2016 United States presidential election in Louisiana

2016 United States presidential election in Louisiana
Turnout	67.79%
Trump 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90%	Clinton 50–60% 60–70% 80–90%
President before election; Barack Obama; Democratic	Elected President ; Donald Trump; Republican

The 2016 United States presidential election in Louisiana was held on Tuesday, November 8, 2016, as part of the 2016 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Louisiana voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, businessman Donald Trump, and running mate Indiana Governor Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, and her running mate Virginia Senator Tim Kaine. Louisiana has eight electoral votes in the Electoral College.^[2]

Trump won the state with 58.09% of the vote, while Clinton received 38.45%. Trump performed slightly better in the state than Mitt Romney in 2012, but also slightly worse than John McCain in 2008. In contrast, Clinton's vote share in the state was a decrease from Barack Obama's vote shares in 2012 and 2008, where he earned 40.58% and 39.93%, respectively. Louisiana is also one of 11 states that voted for Bill Clinton twice which Hillary Clinton lost.

Primary elections

Twenty-four candidates were on the ballot.^[3]

Democratic primary

Louisiana Democratic primary, March 5, 2016
Candidate	Popular vote		Estimated delegates
Candidate	Count	Percentage	Pledged	Unpledged	Total
Hillary Clinton	221,733	71.12%	37	7	44
Bernie Sanders	72,276	23.18%	14	0	14
Steve Burke	4,785	1.53%
John Wolfe Jr.	4,512	1.45%
Martin O'Malley (withdrawn)	2,550	0.82%
Willie Wilson	1,423	0.46%
Keith Russell Judd	1,357	0.44%
Rocky De La Fuente	1,341	0.43%
Michael Steinberg	993	0.32%
Henry Hewes	806	0.26%
Uncommitted	—		0	1	1
Total	311,776	100%	51	8	59
Source: ^[4]^[5]

Republican primary

Four candidates appeared on the Republican presidential primary ballot:

Louisiana Republican primary, March 5, 2016
Candidate	Votes	Percentage	Actual delegate count
Candidate	Votes	Percentage	Bound	Unbound	Total
Donald Trump	124,854	41.45%	25	0	25
Ted Cruz	113,968	37.83%	18	0	18
Marco Rubio	33,813	11.22%	0	0	0
John Kasich	19,359	6.43%	0	0	0
Ben Carson (withdrawn)	4,544	1.51%	0	0	0
Jeb Bush (withdrawn)	2,145	0.71%	0	0	0
Rand Paul (withdrawn)	670	0.22%	0	0	0
Mike Huckabee (withdrawn)	645	0.21%	0	0	0
Chris Christie (withdrawn)	401	0.13%	0	0	0
Carly Fiorina (withdrawn)	243	0.08%	0	0	0
Rick Santorum (withdrawn)	180	0.06%	0	0	0
Lindsey Graham (withdrawn)	152	0.05%	0	0	0
Unprojected delegates:			3	0	3
Total:	301,241	100.00%	46	0	46
Source: The Green Papers

State Convention

On March 24, the State Convention met and reversed the results of the primary, giving Ted Cruz a clear majority.^[6] Rubio's five delegates and 2 uncommitted delegates committed to Trump after Kasich and Cruz dropped out of the race.^[7]^[8] This gave Trump the majority of the delegates from the state.

Polling

Predictions

The following are final 2016 predictions from various organizations for Louisiana as of Election Day.

Source	Ranking	As of
Los Angeles Times^[9]	Safe R	November 6, 2016
CNN^[10]	Safe R	November 8, 2016
Sabato's Crystal Ball^[11]	Safe R	November 7, 2016
NBC^[12]	Likely R	November 7, 2016
RealClearPolitics^[13]	Safe R	November 8, 2016
Fox News^[14]	Safe R	November 7, 2016
ABC^[15]	Safe R	November 7, 2016

General Election

Results

Presidential general election, November 8, 2016^[16]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Donald Trump	1,178,638	58.10%
	Democratic	Hillary Clinton	780,154	38.40%
	Libertarian	Gary Johnson	37,978	1.90%
	Green	Jill Stein	14,031	0.70%
	Independent	Evan McMullin	8,547	0.40%
	Independent	Darrell Castle	3,129	0.20%
	Write-in	Others	2,330	0.10%
	Independent	Christopher Robert Keniston	1,881	0.10%
	Independent	Laurence Kotlikoff	1,048	0.10%
	Independent	Alyson Kennedy	480	0.00%
	Independent	Gloria La Riva	446	0.00%
	Independent	Jerry White	370	0.00%
Total votes			2,029,032	100.00%

Donald Trump carried the state, lengthening the Republican streak in Louisiana to 5 straight contests.

By parish

Parish	Clinton%	Clinton#	Trump%	Trump#	Others%	Others#	Total
Acadia	20.58%	5,638	77.26%	21,162	2.15%	589	27,389
Allen	22.78%	2,106	74.28%	6,867	2.94%	272	9,245
Ascension	30.13%	16,476	66.10%	36,143	3.77%	2,059	54,678
Assumption	36.05%	3,931	61.57%	6,714	2.38%	259	10,904
Avoyelles	30.36%	5,035	67.32%	11,165	2.33%	386	16,586
Beauregard	15.87%	2,393	81.16%	12,238	2.96%	447	15,078
Bienville	44.67%	3,129	53.62%	3,756	1.71%	120	7,005
Bossier	25.36%	12,641	71.16%	35,474	3.48%	1,733	49,848
Caddo	50.55%	53,483	46.32%	49,006	3.13%	3,315	105,804
Calcasieu	31.39%	26,296	64.68%	54,191	3.94%	3,298	83,785
Caldwell	16.79%	788	81.46%	3,822	1.75%	82	4,692
Cameron	08.75%	323	88.19%	3,256	3.06%	113	3,692
Catahoula	27.22%	1,322	71.64%	3,479	1.13%	55	4,856
Claiborne	42.31%	2,717	55.83%	3,585	1.85%	119	6,421
Concordia	36.88%	3,272	61.73%	5,477	1.39%	123	8,872
De Soto	38.26%	5,165	59.76%	8,068	1.98%	267	13,500
East Baton Rouge	52.33%	102,828	43.09%	84,660	4.58%	9,003	196,491
East Carroll	62.54%	1,838	36.03%	1,059	1.43%	42	2,939
East Feliciana	42.17%	4,235	55.46%	5,569	2.37%	238	10,042
Evangeline	28.28%	4,208	69.61%	10,360	2.11%	314	14,882
Franklin	27.35%	2,506	71.10%	6,514	1.55%	142	9,162
Grant	13.39%	1,181	83.98%	7,408	2.63%	232	8,821
Iberia	32.96%	10,698	64.41%	20,903	2.63%	853	32,454
Iberville	51.89%	8,324	45.63%	7,320	2.49%	399	16,043
Jackson	28.66%	2,139	69.25%	5,169	2.09%	156	7,464
Jefferson	40.56%	73,670	55.27%	100,398	4.17%	7,571	181,639
Jefferson Davis	21.57%	3,080	75.47%	10,775	2.96%	422	14,277
Lafayette	30.99%	32,726	64.58%	68,195	4.43%	4,682	105,603
Lafourche	20.23%	8,423	76.74%	31,959	3.03%	1,263	41,645
LaSalle	09.21%	605	88.84%	5,836	1.95%	128	6,569
Lincoln	38.07%	7,107	57.64%	10,761	4.29%	801	18,669
Livingston	12.04%	6,950	84.57%	48,824	3.39%	1,956	57,730
Madison	57.99%	2,744	40.72%	1,927	1.29%	61	4,732
Morehouse	43.49%	5,155	54.86%	6,502	1.65%	195	11,852
Natchitoches	42.98%	7,144	53.96%	8,968	3.06%	509	16,621
Orleans	80.81%	133,996	14.65%	24,292	4.54%	7,524	165,812
Ouachita	35.91%	24,428	61.36%	41,734	2.73%	1,855	68,017
Plaquemines	31.66%	3,347	65.26%	6,900	3.08%	326	10,573
Pointe Coupee	40.51%	4,764	57.72%	6,789	1.77%	208	11,761
Rapides	32.23%	18,322	64.77%	36,816	3.00%	1,706	56,844
Red River	43.83%	1,938	54.07%	2,391	2.10%	93	4,422
Richland	32.90%	3,157	65.51%	6,287	1.59%	153	9,597
Sabine	17.40%	1,703	80.50%	7,879	2.09%	205	9,787
St. Bernard	31.36%	4,960	64.73%	10,237	3.91%	618	15,815
St. Charles	32.68%	8,559	63.46%	16,621	3.86%	1,012	26,192
St. Helena	56.22%	3,353	41.87%	2,497	1.91%	114	5,964
St. James	53.11%	6,418	45.15%	5,456	1.75%	211	12,085
St. John the Baptist	61.04%	12,661	36.49%	7,569	2.47%	513	20,743
St. Landry	43.05%	17,209	54.96%	21,971	1.99%	797	39,977
St. Martin	32.10%	8,266	65.53%	16,873	2.37%	611	25,750
St. Mary	35.19%	8,050	62.77%	14,359	2.05%	468	22,877
St. Tammany	22.28%	27,717	73.09%	90,915	4.63%	5,760	124,392
Tangipahoa	32.20%	16,878	64.79%	33,959	3.01%	1,579	52,416
Tensas	52.28%	1,332	46.39%	1,182	1.33%	34	2,548
Terrebonne	24.30%	10,665	72.68%	31,902	3.03%	1,329	43,896
Union	24.70%	2,691	73.18%	7,972	2.12%	231	10,894
Vermilion	18.95%	4,857	78.27%	20,063	2.78%	712	25,632
Vernon	16.02%	2,665	80.99%	13,471	2.99%	497	16,633
Washington	30.56%	5,692	67.40%	12,556	2.04%	380	18,628
Webster	34.50%	6,260	63.61%	11,542	1.89%	343	18,145
West Baton Rouge	42.35%	5,383	54.49%	6,927	3.16%	402	12,712
West Carroll	15.02%	715	83.42%	3,970	1.55%	74	4,759
West Feliciana	38.77%	2,248	58.46%	3,390	2.78%	161	5,799
Winn	25.80%	1,644	72.32%	4,608	1.88%	120	6,372

By congressional district

Trump won 5 of the 6 congressional districts in Louisiana.

District	Trump	Clinton	Representative
1st	69%	27%	Steve Scalise
2nd	22%	75%	Cedric Richmond
3rd	67%	29%	Clay Higgins
4th	61%	37%	Mike Johnson
5th	64%	34%	Ralph Abraham
6th	65%	31%	Garret Graves

Analysis

Donald Trump won the election in Louisiana with 58.1% of the vote. Hillary Clinton received 38.4% of the vote.^[17] Of the 2,029,032 total votes cast, Trump had 1,178,638 while Clinton had 780,154 votes.^[18] All of Louisiana's parishes voted for the same party they voted for in 2012 and 2008. As a result, this marked the first time since 1992 that East Baton Rouge Parish backed the losing candidate of the election, and the first time since 1948 East Baton Rouge voted Democratic three elections in a row.

Louisiana was one of eleven states that voted twice for Bill Clinton in 1992 and 1996 which Hillary Clinton lost in 2016.

References

^ "Voter Statistics for November 8, 2016". Louisiana Secretary of State. Retrieved July 23, 2020.
^ "Distribution of Electoral Votes". National Archives and Records Administration. Retrieved January 3, 2019.
^ "Twenty-Four Presidential Candidates Qualify for Louisiana Presidential Primaries | Ballot Access News". Ballot-access.org. 2015-12-04. Retrieved 2016-11-13.
^ The Green Papers
^ Louisiana Secretary of States
^ Epstein, Reid J. (2016-03-24). "Ted Cruz Gains in Louisiana After Loss There to Donald Trump". WSJ.com. Retrieved 2016-11-13.
^ Katiana Krawchenko (2016-05-04). "Louisiana's five Rubio delegates back Trump, call for Rubio as VP". CBS News. Retrieved 2016-11-13.
^ "BREAKING: Trump Gains Seven More Delegates From Louisiana After Rubio Delegates Finally Switch". The Hayride. 2016-05-07. Retrieved 2016-11-13.
^ "Our final map has Clinton winning with 352 electoral votes. Compare your picks with ours". Los Angeles Times. 2016-11-06. Retrieved 2016-11-13.
^ "Road to 270: CNN's general election map - CNNPolitics.com". Cnn.com. 2016-11-08. Retrieved 2016-11-13.
^ "Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2016 President". Centerforpolitics.org. 2016-11-07. Retrieved 2016-11-13.
^ Todd, Chuck. "NBC's Final Battleground Map Shows Clinton With a Significant Lead". NBC News. Retrieved 2016-11-13.
^ "2016 Election Maps - Battle for White House". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved 2016-11-13.
^ "Electoral Scorecard: Map shifts again in Trump's favor, as Clinton holds edge". Fox News. 2016-11-07. Retrieved 2016-11-13.
^ "The Final 15: The Latest Polls in the Swing States That Will Decide the Election". Abcnews.go.com. 2016-11-07. Retrieved 2016-11-13.
^ "Louisiana Results". The New York Times. Retrieved 21 July 2020.
^ "Louisiana Election Results 2016". The New York Times. 2016-11-08. Retrieved 2016-11-13.
^ "2016 Presidential General Election Results".

External links

[1] "Voter Statistics for November 8, 2016". Louisiana Secretary of State. Retrieved July 23, 2020.

[2] "Distribution of Electoral Votes". National Archives and Records Administration. Retrieved January 3, 2019.

[3] "Twenty-Four Presidential Candidates Qualify for Louisiana Presidential Primaries | Ballot Access News". Ballot-access.org. 2015-12-04. Retrieved 2016-11-13.

[4] The Green Papers

[5] Louisiana Secretary of States

[6] Epstein, Reid J. (2016-03-24). "Ted Cruz Gains in Louisiana After Loss There to Donald Trump". WSJ.com. Retrieved 2016-11-13.

[7] Katiana Krawchenko (2016-05-04). "Louisiana's five Rubio delegates back Trump, call for Rubio as VP". CBS News. Retrieved 2016-11-13.

[8] "BREAKING: Trump Gains Seven More Delegates From Louisiana After Rubio Delegates Finally Switch". The Hayride. 2016-05-07. Retrieved 2016-11-13.

[9] "Our final map has Clinton winning with 352 electoral votes. Compare your picks with ours". Los Angeles Times. 2016-11-06. Retrieved 2016-11-13.

[10] "Road to 270: CNN's general election map - CNNPolitics.com". Cnn.com. 2016-11-08. Retrieved 2016-11-13.

[11] "Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2016 President". Centerforpolitics.org. 2016-11-07. Retrieved 2016-11-13.

[12] Todd, Chuck. "NBC's Final Battleground Map Shows Clinton With a Significant Lead". NBC News. Retrieved 2016-11-13.

[13] "2016 Election Maps - Battle for White House". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved 2016-11-13.

[14] "Electoral Scorecard: Map shifts again in Trump's favor, as Clinton holds edge". Fox News. 2016-11-07. Retrieved 2016-11-13.

[15] "The Final 15: The Latest Polls in the Swing States That Will Decide the Election". Abcnews.go.com. 2016-11-07. Retrieved 2016-11-13.

[Official-16] "Louisiana Results". The New York Times. Retrieved 21 July 2020.

[17] "Louisiana Election Results 2016". The New York Times. 2016-11-08. Retrieved 2016-11-13.

[18] "2016 Presidential General Election Results".

[1]

[2]

[3]

[4]

[5]

[6]

[7]

[8]

[9]

[10]

[11]

[12]

[13]

[14]

[15]

[16]

[17]

[18]