High-yield debt
In finance, a high-yield bond (non-investment-grade bond, speculative-grade bond, or junk bond) is a bond that is rated below investment grade by credit rating agencies. These bonds have a higher risk of default or other adverse credit events, but offer higher yields than investment-grade bonds in order to compensate for the increased risk.
Default risk
The risk associated with high-yield bonds is largely due to default risk, also known as credit quality: the risk that the issuer will be unable to make scheduled interest and principal payments on the security in a timely manner.[1][2] The default rate in the high-yield sector of the U.S. bond market has averaged about 5% over the long term. During the pandemic of 2020, default rates rose just under 9%. [3]During the "panic" of 1989-90, the default rate was in the 5.6% to 7% range, and high-yield debt was trading at discounts of 30% to 40% of par value.[4]
A recession and accompanying weakening of business conditions tends to increase the possibility of default in the high-yield bond sector. Accordingly, speculative-grade bonds typically offer a higher yield to compensate investors for the higher default risk.[citation needed]
Investors
Institutional investors (such as (pension funds, mutual funds, banks and insurance companies) are the largest purchasers of high-yield debt. Individual investors invest in the sector mainly through mutual funds.[5]
Some institutional investors have by-laws that prohibit investing in bonds which have ratings below a particular level. As a result, the lower-rated securities may have a different investor base than investment-grade bonds. [citation needed].
Usage
Corporate debt
The original speculative grade bonds were bonds that once had been investment grade at time of issue, but where the credit rating of the issuer had slipped and the possibility of default increased significantly. These bonds are called "fallen angels".
The investment banker Michael Milken realized that fallen angels had regularly been valued less than what they were worth. His time with speculative grade bonds started with his investment in these. Only later did he and other investment bankers at Drexel Burnham Lambert, followed by those of competing firms, begin organizing the issue of bonds that were speculative grade from the start.[citation needed] Speculative grade bonds thus became ubiquitous in the 1980s as a financing tool in leveraged buyouts and hostile takeovers.[6] In a leveraged buyout (LBO), an acquirer would issue speculative grade bonds to help pay for an acquisition and then use the target's cash flow to help pay the debt over time.
In 2005, over 80% of the principal amount of high-yield debt issued by U.S. companies went toward corporate purposes rather than acquisitions or buyouts.[7]
In emerging markets, such as China and Vietnam, bonds have become increasingly important as term financing options, since access to traditional bank credits has always been proved to be limited, especially if borrowers are non-state corporates. The corporate bond market has been developing in line with the general trend of capital market, and equity market in particular.[8]
Debt repackaging and subprime crisis
High-yield bonds can also be repackaged into collateralized debt obligations (CDO), thereby raising the credit rating of the senior tranches above the rating of the original debt. The senior tranches of high-yield CDOs can thus meet the minimum credit rating requirements of pension funds and other institutional investors despite the significant risk in the original high-yield debt.
When such CDOs are backed by assets of dubious value, such as subprime mortgage loans, and lose market liquidity, the bonds and their derivatives become what is referred to as "toxic debt". Holding such "toxic" assets led to the demise of several investment banks such as Lehman Brothers and other financial institutions during the subprime mortgage crisis of 2007–09 and led the US Treasury to seek congressional appropriations to buy those assets in September 2008 to prevent a systemic crisis of the banks.[9]
Such assets represent a serious problem for purchasers because of their complexity. Having been repackaged perhaps several times, it is difficult and time-consuming for auditors and accountants to determine their true value. As the recession of 2008–09 hit, their value decreased further as more debtors defaulted, so they represented a rapidly depreciating asset. Even those assets that might have gone up in value in the long-term depreciated rapidly, quickly becoming "toxic" for the banks that held them.[10] Toxic assets, by increasing the variance of banks' assets, can turn otherwise healthy institutions into zombies. Potentially insolvent banks made too few good loans creating a debt overhang problem.[11] Alternatively, potentially insolvent banks with toxic assets sought out very risky speculative loans to shift risk onto their depositors and other creditors.[12]
On March 23, 2009, U.S. Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner announced a Public-Private Investment Partnership (PPIP) to buy toxic assets from banks' balance sheets. The major stock market indices in the United States rallied on the day of the announcement rising by over six percent with the shares of bank stocks leading the way.[13] PPIP has two primary programs. The Legacy Loans Program will attempt to buy residential loans from banks' balance sheets. The Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation will provide non-recourse loan guarantees for up to 85 percent of the purchase price of legacy loans. Private sector asset managers and the U.S. Treasury will provide the remaining assets. The second program is called the legacy securities program which will buy mortgage backed securities (RMBS) that were originally rated AAA and commercial mortgage-backed securities (CMBS) and asset-backed securities (ABS) which are rated AAA. The funds will come in many instances in equal parts from the U.S. Treasury's Troubled Asset Relief Program monies, private investors, and from loans from the Federal Reserve's Term Asset Lending Facility (TALF). The initial size of the Public Private Investment Partnership is projected to be $500 billion.[14] Nobel Prize–winning economist Paul Krugman has been very critical of this program arguing the non-recourse loans lead to a hidden subsidy that will be split by asset managers, banks' shareholders and creditors.[15] Banking analyst Meredith Whitney argues that banks will not sell bad assets at fair market values because they are reluctant to take asset write downs.[16] Removing toxic assets would also reduce the volatility of banks' stock prices. Because stock is akin to a call option on a firm's assets, this lost volatility will hurt the stock price of distressed banks. Therefore, such banks will only sell toxic assets at above market prices.[17]
The U.S. high-yield bond market
U.S. high-yield bonds outstanding as of the first quarter of 2021 are estimated to be about $1.7 trillion, comprising about 16% of the U.S. corporate bond market, which totals $10.7 trillion. New issuances amounted to $435 billion in 2020.[18][19]
High-yield bond indices
High-yield bond indices exist for dedicated investors in the market. Indices for the broad high-yield market include the S&P U.S. Issued High Yield Corporate Bond Index (SPUSCHY), CSFB High Yield II Index (CSHY), Citigroup US High-Yield Market Index, the Merrill Lynch High Yield Master II (H0A0), the Barclays High Yield Index, and the Bear Stearns High Yield Index (BSIX). Some investors, preferring to dedicate themselves to higher-rated and less-risky investments, use an index that only includes BB-rated and B-rated securities, such as the Merrill Lynch Global High Yield BB-B Rated Index (HW40). Other investors focus on the lowest quality debt rated CCC or distressed securities, commonly defined as those yielding 1500 basis points over equivalent government bonds. [citation needed]
EU member state debt crisis
On 27 April 2010, the Greek debt rating was decreased to "junk" status by Standard & Poor's amidst fears of default by the Greek Government.[20] They also cut Portugal's credit ratings by two notches to A, over concerns about its state debt and public finances on 28 April.[21] On 5 July 2011, Portugal's rating was decreased to "junk" status by Moody's (by four notches from Baa1 to Ba2) saying there was a growing risk the country would need a second bail-out before it was ready to borrow money from financial markets again, and private lenders might have to contribute.[22]
On 13 July 2012, Moody's cut Italy's credit rating two notches, to Baa2 (leaving it just above junk). Moody's warned the country it could be cut further.
With the ongoing deleveraging process within the European banking system, many European CFOs are still issuing high-yield bonds. As a result, by the end of September 2012, the total amount of annual primary bond issuances stood at €50 billion. It is assumed that high-yield bonds are still attractive for companies with a stable funding base, although the ratings have declined continuously for most of those bonds.[23][permanent dead link]
See also
References
- ^ Thau, Annette. The Bond Book. New York: McGraw-Hill. p. 208. ISBN 0-07-135862-5.
- ^ Dattatreya, Ravi E. and Fabozzi, Frank J. (1997). The Handbook of Fixed Income Securities (edited by Frank Fabozzi) (fifth ed.). New York: McGraw Hill. p. 21. ISBN 0-7863-1095-2.
{{cite book}}: CS1 maint: multiple names: authors list (link) - ^ "America's high-yield debt is on ever-shakier foundations". The Economist. Retrieved 1 July 2021.
- ^ Thau op cit. p. 209.
- ^ Thau op cit. p. 211.
- ^ Thau op cit p. 208.
- ^ Aaron Katsman (June 6, 2012). "Need more retirement income? Look at high yield bonds". The Jerusalem Post.
- ^ "Vietnam's corporate bond market, 1990–2010: Some reflections" (PDF). The Journal of Economic Policy and Research, 6(1): 1–47. March 15, 2011. Archived from the original (PDF) on September 26, 2020. Retrieved November 27, 2010.
- ^ "The collapse of Lehman Brothers". The Daily Telegraph. Retrieved August 1, 2014.
- ^ "Marketplace Whiteboard: Toxic assets". Marketplace. Archived from the original on 2012-07-11. Retrieved 2009-03-20.
- ^ Wilson, Linus (February 2, 2009). "Debt Overhang and Bank Bailouts" (Document). SSRN. doi:10.2139/ssrn.1336288.
{{cite document}}: Unknown parameter|s2cid=ignored (help); Unknown parameter|ssrn=ignored (help) - ^ Wilson, Linus; Wu, Yan Wendy (2010). "Common (stock) sense about risk-shifting and bank bailouts". Financial Markets and Portfolio Management. 24 (1): 3–29. doi:10.1007/s11408-009-0125-y. S2CID 153441066. SSRN 1321666.
- ^ Andrews, Edmund L.; Dash, Eric (March 24, 2009). "U.S. Expands Plan to Buy Banks' Troubled Assets". New York Times. Retrieved February 12, 2009.
- ^ "FACT SHEET PUBLIC-PRIVATE INVESTMENT PROGRAM" (PDF). U.S. Treasury. March 23, 2009. Archived from the original (PDF) on March 24, 2009. Retrieved March 26, 2009.
- ^ Paul Krugman (March 23, 2009). "Geithner plan arithmetic". New York Times. Retrieved March 27, 2009.
- ^ "Meredith Whitney: A Bad Bank Won't Save Banks". businessinsider.com. January 29, 2009. Retrieved March 27, 2009.
- ^ Wilson, Linus (January 2010). "The put problem with buying toxic assets". Applied Financial Economics. 20 (1–2): 31–35. doi:10.1080/09603100903262954. S2CID 218640283. SSRN 1343625.
- ^ "The Economist op cit".
- ^ "U.S. Corporate Bonds Statistics". SIRMA Research. Retrieved 2 July 2021.
- ^ Ewing, Jack; Healy, Jack (April 27, 2010). "Greek Debt Rating cut to Junk Status". The New York Times. Retrieved October 15, 2020.
- ^ "Fears grow over Greece shockwaves". BBC News. April 28, 2010. Retrieved May 4, 2010.
- ^ "Portugal's debt is downgraded to junk status by Moody's". BBC News. July 5, 2011. Retrieved July 5, 2011.
- ^ "Fitch: High-Yields to Remain Good Alternative in Europe". CFO Insight Fitch. December 12, 2012. Retrieved 12 December 2012.
External links
- Yago, Glenn (2008). "Junk Bonds". In David R. Henderson (ed.). Concise Encyclopedia of Economics (2nd ed.). Indianapolis: Library of Economics and Liberty. ISBN 978-0865976658. OCLC 237794267.
