2020 São Paulo mayoral election: Difference between revisions
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| <center>[[Sustainability Network]] (REDE)</center> |
| <center>[[Sustainability Network]] (REDE)</center> |
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| <center>[[File:Marina Helou.png|80px|]]</center> |
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| '''Marina Helou''' (REDE) |
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| [[Legislative Assembly of São Paulo|State Deputy]] of [[São Paulo (state)|São Paulo]] since 2019 |
| [[Legislative Assembly of São Paulo|State Deputy]] of [[São Paulo (state)|São Paulo]] since 2019 |
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| Marco Di'Preto (REDE) |
| Marco Di'Preto (REDE) |
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| <center>[[Workers' Cause Party]] (PCO)</center> |
| <center>[[Workers' Cause Party]] (PCO)</center> |
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| '''Antonio Carlos''' (PCO) |
| '''Antonio Carlos''' (PCO) |
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Mayoral election | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Opinion polls | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Turnout | 70.71% (first round) 69.19% (second round) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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File:Zonas Eleitorais em São Paulo 2020.png Bruno Covas Guilherme Boulos | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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This lists parties that won seats. See the complete results below. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
The 2020 São Paulo municipal election took place in the city of São Paulo, Brazil, with the first round taking place on 15 November 2020 and the second round taking place on 29 November 2020. Voters voted to elect the Mayor, the Vice Mayor and 55 city councillors for the administration of the city. The result was a 2nd round victory for incumbent Mayor Bruno Covas, of the Brazilian Social Democratic Party (PSDB), winning 3,169,121 votes and a share of 59,38% of the popular vote, defeating political activist Guilherme Boulos, of the Socialism and Liberty Party (PSOL), who took 2,168,109 votes and a share of 40.62% of the popular vote.
Background
In the 2016 São Paulo mayoral election, João Doria of the Brazilian Social Democratic Party (PSDB) was elected Mayor of São Paulo in first round with a share of 53,29% of the popular vote, defeating then incumbent Mayor Fernando Haddad, of the Workers' Party (PT).[1] Later, Doria resigned to run for governor of the State of São Paulo in the 2018 São Paulo gubernatorial election against then incumbent governor Márcio França, leaving his Vice Mayor Bruno Covas to assume as Mayor of São Paulo.[2] While facing cancer since October 2019,[3] Covas was nevertheless confirmed as candidate for the Brazilian Social Democratic Party (PSDB) for reelection.[4]
Incumbent President Jair Bolsonaro endorsed Celso Russomanno of the Republicanos, a traditional runner in the mayoral elections and federal deputy for the State of São Paulo, as his prefered candidate.[5] Famous political and social activist, Guilherme Boulos, who had previously disputed the 2018 Brazilian general election as a presidential candidate, was elected in the primaries of the Socialism and Liberty Party (PSOL) to run as their candidate.[6] Former governor of the State of São Paulo Márcio França, who had lost reelection in the 2018 São Paulo gubernatorial election to João Doria, was endorsed to run as the candidate for the Brazilian Socialist Party (PSB).[7] A popular political influencer and youtuber, Arthur do Val, known by his pseudonym "Mamãefalei" and youtube channel of the same name, who had been elected in the 2018 São Paulo gubernatorial election as state deputy, also ran as candidate for the Patriota.[8] The Worker's Party (PT) endorsed Jilmar Tatto as their candidate.[9] Among other candidates were Joice Hasselmann (PSL), Andrea Matarazzo (PSD), Marina Helou (REDE), Levy Fidelix (PRTB), Orlando Silva (PCdoB), Antonio Carlos (PCO) and Vera Lúcia (PSTU).[10]
Filipe Sabará was nominated candidate for the New Party (NOVO), but later he would be expelled from the party due to alleged inconsistencies in his curriculum, violating the party's code of ethics. Ultimately, the Regional Electoral Tribunal of São Paulo, at the party's request, ruled to extinguish his candidacy and the end of his campaign after his vice candidate Maria Helena declined to continue running.[11]
COVID-19 Pandemic
Amidst the COVID-19 Pandemic, the city recorded the highest abstention rate ever, with around 29,29% of voters abstaining from voting in the first round, and around 30,78% of voters abstaining from voting in the second round, also resulting in one of the lowest turnouts seen for the municipal elections of São Paulo.[12]
Candidates
Candidates in runoff
| # | Party/coalition | Mayoral candidate | Political office(s) | Vice-Mayoral candidate | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| style="background:Template:Brazilian Social Democracy Party/meta/color;"| | 45 | PSDB, DEM, CDN, PL, PODE, PSC, PROS, MDB, PP, PV, PTC |
 |
Bruno Covas (PSDB) | Mayor of São Paulo since 2018; Vice Mayor of São Paulo 2017–18; Federal Deputy from São Paulo 2015–17; State Secretary of the Environment of São Paulo 2011–14; State Deputy of São Paulo 2007–2015 | Ricardo Nunes (MDB) |
| style="background:Template:Socialism and Liberty Party/meta/color;"| | 50 | PSOL, PCB, UP |
_1%C2%BA_de_Maio_S%C3%A3o_Paulo_064_Romerito_Pontes_(cropped).jpg) |
Guilherme Boulos (PSOL) | Professor, coordinator of the Homeless Workers' Movement activist, and writer | Luiza Erundina (PSOL) |
Candidates failing to make runoff
| # | Party/coalition | Mayoral candidate | Political office(s) | Vice-Mayoral candidate | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| style="background:Template:Republicanos/meta/color;"| | 10 | REP, PTB |
 |
Celso Russomanno (REP) | Federal Deputy from São Paulo since 2015, 1995–2011 | Marcos da Costa (PTB) |
| style="background:Template:Workers' Party (Brazil)/meta/color;"| | 13 |  |
Jilmar Tatto (PT) | Municipal Secretary of Transports of São Paulo 2003–04, 2004–05, 2013–17; Federal Deputy from São Paulo 2007–15; State Deputy of São Paulo 1999–2003 | Carlos Zarattini (PT) | |
| style="background:Template:Unified Workers' Socialist Party/meta/color;"| | 16 |  |
Vera Lúcia Salgado (PSTU) | Labor organizer | Lucas Nizuma (PSTU) | |
| style="background:Template:Social Liberal Party (Brazil)/meta/color;"| | 17 | PSL, DC |
_(cropped).jpg) |
Joice Hasselmann (PSL) | Federal Deputy from São Paulo since 2019 | Ivan Sayeg (PSL) |
| style="background:Template:Sustainability Network/meta/color;"| | 18 | Marina Helou (REDE) | State Deputy of São Paulo since 2019 | Marco Di'Preto (REDE) | ||
| style="background:Template:Brazilian Labour Renewal Party/meta/color;"| | 28 | .jpg) |
Levy Fidelix (PRTB) | PRTB National President since 1994 | Jairo Glikson (PRTB) | |
| style="background:Template:Workers' Cause Party/meta/color;"| | 29 | Antonio Carlos (PCO) | Member of the PCO National Executive | Henrique Áreas (PCO) | ||
| style="background:Template:Brazilian Socialist Party/meta/color;"| | 40 | PSB, PDT, PMN, AVANTE, SD |
 |
Márcio França (PSB) | Governor of São Paulo 2018–19; Vice Governor of São Paulo 2015–18; State Secretary of Development of São Paulo 2015–18; State Secretary of Sports, Leisure and Tourism of São Paulo 2011–15; Federal Deputy from São Paulo 2007–11; Mayor of São Vicente 1997–2005; City Councillor of São Vicente 1989–97 | Antonio Neto (PDT) |
| style="background:Template:Patriota/meta/color;"| | 51 | .jpg) |
Arthur do Val (PATRI) | State Deputy of São Paulo since 2019 | Adelaide Oliveira (PATRI) | |
| style="background:Template:Social Democratic Party (Brazil, 2011)/meta/color;"| | 55 | .jpg) |
Andrea Matarazzo (PSD) | City Councillor of São Paulo 2013–17; State Secretary of Culture of São Paulo 2010–12; Municipal Secretary of Subprefectures of São Paulo 2006–08; Submayor of Sé 2005–09; Brazilian Ambassador to Italy 2001–02; Secretary of Social Communication of the Presidency 1999–2001 | Marta Costa (PSD) | |
| style="background:Template:Communist Party of Brazil/meta/color;"| | 65 | .jpg) |
Orlando Silva (PCdoB) | Federal Deputy from São Paulo since 2015; City Councillor of São Paulo 2013–15; Minister of Sports 2006–11; 44th President of UNE 1995–97 | Andrea Barcelos (PCdoB) | |
Candidacy denied
| # | Party/coalition | Mayoral candidate | Political office(s) | Vice-Mayoral candidate | Reason | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| style="background:Template:New Party (Brazil)/meta/color;"| | 30 | .jpg) |
Filipe Sabará (NOVO) | Federal Deputy from São Paulo since 2019 | Maria Helena (NOVO) | Sabará was expelled from NOVO and his running mate, Maria Helena, dropped out of the race.[13][14][15] | |
Withdrawn candidates
- Antonio Carlos Mazzeo (PCB) - professor and writer.[16]
- Gil Diniz - State Deputy of São Paulo since 2019.[17][18][19]
- Henrique Meirelles (MDB) - State Secretary of Economy and Planning of São Paulo since 2019; Minister of Finances 2016–2018; President of the Central Bank of Brazil 2003–2011.[20]
- José Luiz Datena (MDB) - Journalist and TV presenter.[21]
- Vivian Mendes (UP) - President of Popular Unity in São Paulo since 2019.[22]
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Declined candidates
- Aloízio Mercadante (PT) - Minister of Education 2012–2014, 2015–2016; Chief of Staff of the Presidency 2014–2015; Ministry of Science, Technology and Innovation 2011–2012; Senator for São Paulo 2003–2011; Federal Deputy from São Paulo 1991–1995, 1999–2003.[23][24]
- Ana Estela Haddad (PT) - First Lady of São Paulo 2013–2017.[25][26][24]
- Fernando Haddad (PT) - Mayor of São Paulo 2013–2017; Minister of Education 2005–2012; candidate for Mayor of São Paulo in 2016; candidate for President of Brazil in 2018.[27][24]
- Janaína Paschoal (PSL) - State Deputy of São Paulo since 2019.[28][29][30]
- Tabata Amaral - Federal Deputy from São Paulo since 2019.[23][24][31][32]
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Lost in primaries or conventions
- Alexandre Padilha - Federal Deputy from São Paulo since 2019; Municipal Secretary of Health of São Paulo 2015–2017; Minister of Health 2011–2014; Secretary of Institutional Relations 2009–2010.[23][33][34]
- Antônio Ribas Paiva (PTC) - Rural producer, entrepeneur and lawyer.[35]
- Carlos Giannazi (PSOL) - State Deputy of São Paulo since 2007; City Councillor of São Paulo 2001–2007. Candidate for Mayor of São Paulo in 2012.[18]
- Carlos Zarattini (PT) - Federal Deputy from São Paulo since 2007; State Deputy of São Paulo 1999–2003.[26][24][33]
- Christian Lohbauer (NOVO) - political scientist and professor. Candidate for Vice President of Brazil in 2018.[18]
- Eduardo Jorge (PV) - Federal Deputy from São Paulo 1987–2005; State Deputy of São Paulo 1983–1987. Candidate for President of Brazil in 2014.[36]
- Eduardo Suplicy (PT) - City Councillor of São Paulo since 2017, 1989−1990; Senator for São Paulo 1991−2015; Federal Deputy from São Paulo 1983−1987; State Deputy of São Paulo 1979−1982.[24][33]
- José Eduardo Cardozo (PT) - Attorney General of the Union 2016; Minister of Justice and Public Security 2011−2016; Federal Deputy from São Paulo 2003−2011; City Councillor of São Paulo 1995−2003.[31][33]
- Kika da Silva (PT) - Activist.[37][38][33]
- Luiz Antonio de Medeiros Neto (PDT) - Federal Deputy from São Paulo 1999–2007.[18][39]
- Luiz Philippe of Orléans-Braganza (PSL) - Federal Deputy from São Paulo since 2019.[40][41][42]
- Marta Suplicy (SD) - Senator for São Paulo 2011-2019; Minister of Culture 2012-2014; Minister of Tourism 2007-2008; Mayor of São Paulo 2001-2005; candidate for Mayor of São Paulo in 2004, 2008 and 2016.[43][44][45]
- Nabil Bonduki (PT) - Municipal Secretary of Culture of São Paulo 2015–2016; City Councillor of São Paulo 2001–2005; 2013–2017.[46][33]
- Nádia Campeão (PCdoB) - Vice Mayor of São Paulo 2013−2017; Municipal Secretary of Sports of São Paulo 2001−2005; candidate for Vice Governor in 2006.[24][47]
- Nelson Marconi (PDT) - economist, Getúlio Vargas Foundation professor.[18][39]
- Paulo Teixeira (PT) - Federal Deputy from São Paulo since 2007; City Councillor of São Paulo 2005–2007; Director-President of Metropolitan Housing Company of São Paulo (COHAB) 2003–2004; Municipal Secretary of Housing and Urban Development of São Paulo 2001–2004; State Deputy of São Paulo 1995–2001.[26][24][33]
- Sâmia Bomfim (PSOL) - Federal Deputy from São Paulo since 2019; City Councillor of São Paulo 2017−2019.[48]
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Debates
First round
| Date | Host | Moderator | Andrea Matarazzo (PSD) | Arthur do Val (PATRI) | Bruno Covas (PSDB) | Celso Russomanno (REP) | Guilherme Boulos (PSOL) | Jilmar Tatto (PT) | Joice Hasselmann (PSL) | Márcio França (PSB) | Orlando Silva (PCdoB) | Filipe Sabará (NOVO) | Marina Helou (REDE) | Antonio Carlos (PCO) | Levy Fidelix (PRTB) | Vera Lúcia (PSTU) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 October 2020 | TV Bandeirantes | Eduardo Oinegue | Present | Present | Present | Present | Present | Present | Present | Present | Present | Present | Present | Not invited | Not invited | Not invited |
| 23 October 2020 | RedeTV! | Luís Ernesto Lacombe Amanda Klein |
Cancelled | |||||||||||||
| 26 October 2020 | ConecTV | Unknown | Present | Present | Absent | Absent | Absent | Present | Present | Absent | Present | Not invited | Present | Not invited | Not invited | Not invited |
| 27 October 2020 | Diário de S.Paulo | Camila Smithz Marcelo Emerson |
Present | Present | Absent | Absent | Absent | Present | Present | Present | Present | Not invited | Present | Not invited | Present | Not invited |
| 31 October 2020 | SBT | Cancelled | ||||||||||||||
| 5 November 2020 | Veja São Paulo | Ricardo Ferraz | Not invited | Not invited | Present | Absent | Present | Not invited | Not invited | Present | Not invited | Out of the race | Not invited | Not invited | Not invited | Not invited |
| 6 November 2020 | Veja | Raul Juste Lores | Not invited | Not invited | Present | Absent | Present | Not invited | Not invited | Present | Not invited | Out of the race | Not invited | Not invited | Not invited | Not invited |
| 8 November 2020 | Rede Record | Cancelled | ||||||||||||||
| 8 November 2020 | TV Democracia | Fabio Pannunzio | Present | Present | Absent | Absent | Present | Present | Present | Present | Present | Out of the race | Present | Present | Present | Present |
| 9 November 2020 | CNN Brazil | Cancelled | ||||||||||||||
| 10 November 2020 | TVT | Glauco Faria | Not invited | Present | Absent | Absent | Absent | Present | Present | Absent | Present | Out of the race | Present | Not invited | Not invited | Not invited |
| 10 November 2020 | O Estado de S. Paulo | Vera Magalhães | Not invited | Present | Present | Present | Present | Present | Not invited | Present | Not invited | Out of the race | Not invited | Not invited | Not invited | Not invited |
| 11 November 2020 | Folha de S. Paulo UOL |
Luciana Coelho Thaís Oyama |
Not invited | Not invited | Present | Present | Present | Not invited | Not invited | Present | Not invited | Out of the race | Not invited | Not invited | Not invited | Not invited |
| 12 November 2020 | Rede Globo | Cancelled | ||||||||||||||
| 12 November 2020 | TV Cultura | Leão Serva | Present | Present | Present | Present | Present | Present | Present | Present | Present | Out of the race | Present | Not invited | Not invited | Not invited |
| 12 November 2020 | Veja São Paulo | Raul Juste Lores | Present | Present | Not invited | Not invited | Not invited | Present | Present | Not invited | Not invited | Out of the race | Not invited | Not invited | Not invited | Not invited |
- Note: According to Law no. 13,488/2017, TV and radio hosts are obligated to invite candidates from parties with, at least, five representatives in the National Congress. Invitation for other candidates is optional.[49]
Second round
| Date | Host | Moderator | Bruno Covas (PSDB) | Guilherme Boulos (PSOL) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 November 2020 | CNN Brazil | Monalisa Perrone | Present | Present |
| 19 November 2020 | Rede Bandeirantes | Eduardo Oinegue | Present | Present |
| 21 November 2020 | SBT | Cancelled | ||
| 22 November 2020 | RecordTV | Cancelled | ||
| 23 November 2020 | TV Cultura | Vera Magalhães | Present | Present |
| 24 November 2020 | RedeTV! | Cancelled | ||
| 27 November 2020 | Rede Globo | Cancelled | ||
Municipal Chamber
The result of the last municipal election and the current situation in the Municipal Chamber is given below:
| Affiliation | Members | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Elected[50] | Current | ||
| PSDB | 11 | 12 | |
| PT | 9 | 9 | |
| Republicanos | 4 | 4 | |
| DEM | 4 | 6 | |
| PSD | 4 | 3 | |
| PL | 4 | 4 | |
| PSB | 3 | 3 | |
| MDB | 2 | 2 | |
| PV | 2 | 0 | |
| PTB | 2 | 1 | |
| PSOL | 2 | 2 | |
| Cidadania | 2 | 2 | |
| Humanist Party of Solidarity (Brazil) | 1 | 0 | |
| PODE | 1 | 2 | |
| NOVO | 1 | 1 | |
| PP | 1 | 0 | |
| PSC | 1 | 1 | |
| PROS | 1 | 0 | |
| PSL | 0 | 1 | |
| Patriota | 0 | 1 | |
| Independent | 0 | 1 | |
| Total | 55 | ||
Opinion polls
First round
| Active candidates |
| Bruno Covas (PSDB) |
| Celso Russomanno (REP) |
| Guilherme Boulos (PSOL) |
| Márcio França (PSB) |
| Others |
| Abstentions/Undecided |
 | Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. Updates on reimplementing the Graph extension, which will be known as the Chart extension, can be found on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org. |
2020
Published after the campaign's start
| Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted |
Sample size |
Covas PSDB |
Russomanno REP |
Boulos PSOL |
França PSB |
Matarazzo PSD |
Tatto PT |
Val PATRI |
Hasselmann PSL |
Fidelix PRTB |
Lúcia PSTU |
Silva PCdoB |
Carlos PCO |
Sabará NOVO |
Helou REDE |
Abst. Undec. |
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:Template:Brazilian Social Democracy Party/meta/color;"| | data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:Template:Republicanos/meta/color;"| | data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:Template:Socialism and Liberty Party/meta/color;"| | data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:Template:Brazilian Socialist Party/meta/color;"| | data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:Template:Social Democratic Party (Brazil, 2011)/meta/color;"| | data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:Template:Workers' Party (Brazil)/meta/color;"| | data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:Template:Patriota/meta/color;"| | data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:Template:Social Liberal Party (Brazil)/meta/color;"| | data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:Template:Brazilian Labour Renewal Party/meta/color;"| | data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:Template:United Socialist Workers' Party/meta/color;"| | data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:Template:Communist Party of Brazil/meta/color;"| | data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:Template:Workers' Cause Party/meta/color;"| | data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:Template:New Party (Brazil)/meta/color;"| | data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:Template:Sustainability Network/meta/color;"| | |||||
| 2020 Election | 15 Nov | 5,338,156 | 32.85% | 10.50% | 20.24% | 13.64% | 1.55% | 8.65% | 9.78% | 1.84% | 0.22% | 0.06% | 0.23% | 0.01% | – | 0.41% | 15.98% | 12.61% |
| Ibope (exit poll) | 15 Nov[a] | 6,000 | 29% | 7% | 22% | 11% | 1% | 7% | 7% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | – | 1% | 13% | 7% |
| Ibope | 12–14 Nov | 1,204 | 33% | 11% | 14% | 11% | 2% | 6% | 6% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | – | 1% | 13% | 19% |
| Datafolha | 13–14 Nov | 2,987 | 33% | 11% | 15% | 12% | 2% | 5% | 5% | 2% | <1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | – | 1% | 12% | 18% |
| RealTime Big Data/CNN Brasil | 12–13 Nov | 1,200 | 31% | 13% | 13% | 15% | 3% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | – | 0% | 12% | 16% |
| Paraná Pesquisas | 10–12 Nov | 1,000 | 30.8% | 12.9% | 15.2% | 11.8% | 2,4% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | – | 0.2% | 15.2% | 15.6% |
| Datafolha | 9–10 Nov | 1,092 | 32% | 14% | 16% | 12% | 4% | 4% | 3% | <1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | – | 1% | 10% | 16% |
| Ibope | 7–9 Nov | 1,204 | 32% | 12% | 13% | 10% | 1% | 6% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | 1% | <1% | – | <1% | 16% | 20% |
| Datafolha | 3–4 Nov | 1,260 | 28% | 16% | 14% | 13% | 3% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 1% | <1% | 1% | <1% | – | 1% | 12% | 12% |
| XP/Ipespe | 2–3 Nov | 800 | 26% | 19% | 15% | 10% | 2% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | – | 0% | 18% | 7% |
| Paraná Pesquisas | 29 Oct–1 Nov | 1,000 | 25.6% | 19.5% | 13.4% | 10.0% | 2.1% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | – | 0.4% | 16.3% | 6.1% |
| Ibope | 28–30 Oct | 1,204 | 26% | 20% | 13% | 11% | 1% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | 1% | <1% | 1% | <1% | 15% | 6% |
| XP/Ipespe | 26–27 Oct | 800 | 27% | 22% | 16% | 8% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 13% | 5% |
| 26 Oct | Filipe Sabará's candidacy is denied by the Regional Electoral Court of São Paulo, due to his expulsion from New Party.[51] | |||||||||||||||||
| Datafolha | 20–21 Oct | 1,204 | 23% | 20% | 14% | 10% | 2% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 16% | 3% |
| RealTime Big Data | 14–17 Oct | 1,050 | 24% | 25% | 12% | 8% | 3% | 4% | 1% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 19% | 1% |
| Ibope | 13–15 Oct | 1,001 | 22% | 25% | 10% | 7% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 24% | 3% |
| Datafolha | 5–6 Oct | 1,092 | 21% | 27% | 12% | 8% | 2% | 1% | 3% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 16% | 6% |
| Ibope | 30 Sep–1 Oct | 805 | 21% | 26% | 8% | 7% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | 1% | 28% | 5% |
| Exame/Ideia | 19–22 Sep | 800 | 22% | 21% | 11% | 10% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 22% | 1% |
Published before the campaign's start
| Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted |
Sample size |
Russomanno REP |
Datena MDB |
Skaf MDB |
França PSB |
Suplicy SDD/PMDB |
Covas PSDB |
Doria PSDB |
Hasselmann PSL |
Boulos PSOL |
Bomfim PSOL |
Erundina PSOL |
Matarazzo PSD |
Amaral PDT |
Tatto PT |
Haddad PT |
Others | Abst. Undec. |
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:Template:Republicanos/meta/color;"| | data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:Template:Brazilian Democratic Movement/meta/color;"| | data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:Template:Brazilian Democratic Movement/meta/color;"| | data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:Template:Brazilian Socialist Party/meta/color;"| | data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:Template:Solidariedade/meta/color;"| | data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:Template:Brazilian Social Democracy Party/meta/color;"| | data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:Template:Brazilian Social Democracy Party/meta/color;"| | data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:Template:Social Liberal Party (Brazil)/meta/color;"| | data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:Template:Socialism and Liberty Party/meta/color;"| | data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:Template:Socialism and Liberty Party/meta/color;"| | data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:Template:Socialism and Liberty Party/meta/color;"| | data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:Template:Social Democratic Party (Brazil, 2011)/meta/color;"| | data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:Template:Democratic Labour Party (Brazil)/meta/color;"| | data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:Template:Workers' Party (Brazil)/meta/color;"| | data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:Template:Workers' Party (Brazil)/meta/color;"| | ||||||
| Datafolha | 21–22 Sep | 1,092 | 29.0% | – | – | 8% | 20% | – | 1% | 9% | – | – | 2% | – | 2% | – | 8% | 21% | 9.0% | |
| Ibope | 14–20 Sep | 1,001 | 24.0% | – | – | 6.0% | 18.0% | – | 2.0% | 8.0% | – | – | 1.0% | – | 1.0% | – | 4.0% | 33.0% | 6.0% | |
| Consultoria Atlas | 26 Aug–1 Sep | 1,514 | 12.3% | – | – | 11.5% | 4.2% | 16.0% | – | 2.1% | 12.4% | – | – | 2.1% | – | 2.1% | – | 3.8% | 24.9% | 4.4% |
| Paraná Pesquisas | 15–19 Aug | 1,100 | 20.5% | – | 8.0% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 20.1% | – | 1% | 6.2% | – | – | 2.1% | – | 2.3% | – | 5.5% | 16.9% | 0.4% |
| RealTimeBigData | 12–13 Aug | 1,200 | 22% | – | – | 7% | 7% | 26% | – | 1% | 7% | – | – | 3% | – | 3% | – | 3% | 21% | 4% |
| 23% | – | – | 8% | – | 27% | – | 1% | 7% | – | – | 5% | – | 3% | – | 3% | 23% | 4% | |||
| Instituto Ideia Big Data | 14 Jul | 1,009 | – | – | – | 16% | 9% | 30% | – | 3% | 11% | – | – | 2% | – | 1% | – | – | – | 14% |
| – | – | – | 15% | 11% | 31% | – | – | – | 4% | – | – | – | 4% | – | – | – | 16% | |||
| Paraná Pesquisas | 4–8 Jul | 1,200 | 18.3% | 12.9% | – | 7.8% | 6.5% | 22.6% | – | 1.3% | 5.7% | – | – | 3.8% | – | 2.1% | – | 4.3% | 14.9% | 4.3% |
| 20.0% | – | 10.4% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 22.8% | – | 1.3% | 5.5% | – | – | 3.6% | – | 1.9% | – | 3.9% | 16.0% | 2.8% | |||
| – | 19.5% | – | 9.4% | 7.6% | 25.9% | – | 1.7% | 6.3% | – | – | 4.4% | – | 2.3% | – | 5.0% | 18.0% | 6.4% | |||
| – | – | – | 12.6% | – | 33.6% | – | 2.4% | 7.2% | – | – | 6.8% | – | 3.3% | – | 7.7% | 26.5% | 11.0% | |||
| Ibope | 17–19 Mar | 1,001 | 24% | – | – | 9% | – | 18% | – | 2% | 6% | – | – | 3% | – | 2% | – | 3% | 34% | 6% |
| Badra | 8–10 Jan | 2,408 | 16.0% | 7.6% | – | 9% | 13.0% | 11.2% | – | 1.5% | 4.3% | – | – | 1.7% | 1.4% | 4.0% | – | 3.8% | 27.6% | 3% |
| 2016 election | 2 Oct | – | 13.64% | – | – | – | 10.14% | – | 53.29% | – | – | – | 3.18% | – | – | – | 16.7% | 3.04% | 16.64 | 36.59% |
2019
| Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted |
Sample size |
Russomanno REP |
Datena MDB |
França PSB |
Suplicy PMDB |
Covas PSDB |
Doria PSDB |
Hasselmann PSL |
Boulos PSOL |
Erundina PSOL |
Matarazzo PSD |
Amaral PDT |
Tatto PT |
Haddad PT |
Others | Abst. Undec. |
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:Template:Republicanos/meta/color;"| | data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:Template:Brazilian Democratic Movement/meta/color;"| | data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:Template:Brazilian Socialist Party/meta/color;"| | data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:Template:Solidariedade/meta/color;"| | data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:Template:Brazilian Social Democracy Party/meta/color;"| | data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:Template:Brazilian Social Democracy Party/meta/color;"| | data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:Template:Social Liberal Party (Brazil)/meta/color;"| | data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:Template:Socialism and Liberty Party/meta/color;"| | data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:Template:Socialism and Liberty Party/meta/color;"| | data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:Template:Social Democratic Party (Brazil, 2011)/meta/color;"| | data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:Template:Democratic Labour Party (Brazil)/meta/color;"| | data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:Template:Workers' Party (Brazil)/meta/color;"| | data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:Template:Workers' Party (Brazil)/meta/color;"| | ||||||
| XP/Ipespe | 30 Sep–2 Oct | 1,000 | 19% | 22% | – | 11% | 10% | – | 7% | – | – | – | 3% | – | – | – | – | 3% |
| Paraná Pesquisas | 20–24 Sep | 1,220 | 22.1% | 11.6% | – | – | 9.6% | – | 7.2% | 4.2% | – | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.0% | – | 0.6% | 16.1 | 10.5% |
| 30.7% | – | 13.3% | – | 12.0% | – | 8.1% | 4.5% | – | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.5% | – | 1.3% | 20.9% | 7.4% | |||
| 22.4% | 21.3% | 12.0% | – | 9.6% | – | 7.2% | 4.7% | – | 2.7% | 2.9% | – | – | 0.9% | 16.3% | 1.1% | |||
| 2016 election | 2 Oct | – | 13.64% | – | – | 10.14% | – | 53.29% | – | – | 3.18% | – | – | – | 16.7% | 3.04% | 16.64 | 36.59% |
Second round
After the first round
| Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted |
Sample size |
Covas PSDB |
Boulos PSOL |
Abst. Undec. |
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:Template:Brazilian Social Democracy Party/meta/color;"| | data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:Template:Socialism and Liberty Party/meta/color;"| | |||||
| 2020 election | 29 Nov | – | 59.38% | 40.62 | – | 18.76% |
| Valid votes | ||||||
| Ibope | 27–28 Nov | 1,204 | 57% | 43% | – | 14% |
| Datafolha | 27–28 Nov | 3,047 | 55% | 45% | – | 10% |
| Real Time Big Data | 25–26 Nov | 1,000 | 54% | 46% | – | 8% |
| Datafolha | 24–25 Nov | 1,512 | 54% | 46% | – | 8% |
| Ibope | 23–25 Nov | 1,001 | 57% | 43% | – | 14% |
| Datafolha | 23 Nov | 1,260 | 55% | 45% | – | 10% |
| Datafolha | 17–18 Nov | 1,254 | 58% | 42% | – | 16% |
| Ibope | 16–18 Nov | 1,001 | 58% | 42% | – | 16% |
| Exame/Ideia | 16–17 Nov | 800 | 64% | 36% | – | 28% |
| XP/Ipespe | 16–17 Nov | 800 | 60% | 40% | – | 20% |
| Paraná Pesquisas | 16–17 Nov | 1,000 | 61.5% | 38.5% | – | 23% |
| Real Time Big Data | 16–17 Nov | 1,050 | 60% | 40% | – | 20% |
| Total votes | ||||||
| Ibope | 27–28 Nov | 1,204 | 48% | 36% | 17% | 12% |
| Datafolha | 27–28 Nov | 3,047 | 48% | 39% | 9% | 9% |
| Real Time Big Data | 25–26 Nov | 1,000 | 49% | 41% | 10% | 8% |
| Datafolha | 24–25 Nov | 1,512 | 47% | 40% | 13% | 7% |
| XP/Ipespe | 24–25 Nov | 800 | 48% | 41% | 8% | 7% |
| Ibope | 23–25 Nov | 1,001 | 48% | 37% | 15% | 11% |
| Datafolha | 23 Nov | 1,260 | 48% | 40% | 12% | 8% |
| Datafolha | 17–18 Nov | 1,254 | 48% | 35% | 17% | 13% |
| Ibope | 16–18 Nov | 1,001 | 47% | 35% | 18% | 12% |
| Exame/Ideia | 16–17 Nov | 800 | 56% | 31% | 13% | 25% |
| XP/Ipespe | 16–17 Nov | 800 | 48% | 32% | 20% | 14% |
| Paraná Pesquisas | 16–17 Nov | 1,000 | 50% | 32% | 18% | 18% |
Before the first round
| Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted |
Sample size |
Covas PSDB |
Russomanno REP |
Boulos PSOL |
França PSB |
Abst. Undec. |
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:Template:Brazilian Social Democracy Party/meta/color;"| | data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:Template:Republicanos/meta/color;"| | data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:Template:Socialism and Liberty Party/meta/color;"| | data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:Template:Brazilian Socialist Party/meta/color;"| | |||||
| Ibope | 12–14 Nov | 1,204 | 53% | - | 26% | - | 21% | 27% |
| 46% | - | - | 34% | 20% | 12% | |||
| 56% | 23% | - | - | 21% | 35% | |||
| Datafolha | 13–14 Nov | 2,987 | 57% | - | 30% | - | 14% | 27% |
| 51% | - | - | 36% | 13% | 15% | |||
| 63% | 21% | - | - | 16% | 42% | |||
| RealTime Big Data/CNN Brasil | 12–13 Nov | 1,200 | 48% | - | - | 31% | 20% | 19% |
| 50% | - | 30% | - | 20% | 20% | |||
| 51% | 22% | - | - | 27% | 28% | |||
| Datafolha | 9–10 Nov | 1,096 | 59% | 25% | - | - | 16% | 34% |
| 56% | - | 30% | - | 14% | 26% | |||
| 53% | - | - | 34% | 14% | 19% | |||
| Ibope | 7–9 Nov | 1,204 | 52% | - | 24% | - | 24% | 28% |
| 54% | 22% | - | - | 25% | 32% | |||
| 47% | - | - | 30% | 23% | 17% | |||
| - | 36% | 32% | - | 32% | 4% | |||
| - | - | 24% | 45% | 30% | 21% | |||
| - | 27% | - | 45% | 28% | 18% | |||
| Datafolha | 3–4 Nov | 1,260 | 57% | 27% | - | - | 16% | 30% |
| 54% | - | 32% | - | 13% | 22% | |||
| 48% | - | - | 32% | 14% | 16% | |||
| - | 39% | 41% | - | 20% | 2% | |||
| Ibope | 28-30 Oct | 1,204 | - | - | 26% | 48% | 26% | 22% |
| - | 34% | - | 43% | 23% | 9% | |||
| - | 43% | 31% | - | 26% | 12% | |||
| 45% | - | - | 34% | 21% | 11% | |||
| 51% | - | 26% | - | 23% | 25% | |||
| 47% | 31% | - | - | 22% | 16% | |||
| Datafolha | 20–21 Oct | 1,204 | 48% | 36% | - | - | 14% | 12% |
| Ibope | 13–15 Oct | 1,001 | 40% | 39% | - | - | 21% | 1% |
| Datafolha | 5–6 Oct | 1,092 | 40% | 46% | - | - | 13% | 6% |
Results
Mayor
Municipal Chamber
Notes
- ^ Exit poll conducted on election day.
References
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| Presidential elections | |
|---|---|
| Parliamentary elections | |
| Gubernatorial elections | |
| State elections | |
| Municipal elections | |
| Regency elections | |
| Referendums | |
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