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! data-sort-type="number"| Last<br/>Election{{efn|Incumbent in 2014, except where noted}}
! data-sort-type="number"| Last<br/>Election{{efn|Incumbent in 2014, except where noted}}
! [[Cook Political Report|Cook]]<br/>{{Small|Apr 19,<br/>2019}}<ref name=":1">{{cite web | title=2020 Senate Race ratings | url=https://cookpolitical.com/ratings/senate-race-ratings/ | publisher=[[Cook Political Report]] | date=January 4, 2018}}</ref>
! [[Cook Political Report|Cook]]<br/>{{Small|Apr 19,<br/>2019}}<ref name=":1">{{cite web | title=2020 Senate Race ratings | url=https://cookpolitical.com/ratings/senate-race-ratings/ | publisher=[[Cook Political Report]] | date=January 4, 2018}}</ref>
! [[Inside Elections|IE]]<br/>{{Small|May,6 <br/>2019}}<ref>{{cite web | title=Senate Ratings 2020 | url=http://www.insideelections.com/ratings/senate/2020-senate-ratings-may-6-2019 | publisher=[[Inside Elections]] | date=January 4, 2019}}</ref>
! [[Inside Elections|IE]]<br/>{{Small|May 6, <br/>2019}}<ref>{{cite web | title=Senate Ratings 2020 | url=http://www.insideelections.com/ratings/senate/2020-senate-ratings-may-6-2019 | publisher=[[Inside Elections]] | date=January 4, 2019}}</ref>
! [[Sabato's Crystal Ball|Sabato]]<br/>{{Small|Mar 25,<br/>2019}}<ref>{{cite web | title=2020 Senate | url=http://crystalball.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/2020-senate/ | publisher=[[Sabato's Crystal Ball]] | date=December 13, 2018}}</ref>
! [[Sabato's Crystal Ball|Sabato]]<br/>{{Small|Mar 25,<br/>2019}}<ref>{{cite web | title=2020 Senate | url=http://crystalball.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/2020-senate/ | publisher=[[Sabato's Crystal Ball]] | date=December 13, 2018}}</ref>
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Revision as of 19:36, 8 May 2019

2020 United States Senate elections

← 2018 November 3, 2020 2022 →

Class 2 (33 of the 100) seats in the United States Senate
(and 1 special election)
51 seats needed for a majority
 
Leader Mitch McConnell Chuck Schumer
Party Republican Democratic
Leader since 2007 2017
Leader's seat Kentucky New York
Current seats 53 45
Seats needed Steady Increase 3–4[a]
Seats up 22 12

 
Party Independent
Current seats 2[b]
Seats up 0


Incumbent Majority Leader

Mitch McConnell
Republican



Elections to the United States Senate will be held on November 3, 2020, with the 33 Class 2 seats of the Senate being contested in regular elections. The winners will be elected to six-year terms extending from January 3, 2021, until January 3, 2027. Additionally, there will be a special election in Arizona to fill the vacancy created by the death of John McCain in 2018.

In 2014, the last regularly scheduled elections for Class 2 Senate seats, the Republicans won a net gain of nine seats from the Democrats and gained a majority in the Senate. Republicans defended that majority in 2016 and 2018, and held 53 Senate seats following the 2018 elections. Democrats held 45 seats after the 2018 elections, while independents caucusing with the Democratic Party held two seats.

Including the special election in Arizona, Republicans will be defending 22 seats in 2020, while the Democratic Party will be defending 12 seats. Because the Vice President of the United States has the power to break ties in the Senate, a Senate majority requires either 51 Senate seats without control of the vice presidency or 50 seats with control of the vice presidency. Thus, assuming that the two independents continue to caucus with the Senate Democratic Caucus, the Democrats will have to pick up at least three Senate seats to win a majority. If a Republican is elected as vice president in the 2020 election, then the Democratic Party will have to pick up at least four Senate seats to win a majority.

Partisan composition

As of November 2018 (and including the 2020 special election in Arizona), Republicans are expected to defend 22 seats in 2020, while the Democratic Party is expected to defend only 12 seats. These figures could change if vacancies or party switches occur. Additional special elections may also be held in 2020 if vacancies should arise in Class 1 or Class 3 Senate seats.

Results summary

Parties style="background-color:Template:Democratic Party (United States)/meta/color" | style="background-color:Template:Independent (United States)/meta/color" | style="background-color:Template:Republican Party (United States)/meta/color" | Total
Democratic Independent Republican
Last election (2018) 45 2 53 100
Before this election 45 2 53 100
Not up 33 2 31 66
Class 1 (20182024) 21 2 10 33
Class 3 (2016→2022) 12 0 21 33
Up 12 0 22 34
Class 2 (2014→2020) 12 0 21 33
Special: Class 3 0 0 1 1
General elections
Incumbent retiring 1 3 4
Incumbent running 9 12 21
Intent unknown 2 7 9

Change in composition

Each block represents one of the one hundred seats in the U.S. Senate. "D#" is a Democratic senator, "I#" is an Independent senator, and "R#" is a Republican senator. They are arranged so that the parties are separated and a majority is clear by crossing the middle.

Before the elections

Each block indicates an incumbent senator's actions going into the election.

D1 D2 D3 D4 D5 D6 D7 D8 D9 D10
D20 D19 D18 D17 D16 D15 D14 D13 D12 D11
D21 D22 D23 D24 D25 D26 D27 D28 D29 D30
D40
Ore.
Running
D39
N.H.
Running
D38
Minn.
Running
D37
Mass.
Running
D36
Ill.
Running
D35
Del.
Running
D34
Ala.
Running
D33 D32 D31
D41
Mich.
Running
D42
R.I.
Running
D43
N.J.
Unknown
D44
Va.
Unknown
D45
N.M.
Retiring
I1 I2 R53
Tenn.
Retiring
R52
Kan.
Retiring
R51
Wyo.
Retiring
Majority →
R41
S.C.
Running
R42
Texas
Running
R43
W.Va.
Running
R44
Alaska
Unknown
R45
Idaho
Unknown
R46
Me.
Unknown
R47
Miss.
Unknown
R48
Neb.
Unknown
R49
Okla.
Unknown
R50
S.D.
Unknown
R40
N.C.
Running
R39
Mont.
Running
R38
La.
Running
R37
Ky.
Running
R36
Iowa
Running
R35
Ga.
Running
R34
Colo.
Running
R33
Ark.
Running
R32
Ariz.
Running
R31
R21 R22 R23 R24 R25 R26 R27 R28 R29 R30
R20 R19 R18 R17 R16 R15 R14 R13 R12 R11
R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10

After the elections

D1 D2 D3 D4 D5 D6 D7 D8 D9 D10
D20 D19 D18 D17 D16 D15 D14 D13 D12 D11
D21 D22 D23 D24 D25 D26 D27 D28 D29 D30
TBD TBD TBD TBD TBD I2 I1 D33 D32 D31
TBD TBD TBD TBD TBD TBD TBD TBD TBD TBD
Majority →
TBD
TBD TBD TBD TBD TBD TBD TBD TBD TBD
TBD TBD TBD TBD TBD TBD TBD TBD TBD R31
R30 R29 R28 R27 R26 R25 R24 R23 R22 R21
R20 R19 R18 R17 R16 R15 R14 R13 R12 R11
R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10
Key:
D# Democratic
R# Republican
I# Independent, caucusing with Democrats

Pre-election predictions

Most election predictors use:

  • "tossup": no advantage
  • "tilt" (used sometimes): advantage that is not quite as strong as "lean"
  • "lean": slight advantage
  • "likely" or "favored": significant, but surmountable, advantage (*highest rating given by Fox News)
  • "safe" or "solid": near-certain chance of victory
State PVI[1] Incumbent Last
Election[c]
Cook
Apr 19,
2019
[2]
IE
May 6,
2019
[3]
Sabato
Mar 25,
2019
[4]
Alabama R+14 Doug Jones 50.0% D
(2017 Special)
Tossup Lean R (flip) Tossup
Alaska R+9 Dan Sullivan 48.0% R Safe R Safe R Safe R
Arizona
(Special)
R+5 Martha McSally 47.6% R
(2018)
Tossup Tossup Tossup
Arkansas R+15 Tom Cotton 56.5% R Safe R Safe R Safe R
Colorado D+1 Cory Gardner 48.2% R Tossup Tossup Tossup
Delaware D+6 Chris Coons 55.8% D Safe D Safe D Safe D
Georgia R+5 David Perdue 52.9% R Likely R Lean R Lean R
Idaho R+19 Jim Risch 65.3% R Safe R Safe R Safe R
Illinois D+7 Dick Durbin 53.5% D Safe D Safe D Safe D
Iowa R+3 Joni Ernst 52.1% R Likely R Likely R Lean R
Kansas R+13 Pat Roberts
(retiring)
53.1% R Likely R Safe R Safe R
Kentucky R+15 Mitch McConnell 56.2% R Likely R Safe R Likely R
Louisiana R+11 Bill Cassidy 55.9% R Safe R Safe R Safe R
Maine D+3 Susan Collins 68.5% R Lean R Tilt R Lean R
Massachusetts D+12 Ed Markey 61.9% D Safe D Safe D Safe D
Michigan D+1 Gary Peters 54.6% D Likely D Likely D Lean D
Minnesota D+1 Tina Smith 53.0% D
(2018 Special)
Likely D Likely D Likely D
Mississippi R+9 Cindy Hyde-Smith 53.6% R
(2018 Special)
Likely R Safe R Safe R
Montana R+11 Steve Daines 57.9% R Safe R Safe R Likely R
Nebraska R+14 Ben Sasse 64.5% R Safe R Safe R Safe R
New Hampshire EVEN Jeanne Shaheen 51.5% D Safe D Likely D Lean D
New Jersey D+7 Cory Booker 55.8% D Safe D Safe D Safe D
New Mexico D+3 Tom Udall
(retiring)
55.6% D Likely D Safe D Likely D
North Carolina R+3 Thom Tillis 48.8% R Likely R Tilt R Lean R
Oklahoma R+20 Jim Inhofe 68.0% R Safe R Safe R Safe R
Oregon D+5 Jeff Merkley 55.7% D Safe D Safe D Safe D
Rhode Island D+10 Jack Reed 70.6% D Safe D Safe D Safe D
South Carolina R+8 Lindsey Graham 55.3% R Safe R Safe R Safe R
South Dakota R+14 Mike Rounds 50.4% R Safe R Safe R Safe R
Tennessee R+14 Lamar Alexander
(retiring)
61.9% R Likely R Safe R Safe R
Texas R+8 John Cornyn 61.6% R Safe R Safe R Likely R
Virginia D+1 Mark Warner 49.1% D Safe D Safe D Likely D
West Virginia R+19 Shelley Moore Capito 62.1% R Safe R Safe R Safe R
Wyoming R+25 Mike Enzi
(retiring)
72.2% R Safe R Safe R Safe R

Race summary

Special elections during the preceding Congress

In this special election, the winner will serve when they are elected and qualified.

State
(linked to
summaries below)
Incumbent Results Candidates
Senator Party Electoral history
Arizona
(Class 3)
Martha McSally Republican 2019 (Appointed) Incumbent running. Martha McSally (Republican)
Mark Kelly (Democratic)[5]
Craig R. Brittain (Republican) [6]

Elections leading to the next Congress

In these general elections, the winners will be elected for the term beginning January 3, 2021. All of the elections involve the Class 2 seats; ordered by state.

State
(linked to
summaries below)
Incumbent Results Candidates
Senator Party Electoral history
Alabama Doug Jones Democratic 2017 (Special) Incumbent running.
Alaska Dan Sullivan Republican 2014 Incumbent's intent unknown.
  • TBD
Arkansas Tom Cotton Republican 2014 Incumbent running.
Colorado Cory Gardner Republican 2014 Incumbent running.
Delaware Chris Coons Democratic 2010 (Special)
2014
Incumbent running.
Georgia David Perdue Republican 2014 Incumbent running.
Idaho Jim Risch Republican 2008
2014
Incumbent's intent unknown.
  • TBD
Illinois Dick Durbin Democratic 1996
2002
2008
2014
Incumbent running.
Iowa Joni Ernst Republican 2014 Incumbent running.
Kansas Pat Roberts Republican 1996
2002
2008
2014
Incumbent retiring.
Kentucky Mitch McConnell Republican 1984
1990
1996
2002
2008
2014
Incumbent running.
Louisiana Bill Cassidy Republican 2014 Incumbent running.
Maine Susan Collins Republican 1996
2002
2008
2014
Incumbent's intent unknown.
  • Michael Bunker (Democratic)[34]
  • Max Linn (Republican)[35]
  • Bre Kidman (Democratic)[36]
Massachusetts Ed Markey Democratic 2013 (Special)
2014
Incumbent running.
Michigan Gary Peters Democratic 2014 Incumbent running.
Minnesota Tina Smith Democratic 2018 (Appointed)
2018 (Special)
Incumbent running.
Mississippi Cindy Hyde-Smith Republican 2018 (Appointed)
2018 (Special)
Incumbent's intent unknown.
  • TBD
Montana Steve Daines Republican 2014 Incumbent running.
Nebraska Ben Sasse Republican 2014 Incumbent's intent unknown.
  • TBD
New Hampshire Jeanne Shaheen Democratic 2008
2014
Incumbent running.
New Jersey Cory Booker Democratic 2013 (Special)
2014
Incumbent's intent unknown.
  • Tricia Flanagan (Republican)[42]
  • Hirsh Singh (Republican)[43]
New Mexico Tom Udall Democratic 2008
2014
Incumbent retiring.[44]
North Carolina Thom Tillis Republican 2014 Incumbent running.
Oklahoma Jim Inhofe Republican 1994 (Special)
1996
2002
2008
2014
Incumbent's intent unknown.
  • TBD
Oregon Jeff Merkley Democratic 2008
2014
Incumbent running.
Rhode Island Jack Reed Democratic 1996
2002
2008
2014
Incumbent running.
South Carolina Lindsey Graham Republican 2002
2008
2014
Incumbent running.
South Dakota Mike Rounds Republican 2014 Incumbent's intent unknown.
  • TBD
Tennessee Lamar Alexander Republican 2002
2008
2014
Incumbent retiring.
  • TBD
Texas John Cornyn Republican 2002
2008
2014
Incumbent running.
Virginia Mark Warner Democratic 2008
2014
Incumbent's intent unknown.
  • TBD
West Virginia Shelley Moore Capito Republican 2014 Incumbent running.
Wyoming Mike Enzi Republican 1996
2002
2008
2014
Incumbent retiring.
  • TBD

Alabama

Incumbent Democrat Doug Jones was elected in a special election in 2017, narrowly defeating Republican nominee Roy Moore. Jones is running for his first full term as a senator.[64]

Congressman Bradley Byrne, former Auburn University football head coach Tommy Tuberville, and state Representative Arnold Mooney[65] are seeking the Republican nomination.[66][67] Other potential Republican candidates include Roy Moore,[68] state Senator Del Marsh, State Auditor Jim Zeigler, and Congressman Gary Palmer.[66] On April 23, Marsh announced that he would not be a candidate.[69]

Alaska

One-term incumbent Republican Dan Sullivan was elected to a first term in 2014, defeating incumbent Democratic Senator Mark Begich.

Potential Democratic candidates include Begich, Anchorage Mayor Ethan Berkowitz, and 2018 U.S. House nominee Alyse Galvin.

Arizona (Special)

Republican Senator John McCain was elected to a sixth term in 2016, but died in office in August 2018.[70] Republican Governor Doug Ducey appointed former Senator Jon Kyl to fill McCain's seat for the remainder of the 115th United States Congress.[71] After the end of the 115th Congress, Governor Ducey appointed outgoing Congresswoman and 2018 Republican Senate nominee Martha McSally as Kyl's successor for the 116th Congress.[72] McSally is running in the 2020 special election to fill the remainder of the term, which expires in 2022.[73]

Former astronaut Mark Kelly is running for the Democratic nomination.[5] Other potential Democratic candidates include Congressman Greg Stanton, the former Mayor of Phoenix.[74]

Arkansas

One-term incumbent Republican Tom Cotton was elected to a first term in 2014 after serving two years in the United States House of Representatives, defeating incumbent Democratic Senator Mark Pryor by a comfortable margin. Cotton is seeking a second term in 2020.[11]

Potential Democratic candidates include state Senator Joyce Elliott.[75] Joshua Mahony, a wealthy philanthropist and 2018 Democratic nominee for Congress in Arkansas’s 3rd congressional district has filed organization papers for a U.S. Senate campaign.[76]

Colorado

One-term incumbent Republican Cory Gardner was elected to a first term in 2014 after serving six years in the United States House of Representatives, defeating one-term incumbent Mark Udall. Gardner is seeking re-election in 2020.[77]

Democratic candidates include former state Senator Mike Johnston, former state House Speaker Andrew Romanoff,[77] former U.S. Attorney John F. Walsh, state Department of Higher Education Director Dan Baer,[78] community organizer Lorena Garcia,[79] pharmacist Dustin Leitzel,[18] and Derrick Blanton.[13] Other potential Democratic candidates include Congressman Ed Perlmutter,[77] and Secretary of State Jena Griswold.[80]

Delaware

One-term Democrat Chris Coons was re-elected in 2014; Coons first took office after winning a 2010 special election, which occurred after long-time Senator Joe Biden resigned his seat to become Vice President of the United States.

Georgia

One-term incumbent Republican David Perdue was elected to a first term in 2014. He is seeking a second term in 2020.[81]

Columbus Mayor Teresa Tomlinson is running for the Democratic nomination. Potential Democratic candidates include, pastor Raphael Warnock, former congressional candidate Jon Ossoff, former state Senator Jason Carter, 2018 Lt. Governor nominee Sarah Riggs Amico, and state Representative Scott Holcomb.[81] Former state Representative Stacey Abrams, widely considered a potential candidate, declined to run.[82]

Idaho

Two-term incumbent Republican Jim Risch was easily re-elected in 2014.

Illinois

Four-term incumbent and Senate Minority Whip Dick Durbin, a Democrat, was re-elected in 2014. Durbin will be running for reelection and is the heavy favorite to win his party's nomination over state Representative Anne Stava-Murray[83].

Potential Republican candidates include former Governor Bruce Rauner, U.S. Representatives Rodney Davis and Darin LaHood, and 2018 Republican nominee for state Attorney General Erika Harold.

Iowa

One-term incumbent Republican Joni Ernst was elected to a first term in 2014 after serving four years in the state Senate. She is seeking a second term in 2020.[84]

Potential Democratic candidates include state Auditor Rob Sand, former Governor Chet Culver, and congresswoman Abby Finkenauer,[85] as well as 2018 congressional candidates J.D. Scholten and Theresa Greenfield.[86]

Kansas

Four-term incumbent Republican Pat Roberts is retiring. State Treasurer Jake LaTurner is seeking the Republican nomination.[87] Potential Republican candidates include Congressman Roger Marshall,[87] state Senate President Susan Wagle,[88] former Governor Jeff Colyer,[89] Attorney General Derek Schmidt, and former Secretary of State Kris Kobach.[90]

Democrat Elliott Adams is running.[91] Potential Democratic candidates include former U.S. Attorney for Kansas Barry Grissom and former Congressional candidate Brent Welder.[92]

Kentucky

Six-term incumbent and Senate Majority Leader Republican Mitch McConnell was re-elected by a comfortable margin in 2014.

Steven Cox is running for the Democratic nomination.[31] Other potential Democratic candidates include state Attorney General Andy Beshear, 2018 congressional candidate Amy McGrath, and sports radio show host Matt Jones.[93]

Louisiana

One-term incumbent Bill Cassidy was first elected in 2014 after serving six years in the United States House of Representatives, defeating three-term incumbent Mary Landrieu.

Maine

Four-term incumbent Republican Susan Collins was re-elected by a wide margin in 2014.

Perennial candidate Max Linn is running for the Republican nomination.[94] Potential Democratic candidates include 2018 Senate candidate Zak Ringelstein, state House Speaker Sara Gideon,[95] Congresswoman Chellie Pingree, Congressman Jared Golden, former Lewiston Mayor James Howaniec[96], and 2018 gubernatorial candidate Betsy Sweet.[97]

Massachusetts

One-term incumbent Democrat Ed Markey was re-elected in 2014; Markey first took office after winning a 2013 special election to replace longtime incumbent John Kerry, who resigned to become U.S. Secretary of State. Republican former state Representative Geoff Diehl is a potential candidate.

Michigan

One-term incumbent Democrat Gary Peters was elected to a first term in 2014 after serving six years in the U.S. House of Representatives. He is seeking a second term in 2020.[98]

Potential Republican candidates include 2018 Senate nominee John James,[99] former Congresswoman Candice Miller,[100] former state House Speaker Tom Leonard, and businessman Sandy Pensler.[101]

Minnesota

Incumbent Democrat Tina Smith was appointed to replace Al Franken in 2018 after serving as Lieutenant Governor, and she won a special election later in 2018 to serve the remainder of Franken's term. She is seeking a full term in 2020.[102]

Potential Republican candidates include 2018 lieutenant governor candidate Donna Bergstrom,[103] state Senator Karin Housley,[104] and former state Representative Doug Wardlow.[105]

Mississippi

After seven-term incumbent Republican Senator Thad Cochran resigned in April 2018, Republican Governor Phil Bryant appointed state Agriculture Commissioner Cindy Hyde-Smith to succeed Cochran until a special election could be held later in the year. Hyde-Smith won the November 2018 special election to fill the remainder of Cochran's term, which ends in January 2021. Hyde-Smith may seek a full term in the regularly-scheduled 2020 election. Other potential Republican candidates include state Senator Chris McDaniel, who also sought the seat in 2014 and 2018.[106]

Potential Democratic candidates include former United States Secretary of Agriculture and 2018 Senate candidate Mike Espy.[107]

Montana

One-term incumbent Republican Steve Daines was elected to a first term in 2014 after serving two years in the United States House of Representatives. He is running for reelection.[40]

Potential Democratic candidates include Helena Mayor Wilmot Collins. Governor Steve Bullock has indicated that he will not enter the race.[108]

Nebraska

One-term incumbent Republican Ben Sasse was elected to a first term in 2014 after serving as President of Midland University.

New Hampshire

Two-term incumbent Democrat Jeanne Shaheen was narrowly re-elected in 2014. Shaheen is seeking a third term in 2020.[109]

Potential Republican challengers include former U.S. Senator Kelly Ayotte,[110] Ambassador to New Zealand Scott Brown, state House Speaker William L. O'Brien, and businessman Jay Lucas. Governor Chris Sununu has indicated that he will not run for the Senate.[111]

New Jersey

One-term incumbent Democrat Cory Booker was re-elected in 2014; Booker first took office by winning a 2013 special election after serving seven years as Mayor of Newark. Booker is running for President in 2020, but state allows him to simultaneously run for both president and for the U.S. Senate.[112] Other potential Democratic candidates include Governor Phil Murphy, Congressman Donald Norcross, and Congressman Josh Gottheimer.[113] Among Republicans, attorney and political commentator Matt Rooney is a potential candidate.[114]

New Mexico

Two-term incumbent Democrat Tom Udall is retiring in 2020.[44] U.S. Representative Ben Ray Luján [115] is running for the Democratic nomination. Another potential Democratic candidate is New Mexico Secretary of State Maggie Toulouse Oliver.[116] On April 10, 2019, U.S. Representative Deb Haaland said that she would not be a candidate, but instead seek reelection.[117]

Among Republicans, former U.S. Interior Department official Gavin Clarkson has announced his candidacy.[118] Potential Republican candidates include former Governor Susana Martinez, former Albuquerque Mayor Richard J. Berry,[119] former U.S. Representative and current Secretary of the Air Force Heather Wilson, former U.S. Representative Steve Pearce and former State Representative Yvette Herrell.[120]

North Carolina

One-term incumbent Republican Thom Tillis was elected to a first term in 2014 after serving eight years in the state House of Representatives, narrowly defeating one-term incumbent Kay Hagan. Tillis could also potentially run for Governor.[121][122]

State Senator Erica D. Smith,[50] and Mecklenburg County Commissioner Trevor Fuller[49] are running for the Democratic nomination. Potential Democratic candidates include state Senator Jeff Jackson.[74]

Oklahoma

Four-term incumbent Republican Jim Inhofe was re-elected in 2014. Former EPA Administrator Scott Pruitt may run for the seat if Inhofe retires.[123]

Oregon

Two-term incumbent Democrat Jeff Merkley was re-elected by a comfortable margin in 2014. Merkley, who was considered to be a possible 2020 presidential candidate, opted to forgo the crowded contest and is running for re-election to his seat.[124]

Rhode Island

Four-term incumbent Democrat Jack Reed was easily re-elected in 2014. Reed is seeking a fifth term.[54]

South Carolina

Three-term incumbent Republican Lindsey Graham was re-elected in 2014. Former South Carolina Democratic Party Chairman Jaime Harrison is a possible candidate.

South Dakota

One-term incumbent Republican Mike Rounds was elected to a first term in 2014 after serving two terms as Governor of South Dakota. Potential Democratic candidates may include state Senate Minority Leader Billie Sutton, the 2018 Democratic gubernatorial nominee.[125]

Tennessee

Three-term incumbent Republican Lamar Alexander was re-elected in 2014. He announced in December 2018 that he would not seek re-election.[126] Potential Republican candidates to succeed him include former Governor Bill Haslam[127][128], Congressman Mark Green[129], and U.S. Ambassador to Japan William F. Hagerty.[130] Among Democrats, state Senator Jeff Yarbro is a possible candidate.[131]

Texas

Three-term incumbent Republican John Cornyn was re-elected in 2014 by a wide margin. He is running for re-election.[61]

MJ Hegar, an Air Force combat veteran who served as the 2018 Democratic nominee for Texas's 31st congressional district, is running.[132] Sema Hernandez, a former candidate for U.S Senate in 2018, is also seeking the Democratic nomination.[133] Potential Democratic candidates include former State Senator Wendy Davis, Congressman Colin Allred, Congresswoman Lizzie Pannill Fletcher, Congresswoman Veronica Escobar, Congresswoman Sylvia Garcia, San Antonio Mayor Ron Nirenberg, Houston City Councilwoman Amanda Edwards, and state Representative Rafael Anchia.[134]

Virginia

Two-term incumbent Democrat Mark Warner was re-elected by a very narrow margin in 2014 after winning easily in 2008. Former U.S. Representative Scott Taylor is a potential Republican candidate.[135]

West Virginia

One-term incumbent Republican Shelley Moore Capito was easily elected over a credible opponent after serving 14 years in the U.S. House of Representatives. Potential Democratic candidates may include former state Senator Richard Ojeda, a nominee for the U.S. House of Representatives in West Virginia's 3rd congressional district in 2018 and candidate for President in 2020.

Wyoming

Four-term incumbent Republican Mike Enzi was re-elected in 2014. Enzi announced in May 2019 that he will retire. Congresswoman Liz Cheney and former two-term Governor Matt Mead are potential Republican candidates.[136]

See also

Notes

  1. ^ Democrats would need to pick up four seats if the independents continue to caucus with the Democratic Party and the Democratic Party does not win the vice presidency.
    If the Democrats do win the vice presidency and the two Independents continue to caucus with them, then they will need a three seat gain to take control of the Senate.
  2. ^ The two independents, Bernie Sanders and Angus King, have both caucused with the Democratic Party since joining the Senate.
  3. ^ Incumbent in 2014, except where noted

References

  1. ^ "2016 State PVI Changes – Decision Desk HQ". decisiondeskhq.com. December 15, 2017.
  2. ^ "2020 Senate Race ratings". Cook Political Report. January 4, 2018.
  3. ^ "Senate Ratings 2020". Inside Elections. January 4, 2019.
  4. ^ "2020 Senate". Sabato's Crystal Ball. December 13, 2018.
  5. ^ a b "NASA astronaut Mark Kelly launches Senate campaign". Retrieved February 13, 2019.
  6. ^ http://brittainforsenate.com/
  7. ^ Wilson, Brent (April 28, 2019). "Former televangelist Stanley Adair joins 2020 Senate race". BamaPolitics.com. Retrieved April 30, 2019.
  8. ^ Chandler, Kim (February 20, 2019). "GOP's Byrne to challenge Sen. Doug Jones of Alabama in 2020". Associated Press. Retrieved February 20, 2019.
  9. ^ Cohen, Zach [@Zachary_Cohen] (November 13, 2018). "#ALsen Doug Jones (D) confirms he'll seek reelection in 2020. "Already off and running."" (Tweet). Retrieved November 14, 2018 – via Twitter.
  10. ^ Dodd, Dennis (April 6, 2019). "Tommy Tuberville will run for U.S. Senate in Alabama with Sean Spicer on his campaign team". CBSSports.com. Retrieved April 6, 2019.
  11. ^ a b "Sen. Cotton says he's running for reelection in 2020". Associated Press.
  12. ^ Wingerter, Justin (April 15, 2019). "Dan Baer enters Democratic race against Cory Gardner, seeks to be first openly gay man elected to Senate". The Denver Post. Retrieved April 15, 2019.
  13. ^ a b "BLANTON, DERRICK JAMES - Candidate overview - FEC.gov". FEC.gov.
  14. ^ Wingerter, Justin (April 17, 2019). "Colorado State professor is the latest entrant in U.S. Senate race". The Denver Post. Retrieved April 17, 2019.
  15. ^ Zubeck, Pam (November 27, 2018). "Lorena Garcia announces challenge to Corey Gardner in 2020". Colorado Springs Independent. Retrieved November 30, 2018.
  16. ^ Roberts, Michael (February 8, 2019). "Mike Johnston on Challenging Cory Gardner in Nation's Hottest Senate Race". Westword.
  17. ^ "Democrat Mike Johnston announces challenge to GOP U.S. Sen. Cory Gardner". Coloradoan.com.
  18. ^ a b "LEITZEL, DUSTIN JOHN - Candidate overview - FEC.gov". FEC.gov.
  19. ^ "Keith Pottratz of Grand Junction bids for Cory Gardner's seat". Denver Post. December 2, 2018. Retrieved December 10, 2018.
  20. ^ "Andrew Romanoff joins list of Democrats competing to challenge Cory Gardner". The Denver Post.
  21. ^ Wingerter, Justin (April 2, 2019). "Spaulding, former congressional candidate, is latest Democrat to challenge Cory Gardner". Greeley Tribune. Retrieved April 2, 2019.
  22. ^ Montellaro, Zach (April 16, 2019). "NEWS: Democrat @johnwalshco, a former U.S. attorney, jumped in to the #COSen race (first reported in Score: …). Announcement vid: "Our state deserves better than what we're getting from Donald Trump and Cory Gardner" #COpolitics". @ZachMontellaro. {{cite web}}: no-break space character in |title= at position 108 (help)
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