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2022 United States Senate election in South Carolina

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2022 United States Senate election in South Carolina

← 2016 November 8, 2022 2028 →
 
Nominee Tim Scott Krystle Matthews
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 1,066,274 627,616
Percentage 62.9% 37.0%

Scott:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%
Matthews:      50–60%      60–70%

U.S. senator before election

Tim Scott
Republican

Elected U.S. senator

Tim Scott
Republican

The 2022 United States Senate election in South Carolina was held on November 8, 2022, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of South Carolina. Incumbent Republican Senator Tim Scott won reelection to a second full term, defeating Democratic state representative Krystle Matthews.[1]

Scott was appointed to the U.S. Senate in 2013 by then-Governor Nikki Haley following the resignation of Jim DeMint. With 61.1% of the vote, he won the 2014 special election to serve the remainder of DeMint's term. Scott was then re-elected to a full six-year term in 2016 with 60.6% of the vote.

Primary elections in South Carolina were held on June 14, 2022. Scott won the Republican primary unopposed, while Catherine Fleming Bruce and Matthews faced each other in a runoff.[2] Runoff elections were held on June 28. Matthews won the Democratic primary in a runoff.[3]

This was the third consecutive election for this seat where both major party nominees were Black. Scott has said this election would be his last.[4][5]

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Withdrawn

  • Timothy Swain[6] (opted to run for State House seat 121, defeated in primary)[7][8]

Endorsements

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in runoff

Eliminated in primary

First round

Results

Initial primary results by county:
  Bruce
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  Matthews
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  Geter
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
Democratic primary results[20]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Catherine Fleming Bruce 59,777 34.69%
Democratic Krystle Matthews 57,278 33.24%
Democratic Angela Geter 55,281 32.08%
Total votes 172,336 100.0%

Runoff

Results

Primary runoff results by county:
  Matthews
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
  Bruce
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70-80%
Democratic primary runoff results[21]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Krystle Matthews 25,300 55.77%
Democratic Catherine Fleming Bruce 20,064 44.23%
Total votes 45,364 100.0%

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[22] Solid R November 19, 2021
Inside Elections[23] Solid R January 7, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[24] Safe R November 3, 2021
Politico[25] Solid R April 1, 2022
RCP[26] Safe R January 10, 2022
Fox News[27] Solid R May 12, 2022
DDHQ[28] Solid R July 20, 2022
538[29] Solid R June 30, 2022
The Economist[30] Safe R September 7, 2022

Endorsements

Tim Scott (R)
Executive Branch officials
U.S. Senators
U.S. Representatives
Individuals
Organizations

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Tim
Scott (R)
Krystle
Matthews (D)
Larry
Adams Jr. (I)
Other Undecided
Echelon Insights August 31 – September 7, 2022 600 (RV) ± 5.1% 54% 37% 9%
Moore Information Group (R) March 8–13, 2022 500 (LV) ± 4.0% 57% 25% 5% 2% 11%

Results

2022 United States Senate election in South Carolina[35]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Tim Scott (incumbent) 1,066,274 62.88% +2.31%
Democratic Krystle Matthews 627,616 37.01% +0.08%
Write-in 1,812 0.11% +0.02%
Total votes 1,695,702 100.00% N/A
Republican hold

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

By congressional district

Scott won 6 of 7 congressional districts.[36]

District Scott Matthews Representative
1st 62% 38% Nancy Mace
2nd 62% 38% Joe Wilson
3rd 75% 25% Jeff Duncan
4th 68% 32% William Timmons
5th 64% 36% Ralph Norman
6th 41% 59% Jim Clyburn
7th 67% 33% Tom Rice (117th Congress)
Russell Fry (118th Congress)

See also

Notes

  1. ^ Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear

References

  1. ^ "2022 US Senate Election Results: Live Map". ABC News. November 8, 2022. Retrieved November 9, 2022.
  2. ^ Jabour, Tara (June 22, 2022). ""SC representative Krystle Matthews faces Catherine Fleming Bruce in runoff election"". WCIV-TV. Retrieved November 10, 2022.
  3. ^ News 4, A. B. C. (June 28, 2022). "Krystle Matthews wins primary runoff despite controversial leaked call with inmate". WCIV. Retrieved September 30, 2022.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: numeric names: authors list (link)
  4. ^ a b Alex Rogers, Manu Raju and Ted Barrett (January 27, 2021). "Retirements shake up 2022 map as Republican senators eye exits". CNN. Retrieved February 14, 2021.
  5. ^ Frazin, Rachel (August 9, 2019). "GOP Sen. Tim Scott says if he runs in 2022 it will be his last race". The Hill. Retrieved February 14, 2021.
  6. ^ "Tim Scott Draws A 2022 GOP Primary Challenger". FITSNews. March 25, 2021. Retrieved March 26, 2021.
  7. ^ @SwainForSenate (March 23, 2022). "After much consideration, and with my filing deadline only a week away, I had to make a hard choice. Unfortunatel…" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  8. ^ Staff Reports (June 15, 2022). ""Tuesday, June 14 Primary Results"". The Island News. Retrieved November 13, 2022.
  9. ^ a b Fortier-Bensen, Tony (March 2, 2021). "Donald Trump endorses Sen. Tim Scott for reelection". WCIV. Retrieved March 2, 2021.
  10. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t Meg Kinnard (June 28, 2021). "South Carolina's Tim Scott launches 2022 reelection campaign". AP News.
  11. ^ a b "Palmetto Politics". The Post and Courier. Retrieved July 15, 2021.
  12. ^ a b Raju, Manu; Rogers, Alex (March 12, 2021). "McConnell quietly courts Senate primary candidates 'who can win' regardless of Trump ties". CNN. Archived from the original on August 24, 2021.
  13. ^ a b "Our Candidates (2021-2022)". BAMPAC. Retrieved January 29, 2022.
  14. ^ a b "Endorsed Candidates". proisraelamerica.org. Archived from the original on December 20, 2021. Retrieved January 22, 2022.
  15. ^ Olson, Mike (April 13, 2021). "State Rep. Krystle Matthews kicks off campaign for U.S. Senate". Retrieved April 13, 2021.
  16. ^ Dennis Jr., Rickey Ciapha (November 8, 2022). "Matthews loses SC seat; Cribb cruises to Berkeley County supervisor reelection". The Post and Courier. Retrieved December 23, 2022.
  17. ^ The State (subscription required)
  18. ^ Shain, Andy (January 17, 2022). ""Columbia preservationist joins US Senate race for Tim Scott's seat"". The Post and Courier. Retrieved November 10, 2022.
  19. ^ Schechter, Maayan (April 13, 2021). "Why this SC Democrat says she's the one to beat GOP Sen. Tim Scott in 2022". Retrieved April 13, 2021.
  20. ^ "2022 Statewide Primaries". South Carolina Election Commission.
  21. ^ "2022 Statewide Primaries - RUNOFF". South Carolina Election Commission.
  22. ^ "2022 Senate Race ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved January 14, 2021.
  23. ^ "Senate ratings". Inside Elections. Retrieved January 18, 2021.
  24. ^ "2022 Senate". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved January 28, 2021.
  25. ^ "South Carolina Senate Race 2022". Politico. April 1, 2022.
  26. ^ "Battle for the Senate 2022". RCP. January 10, 2022.
  27. ^ "2022 Election Forecast". Fox News. May 12, 2022. Retrieved May 12, 2022.
  28. ^ "2022 Election Forecast". DDHQ. July 20, 2022. Retrieved July 20, 2022.
  29. ^ "2022 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. June 30, 2022. Retrieved June 30, 2022.
  30. ^ "Economist's 2022 Senate forecast". The Economist. September 7, 2022. Retrieved September 7, 2022.
  31. ^ "NRA-PVF - Grades - South Carolina". nrapvf.org. NRA-PVF. Archived from the original on November 8, 2022.
  32. ^ a b c d e "Tim Scott's Ratings and Endorsements". justfacts.votesmart.org. Retrieved November 3, 2022.
  33. ^ "CCAGW PAC Endorses Sen. Tim Scott and Five South Carolina House Candidates". www.businesswire.com. October 19, 2022. Retrieved November 3, 2022.
  34. ^ "Endorsements - Stand for America PAC". standforamericapac.com. Retrieved November 3, 2022.
  35. ^ "2022 Statewide General Election". South Carolina Election Commission.
  36. ^ Results. docs.google.com (Report).
This Week in South Carolina | Midterm Election Recap - South Carolina ETV
Official campaign websites