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| [[File:Flag of Michigan.svg|15px]] [[Michigan]]
| [[File:Flag of Michigan.svg|15px]] [[Michigan]]
| ''The Detroit News''/WDIV-TV<ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.detroitnews.com/story/news/politics/2016/05/31/poll-clinton-sanders-lead-trump-michigan-match-ups/85223072/|title=Poll: Clinton, Sanders lead Trump in Michigan match-ups|date=June 1, 2016|author=Livengood, Chad}}</ref>
| ''The Detroit News''/WDIV-TV<ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.detroitnews.com/story/news/politics/2016/05/31/poll-clinton-sanders-lead-trump-michigan-match-ups/85223072/|title=Poll: Clinton, Sanders lead Trump in Michigan match-ups|date=June 1, 2016|author=Livengood, Chad}}</ref>
| May 24-26, 2016
| May 24–26, 2016
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |'''36.8%'''
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |'''36.8%'''
| 11.5%
| 11.5%
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| [[File:Flag of New Jersey.svg|15px]] [[New Jersey]]
| [[File:Flag of New Jersey.svg|15px]] [[New Jersey]]
| Monmouth<ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.monmouth.edu/assets/0/32212254770/32212254991/32212254992/32212254994/32212254995/30064771087/71c06fa8-e277-4d82-9ac1-38fa679864c8.pdf|title=NEW JERSEY: CLINTON HOLDS NARROW LEAD OVER TRUMP IN GENERAL ELECTION|date=May 31, 2016|author=Murray, Patrick}}</ref>
| Monmouth<ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.monmouth.edu/assets/0/32212254770/32212254991/32212254992/32212254994/32212254995/30064771087/71c06fa8-e277-4d82-9ac1-38fa679864c8.pdf|title=NEW JERSEY: CLINTON HOLDS NARROW LEAD OVER TRUMP IN GENERAL ELECTION|date=May 31, 2016|author=Murray, Patrick}}</ref>
| May 23-27, 2016
| May 23–27, 2016
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |'''37%'''
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |'''37%'''
| 5%
| 5%
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| [[File:Flag of Georgia (U.S. state).svg|15px]] [[Georgia (U.S. state)|Georgia]]
| [[File:Flag of Georgia (U.S. state).svg|15px]] [[Georgia (U.S. state)|Georgia]]
| [[Public Policy Polling]]<ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2015/PPP_Release_GA_60116.pdf|title=Trump Has Solid Lead Over Clinton in Georgia|date=June 1, 2016|author=Jensen, Tom}}</ref>
| [[Public Policy Polling]]<ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2015/PPP_Release_GA_60116.pdf|title=Trump Has Solid Lead Over Clinton in Georgia|date=June 1, 2016|author=Jensen, Tom}}</ref>
| May 27-30, 2016
| May 27–30, 2016
| 38%
| 38%
| 6%
| 6%
| {{party shading/Republican}} |'''45%'''
| {{party shading/Republican}} |'''45%'''
| <small>[[Jill Stein]] 2%<br>Undecided 9%</small>
| <small>[[Jill Stein]] 2%<br>Undecided 9%</small>
|-
| [[File:Flag of Florida.svg|15px]] [[Florida]]
| [[Mason-Dixon Polling & Research Inc.]]<ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.politico.com/states/florida/story/2016/06/clinton-leads-trump-by-3-in-new-florida-poll-102462|title=Clinton leads Trump by 3 in new Florida poll|date=June 3, 2016|author=Caputo, Marc}}</ref>
| May 31–June 2, 2016
| {{party shading/Democratic}} | '''45%'''
| 6%
| 42%
| <small>Undecided 7%</small>
|}
|}



Revision as of 13:20, 3 June 2016

Gary Johnson 2016
CampaignUnited States presidential election, 2016
CandidateGary Johnson
Former Governor of New Mexico
AffiliationLibertarian Party
StatusAnnounced: January 6, 2016 (2016-01-06)
Nominated: May 29, 2016 (2016-05-29)
Key peopleWilliam Weld (Running Mate)
ReceiptsUS$348,670 (4−30−16)[1]
SloganBe Libertarian With Me
Live Free
Website
Official website

Former Governor Gary Johnson of New Mexico declared his candidacy for the Libertarian Party (LP) nomination for President of the United States on January 6, 2016. He officially won the nomination on May 29, 2016 at the Libertarian National Convention in Orlando, Florida, receiving 55.8% of the vote. Former Massachusetts Governor William Weld was endorsed by Johnson for the Libertarian vice-presidential nomination, which he also received on May 29, 2016.

Together, Johnson and Weld are the first ticket of any party to feature two Governors since the 1948 presidential election.

Background

Johnson ran as the Libertarian presidential nominee in the 2012 election. In that race, he finished with the third highest popular vote total, nearly 1.3 million votes, and garnered nearly 1% of the popular vote.[2] Johnson's vote total was the highest received by any LP candidate—for any office—in the party's history.[3][4] Shortly after the election, Johnson began to express interest in running for the Libertarian nomination again in the 2016 election.[5][6][7]

Campaign

Gary Johnson speaking at the 2016 CPAC in Washington, D.C.

Johnson formally announced his candidacy for the 2016 Libertarian presidential nomination, in an interview with Neil Cavuto on the Fox Business Network program Coast to Coast, on January 6, 2016.[8][9] He has since begun participating in a series of debates with the other candidates seeking the nomination, held at state LP conventions around the country leading up the Libertarian National Convention over Memorial Day weekend in Orlando, Florida.[10][11][12][13]

On March 3, 2016, Johnson addressed the Conservative Political Action Conference in Washington D.C., touting himself as the third-party option for anti-Trump Republicans, and noting that the Libertarian Party will be the only third party candidate able to place its nominee on the ballot in all 50 states in 2016 due to ballot access deadlines.[14][15][16] Johnson's campaign has attracted increased attention as a possible vehicle for the Stop Trump movement's votes in the general election, if Donald Trump becomes the Republican nominee.[17][18][19]

On March 15, 2016 Johnson won the North Carolina Libertarian primary with 42% of the vote, ahead of "No Preference" at 35%, with other candidates all polling below 6%.[20] On March 1, 2016, Johnson won the Libertarian Party of Minnesota caucus with 75.7% of the vote.[21]

On March 29, 2016 Johnson attended the first nationally televised pre-nomination convention Libertarian Party presidential debate, hosted by Fox Business Network, on John Stossel’s show Stossel. The two-hour debate was divided into two one hour segments which were televised on April 1 and 8 at 9:00 Eastern Time. The debate featured Johnson, along with Austin Petersen and John McAfee.[22][23]

Following Ted Cruz's withdrawal from the race and Donald Trump becoming the Republican Party's presumptive nominee, it was widely reported that online searches for "Gary Johnson" and "Libertarian Party" spiked sharply on Google.[24][25][26]

In early May, some commentators opined that Johnson was moderate enough to pull votes away from both Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump who are very disliked and polarizing.[27] Both conservative and liberal media noted that Johnson could get #NeverTrump votes and Bernie Sanders supporters.[28] Johnson also began to get time on national television, being invited on ABC News, NBC News, CBS News, CNN, Fox News, MSNBC, Bloomberg, and many other networks.[29] Overall, Johnson was viewed favorably and many news outlets said he has a "very good chance" of being a major player in the 2016 United States Presidential Election.[30]

On May 18, Johnson announced that he had chosen former Republican Massachusetts Governor William Weld to be his running mate.[31]

On the first ballot of the 2016 Libertarian National Convention on May 29, 2016, Johnson earned 49.5% of the vote. On the second ballot, he won the nomination with 55.8% of the vote.[32]

Polling

In pre-nomination preference polls conducted by state Libertarian Parties, Johnson won first place in most states preceding the Libertarian National Convention at the end of May.[33] Since he announced his candidacy, Johnson has been the front-runner in primary polling through early May. Johnson's strong polling against Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump has received attention in the media.[34]

Libertarian primaries

With few exceptions, the Libertarian Party does not conduct presidential primaries. All delegates to the Libertarian National Convention are unpledged and may vote for the candidate of their choice. Online polling has been conducted sporadically, but as with all online polls, they are of dubious accuracy and purely non-scientific.

Of the states that do conduct a non-binding Libertarian Presidential Primary, Johnson has won in North Carolina, Nebraska, and in the Minnesota caucuses. Due to early deadlines, he was not on the ballot in Missouri, where 'Uncommitted' received the most votes.[35][36][37][38]

General election

Nationwide Polling

Poll source Sample size Margin of error Date(s) administered Hillary Clinton Gary Johnson Donald Trump Others
Monmouth University[39] 848 RV ± 3.4% March 17–20, 2016 42% 11% 34% Undecided 13%
Public Policy Polling[40] 1,222 RV ± 3.2% May 6–9, 2016 42% 4% 38% Jill Stein 2%
Undecided 16%
Fox News[41] 1,021 RV ± 3.0% May 14–17, 2016 39% 10% 42% Undecided 9%
Morning Consult[42] 2,001 RV ± 1.0% May 19–23, 2016 38% 10% 35% Undecided 17%
Quinnipiac University[43] 1,561 RV ± 2.5% May 24–30, 2016 40% 5% 38% Jill Stein 3%
Undecided 7%
Refused 5%
Other 1%


Statewide

State Poll source Date(s) administered Hillary Clinton Gary Johnson/LP/I Donald Trump Others
Oklahoma Cole Hargrave Snodgrass and Associates[44] May 2–4, 2016 28% 6% 48% Undecided 18%
Arizona Public Policy Polling[45] May 13–15, 2016 38% 6% 40% Jill Stein 2%
Undecided 13%
New Mexico New Mexico Political Report/Public Policy Polling[46] May 13–15, 2016 41% 14% 33% Undecided 12%
California Hoover/Golden State[47] May 4–16, 2016 45% 4% 33% Write-In Candidate 8%
Georgia FOX 5/Opinion Savvy[48] May 16, 2016 41% 10% 44% Undecided 5%
Ohio Zogby[49] May 18–22, 2016 38% 6% 33% Jill Stein 3%
Undecided 20%
North Carolina Public Policy Polling[50] May 20–22, 2016 41% 3% 43% Jill Stein 2%
Undecided 11%
Civitas Institute[51] May 21–23, 2016 36% 8% 39% Undecided 14%
Virginia Gravis Marketing[52] May 24, 2016 44% 6% 38% Other 12%
Michigan The Detroit News/WDIV-TV[53] May 24–26, 2016 36.8% 11.5% 32.7% Undecided 14.5%
Other 2.3%
Refused 2.3%
New Jersey Monmouth[54] May 23–27, 2016 37% 5% 31% Jill Stein 4%
Undecided 14%
Other 6%
Refused 2%
Georgia Public Policy Polling[55] May 27–30, 2016 38% 6% 45% Jill Stein 2%
Undecided 9%
Florida Mason-Dixon Polling & Research Inc.[56] May 31–June 2, 2016 45% 6% 42% Undecided 7%

Endorsements

See also

References

  1. ^ "Gary Johnson Candidate Committiee Two-year Summary 2016". Federal Election Commission. March 31, 2016. Retrieved May 30, 2016.
  2. ^ "FEDERAL ELECTIONS 2012 Election Results for the U.S. President, the U.S. Senate and the U.S. House of Representatives" (PDF). FEC.gov. July 2013. Retrieved January 6, 2015.
  3. ^ Pfeiffer, Eric (November 7, 2012). "Gary Johnson runs most successful Libertarian campaign in party's history". Yahoo! News. Retrieved January 6, 2015.
  4. ^ Harrington, Gerry (November 8, 2012). "Libertarian Party buoyant; Greens hopeful". UPI.com. Retrieved January 6, 2015.
  5. ^ Quinn, Garret (November 6, 2012). "As Gary Johnson Hovers Below 1 Percent, Talk of 2016". Reason.com. Retrieved January 6, 2015.
  6. ^ Ershadi, Julie (April 30, 2013). "Gary Johnson: I'm More Conservative and More Liberal Than Both Parties". Roll Call. Retrieved January 6, 2015.
  7. ^ Kantrowitz, Alex (May 28, 2013). "Six Months Later: Gary Johnson In A Candid Conversation On Post Campaign Life". Forbes. Retrieved January 6, 2015.
  8. ^ Easley, Jonathan (January 6, 2016). "Libertarian Gary Johnson launches White House bid". The Hill. Retrieved January 6, 2016.
  9. ^ Schouten, Fredreka (January 6, 2016). "Gary Johnson announces presidential bid". USA Today. Retrieved January 6, 2016.
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  11. ^ "Alabama and Mississippi LP host Presidential debate February 27 | Libertarian Party". Lp.org. 2016-02-27. Retrieved 2016-04-27.
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  13. ^ "Archived copy". Archived from the original on March 8, 2016. Retrieved March 19, 2016. {{cite web}}: Unknown parameter |deadurl= ignored (|url-status= suggested) (help)CS1 maint: archived copy as title (link)
  14. ^ "Gary Johnson: Third party is going to be the Libertarian Party | On Air Videos | Fox Business". Video.foxbusiness.com. Retrieved 2016-04-27.
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  18. ^ "nti-Trump Republicans Call for a Third-Party Option". The New York Times. Retrieved 2016-04-28.
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  22. ^ "Inside the Beltway: Libertarian hopefuls spar over Nazi-themed wedding cake on Fox forum". Washington Times. 31 March 2016. Retrieved 27 April 2016.
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  30. ^ Bernie Quigley. "A Very Good Day for Gary Johnson". Observer. Retrieved 2016-05-12.
  31. ^ Peoples, Steve (May 18, 2016). "Libertarian Gary Johnson secures running mate". Associated Press. Retrieved May 18, 2016.
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  42. ^ "Poll: Most Voters Think Donald Trump Should Release Tax Returns". Morning Consult. Retrieved May 23, 2016.
  43. ^ "BATTLE OF THE SEXES LEAVES CLINTON WITH EDGE OVER TRUMP,QUINNIPIAC UNIVERSITY NATIONAL POLL FINDS;SHE LEADS ON BRAINS, MORALS, BUT HE'S UP ON LEADERSHIP" (PDF). Quinnipiac University. Retrieved June 1, 2016.
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  45. ^ Jensen, Thomas (May 17, 2016). "McCain In Deep Trouble in GOP Primary; Trump, Clinton Close in AZ" (PDF).
  46. ^ Reichbach, Matthew (May 17, 2016). "Clinton leads in NM in three-way race".
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  51. ^ Dowdy, Demi (May 29, 2016). "Trump Leads Hillary in New Civitas Poll".
  52. ^ Young, Thomas (May 29, 2016). "Virginia Election Poll".
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  54. ^ Murray, Patrick (May 31, 2016). "NEW JERSEY: CLINTON HOLDS NARROW LEAD OVER TRUMP IN GENERAL ELECTION" (PDF).
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  77. ^ "Austin Petersen - I endorse Governor Gary Johnson for President of the United States". May 29, 2016. Retrieved May 29, 2016.
  78. ^ "FORMER NATIONAL LIBERTARIAN PARTY CHAIRMAN AND NOTED BALLOT ACCESS ADVOCATE BILL REDPATH ENDORSES GOV. GARY JOHNSON FOR PRESIDENT". Gary Johnson Campaign page. 17 March 2016. Retrieved 18 March 2016.
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