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'''June 15, 2011''': ''[[New York Post]]'': "Former Mayor Rudy Giuliani held meetings with two Republican heavyweights in New York Wednesday in an attempt to gauge support ahead of a potential 2012 campaign."<ref>[http://www.nypost.com/p/news/politics/giuliani_maps_out_strategy_in_meetings_oATjtFzLn03f6aECs0LeLK "Giuliani maps out 2012 strategy in meetings with Govs. Christie, Perry"], New York Post. Retrieved June 15, 2011.</ref>
'''June 15, 2011''': ''[[New York Post]]'': "Former Mayor Rudy Giuliani held meetings with two Republican heavyweights in New York Wednesday in an attempt to gauge support ahead of a potential 2012 campaign."<ref>[http://www.nypost.com/p/news/politics/giuliani_maps_out_strategy_in_meetings_oATjtFzLn03f6aECs0LeLK "Giuliani maps out 2012 strategy in meetings with Govs. Christie, Perry"], New York Post. Retrieved June 15, 2011.</ref>

'''June 15, 2011''': ''[[The Week]]'': "Huntsman, a former governor of Utah and, until April, President Obama's ambassador to China, will officially launch his campaign on June 21."<ref>[http://theweek.com/article/index/216292/jon-huntsmans-in-for-2012-but-is-he-too-late "Jon Huntsman's in for 2012: But is he too late?"], The Week. Retrieved June 15, 2011.</ref>


|[[File:Thaddeus McCotter, official portrait, 112th Congress.jpg|110px]]<br><center><big>'''[[Thad McCotter]]'''</big><br>[[List of United States Representatives from Michigan|U.S. Representative]]<br>from [[Michigan]]
|[[File:Thaddeus McCotter, official portrait, 112th Congress.jpg|110px]]<br><center><big>'''[[Thad McCotter]]'''</big><br>[[List of United States Representatives from Michigan|U.S. Representative]]<br>from [[Michigan]]

Revision as of 15:24, 21 June 2011

Republican presidential primaries, 2012
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Incumbent President

Barack Obama
Democratic



The Republican presidential primaries for the United States presidential election of 2012 will be held in the 2012 calendar year and be used to determine the presidential nominee of the Republican Party.

Calendar

Guidelines for primary and caucus dates

A temporary committee of the Republican National Committee (RNC), set up in 2010, recommended a new plan. Under this plan, the traditional states (Iowa, New Hampshire, Nevada, South Carolina) would hold their events in February, states' elected delegates proportionally could hold their events in March, with winner-take-all states and any other remaining states holding their events from April onward.[1] The amendment was passed in August 2010 by the full RNC by a vote of 103–41.[2]

Straw polls

Main article: Straw polls for the Republican Party presidential primaries, 2012

Several Republican and conservative organizations have held straw polls to test the support of potential presidential candidates among their respective memberships.[citation needed] The Ames Straw Poll, which traditionally receives major media attention and sometimes causes candidates to withdraw from the race, will be held on August 13, 2011.[citation needed]

Debates

Main article: Republican Party (United States) presidential debates, 2012

The following debates have been scheduled so far:[3][4]

Primary and caucus dates

  • February 6 – March 5, 2012: Early states (Iowa caucuses, New Hampshire primary, Nevada caucuses, South Carolina primary)[11]
    • February 6 – Confirmed date of the Iowa caucuses[12]
    • February 14 – Expected date of New Hampshire primary
    • February 18 – Confirmed date of the Nevada caucuses
  • March 6–31, 2012: Primaries (and other contests) that provide for proportional allocation of delegates to the candidates, and all nonbinding caucuses;
  • April 1, 2012 onward: All other contests.

Convention

The 2012 Republican National Convention is scheduled to take place the week of August 27, 2012[13] in Tampa, Florida,[14] the week prior to when the 2012 Democratic National Convention is scheduled to take place.[15]

Candidates

Individuals who have declared candidacy are individuals who have formally announced that they are running for the Republican presidential nomination in 2012 and/or have filed as candidates with the Federal Election Commission (FEC). Individuals formally exploring candidacy are potential candidates who have formed a Presidential exploratory committee or other organization to "test the waters" for a potential presidential bid, but have not officially declared their candidacy.

Declared candidacy

Michele Bachmann

Declaration Date: June 13, 2011[16]
U.S. Representative
of Minnesota's Sixth Congressional District (campaign)
(website)


Herman Cain

Declaration Date: May 21, 2011[17][18][19]
(from Georgia)
Business executive and radio-host (campaign)
(website)


Newt Gingrich

Declaration Date: March 3, 2011[20][21]
(from Georgia)
Former Speaker of the U.S. House of Representatives (campaign) (website)


Jon Huntsman, Jr.

Declaration Date: June 21, 2011[22]
(from Utah)
Former US Ambassador to China (campaign) (website)


Gary Johnson

Declaration Date: April 21, 2011[23]
Former Governor of New Mexico (campaign)(website)


Fred Karger

Declaration Date: March 23, 2010[24][25][26][27]
(from California)
Political consultant and gay rights activist (website)


Andy Martin

Declaration Date: December 29, 2010[28][29]
(from Illinois)
Birther movement activist (website)


Jimmy McMillan Declaration Date: December 23, 2010[30][31][32]
(from New York)
Perennial candidate (website)

Ron Paul

Declaration Date: May 13, 2011[33] [34][35]
U.S. Representative of Texas's 14th congressional district (campaign) (website)


Tim Pawlenty

Declaration Date: May 23, 2011[36][37]
Former Governor of Minnesota (campaign) (website)


Mitt Romney

Declaration Date: June 2, 2011[38][39][40]
Former Governor of Massachusetts (campaign) (website)


Rick Santorum

Declaration Date: June 6, 2011[41][42]
Former U.S. Senator for Pennsylvania (campaign) (website)


Jonathon Sharkey

Declaration Date: April 23, 2010[43][44][45]
Professional wrestler from Florida

Formally exploring candidacy

Roy Moore
Former Chief Justice of the Supreme Court of Alabama

(website)

Announced the formation of an exploratory committee on April 18, 2011.[46][47]

Buddy Roemer
Former Governor of Louisiana

(campaign) (website)

Announced the formation of an exploratory committee on March 3, 2011.[48][49]

Prospective candidates

Current

The following is a list of individuals who are being discussed – in two or more unique, reputable sources that are less than one month old – in regard to the 2012 primary. They are listed in order of the date of the most recent media citation.

Speculated to run

Rick Perry
Governor of Texas
June 20, 2011: The Washington Post: "Texas Gov. Rick Perry is beginning to sound more and more like a presidential candidate, even as his advisers insist he remains several weeks — at least — away from a decision on the race."[50]

June 20, 2011: CBS News: "Perry, who has been Texas' governor since George W. Bush became president, has been openly considering entering the 2012 race - particularly in light of what some Republicans see as a weakness in the current field."[51]


Sarah Palin
Former Governor
of Alaska
June 14, 2011: Politico: "Unlike Jon Huntsman, who also did not debate, Palin doesn’t need TV to build her name ID. If she runs, she is top tier from Day One" [52]

June 18, 2011: The New York Times: "The film would seem to have the potential to fire up support for candidates with Tea Party bonafides for the 2012 Republican presidential nomination. They include...Governor Rick Perry of Texas, who is considering a run; and, of course, Ms. Palin herself if she decides to jump in."[53]


Rudy Giuliani
Former Mayor
of New York City
June 15, 2011: Associated Press: "Giuliani is said to be considering another presidential run and recently visited New Hampshire, where the first primary is held."[54]

June 15, 2011: New York Post: "Former Mayor Rudy Giuliani held meetings with two Republican heavyweights in New York Wednesday in an attempt to gauge support ahead of a potential 2012 campaign."[55]


Thad McCotter
U.S. Representative
from Michigan
June 12, 2011: The Detroit News: "Rep. Thaddeus McCotter kept a busy schedule this weekend, fueling speculation about a potential bid for the White House."[56]

June 15, 2011: Yahoo! News: "Rep. Thaddeus McCotter (R-Mich.) isn't yet a 2012 presidential candidate, but you wouldn't guess that by the way he's dressing down the 2012 field. The congressman is openly floating himself as presidential material."[57]


John R. Bolton
(from Maryland)
Former U.S. Ambassador to the United Nations
May 31, 2011: Roll Call: "Former Ambassador John Bolton said he will decide by the end of the summer whether he will run for the presidency."[58]

June 14, 2011: The Daily Caller: "When former United Nations Ambassador John Bolton indicated [....] last August for the first time that he had not ruled out a run for the White House in 2012, he noted that part of the reason that he would even contemplate a run would be to thrust national security issues into the national debate."[59]


Mike Huckabee
(of Florida)
Former Governor of Arkansas
June 1, 2011: Arkansas News: "Huckabee: Exit from Politics Not Etched in Stone."[60]

June 3, 2011: Real Clear Politics: "Huckabee Not Out Of The 2012 Race For Certain."[61]


George Pataki
Former Governor of New York
May 25, 2011: CBS News: "Former New York Republican Gov. George Pataki hinted Tuesday that he may enter the 2012 presidential race, and said a decision would come within a month."[62]

June 3, 2011: NBC New York: "After months of indicating he wouldn’t run for president, Pataki now says his decision depends on whether the other GOP contenders propose a major deficit reduction plan."[63]

Declined bids

The following people, who were speculated to be potential candidates for the Republican Party nomination for U.S. president have – following the 2010 midterm elections – clearly and unequivocally denied interest publicly, or released Shermanesque statements, or have declared candidacy for a different political office in 2012, etc. This also includes anyone who has endorsed a declared presidential candidate.

Not running

Previous

The following people have been the object of presidential speculation in past media reports, but have not recently signaled an interest in actually running. This gallery does not include people who have declined to run (See above).

Received earlier speculation

Hypothetical polling

References

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External liks

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