2024 West Sumatra gubernatorial election: Difference between revisions
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| map_caption = Location of West Sumatra in [[Indonesia]] |
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| before_election = [[Mahyeldi Ansharullah]] |
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The '''2024 West Sumatra gubernatorial election''' will be <!-- was -->held on 27 November 2024 as part of [[2024 Indonesian local elections|nationwide local elections]] to elect the [[List of governors of West Sumatra|governor of West Sumatra]] for a five-year term. The previous election was held in 2020. |
The '''2024 West Sumatra gubernatorial election''' will be <!-- was -->held on 27 November 2024 as part of [[2024 Indonesian local elections|nationwide local elections]] to elect the [[List of governors of West Sumatra|governor of West Sumatra]] for a five-year term. The previous election was held in [[2020 West Sumatra gubernatorial election|2020]]. |
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==Electoral system== |
==Electoral system== |
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The election, like other local elections in 2024, follow the [[First-past-the-post voting|first-past-the-post]] system where the candidate with the most votes wins the election, even if they do not win a majority.<ref>{{cite news |title=Pilkada Hanya Satu Putaran |url=https://kedaikopi.co/infografik/pilkada-hanya-satu-putaran/ |access-date=20 May 2024 |work=kedaikopi.co |date=22 July 2020 |language=id}}</ref> It is possible for a candidate to run [[Uncontested election|uncontested]], in which case the candidate is still required to win a majority of votes "against" an "[[None of the above|empty box]]" option. Should the candidate fail to do so, the election will be repeated on a later date.<ref>{{cite news |last1=Mardika |first1=Nando Yussele |title=Jika Kotak Kosong Menang, Pilkada Akan Diulang? |url=https://www.hukumonline.com/klinik/a/jika-kotak-kosong-menang-pilkada-akan-diulang--lt5fa3d3b3f2139/ |access-date=16 April 2024 |work=hukumonline.com |date=5 November 2020 |language=id}}</ref> |
The election, like other local elections in 2024, follow the [[First-past-the-post voting|first-past-the-post]] system where the candidate with the most votes wins the election, even if they do not win a majority.<ref>{{cite news |title=Pilkada Hanya Satu Putaran |url=https://kedaikopi.co/infografik/pilkada-hanya-satu-putaran/ |access-date=20 May 2024 |work=kedaikopi.co |date=22 July 2020 |language=id}}</ref> It is possible for a candidate to run [[Uncontested election|uncontested]], in which case the candidate is still required to win a majority of votes "against" an "[[None of the above|empty box]]" option. Should the candidate fail to do so, the election will be repeated on a later date.<ref>{{cite news |last1=Mardika |first1=Nando Yussele |title=Jika Kotak Kosong Menang, Pilkada Akan Diulang? |url=https://www.hukumonline.com/klinik/a/jika-kotak-kosong-menang-pilkada-akan-diulang--lt5fa3d3b3f2139/ |access-date=16 April 2024 |work=hukumonline.com |date=5 November 2020 |language=id}}</ref> |
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| ⚫ | According to electoral regulations, in order to qualify for the election, candidates are<!--were--> required to secure support from a political party or a coalition of parties controlling 13 seats (20 percent of all seats) in the |
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| ⚫ | * [[Mahyeldi Ansharullah]] ([[Prosperous Justice Party|PKS]]), incumbent governor and former mayor of [[Padang]].<ref name="koalisi">{{cite news |title=Kalahkan Mahyeldi, Kucilkan PKS dan Gagas Koalisi Besar di Pilkada Sumbar |url=https://riaupos.jawapos.com/politik/2254624541/kalahkan-mahyeldi-kucilkan-pks-dan-gagas-koalisi-besar-di-pilkada-sumbar |access-date=22 May 2024 |work=Riau Pos |date=7 May 2024 |language=id}}</ref> |
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| ⚫ | * {{ill|Epyardi Asda|id}} ([[ |
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== Political map == |
== Political map == |
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Following the [[2024 Indonesian legislative election]], nine political parties are represented in the West Sumatra DPRD:<ref name="dprd"/> |
Following the [[2024 Indonesian legislative election]], nine political parties are represented in the [[West Sumatra Regional House of Representatives]] (DPRD):<ref name="dprd"/> |
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| ⚫ | According to electoral regulations, in order to qualify for the election, candidates are<!--were--> required to secure support from a political party or a coalition of parties controlling 13 seats (20 percent of all seats) in the West Sumatra DPRD.<ref>{{cite news |title=KPU Mulai Tetapkan Kursi DPRD, Parpol Sudah Bisa Berhitung Soal Pencalonan di Pilkada |url=https://nasional.kompas.com/read/2024/05/02/17284431/kpu-mulai-tetapkan-kursi-dprd-parpol-sudah-bisa-berhitung-soal-pencalonan-di |access-date=19 May 2024 |work=KOMPAS.com |date=2 May 2024 |language=id}}</ref> As no parties won 13 or more seats in the [[2024 Indonesian legislative election|2024 legislative election]], parties are required to form coalitions in order to nominate candidates.<ref name="dprd">{{cite news |title=Ini 65 Nama Anggota DPRD Provinsi Sumbar Terpilih Periode 2024-2029 |url=https://harianhaluan.id/politik/hh-76202/ini-65-nama-anggota-dprd-provinsi-sumbar-terpilih-periode-2024-2029/2/ |access-date=22 May 2024 |work=Harian Haluan |date=11 March 2024 |language=id}}</ref> Candidates may alternatively demonstrate support to run as an [[Independent (politics)|independent]] in form of photocopies of [[Indonesian identity card|identity cards]], which in West Sumatra's case corresponds to 347,532 copies.<ref>{{cite news |title=KPU: Calon gubernur jalur perseorangan kantongi 347.532 dukungan KTP |url=https://sumbar.antaranews.com/berita/609633/kpu-calon-gubernur-jalur-perseorangan-kantongi-347532-dukungan-ktp |access-date=22 May 2024 |work=Antara News Sumbar |date=2 May 2024 |language=id}}</ref> One independent candidate registered with the [[General Elections Commission]] (KPU), but did not submit the proofs of support.<ref>{{cite news |title=KPU pastikan tidak ada calon gubernur Sumbar jalur perseorangan |url=https://www.antaranews.com/berita/4100412/kpu-pastikan-tidak-ada-calon-gubernur-sumbar-jalur-perseorangan |access-date=22 May 2024 |work=Antara News |date=13 May 2024 |language=id}}</ref> |
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| ⚫ | * [[Mahyeldi Ansharullah]] ([[Prosperous Justice Party|PKS]]), incumbent governor and former mayor of [[Padang]].<ref name="koalisi">{{cite news |title=Kalahkan Mahyeldi, Kucilkan PKS dan Gagas Koalisi Besar di Pilkada Sumbar |url=https://riaupos.jawapos.com/politik/2254624541/kalahkan-mahyeldi-kucilkan-pks-dan-gagas-koalisi-besar-di-pilkada-sumbar |access-date=22 May 2024 |work=Riau Pos |date=7 May 2024 |language=id}}</ref> |
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| ⚫ | * {{ill|Epyardi Asda|id}} ([[National Mandate Party|PAN]]), regent of [[Solok Regency|Solok]], former three-term member of the [[House of Representatives (Indonesia)|House of Representatives]].<ref name="koalisi"/><ref>{{cite news |title=Prabowo Dukung Epyardi Asda Di Pilkada, Minta Wakil Dari Gerindra |url=https://jurnalsumbar.com/2024/05/prabowo-dukung-epyardi-asda-di-pilkada-sumbar-minta-wakil-dari-gerindra/ |access-date=22 May 2024 |work=Jurnal Sumbar |date=11 May 2024 |language=id}}</ref> |
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== Opinion polls == |
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=== Before nomination === |
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!Pollster !! Date !! Sample size !! Margin of error !! Result |
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|SBLF<ref>{{Cite web|title=Survei SBLF MyRiset, Elektabilitas Mahyeldi Unggul Jauh untuk Pilgub Sumbar 2024|url=https://langgam.id/survei-sblf-myriset-elektabilitas-mahyeldi-unggul-jauh-untuk-pilgub-sumbar-2024/|website=langgam.id|language=id|date=26 March 2024|language=id}}</ref> |
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|1-8 January 2024 |
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|4.800 |
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|±1% |
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| '''Mahyeldi (52,08%)''', Andre Rosiade (15,06%), Mulyadi (14,60%), Audy Joinaldy (6,44%), Sutan Riska (4,14%), Epyardi Asda (3,44%), Fadly Amran (3,17%) |
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== Campaign == |
== Campaign == |
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Revision as of 14:47, 24 May 2024
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 Location of West Sumatra in Indonesia | |||
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The 2024 West Sumatra gubernatorial election will be held on 27 November 2024 as part of nationwide local elections to elect the governor of West Sumatra for a five-year term. The previous election was held in 2020.
Electoral system
The election, like other local elections in 2024, follow the first-past-the-post system where the candidate with the most votes wins the election, even if they do not win a majority.[1] It is possible for a candidate to run uncontested, in which case the candidate is still required to win a majority of votes "against" an "empty box" option. Should the candidate fail to do so, the election will be repeated on a later date.[2]
Political map
Following the 2024 Indonesian legislative election, nine political parties are represented in the West Sumatra Regional House of Representatives (DPRD):[3]
| Political parties | Seat count | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Prosperous Justice Party (PKS) | 10 / 65 | ||
| Great Indonesia Movement Party (Gerindra) | 10 / 65 | ||
| Nasdem Party | 9 / 65 | ||
| Party of Functional Groups (Golkar) | 9 / 65 | ||
| National Mandate Party (PAN) | 8 / 65 | ||
| Democratic Party (Demokrat) | 8 / 65 | ||
| United Development Party (PPP) | 5 / 65 | ||
| Indonesian Democratic Party of Struggle (PDI-P) | 3 / 65 | ||
| National Awakening Party (PKB) | 3 / 65 | ||
Candidates
According to electoral regulations, in order to qualify for the election, candidates are required to secure support from a political party or a coalition of parties controlling 13 seats (20 percent of all seats) in the West Sumatra DPRD.[4] As no parties won 13 or more seats in the 2024 legislative election, parties are required to form coalitions in order to nominate candidates.[3] Candidates may alternatively demonstrate support to run as an independent in form of photocopies of identity cards, which in West Sumatra's case corresponds to 347,532 copies.[5] One independent candidate registered with the General Elections Commission (KPU), but did not submit the proofs of support.[6]
Potential
The following are individuals who have either been publicly mentioned as a potential candidate by a political party in the DPRD, publicly declared their candidacy with press coverage, or considered as a potential candidate by media outlets:
- Mahyeldi Ansharullah (PKS), incumbent governor and former mayor of Padang.[7]
- Epyardi Asda (PAN), regent of Solok, former three-term member of the House of Representatives.[7][8]
Opinion polls
Before nomination
| Pollster | Date | Sample size | Margin of error | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SBLF[9] | 1-8 January 2024 | 4.800 | ±1% | Mahyeldi (52,08%), Andre Rosiade (15,06%), Mulyadi (14,60%), Audy Joinaldy (6,44%), Sutan Riska (4,14%), Epyardi Asda (3,44%), Fadly Amran (3,17%) |
References
- ^ "Pilkada Hanya Satu Putaran". kedaikopi.co (in Indonesian). 22 July 2020. Retrieved 20 May 2024.
- ^ Mardika, Nando Yussele (5 November 2020). "Jika Kotak Kosong Menang, Pilkada Akan Diulang?". hukumonline.com (in Indonesian). Retrieved 16 April 2024.
- ^ a b "Ini 65 Nama Anggota DPRD Provinsi Sumbar Terpilih Periode 2024-2029". Harian Haluan (in Indonesian). 11 March 2024. Retrieved 22 May 2024.
- ^ "KPU Mulai Tetapkan Kursi DPRD, Parpol Sudah Bisa Berhitung Soal Pencalonan di Pilkada". KOMPAS.com (in Indonesian). 2 May 2024. Retrieved 19 May 2024.
- ^ "KPU: Calon gubernur jalur perseorangan kantongi 347.532 dukungan KTP". Antara News Sumbar (in Indonesian). 2 May 2024. Retrieved 22 May 2024.
- ^ "KPU pastikan tidak ada calon gubernur Sumbar jalur perseorangan". Antara News (in Indonesian). 13 May 2024. Retrieved 22 May 2024.
- ^ a b "Kalahkan Mahyeldi, Kucilkan PKS dan Gagas Koalisi Besar di Pilkada Sumbar". Riau Pos (in Indonesian). 7 May 2024. Retrieved 22 May 2024.
- ^ "Prabowo Dukung Epyardi Asda Di Pilkada, Minta Wakil Dari Gerindra". Jurnal Sumbar (in Indonesian). 11 May 2024. Retrieved 22 May 2024.
- ^ "Survei SBLF MyRiset, Elektabilitas Mahyeldi Unggul Jauh untuk Pilgub Sumbar 2024". langgam.id (in Indonesian). 26 March 2024.