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2023 Alberta general election

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31st Alberta general election
← 2019 On or before May 31, 2023 (On or before May 31, 2023)
All 87 seats in the Legislative Assembly of Alberta
44 seats needed for a majority
 
Leader Jason Kenney Rachel Notley Jacquie Fenske
Party United Conservative New Democratic Alberta Party
Leader since October 28, 2017 October 18, 2014 February 10, 2020
(Interim until October 23, 2021)[1]
Leader's seat Calgary-Lougheed Edmonton-Strathcona No seat
Last election 63 seats, 54.88% 24 seats, 32.67% 0 seats, 9.08%
Current seats 61 24 0
Seats needed Steady Increase20 Increase44
  class="notheme" style="text-align:center;border-bottom: 6px solid #
  1. 0F8753" |
Leader Paul Hinman
Party Wildrose Independence Party of Alberta
Leader since July 17, 2020
Leader's seat No seat
Last election pre-creation
Current seats 0
Seats needed Increase44
Incumbent Premier

Jason Kenney
United Conservative



The 31st Alberta general election will be held in Alberta, Canada, to elect the members of the Legislative Assembly of Alberta. According to Alberta's Election Act, it must be held between March 1, 2023, and May 31, 2023, but that does not affect the powers of the Lieutenant Governor of Alberta to dissolve the legislature before that time, in accordance with the usual conventions of the Westminster parliamentary system.

Timeline

2019

2020

2021

  • January 4: Six UCP MLAs are demoted by Jason Kenney for travelling internationally during the COVID-19 pandemic in Alberta.[15]
  • January 14: Pat Rehn is removed from the UCP caucus to sit as an independent. Jason Kenney cited a lack of constituency work as the reason for the removal.[16]
  • March 6: John Roggeveen is appointed interim leader of the Alberta Liberal Party.[17]
  • April 7: 17 UCP MLAs sign an open letter criticizing the Alberta government for reimposing more stringent public health restrictions aimed at combatting COVID-19.[18][19]
  • May 13: UCP MLA Todd Loewen resigns as UCP Caucus Chair and releases a letter calling on Jason Kenney to resign.[20] Loewen and Drew Barnes are expelled from the UCP caucus through a caucus-wide vote. Both MLAS had criticized the UCP government's response to COVID-19. Both will sit as independents.[21]
  • July 14: Pat Rehn, Independent MLA for Lesser Slave Lake rejoins the UCP Caucus. [22][23]

Opinion polling

Voting Intentions in Alberta since the 2019 Election

The following is a list of published opinion polls of voter intentions.

Pollster Client Dates
conducted 		Sample
size 		Polling
method 		Margin of error UCP NDP Alberta Liberal IPA Green Wildrose Others Lead
Angus Reid[p 1] N/A June 2–7, 2021 502 Online 4% 30% 41% 7% 1% — — 20% 2% 11%
Mainstreet Research[p 2] Western Standard May 19–20, 2021 1,010 IVR 3% 31% 38% 6% 3% — 3% 17% — 7%
Janet Brown Opinion Research[p 3] CBC Mar 15–Apr 10, 2021 1,200 Online 2.1% 37% 45% 6% — — — 6% 7% 8%
Leger[p 4] Calgary Herald Mar 5–8, 2021 1,001 Online 3.1% 30% 51% 5% 7% — — — 6% 21%
Commonground[p 5] N/A Mar 1–8, 2021 802 Online N/A 32% 42% 5% 6% — — 4% 9% 9%
Angus Reid[p 6] N/A Feb 26–Mar 3, 2021 603 Online 4% 38% 41% 10% — — — — 11% 3%
Mainstreet Research[p 7] Western Standard Jan 6–7, 2021 1,003 Smart IVR 3.1% 31% 48% 4% 3% — 2% 10% 2% 17%
Research Co.[p 8] N/A Dec 2–4, 2020 600 Online 4% 40% 43% 9% 2% — 2% 2% — 3%
Angus Reid[p 9] N/A Nov 24–30, 2020 553 Online — 43% 39% 10% — — — — 8% 4%
Environics Research[p 10] CUPE Nov 10–23, 2020 1,205 — — 40% 47% 8% — — — — 5% 7%
Angus Reid[p 11] N/A Aug 26–Sept 1, 2020 512 Online 4% 38% 38% 9% — 7% — — 8% Tie
Commonground[p 12] N/A Aug 17–30, 2020 824 Online N/A 37% 30% — 11% — — — 21% 7%
Innovative Research Group[p 13] N/A Jul 14–20, 2020 300 Online — 42% 32% 9% 12% — 3% — 3% 10%
Innovative Research Group[p 14] N/A Jun 19–June 23, 2020 267 Online — 44% 38% 5% 6% — 3% — 3% 6%
Innovative Research Groupp[p 15] N/A May 29–June 1, 2020 276 Online — 42% 28% 11% 14% — 3% — 2% 14%
Janet Brown Opinion Research[p 16] CBC May 25–June 1, 2020 900 Online 3.3% 46% 36% 10% 6% — — — 3% 10%
Angus Reid[p 17] N/A May 19–24, 2020 580 Online 1.4% 42% 36% 5% — 8% — — 8% 6%
Northwest Research Poll[p 18] Western Standard May 14–19, 2020 1,094 IVR 3% 40% 34% 8% 7% — 1% 10% — 6%
Innovative Research Group[p 19] N/A May 1–5, 2020 314 Online — 45% 30% 6% 8% — 7% — 2% 15%
Angus Reid[p 20] N/A Feb 24–28, 2020 555 Online — 40% 36% 8% — 9% — — 7% 4%
Mainstreet Research[p 21] 338Canada Feb 22, 2020 751 IVR 4% 47% 38% 6% 4% — — — 5% 9%
Stratcom[p 22] N/A Nov 21, 2019 1,798 IVR 2.2% 42% 46% — — — — — 12% 4%
2019 general election April 16, 2019 — — — 54.9% 32.7% 9.1% 1.0% 0.7% 0.4% — 1.2% 22.2%

Opinion poll sources

  1. ^ "Premiers' Performance: Ford and Kenney's popularity & political fortunes bear brunt of pandemic management" (PDF). Angus Reid Institute. June 9, 2021. Retrieved June 9, 2021.
  2. ^ "EXCLUSIVE POLL: NDP 35, UCP 28, Wildrose 16". Western Standard. May 21, 2021. Retrieved May 21, 2021.
  3. ^ Anderson, Drew (April 14, 2021). "Alberta NDP would likely form majority if election held today, new poll suggests". CBC. Retrieved April 12, 2021.
  4. ^ Wesley, Jared; Snagovsky, Feodor (March 14, 2021). "Alberta Budget Rebound and Optimism" (PDF). QC 125. Leger. Retrieved March 14, 2021.
  5. ^ "Viewpoint Alberta: Major Shifts in Vote Intentions". commongroundpolitics.ca. March 18, 2021. Retrieved March 18, 2021.
  6. ^ "Alberta Politics: NDP holds slight lead in vote intention over UCP". Angus Reid Institute. March 12, 2021. Retrieved March 12, 2021.
  7. ^ Naylor, Dave (January 8, 2021). "EXCLUSIVE: New poll shows UCP collapse as NDP & Wildrose surge". The Western Standard. Retrieved January 13, 2021.
  8. ^ Canseco, Mario (December 7, 2020). "Opposition NDP Edges Ahead of Governing UCP in Alberta". Research Co. Retrieved January 13, 2021.
  9. ^ "Provincial Spotlight: As pandemic wears on, governments losing support on economic, COVID-19 management". Angus Reid Institute. December 10, 2020. Retrieved January 13, 2021.
  10. ^ "Albertans ready to change government". CUPE Alberta (Press release). November 26, 2020. Retrieved January 13, 2021.
  11. ^ "Alberta Spotlight: As dissatisfaction with UCP intensifies, voters say they're ready to take another look at the NDP". Angus Reid Institute. September 14, 2020. Retrieved January 13, 2021.
  12. ^ Snagovsky, Feodor; Wesley, Jared (March 18, 2021). "Support for Political Parties and Leaders in Alberta". commongroundpolitics.ca. Retrieved March 18, 2021.
  13. ^ "Alberta Politics in the time of COVID-19: July 2020 Update" (PDF). Innovative Research Group. July 29, 2020. Retrieved January 13, 2021.
  14. ^ "Canada This Month, National Political Overview" (PDF). Innovative Research Group. June 26, 2020. Retrieved January 13, 2021.
  15. ^ "Canada This Month, National Political Overview" (PDF). Innovative Research Group. June 4, 2020. Retrieved January 13, 2021.
  16. ^ DeCillia, Brooks (June 10, 2020). "CBC News poll: Kenney, UCP would handily win election if held now". CBC News. Retrieved January 13, 2021.
  17. ^ "Provincial Spotlight: COVID-19 creates comfort zone for incumbent governments coast to coast". Angus Reid Institute. June 8, 2020. Retrieved January 13, 2021.
  18. ^ Naylor, Dave (May 28, 2020). "POLL: UCP 40, NDP, 34, WIP 10". The Western Standard. Retrieved January 13, 2021.
  19. ^ "Canada This Month, Federal Politics" (PDF). Innovative Research Group. May 6, 2020. Retrieved January 13, 2021.
  20. ^ "Provincial Spotlight: A cross-country breakdown of what issues matter most and government performance ratings". Angus Reid Institute. March 13, 2020. Retrieved January 13, 2021.
  21. ^ Fournier, Philippe J. (February 24, 2020). "338Canada: Jason Kenney still holds a commanding lead in Alberta - Macleans.ca". Maclean's. Retrieved January 13, 2021.
  22. ^ Polling Canada [@CanadianPolling] (December 20, 2019). "Alberta Provincial Polling" (Tweet). Retrieved January 13, 2021 – via Twitter.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: url-status (link)


References

  1. ^ February 06; 2021. "Alberta Party Announces Leadership Race Dates". Alberta Party. Retrieved April 3, 2021. {{cite web}}: |last2= has numeric name (help)CS1 maint: numeric names: authors list (link)
  2. ^ Leavitt, Kieran; Maimann, Kevin (April 30, 2019). "Jason Kenney sworn in as 18th premier of Alberta, names his UCP cabinet". thestar.com. Retrieved August 28, 2020.
  3. ^ "Derek Fildebrandt resigns as leader of upstart Freedom Conservative Party". Calgary Herald. The Canadian Press. April 30, 2019. Retrieved September 2, 2020.
  4. ^ Leavitt, Kieran (May 21, 2019). "United Conservatives lay out agenda as new Speaker named to Alberta legislature". thestar.com. Retrieved April 8, 2021.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: url-status (link)
  5. ^ "Alberta Party leader Stephen Mandel steps down to pursue his role as Chancellor at Concordia University". Alberta Party (Press release). June 28, 2019. Retrieved August 27, 2020.
  6. ^ Graney, Emma (June 28, 2019). "Alberta Party leader Stephen Mandel steps down". Edmonton Journal. Retrieved April 2, 2021.
  7. ^ "Green Party Leader Steps Down, Interim Leader Appointed". Green Party of Alberta (Press release). September 4, 2019. Retrieved August 28, 2020.
  8. ^ "Alberta Green Party leader resigns after just 1 year in charge". CBC News. Calgary. September 7, 2019. Retrieved April 24, 2021.
  9. ^ "Acting Leader Appointed - Welcome Jacquie Fenske". Alberta Party (Press release). February 10, 2020. Retrieved August 27, 2020.
  10. ^ French, Janet (February 10, 2020). "Jacquie Fenske appointed acting leader of Alberta Party". Edmonton Journal. Retrieved April 2, 2021.
  11. ^ "Jordan Wilkie Elected Leader of the Green Party Of Alberta" (Press release). Green Party of Alberta. March 28, 2020. Archived from the original on April 25, 2020. Retrieved April 25, 2020.
  12. ^ Labby, Bryan (June 30, 2020). "Wexit Alberta and Freedom Conservative Party vote to merge as Wildrose Independence Party of Alberta". CBC News. Retrieved August 27, 2020.
  13. ^ Gilligan, Melissa (July 17, 2020). "Paul Hinman named interim leader of Alberta's new Wildrose Independence Party". Global News. Retrieved July 18, 2020.
  14. ^ Rieger, Sarah (November 22, 2020). "Alberta Liberal Leader David Khan steps down". CBC. Retrieved December 1, 2020.
  15. ^ Antoneshyn, Alex (January 4, 2021). "6 Alberta government members demoted amid international travel controversy". CTV News Edmonton. Retrieved January 24, 2021.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: url-status (link)
  16. ^ Ramsay, Caley (January 14, 2021). "Premier Jason Kenney removes MLA Pat Rehn from UCP caucus". Global News. Retrieved January 14, 2021.
  17. ^ Wyld, Adrian (March 6, 2021). "Alberta Liberals appoint John Roggeveen as interim party leader". The Globe and Mail. Retrieved March 7, 2021.{{cite news}}: CS1 maint: url-status (link)
  18. ^ Ritchie, Josh (April 7, 2021). "Seventeen UCP MLAs release statement opposing pandemic restrictions - 660 NEWS". www.660citynews.com. Retrieved April 8, 2021.
  19. ^ Barnes, Drew [@drew__barnes] (April 7, 2021). "A Statement from 15 UCP MLAs to all Albertans" (Tweet). Retrieved April 8, 2021 – via Twitter.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: url-status (link)
  20. ^ Vanderveen, Randy (May 13, 2021). "Todd Loewen resigns as United Conservative Party Caucus Chair". Grande Prairie Daily Herald-Tribune. Archived from the original on May 22, 2021.
  21. ^ "Drew Barnes & Todd Loewen expelled from UCP Caucus". Western Standard. May 13, 2021. Retrieved May 13, 2021.
  22. ^ "NEWS RELEASE: United Conservative Caucus welcomes back MLA Rehn" (Press release). July 14, 2021.{{cite press release}}: CS1 maint: url-status (link)
  23. ^ Riebe, Natasha (July 14, 2021). "Ousted Alberta MLA Pat Rehn invited back into UCP fold". CBC News. Edmonton. Retrieved July 19, 2021.

Footnotes

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