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2018 United States Senate election in Florida

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2018 United States Senate election in Florida
← 2012 November 6, 2018 2024 →
Turnout52%[1]
 
Nominee Rick Scott Bill Nelson
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 4,099,505 4,089,472
Percentage 50.05% 49.93%
County results
Scott:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%
Nelson:      50–60%      60–70%
U.S. Senator before election

Bill Nelson
Democratic

Elected U.S. Senator

Rick Scott
Republican

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The 2018 United States Senate election in Florida was held on November 6, 2018, alongside a gubernatorial election, elections to the U.S. House of Representatives and other state and local elections. Incumbent Democratic Senator Bill Nelson ran for re-election to a fourth term, but was very narrowly defeated by Republican Governor Rick Scott. This was the closest Senate race in the state's history.[citation needed]

The results of the race were in dispute for 12 days following the election.[citation needed] The results showed that Nelson was narrowly trailing Scott, but the margin remained below 0.5%, triggering an automatic recount under Florida law.[citation needed] A controversial recount ensued, with both campaigns claiming irregularities. Following the recount, Florida elections officials confirmed Scott's victory on November 18, 2018. Vote received by Scott—(50.05%) of the vote, while Nelson (49.93%)—; the margin of victory was 10,033 votes out of 8.19 million votes cast. Both in terms of raw vote margin and by percentage of difference, this was the closest Senate election in the 2018 cycle. Scott's victory marks the first time since the Reconstruction era that Republicans have held both Senate seats in Florida.[2]

Background

As of the second quarter of 2018, incumbent Democratic Senator Bill Nelson had a 44%-34% approval rating among his constituents.[3] Republican President Donald Trump also held a positive approval rating of 49%-47% in Florida as of August 2018.[4] Trump won the state in 2016 by 1.2% over Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton. Nelson was challenged by term-limited Governor Rick Scott, who put more than $86 million of his own money into his successful 2010 and 2014 gubernatorial bids.[5] Despite having won re-election in 2012 by a 13% margin, Nelson was considered potentially vulnerable; he had been the only statewide elected Democrat in Florida since 2011, and his previous opponents, Connie Mack IV and Katherine Harris, were seen as much weaker challengers than Scott. Additionally, he was one of 10 incumbent Democratic Senators running in a state that had been carried by President Trump in 2016. Nelson was described as a —"low-key centrist" that might not be able to energize progressive voters.[6]

After being encouraged by President Trump to enter the Senate race,[7] Scott announced his candidacy on April 9, 2018, weeks after the end of his final regular legislative session as governor.[8] During the campaign, Scott sought to avoid mentioning President Trump and at times criticized or distanced himself from actions of the Trump administration, whereas in the past he used his friendship with Trump to boost his profile and had been an early and vocal supporter of Trump in 2016 [9][10] and was reported to speak to President Trump every one or two weeks by The Tampa Bay Times.[9] Nevertheless, Trump endorsed Scott in his Senate bid.[10] As of the first quarter of 2018, Scott held a 54%-35% approval rating[11] among his constituents, with a majority of Florida voters believing the state was moving in the right direction under Scott's administration.

Both–Nelson's and Scott's–responses to Hurricanes Irma and Michael, which made landfall in September 2017 and October 2018 respectively, were closely watched during the campaign season.[12]

Republican primary

The Republican primary was considered merely a formality, as Governor Scott's lone challenger was a perennial candidate who was running for Senate seats in eight other Republican primaries across the country. No other notable Republicans entered the race before or after Scott announced his candidacy.[13]

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in the primary

Withdrew

Declined

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin
of error 		Rocky
De La Fuente 		Rick
Scott 		Undecided
Gravis Marketing August 21–25, 2018 579 ± 4.1% 12% 73% 15%
Gravis Marketing August 21–22, 2018 321 ± 5.5% 12% 73% 15%
Gravis Marketing July 13–14, 2018 905 ± 3.3% 16% 74% 10%

Results

County results.
Scott:      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Republican primary results[41]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Rick Scott 1,456,187 88.61%
Republican Rocky De La Fuente 187,209 11.39%
Total votes 1,643,396 100.00%

Democratic primary

As both of Senator Nelson's primary opponents failed to qualify for the ballot, no Democratic primary was held.[13]

Candidates

Nominee

Declined

Withdrew

Libertarian Party

Candidates

Withdrew

Declined

American Independent Party

Candidates

Withdrew

Independents and write-ins

Candidates

Declared

Withdrew

General election

The election was expected to be a key race in determining which party would control the U.S. Senate in 2019.[61] According to The Cook Political Report, the race was one of the 10 most competitive U.S. Senate races in the nation.[62] It was also described as the most expensive U.S. Senate race in the country.[63][64]

Scott's involvement in a large Medicare fraud case stirred controversy during the general election campaign.[65][66] Scott responded with ads accusing Nelson of having cut Medicare benefits and stolen from Medicare; fact-checkers found that both of Scott's assertions were "mostly false."[67][65] During the campaign, Scott characterized Nelson as a "socialist"; PolitiFact described the assertion as "pants-on-fire" false.[68]

Gun control was a key issue in this race. The election comes less than nine months after the Stoneman Douglas High School shooting in Parkland, the deadliest school shooting in American history. Nelson also mentioned the Orlando nightclub shooting that occurred in June 2016 and killed 49 people, stating that —"nothing was done" by Scott's administration. In the wake of Stoneman Douglas, Scott raised the age to purchase a gun from 18 to 21, set a three-day waiting period to purchase assault-style weapons, and banned bump stocks, moves that Nelson[he] described as [him] "doing the bare ...minimum." The National Rifle Association opposed Scott's legislation.[69]

Environmental issues also took on a prominent role in the race. Scott and his administration had been heavily criticized for weakening regulations designed to protect the environment, even going as far as to instruct the FDEP not to use the words "climate change" or "global warming" in official reports.[70] Because of this, Scott was blamed for the state's worsening algae blooms, even being dubbed "Red Tide Rick" on social media. Scott blamed the toxic blooms on Nelson and on Congress' general inefficiency.[71]

Debates

Endorsements

Rick Scott (R)
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U.S. Representatives
Governors
Statewide and territorial officials
State and territorial legislators
Sheriffs
Mayors
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Individuals
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Bill Nelson (D)
U.S. Executive Branch officials
U.S. Senators
U.S. Representatives
Governors
Statewide and territorial officials
State legislators
Mayors
Other government officials
Individuals
Organizations
Newspapers
Declined to endorse
Newspapers

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[182] Tossup October 26, 2018
Inside Elections[183] Tilt D November 1, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[184] Lean D November 5, 2018
NYT[185] Tossup November 5, 2018
Fox News[186] Tossup November 5, 2018
CNN[187] Tossup November 5, 2018
RealClearPolitics[188] Tossup November 5, 2018
Daily Kos[189] Tossup November 5, 2018
Politico[190] Tossup November 5, 2018
FiveThirtyEight[191] Lean D November 5, 2018

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of October 17, 2018
Candidate (party) Total receipts Total disbursements Cash on hand
Rick Scott (R) $68,801,011 $66,496,248 $2,304,762
Bill Nelson (D) Incumbent $28,294,713 $25,482,421 $3,806,614
Source: Federal Election Commission[192]

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin
of error 		Bill
Nelson (D) 		Rick
Scott (R) 		Other Undecided
The Trafalgar Group (R) November 4–5, 2018 1,484 ± 2.5% 47% 49% – 4%
HarrisX November 3–5, 2018 600 ± 4.0% 48% 48% – –
St. Pete Polls November 3–4, 2018 3,088 ± 1.8% 50% 46% – 4%
HarrisX November 2–4, 2018 600 ± 4.0% 45% 49% – –
Quinnipiac University October 29 – November 4, 2018 1,142 ± 3.5% 51% 44% 0% 5%
Emerson College November 1–3, 2018 784 ± 3.7% 50% 45% 3% 3%
HarrisX November 1–3, 2018 600 ± 4.0% 45% 47% – –
Research Co. November 1–3, 2018 450 ± 4.6% 47% 46% – 7%
Change Research (D-Reason to Believe PAC) November 1–2, 2018 1,236 – 50% 48% – –
St. Pete Polls November 1–2, 2018 2,733 ± 1.9% 48% 49% – 3%
HarrisX October 31 – November 2, 2018 600 ± 4.0% 46% 48% – –
Marist College October 30 – November 2, 2018 595 LV ± 5.0% 50% 46% <1% 4%
917 RV ± 4.1% 50% 45% <1% 5%
Gravis Marketing October 29 – November 2, 2018 753 ± 3.6% 50% 47% – 4%
HarrisX October 30 – November 1, 2018 600 ± 4.0% 45% 50% – –
St. Pete Polls October 30–31, 2018 2,470 ± 2.0% 49% 47% – 3%
Targoz Market Research October 28–31, 2018 558 – 45% 49% – 6%
HarrisX October 29–31, 2018 600 ± 4.0% 45% 48% – –
MWR Research/Consumer Energy Alliance[a] October 25–31, 2020 1,005 – 41% 43% – 17%[b]
The Trafalgar Group (R) October 29–30, 2018 2,543 ± 1.9% 49% 47% – 4%
Vox Populi Polling October 27–30, 2018 696 ± 3.7% 50% 50% – –
HarrisX October 24–30, 2018 1,400 ± 2.6% 43% 44% – –
Cygnal (R) October 27–29, 2018 495 ± 4.4% 50% 48% – 2%
CNN/SSRS October 24–29, 2018 781 LV ± 4.3% 49% 47% 0% 2%
887 RV ± 4.0% 46% 46% 0% 5%
Suffolk University October 25–28, 2018 500 ± 4.4% 45% 43% – 10%
NYT Upshot/Siena College October 23–27, 2018 737 ± 4.0% 48% 44% – 8%
University of North Florida October 23–26, 2018 1,051 ± 3.0% 47% 46% <1% 7%
YouGov October 23–26, 2018 991 ± 4.0% 46% 46% 1% 6%
Ipsos October 17–25, 2018 1,069 ± 3.4% 49% 44% 3% 4%
Gravis Marketing October 22–23, 2018 773 ± 3.5% 49% 45% – 6%
Strategic Research Associates October 16–23, 2018 800 ± 3.5% 46% 45% – 9%
Saint Leo University October 16–22, 2018 698 ± 3.5% 47% 38% 6% 9%
St. Pete Polls October 20–21, 2018 1,575 ± 2.5% 48% 49% – 3%
Florida Atlantic University October 18–21, 2018 704 ± 3.6% 41% 42% 4% 13%
SurveyUSA October 18–21, 2018 665 ± 5.0% 49% 41% 4% 6%
Quinnipiac University October 17–21, 2018 1,161 ± 3.5% 52% 46% 0% 2%
Schroth, Eldon and Associates (D) October 17–20, 2018 600 ± 4.0% 45% 47% – 9%
CNN/SSRS October 16–20, 2018 759 LV ± 4.2% 50% 45% 0% 3%
872 RV ± 3.9% 49% 45% 0% 4%
OnMessage Inc. (R-Scott) October 14–18, 2018 2,200 ± 2.1% 46% 51% – 3%
St. Pete Polls October 15–16, 2018 1,974 ± 2.2% 47% 49% – 4%
Florida Southern College October 1–5, 2018 476 ± 4.5% 44% 46% 6% 4%
Kaiser Family Foundation/SSRS September 19 – October 2, 2018 522 ± 6.0% 48% 45% 1% 6%
St. Pete Polls September 29–30, 2018 2,313 ± 2.0% 47% 47% – 6%
Public Policy Polling (D-Protect Our Care) September 28–30, 2018 779 ± 3.5% 48% 44% – 9%
Strategic Research Associates September 17–30, 2018 800 ± 3.5% 45% 44% – 11%
Mason-Dixon September 24–27, 2018 815 ± 3.5% 47% 46% – 7%
Quinnipiac University September 20–24, 2018 888 ± 4.0% 53% 46% 0% 1%
Cherry Communications September 19–24, 2018 622 ± 4.4% 48% 46% – –
Marist College September 16–20, 2018 600 LV ± 4.7% 48% 45% 1% 6%
829 RV ± 4.0% 48% 43% 1% 7%
University of North Florida September 17–19, 2018 603 – 45% 45% 1% 9%
Florida Atlantic University September 13–16, 2018 850 ± 3.3% 41% 42% 5% 11%
Ipsos September 5–12, 2018 1,000 ± 4.0% 45% 46% 4% 6%
Rasmussen Reports September 10–11, 2018 800 ± 3.5% 45% 44% 5% 6%
SurveyUSA September 7–9, 2018 634 ± 5.3% 44% 46% 4% 7%
Quinnipiac University August 30 – September 3, 2018 785 ± 4.3% 49% 49% 0% 2%
Gravis Marketing August 29–30, 2018 1,225 ± 2.8% 47% 47% – 6%
Public Policy Polling (D-EDGE Comms.) August 29–30, 2018 743 ± 4.0% 46% 45% – 8%
St. Pete Polls August 29–30, 2018 1,755 ± 2.3% 47% 47% – 5%
Florida Atlantic University August 16–20, 2018 800 ± 3.4% 39% 45% – 17%
Saint Leo University August 10–16, 2018 500 ± 4.5% 36% 40% 8% 15%
Mason-Dixon July 24–25, 2018 625 ± 4.0% 44% 47% – 9%
Florida Atlantic University July 20–21, 2018 800 ± 3.4% 40% 44% – 17%
Gravis Marketing July 13–14, 2018 1,840 ± 2.3% 47% 43% – 10%
SurveyMonkey/Axios June 11 – July 2, 2018 1,080 ± 5.0% 46% 49% – 5%
YouGov June 19–22, 2018 839 LV – 41% 46% 6% 6%
996 RV ± 3.5% 40% 42% 6% 9%
Marist College June 17–21, 2018 947 ± 3.9% 49% 45% 1% 5%
Public Policy Polling (D-EDGE Comms.) June 18–19, 2018 1,308 ± 3.2% 48% 46% – 7%
Gravis Marketing May 31 – June 15, 2018 1,251 ± 2.8% 50% 40% – 10%
Cherry Communications May 25 – June 4, 2018 605 ± 4.0% 45% 48% – 5%
Saint Leo University May 25–31, 2018 506 ± 4.5% 34% 40% 8% 18%
Morning Consult May 29–30, 2018 1,199 ± 3.0% 39% 40% – –
Florida Atlantic University May 4–7, 2018 728 LV – 45% 45% – –
1,000 RV ± 3.0% 40% 44% – 16%
Public Policy Polling (D-Levine) April 10–11, 2018 661 ± 3.9% 50% 44% – 6%
Gravis Marketing February 26 – March 19, 2018 2,212 ± 2.1% 44% 40% – 16%
McLaughlin & Associates (R-NR PAC) March 10–13, 2018 800 ± 3.4% 46% 47% – 6%
Clearview Research March 1–7, 2018 750 ± 3.6% 41% 43% – 16%
SurveyMonkey/Axios February 12 – March 5, 2018 1,806 ± 5.0% 53% 43% – 4%
Quinnipiac University February 23–26, 2018 1,156 ± 3.6% 46% 42% 2% 9%
Florida Atlantic University February 23–25, 2018 800 ± 3.6% 40% 38% – 22%
Saint Leo University February 18–24, 2018 500 ± 4.5% 35% 42% 9% 15%
Gravis Marketing February 1–18, 2018 1,978 ± 2.2% 44% 40% – 16%
Florida Atlantic University February 1–4, 2018 750 ± 3.7% 34% 44% – 22%
University of North Florida January 29 – February 4, 2018 429 ± 4.7% 48% 42% 2% 7%
Mason-Dixon January 30 – February 1, 2018 625 ± 4.0% 45% 44% – 11%
Dixie Strategies January 9–10, 2018 785 ± 3.5% 38% 35% – 27%
Gravis Marketing December 19–24, 2017 5,778 ± 1.3% 44% 39% – 17%
Saint Leo University November 19–24, 2017 500 ± 4.5% 32% 42% 8% 18%
Mason-Dixon October 17–19, 2017 625 ± 4.0% 44% 44% – 12%
University of North Florida October 11–17, 2017 706 ± 3.4% 37% 36% 7% 20%
Cherry Communications September 17–24, 2017 615 ± 4.0% 45% 47% – 8%
Saint Leo University September 10–16, 2017 500 ± 4.5% 33% 35% 11% 21%
Florida Atlantic University August 24–26, 2017 800 ± 4.0% 42% 40% – 18%
Gravis Marketing April 4–10, 2017 1,243 ± 2.8% 56% 28% – 16%
Gravis Marketing March 28–29, 2017 1,453 ± 2.6% 52% 37% – 12%
Cherry Communications March 6–14, 2017 600 ± 4.0% 48% 42% – 10%
Saint Leo University March 3–11, 2017 507 ± 4.5% 39% 34% 10% 17%
Public Opinion Strategies (R-FHA) March 1–5, 2017 600 ± 4.0% 46% 44% – 10%
Mason-Dixon February 24–28, 2017 625 ± 4.0% 46% 41% – 13%
University of North Florida February 13–26, 2017 957 ± 3.1% 44% 38% 3% 12%
Gravis Marketing November 22–25, 2016 3,250 ± 2.4% 51% 38% – 11%
Public Policy Polling September 4–6, 2016 744 ± 3.6% 45% 41% – 14%
Public Policy Polling September 11–13, 2015 814 ± 3.4% 46% 42% – 12%
Public Policy Polling March 19–22, 2015 923 ± 3.2% 47% 43% – 10%

Initial results and recount

The results of the race were in dispute for 12 days following the election. Because Scott's lead over Nelson was less than 0.5% of the vote, an automatic recount was triggered under Florida law.[193][194] A controversial recount ensued, with both campaigns claiming irregularities.[195]

Both candidates traded accusations of voter suppression and voter fraud.[196] Two lawsuits were filed by the Scott campaign after the election against the Supervisor of Elections in both Palm Beach and Broward Counties while the Nelson campaign filed one against the Secretary of State in Florida. On November 9, the Scott campaign won both of their lawsuits while the Secretary of State lawsuit has yet to be decided.[197][198] Notably, election officials in Broward County had to receive police protection after accusations of voter fraud were made by a few members of Congress.[199]

Additionally, a number of mail-in ballots were found in a mail distribution center in the city of Opa-locka three days after the election. The Miami-Dade Elections Department considered the votes to be uncountable due to not making it to the department by the close of polls.[200]

The deadline for all ballots to be machine counted was 3pm EST on Thursday, November 15, 2018, and the revised totals triggered a statewide hand-recount of rejected ballots (also for Florida Agriculture Commissioner). At least three counties (Broward, Hillsborough, and Palm Beach County) missed the deadline.[201][202]

  • Broward: Finished machine count before the deadline, but started the upload of results around 2:45 pm EST and finished uploading at 3:02 pm EST. The upload was rejected due to being past the deadline.[203]
  • Hillsborough: The loss of 846 votes in machine counting. This was presumed to be due to a power outage.[204][201]
  • Palm Beach: Machines bought from Sequoia Voting Systems ended up breaking down on the 13th, forcing a new recount on approximately 175,000 votes. Upon completing the second recount, 30 precincts had tallies that differed from the tallies completed on the day of the election.[205]

In addition, Lee County determined that they had not properly sorted out the amount of undervotes on ballots for manual recount. The initial number was approximately 4,000 votes before the machine recount brought the number to around 15,000 votes. This delayed the counting process until the votes were properly separated.[206]

Results

Florida elections officials announced on November 18, 2018 that Scott had prevailed. Scott received 50.05% of the vote, while Nelson received 49.93%; the margin of victory was 10,033 votes out of 8.19 million votes cast. Nelson then conceded the race to Scott.[207]

United States Senate election in Florida, 2018[208]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Rick Scott 4,099,505 50.05% +7.82%
Democratic Bill Nelson (incumbent) 4,089,472 49.93% −5.30%
Write-in 607 <0.01% N/A
Total votes 8,189,584 100.00% N/A
Republican gain from Democratic

By county

Final results from Florida Division of Elections.[209]

County Rick Scott

Republican

Bill Nelson

Democratic

Other

Write-in

Total
Alachua 40,343 35.4% 73,757 64.6% 0 0% 114,100
Baker 8,580 81.5% 1,943 18.5% 0 0% 10,523
Bay 46,646 73.7% 16,684 26.3% 0 0% 63,330
Bradford 7,573 72.5% 2,878 27.5% 0 0% 10,451
Brevard 160,240 57% 120,980 43% 0 0% 281,220
Broward 210,599 31% 469,969 69% 0 0% 680,568
Calhoun 3,583 77.7% 1,028 22.3% 0 0% 4,611
Charlotte 52,908 61.2% 33,496 38.8% 0 0% 86,404
Citrus 47,987 67.9% 22,648 32.1% 0 0% 70,635
Clay 65,618 70.3% 27,687 29.7% 0 0% 93,305
Collier 101,299 65% 54,377 35% 0 0% 155,676
Columbia 17,230 69.7% 7,503 30.3% 0 0% 24,733
DeSoto 5,502 62.3% 3,326 37.7% 0 0% 8,828
Dixie 4,441 77.1% 1,318 22.9% 0 0% 5,759
Duval 185,833 49.2% 192,203 50.8% 0 0% 378,036
Escambia 75,904 59% 52,840 41% 0 0% 128,744
Flagler 31,454 59.5% 21,396 40.5% 0 0% 52,850
Franklin 3,403 62.9% 2,010 37.1% 0 0% 5,413
Gadsden 6,052 30.3% 13,940 69.7% 0 0% 19,992
Gilchrist 5,703 77.7% 1,632 22.3% 0 0% 7,335
Glades 2,664 69.7% 1,156 30.3% 0 0% 3,820
Gulf 4,319 73.2% 1,578 26.8% 0 0% 5,897
Hamilton 2,856 63.1% 1,671 36.9% 0 0% 4,527
Hardee 4,455 69.9% 1,916 30.1% 0 0% 6,371
Hendry 5,304 60% 3,542 40% 0 0% 8,846
Hernando 49,501 61.6% 30,798 38.4% 0 0% 80,299
Highlands 26,282 66.2 13,398 38.8% 0 0% 39,680
Hillsborough 239,641 46% 281,661 54% 0 0% 521,302
Holmes 5,919 87.4% 856 12.6% 0 0% 6,775

Edison Research exit poll

Demographic subgroup Nelson Scott No
Answer 		% of
Voters
Gender
Men 42 58 N/A 45
Women 57 43 N/A 55
Age
18–24 years old 62 38 N/A 5
25–29 years old 73 27 N/A 5
30–39 years old 62 38 N/A 10
40–49 years old 49 51 N/A 12
50–64 years old 50 50 N/A 31
65 and older 43 57 N/A 37
Race
White 40 60 N/A 66
Black 90 10 N/A 13
Latino 54 46 N/A 15
Asian N/A N/A N/A 2
Other 67 33 N/A 4
Race by gender
White men 32 68 N/A 31
White women 47 53 N/A 35
Black men 88 12 N/A 6
Black women 91 9 N/A 8
Latino men 49 51 N/A 6
Latina women 58 42 N/A 9
Others 66 34 N/A 5
Education
High school or less 47 53 N/A 20
Some college education 51 49 N/A 25
Associate degree 47 53 N/A 15
Bachelor's degree 48 52 N/A 24
Advanced degree 58 42 N/A 16
Education and race
White college graduates 47 53 N/A 28
White no college degree 35 65 N/A 38
Non-white college graduates 64 36 N/A 12
Non-white no college degree 74 26 N/A 22
Whites by education and gender
White women with college degrees 58 42 N/A 13
White women without college degrees 40 60 N/A 22
White men with college degrees 37 63 N/A 14
White men without college degrees 27 73 N/A 17
Non-whites 70 30 N/A 34
Income
Under $30,000 62 38 N/A 19
$30,000–49,999 53 47 N/A 22
$50,000–99,999 51 49 N/A 34
$100,000–199,999 48 52 N/A 19
Over $200,000 N/A N/A N/A 7
Party ID
Democrats 92 8 N/A 33
Republicans 9 91 N/A 37
Independents 55 45 N/A 30
Party by gender
Democratic men 90 10 N/A 12
Democratic women 93 7 N/A 21
Republican men 7 93 N/A 19
Republican women 11 89 N/A 18
Independent men 50 50 N/A 14
Independent women 60 40 N/A 16
Ideology
Liberals 89 11 N/A 22
Moderates 62 38 N/A 39
Conservatives 15 85 N/A 39
Marital status
Married 43 57 N/A 64
Unmarried 59 41 N/A 36
Gender by marital status
Married men 36 64 N/A 32
Married women 50 50 N/A 31
Unmarried men 48 52 N/A 14
Unmarried women 62 38 N/A 22
First-time midterm election voter
Yes 58 42 N/A 16
No 47 53 N/A 84
Most important issue facing the country
Health care 75 25 N/A 41
Immigration 17 83 N/A 29
Economy 28 72 N/A 16
Gun policy 76 24 N/A 11
Area type
Urban 56 44 N/A 42
Suburban 47 53 N/A 50
Rural 37 63 N/A 8
Source: CNN[210]

Notes

  1. ^ The Consumer Energy Alliance is a pro-Keystone XL lobbying group
  2. ^ Includes "Refused"

See also

References

  1. ^ Schneider, Mike. "Florida voter turnout in 2018 buoyed by youth, Hispanics". Associated Press. Retrieved May 29, 2020.
  2. ^ "Florida to have 2 Republican senators for the first time since the Reconstruction era". 10NEWS. Retrieved June 25, 2019.
  3. ^ Easley, Cameron (July 25, 2018). "America's Most and Least Popular Senators". Morning Consult. Retrieved October 2, 2018.
  4. ^ "TRACKING TRUMP". Morning Consult. Retrieved August 6, 2018.
  5. ^ Caputo, Marc; Dovere, Edward-Isaac (October 16, 2017). "Florida's Senate race shaping up as a clash of titans". Politico. Retrieved December 4, 2017.
  6. ^ a b c Caputo, Marc (February 15, 2017). "Invitation to a primary? Doubts among Democrats bedevil Sen. Nelson against Scott in 2018". Politico. Retrieved July 20, 2017.
  7. ^ a b McCaskill, Nolan D. (September 14, 2017). "Trump pushes Rick Scott to run for Senate during Irma recovery visit". Politico. Retrieved March 5, 2018.
  8. ^ Wagner, John; Sullivan, Sean (April 9, 2018). "Republican Gov. Rick Scott enters Senate race in Florida, setting up marquee contest". The Washington Post. Retrieved April 9, 2018.
  9. ^ a b Leary, Alex (April 27, 2018). "Once eager to tout Trump friendship, Rick Scott now plays it down". Tampa Bay Times. Retrieved October 2, 2018.
  10. ^ a b Verhovek, John; Rodriguez, Lissette (August 26, 2018). "In Florida Senate race, Rick Scott treads carefully around Trump". ABC News. Retrieved October 2, 2018.
  11. ^ Easley, Cameron (July 25, 2018). "America's Most and Least Popular Governors". Morning Consult. Retrieved October 2, 2018.
  12. ^ Greenwood, Max (October 12, 2018). "Hurricane Michael barrels into Florida races". The Hill. Retrieved October 25, 2018.
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  88. ^ Patronis, Jimmy (April 10, 2018). "I'm proud to support Governor Rick Scott in his mission to continue serving the people of Florida. LIKE and SHARE if you do, too!". Facebook. Retrieved June 23, 2018.
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  92. ^ Caldwell, Matt [@mattcaldwell_fl] (April 9, 2018). "I proudly endorse @FLGovScott in his bid to fight for Florida in the U.S. Senate. With Gov. Scott's leadership as a principled conservative, Florida has roared with jobs, shed needless taxes, and staked its claim as the best state for Americans to pursue their dreams" (Tweet). Retrieved April 13, 2018 – via Twitter.
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  94. ^ Giuliani, Rudy [@RudyGiuliani] (November 4, 2018). "Great rally for @RonDeSantisFL in Daytona. On to Boca Raton Repub. Headquarters. A great state like Fl. needs a leader who can build on Gov. Scott's success. More jobs, lower taxes, safer communities and support for our police. Vote for DeSantis for Gov. and Scott for Senate" (Tweet). Retrieved November 7, 2018 – via Twitter.
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  97. ^ Diamond and Silk [@DiamondandSilk] (August 28, 2018). "Congratulations to Gov. Rick Scott @ScottforFlorida for winning the GOP Nomination for Senate #MAGA #RedWave #Winning #ChooChoo" (Tweet). Retrieved October 24, 2018 – via Twitter.
  98. ^ Kashuv, Kyle [@KyleKashuv] (October 4, 2018). "It's time Florida relieves @SenBillNelson of his Senate seat and gives @ScottforFlorida the reins. Enough of the corruption. Enough of the political hackery" (Tweet). Retrieved October 25, 2018 – via Twitter.
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  100. ^ Petty, Ryan [@rpetty] (April 10, 2018). "I am thrilled to endorse my friend, Rick Scott for US Senate. @ScottforFlorida demonstrated true leadership in making our kids & teachers safer here in Florida. We need this same leadership in DC. Please join with me in supporting him for US Senate. #rickscottforsenate" (Tweet). Retrieved April 12, 2018 – via Twitter.
  101. ^ Pollack, Andrew [@AndrewPollackFL] (April 10, 2018). "I am proud to endorse my friend Governor Rick Scott for US Senate. @ScottforFlorida has helped me tremendously in my pursuit to make schools in America safe & secure. He signed the PS Bill 7026 that I advocated for after my daughter was killed at #MSD. He's a great man" (Tweet). Retrieved April 12, 2018 – via Twitter.
  102. ^ Pollack, Hunter [@PollackHunter] (August 1, 2018). "I have been working very closely with the Governor to establish the @Scott_Students initiative and it's already becoming a huge success! So glad to be apart of it. Please follow! #ScottForSenate" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
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  107. ^ Republican Jewish Coalition (September 2, 2018). "The RJC PAC proudly endorsed Governor Rick Scott (FL), who just came off a strong primary win for Senate. Governor Scott has been a longtime friend of the RJC. Will you be a friend to Governor Scott?". Facebook.
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  112. ^ Shapiro, Dan [@DanielBShapiro] (October 3, 2018). "So excited to be in Florida today &tomorrow to campaign for my good friend (& former boss) US Sen. Bill Nelson! He's a leader, a great fighter for Florida, a strong supporter of the US-Israel relationship, and an outstanding person. Let's keep him in the Senate!@NelsonForSenate" (Tweet). Retrieved October 5, 2018 – via Twitter.
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  119. ^ Merkley, Jeff [@JeffMerkley] (April 10, 2018). "Whenever the GOP has tried to gut Medicare, slash Social Security, or open our coasts to oil drilling, @NelsonForSenate has always stood in their way. Now we need to stand with him" (Tweet). Retrieved October 21, 2018 – via Twitter.
  120. ^ Graham, Gwen [@GwenGraham] (April 9, 2018). "I am proud to have worked with Senator Nelson to fight oil drilling off our beaches, to defend the Affordable Care Act and to create good jobs in Florida. I look forward to the names Graham and Nelson again appearing together on the ballot —and, together, defeating @FLGovScott" (Tweet). Retrieved October 10, 2018 – via Twitter.
  121. ^ Murphy, Stephanie [@SMurphyCongress] (June 27, 2018). "The Supreme Court is a reminder of what's at stake every election: women's rights, civil rights, collective bargaining rights, LGBTQ rights, gun safety reform, immigration reform, redistricting reform & much more. Support @NelsonForSenate & VOTE EVERY TIME #FlaPol #MidtermsMatter" (Tweet). Retrieved October 21, 2018 – via Twitter.
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  123. ^ Castor, Kathy [@KathyCastorFL] (August 8, 2018). "It is vitally important to send Bill Nelson back to the U.S. Senate ... for our students, our schools and Florida's future! Florida's teachers endorsed him today! @FloridaEA @HillsboroughCTA @NelsonForSenate" (Tweet). Retrieved October 10, 2018 – via Twitter.
  124. ^ "Jimmy Buffett decries an 'insane two years,' urges Floridians to vote for Andrew Gillum and Bill Nelson". Tampa Bay Times. November 3, 2018. Retrieved November 7, 2018.
  125. ^ a b c d e f Nelson, Bill [@NelsonForSenate] (November 4, 2018). "Joined @rosariodawson, @zoesaldana, @EvaLongoria, @HereIsGina, @AmericaFerrera, @ReElectNydia, and my friend @DarrenSoto in Kissimmee rallying to get out the vote! Many areas across Florida can still vote early today, find out when and where you can vote: http://nelsonforsenate.com/vote" (Tweet). Retrieved November 4, 2018 – via Twitter.
  126. ^ Lemongello, Steven (June 4, 2018). "Former Puerto Rico Gov. Pedro Rosselló endorses Bill Nelson". Orlando Sentinel.
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  128. ^ @NelsonForSenate (September 21, 2018). ".@JoseJavierJJR and @kenrussellmiami joined Nan Ellen and Grace Nelson on the campaign trail in Miami today! They visited senior centers to talk about what's at stake in this election, which not only sparked some lively conversation, but also some singing and dancing" (Tweet). Retrieved October 5, 2018 – via Twitter.
  129. ^ Smith, Carlos G. [@CarlosGSmith] (August 3, 2018). "Time to rid Florida of the red slime known as @FLGovScott by voting to re-elect @NelsonForSenate November 6th" (Tweet). Retrieved October 21, 2018 – via Twitter.
  130. ^ Jones, Shevrin [@ShevrinJones] (July 1, 2018). "Last night I had the awesome privilege of introducing @NelsonForSenate at #LeadBlue2018 - Senator Nelson has stood strong for us in DC and I look forward to us sending him back, and retiring @FLGovScott from politics. #BlueWave" (Tweet). Retrieved October 21, 2018 – via Twitter.
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  135. ^ Peralta, Paola (October 31, 2018). "Jimmy Buffett hosting free Florida concert in support of Bill Nelson and Andrew Gillum". Orlando Weekly. Retrieved November 6, 2018.
  136. ^ Greene, Jeff [@JeffGreeneFL] (June 30, 2018). "Glad to catch up with my friend @NelsonForSenate — a leader, public servant, and all that stands between us and Rick Scott! We're with you, Senator!" (Tweet). Retrieved November 3, 2018 – via Twitter.
  137. ^ Nicol, Ryan (September 14, 2018). "Fred Guttenberg endorses Bill Nelson for Senate". Florida Politics. Retrieved October 3, 2018.
  138. ^ Kelly, Mark [@ShuttleCDRKelly] (October 24, 2018). "I was in Orlando yesterday with @JoeBiden getting out the vote for @NelsonforSenate and @SMurphyCongress. The stakes are simply too high to stay home this election. It's crunch time. Let's bring it home. Get out and vote, Florida. #VoteSaveLives" (Tweet). Retrieved October 27, 2018 – via Twitter.
  139. ^ Midler, Bette [@BetteMidler] (October 20, 2018). "FLORIDA!! @NelsonForSenate!! #BILLNELSON WON'T SLASH YOUR MEDICARE AND SOCIAL SECURITY, AS #RICKSCOTT IS SURE TO DO! Rick also earned $46 MILLION during his term in office...Where'd he get it? He's not sayin'!! Not worthy to serve!! VOTE BILL NELSON FOR SENATE, HE'S FOR YOU!" (Tweet). Retrieved October 23, 2018 – via Twitter.
  140. ^ Porco, Carolyn [@carolynporco] (October 16, 2018). "This morning I contributed to Bill Nelson's campaign. We need to keep scientists in government!" (Tweet). Retrieved October 27, 2018 – via Twitter.
  141. ^ Schumer, Amy [@amyschumer] (October 22, 2018). "News" (Tweet). Retrieved October 23, 2018 – via Twitter.
  142. ^ Siskind, Amy [@Amy_Siskind] (October 8, 2018). "END Mitch McConnell's reign of terror. Donate/volunteer for these close senate races: Jacky Rosen, NV Phil Bredesen, TN Claire McCaskill, MO Bill Nelson, FL Joe Donnelly, IN Heidi Heitkamp, ND Beto O'Rourke, TX Kyrsten Sinema, AZ Tammy Baldwin, WI" (Tweet). Retrieved October 20, 2018 – via Twitter.
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  154. ^ @CSGV (June 15, 2018). "#Florida deserves a senator that will fight for them — not because it is politically expedient, but because it is the right thing to do. In the Senate, @NelsonForSenate will stand up to the gun lobby & work to pass laws that will make America safer. https://www.csgv.org/florida-serious-stopping-gun-violence-bill-nelson-choice/ …" (Tweet). Retrieved October 6, 2018 – via Twitter.
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  156. ^ @NelsonForSenate (June 9, 2018). "Great to be in Orlando today with the @FLAFLCIO! These workers help make Florida run and I'm honored to receive their endorsement" (Tweet). Retrieved October 6, 2018 – via Twitter.
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Official campaign websites
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