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|CIEP<ref>{{Citation |url=http://www.semanariouniversidad.ucr.cr/index.php?option=com_content&view=article&id=12251&Itemid=70 |title=Nueva encuesta del CIEP: Indecisión crece a pocos días de las elecciones |publisher=Semanario |date=28 January 2014}}</ref>
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Revision as of 15:26, 2 February 2014

Costa Rican general election, 2014

← 2010 February 2, 2014 (2014-02-02) Next →
 
Nominee Johnny Araya José María Villalta Otto Guevara
Party PLN FA PML

Incumbent President

Laura Chinchilla
PLN



Costa Rica will hold parliamentary and presidential elections on Sunday, 2 February 2014 to elect a new president, two vice presidents, and 57 Legislative Assembly lawmakers.[1] Voting is compulsory in Costa Rica, nevertheless abstentionism was 35 percent in 2006 and 32 percent in 2010.[2] In accordance with Article 132 of the Constitution, the incumbent President, Laura Chinchilla Miranda, is ineligible to run for a second consecutive term.[3]

The ruling party before the election, the centre-left National Liberation Party, has put forward the Mayor of San José Johnny Araya Monge as its presidential candidate. The Libertarian Movement party has nominated former legislator Otto Guevara Guth. The leftist Broad Front has nominated José María Villalta Florez-Estrada.

Opinion polls in December 2013 showed Araya ahead with 37 percent, Villalta close behind at 32 percent, and Guevara trailing at 15 percent, suggesting the likelihood of a run-off vote in February.[4]

Presidential candidates

Opinion polls

If no candidate surmounts the 40% threshold, the two candidates who would qualify for the runoff are marked.

Date Pollster

Johnny Araya
(PLN)

Otto Guevara
(ML)

Rodolfo Piza
(R. Hernández before October 2013)
(PUSC)

L.G. Solís
(PAC)

J.M. Villalta
(FA)

Others

Aug 2013 Borge y Asociados[5] 52% 9.7% 23% 8.2% 3.5%
Aug 2013 CIEP[6] 20.2% 1.4% 12.4% 4.1% 4.5%
Sep 2013 Unimer[7] 27.5% 9.7% 10.6% 4.4% 19% 26%
Oct 2013 CIEP[8] 24% 9.9% 3% 4% 9.7% 1.3%
Nov 2013 Borge y Asociados[9] 26% 16% 4% 4% 19% 26%
Nov 2013 Cid Gallup[10] 45% 15% 8% 10% 21%
Dec 2013 Unimer[11] 19% 19% 5% 8% 22% 11%
Dec 2013 CIEP[12] 17% 10% 3% 5% 15% 1%
Dec 2013 Cid Gallup[13] 37% 15% 5% 9% 32%
14 Jan 2014 Cid Gallup[14] 39% 18% 5% 7% 26%
16 Jan 2014 Unimer[15] 20.3% 20.2% 3.6% 5.4% 22.2% 5.8%
21 Jan 2014 CIEP[16] 20.4% 11.2% 3.1% 9.5% 15.3% 4.6%
28 Jan 2014 Cid Gallup[17] 35.6% 17.6% 6.5% 15.6% 21% 3.8%
28 Jan 2014 CIEP[18] 17.4% 7.3% 3.4% 11.6% 14.4%

References

  1. ^ Costa Rica's 2014 election season is officially open The Tico Times, 2013-10-02.
  2. ^ Costa Rica: Losing Faith in Democratic Institutions? Center for Latin American and Latino Studies, American University, 2013-11-11.
  3. ^ Constitución Política de la República de Costa Rica Asamblea Legislativa de Costa Rica. Retrieved: 2013-12-28. Template:Es
  4. ^ Newest poll shows Araya and Villalta heading for a runoff election The Tico Times, 2013-12-18.
  5. ^ http://new.diarioextra.com/Dnew/noticiaDetalle/137814
  6. ^ http://www.semanariouniversidad.ucr.cr/noticias/pais/11445-encuesta-del-ciep-para-universidad-oferta-de-candidatos-no-atrae-votantes.html
  7. ^ http://www.nacion.com/nacional/politica/Nueva-Unimer-Johnny-Araya-electoral_0_1368063225.html
  8. ^ http://www.teletica.com/Noticias/29705-Sondeo-de-la-UCR-Araya-firme-Villalta-y-Guevara-se-reparten-lo-que-dejo-el-doctor.note.aspx
  9. ^ http://www.diarioextra.com/Dnew/noticiaDetalle/217947
  10. ^ http://www.monumental.co.cr/noticia/johnny-araya-ganaria-elecciones-en-primera-ronda-segun-encuesta
  11. ^ http://www.nacion.com/nacional/Pais-favorito-meses-elecciones_0_1381461963.html
  12. ^ http://www.semanariouniversidad.ucr.cr/index.php?option=com_content&view=article&id=12079&Itemid=70
  13. ^ https://www.larepublica.net/app/cms/www/index.php?pk_articulo=533309288
  14. ^ http://www.repretel.com/nueva-encuesta-anticipa-lucha-cerrada-por-la-presidencia-del-pa%C3%ADs
  15. ^ http://www.nacion.com/nacional/elecciones2014/Pais-indeciso-camina-segunda-electoral_0_1390860962.html
  16. ^ Encuesta del CIEP: Johnny Araya frena caída y toma leve ventaja, Semanario, 21 January 2014
  17. ^ Cerrada lucha por la Presidencia entre cuatro candidatos, informa-TICO.com, 28 January 2014
  18. ^ Nueva encuesta del CIEP: Indecisión crece a pocos días de las elecciones, Semanario, 28 January 2014