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===Potential candidates===
===Potential candidates===
* [[Joe Biden]], 46th
* [[Joe Biden]], 46th
[[President of the United States (2021-present), 47th [[Vice President of the United States]] (2009-2017)
[[President of the United States]] (2021-present), 47th [[Vice President of the United States]] (2009-2017)
* [[Andy Beshear]], 63rd [[Governor of Kentucky]] (2019–present), 50th [[Attorney General of Kentucky]] (2016–2019)<ref>{{Cite web |url=https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/4300568-andy-beshear-kentucky-governor-2028-2024-president/ |title=Beshear's star rises after Kentucky victory |date=November 8, 2023 |work=The Hill |first=Jared |last=Gans}}</ref><ref name="Scher">{{cite web |url=https://www.politico.com/news/magazine/2023/12/26/who-is-winning-2028-presidential-election-00133119|title=Which 2028 Presidential Wannabe Had the Best Year?|date=December 26, 2023 |work=Politico|first1=Bill|last1=Scher}}</ref>
* [[Andy Beshear]], 63rd [[Governor of Kentucky]] (2019–present), 50th [[Attorney General of Kentucky]] (2016–2019)<ref>{{Cite web |url=https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/4300568-andy-beshear-kentucky-governor-2028-2024-president/ |title=Beshear's star rises after Kentucky victory |date=November 8, 2023 |work=The Hill |first=Jared |last=Gans}}</ref><ref name="Scher">{{cite web |url=https://www.politico.com/news/magazine/2023/12/26/who-is-winning-2028-presidential-election-00133119|title=Which 2028 Presidential Wannabe Had the Best Year?|date=December 26, 2023 |work=Politico|first1=Bill|last1=Scher}}</ref>
* [[Cory Booker]], [[United States Senator]] from [[New Jersey]] (2013–present), 38th [[Mayor of Newark|Mayor]] of [[Newark, New Jersey]] (2006–2013), candidate for president in [[Cory Booker 2020 presidential campaign|2020]]<ref name="mccaskill"/>
* [[Cory Booker]], [[United States Senator]] from [[New Jersey]] (2013–present), 38th [[Mayor of Newark|Mayor]] of [[Newark, New Jersey]] (2006–2013), candidate for president in [[Cory Booker 2020 presidential campaign|2020]]<ref name="mccaskill"/>

Revision as of 18:17, 7 November 2024

For related races, see 2028 United States elections.

2028 United States presidential election
← 2024 November 7, 2028 2032 →
538 members of the Electoral College
270 electoral votes needed to win
2024 United States presidential election in California2024 United States presidential election in Oregon2024 United States presidential election in Washington (state)2024 United States presidential election in Idaho2024 United States presidential election in Nevada2024 United States presidential election in Utah2024 United States presidential election in Arizona2024 United States presidential election in Montana2024 United States presidential election in Wyoming2024 United States presidential election in Colorado2024 United States presidential election in New Mexico2024 United States presidential election in North Dakota2024 United States presidential election in South Dakota2024 United States presidential election in Nebraska2024 United States presidential election in Kansas2024 United States presidential election in Oklahoma2024 United States presidential election in Texas2024 United States presidential election in Minnesota2024 United States presidential election in Iowa2024 United States presidential election in Missouri2024 United States presidential election in Arkansas2024 United States presidential election in Louisiana2024 United States presidential election in Wisconsin2024 United States presidential election in Illinois2024 United States presidential election in Michigan2024 United States presidential election in Indiana2024 United States presidential election in Ohio2024 United States presidential election in Kentucky2024 United States presidential election in Tennessee2024 United States presidential election in Mississippi2024 United States presidential election in Alabama2024 United States presidential election in Georgia2024 United States presidential election in Florida2024 United States presidential election in South Carolina2024 United States presidential election in North Carolina2024 United States presidential election in Virginia2024 United States presidential election in West Virginia2024 United States presidential election in the District of Columbia2024 United States presidential election in Maryland2024 United States presidential election in Delaware2024 United States presidential election in Pennsylvania2024 United States presidential election in New Jersey2024 United States presidential election in New York2024 United States presidential election in Connecticut2024 United States presidential election in Rhode Island2024 United States presidential election in Vermont2024 United States presidential election in New Hampshire2024 United States presidential election in Maine2024 United States presidential election in Massachusetts2024 United States presidential election in Hawaii2024 United States presidential election in Alaska2024 United States presidential election in the District of Columbia2024 United States presidential election in Maryland2024 United States presidential election in Delaware2024 United States presidential election in New Jersey2024 United States presidential election in Connecticut2024 United States presidential election in Rhode Island2024 United States presidential election in Massachusetts2024 United States presidential election in Vermont2024 United States presidential election in New Hampshire
2028 electoral map, based on the results of the 2020 census
Incumbent President

Donald Trump (President-elect)
Republican



The 2028 United States presidential election will be the 61st quadrennial presidential election, set to be held on Tuesday, November 7, 2028.[1] Voters in each state and the District of Columbia will choose electors to the Electoral College, who will then elect a president and vice president for a term of four years.

The winners of this election (and the new president-elect and vice president-elect after it) are set to be inaugurated on January 20, 2029. President-elect Donald Trump, who won the previous election, will be ineligible to pursue a third term in 2028 due to the two-term limit established by the Twenty-second Amendment to the U.S. Constitution.

Background

Procedure

Main article: United States presidential election § Procedure

Article Two of the United States Constitution states that for a person to serve as president, the individual must be a natural-born citizen of the United States, be at least 35 years old, and have been a United States resident for at least 14 years. The Twenty-second Amendment forbids any person from being elected president more than twice. Major party candidates seek the nomination through a series of primary elections that select the delegates who choose the candidate at the party's national convention. The national convention chooses a vice presidential running mate to form that party's ticket. The nominee for president usually picks the running mate, who is then ratified by the delegates at the party's convention.

The general election in November is an indirect election, in which voters cast ballots for a slate of members of the Electoral College; these electors then directly elect the president and vice president.

Electoral map

Electoral partisanship

Further information: Red states and blue states

Approximate partisan lean of the 50 U.S. states and the District of Columbia on the presidential level. The shading of each state denotes the winner's two-party vote share, averaged between the 2016 and 2020 presidential elections. States that flipped in 2020 are colored grey. In recent presidential elections, most states are not competitive, since their demographics keep them solidly behind one party. Because of the nature of the Electoral College, this means that swing states—states that are typically very competitive and "swing" between the Democratic and Republican parties—are vital to winning the presidency. These include states in the Midwestern United States, such as Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania, and states in the Sun Belt, such as Nevada, Arizona, Georgia and North Carolina[2]. Due to gradual demographic shifts, some swing states such as Iowa, Ohio, and Florida have shifted significantly towards Republicans, favoring them in statewide and local elections. Meanwhile, states like Colorado, Minnesota and Virginia have moved noticeably towards Democrats, and they have become the dominant political force there.

The traditional Democratic electoral coalition, securing the "blue states" for Democratic presidential candidates, is mainly composed of minority groups (especially African-Americans and Latinos), women, educated professionals, and urban voters. Working class voters were also a mainstay of the Democratic coalition since the days of the New Deal, but since the 1970s, many have defected to Republicans as the Democratic Party became significantly more educated, diverse, and culturally liberal. Conversely, the traditional Republican coalition that dominates many "red states" is mainly composed of rural white voters, evangelicals, the elderly, and non-college educated voters. Republicans have also historically performed well with suburban, middle class voters since the 1950s, but this bloc has drifted away from them in recent years due to the rise of the Tea Party movement and later the Make America Great Again movement, a brand of right-wing populism cultivated by former President Donald Trump. The acceleration of this trend has been credited with tipping the 2020 presidential election in favor of Democrat Joe Biden, since the incumbent Trump was historically unpopular in the suburbs for a Republican candidate, underperforming there significantly.

Candidates

Democratic Party

Publicly expressed interest

Democrats who have expressed interest

Potential candidates

President of the United States (2021-present), 47th Vice President of the United States (2009-2017)

Potential Democratic candidates

Opinion polling

Poll source Date(s) administered Sample size[a] Margin of error Pete
Buttigieg 		Kamala
Harris 		Gavin
Newsom 		Other/
Undecided
Echelon Insights January 16-18, 2024 499 (RV) ± 3.4% 13% 33% 11% 43%[b]

Republican Party

Publicly expressed interest

Republicans who have expressed interest

Potential candidates

Potential Republicans

Declined to be candidates

Opinion polling

Poll source Date(s) administered Sample size Margin of error Tucker
Carlson 		Ron
DeSantis 		Nikki
Haley 		Vivek
Ramaswamy 		JD
Vance 		Other/
Undecided
Echelon Insights July 19-21, 2024 982 (RV) ± 3.8% 14% 9% 10% 25% 16%[c]
Echelon Insights January 16-18, 2024 832 (RV) ± 3.4% 6% 27% 19% 18% 1% 29%[d]

Independent and third-party candidates

Potential candidates

Potential Independents

Notes

  1. ^ Key:
    A - all adults
    RV - registered voters
    LV - likely voters
    V - unclear
  2. ^ JB Pritzker and Gretchen Whitmer with 3%. John Fetterman, Josh Shapiro, and Raphael Warnock with 2%. Andy Beshear and Wes Moore with 1%. Someone else with 4%. Unsure with 14%.
  3. ^ Ted Cruz with 4%. Sarah Huckabee Sanders with 3%. Josh Hawley, Marco Rubio, and Tim Scott with 2%. Katie Britt, Byron Donalds, and Glenn Youngkin with 1%. Undecided with 21%.
  4. ^ Greg Abbott with 3%. Kari Lake and Glenn Youngkin with 2%. Tom Cotton, Byron Donalds, Josh Hawley, Brian Kemp, and Elise Stefanik with 1%. Katie Britt with 0%. Undecided with 17%.

References

  1. ^ "Sangamon County > Departments > A-C > County Clerk > Elections > Election Information > Future Election Dates & Election Calendars". sangamonil.gov. Retrieved August 22, 2024.
  2. ^ "What are the current swing states, and how have they changed over time?". USAFacts. Retrieved August 22, 2024.
  3. ^ a b Barkan, Ross (July 13, 2022). "Who Comes After Bernie?". Intelligencer.
  4. ^ McCarthy, Mia (February 22, 2024). "Polis won't rule out a 2028 presidential bid". politico. Retrieved July 1, 2024.
  5. ^ Durr, Matt (March 18, 2024). "Gov. Whitmer gives a wink during Washington speech: 'See you in 2029'". mlive.com. Retrieved March 18, 2024.
  6. ^ Gans, Jared (November 8, 2023). "Beshear's star rises after Kentucky victory". The Hill.
  7. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u Scher, Bill (December 26, 2023). "Which 2028 Presidential Wannabe Had the Best Year?". Politico.
  8. ^ a b c d McCaskill, Nolan D. (October 25, 2022). "Who will lead progressives after Bernie Sanders?". Los Angeles Times.
  9. ^ a b c d e f g h Dovere, Edward-Isaac (December 3, 2023). "These Democrats could be contenders for their party's nomination in 2028. But first, they must boost Biden in 2024". CNN.
  10. ^ Dorman, John L. "James Carville dismisses concerns that Democrats don't have a strong presidential bench for 2028: 'So many people, it's breathtaking'". Business Insider. Retrieved February 18, 2024.
  11. ^ a b c d e f g h Geraghty, Jim (December 27, 2023). "If You Want to Be a Party's 2028 Nominee, Work Hard Now". National Review.
  12. ^ Wong, Scott; Santaliz, Kate (March 2, 2023). "Maryland Gov. Wes Moore generates buzz — and his own selfie line — rallying House Democrats". NBC News.
  13. ^ O'Dowd, Niall (October 13, 2023). "Could Senator Chris Murphy be the next Irish American president after Biden?". Irish Central. Retrieved January 22, 2024.
  14. ^ Stanage, Niall (July 29, 2022). "The Memo: No, really — What if Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez runs for president?". The Hill.
  15. ^ Wierson, Arick (October 29, 2023). "Opinion: There may be more to Dean Phillips' 'moon shot' presidential bid than meets the eye". CNN.
  16. ^ Chakraborty, Barnini (December 9, 2022). "Raphael Warnock eyed as early contender for 2028 presidential race following runoff win". Washington Examiner.
  17. ^ Yarrow, Grace (November 7, 2023). "Ted Cruz says he expects to run for president again, criticizes Democrats for pro-Palestine rhetoric". The Texas Tribune.
  18. ^ Mitchell, Octavia (December 12, 2023). "One-on-one with Senator Tim Scott". WCBD-TV. Retrieved December 16, 2023.
  19. ^ Anderson, Bruce (September 14, 2023). "Letter: Doug Burgum has a chance to be a leader in 2028. Will he take it?". InForum. Retrieved December 16, 2023.
  20. ^ Stanton, Andrew (August 7, 2023). "Joe Rogan Makes 2028 Tucker Carlson Prediction". Newsweek.
  21. ^ Rudell, B.J. (July 3, 2022). "Liz Cheney has a political future — we just don't know what it will be". The Hill. Retrieved January 8, 2023.
  22. ^ Vakil, Caroline (March 13, 2024). "Cheney fuels speculation about her next move". The Hill. Retrieved July 1, 2024.
  23. ^ Kelly, Mike (January 11, 2024). "Chris Christie would be a strong US Senate candidate for the NJ GOP. Here's why: Kelly". northjersey.com.
  24. ^ MacKinnon, Douglas (June 16, 2023). "Is the Trump circus about to push DeSantis into 2028?". The Hill.
  25. ^ Basu, Zachary (January 29, 2024). "DeSantis boosts public image after dropping out, sparking '28 speculation". Axios.
  26. ^ Sexton, Adam (November 5, 2023), CloseUp: Marjorie Taylor Greene open to future presidential run, retrieved February 18, 2024
  27. ^ Samuels, Alexandra (October 11, 2023). "Will Hurd Was Both Too Late and Too Early to Run as an Anti-Trump Moderate". Texas Monthly. Retrieved January 4, 2023.
  28. ^ Sandweiss, Ethan (November 1, 2023). "Experts weigh in on Pence's loss and future". WFYI. Retrieved January 4, 2024.
  29. ^ Cillizza, Chris (October 5, 2022). "Mike Pence looks like he is running for president. But, why?". CNN. Retrieved January 4, 2024.
  30. ^ Carpenter, Tim (April 19, 2023). "Kansas political analysts: Pompeo wisely steps aside in 2024 presidential election cycle". Kansas Reflector. Retrieved December 16, 2023.
  31. ^ Gift, Thomas (August 31, 2023). "Commentary: Who's Vivek Ramaswamy? The Trump 2.0 candidate making waves in the Republican primaries". University College London. Retrieved December 21, 2023.
  32. ^ Saunders, Forrest (June 15, 2023). "Miami mayor jumps into 2024 presidential race though some think he's eyeing 2028". WPTV. Retrieved January 4, 2024.
  33. ^ TN World Desk (January 17, 2024). "Donald Trump Jr For US President In 2028? Ex-First Son Says 'Never Say Never'". Times Now News. Retrieved January 22, 2024.
  34. ^ Cook, Nancy (November 7, 2023). "Glenn Youngkin's Presidential Ambitions Face Test in Virginia State Elections". Bloomberg. Retrieved December 2, 2023.
  35. ^ Solender, Andrew (February 13, 2024). "McCarthy floats future run for office in rare Capitol Hill visit". Axios. Retrieved February 17, 2024.
  36. ^ Mujid, Zaakirah (November 29, 2023). "Is Mark Cuban running for US president in 2024 or 2028?". BVM Sports. Retrieved December 23, 2023.
  37. ^ Ritzen, Stacey (November 29, 2023). "Mark Cuban Responds to Speculation About His Presidential Ambitions". Men's Journal. Retrieved December 23, 2023.
  38. ^ Wimbish, Jasmyn (March 13, 2024). "Stephen Curry for president? 'Maybe' says Warriors star, who wants to leverage his influence for good". CBS Sports. Retrieved March 13, 2024.
  39. ^ Kirkpatrick, Emily (October 9, 2022). "Dwayne Johnson Says Running For President Is "Off the Table"". Vanity Fair. Retrieved January 22, 2024.

{{2028 United States presidential election}} {{2028 United States elections}}

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