2024 United States presidential election in New Hampshire
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The 2024 United States presidential election in New Hampshire is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. New Hampshire voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of New Hampshire has four electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat.[1] New Hampshire is expected to be heavily targeted by both parties in 2024, even though the state has voted Democratic in seven out of the last eight presidential elections and is seen as a blue-leaning state.
Incumbent Democratic president Joe Biden has stated that he intends to run for reelection to a second term.[2]
Primary elections
New Hampshire has held the famous "first-in-the-nation" primary since 1920. Delegates are elected separately from a non-binding poll, which dates from 1952. Candidates qualify by presenting a check for $1000 to the Secretary of State's office by a certain date.
Democratic primary
On February 4, 2023, the Democratic National Committee approved a new 2024 primary calendar, moving the South Carolina Democratic primary to be held first on February 3, followed by Nevada and New Hampshire on February 6. However, New Hampshire Republican governor Chris Sununu and the Republican-controlled state legislature have vowed to abide by state laws mandating that New Hampshire must hold the "first-in-the-nation" primary.[3]
Republican primary
The New Hampshire Republican primary is scheduled to be held on February 13, 2024.
General election
Polling
- Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College | August 9–11, 2023 | 837 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 48% | 41% | 11% |
| Saint Anselm College | June 21–23, 2023 | 1,065 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 40% | 11% |
| Emerson College | March 3–5, 2023 | 1,025 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 42% | 38% | 20% |
| co/efficient | January 25–26, 2023 | 1,179 (LV) | – | 40% | 39% | 21% |
| Emerson College | October 30 – November 1, 2022 | 850 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 45% | 41% | 14% |
| University of Massachusetts Lowell | October 14–25, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 5.1% | 49% | 43% | 8% |
| Emerson College | October 18–19, 2022 | 727 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 44% | 43% | 13% |
| Emerson College | September 14–15, 2022 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 46% | 43% | 11% |
| University of New Hampshire | June 16–20, 2022 | 845 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 50% | 43% | 8% |
| The Trafalgar Group (R) | December 10–12, 2021 | 1,041 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 46% | 48% | 6% |
| Saint Anselm College[A] | May 7–10, 2021 | 1,267 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 50% | 43% | 7% |
- Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Ron DeSantis Republican |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saint Anselm College | June 21–23, 2023 | 1,065 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 40% | 11% |
| Emerson College | March 3–5, 2023 | 1,025 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 42% | 37% | 21% |
| University of New Hampshire | June 16–20, 2022 | 845 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 46% | 47% | 7% |
- Joe Biden vs. Chris Sununu
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Chris Sununu Republican |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College | March 3–5, 2023 | 1,025 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 36% | 44% | 20% |
| co/efficient | January 25–26, 2023 | 1,179 (LV) | – | 36% | 48% | 16% |
| Praecones Analytica | April 14–16, 2022 | 503 (RV) | – | 36% | 53% | 12% |
- Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| The Trafalgar Group (R) | December 10–12, 2021 | 1,041 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 46% | 48% | 6% |
- Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Cornel West
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Cornel West Green |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College | August 9–11, 2023 | 837 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 44% | 39% | 5% | 8% |
See also
- United States presidential elections in New Hampshire
- 2024 United States presidential election
- 2024 Democratic Party presidential primaries
- 2024 Republican Party presidential primaries
- 2024 United States elections
Notes
- Partisan clients
- ^ Poll conducted for the John Bolton Super PAC
References
- ^ Wang, Hansi; Jin, Connie; Levitt, Zach (April 26, 2021). "Here's How The 1st 2020 Census Results Changed Electoral College, House Seats". NPR. Archived from the original on August 19, 2021. Retrieved August 20, 2021.
- ^ Din, Benjamin (March 25, 2021). "Biden: 'My plan is to run for reelection' in 2024". Politico.com. Retrieved July 19, 2021.
- ^ O'Keefe, Ed; Novak, Analisa (February 3, 2023). "New Hampshire battles to retain first-in-the-nation presidential primary as DNC leaders meet to vote on possible changes". CBS News. Archived from the original on February 5, 2023. Retrieved February 5, 2023.
