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2022 United States Senate elections

November 8, 2022
35 of the 100 seats in the United States Senate 51 seats needed for a majority
Leader Chuck Schumer Mitch McConnell Party Democratic Republican Leader since January 3, 2017 January 3, 2007 Leader's seat New York Kentucky Last election 48 50 Seats needed 1 Seats up 14 21   Party Independent Current seats 2 Seats up 0
Map of the incumbents:      Democratic incumbent running      Democratic incumbent retiring      Republican incumbent running      Republican incumbent retiring      No election Rectangular inset (Oklahoma): both seats up for election
Incumbent Majority Leader Chuck Schumer Democratic

The 2022 United States Senate elections will be held on November 8, 2022, with 34 of the 100 seats in the Senate being contested in regular elections, the winners of which will serve six-year terms in the United States Congress from January 3, 2023, to January 3, 2029. Senators are divided into three groups, or classes, whose terms are staggered so that a different class is elected every two years. Class 3 senators, who were last elected in 2016, will be up for election again in 2022.

All 34 Class 3 Senate seats are up for election in 2022; Class 3 currently consists of 14 Democrats and 20 Republicans. Two special elections will also be held—in California, to fill the final weeks of Kamala Harris' term, and in Oklahoma, to serve the four remaining years of Jim Inhofe's term.

Six Republican senators, Richard Shelby (Alabama), Roy Blunt (Missouri), Richard Burr (North Carolina), Rob Portman (Ohio), Jim Inhofe (Oklahoma), Pat Toomey (Pennsylvania), as well as one Democratic senator, Patrick Leahy (Vermont), have announced that they are not seeking re-election; 15 Republicans and 13 Democrats are running for re-election.

Numerous other federal, state, and local elections, including the 2022 House elections, will also be held on this date. The winners of these elections will serve beginning in the 118th United States Congress. Democrats have held a majority in the Senate since January 20, 2021, following the party's twin victories in the runoffs for Georgia's regularly-scheduled and special 2020 Senate elections, and the inauguration of Democrat Kamala Harris as vice president. There are 48 Democratic senators and two independent senators who caucus with them; with Harris' tie-breaking vote, the Democrats hold an effective 51-seat majority in the chamber.

This will be the first time in U.S. history in which multiple Senate races in the same year are contested between two African-American nominees (Georgia and South Carolina). Three previous elections have taken place with two major-party African-American candidates.

Predictions

Several sites and individuals publish predictions of competitive seats. These predictions look at factors such as the strength of the incumbent (if the incumbent is running for re-election) and the other candidates and the state's partisan lean (reflected in part by the state's Cook Partisan Voting Index rating). The predictions assign ratings to each seat, indicating the predicted advantage that a party had in winning that seat. Most election predictors use:

• "tossup" / "battleground": no advantage
• "tilt" (used by some predictors): minimal, smallest advantage
• "lean": slight advantage
• "likely": significant, but surmountable, advantage
• "safe" or "solid": near-certain chance of victory

Constituency		Incumbent		2022 election ratings
State	CPVI	Senator	Last election	Cook Oct 4, 2022	IE Oct 7, 2022	Sabato Aug 31, 2022	Politico Sep 5, 2022	RCP Sep 20, 2022	Fox Sep 20, 2022	DDHQ Oct 5, 2022	538 Oct 7, 2022	Economist Oct 5, 2022	WSJ Oct 7, 2022
Alabama	R+15	Richard Shelby (retiring)	64.0% R	Solid R	Solid R	Safe R	Solid R	Safe R	Solid R	Solid R	Solid R	Safe R	Safe R
Alaska	R+8	Lisa Murkowski	44.4% R	Solid R	Solid R	Safe R	Solid R	Safe R (Tshibaka)	Solid R	Solid R	Solid R	Safe R	Safe R
Arizona	R+2	Mark Kelly	51.2% D (2020 sp.)	Lean D	Tilt D	Lean D	Lean D	Likely R (flip)	Tossup	Likely D	Likely D	Likely D	Lean D
Arkansas	R+16	John Boozman	59.8% R	Solid R	Solid R	Safe R	Solid R	Safe R	Solid R	Solid R	Solid R	Safe R	Safe R
California	D+13	Alex Padilla	Appointed (2021)	Solid D	Solid D	Safe D	Solid D	Lean D	Solid D	Solid D	Solid D	Safe D	Safe D
Colorado	D+4	Michael Bennet	50.0% D	Lean D	Likely D	Likely D	Lean D	Lean R (flip)	Lean D	Likely D	Likely D	Likely D	Likely D
Connecticut	D+7	Richard Blumenthal	63.2% D	Solid D	Solid D	Safe D	Likely D	Tilt D	Likely D	Solid D	Solid D	Safe D	Safe D
Florida	R+3	Marco Rubio	52.0% R	Lean R	Likely R	Likely R	Lean R	Safe R	Lean R	Likely R	Likely R	Lean R	Likely R
Georgia	R+3	Raphael Warnock	51.0% D (2021 sp. runoff)	Tossup	Tossup	Tossup	Tossup	Lean R (flip)	Tossup	Likely D	Lean D	Lean D	Tossup
Hawaii	D+14	Brian Schatz	73.6% D	Solid D	Solid D	Safe D	Solid D	Likely D	Solid D	Solid D	Solid D	Safe D	Safe D
Idaho	R+18	Mike Crapo	66.1% R	Solid R	Solid R	Safe R	Solid R	Safe R	Solid R	Solid R	Solid R	Safe R	Safe R
Illinois	D+7	Tammy Duckworth	54.9% D	Solid D	Solid D	Safe D	Solid D	Tilt R (flip)	Solid D	Solid D	Solid D	Safe D	Safe D
Indiana	R+11	Todd Young	52.1% R	Solid R	Solid R	Safe R	Solid R	Safe R	Solid R	Solid R	Solid R	Safe R	Safe R
Iowa	R+6	Chuck Grassley	60.1% R	Solid R	Solid R	Safe R	Solid R	Safe R	Likely R	Solid R	Solid R	Safe R	Safe R
Kansas	R+10	Jerry Moran	62.2% R	Solid R	Solid R	Safe R	Solid R	Safe R	Solid R	Solid R	Solid R	Safe R	Safe R
Kentucky	R+16	Rand Paul	57.3% R	Solid R	Solid R	Safe R	Likely R	Safe R	Solid R	Solid R	Solid R	Safe R	Safe R
Louisiana	R+12	John Kennedy	60.7% R	Solid R	Solid R	Safe R	Solid R	Safe R	Solid R	Solid R	Solid R	Safe R	Safe R
Maryland	D+14	Chris Van Hollen	60.9% D	Solid D	Solid D	Safe D	Solid D	Safe D	Solid D	Solid D	Solid D	Safe D	Safe D
Missouri	R+10	Roy Blunt (retiring)	49.2% R	Solid R	Solid R	Safe R	Likely R	Likely R	Solid R	Solid R	Solid R	Safe R	Safe R
Nevada	R+1	Catherine Cortez Masto	47.1% D	Tossup	Tossup	Tossup	Tossup	Tossup	Tossup	Tossup	Tossup	Tossup	Tossup
New Hampshire	D+1	Maggie Hassan	48.0% D	Lean D	Tilt D	Lean D	Lean D	Tossup	Lean D	Lean D	Likely D	Likely D	Lean D
New York	D+10	Chuck Schumer	70.6% D	Solid D	Solid D	Safe D	Solid D	Safe D	Solid D	Solid D	Solid D	Safe D	Safe D
North Carolina	R+3	Richard Burr (retiring)	51.1% R	Lean R	Tilt R	Lean R	Lean R	Tossup	Lean R	Tossup	Lean R	Tossup	Lean R
North Dakota	R+20	John Hoeven	78.5% R	Solid R	Solid R	Safe R	Solid R	Safe R	Solid R	Solid R	Solid R	Safe R	Safe R
Ohio	R+6	Rob Portman (retiring)	58.0% R	Lean R	Lean R	Lean R	Lean R	Lean R	Lean R	Tossup	Lean R	Tossup	Lean R
Oklahoma (regular)	R+20	James Lankford	67.7% R	Solid R	Solid R	Safe R	Solid R	Safe R	Solid R	Solid R	Solid R	Safe R	Safe R
Oklahoma (special)	R+20	Jim Inhofe (resigning)	62.9% R (2020)	Solid R	Solid R	Safe R	Solid R	Safe R	Solid R	Solid R	Solid R	Safe R	Safe R
Oregon	D+6	Ron Wyden	56.6% D	Solid D	Solid D	Safe D	Solid D	Safe D	Solid D	Solid D	Solid D	Safe D	Safe D
Pennsylvania	R+2	Pat Toomey (retiring)	48.8% R	Tossup	Tossup	Lean D (flip)	Tossup	Tossup	Tossup	Lean D (flip)	Lean D (flip)	Likely D (flip)	Tossup
South Carolina	R+8	Tim Scott	60.6% R	Solid R	Solid R	Safe R	Solid R	Safe R	Solid R	Solid R	Solid R	Safe R	Safe R
South Dakota	R+16	John Thune	71.8% R	Solid R	Solid R	Safe R	Solid R	Safe R	Solid R	Solid R	Solid R	Safe R	Safe R
Utah	R+13	Mike Lee	68.2% R	Likely R	Likely R	Likely R	Likely R	Safe R	Likely R	Solid R	Likely R	Safe R	Likely R
Vermont	D+16	Patrick Leahy (retiring)	61.3% D	Solid D	Solid D	Safe D	Solid D	Likely D	Solid D	Solid D	Solid D	Safe D	Safe D
Washington	D+8	Patty Murray	58.8% D	Solid D	Likely D	Safe D	Likely D	Lean D	Solid D	Solid D	Solid D	Likely D	Safe D
Wisconsin	R+2	Ron Johnson	50.2% R	Tossup	Tilt R	Lean R	Tossup	Tossup	Lean R	Likely R	Lean R	Lean R	Lean R
Overall				D – 48 R – 48 4 tossups	D – 48 R – 49 3 tossups	D – 49 R – 49 2 tossups	D – 48 R – 48 4 tossups	D – 43 R – 51 6 tossups	D – 47 R – 49 4 tossups	D – 50 R – 47 3 tossups	D – 50 R – 49 1 tossups	D – 50 R – 47 3 tossups	D – 48 R – 49 3 tossups