April 2021 Bulgarian parliamentary election: Difference between revisions
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!Pollster!!Date!!Sample!! [[GERB]] !! [[Bulgarian Socialist Party|BSP]] !! [[Slavi Trifonov|ITN]] !![[Movement for Rights and Freedoms|DPS]] !! [[United Patriots|UP]] !! [[IMRO – Bulgarian National Movement|IMRO]] !! [[Democratic Bulgaria|DB]] !! [[Volya Movement|Volya]] !! [[Alternative for Bulgarian Revival|ABV]] !! |
!Pollster!!Date!!Sample!! [[GERB]] !! [[Bulgarian Socialist Party|BSP]] !! [[Slavi Trifonov|ITN]] !![[Movement for Rights and Freedoms|DPS]] !! [[United Patriots|UP]] !! [[IMRO – Bulgarian National Movement|IMRO]] !! [[Democratic Bulgaria|DB]] !! [[Volya Movement|Volya]] !! [[Alternative for Bulgarian Revival|ABV]] !! Stand up.BG|[[Maya Manolova]] !! Others / [[None of the above|None]] |
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| [https://www.dnevnik.bg/bulgaria/2020/08/03/4098431_shest_ili_sedem_partii_vlizat_v_parlamenta_ako/?ref=home_mainStory#comment-4 Alpha Research]|| 03 August 2020 ||unknown|| 26,7% || 19,2% || 18,8% || 8,3% || 4,1% || - || 12,3% || 0,9% || - || 5,9% || 2% |
| [https://www.dnevnik.bg/bulgaria/2020/08/03/4098431_shest_ili_sedem_partii_vlizat_v_parlamenta_ako/?ref=home_mainStory#comment-4 Alpha Research]|| 03 August 2020 ||unknown|| 26,7% || 19,2% || 18,8% || 8,3% || 4,1% || - || 12,3% || 0,9% || - || 5,9% || 2% |
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All 240 seats in the National Assembly 121 seats needed for a majority | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on 28 March 2021.
Electoral system
The 240 members of the National Assembly are elected by closed list proportional representation from 31 multi-member constituencies ranging in size from 4 to 16 seats. The electoral threshold is 4%.[1]
Opinion polls
| Pollster | Date | Sample | GERB | BSP | ITN | DPS | UP | IMRO | DB | Volya | ABV | Maya Manolova | Others / None |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alpha Research | 03 August 2020 | unknown | 26,7% | 19,2% | 18,8% | 8,3% | 4,1% | - | 12,3% | 0,9% | - | 5,9% | 2% |
| Market Links | 27 May-03 June 2020 | 995 | 34% | 26% | 10% | 8% | - | 4% | 7% | - | - | - | 7% |
| Alpha Research | 28 April-05 May 2020 | 1000 | 33% | 20% | 15% | 10% | 6% | - | 6% | 2% | - | - | - |
| Trend | 03-10 February 2020 | 1007 | 33% | 29% | 11% | 11% | - | 4% | 6% | 2% | - | - | 2% |
| Alpha Research | 05-12 December 2019 | 1017 | 30% | 25% | 12% | 11% | - | 7% | 7% | 2% | - | - | 2% |
| Market Links | 21-28 November 2019 | 980 | 30% | 27% | 13% | 13% | 7% | - | 8% | 2% | - | - | 4% |
| Trend | 07-15 November 2019 | 1008 | 36% | 28% | 8% | 12% | - | 5% | 5% | 2% | - | - | - |
| Alpha Research | 10-16 September 2019 | 1023 | 30% | 26% | 11% | 12% | 5% | - | 6% | 3% | - | - | 4% |
| Trend | 05-12 July 2019 | 1008 | 38% | 30% | - | 11% | 2%[a] | 6% | 5% | 2% | - | - | 4% |
| 2019 European election | 26 May 2019 | – | 31.1%[b] | 24.3% | - | 16.6% | 2.2%[a] | 7.4% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 1.0% | - | 8% |
| Exacta | 10–17 December 2018 | – | 36% | 32% | - | 8% | 6% | - | 4% | 2% | 2% | - | 11% |
| Trend | 6–12 November 2018 | 1,004 | 34% | 32% | - | 10% | 7% | - | 3% | 2% | – | - | 10% |
| Exacta | 25 September–5 October 2018 | 1,000 | 39% | 33% | - | 10% | 10% | - | 3% | 2% | 2% | - | - |
| 2017 election | 27 March 2017 | – | 32.6% | 27.2% | - | 9.0% | 9.1% | - | 5.4%[c] | 4.1% | 1.5% | - | 11,1% |
