2020 Vermont Democratic presidential primary: Difference between revisions

2020 Vermont Democratic primary
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23 Democratic National Convention delegates (16 pledged, 7 unpledged); The number of pledged delegates won is determined by the popular vote
Reporting	0%as of March 3, 7:00 pm EST

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The 2020 Vermont Democratic primary will take place in Vermont, United States, on March 3, 2020, as one of 14 contests scheduled on Super Tuesday in the Democratic Party presidential primaries for the 2020 election, following the South Carolina primary the weekend before. The Vermont primary is an open primary, with the state awarding 23 delegates towards the 2020 Democratic National Convention, of which 16 are pledged delegates allocated on the basis of the results of the primary.

Procedure

Vermont is one of 14 states holding primaries on March 3, 2020, also known as "Super Tuesday".^[1] This date is also Town Meeting Day in Vermont.

Early voting began on January 18, 2020, and is taking place six days a week between then and election day.^[2]

Regular voting is expected to take place throughout the state from 5:00 a.m. until 7:00 p.m. in much of the state, with some precincts closing as late as 10:00 p.m. In the open primary, candidates must meet a threshold of 15 percent in order to be considered viable. The 16 pledged delegates to the 2020 Democratic National Convention will be allocated proportionally on the basis of the results of the primary. Of the 16 pledged delegates, 11 are allocated on the basis of the statewide result (by definition coterminous with the state's sole congressional district) and another 2 are allocated to party leaders and elected officials (PLEO delegates), in addition to 3 at-large pledged delegates. Bonus delegates will be allocated as Vermont shares a primary date with numerous other states on Super Tuesday; these numbers do not yet account for these delegates.^[3]

After town caucuses on Tuesday, April 7, 2020 to designate delegates for the state convention, the state convention will be held on Saturday, May 30, 2020 to nominate national convention district delegates, who in turn elect the 3 pledged at-large and 2 PLEO delegates to send to the Democratic National Convention at the national convention delegate meeting on June 13, 2020. The 16 pledged delegates Vermont sends to the national convention will be joined by 7 unpledged PLEO delegates who are also selected at the national convention delegate meeting (4 members of the Democratic National Committee; 2 members of Congress, including Senator Patrick Leahy and U.S. Representatives Peter Welch; and former DNC chair Howard Dean).^[3]

Candidates

The following people have filed and qualified to be on the ballot in Vermont.^[4]

Running

Withdrawn

Polling

Polling Aggregation
Source of poll aggregation	Date updated	Dates polled	Bernie Sanders	Elizabeth Warren	Joe Biden	Michael Bloomberg	Tulsi Gabbard	Other/ Undecided^[a]
270 to Win	March 3, 2020	February 4–March 2, 2020	52.0%	14.0%	10.7%	10.3%	1.0%	12.0%
RealClear Politics	March 3, 2020	Insufficient recent polling to supply an average.
FiveThirtyEight	March 3, 2020	until March 2, 2020^[b]	53.0%	14.2%	10.4%	8.9%	0.9%	12.6%
Average			52.5%	14.1%	10.55%	9.6%	0.95%	12.3%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[c]	Margin of error	Joe Biden	Michael Bloomberg	Pete Buttigieg	Amy Klobuchar	Bernie Sanders	Elizabeth Warren	Other	Un- decided
	Mar 2, 2020	Klobuchar withdraws from the race
Swayable	Mar 1–2, 2020	147 (LV)	± 11.0%	11%	16%	5%	2%	48%	17%	2%^[d]	–
	Mar 1, 2020	Buttigieg withdraws from the race
Data for Progress	Feb 28–Mar 2, 2020	236 (LV)	± 6.9%	16%	8%	1%	–	57%	16%	2%^[e]	–
Vermont Public Radio	Feb 4–10, 2020	332	± 4.0%	5%	7%	9%	4%	51%	13%	2%^[f]	7%

Results

2020 Vermont Democratic primary
Candidate	Votes	%	Delegates
Joe Biden
Michael Bloomberg
Pete Buttigieg (withdrawn†)
Tulsi Gabbard
Mark Stewart Greenstein
Amy Klobuchar (withdrawn†)
Bernie Sanders
Elizabeth Warren
Deval Patrick (withdrawn†)
Tom Steyer (withdrawn†)
Andrew Yang (withdrawn†)
Julian Castro (withdrawn)
Marianne Williamson (withdrawn)
Total

†Candidate withdrew after no-excuse, in-person absentee voting started.

Notes

^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined
^ FiveThirtyEight aggregates polls with a trendline regression of polls rather than a strict average of recent polls.
^ Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear
^ Gabbard with 0%; Steyer with no voters; "Other" with 2%
^ Gabbard with 2%
^ Yang with 2%; Gabbard with 1%

References

^ Putnam, Josh. "The 2020 Presidential Primary Calendar". Frontloading HQ. Retrieved June 22, 2019.
^ https://www.wcax.com/content/news/Vermonts-early-primary-voting-period-opens-567085581.html
^ ^a ^b "Vermont Democratic Delegation 2020". The Green Papers. May 3, 2019. Retrieved June 22, 2019.
^ "Vermont Sec of State" (PDF).

External links

[undecided-5] Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined

[trendline-6] FiveThirtyEight aggregates polls with a trendline regression of polls rather than a strict average of recent polls.

[key-7] Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear

[8] Gabbard with 0%; Steyer with no voters; "Other" with 2%

[9] Gabbard with 2%

[10] Yang with 2%; Gabbard with 1%

[FHQ-primarydates-1] Putnam, Josh. "The 2020 Presidential Primary Calendar". Frontloading HQ. Retrieved June 22, 2019.

[2] ttps://www.wcax.com/content/news/Vermonts-early-primary-voting-period-opens-567085581.html

[GP-3] "Vermont Democratic Delegation 2020". The Green Papers. May 3, 2019. Retrieved June 22, 2019.

[4] "Vermont Sec of State" (PDF).

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