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2025 Newfoundland and Labrador general election

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52nd Newfoundland and Labrador general election
← 2021 On or before 14 October 2025 53rd →
All 40 seats in the Newfoundland and Labrador House of Assembly
21 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
 
Premier Andrew Furey - 2020 (cropped 2).png
David Brazil MHA.jpg
NDP
Leader Andrew Furey David Brazil
(interim) 		Jim Dinn
Party Liberal Progressive Conservative New Democratic
Leader since 3 August 2020 31 March 2021 October 19, 2021
Leader's seat Humber-Gros Morne Conception Bay East–Bell Island St. John's Centre
Last election 22 seats, 48.24% 13 seats, 38.80% 2 seats, 8.02%
Current seats 23 12 3
Incumbent Premier

Andrew Furey
Liberal



The 52nd Newfoundland and Labrador general election will take place on or before 14 October 2025 to elect members to the 51st General Assembly of Newfoundland and Labrador.

Current party standings

Standings in the 50th General Assembly[1]
Affiliation Leader House members
2021 election results Current standings
Liberal Andrew Furey 22 23
Progressive Conservative David Brazil (interim) 13 12
New Democratic Jim Dinn 2 3
  Independent 3 2

Timeline

Changes in MHAs

Changes in seats held (2021–)
Seat Before Change
Date Member Party Reason Date Member Party
Torngat Mountains 25 October 2021 Lela Evans █ PC Left the party[8] █ Independent
7 March 2022 █ Independent Joined the NDP[9][10] █ New Democratic
Lake Melville 12 September 2022 Perry Trimper █ Independent Joined the Liberals █ Liberal

Opinion polls

Template:Import-blanktable

Polling firm Dates conducted Link Liberal PC NDP Others Margin of error Sample size Polling method Lead
Narrative Research 4–15 May 2023 [p 1] 50% 31% 17% 2% ±5.2% 350 Telephone 19%
28 Mar 2023 Jim Dinn is acclaimed permanent NDP leader.
Narrative Research 17–21 Feb 2023 [p 2] 46% 36% 17% 0% ±5.2% 350 Telephone 10%
Narrative Research 3–27 Nov 2022 [p 3] 47% 34% 16% 3% ±4.2% 535 Telephone 13%
Narrative Research 3–23 Aug 2022 [p 4] 40% 42% 16% 1% ±6.0% 260 Telephone 2%
Angus Reid 7–13 Jun 2022 [p 5] 36% 45% 12% 6% ±7.0% 201 Online 9%
Narrative Research 5–24 May 2022 [p 6] 48% 32% 17% 3% ±5.9% 275 Telephone 16%
Angus Reid 10–15 Mar 2022 [p 7] 43% 44% 10% 4% ±7.0% 196 Online 1%
Narrative Research 8–21 Feb 2022 [p 8] 49% 32% 15% 3% ±5.2% 350 Telephone 17%
Angus Reid 7–12 Jan 2022 [p 9] 37% 44% 15% 4% ±8.0% 155 Online 7%
MQO Research 19 Nov – 5 Dec 2021 [p 10] 47% 31% 18% 4% ±5.5% 400 Telephone 16%
Narrative Research 2–23 Nov 2021 [p 11] 48% 27% 23% 2% ±3.5% 800 Telephone 21%
19 Oct 2021 Alison Coffin resigns as leader of the NDP; Jim Dinn becomes interim leader.
Angus Reid 29 Sep – 3 Oct 2021 [p 12] 39% 39% 17% 5% N/A 203 Online Tie
Narrative Research 9–29 Aug 2021 [p 13] 53% 28% 18% 1% ±4.9% 400 Telephone 25%
MQO Research 12 Jun – 10 Jul 2021 [p 14] 56% 26% 15% 2% ±4.9% 400 Telephone 30%
Angus Reid 2–7 Jun 2021 [p 15] 50% 39% 8% 2% ±2.0% 153 Online 11%
Narrative Research 11–26 May 2021 [p 16] 54% 30% 14% 2% ±3.5% 800 Telephone 24%
8 Apr 2021 Andrew Furey and his cabinet sworn in.[11]
31 Mar 2021 Ches Crosbie resigns as leader of the PCs; David Brazil becomes interim leader.[12]
2021 general election 25 Mar 2021 HTML 48.24% 38.80% 8.02% 4.93% — — — 9.44%
Polling firm Dates conducted Link Others Margin of error Sample size Polling method Lead
Liberal PC NDP

References

  1. ^ "House of Assembly - NL - Members". Newfoundland and Labrador House of Assembly. Retrieved 4 August 2021.
  2. ^ Staff, CBC News (31 March 2021). "PC Leader Ches Crobie stepping down as head of party". CBC News. Canadian Broadcasting Corporation. Retrieved 2 November 2021.
  3. ^ Smellie, Sarah (31 March 2021). "N.L. Tory leader Ches Crosbie delivers parting shot as he steps down after loss". Toronto Star. Retrieved 2 November 2021.
  4. ^ Staff, The Canadian Press (19 October 2021). "Alison Coffin steps down as leader of Newfoundland and Labrador's New Democrats". CTV News. CTV Television Network. Retrieved 19 October 2021.
  5. ^ Mullin, Malone; Kennedy, Alex (6 July 2022). "Surprise N.L. cabinet shuffle sees John Haggie, Tom Osborne switch roles". CBC News.
  6. ^ "Jim Dinn removes 'interim' tag after being acclaimed NDP leader". CBC News. 28 March 2023. Retrieved 12 April 2023.
  7. ^ Furey Shuffles Cabinet in Wake of Derrick Bragg’s Cancer Diagnosis. VOCM News, June 14, 2023.
  8. ^ Staff, CBC News (25 October 2021). "Lela Evans, MHA for Labrador's Torngat Mountains district, leaving PC Party". CBC News. Canadian Broadcasting Corporation. Retrieved 2 November 2021.
  9. ^ Smith, Greg. "Former PC MHA Joins NDP". VOCM. Retrieved 8 March 2022.
  10. ^ "Former PC MHA Lela Evans joins NDP caucus". CBC News. 7 March 2022. Retrieved 8 March 2022.
  11. ^ Smellie, Sarah (8 April 2021). "Andrew Furey sworn in as Newfoundland and Labrador premier after tumultuous election". CTV News. Retrieved 4 August 2021.
  12. ^ Quinn, Mark [@CBCMarkQuinn] (31 March 2021). "Ches Crosbie stepping down #nlpoli" (Tweet). Retrieved 4 August 2021 – via Twitter.

Opinion poll sources

  1. ^ "Liberals have a stronger lead in terms of voter support" (PDF). Narrative Research. 24 May 2023. Retrieved 24 May 2023.
  2. ^ "NL: Voting intentions have remained stable, with Liberals continuing to lead in terms of voter support". Narrative Research. 7 March 2023.
  3. ^ "Voting intentions have shifted and the Liberals now lead in terms of voter support". Narrative Research. 1 December 2022.
  4. ^ "Voting intentions have shifted this quarter to reflect a tighter race between the PCs and Liberals with the Liberals no longer leading". Narrative Research. 30 August 2022.
  5. ^ "Atlantic Spotlight: Soaring inflation, floundering health-care systems leave East Coasters critical of governments". Angus Reid. July 2022.
  6. ^ "Satisfaction with NL premier Andrew Furey's government has declined over the past three months with residents now equally likely to be dissatisfied as satisfied". Narrative Research. 26 May 2022.
  7. ^ "Provincial spotlight: Ontario, Alberta governments heavily criticized on nearly every aspect of provincial management". Angus Reid. March 2022.
  8. ^ "Satisfaction with NL premier Andrew Furey's government remains stable with Fall 2021". Narrative Research. Retrieved 3 March 2022.
  9. ^ "Spotlight on Provincial Politics: NDP edge PCPO in vote among Ontario voters, CAQ leads comfortably in Quebec" (PDF). Angus Reid Institute. 20 January 2022. Retrieved 21 January 2022.
  10. ^ "Fall/Winter 2021 Provincial Report Newfoundland and Labrador" (PDF). MQO Research. December 2021.
  11. ^ "Satisfaction with NL premier Andrew Furey's government declines through 2021" (PDF). Narrative Research. 29 November 2021. Archived from the original (PDF) on 1 December 2021.
  12. ^ "Spotlight on the Provinces: Concerns over health care, economy drive increasing dissatisfaction with governments" (PDF). Angus Reid. 27 October 2021.
  13. ^ "Satisfaction with premier Andrew Furey's government remains strong" (PDF). Narrative Research. 22 September 2021.
  14. ^ "Spring/Summer 2021 Provincial Report Newfoundland and Labrador" (PDF). MQO Research. July 2021.
  15. ^ "Premiers' Performance: Ford and Kenney's popularity & political fortunes bear brunt of pandemic management" (PDF). Angus Reid. 9 June 2021.
  16. ^ "Satisfaction with the performance of the NL provincial government has declined, but remains strong following the recent election" (PDF). Narrative Research. 3 June 2021.


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