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In some [[stock market]]s, the '''Mark Twain effect''' or '''October Effect''' is the phenomenon of stock returns in October being lower than in other months.<ref name= "sayings">{{cite news |url= https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/wealth/invest/how-true-are-stock-market-sayings/articleshow/50242837.cms |title=How true are stock market sayings? |work=[[The Economic Times]] |date=December 21, 2015 |access-date=November 23, 2017}}</ref> The name comes from a line in [[Mark Twain]]'s [[Pudd'nhead Wilson]]: "October. This is one of the peculiarly dangerous months to speculate in stocks. The others are July, January, September, April, November, May, March, June, December, August, and February."<ref>{{cite book |last1=Twain |first1=Mark |title=The Tragedy of Puddn'head Wilson |date=1894 |publisher=American Publishing Company |location=Hartford, CONN |url=https://gutenberg.org/ebooks/102}}</ref><ref name= "weekend">{{cite news |url= https://asunow.asu.edu/20170201-discoveries-asu-research-debunks-myth-stock-market-weekend-effect |title=ASU research helps debunk myth of stock market 'weekend effect' |work=[[Arizona State University]] |date=February 1, 2017 |access-date=November 23, 2017}}</ref>
In some [[stock market]]s, the '''October Effect''' also referred to as the '''Mark Twain effect''' is the phenomenon of stock returns in October being lower than in other months.<ref name= "sayings">{{cite news |url= https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/wealth/invest/how-true-are-stock-market-sayings/articleshow/50242837.cms |title=How true are stock market sayings? |work=[[The Economic Times]] |date=December 21, 2015 |access-date=November 23, 2017}}</ref> The reference to Mark Twain comes from a line in [[Mark Twain]]'s [[Pudd'nhead Wilson]]: "October. This is one of the peculiarly dangerous months to speculate in stocks. The others are July, January, September, April, November, May, March, June, December, August, and February."<ref>{{cite book |last1=Twain |first1=Mark |title=The Tragedy of Puddn'head Wilson |date=1894 |publisher=American Publishing Company |location=Hartford, CONN |url=https://gutenberg.org/ebooks/102}}</ref><ref name= "weekend">{{cite news |url= https://asunow.asu.edu/20170201-discoveries-asu-research-debunks-myth-stock-market-weekend-effect |title=ASU research helps debunk myth of stock market 'weekend effect' |work=[[Arizona State University]] |date=February 1, 2017 |access-date=November 23, 2017}}</ref>


The quotation is a sarcastic assertion that speculation in stocks is always dangerous. The fact that Twain specifically picks out October initially is taken as a reference{{dubious|Post-hoc attribution|date=October 2023}} to an "October effect", as exemplified by the 1929, 1987 and 2008 [[stock market crash]]es which roughly occurred in October.
The quotation is a sarcastic assertion that speculation in stocks is always dangerous. Twain wrote Pudd'nhead Wilson in 1894 many years before the [[stock market crash]]es of 1929, 1987 and 2008 which roughly occurred in October.


== See also ==
== See also ==

Latest revision as of 23:13, 24 November 2023

In some stock markets, the October Effect also referred to as the Mark Twain effect is the phenomenon of stock returns in October being lower than in other months.[1] The reference to Mark Twain comes from a line in Mark Twain's Pudd'nhead Wilson: "October. This is one of the peculiarly dangerous months to speculate in stocks. The others are July, January, September, April, November, May, March, June, December, August, and February."[2][3]

The quotation is a sarcastic assertion that speculation in stocks is always dangerous. Twain wrote Pudd'nhead Wilson in 1894 many years before the stock market crashes of 1929, 1987 and 2008 which roughly occurred in October.

See also

[edit]

References

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  1. ^ "How true are stock market sayings?". The Economic Times. December 21, 2015. Retrieved November 23, 2017.
  2. ^ Twain, Mark (1894). The Tragedy of Puddn'head Wilson. Hartford, CONN: American Publishing Company.
  3. ^ "ASU research helps debunk myth of stock market 'weekend effect'". Arizona State University. February 1, 2017. Retrieved November 23, 2017.