7% 0.4% — 1.2% — — — 22.2%
Pollster Client Dates
conducted 		Source Others Margin of error Sample
size 		Polling
method 		Lead
UCP NDP Alberta Liberal IPA Green WIP

Regional polls

Calgary

Pollster Client Dates
conducted 		Source UCP NDP Alberta WIP Others Margin of error Sample
size 		Polling
method 		Lead
Mainstreet Research N/A April 17–18, 2023 [p 87] 45.6% 44.1% – – – – <1,651 Smart IVR 1.5%
Janet Brown Opinion Research CBC Mar 23–April 6, 2023 [p 88] 42% 47% 3% 1% 2% 3.1% 1,000 Telephone / Online 5%
2019 general election April 16, 2019 53.2% 34.6% 9.5% — 2.7% — — — 18.6%
Pollster Client Dates
conducted 		Source UCP NDP Alberta WIP Others Margin of error Sample
size 		Polling
method 		Lead

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Footnotes

  1. ^ Dang was elected in the 2019 election as an NDP candidate but later became an Independent MLA.
  2. ^ Barnes was elected in the 2019 election as a UCP candidate but later became an Independent MLA.
  3. ^ Though Sawhney initially declared that she would not seek re-election in her own riding of Calgary-North East, she was later appointed the UCP candidate in Calgary-North West.
  4. ^ Yao originally lost the UCP nomination to Zulkifl Mujahid in December 2022; after Mujahid was disqualified in April 2023, Yao was appointed the UCP candidate in his place.

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