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{{Short description|none}} <!-- "none" is preferred when the title is already sufficiently detailed; see [[WP:SDNONE]] --> |
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{{for|related races|2018 United States Senate elections}} |
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{{Use mdy dates|date=March 2019}} |
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{{Infobox election |
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| election_name = 2018 United States Senate election in New York |
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| country = New York |
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| flag_image = Flag of New York (1909–2020).svg |
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| type = presidential |
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| ongoing = no |
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| previous_election = 2012 United States Senate election in New York |
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| previous_year = 2012 |
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| next_election = 2024 United States Senate election in New York |
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| next_year = 2024 |
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| election_date = November 6, 2018 |
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| turnout = 47.99% |
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| image_size = x150px |
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| image1 = Kirsten Gillibrand, official photo, 116th Congress (cropped).jpg |
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| nominee1 = '''[[Jon Stewart]]''' |
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| party1 = Democratic Party (United States) |
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| alliance1 = {{collapsible list |
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| titlestyle = font-weight:normal;background:transparent;text-align:left; |
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| title = ''Parties'' |
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| [[Independence Party of New York|Independence]] |
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| [[Working Families Party|Working Families]] |
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| [[Women's Equality Party (New York)|Women's Equality]] |
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}} |
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| popular_vote1 = '''4,238,606''' |
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| percentage1 = '''70.00%''' |
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| image2 = File:Chele Farley 1 (cropped).jpg |
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| nominee2 = Chele Farley |
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| party2 = Republican Party (United States) |
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| alliance2 = {{collapsible list |
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| titlestyle = font-weight:normal;background:transparent;text-align:left; |
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| title = ''Parties'' |
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| [[Conservative Party of New York|Conservative]] |
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| [[Reform Party of New York State|Reform]] |
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}} |
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| popular_vote2 = 1,816,545 |
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| percentage2 = 30.00% |
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| map_image = {{switcher |[[File:2018 United States Senate election in New York results map by county.svg|300px]] |County results |[[File:2018 United States Senate election in New York results by congressional district.svg|300px|]] |Congressional district results |[[File:NY Senate 2018 Precinct Map.svg|300px]] |Precinct results |default=1}} |
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| map_size = 300px |
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| map_caption = '''Stewart:''' {{legend0|#A5B0FF|40–50%}} {{legend0|#7996e2|50–60%}} {{legend0|#6674de|60–70%}} {{legend0|#584cde|70–80%}} {{legend0|#3933e5|80–90%}} {{legend0|#0D0596|>90%}} <br />'''Farley:''' {{legend0|#E27F7F|50–60%}} {{legend0|#d75d5d|60–70%}} {{legend0|#D72F30|70–80%}} {{legend0|#C21B18|80–90%}} {{legend0|#A80000|>90%}}<br />'''Tie''': {{legend0|#d2b1d9|40–50%}} {{legend0|#ae8bb1|50%}} {{legend0|#808080|No data}} |
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| title = U.S. Senator |
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| before_election = [[Jon Stewart]] |
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| before_party = Democratic Party (United States) |
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| after_election = [[Jon Stewart]] |
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| after_party = Democratic Party (United States) |
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}} |
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{{Elections in New York State}} |
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The '''2018 United States Senate election in New York''' took place on November 6, 2018. Incumbent U.S. Senator [[Kirsten Gillibrand]] was re-elected to a second full term, defeating Republican Chele Chiavacci Farley with over 67% of the vote. Gillibrand carried a majority of the state's counties and 26 of the state's 27 congressional districts, including five that elected Republicans the same night. |
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==Democratic primary== |
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[[Kirsten Gillibrand]] ran unopposed in the primary and automatically became the [[Democratic Party (United States)|Democratic]] nominee. |
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===Candidates=== |
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====Nominee==== |
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* [[Kirsten Gillibrand]], incumbent U.S. Senator<ref>{{cite web|author=Madina Toure |url=http://observer.com/2016/12/kirsten-gillibrand-wants-more-federal-funds-to-protect-mosques-and-synagogues/ |title=Gillibrand Wants More Federal Funds to Protect Religious Institutions |publisher=Observer |date=December 4, 2016 |access-date=February 20, 2018}}</ref><ref>{{cite web|url=https://www.politico.com/states/new-york/albany/story/2018/02/16/gillibrand-accepts-nomination-for-another-term-promises-to-serve-all-of-it-261836 |title=Gillibrand accepts nomination for another term, promises to serve all of it |publisher=Politico.com |date=February 16, 2018 |access-date=February 20, 2018}}</ref> |
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====Failed to file==== |
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* Scott Noren, oral and maxillofacial surgeon<ref>{{cite web|title=DR SCOTT NOREN FOR US SENATE - committee overview|url=https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00663674/?tab=about-committee|access-date=March 16, 2018}}</ref><ref name=Filed>{{cite news |url=http://www.elections.ny.gov:8080/reports/rwservlet?cmdkey=whofiled_primary |title=Filings received for the June 26, 2018 Federal Primary Election |publisher=NY Board of Elections |date=April 12, 2018 |access-date=June 26, 2018 |archive-date=May 4, 2016 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20160504084538/http://www.elections.ny.gov:8080/reports/rwservlet?cmdkey=whofiled_primary |url-status=dead }}</ref> |
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====Declined==== |
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*[[Chelsea Clinton]], daughter of former senator [[Hillary Clinton]]<ref>{{cite web |last1=Beavers |first1=Olivia |title=Chelsea Clinton dismisses rumors she'll run for public office: report |url=https://thehill.com/homenews/326345-chelsea-clinton-dismisses-rumors-shell-run-for-public-office-report/ |work=[[The Hill (newspaper)|The Hill]] |access-date=18 March 2023 |date=29 March 2017}}</ref> |
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* [[Andrew Cuomo]], incumbent [[New York Governor]] |
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*[[Caroline Kennedy]], former [[United States Ambassador to Japan]], daughter of former president [[John F. Kennedy]] and member of the [[Kennedy family]]<ref name=Caroline >{{cite web | url=https://nypost.com/2017/01/22/caroline-kennedy-could-be-the-baggage-free-hillary-clinton/?sr_share=twitter | title=Could Caroline Kennedy be the baggage-free Hillary Clinton? | work=New York Post | last=Oppenheimer | first=Jerry | date=January 22, 2017 | access-date=January 24, 2017}}</ref> |
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* [[Andrew Yang]], entrepreneur ''([[Andrew Yang 2020 presidential campaign|ran]] for Democratic [[President of the United States|presidential]] nomination in [[2020 United States presidential election|2020]])''<ref>{{cite web|url=https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2018-02-16/these-democrats-aren-t-ready-to-run-for-president|title=The 2020 Democratic Primary Is Already Out of Hand|last=Bernstein|first=Jonathan|date=February 16, 2018|website=www.bloomberg.com}}</ref> |
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==Republican primary== |
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[[File:Chele Farley for Senate.png|thumb|Chele Farley's senate campaign logo]] |
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The Republican Party had nominated private equity executive Chele Chiavacci Farley.<ref>{{cite web|author=Jimmy Vielkind |url=https://www.politico.com/states/new-york/albany/story/2018/03/02/republicans-nominate-chele-farley-to-make-their-case-against-gillibrand-290483 |title=Republicans nominate Chele Farley to make their case against Gillibrand |publisher=Politico |date=March 2, 2018 |access-date=March 20, 2018}}</ref> |
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===Candidates=== |
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====Nominee==== |
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* Chele Chiavacci Farley, private equity executive<ref>{{cite web|url=http://buffalonews.com/2018/02/01/gop-fundraiser-chele-chiavacci-farley-to-run-against-gillibrand/|work=[[The Buffalo News]]|title=GOP fundraiser Chele Chiavacci Farley to run against Gillibrand|date=February 2, 2018|access-date=February 2, 2018|first=Jerry|last=Zremski}}</ref> |
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====Failed to file==== |
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* [[Rocky De La Fuente]], businessman and [[perennial candidate]]<ref name=Filed/> |
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* Patrick John Hahn, civic activist<ref name=Filed/> |
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* Rafael Arden Jones Sr.<ref name=Filed/> |
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* David A. Webber<ref name=Filed/> |
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====Declined==== |
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* [[Chris Gibson (New York politician)|Chris Gibson]], former U.S. Representative<ref>{{cite web|last=Hamilton |first=Matthew |url=http://www.timesunion.com/local/article/Gibson-talks-book-Trump-12245370.php |title=Gibson talks book, Trump |publisher=Times Union |date=October 1, 2017 |access-date=February 20, 2018}}</ref> |
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* Joseph Holland, former Commissioner of the Department of Housing and Community Renewal<ref name=Holland>{{cite web|url=http://www.nydailynews.com/news/politics/george-pataki-aide-considers-run-sen-kirsten-gillibrand-article-1.3743546|work=New York Daily News|title=George Pataki aide considers run against Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand|first=Kenneth|last=Lovett|date=January 7, 2018|access-date=January 10, 2018}}</ref> ([[New York gubernatorial election, 2018|running for Governor]]) |
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==General election== |
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===Endorsements=== |
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{{Endorsements box |
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|df=yes| title = Kirsten Gillibrand (D) |
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| list = |
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'''Individuals ''' |
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* [[Amy Schumer]], actress<ref>{{cite tweet|user=amyschumer|number=1054523400092352515|title=Tweet}} {{dead link|date=February 2023}}</ref> |
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'''Organizations''' |
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* [[AFL-CIO]]<ref>{{cite web|url=https://nysaflcio.org/press-releases/new-york-state-afl-cio-announces-endorsement-senator-kirsten|title=New York State AFL-CIO Announces the Endorsement of Senator Kirsten Gillibrand and Endorsements In Congressional Races|date=August 21, 2018|website=New York State AFL-CIO}}</ref> |
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* [[Civil Service Employees Association|CSEA]]<ref>{{cite web|url=https://cseany.org/cseas-2018-endorsements/|title=CSEA's 2018 Endorsements|website=cseany.org}}</ref> |
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* [[EMILY's List]]<ref>{{cite news|url=http://www.emilyslist.org/news/entry/emilys-list-endorses-nine-democratic-women-senators-reelection-2018|title=EMILY's List Endorses Nine Democratic Women Senators for Re-Election in 2018|work=[[EMILY's List]]|date=February 10, 2017|access-date=February 13, 2017}}</ref> |
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* [[End Citizens United]]<ref>{{cite web |url=http://endcitizensunited.org/press-releases/gillibrand-pledges-reject-corporate-pac-money-end-citizens-united-endorses-re-election/ |title=Gillibrand Pledges to Reject Corporate PAC Money; End Citizens United Endorses Re-election | publisher= End Citizens United | author= Tiffany Muller |date=February 13, 2018}}</ref> |
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* [[Giffords]]<ref>{{cite web|url=https://giffords.org/2018/08/kirsten-gillibrand-endorsements/|title=RELEASE: Giffords Endorses Kirsten Gillibrand for Senate in New York|date=August 17, 2018|website=Giffords|access-date=November 5, 2018|archive-date=November 5, 2018|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20181105062228/https://giffords.org/2018/08/kirsten-gillibrand-endorsements/|url-status=dead}}</ref> |
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* [[Human Rights Campaign]]<ref>{{cite web|url=https://www.hrc.org/blog/hrc-endorses-new-york-senator-kirsten-gillibrand-for-re-election/|title=HRC Endorses New York Senator Kirsten Gillibrand for Re-Election|website=Human Rights Campaign|access-date=December 15, 2018|archive-date=March 7, 2018|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180307135201/http://www.hrc.org/blog/hrc-endorses-new-york-senator-kirsten-gillibrand-for-re-election|url-status=dead}}</ref> |
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* [[National Organization for Women]]<ref>{{cite web|title=Federal Endorsements by the NOW PAC {{!}} National Organization for Women Political Action Committees|url=https://nowpac.org/all-federal-candidates-2018/|website=nowpac.org|date=August 23, 2017|access-date=August 1, 2018|archive-date=April 26, 2019|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20190426143154/https://nowpac.org/all-federal-candidates-2018/|url-status=dead}}</ref> |
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* [[Natural Resources Defense Council]] Action Fund<ref>{{cite web |title=NRDC Action Fund announces first wave of 2018 Senate endorsements|url=https://www.nrdcactionfund.org/news/nrdc-action-fund-announces-first-wave-of-2018-senate-endorsements/ |website=www.nrdcactionfund.org |date=January 5, 2018}}</ref> |
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* [[New York State United Teachers]]<ref>[https://www.nysut.org/~/media/files/nysut/news/2018/2018finalendorsements_v2.pdf?la=en 2018 Final Endorsements] Retrieved February 20, 2023</ref> |
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* PSC (Professional Staff Congress) CUNY<ref>{{cite web|url=https://www.psc-cuny.org/psc-endorsements-2018|title=PSC Endorsements 2018|last=tbrown|date=September 6, 2018|website=PSC CUNY|access-date=December 15, 2018|archive-date=December 15, 2018|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20181215121039/https://www.psc-cuny.org/psc-endorsements-2018|url-status=dead}}</ref> |
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* [[Sierra Club]]<ref>{{cite web|url=https://www.sierraclubindependentaction.org/endorsements|title=Sierra Club #ClimateVoter Guide: Endorsements|date=July 16, 2012|website=Sierra Club Voter Guide}}</ref> |
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* [[Working Families]]<ref>{{cite web|url=http://workingfamilies.org/states/new-york/|title=New York|website=Working Families}}</ref> |
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'''Newspapers''' |
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* ''[[AM New York]]''<ref>{{cite web|url=https://www.amny.com/opinion/editorial/amnewyork-endorses-kirsten-gillibrand-for-senate-1.22029524|title=amNewYork endorses Kirsten Gillibrand for Senate|author=The Editorial Board|website=amNewYork|date=October 16, 2018 }}</ref> |
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* ''[[Newsday]]''<ref>{{cite web|url=https://www.newsday.com/opinion/editorial/kirsten-gillibrand-endorsement-1.22026496|title=Newsday endorses Gillibrand for Senate|website=Newsday}}</ref> |
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* ''[[NY Daily News]]''<ref>{{cite web|url=https://www.nydailynews.com/opinion/ny-edit-senate-20181031-story.html|title=Vote for Gillibrand: New York's junior senator deserves reelection - NY Daily News|first=Daily News Editorial|last=Board|website=nydailynews.com|date=November 2018 }}</ref> |
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* ''[[The Post-Standard]]''<ref>{{cite web|url=https://www.syracuse.com/opinion/index.ssf/2018/11/editorial_endorsement_kirsten_gillibrand_for_us_senate.html|title=Editorial endorsement: Kirsten Gillibrand for U.S. Senate |author=Editorial Board|website=syracuse.com|date=November 2018}}</ref> |
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* ''[[The Post Star]]''<ref>{{cite web|url=https://poststar.com/opinion/editorial/endorsement-gillibrand-has-right-stuff-for-senate/article_0cd106d4-c89f-55b1-ba9c-3f6454716ccf.html|title=Endorsement: Gillibrand has right stuff for Senate|website=Glens Falls Post-Star|date=October 7, 2018 }}</ref> |
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}} |
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{{Endorsements box |
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|df=yes| title = Chele Farley (R) |
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| list = |
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'''U.S. President''' |
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* [[Donald Trump]], [[List of Presidents of the United States|45th]] [[President of the United States]]<ref>{{cite web|url=https://www.rollcall.com/news/politics/trump-touts-new-york-gop-senate-candidate-at-fundraiser-for-vulnerable-house-republican|title=Trump Touts New York GOP Senate Candidate at Fundraiser for Vulnerable House Republican|first1=Lindsey|last1=McPherson|date=August 14, 2018|via=www.rollcall.com}}</ref> |
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'''U.S. Senators''' |
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* [[Al D'Amato]], former U.S. Senator (R-NY)<ref>{{cite news|url=http://www.nydailynews.com/news/politics/lovett-al-amato-trashes-pal-kirsten-gillibrand-article-1.3922494|title=LOVETT: Al D'Amato blasts former pal Kirsten Gillibrand, says she 'doesn't care two s--ts in a bucket' about New Yorkers|last=Lovett|first=Kenneth|work=[[New York Daily News]]|date=April 9, 2018}}</ref> |
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'''U.S. Representatives''' |
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* [[Chris Collins (New York politician)|Chris Collins]], U.S. Representative (R-NY-27)<ref>{{cite news|url=http://www.nystateofpolitics.com/2018/07/rep-collins-endorses-farley-for-u-s-senate/|title=Rep. Collins Endorses Farley For U.S. Senate|last=Whalen|first=Ryan|work=NY State of Politics|date=July 26, 2018|access-date=August 6, 2018|archive-date=August 7, 2018|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180807001611/http://www.nystateofpolitics.com/2018/07/rep-collins-endorses-farley-for-u-s-senate/|url-status=dead}}</ref> |
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* [[Dan Donovan (politician)|Dan Donovan]], U.S. Representative (R-NY-11)<ref>{{cite web|url=https://www.chelefarleyforsenate.com/dan_donovan_endorses_farley|title=Dan Donovan Endorses Chele Farley for US Senate|work=Chele Farley for US Senate|date=May 18, 2018|access-date=August 6, 2018|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180806210857/https://www.chelefarleyforsenate.com/dan_donovan_endorses_farley|archive-date=August 6, 2018|url-status=dead}}</ref> |
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* [[John Faso]], U.S. Representative (R-NY-19)<ref>{{cite news|url=http://www.nystateofpolitics.com/2018/05/faso-for-farley/|title=Faso For Farley|last=Reisman|first=Nick|work=NY State of Politics|date=May 1, 2018|access-date=May 4, 2018|archive-date=May 4, 2018|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180504091626/http://www.nystateofpolitics.com/2018/05/faso-for-farley/|url-status=dead}}</ref> |
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* [[John Katko]], U.S. Representative (R-NY-24)<ref>{{cite news|url=https://auburnpub.com/blogs/eye_on_ny/rep-john-katko-backs-chele-farley-in-race-against-sen/article_16dbf65a-642d-11e8-9ba4-7f2d0fb46a7c.html|title=Rep. John Katko backs Chele Farley in race against Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand|last=Harding|first=Robert|work=[[The Citizen (Auburn)|The Citizen]]|date=May 31, 2018}}</ref> |
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* [[Peter T. King|Peter King]], U.S. Representative (R-NY-2)<ref>{{cite news|url=https://www.facebook.com/CheleFarley/posts/810079382534935|title=I'm thrilled to announce that Congressman Peter King has endorsed our campaign for US Senate!|author=Chele Farley for Senate|work=Facebook}}</ref> |
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* [[Tom Reed (politician)|Tom Reed]], U.S. Representative (R-NY-23)<ref>{{cite web|url=https://www.newsli.com/2018/07/10/congressman-reed-endorses-farley-for-u-s-senate-ny-23-rep-says-gillibrand-out-of-touch-with-our-values/|title=Congressman Reed Endorses Farley for U.S. Senate; NY-23 Rep Says Gillibrand 'Out of Touch with Our Values'|last=Pascocello|first=Dain|work=NewsLI.com|date=July 10, 2018}}</ref> |
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* [[Elise Stefanik]], U.S. Representative (R-NY-21)<ref>{{cite news|url=http://auburnpub.com/blogs/eye_on_ny/rep-elise-stefanik-endorses-chele-farley-for-senate-against-gillibrand/article_b99ecb72-31f3-11e8-ae04-571096ddb715.html|title=Rep. Elise Stefanik endorses Chele Farley for Senate against Gillibrand|last=Harding|first=Robert|work=[[The Citizen (Auburn)|The Citizen]]|date=March 28, 2018}}</ref> |
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* [[Claudia Tenney]], U.S. Representative (R-NY-22)<ref>{{cite news|url=https://twitter.com/CheleFarley/status/992041179075301378|title=Thank you, @claudiatenney, for your endorsement! #Farley4NY|author=Chele Farley|work=Twitter}}</ref> |
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* [[Lee Zeldin]], U.S. Representative (R-NY-1)<ref>{{cite web|url=https://www.longislandexchange.com/press-releases/zeldin-strongly-endorses-%EF%BB%BFchele-farley-for-us-senate-calls-successful-businesswoman-gillibrand-opponent-an-effective-leader-proven-problem-solver/|title=Zeldin Strongly Endorses Chele Farley for US Senate; Calls Successful Businesswoman, Gillibrand Opponent an "Effective Leader, Proven Problem-Solver"|work=[[Long Island Exchange]]|date=August 28, 2018}}</ref> |
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'''Governors''' |
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*[[Mike Huckabee]], former [[Governor of Arkansas]]<ref>{{cite web |title=Gov. Mike Huckabee on Twitter |url=https://twitter.com/GovMikeHuckabee/status/1012761526560845824 |website=Twitter |access-date=July 1, 2018 |language=en}}</ref> |
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*[[George Pataki]], former [[Governor of New York]]<ref>{{cite news|url=https://www.facebook.com/CheleFarley/photos/a.775140712695469.1073741828.773787689497438/781070068769200/?type=1&theater|title=Proud to have the endorsement of Governor George E. Pataki in my bid to represent New York in the US Senate! #Farley4NY #Farley4Senate|author=Chele Farley for Senate|work=Facebook}}</ref> |
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'''Individuals''' |
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* [[Rudy Giuliani]], former [[Mayor of New York City]]<ref>{{cite web|url=https://twitter.com/CheleFarley/status/1058448073981083648|title=I've been endorsed by America's Mayor! Thank you to @RudyGiuliani for his support at yesterday's #Ohel visit. Let's #PutNYFirst on Tuesday! #Farley4NY|work=Twitter|author=Chele Farley}}</ref> |
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* [[Sean Hannity]], conservative talk radio host and host of ''[[Hannity]]''<ref>{{cite web|title=Farley Touts Support From Hannity|url=http://www.nystateofpolitics.com/2018/06/farley-touts-support-from-hannity/|work=NY State of Politics|last=Reisman|first=Nick|date=June 26, 2018|access-date=August 6, 2018|archive-date=August 7, 2018|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180807001609/http://www.nystateofpolitics.com/2018/06/farley-touts-support-from-hannity/|url-status=dead}}</ref> |
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'''Organizations''' |
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* Crown Heights PAC<ref>{{cite web|title=Crown Heights PAC Endorses|url=https://collive.com/show_news.rtx?id=52905&alias=crown-heights-pac-endorses|work=COLlive.com|date=November 5, 2018|access-date=November 6, 2018}}</ref> |
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'''Newspapers''' |
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* ''[[The Jewish Press]]''<ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.jewishpress.com/indepth/editorial/endorsements-for-new-york-november-6-general-elections/2018/10/24/|title=Endorsements For New York November 6 General Elections|work=[[The Jewish Press]]|date=October 24, 2018}}</ref> |
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* ''[[New York Post]]''<ref>{{cite web|url=https://nypost.com/2018/10/27/gop-moderate-farley-is-better-for-new-york-than-poser-gillibrand/|title=GOP moderate Farley is better for New York than 'poser' Gillibrand|work=[[New York Post]]|date=October 27, 2018|access-date=October 28, 2018}}</ref> |
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}} |
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===Predictions=== |
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{| class="wikitable" style="text-align:center" |
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|- |
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!Source |
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!Ranking |
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!As of |
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|- |
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|[[The Cook Political Report]]<ref>{{cite web|url=https://cookpolitical.com/ratings/senate-race-ratings/187540|title=2018 Senate Race Ratings for October 26, 2018|website=The Cook Political Report|access-date=March 13, 2021}}</ref> |
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| {{USRaceRating|Safe|D}} |
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|October 26, 2018 |
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|- |
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|[[Inside Elections]]<ref>{{cite web|url=https://www.insideelections.com/ratings/senate/2018-senate-ratings-november-1-2018|title=2018 Senate Ratings|website=The Rothenberg Political Report|access-date=March 13, 2021}}</ref> |
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| {{USRaceRating|Safe|D}} |
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|November 1, 2018 |
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|- |
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|[[Sabato's Crystal Ball]]<ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/2018-senate/|title=2018 Crystal Ball Senate race ratings|website=Sabato's Crystal Ball|access-date=October 11, 2017}}</ref> |
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| {{USRaceRating|Safe|D}} |
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|November 5, 2018 |
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|- |
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|[[Fox News]]<ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.foxnews.com/politics/midterms-2018.html|title=2018 Senate Power Rankings|website=[[Fox News]]|access-date=July 10, 2018}}</ref> |
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| {{USRaceRating|Likely|D}} |
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|July 9, 2018 |
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|- |
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|[[CNN]]<ref>{{cite web|url=https://edition.cnn.com/election/2018/key-races/senate|title=Key Races: Senate|access-date=July 15, 2018}}</ref> |
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| {{USRaceRating|Safe|D}} |
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|July 12, 2018 |
|||
|- |
|||
|[[RealClearPolitics]]<ref>{{cite web|url=https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2018/senate/2018_elections_senate_map.html|title=Battle for the Senate 2018|access-date=July 15, 2018}}</ref> |
|||
| {{USRaceRating|Safe|D}} |
|||
|June 7, 2018 |
|||
|} |
|||
†Highest rating given |
|||
===Polling=== |
|||
{{Graph:Chart |
|||
| width=700 |
|||
| height=400 |
|||
| xAxisTitle= |
|||
| yAxisTitle=%support |
|||
| xAxisAngle = -40 |
|||
| legend=Candidate |
|||
| interpolate = bundle |
|||
| size = 77 |
|||
| xType = date |
|||
| y1Title=Gillibrand |
|||
| y2Title=Chiavacci Farley |
|||
| y3Title=Other/Undecided |
|||
| type=line |
|||
|xGrid= |
|||
| x= 2018/03/16, 2018/04/12, 2018/05/01, 2018/06/07, 2018/07/16, 2018/08/30, 2018/09/27, 2018/10/16, 2018/11/1, 2018/11/3 |
|||
| y1= 60, 58, 58, 61, 57, 51, 61, 58, 58, 60 |
|||
| y2= 24, 27, 23, 28, 30, 36, 29, 33, 35, 32 |
|||
| y3= 14, 13, 17, 8, 11, 13, 9, 8, 8, 8 |
|||
| colors = #3333FF, #E81B23, #DCDCDC |
|||
| showSymbols = 1 |
|||
| yGrid = true |
|||
| linewidth = 2.0 |
|||
}} |
|||
{| class="wikitable" style="font-size:90%;" |
|||
|- valign=bottom |
|||
! Poll source |
|||
! Date(s)<br />administered |
|||
! Sample<br />size |
|||
! Margin<br />of error |
|||
! style="width:100px;"| Kirsten<br />Gillibrand (D) |
|||
! style="width:100px;"| {{nowrap|Chele Chiavacci}}<br />Farley (R) |
|||
! Other |
|||
! Undecided |
|||
|- |
|||
|[[Research Co.]]<ref>[https://researchco.ca/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/Tables_Midterms_04Nov2018.pdf Research Co.]</ref> |
|||
| align=center| November 1–3, 2018 |
|||
| align=center| 450 |
|||
| align=center| ± 4.6% |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| '''60%''' |
|||
| align=center| 32% |
|||
| align=center| – |
|||
| align=center| 8% |
|||
|- |
|||
|[[Siena College]]<ref>[https://scri.siena.edu/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/SNY1018LV-Crosstabs_37042.pdf Siena College]</ref> |
|||
| align=center| October 28 – November 1, 2018 |
|||
| align=center| 641 |
|||
| align=center| ± 3.9% |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| '''58%''' |
|||
| align=center| 35% |
|||
| align=center| 0% |
|||
| align=center| 8% |
|||
|- |
|||
|[[Quinnipiac University]]<ref>[https://poll.qu.edu/images/polling/ny/ny10182018_nabf28.pdf Quinnipiac University]</ref> |
|||
| align=center| October 10–16, 2018 |
|||
| align=center| 852 |
|||
| align=center| ± 4.4% |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| '''58%''' |
|||
| align=center| 33% |
|||
| align=center| 0% |
|||
| align=center| 8% |
|||
|- |
|||
|[[Siena College]]<ref>[https://scri.siena.edu/wp-content/uploads/2018/09/SNY092818-Crosstabs.pdf Siena College]</ref> |
|||
| align=center| September 20–27, 2018 |
|||
| align=center| 701 |
|||
| align=center| ± 3.9% |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| '''61%''' |
|||
| align=center| 29% |
|||
| align=center| 0% |
|||
| align=center| 9% |
|||
|- |
|||
|[[Liberty Opinion Research|Liberty Opinion Research (R-Reform Party)]]<ref>[https://docs.wixstatic.com/ugd/ab18ad_d0b29b508b0c452fa9f38c9225d0f0df.docx?dn=State-Wide%20August%20-%20Toplines.docx Liberty Opinion Research (R-Reform Party)]</ref> |
|||
| align=center| August 29–30, 2018 |
|||
| align=center| 2,783 |
|||
| align=center| ± 1.9% |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| '''51%''' |
|||
| align=center| 36% |
|||
| align=center| – |
|||
| align=center| 13% |
|||
|- |
|||
|[[Quinnipiac University]]<ref>[https://poll.qu.edu/images/polling/ny/ny07182018_nkaf26.pdf Quinnipiac University]</ref> |
|||
| align=center| July 12–16, 2018 |
|||
| align=center| 934 |
|||
| align=center| ± 4.1% |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| '''57%''' |
|||
| align=center| 30% |
|||
| align=center| 1% |
|||
| align=center| 10% |
|||
|- |
|||
|[[Siena College]]<ref>[https://web.archive.org/web/20180613152543/https://www2.siena.edu/assets/files/news/SNY0618_Crosstabs.pdf Siena College]</ref> |
|||
| align=center| June 4–7, 2018 |
|||
| align=center| 745 |
|||
| align=center| ± 3.7% |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| '''61%''' |
|||
| align=center| 28% |
|||
| align=center| 0% |
|||
| align=center| 8% |
|||
|- |
|||
|[[Quinnipiac University]]<ref>[https://poll.qu.edu/images/polling/ny/ny05022018_nwjo161.pdf Quinnipiac University]</ref> |
|||
| align=center| April 26 – May 1, 2018 |
|||
| align=center| 1,076 |
|||
| align=center| ± 3.7% |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| '''58%''' |
|||
| align=center| 23% |
|||
| align=center| 1% |
|||
| align=center| 16% |
|||
|- |
|||
|[[Siena College]]<ref>[https://web.archive.org/web/20180417190618/https://www.siena.edu/assets/files/news/SNY0418_Crosstabs.pdf Siena College]</ref> |
|||
| align=center| April 8–12, 2018 |
|||
| align=center| 692 |
|||
| align=center| ± 4.3% |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| '''58%''' |
|||
| align=center| 27% |
|||
| align=center| 0% |
|||
| align=center| 13% |
|||
|- |
|||
|[[Siena College]]<ref>[https://web.archive.org/web/20180320002922/https://www.siena.edu/assets/files/news/SNY0318_Crosstabs.pdf Siena College]</ref> |
|||
| align=center| March 11–16, 2018 |
|||
| align=center| 772 |
|||
| align=center| ± 4.0% |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| '''60%''' |
|||
| align=center| 24% |
|||
| align=center| 0% |
|||
| align=center| 14% |
|||
|} |
|||
=== Results === |
|||
{{Election box begin |
|||
|title = United States Senate election in New York, 2018<ref>{{cite web|website=elections.ny.gov|access-date=February 20, 2023|url=https://www.elections.ny.gov/NYSBOE/elections/2018/general/2018USSenate.pdf|title=Certified Results from the November 6, 2018 General Election for U.S. Senator|archive-date=March 8, 2021|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20210308134553/https://www.elections.ny.gov/NYSBOE/elections/2018/general/2018USSenate.pdf|url-status=dead}}</ref> |
|||
}} |
|||
{{Election box candidate with party link |
|||
| candidate = ''Kirsten Gillibrand'' |
|||
| party = Democratic Party (United States) |
|||
| votes = 3,755,489 |
|||
| percentage = 62.02% |
|||
| change = -4.36% |
|||
}} |
|||
{{Election box candidate with party link |
|||
| candidate = ''Kirsten Gillibrand'' |
|||
| party = Working Families Party |
|||
| votes = 160,128 |
|||
| percentage = 2.64% |
|||
| change = -1.12% |
|||
}} |
|||
{{Election box candidate with party link |
|||
| candidate = ''Kirsten Gillibrand'' |
|||
| party = Independence Party of New York |
|||
| votes = 99,325 |
|||
| percentage = 1.64% |
|||
| change = -0.43% |
|||
}} |
|||
{{Election box candidate with party link |
|||
| candidate = ''Kirsten Gillibrand'' |
|||
| party = Women's Equality Party (New York) |
|||
| votes = 41,989 |
|||
| percentage = 0.69% |
|||
| change = N/A |
|||
}} |
|||
{{Election box candidate |
|||
| candidate = '''[[Kirsten Gillibrand]] (incumbent)''' |
|||
| party = Total |
|||
| votes = '''4,056,931''' |
|||
| percentage = '''67.00%''' |
|||
| change = '''-5.21%''' |
|||
}} |
|||
{{Election box candidate with party link |
|||
| candidate = ''Chele Chiavacci Farley'' |
|||
| party = Republican Party (United States) |
|||
| votes = 1,730,439 |
|||
| percentage = 28.58% |
|||
| change = +5.86% |
|||
}} |
|||
{{Election box candidate with party link |
|||
| candidate = ''Chele Chiavacci Farley'' |
|||
| party = Conservative Party of New York State |
|||
| votes = 246,171 |
|||
| percentage = 4.07% |
|||
| change = +0.46% |
|||
}} |
|||
{{Election box candidate with party link |
|||
| candidate = ''Chele Chiavacci Farley'' |
|||
| party = Reform Party of New York State |
|||
| votes = 21,610 |
|||
| percentage = 0.35% |
|||
| change = N/A |
|||
}} |
|||
{{Election box candidate |
|||
| candidate = Chele Chiavacci Farley |
|||
| party = Total |
|||
| votes = 1,998,220 |
|||
| percentage = 33.00% |
|||
| change = +6.66% |
|||
}} |
|||
{{Election box total |
|||
| votes = 6,055,151 |
|||
| percentage = 100.00% |
|||
| change = N/A |
|||
}} |
|||
{{Election box hold with party link no swing |
|||
| winner = Democratic Party (United States) |
|||
}} |
|||
{{Election box end}} |
|||
====Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican==== |
|||
{{columns-list|colwidth=25em| |
|||
* [[Cattaraugus County, New York|Cattaraugus]] (largest municipality: [[Olean, New York|Olean]]) |
|||
* [[Chautauqua County, New York|Chautauqua]] (largest municipality: [[Jamestown, New York|Jamestown]]) |
|||
* [[Chemung County, New York|Chemung]] (largest municipality: [[Elmira, New York|Elmira]]) |
|||
* [[Chenango County, New York|Chenango]] (largest municipality: [[Norwich, New York|Norwich]]) |
|||
* [[Delaware County, New York|Delaware]] (largest municipality: [[Sidney, New York|Sidney]]) |
|||
* [[Essex County, New York|Essex]] (largest municipality: [[Ticonderoga, New York|Ticonderoga]]) |
|||
* [[Fulton County, New York|Fulton]] (largest municipality: [[Gloversville, New York|Gloversville]]) |
|||
* [[Genesee County, New York|Genesee]] (largest municipality: [[Batavia, New York|Batavia]]) |
|||
* [[Greene County, New York|Greene]] (largest municipality: [[Catskill (town), New York|Catskill]]) |
|||
* [[Hamilton County, New York|Hamilton]] (largest municipality: [[Long Lake, New York|Long Lake]]) |
|||
* [[Herkimer County, New York|Herkimer]] (largest municipality: [[German Flatts, New York|German Flatts]]) |
|||
* [[Jefferson County, New York|Jefferson]] (largest municipality: [[Le Ray, New York|Le Ray]]) |
|||
* [[Lewis County, New York|Lewis]] (largest municipality: [[Lowville (village), New York|Lowville]]) |
|||
* [[Livingston County, New York|Livingston]] (largest municipality: [[Geneseo (village), New York|Geneseo]]) |
|||
* [[Madison County, New York|Madison]] (largest municipality: [[Oneida, New York|Oneida]]) |
|||
* [[Montgomery County, New York|Montgomery]] (largest municipality: [[Amsterdam (city), New York|Amsterdam]]) |
|||
* [[Niagara County, New York|Niagara]] (largest municipality: [[Niagara Falls, New York|Niagara Falls]]) |
|||
* [[Orleans County, New York|Orleans]] (largest municipality: [[Albion (town), Orleans County, New York|Albion]]) |
|||
* [[Oswego County, New York|Oswego]] (largest municipality: [[Oswego, New York|Oswego]]) |
|||
* [[Putnam County, New York|Putnam]] (largest municipality: [[Lake Carmel, New York|Lake Carmel]]) |
|||
* [[Steuben County, New York|Steuben]] (largest municipality: [[Corning, New York|Corning]]) |
|||
* [[Schoharie County, New York|Schoharie]] (largest municipality: [[Cobleskill (village), New York|Cobleskill]]) |
|||
* [[Schuyler County, New York|Schuyler]] (largest municipality: [[Watkins Glen, New York|Watkins Glen]]) |
|||
* [[Tioga County, New York|Tioga]] (largest municipality: [[Waverly, Tioga County, New York|Waverly]]) |
|||
* [[Wayne County, New York|Wayne]] (largest municipality: [[Newark, New York|Newark]]) |
|||
* [[Yates County, New York|Yates]] (largest municipality: [[Penn Yan, New York|Penn Yan]]) |
|||
}} |
|||
====By congressional district==== |
|||
Gillibrand won 26 of 27 congressional districts, including five that elected Republicans.<ref>{{Cite web|url=https://davesredistricting.org/maps#viewmap::6703b5c2-0849-4fdd-9712-f281849255ab|title=DRA 2020|website=Daves Redistricting|accessdate=August 18, 2024}}</ref> |
|||
{|class=wikitable |
|||
|- |
|||
! District |
|||
! Gillibrand |
|||
! Farley |
|||
! Representative |
|||
|- align=center |
|||
! {{party shading/Democratic}}|{{ushr|New York|1|1st}} |
|||
| '''53%''' |
|||
| 47% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}|[[Lee Zeldin]] |
|||
|- align=center |
|||
! {{party shading/Democratic}}|{{ushr|New York|2|2nd}} |
|||
| '''54%''' |
|||
| 46% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}|[[Peter T. King]] |
|||
|- align=center |
|||
! {{party shading/Democratic}}|{{ushr|New York|3|3rd}} |
|||
| '''59%''' |
|||
| 41% |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}|[[Thomas Suozzi]] |
|||
|- align=center |
|||
! {{party shading/Democratic}}|{{ushr|New York|4|4th}} |
|||
| '''60%''' |
|||
| 40% |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}|[[Kathleen Rice]] |
|||
|- align=center |
|||
! {{party shading/Democratic}}|{{ushr|New York|5|5th}} |
|||
| '''89%''' |
|||
| 10% |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}|[[Gregory Meeks]] |
|||
|- align=center |
|||
! {{party shading/Democratic}}|{{ushr|New York|6|6th}} |
|||
| '''72%''' |
|||
| 28% |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}|[[Grace Meng]] |
|||
|- align=center |
|||
! {{party shading/Democratic}}|{{ushr|New York|7|7th}} |
|||
| '''92%''' |
|||
| 8% |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}|[[Nydia Velázquez]] |
|||
|- align=center |
|||
! {{party shading/Democratic}}|{{ushr|New York|8|8th}} |
|||
| '''90%''' |
|||
| 10% |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}|[[Hakeem Jeffries]] |
|||
|- align=center |
|||
! {{party shading/Democratic}}|{{ushr|New York|9|9th}} |
|||
| '''89%''' |
|||
| 11% |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}|[[Yvette Clarke]] |
|||
|- align=center |
|||
! {{party shading/Democratic}}|{{ushr|New York|10|10th}} |
|||
| '''83%''' |
|||
| 16% |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}|[[Jerry Nadler]] |
|||
|- align=center |
|||
! {{party shading/Democratic}}|{{ushr|New York|11|11th}} |
|||
| '''55%''' |
|||
| 45% |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}|[[Max Rose]] |
|||
|- align=center |
|||
! {{party shading/Democratic}}|{{ushr|New York|12|12th}} |
|||
| '''87%''' |
|||
| 13% |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}|[[Carolyn Maloney]] |
|||
|- align=center |
|||
! {{party shading/Democratic}}|{{ushr|New York|13|13th}} |
|||
| '''95%''' |
|||
| 5% |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}|[[Adriano Espaillat]] |
|||
|- align=center |
|||
! {{party shading/Democratic}}|{{ushr|New York|14|14th}} |
|||
| '''83%''' |
|||
| 16% |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}|[[Alexandria Ocasio Cortez]] |
|||
|- align=center |
|||
! {{party shading/Democratic}}|{{ushr|New York|15|15th}} |
|||
| '''96%''' |
|||
| 4% |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}|[[Jose E. Serrano]] |
|||
|- align=center |
|||
! {{party shading/Democratic}}|{{ushr|New York|16|16th}} |
|||
| '''79%''' |
|||
| 21% |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}|[[Eliot Engel]] |
|||
|- align=center |
|||
! {{party shading/Democratic}}|{{ushr|New York|17|17th}} |
|||
| '''66%''' |
|||
| 34% |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}|[[Nita Lowey]] |
|||
|- align=center |
|||
! {{party shading/Democratic}}|{{ushr|New York|18|18th}} |
|||
| '''57%''' |
|||
| 43% |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}|[[Sean Patrick Maloney]] |
|||
|- align=center |
|||
! {{party shading/Democratic}}|{{ushr|New York|19|19th}} |
|||
| '''56%''' |
|||
| 44% |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}|[[Antonio Delgado (politician)|Antonio Delgado]] |
|||
|- align=center |
|||
! {{party shading/Democratic}}|{{ushr|New York|20|20th}} |
|||
| '''63%''' |
|||
| 37% |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}|[[Paul Tonko]] |
|||
|- align=center |
|||
! {{party shading/Democratic}}|{{ushr|New York|21|21st}} |
|||
| '''53%''' |
|||
| 47% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}|[[Elise Stefanik]] |
|||
|- align=center |
|||
! {{party shading/Democratic}}|{{ushr|New York|22|22nd}} |
|||
| '''51%''' |
|||
| 49% |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}|[[Anthony Brindisi]] |
|||
|- align=center |
|||
! {{party shading/Democratic}}|{{ushr|New York|23|23rd}} |
|||
| '''51%''' |
|||
| 49% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}|[[Tom Reed (politician)|Tom Reed]] |
|||
|- align=center |
|||
! {{party shading/Democratic}}|{{ushr|New York|24|24th}} |
|||
| '''58%''' |
|||
| 42% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}|[[John Katko]] |
|||
|- align=center |
|||
! {{party shading/Democratic}}|{{ushr|New York|25|25th}} |
|||
| '''63%''' |
|||
| 37% |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}|[[Joe Morelle]] |
|||
|- align=center |
|||
! {{party shading/Democratic}}|{{ushr|New York|26|26th}} |
|||
| '''68%''' |
|||
| 32% |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}|[[Brian Higgins]] |
|||
|- align=center |
|||
! {{party shading/Republican}}|{{ushr|New York|27|27th}} |
|||
| 47% |
|||
| '''53%''' |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}|[[Chris Collins (New York politician)|Chris Collins]] |
|||
|- align=center |
|||
|} |
|||
==References== |
|||
{{reflist}} |
|||
==External links== |
|||
*[https://votesmart.org/election/2018/C/NY/2018-congressional Candidates] at [[Vote Smart]] |
|||
*[https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_Senate_election_in_New_York,_2018 Candidates] at [[Ballotpedia]] |
|||
*[https://www.fec.gov/data/elections/senate/NY/2018/ Campaign finance] at [[Federal Election Commission|FEC]] |
|||
*[https://www.opensecrets.org/races/summary?cycle=2018&id=NYS1 Campaign finance] at [[OpenSecrets]] |
|||
'''Official campaign websites''' |
|||
*[http://www.kirstengillibrand.com/ Kirsten Gillibrand (D) for Senate] |
|||
*[https://web.archive.org/web/20180203064431/http://www.chelefarleyforsenate.com/ Chele Farley (R) for Senate] |
|||
{{2018 United States elections}} |
|||
{{New York elections}} |
|||
[[Category:United States Senate elections in New York (state)|2018]] |
|||
[[Category:2018 United States Senate elections|New York]] |
|||
[[Category:2018 New York (state) elections|United States Senate]] |
|||
[[Category:Kirsten Gillibrand]] |