2010 Oklahoma gubernatorial election: Difference between revisions

2010 Oklahoma gubernatorial election
	County results ; Fallin: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90%; Askins: 50–60%
Governor before election; Brad Henry; Democratic	Elected Governor ; Mary Fallin; Republican

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The 2010 Oklahoma gubernatorial election was held on November 2, 2010, to elect the governor of Oklahoma. Due to term limits established by the Oklahoma Constitution, incumbent Democratic governor Brad Henry couldn't seek re-election. The race had been hotly contested by both political parties, with several well-known Oklahomans announcing their candidacy up to two years before the election. This was the first time a woman challenged another woman for Governor of Oklahoma.

As both parties nominated female candidates (Jari Askins for the Democrats and Mary Fallin for the Republicans), both of whom have also previously held the office of the lieutenant governor of Oklahoma, and as no third-party or write-in candidate qualified for the ballot, Oklahoma was guaranteed its first female governor. In 2008, Republicans won majorities in both chambers of the state legislature for the first ever; as they expanded these majorities in the 2010 elections and Fallin won the governorship, a Republican state government trifecta was established for the first time since statehood when Fallin was sworn in on January 10, 2011.

Askins carried only four counties: her home county of Stephens and neighboring Comanche, Cotton, and Jefferson. While Fallin won all other 73 counties (of which she flipped 70), her margins varied, ranging from narrow wins in much of Eastern Oklahoma to a 66-point victory in staunchly Republican Beaver County.

Fallin was the first Republican to win Atoka County, Choctaw County, Coal County, Haskell County, Hughes County, Johnston County, Latimer County, LeFlore County, McCurtain County, Okfuskee County, Pittsburg County, and Pushmataha County in a gubernatorial election since Oklahoma statehood. Fallin was the first non-Democrat to win Tillman County, which had voted for the Democratic candidate for governor in each election since Oklahoma statehood, thus breaking a 103-year streak of voting Democratic Party.

Democratic primary

Declared

Jari Askins, incumbent lieutenant governor of Oklahoma^[1]
Drew Edmondson, incumbent attorney general of Oklahoma^[2]

Polling

Poll source	Dates administered	Drew Edmondson	Jari Askins
SoonerPoll.com^[3]	July 16–21, 2010	49%	33%
Sooner Survey^[4]	July 18–20, 2010	38%	27%
SoonerPoll.com^[5]	May 25 – June 9, 2010	37%	36%
SoonerPoll.com^[6]	January 2–5, 2010	46%	36%

Results

Democratic primary results^[7]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Jari Askins	132,591	50.28
	Democratic	Drew Edmondson	131,097	49.72
Total votes			263,688	100.00

Republican primary

Declared

Mary Fallin, former lieutenant governor and current congresswoman for Oklahoma's 5th congressional district^[8]
Roger L. Jackson, retired businessman, former president of the Oklahoma Office Machine Dealers Association (OOMDA)^[9]
Randy Brogdon, state senator^[10]
Robert Hubbard, business owner of Piedmont, Oklahoma's "Hubbard Ranch Supply"^[11]

Declined

J. C. Watts, former congressman from Oklahoma's 4th congressional district^[12]
Mick Cornett, Mayor of Oklahoma City

Polling

Poll source	Dates administered	Mary Fallin	Randy Brogdon
SoonerPoll.com^[3]	July 16–21, 2010	56%	18%
Sooner Survey^[4]	July 18–20, 2010	50%	22%
SoonerPoll.com^[13]	May 25 – June 9, 2010	59%	10%
SoonerPoll.com^[6]	January 2–5, 2010	68%	16%

Results

Republican primary results^[7]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Mary Fallin	136,477	54.79
	Republican	Randy Brogdon	98,170	39.41
	Republican	Robert Hubbard	8,132	3.26
	Republican	Roger L. Jackson	6,290	2.53
Total votes			249,069	100.00

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
Cook Political Report^[14]	Likely R (flip)	October 14, 2010
Rothenberg^[15]	Safe R (flip)	October 28, 2010
RealClearPolitics^[16]	Safe R (flip)	November 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball^[17]	Likely R (flip)	October 28, 2010
CQ Politics^[18]	Lean R (flip)	October 28, 2010

Polling

Poll source	Dates administered	Mary Fallin (R)	Jari Askins (D)
SoonerPoll.com^[19]	October 23, 2010	56%	39%
SoonerPoll.com^[19]	October 7, 2010	54%	36%
Rasmussen Reports^[20]	September 23, 2010	60%	34%
Rasmussen Reports^[21]	August 26, 2010	52%	37%
Rasmussen Reports^[22]	July 28, 2010	57%	36%
SoonerPoll.com^[3]	July 16–21, 2010	46%	40%
Rasmussen Reports^[23]	June 30, 2010	55%	32%
SoonerPoll.com^[24]	May 25 – June 9, 2010	49%	36%
Rasmussen Reports^[25]	February 24, 2010	51%	37%
SoonerPoll.com^[6]	January 2–5, 2010	52%	36%
Public Policy Polling^[26]	May 13–17, 2009	50%	34%

Results

2010 Oklahoma gubernatorial election^[27]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Republican	Mary Fallin	625,506	60.45%	+26.95%
	Democratic	Jari Askins	409,261	39.55%	−26.95%
Total votes			1,034,767	100.00%	N/A
	Republican gain from Democratic

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

Atoka (Largest city: Atoka)
Bryan (Largest city: Durant)
Caddo (Largest city: Anadarko)
Carter (Largest city: Ardmore)
Coal (Largest city: Coalgate)
Craig (Largest city: Vinita)
Garvin (Largest city: Pauls Valley)
Greer (Largest city: Mangum)
Harmon (Largest city: Hollis)
Johnston (Largest city: Tishomingo)
Kiowa (Largest city: Hobart)
Le Flore (Largest city: Poteau)
Love (Largest city: Marietta)
Marshall (Largest city: Madill)
Mayes (Largest city: Pryor Creek)
McCurtain (Largest city: Idabel)
Murray (Largest city: Sulphur)
Nowata (Largest city: Nowata)
Okfuskee (Largest city: Okemah)
Osage (Largest city: Hominy)
Pawnee (Largest city: Cleveland)
Pittsburg (Largest city: McAlester)
Pontotoc (Largest city: Ada)
Pushmataha (Largest city: Antlers)
Seminole (Largest city: Seminole)
Sequoyah (Largest city: Sallisaw)
Tillman (Largest city: Frederick)
Cherokee (Largest city: Tahlequah)
Choctaw (Largest city: Hugo)
Haskell (Largest city: Stigler)
Hughes (Largest city: Holdenville)
Latimer (Largest city: Wilburton)
McIntosh (Largest city: Checotah)
Muskogee (Largest city: Muskogee)
Okmulgee (Largest city: Okmulgee)
Ottawa (Largest city: Miami)
Beckham (Largest city: Elk City)
Delaware (Largest city: Grove)
Washita (Largest city: New Cordell)
Adair (Largest city: Stilwell)
Alfalfa (Largest city: Helena)
Blaine (Largest city: Watonga)
Canadian (Largest city: Yukon)
Cleveland (Largest city: Norman)
Creek (Largest city: Sapulpa)
Custer (Largest city: Weatherford)
Dewey (Largest city: Seiling)
Ellis (Largest city: Shattuck)
Garfield (Largest city: Enid)
Grady (Largest city: Chickasaw)
Grant (Largest city: Medford)
Harper (Largest city: Laverne)
Jackson (Largest city: Altus)
Kay (Largest city: Ponca City)
Kingfisher (Largest city: Kingfisher)
Lincoln (Largest city: Chandler)
Logan (Largest city: Guthrie)
McClain (Largest city: Newcastle)
Major (Largest city: Fairview)
Noble (Largest city: Perry)
Oklahoma (Largest city: Oklahoma City)
Payne (Largest city: Stillwater)
Pottawatomie (Largest city: Shawnee)
Roger Mills (Largest city: Cheyenne)
Rogers (Largest city: Claremore)
Tulsa (Largest city: Tulsa)
Wagoner (Largest city: Coewta)
Washington (Largest city: Bartlesville)
Woods (Largest city: Alva)
Woodward (Largest city: Woodward)

References

^ McNutt, Michael. "Oklahoma Lt. Gov. Jari Askins said she will run for governor in 2010." NewsOk.com, January 4, 2009.
^ "Edmondson says he will run for governor in 2010".
^ ^a ^b ^c SoonerPoll.com
^ ^a ^b Sooner Survey
^ SoonerPoll.com
^ ^a ^b ^c SoonerPoll.com
^ ^a ^b "SUMMARY RESULTS: Primary Election -- July 27, 2010". Oklahoma Election Board. Archived from the original on August 2, 2020. Retrieved June 9, 2021.
^ [1]^{[dead link‍]}
^ "Roger L. Jackson for Oklahoma Governor". Jacksonforokgov.com. Archived from the original on July 12, 2010. Retrieved August 21, 2010.
^ "Owasso Sen. Brogdon to run for governor". Tulsa World. April 18, 2009. Archived from the original on October 7, 2012. Retrieved August 21, 2010.
^ Estus, John, "Oklahoma candidate filing period marks start of busy campaign season", The Oklahoman, May 31, 2010.
^ Casteel, Chris (May 22, 2009). "J.C. Watts rules out run for Oklahoma governor". The Oklahoman. Archived from the original on March 3, 2016. Retrieved June 10, 2021.
^ SoonerPoll.com
^ "2010 Governors Race Ratings". Cook Political Report. Archived from the original on October 28, 2010. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
^ "Governor Ratings". Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
^ "2010 Governor Races". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
^ "THE CRYSTAL BALL'S FINAL CALLS". Sabato's Crystal Ball. October 28, 2010. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
^ "Race Ratings Chart: Governor". CQ Politics. Archived from the original on October 5, 2010. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
^ ^a ^b SoonerPoll.com
^ Rasmussen Reports
^ Rasmussen Reports
^ Rasmussen Reports
^ Rasmussen Reports
^ SoonerPoll.com
^ Rasmussen Reports
^ Public Policy Polling
^ "Election Results" (PDF). Oklahoma State Election Board. Archived from the original (PDF) on November 16, 2010. Retrieved November 11, 2010.

External links

Oklahoma State Election Board
Candidates for Oklahoma State Offices at Project Vote Smart
Campaign contributions for 2010 Oklahoma Governor from Follow the Money
Oklahoma Governor 2010 from OurCampaigns.com
Election 2010: Oklahoma Governor from Rasmussen Reports
2010 Oklahoma Governor Race from Real Clear Politics
2010 Oklahoma Governor's Race from CQ Politics
Race Profile in The New York Times
News coverage from The Oklahoman

Debates

Oklahoma Gubernatorial Debate on C-SPAN, July 21, 2010

Official campaign sites

[1] McNutt, Michael. "Oklahoma Lt. Gov. Jari Askins said she will run for governor in 2010." NewsOk.com, January 4, 2009.

[2] "Edmondson says he will run for governor in 2010".

[SoonerPoll.com-3] SoonerPoll.com

[Sooner_Survey-4] Sooner Survey

[5] SoonerPoll.com

[tulsaworld.com-6] SoonerPoll.com

[ok.gov-7] "SUMMARY RESULTS: Primary Election -- July 27, 2010". Oklahoma Election Board. Archived from the original on August 2, 2020. Retrieved June 9, 2021.

[8] [1]^{[dead link‍]}

[9] "Roger L. Jackson for Oklahoma Governor". Jacksonforokgov.com. Archived from the original on July 12, 2010. Retrieved August 21, 2010.

[10] "Owasso Sen. Brogdon to run for governor". Tulsa World. April 18, 2009. Archived from the original on October 7, 2012. Retrieved August 21, 2010.

[estus-11] Estus, John, "Oklahoma candidate filing period marks start of busy campaign season", The Oklahoman, May 31, 2010.

[12] Casteel, Chris (May 22, 2009). "J.C. Watts rules out run for Oklahoma governor". The Oklahoman. Archived from the original on March 3, 2016. Retrieved June 10, 2021.

[13] SoonerPoll.com

[14] "2010 Governors Race Ratings". Cook Political Report. Archived from the original on October 28, 2010. Retrieved October 28, 2010.

[15] "Governor Ratings". Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved October 28, 2010.

[16] "2010 Governor Races". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved October 28, 2010.

[17] "THE CRYSTAL BALL'S FINAL CALLS". Sabato's Crystal Ball. October 28, 2010. Retrieved October 28, 2010.

[18] "Race Ratings Chart: Governor". CQ Politics. Archived from the original on October 5, 2010. Retrieved October 28, 2010.

[rasmussenreports.com-19] SoonerPoll.com

[20] Rasmussen Reports

[21] Rasmussen Reports

[22] Rasmussen Reports

[23] Rasmussen Reports

[24] SoonerPoll.com

[25] Rasmussen Reports

[26] Public Policy Polling

[officalresults-27] "Election Results" (PDF). Oklahoma State Election Board. Archived from the original (PDF) on November 16, 2010. Retrieved November 11, 2010.

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@@ Line 25: / Line 25: @@
 | map_image = 2010 Oklahoma gubernatorial election results map by county.svg
 | map_size = 300px
-| map_caption = County results <br/>
+| map_caption = County results <br />
-'''Fallin:''' {{legend0|#e27f7f|50–60%}} {{legend0|#d75d5d|60–70%}} {{legend0|#d72f30|70–80%}} {{legend0|#c21b18|80–90%}}<br/> '''Askins:''' {{legend0|#7996e2|50–60%}}
+'''Fallin:''' {{legend0|#e27f7f|50–60%}} {{legend0|#d75d5d|60–70%}} {{legend0|#d72f30|70–80%}} {{legend0|#c21b18|80–90%}}<br /> '''Askins:''' {{legend0|#7996e2|50–60%}}
 | title = Governor
 | before_election = [[Brad Henry]]
@@ Line 53: / Line 53: @@
 ! style="width:135px;"| Poll source
 ! style="width:150px;"| Dates administered
-! style="width:100px;"| Drew<br>Edmondson
+! style="width:100px;"| Drew<br />Edmondson
-! style="width:100px;"| Jari<br>Askins
+! style="width:100px;"| Jari<br />Askins
 |-
-| [http://www.tulsaworld.com/news/article.aspx?subjectid=262&articleid=20100725_16_A1_Rpbiaa706184 SoonerPoll.com]
+|[[SoonerPoll.com]]<ref name="SoonerPoll.com">[http://www.tulsaworld.com/news/article.aspx?subjectid=262&articleid=20100725_16_A1_Rpbiaa706184 SoonerPoll.com]</ref>
 | align=center| July 16–21, 2010
 |  {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| '''49%'''
 | align=center| 33%
 |-
-| [https://web.archive.org/web/20120121113319/http://www.pollster.com/blogs/Volume%2020%20Number%204.pdf Sooner Survey]
+|[[Sooner Survey]]<ref name="Sooner Survey">[https://web.archive.org/web/20120121113319/http://www.pollster.com/blogs/Volume%2020%20Number%204.pdf Sooner Survey]</ref>
 | align=center| July 18–20, 2010
 |  {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| '''38%'''
 | align=center| 27%
 |-
-| [http://soonerpoll.com/democratic-gubernatorial-primary-tightens/ SoonerPoll.com]
+|[[SoonerPoll.com]]<ref>[http://soonerpoll.com/democratic-gubernatorial-primary-tightens/ SoonerPoll.com]</ref>
 | align=center| May 25 – June 9, 2010
 |  {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| '''37%'''
 | align=center| 36%
 |-
-| [http://www.tulsaworld.com/news/article.aspx?subjectid=12&articleid=20100110_16_A1_FifthD914789 SoonerPoll.com]
+|[[SoonerPoll.com]]<ref name="tulsaworld.com">[http://www.tulsaworld.com/news/article.aspx?subjectid=12&articleid=20100110_16_A1_FifthD914789 SoonerPoll.com]</ref>
 | align=center| January 2–5, 2010
 |  {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| '''46%'''
@@ Line 130: / Line 130: @@
 ! style="width:135px;"| Poll source
 ! style="width:150px;"| Dates administered
-! style="width:100px;"| Mary<br>Fallin
+! style="width:100px;"| Mary<br />Fallin
-! style="width:100px;"| Randy<br>Brogdon
+! style="width:100px;"| Randy<br />Brogdon
 |-
+|[[SoonerPoll.com]]<ref name="SoonerPoll.com"/>
-| [http://www.tulsaworld.com/news/article.aspx?subjectid=262&articleid=20100725_16_A1_Rpbiaa706184 SoonerPoll.com]
 | align=center| July 16–21, 2010
 |  {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| '''56%'''
 | align=center| 18%
 |-
+|[[Sooner Survey]]<ref name="Sooner Survey"/>
-| [https://web.archive.org/web/20120121113319/http://www.pollster.com/blogs/Volume%2020%20Number%204.pdf Sooner Survey]
 | align=center| July 18–20, 2010
 |  {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| '''50%'''
 | align=center| 22%
 |-
-| [http://soonerpoll.com/fallin-continues-to-dominate-republican-gubernatorial-race/ SoonerPoll.com]
+|[[SoonerPoll.com]]<ref>[http://soonerpoll.com/fallin-continues-to-dominate-republican-gubernatorial-race/ SoonerPoll.com]</ref>
 | align=center| May 25 – June 9, 2010
 |  {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| '''59%'''
 | align=center| 10%
 |-
+|[[SoonerPoll.com]]<ref name="tulsaworld.com"/>
-| [http://www.tulsaworld.com/news/article.aspx?subjectid=12&articleid=20100110_16_A1_FifthD914789 SoonerPoll.com]
 | align=center| January 2–5, 2010
 |  {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| '''68%'''
@@ Line 238: / Line 238: @@
 ! style="width:165px;"| Poll source
 ! style="width:150px;"| Dates administered
-! style="width:100px;"| Mary<br>Fallin (R)
+! style="width:100px;"| Mary<br />Fallin (R)
-! style="width:100px;"| Jari<br>Askins (D)
+! style="width:100px;"| Jari<br />Askins (D)
 |-
-| [http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2010/election_2010_state_toplines/oklahoma/toplines_oklahoma_governor_september_23_2010 SoonerPoll.com]
+|[[SoonerPoll.com]]<ref name="rasmussenreports.com">[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2010/election_2010_state_toplines/oklahoma/toplines_oklahoma_governor_september_23_2010 SoonerPoll.com]</ref>
 | align=center| October 23, 2010
 | {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| '''56%'''
 | align=center| 39%
 |-
+|[[SoonerPoll.com]]<ref name="rasmussenreports.com"/>
-| [http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2010/election_2010_state_toplines/oklahoma/toplines_oklahoma_governor_september_23_2010 SoonerPoll.com]
 | align=center| October 7, 2010
 | {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| '''54%'''
 | align=center| 36%
 |-
-| [http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2010/election_2010_state_toplines/oklahoma/toplines_oklahoma_governor_september_23_2010 Rasmussen Reports]
+|[[Rasmussen Reports]]<ref>[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2010/election_2010_state_toplines/oklahoma/toplines_oklahoma_governor_september_23_2010 Rasmussen Reports]</ref>
 | align=center| September 23, 2010
 | {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| '''60%'''
 | align=center| 34%
 |-
-| [http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2010/election_2010_governor_elections/oklahoma/toplines/toplines_oklahoma_governor_august_26_2010 Rasmussen Reports]
+|[[Rasmussen Reports]]<ref>[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2010/election_2010_governor_elections/oklahoma/toplines/toplines_oklahoma_governor_august_26_2010 Rasmussen Reports]</ref>
 | align=center| August 26, 2010
 | {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| '''52%'''
 | align=center| 37%
 |-
-| [http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2010/election_2010_governor_elections/oklahoma/election_2010_oklahoma_governor Rasmussen Reports]
+|[[Rasmussen Reports]]<ref>[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2010/election_2010_governor_elections/oklahoma/election_2010_oklahoma_governor Rasmussen Reports]</ref>
 | align=center| July 28, 2010
 | {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| '''57%'''
 | align=center| 36%
 |-
+|[[SoonerPoll.com]]<ref name="SoonerPoll.com"/>
-| [http://www.tulsaworld.com/news/article.aspx?subjectid=262&articleid=20100725_16_A1_Rpbiaa706184 SoonerPoll.com]
 | align=center| July 16–21, 2010
 |  {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| '''46%'''
 | align=center| 40%
 |-
-| [http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2010/election_2010_governor_elections/oklahoma/toplines/toplines_oklahoma_governor_june_30_2010/ Rasmussen Reports]
+|[[Rasmussen Reports]]<ref>[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2010/election_2010_governor_elections/oklahoma/toplines/toplines_oklahoma_governor_june_30_2010/ Rasmussen Reports]</ref>
 | align=center| June 30, 2010
 |  {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| '''55%'''
 | align=center| 32%
 |-
-| [http://soonerpoll.com/one-on-one-match-ups-find-fallin-leading-governor-race/ SoonerPoll.com]
+|[[SoonerPoll.com]]<ref>[http://soonerpoll.com/one-on-one-match-ups-find-fallin-leading-governor-race/ SoonerPoll.com]</ref>
 | align=center| May 25 – June 9, 2010
 |  {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| '''49%'''
 | align=center| 36%
 |-
-| [http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections2/election_2010/election_2010_governor_elections/oklahoma/election_2010_oklahoma_governor Rasmussen Reports]
+|[[Rasmussen Reports]]<ref>[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections2/election_2010/election_2010_governor_elections/oklahoma/election_2010_oklahoma_governor Rasmussen Reports]</ref>
 | align=center| February 24, 2010
 |  {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| '''51%'''
 | align=center| 37%
 |-
+|[[SoonerPoll.com]]<ref name="tulsaworld.com"/>
-| [http://www.tulsaworld.com/news/article.aspx?subjectid=12&articleid=20100110_16_A1_FifthD914789 SoonerPoll.com]
 | align=center| January 2–5, 2010
 |  {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| '''52%'''
 | align=center| 36%
 |-
-| [http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_OK_520.pdf Public Policy Polling]
+|[[Public Policy Polling]]<ref>[http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_OK_520.pdf Public Policy Polling]</ref>
 | align=center| May 13–17, 2009
 |  {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| '''50%'''
@@ Line 411: / Line 411: @@
 *[http://elections.nytimes.com/2010/governor/oklahoma Race Profile] in ''[[The New York Times]]''
 *[http://newsok.com/politics/elections News coverage] from ''[[The Oklahoman]]''
-;Debates
+'''Debates'''
 *[http://www.c-spanvideo.org/program/294678-1 Oklahoma Gubernatorial Debate] on ''[[C-SPAN]]'', July 21, 2010
-;Official campaign sites
+'''Official campaign sites'''
 *[https://web.archive.org/web/20101028214334/http://www.jariaskins.com/ Jari Askins for Governor]
 *[https://web.archive.org/web/20101103193258/http://www.maryfallin.org/ Mary Fallin for Governor]

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