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2022 Nevada gubernatorial election

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See also: 2022 United States gubernatorial elections
2022 Nevada gubernatorial election
← 2018 November 8, 2022 2026 →
Reporting
83%
as of 5:25 GMT-8
 
Nominee Joe Lombardo Steve Sisolak
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 442,306 408.174
Percentage 50.1% 46.2%
Governor before election

Steve Sisolak
Democratic

Elected Governor

TBD

Elections in Nevada
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None of These Candidates

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The 2022 Nevada gubernatorial election took place on November 8, 2022, to elect the governor of Nevada. Incumbent Democratic governor Steve Sisolak was running to a second term. Clark County Sheriff Joe Lombardo was the Republican nominee.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Declined

Endorsements

Steve Sisolak
Organizations
Newspapers
Labor unions

Results

Results by county:
  Sisolak
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
  •   90–100%
Democratic primary results[9][10]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Steve Sisolak (incumbent) 157,283 89.53%
Democratic Tom Collins 12,051 6.86%
None of These Candidates 6,340 3.61%
Total votes 175,674 100.0%

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Attorney Joey Gilbert placed second in the primary
Former Senator Dean Heller placed third in the primary

Eliminated in primary

Withdrew

Declined

Debates

2022 Nevada gubernatorial Republican primary election debates[i]
No. Date Organizer Location Key:
 P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Non-invitee   I  Invitee  W  Withdrawn 		Source
Michele Fiore Joey Gilbert Tom Heck Dean Heller John Lee Joe Lombardo Guy Nohra Fred Simon Barak Zilberberg
1 January 6, 2022 Nevada Commonwealth & Sierra Republican Club Atlantis Casino Resort Spa, Reno P P P P P A P P P [28]
2 February 8, 2022 Clark County Republican Club Dragon Ridge Country Club, Henderson P P N P P A P P N [29]
3 April 20, 2022 Republican Women of Las Vegas Las Vegas W P N P P A P P N [30]
4 May 26, 2022 8 News Now Las Vegas W P N P P P P N N [31]
  1. ^ Minor candidates that didn't participate in any of the debates are omitted.

Endorsements

Joey Gilbert
Executive Branch officials
Organizations
Dean Heller
Organizations
  • Nevada Police Union[34]
Joe Lombardo
Executive Branch officials
State officials
William "Dock" Walls
Newspapers

Polling

Graphical summary
Source of poll
aggregation 		Dates
administered 		Dates
updated 		Joey
Gilbert 		Dean
Heller 		John
Lee 		Joe
Lombardo 		Guy
Nohra 		Fred
Simon 		Other
[a] 		Margin
Real Clear Politics April 25 – June 7, 2022 June 10, 2022 18.3% 14.7% 11.5% 33.0% 7.5% 3.5% 11.5% Lombardo +14.7
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[b] 		Margin
of error 		Michele
Fiore 		Joey
Gilbert 		Dean
Heller 		John
Lee 		Joe
Lombardo 		Guy
Nohra 		Fred
Simon 		None of These
Candidates 		Other Undecided
OH Predictive Insights June 6–7, 2022 525 (LV) ± 4.4% – 21% 10% 10% 34% 6% 4% 3% 4%[c] 7%
University of Nevada Reno May 17–27, 2022 368 (LV) ± 5.9% – 12% 14% 9% 47% 2% 3% – 13%[d] –
OH Predictive Insights May 10–12, 2022 500 (LV) ± 4.4% – 15% 11% 9% 35% 3% 3% 4% 5%[e] 14%
Emerson College April 30 – May 2, 2022 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% – 14% 11% 10% 33% 4% 2% – 3%[f] 25%
The Trafalgar Group (R) April 25–28, 2022 1,071 (LV) ± 3.0% – 18% 18% 13% 26% 9% 3% – 7% 6%
March 17, 2022 Fiore withdraws from the race
WPA Intelligence (R)[A] March 13–15, 2022 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 5% 9% 22% 13% 28% 1% – – 2% 17%
Public Policy Polling (D)[B] March 7–8, 2022 580 (LV) ± 4.1% 8% 12% 13% 13% 26% 1% – – – 27%
OH Predictive Insights January 19–26, 2022 230 (RV) ± 6.5% 8% 7% 9% 5% 28% 1% 2% – 1%[g] 36%
The Tarrance Group (R)[C] November 7–9, 2021 500 (LV) ± 4.5% 8% 7% 19% 5% 37% 0% 3% – 1%[h] 37%
The Mellman Group (D) September 15–22, 2021 400 (LV) ± 4.9% – 11% 31% 3% 23% 0% 1% 3% 0%[i] 27%
The Tarrance Group (R)[C] July 2021 – (LV) – – 7% 27% 13% 22% 1% – – – 28%

Results

Results by county:
  Lombardo
  •   20–30%
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  Gilbert
  •   20–30%
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
Republican primary results[9][10]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Joe Lombardo 87,761 38.40%
Republican Joey Gilbert 61,738 27.01%
Republican Dean Heller 32,087 14.04%
Republican John Jay Lee 17,846 7.81%
Republican Guy Nohra 8,348 3.65%
Republican Fred J. Simon 6,856 3.00%
Republican Thomas Heck 4,315 1.89%
None of These Candidates 4,219 1.85%
Republican Eddie Hamilton 1,293 0.57%
Republican Amber Whitley 1,238 0.54%
Republican William Walls 833 0.36%
Republican Gary Evertsen 558 0.24%
Republican Seven Achilles Evans 475 0.21%
Republican Edward O'Brien 422 0.18%
Republican Barak Zilberberg 352 0.15%
Republican Stanleigh Lusak 229 0.10%
Total votes 228,570 100.0%

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Declared

  • Brandon Davis, advertising agency owner[9]

Independent American primary

Candidates

Declared

Independents

Candidates

Declared

  • Bradley Beck, geologist[9]
  • Austin Billings, logistics professional[9]
  • Monique Richardson, pastor[9]

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[38] Tossup March 4, 2022
Inside Elections[39] Tossup September 23, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[40] Lean R (flip) November 7, 2022
Politico[41] Tossup April 1, 2022
RCP[42] Tossup January 10, 2022
Fox News[43] Tossup May 12, 2022
538[44] Lean R (flip) November 7, 2022

Endorsements

Steve Sisolak (D)
Executive Branch Officials
Organizations
Newspapers
Labor unions
Joe Lombardo (R)
Executive Branch officials
State officials
Governors
Individuals
Newspapers
Organizations

Polling

Aggregate polls
Source of poll
aggregation 		Dates
administered 		Dates
updated 		Steve
Sisolak (D) 		Joe
Lombardo (R) 		Undecided
[j] 		Margin
Real Clear Politics September 26 – November 6, 2022 November 6, 2022 44.3% 46.9% 8.8% Lombardo +2.6
FiveThirtyEight September 15, 2021 – November 6, 2022 November 6, 2022 44.9% 46.6% 8.5% Lombardo +1.7
Average 44.6% 46.8% 8.6% Lombardo +2.2
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[b] 		Margin
of error 		Steve
Sisolak (D) 		Joe
Lombardo (R) 		None of These
Candidates 		Other Undecided
The Trafalgar Group (R) November 5–7, 2022 1,089 (LV) ± 2.9% 46% 49% – 3%[k] 2%
Research Co. November 4–6, 2022 450 (LV) ± 4.6% 45% 47% – 3%[l] 5%
Data for Progress (D) November 2–6, 2022 1,100 (LV) ± 3.0% 46% 48% 2% 5%[m] –
InsiderAdvantage (R)[D] November 4, 2022 550 (LV) ± 4.2% 44% 49% – 4%[n] 4%
KAConsulting (R)[E] November 2–3, 2022 501 (LV) ± 4.4% 43% 45% – 2% 10%
Cygnal (R)[D] November 1–2, 2022 600 (LV) – 42% 47% – – 5%
Emerson College October 26–29, 2022 2,000 (LV) ± 2.1% 45% 49% – – 3%
46% 50% – – –
Suffolk University October 24–28, 2022 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 43% 43% 4% 5%[o] 6%
OH Predictive Insights October 24–27, 2022 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 45% 41% 1% 4%[p] 9%
Susquehanna Polling and Research (R)[F] October 24–27, 2022 500 (LV) ± 4.3% 44% 45% 1% 3%[q] 7%
Echelon Insights October 24–26, 2022 500 (LV) ± 4.9% 44% 45% – 4%[r] 7%
45% 48% – – 6%
The Trafalgar Group (R) October 21–24, 2022 1,100 (LV) ± 2.9% 44% 51% – 3%[s] 2%
Siena Research/NYT October 19–24, 2022 885 (LV) ± 4.2% 45% 49% – <1%[t] 5%
Phillips Academy October 22–23, 2022 1,052 (LV) ± 3.0% 50% 45% – – 5%
InsiderAdvantage (R)[D] October 20, 2022 550 (LV) ± 4.2% 43% 49% – 4%[u] 5%
CBS News/YouGov October 14–19, 2022 1,057 (LV) ± 4.4% 48% 48% – 4%[v] –
Data for Progress (D) October 13–19, 2022 819 (LV) ± 3.0% 47% 48% – 3%[w] 2%
BSP Research/Shaw & Co.[G] October 12–19, 2022 1,000 (RV) ± 3.1% 43% 41% – 6%[x] 10%
University of Nevada, Reno October 5–19, 2022 585 (LV) ± 4.0% 47% 45% – 4%[y] 5%
Rasmussen Reports (R) October 13–17, 2022 707 (LV) ± 4.0% 42% 47% – 7%[z] 4%
Suffolk University October 4–7, 2022 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 43% 44% 2% 4%[aa] 7%
CNN/SSRS September 26 – October 2, 2022 926 (RV) ± 4.7% 46% 46% 5% 2%[ab] –
828 (LV) ± 5.0% 46% 48% 4% 2%[ac] –
OH Predictive Insights September 20–29, 2022 741 (LV) ± 3.6% 42% 45% 5% 3%[ad] 5%
Big Data Poll September 18–20, 2022 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 40% 42% – 5% 13%
The Trafalgar Group (R) September 17–20, 2022 1,086 (LV) ± 2.9% 45% 48% – 5%[ae] 3%
Data for Progress (D) September 14–19, 2022 874 (LV) ± 3.0% 45% 45% – 7%[af] 3%
Emerson College September 8–10, 2022 750 (LV) ± 3.4% 40% 40% – 4% 12%
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D) August 16–24, 2022 1,332 (LV) ± 4.4% 41% 38% 3% 7%[ag] 10%
46% 48% – – 6%
The Trafalgar Group (R) August 15–18, 2022 1,082 (LV) ± 2.9% 44% 46% – 4%[ah] 6%
Suffolk University August 14–17, 2022 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 43% 40% 2% 5%[ai] 10%
Beacon Research (D)[H] July 5–20, 2022 479 (RV) ± 4.5% 49% 39% – 1% 6%
301 (LV) ± 5.6% 48% 46% – 2% 3%
Emerson College July 7–10, 2022 2,000 (RV) ± 2.1% 44% 40% – 9% 7%
The Tarrance Group (R)[I] July 5–10, 2022 600 (LV) ± 4.1% 46% 44% 5% – 5%
Change Research (D)[J] June 24–27, 2022 701 (LV) ± 3.7% 46% 43% – – 11%
WPA Intelligence (R)[A] June 4–6, 2022 502 (LV) ± 4.4% 47% 48% – – 5%
University of Nevada, Reno May 17–27, 2022 1,091 (A) ± 3.4% 43% 31% – 11% 16%
OH Predictive Insights April 1–9, 2022 748 (RV) ± 4.4% 44% 35% – – 21%
Suffolk University April 2–6, 2022 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 37% 39% 6% – 18%
Blueprint Polling (D) March 21–24, 2022 671 (LV) ± 3.8% 40% 43% – – 17%
OH Predictive Insights January 19–26, 2022 755 (RV) ± 3.6% 52% 48% – – –
Impact Research (D) December 1–7, 2021 800 (LV) ± 3.7% 47% 45% – – 8%
OnMessage Inc. (R) November 16–18, 2021 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 41% 51% – – 8%
The Mellman Group (D) September 15–22, 2021 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 45% 44% 3% – 8%
Hypothetical polling
Steve Sisolak vs. Joey Gilbert
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[b] 		Margin
of error 		Steve
Sisolak (D) 		Joey
Gilbert (R) 		None of These
Candidates 		Other Undecided
University of Nevada, Reno May 17–27, 2022 1,090 (A) ± 3.4% 43% 17% – 20% 19%
OH Predictive Insights April 1–9, 2022 748 (RV) ± 4.4% 45% 31% – – 24%
Suffolk University April 2–6, 2022 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 39% 35% 4% – 21%
Steve Sisolak vs. Dean Heller
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[b] 		Margin
of error 		Steve
Sisolak (D) 		Dean
Heller (R) 		None of These
Candidates 		Other Undecided
University of Nevada, Reno May 17–27, 2022 1,094 (A) ± 3.4% 44% 21% – 16% 18%
OH Predictive Insights April 1–9, 2022 748 (RV) ± 4.4% 46% 33% – – 21%
Suffolk University April 2–6, 2022 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 39% 39% 7% – 15%
OH Predictive Insights January 19–26, 2022 755 (RV) ± 3.6% 54% 46% – – –
Impact Research (D) December 1–7, 2021 800 (LV) ± 3.7% 47% 44% – – 8%
The Trafalgar Group (R) November 24–29, 2021 1,034 (LV) ± 3.0% 40% 47% – – 13%
OnMessage Inc. (R) November 16–18, 2021 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 43% 49% – – 8%
The Mellman Group (D) September 15–22, 2021 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 46% 43% 3% – 8%
Steve Sisolak vs. John Lee
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[b] 		Margin
of error 		Steve
Sisolak (D) 		John
Lee (R) 		None of These
Candidates 		Undecided
OH Predictive Insights April 1–9, 2022 748 (RV) ± 4.4% 46% 33% – 21%
Suffolk University April 2–6, 2022 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 37% 40% 5% 18%
Steve Sisolak vs. Guy Nohra
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[b] 		Margin
of error 		Steve
Sisolak (D) 		Guy
Nohra (R) 		None of These
Candidates 		Undecided
Suffolk University April 2–6, 2022 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 41% 29% 7% 23%

Debates

2022 Nevada gubernatorial general election debates
No. Date Host Moderator Link Democratic Republican
Key:

 P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Non-invitee   I  Invitee  W  Withdrawn

Steve Sisolak Joe Lombardo
1 October 2, 2022 KSNV C-SPAN P P

Results

2022 Nevada gubernatorial election
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Joe Lombardo 423,547 50.6%
Democratic Steve Sisolak (incumbent) 383,835 45.8%
Libertarian Brandon Davis
Independent American Ed Bridges
None of These Candidates
Total votes

See also

Notes

  1. ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  2. ^ a b c d e f Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  3. ^ Heck with 2%; Hamilton and Walls with 1%; Evans, Eversten, Lusak, O'Brien, and Zilberberg with 0%
  4. ^ Evertsen, Heck, Lusak, O'Brien, and Wells with 2%; Hamilton, Whitley, and Zilberberg with 1%; Evans with <1%
  5. ^ Sisolak (erroneously included by pollster due to an oversight) with 3%; Heck and Lusak with 1%; Evans, Evertsen, Hamilton, O'Brien, Walls, and Zilberberg with 0%
  6. ^ Hamilton and Zilberberg with 1%; Evans, Evertsen, Heck, Lusak, Walls, and Whitley with 0%
  7. ^ Heck with 1%; Zilberberg with 0%
  8. ^ Hamilton with 1%
  9. ^ Hamilton with 0%
  10. ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  11. ^ Davis (L) with 2%; "Other" with 1%
  12. ^ "Some other candidate/None of them" with 2%
  13. ^ Davis (L) with 3%; Bridges (IA) with 1%
  14. ^ Davis (L) with 4%
  15. ^ Bridges (IA) with 3%; Davis (L) with 2%
  16. ^ Bridges (IA) with 3%; Davis (L) with 1%
  17. ^ Bridges (IA) with 1%; Davis (L) with 1%; Refuse" with 1%
  18. ^ Bridges (IA) with 2%; Davis (L) with 2%
  19. ^ Davis (L) with 3%
  20. ^ Bridges (IA) with <1%; Davis (L) with <1%
  21. ^ Davis (L) with 4%
  22. ^ "Someone else" with 4%
  23. ^ Bridges (IA) with 2%; Davis (L) with 1%
  24. ^ "Someone else" with 6%
  25. ^ "Some other candidate" with 4%
  26. ^ "Some other candidate" with 7%
  27. ^ Bridges (IA) with 3%; Davis (L) with 1%
  28. ^ "Other" with 2%
  29. ^ "Other" with 2%
  30. ^ Davis (L) with 2%; Bridges (IA) with 1%
  31. ^ Davis (L) with 3%; "Other" with 2%
  32. ^ Davis (L) with 4%; Bridges (IA) with 3%
  33. ^ Bridges with 4%; Davis with 3%
  34. ^ Davis with 4%; "Other" with 1%
  35. ^ Bridges with 3%; Davis with 2%
Partisan clients
  1. ^ a b This poll was sponsored by Club for Growth Action, which supports Laxalt
  2. ^ Poll sponsored by the Democratic Governors Association
  3. ^ a b Poll sponsored by Better Nevada, which supports Lombardo
  4. ^ a b c Poll conducted for American Greatness, a conservative news and opinions site.
  5. ^ Poll conducted for Citizens United, a conservative non-profit organization.
  6. ^ Poll conducted for BUSR, an online gambling website.
  7. ^ Poll conducted for Univision.
  8. ^ This poll was sponsored by the Environmental Voter Project
  9. ^ This poll was sponsored by Lombardo's campaign
  10. ^ This poll was sponsored by Future Majority and America’s Future Majority Fund

References

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  2. ^ "Former Commissioner Tom Collins Files For a Primary Challenge against Sisolak". MSN. 2022-03-15.
  3. ^ a b Luneau, Delphine (March 15, 2022). "Human Rights Campaign Endorses Nevada Governor Steve Sisolak for Reelection". Human Rights Campaign. Human Rights Campaign.{{cite news}}: CS1 maint: url-status (link)
  4. ^ a b "NARAL Pro-Choice Nevada Endorses Governor Steve Sisolak for Reelection". www.prochoicenevada.org. September 29, 2021.
  5. ^ Turrentine, Jeff (March 8, 2022). "NRDC Action Fund Endorses These Candidates in the 2022 Elections". Natural Resources Defense Council. Retrieved March 15, 2022.
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  7. ^ "2022 Primary Endorsements". Retrieved 14 June 2022.
  8. ^ a b "Nevada - UAW Endorsements". United Auto Workers.
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  10. ^ a b "2022 Official Statewide Primary Election Results - June 14, 2022". Nevada Secretary of State. Retrieved July 1, 2022.
  11. ^ Margiott, Kenzie (2021-05-24). "Clark County Sheriff Joe Lombardo confirms he's running for Nevada governor". KRNV.
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  31. ^ Nevada Race for Governor, Republican Primary Debate
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  34. ^ Lilly, Caitlin (September 23, 2021). "Nevada Police Union endorses Dean Heller for governor". Retrieved February 6, 2022.{{cite news}}: CS1 maint: url-status (link)
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  36. ^ a b "Secretary Pompeo Endorses Joe Lombardo for Governor".
  37. ^ Lacanlale, Rio; Robison, Mark (7 March 2022). "Nevada's 2022 candidate filling period begins. Here's what we know". www.rgj.com. Reno Gazette-Journal. Retrieved 10 March 2022.
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  54. ^ "Endorsements: 2022 Primary Election". pffn.org.
  55. ^ "2022 Primary Endorsements". Retrieved 14 June 2022.
  56. ^ "Youngkin traveling to five more states amid talk of possible 2024 bid". 23 August 2022.
  57. ^ https://thenevadaindependent.com/article/las-vegas-hotel-mogul-robert-bigelow-spends-nearly-50-million-to-support-lombardo-other-republicans
  58. ^ https://www.reviewjournal.com/opinion/rj-endorses/review-journal-endorsement-governor-of-nevada-2661447/
  59. ^ "Vote Freedom First. Vote Sheriff Joe Lombardo For Nevada Governor!". National Rifle Association. Retrieved October 27, 2022.
  60. ^ "Nevada Police Union endorses Joe Lombardo". www.kolotv.com. October 24, 2022. Retrieved October 27, 2022.
  61. ^ "Sheriff Joe Lombardo Receives LVPPA Endorsement". www.thenevadaglobe.com. May 20, 2022. Retrieved October 27, 2022.
Official campaign websites
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