2024 North Macedonian parliamentary election
 | This article documents a current election. Information may change rapidly as the election progresses until official results have been published. Initial news reports may be unreliable, and the last updates to this article may not reflect the most current information. (May 2024) |
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All 123 seats in the Assembly 62 seats needed for a majority | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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 North Macedonia portal |
Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in North Macedonia on 8 May 2024. The second round of the 2024 presidential election will be held on the same day.[1]
Electoral system
Of the 123 seats in the Assembly of the Republic, 120 are elected from six 20-seat constituencies in North Macedonia using closed list proportional representation, with seats allocated using the d'Hondt method. The remaining three seats are elected by Macedonians living abroad,[2] but are only filled if the number of votes exceeds that of the elected candidate with the fewest votes in North Macedonia in the previous election. If a list crosses this threshold, it wins one seat; to win two seats, a list needs to win twice the number of votes, and to win three seats the threshold is three times the number of votes. These seats were not filled in the 2016 elections due to insufficient turnout.[3]
For this election, more than 1,700 candidates are running for the Assembly.[4]
Campaign
Among significant issues during the election was corruption. The opposition VMRO-DPMNE accused the ruling coalition of presiding over a "pandemic" of corruption in the country, while the Social Democratic Union of Macedonia, a member of the coalition, supports the confiscation of illegally acquired property from corrupt officials. The outgoing government also supports revising the constitution to include recognition of a Bulgarian minority in North Macedonia, a condition set by Bulgaria to allow the country's accession to the European Union, which is opposed by the VMRO-DPMNE.[4]
Opinion polls
 |
| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
For a European Future |
VLEN | European Front |
Your Macedonia | Levica | ZNAM | Others | Lead | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SDSM | LDP/DOM | Besa | LD | A | ASh[f] | BDI | PDSh | VMRO-DPMNE | ||||||||
| 2024 presidential election | 24 Apr 2024 | – | 20.5 | 9.5 | 13.7 | 41.2 | 4.7 | 9.5 | 0.9 [g] | 20.7 | ||||||
| CRPC | 20 Apr 2024 | 1250 | 25.6 | — | 14.5 | 9.5 | 38 | 7.2 | 5.0 | 0.2 | 11.2 | |||||
| МКД.мк | 8–13 Apr 2024 | 1200 | 22.8 | 9.9 | 12.7 | 41.2 | 6.5 | 6.1 | 0.8 | 18.4 | ||||||
| CRPC | 8-13 Apr 2024 | 1210 | 26.8 | — | 12.7 | 11.3 | 37.5 | 6.4 | 5.3 | — | 10.7 | |||||
| МКД.мк | 15-24 Mar 2024 | 1200 | 16.0 | 11.5 | 1.6 | 13.0 | — | 40.8 | 7.9 | 8.2 | 0.7 | 24.8 | ||||
| CRPC | 4-7 Mar 2024 | 1085 | 24.6 | — | 13.6 | 11.6 | 39.4 | 5.5 | 5.3 | — | 14.8 | |||||
| IPIS | 20 Feb 2024 | 1212 | 21.8 | — | 8.6 | 4.1 | 11.5 | — | 38.6 | 6.0 | 5.0 | 2.4 | 18.8 | |||
| IPDV | 5–9 Nov 2023 | 1050 | 23.0 | — | 4.4 | 3.3 | 1.6 | 8.2 | 9.7 | — | 35.6 | 5.9 | — | 8.2 | 12.6 | |
| IPIS | 29 Oct 2023 | 1055 | 21.8 | — | 4.4 | 1.9 | 3.5 | 3.9 | 10.8 | — | 36.2 | 6.8 | 5.6 | 2.1 | 17.4 | |
| IPIS | 23–26 May 2023 | 1,112 | 21.6 | — | 4.4 | — | — | 5 | 12.4 | — | 38.2 | 12.3 | 5.7 | 0.8 | 16.6 | |
| IRI | 8 Apr – 4 May 2023 | 1,204 | 17 | — | 7 | — | 2 | 8 | 14 | — | 32 | 11 | — | 7[h] | 15 | |
| NDI | 13–14 Apr 2023 | 1,003 | 23.6 | — | 6.6 | — | — | 6.3 | 11.4 | — | 39.6 | 10.3 | 3.1 | 2 | 16 | |
| IPIS | Mar 2023 | 1,114 | 27.1 | — | 8.5 | 4.9 | 27.1[i] | — | 39.2 | 10.1 | 9.2 | — | 11.1 | |||
| IDSCS | 22 Feb – 9 Mar 2023 | 1,002 | 24 | — | 2 | — | — | 7 | 18 | — | 38 | 9 | — | — | 14 | |
| МКД.мк | 6–16 Feb 2023 | 1,200 | 22.3 | 0.2 | 4.1 | — | — | 6.7 | 14.7 | — | 39.2 | 8.1 | — | 3.4 | 16.9 | |
| IRI | 19 Dec 2022 | 1,200 | 16.3 | — | 7.0 | — | — | 7.8 | 13.3 | — | 33.3 | 12.3 | — | 8.8 | 17 | |
| МКД.мк | 7–13 Nov 2022 | 1,200 | 20.3 | 0.9 | 7.3 | — | 3.5 | 3.9 | 13.6 | 0.7 | 40.9 | 8.9 | — | 1.1 | 20.6 | |
| IPIS | 4–6 May 2022 | 1,111 | 30.1 | — | 2.8 | — | 1.9 | 7.1 | 13.4 | — | 39.4 | 5.4 | — | — | 9.3 | |
| IPIS | 19–22 Oct 2021 | 1,102 | 28.9 | 2.8 | 2.6 | — | 8.0 | 11.0 | — | 37.7 | 6.6 | — | — | 8.8 | ||
| 2021 Skopje election | 17 Oct 2021 | – | 24.04 | 4.20 | 1.00 | — | 5.17 | 11.91 | — | 35.89 | 9.19 | — | 4.17[j] | 11.9 | ||
| Kantar TNS Brima | 27 Aug – 9 Sep 2021 | 1,201 | 30.8 | 7.4 | — | — | 9.5 | 11.4 | 1.7 | 27.6 | 7.4 | — | — | 3.2 | ||
| Kantar TNS Brima | 28 May – 16 Jun 2021 | 1,194 | 33.0 | 6.8 | — | — | 10.3 | 11.0 | 2.8 | 28.5 | 7.5 | — | — | 4.5 | ||
| Kantar TNS Brima | 4–6 Apr 2021 | 1,222 | 27.9 | 6.6 | — | — | 8.2 | 11.5 | 1.6 | 27.9 | 9.8 | — | — | Tie | ||
| IPIS | 1–4 Mar 2021 | 1,109 | 31.9 | 1.7 | — | 8.9 | 10.4 | — | 34.7 | 6.6 | — | — | 2.8 | |||
| M-Prospect | 16–24 Dec 2020 | 1,000 | 31.7 | 4.1 | — | 0.9 | 7.8 | 11.4 | 2.4 | 30.8 | 10.6 | — | 0.3[k] | 0.9 | ||
| 2020 parliamentary election | 15 Jul 2020 | – | 35.89 | — | 8.95 | 11.48 | 1.53 | 34.57 | 4.10 | — | 3.49 | 1.3 | ||||
Hypothetical polls
Nikola Gruevski forms a new party
| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
SDSM | LDP/DOM | Besa | PDSh | A | ASh | VMRO-DPMNE | BDI | Levica | ZNAM | Gruevski | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stratum R&D | 1–6 Oct 2023 | 1,112 | 27.5 | — | 7.3 | 4.7 | 17.6 | 10.8 | 9.1 | 3.1 | 16.0 | 3.8 | 9.9 | ||
Notes
- ^ Consists of:VMRO-DPMNE (37 Seats), SPM (2), DPSM (1), DS (1), PODEM (1), ROM (1), Party of Vlachs from Macedonia, VOICE for Macedonia, NLP, SDU, DPR, RZPRM, OPER, Dignity, TMRO, MAAK, United for Macedonia and Macedonian Concept
- ^ Consists of: SDSM (31 Seats), LDP (2), NSDP (2), VMRO-NP (1), PDT (1), DOM (1), POPGM (1), SSM (1), DNET, SNSM, BNP, DSR, DSVM, SRM, Party of Democratic Action of Macedonia, Desnica, PDPR and POEN
- ^ Consists of: BDI (13 Seats), Alliance for Albanians Sela's - led (6), PDSH (1), Democratic European Party (1), People's Movement (1), DPT (1), Movement of Turks for Justice and Democracy, Union of Roma in Macedonia and Bosniak Democratic Union
- ^ Consists of: Democratic Movement (3 Seats), Alternativa (2), Alliance for Albanians Taravari's - led (2) and the Besa Movement (1)
- ^ Consists of: GROM (1), INTEGRA and PCER
- ^ In early 2024 two factions emerged within ASh. A faction led by incumbent leader Arben Taravari intended to join VLEN and he later became the coalition's presidential candidate, while a faction led by former leader Ziadin Sela eventually joined the European Front coalition. Both wings of the party held conferences and elected their respective leader as party chairman. The Macedonian electoral commission lists ASh as a member of VLEN, while a court decision ruled that Sela is the official party leader. The decision is being appealed.
- ^ Bravely for Macedonia
- ^ DPTM 2%
- ^ BDI and SDSM together
- ^ Green Humane City
- ^ Integra – Macedonian Conservative Party
References
- ^ "Parliamentary elections in North Macedonia/ The date when they will be held is revealed". CNA. 4 December 2023.
- ^ Electoral system IPU
- ^ Early Parliamentary Elections 11 December 2016 OSCE
- ^ a b "North Macedonia holds presidential and parliamentary elections Wednesday". Associated Press. 8 May 2024. Retrieved 8 May 2024.
| Presidential elections | |
|---|---|
| Parliamentary elections | |
| Local elections | |
| Referendums | |
See also: Elections in Yugoslavia | |
