2024 Lambton—Kent—Middlesex provincial by-election: Difference between revisions
Content deleted Content added
Earl Andrew (talk | contribs) based on polling it makes sense to include the Greens as well |
Summary of candidates with sources. |
||
| Line 79: | Line 79: | ||
=== Progressive Conservative === |
=== Progressive Conservative === |
||
On 27 January 2024, Steve Pinsonneault, a Chatham-Kent councillor and businessman in Thamesville, beat Neal Roberts, chief of the Middlesex London Paramedic Service.<ref>{{Cite web |last=Bieman |first=Jennifer |date=January 27, 2024 |title=Lambton-Kent-Middlesex: PCs fill vacancy for coming Ontario byelection |url=https://lfpress.com/news/local-news/lambton-kent-middlesex-pcs-fill-vacancy-for-coming-ontario-byelection |website=London Free Press}}</ref> |
On 27 January 2024, Steve Pinsonneault, a [[Chatham-Kent]] councillor and businessman in [[Thamesville]], beat Neal Roberts, chief of the Middlesex London Paramedic Service.<ref>{{Cite web |last=Bieman |first=Jennifer |date=January 27, 2024 |title=Lambton-Kent-Middlesex: PCs fill vacancy for coming Ontario byelection |url=https://lfpress.com/news/local-news/lambton-kent-middlesex-pcs-fill-vacancy-for-coming-ontario-byelection |website=London Free Press}}</ref> Pinsonneault has received criticism from various media sources and the social conservative [[Campaign Life Coalition]] for his support of pay suspension of fellow Chatham-Kent councillor Rhonda Jubenville.<ref>{{Cite web |date=April 5, 2024 |title=ANTI-DEMOCRACY COUNCIL MEMBERS IN CHATHAM-KENT MUST RESIGN! |url=https://www.campaignlifecoalition.com/petition/id/74 |url-status=live |access-date=April 5, 2024 |website=Campaign Life Coalition}}</ref> This was in response to her conduct following her support of a ban on non-official flags on municipal property. |
||
=== New Blue === |
|||
Keith Benn, a geoscientist and local of [[Wallaceburg]], is running an anti-establishment campaign with a focus on local issues, affordability, and providing a "classical conservative" approach to governance.<ref>{{Cite web |date=2024-02-21 |title=New Blue Party name Lambton-Kent-Middlesex candidate - CK News Today |url=https://cknewstoday.ca/chatham/news/2024/02/21/new-blue-party-name-lambton-kent-middlesex-candidate |access-date=2024-04-05 |website=cknewstoday.ca |language=en}}</ref> |
|||
=== Green === |
|||
Andraena Tilgner, a registered respiratory therapist and candidate for the Green Party in 2022, is running a campaign with a focus on healthcare issues.<ref>{{Cite news |date=April 3, 2024 |title=Provincial byelection called for Lambton-Kent-Middlesex |url=https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/london/ontario-byelection-lambton-kent-middlesex-1.7162235 |url-status=live |access-date=April 5, 2024 |work=CBC News}}</ref> |
|||
== Polling == |
== Polling == |
||
Revision as of 18:48, 5 April 2024
 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Riding of Lambton—Kent—Middlesex | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
A by-election is scheduled to be held in the provincial riding of Lambton—Kent—Middlesex in Ontario on May 2, 2024, to elect a new member of the Legislative Assembly of Ontario following the resignation of Progressive Conservative MPP and cabinet minister Monte McNaughton.[1]
It will be held the same day as the 2024 Milton provincial by-election.[2]
Candidates
Progressive Conservative
On 27 January 2024, Steve Pinsonneault, a Chatham-Kent councillor and businessman in Thamesville, beat Neal Roberts, chief of the Middlesex London Paramedic Service.[3] Pinsonneault has received criticism from various media sources and the social conservative Campaign Life Coalition for his support of pay suspension of fellow Chatham-Kent councillor Rhonda Jubenville.[4] This was in response to her conduct following her support of a ban on non-official flags on municipal property.
New Blue
Keith Benn, a geoscientist and local of Wallaceburg, is running an anti-establishment campaign with a focus on local issues, affordability, and providing a "classical conservative" approach to governance.[5]
Green
Andraena Tilgner, a registered respiratory therapist and candidate for the Green Party in 2022, is running a campaign with a focus on healthcare issues.[6]
Polling
| Polling firm | Last date of polling |
Source | PC | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | Margin of error | Sample size | Polling type | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liaison Strategies | March 28, 2024 | [7] | 39% | 14% | 26% | 12% | 9% | ±4.88% | 403 | IVR | 13% |
Results
| Ontario provincial by-election, May 2, 2024: Lambton—Kent—Middlesex Resignation of Monte McNaughton | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | ||||
| Progressive Conservative | Steve Pinsonneault | |||||||
| New Democratic | Kathryn Shailer | |||||||
| Liberal | Cathy Burghardt-Jesson | |||||||
| New Blue | Keith Benn | |||||||
| Green | Andraena Tilgner | |||||||
| None of the Above | Stephen R. Campbell | |||||||
| Total valid votes | ||||||||
| Total rejected ballots | ||||||||
| Turnout | ||||||||
| Eligible voters | ||||||||
2022 result
| 2022 Ontario general election: Lambton—Kent—Middlesex | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | Expenditures | |||
| Progressive Conservative | Monte McNaughton | 24,933 | 58.81 | +3.46 | $86,631 | |||
| New Democratic | Vanessa Benoit | 7,987 | 18.84 | −14.48 | $66,308 | |||
| Liberal | Bruce Baker | 4,063 | 9.58 | +3.35 | $0 | |||
| New Blue | David Barnwell | 2,701 | 6.37 | $3,090 | ||||
| Green | Wanda Dickey | 1,688 | 3.98 | +0.69 | $381 | |||
| Ontario Party | Aaron Istvan Vegh | 727 | 1.71 | $0 | ||||
| None of the Above | Dean Eve | 300 | 0.71 | $283 | ||||
| Total valid votes/expense limit | 42,399 | 99.41 | +0.63 | $126,309 | ||||
| Total rejected, unmarked, and declined ballots | 253 | 0.59 | -0.63 | |||||
| Turnout | 42,652 | 47.28 | −13.50 | |||||
| Eligible voters | 90,109 | |||||||
| Progressive Conservative hold | Swing | +8.97 | ||||||
Source(s)
"Summary of Valid Votes Cast for Each Candidate" (PDF). Elections Ontario. Archived from the original on 2023-05-18. "Statistical Summary by Electoral District" (PDF). Elections Ontario. Archived from the original on 2023-05-21. | ||||||||
References
- ^ "Ontario Labour Minister Monte McNaughton quits government, triggering cabinet shuffle | Globalnews.ca". Global News. Retrieved 2024-04-04.
- ^ "Ontario Newsroom". news.ontario.ca. Retrieved 2024-04-04.
- ^ Bieman, Jennifer (January 27, 2024). "Lambton-Kent-Middlesex: PCs fill vacancy for coming Ontario byelection". London Free Press.
- ^ "ANTI-DEMOCRACY COUNCIL MEMBERS IN CHATHAM-KENT MUST RESIGN!". Campaign Life Coalition. April 5, 2024. Retrieved April 5, 2024.
{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: url-status (link) - ^ "New Blue Party name Lambton-Kent-Middlesex candidate - CK News Today". cknewstoday.ca. 2024-02-21. Retrieved 2024-04-05.
- ^ "Provincial byelection called for Lambton-Kent-Middlesex". CBC News. April 3, 2024. Retrieved April 5, 2024.
{{cite news}}: CS1 maint: url-status (link) - ^ "Byelection surveys for the National Ethnic Press and Media Council of Canada" (PDF). Liaison Strategies. 3 April 2024. Retrieved 4 April 2024.
See also
  | This elections in Canada-related article is a stub. You can help Wikipedia by expanding it. |