2019 Indian general election: Difference between revisions
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== Background == |
== Background == |
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The previous general election was held for 16th Lok Sabha in Apr-May month of 2014 which was won by NDA led by BJP under the leadership of the current PM Narendra Modi by defeating the UPA led by Congress. The First Lok Sabha election of India was held in the year of 1951-52.<ref>[http://informationbng.com/blog/india-general-election-2019-schedule-date-candidates-winners-opinion-polls-results-predictions/ 2019 General election]</ref> |
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==Campaign== |
==Campaign== |
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General elections are due to be held in India between April and May 2019 to constitute the 17th Lok Sabha. The elections can be held at an earlier date if the Council of Ministers recommends dissolution of the 16th Lok Sabha to the President of India. However, the government, Home Minister, has publicly announced that the elections will be held according to schedule.[1]
Legislative Assembly elections in the states of Andhra Pradesh, Arunachal Pradesh, Haryana, Odisha, Sikkim and Jammu and Kashmir are expected to be held simultaneously with the general elections.[2]
Electoral system
The 543 elected MPs will be elected from single-member constituencies using first-past-the-post voting. The President of India nominates an additional two members from the Anglo-Indian community if he believes the community is under-represented.[3]
Eligible voters must be Indian citizens, 18 or older, an ordinary resident of the polling area of the constituency and possess a valid voter identification card issued by the Election Commission of India. Some people convicted of electoral or other offences are barred from voting.[4]
Background
The previous general election was held for 16th Lok Sabha in Apr-May month of 2014 which was won by NDA led by BJP under the leadership of the current PM Narendra Modi by defeating the UPA led by Congress. The First Lok Sabha election of India was held in the year of 1951-52.[5]
Campaign
On the 12 January 2019, Prime Minister Narendra Modi launched the Bharatiya Janata Party's election campaign; which sought a second term in government.[6] it is widely seen that Modi and BJP will campaign on Hindu-nationalism to win the election. [7][8]
On the same day, both Mayawati (President of the Bahujan Samaj Party) and Akhilesh Yadav (President of the Samajwadi Party) announced an alliance to contest 76 seats out of the 80 in Uttar Pradesh and the alliance will not fight in Amethi and Rae Bareli as they are represented by Rahul Gandhi and Sonia Gandhi . The alliance did not include INC, which Mayawati explained: "Including Congress in the alliance will hurt SP-BSP prospects as Congress's votes do not get transferred." The alliance was the second of its kind with a similar coalition formed 25 years ago in 1993.[9]
Issues
From increasing unemployment to farmers distress, there would be a vast number of issues for the Loksabha elections.
Agrarian distress
Low food inflation[10] and low growth rate of agricultural sector[11] has created massive agrarian distress.[12] Agrarian crisis have resulted in large number of farmer protests across country.[13][14] [15] [16] In order to mitigate the crisis National Democratic Alliance government announced increase in Minimum Support Price but the increase in Minimum Support Price as well as the effective implementation is highly debated.[17][18][19] [20][21]
Job crisis
India is experiencing jobless growth.[22] Demonetization has resulted in job loss of 1.5 million.[23] Implementation of Goods and Services Tax have also resulted in job loss.[24][25]
Unemployment rate in India has been at 45 year high during 2017-2018.[26]
Citizenship amendment bill 2016
Citizenship amendment bill brought to parliament plans to change the definition of illegal migrant.[27] The bill has led to political backlash in Assam and caused unrest in the rest of the North-east, with protests by ethnic Assamese groups.[28] On 7 January 2019, 70 organization across assam observed disgust day.[29] On 29 January 2019, 10 Northeast India political parties and National Democratic Alliance (India) ally Janata Dal (United) at Assam meet decided to oppose the bill.[30]
Voter Demographics
![[icon]](/enwiki/wiki/File:Wiki_letter_w_cropped.svg){kind=small} | This section is empty. You can help by adding to it. (January 2019) |
Parties and alliances
Note : Data given below is just for certain states and not the entire country.
List of National Democratic Alliance candidates in the Indian general election, 2019
| Party | Seats | |
|---|---|---|
| Contested | Won | |
| Bharatiya Janata Party[31] | ||
| Janata Dal (United)[31] | 17 | |
| Lok Janshakti Party[31] | 6 | |
Due to disagreement over seat sharing Rashtriya Lok Samta Party quit National Democratic Alliance on 10 December 2018.[32]
In protest of citizenship bill approved by cabinet Asom Gana Parishad quit National Democratic Alliance on 8 January 2019.[33]
Gorkha Janmukti Morcha quit National Democratic Alliance on 21 January 2019 over non fulfillment of demands of Indian Gorkha and joined third front.[34]
List of United Progressive Alliance candidates in the Indian general election, 2019
| Party | Seats | |
|---|---|---|
| Contested | Won | |
| Indian National Congress[35] | ||
| Nationalist Congress Party[35] | 24 | |
| Jharkhand Mukti Morcha[36] | ||
Gathbandhan
| Party | Seats | |
|---|---|---|
| Contested | Won | |
| Bahujan Samaj Party [9] | 38 | |
| Samajwadi Party[9] | 38 | |
Opinion polling
In the run-up to the next Indian general election, various organisations will carry out opinion polling to gauge voting intentions in India. Results of such polls are displayed in this list. The date range for these opinion polls is from the previous general election, held in April and May 2014, to the present day.
Results
| This section is empty. You can help by adding to it. (January 2019) |
See also
Notes
- α.^ Only formally announced alliances used to calculate lead. Others / non allied parties not used in calculation.
References
- ^ Singh, Vijaita (1 September 2018). "General election will be held in 2019 as per schedule, says Rajnath Singh". The Hindu. ISSN 0971-751X. Retrieved 4 January 2019.
- ^ "Lok Sabha elections 2019: Congress MP favours more seats for RJD in Bihar". 4 September 2018. Retrieved 29 September 2018.
- ^ Electoral system IPU
- ^ "General Voters". Systematic Voters’ Education and Electoral Participation. Retrieved 4 January 2019.
- ^ 2019 General election
- ^ "Country has to decide what kind of 'pradhan sevak' it wants: PM Modi - Times of India". The Times of India. Retrieved 12 January 2019.
- ^ https://www.aei.org/publication/modis-india-doubles-down-on-hindu-nationalism/
- ^ https://www.bloomberg.com/news/features/2019-01-30/narendra-modi-s-big-play-for-india-s-heartland-could-backfire
- ^ a b c "SP, BSP announce tie-up for Lok Sabha polls, to contest 38 seats each in UP - Times of India ►". The Times of India. Retrieved 12 January 2019.
- ^ Bera, Sayantan (14 September 2018). "Low food inflation doesn't bode well for farmers". https://www.livemint.com. Retrieved 2 February 2019.
{{cite web}}: External link in|website= - ^ Mukherjee, Sanjeeb (29 November 2018). "Farm growth in UPA era better than 4 years of NDA even under new series". Business Standard India. Retrieved 2 February 2019.
- ^ Iyer, Aparna (3 December 2018). "Agrarian crisis clear & present danger for Indian economy". https://www.livemint.com. Retrieved 2 February 2019.
{{cite web}}: External link in|website= - ^ "India's deepening farm crisis: 76% farmers want to give up farming, shows study". www.downtoearth.org.in. Retrieved 2 February 2019.
- ^ "Why the farmers have stormed Delhi, what they want". The Economic Times. 30 November 2018. Retrieved 2 February 2019.
- ^ "Why Maharashtra's farmers are protesting and why Mumbaikars are supporting them: 10 points - Times of India ►". The Times of India. Retrieved 2 February 2019.
- ^ "Farmers' protest 2nd day live: Haryana CM stirs controversy". The Economic Times. 2 June 2018. Retrieved 2 February 2019.
- ^ "PM Modi hails 'historic increase in MSP', Congress calls it jumla". dna. 4 July 2018. Retrieved 2 February 2019.
- ^ "Does Modi govt's hike in MSP really help farmers?- Business News". www.businesstoday.in. Retrieved 2 February 2019.
- ^ Himanshu (16 July 2018). "Will the MSP increase for kharif crops reduce India's agrarian distress?". https://www.livemint.com. Retrieved 2 February 2019.
{{cite web}}: External link in|website= - ^ "In MP & Rajasthan, Farmers Not Getting MSP". NewsClick. 15 November 2018. Retrieved 2 February 2019.
- ^ "Modi Government's 'Historic' MSP Hike Is Nothing More Than a Band-Aid for Farmers". The Wire. Retrieved 2 February 2019.
- ^ Tandon, Suneera; Tandon, Suneera. "India's stunning economic growth is hiding a staggering job crisis". Quartz India. Retrieved 2 February 2019.
- ^ Safi, Michael (30 August 2018). "Demonetisation drive that cost India 1.5m jobs fails to uncover 'black money'". The Guardian. ISSN 0261-3077. Retrieved 2 February 2019.
- ^ "Dip in jobs, profits for MSMEs; noteban, GST to blame: Survey". The Indian Express. 17 December 2018. Retrieved 2 February 2019.
- ^ "Job loss! Demonetisation, GST led to dip in jobs, profits for MSMEs, traders: AIMO survey". The Financial Express. 17 December 2018. Retrieved 2 February 2019.
- ^ "India's unemployment rate hit a 45-year high in 2017/18". The Economic Times. 31 January 2019. Retrieved 2 February 2019.
- ^ Purkayastha, Debasree (26 May 2018). "What is the Citizenship (Amendment) Bill, 2016?". The Hindu. ISSN 0971-751X. Retrieved 30 January 2019.
- ^ Das, Shaswati (16 January 2019). "Why citizenship amendment bill has created a row". https://www.livemint.com. Retrieved 30 January 2019.
{{cite web}}: External link in|website= - ^ KolkataJanuary 7, Manogya Loiwal; January 7, 2019UPDATED:; Ist, 2019 23:26. "Citizenship bill row: 70 organisations observe disgust day in Assam". India Today. Retrieved 30 January 2019.
{{cite web}}:|first3=has numeric name (help)CS1 maint: extra punctuation (link) CS1 maint: numeric names: authors list (link) - ^ "At Assam meet, 10 Northeast political parties, JD(U) oppose Citizenship Bill - Times of India". The Times of India. Retrieved 30 January 2019.
- ^ a b c Chaturvedi, Rakesh Mohan (24 December 2018). "BJP, JDU, LJP finalise 17:17:6 seat sharing formula for Bihar Lok Sabha polls". The Economic Times. Retrieved 24 January 2019.
- ^ Agencies (10 December 2018). "RLSP Chief Upendra Kushwaha quits NDA, resigns as union minister". Business Standard India. Retrieved 25 January 2019.
- ^ "AGP quits NDA as Cabinet approves citizenship bill - Times of India â–º". The Times of India. Retrieved 25 January 2019.
- ^ "Morcha dumps BJP". telegraphindia.com. Retrieved 25 January 2019.
- ^ a b "Congress-NCP seal seat sharing agreement except for 6 Lok Sabha seats in Maharashtra". https://www.hindustantimes.com/. 22 December 2018. Retrieved 24 January 2019.
{{cite web}}: External link in|website= - ^ "Jharkhand: Congress, JMM reach agreement for Lok Sabha, assembly polls - Times of India". The Times of India. Retrieved 26 January 2019.
Elected Prime Minister: Narendra Modi (BJP)
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