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This is an old revision of this page, as edited by MaxineJP (talk | contribs) at 18:40, 1 October 2024 (test table). The present address (URL) is a permanent link to this revision, which may differ significantly from the current revision.

The following are the latest published ratings for competitive seats. (From: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2024_United_States_House_of_Representatives_election_ratings)

District CPVI
[1]
Incumbent Last result[2] Cook
Sep. 6,
2024
[3]
IE
Sep. 26,
2024
[4]
Sabato
Sep. 19,
2024
[5]
ED
Aug. 26,
2024
[6]
CNalysis
Sep. 14,
2024
[7]
DDHQ
Sep. 25,
2024
[8]
Race to the WH
Sep. 30,
2024
[9]
RCP
Alabama 2 D+4 New seat Likely D (flip) Likely D (flip) Likely D (flip) Likely D (flip) Solid D (flip) Lean D (flip) Lean D (flip)
Alaska at-large R+8 Mary Peltola 55.0% D Tossup Tossup Tossup Lean D Lean D Lean D Tilt D
Arizona 1 R+2 David Schweikert 50.4% R Tossup Tilt R Tossup Tossup Tossup Lean R Tossup Tossup
Arizona 2 R+6 Eli Crane 53.8% R Safe R Likely R Safe R Safe R Safe R Safe R Safe R
Arizona 4 D+2 Greg Stanton 56.1% D Solid D Solid D Safe D Safe D Solid D Likely D Safe D
Arizona 6 R+3 Juan Ciscomani 50.7% R Tossup Tilt R Tossup Tossup Tossup Likely R Tossup Tossup
California 3 R+4 Kevin Kiley 53.6% R Likely R Likely R Likely R Likely R Lean R Likely R Likely R
California 9 D+5 Josh Harder 54.8% D Likely D Likely D Likely D Lean D Solid D Likely D Lean D
California 13 D+4 John Duarte 50.2% R Tossup Tossup Tossup Lean R Tilt D (flip) Tossup Tilt D (flip)
California 21 D+9 Jim Costa 54.2% D Solid D Solid D Safe D Likely D Solid D Safe D Safe D
California 22 D+5 David Valadao 51.5% R Tossup Tilt R Tossup Tossup Tilt D (flip) Tossup Tossup
California 27 D+4 Mike Garcia 53.2% R Tossup Tossup Tossup Lean R Tilt D (flip) Tossup Tilt D (flip)
California 40 R+2 Young Kim 56.8% R Likely R Likely R Likely R Likely R Lean R Likely R Likely R
California 41 R+3 Ken Calvert 52.3% R Tossup Tilt R Lean R Lean R Tossup Likely R Tossup
California 45 D+2 Michelle Steel 52.4% R Tossup Tilt R Tossup Lean R Tossup Tossup Tossup
California 47 D+3 Katie Porter
(retiring)
51.7% D Lean D Tilt D Lean D Tossup Lean D Likely D Tilt D
California 49 D+3 Mike Levin 52.6% D Likely D Likely D Likely D Lean D Very Likely D Likely D Safe D
Colorado 3 R+7 Open seat[a] 50.1% R Likely R Lean R Likely R Lean R Lean R Likely R Tossup
Colorado 5 R+9 Doug Lamborn
(retiring)
56.0% R Solid R Solid R Safe R Safe R Very Likely R Safe R Safe R
Colorado 8 EVEN Yadira Caraveo 48.4% D Tossup Tossup Tossup Lean D Tilt D Likely D Lean D
Connecticut 2 D+3 Joe Courtney 58.2% D Solid D Solid D Safe D Safe D Solid D Safe D Likely D
Connecticut 5 D+3 Jahana Hayes 50.5% D Lean D Lean D Lean D Likely D Very Likely D Likely D Lean D
Florida 7 R+5 Cory Mills 58.5% R Solid R Solid R Safe R Likely R Solid R Safe R Safe R
Florida 9 D+8 Darren Soto 53.6% D Likely D Solid D Safe D Likely D Solid D Safe D Safe D
Florida 13 R+6 Anna Paulina Luna 53.1% R Likely R Likely R Likely R Lean R Lean R Likely R Likely R
Florida 15 R+4 Laurel Lee 58.5% R Solid R Solid R Safe R Likely R Very Likely R Safe R Safe R
Florida 23 D+5 Jared Moskowitz 51.6% D Solid D Solid D Safe D Likely D Solid D Likely D Safe D
Florida 27 EVEN María Elvira Salazar 57.3% R Likely R Likely R Likely R Safe R Likely R Safe R Lean R
Florida 28 R+2 Carlos A. Giménez 63.7% R Safe R Safe R Safe R Safe R Safe R Likely R Lean R
Georgia 2 D+3 Sanford Bishop 55.0% D Solid D Solid D Safe D Likely D Solid D Likely D Likely D
Illinois 17 D+2 Eric Sorensen 51.9% D Lean D Likely D Lean D Lean D Likely D Likely D Likely D
Indiana 1 D+3 Frank J. Mrvan 52.8% D Lean D Likely D Lean D Lean D Likely D Likely D Likely D
Iowa 1 R+3 Mariannette Miller-Meeks 53.4% R Lean R Tossup Lean R Likely R Lean R Likely R Tossup
Iowa 2 R+4 Ashley Hinson 54.1% R Solid R Solid R Safe R Likely R Very Likely R Safe R Safe R
Iowa 3 R+3 Zach Nunn 50.2% R Lean R Tossup Lean R Tossup Tossup Likely R Tilt R
Kansas 2 R+11 Jake LaTurner
(retiring)
57.6% R Solid R Solid R Safe R Safe R Solid R Safe R Likely R
Kansas 3 R+1 Sharice Davids 54.9% D Likely D Likely D Likely D Safe D Very Likely D Likely D Likely D
Louisiana 6 D+8 Garret Graves
(retiring)
80.4% R Solid D (flip) Likely D (flip) Safe D (flip) Safe D (flip) Solid D (flip) Safe D (flip) Likely D (flip)
Maine 2 R+6 Jared Golden 53.1% D Tossup Tossup Tossup Tossup Tilt D Lean D Tossup
Maryland 6 D+2 David Trone
(retiring)
54.7% D Likely D Solid D Likely D Safe D Very Likely D Likely D Tilt D
Michigan 3 D+1 Hillary Scholten 54.9% D Likely D Likely D Likely D Safe D Solid D Likely D Likely D
Michigan 4 R+5 Bill Huizenga 54.4% R Solid R Solid R Safe R Safe R Very Likely R Safe R Likely R
Michigan 7 R+2 Elissa Slotkin
(retiring)
51.7% D Tossup Tossup Tossup Tossup Tossup Tossup Tossup
Michigan 8 R+1 Dan Kildee
(retiring)
53.1% D Tossup Tossup Tossup Lean D Tossup Tossup Tilt D
Michigan 10 R+3 John James 48.8% R Lean R Lean R Lean R Lean R Tilt R Lean R Likely R
Minnesota 2 D+1 Angie Craig 50.9% D Lean D Likely D Lean D Likely D Very Likely D Likely D Lean D
Missouri 2 R+7 Ann Wagner 54.9% R Solid R Solid R Safe R Likely R Very Likely R Safe R Safe R
Montana 1 R+6 Ryan Zinke 49.6% R Likely R Lean R Lean R Lean R Lean R Likely R Lean R
Nebraska 2 EVEN Don Bacon 51.3% R Tossup Tossup Lean D (flip) Tossup Tossup Tossup Tossup
Nevada 1 D+3 Dina Titus 51.6% D Likely D Likely D Likely D Likely D Likely D Likely D Safe D
Nevada 3 D+1 Susie Lee 52.0% D Lean D Likely D Likely D Lean D Likely D Likely D Likely D
Nevada 4 D+3 Steven Horsford 52.4% D Likely D Likely D Likely D Likely D Likely D Likely D Likely D
New Hampshire 1 EVEN Chris Pappas 54.0% D Likely D Likely D Likely D Lean D Very Likely D Likely D Likely D
New Hampshire 2 D+2 Annie Kuster
(retiring)
55.8% D Likely D Safe D Likely D Likely D Very Likely D Likely D Lean D
New Jersey 2 R+5 Jeff Van Drew 58.9% R Solid R Solid R Safe R Safe R Solid R Likely R Safe R
New Jersey 3 D+5 Andy Kim
(retiring)
55.5% D Solid D Solid D Safe D Safe D Solid D Likely D Likely D
New Jersey 5 D+4 Josh Gottheimer 54.7% D Solid D Solid D Safe D Likely D Solid D Safe D Safe D
New Jersey 7 R+1 Thomas Kean Jr. 51.3% R Tossup Tilt R Lean R Tossup Tossup Lean R Tilt R
New Jersey 9 D+8 Vacant 54.9% D Solid D Solid D Safe D Safe D Solid D Safe D Likely D
New Mexico 1 D+5 Melanie Stansbury 55.7% D Solid D Solid D Safe D Likely D Solid D Safe D Safe D
New Mexico 2 D+1 Gabe Vasquez 50.3% D Tossup Tossup Lean D Lean D Lean D Likely D Lean D
New York 1 R+4[b] Nick LaLota 55.5% R Likely R Lean R Likely R Likely R Likely R Likely R Lean R
New York 2 R+4[b] Andrew Garbarino 60.7% R Solid R Solid R Safe R Safe R Likely R Likely R Likely R
New York 3 D+3[b] Tom Suozzi 53.9% D Likely D Likely D Likely D Likely D Very Likely D Likely D Likely D
New York 4 D+5[b] Anthony D'Esposito 51.8% R Tossup Tossup Lean D (flip) Lean D (flip) Lean D (flip) Tossup Tilt D (flip)
New York 17 D+3[b] Mike Lawler 50.3% R Tossup Tilt R Lean R Tossup Tilt D (flip) Lean D (flip) Tossup
New York 18 D+2[b] Pat Ryan 50.6% D Lean D Likely D Lean D Likely D Likely D Likely D Lean D
New York 19 R+1[b] Marc Molinaro 50.8% R Tossup Tilt R Tossup Tossup Tilt D (flip) Lean R Tossup
New York 22 D+3[b] Brandon Williams 50.5% R Lean D (flip) Tilt D (flip) Lean D (flip) Lean D (flip) Lean D (flip) Tossup Tilt D (flip)
North Carolina 1 R+1 Don Davis 52.4% D Tossup Tossup Tossup Tossup Tossup Lean D Tilt D
North Carolina 6 R+11 New seat Solid R (flip) Likely R (flip) Safe R (flip) Safe R (flip) Solid R (flip) Safe R (flip) Safe R (flip)
North Carolina 8 R+11 Dan Bishop
(retiring)
69.9% R Solid R Solid R Safe R Safe R Solid R Safe R Likely R
North Carolina 10 R+10 Patrick McHenry
(retiring)
72.7% R Solid R Solid R Safe R Safe R Solid R Safe R Likely R
North Carolina 11 R+8 Chuck Edwards 53.8% R Solid R Solid R Safe R Likely R Solid R Safe R Safe R
North Carolina 13 R+11 Wiley Nickel
(retiring)
51.6% D Solid R (flip) Likely R (flip) Safe R (flip) Safe R (flip) Solid R (flip) Safe R (flip) Safe R (flip)
North Carolina 14 R+11 Jeff Jackson
(retiring)
57.7% D Solid R (flip) Likely R (flip) Safe R (flip) Safe R (flip) Solid R (flip) Safe R (flip) Safe R (flip)
Ohio 1 D+2 Greg Landsman 52.8% D Likely D Likely D Likely D Likely D Very Likely D Likely D Likely D
Ohio 9 R+3 Marcy Kaptur 56.6% D Lean D Tilt D Lean D Tossup Lean D Lean D Likely D
Ohio 13 R+1 Emilia Sykes 52.7% D Tossup Tilt D Tossup Lean D Lean D Likely D Lean D
Oregon 4 D+4 Val Hoyle 50.5% D Likely D Likely D Likely D Likely D Solid D Likely D Likely D
Oregon 5 D+2 Lori Chavez-DeRemer 50.9% R Tossup Tossup Tossup Tossup Tossup Tossup Tossup
Oregon 6 D+4 Andrea Salinas 50.0% D Lean D Likely D Likely D Likely D Very Likely D Likely D Likely D
Pennsylvania 1 EVEN Brian Fitzpatrick 54.9% R Likely R Likely R Likely R Likely R Very Likely R Lean R Likely R
Pennsylvania 7 R+2 Susan Wild 51.0% D Tossup Tilt D Tossup Tossup Tilt D Likely D Lean D
Pennsylvania 8 R+4 Matt Cartwright 51.2% D Tossup Tilt D Tossup Tossup Tilt D Lean D Tilt D
Pennsylvania 10 R+5 Scott Perry 53.8% R Lean R Tilt R Lean R Lean R Lean R Likely R Tilt R
Pennsylvania 17 EVEN Chris Deluzio 53.4% D Lean D Likely D Lean D Likely D Likely D Likely D Likely D
Rhode Island 2 D+4 Seth Magaziner 50.5% D Solid D Solid D Safe D Safe D Solid D Safe D Likely D
South Carolina 1 R+7 Nancy Mace 56.4% R Solid R Solid R Safe R Safe R Very Likely R Safe R Safe R
Tennessee 5 R+9 Andy Ogles 55.8% R Solid R Solid R Likely R Safe R Likely R Safe R Safe R
Tennessee 7 R+10 Mark Green 60.0% R Solid R Solid R Safe R Safe R Solid R Safe R Likely R
Texas 15 R+1 Monica De La Cruz 53.3% R Likely R Likely R Likely R Likely R Likely R Likely R Likely R
Texas 28 D+3 Henry Cuellar 56.7% D Likely D Likely D Lean D Likely D Very Likely D Likely D Lean D
Texas 34 D+9 Vicente Gonzalez 52.7% D Lean D Likely D Lean D Lean D Very Likely D Likely D Likely D
Virginia 1 R+6 Rob Wittman 56.7% R Solid R Solid R Safe R Likely R Solid R Safe R Safe R
Virginia 2 R+2 Jen Kiggans 51.6% R Lean R Tilt R Lean R Tossup Lean R Lean R Lean R
Virginia 5 R+7 Bob Good
(lost renomination)
57.7% R Solid R Solid R Safe R Safe R Solid R Safe R Likely R
Virginia 7 D+1 Abigail Spanberger
(retiring)
52.2% D Lean D Tossup Lean D Lean D Lean D Likely D Tilt D
Virginia 10 D+6 Jennifer Wexton
(retiring)
53.3% D Solid D Solid D Safe D Safe D Solid D Safe D Likely D
Washington 3 R+5 Marie Gluesenkamp Perez 50.1% D Tossup Tossup Tossup Tossup Tossup Lean R (flip) Tilt D
Washington 5 R+8 Cathy McMorris Rodgers
(retiring)
59.7% R Solid R Solid R Safe R Safe R Solid R Likely R Likely R
Washington 8 D+1 Kim Schrier 53.3% D Likely D Safe D Likely D Likely D Very Likely D Likely D Likely D
Wisconsin 1 R+3 Bryan Steil 54.1% R Likely R Likely R Likely R Safe R Likely R Likely R Lean R
Wisconsin 3 R+4 Derrick Van Orden 51.8% R Lean R Lean R Lean R Lean R Likely R Likely R Lean R
Wisconsin 8 R+10 Vacant 73.5% R Solid R Solid R Safe R Safe R Solid R Safe R Lean R
Overall D – 203
R – 208
24 tossups
D – 206
R – 216
13 tossups
D – 205
R – 211
19 tossups
D – 207
R – 210
18 tossups
D – 216
R – 208
11 tossups
D – 211
R – 215
9 tossups
D - 215
R - 207
13 tossups
  1. ^ "2022 Cook PVI: District Map and List". Cook Political Report. Retrieved August 7, 2022.
  2. ^ "House of Representatives Results: GOP wins the majority". CNN. Retrieved February 2, 2023.
  3. ^ "2024 House Race Ratings". Cook Political Report. Retrieved September 6, 2024.
  4. ^ "2024 House Ratings". Inside Elections. September 26, 2024.
  5. ^ "2024 House". Sabato's Crystal Ball. September 19, 2024.
  6. ^ "Election Ratings". Elections Daily. Retrieved 2024-08-29.
  7. ^ "'24 House Forecast". CNalysis. Retrieved 2023-11-19.
  8. ^ "2024 House Forecast | The Hill and DDHQ". The Hill. Retrieved 2024-09-26.
  9. ^ https://www.racetothewh.com/house


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